1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:09,120 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, from. 2 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: The heart where innovations, money and power, Collie in Silicon 3 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 2: Valley and beyond. 4 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:18,440 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow. 5 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 4: I'm Caroline Heidet Bloomberg's World headquarters in New York, and 6 00:00:35,360 --> 00:00:35,840 Speaker 4: I met. 7 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 5: Lover in San Francisco. Happy Friday. This is Bloomberg Technology Long. 8 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 6: Week coming up. 9 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 4: We'll discuss the regulatory overhang for Apple, I mean the 10 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,560 Speaker 4: Justice Department's sweeping lawsuit against the iPhone maker. 11 00:00:46,600 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 6: Full analysis ahead, Plus we'll. 12 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 5: Get to read on the IPO ecosystem after a Steri 13 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 5: Labs and Reddit went public this week with strong debuts. 14 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 6: And talking of the big week. 15 00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 4: Bitcoin actually set for one of his worst weeks of 16 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 4: the year, as ETF demand that slows. 17 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:04,759 Speaker 6: We'll discuss that and so much more throughout this hour. 18 00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 5: Of Apple doj antitrust lawsuit against them and on Thursday 19 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:13,319 Speaker 5: session it had a real material impact on the stock. 20 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 5: You can see actually we're sort of recovering up four 21 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 5: ten to percent in the session, but I still think 22 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 5: it was notable that finally there was a headline about 23 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,639 Speaker 5: antitrust relating to Apple, and there was a clear stock 24 00:01:24,680 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 5: reaction in that session Thursday. What happens next is the 25 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:31,199 Speaker 5: big question from all. Let's bring in Bloomberg's Mark German, 26 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 5: chief correspondent covering Apple. What's changed in the last twenty 27 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 5: four hours since we last spoke. Do we have any 28 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 5: signals from how Apple's going to respond to this suit? 29 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 3: Yeah? I think reading through the lawsuit reveals a lot. 30 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 3: It reveals that the Department of Justice had been working 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 3: on the case for so long that I would say 32 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 3: about sixty to seventy percent of their major points are 33 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 3: things that have already been resolved. Apple doesn't believe, of course, 34 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:01,280 Speaker 3: they would say this that the case holds much water. 35 00:02:01,400 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 3: They don't believe that they're a monopoly. They seem to 36 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:08,200 Speaker 3: find it perplexing that the government is trying to position 37 00:02:08,240 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 3: them a monopoly, whereas they believe they only have about 38 00:02:10,960 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 3: twenty percent global smartphone market share. I think that Apple 39 00:02:15,720 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 3: is prepared for a fight here. I doubt they're going 40 00:02:18,480 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 3: to settle. They've settled in some cases, but I don't 41 00:02:21,320 --> 00:02:24,400 Speaker 3: think that Tim Cook has shown a willingness to settle. 42 00:02:24,480 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 3: I think Apple believes and based on my read of 43 00:02:28,360 --> 00:02:32,680 Speaker 3: the lawsuit, I'm not seeing much harm towards consumers. I'm 44 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 3: seeing a lot of harm towards developers. I'm seeing harm 45 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 3: towards partners and some rivals. But again, here are their 46 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:44,360 Speaker 3: top five issues the Department of Justice. A lack of 47 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 3: cloud gaming support, allowed of message interoperability, a lack of 48 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:53,240 Speaker 3: super apps, which are things like we Chat, a lack 49 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:57,519 Speaker 3: of support for third party smart watches to the same 50 00:02:57,560 --> 00:03:00,359 Speaker 3: degree as the Apple Watch, and a lack of support 51 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 3: for Apple Pay the NFC chip on third party applications. 52 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,959 Speaker 3: I think of those five items, at least three, I 53 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:09,960 Speaker 3: would say even three and a half of those items 54 00:03:10,160 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 3: have already been resolved. I expect the messages situation and 55 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 3: the NFC situations to be resolved as well. But taking 56 00:03:18,600 --> 00:03:21,040 Speaker 3: a step back here, you know, despite that, I don't 57 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,640 Speaker 3: think the DJ is making great arguments given the resolutions 58 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:28,040 Speaker 3: already in place. You have to be honest here. A 59 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 3: lot of these resolutions are in place because Apple has 60 00:03:30,840 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 3: been afraid of this impending DOJ lawsuit for several years, 61 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 3: and they knew these were where they would be attacked, 62 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 3: and so they knew they had to fix them. It 63 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:43,240 Speaker 3: just for some reason, Apple implementing the fixes didn't stop 64 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 3: the DOJ from moving forward anyways, This is. 65 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:46,840 Speaker 6: A global company. 66 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 4: Tim Cook in China at the moment seemingly all smiles 67 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 4: and some conversations happening with Baydoo around potential generative AI. 68 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 4: Of course, as many would say, as expected, that was 69 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 4: all street journal reporting, Mark. But what seems to be 70 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:06,000 Speaker 4: at stake here is a philosophical difference. Philosophy driving Apple 71 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,120 Speaker 4: and the way in which wants its own ecosystem to work, 72 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 4: and a. 73 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 6: Philosophy that seems to be changing. 74 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 4: Tach among regulators in the US and Europe is still 75 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 4: looking at Apple as a whole, not just individual places that 76 00:04:17,160 --> 00:04:18,440 Speaker 4: they act monopolistically. 77 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, a few things. Well, of course Tim Cook is 78 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 3: going to be all smiles in China. He really has 79 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 3: no other option. China is a very important market and 80 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:32,880 Speaker 3: Tim Cook is a poker player. He's not going to 81 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 3: show his true feelings about this DOJ lawsuit, certainly not 82 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 3: in front of the press and in a public setting 83 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:43,040 Speaker 3: as China is. You know, Apple stock took a big 84 00:04:43,120 --> 00:04:46,080 Speaker 3: hit yesterday. I could think of ten better reasons for 85 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,479 Speaker 3: you to sell your Apple stock than what's in this 86 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 3: DOJ lawsuit. Apple will certainly have to implement changes. I 87 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 3: would imagine that what you've saw in the European Union 88 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 3: regarding the digital market, sac changes, appside loading, opening up 89 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:00,839 Speaker 3: the NFC chip, You're going to see a lot of 90 00:05:00,839 --> 00:05:03,760 Speaker 3: those changes over the next years occur in the US. 91 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 3: But I don't think that's going to do much to 92 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:09,200 Speaker 3: change the fundamental situation with Apple. They're making a lot 93 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 3: of money from the app store. They need to figure 94 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 3: out a way to bring a next big hardware category 95 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,440 Speaker 3: to market. Everyone thought that was the car. That's probably 96 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 3: what could have added fifty to one hundred billion or 97 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 3: more to Apple's bottom line on an annual basis. That's 98 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,559 Speaker 3: what I could have doubled Apple's market cap to several 99 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 3: more trillion over time. That's no longer happening, and so 100 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 3: now I think the biggest issue for Apple is not regulation. 101 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:36,839 Speaker 3: It's not how the app store is going to be impacted. 102 00:05:37,160 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 3: It's how Apple is going to continue to grow its 103 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,679 Speaker 3: hardware business. And don't forget, seventy five percent of Apple 104 00:05:41,680 --> 00:05:44,919 Speaker 3: revenue is still hardware. Fundamentally, they are a hardware company, 105 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 3: and so they really need to figure out how they 106 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 3: expand there. But still AI, that's another important component, and 107 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 3: they need to figure out that situation too. 108 00:05:53,040 --> 00:05:55,599 Speaker 4: Need the next catalyst, Mark German, We thank you for 109 00:05:55,680 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 4: really breaking that all down, and we. 110 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 6: Want to just delve into the overhand from. 111 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 4: A regulatory perspect to go a little bit more and 112 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 4: the nuances around it. 113 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 6: William Cover chitches with. 114 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,880 Speaker 4: Us George Washington Law School, Global Competition Professor of Law 115 00:06:05,920 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 4: and Policy work at the CMO of and UK at 116 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 4: one point, and William to that, and we all know 117 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:14,280 Speaker 4: that these sorts of legal wranglings are distraction. How much 118 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 4: impact do you think you will have on a business model. 119 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 7: I think the distraction comes from the number of people 120 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 7: inside the company you have to commit to support the litigation. 121 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 7: We don't know what that number is, but the experience 122 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 7: in other major cases is that this can be a 123 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 7: significant drag on the company. You have also the inhibition 124 00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 7: that comes from the pending lawsuits. Companies don't want to 125 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:38,880 Speaker 7: provide additional ammunition for prosecutors. It means that they're not 126 00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 7: quite as agile, not quite as adroit in developing business programs. 127 00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:47,520 Speaker 7: I realize these are somewhat intangible consequences, but then cumulatively, 128 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:49,800 Speaker 7: when you take all of the developments we've just been 129 00:06:49,880 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 7: talking about, in the United States and abroad. It's an 130 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 7: avalanche of regulatory oversight that has to sap to some 131 00:06:57,400 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 7: extent the creative energy of the company. 132 00:07:01,000 --> 00:07:05,000 Speaker 5: Mister Kovachich, we sometimes talk about in this program regulating 133 00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 5: through the courts, you know, a legal action to get 134 00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 5: a result, that's the bigger picture. Is there an avenue 135 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,000 Speaker 5: where Apple and the DOJ can just work this out 136 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:15,000 Speaker 5: outside of court? 137 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 7: I would think there's always the possibility of reaching a solution. 138 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 7: The solution, though, is going to have to be one 139 00:07:21,480 --> 00:07:25,760 Speaker 7: that persuades the just This Department that the overall aim 140 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 7: of any specific settlement is not subject to evasion by 141 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 7: additional adjustments in. 142 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:32,160 Speaker 3: The business model. 143 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 7: They'll have to be confident that the solution is one 144 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:37,840 Speaker 7: that they can monitor and oversee effectively. I think that 145 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,880 Speaker 7: there would be a willingness to discuss settlements. But a 146 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 7: major message that has come from the age agencies in 147 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:48,160 Speaker 7: the US in recent years is a great deal of 148 00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 7: skepticism about the efficacy of many settlement arrangements and doubts 149 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,840 Speaker 7: about how readily you can implement them and be effective. 150 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:59,520 Speaker 5: In your reading of the suit itself, do you think 151 00:07:59,560 --> 00:08:00,560 Speaker 5: the JAY. 152 00:08:00,840 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 8: Has a point here? 153 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,160 Speaker 7: They do have a point, and the point is one 154 00:08:05,200 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 7: that in a sense involves again a collection of intangible considerations. 155 00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 7: But there's anxiety about the possibility that incumbent firms that 156 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:19,160 Speaker 7: have a significant market position, will, through a variety of tactics, 157 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:23,040 Speaker 7: diminish the emergence of alternative technologies and. 158 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:24,080 Speaker 3: New business models. 159 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 7: That concern might be very much the feeling that anti 160 00:08:28,240 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 7: trust law failed in the last thirty years to deal 161 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:35,080 Speaker 7: effectively with the emergence of new tech. And I believe 162 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 7: a state of mind and perspective that has a tight 163 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 7: grip on the agencies is that they're not going to 164 00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:44,960 Speaker 7: allow the permissiveness of the past to continue. And it 165 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:46,959 Speaker 7: means that they're going to dig in and look carefully 166 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:50,439 Speaker 7: at anything that appears to be an effort by an 167 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 7: incumbent to see that new technologies, new business approaches do 168 00:08:55,360 --> 00:08:56,040 Speaker 7: not emerge. 169 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:57,959 Speaker 6: This is dj action. 170 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 4: We've seen FTC have a similar focus. But sometimes this 171 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:07,199 Speaker 4: is political. In an election year, does this sort of continue. 172 00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 7: I'm going to give you a bit of speculation that 173 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 7: I could never prove in a rigorous way, but I 174 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:18,079 Speaker 7: noticed that President Biden's opponent in many instances has been 175 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 7: skeptical of tech. Now that skepticism has been focused in 176 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 7: particular on the information services platforms that are involved in 177 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 7: involved in advertising, involved in social messaging. 178 00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 3: But it was Donald Trump's Justice. 179 00:09:31,080 --> 00:09:35,320 Speaker 7: Department that initiated the Google search monopolization case. It was 180 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:39,080 Speaker 7: Donald Trump's Federal Trade Commission that began the lawsuit against 181 00:09:39,120 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 7: Meta for its acquisition of Instagram. It could entirely be 182 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:46,240 Speaker 7: possible that, at least for tech, given the way their 183 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 7: political contributions go, given his concern about the role they've 184 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,600 Speaker 7: played in his own electoral process in the past, that 185 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 7: he may look at the FTC in the Department of 186 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 7: Justice and say, keep up the good work. 187 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 4: It was a Trump as well when this was first 188 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:04,480 Speaker 4: initiated to Apple back in twenty nineteen, William cover Chich, 189 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:05,199 Speaker 4: we thank you so much. 190 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:07,439 Speaker 6: George Washington Law School, absolutely brilliant to get his take. 191 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 4: Mean while coming up, Look, we're going to be chatting 192 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 4: to a head moderator of Reddit forum all street bets. 193 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 4: You know you know it, well, I's going to be 194 00:10:15,120 --> 00:10:18,040 Speaker 4: joining us find out how reddits ipo, how much the 195 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 4: effect to the user base there's in Bloomberg Technology. 196 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 5: The fourth largest IPO of the year, Reddit climbed forty 197 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,640 Speaker 5: eight percent on its first day of trading yesterday, after 198 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 5: pricing at the top of its marketed range, raising seven 199 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 5: hundred and forty eight million dollars. Let's bring in Bloombo's 200 00:10:48,000 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 5: Katie Ruth, who has lived and breathed reddits ipo this week. 201 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 5: That's true. I mean for many people, I would say 202 00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 5: this went well. 203 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 8: This ipo. 204 00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 6: So it did the first day. 205 00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 9: Right now it's trading down, although yes, technically it's still 206 00:11:01,720 --> 00:11:05,240 Speaker 9: above well above the IPO price, it's not really much 207 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:08,360 Speaker 9: above where it opened yesterday. And so I think there's 208 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 9: two numbers to watch here. It's the thirty four dollars 209 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:12,959 Speaker 9: where priced at the top of the range, and that's 210 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:16,400 Speaker 9: where the insiders, you could say, the institutional investors that 211 00:11:16,480 --> 00:11:19,120 Speaker 9: have banker connections, that's where they bought. And then some 212 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,640 Speaker 9: some of Reddit's top users were able to buy at 213 00:11:22,640 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 9: that price. And then there's everybody else which bought it 214 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 9: that forty seven dollars a share where it opened yesterday, 215 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:30,320 Speaker 9: and right now it's trading at. 216 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:31,400 Speaker 8: Forty seven ish. 217 00:11:31,600 --> 00:11:35,000 Speaker 9: So and it was actually dipped below that opening price 218 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:37,199 Speaker 9: this morning for a little bit, so some people could 219 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 9: have already lost some money on Reddit. But you know, 220 00:11:40,600 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 9: most are making money. 221 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 4: And certainly long term investors have cashed in here potentially, Katie, 222 00:11:46,280 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 4: I'm interested as to what this means for ongoing IPOs, 223 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:53,480 Speaker 4: what this means more broadly, for money left on the table. 224 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 6: We want IPOs to do well. 225 00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:58,400 Speaker 4: Bankers certainly do, but the people raising the money don't 226 00:11:58,400 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 4: want them to go too well and feel that they 227 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 4: could have rais Yeah, the money left on. 228 00:12:02,440 --> 00:12:05,240 Speaker 9: The table argument is an interesting one. It sounds like 229 00:12:05,280 --> 00:12:08,079 Speaker 9: what you're referencing is where they could have raised even 230 00:12:08,120 --> 00:12:10,719 Speaker 9: more money and had less of a pop. I think 231 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 9: it's too early to tell whether Reddit allowed for too 232 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:15,880 Speaker 9: much of a pop. You know, as I noted, it's 233 00:12:15,920 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 9: already trading lower today, and you know, we'll see what 234 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,720 Speaker 9: happens next week. But you know, it depends on what 235 00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 9: they're optimizing for. If they if they're just optimizing for 236 00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 9: raising a little bit more cash, then you want to 237 00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 9: price it high. But you don't want to make a 238 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 9: bad first impression on the stock market because it could 239 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:36,040 Speaker 9: be really hard to recover from that. And so that's 240 00:12:36,160 --> 00:12:38,480 Speaker 9: you know, the argument that the bankers will make about 241 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:42,719 Speaker 9: why they price it to pop. They also want these insiders, 242 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 9: these large anchor investors to keep buying more shares you know, 243 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 9: in this IPO and ips to come, and they're not 244 00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:52,240 Speaker 9: going to do that. They're not going to take that 245 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,600 Speaker 9: risk on a new listing on the first day unless 246 00:12:55,640 --> 00:12:57,760 Speaker 9: they feel like they're getting some sort of discount. 247 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:01,720 Speaker 4: Katie with go get some thank you so much as 248 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 4: we brace for more IPOs to come in the next 249 00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 4: few weeks, I'm sure, but well, we want to get 250 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:06,559 Speaker 4: a take. 251 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:09,400 Speaker 6: On how the users, those redditors are. 252 00:13:09,360 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 4: Feeling about the company's IPO. They had a chance to 253 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 4: buy in, and of course we know the a vocal bunch. 254 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:15,960 Speaker 4: Nor ours with us as a senior analyst and private 255 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,320 Speaker 4: equity back to healthcare company. There's also been a Reddit 256 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:21,160 Speaker 4: user for more than ten years, a moderator for the. 257 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:22,719 Speaker 6: Forum Wall Street Bets for. 258 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:26,439 Speaker 4: Nine, spending the most recent three years as a head moderator. 259 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 4: He joins us now to tell us more well basically 260 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 4: about Reddit's debut. How has Wall Street bets, How has 261 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:33,240 Speaker 4: your community reacted? 262 00:13:33,360 --> 00:13:35,319 Speaker 6: Have you been positive on it? 263 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 3: It's really been a mixed bag. 264 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 10: There's a ton of positivity but also a lot of 265 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 10: people excited to short byputs. But Paul and all, they're 266 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:46,079 Speaker 10: just excited for the volatility, and that's absolutely what we're 267 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:46,880 Speaker 10: seeing here today. 268 00:13:47,400 --> 00:13:50,280 Speaker 5: Nor last week on the show, we reported on the 269 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,559 Speaker 5: post that Reddit made itself saying we're going to do 270 00:13:53,600 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 5: an AMA and we will answer the questions in video format, 271 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 5: selecting the most up to posts. At the time that 272 00:14:01,960 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 5: we reported it on this program, the most upvoted post 273 00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,720 Speaker 5: is why are you even going public? It's not a 274 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 5: great vibe right now. Just give me your reaction to that. 275 00:14:10,080 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 5: I mean, it's the function of Reddit ironically pushing the 276 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:16,200 Speaker 5: management to think again. 277 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 10: Absolutely, yeah, I think this is actually a great time 278 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 10: for Reddit to IPOs I'm surprised. Certainly there was a 279 00:14:23,520 --> 00:14:26,080 Speaker 10: lot of turmoil over the past year, but if you 280 00:14:26,120 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 10: look at what came out of that from a business perspective, 281 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 10: it's actually been very positive. We saw with the Reddit 282 00:14:31,200 --> 00:14:36,280 Speaker 10: protests that actually people found Reddit completely indispensable. There was 283 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 10: so much opportunity for a competitor to take reddits place, 284 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 10: and nothing came out of it. So this just goes 285 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,080 Speaker 10: to show how deeply ingrained Reddit is in the zeitgeist 286 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:47,960 Speaker 10: and that it's here to stay. 287 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 5: Nor there are many redditors and indeed moderators that have 288 00:14:51,600 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 5: big concerns on reddits plan to license user and platform 289 00:14:56,640 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 5: data to AI companies to use it to train la lens. 290 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 5: What's your position on it from. 291 00:15:02,720 --> 00:15:05,240 Speaker 10: A business perspective, It's definitely a risk. We're seeing that 292 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 10: the FTC is also looking into this, but it is 293 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 10: a huge opportunity and Reddit owns something that is very 294 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 10: special for lllms, and that is real time user reactions 295 00:15:17,280 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 10: to what's going on in the world around us, and 296 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 10: that's something that I think no other platform has. So 297 00:15:23,080 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 10: it's a great opportunity for Reddit to make money off 298 00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 10: of that and then turn around and invest that money 299 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:29,840 Speaker 10: in improving the user experience. 300 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:33,160 Speaker 4: No, I want to ask about the evolution of moderation, 301 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 4: because money would say in anticipation in the IPO, reditor 302 00:15:37,440 --> 00:15:41,160 Speaker 4: really read it, really got ahead of ensuring that this 303 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,240 Speaker 4: became a safer space to. 304 00:15:43,200 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 6: Be able to comment. Does that stand? 305 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 4: How has anything been lost in the focus of needing 306 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 4: to clean up the platform. 307 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 10: We've definitely lost a little bit of the chaos and 308 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:57,280 Speaker 10: grit that you would have seen on Reddit ten fifteen 309 00:15:57,360 --> 00:16:01,080 Speaker 10: years ago. And although that lose some of its charm, 310 00:16:01,160 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 10: I think it's more reflective of the state of the 311 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:07,160 Speaker 10: Internet rather than Reddit as a platform itself. We're seeing 312 00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:14,880 Speaker 10: all platforms, social media platforms censor in response to government 313 00:16:14,960 --> 00:16:18,640 Speaker 10: regulations and laws that have been placed on hate speech 314 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:19,840 Speaker 10: and other types of speech. 315 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:24,400 Speaker 3: So Reddit is actually maintaining. 316 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,120 Speaker 10: Its position as the front page of the Internet and 317 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 10: simply reflecting what is on the Internet through these policy changes. 318 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:35,040 Speaker 4: Wall streetbats was what we talked about day in, day 319 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:38,960 Speaker 4: out in twenty twenty one through twenty twenty two name 320 00:16:39,040 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 4: being made around GameStop, the power that reditors had in 321 00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 4: that moment. What do you think the powers of redditors 322 00:16:46,080 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 4: around the Reddit stock itself. 323 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 10: It'll be interesting to see It'll be interesting to see 324 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 10: you when redditors feel empowered that the actions they take 325 00:16:53,480 --> 00:16:57,360 Speaker 10: on the platform can make a meaningful impact on the 326 00:16:57,400 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 10: stock price of Reddit itself. Like with the game Stop debacle, 327 00:17:02,320 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 10: we saw over a billion page views in a very 328 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,199 Speaker 10: very short period of time in a month, and we 329 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:10,160 Speaker 10: saw that continue for several months. So to think that 330 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:14,040 Speaker 10: redditors now who are might be investors themselves, can have 331 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,240 Speaker 10: a positive impact on the stock will simply deepen their 332 00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:20,240 Speaker 10: relationship with the company and with the platform. 333 00:17:20,520 --> 00:17:22,920 Speaker 5: No, we just have thirty seconds for someone that has 334 00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,040 Speaker 5: no idea what Reddit is what's your pitch for them 335 00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:27,320 Speaker 5: to get onto the platform. 336 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:30,800 Speaker 10: Reddit is a city that is incredibly deep, with countless 337 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 10: communities to fill every need that you knew or didn't 338 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:37,399 Speaker 10: know that you are interested in learning more about. If 339 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:41,159 Speaker 10: you've got an intellectual curiosity that can't be satisfied, Reddit 340 00:17:41,240 --> 00:17:41,879 Speaker 10: is the place for you. 341 00:17:42,640 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 5: Head moderator for and Wall Street bets on Reddit, and 342 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:49,000 Speaker 5: I point out that moderators are volunteers to all intents 343 00:17:49,040 --> 00:17:51,119 Speaker 5: and purposes and are how great to have you on 344 00:17:51,160 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 5: the program. 345 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:02,280 Speaker 4: Time Now tech first Up mayto one's quarterly revenue, it 346 00:18:02,320 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 4: climbed better than expected twenty three percent. Now that's a 347 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,119 Speaker 4: sign that the company is actually making some headway in 348 00:18:07,160 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 4: its efforts to fend off a challenge from Byte Dances 349 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:12,919 Speaker 4: Doyen in China's meal delivery arena. Now shares in the 350 00:18:12,920 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 4: company are up this year after losing more than half 351 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 4: of their value in twenty twenty three. Plus Wawei and 352 00:18:18,840 --> 00:18:21,760 Speaker 4: a secretive chip making partner in China, Well, they file 353 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,439 Speaker 4: patterns for a lower tech but potentially effective way to 354 00:18:24,560 --> 00:18:26,359 Speaker 4: make advanced semiconductors. 355 00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:30,280 Speaker 6: And we're talking about self aligned quadruple patterning here or SAQP. 356 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:33,800 Speaker 4: Basically, it's raising the prospect that China could improve chip 357 00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,000 Speaker 4: production techniques despite. 358 00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 6: US efforts to hold its progress. 359 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 4: And lastly, Tesla, we'll go chick with steck with China 360 00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:43,440 Speaker 4: here because it's reduced production at its plants over there 361 00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,200 Speaker 4: amid us some sluggish growth and EV sales and intense 362 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 4: competition in the. 363 00:18:46,720 --> 00:18:48,200 Speaker 6: World's biggest all code auto market. 364 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,959 Speaker 4: Now the car maker has instructed employees at its Shanghai 365 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 4: facility to lower production of the Model Y and Model three. 366 00:18:54,680 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 4: That's two vehicles that Tesla actually makes over there in 367 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,240 Speaker 4: China by working just five days a week instead of 368 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 4: usual six and a half half days. 369 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 6: All of this, according to sources. 370 00:19:03,960 --> 00:19:08,719 Speaker 5: British audience in the UK pay attention. Vodaphone and Three's 371 00:19:08,840 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 5: UK combination is facing a deep check by the UK 372 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:16,520 Speaker 5: Competition Markets Authority, the CMA, the regulator. They issued a 373 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 5: statement Friday saying they're concerned and they don't buy the 374 00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:25,520 Speaker 5: argument from Vodafone and three that combining the two would 375 00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:30,200 Speaker 5: mean better deals for customers. Vodaphones London listed shares actually 376 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 5: at one point eight percent with a little to go, 377 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:37,919 Speaker 5: but it's an interesting story about consolidation in that market. 378 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:38,680 Speaker 8: This is Bloomberg. 379 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:48,439 Speaker 6: Welcome back to me new MEOT technology. I'm Caroline Hid 380 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 6: in New. 381 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 8: York and I'm Ed Ludlow in San Francisco. 382 00:19:51,440 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 4: Let's talk about this whole new wave of IPO names. 383 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 4: Read at Asteri Labs debuting this week and just whether 384 00:19:57,440 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 4: or not that's going to open up the pipeline. A 385 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:02,160 Speaker 4: little bit more broadly, eyipa Practice Co had richual Garings 386 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:05,920 Speaker 4: here to take basically on the feel good factor right now. 387 00:20:06,160 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 4: Thus far these companies have come to the market and come. 388 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,880 Speaker 6: Well, does that mean suddenly the. 389 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 4: Yours the other names that we've been waiting for for 390 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,200 Speaker 4: a long time, I'm gonna be galvanized. 391 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 6: Do you think it. 392 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: Definitely helps the momentum for what we're expecting in the 393 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 1: IPO market, the pipeline that. 394 00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 11: We're seeing come through. As you all, we're noting. 395 00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: Though, the post IPO performance of these companies that even 396 00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 1: the ones before them, will really help continue setting the 397 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:35,120 Speaker 1: stage and help influence what will continue coming to market 398 00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:37,320 Speaker 1: over these next several months and throughout the remainder of 399 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: twenty four We've got. 400 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 11: You know, positive momentum. 401 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,159 Speaker 1: The trends are all going in the right way, but 402 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 1: not without its challenges. We're in a political you know cycle, 403 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,720 Speaker 1: a political election cycle this year, so you know there's 404 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 1: going to continue to be elements and dynamics. 405 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 4: That everyone's going to have to navigate, dynamics being also 406 00:20:56,359 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 4: that the market is hungered for hungry for AI names. 407 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,119 Speaker 4: When you're advising these companies, when that are coming to 408 00:21:02,160 --> 00:21:04,280 Speaker 4: you saying I want to navigate the quidity events, I 409 00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:05,640 Speaker 4: want to analyze the market. 410 00:21:05,960 --> 00:21:07,440 Speaker 6: Do you think about. 411 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,359 Speaker 4: Basically where they need to be dining out on AI 412 00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:11,880 Speaker 4: for example, Well. 413 00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:16,399 Speaker 1: A AI is certainly something drawing a lot of focus interests, 414 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,760 Speaker 1: particularly from investors, and when we think about AI, I 415 00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 1: think about it in kind. 416 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,280 Speaker 11: Of a few different buckets. You got the pure play. 417 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: AI companies, those that are developing the technology. There is 418 00:21:27,359 --> 00:21:30,720 Speaker 1: a lot of continued interest in this area, particularly in. 419 00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 11: The private financing space. 420 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,439 Speaker 1: So these companies are generally getting funded and where we 421 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 1: start seeing a flood of you know, ideos from them 422 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:42,400 Speaker 1: over the coming months, and ye're meeting at onesie twosies, 423 00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: but they're getting the financing they need, they're developing the technology. 424 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,000 Speaker 1: But then I also look at other companies and how 425 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:52,600 Speaker 1: they're employing AI within their companies and relative. 426 00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,360 Speaker 11: To their strategy. We're seeing that play out. 427 00:21:54,440 --> 00:21:58,400 Speaker 1: We're going to continue, not without skepticism from investors, kind 428 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: of proving it to me. And you've got those kind 429 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:02,720 Speaker 1: of in the broader ecosystem that we're seeing right now 430 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:06,000 Speaker 1: and how they're contributing to the A to AI in 431 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,520 Speaker 1: that broader ecosystem, and we're going to continue seeing those 432 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 1: come to market as well. 433 00:22:10,200 --> 00:22:12,119 Speaker 5: Rachel, this is exactly what I was writing about in 434 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,760 Speaker 5: my column in Tech Daily this morning, that Reddit, for example, 435 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:20,040 Speaker 5: got its AI story right going into the IPO, you know, 436 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 5: the data licensing business. I think what would be interesting 437 00:22:23,600 --> 00:22:26,200 Speaker 5: to learn from you is what's more important that in 438 00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 5: the S one process and the road show you sell 439 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 5: your AI story or is it more important that actually, 440 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,440 Speaker 5: now a company like Reddit is listed, they can prove 441 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 5: they have an AI business, you know, after the fact 442 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 5: that it's actually real. 443 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 11: I think both are critical for obvious reasons. 444 00:22:44,359 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 1: But where we're seeing, you know, even when you're putting 445 00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: that into your S one, going through your road shows, 446 00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 1: investors asking you know, to prove it. So it's that 447 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:58,200 Speaker 1: more it's not just about writing about the possibility and 448 00:22:58,520 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 1: the idea. 449 00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,639 Speaker 11: But what have you done even up to this point to. 450 00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: Share with investors how you're proving this out, how you 451 00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:10,040 Speaker 1: truly have a strong plan that you're then now executing on. 452 00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,520 Speaker 1: And then proof will be in the putting post IPO, 453 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,360 Speaker 1: how you're coming out and continuing to execute. 454 00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,239 Speaker 11: And perform to back all of that up. 455 00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,680 Speaker 1: And so as we continue to watch the performance of 456 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 1: these stocks, you know, two months from now, three months 457 00:23:23,359 --> 00:23:26,200 Speaker 1: from now so forth, they've got to continue demonstrating that 458 00:23:26,320 --> 00:23:29,320 Speaker 1: performance and stay good on the promises and commitments they made. 459 00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,639 Speaker 5: Rachel, how do you assess this week, this week's IPO window. 460 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 5: I don't even know if we call it window versus 461 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 5: what we saw in September. 462 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,640 Speaker 1: You know, this is to me demonstrating, you know, we've 463 00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:47,680 Speaker 1: got investor interest around IPOs. The companies that are coming 464 00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,240 Speaker 1: to market right now is what we've expected. They're stilled, 465 00:23:50,320 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: they're large, they have a name, they have some history, 466 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,320 Speaker 1: you know, performance history behind them as well. So the 467 00:23:56,680 --> 00:24:00,360 Speaker 1: risk profile is one of an appetite that's attracting investors. 468 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:01,600 Speaker 6: As they continue to. 469 00:24:01,600 --> 00:24:04,359 Speaker 1: Perform, hopefully that starts to open up opportunity for more 470 00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,440 Speaker 1: the growth oriented companies to start coming to market and 471 00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:10,720 Speaker 1: really help drive some momentum and valumes over time getting 472 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:12,200 Speaker 1: inspect to those historical norms. 473 00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,160 Speaker 11: But this is it's going to be instead a steady recovery. 474 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,520 Speaker 1: We're not expecting a big, you know, balloon if you will, 475 00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:22,480 Speaker 1: or huge kind of spike. A steady recovery is what 476 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:24,840 Speaker 1: we've continued to expect throughout twenty twenty four. 477 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 11: As we continue to see the market rebound. 478 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,800 Speaker 4: I'm chure what's the motivating factor here? Med It wanted 479 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 4: IPO for years. 480 00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:35,000 Speaker 6: Says twenty twenty one. It was about a liquidity event. 481 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 4: For employees largely, but I'm sure time for investors to 482 00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:39,360 Speaker 4: have some money back. 483 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 6: What's driving other names? 484 00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,400 Speaker 11: Everyone had their facts and circumstances. 485 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:45,840 Speaker 1: Some's going to be you know, they're going to be 486 00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,640 Speaker 1: anchoring around valuations and are they getting to a valuation 487 00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:54,080 Speaker 1: that they're expecting liquidity for employees, for other founders a 488 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,320 Speaker 1: lot of PE right, we're going to start seeing how 489 00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: how is PE going to start driving valuume. They've been 490 00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: having some companies they've been holding for quite some time. 491 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:03,920 Speaker 1: They want to start entering back into the M and 492 00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 1: A market. As we see rates coming down, hopefully we'll 493 00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,480 Speaker 1: see more M and A activity even more from pe. 494 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,880 Speaker 1: I think that's going to start influencing some exit from 495 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:15,120 Speaker 1: their stage as well. 496 00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 4: We want to thank you ey IPO Practice cohad Rachel 497 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 4: goering there on the IPO landscape where we just want 498 00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 4: to stick with well companies going public none all of 499 00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,639 Speaker 4: them do IPOs, some of them do SPACs. 500 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 6: And former President Donald Trump's. 501 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 4: Media startup is likely to debut as a public company. 502 00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 6: In coming days. Having voted today on whether. 503 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:37,560 Speaker 4: Blank Check Company Digital World acquisition can proceed with taking 504 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 4: Trump Media and Technology Group public. It runs, of course 505 00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:44,080 Speaker 4: truth Social the platform, and it's been a long delayed 506 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:46,480 Speaker 4: deal and seemingly has now approved. And a number of 507 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:49,680 Speaker 4: insiders from management to sponsors and even former associates who 508 00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:52,399 Speaker 4: soone to stall or block the deal stand to pocket 509 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 4: millions of dollars and what have you got? 510 00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:57,400 Speaker 5: Okay, Coming up on the program, we're going to dive 511 00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,520 Speaker 5: into the world of climate investing AI. What on earth 512 00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,800 Speaker 5: happened this week in IPOs, everything and anything that we've 513 00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 5: spoken about this week with Initialized Capital partner Kim Mai Cutler. 514 00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:10,120 Speaker 5: Really looking forward to that conversation. Next, this has Bloom 515 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 5: their technology. This is the Blackwell GPU or graphics processing 516 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:34,200 Speaker 5: unit in Vidia's next generation AI accelerator, and it's the 517 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:38,080 Speaker 5: star of GtC in Vidia's annual developers conference, which has 518 00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 5: been dubbed the Woodstock for AI. 519 00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:42,800 Speaker 8: The B two hundred is more powerful than the H 520 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:43,840 Speaker 8: one hundred. 521 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,960 Speaker 5: The prior generation AI accelerator that's driven in video to 522 00:26:47,040 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 5: be the world's third most valuable company compared to Hopper. 523 00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 5: Blackwell offers two point five times the performance for training 524 00:26:54,200 --> 00:26:57,920 Speaker 5: large language models and five times performance for running the model, 525 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 5: a process known as inference. In offer Blackwell in different forms, 526 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,760 Speaker 5: including is the GB two hundred super chip, two Blackwell 527 00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 5: GPUs and one Grace CPU in combination. Trays and trays 528 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,840 Speaker 5: of GB two hundred go into liquid called rack scale 529 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 5: systems like this and ship to server companies and cloud 530 00:27:15,000 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 5: providers for their data centers. It's a market that Nvidia's 531 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 5: CEO says will start at two hundred and fifty billion 532 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 5: dollars annually and grow from there. The technology is capable 533 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:29,639 Speaker 5: of processing AI models with one trillion parameters. GtC crowds 534 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:33,280 Speaker 5: literally circled around the single demo server rak in droves. 535 00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:39,000 Speaker 8: The real thing start shipping in late twenty twenty four, so. 536 00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:43,119 Speaker 5: Among everything else, GtC ended last night, Caro, and you 537 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:45,840 Speaker 5: know it was all about bow down to Blackwell. 538 00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:46,760 Speaker 8: And the deity. 539 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 5: Whether you're an AI startup founder or you are ADEL 540 00:27:49,800 --> 00:27:53,159 Speaker 5: or an infrastructure company, bow down to Jensen Wang and 541 00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:56,000 Speaker 5: in that might sound extreme, but trust me, they're on 542 00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:56,440 Speaker 5: the ground. 543 00:27:57,040 --> 00:27:57,960 Speaker 3: It was true. 544 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,000 Speaker 4: And share prices really read benefit as well, not so 545 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,600 Speaker 4: much of Nvidio, but sort of those that he anointed 546 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:05,840 Speaker 4: the synopsis of this world, you say, Dell as well, 547 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,800 Speaker 4: some of these companies managing to push on higher because 548 00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:11,600 Speaker 4: we are starting to see how they're able to tap 549 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 4: into this ecosystem that basically is the driving force from 550 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,879 Speaker 4: an infrastructure perspective of everything that we now talk from 551 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,800 Speaker 4: a value perspective in well public. 552 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:21,480 Speaker 6: And private markets. 553 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 5: And as we've been saying, the show, get the AI 554 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,119 Speaker 5: story right, because AI was also a big part of 555 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,639 Speaker 5: the story. Yesterday, for Reddits public listing Day, Initialized Capitals 556 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:35,200 Speaker 5: celebrated the IPO of its portfolio company, which is banking 557 00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 5: on licensing its users data to builders of large language 558 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:43,360 Speaker 5: models to fuel reddits growth. Let's bringing Initialized Capital partner 559 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:44,760 Speaker 5: k in my cutler for more. 560 00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 8: In today's VC Spotlight. 561 00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 5: I wrote in my column today Reddit got the AI story, right, 562 00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:54,960 Speaker 5: I just thought it was really interesting that they went 563 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:55,520 Speaker 5: there with that. 564 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 8: What did you make of it? 565 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,240 Speaker 12: I mean, I think it's a tremendous day or the 566 00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 12: whole team there for Steve, for Alexis. You know, that 567 00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:07,320 Speaker 12: company in particular has a long history and close ties 568 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:10,920 Speaker 12: obviously with Sam Altman who runs openings, and so I 569 00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:14,320 Speaker 12: think that relationship over the last decade and more really 570 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:19,400 Speaker 12: benefited their ability to ride this wave and rend itself 571 00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:22,160 Speaker 12: as an incredible consumer internet property. I mean, I'm a 572 00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,720 Speaker 12: user multiple times a day every day. I mean the 573 00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:26,840 Speaker 12: wealth of information that I have in all the different 574 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 12: like subcommunities, and the way that people talk honestly and 575 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,280 Speaker 12: openly and freely about. 576 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 6: What they think. 577 00:29:33,400 --> 00:29:36,480 Speaker 12: You know, it's just an incredible data source and training set. 578 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:39,080 Speaker 5: So what I find so interesting, particularly in the context 579 00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 5: of where Initialized will deploy capital, right, the types of 580 00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 5: startups that you'd invest in is redd It's an example 581 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:47,680 Speaker 5: of where you don't need to be a builder of 582 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,840 Speaker 5: large language models or an infrastructure play to be a 583 00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,240 Speaker 5: participant in what's happening in AI. Do you have any 584 00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:57,760 Speaker 5: parallel examples of companies you think will benefit from the 585 00:29:57,920 --> 00:29:59,440 Speaker 5: infrastructure investment that's happening. 586 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,720 Speaker 12: I think for us, you know, we've long done many, 587 00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 12: many different deals that have you know, very specific applications 588 00:30:07,680 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 12: to different workflows and different industries. So for example, you know, 589 00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 12: you could think about the healthcare use case. We have 590 00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,840 Speaker 12: a company called glass Health that supports medical professionals and diagnoses. 591 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,560 Speaker 12: We have another company called Parta that you know serves 592 00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:24,400 Speaker 12: as an AI copilot for financial compliance. And so there's 593 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:28,680 Speaker 12: all these different specific industries with specific like legal requirements, 594 00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:32,600 Speaker 12: workflows and ways that people work that will need you know, 595 00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 12: very very honed and refined applications of these foundational. 596 00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:37,760 Speaker 6: Models and kill. 597 00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 4: It's a long way coming for some of these checks 598 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 4: that you've made into the Glass Health that you mentioned, 599 00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 4: pano arenas, some of these other AI adjacent names that 600 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:47,840 Speaker 4: you've invested in. 601 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 6: How are you thinking about exit strategy? 602 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:50,560 Speaker 1: Though? 603 00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 4: Longer term, what's been so interesting about this week was 604 00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:58,200 Speaker 4: also the Microsoft basically acqua hire of Inflection Stuff assum 605 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,720 Speaker 4: when originally of DeepMind go Mean to be the head 606 00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,960 Speaker 4: of consumer AI from Microsoft. It feels as though big 607 00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 4: tech juggernals are partnering in. 608 00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 6: More and more innovative ways to some of the larger 609 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 6: language model companies. But how cool does that go for 610 00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:11,880 Speaker 6: the entire ecosystem here? 611 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:15,120 Speaker 12: Yeah, I mean, I think some of the developments that 612 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:19,200 Speaker 12: we've seen this week are reflection of consolidation in players 613 00:31:19,240 --> 00:31:22,800 Speaker 12: in the foundational market, the foundational model market. So obviously 614 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:24,920 Speaker 12: they're there are companies that are far at a way 615 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,920 Speaker 12: you know, have tremendous you know, revenue you know, like 616 00:31:29,000 --> 00:31:33,960 Speaker 12: revenue run rates and thinking like Shatgypt and Nanthropic, and 617 00:31:34,000 --> 00:31:36,440 Speaker 12: then companies that aren't quite at that level or don't 618 00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:40,200 Speaker 12: have that same level of revenue growth are having to 619 00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:42,520 Speaker 12: make different decisions about you know, what they need to 620 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 12: do given the cost of compute and the cost of 621 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 12: going forward. You know, I think, you know, as a 622 00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 12: seat stage investor, we have companies that we're working with 623 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:54,840 Speaker 12: for you know, we might be working with them for 624 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,719 Speaker 12: five to ten ten years before we go you know public. 625 00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:00,560 Speaker 12: And you know, if I look at the early you know, 626 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,560 Speaker 12: some of the earlier friends, our previous IPOs like Instacurrent, 627 00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 12: Coybats have also had you know, a very positive momentum 628 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,400 Speaker 12: over the last six six months, two a year. And 629 00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 12: then going forward, we're going to have companies that perhaps 630 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 12: you and I will be talking about in five, seven 631 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 12: or ten years. 632 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 4: What's been interesting this week in the context of AI, 633 00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,720 Speaker 4: whether it's US China relations, but there's also a context 634 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:28,120 Speaker 4: more broadly of where the government plays with this. 635 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:30,400 Speaker 6: We had or cause, the big announcement from. 636 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 4: Intel getting more subsidies to be able to be building 637 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:35,240 Speaker 4: here in the United States, and I know that's something 638 00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:36,240 Speaker 4: that you're thinking a lot about. 639 00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 6: In the context of climate. 640 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:41,240 Speaker 4: Technology as well, we have money being pushed from the 641 00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 4: EV perspective this week, regulation being pushed from an EV 642 00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:48,400 Speaker 4: perspective to really perhaps enhance electric vehicle manufacturing here in 643 00:32:48,440 --> 00:32:51,280 Speaker 4: the US. Can I when you're thinking about the opportunity 644 00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:55,040 Speaker 4: IRA or another way of investing in climate tech, does 645 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:55,800 Speaker 4: that stick. 646 00:32:57,080 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 8: Absolutely? 647 00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:02,560 Speaker 12: I mean, you know, the government, the IRA has provided 648 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:05,760 Speaker 12: a number of you know, carrots and sticks, predominantly carrots 649 00:33:06,440 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 12: that have tremendously expanded the market for some of our companies. So, 650 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 12: for example, having more punitive measures around methane emissions is 651 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:16,520 Speaker 12: a is a real benefit to one of our company's, Orbio, 652 00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 12: which is using satellite imagery to really pinpoint methane leaks 653 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 12: from specific facilities. You know, the incentives and the IRA 654 00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:31,080 Speaker 12: around you know, revenue or purchase. Government purchases of carbon 655 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,480 Speaker 12: removal are also helping to mature that market. And we 656 00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,840 Speaker 12: have another company in southern California from a former SpaceX 657 00:33:37,880 --> 00:33:42,160 Speaker 12: engineer called Clarity that is doing carbon dioxide removal at uh, 658 00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 12: you know, with lower energy intensity and usage and costs. 659 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,600 Speaker 5: I'm sure because right at the top of your blog 660 00:33:47,680 --> 00:33:50,080 Speaker 5: post which I read this morning, you were talking about 661 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:50,800 Speaker 5: the Chips Act. 662 00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:54,080 Speaker 8: Yeah, at lower down at the early stage. Is there 663 00:33:54,120 --> 00:33:56,960 Speaker 8: any benefit felt by the Chips Act in terms of 664 00:33:57,120 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 8: inflation Reduction Act? 665 00:33:58,200 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 1: Right? 666 00:33:58,280 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 12: Inflation reduction? That's right, I mean, there's there's there's obviously 667 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,560 Speaker 12: benefits from both. But like if we're talking about you know, 668 00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:08,400 Speaker 12: a long term investment in you know, the United States 669 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:14,279 Speaker 12: ability around manufacturing and deep tech, I think that's you know, 670 00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 12: bringing in a lot of like tax rep you know, 671 00:34:17,360 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 12: tax credits and tax incentives around building facilities here in 672 00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:23,399 Speaker 12: this country. So for example, you know, to to really 673 00:34:23,520 --> 00:34:26,480 Speaker 12: get carbon removal to the next stage, we're going to 674 00:34:26,520 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 12: have to see facilities all over you know, the United States, 675 00:34:30,280 --> 00:34:33,719 Speaker 12: particularly in you know, in the Southwest where Clarity is 676 00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,960 Speaker 12: looking to do its first production facility and its first 677 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,280 Speaker 12: facility as well. And that's going to create a tremendous 678 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,160 Speaker 12: amount of jobs for all kinds of Americans. 679 00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:43,200 Speaker 5: Innationalist capital partner, can I cut look great to have 680 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:44,840 Speaker 5: you here on set in San Francisco. 681 00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:45,200 Speaker 8: Thank you. 682 00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:54,839 Speaker 3: I love playing just there. 683 00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 11: So this is one of the things that we all 684 00:34:56,920 --> 00:35:00,440 Speaker 11: have enabled me to do something that I wasn't able to. 685 00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 12: Really do much the last few years, especially not like this. 686 00:35:06,040 --> 00:35:07,840 Speaker 3: I had to use like a mouth stick and suffer. 687 00:35:08,080 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 3: Now it's well, it's all being done with my brain. 688 00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 4: Just part of a live stream with Neuralink's first brain 689 00:35:15,239 --> 00:35:19,040 Speaker 4: implant patient, showing a quadriplegic man who was able to 690 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 4: play video games and online. 691 00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:22,520 Speaker 6: Chess using just his mind. 692 00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:25,440 Speaker 4: Neuralink, of course, is a brain technology startup founded by 693 00:35:25,480 --> 00:35:28,919 Speaker 4: Elon musk Is. Implant allows a patient to use their. 694 00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:30,680 Speaker 6: Thoughts to control a computer. 695 00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:31,480 Speaker 7: Ed. 696 00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 5: Bitcoin has peeled back more than ten percent from its 697 00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,160 Speaker 5: all time high and maybe headed for one of its 698 00:35:37,239 --> 00:35:40,160 Speaker 5: worst weeks of twenty twenty four. This is the appetite 699 00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:43,560 Speaker 5: the spot Bitcoin ETF seems to be slowing down. Big 700 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:47,000 Speaker 5: Go CEO Mike Belshe joins us, Now that was the intro. 701 00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 5: What do you think is happening right now? With Bitcoin. 702 00:35:50,480 --> 00:35:53,520 Speaker 13: Well, usually I do not like to predict price, but 703 00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,919 Speaker 13: I think we're at a very very good time. Of course, 704 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:58,800 Speaker 13: there's some consolidation, as saying, I guess in the space 705 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,560 Speaker 13: that hey, if you're not ready for my twenty percent drops, 706 00:36:01,560 --> 00:36:03,840 Speaker 13: you're certainly not ready for my six hundred percent increases. 707 00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:06,520 Speaker 2: But overall, what we're seeing some consolidation. 708 00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:09,040 Speaker 13: The ETFs just launched, we've seen tremendous run up in 709 00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:11,480 Speaker 13: a very short period of time. A little bit of 710 00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:14,560 Speaker 13: pullback is happening, but you know, all of the macro 711 00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:19,400 Speaker 13: climate remains extremely bullish for bitcoin, primarily due to what 712 00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:21,719 Speaker 13: people know about the long term just what we care 713 00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:25,959 Speaker 13: about most at bitco, which is look term macro looks 714 00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:27,879 Speaker 13: like we're still going to be very solid with having 715 00:36:27,920 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 13: a static supply of bitcoin being something that you can 716 00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,239 Speaker 13: count on that doesn't get eroded. And of course, you 717 00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:37,600 Speaker 13: know fiat currencies continuing to do massive changes with debt 718 00:36:37,840 --> 00:36:40,839 Speaker 13: and deficits and no sign of change for that front. 719 00:36:41,600 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 3: Bitcoin. 720 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,200 Speaker 4: We've got the Harbing coming up as well, potentially another 721 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:48,160 Speaker 4: underpinning of price. But who's been getting into these ETFs 722 00:36:48,160 --> 00:36:48,800 Speaker 4: and we've been able. 723 00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:49,560 Speaker 6: To manage flow his mine. 724 00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:50,719 Speaker 2: We have a little bit. 725 00:36:51,040 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 13: Actually, so far, I think it's been mostly the smaller 726 00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:58,000 Speaker 13: ticket sizes. So remember, institutions move pretty slowly, pretty glacially. Frankly, 727 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:00,880 Speaker 13: I think we've seen a wave of retail here over 728 00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:03,160 Speaker 13: the last two and a half months. I think it's 729 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,920 Speaker 13: getting a little bit bigger. But the institutions, you know, 730 00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,200 Speaker 13: we've seen some smaller hedge funds come in, Larger hedge 731 00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,719 Speaker 13: funds will come in. Pension funds are coming, endowments are 732 00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:15,200 Speaker 13: already here. So now that we have an ETF available, 733 00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,439 Speaker 13: which is the distribution channel, which makes it super easy 734 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:20,000 Speaker 13: for everybody to participate. It takes a little bit of 735 00:37:20,040 --> 00:37:22,080 Speaker 13: time to go through investment committees, but I think that 736 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,759 Speaker 13: we're starting to see that run up happen now all 737 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 13: through the summer at rhymes. 738 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,040 Speaker 2: So you should say it eightyk by May. 739 00:37:29,040 --> 00:37:32,480 Speaker 8: In the moment the calendar its and the harving, what happens? 740 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:33,040 Speaker 8: Do you think? 741 00:37:34,560 --> 00:37:34,600 Speaker 3: So? 742 00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,440 Speaker 13: The having is an interesting pattern that people look at, 743 00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:40,680 Speaker 13: but I think really the most interesting part is the 744 00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:44,680 Speaker 13: long term meaning of the having. So bitcoin has a 745 00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:47,719 Speaker 13: monetary policy which was set in motion back in two 746 00:37:47,760 --> 00:37:50,600 Speaker 13: thousand and nine, and it has remained completely unchanged since 747 00:37:50,640 --> 00:37:53,719 Speaker 13: that time. It's the longest standing unchanged monetary policy in 748 00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 13: the history of mankind, and this having is a demonstration 749 00:37:57,160 --> 00:38:00,840 Speaker 13: that bitcoin has a solid commitment, unchangeable commitment to that policy, 750 00:38:00,840 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 13: which we'll keep going. So with the having the supply 751 00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 13: decreases on a block by block basis, which means that 752 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,880 Speaker 13: we see a lower rate of inflation. Some measure this 753 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,400 Speaker 13: stock to flow and other measurements of how you compare 754 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:13,280 Speaker 13: that to other assets? 755 00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:13,440 Speaker 7: Right? 756 00:38:13,480 --> 00:38:16,439 Speaker 2: How they but bitcoins in a very good stead is one. 757 00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:20,120 Speaker 13: Of the most static supply assets on the planet, him 758 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:21,800 Speaker 13: will she It's been great to catch up with you. 759 00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,759 Speaker 4: Thank you so much bitco ceo. As we have seen, 760 00:38:24,840 --> 00:38:27,960 Speaker 4: of course, one of the worst weeks for bitcoin this year. 761 00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:30,560 Speaker 4: That does it for this though edition of BlueBag Technology. 762 00:38:30,640 --> 00:38:33,320 Speaker 5: Yet what a week has been. What an ends of 763 00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,200 Speaker 5: the week? Check out the podcast. So many of you 764 00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:38,520 Speaker 5: are listening to the podcast. The platforms are Apple, Spotify, 765 00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:41,239 Speaker 5: iHeart and of course we publish to all of our 766 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:45,040 Speaker 5: own platforms here at Bloomberg from San Francisco and New 767 00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:45,640 Speaker 5: York City. 768 00:38:46,320 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 8: This is Bloomberg Technology