WEBVTT - SK Hynix, Micron Join $1 Trillion Market Cap Club

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is a

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<v Speaker 1>lie from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New

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<v Speaker 1>York and v lovel in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Mike Cron and Eske Heinez joined the one trillion dollar

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<v Speaker 3>market Cap Club All about the Memory Plus.

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<v Speaker 4>Taiwanese prosecutors suspect three individuals of smuggling in video chips

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<v Speaker 4>to China through Japan.

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<v Speaker 2>And we speak.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Tech is a live from coast to coast with

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<v Speaker 1>Caroline Hide in New York and V lovel in San Francisco.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech coming up.

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<v Speaker 3>Mike Cron and Eske Heinez joined the one trillion dollar

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<v Speaker 3>market Cap Club All about the Memory Plus.

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<v Speaker 4>Taiwanese prosecutors expect three individuals of smuggling in video chips

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<v Speaker 4>to China through.

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<v Speaker 3>Japan, and we speak with the x price founder and

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<v Speaker 3>early SpaceX investor Peter Demandis's SpaceX celebrates a major starship milestone.

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<v Speaker 4>And meanwhile, we still think about what space is doing

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<v Speaker 4>to the public markets, but more broadly, the public markets

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<v Speaker 4>just taking.

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<v Speaker 5>A bit of a breather.

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<v Speaker 4>Today we're looking at what howpillion terms of semiconductors in particular,

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<v Speaker 4>it has been a fiery ride hire In the last

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<v Speaker 4>five training days, we'd added thirteen percent of this benchmark.

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<v Speaker 4>Today we pulled back a little bit, but there are

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<v Speaker 4>notable players within the chip sector that you've got to

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<v Speaker 4>keep your eyes trained on. It's all about the power

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<v Speaker 4>the muscle of high bandwidth memory, and of course it's

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<v Speaker 4>sent Micron storing. We're still holding onto the day's games

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<v Speaker 4>rock three tens of percent, but it was all about

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<v Speaker 4>yesterday's market moves and those that happened in Asia as

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<v Speaker 4>well ed.

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<v Speaker 3>That brings us to today's big number one trillion dollars

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<v Speaker 3>in climbing memoryship giants s k Heinex and Micron have

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<v Speaker 3>now joined the one trillion dollar market cap club and

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<v Speaker 3>see continued momentum is investors pile into some of the

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<v Speaker 3>companies the powering the AI boom. Let's get more with

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Equities reporter Ryan Vacelica. It's been a number of

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<v Speaker 3>days now where we've been trying to look at what's happening. Ryan,

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<v Speaker 3>with the memory names of particular, Micron was the case

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<v Speaker 3>study because of that ubs note which you can remind

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<v Speaker 3>us of, but generally speaking, what is happening across memory,

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<v Speaker 3>not just in US markets, but of course in Korean

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<v Speaker 3>markets as well well.

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<v Speaker 6>There's been a huge and growing appreciation of how central

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<v Speaker 6>high bandwidth memory is to the overall AI infrastructure build out.

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<v Speaker 6>These companies have seen absolutely massive demand and absolutely massive growth.

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<v Speaker 6>I think Micron's revenue nearly tripled last quarter, which was

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<v Speaker 6>I think the fastest piece of growth going back to

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<v Speaker 6>I think the nineteen nineties. So absolutely just staggering levels

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<v Speaker 6>demand for these types of chips, all of which are

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<v Speaker 6>being used in the AI infrastructure, and that is really

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<v Speaker 6>translating in a pretty direct way to the stock prices.

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<v Speaker 6>I think Micron is up more than seventy percent in

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<v Speaker 6>May by itself, which is the biggest one month jump

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<v Speaker 6>since December nineteen eighty seven. Just to give you a

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<v Speaker 6>sense of just how quickly these stocks are moving.

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<v Speaker 4>Up, let's look at about sk Heinex how much it

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<v Speaker 4>moved up in the May number as well. They've almost

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<v Speaker 4>moved in lockstep, both of them up seventy percent in

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<v Speaker 4>the month of May. Sk high Inex Micron both at

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<v Speaker 4>more than two hundred percent so far year to date,

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<v Speaker 4>but what's notable is both of them are posting quarterly

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<v Speaker 4>revenue increases of.

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<v Speaker 5>More than two hundred percent.

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<v Speaker 4>So in many ways, Ammas out there seemed to be saying, look,

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<v Speaker 4>these are still actually fundamentally cheap.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, the levels of growth that these companies are seeing

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<v Speaker 6>is absolutely astronomical. And I can also add in sand Disk,

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<v Speaker 6>Western Digital, Seagate, all the memory in storage space are

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<v Speaker 6>just seeing absolutely huge demand. The evaluation picture is a

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<v Speaker 6>little bit tricky though. In fact, we have a story

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<v Speaker 6>coming out tomorrow, but I'll give you a sneak preview.

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<v Speaker 6>Micron multiple is trading under ten right now, ten times

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<v Speaker 6>forward earnings. That is extremely low, especially for company growing

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<v Speaker 6>this quickly. However, because memory has historically been quite cyclical,

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<v Speaker 6>there are some concerns that this low multiple might be

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<v Speaker 6>an indication of peak earnings. I've actually had someone say

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<v Speaker 6>to me that he would feel more comfortable if Micron

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<v Speaker 6>was really expensive right now, because I would indicate maybe

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<v Speaker 6>a trough level in earnings that are about to go ahead,

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<v Speaker 6>leading the stock up with it. So right now you

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<v Speaker 6>can certainly say that Micron is inexpensive. The question is

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<v Speaker 6>is AI changing the cyclical nature of memory overall? That

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<v Speaker 6>we are in some kind of new paradigm where maybe

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<v Speaker 6>Micron actually is as cheap as it looks, and this

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<v Speaker 6>isn't some kind of contrarian warning light.

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<v Speaker 3>I'll answer that Ryan, Yes, because in high bandwidth memory

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<v Speaker 3>and the design of the SEC the chiplet, it's directly

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<v Speaker 3>embedded into the GPU.

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<v Speaker 2>And what's so crazy about all of this.

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<v Speaker 3>We're talking a lot about supply constraints, a shortage of GPUs,

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<v Speaker 3>but it's not because of the GPU die. It's not

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<v Speaker 3>because in video can't get enough of them necessarily. It's

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<v Speaker 3>the corresponding high bandwidth memories. Not there unpack what UBS

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<v Speaker 3>said in its note about that, particularly on the valuation.

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<v Speaker 3>It said, one reason with doubling our price target is

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<v Speaker 3>we think that people will start to appreciate that.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so UBS came out, I think that actually tripled

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<v Speaker 6>their price target. I think the estmate was that this

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<v Speaker 6>would eventually be a one point eight trillion dollar company.

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<v Speaker 6>So even though we've seen some huge gains in the stocks,

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<v Speaker 6>UBS expects the upside. It sees a lot more additional

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<v Speaker 6>upside from here. What it said was that Micron really

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<v Speaker 6>deserves to have a multiple that's on par with Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 6>and I think it said it was looking for maybe

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<v Speaker 6>fifteen times estimated earnings, whereasas historically it gave it a

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<v Speaker 6>five times estimated earnings multiple. So they are saying that

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<v Speaker 6>Micron should be worth three times what it used to

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<v Speaker 6>consider a fair valuation for the stock. That is a

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<v Speaker 6>really significant change here, and it really is causing people

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<v Speaker 6>to reevaluate. How should we be valuating these companies, How

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<v Speaker 6>should we be considering the nature of the market, the

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<v Speaker 6>nature of this demand, and what is that mean for

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<v Speaker 6>growth going forward? Right now it's up in the air,

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<v Speaker 6>But so far people seem extremely optimistic and extremely positive.

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<v Speaker 4>Well broadly, we're seeing at the moment ry not a

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<v Speaker 4>single cell rating on either of these stocks. Despite that

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<v Speaker 4>more than two hundred percent crescendo so far this year.

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<v Speaker 5>We appreciate you.

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<v Speaker 4>As investors are pushing memory chants like Skhinex, like Microntu

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<v Speaker 4>record valuations. The race for advanced semiconductors also raises new

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<v Speaker 4>concerns of export controls. So Taiwanese prosecutors suspect three individuals

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<v Speaker 4>smuggled Nvidia AI chips to China through Japan. So, according

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<v Speaker 4>to sources, some more we go to Blomboth Senior Tech

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<v Speaker 4>editor Mike Sheppard to join us. This is once again

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<v Speaker 4>about super micro computer. This is about servers that are

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<v Speaker 4>somehow winding their way to China.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, that's right.

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<v Speaker 7>These three individuals are suspected of having falsified documents indicating

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<v Speaker 7>that the final destination for these devices was Japan, when

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<v Speaker 7>in fact, according to authorities, the ultimate buyer was in China.

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<v Speaker 2>So place.

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<v Speaker 7>Now, authorities managed to seize about fifty of these servers

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<v Speaker 7>before they were actually shipped, but it looks like at

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<v Speaker 7>least one shipment got through according to the reporting by

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<v Speaker 7>our colleagues Mackenzie Hawkins and Debbie Wu, who have been

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<v Speaker 7>all over this story from the start. Now, Caro, the

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<v Speaker 7>twist in this case is Japan. When we have been

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<v Speaker 7>reporting on and talking about some of the other chip

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<v Speaker 7>smuggling cases involving in Nvidia's hardware and products, they've typically

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<v Speaker 7>gone through some of the Southeast Asian economies like Thailand

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<v Speaker 7>and Singapore, and we haven't seen Japan really factor into this.

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<v Speaker 7>Japan has actually seen it's more of a place where

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<v Speaker 7>Chinese companies can rent computing power legally. It's a practice

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<v Speaker 7>that falls within the bounds permissible bounds of US export

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<v Speaker 7>controls through data centers in Japan, Chinese companies can simply

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<v Speaker 7>access all that AI compute simply by paying a rental

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<v Speaker 7>fee chev real quick.

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<v Speaker 3>Nvidia didn't respond to a requests for comment on this story.

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<v Speaker 3>But Jensenmong is Taiwan right now, and I believe somebody

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<v Speaker 3>asked him broadly about this issue very quick.

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<v Speaker 7>What did he say, Well, he was asked over the

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<v Speaker 7>weekend after those three individuals were detained whether super Micro

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<v Speaker 7>needed to do more to rein in some of the

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<v Speaker 7>concerns about chip smuggling, and he said, look, they need

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<v Speaker 7>to perhaps tighten up the ship when it comes to

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<v Speaker 7>compliance and oversight of their customers. And this is a

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<v Speaker 7>rare thing for the Nvidia CEO to say about one

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<v Speaker 7>of the company's partners, super Micro, and neither company, of course,

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<v Speaker 7>it's important to note, has been accused of any wrongdoing

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<v Speaker 7>in these or other cases. But they insisted that their

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<v Speaker 7>compliance is up up to par and that they are

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<v Speaker 7>doing more to strengthen it in the wake of the

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<v Speaker 7>charges that were filed against one of its co founders

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<v Speaker 7>earlier this year.

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<v Speaker 4>An unfolding story one you're all across. We so appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg's Mike Shephard. There, Look, we can continue to talk

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<v Speaker 4>to your politics and how it impacts the market, and

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<v Speaker 4>we continue to talk about US tech stocks that are

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<v Speaker 4>holding onto me and record highs with a whole lot

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<v Speaker 4>of enthusiasm for the AI trade.

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<v Speaker 5>But there's some pressure out of that.

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<v Speaker 4>Let's talk about it when that's Tegna CEO se I

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<v Speaker 4>have left Tegna Investments and just pivoting back to how

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<v Speaker 4>we started a story that Micron and sk Heinex and

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<v Speaker 4>now in the trillon dollar club that we're still seeing

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<v Speaker 4>AI infrastructure bottlenecks. Nancy, Is this just continuing to feed

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<v Speaker 4>your optimism around the sector.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean, Carolyn, we're we're ready for a correction

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<v Speaker 8>because we get one about once a year, and this

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<v Speaker 8>has been pretty frothy. But when you go back and

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<v Speaker 8>look when there's been an eight week run like this,

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<v Speaker 8>historically stocks are up over twelve around twelve percent a

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<v Speaker 8>year later, and that's Bespoke's work, not mine.

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<v Speaker 9>So I think you have to be you have to

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<v Speaker 9>be nimble.

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<v Speaker 8>And you know, we added to Micron at three sixty

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<v Speaker 8>six just a few months ago and felt late and

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<v Speaker 8>of course we weren't, at least not for the moment.

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<v Speaker 8>What you have to do is be diligent about trimming

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<v Speaker 8>things back, and that is what we've been doing, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>taking some gains, sitting and waiting, reallocating to names that

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<v Speaker 8>we think, you know, will continue to benefit. But yeah,

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<v Speaker 8>this is a productivity driven ball market.

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<v Speaker 9>I think it will continue for some time.

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<v Speaker 8>We will probably get a correction that will be yet

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<v Speaker 8>another opportunity like deep Seek was, like the first quarter

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<v Speaker 8>of this year was. But you want to stick with

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<v Speaker 8>the high quality names and you want it. You don't

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<v Speaker 8>want to chase the latest because the hedge funds are

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<v Speaker 8>going to pivot here pretty quickly, and we saw that

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<v Speaker 8>from hardware to software and now back to hardware.

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<v Speaker 3>Nancy, I'm going to show you a chart, and for

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<v Speaker 3>those that listen to Bloomberg Tech as a podcast, it's

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<v Speaker 3>a squiggly line that shows a very sharp up with trajectory.

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<v Speaker 3>From the end of March to present day. We've gone

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<v Speaker 3>from about twenty two five hundred points to almost thirty thousand. Yes,

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<v Speaker 3>if you tell anyone I quoted points on the I'll

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<v Speaker 3>deny it. You just said that you're ready for a

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<v Speaker 3>correction in the Micron story was about ubs almost tripling

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<v Speaker 3>its price target.

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<v Speaker 2>How are you going to play Micron in a correction environment?

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<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean we are going to be trimming it

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<v Speaker 9>here shortly and we will likely add back to it.

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<v Speaker 8>Beware of people that tell you, you know, old tech

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<v Speaker 8>is dead or software is dead, because these companies find ways.

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<v Speaker 8>I understand this is more of a demand issue, but

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<v Speaker 8>they do find ways to pivot, and so I think

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<v Speaker 8>what you want to be doing is taking some gains

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<v Speaker 8>when you can and then looking for opportunities when the

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<v Speaker 8>market pulls back. We called for a bottom on April fourth.

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<v Speaker 8>I mean, that's not really our business, but we did.

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<v Speaker 8>We were a little bit late, but that is how

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<v Speaker 8>this market has been moving. And so it's quickly and

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<v Speaker 8>it's rapid, and it's violent to the upside.

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<v Speaker 2>And so don't.

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<v Speaker 8>Confuse that with you know, being a genius, because what

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<v Speaker 8>the market giveth, it will also take it the way.

0:12:00.880 --> 0:12:03.280
<v Speaker 9>So you just want to remain nimble.

0:12:03.400 --> 0:12:06.800
<v Speaker 4>Remaining nimble and thinking about what your long term bet

0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:09.640
<v Speaker 4>saw Like Nancy, you always bring us our twelve best

0:12:09.640 --> 0:12:13.040
<v Speaker 4>ideas portfolio, and within that is some software is service

0:12:13.080 --> 0:12:16.080
<v Speaker 4>now for example, and boy of those names been beaten up,

0:12:16.080 --> 0:12:17.840
<v Speaker 4>but they have clawed their way back from some of

0:12:17.840 --> 0:12:18.360
<v Speaker 4>the bottoms.

0:12:18.360 --> 0:12:22.000
<v Speaker 5>But tonight we get we get it called salesforce numbers.

0:12:22.360 --> 0:12:27.160
<v Speaker 4>Will that fundamentally show that these AI related disruptible names

0:12:27.200 --> 0:12:28.079
<v Speaker 4>can hang on in there?

0:12:29.160 --> 0:12:32.040
<v Speaker 9>I think so, Caroline. It's an important report to be sure.

0:12:32.720 --> 0:12:35.560
<v Speaker 8>And you know what we've done is we've within our

0:12:35.600 --> 0:12:37.800
<v Speaker 8>twelve best We have a six for twenty six that's

0:12:37.920 --> 0:12:41.480
<v Speaker 8>up forty percent this year and includes names like CrowdStrike.

0:12:42.160 --> 0:12:44.320
<v Speaker 8>Last year we had service Now in that five for

0:12:44.400 --> 0:12:47.520
<v Speaker 8>twenty five and it did abysmally, but the portfolio is

0:12:47.559 --> 0:12:51.199
<v Speaker 8>still outperformed. So that is what you have to think about,

0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:53.360
<v Speaker 8>is that the right name is Microsoft going to be

0:12:53.400 --> 0:12:53.840
<v Speaker 8>a winner?

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:54.640
<v Speaker 2>I think so.

0:12:55.000 --> 0:12:57.720
<v Speaker 9>I'm more concerned about Salesforce, which we don't own.

0:12:58.000 --> 0:13:02.600
<v Speaker 8>We exited Adobe for obvious reasons a while back, and

0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:05.640
<v Speaker 8>I think that's what you have to consider who will win.

0:13:06.000 --> 0:13:09.240
<v Speaker 8>And I do think if you own the platform, you'll

0:13:09.280 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 8>be a beneficiary of AI. And I do think service

0:13:11.800 --> 0:13:15.560
<v Speaker 8>now is well positioned, despite how difficult of a name

0:13:15.600 --> 0:13:17.800
<v Speaker 8>it has been to own s.

0:13:18.080 --> 0:13:21.080
<v Speaker 3>We're in this period now where we've gone through earning season,

0:13:21.120 --> 0:13:24.840
<v Speaker 3>including through in video, So we're not now fixed on

0:13:24.840 --> 0:13:27.200
<v Speaker 3>the Kapex figures. Maybe we still are in videos set

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:30.360
<v Speaker 3>its piece what happens in this interim period, like what

0:13:30.480 --> 0:13:33.280
<v Speaker 3>is the catalyst in either direction for the market.

0:13:33.960 --> 0:13:36.760
<v Speaker 9>That's the right question ed. I think that is why

0:13:36.800 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 9>we think we may be right for a correction.

0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 8>What will happen is we will turn our attention the

0:13:43.480 --> 0:13:46.520
<v Speaker 8>market's fickle, and then we'll start focusing on the Fed.

0:13:46.640 --> 0:13:50.040
<v Speaker 8>We'll go back to is Horn moves open and there

0:13:50.040 --> 0:13:53.200
<v Speaker 8>will be hand ringing, and I think that will drive

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:56.839
<v Speaker 8>the narrative because it's too early for the midterms. So

0:13:57.400 --> 0:14:01.319
<v Speaker 8>we are putting in place some protection for our clients

0:14:01.800 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 8>and it may be money not well spent if the

0:14:05.480 --> 0:14:09.240
<v Speaker 8>market continues to accelerate, but it never does go straight up,

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:09.959
<v Speaker 8>So I think.

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:12.200
<v Speaker 9>You want to pay attention to FED speak.

0:14:12.640 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 8>I hope there's less of it as we move forward

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.199
<v Speaker 8>from here. I mean that is a promise that Kevin

0:14:17.200 --> 0:14:20.640
<v Speaker 8>worsh made, and let the FED do their job and

0:14:20.680 --> 0:14:23.600
<v Speaker 8>then and there will also be on inflation watch, which

0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:26.600
<v Speaker 8>which I think is actually not the bigger problem that

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:29.560
<v Speaker 8>we face from an economic standpoint.

0:14:29.600 --> 0:14:32.040
<v Speaker 9>But there are many who disagree.

0:14:31.640 --> 0:14:33.320
<v Speaker 5>With me on that what about it wrong.

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:37.000
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean I think I think that's problematic on

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:38.840
<v Speaker 8>so many levels. But you know, we're getting all the

0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:41.000
<v Speaker 8>peace talk, but we haven't seen a lot of progress.

0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:45.120
<v Speaker 8>So I think for most investors the question is when

0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 8>does when do the straits of straight of horror moves open.

0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:51.120
<v Speaker 9>When that happens, then I think you'll see a melt up.

0:14:51.120 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 8>But until then you'll see a lot of hand ringing

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 8>and that you know, that is what markets do, and

0:14:57.280 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 8>that is what the algos and the hedge funds exacts

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:04.080
<v Speaker 8>in the near term. So volatility, remember, friend of long

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:06.239
<v Speaker 8>term investor, use it to your advantage.

0:15:06.360 --> 0:15:10.920
<v Speaker 9>Because earnings growth has been amazing. We've also seen guidance raised.

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:13.720
<v Speaker 8>We've been steadfast in the tech trade for the last

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:16.520
<v Speaker 8>three years while many wrote it off. So we're pretty

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 8>happy with you know, the way our portfolios have performed

0:15:19.360 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 8>as a result of that.

0:15:21.280 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 3>Nancy Tegler of Laffetango Investments back on v tech, Thank

0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:26.760
<v Speaker 3>you very much. Now coming up, we're going to speak

0:15:26.760 --> 0:15:31.000
<v Speaker 3>with the X Prize founder Peter Demandez as SpaceX celebrates

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 3>a major starship milestone.

0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:34.240
<v Speaker 2>This is blombog Tech.

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:46.840
<v Speaker 3>SpaceX's latest successful starship launch marks a major milestone for

0:15:46.880 --> 0:15:50.640
<v Speaker 3>the company's next generation rocket program and a critical step

0:15:50.680 --> 0:15:53.400
<v Speaker 3>towards the longtime growth strategy that was laid out in

0:15:53.440 --> 0:15:57.040
<v Speaker 3>its recent IPO filing. Also crucial elon Musk, the S

0:15:57.080 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 3>one made it absolutely clear with an outsized pay package,

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:03.760
<v Speaker 3>majority voting control for the CEO bloemeg intelligence writing. The

0:16:03.840 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 3>document highlights some significant governance concerns that still might be

0:16:08.320 --> 0:16:12.280
<v Speaker 3>overshadowed by investor's fear of missing out. FOMO on the

0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:15.600
<v Speaker 3>biggest IPO ever here to talk about it. The importance

0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:18.960
<v Speaker 3>of Starship Musk the perspective of an early SpaceX investor.

0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:21.800
<v Speaker 3>Peter diamandis founder of X Prize, and we're trying again.

0:16:21.840 --> 0:16:24.320
<v Speaker 3>You're on the show Friday, and we had to cut

0:16:24.360 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 3>our conversation short. But then on Friday night, Starship twelve

0:16:29.120 --> 0:16:32.480
<v Speaker 3>Flight Test Mission V three. Your reaction to it, to

0:16:32.520 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 3>how that went.

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:36.720
<v Speaker 10>Well, Listen the fact that it was a brand new vehicle,

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:42.600
<v Speaker 10>brand new engines, the most advanced engineering ever built by humans.

0:16:43.720 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 10>It was incredible success. You know what people, if do

0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:52.080
<v Speaker 10>you realize, is that you can't test a rocket a

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:53.920
<v Speaker 10>little bit at a time. You have to test the

0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:57.440
<v Speaker 10>entire system and the fact that the launch took off

0:16:57.640 --> 0:17:01.440
<v Speaker 10>with its version three of its engines and the entire

0:17:01.520 --> 0:17:07.679
<v Speaker 10>vehicle the largest, most powerful engineering system ever launched by humans.

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 2>It was great.

0:17:09.240 --> 0:17:13.760
<v Speaker 10>We're going to see Starship making incremental flights, getting better

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:17.600
<v Speaker 10>and better until the time where the entire vehicle is refliable,

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 10>refuelable on orbit and becomes a platform to go to

0:17:21.000 --> 0:17:22.439
<v Speaker 10>the Moon, go to Mars, go beyond.

0:17:24.200 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 3>Why Starship is also its capability and payload to orbit

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:32.720
<v Speaker 3>for first starlink and then orbital data center. I wrote

0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 3>at the beginning of the week about how clear the

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 3>S one was about the limitation of SpaceX's current access

0:17:40.320 --> 0:17:42.879
<v Speaker 3>to compute and how much it's going to need in

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:45.800
<v Speaker 3>the future. You then had an exchange with Elon Musk

0:17:45.880 --> 0:17:48.600
<v Speaker 3>I think in the last twenty four hours, right or

0:17:48.640 --> 0:17:51.399
<v Speaker 3>forty eight hours about that exact issue. What was the

0:17:51.440 --> 0:17:53.440
<v Speaker 3>point you were trying to relate to Elon there?

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:58.399
<v Speaker 10>The point is that he's not just built This is

0:17:58.440 --> 0:18:01.520
<v Speaker 10>not just a rocket company, right, This is a vertically

0:18:01.680 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 10>integrated satellite network, global broadband, sovereign communications, AI, compute and

0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:13.959
<v Speaker 10>ultimately off planet infrastructure. You know, he is building a

0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 10>hyperscaler Uh, not just an AI system, So his ability

0:18:18.040 --> 0:18:22.080
<v Speaker 10>to succeed as a company goes beyond just the you know,

0:18:22.240 --> 0:18:26.040
<v Speaker 10>groc is an AI system. He's providing the infrastructure for

0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:30.879
<v Speaker 10>a large number of the frontier labs out there. You know,

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:34.199
<v Speaker 10>And what people need to realize about this company is

0:18:34.600 --> 0:18:38.040
<v Speaker 10>it's the It isn't just a little bit ahead of

0:18:38.080 --> 0:18:41.159
<v Speaker 10>the entire launch industry on planet Earth. It's orders of

0:18:41.240 --> 0:18:45.760
<v Speaker 10>magnitude ahead beyond anything else, and everything we hold a

0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:49.359
<v Speaker 10>value on Earth, metals, minerals, energy, real estate is in

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:53.160
<v Speaker 10>near infinite quantities in space, and so what we're buying

0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:57.080
<v Speaker 10>is the next you know, the global economy, you know,

0:18:57.200 --> 0:18:59.720
<v Speaker 10>two dot oh and three dot O. As we look

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:02.080
<v Speaker 10>at into SpaceX.

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 4>Go global, Peter, because I know you can, and we're

0:19:05.320 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 4>please that you do. There's a lot of hand ringing

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:12.240
<v Speaker 4>and almost people feeling that every turn, the US uses

0:19:12.320 --> 0:19:15.120
<v Speaker 4>China as the excuse as to why we need less regulation,

0:19:15.200 --> 0:19:17.000
<v Speaker 4>why we need to go full throttle, why we need

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:19.760
<v Speaker 4>to win quote unquote how much you seeing a space

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.280
<v Speaker 4>race US China and how much a SpaceX managed to

0:19:22.320 --> 0:19:25.760
<v Speaker 4>dominate their visa v not just US competition, you.

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 10>Know, we humans love competition and it drives us forward.

0:19:30.080 --> 0:19:31.879
<v Speaker 10>And so if you think about this, you know, it

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:35.520
<v Speaker 10>is the US versus the Soviets and the Russians in

0:19:35.600 --> 0:19:38.440
<v Speaker 10>the you know, fifty years ago, we're doing that same

0:19:38.480 --> 0:19:43.680
<v Speaker 10>thing again, but this time it's beyond just a political race.

0:19:44.240 --> 0:19:45.480
<v Speaker 10>It's an economic race.

0:19:46.000 --> 0:19:46.359
<v Speaker 2>Again.

0:19:47.160 --> 0:19:51.879
<v Speaker 10>We're building out huge revenue engines as we're going forward,

0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:55.199
<v Speaker 10>whether it's going to be mining the Moon for resources

0:19:55.280 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 10>or mining the asteroids for resources. We're also going to

0:19:58.240 --> 0:20:04.119
<v Speaker 10>be building out a level of global compute infrastructure in

0:20:04.320 --> 0:20:07.719
<v Speaker 10>Earth orbit. And again, no one was talking about this

0:20:07.800 --> 0:20:12.359
<v Speaker 10>a year ago, and today every major hyperscaler is we

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:18.359
<v Speaker 10>see anthropic buying into XAIS or space XAIS data centers

0:20:18.400 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 10>on Earth. But they're also going to need that's going

0:20:22.080 --> 0:20:22.960
<v Speaker 10>to be given for morbit.

0:20:23.440 --> 0:20:25.520
<v Speaker 4>Look, you're a man who's driven by trying to solve

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:27.439
<v Speaker 4>the world's most pressing problems. You're also a man who

0:20:27.480 --> 0:20:30.640
<v Speaker 4>happened to have got into SpaceX and Google and other

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 4>key companies very early.

0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:33.640
<v Speaker 5>Well at this moment where people.

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:36.800
<v Speaker 4>Are questioning how it helps them, how is this being

0:20:36.800 --> 0:20:39.320
<v Speaker 4>democratized in some way? How are we solving the world's

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 4>greatest problems for everyone, not just the few? Peter, How

0:20:41.760 --> 0:20:43.640
<v Speaker 4>are you thinking about that, particularly when we look at

0:20:43.960 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 4>a listing of a company that is already so valuable.

0:20:46.800 --> 0:20:48.399
<v Speaker 5>Is that much left on the table in terms.

0:20:48.280 --> 0:20:51.160
<v Speaker 4>Of democratization and buying of shares by retail investors?

0:20:51.600 --> 0:20:54.560
<v Speaker 10>Sure, so let's hit the point you made first about

0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 10>solving the world's biggest problems. The single most powerful thing

0:20:57.840 --> 0:21:00.840
<v Speaker 10>we humans have is our intelligence. We're about to see

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:05.639
<v Speaker 10>human intelligence increased by not just ten or one hundredfold,

0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 10>a millionfold, a billionfold, right, It's the ability for us

0:21:09.880 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 10>to discover breakthroughs across physics and chemistry and biology, material sciences.

0:21:16.400 --> 0:21:18.840
<v Speaker 10>All of these things are going to be driven by

0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:22.440
<v Speaker 10>the use of these AI systems, And so I don't

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 10>think people understand how rapidly the economy is going to

0:21:28.280 --> 0:21:31.960
<v Speaker 10>grow on the back of AI. We're going to be

0:21:32.680 --> 0:21:36.760
<v Speaker 10>solving aging as a fundamental right. What is it worth

0:21:37.000 --> 0:21:40.880
<v Speaker 10>if you can add thirty healthy years and then those

0:21:40.960 --> 0:21:43.720
<v Speaker 10>extra thirty healthy years on your life by you the

0:21:43.760 --> 0:21:47.399
<v Speaker 10>next fifty healthy years or one hundred healthy years, what

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:51.040
<v Speaker 10>is that worth? Individuals? When we get to room superconducting,

0:21:51.080 --> 0:21:55.360
<v Speaker 10>when we get to new ways of growing food, you know,

0:21:55.800 --> 0:22:00.160
<v Speaker 10>twice as fast, five times faster, healthier, we're heading towards

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:05.159
<v Speaker 10>a world of abundance across everything, food, water, energy, healthcare, education,

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:08.840
<v Speaker 10>all of these elements. You know, when I interviewed Elon

0:22:08.960 --> 0:22:11.680
<v Speaker 10>on my Moonshots podcast at the beginning of this year

0:22:11.800 --> 0:22:15.280
<v Speaker 10>and then again in March, what he talked about, and

0:22:15.359 --> 0:22:18.239
<v Speaker 10>I believe this is we're going to see double and

0:22:18.280 --> 0:22:22.639
<v Speaker 10>then triple digit GDP growth. And this is happening not

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:26.480
<v Speaker 10>because we're working harder or we humans are smarter. It's

0:22:26.520 --> 0:22:30.240
<v Speaker 10>on the back of AI and humanoid robotics. One of

0:22:30.320 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 10>the things he said was that we're entering a world

0:22:33.800 --> 0:22:36.440
<v Speaker 10>where AI and robots are going to create so much,

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:40.639
<v Speaker 10>so much products, so much availability that we could not

0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:44.879
<v Speaker 10>want enough. Now, this sounds like, you know, a techno

0:22:45.000 --> 0:22:48.960
<v Speaker 10>utopian vision, but we have to realize that all of

0:22:48.960 --> 0:22:51.920
<v Speaker 10>the progress that we've seen in humanity, we're living lives

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:55.920
<v Speaker 10>today that are godlike. Compare it to our parents and grandparents.

0:22:56.359 --> 0:22:59.159
<v Speaker 3>Yes, let me jump into you just said thank you

0:22:59.200 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 3>for vote January six for Elon at length and then

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:05.600
<v Speaker 3>again in March, and what you just said about robots.

0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 3>There is broad speculation right now about the prospect of

0:23:09.800 --> 0:23:14.840
<v Speaker 3>a post IPO SpaceX merging with Tesla on January thirtieth.

0:23:15.560 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 2>January thirty, if I.

0:23:16.440 --> 0:23:19.960
<v Speaker 3>Reported they'd held talks prior to the Xai transaction, you

0:23:20.000 --> 0:23:22.359
<v Speaker 3>say one hundred percent. I mean, what are you learning

0:23:22.400 --> 0:23:25.440
<v Speaker 3>from those two conversations? What do you know about how real?

0:23:25.560 --> 0:23:27.040
<v Speaker 2>That is? Why it makes sense.

0:23:27.920 --> 0:23:32.360
<v Speaker 10>It makes sense because it consolidates Elon's control. Today as

0:23:32.440 --> 0:23:35.120
<v Speaker 10>reporting the IPO in the S one, you know, there's

0:23:35.160 --> 0:23:37.679
<v Speaker 10>super voting rights that he has and of course is

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:43.160
<v Speaker 10>inside owners. I think it's like, you know, eighty plus

0:23:43.200 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 10>percent voting control. He doesn't have that in Tessla, and

0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:49.800
<v Speaker 10>by combining the companies, I think he'll have that. He'll

0:23:49.800 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 10>have the ability to operate across all of this infrastructure

0:23:54.440 --> 0:23:59.800
<v Speaker 10>and you know the a fleet of cybercabs, all of

0:23:59.800 --> 0:24:04.720
<v Speaker 10>it Tesla vehicles out there that have compute capability on them,

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:08.200
<v Speaker 10>have power on them as well. We're creating a global

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 10>infrastructure on the ground, in space. So it just consolidates control.

0:24:13.119 --> 0:24:15.880
<v Speaker 10>It makes his ability to implement his vision a lot

0:24:15.920 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 10>more efficient. So you know, I put it as not

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:21.080
<v Speaker 10>a matter of if and only a matter of when

0:24:21.080 --> 0:24:23.840
<v Speaker 10>those two companies come together. And also because there are

0:24:23.920 --> 0:24:27.000
<v Speaker 10>valued public companies, you can make that merger happen a

0:24:27.080 --> 0:24:30.960
<v Speaker 10>lot easier than if you're combining private companies and arguing

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 10>about valuation.

0:24:33.160 --> 0:24:36.840
<v Speaker 4>Peter jmnis X Prize founder, fascinating to have some time

0:24:36.880 --> 0:24:39.320
<v Speaker 4>with you and the vision of where spaces goes and

0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:39.960
<v Speaker 4>long win Tesla.

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 5>We appreciate it.

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:42.600
<v Speaker 4>Now coming up, we're going to be joined by the

0:24:42.600 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 4>CEO of Cognition and discussing the AI startup's latest fundraise

0:24:46.480 --> 0:24:49.959
<v Speaker 4>to power the first AI software engineer as they call it,

0:24:50.000 --> 0:24:53.440
<v Speaker 4>Devon or many devans. There's a cracking, big valuation on

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:56.000
<v Speaker 4>the back of this. I'm excited about that conversation coming

0:24:56.080 --> 0:24:58.159
<v Speaker 4>up next with San Francisco and New York and with

0:24:58.240 --> 0:25:00.800
<v Speaker 4>stocks under pressure in the broader tech ecosystem.

0:25:00.880 --> 0:25:01.800
<v Speaker 5>This is blombg Tech.

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.640
<v Speaker 4>Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech, and we pull back from

0:25:33.680 --> 0:25:35.959
<v Speaker 4>some of our record highs today we turn our attention

0:25:36.000 --> 0:25:38.360
<v Speaker 4>to what's happening with the Middle East. Will there be

0:25:38.400 --> 0:25:40.320
<v Speaker 4>some sort of piece still between the US and Iran?

0:25:40.320 --> 0:25:43.560
<v Speaker 4>There are conflicting we'll move music around it in newsflow,

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 4>and the market just sells off a little bit in that.

0:25:46.520 --> 0:25:47.080
<v Speaker 5>I have a storm.

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:48.919
<v Speaker 4>We're currently off by four ten percent on the nastat

0:25:48.920 --> 0:25:51.080
<v Speaker 4>one hundred coming off of yesterday's record high. We're looking

0:25:51.080 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 4>at the semiconductors, particularly under pressure video and the like,

0:25:54.200 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 4>yanking it down too and a half percent, but remember

0:25:55.960 --> 0:25:58.560
<v Speaker 4>it's up thirteen percent prior to this on a five.

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:01.040
<v Speaker 5>Day winning streak. So we take a but we don't

0:26:01.119 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 5>take a pause.

0:26:01.880 --> 0:26:04.960
<v Speaker 4>One key name, Micron, is still managing to cling into

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 4>the green RUPs seven tenths of a percent. This is

0:26:07.280 --> 0:26:08.960
<v Speaker 4>as they hit a trillion dollar figure.

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 7>Ed.

0:26:09.280 --> 0:26:11.200
<v Speaker 4>This is as we start to see the real focus

0:26:11.359 --> 0:26:14.400
<v Speaker 4>on high bandwidth memory that saw also sk Heinex run

0:26:14.480 --> 0:26:14.960
<v Speaker 4>up so far.

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:19.159
<v Speaker 3>Let's get back to today's big number, one trillion dollars

0:26:19.200 --> 0:26:22.120
<v Speaker 3>in climbing. That's the market cap memory chip giants sk

0:26:22.200 --> 0:26:25.240
<v Speaker 3>Heenez and Micron have reached and his carriages outline.

0:26:25.240 --> 0:26:26.919
<v Speaker 2>Micron still has momentum.

0:26:27.119 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 3>Investors are piling into companies that are powering the AI boom.

0:26:31.200 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 3>Let's get more Micron and sk Heiniez Boombozi and King,

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:35.679
<v Speaker 3>who leads our coverage of semiconductors.

0:26:35.880 --> 0:26:36.560
<v Speaker 2>You are so funny.

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:38.480
<v Speaker 3>You and I go to all these conferences and speak

0:26:38.520 --> 0:26:41.879
<v Speaker 3>to all these people in industry, and if you do

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:44.160
<v Speaker 3>it from their perspective, none of this is a surprise,

0:26:44.720 --> 0:26:47.160
<v Speaker 3>like as Jensen one would put it at c Ovin VideA,

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:50.160
<v Speaker 3>he was trying to convince the memory makers years ago

0:26:50.560 --> 0:26:53.480
<v Speaker 3>that this would happen. Now Here we are why do

0:26:53.520 --> 0:26:55.000
<v Speaker 3>we need so much high bandwidth memory?

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean, if you look at the forward estimates

0:26:57.520 --> 0:27:00.320
<v Speaker 11>for this company, Wall Street is bought in to this

0:27:00.480 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 11>massive sense of we need so much more equipment. There's

0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:07.280
<v Speaker 11>going to be trillions of dollars of spending happening on this,

0:27:07.720 --> 0:27:11.680
<v Speaker 11>and memory is an absolutely fundamental base layer of the technology.

0:27:11.960 --> 0:27:14.879
<v Speaker 11>If you believe that the industry and the economy is

0:27:14.960 --> 0:27:18.080
<v Speaker 11>changing to the extent that people like Jensen we are

0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:19.119
<v Speaker 11>saying it will.

0:27:19.359 --> 0:27:22.560
<v Speaker 4>And it seems like there's stereotypical oligopoly here. There's like

0:27:22.600 --> 0:27:25.119
<v Speaker 4>three key players that are rushing to try and for

0:27:25.240 --> 0:27:26.680
<v Speaker 4>the hole in high bandwidth memory.

0:27:26.720 --> 0:27:28.399
<v Speaker 5>Of course Dram sort of goes to the backseat a

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:29.000
<v Speaker 5>little bit here.

0:27:29.040 --> 0:27:31.720
<v Speaker 4>But are we seeing any competitive threats because at the moment,

0:27:31.760 --> 0:27:35.280
<v Speaker 4>analysts all the community think keep buying these stocks. The

0:27:35.320 --> 0:27:37.400
<v Speaker 4>bottlenecks are going to last through twenty twenty seven.

0:27:38.200 --> 0:27:40.479
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean. The other that's a good point, Caroline,

0:27:40.520 --> 0:27:41.920
<v Speaker 11>And the other way to look at that is why

0:27:42.000 --> 0:27:44.520
<v Speaker 11>there are only three companies left. The answer is because

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 11>this has been a horrible market for years. Right. We've

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:48.280
<v Speaker 11>had some good years, but we've had a lot of

0:27:48.320 --> 0:27:51.560
<v Speaker 11>bad years as well. There's only three real providers because

0:27:51.560 --> 0:27:53.720
<v Speaker 11>it's so expensive, the bets are so big, and it's

0:27:53.760 --> 0:27:56.680
<v Speaker 11>so difficult to make us sustain living in this business.

0:27:56.680 --> 0:28:00.920
<v Speaker 11>There survivors, not necessarily thrivers, even though that's what's going

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:01.640
<v Speaker 11>on right now.

0:28:02.000 --> 0:28:04.919
<v Speaker 3>Could you just educate the Bloombert audience a bit on

0:28:04.920 --> 0:28:08.199
<v Speaker 3>the history of memory. The idea was foom and bust

0:28:08.520 --> 0:28:12.159
<v Speaker 3>where memory principally went before there was this great demand

0:28:12.160 --> 0:28:13.399
<v Speaker 3>from the data center space.

0:28:13.560 --> 0:28:15.760
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean, the key point is that this is

0:28:15.800 --> 0:28:19.200
<v Speaker 11>a commodity. One chip from one company can be swapped

0:28:19.200 --> 0:28:22.040
<v Speaker 11>out for another, so you effectively have a market, right,

0:28:22.119 --> 0:28:22.680
<v Speaker 11>Prices go.

0:28:22.680 --> 0:28:25.080
<v Speaker 2>Up and down, supply and demand prices exactly.

0:28:25.160 --> 0:28:27.800
<v Speaker 11>It's a commodity, right. And in the past, you know,

0:28:27.800 --> 0:28:31.320
<v Speaker 11>the big market was PCs and then it was smartphones,

0:28:31.359 --> 0:28:34.000
<v Speaker 11>and of course these are consumer devices by in lige,

0:28:34.000 --> 0:28:39.160
<v Speaker 11>so long term supply versus short term fluctuations in demand

0:28:39.640 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 11>was a recipe for disaster.

0:28:41.560 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 2>In Boxie and King, Thank you very much. Carry some

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 2>more news.

0:28:44.640 --> 0:28:46.880
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, it's time now for talking tech ed and first

0:28:46.920 --> 0:28:49.880
<v Speaker 4>up and FTE. Dance is planning just sharply increased capital

0:28:49.880 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 4>spending to lead the Chinese AI market.

0:28:52.000 --> 0:28:52.080
<v Speaker 7>Now.

0:28:52.120 --> 0:28:54.760
<v Speaker 5>The company is considering a seventy billion dollars.

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:57.480
<v Speaker 4>This year to build out data centers, another AI infrastructure,

0:28:57.640 --> 0:29:00.160
<v Speaker 4>and it may boost capex roughly one hundred billion dollars

0:29:00.200 --> 0:29:03.120
<v Speaker 4>next year. As an update on the Samsung strike talks,

0:29:03.160 --> 0:29:06.440
<v Speaker 4>the company's union members rooted in favor of a compensation

0:29:06.520 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 4>deal that will hand Chip workers an average bonus about

0:29:09.200 --> 0:29:11.080
<v Speaker 4>three hundred and forty thousand dollars now.

0:29:11.120 --> 0:29:13.480
<v Speaker 5>The agreement avoids a strike that had threatened.

0:29:13.160 --> 0:29:17.480
<v Speaker 4>To disrupt global chip supply, and similarly, TSMC chief cc

0:29:17.640 --> 0:29:20.120
<v Speaker 4>Way told staff that they'll see more than a thirty

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 4>percent jump and profit sharing payouts this year on average,

0:29:23.560 --> 0:29:26.880
<v Speaker 4>according to a source. Whays comments come after some employees

0:29:27.000 --> 0:29:30.440
<v Speaker 4>voiced concerns over their incentive plans online and followed the

0:29:30.440 --> 0:29:31.520
<v Speaker 4>Samsung union deal.

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:36.800
<v Speaker 3>There Okay, back to private markets, Cognition has raised over

0:29:36.840 --> 0:29:40.280
<v Speaker 3>a billion dollars at a twenty six billion dollar valuation.

0:29:40.440 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 3>Lux Capital, General, Catalyst and AVC led the new round.

0:29:44.360 --> 0:29:46.560
<v Speaker 3>Cognition CEO Scott, who was here to discuss the news.

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:50.760
<v Speaker 3>We're also give an update on the company's AI codey agent, Devin,

0:29:51.320 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 3>not just one agent, like I think Caroline made a

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:55.360
<v Speaker 3>good point, like it's an army of agents, and we'll

0:29:55.360 --> 0:29:58.440
<v Speaker 3>get to that. Start with some basic Scott, A billion dollars,

0:29:58.640 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 3>big valuation.

0:30:00.080 --> 0:30:00.800
<v Speaker 2>Why'd you do that?

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:03.200
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, yeah, absolutely well, thank thank you so much for

0:30:03.280 --> 0:30:05.840
<v Speaker 12>having me back. A few different reasons. First of all,

0:30:06.480 --> 0:30:08.240
<v Speaker 12>you know, the growth that we've seen in the business

0:30:08.240 --> 0:30:10.440
<v Speaker 12>has been incredible, and I think really across the board,

0:30:10.440 --> 0:30:12.440
<v Speaker 12>what we're seeing is that AI.

0:30:12.240 --> 0:30:14.240
<v Speaker 2>Is doing real work at real companies everywhere.

0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:16.600
<v Speaker 12>And you know, every company in twenty twenty six is

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:19.160
<v Speaker 12>a software company, and so we work with, for example,

0:30:19.320 --> 0:30:21.400
<v Speaker 12>the top five health insurance in the United States. We're

0:30:21.400 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 12>seeing folks building way more tooling for all of their

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.840
<v Speaker 12>care providers. They're able to cut down on price and

0:30:26.840 --> 0:30:30.000
<v Speaker 12>cover more people. We're working with banks on delivering software

0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:32.920
<v Speaker 12>and making sure to give their customers access to what

0:30:32.960 --> 0:30:35.800
<v Speaker 12>they need right. We're seeing this with the Treasury and

0:30:35.880 --> 0:30:38.600
<v Speaker 12>NASA as well, and so a couple of reasons for

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:38.960
<v Speaker 12>the raise.

0:30:39.000 --> 0:30:41.160
<v Speaker 2>I think, first of all, we.

0:30:41.080 --> 0:30:43.160
<v Speaker 12>Want to continue to grow aggressively and this really allows

0:30:43.200 --> 0:30:45.080
<v Speaker 12>us to do that. It allows us to scale our compute,

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:47.000
<v Speaker 12>it allows us to grow the team and so on.

0:30:47.160 --> 0:30:50.040
<v Speaker 12>Second of all, it allows us to stay independent and

0:30:50.080 --> 0:30:52.959
<v Speaker 12>to really continue as an independent business, which is really

0:30:53.000 --> 0:30:53.960
<v Speaker 12>really important for us.

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:56.240
<v Speaker 2>It's going well as an independent business.

0:30:56.280 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 3>Like, what's interesting talking to you over let's say an

0:30:58.680 --> 0:31:02.200
<v Speaker 3>aggregate over a period of year is to trap growth.

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:02.640
<v Speaker 12>Yeah.

0:31:02.720 --> 0:31:04.840
<v Speaker 3>Right, So when you first start coming on the show,

0:31:04.920 --> 0:31:07.720
<v Speaker 3>like beginning of twenty five to twenty four, the revenue.

0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:09.680
<v Speaker 2>Run rate was a few million with respect.

0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.080
<v Speaker 3>Then exactly a year ago, you're kind of in a

0:31:12.160 --> 0:31:15.840
<v Speaker 3>run rate of about thirty seven million dollars. Where's your

0:31:15.840 --> 0:31:16.640
<v Speaker 3>revenue run rate now?

0:31:16.720 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, so we're getting close to five hundred million today.

0:31:19.480 --> 0:31:21.480
<v Speaker 12>As you said, we've only been in business for about

0:31:21.480 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 12>two years. And I think a lot of what it

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:25.360
<v Speaker 12>speaks to is just how much demand there is out

0:31:25.400 --> 0:31:27.120
<v Speaker 12>there for all of this. And you know, there's about

0:31:27.160 --> 0:31:29.440
<v Speaker 12>thirty thirty five million software engineers in the world today.

0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:31.480
<v Speaker 12>We want to make all of them ten times more efficient,

0:31:31.520 --> 0:31:33.239
<v Speaker 12>and then we think there is a lot more than

0:31:33.240 --> 0:31:34.480
<v Speaker 12>ten times more software to build.

0:31:35.360 --> 0:31:38.120
<v Speaker 4>There is so much demand, Scott, but there's also a

0:31:38.160 --> 0:31:40.960
<v Speaker 4>pretty crowded market when it thinks of startups. And admittedly

0:31:40.960 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 4>you've been talking about how labs are sort of buying

0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:44.800
<v Speaker 4>these startups, and we think about what deal Curse has

0:31:44.840 --> 0:31:46.920
<v Speaker 4>just been doing over with SpaceX.

0:31:46.960 --> 0:31:49.520
<v Speaker 5>But I'm interested as to how you see.

0:31:49.320 --> 0:31:52.160
<v Speaker 4>The threat from the big labs in and of themselves.

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:54.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, absolutely. For us, it's actually the other way around.

0:31:55.320 --> 0:31:58.320
<v Speaker 12>I think for us it's you know, being fully independent

0:31:58.320 --> 0:32:00.160
<v Speaker 12>and fully neutral is actually the best way for us

0:32:00.200 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 12>to be aligned with our customers. And so we work

0:32:02.360 --> 0:32:05.080
<v Speaker 12>very closely with all these labs, Opening Eye Andthropic, but

0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:06.680
<v Speaker 12>also Google, Xai and so on.

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:08.880
<v Speaker 2>We have deep relationships with them.

0:32:08.920 --> 0:32:11.320
<v Speaker 12>We work with them on research, and it allows us

0:32:11.360 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 12>to work with our customers and provide them the best

0:32:13.240 --> 0:32:15.520
<v Speaker 12>model for every different use case. And so Devin is

0:32:15.560 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 12>a compound system that works with all of these different models,

0:32:18.320 --> 0:32:22.480
<v Speaker 12>and because of that, we're able to be the Switzerland

0:32:22.680 --> 0:32:23.720
<v Speaker 12>in the equation here.

0:32:24.200 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 4>Switzerland that sometimes makes the most of the disruption when

0:32:26.960 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 4>it comes to talent and the like. I think about

0:32:29.000 --> 0:32:32.080
<v Speaker 4>what happened last year the Windsurf assets, the IP, the brand,

0:32:32.160 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 4>the employees after Google took well, the key CEO and

0:32:36.440 --> 0:32:39.400
<v Speaker 4>leadership of that company will more in a M and

0:32:39.480 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 4>A happen. Is that where some of the new funding

0:32:41.520 --> 0:32:43.400
<v Speaker 4>will come into perspective.

0:32:44.400 --> 0:32:46.320
<v Speaker 12>I'm sure there will be more, and you know there

0:32:46.320 --> 0:32:48.960
<v Speaker 12>will be different things that come up. It's for us,

0:32:49.000 --> 0:32:51.800
<v Speaker 12>you know, what we're personally most focused on is just

0:32:51.840 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 12>continue to grow the business and.

0:32:54.720 --> 0:32:55.520
<v Speaker 2>As best as we can.

0:32:55.640 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 3>You said, well, a heavy emphasis on independence and you

0:32:59.280 --> 0:33:02.719
<v Speaker 3>cooled yourselves the Switzerland of this space. Yes, you know,

0:33:03.280 --> 0:33:05.400
<v Speaker 3>what do you think will happen if SpaceX does it

0:33:05.520 --> 0:33:08.200
<v Speaker 3>acquire Cursor? Is the base question. But when I speak

0:33:08.240 --> 0:33:12.080
<v Speaker 3>to say the engineering teams at Nvidia, the reason Laydight

0:33:12.200 --> 0:33:15.440
<v Speaker 3>Cursor was the freedom to swap in and out the

0:33:15.520 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 3>underlying model depending on what your your coding objective was.

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 3>I suppose that's one reason why they like Devin Right,

0:33:22.880 --> 0:33:26.360
<v Speaker 3>But if Cursor becomes a part of space XAI, you know,

0:33:26.360 --> 0:33:29.440
<v Speaker 3>how do you see that changing the field data is

0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:30.680
<v Speaker 3>so critically important?

0:33:31.160 --> 0:33:34.200
<v Speaker 2>Right? And who you are beholden to? Yeah?

0:33:34.240 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 12>Absolutely, No, I mean it's a great question. I think

0:33:36.240 --> 0:33:38.040
<v Speaker 12>in practice, I think there are a lot of great

0:33:38.040 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 12>teams working on could, including of course the labs themselves.

0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:44.040
<v Speaker 12>I think what we see is that the ecosystem is

0:33:45.080 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 12>broad enough and vibrant enough that it makes sense for

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:49.239
<v Speaker 12>there to be different players in different positions, and so

0:33:49.280 --> 0:33:51.720
<v Speaker 12>there are going to continue to be first party products

0:33:51.760 --> 0:33:54.360
<v Speaker 12>from the labs themselves. But as we're kind of saying,

0:33:54.520 --> 0:33:56.719
<v Speaker 12>you know, to your point, I think having the ability

0:33:56.760 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 12>to serve each of the different models, and not just

0:33:58.760 --> 0:34:01.120
<v Speaker 12>the ability, but also the new vitality in terms of

0:34:01.200 --> 0:34:03.680
<v Speaker 12>being incentivized to just serve whatever is the best model

0:34:03.680 --> 0:34:05.959
<v Speaker 12>for each case rather than a single you know, a

0:34:05.960 --> 0:34:08.880
<v Speaker 12>single series of models, I think is an important position

0:34:08.880 --> 0:34:09.120
<v Speaker 12>in the.

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:09.800
<v Speaker 2>Space as well.

0:34:10.160 --> 0:34:14.160
<v Speaker 3>You would say that Devin is the first AI software engineer,

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:17.359
<v Speaker 3>and we talked about the revenue run rate. Clearly that's

0:34:17.440 --> 0:34:20.920
<v Speaker 3>evidence of momentum and success. But are you able to

0:34:20.960 --> 0:34:24.680
<v Speaker 3>sort of give any data on how pervasive DEVN is,

0:34:24.920 --> 0:34:28.240
<v Speaker 3>how it has changed the structure of different engineering orgs

0:34:28.800 --> 0:34:31.759
<v Speaker 3>at software companies, at other technology companies for sure.

0:34:31.840 --> 0:34:34.120
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I mean we're seeing this across the board. Where

0:34:34.239 --> 0:34:38.480
<v Speaker 12>as teams are adopting devon and coding agents on mass

0:34:38.920 --> 0:34:41.520
<v Speaker 12>that in practice they're able to.

0:34:41.440 --> 0:34:43.600
<v Speaker 2>Do much more and execute much more aggressively on road mass.

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:45.359
<v Speaker 3>This is a new code or is it going back

0:34:45.400 --> 0:34:46.640
<v Speaker 3>over old code bases.

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:49.600
<v Speaker 12>It's both and so as you can imagine, the large

0:34:49.600 --> 0:34:52.640
<v Speaker 12>majority of work is working on these existing codebases and

0:34:52.680 --> 0:34:55.560
<v Speaker 12>continue to build and add new features and so on.

0:34:55.719 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 12>But even internally at Cognition, for example, more than ninety

0:34:58.160 --> 0:34:59.759
<v Speaker 12>percent of the code that we write is written by

0:35:00.280 --> 0:35:02.040
<v Speaker 12>and so of course we're using devon all day when

0:35:02.080 --> 0:35:03.480
<v Speaker 12>we're going and building devon itself.

0:35:03.640 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 4>And even with that productivity, you've been scaling the amount

0:35:08.560 --> 0:35:09.360
<v Speaker 4>of people you hire.

0:35:09.400 --> 0:35:11.479
<v Speaker 5>Scott, just reflect on what.

0:35:11.400 --> 0:35:14.200
<v Speaker 4>This means in terms of how many software engineers we're

0:35:14.200 --> 0:35:17.800
<v Speaker 4>going to need. Like this ongoing anxiety is the disruption

0:35:17.840 --> 0:35:20.239
<v Speaker 4>that AI causes in all its ways and across all

0:35:20.239 --> 0:35:20.960
<v Speaker 4>these industries.

0:35:21.760 --> 0:35:24.479
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, No, I think what we'll see is, of course

0:35:24.480 --> 0:35:26.319
<v Speaker 12>the job will evolve over time, and we'll see some

0:35:26.320 --> 0:35:27.919
<v Speaker 12>of the skill sets change, but I think we will

0:35:27.960 --> 0:35:30.400
<v Speaker 12>have far more people doing this in building software and

0:35:30.400 --> 0:35:33.000
<v Speaker 12>building products, not less. And you know my favorite sat

0:35:33.040 --> 0:35:35.200
<v Speaker 12>on this personally is today there's about thirty or thirty

0:35:35.200 --> 0:35:37.799
<v Speaker 12>five million software engineers in the world. Just twenty twenty

0:35:37.800 --> 0:35:39.480
<v Speaker 12>five years ago, at the start of the century, it

0:35:39.560 --> 0:35:43.000
<v Speaker 12>was under one million, and that's clearly come with a

0:35:43.080 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 12>massive rise in the amount of software that we've produced,

0:35:45.680 --> 0:35:47.440
<v Speaker 12>and I think as we continue to make it more

0:35:47.440 --> 0:35:49.520
<v Speaker 12>and more efficient, we're actually just going to produce even

0:35:49.560 --> 0:35:50.800
<v Speaker 12>more software, not less.

0:35:51.000 --> 0:35:52.160
<v Speaker 2>Scope very very quick.

0:35:52.280 --> 0:35:54.520
<v Speaker 3>What's the goal you've set the team for the balance

0:35:54.560 --> 0:35:55.640
<v Speaker 3>of the year one metric?

0:35:56.200 --> 0:36:00.279
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, yeah, Look, I think for this year we firmly

0:36:00.280 --> 0:36:02.279
<v Speaker 12>intended crass a billion in revenue run rate. We want

0:36:02.320 --> 0:36:04.919
<v Speaker 12>to keep going for anther even beyond that, and from

0:36:04.920 --> 0:36:06.719
<v Speaker 12>there we just want to grow and share many of

0:36:06.880 --> 0:36:08.040
<v Speaker 12>the companies in the world that we can.

0:36:08.480 --> 0:36:11.760
<v Speaker 4>Cognition CEO Scott Wu, thank you very much for joining

0:36:11.800 --> 0:36:16.360
<v Speaker 4>us today. Now coming up, Salesforce Snowflake, both reporting earnings

0:36:16.360 --> 0:36:19.000
<v Speaker 4>after the closing bell, would discuss what to expect how's

0:36:19.000 --> 0:36:20.440
<v Speaker 4>AI disrupting their business models.

0:36:20.440 --> 0:36:21.239
<v Speaker 5>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:36:34.520 --> 0:36:38.360
<v Speaker 3>We're watching shares of Salesforce up one point two percent,

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:42.000
<v Speaker 3>set to report quarterly results this afternoon. Wall Street's watching

0:36:42.040 --> 0:36:45.040
<v Speaker 3>closely for science that the company's AI offerings can help

0:36:45.320 --> 0:36:49.040
<v Speaker 3>reignite revenue growth. Bloomberg's Brady Ford, who covers Salesforce, is

0:36:49.080 --> 0:36:51.520
<v Speaker 3>with us, and twenty four hours ago we were talking

0:36:51.560 --> 0:36:54.560
<v Speaker 3>about the idea that right now the AI agent story

0:36:54.640 --> 0:36:59.880
<v Speaker 3>is more marketing than real in terms of revenues. That

0:37:00.040 --> 0:37:02.640
<v Speaker 3>will be the test this evening, right is that kind

0:37:02.640 --> 0:37:03.399
<v Speaker 3>of what you're looking for.

0:37:03.800 --> 0:37:06.800
<v Speaker 13>It's all these as apocalypse spheres, right, That's what everyone's

0:37:06.840 --> 0:37:09.080
<v Speaker 13>been worried about for the last couple of quarters, and

0:37:09.120 --> 0:37:13.120
<v Speaker 13>tonight the only real way Salesforce can beat pack all

0:37:13.200 --> 0:37:16.600
<v Speaker 13>that skepticism, all the pessimism is showing that revenue is

0:37:16.640 --> 0:37:20.520
<v Speaker 13>accelerating and it's coming from these new AI offerings. We

0:37:20.680 --> 0:37:23.560
<v Speaker 13>haven't seen that yet. That's what folks are hoping for

0:37:23.560 --> 0:37:24.839
<v Speaker 13>in the back half of this year.

0:37:25.400 --> 0:37:27.799
<v Speaker 5>We've had that Agent Force was sort of offering.

0:37:27.480 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 4>One an eight one hundred million dollar revenue stream thus far.

0:37:30.600 --> 0:37:34.320
<v Speaker 4>But we're also seeing not bad revenue growth from Salesforce,

0:37:34.360 --> 0:37:36.080
<v Speaker 4>or at least predicted, but a lot of that's coming

0:37:36.080 --> 0:37:38.760
<v Speaker 4>from Informatica, right, from inorganic growth.

0:37:39.920 --> 0:37:42.840
<v Speaker 13>Yeah, that's been the classic debate with Salesforce for so long,

0:37:42.880 --> 0:37:45.040
<v Speaker 13>which is you know how much revenue growth is from

0:37:45.040 --> 0:37:48.879
<v Speaker 13>those organic products versus some of the acquisitions that's come

0:37:48.960 --> 0:37:50.240
<v Speaker 13>back with Informatica.

0:37:50.719 --> 0:37:51.440
<v Speaker 2>And yeah, eight.

0:37:51.360 --> 0:37:54.160
<v Speaker 13>Hundred million a year on Agent Force nothing to scoff at.

0:37:54.200 --> 0:37:55.759
<v Speaker 13>But at the end of the day, right now, if

0:37:55.800 --> 0:37:59.400
<v Speaker 13>you're an application company, and your revenue is decelerating.

0:38:00.120 --> 0:38:01.799
<v Speaker 5>Market is really going to punish you.

0:38:02.480 --> 0:38:05.520
<v Speaker 3>Ryan Blastellica Inequities team who you know, we're all very

0:38:05.560 --> 0:38:07.319
<v Speaker 3>close buddies, where they help us out a lot with

0:38:07.400 --> 0:38:10.680
<v Speaker 3>their their sort of stock coverage. They frame this is actually,

0:38:10.880 --> 0:38:12.240
<v Speaker 3>if this goes well, it could.

0:38:12.160 --> 0:38:15.359
<v Speaker 2>Change the story for the stock. What has the story been.

0:38:15.440 --> 0:38:17.879
<v Speaker 3>I mean, his salesforce been one of the I want

0:38:17.880 --> 0:38:20.799
<v Speaker 3>to say victims, but those under pressure from the SaaS

0:38:20.800 --> 0:38:22.040
<v Speaker 3>apocalypse kind of narrative.

0:38:22.120 --> 0:38:24.480
<v Speaker 13>I mean, it could change the narrative for the whole sector, right,

0:38:24.520 --> 0:38:27.920
<v Speaker 13>because salesforce is these SaaS companies. So when folks think

0:38:27.960 --> 0:38:32.120
<v Speaker 13>about the SaaS industry getting hurt by AI getting displaced,

0:38:32.200 --> 0:38:35.759
<v Speaker 13>you know, the idea that innovation and technology is no

0:38:35.840 --> 0:38:39.440
<v Speaker 13>longer happening at these SaaS companies like you know, an

0:38:39.440 --> 0:38:43.320
<v Speaker 13>Adobe or a salesforce. If they can show that that's changing,

0:38:43.520 --> 0:38:44.560
<v Speaker 13>that could be very meaningful.

0:38:45.520 --> 0:38:47.560
<v Speaker 4>But still, they hit a three year low on their

0:38:47.600 --> 0:38:50.040
<v Speaker 4>stock last month. They haven't recovered much and they're down

0:38:50.120 --> 0:38:53.120
<v Speaker 4>thirty percent year to date. So is there a narrative

0:38:53.560 --> 0:38:56.200
<v Speaker 4>what anecdotal evidence to fight back as some of what

0:38:56.320 --> 0:38:59.080
<v Speaker 4>you wrote Brody that it isn't actually working at agent

0:38:59.120 --> 0:39:02.399
<v Speaker 4>thoughts with in compliance offices, yet they can't sign off

0:39:02.400 --> 0:39:02.600
<v Speaker 4>on it.

0:39:02.640 --> 0:39:07.040
<v Speaker 13>For example, the big story I think is that the

0:39:07.160 --> 0:39:11.000
<v Speaker 13>technology is real, but it takes a long time to

0:39:11.080 --> 0:39:14.160
<v Speaker 13>implement at big corporations, right, I mean you or I

0:39:14.200 --> 0:39:17.120
<v Speaker 13>can go and chat GPT and do some you know,

0:39:17.200 --> 0:39:20.719
<v Speaker 13>whatever workflow you might do, but as a corporation, that's

0:39:20.880 --> 0:39:22.680
<v Speaker 13>very difficult to implement it widely.

0:39:23.320 --> 0:39:27.040
<v Speaker 4>In many ways, that compliance stickiness, though, makes makes salesforce

0:39:27.040 --> 0:39:27.560
<v Speaker 4>pretty sticky.

0:39:27.600 --> 0:39:29.680
<v Speaker 5>BLO makes pretty good. We appreciate you.

0:39:29.800 --> 0:39:31.480
<v Speaker 4>It's gonna be a busy evening after the bell. There's

0:39:31.520 --> 0:39:35.879
<v Speaker 4>also other stocks reporting, for example Marvel and fascinating chip stock.

0:39:35.920 --> 0:39:38.200
<v Speaker 4>Like this is in many ways about the focus on photonics,

0:39:38.239 --> 0:39:41.600
<v Speaker 4>on optics, on networking, but it's also think about that

0:39:41.600 --> 0:39:44.200
<v Speaker 4>two billion dollar investment in video made in but March

0:39:44.239 --> 0:39:45.920
<v Speaker 4>and Marvel Technology, how.

0:39:45.800 --> 0:39:48.000
<v Speaker 5>Have they been performing within videos backing?

0:39:48.880 --> 0:39:51.200
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's interesting. The stock's down so much, you know,

0:39:51.239 --> 0:39:53.319
<v Speaker 3>ahead of the earnings print. I don't see anything on

0:39:53.320 --> 0:39:54.440
<v Speaker 3>the Bloomberg.

0:39:56.760 --> 0:39:57.160
<v Speaker 5>This year.

0:39:57.239 --> 0:39:58.799
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, exactly. It's a high flight.

0:39:58.880 --> 0:40:01.560
<v Speaker 3>So in our conversations about custom silicon, we super focus

0:40:01.640 --> 0:40:05.400
<v Speaker 3>on broad com principally Marvel has XPU exactly the same idea.

0:40:05.480 --> 0:40:08.600
<v Speaker 3>Rather than selling a chip, which is it, it partners

0:40:08.600 --> 0:40:11.440
<v Speaker 3>with a hyperscala or a technology company and says we

0:40:11.520 --> 0:40:13.960
<v Speaker 3>will do this with you custom silicon. There's also some

0:40:14.280 --> 0:40:16.719
<v Speaker 3>examples that that might extend outside of the world the

0:40:16.800 --> 0:40:17.280
<v Speaker 3>data centers.

0:40:17.280 --> 0:40:18.600
<v Speaker 2>We can talk about that at later date.

0:40:18.800 --> 0:40:20.840
<v Speaker 3>But yeah, if this is happening and we're in a

0:40:20.840 --> 0:40:23.520
<v Speaker 3>compute deficit, Marvel's a likely winner, and.

0:40:23.440 --> 0:40:24.880
<v Speaker 4>We'll see whether they can live up to some of

0:40:24.920 --> 0:40:27.440
<v Speaker 4>the expectations around their numbers, and there are some lofty

0:40:27.440 --> 0:40:29.560
<v Speaker 4>ones out there. But all of this at the moment

0:40:29.600 --> 0:40:33.160
<v Speaker 4>is around AI's obvious rapid growth, but it is actually

0:40:33.160 --> 0:40:37.480
<v Speaker 4>pushing global energy demand eb A skyward two, forcing electrical grids,

0:40:37.480 --> 0:40:40.480
<v Speaker 4>for example, to expand and modernized. Now companies from China

0:40:40.560 --> 0:40:44.200
<v Speaker 4>to Nigeria investing in new tech to power the future.

0:40:44.480 --> 0:40:46.040
<v Speaker 4>That's a focus of doing their primer this week.

0:40:46.080 --> 0:40:46.560
<v Speaker 5>Take a listen.

0:40:48.040 --> 0:40:50.239
<v Speaker 4>For a long time, rich countries haven't had to think

0:40:50.280 --> 0:40:54.000
<v Speaker 4>about their grids all that much. Their electricity demand has

0:40:54.000 --> 0:40:56.720
<v Speaker 4>been pretty much flat since the two thousands.

0:40:57.040 --> 0:40:58.560
<v Speaker 5>The times are changing.

0:41:00.080 --> 0:41:03.560
<v Speaker 3>Explosive growth of AI, the rapid build out of data centers.

0:41:03.680 --> 0:41:06.400
<v Speaker 2>They're consuming enormous amounts of energy.

0:41:06.520 --> 0:41:09.319
<v Speaker 13>A few have four companies now that are intending to

0:41:09.360 --> 0:41:12.120
<v Speaker 13>spend over three hundred billion dollars this year.

0:41:12.600 --> 0:41:15.839
<v Speaker 4>With industries like AI and EV's growing fast, the world

0:41:15.960 --> 0:41:19.160
<v Speaker 4>is predicted to use twice as much electricity by twenty fifty.

0:41:19.800 --> 0:41:23.640
<v Speaker 4>That's roughly a whole new USA's worth of electricity every

0:41:23.760 --> 0:41:27.040
<v Speaker 4>five years. To make all that power and get it

0:41:27.080 --> 0:41:29.399
<v Speaker 4>to where it needs to go, the world's grids need

0:41:29.480 --> 0:41:33.520
<v Speaker 4>to evolve. All that new infrastructure will cost billions of dollars,

0:41:33.880 --> 0:41:37.400
<v Speaker 4>but so did broadband internet and that's ended up creating

0:41:37.520 --> 0:41:42.200
<v Speaker 4>trillions of dollars of value. And some countries' grids are

0:41:42.239 --> 0:41:44.520
<v Speaker 4>evolving faster than others.

0:41:44.520 --> 0:41:47.680
<v Speaker 12>In China, power generation has gone up seven times since

0:41:47.719 --> 0:41:48.320
<v Speaker 12>two thousand.

0:41:48.680 --> 0:41:50.920
<v Speaker 2>The battle to build the best grid is a battle

0:41:50.960 --> 0:41:51.640
<v Speaker 2>to win the future.

0:41:52.280 --> 0:41:54.680
<v Speaker 3>Here more from the team at Bloomberg Originals on today's

0:41:54.719 --> 0:41:57.520
<v Speaker 3>episode of Primer that's tonight on Bloomberg at six pm

0:41:57.560 --> 0:42:01.120
<v Speaker 3>Eastern and on Bloomberg Originals at apm Okay. Coming up,

0:42:01.160 --> 0:42:04.480
<v Speaker 3>we hear from UBS Asia Pacific President ikbau Khan on

0:42:04.600 --> 0:42:07.440
<v Speaker 3>how he sees AI impacting jobs.

0:42:07.920 --> 0:42:08.919
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg Tech.

0:42:23.960 --> 0:42:27.600
<v Speaker 3>UBS Asia Pacific President ikbaw Khan says AI will free

0:42:27.680 --> 0:42:31.600
<v Speaker 3>up capacity and improve productivity, but also have an impact

0:42:31.600 --> 0:42:34.840
<v Speaker 3>on jobs. He spoke exclusively to Bloomberg Stephen Engel on

0:42:34.880 --> 0:42:38.040
<v Speaker 3>the sidelines of the firm's Asian Investment conference in Hong Kong.

0:42:39.080 --> 0:42:42.000
<v Speaker 14>I think the opportunity that we're seeing now with technology

0:42:42.000 --> 0:42:47.279
<v Speaker 14>and with AI is very much around simplifying, speeding up

0:42:47.320 --> 0:42:51.839
<v Speaker 14>the processes, not cutting corners, but actually fundamentally improving the.

0:42:51.760 --> 0:42:53.560
<v Speaker 2>Process consistency of process.

0:42:53.680 --> 0:42:57.319
<v Speaker 14>Just think about documenting source of wealth of an individual.

0:42:57.400 --> 0:42:58.840
<v Speaker 2>It's a pretty complex task.

0:42:59.200 --> 0:43:01.719
<v Speaker 14>But if AI can help you contextualize that and help

0:43:01.760 --> 0:43:04.640
<v Speaker 14>you actually do that and ensure that there's consistency, you're

0:43:04.640 --> 0:43:07.799
<v Speaker 14>going to fundamentally improve the process in addition to what

0:43:07.800 --> 0:43:08.520
<v Speaker 14>you're doing today.

0:43:08.719 --> 0:43:13.480
<v Speaker 15>Nice segue, AI. It's in everyone's discussion book right now. Obviously,

0:43:13.520 --> 0:43:16.319
<v Speaker 15>we just had Jamie Diamond of JP Morgan talking about that.

0:43:16.440 --> 0:43:18.520
<v Speaker 15>We've heard some comments that he got a little bit

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:22.000
<v Speaker 15>of blowback. Bill Winters at Standard Chartered saying it's going

0:43:22.080 --> 0:43:25.640
<v Speaker 15>to have a significant impact obviously on maybe some of

0:43:25.840 --> 0:43:27.840
<v Speaker 15>the rank and files in the banking industry. How do

0:43:27.880 --> 0:43:30.920
<v Speaker 15>you see AI over the next couple of years changing

0:43:30.960 --> 0:43:32.640
<v Speaker 15>the way you hire and who you hire.

0:43:33.520 --> 0:43:34.520
<v Speaker 2>So let's step back right.

0:43:34.560 --> 0:43:36.680
<v Speaker 14>I mean, clearly there's a lot of focus on AI.

0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:40.319
<v Speaker 14>We see high valuations around AI. There's a lot of

0:43:41.280 --> 0:43:46.279
<v Speaker 14>talk around the value chain, everything from actual lms to

0:43:46.440 --> 0:43:50.360
<v Speaker 14>data centers to respective foundations infrastructure. For US, at UBS,

0:43:50.360 --> 0:43:53.759
<v Speaker 14>we've been very focused on AI specifically, also led and

0:43:53.840 --> 0:43:57.840
<v Speaker 14>driven by Sanjo multiur Group CEO. We've implemented, for example,

0:43:57.880 --> 0:44:00.759
<v Speaker 14>copilot across the board as just one example, and I

0:44:00.760 --> 0:44:02.520
<v Speaker 14>have to tell you, in the last six months, I've

0:44:02.520 --> 0:44:05.960
<v Speaker 14>been using it more myself and I've been using it

0:44:06.000 --> 0:44:08.239
<v Speaker 14>personally as well as professionally and has actually made me

0:44:08.320 --> 0:44:11.480
<v Speaker 14>more efficient, more effective, and I think over time everybody

0:44:11.560 --> 0:44:12.800
<v Speaker 14>will become an AI native.

0:44:13.280 --> 0:44:16.000
<v Speaker 2>It comes down to adoption and application.

0:44:16.120 --> 0:44:20.000
<v Speaker 14>Fundamentally, we look at this as something that will really

0:44:20.120 --> 0:44:23.640
<v Speaker 14>enhance and increase capacity. What does that mean as we

0:44:23.719 --> 0:44:26.600
<v Speaker 14>become more productive, we can use that capacity to grow,

0:44:26.960 --> 0:44:29.560
<v Speaker 14>we can use that capacity to serve our clients better.

0:44:30.520 --> 0:44:33.200
<v Speaker 14>Imagine at UBS, when you come in through the door

0:44:33.200 --> 0:44:35.839
<v Speaker 14>as a client, you get onboarded and if you're eligible

0:44:35.920 --> 0:44:36.520
<v Speaker 14>to getting.

0:44:36.320 --> 0:44:37.360
<v Speaker 2>A solution or a service.

0:44:37.400 --> 0:44:40.920
<v Speaker 14>From a compliance and regulatory perspective, it comes down to

0:44:41.600 --> 0:44:42.920
<v Speaker 14>is that valuable to you or not?

0:44:43.040 --> 0:44:43.880
<v Speaker 2>And we will serve you.

0:44:44.160 --> 0:44:48.440
<v Speaker 14>Now, all of that process is curated, semi automated, manual,

0:44:48.719 --> 0:44:52.120
<v Speaker 14>people driven. You can aifi that if that's actually a

0:44:52.200 --> 0:44:54.960
<v Speaker 14>word to day right, and it is. You do that, you

0:44:55.000 --> 0:44:57.200
<v Speaker 14>can create a lot of capacity and that capacity can

0:44:57.239 --> 0:44:59.239
<v Speaker 14>be used to serve clients even better and grow.

0:44:59.360 --> 0:45:02.680
<v Speaker 15>What does it mean about top line job growth? Do

0:45:02.760 --> 0:45:05.160
<v Speaker 15>you cut back to get more efficient? How does it

0:45:05.239 --> 0:45:06.759
<v Speaker 15>work and how do you communicate that?

0:45:07.200 --> 0:45:08.359
<v Speaker 14>Look at the end of the day, as I said,

0:45:08.360 --> 0:45:11.360
<v Speaker 14>I think it's more about productivity capacity. Now, if we

0:45:11.400 --> 0:45:14.600
<v Speaker 14>can use that capacity to serve our clients better, gain

0:45:14.680 --> 0:45:18.560
<v Speaker 14>more share of wallet, grow faster, grow more, then the

0:45:18.600 --> 0:45:22.319
<v Speaker 14>impact on costs and jobs is going to be less. Now,

0:45:22.360 --> 0:45:25.040
<v Speaker 14>if we cannot, and this is an industry wide topic,

0:45:25.239 --> 0:45:27.680
<v Speaker 14>then of course it will have ramifications and implications on

0:45:28.040 --> 0:45:28.840
<v Speaker 14>costs and jobs.

0:45:30.040 --> 0:45:34.200
<v Speaker 4>Steven Angel that with the UBS focus. But we now

0:45:34.239 --> 0:45:36.719
<v Speaker 4>turn our attention to the White House. President Trump is

0:45:36.760 --> 0:45:39.200
<v Speaker 4>now speaking as a lot of his cabinet meetings it's

0:45:39.239 --> 0:45:39.680
<v Speaker 4>just take a less

0:45:39.719 --> 0:45:43.080
<v Speaker 9>Minages and they've really been that way for a year