WEBVTT - Garry Tan Decides Who Gets to Build the Future

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<v Speaker 1>The Builders is a production of Kaleidoscope and iHeart, presented

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<v Speaker 1>by Ramp. I'm Walter Isaacson. Welcome to The Builders, my

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<v Speaker 1>series of conversations with the most consequential minds shaping our future. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm speaking with Gary Tan. Y Combinator has become one

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<v Speaker 1>of the most powerful and important brands in Silicon Valley.

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<v Speaker 1>The companies that emerged from YC include Airbnb, Stripe, DoorDash,

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<v Speaker 1>and Dropbox. Together, they have transformed how we travel, spend money, work,

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<v Speaker 1>and communicate. Now, Gary Tan is deciding which builders come next.

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<v Speaker 1>Gary first entered Y Combinator as a founder. He became

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<v Speaker 1>an early investor in Coinbase and Instacart. And today, He

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<v Speaker 1>leads YC itself. And so in some ways, he's helping

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<v Speaker 1>shape those who shape the future. Here's my interview with

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<v Speaker 1>Gary Tan. Gary Tan, welcome to The Builders.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>As a leader of Y Combinator, you have to pick

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<v Speaker 1>founders who are going to make it. Do you look

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<v Speaker 1>for one particular thing or are there like 20 different

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<v Speaker 1>models of founders that can work?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, so the wild thing about Y Combinator is that

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<v Speaker 3>we get 80, maybe 90,000 applications a year now for

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<v Speaker 3>about 800 spots. So it is less than a 1%

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<v Speaker 3>acceptance rate. Maybe 8 to 10% of those people would

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<v Speaker 3>get an interview, sometimes less now. And the wild thing

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<v Speaker 3>is we actually spend only 10 minutes with them. for

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<v Speaker 3>that final stage. But the interesting thing is, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>Paul Graham, the founder of YC, figured out that you

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<v Speaker 3>didn't need half an hour. You don't need an hour.

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<v Speaker 3>You could probably actually do it in about five minutes,

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<v Speaker 3>but five minutes feels rude. So that's how YC ended

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<v Speaker 3>up at 10 minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>So what did Paul look for and what do you

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<v Speaker 1>look for in those 10 minutes?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it sounds almost too simple, but 10 minutes

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<v Speaker 3>is a wonderful time. constraint, kind of like how 140

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<v Speaker 3>characters for Twitter way back in the day was a

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<v Speaker 3>wonderful constraint. If you can say something very simply that

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<v Speaker 3>hits us, like, you know, here's a user, here's a

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<v Speaker 3>real person who has a problem, and here's how the

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<v Speaker 3>technology that we build actually solves that. We just want

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<v Speaker 3>to know what it is and why it's awesome.

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<v Speaker 2>And then if we have a.

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<v Speaker 3>That founder is the person to go and build that thing.

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<v Speaker 3>And you can do all of that in 10 minutes,

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<v Speaker 3>and it's an up-down decision. Something like 10% to 15%

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<v Speaker 3>of all self-made billionaires as of present time, age 50

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<v Speaker 3>and under, are YC alums.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me ask you a real quick question then. Suppose

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<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk walked in and you had 10 minutes with him.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you think the percentage chance is that you

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<v Speaker 1>would actually fund him?

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<v Speaker 2>Oh, 100%. I mean, in current form, 100%. No, no, no, no.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying you saw him. You didn't know he was successful.

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<v Speaker 1>He was a guy who'd just been, say, ousted from PayPal.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, I had a managing partner meeting the other day,

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<v Speaker 3>and that's actually one of the example questions we ask

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<v Speaker 3>ourselves to figure out whether we're on the right track, right? Like,

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<v Speaker 3>by definition, if YC is operating properly... Like if an

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<v Speaker 3>Elon or a Bill Gates or a Steve Jobs or,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, a Drew Houston from Dropbox, a Brian Chesky

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<v Speaker 3>from Airbnb, Brian Armstrong from Coinbase, Tony Hsu from DoorDash.

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<v Speaker 3>Like if someone like that walks into our office, can

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<v Speaker 3>we say yes to them in 10 minutes? And if

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<v Speaker 3>that answer is no, actually, I'd have to rewrite everything.

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<v Speaker 3>I would have to retool everything, right? That is actually

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<v Speaker 3>almost the only question that really matters when it comes

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<v Speaker 3>to whether YC is doing well or not.

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<v Speaker 1>And if you had walked in years ago, would you

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<v Speaker 1>have accepted you?

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<v Speaker 2>I think so.

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<v Speaker 3>My startup, Posturus, it was dead simple blogs by email.

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<v Speaker 3>And I mean, I had a pretty banger demo. So

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<v Speaker 3>we had something that I think Paul and Jessica and

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<v Speaker 3>Trevor Blackwell, the founders of YC, really got immediately. They

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<v Speaker 3>didn't grill us at all. Like we came on with

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<v Speaker 3>a really good demo and they said, well, that makes sense.

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<v Speaker 2>And then we got funded. So sometimes it's that simple though.

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<v Speaker 1>And I was creating that company, running that company for

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<v Speaker 1>a while. How fundamental was that to your ability to

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<v Speaker 1>be at Y Combinator and to be making venture capital decisions?

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, I think it's quite important. I mean, There's a

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<v Speaker 3>Jay-Z line that I love. One of his songs, he goes,

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<v Speaker 3>everybody wants to tell you how to do it and

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<v Speaker 3>they never did it. And so, I mean, the entire

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<v Speaker 3>act of being an investor in technology is actually bewildering

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<v Speaker 3>and strange if you really think about it too long,

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<v Speaker 3>because what we're doing is selling money. Like tech has

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<v Speaker 3>now become such a fundamental force in the financial world

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<v Speaker 3>of society that that there's way more money that wants

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<v Speaker 3>to go into tech than good opportunities.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's really what YC is.

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<v Speaker 3>And if you look at most venture capital, it's crazy

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<v Speaker 3>that it's grown so much. The S &amp; P 500

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<v Speaker 3>is almost entirely driven by tech. And then the wild

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<v Speaker 3>thing that Paul Graham figured out and Jessica Livingston figured

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<v Speaker 3>out when they first started was, when they started in 2005,

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<v Speaker 3>the type of people who would get funding, it would

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<v Speaker 3>be your buddy at Stanford Business School, your golf buddy,

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<v Speaker 3>like maybe someone who your son went to school with

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<v Speaker 3>at like some prep school at Harvard Westlake or what,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, I mean, it was like access, right?

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<v Speaker 1>As it was for a few millennia.

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<v Speaker 2>Time immemorial, right?

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<v Speaker 1>But do you all think you broke the back of

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<v Speaker 1>that or is being a startup junkie or a startup

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<v Speaker 1>entrepreneur something that you still have to be pretty privileged

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<v Speaker 1>and pretty connected to do?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, it would be a mistake to say that

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<v Speaker 3>we were actually a meritocracy, but I will say and

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<v Speaker 3>affirm loudly that we aspire to be.

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<v Speaker 2>We will never be. You know, I think that the

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<v Speaker 2>woke age of sort of like five.

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<v Speaker 3>Or 10 years ago, we sort of lost sight of that,

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<v Speaker 3>that like meritocracy could never be achieved, but it is

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<v Speaker 3>a virtue to attempt to achieve it.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the reason I ask about that in terms of

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<v Speaker 1>a startup culture, which is what you very much nurture,

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<v Speaker 1>is that it used to be somebody coming out of college,

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<v Speaker 1>take a Steve case, for example, could go work at

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<v Speaker 1>a company like a Procter &amp; Gamble and learn a business. Nowadays,

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<v Speaker 1>it's very hard to sort of get a steady job.

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<v Speaker 1>And the economy for young people tends to depend more

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<v Speaker 1>and more on startups. And yet it seems to me

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<v Speaker 1>that unless you got a safety net, unless you're somebody

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<v Speaker 1>who doesn't have to make sure your next meal can

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<v Speaker 1>be paid for, you can't be in that game, and

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<v Speaker 1>it leaves a lot of people out.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, that's why YC gives $ 500, 000, for instance. When

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<v Speaker 3>I did YC, it was only $ 18, 000. Like today, you

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<v Speaker 3>hear about seed funds and Stanford kids raising $ 30 million

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<v Speaker 3>on $ 300 million post-money evaluation. It's like literally, like it's

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<v Speaker 3>just an idea and one person, and the company is

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<v Speaker 3>somehow worth $ 300 million. But when we were starting many

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<v Speaker 3>years ago, It was a very small amount of money.

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<v Speaker 3>You had to show that you had something that was great.

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<v Speaker 2>And so that's why.

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<v Speaker 3>YC didn't stay. And we easily could have just stayed

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<v Speaker 3>at $ 12, 000.

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<v Speaker 2>Or $ 15, 000.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think there is a recognition that if we

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<v Speaker 3>want to be a thing that allows people to participate,

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<v Speaker 3>you don't have to have rich parents. The half a

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<v Speaker 3>million dollars getting into YC, you could just have an

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<v Speaker 3>idea and you could come in and meet us for

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<v Speaker 3>10 minutes.

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<v Speaker 1>You were one of the earliest employees at Palantir. You

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<v Speaker 1>got to see how Peter Thiel and Alex Karp in

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<v Speaker 1>particular really worked. What did you learn from their style?

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<v Speaker 3>I realize now, like, if I hadn't rage quit, I

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<v Speaker 3>would have been, you know, sort of a peer to

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<v Speaker 3>some of the, you know, real legends who really built Palantir.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, I would go on walks with Karp and

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<v Speaker 3>he would sort of, I mean, he was a philosopher.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, he was not a technologist, I would say,

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<v Speaker 3>but he was incredibly knowledgeable about the world. One time,

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<v Speaker 3>I was sent to DC to do some demos for customers.

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<v Speaker 3>And I remember being like a 25-year-old, and I was

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<v Speaker 3>in my ripped jeans and band t-shirt and getting sent

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<v Speaker 3>to stay at the Mandarin Oriental in DC. And we

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<v Speaker 3>would wonder, Alex, why are we staying at the Mandarin Oriental?

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<v Speaker 2>Look at us. We're just kids.

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<v Speaker 3>We don't have to do that.

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<v Speaker 2>Just set me up in the Motel 6. We're a startup.

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<v Speaker 3>Alex looked at me and my other early engineers for

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<v Speaker 3>the Palantir Finance product, and he said, guys, you're going

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<v Speaker 3>to go and talk to such-and-such general or such-and-such VP

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<v Speaker 3>of some Fortune 500, and you're going.

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<v Speaker 2>To show this incredible software that you've built.

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<v Speaker 3>And then as you go out, you're going to make

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<v Speaker 3>small talk, and they're going to ask, well, how long

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<v Speaker 3>are you around and where are you staying? And if

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<v Speaker 3>you say Motel 6, they're going to think that they're

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<v Speaker 3>buying Motel 6 software, and Palantir is... Mandarin Oriental software.

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<v Speaker 3>And I'm like, okay, now I get it.

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<v Speaker 2>And so, you know, yeah, I don't know.

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<v Speaker 3>I think embedded in that story is just a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of different things. And I learned a lot from Alex

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<v Speaker 3>from that.

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<v Speaker 1>Don't go anywhere. There's a lot more. right after this break.

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<v Speaker 1>I know you've been fighting this antitrust battle. How important

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<v Speaker 1>is that in order to keep innovation and startup culture?

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<v Speaker 3>I think, you know, True free market enterprise has never

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<v Speaker 3>been tried. I think that in tech in particular, we

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<v Speaker 3>have very short memories. I would argue that Google itself,

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<v Speaker 3>one of the big tech companies, was able to exist

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<v Speaker 3>and thrive and become a trillion-dollar company because of the

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<v Speaker 3>actions of the DOJ with the consent decree on Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 3>Microsoft was ready to take over the web, and it

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<v Speaker 3>used its platform advantages in Windows to default install and

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<v Speaker 3>take over the browser market.

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<v Speaker 1>And do you think Google is now doing the same thing?

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<v Speaker 2>I would argue yes.

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<v Speaker 3>The Delaware C Corp sort of actually insists on it.

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<v Speaker 3>Like the governance structure itself actually insists on you're supposed

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<v Speaker 3>to do your duty and your duty is to maximize

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<v Speaker 3>shareholder value. So people are following the letter of the

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<v Speaker 3>law and the spirit of like their Delaware C Corp

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<v Speaker 3>to close platforms. Like it's less and less percentage of

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<v Speaker 3>the screen real estate if you do a Google search

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<v Speaker 3>is even non-Google properties, right?

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<v Speaker 2>And so that's self-preferencing.

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<v Speaker 1>So a lot of your tech bro friends are very

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<v Speaker 1>much against antitrust enforcement. How do you have a startup

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<v Speaker 1>culture if you're going to allow big companies to self-preference?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I mean, my view is that we shouldn't allow self-preferencing.

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<v Speaker 3>And then my super pro startup stance is we should

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<v Speaker 3>stop self-preferencing. We should require open markets. Like I think

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<v Speaker 3>the DMA in Europe, for instance, is a great example

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<v Speaker 3>of forcing big tech to open its own platforms and

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<v Speaker 3>not just data transparency and privacy, but also portability and

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<v Speaker 3>reverse engineering. These are sort of things that allow for

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<v Speaker 3>open markets and open access to startups. And if you

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<v Speaker 3>ask me, is big tech too powerful? I say absolutely.

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<v Speaker 3>And the answer and the antidote is little tech. I

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<v Speaker 3>think it's not that unlike robber baron times in that

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<v Speaker 3>if you own the railroads and there was a monopoly

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<v Speaker 3>on the railroad... you could set the price on literally

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<v Speaker 3>everything else. And so one thing would lead to another thing,

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<v Speaker 3>and you would have multiple monopolies across both commodities and

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<v Speaker 3>the railroad the commodities travel over.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, wait, let's look at AI. I'm going to push

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<v Speaker 1>back a bit. We get a whole lot of new companies, Anthropic, OpenAI,

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<v Speaker 1>they're all popping up. Somehow Apple wasn't able to self-preference

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<v Speaker 1>and embed its own system in its own phones. Even

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<v Speaker 1>Google is trying to do that where it almost forces

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<v Speaker 1>you to use Gemini when you're using Google search. And

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<v Speaker 1>yet these other companies are doing well.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that's right.

0:12:53.900 --> 0:12:57.490
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I think what's funny about the AI companies

0:12:57.520 --> 0:12:59.590
<v Speaker 3>is like they're almost certainly, I mean, I think you

0:12:59.630 --> 0:13:01.890
<v Speaker 3>can fairly say that they are the new big tech.

0:13:02.790 --> 0:13:06.570
<v Speaker 3>And so I think I have concerns there as well, right?

0:13:07.230 --> 0:13:09.870
<v Speaker 3>Critics of some of the AI companies would say that

0:13:10.410 --> 0:13:13.750
<v Speaker 3>It's possible that as the AI wars progress, there might

0:13:13.809 --> 0:13:17.780
<v Speaker 3>not be open access to the latest and best frontier

0:13:17.820 --> 0:13:20.420
<v Speaker 3>models that those companies may gatekeep.

0:13:20.880 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 1>You think they should be open, that all the AI

0:13:24.320 --> 0:13:25.300
<v Speaker 1>models should be open?

0:13:25.900 --> 0:13:28.410
<v Speaker 3>I mean, that would be certainly the thing that supports

0:13:28.470 --> 0:13:31.390
<v Speaker 3>startups and the ability for new people to create new

0:13:31.490 --> 0:13:34.990
<v Speaker 3>companies and, frankly, new wealth and to give consumers choice.

0:13:35.150 --> 0:13:37.770
<v Speaker 1>So what is the role that Y Combinator wants to

0:13:37.850 --> 0:13:38.680
<v Speaker 1>play in AI?

0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:42.760
<v Speaker 3>I mean, what's funny is I think of YC almost

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.840
<v Speaker 3>as like, you know, we're not a union, but we

0:13:45.880 --> 0:13:49.660
<v Speaker 3>have union-like characteristics. There's not really a group out there

0:13:49.740 --> 0:13:55.850
<v Speaker 3>that can speak full-throatedly about policies and, frankly, actions that

0:13:56.210 --> 0:14:00.010
<v Speaker 3>both governments and companies should take to make sure that

0:14:00.390 --> 0:14:03.250
<v Speaker 3>the golden goose can still exist. And, you know, whether

0:14:03.290 --> 0:14:08.210
<v Speaker 3>that's the billionaire tax in California or antitrust laws in D.C.

0:14:08.429 --> 0:14:09.089
<v Speaker 2>Or in Europe.

0:14:09.590 --> 0:14:13.010
<v Speaker 3>we're going to start talking about it and just having

0:14:13.050 --> 0:14:14.590
<v Speaker 3>a seat at the table. One of the things I

0:14:14.610 --> 0:14:19.530
<v Speaker 3>discovered as I started examining politics, most tech people are

0:14:19.570 --> 0:14:22.630
<v Speaker 3>not interested in politics, but politics sure is interested in us.

0:14:23.230 --> 0:14:24.930
<v Speaker 2>And so I decided.

0:14:24.630 --> 0:14:26.710
<v Speaker 3>Like three or four years ago, like, oh, well, I

0:14:26.730 --> 0:14:29.830
<v Speaker 3>should probably spend some time and reciprocate. Like, let me

0:14:29.850 --> 0:14:32.950
<v Speaker 3>understand what's going on. And what I discovered was pretty wild.

0:14:33.130 --> 0:14:36.630
<v Speaker 3>I mean, millions of dollars in AstroTurf money, going to

0:14:36.710 --> 0:14:40.910
<v Speaker 3>groups that would take around basically almost hired actors. They

0:14:40.930 --> 0:14:44.630
<v Speaker 3>would claim to speak for small software companies or, you know,

0:14:44.670 --> 0:14:45.190
<v Speaker 3>little tech.

0:14:45.910 --> 0:14:48.650
<v Speaker 2>And they were just like paid chills, actually.

0:14:49.050 --> 0:14:51.310
<v Speaker 3>And they would go to the halls of power, whether

0:14:51.350 --> 0:14:55.510
<v Speaker 3>it's Sacramento or D.C. And they would say, no, no,

0:14:55.610 --> 0:14:58.630
<v Speaker 3>like this thing that actually mainly helps big tech. We,

0:14:58.690 --> 0:15:01.090
<v Speaker 3>the little guy, really wants that. And I was like, oh, wow,

0:15:01.130 --> 0:15:03.510
<v Speaker 3>this is crazy. Like no real startups actually go out

0:15:03.570 --> 0:15:06.790
<v Speaker 3>there and talk to real people in D.C. And I

0:15:06.830 --> 0:15:09.810
<v Speaker 3>saw a system that was broken, and I wanted to

0:15:09.870 --> 0:15:12.580
<v Speaker 3>fix it. And so that, you know, we do very

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:15.540
<v Speaker 3>little things. Like, we have a tiny budget. It's, you know,

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:19.340
<v Speaker 3>probably one one-hundredth that of, like, even any given single

0:15:19.380 --> 0:15:22.820
<v Speaker 3>big tech firm spends on policy. We have one lone

0:15:22.860 --> 0:15:26.680
<v Speaker 3>full-time hire in D.C. in a man named Luther Lowe.

0:15:27.500 --> 0:15:29.490
<v Speaker 3>And we run it on a shoestring. But on the

0:15:29.510 --> 0:15:33.230
<v Speaker 3>other hand, like, we're people-powered. I see that like a

0:15:33.290 --> 0:15:37.530
<v Speaker 3>repeating pattern, like there are broken things in society. There

0:15:37.550 --> 0:15:40.590
<v Speaker 3>are systems out there that, you know, have money, like

0:15:40.650 --> 0:15:42.620
<v Speaker 3>just trace the money and like, you know, where's the

0:15:42.650 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 3>money coming from and who benefits, right?

0:15:45.060 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 2>And then the heartening thing.

0:15:46.680 --> 0:15:48.100
<v Speaker 3>You know, I think a lot of people talk about

0:15:48.140 --> 0:15:50.540
<v Speaker 3>social media in a very negative way. They think, you know,

0:15:50.600 --> 0:15:53.290
<v Speaker 3>it was Facebook that ruined democracy. And it's like, I

0:15:53.330 --> 0:15:55.729
<v Speaker 3>don't really, I don't think I agree. Like, I think

0:15:55.770 --> 0:15:58.950
<v Speaker 3>that It's the little guy not realizing he has a voice.

0:15:59.070 --> 0:16:01.489
<v Speaker 3>He and she do have a voice. And then, you know,

0:16:02.330 --> 0:16:05.370
<v Speaker 3>when I look at YC, like, our job one is

0:16:05.410 --> 0:16:08.530
<v Speaker 3>to find the next great founders. But I think right

0:16:08.590 --> 0:16:10.670
<v Speaker 3>under that, it's like, how do we make sure that

0:16:10.710 --> 0:16:13.410
<v Speaker 3>those people can have access to markets? How do we

0:16:13.890 --> 0:16:16.360
<v Speaker 3>help people who would not have a voice, would not

0:16:16.390 --> 0:16:18.620
<v Speaker 3>be able to go to D.C.? How do we give

0:16:18.640 --> 0:16:21.580
<v Speaker 3>them that megaphone? And then YC itself now has a megaphone.

0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:24.280
<v Speaker 3>You know, we have more than 2 million subscribers on YouTube.

0:16:24.520 --> 0:16:28.100
<v Speaker 3>We can sort of speak in aggregates. And I'm really

0:16:28.130 --> 0:16:31.740
<v Speaker 3>excited about that because I think that that's us trying

0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:34.000
<v Speaker 3>to speak truth to power. I don't want to deny

0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:36.460
<v Speaker 3>that YC is also a power in and of itself,

0:16:37.140 --> 0:16:39.860
<v Speaker 3>but the world is full of systems. These are all

0:16:39.900 --> 0:16:43.200
<v Speaker 3>systems that were created and constructed by, as Steve said it,

0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:47.380
<v Speaker 3>people no smarter or better than you or I. And

0:16:47.580 --> 0:16:49.440
<v Speaker 3>we can mold it and change it. And once you

0:16:49.460 --> 0:16:51.180
<v Speaker 3>realize that, you'll never be the same.

0:16:52.040 --> 0:16:56.210
<v Speaker 1>You were born in Canada, Chinese background. Tell me how

0:16:56.310 --> 0:17:00.530
<v Speaker 1>important you think immigration is to the United States.

0:17:01.510 --> 0:17:04.970
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I shout to everyone who will hear that

0:17:05.170 --> 0:17:08.490
<v Speaker 3>about 50% of all the startups that really make it

0:17:08.670 --> 0:17:12.500
<v Speaker 3>have at least one immigrant co-founder. And what we realize

0:17:12.540 --> 0:17:15.379
<v Speaker 3>is that's one of the things that makes America incredibly unique.

0:17:15.940 --> 0:17:18.760
<v Speaker 3>People from around the world want to come here. And

0:17:18.780 --> 0:17:20.600
<v Speaker 3>in tech, they want to come and build the future.

0:17:21.140 --> 0:17:26.030
<v Speaker 3>That's certainly my story. My mom's family came over from Burma. refugees,

0:17:26.830 --> 0:17:29.950
<v Speaker 3>and my dad came here from Singapore.

0:17:30.150 --> 0:17:33.070
<v Speaker 1>Well, you talk about your dad, and we biographers tend

0:17:33.090 --> 0:17:37.470
<v Speaker 1>to believe it's sometimes about dad, especially when somebody's successful.

0:17:37.710 --> 0:17:39.659
<v Speaker 1>You had a pretty rough time, though. I mean, your

0:17:39.700 --> 0:17:44.180
<v Speaker 1>father was at times unemployed, at times an alcoholic. Tell

0:17:44.220 --> 0:17:46.160
<v Speaker 1>me how you had to deal with all that.

0:17:47.100 --> 0:17:48.840
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it really made me who I am today.

0:17:48.859 --> 0:17:51.960
<v Speaker 3>I figured out that I can actually put myself back

0:17:52.180 --> 0:17:58.520
<v Speaker 3>into let's say 1992, I'm 11 years old. And basically,

0:17:58.540 --> 0:18:00.400
<v Speaker 3>I don't know when my dad would come home, like

0:18:00.440 --> 0:18:03.340
<v Speaker 3>maybe around five or six, but I wouldn't know how

0:18:03.380 --> 0:18:06.620
<v Speaker 3>many beers he would have already had. And I realized

0:18:06.640 --> 0:18:09.830
<v Speaker 3>there's sort of this scanner that happens where if you

0:18:09.869 --> 0:18:13.310
<v Speaker 3>don't know what father is coming home that day, then

0:18:14.070 --> 0:18:18.750
<v Speaker 3>you get very attuned to other people and their interstates.

0:18:18.930 --> 0:18:21.520
<v Speaker 3>And like, how to sort of react to that. And

0:18:21.540 --> 0:18:24.570
<v Speaker 3>then it's interesting because now I realize like that's a

0:18:24.590 --> 0:18:26.389
<v Speaker 3>scanner that I use all the time. Like I can

0:18:26.430 --> 0:18:29.450
<v Speaker 3>sort of sit down with someone and it doesn't happen

0:18:29.490 --> 0:18:32.490
<v Speaker 3>every time, but it happens relatively easily for me where

0:18:32.950 --> 0:18:35.310
<v Speaker 3>I can sit down and just kind of feel what's

0:18:35.330 --> 0:18:37.770
<v Speaker 3>going on for other people as someone who sort of

0:18:37.850 --> 0:18:41.990
<v Speaker 3>spends time with hundreds of startup founders every single year.

0:18:42.070 --> 0:18:45.060
<v Speaker 2>Like that's actually a pretty powerful superpower of.

0:18:46.100 --> 0:18:48.560
<v Speaker 1>Let me talk about what may be the next step

0:18:48.720 --> 0:18:53.330
<v Speaker 1>in AI, which is AI agents. And you've said that

0:18:53.390 --> 0:18:56.429
<v Speaker 1>you don't want to fund companies that look at AI

0:18:56.550 --> 0:18:59.189
<v Speaker 1>agents as a feature. You want them to look at

0:18:59.230 --> 0:19:02.790
<v Speaker 1>it as the core operating system. Explain how you think

0:19:02.830 --> 0:19:06.630
<v Speaker 1>that changes what we think about when we talk about AI.

0:19:07.520 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, absolutely.

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:10.670
<v Speaker 3>I mean... We're going to get a little sci-fi here,

0:19:10.750 --> 0:19:13.190
<v Speaker 3>but this is something that we're starting to see ourselves,

0:19:13.210 --> 0:19:16.190
<v Speaker 3>you know, rebuilding the way we operate at YC. I

0:19:16.230 --> 0:19:19.070
<v Speaker 3>think the number one thing that people get wrong is

0:19:19.190 --> 0:19:21.139
<v Speaker 3>they just think that AI is just chat.

0:19:21.680 --> 0:19:23.520
<v Speaker 2>And then it is so much more than that.

0:19:23.740 --> 0:19:27.340
<v Speaker 3>We now have an internal AI agent, for instance, named Straylight,

0:19:27.480 --> 0:19:30.780
<v Speaker 3>that kind of has a personality and then it has

0:19:30.820 --> 0:19:34.770
<v Speaker 3>a company brain. Like it actually has the total context

0:19:35.010 --> 0:19:39.320
<v Speaker 3>of everything. Founder we've ever backed, anyone who's ever emailed us,

0:19:39.380 --> 0:19:42.139
<v Speaker 3>like all the applications. The way I think about it

0:19:42.380 --> 0:19:46.310
<v Speaker 3>from an interesting tech perspective is like a human can

0:19:46.369 --> 0:19:49.030
<v Speaker 3>only keep track in their heads like seven plus or

0:19:49.050 --> 0:19:52.070
<v Speaker 3>minus three things. And what an AI agent is, is

0:19:52.210 --> 0:19:54.790
<v Speaker 3>already super intelligent. It can keep, you know, I was

0:19:54.850 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 3>explaining this to my 11 year old. What an AI

0:19:57.630 --> 0:20:01.130
<v Speaker 3>can do is it can keep a stack of 1000 pages,

0:20:01.340 --> 0:20:04.500
<v Speaker 3>think like three Harry Potter books. You know, it can

0:20:04.780 --> 0:20:07.820
<v Speaker 3>needle in a haystack, any page, any fact, anything that

0:20:07.859 --> 0:20:13.450
<v Speaker 3>happened in those three Harry Potter books. It can just know, synthesize,

0:20:13.830 --> 0:20:17.869
<v Speaker 3>work with. Like the working memory is absolutely gigantic. And,

0:20:18.150 --> 0:20:19.930
<v Speaker 3>you know, the thing is in another year, it won't

0:20:19.970 --> 0:20:22.920
<v Speaker 3>be three Harry Potter books in the brain of an

0:20:23.080 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 3>AI agent. It'll be five or it'll be 10 or

0:20:25.260 --> 0:20:28.680
<v Speaker 3>it'll be 20. And then the set of things that

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:30.600
<v Speaker 3>it can operate on is even bigger.

0:20:30.619 --> 0:20:33.320
<v Speaker 1>Well, give me a better example and make this more

0:20:33.380 --> 0:20:37.240
<v Speaker 1>concrete for me, because data retrieval, even from three Harry

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:40.720
<v Speaker 1>Potter books, That's kind of cool, but that's not, I mean,

0:20:40.740 --> 0:20:44.389
<v Speaker 1>that's just data retrieval. What makes something an agent?

0:20:45.010 --> 0:20:48.449
<v Speaker 3>I mean, I would point to what Peter Steinberger of

0:20:48.690 --> 0:20:52.090
<v Speaker 3>OpenClaw figured out, which is if you use cloud code

0:20:52.310 --> 0:20:56.190
<v Speaker 3>or codecs, I would say right now, they're so worried

0:20:56.230 --> 0:21:00.050
<v Speaker 3>about sort of repeatability and safety that they actually trade

0:21:00.190 --> 0:21:03.440
<v Speaker 3>off all of the beautiful parts of working with an

0:21:03.500 --> 0:21:07.790
<v Speaker 3>AI agent, which like basically can be so similar to

0:21:07.830 --> 0:21:10.560
<v Speaker 3>a human that like it sort of takes on human qualities.

0:21:10.820 --> 0:21:13.000
<v Speaker 1>So tell me what you ask your agent to do.

0:21:13.600 --> 0:21:14.100
<v Speaker 2>Oh gosh.

0:21:14.340 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 3>I mean, one of the things I did, I, you know,

0:21:16.640 --> 0:21:19.820
<v Speaker 3>it's read all of my email and all of my Dropbox.

0:21:19.840 --> 0:21:22.820
<v Speaker 3>It's read like all of my Apple notes, like, you know,

0:21:23.119 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 3>even my therapy notes going back 20 years. I mean,

0:21:25.640 --> 0:21:27.820
<v Speaker 3>for instance, like I used it for prep to be

0:21:27.859 --> 0:21:30.550
<v Speaker 3>able to talk to you, not to get too meta

0:21:30.590 --> 0:21:33.770
<v Speaker 3>about it, but in about 15 minutes right before this talk,

0:21:33.930 --> 0:21:37.320
<v Speaker 3>like it was able to you know, download and transcribe

0:21:37.560 --> 0:21:41.320
<v Speaker 3>your top 10 podcasts you've ever done. And then it

0:21:41.440 --> 0:21:44.629
<v Speaker 3>actually diarized them. So, you know, I had an LLM

0:21:44.690 --> 0:21:48.110
<v Speaker 3>go like line by line, timestamp by timestamp to pull

0:21:48.210 --> 0:21:49.490
<v Speaker 3>out like major themes.

0:21:49.930 --> 0:21:51.689
<v Speaker 2>And that was really helpful for me.

0:21:51.750 --> 0:21:53.970
<v Speaker 3>But to be able to do that for like almost

0:21:54.210 --> 0:21:58.260
<v Speaker 3>any thing that you do in your day-to-day life and

0:21:58.300 --> 0:22:01.260
<v Speaker 3>for it to do it like somewhat more autonomously. And

0:22:01.320 --> 0:22:04.419
<v Speaker 3>so it seems inevitable in about two to three years,

0:22:04.580 --> 0:22:07.000
<v Speaker 3>I would say, Everyone's going to do it, and it's

0:22:07.040 --> 0:22:09.619
<v Speaker 3>going to feel awesome. Think of it as a Jiminy

0:22:09.660 --> 0:22:13.700
<v Speaker 3>Cricket on your shoulder at all times. Almost anything you

0:22:13.740 --> 0:22:16.340
<v Speaker 3>want to do, it knows you, and it's there to help.

0:22:17.100 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 3>And it will actually sort of run ahead and say,

0:22:19.840 --> 0:22:22.700
<v Speaker 3>what about this? Or it'll help you see around corners.

0:22:23.420 --> 0:22:25.780
<v Speaker 3>And the reason why it's too expensive right now, I mean,

0:22:25.820 --> 0:22:27.510
<v Speaker 3>it's just literally too expensive.

0:22:28.400 --> 0:22:29.970
<v Speaker 2>In order to have this experience.

0:22:30.290 --> 0:22:31.949
<v Speaker 3>I spend about maybe $ 100, 000 to $ 200, 000 a year on tokens.

0:22:35.130 --> 0:22:38.290
<v Speaker 3>And so I realized that's a crazy privilege that not

0:22:38.330 --> 0:22:40.990
<v Speaker 3>everyone can do that. You know, a lot of like

0:22:41.010 --> 0:22:44.510
<v Speaker 3>CEOs that I know are doing it and they have wings.

0:22:45.150 --> 0:22:49.409
<v Speaker 1>Do you think that AI, especially the agents you've been describing,

0:22:50.170 --> 0:22:53.750
<v Speaker 1>will end up destroying jobs or will it end up

0:22:53.869 --> 0:22:57.430
<v Speaker 1>increasing enormously the number of jobs in society?

0:22:58.330 --> 0:23:00.929
<v Speaker 3>My hope, I mean, I don't know for certain and,

0:23:00.950 --> 0:23:04.359
<v Speaker 3>you know, I'm not clairvoyant, but I, you know, I

0:23:04.410 --> 0:23:08.780
<v Speaker 3>do believe that technology is over vilified. I think that

0:23:08.840 --> 0:23:12.679
<v Speaker 3>it does have problems. And AI safety is something that

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:15.300
<v Speaker 3>we need to be concerned about. But the way to

0:23:15.420 --> 0:23:19.590
<v Speaker 3>fix that is not to stop the technology from even happening.

0:23:20.230 --> 0:23:24.010
<v Speaker 3>It is actually going after the abuses of people when

0:23:24.070 --> 0:23:27.330
<v Speaker 3>people actually use or misuse the tech.

0:23:27.630 --> 0:23:30.400
<v Speaker 1>But do you think it'll create jobs? There'll be more

0:23:30.460 --> 0:23:31.639
<v Speaker 1>jobs because of AI?

0:23:32.270 --> 0:23:34.690
<v Speaker 3>That's certainly my hope, right? In the short term, it

0:23:34.750 --> 0:23:37.790
<v Speaker 3>may not. And that's quite frustrating. So some of the

0:23:37.850 --> 0:23:39.860
<v Speaker 3>reason why I've been working on open source and trying

0:23:39.880 --> 0:23:42.960
<v Speaker 3>to teach people how to use AI, like my open

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 3>source project, GStack, is literally working backwards from if I

0:23:47.560 --> 0:23:49.940
<v Speaker 3>were trying to teach YC founders how to use cloud

0:23:50.000 --> 0:23:52.760
<v Speaker 3>code and get 400 times the amount of output that

0:23:52.800 --> 0:23:55.619
<v Speaker 3>they had before, that was like a project that they

0:23:55.640 --> 0:23:58.760
<v Speaker 3>could just drop into cloud code and get exactly the

0:23:58.800 --> 0:24:01.400
<v Speaker 3>stack that I use to get that. I think things

0:24:01.440 --> 0:24:04.669
<v Speaker 3>like that, are necessary in order to teach people how

0:24:04.710 --> 0:24:08.910
<v Speaker 3>to use the tools properly. And there will be people

0:24:08.970 --> 0:24:13.390
<v Speaker 3>who lose their jobs because AI will have, like, sort

0:24:13.410 --> 0:24:16.820
<v Speaker 3>of made that position redundant. And then, you know, I

0:24:16.859 --> 0:24:20.200
<v Speaker 3>think there's a big retraining issue here. But, you know,

0:24:20.380 --> 0:24:23.940
<v Speaker 3>I think something like G-Stack or lots of other efforts

0:24:24.020 --> 0:24:26.380
<v Speaker 3>out there could solve that, right?

0:24:26.560 --> 0:24:27.480
<v Speaker 2>If you have that.

0:24:27.380 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 3>Context, if you were doing job X, like, let's say

0:24:29.820 --> 0:24:35.070
<v Speaker 3>you're a medical biller, like, What I want is for

0:24:35.109 --> 0:24:37.350
<v Speaker 3>someone like that to maybe be able to pair up

0:24:37.430 --> 0:24:43.189
<v Speaker 3>with a 22-year-old. They have domain expertise and someone who really,

0:24:43.230 --> 0:24:46.290
<v Speaker 3>really knows how to make 400 times the amount of

0:24:46.350 --> 0:24:51.830
<v Speaker 3>software that you could before. Maybe that person who knows

0:24:51.869 --> 0:24:56.030
<v Speaker 3>that space inside out plus someone younger or even themselves,

0:24:56.050 --> 0:24:58.070
<v Speaker 3>like train yourself to do it. I want them to

0:24:58.109 --> 0:25:00.609
<v Speaker 3>be able to start a company in that space. And

0:25:00.830 --> 0:25:03.330
<v Speaker 3>maybe it's exactly what they did before. Maybe it's something

0:25:03.790 --> 0:25:07.460
<v Speaker 3>two clicks away, but either way, it requires an increase

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:10.399
<v Speaker 3>in the amount of agency. What we want people to

0:25:10.460 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 3>do is go into their own history and their own lives.

0:25:13.220 --> 0:25:16.300
<v Speaker 3>And it's like, what do you uniquely know? What life

0:25:16.340 --> 0:25:19.010
<v Speaker 3>did you live? What obscure hobbies do you have? Like,

0:25:19.430 --> 0:25:21.990
<v Speaker 3>what have you seen that nobody else has seen? And

0:25:22.030 --> 0:25:25.730
<v Speaker 3>then pair that with this incredible ability, like not just

0:25:25.750 --> 0:25:30.290
<v Speaker 3>to code, but to think, to reason. And so I

0:25:30.310 --> 0:25:33.020
<v Speaker 3>think that's like raising the floor. And then on the

0:25:33.060 --> 0:25:35.340
<v Speaker 3>flip side, like the ceiling is sky high. Like I

0:25:35.380 --> 0:25:40.860
<v Speaker 3>think that the responsibility for CEOs and people who have

0:25:40.880 --> 0:25:45.820
<v Speaker 3>a lot of privilege is not to cost cut. Like

0:25:45.859 --> 0:25:48.960
<v Speaker 3>that is the easy way. And the thing is, like,

0:25:49.310 --> 0:25:53.410
<v Speaker 3>that can result in, like, a sort of dystopian moment where,

0:25:53.430 --> 0:25:58.450
<v Speaker 3>you know, capital accumulates more and more wealth, and we're

0:25:58.490 --> 0:25:59.470
<v Speaker 3>not sharing it.

0:26:01.359 --> 0:26:18.590
<v Speaker 1>We'll be right back after this quick break. You say

0:26:18.630 --> 0:26:23.649
<v Speaker 1>you push back against people who obviously vilify AI, but

0:26:23.690 --> 0:26:27.840
<v Speaker 1>those who are very pessimistic about it. When you're looking

0:26:27.920 --> 0:26:32.060
<v Speaker 1>at companies to back or fund or encourage, do you

0:26:32.140 --> 0:26:36.300
<v Speaker 1>consider an ethical component, whether what they're going to do

0:26:36.900 --> 0:26:41.000
<v Speaker 1>is going to be driven by being good for society? Absolutely.

0:26:41.220 --> 0:26:43.419
<v Speaker 3>I mean, we have so many examples at YC where

0:26:43.440 --> 0:26:47.379
<v Speaker 3>a team would come in and it was pretty clear

0:26:47.400 --> 0:26:48.740
<v Speaker 3>that it was going to make a lot of money.

0:26:49.020 --> 0:26:52.080
<v Speaker 3>The most extreme version of this I remember was, this

0:26:52.140 --> 0:26:53.940
<v Speaker 3>was not when I was back at YC, but I

0:26:53.980 --> 0:26:56.620
<v Speaker 3>have to call out my partner, Gustav Alströmer. He was

0:26:56.700 --> 0:26:58.689
<v Speaker 3>head of growth at Airbnb for many years, and then

0:26:58.730 --> 0:27:02.730
<v Speaker 3>he became a partner here at YC. And a company

0:27:02.830 --> 0:27:06.030
<v Speaker 3>that was focused on ADHD meds for kids came through,

0:27:06.890 --> 0:27:10.780
<v Speaker 3>and they applied, and it was a remarkable set of founders.

0:27:11.280 --> 0:27:16.540
<v Speaker 3>But the idea was tantamount to like, increasing the distribution

0:27:17.040 --> 0:27:20.740
<v Speaker 3>of ADHD meds to a society that, you know, we

0:27:20.760 --> 0:27:23.840
<v Speaker 3>couldn't tell if, like, that was a need, right? Like,

0:27:24.740 --> 0:27:26.940
<v Speaker 3>it was definitely going to make money. And in the end,

0:27:27.060 --> 0:27:29.580
<v Speaker 3>that company did get sanctioned by the FDA, and it

0:27:29.619 --> 0:27:32.780
<v Speaker 3>shut down. And I even believe that there were potentially

0:27:32.820 --> 0:27:34.120
<v Speaker 3>criminal charges about that.

0:27:34.180 --> 0:27:37.580
<v Speaker 2>I hadn't checked recently, but that was a bullet dodged, right?

0:27:37.850 --> 0:27:41.090
<v Speaker 3>And I'm very proud that YC is an institution where

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:44.760
<v Speaker 3>that kind of thing can happen. Like, We not only

0:27:44.859 --> 0:27:50.939
<v Speaker 3>need to make money, really we have the responsibility to

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 3>fund the things and the futures that we want to

0:27:53.770 --> 0:27:54.080
<v Speaker 3>live in.

0:27:54.310 --> 0:27:56.530
<v Speaker 1>Give me an example of a couple things that would

0:27:56.590 --> 0:27:58.300
<v Speaker 1>fund the future we want to live in.

0:27:59.230 --> 0:28:00.750
<v Speaker 2>I mean, let's see.

0:28:00.770 --> 0:28:06.630
<v Speaker 3>I mean, the hard part is like it's almost anything

0:28:06.670 --> 0:28:07.629
<v Speaker 3>that we actually fund.

0:28:07.670 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Well, I'll give you one, which is have social media...

0:28:11.600 --> 0:28:15.709
<v Speaker 1>that instead of dividing us and enrages us, helps us

0:28:15.830 --> 0:28:17.470
<v Speaker 1>be stronger as a society?

0:28:18.590 --> 0:28:21.250
<v Speaker 3>I think that's entirely possible. And actually, this idea of

0:28:21.350 --> 0:28:24.110
<v Speaker 3>personal agents is actually, I think, very directly a way

0:28:24.150 --> 0:28:26.920
<v Speaker 3>to do it. Going back to meta, right? Like, this

0:28:26.960 --> 0:28:30.359
<v Speaker 3>is a huge company that controls the algorithm. And we

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:33.340
<v Speaker 3>all wish that they didn't at some level. And now

0:28:33.380 --> 0:28:36.240
<v Speaker 3>they might not have to. So you could imagine a

0:28:36.619 --> 0:28:40.670
<v Speaker 3>personal AI that you control, that you program, You don't

0:28:40.870 --> 0:28:45.770
<v Speaker 3>download the Facebook app or the Instagram app. That's just

0:28:45.810 --> 0:28:49.230
<v Speaker 3>an API. And you do have a social network, but

0:28:49.270 --> 0:28:53.250
<v Speaker 3>the social network is mediated through your own cognitive filter.

0:28:53.650 --> 0:28:55.730
<v Speaker 3>You figure out what you want to see, and then

0:28:56.010 --> 0:28:58.790
<v Speaker 3>you put that in there. And maybe that could even

0:28:58.830 --> 0:29:01.990
<v Speaker 3>be programmed by not just you, but the people who

0:29:02.040 --> 0:29:05.360
<v Speaker 3>are closest to you. I think that that's one example

0:29:05.420 --> 0:29:09.220
<v Speaker 3>of actually being able to put control of what goes

0:29:09.260 --> 0:29:12.340
<v Speaker 3>in your brain back into your own hands. And that's

0:29:12.360 --> 0:29:15.580
<v Speaker 3>something that, you know, before wasn't really possible. Like even

0:29:15.600 --> 0:29:18.340
<v Speaker 3>the idea of like, could a normal human being sit

0:29:18.360 --> 0:29:23.180
<v Speaker 3>there and program their own algorithm that is beneficial directly

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:25.680
<v Speaker 3>for them? Well, A, they don't know how to program.

0:29:26.160 --> 0:29:27.960
<v Speaker 3>And B, like, what would that even look like? It's

0:29:27.980 --> 0:29:31.410
<v Speaker 3>so complicated. But with the advent of AI agents and

0:29:31.610 --> 0:29:34.710
<v Speaker 3>AI agents that can code, it'll know you, it'll know

0:29:34.830 --> 0:29:38.050
<v Speaker 3>what your goals are. Like right now, my year right now,

0:29:38.270 --> 0:29:41.950
<v Speaker 3>I just want to focus on in myself. I don't

0:29:41.970 --> 0:29:44.930
<v Speaker 3>want to see anything about national politics. I might only

0:29:45.000 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 3>care about local city politics.

0:29:47.000 --> 0:29:49.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, but we've had things like that in the past.

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:55.620
<v Speaker 1>We've had personalized social media, and yet the algorithms have

0:29:55.660 --> 0:29:59.060
<v Speaker 1>a business model that works best when they enrage or

0:29:59.080 --> 0:29:59.670
<v Speaker 1>divide us.

0:30:00.340 --> 0:30:02.900
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and the business model is hosted by someone else,

0:30:03.000 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 3>by a big tech company, and then that's their control

0:30:05.740 --> 0:30:08.270
<v Speaker 3>and that's their power. And so what personal AI is,

0:30:08.430 --> 0:30:11.190
<v Speaker 3>what I hope happens is sort of more like the

0:30:11.230 --> 0:30:15.270
<v Speaker 3>personal computer revolution, kind of what Steve Jobs did in 1984.

0:30:15.270 --> 0:30:18.130
<v Speaker 3>If you remember the original Mac commercial, you know, 1984

0:30:18.130 --> 0:30:20.850
<v Speaker 3>doesn't have to be like 1984. Big Blue, you know,

0:30:20.970 --> 0:30:24.370
<v Speaker 3>IBM does not have to win the whole thing. And

0:30:24.550 --> 0:30:26.260
<v Speaker 3>I think next year will be one of the defining

0:30:26.280 --> 0:30:29.260
<v Speaker 3>years where there's the next browser war. And I think

0:30:29.300 --> 0:30:32.150
<v Speaker 3>it's going to be whose AI agent do you use?

0:30:33.070 --> 0:30:35.750
<v Speaker 3>And I think it'll go similar to operating systems. Like,

0:30:35.770 --> 0:30:38.610
<v Speaker 3>I think there will probably be a Mac. There will

0:30:38.630 --> 0:30:39.790
<v Speaker 3>probably be a PC.

0:30:40.210 --> 0:30:45.200
<v Speaker 1>So you're saying all these anthropics, open AI, Gemini, it'll

0:30:45.240 --> 0:30:48.560
<v Speaker 1>consolidate to just two or three? Wouldn't that be pretty horrible?

0:30:48.700 --> 0:30:49.880
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I think we're already there.

0:30:50.220 --> 0:30:52.780
<v Speaker 3>And, you know, I think last year, you know, our

0:30:53.100 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 3>friends inside some of the AI labs talk about the

0:30:56.180 --> 0:30:59.700
<v Speaker 3>five kings, which is actually a pretty astonishing vision where

0:30:59.720 --> 0:31:03.220
<v Speaker 3>a light cone of all future value, literally like all commercial,

0:31:03.820 --> 0:31:07.610
<v Speaker 3>anything that a business would do could potentially collapse into

0:31:07.810 --> 0:31:08.459
<v Speaker 3>five kings.

0:31:09.110 --> 0:31:11.290
<v Speaker 1>So what can you do to disrupt that?

0:31:12.090 --> 0:31:13.310
<v Speaker 2>We're trying every day, right?

0:31:13.430 --> 0:31:16.950
<v Speaker 3>So whether it's policy, whether it's directly being the funding

0:31:17.010 --> 0:31:20.630
<v Speaker 3>vehicle to find the next generation of talent, to help

0:31:20.670 --> 0:31:22.830
<v Speaker 3>them thrive, to make sure that the markets are open

0:31:22.890 --> 0:31:25.810
<v Speaker 3>for them, to make sure that there's open source, to,

0:31:25.830 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 3>you know, find, I mean, what, What I want is

0:31:29.300 --> 0:31:31.520
<v Speaker 3>there to be Linux, right, for personal AI.

0:31:31.980 --> 0:31:35.440
<v Speaker 1>Basically an open source operating system? Yeah.

0:31:35.480 --> 0:31:37.080
<v Speaker 3>And it just has to be easy enough to use

0:31:37.140 --> 0:31:39.510
<v Speaker 3>and cheap enough to use that everyone chooses it.

0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:41.100
<v Speaker 2>And I think that's possible.

0:31:41.400 --> 0:31:44.719
<v Speaker 1>Do you think we should have regulation then that pushes

0:31:44.780 --> 0:31:47.740
<v Speaker 1>in that direction? Or is that an impossible dream?

0:31:48.340 --> 0:31:51.610
<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't say anything is impossible, right? And I think

0:31:51.640 --> 0:31:54.530
<v Speaker 3>that that might actually be a preferable outcome to some

0:31:54.550 --> 0:31:57.260
<v Speaker 3>of the other things that Some of the politicians are

0:31:57.300 --> 0:31:59.550
<v Speaker 3>putting out there, you know, Bernie Sanders wants to sort

0:31:59.590 --> 0:32:03.870
<v Speaker 3>of seize assets. And speaking as an immigrant and children

0:32:03.930 --> 0:32:08.330
<v Speaker 3>of immigrants who came to America to flee asset seizure, that,

0:32:08.490 --> 0:32:10.690
<v Speaker 3>you know, we want prosperity. We want the ability for

0:32:10.730 --> 0:32:14.360
<v Speaker 3>people to start new businesses to proceed and continue. And

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:16.480
<v Speaker 3>that's one of the defining traits of America.

0:32:16.540 --> 0:32:16.800
<v Speaker 2>It's like.

0:32:17.000 --> 0:32:19.440
<v Speaker 1>But so what would smart regulation look like?

0:32:20.420 --> 0:32:23.440
<v Speaker 3>I think it basically just looks like the Open Markets Act,

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:27.580
<v Speaker 3>like being able to create an app that actually operates

0:32:27.920 --> 0:32:29.480
<v Speaker 3>on your iMessages, for instance.

0:32:29.540 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 2>Like, AI can't touch your iMessages.

0:32:31.480 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 3>And what Apple says is, like, we're the only ones

0:32:34.060 --> 0:32:37.140
<v Speaker 3>who could possibly be safe enough for you. And I

0:32:37.160 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 3>think that that's just not actually true. We shouldn't allow

0:32:39.780 --> 0:32:42.580
<v Speaker 3>them to say that, like, nobody else could possibly do this.

0:32:42.780 --> 0:32:45.940
<v Speaker 3>And that's just a smokescreen for, A, their own market

0:32:45.980 --> 0:32:49.680
<v Speaker 3>power and making money through their own modes, but also, B, like,

0:32:49.820 --> 0:32:53.200
<v Speaker 3>it actually just kills markets. And, you know, the next

0:32:53.300 --> 0:32:56.960
<v Speaker 3>Apple can't emerge, right? If Google, Apple, and all the

0:32:56.980 --> 0:33:01.830
<v Speaker 3>trillion-dollar companies don't open a lane and create markets, we

0:33:01.850 --> 0:33:05.570
<v Speaker 3>will live in a world where there aren't startups. That's

0:33:05.970 --> 0:33:08.630
<v Speaker 3>a bit of a nightmare scenario for me. I think

0:33:08.670 --> 0:33:13.290
<v Speaker 3>that this is the counterweight against tyranny and, frankly, mismanagement

0:33:13.510 --> 0:33:16.580
<v Speaker 3>in big tech. You need to have alternatives. And so

0:33:16.620 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 3>to the extent that the government can create regulation that

0:33:20.000 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 3>makes sure that these markets are open, at the extreme,

0:33:23.340 --> 0:33:26.200
<v Speaker 3>I would even say, you know, looking at how open

0:33:26.240 --> 0:33:30.200
<v Speaker 3>source models are progressing now, we are just handing Chinese

0:33:30.260 --> 0:33:35.950
<v Speaker 3>model companies a massive advantage. There's zero open source AI

0:33:36.030 --> 0:33:38.690
<v Speaker 3>companies in the United States. And it doesn't have to

0:33:38.730 --> 0:33:41.690
<v Speaker 3>be that way. Like there are probably regulations that could

0:33:41.730 --> 0:33:46.600
<v Speaker 3>allow distillation, which is the exact advantage that Chinese companies

0:33:46.660 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 3>have for American and European companies. And, you know, we

0:33:50.560 --> 0:33:54.040
<v Speaker 3>can have a vibrant ecosystem. Some of these things being

0:33:54.080 --> 0:33:55.720
<v Speaker 3>too big, I think that's real.

0:33:55.560 --> 0:33:56.320
<v Speaker 2>And that's correct.

0:33:56.400 --> 0:33:59.840
<v Speaker 3>And if you go all the way back to Brandeis

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:03.720
<v Speaker 3>and trust busting, we live in a better world when

0:34:03.760 --> 0:34:06.840
<v Speaker 3>there isn't concentration in markets and that there isn't self-preferencing.

0:34:07.440 --> 0:34:09.419
<v Speaker 3>And I think that that is more true than ever

0:34:09.700 --> 0:34:11.440
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to tech and startups.

0:34:11.700 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 1>Well, in some ways, you're really going back when you

0:34:14.520 --> 0:34:18.320
<v Speaker 1>talk about Louis Brandeis and you talk about the railway companies.

0:34:18.880 --> 0:34:21.989
<v Speaker 1>You're really saying that we've been through this before. which

0:34:22.050 --> 0:34:25.900
<v Speaker 1>is the 1890s. An explosion of technology is even greater

0:34:26.200 --> 0:34:30.180
<v Speaker 1>than we have today. And then you create these great

0:34:30.300 --> 0:34:34.300
<v Speaker 1>robber barons that control it. And then you have a period,

0:34:34.780 --> 0:34:38.950
<v Speaker 1>whether it be Teddy Roosevelt or Louis Brandeis, that take

0:34:38.969 --> 0:34:42.109
<v Speaker 1>on Standard Oil or take on the railways and say,

0:34:42.150 --> 0:34:44.310
<v Speaker 1>you got to open up. You got to allow everybody

0:34:44.370 --> 0:34:47.810
<v Speaker 1>else to ride your rails. You think we could just say, hey,

0:34:48.070 --> 0:34:49.960
<v Speaker 1>let's learn from history and apply it now?

0:34:51.100 --> 0:34:51.600
<v Speaker 2>I think so.

0:34:51.719 --> 0:34:53.740
<v Speaker 3>I think we have to learn from history in two

0:34:53.780 --> 0:34:56.049
<v Speaker 3>different ways. I mean, I think when you look at

0:34:56.070 --> 0:34:59.489
<v Speaker 3>the Sanders and AOC end of things, or in San Francisco,

0:34:59.510 --> 0:35:02.850
<v Speaker 3>Saikat Chakrabarty, or even what Tom Steyer was saying in

0:35:02.890 --> 0:35:06.390
<v Speaker 3>his failed bid for governor in California, I think you're

0:35:06.410 --> 0:35:08.770
<v Speaker 3>starting to see a thing that is, to me, like

0:35:08.850 --> 0:35:10.009
<v Speaker 3>fundamentally un-American.

0:35:10.050 --> 0:35:12.110
<v Speaker 1>But wait, let me ask you, what are you more

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:15.660
<v Speaker 1>worried about? That a populace on the left are going

0:35:15.680 --> 0:35:19.200
<v Speaker 1>to have some socialist system, or that we are going

0:35:19.260 --> 0:35:23.810
<v Speaker 1>to have a technology system that gets too controlled by

0:35:24.010 --> 0:35:27.750
<v Speaker 1>too few people, and it's not democratizing and it doesn't

0:35:27.830 --> 0:35:28.890
<v Speaker 1>incent startups?

0:35:30.070 --> 0:35:33.270
<v Speaker 3>I mean, honestly, both scenarios are terrible. And I would

0:35:33.290 --> 0:35:35.950
<v Speaker 3>stand against both of those scenarios. And I think that

0:35:35.989 --> 0:35:38.160
<v Speaker 3>there has to be a middle way. I think that

0:35:38.260 --> 0:35:42.400
<v Speaker 3>we should follow American history. And how do we create markets?

0:35:42.460 --> 0:35:46.239
<v Speaker 3>How do we not make it illegal to create prosperity

0:35:46.340 --> 0:35:46.700
<v Speaker 3>and wealth?

0:35:47.370 --> 0:35:48.630
<v Speaker 2>I don't begrudge Google.

0:35:48.790 --> 0:35:51.270
<v Speaker 3>I think there are people on the hard left, for instance,

0:35:51.870 --> 0:35:54.950
<v Speaker 3>that would say, like, Google should not exist. And we

0:35:55.010 --> 0:35:57.910
<v Speaker 3>want more Googles. We actually want more. OpenAI was a

0:35:57.950 --> 0:36:02.009
<v Speaker 3>spin-out of Y Combinator. Sam Altman sat in my seat

0:36:02.480 --> 0:36:05.419
<v Speaker 3>and said, you know, he got to see the front

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:08.859
<v Speaker 3>row of all the builders, all the young people with

0:36:08.960 --> 0:36:15.259
<v Speaker 3>crazy ideas. And he and Ilya Suskovor and Greg Brockman said,

0:36:15.880 --> 0:36:18.259
<v Speaker 3>They sat in a room and created YC Research that

0:36:18.280 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 3>became OpenAI with Elon. And now we live on their timeline, right?

0:36:23.340 --> 0:36:26.390
<v Speaker 3>Now we live on an accelerated timeline where the age

0:36:26.430 --> 0:36:30.629
<v Speaker 3>of intelligence is much closer. And so I don't think

0:36:30.650 --> 0:36:33.590
<v Speaker 3>that's a bad thing. But, you know, AOC and a

0:36:33.650 --> 0:36:39.279
<v Speaker 3>great many Americans today unconscionably believe that all billionaires are ill-begotten.

0:36:39.520 --> 0:36:42.680
<v Speaker 3>And when people say that billionaires shouldn't exist, they're also

0:36:42.739 --> 0:36:46.839
<v Speaker 3>saying that society should ossify, that LLM should not exist.

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:49.930
<v Speaker 3>It also is saying that things like Google that, you know,

0:36:50.050 --> 0:36:54.690
<v Speaker 3>organize the world's information that shouldn't exist. And to that,

0:36:54.730 --> 0:36:57.150
<v Speaker 3>I say, like, I, you know, I disagree, you know, like,

0:36:57.190 --> 0:37:00.290
<v Speaker 3>we should have more billionaires, we want more choice, we

0:37:00.330 --> 0:37:03.580
<v Speaker 3>want more prosperity, we want more jobs, there is a

0:37:04.160 --> 0:37:07.339
<v Speaker 3>middle way, it doesn't have to be big tech oligarchy.

0:37:07.580 --> 0:37:10.759
<v Speaker 3>But it also doesn't have to be mass asset seizure. Like,

0:37:10.780 --> 0:37:13.930
<v Speaker 3>I think there's a middle American way. And That's what

0:37:13.969 --> 0:37:16.069
<v Speaker 3>we very much will fight for and hope for.

0:37:16.969 --> 0:37:19.680
<v Speaker 1>Gary Tan, thank you so much for being part of

0:37:19.719 --> 0:37:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the builders.

0:37:20.560 --> 0:37:21.670
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much for having me.

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:31.660
<v Speaker 1>Silicon Valley is very good at finding people who think differently.

0:37:32.160 --> 0:37:37.460
<v Speaker 1>It rewards ambition, competitiveness, and ideas that can scale. But

0:37:37.500 --> 0:37:40.270
<v Speaker 1>the interview made me think about the fact that so

0:37:40.410 --> 0:37:45.190
<v Speaker 1>much of Y Combinator's energy is focused on AI. The

0:37:45.230 --> 0:37:48.890
<v Speaker 1>biggest opportunity isn't simply to build what the market will reward.

0:37:49.310 --> 0:37:53.410
<v Speaker 1>It's to build what humanity actually needs. And if AI

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<v Speaker 1>could focus more on helping humanity cure cancer, fight climate change,

0:37:57.800 --> 0:38:01.600
<v Speaker 1>rather than just making chatbots and threatening our jobs, there

0:38:01.640 --> 0:38:04.740
<v Speaker 1>would be a lot less backlash against what the industry

0:38:04.820 --> 0:38:07.900
<v Speaker 1>is doing. So I'm curious to watch how Gary and

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<v Speaker 1>Y Combinator will place their bets. Because when you get

0:38:10.969 --> 0:38:14.860
<v Speaker 1>to choose who builds the future, You have some responsibility

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<v Speaker 1>for the future they build. That's it for today's episode.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm Walter Isaacson. We'll see you next time on The Builders.

0:38:30.890 --> 0:38:33.270
<v Speaker 2>The Builders is a Kaleidoscope and IHAR production.

0:38:33.510 --> 0:38:35.710
<v Speaker 1>This series is hosted by Walter Isaacson.

0:38:35.910 --> 0:38:38.570
<v Speaker 2>It's executive produced for Kaleidoscope by Oswald Lishan.

0:38:38.760 --> 0:38:41.200
<v Speaker 1>David Weisbord, and Mungesh Atikudur.

0:38:41.580 --> 0:38:45.300
<v Speaker 2>Sheena Ozaki is the producer. Julia Nutter is supervising producer.

0:38:45.780 --> 0:38:47.780
<v Speaker 2>Eva Zorich is our consulting producer.

0:38:48.460 --> 0:38:51.720
<v Speaker 1>Fact-checking by Eamon Whalen. Research by Gloria Thiel.

0:38:51.960 --> 0:38:55.650
<v Speaker 2>Maria Paz Mendez-Hodes is head of video. Marketing by Christy

0:38:55.670 --> 0:38:59.810
<v Speaker 2>Mirabal and Elle Liu. Production support by Dara Luk-Potz.

0:39:00.250 --> 0:39:03.630
<v Speaker 1>Music for the series was created by Spencer Stevenson, a.k.a.

0:39:03.670 --> 0:39:06.890
<v Speaker 2>Botany, and it was mixed by Steve Bone. From iHeart,

0:39:06.989 --> 0:39:09.969
<v Speaker 2>the series is EP'd by Allie Perry and Katrina Norvell.

0:39:10.300 --> 0:39:14.630
<v Speaker 3>Special thanks to Bob Pittman, Conal Byrne, Will Pearson, John Sykes,

0:39:14.850 --> 0:39:19.630
<v Speaker 3>Nikki Etor, Carrie Lieberman, Binky Urban, Julia Prosser, Jeremy Blum,

0:39:19.910 --> 0:39:23.530
<v Speaker 3>Alison Goldberger, WYES, and ASL Studios.

0:39:23.830 --> 0:39:26.069
<v Speaker 1>For more from Walter Isaacson, be sure to check out

0:39:26.110 --> 0:39:29.870
<v Speaker 1>his newest paperback, The Innovators, how a group of hackers, geniuses,