1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. Bloomberg Tech is a 2 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: lie from coast to coast with Caroline Hide in New 3 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,760 Speaker 1: York and v lovel in San Francisco. 4 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. 5 00:00:24,440 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 3: Mike Cron and Eske Heinez joined the one trillion dollar 6 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 3: market Cap Club All about the Memory Plus. 7 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 4: Taiwanese prosecutors suspect three individuals of smuggling in video chips 8 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 4: to China through Japan. 9 00:00:36,440 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: And we speak. 10 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Tech is a live from coast to coast with 11 00:00:45,040 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 1: Caroline Hide in New York and V lovel in San Francisco. 12 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech coming up. 13 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 3: Mike Cron and Eske Heinez joined the one trillion dollar 14 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 3: market Cap Club All about the Memory Plus. 15 00:00:58,840 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 4: Taiwanese prosecutors expect three individuals of smuggling in video chips 16 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 4: to China through. 17 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,040 Speaker 3: Japan, and we speak with the x price founder and 18 00:01:07,120 --> 00:01:12,840 Speaker 3: early SpaceX investor Peter Demandis's SpaceX celebrates a major starship milestone. 19 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:15,399 Speaker 4: And meanwhile, we still think about what space is doing 20 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:17,720 Speaker 4: to the public markets, but more broadly, the public markets 21 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:18,360 Speaker 4: just taking. 22 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 5: A bit of a breather. 23 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 4: Today we're looking at what howpillion terms of semiconductors in particular, 24 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 4: it has been a fiery ride hire In the last 25 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 4: five training days, we'd added thirteen percent of this benchmark. 26 00:01:27,520 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 4: Today we pulled back a little bit, but there are 27 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:32,760 Speaker 4: notable players within the chip sector that you've got to 28 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 4: keep your eyes trained on. It's all about the power 29 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:37,600 Speaker 4: the muscle of high bandwidth memory, and of course it's 30 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,639 Speaker 4: sent Micron storing. We're still holding onto the day's games 31 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:42,559 Speaker 4: rock three tens of percent, but it was all about 32 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 4: yesterday's market moves and those that happened in Asia as 33 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 4: well ed. 34 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,480 Speaker 3: That brings us to today's big number one trillion dollars 35 00:01:50,520 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 3: in climbing memoryship giants s k Heinex and Micron have 36 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 3: now joined the one trillion dollar market cap club and 37 00:01:56,800 --> 00:02:00,160 Speaker 3: see continued momentum is investors pile into some of the 38 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 3: companies the powering the AI boom. Let's get more with 39 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:06,520 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Equities reporter Ryan Vacelica. It's been a number of 40 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 3: days now where we've been trying to look at what's happening. Ryan, 41 00:02:09,960 --> 00:02:13,080 Speaker 3: with the memory names of particular, Micron was the case 42 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:15,400 Speaker 3: study because of that ubs note which you can remind 43 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 3: us of, but generally speaking, what is happening across memory, 44 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 3: not just in US markets, but of course in Korean 45 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 3: markets as well well. 46 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 6: There's been a huge and growing appreciation of how central 47 00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:32,079 Speaker 6: high bandwidth memory is to the overall AI infrastructure build out. 48 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:37,760 Speaker 6: These companies have seen absolutely massive demand and absolutely massive growth. 49 00:02:38,080 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 6: I think Micron's revenue nearly tripled last quarter, which was 50 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:43,800 Speaker 6: I think the fastest piece of growth going back to 51 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,440 Speaker 6: I think the nineteen nineties. So absolutely just staggering levels 52 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,639 Speaker 6: demand for these types of chips, all of which are 53 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 6: being used in the AI infrastructure, and that is really 54 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 6: translating in a pretty direct way to the stock prices. 55 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 6: I think Micron is up more than seventy percent in 56 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 6: May by itself, which is the biggest one month jump 57 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 6: since December nineteen eighty seven. Just to give you a 58 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,359 Speaker 6: sense of just how quickly these stocks are moving. 59 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 4: Up, let's look at about sk Heinex how much it 60 00:03:12,840 --> 00:03:15,440 Speaker 4: moved up in the May number as well. They've almost 61 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 4: moved in lockstep, both of them up seventy percent in 62 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 4: the month of May. Sk high Inex Micron both at 63 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:23,399 Speaker 4: more than two hundred percent so far year to date, 64 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 4: but what's notable is both of them are posting quarterly 65 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 4: revenue increases of. 66 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 5: More than two hundred percent. 67 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 4: So in many ways, Ammas out there seemed to be saying, look, 68 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:34,280 Speaker 4: these are still actually fundamentally cheap. 69 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 6: Yeah, the levels of growth that these companies are seeing 70 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 6: is absolutely astronomical. And I can also add in sand Disk, 71 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 6: Western Digital, Seagate, all the memory in storage space are 72 00:03:44,720 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 6: just seeing absolutely huge demand. The evaluation picture is a 73 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:50,520 Speaker 6: little bit tricky though. In fact, we have a story 74 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:52,440 Speaker 6: coming out tomorrow, but I'll give you a sneak preview. 75 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 6: Micron multiple is trading under ten right now, ten times 76 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,760 Speaker 6: forward earnings. That is extremely low, especially for company growing 77 00:04:00,800 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 6: this quickly. However, because memory has historically been quite cyclical, 78 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 6: there are some concerns that this low multiple might be 79 00:04:08,720 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 6: an indication of peak earnings. I've actually had someone say 80 00:04:12,280 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 6: to me that he would feel more comfortable if Micron 81 00:04:14,600 --> 00:04:17,040 Speaker 6: was really expensive right now, because I would indicate maybe 82 00:04:17,040 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 6: a trough level in earnings that are about to go ahead, 83 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,760 Speaker 6: leading the stock up with it. So right now you 84 00:04:21,760 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 6: can certainly say that Micron is inexpensive. The question is 85 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:29,279 Speaker 6: is AI changing the cyclical nature of memory overall? That 86 00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:31,960 Speaker 6: we are in some kind of new paradigm where maybe 87 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 6: Micron actually is as cheap as it looks, and this 88 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:37,039 Speaker 6: isn't some kind of contrarian warning light. 89 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 3: I'll answer that Ryan, Yes, because in high bandwidth memory 90 00:04:42,400 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 3: and the design of the SEC the chiplet, it's directly 91 00:04:47,320 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 3: embedded into the GPU. 92 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 2: And what's so crazy about all of this. 93 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:55,280 Speaker 3: We're talking a lot about supply constraints, a shortage of GPUs, 94 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 3: but it's not because of the GPU die. It's not 95 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 3: because in video can't get enough of them necessarily. It's 96 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 3: the corresponding high bandwidth memories. Not there unpack what UBS 97 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 3: said in its note about that, particularly on the valuation. 98 00:05:06,640 --> 00:05:09,560 Speaker 3: It said, one reason with doubling our price target is 99 00:05:09,560 --> 00:05:11,720 Speaker 3: we think that people will start to appreciate that. 100 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 6: Yeah, so UBS came out, I think that actually tripled 101 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 6: their price target. I think the estmate was that this 102 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:20,479 Speaker 6: would eventually be a one point eight trillion dollar company. 103 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 6: So even though we've seen some huge gains in the stocks, 104 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 6: UBS expects the upside. It sees a lot more additional 105 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,840 Speaker 6: upside from here. What it said was that Micron really 106 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 6: deserves to have a multiple that's on par with Nvidia, 107 00:05:32,080 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 6: and I think it said it was looking for maybe 108 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:38,039 Speaker 6: fifteen times estimated earnings, whereasas historically it gave it a 109 00:05:38,240 --> 00:05:41,480 Speaker 6: five times estimated earnings multiple. So they are saying that 110 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:45,039 Speaker 6: Micron should be worth three times what it used to 111 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 6: consider a fair valuation for the stock. That is a 112 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 6: really significant change here, and it really is causing people 113 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 6: to reevaluate. How should we be valuating these companies, How 114 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,919 Speaker 6: should we be considering the nature of the market, the 115 00:05:58,040 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 6: nature of this demand, and what is that mean for 116 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,760 Speaker 6: growth going forward? Right now it's up in the air, 117 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 6: But so far people seem extremely optimistic and extremely positive. 118 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:10,280 Speaker 4: Well broadly, we're seeing at the moment ry not a 119 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:13,599 Speaker 4: single cell rating on either of these stocks. Despite that 120 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 4: more than two hundred percent crescendo so far this year. 121 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:16,640 Speaker 5: We appreciate you. 122 00:06:17,040 --> 00:06:20,680 Speaker 4: As investors are pushing memory chants like Skhinex, like Microntu 123 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 4: record valuations. The race for advanced semiconductors also raises new 124 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 4: concerns of export controls. So Taiwanese prosecutors suspect three individuals 125 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 4: smuggled Nvidia AI chips to China through Japan. So, according 126 00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 4: to sources, some more we go to Blomboth Senior Tech 127 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 4: editor Mike Sheppard to join us. This is once again 128 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,480 Speaker 4: about super micro computer. This is about servers that are 129 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 4: somehow winding their way to China. 130 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 2: Well, that's right. 131 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 7: These three individuals are suspected of having falsified documents indicating 132 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:55,760 Speaker 7: that the final destination for these devices was Japan, when 133 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 7: in fact, according to authorities, the ultimate buyer was in China. 134 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:00,479 Speaker 2: So place. 135 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,440 Speaker 7: Now, authorities managed to seize about fifty of these servers 136 00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,600 Speaker 7: before they were actually shipped, but it looks like at 137 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,600 Speaker 7: least one shipment got through according to the reporting by 138 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 7: our colleagues Mackenzie Hawkins and Debbie Wu, who have been 139 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:17,080 Speaker 7: all over this story from the start. Now, Caro, the 140 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:20,200 Speaker 7: twist in this case is Japan. When we have been 141 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:22,880 Speaker 7: reporting on and talking about some of the other chip 142 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 7: smuggling cases involving in Nvidia's hardware and products, they've typically 143 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 7: gone through some of the Southeast Asian economies like Thailand 144 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,920 Speaker 7: and Singapore, and we haven't seen Japan really factor into this. 145 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 7: Japan has actually seen it's more of a place where 146 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 7: Chinese companies can rent computing power legally. It's a practice 147 00:07:42,280 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 7: that falls within the bounds permissible bounds of US export 148 00:07:46,240 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 7: controls through data centers in Japan, Chinese companies can simply 149 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:53,680 Speaker 7: access all that AI compute simply by paying a rental 150 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 7: fee chev real quick. 151 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 3: Nvidia didn't respond to a requests for comment on this story. 152 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:02,680 Speaker 3: But Jensenmong is Taiwan right now, and I believe somebody 153 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 3: asked him broadly about this issue very quick. 154 00:08:05,480 --> 00:08:08,640 Speaker 7: What did he say, Well, he was asked over the 155 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 7: weekend after those three individuals were detained whether super Micro 156 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 7: needed to do more to rein in some of the 157 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 7: concerns about chip smuggling, and he said, look, they need 158 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:22,960 Speaker 7: to perhaps tighten up the ship when it comes to 159 00:08:23,040 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 7: compliance and oversight of their customers. And this is a 160 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:30,480 Speaker 7: rare thing for the Nvidia CEO to say about one 161 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,800 Speaker 7: of the company's partners, super Micro, and neither company, of course, 162 00:08:34,840 --> 00:08:37,439 Speaker 7: it's important to note, has been accused of any wrongdoing 163 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 7: in these or other cases. But they insisted that their 164 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 7: compliance is up up to par and that they are 165 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 7: doing more to strengthen it in the wake of the 166 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 7: charges that were filed against one of its co founders 167 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:50,720 Speaker 7: earlier this year. 168 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:53,559 Speaker 4: An unfolding story one you're all across. We so appreciate it. 169 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 4: Bloomberg's Mike Shephard. There, Look, we can continue to talk 170 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,559 Speaker 4: to your politics and how it impacts the market, and 171 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 4: we continue to talk about US tech stocks that are 172 00:09:00,840 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 4: holding onto me and record highs with a whole lot 173 00:09:03,600 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 4: of enthusiasm for the AI trade. 174 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:07,240 Speaker 5: But there's some pressure out of that. 175 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 4: Let's talk about it when that's Tegna CEO se I 176 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:11,960 Speaker 4: have left Tegna Investments and just pivoting back to how 177 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:15,559 Speaker 4: we started a story that Micron and sk Heinex and 178 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,120 Speaker 4: now in the trillon dollar club that we're still seeing 179 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 4: AI infrastructure bottlenecks. Nancy, Is this just continuing to feed 180 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:24,840 Speaker 4: your optimism around the sector. 181 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, Carolyn, we're we're ready for a correction 182 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 8: because we get one about once a year, and this 183 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 8: has been pretty frothy. But when you go back and 184 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 8: look when there's been an eight week run like this, 185 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 8: historically stocks are up over twelve around twelve percent a 186 00:09:41,440 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 8: year later, and that's Bespoke's work, not mine. 187 00:09:44,400 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 9: So I think you have to be you have to 188 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:48,280 Speaker 9: be nimble. 189 00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,959 Speaker 8: And you know, we added to Micron at three sixty 190 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:55,440 Speaker 8: six just a few months ago and felt late and 191 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 8: of course we weren't, at least not for the moment. 192 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:02,200 Speaker 8: What you have to do is be diligent about trimming 193 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 8: things back, and that is what we've been doing, you know, 194 00:10:05,240 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 8: taking some gains, sitting and waiting, reallocating to names that 195 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 8: we think, you know, will continue to benefit. But yeah, 196 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 8: this is a productivity driven ball market. 197 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 9: I think it will continue for some time. 198 00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:21,679 Speaker 8: We will probably get a correction that will be yet 199 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 8: another opportunity like deep Seek was, like the first quarter 200 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:27,200 Speaker 8: of this year was. But you want to stick with 201 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:30,480 Speaker 8: the high quality names and you want it. You don't 202 00:10:30,559 --> 00:10:33,760 Speaker 8: want to chase the latest because the hedge funds are 203 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 8: going to pivot here pretty quickly, and we saw that 204 00:10:36,600 --> 00:10:39,040 Speaker 8: from hardware to software and now back to hardware. 205 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 3: Nancy, I'm going to show you a chart, and for 206 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:44,199 Speaker 3: those that listen to Bloomberg Tech as a podcast, it's 207 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:47,040 Speaker 3: a squiggly line that shows a very sharp up with trajectory. 208 00:10:47,480 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 3: From the end of March to present day. We've gone 209 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:54,440 Speaker 3: from about twenty two five hundred points to almost thirty thousand. Yes, 210 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 3: if you tell anyone I quoted points on the I'll 211 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 3: deny it. You just said that you're ready for a 212 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 3: correction in the Micron story was about ubs almost tripling 213 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 3: its price target. 214 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 2: How are you going to play Micron in a correction environment? 215 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean we are going to be trimming it 216 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,079 Speaker 9: here shortly and we will likely add back to it. 217 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 8: Beware of people that tell you, you know, old tech 218 00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 8: is dead or software is dead, because these companies find ways. 219 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 8: I understand this is more of a demand issue, but 220 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 8: they do find ways to pivot, and so I think 221 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:31,480 Speaker 8: what you want to be doing is taking some gains 222 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,720 Speaker 8: when you can and then looking for opportunities when the 223 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:38,920 Speaker 8: market pulls back. We called for a bottom on April fourth. 224 00:11:39,480 --> 00:11:41,839 Speaker 8: I mean, that's not really our business, but we did. 225 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 8: We were a little bit late, but that is how 226 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 8: this market has been moving. And so it's quickly and 227 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:51,679 Speaker 8: it's rapid, and it's violent to the upside. 228 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,800 Speaker 2: And so don't. 229 00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 8: Confuse that with you know, being a genius, because what 230 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 8: the market giveth, it will also take it the way. 231 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 9: So you just want to remain nimble. 232 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 4: Remaining nimble and thinking about what your long term bet 233 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 4: saw Like Nancy, you always bring us our twelve best 234 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 4: ideas portfolio, and within that is some software is service 235 00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 4: now for example, and boy of those names been beaten up, 236 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 4: but they have clawed their way back from some of 237 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 4: the bottoms. 238 00:12:18,360 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 5: But tonight we get we get it called salesforce numbers. 239 00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 4: Will that fundamentally show that these AI related disruptible names 240 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:28,079 Speaker 4: can hang on in there? 241 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 9: I think so, Caroline. It's an important report to be sure. 242 00:12:32,720 --> 00:12:35,560 Speaker 8: And you know what we've done is we've within our 243 00:12:35,600 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 8: twelve best We have a six for twenty six that's 244 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:41,480 Speaker 8: up forty percent this year and includes names like CrowdStrike. 245 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 8: Last year we had service Now in that five for 246 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 8: twenty five and it did abysmally, but the portfolio is 247 00:12:47,559 --> 00:12:51,199 Speaker 8: still outperformed. So that is what you have to think about, 248 00:12:51,280 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 8: is that the right name is Microsoft going to be 249 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:53,840 Speaker 8: a winner? 250 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 2: I think so. 251 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:57,720 Speaker 9: I'm more concerned about Salesforce, which we don't own. 252 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:02,600 Speaker 8: We exited Adobe for obvious reasons a while back, and 253 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:05,640 Speaker 8: I think that's what you have to consider who will win. 254 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 8: And I do think if you own the platform, you'll 255 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 8: be a beneficiary of AI. And I do think service 256 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 8: now is well positioned, despite how difficult of a name 257 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:17,800 Speaker 8: it has been to own s. 258 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:21,080 Speaker 3: We're in this period now where we've gone through earning season, 259 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:24,840 Speaker 3: including through in video, So we're not now fixed on 260 00:13:24,840 --> 00:13:27,200 Speaker 3: the Kapex figures. Maybe we still are in videos set 261 00:13:27,200 --> 00:13:30,360 Speaker 3: its piece what happens in this interim period, like what 262 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 3: is the catalyst in either direction for the market. 263 00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:36,760 Speaker 9: That's the right question ed. I think that is why 264 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 9: we think we may be right for a correction. 265 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 8: What will happen is we will turn our attention the 266 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:46,520 Speaker 8: market's fickle, and then we'll start focusing on the Fed. 267 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 8: We'll go back to is Horn moves open and there 268 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,200 Speaker 8: will be hand ringing, and I think that will drive 269 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:56,839 Speaker 8: the narrative because it's too early for the midterms. So 270 00:13:57,400 --> 00:14:01,319 Speaker 8: we are putting in place some protection for our clients 271 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:05,480 Speaker 8: and it may be money not well spent if the 272 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 8: market continues to accelerate, but it never does go straight up, 273 00:14:09,320 --> 00:14:09,959 Speaker 8: So I think. 274 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,200 Speaker 9: You want to pay attention to FED speak. 275 00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 8: I hope there's less of it as we move forward 276 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:17,199 Speaker 8: from here. I mean that is a promise that Kevin 277 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 8: worsh made, and let the FED do their job and 278 00:14:20,680 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 8: then and there will also be on inflation watch, which 279 00:14:23,640 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 8: which I think is actually not the bigger problem that 280 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 8: we face from an economic standpoint. 281 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 9: But there are many who disagree. 282 00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 5: With me on that what about it wrong. 283 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean I think I think that's problematic on 284 00:14:37,040 --> 00:14:38,840 Speaker 8: so many levels. But you know, we're getting all the 285 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 8: peace talk, but we haven't seen a lot of progress. 286 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 8: So I think for most investors the question is when 287 00:14:45,160 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 8: does when do the straits of straight of horror moves open. 288 00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 9: When that happens, then I think you'll see a melt up. 289 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 8: But until then you'll see a lot of hand ringing 290 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 8: and that you know, that is what markets do, and 291 00:14:57,280 --> 00:14:59,880 Speaker 8: that is what the algos and the hedge funds exacts 292 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 8: in the near term. So volatility, remember, friend of long 293 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:06,239 Speaker 8: term investor, use it to your advantage. 294 00:15:06,360 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 9: Because earnings growth has been amazing. We've also seen guidance raised. 295 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,720 Speaker 8: We've been steadfast in the tech trade for the last 296 00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:16,520 Speaker 8: three years while many wrote it off. So we're pretty 297 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 8: happy with you know, the way our portfolios have performed 298 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 8: as a result of that. 299 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 3: Nancy Tegler of Laffetango Investments back on v tech, Thank 300 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 3: you very much. Now coming up, we're going to speak 301 00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:31,000 Speaker 3: with the X Prize founder Peter Demandez as SpaceX celebrates 302 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 3: a major starship milestone. 303 00:15:33,320 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 2: This is blombog Tech. 304 00:15:42,480 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 3: SpaceX's latest successful starship launch marks a major milestone for 305 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 3: the company's next generation rocket program and a critical step 306 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 3: towards the longtime growth strategy that was laid out in 307 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:57,040 Speaker 3: its recent IPO filing. Also crucial elon Musk, the S 308 00:15:57,080 --> 00:15:59,840 Speaker 3: one made it absolutely clear with an outsized pay package, 309 00:16:00,080 --> 00:16:03,760 Speaker 3: majority voting control for the CEO bloemeg intelligence writing. The 310 00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:08,240 Speaker 3: document highlights some significant governance concerns that still might be 311 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 3: overshadowed by investor's fear of missing out. FOMO on the 312 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 3: biggest IPO ever here to talk about it. The importance 313 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 3: of Starship Musk the perspective of an early SpaceX investor. 314 00:16:19,080 --> 00:16:21,800 Speaker 3: Peter diamandis founder of X Prize, and we're trying again. 315 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,320 Speaker 3: You're on the show Friday, and we had to cut 316 00:16:24,360 --> 00:16:29,040 Speaker 3: our conversation short. But then on Friday night, Starship twelve 317 00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:32,480 Speaker 3: Flight Test Mission V three. Your reaction to it, to 318 00:16:32,520 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 3: how that went. 319 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 10: Well, Listen the fact that it was a brand new vehicle, 320 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 10: brand new engines, the most advanced engineering ever built by humans. 321 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 10: It was incredible success. You know what people, if do 322 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:52,080 Speaker 10: you realize, is that you can't test a rocket a 323 00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:53,920 Speaker 10: little bit at a time. You have to test the 324 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:57,440 Speaker 10: entire system and the fact that the launch took off 325 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 10: with its version three of its engines and the entire 326 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 10: vehicle the largest, most powerful engineering system ever launched by humans. 327 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:09,160 Speaker 2: It was great. 328 00:17:09,240 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 10: We're going to see Starship making incremental flights, getting better 329 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:17,600 Speaker 10: and better until the time where the entire vehicle is refliable, 330 00:17:18,000 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 10: refuelable on orbit and becomes a platform to go to 331 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,439 Speaker 10: the Moon, go to Mars, go beyond. 332 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 3: Why Starship is also its capability and payload to orbit 333 00:17:29,200 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 3: for first starlink and then orbital data center. I wrote 334 00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 3: at the beginning of the week about how clear the 335 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 3: S one was about the limitation of SpaceX's current access 336 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 3: to compute and how much it's going to need in 337 00:17:42,920 --> 00:17:45,800 Speaker 3: the future. You then had an exchange with Elon Musk 338 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,600 Speaker 3: I think in the last twenty four hours, right or 339 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:51,399 Speaker 3: forty eight hours about that exact issue. What was the 340 00:17:51,440 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 3: point you were trying to relate to Elon there? 341 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:58,399 Speaker 10: The point is that he's not just built This is 342 00:17:58,440 --> 00:18:01,520 Speaker 10: not just a rocket company, right, This is a vertically 343 00:18:01,680 --> 00:18:08,320 Speaker 10: integrated satellite network, global broadband, sovereign communications, AI, compute and 344 00:18:08,480 --> 00:18:13,959 Speaker 10: ultimately off planet infrastructure. You know, he is building a 345 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 10: hyperscaler Uh, not just an AI system, So his ability 346 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 10: to succeed as a company goes beyond just the you know, 347 00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 10: groc is an AI system. He's providing the infrastructure for 348 00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:30,879 Speaker 10: a large number of the frontier labs out there. You know, 349 00:18:30,960 --> 00:18:34,199 Speaker 10: And what people need to realize about this company is 350 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:38,040 Speaker 10: it's the It isn't just a little bit ahead of 351 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:41,159 Speaker 10: the entire launch industry on planet Earth. It's orders of 352 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 10: magnitude ahead beyond anything else, and everything we hold a 353 00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:49,359 Speaker 10: value on Earth, metals, minerals, energy, real estate is in 354 00:18:49,400 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 10: near infinite quantities in space, and so what we're buying 355 00:18:53,359 --> 00:18:57,080 Speaker 10: is the next you know, the global economy, you know, 356 00:18:57,200 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 10: two dot oh and three dot O. As we look 357 00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:02,080 Speaker 10: at into SpaceX. 358 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 4: Go global, Peter, because I know you can, and we're 359 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:08,040 Speaker 4: please that you do. There's a lot of hand ringing 360 00:19:08,080 --> 00:19:12,240 Speaker 4: and almost people feeling that every turn, the US uses 361 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,120 Speaker 4: China as the excuse as to why we need less regulation, 362 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,000 Speaker 4: why we need to go full throttle, why we need 363 00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 4: to win quote unquote how much you seeing a space 364 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,280 Speaker 4: race US China and how much a SpaceX managed to 365 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 4: dominate their visa v not just US competition, you. 366 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,600 Speaker 10: Know, we humans love competition and it drives us forward. 367 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:31,879 Speaker 10: And so if you think about this, you know, it 368 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 10: is the US versus the Soviets and the Russians in 369 00:19:35,600 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 10: the you know, fifty years ago, we're doing that same 370 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:43,680 Speaker 10: thing again, but this time it's beyond just a political race. 371 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:45,480 Speaker 10: It's an economic race. 372 00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 2: Again. 373 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 10: We're building out huge revenue engines as we're going forward, 374 00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:55,199 Speaker 10: whether it's going to be mining the Moon for resources 375 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:58,240 Speaker 10: or mining the asteroids for resources. We're also going to 376 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:04,119 Speaker 10: be building out a level of global compute infrastructure in 377 00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:07,719 Speaker 10: Earth orbit. And again, no one was talking about this 378 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:12,359 Speaker 10: a year ago, and today every major hyperscaler is we 379 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:18,359 Speaker 10: see anthropic buying into XAIS or space XAIS data centers 380 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 10: on Earth. But they're also going to need that's going 381 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 10: to be given for morbit. 382 00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:25,520 Speaker 4: Look, you're a man who's driven by trying to solve 383 00:20:25,520 --> 00:20:27,439 Speaker 4: the world's most pressing problems. You're also a man who 384 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:30,640 Speaker 4: happened to have got into SpaceX and Google and other 385 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 4: key companies very early. 386 00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:33,640 Speaker 5: Well at this moment where people. 387 00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 4: Are questioning how it helps them, how is this being 388 00:20:36,800 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 4: democratized in some way? How are we solving the world's 389 00:20:39,320 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 4: greatest problems for everyone, not just the few? Peter, How 390 00:20:41,760 --> 00:20:43,640 Speaker 4: are you thinking about that, particularly when we look at 391 00:20:43,960 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 4: a listing of a company that is already so valuable. 392 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:48,399 Speaker 5: Is that much left on the table in terms. 393 00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:51,160 Speaker 4: Of democratization and buying of shares by retail investors? 394 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,560 Speaker 10: Sure, so let's hit the point you made first about 395 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:57,800 Speaker 10: solving the world's biggest problems. The single most powerful thing 396 00:20:57,840 --> 00:21:00,840 Speaker 10: we humans have is our intelligence. We're about to see 397 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 10: human intelligence increased by not just ten or one hundredfold, 398 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,840 Speaker 10: a millionfold, a billionfold, right, It's the ability for us 399 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:16,000 Speaker 10: to discover breakthroughs across physics and chemistry and biology, material sciences. 400 00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:18,840 Speaker 10: All of these things are going to be driven by 401 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,440 Speaker 10: the use of these AI systems, And so I don't 402 00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 10: think people understand how rapidly the economy is going to 403 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:31,960 Speaker 10: grow on the back of AI. We're going to be 404 00:21:32,680 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 10: solving aging as a fundamental right. What is it worth 405 00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:40,880 Speaker 10: if you can add thirty healthy years and then those 406 00:21:40,960 --> 00:21:43,720 Speaker 10: extra thirty healthy years on your life by you the 407 00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:47,399 Speaker 10: next fifty healthy years or one hundred healthy years, what 408 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:51,040 Speaker 10: is that worth? Individuals? When we get to room superconducting, 409 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:55,360 Speaker 10: when we get to new ways of growing food, you know, 410 00:21:55,800 --> 00:22:00,160 Speaker 10: twice as fast, five times faster, healthier, we're heading towards 411 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 10: a world of abundance across everything, food, water, energy, healthcare, education, 412 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,840 Speaker 10: all of these elements. You know, when I interviewed Elon 413 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,680 Speaker 10: on my Moonshots podcast at the beginning of this year 414 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,280 Speaker 10: and then again in March, what he talked about, and 415 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:18,239 Speaker 10: I believe this is we're going to see double and 416 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 10: then triple digit GDP growth. And this is happening not 417 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:26,480 Speaker 10: because we're working harder or we humans are smarter. It's 418 00:22:26,520 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 10: on the back of AI and humanoid robotics. One of 419 00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:33,600 Speaker 10: the things he said was that we're entering a world 420 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,440 Speaker 10: where AI and robots are going to create so much, 421 00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 10: so much products, so much availability that we could not 422 00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:44,879 Speaker 10: want enough. Now, this sounds like, you know, a techno 423 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 10: utopian vision, but we have to realize that all of 424 00:22:48,960 --> 00:22:51,920 Speaker 10: the progress that we've seen in humanity, we're living lives 425 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 10: today that are godlike. Compare it to our parents and grandparents. 426 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,159 Speaker 3: Yes, let me jump into you just said thank you 427 00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 3: for vote January six for Elon at length and then 428 00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:05,600 Speaker 3: again in March, and what you just said about robots. 429 00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:09,720 Speaker 3: There is broad speculation right now about the prospect of 430 00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 3: a post IPO SpaceX merging with Tesla on January thirtieth. 431 00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:16,480 Speaker 2: January thirty, if I. 432 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,960 Speaker 3: Reported they'd held talks prior to the Xai transaction, you 433 00:23:20,000 --> 00:23:22,359 Speaker 3: say one hundred percent. I mean, what are you learning 434 00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 3: from those two conversations? What do you know about how real? 435 00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,040 Speaker 2: That is? Why it makes sense. 436 00:23:27,920 --> 00:23:32,360 Speaker 10: It makes sense because it consolidates Elon's control. Today as 437 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:35,120 Speaker 10: reporting the IPO in the S one, you know, there's 438 00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 10: super voting rights that he has and of course is 439 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:43,160 Speaker 10: inside owners. I think it's like, you know, eighty plus 440 00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 10: percent voting control. He doesn't have that in Tessla, and 441 00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:49,800 Speaker 10: by combining the companies, I think he'll have that. He'll 442 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:54,160 Speaker 10: have the ability to operate across all of this infrastructure 443 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:59,800 Speaker 10: and you know the a fleet of cybercabs, all of 444 00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:04,720 Speaker 10: it Tesla vehicles out there that have compute capability on them, 445 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 10: have power on them as well. We're creating a global 446 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 10: infrastructure on the ground, in space. So it just consolidates control. 447 00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 10: It makes his ability to implement his vision a lot 448 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:18,840 Speaker 10: more efficient. So you know, I put it as not 449 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 10: a matter of if and only a matter of when 450 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 10: those two companies come together. And also because there are 451 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 10: valued public companies, you can make that merger happen a 452 00:24:27,080 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 10: lot easier than if you're combining private companies and arguing 453 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 10: about valuation. 454 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:36,840 Speaker 4: Peter jmnis X Prize founder, fascinating to have some time 455 00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,320 Speaker 4: with you and the vision of where spaces goes and 456 00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:39,960 Speaker 4: long win Tesla. 457 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 5: We appreciate it. 458 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 4: Now coming up, we're going to be joined by the 459 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:46,320 Speaker 4: CEO of Cognition and discussing the AI startup's latest fundraise 460 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,959 Speaker 4: to power the first AI software engineer as they call it, 461 00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:53,440 Speaker 4: Devon or many devans. There's a cracking, big valuation on 462 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 4: the back of this. I'm excited about that conversation coming 463 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 4: up next with San Francisco and New York and with 464 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,800 Speaker 4: stocks under pressure in the broader tech ecosystem. 465 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 5: This is blombg Tech. 466 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,640 Speaker 4: Welcome back to Bloomberg Tech, and we pull back from 467 00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:35,959 Speaker 4: some of our record highs today we turn our attention 468 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,360 Speaker 4: to what's happening with the Middle East. Will there be 469 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:40,320 Speaker 4: some sort of piece still between the US and Iran? 470 00:25:40,320 --> 00:25:43,560 Speaker 4: There are conflicting we'll move music around it in newsflow, 471 00:25:43,840 --> 00:25:46,640 Speaker 4: and the market just sells off a little bit in that. 472 00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:47,080 Speaker 5: I have a storm. 473 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:48,919 Speaker 4: We're currently off by four ten percent on the nastat 474 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 4: one hundred coming off of yesterday's record high. We're looking 475 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 4: at the semiconductors, particularly under pressure video and the like, 476 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:55,920 Speaker 4: yanking it down too and a half percent, but remember 477 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 4: it's up thirteen percent prior to this on a five. 478 00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 5: Day winning streak. So we take a but we don't 479 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 5: take a pause. 480 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,960 Speaker 4: One key name, Micron, is still managing to cling into 481 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,240 Speaker 4: the green RUPs seven tenths of a percent. This is 482 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 4: as they hit a trillion dollar figure. 483 00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:09,159 Speaker 7: Ed. 484 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:11,200 Speaker 4: This is as we start to see the real focus 485 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,400 Speaker 4: on high bandwidth memory that saw also sk Heinex run 486 00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:14,960 Speaker 4: up so far. 487 00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:19,159 Speaker 3: Let's get back to today's big number, one trillion dollars 488 00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:22,120 Speaker 3: in climbing. That's the market cap memory chip giants sk 489 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 3: Heenez and Micron have reached and his carriages outline. 490 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:26,919 Speaker 2: Micron still has momentum. 491 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:31,000 Speaker 3: Investors are piling into companies that are powering the AI boom. 492 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,760 Speaker 3: Let's get more Micron and sk Heiniez Boombozi and King, 493 00:26:33,760 --> 00:26:35,679 Speaker 3: who leads our coverage of semiconductors. 494 00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:36,560 Speaker 2: You are so funny. 495 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 3: You and I go to all these conferences and speak 496 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,879 Speaker 3: to all these people in industry, and if you do 497 00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:44,160 Speaker 3: it from their perspective, none of this is a surprise, 498 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,160 Speaker 3: like as Jensen one would put it at c Ovin VideA, 499 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:50,160 Speaker 3: he was trying to convince the memory makers years ago 500 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,480 Speaker 3: that this would happen. Now Here we are why do 501 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 3: we need so much high bandwidth memory? 502 00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean, if you look at the forward estimates 503 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,320 Speaker 11: for this company, Wall Street is bought in to this 504 00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,480 Speaker 11: massive sense of we need so much more equipment. There's 505 00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:07,280 Speaker 11: going to be trillions of dollars of spending happening on this, 506 00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:11,680 Speaker 11: and memory is an absolutely fundamental base layer of the technology. 507 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:14,879 Speaker 11: If you believe that the industry and the economy is 508 00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 11: changing to the extent that people like Jensen we are 509 00:27:18,119 --> 00:27:19,119 Speaker 11: saying it will. 510 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,560 Speaker 4: And it seems like there's stereotypical oligopoly here. There's like 511 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 4: three key players that are rushing to try and for 512 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:26,680 Speaker 4: the hole in high bandwidth memory. 513 00:27:26,720 --> 00:27:28,399 Speaker 5: Of course Dram sort of goes to the backseat a 514 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:29,000 Speaker 5: little bit here. 515 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,720 Speaker 4: But are we seeing any competitive threats because at the moment, 516 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 4: analysts all the community think keep buying these stocks. The 517 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,400 Speaker 4: bottlenecks are going to last through twenty twenty seven. 518 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,479 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean. The other that's a good point, Caroline, 519 00:27:40,520 --> 00:27:41,920 Speaker 11: And the other way to look at that is why 520 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 11: there are only three companies left. The answer is because 521 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,000 Speaker 11: this has been a horrible market for years. Right. We've 522 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 11: had some good years, but we've had a lot of 523 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,560 Speaker 11: bad years as well. There's only three real providers because 524 00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 11: it's so expensive, the bets are so big, and it's 525 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:56,680 Speaker 11: so difficult to make us sustain living in this business. 526 00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:00,920 Speaker 11: There survivors, not necessarily thrivers, even though that's what's going 527 00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:01,640 Speaker 11: on right now. 528 00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,919 Speaker 3: Could you just educate the Bloombert audience a bit on 529 00:28:04,920 --> 00:28:08,199 Speaker 3: the history of memory. The idea was foom and bust 530 00:28:08,520 --> 00:28:12,159 Speaker 3: where memory principally went before there was this great demand 531 00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:13,399 Speaker 3: from the data center space. 532 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,760 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean, the key point is that this is 533 00:28:15,800 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 11: a commodity. One chip from one company can be swapped 534 00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:22,040 Speaker 11: out for another, so you effectively have a market, right, 535 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:22,680 Speaker 11: Prices go. 536 00:28:22,680 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 2: Up and down, supply and demand prices exactly. 537 00:28:25,160 --> 00:28:27,800 Speaker 11: It's a commodity, right. And in the past, you know, 538 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 11: the big market was PCs and then it was smartphones, 539 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,000 Speaker 11: and of course these are consumer devices by in lige, 540 00:28:34,000 --> 00:28:39,160 Speaker 11: so long term supply versus short term fluctuations in demand 541 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 11: was a recipe for disaster. 542 00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:44,000 Speaker 2: In Boxie and King, Thank you very much. Carry some 543 00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:44,440 Speaker 2: more news. 544 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's time now for talking tech ed and first 545 00:28:46,920 --> 00:28:49,880 Speaker 4: up and FTE. Dance is planning just sharply increased capital 546 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:51,920 Speaker 4: spending to lead the Chinese AI market. 547 00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:52,080 Speaker 7: Now. 548 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,760 Speaker 5: The company is considering a seventy billion dollars. 549 00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:57,480 Speaker 4: This year to build out data centers, another AI infrastructure, 550 00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,160 Speaker 4: and it may boost capex roughly one hundred billion dollars 551 00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 4: next year. As an update on the Samsung strike talks, 552 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:06,440 Speaker 4: the company's union members rooted in favor of a compensation 553 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,200 Speaker 4: deal that will hand Chip workers an average bonus about 554 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:11,080 Speaker 4: three hundred and forty thousand dollars now. 555 00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:13,480 Speaker 5: The agreement avoids a strike that had threatened. 556 00:29:13,160 --> 00:29:17,480 Speaker 4: To disrupt global chip supply, and similarly, TSMC chief cc 557 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,120 Speaker 4: Way told staff that they'll see more than a thirty 558 00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 4: percent jump and profit sharing payouts this year on average, 559 00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:26,880 Speaker 4: according to a source. Whays comments come after some employees 560 00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,440 Speaker 4: voiced concerns over their incentive plans online and followed the 561 00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:31,520 Speaker 4: Samsung union deal. 562 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 3: There Okay, back to private markets, Cognition has raised over 563 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 3: a billion dollars at a twenty six billion dollar valuation. 564 00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 3: Lux Capital, General, Catalyst and AVC led the new round. 565 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 3: Cognition CEO Scott, who was here to discuss the news. 566 00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 3: We're also give an update on the company's AI codey agent, Devin, 567 00:29:51,320 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 3: not just one agent, like I think Caroline made a 568 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,360 Speaker 3: good point, like it's an army of agents, and we'll 569 00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,440 Speaker 3: get to that. Start with some basic Scott, A billion dollars, 570 00:29:58,640 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 3: big valuation. 571 00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 2: Why'd you do that? 572 00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:03,200 Speaker 12: Yeah, yeah, absolutely well, thank thank you so much for 573 00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 12: having me back. A few different reasons. First of all, 574 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 12: you know, the growth that we've seen in the business 575 00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,440 Speaker 12: has been incredible, and I think really across the board, 576 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 12: what we're seeing is that AI. 577 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 2: Is doing real work at real companies everywhere. 578 00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 12: And you know, every company in twenty twenty six is 579 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 12: a software company, and so we work with, for example, 580 00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:21,400 Speaker 12: the top five health insurance in the United States. We're 581 00:30:21,400 --> 00:30:24,120 Speaker 12: seeing folks building way more tooling for all of their 582 00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 12: care providers. They're able to cut down on price and 583 00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:30,000 Speaker 12: cover more people. We're working with banks on delivering software 584 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,920 Speaker 12: and making sure to give their customers access to what 585 00:30:32,960 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 12: they need right. We're seeing this with the Treasury and 586 00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:38,600 Speaker 12: NASA as well, and so a couple of reasons for 587 00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:38,960 Speaker 12: the raise. 588 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,160 Speaker 2: I think, first of all, we. 589 00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,160 Speaker 12: Want to continue to grow aggressively and this really allows 590 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 12: us to do that. It allows us to scale our compute, 591 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,000 Speaker 12: it allows us to grow the team and so on. 592 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:50,040 Speaker 12: Second of all, it allows us to stay independent and 593 00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:52,959 Speaker 12: to really continue as an independent business, which is really 594 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:53,960 Speaker 12: really important for us. 595 00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 2: It's going well as an independent business. 596 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 3: Like, what's interesting talking to you over let's say an 597 00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:02,200 Speaker 3: aggregate over a period of year is to trap growth. 598 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 12: Yeah. 599 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 3: Right, So when you first start coming on the show, 600 00:31:04,920 --> 00:31:07,720 Speaker 3: like beginning of twenty five to twenty four, the revenue. 601 00:31:07,480 --> 00:31:09,680 Speaker 2: Run rate was a few million with respect. 602 00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:12,080 Speaker 3: Then exactly a year ago, you're kind of in a 603 00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 3: run rate of about thirty seven million dollars. Where's your 604 00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 3: revenue run rate now? 605 00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:18,760 Speaker 12: Yeah, so we're getting close to five hundred million today. 606 00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:21,480 Speaker 12: As you said, we've only been in business for about 607 00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:22,840 Speaker 12: two years. And I think a lot of what it 608 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 12: speaks to is just how much demand there is out 609 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 12: there for all of this. And you know, there's about 610 00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,440 Speaker 12: thirty thirty five million software engineers in the world today. 611 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,480 Speaker 12: We want to make all of them ten times more efficient, 612 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,239 Speaker 12: and then we think there is a lot more than 613 00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:34,480 Speaker 12: ten times more software to build. 614 00:31:35,360 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 4: There is so much demand, Scott, but there's also a 615 00:31:38,160 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 4: pretty crowded market when it thinks of startups. And admittedly 616 00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 4: you've been talking about how labs are sort of buying 617 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:44,800 Speaker 4: these startups, and we think about what deal Curse has 618 00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:46,920 Speaker 4: just been doing over with SpaceX. 619 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 5: But I'm interested as to how you see. 620 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,160 Speaker 4: The threat from the big labs in and of themselves. 621 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, absolutely. For us, it's actually the other way around. 622 00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 12: I think for us it's you know, being fully independent 623 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 12: and fully neutral is actually the best way for us 624 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,240 Speaker 12: to be aligned with our customers. And so we work 625 00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:05,080 Speaker 12: very closely with all these labs, Opening Eye Andthropic, but 626 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 12: also Google, Xai and so on. 627 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 2: We have deep relationships with them. 628 00:32:08,920 --> 00:32:11,320 Speaker 12: We work with them on research, and it allows us 629 00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:13,240 Speaker 12: to work with our customers and provide them the best 630 00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 12: model for every different use case. And so Devin is 631 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 12: a compound system that works with all of these different models, 632 00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:22,480 Speaker 12: and because of that, we're able to be the Switzerland 633 00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:23,720 Speaker 12: in the equation here. 634 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,960 Speaker 4: Switzerland that sometimes makes the most of the disruption when 635 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:28,840 Speaker 4: it comes to talent and the like. I think about 636 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 4: what happened last year the Windsurf assets, the IP, the brand, 637 00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 4: the employees after Google took well, the key CEO and 638 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:39,400 Speaker 4: leadership of that company will more in a M and 639 00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:41,480 Speaker 4: A happen. Is that where some of the new funding 640 00:32:41,520 --> 00:32:43,400 Speaker 4: will come into perspective. 641 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 12: I'm sure there will be more, and you know there 642 00:32:46,320 --> 00:32:48,960 Speaker 12: will be different things that come up. It's for us, 643 00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,800 Speaker 12: you know, what we're personally most focused on is just 644 00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,080 Speaker 12: continue to grow the business and. 645 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 2: As best as we can. 646 00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:59,280 Speaker 3: You said, well, a heavy emphasis on independence and you 647 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:02,719 Speaker 3: cooled yourselves the Switzerland of this space. Yes, you know, 648 00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:05,400 Speaker 3: what do you think will happen if SpaceX does it 649 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,200 Speaker 3: acquire Cursor? Is the base question. But when I speak 650 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:12,080 Speaker 3: to say the engineering teams at Nvidia, the reason Laydight 651 00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:15,440 Speaker 3: Cursor was the freedom to swap in and out the 652 00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:19,040 Speaker 3: underlying model depending on what your your coding objective was. 653 00:33:19,440 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 3: I suppose that's one reason why they like Devin Right, 654 00:33:22,880 --> 00:33:26,360 Speaker 3: But if Cursor becomes a part of space XAI, you know, 655 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,440 Speaker 3: how do you see that changing the field data is 656 00:33:29,440 --> 00:33:30,680 Speaker 3: so critically important? 657 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:34,200 Speaker 2: Right? And who you are beholden to? Yeah? 658 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 12: Absolutely, No, I mean it's a great question. I think 659 00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 12: in practice, I think there are a lot of great 660 00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,760 Speaker 12: teams working on could, including of course the labs themselves. 661 00:33:41,200 --> 00:33:44,040 Speaker 12: I think what we see is that the ecosystem is 662 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,080 Speaker 12: broad enough and vibrant enough that it makes sense for 663 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,239 Speaker 12: there to be different players in different positions, and so 664 00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:51,720 Speaker 12: there are going to continue to be first party products 665 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,360 Speaker 12: from the labs themselves. But as we're kind of saying, 666 00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:56,719 Speaker 12: you know, to your point, I think having the ability 667 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,720 Speaker 12: to serve each of the different models, and not just 668 00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:01,120 Speaker 12: the ability, but also the new vitality in terms of 669 00:34:01,200 --> 00:34:03,680 Speaker 12: being incentivized to just serve whatever is the best model 670 00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:05,959 Speaker 12: for each case rather than a single you know, a 671 00:34:05,960 --> 00:34:08,880 Speaker 12: single series of models, I think is an important position 672 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:09,120 Speaker 12: in the. 673 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:09,800 Speaker 2: Space as well. 674 00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:14,160 Speaker 3: You would say that Devin is the first AI software engineer, 675 00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,359 Speaker 3: and we talked about the revenue run rate. Clearly that's 676 00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:20,920 Speaker 3: evidence of momentum and success. But are you able to 677 00:34:20,960 --> 00:34:24,680 Speaker 3: sort of give any data on how pervasive DEVN is, 678 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:28,240 Speaker 3: how it has changed the structure of different engineering orgs 679 00:34:28,800 --> 00:34:31,759 Speaker 3: at software companies, at other technology companies for sure. 680 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:34,120 Speaker 12: Yeah, I mean we're seeing this across the board. Where 681 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:38,480 Speaker 12: as teams are adopting devon and coding agents on mass 682 00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,520 Speaker 12: that in practice they're able to. 683 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,600 Speaker 2: Do much more and execute much more aggressively on road mass. 684 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:45,359 Speaker 3: This is a new code or is it going back 685 00:34:45,400 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 3: over old code bases. 686 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,600 Speaker 12: It's both and so as you can imagine, the large 687 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,640 Speaker 12: majority of work is working on these existing codebases and 688 00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 12: continue to build and add new features and so on. 689 00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 12: But even internally at Cognition, for example, more than ninety 690 00:34:58,160 --> 00:34:59,759 Speaker 12: percent of the code that we write is written by 691 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,040 Speaker 12: and so of course we're using devon all day when 692 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:03,480 Speaker 12: we're going and building devon itself. 693 00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 4: And even with that productivity, you've been scaling the amount 694 00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:09,360 Speaker 4: of people you hire. 695 00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,479 Speaker 5: Scott, just reflect on what. 696 00:35:11,400 --> 00:35:14,200 Speaker 4: This means in terms of how many software engineers we're 697 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:17,800 Speaker 4: going to need. Like this ongoing anxiety is the disruption 698 00:35:17,840 --> 00:35:20,239 Speaker 4: that AI causes in all its ways and across all 699 00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:20,960 Speaker 4: these industries. 700 00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,479 Speaker 12: Yeah, No, I think what we'll see is, of course 701 00:35:24,480 --> 00:35:26,319 Speaker 12: the job will evolve over time, and we'll see some 702 00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:27,919 Speaker 12: of the skill sets change, but I think we will 703 00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:30,400 Speaker 12: have far more people doing this in building software and 704 00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:33,000 Speaker 12: building products, not less. And you know my favorite sat 705 00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,200 Speaker 12: on this personally is today there's about thirty or thirty 706 00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:37,799 Speaker 12: five million software engineers in the world. Just twenty twenty 707 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:39,480 Speaker 12: five years ago, at the start of the century, it 708 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:43,000 Speaker 12: was under one million, and that's clearly come with a 709 00:35:43,080 --> 00:35:45,640 Speaker 12: massive rise in the amount of software that we've produced, 710 00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:47,440 Speaker 12: and I think as we continue to make it more 711 00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:49,520 Speaker 12: and more efficient, we're actually just going to produce even 712 00:35:49,560 --> 00:35:50,800 Speaker 12: more software, not less. 713 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 2: Scope very very quick. 714 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 3: What's the goal you've set the team for the balance 715 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:55,640 Speaker 3: of the year one metric? 716 00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 12: Yeah, yeah, Look, I think for this year we firmly 717 00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,279 Speaker 12: intended crass a billion in revenue run rate. We want 718 00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:04,919 Speaker 12: to keep going for anther even beyond that, and from 719 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:06,719 Speaker 12: there we just want to grow and share many of 720 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:08,040 Speaker 12: the companies in the world that we can. 721 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,760 Speaker 4: Cognition CEO Scott Wu, thank you very much for joining 722 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:16,360 Speaker 4: us today. Now coming up, Salesforce Snowflake, both reporting earnings 723 00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 4: after the closing bell, would discuss what to expect how's 724 00:36:19,000 --> 00:36:20,440 Speaker 4: AI disrupting their business models. 725 00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:21,239 Speaker 5: This is Bloomberg Tech. 726 00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:38,360 Speaker 3: We're watching shares of Salesforce up one point two percent, 727 00:36:38,480 --> 00:36:42,000 Speaker 3: set to report quarterly results this afternoon. Wall Street's watching 728 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:45,040 Speaker 3: closely for science that the company's AI offerings can help 729 00:36:45,320 --> 00:36:49,040 Speaker 3: reignite revenue growth. Bloomberg's Brady Ford, who covers Salesforce, is 730 00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:51,520 Speaker 3: with us, and twenty four hours ago we were talking 731 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:54,560 Speaker 3: about the idea that right now the AI agent story 732 00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:59,880 Speaker 3: is more marketing than real in terms of revenues. That 733 00:37:00,040 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 3: will be the test this evening, right is that kind 734 00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:03,399 Speaker 3: of what you're looking for. 735 00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,800 Speaker 13: It's all these as apocalypse spheres, right, That's what everyone's 736 00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,080 Speaker 13: been worried about for the last couple of quarters, and 737 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 13: tonight the only real way Salesforce can beat pack all 738 00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:16,600 Speaker 13: that skepticism, all the pessimism is showing that revenue is 739 00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:20,520 Speaker 13: accelerating and it's coming from these new AI offerings. We 740 00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,560 Speaker 13: haven't seen that yet. That's what folks are hoping for 741 00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:24,839 Speaker 13: in the back half of this year. 742 00:37:25,400 --> 00:37:27,799 Speaker 5: We've had that Agent Force was sort of offering. 743 00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:30,520 Speaker 4: One an eight one hundred million dollar revenue stream thus far. 744 00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:34,320 Speaker 4: But we're also seeing not bad revenue growth from Salesforce, 745 00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:36,080 Speaker 4: or at least predicted, but a lot of that's coming 746 00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:38,760 Speaker 4: from Informatica, right, from inorganic growth. 747 00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:42,840 Speaker 13: Yeah, that's been the classic debate with Salesforce for so long, 748 00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,040 Speaker 13: which is you know how much revenue growth is from 749 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:48,879 Speaker 13: those organic products versus some of the acquisitions that's come 750 00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:50,240 Speaker 13: back with Informatica. 751 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:51,440 Speaker 2: And yeah, eight. 752 00:37:51,360 --> 00:37:54,160 Speaker 13: Hundred million a year on Agent Force nothing to scoff at. 753 00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:55,759 Speaker 13: But at the end of the day, right now, if 754 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:59,400 Speaker 13: you're an application company, and your revenue is decelerating. 755 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:01,799 Speaker 5: Market is really going to punish you. 756 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,520 Speaker 3: Ryan Blastellica Inequities team who you know, we're all very 757 00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,319 Speaker 3: close buddies, where they help us out a lot with 758 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:10,680 Speaker 3: their their sort of stock coverage. They frame this is actually, 759 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:12,240 Speaker 3: if this goes well, it could. 760 00:38:12,160 --> 00:38:15,359 Speaker 2: Change the story for the stock. What has the story been. 761 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:17,879 Speaker 3: I mean, his salesforce been one of the I want 762 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:20,799 Speaker 3: to say victims, but those under pressure from the SaaS 763 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:22,040 Speaker 3: apocalypse kind of narrative. 764 00:38:22,120 --> 00:38:24,480 Speaker 13: I mean, it could change the narrative for the whole sector, right, 765 00:38:24,520 --> 00:38:27,920 Speaker 13: because salesforce is these SaaS companies. So when folks think 766 00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 13: about the SaaS industry getting hurt by AI getting displaced, 767 00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,759 Speaker 13: you know, the idea that innovation and technology is no 768 00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:39,440 Speaker 13: longer happening at these SaaS companies like you know, an 769 00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:43,320 Speaker 13: Adobe or a salesforce. If they can show that that's changing, 770 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:44,560 Speaker 13: that could be very meaningful. 771 00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:47,560 Speaker 4: But still, they hit a three year low on their 772 00:38:47,600 --> 00:38:50,040 Speaker 4: stock last month. They haven't recovered much and they're down 773 00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:53,120 Speaker 4: thirty percent year to date. So is there a narrative 774 00:38:53,560 --> 00:38:56,200 Speaker 4: what anecdotal evidence to fight back as some of what 775 00:38:56,320 --> 00:38:59,080 Speaker 4: you wrote Brody that it isn't actually working at agent 776 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:02,399 Speaker 4: thoughts with in compliance offices, yet they can't sign off 777 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:02,600 Speaker 4: on it. 778 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:07,040 Speaker 13: For example, the big story I think is that the 779 00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 13: technology is real, but it takes a long time to 780 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 13: implement at big corporations, right, I mean you or I 781 00:39:14,200 --> 00:39:17,120 Speaker 13: can go and chat GPT and do some you know, 782 00:39:17,200 --> 00:39:20,719 Speaker 13: whatever workflow you might do, but as a corporation, that's 783 00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:22,680 Speaker 13: very difficult to implement it widely. 784 00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:27,040 Speaker 4: In many ways, that compliance stickiness, though, makes makes salesforce 785 00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:27,560 Speaker 4: pretty sticky. 786 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:29,680 Speaker 5: BLO makes pretty good. We appreciate you. 787 00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:31,480 Speaker 4: It's gonna be a busy evening after the bell. There's 788 00:39:31,520 --> 00:39:35,879 Speaker 4: also other stocks reporting, for example Marvel and fascinating chip stock. 789 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,200 Speaker 4: Like this is in many ways about the focus on photonics, 790 00:39:38,239 --> 00:39:41,600 Speaker 4: on optics, on networking, but it's also think about that 791 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,200 Speaker 4: two billion dollar investment in video made in but March 792 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:45,920 Speaker 4: and Marvel Technology, how. 793 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:48,000 Speaker 5: Have they been performing within videos backing? 794 00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's interesting. The stock's down so much, you know, 795 00:39:51,239 --> 00:39:53,319 Speaker 3: ahead of the earnings print. I don't see anything on 796 00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:54,440 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg. 797 00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 5: This year. 798 00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:58,799 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. It's a high flight. 799 00:39:58,880 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 3: So in our conversations about custom silicon, we super focus 800 00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:05,400 Speaker 3: on broad com principally Marvel has XPU exactly the same idea. 801 00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:08,600 Speaker 3: Rather than selling a chip, which is it, it partners 802 00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,440 Speaker 3: with a hyperscala or a technology company and says we 803 00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:13,960 Speaker 3: will do this with you custom silicon. There's also some 804 00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,719 Speaker 3: examples that that might extend outside of the world the 805 00:40:16,800 --> 00:40:17,280 Speaker 3: data centers. 806 00:40:17,280 --> 00:40:18,600 Speaker 2: We can talk about that at later date. 807 00:40:18,800 --> 00:40:20,840 Speaker 3: But yeah, if this is happening and we're in a 808 00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:23,520 Speaker 3: compute deficit, Marvel's a likely winner, and. 809 00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:24,880 Speaker 4: We'll see whether they can live up to some of 810 00:40:24,920 --> 00:40:27,440 Speaker 4: the expectations around their numbers, and there are some lofty 811 00:40:27,440 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 4: ones out there. But all of this at the moment 812 00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:33,160 Speaker 4: is around AI's obvious rapid growth, but it is actually 813 00:40:33,160 --> 00:40:37,480 Speaker 4: pushing global energy demand eb A skyward two, forcing electrical grids, 814 00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:40,480 Speaker 4: for example, to expand and modernized. Now companies from China 815 00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:44,200 Speaker 4: to Nigeria investing in new tech to power the future. 816 00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:46,040 Speaker 4: That's a focus of doing their primer this week. 817 00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:46,560 Speaker 5: Take a listen. 818 00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,239 Speaker 4: For a long time, rich countries haven't had to think 819 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:54,000 Speaker 4: about their grids all that much. Their electricity demand has 820 00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:56,720 Speaker 4: been pretty much flat since the two thousands. 821 00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:58,560 Speaker 5: The times are changing. 822 00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,560 Speaker 3: Explosive growth of AI, the rapid build out of data centers. 823 00:41:03,680 --> 00:41:06,400 Speaker 2: They're consuming enormous amounts of energy. 824 00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:09,319 Speaker 13: A few have four companies now that are intending to 825 00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:12,120 Speaker 13: spend over three hundred billion dollars this year. 826 00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,839 Speaker 4: With industries like AI and EV's growing fast, the world 827 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,160 Speaker 4: is predicted to use twice as much electricity by twenty fifty. 828 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:23,640 Speaker 4: That's roughly a whole new USA's worth of electricity every 829 00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:27,040 Speaker 4: five years. To make all that power and get it 830 00:41:27,080 --> 00:41:29,399 Speaker 4: to where it needs to go, the world's grids need 831 00:41:29,480 --> 00:41:33,520 Speaker 4: to evolve. All that new infrastructure will cost billions of dollars, 832 00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:37,400 Speaker 4: but so did broadband internet and that's ended up creating 833 00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:42,200 Speaker 4: trillions of dollars of value. And some countries' grids are 834 00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,520 Speaker 4: evolving faster than others. 835 00:41:44,520 --> 00:41:47,680 Speaker 12: In China, power generation has gone up seven times since 836 00:41:47,719 --> 00:41:48,320 Speaker 12: two thousand. 837 00:41:48,680 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 2: The battle to build the best grid is a battle 838 00:41:50,960 --> 00:41:51,640 Speaker 2: to win the future. 839 00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:54,680 Speaker 3: Here more from the team at Bloomberg Originals on today's 840 00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:57,520 Speaker 3: episode of Primer that's tonight on Bloomberg at six pm 841 00:41:57,560 --> 00:42:01,120 Speaker 3: Eastern and on Bloomberg Originals at apm Okay. Coming up, 842 00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:04,480 Speaker 3: we hear from UBS Asia Pacific President ikbau Khan on 843 00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,440 Speaker 3: how he sees AI impacting jobs. 844 00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:08,919 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Tech. 845 00:42:23,960 --> 00:42:27,600 Speaker 3: UBS Asia Pacific President ikbaw Khan says AI will free 846 00:42:27,680 --> 00:42:31,600 Speaker 3: up capacity and improve productivity, but also have an impact 847 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:34,840 Speaker 3: on jobs. He spoke exclusively to Bloomberg Stephen Engel on 848 00:42:34,880 --> 00:42:38,040 Speaker 3: the sidelines of the firm's Asian Investment conference in Hong Kong. 849 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:42,000 Speaker 14: I think the opportunity that we're seeing now with technology 850 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:47,279 Speaker 14: and with AI is very much around simplifying, speeding up 851 00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:51,839 Speaker 14: the processes, not cutting corners, but actually fundamentally improving the. 852 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 2: Process consistency of process. 853 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,319 Speaker 14: Just think about documenting source of wealth of an individual. 854 00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:58,840 Speaker 2: It's a pretty complex task. 855 00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:01,719 Speaker 14: But if AI can help you contextualize that and help 856 00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:04,640 Speaker 14: you actually do that and ensure that there's consistency, you're 857 00:43:04,640 --> 00:43:07,799 Speaker 14: going to fundamentally improve the process in addition to what 858 00:43:07,800 --> 00:43:08,520 Speaker 14: you're doing today. 859 00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:13,480 Speaker 15: Nice segue, AI. It's in everyone's discussion book right now. Obviously, 860 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:16,319 Speaker 15: we just had Jamie Diamond of JP Morgan talking about that. 861 00:43:16,440 --> 00:43:18,520 Speaker 15: We've heard some comments that he got a little bit 862 00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:22,000 Speaker 15: of blowback. Bill Winters at Standard Chartered saying it's going 863 00:43:22,080 --> 00:43:25,640 Speaker 15: to have a significant impact obviously on maybe some of 864 00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:27,840 Speaker 15: the rank and files in the banking industry. How do 865 00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,920 Speaker 15: you see AI over the next couple of years changing 866 00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:32,640 Speaker 15: the way you hire and who you hire. 867 00:43:33,520 --> 00:43:34,520 Speaker 2: So let's step back right. 868 00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 14: I mean, clearly there's a lot of focus on AI. 869 00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:40,319 Speaker 14: We see high valuations around AI. There's a lot of 870 00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:46,279 Speaker 14: talk around the value chain, everything from actual lms to 871 00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:50,360 Speaker 14: data centers to respective foundations infrastructure. For US, at UBS, 872 00:43:50,360 --> 00:43:53,759 Speaker 14: we've been very focused on AI specifically, also led and 873 00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:57,840 Speaker 14: driven by Sanjo multiur Group CEO. We've implemented, for example, 874 00:43:57,880 --> 00:44:00,759 Speaker 14: copilot across the board as just one example, and I 875 00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:02,520 Speaker 14: have to tell you, in the last six months, I've 876 00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:05,960 Speaker 14: been using it more myself and I've been using it 877 00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:08,239 Speaker 14: personally as well as professionally and has actually made me 878 00:44:08,320 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 14: more efficient, more effective, and I think over time everybody 879 00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:12,800 Speaker 14: will become an AI native. 880 00:44:13,280 --> 00:44:16,000 Speaker 2: It comes down to adoption and application. 881 00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:20,000 Speaker 14: Fundamentally, we look at this as something that will really 882 00:44:20,120 --> 00:44:23,640 Speaker 14: enhance and increase capacity. What does that mean as we 883 00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:26,600 Speaker 14: become more productive, we can use that capacity to grow, 884 00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:29,560 Speaker 14: we can use that capacity to serve our clients better. 885 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,200 Speaker 14: Imagine at UBS, when you come in through the door 886 00:44:33,200 --> 00:44:35,839 Speaker 14: as a client, you get onboarded and if you're eligible 887 00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:36,520 Speaker 14: to getting. 888 00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:37,360 Speaker 2: A solution or a service. 889 00:44:37,400 --> 00:44:40,920 Speaker 14: From a compliance and regulatory perspective, it comes down to 890 00:44:41,600 --> 00:44:42,920 Speaker 14: is that valuable to you or not? 891 00:44:43,040 --> 00:44:43,880 Speaker 2: And we will serve you. 892 00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:48,440 Speaker 14: Now, all of that process is curated, semi automated, manual, 893 00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:52,120 Speaker 14: people driven. You can aifi that if that's actually a 894 00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,960 Speaker 14: word to day right, and it is. You do that, you 895 00:44:55,000 --> 00:44:57,200 Speaker 14: can create a lot of capacity and that capacity can 896 00:44:57,239 --> 00:44:59,239 Speaker 14: be used to serve clients even better and grow. 897 00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,680 Speaker 15: What does it mean about top line job growth? Do 898 00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,160 Speaker 15: you cut back to get more efficient? How does it 899 00:45:05,239 --> 00:45:06,759 Speaker 15: work and how do you communicate that? 900 00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:08,359 Speaker 14: Look at the end of the day, as I said, 901 00:45:08,360 --> 00:45:11,360 Speaker 14: I think it's more about productivity capacity. Now, if we 902 00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,600 Speaker 14: can use that capacity to serve our clients better, gain 903 00:45:14,680 --> 00:45:18,560 Speaker 14: more share of wallet, grow faster, grow more, then the 904 00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:22,319 Speaker 14: impact on costs and jobs is going to be less. Now, 905 00:45:22,360 --> 00:45:25,040 Speaker 14: if we cannot, and this is an industry wide topic, 906 00:45:25,239 --> 00:45:27,680 Speaker 14: then of course it will have ramifications and implications on 907 00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:28,840 Speaker 14: costs and jobs. 908 00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:34,200 Speaker 4: Steven Angel that with the UBS focus. But we now 909 00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:36,719 Speaker 4: turn our attention to the White House. President Trump is 910 00:45:36,760 --> 00:45:39,200 Speaker 4: now speaking as a lot of his cabinet meetings it's 911 00:45:39,239 --> 00:45:39,680 Speaker 4: just take a less 912 00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:43,080 Speaker 9: Minages and they've really been that way for a year