WEBVTT - Stanley Cup Finals Game 1 Preview (Ep. 708) 0:00:00.920 --> 0:00:04.640 Good afternoon everyone, and welcome into the NHL Stanley Cup 0:00:04.640 --> 0:00:07.440 Playoffs live stream here on the Fantasy Pros Twitch channel. 0:00:07.440 --> 0:00:11.080 And finally, the Stanley Cup Finals start tomorrow. 0:00:11.600 --> 0:00:12.799 Very excited about that. 0:00:12.920 --> 0:00:15.480 I am Tyler Connye am joined as always by Betting 0:00:15.480 --> 0:00:17.360 Pros NHL expert Kelly Kirby. 0:00:17.440 --> 0:00:18.800 Now, the last time we. 0:00:18.680 --> 0:00:21.680 Did this on Friday, you were very cool, very calm, 0:00:21.760 --> 0:00:23.239 very relaxed as an Oilers fan. 0:00:23.560 --> 0:00:25.480 Now that we're on the eve of game one, has 0:00:25.520 --> 0:00:27.000 that changed or how are you feeling? 0:00:27.680 --> 0:00:31.159 Yeah, it's a little different bit, you know. 0:00:31.280 --> 0:00:33.440 Now it's like, oh, now we have to actually go 0:00:33.560 --> 0:00:35.760 do something and watch it, and so yeah, I'm a 0:00:35.760 --> 0:00:37.760 little I'm a little more tense. But I think it's 0:00:37.800 --> 0:00:42.199 just all that space between having such cocky confidence and 0:00:42.280 --> 0:00:44.800 not actually seeing them do anything. So I'm sure as 0:00:44.800 --> 0:00:47.559 soon as they score tomorrow, like all right, we're good, 0:00:47.600 --> 0:00:48.760 we're fine, We're going to sweep. 0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:51.720 It's the jitters of the fans is the players. Once 0:00:51.800 --> 0:00:53.400 day I get a few shifts in there, or get 0:00:53.400 --> 0:00:55.279 a few shots, get a goal, even then they can 0:00:55.360 --> 0:00:57.360 kind of settle into it. I feel like it's very 0:00:57.440 --> 0:00:58.640 much the same for fans too. 0:00:58.680 --> 0:01:00.240 Once you get into the rhythm of the game. 0:01:00.320 --> 0:01:03.520 So thankfully it is finally starting. As a reminder, we 0:01:03.520 --> 0:01:06.200 are live each and every Tuesday and Friday right here 0:01:06.240 --> 0:01:08.560 on Twitch through the end of the Stanley Cup Finals. 0:01:08.680 --> 0:01:10.479 And if you are watching this on YouTube or listening 0:01:10.560 --> 0:01:12.720 on the audio feed, be sure to follow and subscribe 0:01:12.959 --> 0:01:15.520 at twitch dot tv slash Fantasy Pro so you can 0:01:15.560 --> 0:01:17.720 come hang out watch it live. If you have a question, 0:01:17.720 --> 0:01:19.880 if you have a comment, feel free to drop it 0:01:20.040 --> 0:01:23.440 into the chat there. So last time we talked, which 0:01:23.480 --> 0:01:26.160 was Friday, we did a breakdown of the series what 0:01:26.240 --> 0:01:28.160 we thought sort of all the key matchups were, so 0:01:28.200 --> 0:01:31.000 before we get into the game one specifics, did just 0:01:31.040 --> 0:01:34.480 want to recap what our bets were for the series. 0:01:34.520 --> 0:01:36.240 So I'll let you take the lead on that. 0:01:36.840 --> 0:01:39.039 Of course you will, because you know I'm going way 0:01:39.040 --> 0:01:41.240 out on a limb on this. I actually told uh two, 0:01:42.280 --> 0:01:44.600 I told two guys that. They were like, oh, it's 0:01:44.600 --> 0:01:46.200 going to be a great series. I was like, nah, 0:01:46.200 --> 0:01:47.880 I'll be over and four games and they looked at 0:01:47.920 --> 0:01:51.320 me like I was just insane. So but I did 0:01:51.360 --> 0:01:53.680 place a small little bit on the series being a sweep. 0:01:53.680 --> 0:01:56.320 At plus six hundred, I don't mind a five games either, 0:01:57.400 --> 0:01:59.440 just because those odds are really good and I think 0:01:59.480 --> 0:02:03.080 there's a ants, but you know, again they're risky. So 0:02:03.880 --> 0:02:07.160 I also like McDavid to have the most points. The 0:02:07.240 --> 0:02:09.799 time I said it was plus two seventy. I did 0:02:09.800 --> 0:02:12.079 not check it today, but I imagine it has dropped down 0:02:12.120 --> 0:02:15.200 just a smidge. But I'm also cool with Kuchuk. I mean, 0:02:15.240 --> 0:02:17.600 you give me plus one thousand that a panther might 0:02:17.639 --> 0:02:20.600 have the most points, I'll take it. And I feel 0:02:20.600 --> 0:02:22.480 like he gets overlooked in the playoffs and what he 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:23.119 did last year. 0:02:23.840 --> 0:02:25.960 Yeah, and the way the series went in the West 0:02:26.000 --> 0:02:27.960 and went in the East. You know, a sweep is 0:02:28.000 --> 0:02:29.840 never completely out of the realm of possibility. 0:02:29.960 --> 0:02:30.560 Is it likely? 0:02:30.639 --> 0:02:30.799 No? 0:02:30.880 --> 0:02:33.680 But at plus six hundred, could it happened one out 0:02:33.720 --> 0:02:35.400 of every five or six times, which is how we 0:02:35.440 --> 0:02:38.639 always talk about plus money doesn't necessarily mean that it's 0:02:38.639 --> 0:02:41.239 going to happen this time, but over the course of time, 0:02:41.720 --> 0:02:44.560 making these bets will eventually pay off. I'm a little 0:02:44.600 --> 0:02:46.600 bit a little bit more simplistic. I do have a 0:02:46.639 --> 0:02:48.480 big one up there too, but I like the Willers 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:51.080 to win the Cup. It was minus one ten. I 0:02:51.120 --> 0:02:53.560 also haven't checked the updated odds, but I am assuming 0:02:53.600 --> 0:02:55.639 that based on Game one it might have shifted a 0:02:55.680 --> 0:02:57.800 little bit, maybe one fifteen minus one twenty. 0:02:57.960 --> 0:02:58.760 Still fine with that. 0:02:59.200 --> 0:03:01.440 Then I like the oiler to win tomorrow night Game 0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:04.799 one and win the Cup. That's a parlay, pre made parlay. 0:03:04.800 --> 0:03:06.400 You can get it a lot of books, fan dual 0:03:06.480 --> 0:03:09.560 DraftKings of that nature. And then Sam Bennett, who is 0:03:10.080 --> 0:03:12.280 got the most goals in the Stanley Cup playoffs. He's 0:03:12.280 --> 0:03:15.240 plus eleven hundred, so that's something Nick a cash without 0:03:15.240 --> 0:03:18.160 the Panthers even winning the series. Theoretically, if he's the 0:03:18.160 --> 0:03:21.880 only player that scores for the Panthers, I will take that. 0:03:22.120 --> 0:03:26.200 So those are our favorite bets overall for this series 0:03:26.360 --> 0:03:30.079 as we get into it. So even though it's been 0:03:30.200 --> 0:03:32.800 five days of really not a lot, at the same time, 0:03:33.280 --> 0:03:35.880 it hasn't been nothing. So I think the biggest question 0:03:35.960 --> 0:03:38.760 with that, I wanted to ask you about. Carter McDavid 0:03:39.120 --> 0:03:41.600 threw a little wrinkle into all these plans over the 0:03:41.640 --> 0:03:44.360 weekend when he left practice after about five minutes he 0:03:44.400 --> 0:03:46.680 was seen talking with the trainer. Oil's so come out 0:03:46.720 --> 0:03:49.320 and said there's absolutely no concern with him missing Game one. 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:53.640 It's all precautionary. But does that concern you at all? 0:03:55.240 --> 0:03:58.960 I mean, yeah, Like I think we can all agree 0:03:58.960 --> 0:04:00.920 there's no way they win this if McDavid goes down 0:04:00.920 --> 0:04:04.200 for any amount of time. I maybe, I guess, you know, 0:04:04.200 --> 0:04:06.880 there's always a small chance, but I would like to 0:04:06.880 --> 0:04:08.640 think I really am hoping this is some of that 0:04:08.680 --> 0:04:11.080 Hackey gamesmanship that you always like to talk about where 0:04:11.800 --> 0:04:14.880 teams will just lie straight up or just not say 0:04:14.920 --> 0:04:17.120 anything for a while. So maybe he was just he's 0:04:17.200 --> 0:04:20.479 just trying to be sneaky. But I sincerely like, yeah, 0:04:20.480 --> 0:04:23.200 he is the one that cannot go or else, all 0:04:23.240 --> 0:04:25.360 of a sudden, the series looks entirely different. 0:04:25.680 --> 0:04:27.280 Yeah, and that's kind of the thought I had too. 0:04:27.400 --> 0:04:30.680 Is this maybe a little sort of sneaky, like he 0:04:30.760 --> 0:04:34.080 doesn't need to practice. We saw, you know, throughout the 0:04:34.080 --> 0:04:36.480 playoffs a lot of the star players, Austin mattal of 0:04:36.480 --> 0:04:40.479 these guys aren't practicing just because why risk anything. So 0:04:40.600 --> 0:04:42.960 is that maybe a little bit of gamesmanship of let's 0:04:43.000 --> 0:04:44.200 just throw a little bit of seat of. 0:04:44.120 --> 0:04:44.919 Doubt in their mind. 0:04:45.520 --> 0:04:48.000 But then you're right if this, if it is something, 0:04:48.040 --> 0:04:50.760 maybe it's a tweak, whether it's an ankle, or a groin, 0:04:51.000 --> 0:04:53.800 or who knows that the way he skates, the way 0:04:53.839 --> 0:04:56.279 he plays, if that could turn into something, then all 0:04:56.279 --> 0:04:58.840 of a sudden, you flip this entire series upside down. 0:04:58.880 --> 0:05:01.760 He's the favorite for the cons oilers are the favorite 0:05:01.760 --> 0:05:04.040 to you know, win the cop win game one. All 0:05:04.080 --> 0:05:08.080 of a sudden, it brings all these other things into play. Obviously, 0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:09.919 it's very important to see how he comes out in 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:11.880 game one, But ahead of that, are you looking to 0:05:12.000 --> 0:05:14.640 change any bit, make any bets to head or you 0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:16.800 still just you know, let's see what happens here with 0:05:16.920 --> 0:05:17.839 McDavid in game one. 0:05:18.480 --> 0:05:20.159 Yeah, I mean I already you know, I did the 0:05:20.200 --> 0:05:22.279 heads for the for the Panthers when they were plus 0:05:22.279 --> 0:05:24.120 one twenty five to win the Cup, just because I 0:05:24.160 --> 0:05:28.160 have the oilers. That's such significant plus money that I'm 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:31.080 going to come out ahead either way. If he goes down, 0:05:31.200 --> 0:05:34.520 I mean, yeah, you're gonna change your player props pretty significantly. 0:05:34.560 --> 0:05:37.160 I would start undering a lot of things. I would 0:05:37.200 --> 0:05:39.320 under goals, I would, you know. It's but as long 0:05:39.360 --> 0:05:42.240 as he's healthy, then I'm back to looking at more 0:05:42.279 --> 0:05:46.480 overs than not. So it's a yeah, it's just I mean, 0:05:46.520 --> 0:05:48.119 and I think in a lot of series, there's always 0:05:48.160 --> 0:05:50.400 that one guy. Unfortunately, if Florida doesn't really have the 0:05:50.440 --> 0:05:53.679 one guy, they could lose one or two and probably 0:05:53.680 --> 0:05:55.640 be okay. But like, I mean, we have McDavid and 0:05:55.720 --> 0:05:57.719 dry Settle. If either one goes down, I don't see. 0:05:57.839 --> 0:05:59.800 But for sure Connor, so it's. 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:01.719 A big it's in big trouble for sure. That's something 0:06:01.760 --> 0:06:02.640 I just wanted to ask. 0:06:02.640 --> 0:06:05.279 When you're looking at a series like this, obviously the 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:07.320 lines are going to be pretty sharp, it's the only 0:06:07.360 --> 0:06:10.080 game in town. Are there any key props that you 0:06:10.120 --> 0:06:13.040 look to in a series like this, like whether it's says, 0:06:13.120 --> 0:06:15.320 whether it's shots, Is there anything you try to hone 0:06:15.320 --> 0:06:17.440 in on when maybe we get end up getting a 0:06:17.480 --> 0:06:19.479 five and a half or a six line that's so 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:20.240 razor thin. 0:06:21.200 --> 0:06:24.360 Yeah, I mean I look at I like goalies, and 0:06:24.400 --> 0:06:26.880 then again you'll kind of I think we'll kind of 0:06:26.920 --> 0:06:29.280 know after game one where this is sitting, Like right now, 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:33.039 I'm on the over. But if if it gets tight, 0:06:33.080 --> 0:06:34.960 I mean then you start looking under undershots on goal 0:06:35.000 --> 0:06:38.119 you start looking at unders points. I hate doing under points, 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:41.279 but like if you're looking at two, one, three one games, 0:06:41.320 --> 0:06:43.240 it's like that's just the safer way to go about it. 0:06:43.360 --> 0:06:46.680 So the first game, I'm still kind of I'm on 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:48.839 the overs, but I also like the goalie unders or 0:06:48.960 --> 0:06:49.640 like skinner under. 0:06:49.680 --> 0:06:52.719 So it's just a very it's touchy, but you have 0:06:52.720 --> 0:06:54.119 to see how the how the whole thing rolls. 0:06:54.200 --> 0:06:55.840 I think yeah, and I think it's important way to 0:06:55.880 --> 0:06:58.559 look at it because way like one thing I always 0:06:58.600 --> 0:07:00.800 say is bet If betting was just pick who wins, 0:07:00.880 --> 0:07:03.320 then we'd all be ripped, right, because a lot of 0:07:03.320 --> 0:07:05.640 times you can pick who's going to win a basketball game, 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:08.200 a hockey game, but when the odds come into play, 0:07:08.680 --> 0:07:11.920 that needs to mathematically influence the way you bet. Becau 0:07:11.920 --> 0:07:14.280 If you're betting minus two fifties every time, you're not 0:07:14.320 --> 0:07:17.920 going to be profitable. So as things shift, as things change, 0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:19.840 you know, maybe you're not looking at sides, maybe you're 0:07:19.840 --> 0:07:21.600 not looking at totals, you're keying in on some more 0:07:21.600 --> 0:07:24.080 props like that. The other thing I want to ask 0:07:24.120 --> 0:07:25.800 you when it comes to a series like this, obviously 0:07:25.840 --> 0:07:28.160 there's a lot of star power here. Do you tend 0:07:28.200 --> 0:07:30.320 to look to the stars in a series like this, 0:07:30.400 --> 0:07:33.320 guys like McDavid, dry Sidle or do you tend to 0:07:33.320 --> 0:07:36.080 shy away, like I always think in baseball, particularly when 0:07:36.120 --> 0:07:38.000 you say Aaron Judge, for example, you get into a 0:07:38.000 --> 0:07:41.160 playoff series, he doesn't have the greatest playoff history, but 0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:43.840 the odds will kind of like push you to want 0:07:43.880 --> 0:07:45.640 to be betting these overs or something like that. So 0:07:45.680 --> 0:07:48.240 do you tend to shy away from the big name 0:07:49.120 --> 0:07:51.240 players in series? Is like this or is that where 0:07:51.240 --> 0:07:52.840 you try to key in on a little bit more. 0:07:53.400 --> 0:07:55.840 Yeah, I tend to key in a little bit, but 0:07:55.960 --> 0:07:58.360 I like to do like a little bit more combos, 0:07:58.400 --> 0:08:01.280 Like I'll take a one point even like significant odds, 0:08:01.320 --> 0:08:03.520 and I'll combine them with something else that has kind 0:08:03.520 --> 0:08:07.560 of significant ods just because yeah, they're gonna they're gonna 0:08:07.640 --> 0:08:10.760 they are begging you to go over on McDavid and 0:08:10.840 --> 0:08:12.760 dry title and they're gonna make those lines not all 0:08:12.800 --> 0:08:16.560 that friendly. But it's also hard to see, like you know, 0:08:16.600 --> 0:08:18.160 this is where we go back to the Nugent Hopkins, 0:08:18.160 --> 0:08:19.760 this is where we go back to the Brad Marshaans, 0:08:19.800 --> 0:08:23.680 Like like you start looking deeper, then, yeah, like if 0:08:23.680 --> 0:08:26.240 one of the lines on either team pops up, like 0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:28.320 the third line for Florida did in the first series, 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:30.720 it was like Okay, then that's who you're that's who 0:08:30.720 --> 0:08:32.120 you're looking at going forward. 0:08:33.080 --> 0:08:34.440 Yeah, I think it's an important way to look at 0:08:34.480 --> 0:08:38.000 it because again, the average you know, people probably not 0:08:38.120 --> 0:08:40.200 like us, that aren't betting on every single game and 0:08:40.240 --> 0:08:42.959 every single thing. They're just opening up their sportsbook app 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:45.000 and they're going, I want, what is the what are 0:08:45.040 --> 0:08:47.040 the props on Conor McDavid, What are the props on 0:08:47.120 --> 0:08:49.280 dry cyitle into Chuck? And that's what they're hammering. So 0:08:49.280 --> 0:08:51.720 I think it does open up some opportunity to maybe 0:08:51.800 --> 0:08:54.520 find those lesser known players, someone like Nugent Hopkins that 0:08:54.960 --> 0:08:56.800 how many times we've been on him in these playoffs 0:08:56.800 --> 0:09:00.679 and made made profits. So definitely different ways to approach that. 0:09:00.720 --> 0:09:03.199 Before we get into Game one specifically, and I want 0:09:03.240 --> 0:09:04.880 to ask you what you think about the total there. 0:09:05.000 --> 0:09:06.920 I didn't want to quickly tell you about an offer 0:09:07.040 --> 0:09:09.320 on fan duel. So if you want to boost your 0:09:09.320 --> 0:09:11.800 bets for Game one of the Stanley Cup Finals tomorrow night, 0:09:12.200 --> 0:09:15.160 New FANDUL customers can bet five dollars and win two 0:09:15.280 --> 0:09:18.760 hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. If that first 0:09:18.800 --> 0:09:20.920 bet hits, all you need to do is head over 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:24.680 to bettingpros dot com slash FanDuel to get started. That's 0:09:24.760 --> 0:09:28.880 bettingpros dot com slash FanDuel. Make your plays on FanDuel today. 0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:31.360 Place your bet on the Oilers or the Panthers five 0:09:31.400 --> 0:09:34.040 bucks and try to turn that into two hundred and 0:09:34.080 --> 0:09:37.199 fifty for the rest of the playoffs. So, now as 0:09:37.200 --> 0:09:40.880 we get into game one, the meat and potatoes of it. Initially, 0:09:41.600 --> 0:09:43.120 you know, we can look at the line and it's 0:09:43.880 --> 0:09:47.160 Oilers are favored by minus one thirty, so they're the 0:09:47.280 --> 0:09:49.800 pretty heavy favorite going into game one. Panthers are plus 0:09:49.880 --> 0:09:52.080 one fifteen. The line has not moved very much, so 0:09:52.120 --> 0:09:54.839 the only tick that's moved is the Panthers went from 0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:57.880 plus one ten to plus one fifteen. Oilers have stayed 0:09:57.880 --> 0:10:01.000 pretty steady at minus one thirty, and the total hasn't 0:10:01.000 --> 0:10:03.199 moved much either. It's six and a half six at 0:10:03.200 --> 0:10:05.800 some books, but for the sake of conversation, we're gonna 0:10:05.800 --> 0:10:07.920 say six and a half at plus money plus one 0:10:08.080 --> 0:10:10.439 ten and then it's juice to the under six and 0:10:10.480 --> 0:10:13.559 a half minus one twenty five. So Conference Finals was 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:15.640 the tale of two series. We hammered the overs for 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:17.520 the Oilers and the Stars we hammered the unders for 0:10:17.520 --> 0:10:20.720 the Panthers and the Canes. How do you think, particularly 0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:23.760 in Game one, do we think over do we think under? 0:10:24.920 --> 0:10:27.280 Well, yeah, I'm looking at the odds on on betting 0:10:27.280 --> 0:10:30.559 pros right now and Sugarhouse has over six at plus 0:10:30.559 --> 0:10:33.840 one oh four, which I would hit every second of 0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:37.120 every day. I don't mind an over six and a half. 0:10:37.679 --> 0:10:40.000 And again we talked about this, but like it's in Edmonton, 0:10:40.200 --> 0:10:42.960 and in Edmonton, I feel like I feel like the 0:10:42.960 --> 0:10:46.600 Oilers in Edmonton is just they just go and and 0:10:46.679 --> 0:10:48.480 I think that maybe, like you said, we talked about 0:10:48.520 --> 0:10:51.360 the Miles on Florida, like they've been they have been 0:10:51.360 --> 0:10:55.160 playing a lot of hockey in the last couple of years. VIBRASKI, 0:10:55.520 --> 0:10:57.480 you know, might come out a little bit like I'm 0:10:57.480 --> 0:11:02.680 not really sure. Here's all, here's this cocky, confident Oilers team. 0:11:02.800 --> 0:11:05.040 So I like the over here six and a half, 0:11:05.600 --> 0:11:08.400 but I'm very willing to adjust quickly to that. 0:11:09.120 --> 0:11:11.679 Yeah, and I've got to go get that number two 0:11:11.679 --> 0:11:13.760 because one of my favorite bets is over six, because 0:11:13.800 --> 0:11:15.560 I always take the around number when I can, if 0:11:15.559 --> 0:11:17.480 it's not too juicy. I got minus one eighteen, which 0:11:17.520 --> 0:11:19.520 I thought was great for a six, but if you 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:21.960 can get plus money on a six, I really like that. 0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:25.160 And I'm in the same boat. I think people don't 0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:29.200 that aren't maybe Edmonton fans or necessarily see a lot 0:11:29.240 --> 0:11:32.439 of their games. Their homice advantage is no joke. This 0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:35.440 is not your average home iice advantage this crowd is loud. 0:11:35.440 --> 0:11:38.080 Tickets are affordable, so you've got the hardcore. I mean, 0:11:38.400 --> 0:11:41.360 final tickets are going to be expensive, and relatively speaking, 0:11:41.679 --> 0:11:43.400 you've got your hardcore fan base in there. 0:11:43.440 --> 0:11:44.200 It's going to be loud. 0:11:44.240 --> 0:11:46.160 And we touched on a lot in the preview of 0:11:46.480 --> 0:11:49.640 this different attitude of this Oilers team, from touching the 0:11:49.720 --> 0:11:52.880 trophy to just the way they've been going about this 0:11:52.960 --> 0:11:54.800 that I feel like they come out and they just 0:11:54.960 --> 0:11:58.120 immediately pedal to the metal, try to get an early. 0:11:58.160 --> 0:11:59.840 I really like a goal in the first ten minutes 0:12:00.080 --> 0:12:02.800 this game. I don't feel like you're going to get 0:12:02.840 --> 0:12:06.000 this oh you know, touchy feely how we do and 0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:08.440 feeling each other out because they just played it last 0:12:08.520 --> 0:12:10.160 year in the Stanley Cup finals as well. It was 0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:12.360 almost there's that, you know, this thing of tchuck that's 0:12:12.360 --> 0:12:14.120 come out. We're in the handshake line, last year he 0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:16.440 said we'll see you next year, and that both teams 0:12:16.440 --> 0:12:18.240 just figured they were sort of destined to do this. 0:12:19.080 --> 0:12:20.520 I don't think you're going to get a lot of 0:12:20.559 --> 0:12:22.600 feeling out here. So I really like the idea of 0:12:22.640 --> 0:12:25.520 this being a pretty quick, high scoring, paced affair. I 0:12:25.520 --> 0:12:28.160 think Edmonton's really going to try to dictate the tempo 0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:31.240 of this game. But what do you think of the 0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:33.680 minus one thirty there on the oilers? 0:12:34.200 --> 0:12:36.120 I mean, I think that that makes sense honestly for 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.360 game one, if for people who are betting it, you know, 0:12:39.400 --> 0:12:41.040 because it's like you said, it started like minus one 0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:42.920 twenty or something. I mean, it was going to kind 0:12:42.920 --> 0:12:45.960 of go that way, specifically because it's an Edmonton I 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:50.040 don't necessarily believe wholeheartedly like minus one thirty is a 0:12:50.040 --> 0:12:52.280 great is a great number. I wouldn't go any I 0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.240 wouldn't go any lower. It gets to mis one forty one, 0:12:54.240 --> 0:12:55.760 mis one fifty and then there's there's nothing. 0:12:55.840 --> 0:12:56.560 I wouldn't touch it. 0:12:56.640 --> 0:12:59.920 But but maus one thirty, you can sort of justified 0:12:59.880 --> 0:13:00.559 it at that point. 0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:03.880 And I did take the minus one thirty sort of. 0:13:04.040 --> 0:13:07.400 So again, bet MGM always has a twenty percent boost, 0:13:07.520 --> 0:13:09.280 so I took the minus one thirty. It did bring 0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:12.200 it down to about minus one oh five. I just 0:13:12.400 --> 0:13:15.240 I am so sort of all eggs in the basket 0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:17.120 with the I mentioned oilers in this series and in 0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:19.800 this game particularly that I'd be willing to pay the 0:13:19.840 --> 0:13:20.559 minus one thirty. 0:13:20.559 --> 0:13:22.400 So I put it on there as well. But if 0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:23.800 you did want to get a little bit. 0:13:23.720 --> 0:13:26.240 Creative, I think that oilers and regulation is like plus 0:13:26.280 --> 0:13:26.920 one fifteen. 0:13:27.040 --> 0:13:30.040 I think I don't see Game one going to overtime. 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:30.559 I just don't. 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:32.640 I don't think we're going to get that type of game. 0:13:32.920 --> 0:13:34.920 What do you think about a regulation bet there? 0:13:35.200 --> 0:13:37.160 Yeah, I love your regulation bet. I saw that in there. 0:13:37.600 --> 0:13:40.440 I think that that's definitely that's great. But so if 0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:42.480 you want to stay off the minus one thirty, Yeah, 0:13:42.480 --> 0:13:44.840 I don't see it going overtime either. I think that 0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:47.440 I think one of the more likely outcomes would be 0:13:47.440 --> 0:13:49.080 that they build that lead and then kind of just 0:13:49.120 --> 0:13:53.559 sit on it. And I don't but you know, a skinner, 0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:55.280 he could let in four goals in the third period. 0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:58.280 We have no idea, but put in general, I think that, yeah, 0:13:58.320 --> 0:14:01.600 he I think that that's just the way to play. 0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:03.000 It is a sixty minute and. 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:04.600 I was gonna say there might be some potential there 0:14:04.640 --> 0:14:06.160 if you want to wait and live bet it. If 0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:08.679 the Panthers get that early lead and the Oilers come 0:14:08.720 --> 0:14:10.959 down to almost and even money, there's an opportunity to 0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:13.839 jump on them at that point. So lots of different 0:14:13.880 --> 0:14:16.840 ways to play game one. Some quick stats for you 0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:19.520 to get you more educated on this. Obviously, McDavid dry 0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:22.200 Sidle they're leading the way on playoffs scoring with twenty 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:25.040 six and twenty five points a piece. Sam Bennett, as 0:14:25.080 --> 0:14:27.400 I mentioned, leads the charge with ten goals. That's three 0:14:27.400 --> 0:14:29.920 ahead of dry Sidle. And then when you start looking 0:14:30.000 --> 0:14:31.480 into in a series like this, you're gonna have a 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:33.960 lot of X factor. There's a lot of goaltending. Both 0:14:34.000 --> 0:14:37.560 teams have started all three series in these playoffs on 0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:40.120 the road, and here we are in the finals. I 0:14:40.200 --> 0:14:43.160 mentioned the Edmonton home ice advantage, but then you look 0:14:43.160 --> 0:14:45.400 at the Panthers. They've started every series on the road 0:14:45.400 --> 0:14:48.040 and they've won all three series. Do you think this 0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.800 being a rematch having been there before? How much of 0:14:50.800 --> 0:14:52.880 home ice do you think will be a factor, not 0:14:52.920 --> 0:14:56.280 necessarily for the Oilers but against the Panthers, or are 0:14:56.280 --> 0:14:58.120 they going to be able to sort of block this out. 0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:01.240 Of course, it would freeze when talkalking about Oilers and 0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:06.880 fandom and homewaice advantage. Well before she gets back, what 0:15:07.000 --> 0:15:10.000 I wanted to mention is just the stats. 0:15:10.280 --> 0:15:10.840 Are you back? 0:15:11.320 --> 0:15:11.840 Am I back? 0:15:12.480 --> 0:15:12.880 You're back? 0:15:13.320 --> 0:15:17.520 Okay, okay, you remember that day that the thunderstorm started 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:20.240 at the exact time we literally just got going here. 0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:22.880 So sorry the joys of early June. 0:15:23.120 --> 0:15:23.880 But that's what I think. 0:15:24.240 --> 0:15:26.640 What I was saying with the like psychology, fantom and 0:15:26.840 --> 0:15:28.480 the energy in that building is going to I think 0:15:28.520 --> 0:15:30.720 it will throw the Panthers off a little bit. I 0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:34.320 think Oiler fans remember last year and remember how flat 0:15:34.360 --> 0:15:37.400 they came out, and and it's just they're just not 0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:40.680 gonna It's going to be so insane in there that 0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:43.320 unless Florida can score, I think they would almost have 0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:45.160 scored two goals in like the first period to. 0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:45.800 Get them to shut up. 0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:48.120 One goal is not going to do it, because every 0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:50.480 Oiler fan on Earth knows that the other team scores first. 0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:52.800 So that's what I like about the Oilers fans is 0:15:52.840 --> 0:15:54.800 they're not the type of fans that, if you know, 0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:56.760 save Florida's scores in their first five minutes. They're not 0:15:56.760 --> 0:15:59.720 going to quiet down like a lot of other arenas might, 0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:01.720 like we seen in Carolina, like we see in Toronto, 0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:03.920 They're going to be loud unless it's you know, because 0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:07.280 they can come back from three goals really not that difficult. 0:16:07.320 --> 0:16:09.680 They've done it before, so I think that's going to 0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:11.560 be interesting. One thing I saw in the betting pros 0:16:11.640 --> 0:16:15.440 account today the Corey Perry curse. So Corey Perry, this 0:16:15.480 --> 0:16:18.480 is now his fifth Finals appearance in the last six years, 0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:21.200 but he hasn't won any of them. So Dallas with 0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:24.680 twenty twenty, they lose Montreal, twenty twenty one, they lose 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:28.120 Tampa Bay. In twenty twenty two, they lose Edmonton. Last 0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:30.080 year they lose. So the only difference this year that 0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:33.200 he's still on the Oilers. It's the same team anything 0:16:33.360 --> 0:16:34.880 he has won a Cup before he went in a 0:16:34.920 --> 0:16:38.360 second year at Anaheim. Could something like that be a 0:16:38.400 --> 0:16:40.600 deciding factor or you on the flip side where it's like, 0:16:40.640 --> 0:16:42.600 well they've got Kane and they've got Corey Perry now 0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.240 to try to offset guys like to Chuck. How much 0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:47.000 of a factor do you think someone like Corey Perry 0:16:47.000 --> 0:16:47.800 will be in this series. 0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:49.640 Yeah, I enjoy that curse. 0:16:49.680 --> 0:16:51.680 I mean I would say, like if he if he'd 0:16:51.720 --> 0:16:54.960 been there in all of them, that it would be 0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:57.720 and had never ever won, I'd be like, Okay, well 0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:01.280