1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast, PODYA, all right. 2 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 2: Here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty thirty five, 3 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: Horny Coty five fifty and the. 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 3: Kick Ass Block the College Football World, Stundar, Oh my goodness, he's. 5 00:00:24,960 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 2: Stumbled, and Football the latter. 6 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:30,520 Speaker 3: Turn a canter on the inside. 7 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:35,440 Speaker 2: Don't you believe I'm not gonna table off the field 8 00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:41,920 Speaker 2: the night. God, it's not the size of the dog 9 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 2: in the fight. It's the size of the fight in 10 00:00:44,680 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 2: the dog. 11 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 3: What's up the generate Nation? Welcome to the Big Bets 12 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 3: on Campus Podcast. This is the Week three college football 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,000 Speaker 3: betting preview. I'm Stucky and enjoining me as always my 14 00:00:58,040 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 3: fellow BBC co host and Wilson A lot to get 15 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 3: to great slate. We'll go through some marquee games I 16 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 3: don't know, ten to fifteen others. In the rundown, we 17 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 3: the trash, oh baby, trash list is long. It's extensive. 18 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 3: This week it's either going to be a really fun 19 00:01:19,480 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 3: week or not. It's one of those weeks. Then we'll 20 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 3: go three and now we'll hit Friday Night, give our 21 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 3: favorite overdog's favorite underdogs, and then get out of here. 22 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 3: It's another fabulous weekend of college football. 23 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 2: Let's check out the marquee matchups. 24 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 3: We'll all end up bedding for Week three before we 25 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 3: get into breaking down some of the marquee games. Quick 26 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 3: couple reminders if you are listening this is the time, 27 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:50,440 Speaker 3: it really helps us out. If you could leave a review, 28 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 3: just send an anti five star review would help us out. Also, 29 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 3: if you use Twitter, be sure to use at Playbook, 30 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 3: the new betting bot from Action Network. You can turn 31 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 3: your screen into a bet slip. Just follow out Playbook 32 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 3: on Twitter for more info. You no longer have to 33 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:06,440 Speaker 3: manually put your bet in. If you like a bet 34 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 3: on Twitter, you see it, you see at parlay, you 35 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 3: can just say at Playbook. You can also just say 36 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 3: hey at Playbook create a betslip with these bets and 37 00:02:14,000 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 3: it'll reply and you can just click the link. Saves 38 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 3: you some time. Really cool bot and also some breaking 39 00:02:20,600 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 3: news of you to know. I'm also co hosting the 40 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:26,440 Speaker 3: new Favorites podcast, which is returned with a new lineup. 41 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 3: Episodes are Tuesday, Thursday, Sunday, Kendrick Middleton, Brandon Kravitz, bets stories, 42 00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 3: all sorts of fun stuff. It's like a lighter NFL show. 43 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 3: It's a really good time. So whever you listen to podcasts, 44 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 3: make sure you check out the favorites. All right, Colin, 45 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:46,240 Speaker 3: let's get right into it. Let's start with Georgia. Tennessee 46 00:02:47,240 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 3: wish that the fantasy fascinating game, and Tennessee took a 47 00:03:02,280 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 3: bunch of Money's been a little bit of buyback on 48 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,720 Speaker 3: Georgia with some service releases early on Tennessee. Georgia as 49 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:09,919 Speaker 3: we record currently, since it's a four and a half 50 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 3: point favorite, total tick down a bit to forty nine 51 00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 3: and a half. So there's a lot of question marks here. 52 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 3: We could attack this so many different angles. 53 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 2: Yet. 54 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 3: Joey Aguilar the quarterback for Tennessee, He's looked good so far, 55 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:27,040 Speaker 3: but came against Syracuse, who's really bad, and then you 56 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:30,600 Speaker 3: know an FCS school. So what can we take from 57 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 3: those two games. We'll see if their five star tackle 58 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 3: comes back. He hasn't played this year. They do have 59 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 3: some injuries on defense. A couple of defensive linemen might 60 00:03:39,080 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 3: be out. Their two corners will still be out, but 61 00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 3: they've been out all year. Their backups have looked pretty good, 62 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 3: but again, quality of competition not the greatest. The offense 63 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 3: has looked a little bit different. There's not as wide 64 00:03:50,840 --> 00:03:53,839 Speaker 3: of splits, they're not throwing as deep, and I think 65 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 3: part of that is like Aguilar picked up the offense late, 66 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 3: so it's kind of a compromise of what Pipo U runs. 67 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 3: It's pretty similar, but a lot of RPL, a lot 68 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 3: of play action. So we'll see how that offense looks 69 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 3: against a major step up in quality. The Georgia defense, 70 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 3: I do think is legit and Kirby Smart has owned 71 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:16,320 Speaker 3: Josh Reiffel, who averages close to I think forty points 72 00:04:16,320 --> 00:04:22,479 Speaker 3: per game during his tenure Tennessee against Georgia average two 73 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:26,359 Speaker 3: touchdowns a game that's it never four meetings, has never 74 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:31,599 Speaker 3: crossed the seventeen point mark. The major questions in this 75 00:04:31,640 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 3: game coming in to it are the Georgia offense, Gunner Stockton. 76 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 3: They're not throwing downfield. The downfield passing hasn't been pretty 77 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:42,160 Speaker 3: on the few times they have done it. Is there 78 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:45,840 Speaker 3: something wrong with Staffan? Is there going to be explosiveness here? 79 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,599 Speaker 3: The offensive line has rotated a ton of guys, looks 80 00:04:49,600 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 3: like they'll have their full complement of guys up front, 81 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 3: but there's still questions remain about this offense. And I 82 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 3: think the biggest storyline going into this game. One, it's 83 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:07,039 Speaker 3: twofold about Gunner Stockton. One, how we perform this his 84 00:05:07,040 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 3: first true roadstart right like hostile environment. We've seen quarterbacks 85 00:05:11,080 --> 00:05:15,240 Speaker 3: struggle in that scenario already this year. And two was 86 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 3: Georgia just playing dead. Hey, we're not going to show anything. 87 00:05:18,680 --> 00:05:23,080 Speaker 3: It's typical Kirby Smart Whenever you played Nobody, he does nothing. 88 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 3: You think he's zero to fifteen against the spread. Now, 89 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 3: as a favorite of thirty eight or more, were they 90 00:05:27,839 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 3: just holding everything back? And now you're going to see 91 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,599 Speaker 3: that offense open up with an improved wide receiver corps, 92 00:05:34,120 --> 00:05:36,680 Speaker 3: a lot of storylines, a lot of different ways that 93 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 3: you can attack this What are you seeing here? 94 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 2: There is a way to attack this game. And I 95 00:05:42,960 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: was hoping many people didn't actually see Kirby Smarts presser 96 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 2: because he kind of like let the cat out of 97 00:05:47,680 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 2: the bag about how this game always goes. And I 98 00:05:50,240 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: was thinking to myself early in the week, can you 99 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 2: please allow the first half lines come out before you 100 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 2: give this away to everybody? And you're right, Tennessee's not 101 00:05:57,000 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 2: finished within fourteen points in this series, like since twenty sixteen. 102 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 2: It has just been a complete domination from the Georgia side, 103 00:06:03,520 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 2: and Gunner's stocked and they haven't really had him throw downfield, 104 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 2: so you know that this is going to be short 105 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 2: dumpster Zachariah Branch Colby Young kind of let them create 106 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 2: explosives on the ground and see what that secondary can do. 107 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 2: Covers numbers have been okay for Tennessee, but the bad 108 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:18,880 Speaker 2: thing has been the rush defense so far outside the 109 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 2: top one hundred and success. Right, so you wonder if 110 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 2: Nate Frasier and Chauncey Bones are gonna have a big day. 111 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 2: They're three and a half yards after first contact, so 112 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:28,680 Speaker 2: they're at least above average and what they can do 113 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 2: in creating highlight yards. They've forced ten miss tackles already, 114 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 2: so it's not that. 115 00:06:35,120 --> 00:06:36,960 Speaker 3: Obviously, probably not going to run him a lot against 116 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,360 Speaker 3: the dregs, but you could see his legs. 117 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 2: They've probably held him back just for this, right, because 118 00:06:42,000 --> 00:06:44,280 Speaker 2: we know what Georgia is. I mean, if Kent State's 119 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 2: like within ten points of view at halftime, that's pure 120 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 2: Georgia just playing base offense and defense. You know, Tennessee 121 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 2: they haven't defended the run well, so we'll see that. 122 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:56,360 Speaker 2: I mean from from pressure perspective edge Josh for Josephs, 123 00:06:56,360 --> 00:06:57,920 Speaker 2: he's going to get paid in the NFL Draft. He's 124 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 2: got seven pressures already. So the key is can Georgia 125 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 2: stay in standard downs? Can they keep the chains moving? 126 00:07:04,640 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 2: You know both corners ty Redman and Colton Hood they 127 00:07:06,800 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 2: have two PBUs so we're going to see a real 128 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:11,360 Speaker 2: matchup here. But I do think it's going to be 129 00:07:11,400 --> 00:07:13,440 Speaker 2: ground based. I think the other side of the ball 130 00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 2: is what dictates my play. Joey Aguilar five tds, no interceptions, 131 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 2: no turnover worthy plays, but the A dot is not 132 00:07:19,960 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 2: as deep as like you mentioned, he hasn't really taken 133 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 2: shots downfield white out. Chris Burzel has been unbelievable outside 134 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 2: three point eight yards per route run, so he has 135 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,360 Speaker 2: been the home run threat. And Tennessee's offense so far 136 00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:33,960 Speaker 2: their top twenty success right finishing drives. You'd expect that 137 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,640 Speaker 2: against Syracuse, you expect that against who they've been playing against. 138 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 2: But those are both components. I think we should mention 139 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 2: that this time last year, being top twenty and success 140 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 2: right finishing drives on offense that was not a part 141 00:07:44,440 --> 00:07:47,200 Speaker 2: of the offense last year Underneako, so it's at least 142 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 2: a little bit of improvement considering who they've played. Six 143 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 2: different corners for Georgia have allowed thirteen of twenty one 144 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 2: targets to be caught. I'm a little bit nervous about 145 00:07:56,440 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: the corner position for Georgia. Georgia is about mid fbs 146 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,200 Speaker 2: and havoc. That could be on design because you know 147 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 2: how they do stuck. They like to run four drop 148 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 2: everybody else back. They're not going to show you a 149 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 2: blitz package at this point the season, so I'm not 150 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 2: really worried about that. Here's where the play comes in. 151 00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: This game has had at least thirty points in the 152 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,600 Speaker 2: first half of every season since twenty nineteen. Kirby Smart 153 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 2: came out in the press or on Monday and I 154 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 2: was He's like, tempo is a huge problem in this game. 155 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 2: We get into this game, Hypel's offense hits us. We 156 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:27,600 Speaker 2: can't simulate it in practice. They do all these things 157 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:29,160 Speaker 2: and then it turns into a boat race for a 158 00:08:29,160 --> 00:08:31,920 Speaker 2: while until we settle down in the second half. Immediately 159 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 2: I hit the first half over and you're seeing some money. 160 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,920 Speaker 2: It's kind of bobbled around the full game between forty 161 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 2: nine and fifty. I think this game has a chance 162 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 2: to again, for I don't know what the seventh straight 163 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 2: year go over thirty points, and some of those times 164 00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 2: it's been over forty points. And the reason is because 165 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 2: these players on defense for Georgia just have not seen 166 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 2: this kind of offense and seen this kind of tempo 167 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:58,560 Speaker 2: and seeing this kind of wide split stretch spread that 168 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 2: they're going to see here in this hostile environment. I 169 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 2: fully expect Tennessee to take advantage of that the first quarter, 170 00:09:03,040 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 2: and then George is probably gonna have to go tempo 171 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:07,280 Speaker 2: with Bobo, who doesn't mind airing it out either. So 172 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 2: I'm going first half over in this game. If I 173 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:11,120 Speaker 2: was to take a side, I'd say this number has 174 00:09:11,120 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 2: gone way too far. I make it five. I'm not 175 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:14,600 Speaker 2: sure what you make it, but I make it five. 176 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 2: I think it's gone too far. I think you've seen 177 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 2: some sharp buyback. I haven't seen any threes on the board, 178 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 2: but if it touched that, I wouldn't be surprised if 179 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 2: it just got scooped up and banged out again. But 180 00:09:24,480 --> 00:09:25,600 Speaker 2: I don't know. I think if I had to take 181 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 2: a side, I would definitely take Georgia three and a half, 182 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 2: but I like the first half. 183 00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 3: Over Yeah, I was surprised. I mean I made it 184 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,120 Speaker 3: right around five five and a half. So would lean 185 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 3: Georgia at current I actually like the full game under 186 00:09:38,080 --> 00:09:40,679 Speaker 3: just the way that I see it playing out, Like 187 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 3: just Garby has Pipel's number, especially at fifty plus, I 188 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 3: like the under. I would lean Georgia twenty four to 189 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 3: seventeen twenty seven twenty Georgia win. That's my prediction. We're 190 00:09:53,600 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 3: going to learn a lot about both teams. Let's stay 191 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:16,960 Speaker 3: in the SEC with Texas A and M who's going 192 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:19,880 Speaker 3: to travel up to South Bend to take on Notre Dame. 193 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:23,840 Speaker 3: Pretty good spot situationally for Notre Dame coming off an 194 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 3: opening season loss to able bye week. Marcus Freeman has 195 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 3: been fantastic off of five weeks. I think he's six 196 00:10:30,520 --> 00:10:32,839 Speaker 3: to zero against the spread with extra rest, so it's 197 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 3: like season openers whenever there's like twelve or more days 198 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:38,560 Speaker 3: of rest. I think he's twelve and one against the spread. 199 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 3: Although he did lose this week or this year against Miami, 200 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 3: Texas A and M on the road not coming off 201 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 3: of a bye, they've their offense looked pretty good defense, 202 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 3: still has some question marks, and I don't know if 203 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:58,560 Speaker 3: we've seen those answered against inferior competition. There's been some 204 00:10:58,679 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 3: holes on that on that side of the ball. So 205 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:04,679 Speaker 3: looks Notre Dame is six and a half point favorite here. 206 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 3: Total just ticked up to fifty and a half. It 207 00:11:12,200 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 3: is a huge game for both teams. So Notre Dame. 208 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,720 Speaker 3: You lose this, you're zero and two, your scheduling gets 209 00:11:17,800 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 3: really soft, like the USC game might be your only 210 00:11:21,360 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 3: ranked game left. So even if you run the table, 211 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:28,720 Speaker 3: maybe you get the benefit of the doubt as the 212 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:32,600 Speaker 3: Notre Dame brand name. But college football Playoff then becomes 213 00:11:32,800 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 3: a major question mark. Texas A and M it's not 214 00:11:35,960 --> 00:11:39,240 Speaker 3: as urgent, but you look at their schedule, you want 215 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 3: to get one of those at larges. This win would 216 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:46,319 Speaker 3: go a long way in helping Texas A and M's case. 217 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 3: Got in my head I'd link Texas A and M 218 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:51,920 Speaker 3: with the points, especially at seven. But I do respect 219 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 3: Notre Dame. In the spot, Car got his feet, he 220 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 3: got his feet under him, look better as that game 221 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 3: went on. I do expect them, and I don't mind 222 00:11:59,920 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 3: the over here kind of a sneaky over like Elko 223 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 3: is gonna play like his I'm curiously what he has 224 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 3: up his sleeve, but he's gonna play like his shell coverages. 225 00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,520 Speaker 3: Try to take away the explosive. It looks like their 226 00:12:11,600 --> 00:12:15,520 Speaker 3: run defense has some issues. Well, Notre Dame, if you're 227 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:19,120 Speaker 3: gonna have Jeremiah Love, this is the game you unleash him. 228 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 3: This is the game you give them the ball. They 229 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 3: would he only had like ten ten to twelve carries 230 00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 3: against Miami. You're talking about load management, Well, get up 231 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,599 Speaker 3: bye week. This is your hardest game remaining in a 232 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 3: basically a must win. Unleash him. I think there'll be 233 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,839 Speaker 3: some explosive runs, and I think that Texas A and 234 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:38,760 Speaker 3: M offensive line can went up front and text An 235 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 3: M will be moved the ball can what will the 236 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 3: text am passing game? Do you trust Marcel Reid these 237 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 3: new receivers, we haven't seen it against quality competition. Can 238 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 3: they do enough through the air. I think there's there's 239 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,440 Speaker 3: the opportunity for some points on the board here. So 240 00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:57,520 Speaker 3: my first look is over and I would take aim 241 00:12:57,520 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 3: at the points. But I respect Freeman in the Notre 242 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:10,120 Speaker 3: Dame spot what he's saying here. Wish guy's a smiley. 243 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 2: Com I loved it so much. I hit both over 244 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:18,719 Speaker 2: and the first half over like I loved it that much. 245 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 2: Early this week, I'll start on tys A and M 246 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,199 Speaker 2: side with offense like Marcel Reid and left tackle Tray Zoo. 247 00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 2: They're gonna be healthy, They're gonna be fine. There there 248 00:13:26,000 --> 00:13:27,839 Speaker 2: was you know, them coming out of the game a 249 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:29,640 Speaker 2: little bit banged up, and Elko said they're fine and 250 00:13:29,640 --> 00:13:32,680 Speaker 2: they're practicing. This week, Reid has looked like a completely 251 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 2: different person. But I would expect that considering he's being 252 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:37,640 Speaker 2: protected a little bit more maturity, plus the weapons that 253 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: he has now that are not hurt. Also seven tds, 254 00:13:40,800 --> 00:13:43,400 Speaker 2: no I n ts, no turnover worthy plays. He has 255 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:47,120 Speaker 2: shaved his release time, his pressure to sack ratio has 256 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,440 Speaker 2: been cutting half down to seven percent. He is playing 257 00:13:49,480 --> 00:13:51,640 Speaker 2: at a much higher level than he did last year. 258 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 3: Levion mosc the competition has been the greatest based. 259 00:13:56,679 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 2: True, but you know, I mean, the numbers are at 260 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 2: this point the season they were last year. Levion Musk 261 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:05,199 Speaker 2: got his first TV, so the running game is looking 262 00:14:05,200 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 2: like it's getting better. Worry about his injury lingering into 263 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 2: this season. He's four and a half yards after first 264 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 2: contact that's what you want to see his highlight yards 265 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:14,600 Speaker 2: when you suffer an injury like he does. But the 266 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 2: difference in this team. Everybody wants to talk about Mario 267 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 2: Kraber from Mississippi State coming in, and he does have 268 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 2: unbelievable yards per route run numbers out there, but that 269 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 2: is not the reason why the day after the national 270 00:14:25,680 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 2: title game, I rode up Texas A and M fifty 271 00:14:27,800 --> 00:14:30,080 Speaker 2: to one to win the national title. Not saying they're 272 00:14:30,080 --> 00:14:31,680 Speaker 2: gonna win the national title, but at fifty to one, 273 00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:33,720 Speaker 2: I thought it was ridiculous because of the addition of 274 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 2: Casey CONCEPTSIO. I saw Casey CONCEPTSIO and just completely turn 275 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 2: in C State games up on top of their head 276 00:14:39,680 --> 00:14:42,120 Speaker 2: because of what he does when he slices over the middle. 277 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,160 Speaker 2: His yards per route run right now, we're around two 278 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:47,800 Speaker 2: point five, so it doesn't matter. I'm telling you, he 279 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:49,800 Speaker 2: is one of the best in the nation. Lining up 280 00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 2: in the slot going on a slant and good luck 281 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:54,240 Speaker 2: after he gets the ball trying to take this guy 282 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 2: down to the ground. He's had thirteen targets this season, 283 00:14:56,880 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 2: ten of them have been between the hash marks. Why 284 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 2: is this so important? Let's just think about this for 285 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 2: a second, what is the best part of Notre Dame's defense? 286 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 2: Shut down corners Christian Gray and Leonard Moore, they hang 287 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 2: out on the sides. These are National Championship playing corners. 288 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 2: That is not where Casey Conceptsione is lying up. He's 289 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:15,800 Speaker 2: going directly over the middle. If you look at Notre 290 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:19,080 Speaker 2: Dame's defense, they were pretty horrific against Carson Beck and 291 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 2: a slew of wide receivers. But where did Carson Beck 292 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 2: attack Notre Dame? Straight over the middle? Malachai Tony caught 293 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:28,920 Speaker 2: all his balls over the middle directly eleven targets in 294 00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:32,000 Speaker 2: between the hashes for Malachai Tony. That's where Notre Dame 295 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 2: got chewed up. That's exactly where Casey concepsion is going 296 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 2: to be. I think Texas A and M is going 297 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 2: to score their fair share of points. Can they win 298 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:41,880 Speaker 2: this game? I do think the numbers a little bit 299 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 2: too high, But CJ. Carr, Jemiah Love, J, Darien Price, 300 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 2: I think they're gonna have their way with this Texas 301 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:49,800 Speaker 2: A and M defense. I am not liking what I'm 302 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 2: seeing here. They're outside the top one hundred and tackling. 303 00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 2: They're outside the top one hundred defensive finishing drives. The 304 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: Aggies have already missed twenty two tackles this season. Now 305 00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 2: that's fundamentals, and ELK can get that fixed. They can 306 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:04,960 Speaker 2: fix the tackling, but they're just not stiff when possessions 307 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 2: have gotten past the forty yard line. When I say 308 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:10,360 Speaker 2: that these listen to these offenses. Utah State and UTSA 309 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 2: have had eight possessions across the Aggie's forty yard line. 310 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 2: They've averaged four point three points per trip. That's a lot. 311 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 2: Robert Henry Junior of UTSA average eleven yards per carry 312 00:16:21,360 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 2: on sixteen attempts against this Texas A. And I would 313 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:25,800 Speaker 2: love to say the Texas A and defense is going 314 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 2: to step up against Jeremiah Love Daring Price and what C. J. 315 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 2: Car Gon do with his legs. But if Robert Henry 316 00:16:31,480 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 2: if UTSA is running eleven yards per carry on sixteen 317 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 2: attempts over first half, over over over, if Taxanam can 318 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 2: play any looking defense here, whatsoever, I would say casey 319 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:43,560 Speaker 2: concepcion is the difference in the Aggies win. But I 320 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 2: just don't have that much faith in the tax Aan 321 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 2: and defense. 322 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:48,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, we'll see if Elko can fix it over the 323 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,000 Speaker 3: course of the year. But there's there's definitely still some 324 00:16:51,120 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 3: holes on that side of the ball. The Notre Dame defense, 325 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:56,240 Speaker 3: like I mean, lost one of the best defensive coordinators. 326 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 3: They're playing a bit different schematically, at least through one game. 327 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:01,960 Speaker 3: So curious to see what they do on that side 328 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:03,880 Speaker 3: of the ball. But that should be a good one 329 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 3: and it will definitely have college wall playoff implications. All right, 330 00:17:08,640 --> 00:17:12,800 Speaker 3: let's go back to an all SEC matchup Florida at LSU. 331 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:18,360 Speaker 3: LSU a seven and a half point favorite total sitting 332 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:23,840 Speaker 3: at forty seven and a half, Ladies and gentlemen, the 333 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 3: sun will find gets home in the western sky and 334 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:29,600 Speaker 3: it will be Saturday night. 335 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 2: In depth, Relly, I played Florida. 336 00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:35,159 Speaker 3: I love Florida. 337 00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:35,960 Speaker 2: Here I'm a. 338 00:17:35,880 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 3: Buyer of LSU against your team. Yep, I'm a buyer 339 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:43,119 Speaker 3: of LSU. But what do we get every week data points? 340 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:47,440 Speaker 3: Maybe that week one matchup was just about how bad 341 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:50,359 Speaker 3: Clemson was and they might be even worse than I thought. 342 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:52,200 Speaker 2: You take a shot on them, and we haven't even 343 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:54,240 Speaker 2: gotten to him yet. You're already taking a shot on Dabo. 344 00:17:54,680 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 3: Is this a bad year? 345 00:17:56,160 --> 00:17:59,160 Speaker 2: Is this a yeah? And this is my responsibility, take 346 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,119 Speaker 2: on responsibility for it. 347 00:18:01,320 --> 00:18:04,720 Speaker 3: And once again they're getting bet against all week in 348 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 3: the market. Look like you watch that game against La 349 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,480 Speaker 3: Tech last week. It wasn't great. From an offensive line standpoint. 350 00:18:11,560 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 3: They might be without their center, Brayler Moore. That's massive 351 00:18:14,359 --> 00:18:17,240 Speaker 3: because if he can't go, DJ Chester, who is not 352 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 3: an SEC caliber center, will have to go. And who 353 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 3: is Florida getting back? Caleb Banks on the defensive line. 354 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 3: They need him desperately. He can wreck havoc on this 355 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 3: game up the middle. Nus Meyer's not be able to 356 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 3: use his legs. That interior pressure I think can cause 357 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 3: some problems for LSU. The run game isn't quite there yet, 358 00:18:38,359 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 3: and it's not like nuss Meyer has been spectacular the defense. 359 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,920 Speaker 3: LSU's defense is significantly improved. I like Baker, you don't, 360 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 3: but they're probably gonna be aggressive here. I think Glagway 361 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,639 Speaker 3: can take advantage hit some explosive passes. That's his biggest strength. 362 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 3: I'm just buying the seven and a half here. I look, 363 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,239 Speaker 3: Florida lost that game last week. I think they were 364 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:04,480 Speaker 3: partly looking ahead. This week. They looked unfocused. They also 365 00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 3: had injuries during camp, so I think like as the 366 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,639 Speaker 3: With each passing week, lagway that offense will start to 367 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 3: look better. They need Wilson back, but I don't think 368 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 3: the Dallas was don't think they're gonna get him back here. 369 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 3: But Banks being back is huge. LSU center being out 370 00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:23,240 Speaker 3: potentially huge trade as Green out that'll hurt in the 371 00:19:23,280 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 3: red zone. I think this will just be And look, 372 00:19:27,160 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 3: everyone's talking about Billy Napier, Billion Naper. He's gone to 373 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,120 Speaker 3: his credit, well first to his detriment. They've had these 374 00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 3: games in the beginning of the seasons like disasters every year. 375 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,840 Speaker 3: I'm really Utah game. They looked off. They've found a 376 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,359 Speaker 3: way to bounce back, and Napier has thrived as a 377 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:46,679 Speaker 3: dog twenty six and twelve against the spread as an 378 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,639 Speaker 3: underdog sixty eight and a half percent, covering by a 379 00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 3: touchdown per game, twelve and five against the spread when 380 00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 3: catching over a touchdown thirteen and six overall, is an 381 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:02,720 Speaker 3: underdog against SEC team he thries in this role. Think 382 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 3: this will be a lower scoring game, and many might 383 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:09,800 Speaker 3: think points at a premium makes that seven and a 384 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 3: half look a little bit more juicy. So yeah, I think 385 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,959 Speaker 3: LSU I still love their potential, their upside and by 386 00:20:16,960 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 3: the way, this season is so wide open. Like usually 387 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:20,680 Speaker 3: it's like you gotta tell me one of three or 388 00:20:20,720 --> 00:20:22,920 Speaker 3: four teams that will win it all. Now you could 389 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 3: tell me like eight, one of eight. And it's because 390 00:20:25,800 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 3: of all the quarterback I'm certain, and all the teams 391 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:31,479 Speaker 3: with young quarterbacks and unproven quarterbacks. LSU at least has that, 392 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 3: but their offensive line, the run game, some of the injuries. 393 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:37,080 Speaker 3: I think this game is close. I'm buying law in 394 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,879 Speaker 3: Florida to keep this close. In Death Valley, what say you? 395 00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:42,480 Speaker 2: You gotta put it on the board. I agree with you, 396 00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 2: all right. 397 00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:46,199 Speaker 3: On board? All right, agreed. Tab By the way, we 398 00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 3: are two and two on the year, thirty seven twenty 399 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 3: six and one overall our first agree, your boy, Billy 400 00:20:57,960 --> 00:20:59,920 Speaker 3: Napier plus seven and a half. What are you saying, 401 00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 3: scared money? Don't make money? You know? 402 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:05,439 Speaker 2: Really where you want to start is what happened to 403 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 2: this offense last week? When you look at this offensive performance, 404 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,880 Speaker 2: I really wanted to go deep into the box score 405 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:13,560 Speaker 2: and say, what is going on here? So really the 406 00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 2: problem was all on the defensive side, wasn't the offensive side? 407 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,440 Speaker 2: Five of the ten drives had at least two plus 408 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,480 Speaker 2: first downs, two methodical drives, which means ten plays in 409 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 2: the drive and at least five point six yards per play. 410 00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:27,159 Speaker 2: There was nothing wrong with the offense. I mean the 411 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,920 Speaker 2: drive log. Look at it. Field goal, field goal, field goal, punt, 412 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:33,520 Speaker 2: I int punt, safety, touchdown, punt, punt like three field 413 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,399 Speaker 2: goals to start off the game. I mean, you're that 414 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 2: close to making this have margin against South Florida Jaydon 415 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:44,920 Speaker 2: Bawd now averaging five yards after first contact, seventeen misstackles 416 00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:47,920 Speaker 2: forced on twenty seven attempts. That is, that's a crazy 417 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:51,480 Speaker 2: high number. Florida's defense never stuffed the run against the Bulls. 418 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,560 Speaker 2: They allowed more than six yards per play. That has 419 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,879 Speaker 2: got to get fixed. They weren't get any pressure. They 420 00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: haven't got any pressure this year. I will say the 421 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,880 Speaker 2: right tax situation. The young k he did look better 422 00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,880 Speaker 2: last week, which gives me a little bit more confidence. 423 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 3: But Banks being back will help with the pressure on 424 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 3: the defensive line. He's the best player up there well. 425 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:10,600 Speaker 2: And then south Ford has an eight play eighty seven 426 00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 2: yard drive at the end for a grammatica field goal kick. 427 00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 2: I mean Florida also had eleven penalties. 428 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:19,199 Speaker 3: I mean, member sloppy that we're ready. 429 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 2: A couple of those two things change, we have a 430 00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,080 Speaker 2: completely different narrative about the Gators here. Canellos use rush 431 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 2: offense take advantage of that? I don't think that they can. 432 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,600 Speaker 2: I mean their rush offense right now is bottom fifteen 433 00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 2: is success right, They're bottom fifteen in line yards, which 434 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:34,639 Speaker 2: I'm shocked because after I saw Cayden Durham week one 435 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 2: against Clemson, I thought this was going to be all world. 436 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:39,480 Speaker 2: Then he has thirteen rushing attempts. There's really not a 437 00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:41,080 Speaker 2: lot of flashiness in any of the numbers that he 438 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,360 Speaker 2: put up against La Tech. Garrett Nusmeyer already has three 439 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,920 Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays this season. I'm a little bit shocked 440 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 2: by that he has as many big time throws as 441 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 2: turnover worthy plays. None of them came on Blitz. That's 442 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 2: where I couldn't believe when I got into the numbers, 443 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,879 Speaker 2: is like nuss Meyer's made these three mistakes, none of 444 00:22:56,880 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 2: them came against Blitz. I also took under first half under. 445 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 2: I think if you can get twenty four, they's super 446 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 2: slow offenses, like what twenty nine point eight seconds per play? 447 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 2: Thirty point six Lis was really struggling in the red zone. 448 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 2: Just four of their eight trips have resulted in a TD. 449 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 2: They're averaging two point eight points for every possession that 450 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 2: crosses a forty yard line Elisie's offense. And you mentioned 451 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:23,000 Speaker 2: the injuries, especially the center. You know, Brayln Moore might 452 00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 2: not be in this with his ankle spring. I'm on 453 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:26,800 Speaker 2: the board. We're on the board for Florida. I'm gonna 454 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 2: bet it now there one of the seven halves has disappeared. 455 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,320 Speaker 2: There's still like three more out there as we're podcasting. 456 00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna hit it right now, and you and 457 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 2: now be in agreements. 458 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 3: All right? Yeah, USF Miami. I hate to do this 459 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:49,679 Speaker 3: to my bulls. I laid it with Miami. Still go 460 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:51,159 Speaker 3: the way at seventeen and a half. I think this 461 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:53,399 Speaker 3: sets up to be a blowout. Yeah, is it a 462 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 3: horrible spot? Like just they come on us that's coming 463 00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 3: off two ranked wins. Miami's coming off the by Miami 464 00:23:59,119 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 3: also won't be over looked them. They just beat Florida. 465 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,480 Speaker 3: You know other team. Now, I get Chris Ball could 466 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,240 Speaker 3: screw this up, and he's been horrible. Chris Ball has 467 00:24:07,280 --> 00:24:11,439 Speaker 3: been horrible as a big favorite. It's a favorite of 468 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 3: more than two touchdowns eleven and nineteen against the spread, 469 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,640 Speaker 3: but one of his wins came last year against USF 470 00:24:17,359 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 3: when they won fifty to fifteen. So like us US 471 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,879 Speaker 3: has already done their job. They've won two ranked games. 472 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 3: All they have to do is basically go ten and two. 473 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,680 Speaker 3: They could lose this game, and they could lose another 474 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:29,880 Speaker 3: game and win the American. They're gonna be the group 475 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:32,040 Speaker 3: of five, like no one else getting in over them 476 00:24:32,119 --> 00:24:33,919 Speaker 3: with the hardest non conference schedule in the country. If 477 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 3: they're ten and two and they win the American. 478 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:35,679 Speaker 2: They're in. 479 00:24:36,040 --> 00:24:38,520 Speaker 3: So they already on their job. What does that mean here, Well, 480 00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:42,959 Speaker 3: maybe you don't run Brown as much like that. That's possible, 481 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:44,919 Speaker 3: especially if you're behind, like you just got to keep 482 00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 3: him healthy. They also just could run out of gas, 483 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:49,000 Speaker 3: which I think is what happens here. Mine's gonna be 484 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:53,840 Speaker 3: much pressure from a matchup perspective. Also, Goalish plays to 485 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:56,680 Speaker 3: win these games. He doesn't say like I'm gonna try 486 00:24:56,720 --> 00:25:00,160 Speaker 3: to just keep it respectable. They're gonna go fast, are 487 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,240 Speaker 3: gonna try to win. They're gonna be aggressive. And what 488 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:04,199 Speaker 3: does that mean though, Like if it's not hitting, if 489 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 3: they're wearing down like you could have quick three and 490 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:07,639 Speaker 3: outs and then and then it just snowballs and can 491 00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:11,160 Speaker 3: get ugly. And from a matchup perspective, Miami's gonna handle. 492 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 3: Miami's offensive line is gonna handle USF. And I think 493 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 3: Miami can move the ball however they want. On the 494 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,719 Speaker 3: other side of the ball, USF they lost a lot 495 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:23,639 Speaker 3: of backs, so their running game without Brown is just 496 00:25:23,720 --> 00:25:25,840 Speaker 3: not the same as it was last year. Now, Brown 497 00:25:25,880 --> 00:25:28,639 Speaker 3: has been amazing. Their passing offenses are lied on a 498 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 3: ton of explosives. I mean, look, go look at their 499 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,800 Speaker 3: just their sick down to down success right against Boise. 500 00:25:34,760 --> 00:25:38,200 Speaker 3: I don't think that they're gonna be able to block Miami, 501 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 3: and I don't think they're gonna be able to run consistently. 502 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,720 Speaker 3: What does that mean. We're gonna set up There's gonna 503 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:45,880 Speaker 3: be a lot of third and lungs, and Miami doesn't 504 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 3: need the blitz. Miami's dns are just gonna win on 505 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,919 Speaker 3: the outside. Brown will still make some plays, but Miami 506 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:55,720 Speaker 3: can just play coverage in the back prevent these explosive plays, 507 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 3: and they're gonna get some sacks and kill drives, and 508 00:25:58,320 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 3: there's gonna be some three and outs, and I think this. 509 00:26:00,000 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 3: I think it's snowball quickly. So it's just a horrible spot. 510 00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,320 Speaker 3: I'm back in Mario for the second time this year. 511 00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:09,439 Speaker 3: I hate it, but I'm on Miami. 512 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:12,840 Speaker 2: We can yell spot, spot spot. But I got some 513 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,960 Speaker 2: stuff to back it up to say that Miami's probably 514 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 2: needs a little bit of consideration for national title. I 515 00:26:18,280 --> 00:26:22,160 Speaker 2: can't believe that just came out of my mouth. Wow, 516 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:27,879 Speaker 2: the Hurricanes. The Hurricanes missed three tackles against Pethune Cookman. 517 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:29,840 Speaker 2: I get it, it's Pathune Cookman, but it's only they 518 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,960 Speaker 2: missed three tackles. How mean did they miss against Notre 519 00:26:33,040 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 2: Dame that has a rushing attack of Jeremiah Love, Jadariing 520 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 2: Price and CJ. Carr a very nimble CJ. Card In 521 00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:40,600 Speaker 2: the second half, that was just jukeing and dodging. They 522 00:26:40,600 --> 00:26:45,520 Speaker 2: missed seven tackles. Miami is playing under under Corey Heatherman. 523 00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 2: They are playing so much better defense. They are so 524 00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:52,960 Speaker 2: much more buttoned up right now, you know, their penalties 525 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 2: are just like seventy first. Usually they're dead last. There 526 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,199 Speaker 2: are so many their eighteenth and defensive rush EPA not 527 00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,199 Speaker 2: missing tackles. They're tackling at the second level, and I 528 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 2: hadn't even gotten into what Carson Beck is doing with 529 00:27:05,119 --> 00:27:07,119 Speaker 2: some of these weapons that they have. Forget the offense. 530 00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,600 Speaker 2: The offense is fine, but what I look for with 531 00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:13,000 Speaker 2: Miami every year is fundamentals on defense to get them 532 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 2: in trouble. Stupid penalties, misstackles, second level mistakes and coverage. 533 00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:21,280 Speaker 2: Haven't seen it from them at all, and I think 534 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 2: they need serious consideration for what they're going to do 535 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 2: on the outside of the outside of the acc We 536 00:27:26,640 --> 00:27:28,040 Speaker 2: can talk about that another day because this is just 537 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,400 Speaker 2: a bad spot for South Florida. But if they get 538 00:27:31,080 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 2: Byron Brown, well, so my bet. Officially, I have my 539 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:37,600 Speaker 2: money down to Miami first quarter. Why because South Florida 540 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,000 Speaker 2: has not scored in the first quarter yet. Right despite 541 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,480 Speaker 2: these wins against Boise in Florida, they didn't score in 542 00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 2: the first quarter. They've come out pretty slow, and South 543 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,800 Speaker 2: Florida's only scored one touchdown in the first half of 544 00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,560 Speaker 2: each game. I think Miami first quarter, Miami first half, 545 00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:52,840 Speaker 2: Miami full game. However you want to play it, if 546 00:27:52,840 --> 00:27:54,360 Speaker 2: you want to put it on the board of agreements, 547 00:27:54,359 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 2: we can. I think you know you put it on that. 548 00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,359 Speaker 3: Yeah, I just this is I also think that I 549 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,400 Speaker 3: don't hate that. I don't hate the first early plays. Yeah, 550 00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 3: but I also think there's a chance that South Fard 551 00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:10,640 Speaker 3: eventually wears down and then this gets slip even slippier late. 552 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:14,679 Speaker 3: All right, lastly, for the last market game, another SEC 553 00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:18,120 Speaker 3: BAL great day in the SEC Bandy, South Carolina Bandy 554 00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 3: on the road again after dominating Virginia Tech. Give me 555 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 3: the points. I think Bandy might be the better team. 556 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:28,440 Speaker 3: To be honest, I don't think that there's much separating 557 00:28:28,480 --> 00:28:31,919 Speaker 3: these teams. We're looking for data points early in the season. 558 00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 3: And by the way, Diego Diego, Diego Diego eating two 559 00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:41,960 Speaker 3: against the spread as an underdog at Vanderbilt four to 560 00:28:42,080 --> 00:28:44,120 Speaker 3: zero against the spread on the road five of those 561 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,960 Speaker 3: ten out right upsets. We want data points during the year. 562 00:28:47,160 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 3: What other data points do you want? Then, these two 563 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 3: teams played the same team already. They played Virginia Tech. 564 00:28:53,480 --> 00:28:56,040 Speaker 3: Virginia Tech and South Rolina basically played to a stalemate. 565 00:28:57,280 --> 00:28:59,600 Speaker 3: At Virginia Tech had more yards. The yards per play 566 00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,680 Speaker 3: were baseven. The difference was a punt return because of 567 00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:07,760 Speaker 3: an illegal formation. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt went and that was on 568 00:29:07,800 --> 00:29:10,720 Speaker 3: a neutral fiel. Vanderbilt went into Blacksburg, and I know 569 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 3: that there was some offensive line injuries, but they dominated. 570 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 3: The total yards was four ninety to two forty eight. 571 00:29:16,360 --> 00:29:19,680 Speaker 3: They averaged eight point six yards per play to four 572 00:29:19,720 --> 00:29:23,400 Speaker 3: point one for Virginia Tech. Like I said, South Carona 573 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 3: actually got outgained by Virginia Tech, even with like a 574 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:28,840 Speaker 3: late eighty yard touchdown three thirty six to three twenty eight. Okay, well, 575 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 3: let's look at what the South Carolina did last week. 576 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 3: They played South Carolina State forty two and a half 577 00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:37,960 Speaker 3: point favorite. South Carolina State outgained them. The yards per 578 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,040 Speaker 3: play were four point four to four point four. The 579 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 3: South ground team is not good. Sellers is eleven and 580 00:29:41,960 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 3: nineteen or underd and twenty yards. They have no run game. 581 00:29:44,160 --> 00:29:46,160 Speaker 3: The running backs skit. Their offensive line is bad. The 582 00:29:46,240 --> 00:29:48,720 Speaker 3: receivers don't really scare anyone man. Maybe Harbor will break 583 00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:51,040 Speaker 3: on every once in a while. Their defense is way down, 584 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 3: and there's defensive injuries dealing with a bunch of injuries 585 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,240 Speaker 3: on that side of the ball. I trust Hobby and 586 00:29:57,240 --> 00:30:01,680 Speaker 3: the Vanderbilt offense more h This South Carolina team, I 587 00:30:01,720 --> 00:30:05,040 Speaker 3: think is in trouble. I'll take the points. I respect 588 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:07,000 Speaker 3: the home field advantage at night in this big game. 589 00:30:07,720 --> 00:30:10,480 Speaker 3: These two teams are chirping. It's gonna be fun to watch. 590 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 3: But Diego, Diego in the points. 591 00:30:13,960 --> 00:30:16,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, don't forget to mention this psychi e Cedric Alexander, 592 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:18,920 Speaker 2: who's five point one yards after first contact. That is 593 00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,560 Speaker 2: that's some highlight yards right there. I think I went 594 00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:23,680 Speaker 2: a little bit deeper on this game because I love Vanderbilt. 595 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 3: Two. 596 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 2: We can put it on the board. There's a four 597 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,440 Speaker 2: out there. They're starting to disappear. I wouldn't be surprised 598 00:30:27,440 --> 00:30:29,560 Speaker 2: as closes three by the time we get to Saturday show. 599 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:31,640 Speaker 3: I think it's a four and a half still out there, 600 00:30:31,840 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 3: is there? 601 00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:34,280 Speaker 2: Yeah? I just bought four while you were talking, and 602 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:35,560 Speaker 2: I should have been on this earlier. 603 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 3: No, it's going I'll put four. 604 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 2: Okay, So listen real quick. 605 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,000 Speaker 3: That's fine too in my opinion. 606 00:30:42,160 --> 00:30:44,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, well we'll at the end of the show. I'll 607 00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:45,880 Speaker 2: tell you why I think three and a half three, 608 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,360 Speaker 2: two and a half two is good. But listen, run 609 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:51,240 Speaker 2: concept Wise, we know with Diego and Cedric Alexander running, 610 00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,080 Speaker 2: it's man in power this year there's been a little 611 00:30:53,080 --> 00:30:54,800 Speaker 2: bit of an increase in inside zone. But you go 612 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:57,480 Speaker 2: to South Carolina's d there's seventy first in the line 613 00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,920 Speaker 2: yards right now, they are not controlling the line of scrimmaging. 614 00:31:00,040 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 2: You've talked about the competition that they just faced. They 615 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,560 Speaker 2: have a low thirty six percent success rate against man 616 00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 2: and power run concepts. That's exactly what Vanderbilt is going 617 00:31:08,640 --> 00:31:11,160 Speaker 2: to shove down their throat. You mentioned the yard per 618 00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:12,920 Speaker 2: played difference with South Carolina State. 619 00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 3: Look at the difference between what those two teams did 620 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:15,800 Speaker 3: versus Bottack. 621 00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:17,920 Speaker 2: I caught a bunch of shit in the preseason pod 622 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:21,280 Speaker 2: for saying that Leonora Seller has lost all the beef 623 00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,480 Speaker 2: around him. Oscar Adaway is a leading rusher on the team. 624 00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:27,160 Speaker 2: He's forced just five missed tackles. That's it. Vanderbilt has 625 00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 2: already created fifteen tackles for loss. They're gonna be Vanderbilt 626 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,239 Speaker 2: is gonna behind the line of scrimmage all day. 627 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 3: Yeah. I've liked what I've seen from that front on Vandy. 628 00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:38,240 Speaker 3: I like Dandy. He put it on the board. All right, 629 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,200 Speaker 3: let's move on to the rundown. We'll hit a bunch 630 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,160 Speaker 3: of games quickly. Wisconsin at Alabama. 631 00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,719 Speaker 2: Incidentally, don't ask me. I told you everything. I know, 632 00:31:46,920 --> 00:31:48,600 Speaker 2: I don't have anything else to say about it. 633 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 3: With Balabama twenty and a half point favorite total forty 634 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 3: five and a half forty six and alf did you. 635 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,480 Speaker 2: Get a Billy Edwards update today? I couldn't get one. 636 00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:58,440 Speaker 3: He's out. Billy Edwards is out, so you're gonna get 637 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:02,160 Speaker 3: Danny O'Neil. There's center Jake renfro also might be out. 638 00:32:02,200 --> 00:32:05,400 Speaker 3: That's worth watching. Alabama looks like they're gonna be healthier 639 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 3: and here this game, Brian Williams, Wisconsin does have a 640 00:32:08,680 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 3: really good corner, but they might attack the other corner 641 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,480 Speaker 3: as a freshman. But I believe in this Wisconsin defense. 642 00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 3: I do think it's legit this year. I do think 643 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,800 Speaker 3: they improved the defensive front. Still not fully sold on 644 00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,000 Speaker 3: the Alabama offense despite what they did to poor little 645 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,400 Speaker 3: ul Monroe last week. And I'm gonna tell you what, 646 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,040 Speaker 3: if I had a barometer up here to say whether 647 00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 3: you were give an effort or not, it was about 648 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,960 Speaker 3: fifty percent. Why did you push yourself that? I don't 649 00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 3: know how this Wisconsin offense is going to do much 650 00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:36,320 Speaker 3: against the Alabama defense with Danny O'Neill and their center 651 00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,720 Speaker 3: might be out, which I think is big and worth watching. Like, 652 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 3: this isn't the type offense it gives Alabama problems. 653 00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:45,160 Speaker 2: It's going to be difficult at a high level. What 654 00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:46,400 Speaker 2: does it take to break you? 655 00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:49,400 Speaker 3: So my first look is under, I do think like 656 00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,720 Speaker 3: if this gets over twenty one, I might look at Wisconsin. 657 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 3: I wouldn't love it. I don't love I don't think 658 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:56,880 Speaker 3: Danie O'Neil is gonna have much success, but I do 659 00:32:56,920 --> 00:32:58,800 Speaker 3: think it's gonna be lower scoring. So like and I 660 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 3: believe in the wiscons d so at over three touchdowns, 661 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 3: what you might get, You're probably gonna get a bunch 662 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 3: of you know, maybe public money and maybe there's not 663 00:33:07,480 --> 00:33:11,040 Speaker 3: any real buyback on Wisconsin after the injury news at 664 00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 3: twenty over twenty one, I'll i'd look at Wisconsin lean 665 00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:15,000 Speaker 3: under do you see anything there? 666 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:16,960 Speaker 2: Yeah? Actually I was gonna wait till this podcast, and 667 00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:18,760 Speaker 2: there's still twenty fours out there. I thought this was 668 00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:20,880 Speaker 2: a first half under all game for a lot of 669 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:22,960 Speaker 2: things that you mentioned, with the Wisconsin injuries and what's 670 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:24,320 Speaker 2: going on that side of the ball, I'm not sure 671 00:33:24,320 --> 00:33:25,920 Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to score their amount of points. 672 00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,360 Speaker 2: But without jam Miller for Bama, and they want to 673 00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 2: try to run the ball. You're not getting a lot 674 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 2: out of Richard Young, and he might. 675 00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,080 Speaker 3: Be back that's he's a game time decision. 676 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:36,800 Speaker 2: Well then that will make That will probably be my 677 00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:38,480 Speaker 2: decision whether I play a first half under or not, 678 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 2: because Richard Young and the rest of the rest of 679 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:44,480 Speaker 2: the running backs are just not producing any numbers for 680 00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:48,240 Speaker 2: Alabama out of the backfield whatsoever. So and then you 681 00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:50,720 Speaker 2: look at Wisconsin like Dylan Jones and Darien Duprie, like 682 00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:53,600 Speaker 2: they've failed to create a fifteen yard run against Middle 683 00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:56,440 Speaker 2: Tennessee and Miami of Ohio, your two top running backs 684 00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,040 Speaker 2: for Wisconsin with Jeff Grimes has not produced a fifteen 685 00:33:59,080 --> 00:34:03,200 Speaker 2: yard run. If you're under, if Jam's not playing, I. 686 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:04,800 Speaker 3: Just want to say, you guys keep talking about a 687 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:07,040 Speaker 3: twenty million dollar roster if you don't play the right 688 00:34:07,080 --> 00:34:10,800 Speaker 3: guys out of Luck Latham, Jam Miller. Tim Keenan is 689 00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:12,719 Speaker 3: also another big one. I want to see if he's 690 00:34:12,760 --> 00:34:14,720 Speaker 3: in there. There are all game time decisions for Alabama, 691 00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:16,520 Speaker 3: and then the centers who you're watching, and it looks 692 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,320 Speaker 3: like it's not gonna be Billy Edwards. It's gonna be 693 00:34:19,360 --> 00:34:19,880 Speaker 3: Danny O'Neil. 694 00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:21,920 Speaker 2: How have you not created a fifteen yeard running It's 695 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:23,920 Speaker 2: Middle Tennessee in Miami, Ohio. 696 00:34:24,680 --> 00:34:27,319 Speaker 3: Seems impossible. I'll share my quick thoughts on this one. 697 00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:30,319 Speaker 3: UL at Missouri, this is all your duel has looked 698 00:34:30,360 --> 00:34:32,600 Speaker 3: pretty good. I got to take on this game. I 699 00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:37,240 Speaker 3: don't think ULL scoring, So there's a couple weird bets 700 00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:40,000 Speaker 3: that I'm looking at for this game. I like UL 701 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,879 Speaker 3: team total under and I hope I can get a ten. 702 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 3: That it's probably gonna be nine and a half, but 703 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:48,080 Speaker 3: I still would like it. I don't mind. Like on FANDLE, 704 00:34:48,120 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 3: you can like parlay the under and then ole miss 705 00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:55,600 Speaker 3: like under forty eight and a half. Excuse me under 706 00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:57,360 Speaker 3: forty eight and a half Missouri minus twenty six and 707 00:34:57,360 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 3: a half like plus three thirty. I'm also gonna throw 708 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:04,200 Speaker 3: a little Missouri to win if I shut out plus 709 00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,600 Speaker 3: six fifty UL. If you don't know, they're down to 710 00:35:07,640 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 3: a backup quarterback who went oh of six when he 711 00:35:10,239 --> 00:35:15,560 Speaker 3: came in against Rice, and like it was ugly last 712 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,040 Speaker 3: week against McNeice until late, I just don't know how 713 00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:19,360 Speaker 3: they score this game. They're gonna got down to the 714 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:23,399 Speaker 3: line of scrimmage. Their quarterback is terrible. I don't really 715 00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 3: love the full game under because I'm afraid what like, 716 00:35:28,000 --> 00:35:30,279 Speaker 3: Missouri doesn't have a kicker, which is gonna be something 717 00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,080 Speaker 3: worth noting. They lost their kicker for the year. So 718 00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:36,600 Speaker 3: last week they had this freshman and Drink said, like 719 00:35:36,680 --> 00:35:38,640 Speaker 3: he the longest he wanted them to go was like 720 00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:40,680 Speaker 3: the twenty five yard line, like a twenty five yard 721 00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,280 Speaker 3: field goal, and he went forward a bunch on four downs. 722 00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:45,880 Speaker 3: So there could be some variants with like Missouri putting 723 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,480 Speaker 3: up a big number here. I don't think ull scores, 724 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:50,759 Speaker 3: so I might look like an idiot, but I just 725 00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:52,640 Speaker 3: don't see the path for them moving the ball. I mean, 726 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:55,799 Speaker 3: you look at this team. They it's it's ugly their 727 00:35:55,800 --> 00:35:59,040 Speaker 3: offense right now. So that's something that I'm looking at. 728 00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 3: You don't have any in there. 729 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:01,319 Speaker 2: Did no. 730 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:07,080 Speaker 3: I good luck Missouri to win by shout out we're coming. 731 00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:09,920 Speaker 3: We'll clip this or make fun of me on the 732 00:36:09,960 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 3: Recap show on Sunday nine five nine Bad Bee. By 733 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 3: the way, don't forget about voicemail backyard brawl. 734 00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 1: We've been waiting on this one. It's about time this 735 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 1: rival was renewed. There's only seventy five miles of separation. 736 00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,840 Speaker 3: But it's a damn good thing. We've got borders in between. 737 00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:32,400 Speaker 1: They don't like us and we don't like them. Legs 738 00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:33,520 Speaker 1: are born in the backyard. 739 00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:37,120 Speaker 3: Bro. We're West Virginia off a bad loss. It's not 740 00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,960 Speaker 3: a bad but not a great result. At Ohio they 741 00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 3: will host pitt This is a game two thousand and seven. 742 00:36:44,080 --> 00:36:46,600 Speaker 3: Rich Rod loss ended up costing them a shot the 743 00:36:46,640 --> 00:36:49,880 Speaker 3: national championship. He ended up leaving huge game there. But 744 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 3: I don't know the injuries for West Virginia. They lost 745 00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:54,920 Speaker 3: their leading rusher, one of the best receivers, and a linebacker. 746 00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:58,480 Speaker 3: They have a bunch of injuries. They haven't looked. They 747 00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:00,759 Speaker 3: didn't look great last week, and it's high, especially after 748 00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:02,880 Speaker 3: they lost some of those guys. Hits out to a 749 00:37:02,960 --> 00:37:06,840 Speaker 3: seven and a half point favorite total fifty five and 750 00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:09,760 Speaker 3: a half to fifty six and a half. With his injuries, 751 00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:11,880 Speaker 3: it makes it tough. But now that it's over a touchdown, 752 00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:16,239 Speaker 3: it seems pretty rich. It'd be ears or nothing for me. 753 00:37:16,280 --> 00:37:17,120 Speaker 3: You got anything there? 754 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:20,080 Speaker 2: Yeah? Over. Because of the tempo in the game, twenty 755 00:37:20,080 --> 00:37:22,359 Speaker 2: one point five seconds per play for West Virginia twenty 756 00:37:22,400 --> 00:37:24,080 Speaker 2: three seconds per play for pitt. I mean this pit 757 00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:28,399 Speaker 2: offense is faster than they were last year. They're also 758 00:37:28,840 --> 00:37:31,399 Speaker 2: what twenty fifth and pass epa right now. I think 759 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:33,520 Speaker 2: there's a chance for explosives and I just don't see 760 00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:36,799 Speaker 2: rich Rod as many injuries as they have. It's either 761 00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:38,120 Speaker 2: a three and out or it's going to be one 762 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 2: of the fastest drives that they have all day, and 763 00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:42,919 Speaker 2: I think that's going to lead to extra possessions, extra points. 764 00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:44,120 Speaker 2: I'm going to play over here. 765 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,040 Speaker 3: Showl a bowl. If you haven't checked out the group 766 00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:48,600 Speaker 3: of five guys, make sure you check out Duck and Breeze. 767 00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:50,120 Speaker 3: I'm going to disagree with Breeze here. I think this 768 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 3: is the year FIU finally gets FAU. I actually like 769 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:55,279 Speaker 3: this FYU defense was digging in a little bit more 770 00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,080 Speaker 3: like the secondary that's gonna be important against FAU. I 771 00:37:58,120 --> 00:38:00,360 Speaker 3: think they're gonna be able to move the ball. I 772 00:38:00,360 --> 00:38:03,080 Speaker 3: think this is the year FU gets them all around 773 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:10,040 Speaker 3: the world. But you die then finally a little revenge game. 774 00:38:10,480 --> 00:38:15,560 Speaker 3: Darien Mensa, you came back two lane uh stuk or 775 00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:18,440 Speaker 3: nothing for me. I don't believe in these two lane receivers. 776 00:38:19,080 --> 00:38:22,640 Speaker 3: I still don't believe in rets laugh. It was there. 777 00:38:22,719 --> 00:38:25,000 Speaker 3: There was was troubling against South Alabama, who looked terrific 778 00:38:25,040 --> 00:38:27,800 Speaker 3: the week before. I think Duke gets them gets pressure. 779 00:38:29,000 --> 00:38:31,319 Speaker 2: Did you know that all ten opponent possessions that have 780 00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 2: crossed the Duke forty yard line have ended in a touchdown? 781 00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:35,960 Speaker 2: They're finishing drives is the worst thing. I mean, the 782 00:38:36,840 --> 00:38:38,640 Speaker 2: defense is something's wrong. 783 00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,200 Speaker 3: Well, they missed their they missed what they're all American 784 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:45,400 Speaker 3: safety for one who's hurt. So their their secondary has 785 00:38:45,440 --> 00:38:46,839 Speaker 3: taken a bit of a hit there, but that's part 786 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:48,719 Speaker 3: of that. It's been a little unlucky. I mean they 787 00:38:48,719 --> 00:38:50,440 Speaker 3: haven't been unlucky, but they were lucky last year, so 788 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:52,439 Speaker 3: maybe it's coming for them. But I think Duke gets 789 00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:53,399 Speaker 3: it done. Who do you like in the game. 790 00:38:54,440 --> 00:38:56,120 Speaker 2: I want a back dude, but I need I need 791 00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:58,560 Speaker 2: better finishing drives. You think I'm gonna take the team 792 00:38:58,640 --> 00:39:00,480 Speaker 2: is worse than the nation and finishing drive you know me. 793 00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,239 Speaker 2: I'm starting to get some data. You get me to 794 00:39:02,320 --> 00:39:04,600 Speaker 2: week three and I won't shut up about finishing drives. 795 00:39:04,840 --> 00:39:08,920 Speaker 3: Regression. Baby Julane won't score a touchdown inside the twenties 796 00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:18,160 Speaker 3: this week. I like Duke there, look ahead or look away, hangovers, sleepers, 797 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,240 Speaker 3: and the dreaded sandwich spot. 798 00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,360 Speaker 2: Is it time to look ahead or look away? 799 00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:28,960 Speaker 3: Quick segment of you New year? We look at games 800 00:39:28,960 --> 00:39:30,680 Speaker 3: the teams played last week and then next week see 801 00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,400 Speaker 3: if that could factor in whether you know, teams might 802 00:39:32,400 --> 00:39:35,879 Speaker 3: pull their starters sooner than usual, maybe not show as much. 803 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,879 Speaker 3: Texas State at Arizona State. Arizona State has Baylor on deck, 804 00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:43,040 Speaker 3: but they're coming off a loss in Mississippi State. Okay, Gildingham, 805 00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,520 Speaker 3: this is all gas noe break. I don't think that 806 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:48,360 Speaker 3: they're going to be looking ahead or anything. I like 807 00:39:48,400 --> 00:39:50,760 Speaker 3: the Texas State offense. I like their new quarterback Jackson. 808 00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:52,600 Speaker 3: Looks like an over to me. 809 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:54,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's got to be an over. I mean the 810 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,040 Speaker 2: market is not agreeing with what I'm saying, which is 811 00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:58,160 Speaker 2: I thought Texas State, I mean, would they average nine 812 00:39:58,200 --> 00:40:01,120 Speaker 2: point one yards per play against Eastern Mission. They had 813 00:40:01,120 --> 00:40:04,040 Speaker 2: more yards per play than UTSA and their loss. Texas 814 00:40:04,080 --> 00:40:06,520 Speaker 2: stated their top ten and EPA and Arizona State is 815 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:09,719 Speaker 2: one hundred and fifth and coverage grading. So I thought 816 00:40:09,719 --> 00:40:10,600 Speaker 2: Texas State could hang. 817 00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:12,719 Speaker 3: The markets by the way they put up forty three. 818 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the market's going the other way. I 819 00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:16,600 Speaker 2: thought Texas s TA could hang, so maybe it's just 820 00:40:16,640 --> 00:40:17,360 Speaker 2: a pure overgame. 821 00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:20,400 Speaker 3: I don't have interest in the dog. I think Arizona 822 00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:21,879 Speaker 3: State wants to put it on them, and I don't 823 00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,680 Speaker 3: know how text State's going to get any stops, but 824 00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,160 Speaker 3: I think they'll put up their first air of points. 825 00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:29,399 Speaker 3: So over nothing. There you mass at Iowa, Iowa off 826 00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:34,160 Speaker 3: Syhawk short Week, Rutgers on deck. I don't want no 827 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:42,720 Speaker 3: man and man, No man and man come on this game? 828 00:40:43,280 --> 00:40:45,320 Speaker 3: What a disaster. I mean, I don't know. 829 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:47,440 Speaker 2: It's trash and we know you're not taking it. 830 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 3: I don't know how you've met this game. U mass 831 00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:51,920 Speaker 3: has taken money, which is funny. It's thirty four and 832 00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:52,840 Speaker 3: a half at some places. 833 00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:54,960 Speaker 2: Hey we didn't win the yards per play against Bryant. 834 00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 3: Well there there's down the totals down to forty two 835 00:40:59,160 --> 00:41:03,360 Speaker 3: and a half. What's the spread Iowa third minus thirty 836 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:06,000 Speaker 3: four and a half. Here's the thing. I can't lay 837 00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:09,560 Speaker 3: five tounchowns of the Zioa offense right now. I'm sure 838 00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:11,800 Speaker 3: they want to throw it more like to get Gronowski 839 00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,640 Speaker 3: throwing before big ten play. So that's like an angle. 840 00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:18,879 Speaker 3: But can they actually do it. U Masses maybe down 841 00:41:18,920 --> 00:41:21,799 Speaker 3: eight nine starters. By the way their quarterbacks out their 842 00:41:21,840 --> 00:41:24,400 Speaker 3: receipt I mean, I'll cross the board. I tweeted a 843 00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:26,920 Speaker 3: list like they might be down eight to nine starters. 844 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 3: This is U Mass. Well, it's not the deepest team 845 00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:30,640 Speaker 3: in the country. 846 00:41:31,320 --> 00:41:31,880 Speaker 2: I can say this. 847 00:41:32,280 --> 00:41:33,040 Speaker 3: I can't bet this game. 848 00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:34,560 Speaker 2: I'll say this s I went to this. I went 849 00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:36,840 Speaker 2: to look to see if Iowa has a hangover after Syhawk. 850 00:41:38,000 --> 00:41:41,319 Speaker 2: In previous years they won by seventeen, thirty one, twenty seven, 851 00:41:41,360 --> 00:41:43,759 Speaker 2: twenty three, and forty five. So there's not really a 852 00:41:43,840 --> 00:41:46,480 Speaker 2: hangover for Iowa. Maybe a first half bed if they 853 00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:49,960 Speaker 2: can air it out and be successful. Maybe. But U 854 00:41:50,000 --> 00:41:51,720 Speaker 2: Mass isn't stopping them from doing anything. 855 00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:56,120 Speaker 3: But Iowa stops themselves. I literally have no idea what's 856 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:56,839 Speaker 3: gonna happen in that game. 857 00:41:57,320 --> 00:41:59,799 Speaker 2: Drill was completely backwards last week against Iowa State. 858 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:06,480 Speaker 3: Unbelievable. But you Mass special teams are disaster. So the 859 00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:09,600 Speaker 3: special teams matchup in this game is just get it 860 00:42:09,960 --> 00:42:10,200 Speaker 3: for you? 861 00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:12,200 Speaker 2: Are does this get a little team out for you? 862 00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:13,879 Speaker 3: I have too many I'm gonna have too many beats. 863 00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:15,919 Speaker 3: On Saturday's Week three, I started to ramp up. I'll 864 00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:17,480 Speaker 3: like check it out and once in a while pull 865 00:42:17,480 --> 00:42:22,040 Speaker 3: it up the laugh. No, I the ISLA might have 866 00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:27,080 Speaker 3: like two touchdowns on special teams though, Central Michigan at 867 00:42:27,120 --> 00:42:29,560 Speaker 3: Michigan Michigan twenty seven and a half point favorite total 868 00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 3: forty two and a half another one. I can't like 869 00:42:31,160 --> 00:42:33,800 Speaker 3: points of this Michigan offense. If fIF Poge's gonna be 870 00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:37,560 Speaker 3: the head coach for this one, Daron Moore is suspended. 871 00:42:37,320 --> 00:42:42,040 Speaker 2: I am so excited. I am a glass ten eighths full. Guy. Well, 872 00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:43,279 Speaker 2: I like it running over. 873 00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:45,160 Speaker 3: I just don't like this Michigan offense. I don't like 874 00:42:45,239 --> 00:42:46,719 Speaker 3: Chip Lindsay, I don't like their weapons. I don't like 875 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:48,120 Speaker 3: the offensive line. I think I know what's good. But 876 00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:49,759 Speaker 3: he's still a true freshman. I assume you want to 877 00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:53,120 Speaker 3: open it up here, though, yeah, grow it, you got 878 00:42:53,160 --> 00:42:55,279 Speaker 3: a but Central Mission's gonna try to shorten this game 879 00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,040 Speaker 3: to nothing, which is not idea when you're trying to 880 00:42:58,080 --> 00:42:59,239 Speaker 3: like twenty seven and a half of an offense that 881 00:42:59,280 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 3: has some limitations. But I this looks about right to me. 882 00:43:04,480 --> 00:43:05,080 Speaker 3: You got anything there? 883 00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 2: Yah, drink All has been running a lot of power 884 00:43:07,080 --> 00:43:09,359 Speaker 2: in some inside zone in Michigan, so far, they're forty 885 00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,640 Speaker 2: four percent success right against Inside Zone, which I mean 886 00:43:12,680 --> 00:43:15,799 Speaker 2: that does come against Majeon Materier and not the all 887 00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:18,399 Speaker 2: powerful chips. But the problem is, I think the number 888 00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:19,800 Speaker 2: should be in a thirty, so I think it's already 889 00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,160 Speaker 2: accounted for the spot. So I think that I think 890 00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:24,879 Speaker 2: the market's already corrected for the spot with Nebrask on deck, 891 00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:25,960 Speaker 2: So no play for me. 892 00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:29,440 Speaker 3: All right, Action Network at it's free and if you're 893 00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:30,680 Speaker 3: new here and you do not have it, you are 894 00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:33,200 Speaker 3: missing out on the full BBOC betting experience. Use code 895 00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:35,560 Speaker 3: BBOC twenty to get twenty dollars off a year of 896 00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:38,440 Speaker 3: Action Pro access and never miss a bet from myself, 897 00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:41,040 Speaker 3: Colin Duck, the whole squad. So make sure you check 898 00:43:41,080 --> 00:43:44,680 Speaker 3: out the award winning Action Network app. All right, let's 899 00:43:44,680 --> 00:43:48,719 Speaker 3: get too, Oh baby, some trash. 900 00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,439 Speaker 1: The trash man pick of the week. 901 00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:52,160 Speaker 2: I'm the trash man. 902 00:43:52,440 --> 00:43:55,200 Speaker 3: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know 903 00:43:55,320 --> 00:43:59,120 Speaker 3: it totally unreliable, undependable. It that's it. You've been told 904 00:43:59,160 --> 00:43:59,840 Speaker 3: on How do you like that? 905 00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:00,560 Speaker 2: Gohead? 906 00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:05,600 Speaker 3: Every year there's a week where the trash list is extensive. 907 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:08,520 Speaker 3: You know, when you forget your trash, you forget to 908 00:44:08,520 --> 00:44:10,960 Speaker 3: put your trash out that random week, and then the 909 00:44:11,000 --> 00:44:13,840 Speaker 3: trash piles up, and then you gotta like a trash 910 00:44:13,840 --> 00:44:15,680 Speaker 3: can that's overflowing. You got to put it out on 911 00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:18,839 Speaker 3: this on your street. That's what we got here. All right, 912 00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:22,160 Speaker 3: let's go through. Let's go through the board. Let's start. 913 00:44:22,440 --> 00:44:24,840 Speaker 3: Let's start noon, big noon or big twelve to fifteen 914 00:44:25,560 --> 00:44:29,839 Speaker 3: Northwestern plus twenty eight against Oregon. I mean I made 915 00:44:29,840 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 3: before the year, I made this twenty one downgrade to 916 00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:34,680 Speaker 3: Northwestern a little bit. I have upgraded Oregon. They have 917 00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:38,760 Speaker 3: look great, but they've played in Oregon, in Eugene against 918 00:44:38,760 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 3: Oklahoma State who might be finished too, and ten again 919 00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:43,640 Speaker 3: and an FCS team. I know they look great, but 920 00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:47,279 Speaker 3: this is an eight am body clock start for them. 921 00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:50,680 Speaker 3: They have ten State on deck. How much you really 922 00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,239 Speaker 3: want to show Northwestern? They've already talked about slowing this 923 00:44:54,280 --> 00:44:58,000 Speaker 3: game down, limited to possessions. Their defense will just focus 924 00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:00,520 Speaker 3: on trying to take away the explosive. Give me a 925 00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:05,240 Speaker 3: Dante Moore pick or two. Oh stop here, it's coming 926 00:45:05,320 --> 00:45:08,080 Speaker 3: Dante Moore on the road picked six plus twenty eight. 927 00:45:08,960 --> 00:45:11,480 Speaker 3: Good spot with the Northwestern so many points, I can't 928 00:45:11,480 --> 00:45:13,279 Speaker 3: get to this number, and it's a good spot. Why 929 00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:15,880 Speaker 3: would you show much here? Penn State next week is 930 00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:19,040 Speaker 3: off of bye. It's like watch scouting and watching this game. Now. 931 00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:21,359 Speaker 3: Granted they're backup quarterbacks they like and they're pretty good, 932 00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:23,919 Speaker 3: so even if they go back up quarterbacks they might 933 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:27,640 Speaker 3: The athletic mismatch here is pretty so it's gonna jump 934 00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:29,600 Speaker 3: off the page. But that's why we're getting four touchdowns. 935 00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:31,200 Speaker 3: Yes or no no. 936 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,479 Speaker 2: Dan Lanning went to Purdue last year, beat him thirty 937 00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:35,480 Speaker 2: five to zero. Dan Lanning went to Michigan last year, 938 00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:37,799 Speaker 2: beat him thirty eight seventeen. He's not one of these 939 00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:40,319 Speaker 2: coaches that has a problem crossing two time zones into 940 00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:42,319 Speaker 2: the Central Times. This number, to me is. 941 00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:46,560 Speaker 3: That thirty five nothing was Purdue Northwestern was catching this 942 00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:49,160 Speaker 3: number against Ohio State last year and they covered by 943 00:45:49,200 --> 00:45:51,759 Speaker 3: the way like this. I'm not ready to say this 944 00:45:51,760 --> 00:45:54,279 Speaker 3: Oregon team is on the level of Ohio State last year. 945 00:45:54,560 --> 00:45:57,400 Speaker 2: I am more is gonna score twenty eight by himself? 946 00:45:57,560 --> 00:45:59,319 Speaker 2: I know I'm not joining you on this. Good luck? 947 00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:02,359 Speaker 2: Oh wow, side nerd? Are we done for the. 948 00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:05,160 Speaker 3: Day Temple against Oklahoma? 949 00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:07,560 Speaker 2: Fuck? Is this number? 950 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:13,600 Speaker 3: This is the spot of the year? Like so Oklahoma. 951 00:46:13,840 --> 00:46:16,960 Speaker 3: There's many reasons why this spot of the year. The 952 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:19,960 Speaker 3: obvious ones. They just played Michigan, they have eight and 953 00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,960 Speaker 3: they have Auburn on deck the Jackson Arnold rematch game. 954 00:46:23,840 --> 00:46:26,960 Speaker 3: They have eight SEC ranked teams left on their schedule. 955 00:46:27,400 --> 00:46:30,720 Speaker 3: What does that mean here? You do not run Matier 956 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:32,880 Speaker 3: like you get you get a lead, you don't get 957 00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:35,520 Speaker 3: them hurt. You don't play them the whole game like 958 00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:39,520 Speaker 3: you did against whoever they played in Week one Illinois State. 959 00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:41,399 Speaker 3: You do not play in the whole game. And by 960 00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:43,760 Speaker 3: the way, what does that mean if they don't play 961 00:46:44,680 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 3: Mattier the whole game? Well, Venables came out today and 962 00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,440 Speaker 3: said he wants to keep Hawkins's red shirt. 963 00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:53,919 Speaker 1: Good good, that's good. 964 00:46:54,080 --> 00:46:55,759 Speaker 3: Came out yesterday and said this, So they don't want 965 00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:58,359 Speaker 3: to use him for random series. So if they get 966 00:46:58,360 --> 00:47:01,960 Speaker 3: a big lead, pull ma tear. That means they'll go 967 00:47:02,040 --> 00:47:05,000 Speaker 3: to this kid with Nubauer a Mercer transfer. So you're 968 00:47:05,000 --> 00:47:07,000 Speaker 3: gonna have like an SCS quarterback in there if they 969 00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:11,320 Speaker 3: get a big lead. But noon kick like half empty stadium. 970 00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:14,200 Speaker 3: I know there might be more Oklahoma fans than Temple fans, 971 00:47:14,200 --> 00:47:16,600 Speaker 3: but Casey Killer knows this game is important. Temple's had 972 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:18,200 Speaker 3: to circle. They lost fifty two three last year. They 973 00:47:18,239 --> 00:47:20,840 Speaker 3: had six turnovers. It was a mess. I think Ocloa's 974 00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:22,799 Speaker 3: gonna come out sleepy. And what do I think they 975 00:47:22,800 --> 00:47:26,120 Speaker 3: do in this game, like just preserve bodies. They need 976 00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:28,080 Speaker 3: to work on their run game. Their run game is 977 00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:31,160 Speaker 3: atrocious unless you're just running Matier, who's really good at it. 978 00:47:31,200 --> 00:47:33,319 Speaker 3: But you don't want to waste Matier against Temple before 979 00:47:33,320 --> 00:47:36,160 Speaker 3: you got eight SEC ranked teams. So I think they're 980 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:37,640 Speaker 3: gonna work on the run game, like their offensive line, 981 00:47:37,680 --> 00:47:39,839 Speaker 3: the run blocking, the running backs. What are the theyir 982 00:47:39,960 --> 00:47:43,200 Speaker 3: running backs are averaging two point eight yards per carry 983 00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:46,799 Speaker 3: through two games. So I think Temple's gonna shorten this game. 984 00:47:47,040 --> 00:47:49,279 Speaker 3: And I think Temple's really improved now. It could just 985 00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:51,840 Speaker 3: be a result of their schedule. They played Howard and 986 00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:55,560 Speaker 3: they played u mess, but they have dominated those games. 987 00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,080 Speaker 3: And Simon has looked good. I mean, he has the 988 00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:01,279 Speaker 3: highest completion percentage in the country seventy seven percent. He 989 00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:03,640 Speaker 3: has nine touchdowns, no interceptions. They can rely on Ducker 990 00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:06,560 Speaker 3: here and the ball. They can you know, short passing, 991 00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,319 Speaker 3: bleed the clock. I think you're gonna see backups for 992 00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:11,960 Speaker 3: Oklahoma I don't I think they're gonna work on the 993 00:48:12,040 --> 00:48:15,000 Speaker 3: run game. They're not gonna show much Sleepy Spot. Wouldn't 994 00:48:15,040 --> 00:48:17,480 Speaker 3: be surprised if they come out completely lethargic. Give me, 995 00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,880 Speaker 3: I'm on Temple. The line has been getting right in. 996 00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:23,120 Speaker 2: The middle of this pod, like it someone touched twenty 997 00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:24,680 Speaker 2: one and it all jumped up to twenty two and 998 00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:27,000 Speaker 2: a half. That people have been waiting for this twenty 999 00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:29,320 Speaker 2: one on Oklahoma, So I'd. 1000 00:48:29,080 --> 00:48:33,319 Speaker 3: Wait for anything twenty four above live free game. But 1001 00:48:33,640 --> 00:48:36,040 Speaker 3: even if one of the small bat at twenty one 1002 00:48:36,040 --> 00:48:38,320 Speaker 3: and a half, it would be Temple or nothing. Spot 1003 00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:38,680 Speaker 3: of the year. 1004 00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:41,160 Speaker 2: This will never be set on this podcast again, so 1005 00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,440 Speaker 2: eat it up, Owls. Temple is the number one in 1006 00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:45,959 Speaker 2: the nation in passing success rate in finishing drives Evan 1007 00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:49,000 Speaker 2: Simon nine t d's no turnover worthy plays. That'll never 1008 00:48:49,040 --> 00:48:51,120 Speaker 2: be set again on this pod. I can't join you 1009 00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:53,400 Speaker 2: not it's too low for me. But it is the 1010 00:48:53,400 --> 00:48:56,200 Speaker 2: spot of the year. Philly Justice. 1011 00:48:57,200 --> 00:49:01,480 Speaker 3: Welcome to Philly Bitch. Let's go Ark State plus twenty 1012 00:49:01,480 --> 00:49:04,360 Speaker 3: one against Iowa State. Maybe they don't get any stops, 1013 00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:07,319 Speaker 3: but this is Iowa State's their fourth game. They were 1014 00:49:07,320 --> 00:49:09,560 Speaker 3: in Dublin. They have Syhawk, they got a big twelve 1015 00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:12,080 Speaker 3: play on deck. Campbell's already come out and said he's 1016 00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:16,120 Speaker 3: worried about where his team's at physically. Just there's gonna 1017 00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:19,560 Speaker 3: be some fatigue here. They're going to like Arkansas. The 1018 00:49:19,560 --> 00:49:21,319 Speaker 3: had another coming off the Arkansas game, but they're hosting 1019 00:49:21,320 --> 00:49:23,400 Speaker 3: a Power four team that embarrassed them last year fifty 1020 00:49:23,440 --> 00:49:25,719 Speaker 3: one to three. They're gonna be ready for this game. 1021 00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:29,240 Speaker 3: Their defense is awful. This isn't the same explosive Iowa 1022 00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:33,640 Speaker 3: State offense and whose wins have aged worse than Iowa State. 1023 00:49:34,080 --> 00:49:35,799 Speaker 3: They beat Kansas State, who could be oh in three 1024 00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:37,960 Speaker 3: with two losses, as a twenty eight point favorite in 1025 00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:40,759 Speaker 3: a seventeen point favorite, and they only beat Kansastate by three. 1026 00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:45,160 Speaker 3: They beat South Dakota. South Dakota is a mess. South 1027 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,319 Speaker 3: Dakota loss is seventeen point favorites against Lamar last week 1028 00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:50,279 Speaker 3: their quarterback at the same stat line verus Iowa State 1029 00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:54,080 Speaker 3: and Lamar and then Army lost to Tarlatan the week before. 1030 00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:58,520 Speaker 3: Like no who was the other win for Iowa and 1031 00:49:58,560 --> 00:50:01,560 Speaker 3: Iowa can't complete a pass against anybody, so like their 1032 00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:04,120 Speaker 3: wins are just not aging well. I'll take the three 1033 00:50:04,160 --> 00:50:07,759 Speaker 3: touchdowns Campbell. I've seen them in these spots before where 1034 00:50:07,800 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 3: he just they just goes super vanilla. He's worried a 1035 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,960 Speaker 3: bit about the physical state of his team, so that 1036 00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:14,880 Speaker 3: means like pull the start as a bit usual if 1037 00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,240 Speaker 3: they build a big lead. I think Arkslas State's offense 1038 00:50:17,239 --> 00:50:19,720 Speaker 3: at home has enough juice. Give me the Red Wolves 1039 00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:20,520 Speaker 3: in Jones Barrow. 1040 00:50:22,480 --> 00:50:24,279 Speaker 2: It's a good spot. It's just that I know that 1041 00:50:24,400 --> 00:50:26,640 Speaker 2: Arkansas they dumped their entire motions on the field and 1042 00:50:26,680 --> 00:50:28,759 Speaker 2: War Memorial in Rock last week, so I'll pass on 1043 00:50:28,840 --> 00:50:29,360 Speaker 2: this one for you. 1044 00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 3: Delaware plus ten and a half against Yukon. 1045 00:50:35,120 --> 00:50:37,280 Speaker 2: This is a new level of trash. It's a bigger dumpster. 1046 00:50:37,920 --> 00:50:40,160 Speaker 3: I liked what I saw from this Delawart team. Good 1047 00:50:40,200 --> 00:50:44,000 Speaker 3: quarterback last year. Last week, when people don't realize they went, 1048 00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:49,759 Speaker 3: they lost by twenty four to Colorado. The yards was 1049 00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:51,799 Speaker 3: three ninety eight to three ninety six. They averaged six 1050 00:50:51,880 --> 00:50:56,279 Speaker 3: yards for play to Colorado's five point seven Minnichucci threw 1051 00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:59,920 Speaker 3: for what threw over three hundred yards last week. This 1052 00:51:00,120 --> 00:51:02,799 Speaker 3: is what happened in that game they had. First of all, 1053 00:51:02,800 --> 00:51:04,279 Speaker 3: there was a leaping on a field goal that led 1054 00:51:04,280 --> 00:51:06,760 Speaker 3: to a touchdown. They were stopped on fourth and inside 1055 00:51:06,760 --> 00:51:08,920 Speaker 3: the ten. They fumbled inside the twenty. They missed a 1056 00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:11,160 Speaker 3: field goal, a chip shot field goal. They threw a pick, 1057 00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:14,360 Speaker 3: They threw four times deep into Colorida territory without any points. 1058 00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:20,360 Speaker 3: They played Colorado basically even Yukon coming off of heartbreaking, 1059 00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:25,000 Speaker 3: deflating loss in overtime the first FBS matchup as an 1060 00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:29,200 Speaker 3: FBS team in Newark, Yukon still had some issues. You 1061 00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:32,600 Speaker 3: just cover Skyler Bell on their offensive line. Their defense 1062 00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:34,640 Speaker 3: is not as good in the back end. I don't 1063 00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:37,279 Speaker 3: think Syracuse is any good. That's why I think they 1064 00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:39,759 Speaker 3: almost beat them last year. And remember Yukon last year 1065 00:51:39,760 --> 00:51:41,200 Speaker 3: they won nine games. I don't think they were as 1066 00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:43,880 Speaker 3: good as they were last year. I do like their staff, 1067 00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:45,680 Speaker 3: I like their defense, sport. But they won nine games 1068 00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:48,680 Speaker 3: last year, the first and the most in forever. You 1069 00:51:48,719 --> 00:51:50,360 Speaker 3: know where they're They only had two road wins. You 1070 00:51:50,400 --> 00:51:54,160 Speaker 3: know they came against UAB and UMass. Well, I'll take 1071 00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:56,920 Speaker 3: Delaware over both those teams, and both those games were 1072 00:51:56,920 --> 00:52:00,920 Speaker 3: one possession games, one by eight and five. Delaware covers 1073 00:52:00,920 --> 00:52:02,600 Speaker 3: the double digits. I make this like a give me 1074 00:52:02,600 --> 00:52:07,000 Speaker 3: the blue ends baby first bat ever on Delaware as 1075 00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:07,839 Speaker 3: an FBS team. 1076 00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:10,320 Speaker 2: Welcome to the trash segment. 1077 00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:12,240 Speaker 3: I mean you hero? 1078 00:52:12,640 --> 00:52:15,399 Speaker 2: How I How I pushed that Yukon bet last week. 1079 00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:18,560 Speaker 2: I'll have no clue. They had Syracuse dead to rights. 1080 00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 2: I should just hate bet on Delaware, but I'll pass well. 1081 00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:27,640 Speaker 1: Imagine being able to be magically risked away to Delaware. 1082 00:52:28,600 --> 00:52:31,040 Speaker 2: Hi, I mean Delaware. 1083 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:33,640 Speaker 3: This is the augest one of all Eastern Michigan. 1084 00:52:34,200 --> 00:52:35,160 Speaker 2: How you're doing this? 1085 00:52:41,800 --> 00:52:43,799 Speaker 3: They just lost to Long Island. That's what they do. 1086 00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:45,759 Speaker 3: They lose their an FCS team and they go to 1087 00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,160 Speaker 3: a power confer seas and we cutter bully starting. This 1088 00:52:48,200 --> 00:52:50,279 Speaker 3: is what they do. Chris Drayton just covers as a 1089 00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:52,239 Speaker 3: huge dog. By the way, as a road underdog, He's 1090 00:52:52,239 --> 00:52:54,640 Speaker 3: thirty four eighteen and one against the spread, sixty five percent, 1091 00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:57,080 Speaker 3: covering by four points per game. Most profitable active coach 1092 00:52:57,239 --> 00:52:59,960 Speaker 3: in all of college football as a road underdog. Kentucky else, 1093 00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,520 Speaker 3: I don't beat themselves. They shorten the game. There's no turnovers, 1094 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:05,600 Speaker 3: there's no penalties, there's no special teams mistakes. They're going 1095 00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:06,680 Speaker 3: to find a way to cover this game. 1096 00:53:06,719 --> 00:53:08,680 Speaker 2: And Kentucky goes into a buy after this, they have 1097 00:53:08,719 --> 00:53:10,879 Speaker 2: no reason to cover. I'll join you on this one. 1098 00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:15,080 Speaker 3: Ah, right, EMU. 1099 00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:16,280 Speaker 2: It's plenty of twenty four and a half out there. 1100 00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:20,399 Speaker 3: Twenty four and a half. And finally, Tulsa against Navy. 1101 00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:32,680 Speaker 3: Aime Tolsa against Navy. Kirk Francis. Look, everyone was bett 1102 00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:34,400 Speaker 3: in Tulsa last week, like they knew the final score. 1103 00:53:34,520 --> 00:53:36,400 Speaker 3: Now everyone is abandoned. Chip, Well, that's when I'm the 1104 00:53:36,440 --> 00:53:40,359 Speaker 3: alone asshole that jumps in service cadulating two touchdowns. Navy 1105 00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:41,960 Speaker 3: has issues, They have issues in the back end. The 1106 00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:44,480 Speaker 3: offensive line is in as good. Uab basically played them 1107 00:53:44,520 --> 00:53:46,480 Speaker 3: to a tie until late in that game when they 1108 00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:49,960 Speaker 3: had a couple of turnovers. There's a big game for Tulsa. 1109 00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:52,040 Speaker 3: There's some momentum around the program. There's some excitement. It's 1110 00:53:52,080 --> 00:53:54,600 Speaker 3: their home opener in the conference. I think that they're 1111 00:53:54,600 --> 00:53:56,480 Speaker 3: gonna be able to run the ball. Kirk Francis was 1112 00:53:56,480 --> 00:53:58,000 Speaker 3: just a disaster last week. And then look they had 1113 00:53:58,000 --> 00:54:00,759 Speaker 3: this kid, Baylor what was his name, Baylor Hayes ca Man. 1114 00:54:00,920 --> 00:54:03,720 Speaker 3: I liked what I saw. He was way better than Francis. 1115 00:54:03,719 --> 00:54:06,000 Speaker 3: So the freshman he went fourteen to seventeen hundred and 1116 00:54:06,000 --> 00:54:07,520 Speaker 3: thirty five yards. He is Wheels. I think he's a 1117 00:54:07,520 --> 00:54:09,759 Speaker 3: better fit for the offense. They still have decided who's 1118 00:54:09,760 --> 00:54:12,120 Speaker 3: gonna start. I hope it's his. By the way, fourteen 1119 00:54:12,120 --> 00:54:16,520 Speaker 3: plus point favorites Service academies against FBS teams thirty and 1120 00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:18,719 Speaker 3: forty six against the spread thirty nine and a half 1121 00:54:18,719 --> 00:54:22,160 Speaker 3: percent since two thousand and five. Navy itself seven and 1122 00:54:22,239 --> 00:54:24,840 Speaker 3: eighteen against the spread when laying two touchdowns or more 1123 00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:27,680 Speaker 3: against FBS teams twenty eight percent. Give me the two 1124 00:54:27,680 --> 00:54:29,000 Speaker 3: touchdowns with Tulsa. 1125 00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:31,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm passing on Tulsa. 1126 00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:33,000 Speaker 3: All right, Well, I got your degree on one. The 1127 00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:38,560 Speaker 3: trash Northwestern Temple, ARC State, Delaware, EMU, and Tulsa, six 1128 00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:41,560 Speaker 3: of them. Baby. By the way, trash, I should update 1129 00:54:41,560 --> 00:54:45,560 Speaker 3: this trash. Last week went two and one Charlotte somehow 1130 00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:47,919 Speaker 3: didn't cover. I don't have a nightmareters about the game. 1131 00:54:48,239 --> 00:54:53,000 Speaker 3: Two and two on the year, twenty three and fourteen 1132 00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,839 Speaker 3: the past two years. And we're going to get some 1133 00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,800 Speaker 3: results this week because this list is long, beautiful, beautiful 1134 00:54:59,800 --> 00:55:04,520 Speaker 3: tri gosh, no San Diego State this week, so we 1135 00:55:04,520 --> 00:55:09,359 Speaker 3: don't have to go nowhere fast. We are gonna talk Arkansas, 1136 00:55:09,760 --> 00:55:13,440 Speaker 3: Ole Miss at Arkansas I'm on your hogs, baby. 1137 00:55:13,680 --> 00:55:16,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, woo pig suy. 1138 00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:18,879 Speaker 3: Absolute dumpster fined dumps. Fine. 1139 00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:20,279 Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest 1140 00:55:20,280 --> 00:55:22,520 Speaker 2: of the year, just blowing program up. Give us a 1141 00:55:22,560 --> 00:55:28,200 Speaker 2: death sentence. Collins talking razorback football. Yeah, I think I'm 1142 00:55:28,239 --> 00:55:29,560 Speaker 2: joining if you want to put it on the board. 1143 00:55:29,840 --> 00:55:31,440 Speaker 2: I don't think we have any seven halves out there 1144 00:55:31,520 --> 00:55:33,520 Speaker 2: right now. I know you grab by. 1145 00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:35,160 Speaker 3: The time people listening, it's probably the best we'll put 1146 00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:36,040 Speaker 3: it off. All a seven ship. 1147 00:55:36,120 --> 00:55:37,799 Speaker 2: The west Gate just went to six and a half old. 1148 00:55:37,800 --> 00:55:38,719 Speaker 2: I gotta put my bed in. 1149 00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:41,400 Speaker 3: I think Simmons might be out there. 1150 00:55:41,920 --> 00:55:43,879 Speaker 2: That might be a good thing. Like he's really sly. 1151 00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:45,959 Speaker 2: He had two more turnover worthy plays last week. 1152 00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:49,560 Speaker 3: You also, I do think arkansall dropping coverage. He's getting 1153 00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,360 Speaker 3: rid of bolt in like rapid speed, and if he 1154 00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:54,920 Speaker 3: doesn't hit his first read, it's a mess. The offensive 1155 00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,920 Speaker 3: line is a mess. The Arkansas offense is rolling. The 1156 00:55:57,960 --> 00:56:01,520 Speaker 3: Old Miss defense has holes. This is a game I 1157 00:56:01,520 --> 00:56:03,360 Speaker 3: think that goes right down to the wire. There's my 1158 00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:05,480 Speaker 3: only fear is that lane he didn't cover last week. 1159 00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:09,040 Speaker 3: He pops his gambler, He's like goes for the juggler 1160 00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:11,920 Speaker 3: this week, but I think Lands got a chance to 1161 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:12,440 Speaker 3: win this game. 1162 00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:14,560 Speaker 2: I think Lane's been on the phone with the Florida 1163 00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:16,839 Speaker 2: a deal week two. Listen, there's two names you need 1164 00:56:16,840 --> 00:56:19,000 Speaker 2: to know outside of Taylor Green Mike Washington Junior six 1165 00:56:19,080 --> 00:56:21,960 Speaker 2: point one yards after first contact. I understand what this 1166 00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,359 Speaker 2: game line playing well too? Oh, Lion is playing much 1167 00:56:24,400 --> 00:56:26,799 Speaker 2: better than last year. So uh, you know, how are 1168 00:56:26,840 --> 00:56:28,840 Speaker 2: things going for Patrick Coutis down there in the offensive 1169 00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:31,040 Speaker 2: line for the Rebels not very well. What you need 1170 00:56:31,080 --> 00:56:32,480 Speaker 2: to know if you have not heard this name, I've 1171 00:56:32,480 --> 00:56:34,719 Speaker 2: mentioned it a couple of times. Omega Blake, the transferring 1172 00:56:34,760 --> 00:56:39,240 Speaker 2: from Charlotte is elite. He is unbelievable in creating explosive plays. 1173 00:56:39,280 --> 00:56:42,560 Speaker 2: Him and Taylor Green have great chemistry together. Ole Miss 1174 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,560 Speaker 2: is one hundred and creating a pass rush that's perfect, 1175 00:56:45,600 --> 00:56:47,920 Speaker 2: even though Taylor Green is better when he's outside the pocket. 1176 00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:49,879 Speaker 2: If he's not gonna see much pressure, that's gonna be great. 1177 00:56:50,120 --> 00:56:52,439 Speaker 2: Ole Miss also one hundred and second tackling right now. 1178 00:56:52,560 --> 00:56:54,799 Speaker 2: I love the over in this game. Arkansas's defense with 1179 00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:57,520 Speaker 2: Travis Williams thirteenth and Havoc Austin Simmons. If he does 1180 00:56:57,560 --> 00:57:00,839 Speaker 2: play is sloppy. I think aggs oh Man, I think 1181 00:57:00,840 --> 00:57:03,560 Speaker 2: they went out right before they go and lose to Memphis. 1182 00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:10,360 Speaker 2: But yeah, back on board, big big God. 1183 00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:13,879 Speaker 3: All right, before we get out of here, let's go 1184 00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,360 Speaker 3: three and out. 1185 00:57:17,680 --> 00:57:19,800 Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out. 1186 00:57:21,320 --> 00:57:25,520 Speaker 3: All right, Friday night lights, we have Colorado at Houston. 1187 00:57:26,000 --> 00:57:28,840 Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. 1188 00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:33,200 Speaker 3: Let's go play Kansas. And it looks like Colorado is 1189 00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:35,640 Speaker 3: gonna go stop at quarterback like they was. What's gonna 1190 00:57:35,640 --> 00:57:38,120 Speaker 3: be between Lewis and Saltern. Now looks like's gonna stop 1191 00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:40,880 Speaker 3: who came in and played well against Delaware. Colorado has 1192 00:57:40,920 --> 00:57:45,360 Speaker 3: a bunch of injuries, long injury report, especially on defense. Yeah, 1193 00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:49,160 Speaker 3: Kansas State at Arizona is Kansas State a corpse? I 1194 00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:53,320 Speaker 3: don't know if they don't show up here. 1195 00:57:53,160 --> 00:57:55,000 Speaker 2: They're both over games, by the way, both. 1196 00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,760 Speaker 3: Of the Houston over I also like Houston, and I 1197 00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,400 Speaker 3: have a sneaky suspicion that UCL like cover but I 1198 00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:03,400 Speaker 3: needed like yeah, but I can't bet it now that's 1199 00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:04,320 Speaker 3: at the current price. 1200 00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:07,080 Speaker 2: You want to back Jason Eck here. You know, given 1201 00:58:07,120 --> 00:58:09,320 Speaker 2: Michigan's defense a little bit of problems here, you don't 1202 00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:10,360 Speaker 2: think that they could. 1203 00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:12,760 Speaker 3: Do something in the gut feel that's it. Uh. 1204 00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:16,760 Speaker 2: I'm not fade in New Mexico. I need a better 1205 00:58:17,040 --> 00:58:19,520 Speaker 2: guys running some funky shit man, and I have no 1206 00:58:19,560 --> 00:58:21,800 Speaker 2: faith in UCLA. So what we'll see. I'm not saying 1207 00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:23,360 Speaker 2: it's some pure disagree I haven't played it yet, but 1208 00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:24,840 Speaker 2: I'm not fading. 1209 00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:27,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Houston and the over. I don't have 1210 00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:29,880 Speaker 3: any feel on Kansas State Arizona, Like I don't. 1211 00:58:29,760 --> 00:58:32,120 Speaker 2: Know what I over for me too. I mean, the 1212 00:58:32,200 --> 00:58:34,600 Speaker 2: Kansas State is one hundred and twelve in defensive finishing drives. 1213 00:58:34,600 --> 00:58:37,000 Speaker 2: They're one hundred and first and creating havoc. Arizona's going 1214 00:58:37,080 --> 00:58:40,080 Speaker 2: to be able to. I mean they're they're creating, They're 1215 00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:43,760 Speaker 2: creating some explosives. Their top twenty and special teams right 1216 00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:47,440 Speaker 2: now ninth in line yards for Arizona. That's a little shocking. 1217 00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:49,120 Speaker 2: They've been running the ball fifty nine percent. 1218 00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:52,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, they look better, but I mean the competition is 1219 00:58:52,160 --> 00:58:53,280 Speaker 3: not great. 1220 00:58:54,000 --> 00:58:57,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, one hundred and twenty six during the schedule, so hard. 1221 00:58:57,080 --> 00:58:59,600 Speaker 3: To get a true read. But we'll see where Kansas 1222 00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:02,120 Speaker 3: State is at mentally, because they need to pick themselves up, 1223 00:59:02,200 --> 00:59:04,680 Speaker 3: all right, second down favorite overdog, our favorite favorite. It's 1224 00:59:04,680 --> 00:59:07,760 Speaker 3: called the over dogs parway. Colin, you already talked about yours. 1225 00:59:07,920 --> 00:59:10,600 Speaker 3: You're going with Miami. Yeah, I agree there. I was 1226 00:59:10,640 --> 00:59:13,680 Speaker 3: gonna go with Miami, but you went there, So I'm 1227 00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:16,480 Speaker 3: gonna go North Texas, mean Green anything under a touchdown 1228 00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:19,560 Speaker 3: against Washington State. I just I'm a big believer in 1229 00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:20,960 Speaker 3: the North Texas team. I like what I've seen. I 1230 00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:22,320 Speaker 3: think they're going to move the ball through the air, 1231 00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:24,760 Speaker 3: and their defense significant improved. Might not show it on 1232 00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:27,360 Speaker 3: the final score last week, but there was some fluky 1233 00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:31,040 Speaker 3: stuff against Western Michigan. Their defense is significant improve That's 1234 00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:34,960 Speaker 3: what makes them a potential contender this year in that conference, 1235 00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:38,120 Speaker 3: is that they have potentially a complimentary defense. Tough, tough 1236 00:59:38,120 --> 00:59:41,360 Speaker 3: spot for Washington State, who did look better last week. 1237 00:59:41,400 --> 00:59:43,880 Speaker 3: I will give them. I will get the coup's credit. 1238 00:59:44,440 --> 00:59:47,760 Speaker 3: Uh clown the quarterback move, but they were much better 1239 00:59:47,840 --> 00:59:51,920 Speaker 3: last week. But we're going with northe, North Texas and Miami. 1240 00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:55,600 Speaker 3: All right, third down and we'll recap the board on 1241 00:59:55,640 --> 00:59:57,920 Speaker 3: fourth down. I forgot to do that last week, but uh, 1242 00:59:58,400 --> 01:00:03,560 Speaker 3: we'll do that here. Third down dog money line parlay. 1243 01:00:04,520 --> 01:00:09,440 Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the 1244 01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:10,920 Speaker 1: money line parlay. 1245 01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:12,320 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go. 1246 01:00:13,040 --> 01:00:15,360 Speaker 2: You hit last week, I got i Miss Duke, so 1247 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:17,520 Speaker 2: I gotta get Missisippi State. 1248 01:00:18,120 --> 01:00:20,320 Speaker 3: Man. Those Duke turnovers, it could have been nice. I'm 1249 01:00:20,320 --> 01:00:23,120 Speaker 3: gonna go Georgia Tech. Like is Haines King healthy? I 1250 01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:25,840 Speaker 3: don't know. Georgia Tech is a dog? I love. I'm 1251 01:00:25,840 --> 01:00:27,960 Speaker 3: selling this Clemson team. I can't bet them on the 1252 01:00:28,000 --> 01:00:30,200 Speaker 3: spread now it's come down too much, but I think 1253 01:00:30,240 --> 01:00:32,160 Speaker 3: they win this game as long as there's there's some 1254 01:00:32,240 --> 01:00:35,560 Speaker 3: uncertainty with King. Just like Clemson has looked so bad. 1255 01:00:36,480 --> 01:00:37,480 Speaker 2: They have no running game. 1256 01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:40,040 Speaker 3: I don't trust anything they're doing right now. Maybe this 1257 01:00:40,120 --> 01:00:42,480 Speaker 3: is the time to buy low, but I'm throwing Georgia 1258 01:00:42,560 --> 01:00:43,840 Speaker 3: Tech out there. I think they win. Should be a 1259 01:00:43,840 --> 01:00:46,280 Speaker 3: exciting game. I think Georgia Tech the under correlated with 1260 01:00:46,320 --> 01:00:50,200 Speaker 3: Clemson and the over? Uh did Georgia Tech? And King's healthy. 1261 01:00:50,520 --> 01:00:54,160 Speaker 3: He's out there battering ram battering, ramming his way to 1262 01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:56,760 Speaker 3: first down. They're gonna be running clock shortening this game. 1263 01:00:57,240 --> 01:00:59,840 Speaker 3: I wish I grabbed that number early, but let's go 1264 01:00:59,880 --> 01:01:02,720 Speaker 3: with the rambling wreck and then you're going with Vanderbilt. 1265 01:01:02,760 --> 01:01:05,400 Speaker 2: I think you agree. I mean, Diego and Cedric Alexander 1266 01:01:05,640 --> 01:01:07,960 Speaker 2: are just absolutely going to man in power run concept. 1267 01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:11,479 Speaker 2: There's schemes all over South Carolina. South Carolina's offense. South 1268 01:01:11,520 --> 01:01:15,240 Speaker 2: Carolina State generated more methodical drives than South Carolina. Look 1269 01:01:15,280 --> 01:01:17,720 Speaker 2: at that box score in the yards per play. Vanderbilt 1270 01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:19,120 Speaker 2: is going to own the trenches here and they're going 1271 01:01:19,160 --> 01:01:19,760 Speaker 2: to win this game. 1272 01:01:19,880 --> 01:01:23,440 Speaker 3: All right, good stuff, Let's recap the trash. By the way, like, 1273 01:01:23,480 --> 01:01:25,720 Speaker 3: if you can't, I know, I've betten for like twenty years. 1274 01:01:25,760 --> 01:01:28,320 Speaker 3: I can stomach these bad teams if I sometimes you 1275 01:01:28,360 --> 01:01:31,120 Speaker 3: can have a disasterrous week betting these bad teams and 1276 01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:32,800 Speaker 3: it's awful. You bet bad teams and then you have 1277 01:01:32,880 --> 01:01:35,280 Speaker 3: a bad result and then and then if you tail 1278 01:01:35,360 --> 01:01:37,440 Speaker 3: someone doing it. So if you can't stomach, then it's 1279 01:01:37,440 --> 01:01:39,080 Speaker 3: going to put you until just picked win or two 1280 01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:41,800 Speaker 3: like Colm that you picked Eastern Michigan. But if you're 1281 01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:45,880 Speaker 3: riding along, let's go the trash. Twenty three and fourteen 1282 01:01:46,280 --> 01:01:52,760 Speaker 3: updated record Northwestern Temple, Welcome to Philly, Bitch Park, State Delaware, 1283 01:01:53,320 --> 01:01:59,640 Speaker 3: Eastern Michigan and Tulsa on TV ESPN plus. What a 1284 01:01:59,680 --> 01:02:01,800 Speaker 3: collect my first two beats of the of the weekend 1285 01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:03,560 Speaker 3: are Northwestern and Temple at noon, I'm. 1286 01:02:03,400 --> 01:02:04,920 Speaker 2: Gonna click on the tile and I'm gonna end up 1287 01:02:04,960 --> 01:02:07,800 Speaker 2: like in fucking cornhole, Delaware or something, you know, Like. 1288 01:02:08,000 --> 01:02:10,560 Speaker 3: They're the channels that my games are on this week 1289 01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:13,320 Speaker 3: are like all over the place. Not a lot of 1290 01:02:13,360 --> 01:02:19,280 Speaker 3: fully ESPN agree updated record is thirty seven to twenty 1291 01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:22,680 Speaker 3: six and one fifty eight point seven percent. Do you agree? 1292 01:02:23,320 --> 01:02:29,200 Speaker 3: Florida Miami back in Billy and Maria. What could go wrong? 1293 01:02:29,600 --> 01:02:34,160 Speaker 3: Florida Miami Vandy, Diego, Diego, Eastern Michigan. I got you 1294 01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:37,480 Speaker 3: to sneak a trash one on there, and your hogs 1295 01:02:37,840 --> 01:02:40,280 Speaker 3: got five on the agree head to head. I've been 1296 01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:44,320 Speaker 3: dominating you this week, this year two and now we 1297 01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:48,480 Speaker 3: didn't find a single one. How we have no arguments? 1298 01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:51,640 Speaker 2: Well, hold on, SMU. I mean if you want to 1299 01:02:51,640 --> 01:02:53,360 Speaker 2: find an argument on more, we can try. But I 1300 01:02:53,360 --> 01:02:55,240 Speaker 2: mean that SMU overtime loss was crushing. 1301 01:02:55,760 --> 01:03:00,160 Speaker 3: I'd look your card. God, go up the action at. 1302 01:03:00,920 --> 01:03:02,280 Speaker 2: I have a lot of total's not a lot of 1303 01:03:02,280 --> 01:03:03,040 Speaker 2: signs this week. 1304 01:03:04,120 --> 01:03:07,280 Speaker 3: Excuse you won't get trashy. 1305 01:03:08,120 --> 01:03:10,320 Speaker 2: Kind of badly wanted to show you and go against. 1306 01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:12,400 Speaker 3: I'll even let you. I have twenty four a half. 1307 01:03:12,440 --> 01:03:13,680 Speaker 3: I'll even give you twenty two and a half. I 1308 01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:15,800 Speaker 3: give you bad number. I give you good numbers every week. 1309 01:03:16,000 --> 01:03:17,640 Speaker 3: You want to know you minus twenty two and a half. 1310 01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:20,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I do the numbers. Come on the number. 1311 01:03:20,400 --> 01:03:25,440 Speaker 3: Temple Baby outrageous how gifts coming your way on Saturday 1312 01:03:25,480 --> 01:03:28,200 Speaker 3: right in their early slate. That'll do it for us. 1313 01:03:28,320 --> 01:03:29,440 Speaker 3: By the way, make sure you check out the Group 1314 01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:31,200 Speaker 3: of Five Guys. Make sure you check out the New 1315 01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:33,840 Speaker 3: Favorites podcast. Make sure you check out the NFL podcast. 1316 01:03:33,920 --> 01:03:35,920 Speaker 3: Myself and Chris rave on the Action Network podcasts, all 1317 01:03:35,960 --> 01:03:38,720 Speaker 3: them the Favorites, Action workodcasts. Wherever you listen to podcast. 1318 01:03:38,720 --> 01:03:40,520 Speaker 3: Makes you subscribe on Scraps of Scrap tail Friend nine 1319 01:03:40,520 --> 01:03:42,880 Speaker 3: to five nine bad beat for the voicemails, thanks to 1320 01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:46,840 Speaker 3: our producer Matt Mitchell. All right, make you trave on 1321 01:03:46,840 --> 01:03:49,520 Speaker 3: Scrap Subscribe, tell friends on Amy you know the deal. 1322 01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,120 Speaker 3: Thanks to com for joining me most poorly. Thanks to 1323 01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,840 Speaker 3: all of you for tuning in. Let's have a profitable 1324 01:03:54,920 --> 01:03:57,800 Speaker 3: trashy weekend. We'll see you Saturday ten thirty am you 1325 01:03:57,840 --> 01:04:00,640 Speaker 3: soon for the live show and there will be trash. 1326 01:04:00,800 --> 01:04:02,360 Speaker 3: Thanks again for listening. Cat your later cheers. 1327 01:04:02,480 --> 01:04:18,400 Speaker 2: Peace Out Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If 1328 01:04:18,440 --> 01:04:21,040 Speaker 2: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem, 1329 01:04:21,280 --> 01:04:23,920 Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight 1330 01:04:24,000 --> 01:04:24,800 Speaker 2: hundred gambler