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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information. Wouldn't

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Speaker 1: you agree?

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Speaker 2: Five five dollars? This is a rat a lepon hob

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Speaker 2: the table.

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Speaker 1: You're saying that.

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Speaker 2: Humans need fantasy to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy

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Speaker 2: to be human. My goodness, that's mistaken pro best, relentless,

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Speaker 2: refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless theirs? What is up?

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Speaker 2: Everybody? Welcome to the Fantasy elect Week four Projections podcast

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Speaker 2: from the Action Network is Fantasy Labs. I'm your host,

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Speaker 2: Chris raybaughn with me. I got one of the most

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Speaker 2: accurate rankers of the last decade, numerous trophies at Fantasy Pros.

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Speaker 2: The odds maker Sean Kerner, Sean, how you feeling. How's

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Speaker 2: it going? How's your eek three? Are you excited to

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Speaker 2: have a whole nother week of data now now you

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Speaker 2: have an actual meeting because we have week two weeks

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Speaker 2: and then a third one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm feeling good, you know, starting to get in

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Speaker 1: the swing of things. Feel like I'm hitting a mid

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Speaker 1: season form. Had a good week embedding, and you know

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Speaker 1: Fantasy I think I had a decent week in Fantasy Pros.

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Speaker 1: It's still early in there, not worried about that, but

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Speaker 1: I think this is the time year you and I

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Speaker 1: start to get our edge once we do have, you know,

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Speaker 1: a few weeks of data which is enough to kind

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Speaker 1: of take away certain things and enough for everybody else

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Speaker 1: to kind of over and underreact. So I think this

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Speaker 1: is again kind of the sweet spot, and I think

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Speaker 1: we're we're hitting our mid season form right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and we'll talk about some guys, you know, cause

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Speaker 2: they're you know, once you start getting three weeks and

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Speaker 2: there's you know, guys aren't doing anything or like they

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Speaker 2: didn't kind of address because you know, some guys got

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Speaker 2: back to it, like Court with Sutton kind of got

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Speaker 2: back to it. So it's like, okay, Mark Andrews got

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Speaker 2: back to it, but there were some guys who didn't.

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Speaker 2: So we'll talk. We'll talk about some of those, and

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Speaker 2: we'll give out our top five our guys were high

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Speaker 2: and low on, and then some props which I'm sure

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Speaker 2: we'll get into some of the guys who are being

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Speaker 2: over and underreacted too. Quick reminder of our fantasy football

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Speaker 2: content available right now over at Fantasy labs dot com,

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Speaker 2: includes in season rankings, waiver wire tips, and more. We've

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Speaker 2: also added a survivor pool tool to help you make

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Speaker 2: informed picks and hopefully avoid those upsets. We saw the

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Speaker 2: package go down in week three. To be sure to

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Speaker 2: use code flex twenty that's f l e x two

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Speaker 2: zero to get twenty dollars off at Fantasy labs dot

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Speaker 2: com slash flex. All right, we'll start with quarterbacks, but

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Speaker 2: as we do every week, Cardio King gets crowned for

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Speaker 2: tight ending wide receiver. And those are the players that

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Speaker 2: ran the most routes. We gotta target running around too

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Speaker 2: much and the base case running and running and run

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Speaker 2: and running and running, run and running and running. You

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Speaker 2: all ground me, yo, King Kerner take it away.

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Speaker 1: Who he got the Cardio King for tight end last

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Speaker 1: week was none other than Kate Oughton himself. I mean

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Speaker 1: we at this point we might just need to name

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Speaker 1: the award after him. So like the Cardio King with

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Speaker 1: like a statue of Kate Aughton thirty one Lombardi.

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Speaker 2: He's a Lombardy of cardio Kings.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, like, seriously, we should have him on the show

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Speaker 1: and congratulate Hi, give him the trophy. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you'd like that.

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Speaker 2: If you can target, you probably time on Sundays exactly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so thirty one routes without a target that's impressed

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Speaker 1: stuff right there. I think it's his routes. Run rate

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Speaker 1: was actually down too, so something that monitor there. And

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Speaker 1: then a wide receiver. I think we said this guy

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Speaker 1: was kind of a favorite. You definitely alluded to it

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Speaker 1: a couple of times last week, but it was our guy,

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Speaker 1: andre Yosavash Yoshi.

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Speaker 2: We four favorite cardio king.

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Speaker 1: We haven't had a chance. I would still say, yeah,

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Speaker 1: Kate Aughton obviously, I still think Cole Comet's up there,

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Speaker 1: although we'll have to monitor Loveland's injury. Wide receiver Yoshi

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Speaker 1: has to be the favorite now every week, right.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, or or somebody on the Broncos or or Patriots maybe,

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Speaker 2: but yeah probably I would.

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Speaker 1: Probably Marvin Mitt maybe, but nah, probably he's drawing something up.

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Speaker 1: Yeah week. Maybe someone in the night like DeMarcus Robinson

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Speaker 1: might come back this week and run ten routes. That

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Speaker 1: might be enough to be up there. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: It's also team based. It is team based because you

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Speaker 2: look at it like a team like the nine is.

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Speaker 2: They're very intentional about their first reads and who's getting

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Speaker 2: you know, who's getting targets so especially with pretty back. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I think that's whoever starts is that. If it's Robinson,

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Speaker 2: definitely he's in that in that mix, I would say

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Speaker 2: for sure. Yeah, all right, let's go to quarterback Top

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Speaker 2: five for week number four.

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Speaker 1: I got Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, and then

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Speaker 1: Caleb Williams and Drake May.

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Speaker 2: Drake May entered in top five. We didn't know if

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Speaker 2: it would be like right away. We just love the upside,

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Speaker 2: but yeah, he's kind of been in that conversation just

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Speaker 2: with the Ship show. That's the Patriots. They keep giving

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Speaker 2: away scoring chances. That's that's how you increase your drives,

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Speaker 2: you know, just keep giving it. You get the ball

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Speaker 2: away and then make it stops. Yeah, I got Josh Allen,

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Speaker 2: Lamar Hurts. What if Jaden Daniels there if he played

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Speaker 2: at at number four but doesn't as of now, we

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Speaker 2: don't know, So mahomes number four and then Drake May

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Speaker 2: number five. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Nice? Where do you have cayleb Is he close? Is

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Speaker 1: the inside your top ten's like eight.

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Speaker 2: Or something like that? Yeah, you know, like gotta that

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Speaker 2: Dallas defense is kind of easy to see it coming

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Speaker 2: a little bit now it's I mean, he's on the road.

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Speaker 2: Probably still a good matchup, but I do respect the

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Speaker 2: Raiders scheme a little more and I think, you know,

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Speaker 2: it's just a little more variance. But yeah, I like him.

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Speaker 2: I liked he left a lot better, lot calmer. I think, yeah,

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Speaker 2: last week, maybe get Yeah, yeah, it's a matchup.

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Speaker 1: His confidence is key for me, so rolling into you know, Vegas, uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, maybe Crosby gets him the scramble more. I

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Speaker 1: think just good things are coming for Caleb and this

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Speaker 1: is another I think another plus matchup for him.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, it's just you know, it's still early. It's

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Speaker 2: like some of these quarterbacks there, they're just naturally higher

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Speaker 2: variants because they don't run as consistently as those top

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Speaker 2: tier of guys, like I know, we were talking about

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Speaker 2: got Bo Nick some weeks. It's just it's just not

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Speaker 2: gonna be there. So I think I was doing that

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Speaker 2: range for me, Like I think eventually even Daniel Jones

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Speaker 2: ends up there. He hasn't yet. Maybe that'll be this week,

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Speaker 2: maybe it won't be. But you know, there's a dak

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Speaker 2: Is kind of in that conversation. He's just uh, you know,

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Speaker 2: you never So it's always that or miss. But uh,

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Speaker 2: let's start it off, uh with who we are high on,

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Speaker 2: who he got for this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go Gino Smith to keep our trend of

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Speaker 1: flip flop between our Waiver Pod projections pod. You know,

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Speaker 1: I talked about Dart on the waiver Pod. I think

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Speaker 1: he's an excellent long term ad, but you hit it

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Speaker 1: with Geno Smith. I think he's the short term ad

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Speaker 1: this week. He's my QB eleven, so right there on

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Speaker 1: the you know, low end QB one spectrum. But the

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Speaker 1: Raiders have just needed to be more pass heavy so far,

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Speaker 1: with just the run game not clicking so far. And

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Speaker 1: I don't even think we can blame Genty for that.

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Speaker 1: I think it's definitely the offensive line mostly to blame.

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Speaker 1: But either way, you know, Geno Smith is going to

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Speaker 1: just have to keep throwing, and he has a ton

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Speaker 1: of quality pass catchers and Jacoby Myers, Rock Bowers and

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Speaker 1: now Trey Tucker, who we've always been talking about. I know,

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Speaker 1: our guy, Nick's always high on him, and you know

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Speaker 1: they have Thornton as the clear out guy, so you

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Speaker 1: know he's got a lot of options and this is

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Speaker 1: a spot where it could be a shootout against the Bears.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, I think that he's a low end can

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Speaker 1: be one option, and he's always done much better in

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Speaker 1: domes indoors, and now that he plays in a dome

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Speaker 1: at home, like, we're gonna see more of those dome games,

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Speaker 1: including this one, So maybe that's a slight boost as well,

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Speaker 1: if you believe in that theory. But yeah, he's like

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Speaker 1: QB eleven to open up the week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they might even have to play more uh one

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Speaker 2: one person depending on uh through Myers. Michael Mayer's in

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Speaker 2: the concussion protocol, so I'll see he gets cleared, but

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Speaker 2: uh not mistake. It's not his first concussion, so it

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Speaker 2: might be might be a week or two there.

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Speaker 1: Assuming since this week, and it will be what Ian Thomas. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: but more brock Bowers, which is good for everybody, is

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Speaker 1: the result of that, and then some Ian Thomas sprinkled in.

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Speaker 2: Or he's more Tucker and and Thornton and Dashing one

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Speaker 2: of those guys.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 2: I am high on Daniel Jones again, and it's I

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Speaker 2: do expect him to start, you know, kind of making

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Speaker 2: some mistakes and not necessarily keeping up this coach undefeated

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Speaker 2: type of MVP conversation campaign. We've seen this a ton

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Speaker 2: in the past with these kind of guys like Sam

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Speaker 2: Darnold had the good year last year, but if you

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Speaker 2: remember Carolina a few years ago also had like a

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Speaker 2: three game stretch that was crazy and then fell off.

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Speaker 2: But the reason I do feel decent about Jones this

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Speaker 2: week on the road two reasons really. Number One, indoors

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Speaker 2: at so far, which you know, start getting in deeper

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Speaker 2: into the season and there's certain game you know a

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Speaker 2: lot more games are gonna be outdoors that could be

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Speaker 2: affecting the passing games. And then the coach really haven't

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Speaker 2: been in trailing game scripts this whole year. And so

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Speaker 2: Jonathan terror has also just been going off. He looks great.

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Speaker 2: But we saw the Rams go up twenty six to

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Speaker 2: seven on the Eagles. Don't want to talk about it

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Speaker 2: after that had the Rams plus three and a half

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Speaker 2: and don't know how that one, Like you catch bad

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Speaker 2: beats every year, but that was when I don't even

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Speaker 2: think you see coming even if they do get the

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Speaker 2: kick blocks. That was rough, But the point being you

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Speaker 2: could see the Coats in just more trailing game script,

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Speaker 2: which just means more drop back opportunities for Jones, which

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Speaker 2: means more scramble opportunities. Uh and and some some throws down,

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Speaker 2: more throws down the field, and just more more risks

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Speaker 2: having to be taken. And so you know, maybe he

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Speaker 2: turns it over fumbles or something like that, but still

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Speaker 2: should get there on the stat sheet. And you know,

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Speaker 2: we need those those running quarterbacks. We have Dart added

201
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Speaker 2: to the mix. Jets are going to have a running

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Speaker 2: quarterback regardless who it is, probably so it's still important

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Speaker 2: to get those guys that can add with it with

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Speaker 2: their legs. I think that's why Caleb has been has

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Speaker 2: been solid as well. Uh, So that that's who I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at for this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he doesn't play outdoors until week nine at Pittsburgh. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so that's that's a good schedule for him. And even

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Speaker 1: though you know Ale Pierce might miss this week, they

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Speaker 1: got a guy like Aby Mitchell to fill in there.

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Speaker 1: They just have a ton of options where I think

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Speaker 1: he's gonna have a high four even if you know

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Speaker 1: some of his pass catchers go down, which he never

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Speaker 1: really had on the Giants. So yeah, I'm high on

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Speaker 1: Daniel rest of the way as well. All Right, we

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Speaker 1: low on a quarterback gotta go Dak Prescott here against

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Speaker 1: the Packers. He's all the way down to QB twenty

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Speaker 1: four for me, so you know, low end QB two,

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Speaker 1: which is not what you drafted if you took Dak.

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Speaker 1: But just multiple reasons why he's all the way down there. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: you know, he just lost Ceedee Lamb for potentially weeks, right,

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Speaker 1: he might go on the IR so he might be

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Speaker 1: out at least four games. That's going to be a

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Speaker 1: massive blow for Dak because he's you know, he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to lean on George Pickens and Jake Ferguson

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Speaker 1: more now. But I think just not having Lamb there

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Speaker 1: is going to make it easier slow down Pickens downfield.

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Speaker 1: So sort of a compounding effect there. But this is

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Speaker 1: just a brutal matchup against you know, this Packers defense.

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Speaker 1: But more importantly, this is the game that Micah Parsons

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Speaker 1: has had circle for what weeks now in the ultimate

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Speaker 1: revenge spot, and unfortunately for Dak, he is the target

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Speaker 1: for Parsons here. I think Parsons is gonna bring it

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Speaker 1: here and you know, I would not be shocked if

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Speaker 1: he gets to deck a few times, really puts you know,

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Speaker 1: some pressure on deck and Dak's not gonna use his legs.

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Speaker 1: So this is a very low floor spot for Dak.

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Speaker 1: So if you have him, you know, I'd be looking

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Speaker 1: elsewhere in a lot of different formats. So yeah, deck's

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Speaker 1: all the way down to QB twenty four for me

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Speaker 1: in week four.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Dak is I kind of allouded to this. I

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Speaker 2: think it was, you know, it might have been the

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Speaker 2: week he went off, so it went for not but

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Speaker 2: just in general, like he's he's really a guy who

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Speaker 2: it's hard. He's kind of like a Matthew Stafford where

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Speaker 2: he usually when he tops out, it's still not gonna

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Speaker 2: get you as much. Now that you know he had

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Speaker 2: that just complete crazy shootout against the Giants where Russ

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Speaker 2: was thrown for four to fifty. I mean that might

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Speaker 2: mess up models for the whole year because like ever,

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Speaker 2: like the next week, I was like, wait a minute,

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Speaker 2: I was looking at a rust like Okay, now he's

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Speaker 2: gonna get spags in an outdoor game. This just screams

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Speaker 2: not it. And then you know, and then uh say,

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Speaker 2: like Dak was outdoors even it was a bad defense,

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Speaker 2: so it shouldn't have been as bad as he was

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Speaker 2: but yeah, if you don't get the touchdown variants and

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Speaker 2: you're not running you like, it usually evens out because

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Speaker 2: you can run him in. Like look at my homes.

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Speaker 2: He's not getting them through the air, he's running them in. Uh. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: it's not really gonna happen with some of these with

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Speaker 2: the guys who don't scramble, because that's it's a lot

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Speaker 2: easier to just get like a touchdown on a scramble

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Speaker 2: because no one's opening the defense covering everyone than it

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Speaker 2: is like if you're on a designed run. You saw

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Speaker 2: what we've seen team like Daniel Jones get stuffed multiple

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Speaker 2: times before he actually got in there on a bunch

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Speaker 2: of those design runs. If you're not getting those in,

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Speaker 2: even if you do get one, it's not you know,

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Speaker 2: it's not as good. So yeah, it's uh, you need

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Speaker 2: to be scrambling too if you're a quarterback that opens

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Speaker 2: up those those touchdowns. Uh. And this is the guy

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Speaker 2: who does scramble down a long one, Baker Mayfield. But

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Speaker 2: it's just it's just keeps going downhill as far as

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Speaker 2: his uh, his supporting cast, and I think you know,

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Speaker 2: the warning signs are kind of out there to where

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Speaker 2: uh he is Uh, he's a guy I whould think

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Speaker 2: about benching this week. He's outside of my top twelve

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Speaker 2: at quarterback against the Eagles, and I think this could

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Speaker 2: actually be a lower scoring game than people think, which

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Speaker 2: also could play into that. You know, I know people

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Speaker 2: saw the Eagles kind of end up look like shooting

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Speaker 2: it out with the Rams, but really you had block kicks,

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Speaker 2: you had a weight comeback to The Eagles only had

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Speaker 2: seven points through what uh into the second into the

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Speaker 2: third quarses. So if that happens and the Eagles are

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Speaker 2: playing conservatively or they're eating clock because they're on you know,

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Speaker 2: they're having some success. Either way, it's gonna it's gonna

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Speaker 2: make it tough for Mayfield. And he just hasn't been

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Speaker 2: getting there, uh with the with the volume numbers passing wise,

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Speaker 2: passing wise like he has two thirty three, two fifteen,

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Speaker 2: one sixty seven, or the yardage totals some crazy uh

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Speaker 2: touchdown catches from a Buka first week got him three,

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Speaker 2: but then two at two and week two and one

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Speaker 2: and three, And I also saw a mess like hit

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Speaker 2: his hand on a scramble play or a sack. Last

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Speaker 2: week it's the Jets and he was kind of shaking

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Speaker 2: it out light in the game. Mike Evans looks like

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Speaker 2: he's gonna miss some time. I don't know if Godwin

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Speaker 2: is back to completely ready yet, you know it's just

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Speaker 2: and then the offensive line is decimated, So this could

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Speaker 2: be a spot where it's an uglier game than people

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Speaker 2: anticipate against the Eagles. And even if it's, if it's not,

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Speaker 2: it doesn't necessarily mean Mayfield has a ton of upsides.

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Speaker 2: He's just not doing those like four hundred yard passing

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Speaker 2: games that we you know, have come to expect to

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Speaker 2: kind of boost it out when he's struggling, and he

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Speaker 2: still might be lucky, right, Like, he still might be

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Speaker 2: getting lucky. As far as the turnover too, I think

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Speaker 2: he has a lot more turnover where he's rows and

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Speaker 2: have actually turned into negative plays for him. So you

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Speaker 2: had a lot of reasons to be a little bit

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Speaker 2: skeptical on Mayfield. He'll probably still lead them to a

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Speaker 2: game winning drive, so definitely take the blocks in the OS.

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Speaker 1: He also just lost his top tight end of the

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Speaker 1: ir Coke Heath, so he's he's really lacking some weapons.

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Speaker 1: Well back, yeah, but what Yeah, none of their tight

319
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Speaker 1: ends had to catch last week. How many routes run

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Speaker 1: rate are you projecting for Godwin this week? It's kind

321
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Speaker 1: of correlated with my Baker projection, but heero, Yeah, he's

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Speaker 1: supposed to right now. He's supposed to return this week,

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Speaker 1: and with Evans out, they don't want to rush him obviously,

324
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Speaker 1: but I have him around forty five percent. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: there's a chance that he sits out again or doesn't

326
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Speaker 1: play as much. So definitely just a rough, rough week

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Speaker 1: to be leanon Baker, which is why we said don't

328
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Speaker 1: draft him as a QB seven just you know, you

329
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Speaker 1: shouldn't draft quarterback in the range anyway. But yeah, where

330
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Speaker 1: do you have him ranked to open the week though? Oh?

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Speaker 2: QB fourteen, So just like fringe fringe option, I guess, yeah,

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Speaker 2: what about you eighteen?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I'm loan him as well.

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Speaker 2: I agree.

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Speaker 1: I think he's off the QB one radar for sure,

336
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Speaker 1: but you know, a solid quarterback in two QB super

337
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Speaker 1: flex formats. But that again, that's not why you drafted him.

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Speaker 1: QB seven.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's I mean, he's still doing enough on the

340
00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,920
Speaker 2: ground to kind of not have a disaster week, but yeah,

341
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Speaker 2: the fact that he's been getting lucky in the turnovers

342
00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,480
Speaker 2: does worry me, especially with a team like the Eagles,

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Speaker 2: who now it's like, oh, their passing game is fixed.

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Speaker 2: Now they'll go super ball control and or just they

345
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Speaker 2: never they never know what to do on offense against

346
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Speaker 2: the Bucks ever, like they just even if they just

347
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Speaker 2: kind of shift the bed, that's not really you want.

348
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Speaker 2: We want to kind of a shootout script for Baker,

349
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Speaker 2: Like he's had a ton of last drives where he's

350
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Speaker 2: put up sizable fantasy production that he would have been

351
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Speaker 2: like a bottom five quarterback if not for so either way,

352
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Speaker 2: I think Mayfield is kind of towing a little bit

353
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Speaker 2: of a slippery slow beer. But let's get to the

354
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Speaker 2: quarterback prop for this week. Let's see, Yeah, we gotta

355
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Speaker 2: go with Jackson dart and starting every one against a

356
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Speaker 2: what's been a very well schemed Chargers defense. So I'm

357
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Speaker 2: gonna go passing and rushing yards because that's that's important

358
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Speaker 2: to kind of getting his complete out look here.

359
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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a good I'm very curious to hear

360
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Speaker 1: your like rushing projection for him.

361
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:10,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's go with Jackson Dark passing plus rushing. Let's

362
00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:14,639
Speaker 2: go two hundred thirty five and a half.

363
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Speaker 1: Oh, I went with two thirty and a half. I

364
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:20,960
Speaker 1: don't want to be on his under. I have his well,

365
00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:24,320
Speaker 1: let's break it out. I have his passing projection like

366
00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 1: two hundred and his rushing at like thirty. But I

367
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 1: think I probably lowball and his rushing Uh screw it,

368
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Speaker 1: give me the over.

369
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Speaker 2: Yeah, So I have his I have his passing at

370
00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:41,040
Speaker 2: about two media about two fifteen ish, UKA like average

371
00:18:41,040 --> 00:18:44,520
Speaker 2: about two twenty mid two twenties, and then the rushing

372
00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,720
Speaker 2: round around twenty five yards, just because again I think

373
00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,040
Speaker 2: on early downs they do the charges will give up

374
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Speaker 2: some yards and then you know, late downs, you know

375
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,159
Speaker 2: if they sack them, or he can run if they

376
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,400
Speaker 2: sack him, and then kind of make it up. So

377
00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:01,160
Speaker 2: I did think it's a decent yardage floor. But uh yeah,

378
00:19:01,160 --> 00:19:02,399
Speaker 2: I think he I think he can throw for some

379
00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,120
Speaker 2: yards even if if he's not maybe a great bet

380
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:06,840
Speaker 2: for two touchdowns or anything like that.

381
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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think I think that's that's probably like

382
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 1: the perfect line. But again, I think we had a

383
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Speaker 1: similar prop like this last week. The fact that I'm

384
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Speaker 1: kind of getting an explosive play in either you know,

385
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:23,480
Speaker 1: his rushing or passing makes me lean the over. So yeah,

386
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Speaker 1: I'll I'll go at the over here two thirty five

387
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:27,399
Speaker 1: and a half go.

388
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Speaker 2: To running Back Top five Week four.

389
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 1: We got I got Christian McCaffrey, Devon A Chan, Bijon Robinson,

390
00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,639
Speaker 1: Jonathan Taylor, and Josh Jacobs.

391
00:19:40,920 --> 00:19:45,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got McCaffrey, Taylor, James Cook, uh oh, Josh

392
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Speaker 2: Jacobs and John Robinson. I guess James Cook is popping

393
00:19:49,800 --> 00:19:52,840
Speaker 2: because of the h and the bills are favorites, Like, yeah,

394
00:19:52,840 --> 00:19:56,159
Speaker 2: they do work in Davis, wait, but that assumes like

395
00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,959
Speaker 2: they'll actually get there. But James because they get him

396
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,600
Speaker 2: the money. So I'm I've noticed that Davis has just

397
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:05,480
Speaker 2: played less overall snaps, even losing someone to Ty Johnson.

398
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 2: So I'm a little less concerned about Cook in this

399
00:20:08,640 --> 00:20:11,719
Speaker 2: spot because they're treating them like a guy who they

400
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: just paid a ton of money too. And running back

401
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,480
Speaker 2: has kind of been a little bit volatile this week

402
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:19,520
Speaker 2: this year. But love love Tailor, I mean Taylor, He's

403
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 2: been doing it in the past, game to run and

404
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:24,119
Speaker 2: he just looks great out there, so definitely want to

405
00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 2: be high on him. Who are you highing for this week?

406
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:33,720
Speaker 1: Up? I'm high on Jalen Warren, who for the first time, ever,

407
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 1: is really close to RB one value and my projections.

408
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: He's my RB thirteen this week, and yeah, he's like

409
00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,800
Speaker 1: the true workhorse back now for the Steelers. It's been

410
00:20:44,800 --> 00:20:48,119
Speaker 1: a long time coming, but it's got to be a

411
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,680
Speaker 1: career high. Twenty three touches. He had eighteen carries, didn't

412
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 1: do too much with them, but again he got five

413
00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,040
Speaker 1: receptions for thirty four yards, so he's getting the volume

414
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:01,160
Speaker 1: and that's what we want long term with him. Caleb

415
00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:05,720
Speaker 1: Johnson is still in the doghouse like that's putting it mildly.

416
00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:08,679
Speaker 1: He didn't see a touch and Kenneth Gainwell is just

417
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,639
Speaker 1: kind of a change of pace option. So this spot,

418
00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:15,240
Speaker 1: you know, against the Vikings, it's, you know, the good defense.

419
00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:18,240
Speaker 1: But I think they're gonna lean on Moren again here

420
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:21,479
Speaker 1: and again. Just with the massive volume I'm projecting for him,

421
00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:24,280
Speaker 1: he's like a high end RB two now we can

422
00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:28,159
Speaker 1: trust him in that range right now. Another guy I'm

423
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,200
Speaker 1: high on is Woody Marx, who you talked about on

424
00:21:31,240 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 1: the waiver pod. He's his stock's going up every week now,

425
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:40,040
Speaker 1: it seems because last week they made Damian Pierce a

426
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:44,720
Speaker 1: healthy scratch, So Woody marks, Yeah, well, I mean two

427
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,640
Speaker 1: weeks ago, two weeks ago, when you bet Woody Marks

428
00:21:47,680 --> 00:21:49,960
Speaker 1: at nine to one, great bet should have hit that.

429
00:21:50,880 --> 00:21:54,040
Speaker 1: But yeah, Damian Pierce was a healthy scratch again this week.

430
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: But Woody Marx is the clear backup to Nick Chubb.

431
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:03,080
Speaker 1: But then this week Dara wasn't even the third down back.

432
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:08,240
Speaker 1: So it's really a two back committee now. And there's

433
00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:10,640
Speaker 1: a decent chance that this could just be a hot

434
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 1: hand situation where if Marks, you know, has a good

435
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:17,200
Speaker 1: runner two, can leap frog Nick Chubb. I think at

436
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,600
Speaker 1: this stage in his career, Nick Chubb isn't like, you know,

437
00:22:20,119 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 1: the lead back and you know, has a long leash.

438
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 1: At any given time, Marx can become the lead back.

439
00:22:26,920 --> 00:22:29,080
Speaker 1: I know they have a bad offensive line. This isn't

440
00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 1: you know, a great offense right now, but still, you

441
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,760
Speaker 1: know he has RB three flex value in this backup

442
00:22:34,840 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 1: role anyway, but at any time he could leap frog

443
00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:40,320
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb. Nick Chubb can get hurt and he could

444
00:22:40,359 --> 00:22:41,840
Speaker 1: be an RB two. So I think he should be

445
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,160
Speaker 1: added in every league. And if you're in a pinch,

446
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 1: you could even use him this week. So I'm high

447
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:48,439
Speaker 1: on him this week in kind of long term, so

448
00:22:48,880 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 1: he opens the week is my RB thirty five, and

449
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:53,240
Speaker 1: just long term, I think he's a guy we need

450
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 1: to be rostering.

451
00:22:55,520 --> 00:22:57,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, he definitely you know the fact that he was

452
00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: able to kind of even draw you in with Chubb

453
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,920
Speaker 2: in terms of the snap counts. I still expect Chubb

454
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:04,720
Speaker 2: to probably handle the goal on work, but we've seen

455
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 2: Mark kind of mix in there and could definitely see

456
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:11,199
Speaker 2: a changing of the guard. We saw that uh in

457
00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:13,199
Speaker 2: Uston a couple of years ago under you know, I

458
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,119
Speaker 2: think Demico Ryans was there. It was yeah, c J.

459
00:23:15,200 --> 00:23:19,200
Speaker 2: Stard's rookie year, and they started with it was Pierce

460
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 2: was kind of the weed back, and then it became

461
00:23:20,920 --> 00:23:23,440
Speaker 2: a fifty to fifty split for like a week or two,

462
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 2: and then all of a sudden, it was Devin Singletary

463
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 2: every week. And now I know it's kind of you know,

464
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 2: Chubb like as a veteran and that would be Singletary's

465
00:23:31,119 --> 00:23:33,199
Speaker 2: but it's just shows that they're willing to kind of

466
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:35,560
Speaker 2: roll with to your point, the hot hand and the

467
00:23:35,600 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 2: better the better back, and Chubb probably expected to kind

468
00:23:39,760 --> 00:23:41,920
Speaker 2: of trend down as the year progresses. I know those

469
00:23:42,000 --> 00:23:45,360
Speaker 2: numbers don't look terrible right now, but we've already heard

470
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:48,040
Speaker 2: kind of whispers that he wasn't great in the off season,

471
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,479
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think I think the fact that we're

472
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:53,080
Speaker 2: seeing the snap count rise so high for Marx and

473
00:23:53,240 --> 00:23:56,719
Speaker 2: at the expense of Pierce and all those other Jags

474
00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:59,080
Speaker 2: that they have on in that backfield, I think is

475
00:23:59,119 --> 00:23:59,600
Speaker 2: good news.

476
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:02,880
Speaker 1: And this is a great matchup, great matchup against the

477
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:04,760
Speaker 1: Titans at home. Maybe they play with the lead at

478
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 1: some point too.

479
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: Maybe probably not. Well now that the Texans, I mean,

480
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 2: you know, I guess the Texans. Yeah, yeah too. But uh,

481
00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,359
Speaker 2: you mentioned game well, how uh how fitting was it

482
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,119
Speaker 2: that he scored the first touchdown on a one yard

483
00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 2: rush even in even has Warren his uh his breakout, but.

484
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,440
Speaker 1: The week after you were on his uh anytime touchdown

485
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:30,920
Speaker 1: at what was it seven to one?

486
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, and then if I faded and ended and I

487
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:36,760
Speaker 2: wanted I should have faded him again on the volume,

488
00:24:36,800 --> 00:24:41,920
Speaker 2: but it would have hit. But yeah, yeah, yeah, Jamon

489
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:44,640
Speaker 2: Warren's definitely and for good reason the lead back there.

490
00:24:45,000 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 2: I'm hiring a guy who another one of these guys

491
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:48,920
Speaker 2: who has a guy going. But we kind of talked

492
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 2: about this last week with rookies, they're gonna pick it

493
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:53,199
Speaker 2: up at you know, start to pick it up, like

494
00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 2: I think I was a little of hireing on Hampton

495
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:56,760
Speaker 2: last week and got helped out by an injury. But

496
00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 2: this week I'm going with gent He is uh still

497
00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 2: a top ten running back for me. He's a ECR

498
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 2: RB fifteen. And I know it's it doesn't look great,

499
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 2: but I think you mentioned it's been a big offensive

500
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:13,679
Speaker 2: line issue there and that's not going away. But you

501
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 2: are back at home indoors against the defense that tended

502
00:25:18,560 --> 00:25:21,160
Speaker 2: to let offenses go up and down the field. And

503
00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 2: you know, we even heard Pete Carroll before the Washington

504
00:25:24,080 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 2: game say, you know, we want to get genty more

505
00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 2: snaps and they end up falling behind big in this one.

506
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:32,000
Speaker 2: So I think, though you know they're they're gonna want

507
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,560
Speaker 2: to feed him on a consistent basis. And if the

508
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 2: game script goes a little bit more favorably, which is

509
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 2: not to pick them, which is where I think it

510
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,480
Speaker 2: should be. In the spot against the Bears, might they

511
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 2: should probably even be short favorites. I don't know if

512
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 2: I'm ready yet to say the Bear should be road

513
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:50,640
Speaker 2: road favorites, you know, but we'll see how that goes. Anyway,

514
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 2: genty still is a guy that I expect to get

515
00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:56,520
Speaker 2: eighty five percent of the carries, and I think his

516
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 2: passing down work will tick up or he'll just play

517
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:02,520
Speaker 2: on the passing downs where they actually ask him to

518
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,679
Speaker 2: run routes because he hasn't been good at pass blocking

519
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,040
Speaker 2: at all, so the negative game scripts do tend to

520
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,159
Speaker 2: hurt him at times because then he's he's out of

521
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 2: the game. But yeah, I think this is a good

522
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 2: good spot for him against a very vulnerable Bears run dye.

523
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,200
Speaker 2: So that's what I'm high on.

524
00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 1: Four.

525
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:21,159
Speaker 2: Who are you low on?

526
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,760
Speaker 1: I'm low on Chase Brown all the way down to

527
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,639
Speaker 1: RB twenty one for me and my Rashad White pre

528
00:26:28,840 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 1: Buck Irving komp is looking pretty accurate now, just because

529
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 1: I mean he's been super inefficient, only averaging two yards

530
00:26:36,160 --> 00:26:39,640
Speaker 1: per carry so far, but only a minus point nine

531
00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:44,120
Speaker 1: rushing yards overexpected. He's just getting hit behind the line

532
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,600
Speaker 1: of scrimmage atten, so I don't think it's all his fault.

533
00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: I think it's really the offensive line is letting him down.

534
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 1: But again, he has no real threat behind him with

535
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,159
Speaker 1: p Ryan and TODs Brooks. I think he's going to

536
00:26:56,240 --> 00:26:59,560
Speaker 1: continue being the workhorse backs. We still got to project

537
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:03,080
Speaker 1: him for you know, like workhorse volume, but just the

538
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:07,119
Speaker 1: way this offense has dropped off kind of as expected

539
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:10,720
Speaker 1: with Joe Burrow out is the bigger concern for Chase

540
00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 1: Brown because he needs offense, you know, to be in

541
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 1: the red zone and moving the ball and having positive

542
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:19,920
Speaker 1: game scripts to kind of provide value. So it's kind

543
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,840
Speaker 1: of just all falling apart for him, and he just

544
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 1: needs to be more involved in the passing game as well.

545
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,119
Speaker 1: But this is a tough matchup at Denver as pretty

546
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 1: big road dogs. So I'm low on Chase Brown here

547
00:27:33,000 --> 00:27:36,040
Speaker 1: and long term, unless Jake Browning can turn around and

548
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,679
Speaker 1: they bring in, you know, another quarterback, it's gonna be

549
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,560
Speaker 1: tough for Brown with that O line and just the

550
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: overall state of this offense. And the other beck I'm

551
00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:48,880
Speaker 1: low on is Javonte Williams, who continues to look excellent.

552
00:27:48,920 --> 00:27:51,439
Speaker 1: I mean, he has proven us wrong so far. He

553
00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 1: looks great out there, still operating as the lead back.

554
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,159
Speaker 1: But this is just again, this is a brutal matchup

555
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: against the Packers. You know they're going to fall behind

556
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:03,920
Speaker 1: pretty early, and we've seen Miles Sanders get more involved

557
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,919
Speaker 1: as you know, the Cowboys get into a trailing game script,

558
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:11,240
Speaker 1: so that could hurt Javonte here and Miles Sanders himself

559
00:28:11,240 --> 00:28:14,080
Speaker 1: has looked decent and we have yet to see Jayden

560
00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:17,119
Speaker 1: Blue happen. That might be kind of in the second

561
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,200
Speaker 1: half of the season if the Cowboys season is falling apart,

562
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:23,240
Speaker 1: So the window to kind of sell high on Javonte

563
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 1: might be closing soon. But you know, I'm still projecting

564
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,919
Speaker 1: him as the workhorse back for now, but just with

565
00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:33,159
Speaker 1: the really difficult matchup. He's all the way down to

566
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 1: RB twenty nine for me this week against the Pack.

567
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:38,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's you know, he had a fumble last week,

568
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 2: he had ten carriage, he had the twenty two yarder,

569
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 2: but like, how was they've been blocking it up? Well,

570
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 2: I think that's why, you know, Sanders and Woods have

571
00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,320
Speaker 2: looked better. So yeah, long term, I would I would

572
00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 2: be selling because this Cowboy team is gonna get looks

573
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,680
Speaker 2: like they're gonna get into a lot of those shootout games.

574
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:57,720
Speaker 2: Could remember they do play their home games and doors,

575
00:28:57,760 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 2: so it could be rough.

576
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,080
Speaker 1: Tommy Unker, he's probably going to I R too. Right,

577
00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:06,640
Speaker 1: this is a multi week injury. He's doubtful this week

578
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:09,320
Speaker 1: but he could be up for several weeks. It looks like,

579
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:09,840
Speaker 1: So that's.

580
00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:12,040
Speaker 2: That's the route from interior one. First you lost the

581
00:29:12,040 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 2: center in Dallas and now you're losing uh you know,

582
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,760
Speaker 2: another another one. So yeah, that that could be very problematic.

583
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:23,040
Speaker 2: We're and we don't know if, uh what the Cowboys

584
00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 2: are going to do to replace Ceedee Lamb in the

585
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 2: short term. I mean, I don't know if Williams is

586
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:28,800
Speaker 2: like a favorite to get you know, pick up some

587
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,240
Speaker 2: of that slack as much as even like a Chase Brown.

588
00:29:31,920 --> 00:29:33,600
Speaker 2: You know, if he's not running the ball, they'll try

589
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,480
Speaker 2: to get him going in the pass game with screens

590
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,960
Speaker 2: and things like that. He had four catches last week,

591
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 2: Whereas I don't know if they'll do that with Williams.

592
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: He's a good pass blocker, so and Ferguson has been

593
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:46,400
Speaker 2: uh kind of the underneath checkdown guy to pick up

594
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 2: that slack. So yeah, it could be. It's it is.

595
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 2: I think it's a great time to sell high the Cowboys.

596
00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,040
Speaker 2: They held it close against Philly, and then you know,

597
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,080
Speaker 2: she probably shouldn't even run against the Giants. They could

598
00:29:58,080 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 2: be sitting here oh and oh and three right now

599
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,760
Speaker 2: and uh wo look even worse. So yeah, I'm lo

600
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 2: on a Remandre Stevenson. Man, he he just keeps fumbling

601
00:30:09,480 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 2: and two things don't mix well, fumbling and three back

602
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,479
Speaker 2: committees because now you know, I know Gibson fumdled as well,

603
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 2: So it could just be all Travion next week. We

604
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:22,880
Speaker 2: don't know. But Stevenson's had the issues dating back to

605
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 2: last year, and uh, it's it's I don't think he's

606
00:30:26,520 --> 00:30:29,000
Speaker 2: gonna continue to get the same amount of goal line

607
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 2: usage and probably also is just gonna see a decrease

608
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:36,920
Speaker 2: in carries on early downs as well, at the expense

609
00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,680
Speaker 2: of Henderson and or Gibson, who was cutting into his

610
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 2: role as it was, so he was kind of he's

611
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,240
Speaker 2: gotten getting squeezed from both sides and missing out on

612
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:47,080
Speaker 2: goal line work. He already had the like a big

613
00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:50,520
Speaker 2: outlier in terms of explosives with the well yeah, near

614
00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:53,960
Speaker 2: a near one hundred yard receiving game. Uh week against

615
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 2: the Dolphins, it was so yeah. I so he's another

616
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 2: guy to sell High's ECR number thirty two, But I

617
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 2: would I would not start him this week. He could

618
00:31:02,080 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 2: get benched, he could build their pass block, could he

619
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:08,760
Speaker 2: could kind of be there only for checkdowns. It's there

620
00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 2: is a high degree of uncertainty. So I'd rather go

621
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 2: with the upside guy and Henderson in that spot and

622
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:18,240
Speaker 2: then another guy, Isaiah Pacheco RB thirty four in the ECR.

623
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: And if we're not seeing it against the Giants, who

624
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 2: came into the game with the worst run defense, I

625
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 2: don't think we're gonna see it. It's you know, the

626
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:29,280
Speaker 2: issue is number one, the Chiefs are always a good

627
00:31:29,320 --> 00:31:31,640
Speaker 2: bet for top two pass rate on the slate them

628
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,200
Speaker 2: in the Bengals, and the Bengals have kind of trended down,

629
00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 2: and at least they did in passworate over expected last

630
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,440
Speaker 2: week with Browning in there, so we'll see if that continues.

631
00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:43,640
Speaker 2: But that makes the Chiefs the highest expected pass right team,

632
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,520
Speaker 2: especially now that they're gonna start getting receivers back. And

633
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,920
Speaker 2: as I have been alluding to, they tend to give

634
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,360
Speaker 2: Kariam Hunt the first crack at all of the goal

635
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,560
Speaker 2: line and short yardage work. Which what are you really

636
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:59,000
Speaker 2: doing with Pacheco now, because he has kind of picked

637
00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 2: up some snaps in two minute drill, but that's not

638
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 2: usually a place where you want like Mahomes running like

639
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:08,720
Speaker 2: Mahomes can kind of scramble he can get it downfield.

640
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,160
Speaker 2: Two minute means you're probably behind, so and what you know,

641
00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:12,960
Speaker 2: maybe he gets gets a break in the first half

642
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:14,920
Speaker 2: some time to get some easy check downs. But he's

643
00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:16,720
Speaker 2: not a great receiver out of the backfield either, So

644
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 2: just really not getting the type of work that we

645
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 2: need from him and not enough carries for a past

646
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 2: heavy team that might get past heavy year because they're

647
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 2: not not very good this year, at least they haven't

648
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,080
Speaker 2: been so far. So Yeah, Pachecko's not a guy I

649
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 2: want to start either, and he's's got a fringe fringe

650
00:32:32,160 --> 00:32:35,880
Speaker 2: ranked there in ECR, So Stevenson and Pacheco for me,

651
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 2: who got for the running back crop? I got?

652
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:43,520
Speaker 1: Let's go with Alvin Kamara had one catch last week

653
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,040
Speaker 1: despite them losing by like eighty points, and his kind

654
00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: of like his target rates down so far. So want

655
00:32:51,360 --> 00:32:55,960
Speaker 1: to do his reception prop here with you and kind

656
00:32:55,960 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 1: of get your thoughts on that, especially in a potential

657
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,960
Speaker 1: blowout like are we gonna see kendre mixing a little

658
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 1: bit more later on? But I'm going to set his

659
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,400
Speaker 1: reception prop for you at three and a half? Are

660
00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:07,480
Speaker 1: you over or under that?

661
00:33:08,360 --> 00:33:10,360
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, I'm over that, but let me let

662
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 2: me just see what I got. Yeah, I'll go over

663
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 2: I got. I still got him at four. I have

664
00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:18,000
Speaker 2: noticed that as well, that he has not been getting

665
00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,440
Speaker 2: as many of those easy you know, checked as that

666
00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 2: he was getting with Derek Carr. But if you look

667
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 2: at his underlying metrics in terms of the amount of

668
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 2: pass nets he's playing, so he's been on the field

669
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: for eighty three percent of their past plays and he's

670
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 2: run a route on seventy three percent of them. So

671
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 2: that's still tops pretty much top top tier among running

672
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 2: backs in terms of pass down usage. So the fact

673
00:33:43,240 --> 00:33:46,560
Speaker 2: that they're more than two touchdown underdogs, it's actually a

674
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 2: perfect spot for the guy getting a ton of pass

675
00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:51,160
Speaker 2: down work. You know, he should get two minute drill,

676
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:54,320
Speaker 2: he should get uh, you know, all the third down

677
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:56,280
Speaker 2: and things like that. So, yes, it could be a

678
00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:59,240
Speaker 2: blowout and you could see Miller mixing late. But I

679
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:02,200
Speaker 2: do think Buffalo Low is a good spot for for

680
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 2: a guy like Kamara to bounce back here. And you know,

681
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:08,360
Speaker 2: we've seen Rashid Shahid, you know, see a little bit

682
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,800
Speaker 2: of a down stick in his role. I think Brandon Cooks,

683
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:14,359
Speaker 2: you know, he's he's probably gonna kind of trend down

684
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,600
Speaker 2: as the season progresses. That Juwan Johnson just couldn't keep

685
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 2: up his crazy rate as it was, so we actually

686
00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,720
Speaker 2: saw him even, you know, trend down. And that's important

687
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:25,080
Speaker 2: because Kamara is always on the field with those those

688
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,480
Speaker 2: starters were playing a lot of snaps. So I think

689
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 2: this is another one of those things where I think

690
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:31,520
Speaker 2: the trend regress kind of regresses to the mean. Like,

691
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:34,080
Speaker 2: I don't think Kamara is a good bet to match

692
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 2: his season average in in carries, which is sixteen point seven.

693
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,800
Speaker 2: Like he had eighteen and twenty one carries over the

694
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 2: past two games. Eighteen in a blowout is the reason

695
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 2: why he didn't get I think a ton of catches.

696
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 2: Is he got eighteen carries. He can't be mad at that.

697
00:34:49,560 --> 00:34:53,120
Speaker 2: So this week I have it closer to like fourteen

698
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:55,759
Speaker 2: carries and four catches, you know, and to get him

699
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 2: to eighteen total touches and in the blowout, and I

700
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:03,359
Speaker 2: think that that's probably a fair expectation for him. So yeah,

701
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:04,960
Speaker 2: that's what about you Do you have him more of

702
00:35:05,000 --> 00:35:06,719
Speaker 2: a three point five guy? Do you have him at

703
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 2: F four too? Uh?

704
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:11,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, like three point seven? So that'd be ak, that'd

705
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 1: be a fifty, that'd be a coin flip at three

706
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:18,439
Speaker 1: and a half if he's a Poisson distribution. But yeah,

707
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,840
Speaker 1: it's you know, Rattler's dropped back to pay. He's attempted

708
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 1: like forty passes a game, so he's he's had opportunities.

709
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,839
Speaker 1: It's just he's looking downfield more. You know. He he

710
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:32,520
Speaker 1: does scramble a bit a lot more than like Derek Carruh.

711
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 1: So yeah, I just noticed that he's just not getting

712
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:38,800
Speaker 1: as many checkdowns as you'd expect in these like blowout

713
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 1: you know, massive pass volume games. So and oh yeah,

714
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: like just three and a half sounds about right to me.

715
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,560
Speaker 1: I think that's what is probably maybe minus one forty

716
00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:51,080
Speaker 1: of the over, but was worth talking about because that

717
00:35:51,120 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 1: was kind of part of the reason we liked him

718
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 1: in that range, and we just haven't seen it, but

719
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 1: I think it'll he'll he'll see some positive regression they're

720
00:35:57,400 --> 00:35:59,320
Speaker 1: going forward, Yeah.

721
00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:01,040
Speaker 2: Because yeah, I guess it seem a little more deliberate

722
00:36:01,080 --> 00:36:02,560
Speaker 2: with the amount of carriage he's getting in those blow

723
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:04,719
Speaker 2: and they really haven't gotten blown out. They've gotten blone

724
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 2: out once. That was last week, Yeah exactly. But yeah,

725
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 2: I think it's it's probably there's probably a number of touches,

726
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:15,440
Speaker 2: Like there's probably okay, okay, we're gonna get it, and

727
00:36:15,480 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: we want to get him twenty touches. But if he's

728
00:36:17,560 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 2: got eighteen carries, yeah, then we're doing other things. But

729
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:22,520
Speaker 2: I think that's that's that's what I'm not too worried

730
00:36:22,560 --> 00:36:25,719
Speaker 2: about going forward, as much as just the overall whack,

731
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 2: you know, wlack of like touchdown opportunities. If the Saints

732
00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:34,959
Speaker 2: keep sucking all right to wide receiver Top five four

733
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:39,680
Speaker 2: week number four, we got CD lamb. He's gonna miss

734
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 2: some time, so there there'll be a new number or

735
00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:44,759
Speaker 2: you know, new new top two guy for you.

736
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,800
Speaker 1: I guess yeah. And Chase and Neighbors are outside of

737
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,399
Speaker 1: my top five. So this is my first time looking

738
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: at my top five. But I got Pukaku at number one.

739
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:58,840
Speaker 1: Oh my god, JSN number two, hallelujah. I fucking love that.

740
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 1: Justin Jeff Person, Amen Raw and Davante Adams what the yeah?

741
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 1: I got Davante in my top five now, so I

742
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:08,600
Speaker 1: have two rams inside my top five.

743
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,439
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's I mean, it's kind of the throwback days

744
00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 2: where with Cooper Cup and Nakua when they were both

745
00:37:17,920 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 2: productive at the same time, you can I think you

746
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 2: could start to see some of that. I mean Davante see,

747
00:37:22,160 --> 00:37:23,360
Speaker 2: I thought he had a bigger yea. I think he

748
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:31,200
Speaker 2: had three touches last.

749
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:31,560
Speaker 1: Question downs, Yeah, like two of them, right, Yeah, he

750
00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 1: could have had a massive game. Still had a good

751
00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: game with the touchdown, but he was very close to

752
00:37:36,719 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 1: having a massive game.

753
00:37:38,560 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 2: The story of the Rams is, yeah, they should have

754
00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:43,279
Speaker 2: had more touchdowns. They always seem to come in a

755
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:46,399
Speaker 2: little short in that category for something. It's usually red

756
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:50,880
Speaker 2: zone issues or whatever not. But yeah, definitely agree with

757
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:54,080
Speaker 2: you on Pooka number one. Mono is actually number two

758
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 2: for me. Uh he's I mean he's he's just going

759
00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,160
Speaker 2: to be able to I think continue to eat and

760
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 2: that Brown's defense is tough, but I think they're gonna

761
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,120
Speaker 2: need a guy like a manra in that in the

762
00:38:05,200 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 2: spots because he can he can kind of do some

763
00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 2: things against all coverages. And then JS number three right there,

764
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:15,319
Speaker 2: uh Thursday night for him chasing JJ round out the

765
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:18,799
Speaker 2: top five. Still gonna you know, be a little conservative.

766
00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 2: It's week four, but I think Chase, you know, he

767
00:38:21,320 --> 00:38:23,399
Speaker 2: get he had just a bad break on it. It looked

768
00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 2: like it was already a penalty on a play, and

769
00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 2: then he got hit and fumbled, and then they It's

770
00:38:27,920 --> 00:38:30,200
Speaker 2: just a lot of things going on there and and JJ,

771
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:32,359
Speaker 2: you know, I think he'll like it. Kind of hurt

772
00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:34,840
Speaker 2: both sides with just that that game script last week

773
00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:37,600
Speaker 2: of that coin. So now that they're playing different teams,

774
00:38:38,280 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 2: should be should be a little better for both both

775
00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:45,239
Speaker 2: involved in Week four. But who are you high at

776
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 2: wide receiver this week?

777
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:49,400
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go with like two random guys a

778
00:38:49,440 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 1: little bit lower. I am high on Quinton Johnson. He's

779
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 1: inside my top thirty now wide receiver twenty seven, so

780
00:38:54,719 --> 00:38:58,239
Speaker 1: that's noteworthy. I think we could trust him now. But

781
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 1: Troy Franklin is a guy I think I was high

782
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:03,120
Speaker 1: on last week, and he followed up that eight catch,

783
00:39:03,160 --> 00:39:06,919
Speaker 1: eighty nine yard touchdown game with a complete dud two

784
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:10,440
Speaker 1: catches for eight yards, which is why I said, you know,

785
00:39:11,160 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 1: he's on my radar. We can't probably can't trust him

786
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:16,880
Speaker 1: in our starting lineups quite yet. And sure enough, Corland

787
00:39:16,920 --> 00:39:19,440
Speaker 1: Sutton ended up being the alpha once again this offense.

788
00:39:19,520 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 1: He's he's the only guy we can trust right now

789
00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:25,760
Speaker 1: and this offense. But Franklin's underlying usage was still there

790
00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:29,480
Speaker 1: for you know, long term upside where you know, he

791
00:39:29,640 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 1: ran around on ninety four percent of bow Knicks's dropbacks.

792
00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:37,279
Speaker 1: Just his target Shart just took an absolute massive hit.

793
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: But there was two targets I went back and watched

794
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,919
Speaker 1: where bow just completely missed him on like a wide

795
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:46,600
Speaker 1: open would have been like a fifteen twenty yard gain,

796
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:49,919
Speaker 1: and then he gave him just an absolute hospital ball

797
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:53,279
Speaker 1: around the goal line where not one but two defenders

798
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:56,480
Speaker 1: nearly killed Franklin. But he could have easily had you know,

799
00:39:56,640 --> 00:40:00,040
Speaker 1: four catch, forty yard touchdown type of game based on

800
00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:02,920
Speaker 1: his four targets. So again I think just the the

801
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,440
Speaker 1: underlying usage is there to kind of have him on

802
00:40:05,480 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 1: your bench as a potential wider receiver three option if

803
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:12,279
Speaker 1: things line up. But this Shaun Payton offense, the only

804
00:40:12,360 --> 00:40:15,680
Speaker 1: guy we can truly trust is still Courtland Sutton. And

805
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 1: then the next guy I have in my season long

806
00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:20,440
Speaker 1: notes to always bring him up if Alec Pierce is

807
00:40:20,480 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 1: gonna miss, which could be the case this week. Pierce

808
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 1: is in the concussion protocol, so I have him as doubtful,

809
00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: So it's usually eighty Mitchell steps up pretty much as

810
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 1: a one to one replacement for Pierce, and I was

811
00:40:36,280 --> 00:40:38,560
Speaker 1: kind of I was low on Pierce. Once Daniel Jones

812
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 1: was announced as the starting quarterback. I thought, you know,

813
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:44,800
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson's perfect for Pierce. He just chucks it downfield

814
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 1: to him a couple times a game. But Daniel Jones

815
00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,640
Speaker 1: has been doing that to Pierce as well. So Pierce

816
00:40:50,640 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 1: has been crushing it so far through the first three weeks.

817
00:40:54,120 --> 00:40:55,719
Speaker 1: So I think, you know, Mitchell is going to be

818
00:40:55,760 --> 00:40:59,360
Speaker 1: in that role. And Mitchell is still a very raw receiver.

819
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 1: Sometimes he's not on the same page with his quarterback,

820
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:04,960
Speaker 1: but he's very, very talented. So if he and Daniel

821
00:41:05,040 --> 00:41:07,840
Speaker 1: Jones are on the same page on a couple of

822
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,920
Speaker 1: Downfiel throws, he could have a massive game here. So

823
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 1: he's my you know, wide receiver sixty. You're not you're

824
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,719
Speaker 1: not playing him in traditional season long head to head leagues,

825
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:22,200
Speaker 1: but in dfs, you know, GPPs and props, where you

826
00:41:22,239 --> 00:41:25,719
Speaker 1: know you're going for high upside market type plays. He

827
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:28,360
Speaker 1: is definitely on the radar. Or if you're in a

828
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:30,239
Speaker 1: deeper league and you just need a guy to have

829
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 1: a big game, Mitchell could be that guy. He's like

830
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,919
Speaker 1: a discount kind of out pier. So I think he's

831
00:41:35,960 --> 00:41:40,160
Speaker 1: worth mentioning here. Even with the tougher matchup against the Rams,

832
00:41:40,200 --> 00:41:42,600
Speaker 1: they might have to be more pass heavy. It could

833
00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 1: be a trailing game script. So I think Adie Mitchell

834
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:48,200
Speaker 1: is like a sneaky guy in the wide receiver sixty

835
00:41:48,280 --> 00:41:49,120
Speaker 1: range for me this week.

836
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's he's like a he could have. He has

837
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:54,200
Speaker 2: like a wide range outcomes. I feel like he could

838
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 2: he could have he could lead the week in Fantasy points,

839
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 2: or he could be the card how they play it.

840
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, he could be the favorite for Cardio King. He's

841
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 1: probably like a fifty to fifty chance to have zero

842
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 1: catches and no zero targets. I don't think.

843
00:42:11,800 --> 00:42:14,640
Speaker 2: I think zero catches might be more likely than zero targets.

844
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:18,640
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, if he gets a target, then Cardio King

845
00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:21,200
Speaker 1: he's out. But and I was gonna say, not a

846
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 1: fifty percent chance of leading the week in Fantasy points,

847
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 1: but you know, higher than people expect, maybe like you

848
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:30,880
Speaker 1: know what three percent. But yeah, why range of outcomes.

849
00:42:30,880 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 1: That's why I say he's not meant for like head

850
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:36,839
Speaker 1: to head formats. But all these like DFS, GBPS or

851
00:42:36,960 --> 00:42:39,040
Speaker 1: prop markets, things like that where you could bank on

852
00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 1: his upside. That's that's where you want to be investing

853
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 1: on a guy like this that has just a why

854
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:44,239
Speaker 1: range of outcomes.

855
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:46,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, because easy he'll take over that about eighty

856
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:49,200
Speaker 2: probably eighty percent of snaps. Unless the coach end up

857
00:42:49,239 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 2: leading for a ton maybe then they bring doing in

858
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:53,800
Speaker 2: for more snaps, but usually it's Mitchell if they're in

859
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:57,799
Speaker 2: a passing situation. I'm high on T Higgins this week.

860
00:42:57,840 --> 00:43:00,239
Speaker 2: I think this is one of those situations where people

861
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:02,560
Speaker 2: are kind of looking like, oh, T Higgins, you know,

862
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,239
Speaker 2: but talk about a guy that has number one overall

863
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:09,520
Speaker 2: scoring for the weak potential. I think T Higgins still

864
00:43:09,640 --> 00:43:12,719
Speaker 2: still in that conversation. Uh, it's just, you know, got

865
00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:15,200
Speaker 2: off to a rough start with three catches for thirty

866
00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:18,600
Speaker 2: three in Week one against tough Cleveland defense and underwhelming

867
00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:21,720
Speaker 2: but passable three for fifty six in a touchdown against

868
00:43:21,760 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 2: the Jags and eight targets, and then just one catch

869
00:43:24,719 --> 00:43:28,680
Speaker 2: on two targets for fifteen against Minnesota. However, T Higgins

870
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 2: out there running around on ninety three percent of the

871
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 2: pass plays for the Cincinnati Bengals. And we talked about

872
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:36,839
Speaker 2: this in the past with Jake Browning. He has had

873
00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:40,440
Speaker 2: some quality starts in you know, in his tenure with

874
00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:42,800
Speaker 2: the Cincinnati Bengals. Now, I know it's a tough spot,

875
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 2: but you are a big underdog to Denver. You can't

876
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,200
Speaker 2: run the ball, So one way or another, you're probably

877
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:51,000
Speaker 2: going to see enough dropbacks for that you know, ninety

878
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:54,440
Speaker 2: plus percent route rate to come into in the play here.

879
00:43:54,480 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 2: And then you know you got you got Denver, which

880
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:58,680
Speaker 2: tends to be very good at taking away that the

881
00:43:58,760 --> 00:44:02,120
Speaker 2: opponent's top receiver, and that would open things up for

882
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:05,800
Speaker 2: the for the number two. And we saw that with uh,

883
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:10,720
Speaker 2: you know, Downs and Pierce combining for like one hundred

884
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:14,120
Speaker 2: and nineteen yards on ten catches in week two. We

885
00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:17,480
Speaker 2: saw that with Quinton Johnston six for eighty nine on

886
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 2: ten targets. UH and even Keenan Allen you know, another

887
00:44:20,680 --> 00:44:23,920
Speaker 2: seven for sixty five and one where McConkie only up

888
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,400
Speaker 2: four for forty one. Now, you know, so Den's just

889
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 2: you know, eve even if it's not like an outside receiver,

890
00:44:28,560 --> 00:44:30,080
Speaker 2: they're just good at you know, they want to take

891
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:32,520
Speaker 2: away the opponent top option. I think that works in

892
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:34,960
Speaker 2: Higgins favors. I think he's a great kind of bounce

893
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:38,839
Speaker 2: back canadate because everyone's lon everyone's like browning, note, we're

894
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,359
Speaker 2: done with him, and then Higgins guy kind of getting

895
00:44:41,400 --> 00:44:43,959
Speaker 2: caught up and it was just a ridiculous outlier game scrip.

896
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:45,879
Speaker 2: It was just a comedy of errors. At one point

897
00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 2: where I think Nance said it like, hey, we thought

898
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:50,319
Speaker 2: maybe they could score before half or they'll be down, you know,

899
00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:51,560
Speaker 2: we have a chance to kind of get back in

900
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:53,840
Speaker 2: his game. And then he just it's just fumble, fumble,

901
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 2: fix fumble, Like just uh, just ridiculous. So yeah, yeah,

902
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 2: I expect Higgins. Higgins is the important thing with him,

903
00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 2: he's running around and another important thing is we talked

904
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:06,920
Speaker 2: about earlier he has a cardio king on his on

905
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:10,439
Speaker 2: his team in Josebashian, I think, uh, if you look

906
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 2: at some of the other target perroute numbers for the Bangs, like,

907
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:15,120
Speaker 2: was it, No, Fan isn't going to continue to get

908
00:45:15,120 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 2: thirty seven percent target per route, right, Like, so there

909
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:21,160
Speaker 2: are there are a lot of ways for Higgins and

910
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 2: Chase something question.

911
00:45:23,120 --> 00:45:25,239
Speaker 1: Here exactly, And I was I was going to ask

912
00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 1: a follow up on how you're handling this, but Fan

913
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:32,239
Speaker 1: suffered a concussion, so he I always consider a guy

914
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:35,360
Speaker 1: doubtful once they enter the protocols, so might not play,

915
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 1: which means we might see Tanner Hudson active. How are

916
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:44,120
Speaker 1: you handling because it was a week eleven thirty target,

917
00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 1: same target per route.

918
00:45:45,560 --> 00:45:49,520
Speaker 2: Like generally just because it would be but yeah, oh

919
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 2: yeah same right, yes, same, No, I mean.

920
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:55,879
Speaker 1: No, I'm not talking about I'm you know where I'm going.

921
00:45:56,120 --> 00:46:00,760
Speaker 1: I'm going target per route thirty five percent, mister target

922
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 1: per run rate legend, Yeah, Hudson, mister thirty five percent. Yeah,

923
00:46:07,120 --> 00:46:08,799
Speaker 1: like that. That could be a problem too, if if

924
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 1: Browning's picking on him. I'm mostly joking right now, but

925
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:15,399
Speaker 1: that is something to monitor because he and Hudson were,

926
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,280
Speaker 1: you know, connection the late part of the season where

927
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 1: you know, Browning took over in twenty twenty three, so

928
00:46:22,120 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 1: something I'm monitoring for sure. But yeah, I think Higgins,

929
00:46:25,560 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 1: where do you have the rinked? Though? To start the week?

930
00:46:28,120 --> 00:46:30,000
Speaker 2: Why was he with twenty four? He's whys her with

931
00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:31,280
Speaker 2: thirty nine in ECR, which.

932
00:46:31,160 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 1: Is oh god, yeah, I have him a wide receiver

933
00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,640
Speaker 1: twenty nine, so yeah, just higher than ECR. People are

934
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:41,080
Speaker 1: panicking too much. I would say, you know, if my

935
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:46,319
Speaker 1: theory only went out of twelve of you own Higgins.

936
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,840
Speaker 1: I would float out like like a by low offer

937
00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:51,000
Speaker 1: on him, right, someone might be willing to trade him

938
00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 1: for pennies on the dollar at this point after last week.

939
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, like you can kind of would. I would trade

940
00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:58,840
Speaker 2: need some like like Javonte and you know, something like

941
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,919
Speaker 2: that and try to get upgrade the team. And because like, yeah,

942
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:05,480
Speaker 2: like we talked about this Browning most week, he's gonna

943
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:09,000
Speaker 2: either either because he gets himself. Turnovers are actually good

944
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 2: most of the time for uh, for like the offense

945
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:14,440
Speaker 2: because they just come right back out on the field.

946
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:18,000
Speaker 1: Soa script, Yeah, it's perfect.

947
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 2: Brian Flores is not like he Browning actually got the

948
00:47:22,880 --> 00:47:25,719
Speaker 2: best of Flora's the first meeting. So it's kind of

949
00:47:25,760 --> 00:47:27,160
Speaker 2: it can go either way or one of those things.

950
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,359
Speaker 2: But yeah, just because it's a tough matchup with Denver

951
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:33,480
Speaker 2: doesn't mean the receivers can't get Fantasy points yeap for

952
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: for this offense. Like that's it's not gonna mean every

953
00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 2: week thing. I think what the bank's gonna do. Where

954
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:40,919
Speaker 2: are they gonna get their yard? Like running the ball

955
00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:44,160
Speaker 2: and no lolana wide receivers.

956
00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:47,879
Speaker 1: I'm low on Kashawan Booty. Uh, He's all the way

957
00:47:47,920 --> 00:47:51,840
Speaker 1: down to wide receiver fifty eight for me against the Panthers,

958
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,759
Speaker 1: and just one of the most common questions I got,

959
00:47:55,080 --> 00:47:57,719
Speaker 1: like heading into week two is like, why the hell

960
00:47:57,719 --> 00:48:00,080
Speaker 1: are you so low on booty, Like, what the hell?

961
00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:02,359
Speaker 1: What do you have? Six catches one hundred and eight?

962
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:04,960
Speaker 1: People are just wondering why he was outside of my

963
00:48:05,000 --> 00:48:08,319
Speaker 1: top fifty and I was just like, like, that's where

964
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,440
Speaker 1: the underlying data is pointing at me. And sure enough,

965
00:48:10,840 --> 00:48:13,400
Speaker 1: these past two weeks he's he's come back down to

966
00:48:13,480 --> 00:48:16,640
Speaker 1: earth where he's had a sub ten percent target rate

967
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 1: back to back weeks. Now he bailed people out when

968
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:22,960
Speaker 1: we two, right because he kind a touchdown, but yeah,

969
00:48:23,000 --> 00:48:25,880
Speaker 1: as of now, he's going to be a touchdown dependent

970
00:48:26,760 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 1: option and he's you know, he's getting downfield targets, so

971
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:32,319
Speaker 1: he could have some big weeks. You have to just

972
00:48:32,400 --> 00:48:34,560
Speaker 1: realize he's going to have a wide range of outcomes.

973
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,919
Speaker 1: He's going to be very volatile. This whole entire wide

974
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:41,160
Speaker 1: receiver room has been very volatile that the past few weeks,

975
00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 1: and you have to figure someone like Diggs is probably

976
00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:46,359
Speaker 1: just going to get more involved as his knee is

977
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:50,279
Speaker 1: healthier and he's more in sync with Drake may. So

978
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:52,520
Speaker 1: Booty's just the guy that I think he's, you know,

979
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:55,680
Speaker 1: a dart throw in the wide receiver four or five range,

980
00:48:55,680 --> 00:48:58,239
Speaker 1: but that's about it. I think people are expecting or

981
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:00,440
Speaker 1: hoping he'd be the Alph in this offense, and I

982
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 1: just don't think they're going to have that yet anyway.

983
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,600
Speaker 1: So he's all the way down to wide receiver fifty

984
00:49:06,640 --> 00:49:09,080
Speaker 1: eight for me after the past couple weeks with the

985
00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:12,879
Speaker 1: low target share and the other guy, I'm gonna mention

986
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:15,720
Speaker 1: I'm low on because instead of just wasting three minutes

987
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,360
Speaker 1: saying why I'm low on someone like Cedric Tillman, I

988
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:21,439
Speaker 1: want to talk about Ricky Pearsall, who I have at

989
00:49:21,520 --> 00:49:25,840
Speaker 1: wide receiver twenty six. He's coming off a massive eight catch,

990
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:29,120
Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeen yard game. I very high on

991
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:31,759
Speaker 1: him heading in the season. I'm still very high on

992
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:33,239
Speaker 1: him as a talent. I think he's going to be

993
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 1: excellent the rest of the season. But one of the

994
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:39,160
Speaker 1: things that you talked about heading into the season was

995
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:41,879
Speaker 1: just this is the time he's going to be at

996
00:49:41,880 --> 00:49:47,800
Speaker 1: his literal ceiling, because last week he had Juwan Jennings out,

997
00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:51,719
Speaker 1: Brandon Ayuk and George Kittle are both out. I mean,

998
00:49:51,760 --> 00:49:54,200
Speaker 1: this is the peak time for Pearsall to be going off,

999
00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:58,959
Speaker 1: which he is, but you know, Jennings should return. This week,

1000
00:49:58,960 --> 00:50:01,320
Speaker 1: We're going to see DeMarcus Robinson back in the fold.

1001
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:03,960
Speaker 1: That might help Piersoll because that could be just a

1002
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:08,040
Speaker 1: cardio king type situation. But down the road, you know

1003
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:11,560
Speaker 1: a few weeks from now, once Kittle and Ayukker in

1004
00:50:11,640 --> 00:50:13,960
Speaker 1: the offense, like it's it's gonna be tough for Pearsal

1005
00:50:14,040 --> 00:50:17,480
Speaker 1: to be commanding this type of target share, so you

1006
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:20,080
Speaker 1: could roll him out there this week. I have wide

1007
00:50:20,120 --> 00:50:22,680
Speaker 1: receiver twenty six his RS wide receiver twenty which I

1008
00:50:22,680 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 1: think is a bit high. But I think if there

1009
00:50:24,719 --> 00:50:26,239
Speaker 1: were a time to kind of sell high on him

1010
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:29,320
Speaker 1: and be now, because I think once everyone's back in healthy,

1011
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 1: I think he's gonna be back in that wide receiver

1012
00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:35,439
Speaker 1: three flex mix. So just depending on your situation, enjoy

1013
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:38,680
Speaker 1: the ride right now or sell high depending on your team.

1014
00:50:38,760 --> 00:50:42,960
Speaker 1: But yeah, I think Peersl's peak is happening as we speak,

1015
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:47,680
Speaker 1: and then later you know, week five on, you know,

1016
00:50:47,920 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 1: his eye's gonna slowly creep down. So that's kind of

1017
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:52,520
Speaker 1: where I'm at with Peersol but where do you have

1018
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:54,279
Speaker 1: him ranked this week? And where do you kind of

1019
00:50:54,320 --> 00:50:56,560
Speaker 1: have him ranked rest of the season. Now, for these

1020
00:50:56,600 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 1: first few games.

1021
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 2: I have him a wide receiver seventeen this week. So

1022
00:51:01,280 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 2: I the thing is, I don't I'm skeptical in Jennings

1023
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:06,879
Speaker 2: this week. I don't. I'm sure if he'll be back.

1024
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:09,719
Speaker 2: I do have him, you know, playing kind of like, uh,

1025
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 2: it's like seventy percent chance of playing like a quest

1026
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:15,799
Speaker 2: true quest questionable, uh type of player. But yeah, that's

1027
00:51:15,840 --> 00:51:18,240
Speaker 2: kind of it. With like this week, I'm not as concerned.

1028
00:51:18,280 --> 00:51:20,840
Speaker 2: I think the Jaguars have been running a little a

1029
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:23,040
Speaker 2: little bit lucky on defense, you know what I mean.

1030
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 2: I don't think they're like a shutdown defense. So with

1031
00:51:27,320 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 2: Kiddle out, you know it's gonna be McCaffrey. And if

1032
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:33,040
Speaker 2: Jennings is out, I mean, yeah, I still want Pearson

1033
00:51:33,239 --> 00:51:37,320
Speaker 2: running routes alongside who is it JaMarcus and Kendrick Bourde

1034
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:38,720
Speaker 2: and scant Yeah.

1035
00:51:38,640 --> 00:51:42,040
Speaker 1: Veldez Santling and Kendrick Bourne. And they got sky Moore.

1036
00:51:42,160 --> 00:51:45,239
Speaker 1: Sky Moore ran Like that's exactly what I want. How

1037
00:51:45,320 --> 00:51:46,480
Speaker 1: was he Cardio King?

1038
00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:48,720
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I didn't get on the field.

1039
00:51:49,640 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 1: Well he was he ran, He ran a ton of

1040
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:54,080
Speaker 1: routs lest way, I think he got a targetment to

1041
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:56,319
Speaker 1: go watch that. But yeah, this is gonna be like

1042
00:51:56,360 --> 00:51:58,320
Speaker 1: Mark Andrews last week, where I start off low on

1043
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:01,799
Speaker 1: I assumed Isaiah likely was in, and then once like

1044
00:52:01,880 --> 00:52:04,279
Speaker 1: it was out, Andrews was my tight end nine and

1045
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:08,320
Speaker 1: I was like plus six ECR say, I have Jennings

1046
00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: pretty much fully healthy in my projections this week, so

1047
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:14,759
Speaker 1: that's why I have him met wide receiver twenty six.

1048
00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 1: But if Jennings is out again, Pearsall will probably be,

1049
00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,520
Speaker 1: you know, inside my top fifteen. I just felt like

1050
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 1: I couldn't figure out where else we could talk about Pearsol.

1051
00:52:23,360 --> 00:52:26,359
Speaker 1: I feel like that was the time to talk about him.

1052
00:52:26,360 --> 00:52:28,720
Speaker 1: So I'm not low on him necessarily for this week,

1053
00:52:29,120 --> 00:52:32,400
Speaker 1: but just planning rest of season, you just have to

1054
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:36,800
Speaker 1: realize that we're in Ricky Pearsall's ceiling best case scenario

1055
00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:40,720
Speaker 1: right now. This you know, probably this week and next week.

1056
00:52:41,120 --> 00:52:44,600
Speaker 1: But if you're good at wide receiver and you're hurting

1057
00:52:44,680 --> 00:52:47,600
Speaker 1: at running back or tight end or quarterback, whatever, like

1058
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:49,879
Speaker 1: the cell high window would sort of be these next

1059
00:52:49,920 --> 00:52:50,759
Speaker 1: few weeks.

1060
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:53,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, Like I mean I think this week I would

1061
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:56,160
Speaker 2: probably just I would have to get a stud like

1062
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 2: a true right or even because I would have to

1063
00:52:59,280 --> 00:53:02,160
Speaker 2: get like a new coup or somebody like back because

1064
00:53:02,560 --> 00:53:04,360
Speaker 2: I don't know if any receivers.

1065
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 1: You're not getting the cuff for him.

1066
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 2: But I know, yeah exactly, I'm saying like I wouldn't

1067
00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,920
Speaker 2: just trade him to sell high to sell high kind

1068
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:17,280
Speaker 2: of like good because he has another kind of decent spot.

1069
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 2: And then if you look at like I know you,

1070
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:21,400
Speaker 2: you're the odds maker, So you know how like important

1071
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:25,080
Speaker 2: this is. Last week ran A was in on forty

1072
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:27,600
Speaker 2: five or forty five pass naps and also eighteen of

1073
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:30,480
Speaker 2: twenty run snaps, so like the odds of him just

1074
00:53:30,880 --> 00:53:32,960
Speaker 2: you know, running out at one hundred percent route rate

1075
00:53:33,600 --> 00:53:37,480
Speaker 2: this week, like if Jennings is out is pretty high,

1076
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:40,440
Speaker 2: especially if sky Moore's mixing in. That means that he

1077
00:53:40,520 --> 00:53:43,120
Speaker 2: might just be in that role regardless. So yeah, I

1078
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:44,359
Speaker 2: want to wait, I feel bad.

1079
00:53:44,400 --> 00:53:47,040
Speaker 1: I'm not like again, I was team Pearsall and a

1080
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:49,560
Speaker 1: dunes Ay heading in the season, so I'm still team

1081
00:53:49,600 --> 00:53:50,640
Speaker 1: Pearsall and a Dune's eight.

1082
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:53,759
Speaker 2: I was gonna talk about uh koosha kiir and how

1083
00:53:54,040 --> 00:53:56,399
Speaker 2: I I don't think that every week, Like, I don't

1084
00:53:56,400 --> 00:53:58,160
Speaker 2: think she should even be the in in the top

1085
00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,200
Speaker 2: thirty five this week. I know you had to a

1086
00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:02,520
Speaker 2: good week last week and at the expense of Coleman

1087
00:54:02,680 --> 00:54:06,120
Speaker 2: and so everyone's now that was back in on Shakir.

1088
00:54:06,200 --> 00:54:08,680
Speaker 2: But there's just gonna be a lot of variance with

1089
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:12,279
Speaker 2: the Bills, kind of like the Broncos because the Bills.

1090
00:54:12,320 --> 00:54:14,440
Speaker 2: The difference with the Bills is they're act They actually

1091
00:54:14,440 --> 00:54:18,240
Speaker 2: can get ahead with these game scripts when they're favorites,

1092
00:54:18,360 --> 00:54:21,839
Speaker 2: big favorites and whatnot. So could she care have another

1093
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 2: big game? Maybe yeah, But like that's the case every weekend.

1094
00:54:25,200 --> 00:54:27,520
Speaker 2: It's still you know, we see what's what happens with

1095
00:54:27,520 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 2: with the Bills receivers. You get your got the fifth

1096
00:54:30,600 --> 00:54:33,239
Speaker 2: receiver for the Bills mixes in more than on most

1097
00:54:33,239 --> 00:54:36,200
Speaker 2: teams too, with you know, Elijah more Shavers. So don't

1098
00:54:36,200 --> 00:54:39,160
Speaker 2: want him, but the guy I'll mention instead that I've

1099
00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:42,880
Speaker 2: noticed I'm very low on I have him outside my

1100
00:54:43,200 --> 00:54:46,319
Speaker 2: top forty and I know you were hiring him last week.

1101
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:47,759
Speaker 2: It's kind of like a high floor guy. So I'm

1102
00:54:47,760 --> 00:54:50,520
Speaker 2: curious of what you think on debo because I am

1103
00:54:50,600 --> 00:54:53,560
Speaker 2: low on him because even before the game got kind

1104
00:54:53,560 --> 00:54:57,040
Speaker 2: of out of hand weight he was just playing fewer

1105
00:54:57,080 --> 00:55:00,919
Speaker 2: snaps in certain personnel groupings, and that was with Noah Brown,

1106
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:02,759
Speaker 2: and then you know, Noah Brown went down and then

1107
00:55:02,960 --> 00:55:05,239
Speaker 2: kind of change things up a little games out of hand.

1108
00:55:05,320 --> 00:55:08,000
Speaker 2: So there were some variants there, but overall, his his

1109
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:10,160
Speaker 2: route rate was way down, snap rate was right down,

1110
00:55:10,160 --> 00:55:12,279
Speaker 2: and that was that was true even early in the game.

1111
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:16,080
Speaker 2: And they still have three running backs that they like,

1112
00:55:16,200 --> 00:55:18,239
Speaker 2: so they don't have to give him. What do you

1113
00:55:18,280 --> 00:55:19,880
Speaker 2: get three carries last week? I think it was, so

1114
00:55:19,880 --> 00:55:23,080
Speaker 2: they have to give him that every week. So I

1115
00:55:23,120 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 2: think there's gonna be a lot of variants. And obviously

1116
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:28,440
Speaker 2: if Terry's out that changes things. I know he had

1117
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:30,440
Speaker 2: like a quad issue or whatever, But you know, if

1118
00:55:30,520 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 2: Terry's in and things are just as they are. I

1119
00:55:33,680 --> 00:55:35,640
Speaker 2: think Diebo is a guy that's trending down a bit

1120
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:38,160
Speaker 2: in terms of like he's gonna be vowed, so kind

1121
00:55:38,160 --> 00:55:39,879
Speaker 2: of like a Jaden Reid. But curious what you think

1122
00:55:40,040 --> 00:55:41,520
Speaker 2: on DIVA because he's all the way up at twenty

1123
00:55:41,520 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 2: three in ECR, which I just think is oh yeah,

1124
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:44,560
Speaker 2: way high.

1125
00:55:45,120 --> 00:55:47,439
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's insane. I don't really know why he didn't

1126
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:50,080
Speaker 1: play as much. Obviously, you know, the blowout led to up.

1127
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:54,399
Speaker 1: But like you said, before the blowout really happened, he

1128
00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:56,680
Speaker 1: was playing less. And again I said he out a

1129
00:55:56,719 --> 00:55:59,200
Speaker 1: high floor because I don't know, I thought Jane Daniels

1130
00:55:59,280 --> 00:56:01,799
Speaker 1: is playing. We were in that light up Tuesday. Yeah,

1131
00:56:01,920 --> 00:56:04,719
Speaker 1: so what's in there that does change things? And then

1132
00:56:04,760 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 1: I later in the week, I was on bills under

1133
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:10,319
Speaker 1: one and a half receptions because I you know, I

1134
00:56:10,360 --> 00:56:12,319
Speaker 1: thought he'd be in the b rob role. He did

1135
00:56:12,440 --> 00:56:15,239
Speaker 1: look like they were kind of using Debo as sort

1136
00:56:15,239 --> 00:56:18,560
Speaker 1: of like the Eckler replacement at times. So he's lining

1137
00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:20,600
Speaker 1: up in the backfield and just getting a target, you know,

1138
00:56:20,640 --> 00:56:22,279
Speaker 1: out in the flat. So they were kind of just

1139
00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:24,440
Speaker 1: like trying to figure out how to use him without Eckler.

1140
00:56:25,160 --> 00:56:28,399
Speaker 1: But I did notice the drop in playing time. I'm

1141
00:56:28,440 --> 00:56:31,319
Speaker 1: trying to see where I have him ranked. But yeah,

1142
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:35,279
Speaker 1: I mean Terry mclaurin's hurt, he might not play. So yeah,

1143
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:39,600
Speaker 1: Deebo's projection this early week, it's very hard to set.

1144
00:56:40,800 --> 00:56:43,200
Speaker 1: But yeah, I still have him, you know, inside my

1145
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:45,919
Speaker 1: top thirty. I'm like wide receiver twenty eight right now.

1146
00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:49,160
Speaker 1: But again, with Terry's status up in the air, Jaden

1147
00:56:49,760 --> 00:56:51,760
Speaker 1: status is up in there. It's really hard to project,

1148
00:56:51,760 --> 00:56:55,799
Speaker 1: but yeah, that does sort of kill the narrative that

1149
00:56:55,880 --> 00:56:57,600
Speaker 1: you know, he has a high four option because if

1150
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:02,520
Speaker 1: they're gonna change up his usage that extreme, uh, you know,

1151
00:57:02,640 --> 00:57:05,480
Speaker 1: that's that's a red flag. So we got to monitor that.

1152
00:57:05,520 --> 00:57:07,400
Speaker 1: But yeah, you're right to be lower on him to

1153
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:11,480
Speaker 1: kind of start the week, and then we'll go from there. Again,

1154
00:57:11,520 --> 00:57:14,400
Speaker 1: it just Eckler. They're not going to just use the

1155
00:57:14,480 --> 00:57:17,280
Speaker 1: running backs to replace Eckler. They don't really. Eckler is

1156
00:57:17,320 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 1: like his own special type of player that that they

1157
00:57:20,560 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 1: were kind of using depot even like Jaalen Lane was

1158
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:26,040
Speaker 1: kind of playing some of the Eckler type roles. So

1159
00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:29,360
Speaker 1: we just got we have to monitor this closely because

1160
00:57:29,960 --> 00:57:31,880
Speaker 1: it was not the same as weeks one and two

1161
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:33,720
Speaker 1: for him, which is a concern.

1162
00:57:34,280 --> 00:57:36,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I always want to be a little cautious on

1163
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:38,200
Speaker 2: a guy him too, just because he's a guy that

1164
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:40,280
Speaker 2: could turnd down as the eear progress as we've seen him,

1165
00:57:40,320 --> 00:57:42,720
Speaker 2: have you know, issues with conditioning at times or whatnot.

1166
00:57:42,760 --> 00:57:45,920
Speaker 2: And then the other thing was just Wayne had a

1167
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 2: really good game as a part returner and he's been

1168
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:51,400
Speaker 2: seeing a big up tickn routes and then McCaffrey had

1169
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 2: a really good game that that that you know, explosive TV.

1170
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:58,400
Speaker 2: So there's just a lot of uncertainty, which is not

1171
00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:01,920
Speaker 2: what I want in a top twenty five receiver if

1172
00:58:01,960 --> 00:58:03,960
Speaker 2: I can help it. So, like other guys have been

1173
00:58:04,040 --> 00:58:05,680
Speaker 2: knocked down like Ridley and you know what, I just

1174
00:58:05,680 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 2: think Debo should be a little bit more in that range,

1175
00:58:07,800 --> 00:58:10,200
Speaker 2: kind of like people are treating t Higgins like that's

1176
00:58:10,320 --> 00:58:13,000
Speaker 2: kind of where Devo is from me too. Definitely fair

1177
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:18,520
Speaker 2: why the receiver prop Let's see Actually, yeah, let's do

1178
00:58:18,520 --> 00:58:21,560
Speaker 2: a let's do a double one again. So I'll set

1179
00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:23,560
Speaker 2: two guys. I'll set a little spread between two guys

1180
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:28,520
Speaker 2: and you can pick one receiving yardage. Let's go Marvin

1181
00:58:28,560 --> 00:58:33,360
Speaker 2: Harrison Thursday night against what's been a very good Seahawks

1182
00:58:33,400 --> 00:58:38,960
Speaker 2: defense against Brian Thomas receiving yardage, and I will make

1183
00:58:39,600 --> 00:58:43,240
Speaker 2: Thomas a three and a half yard favorite.

1184
00:58:43,640 --> 00:58:47,840
Speaker 1: I was literally thinking three and a half man. Uh,

1185
00:58:48,040 --> 00:58:51,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with I got BTJ here. I think

1186
00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:55,600
Speaker 1: that's a good line. I think he's gonna overcome whatever

1187
00:58:55,640 --> 00:58:59,120
Speaker 1: this say is soon enough Marvin Harrison, though this is

1188
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:01,320
Speaker 1: more of a long term concern. It's also just the

1189
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:05,640
Speaker 1: dynamic between him and Kyler Murray, which is never going away,

1190
00:59:06,080 --> 00:59:09,040
Speaker 1: so that's an even bigger concern. And then just Trey

1191
00:59:09,120 --> 00:59:14,440
Speaker 1: McBride just a complete target hog kind of limits Marvin's

1192
00:59:14,560 --> 00:59:18,960
Speaker 1: upside week two weeks. So yeah, that's you couldn't have

1193
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:21,840
Speaker 1: put two trickier wide receivers to project right now. But

1194
00:59:22,160 --> 00:59:24,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the points here, or I'm going to

1195
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:27,240
Speaker 1: give the points here with BTJ minus three and a half,

1196
00:59:27,680 --> 00:59:28,240
Speaker 1: you gonna lay.

1197
00:59:28,320 --> 00:59:31,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I think that's I kind of wanted

1198
00:59:31,600 --> 00:59:33,840
Speaker 2: you to take the dog there, so I think that's sharp.

1199
00:59:34,520 --> 00:59:34,720
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1200
00:59:34,760 --> 00:59:36,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, Thomas has been he's been leaving yards on the

1201
00:59:36,680 --> 00:59:38,320
Speaker 2: field where Yeah, I don't I don't know if it's

1202
00:59:38,680 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 2: a McBride issue because the car does actually have exactly

1203
00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:46,280
Speaker 2: what we want. They have Cardio Kings, A Jones, Cardio King,

1204
00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:50,080
Speaker 2: Michael Wilson, a lot of heavy personnel, so like when

1205
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:54,080
Speaker 2: like Harrison's running routes against McBride, but also like Tip

1206
00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:57,440
Speaker 2: Raymond and like Elijah Higgins when it's not when it's

1207
00:59:57,440 --> 01:00:01,520
Speaker 2: not McBride, So he should be a lot more productive,

1208
01:00:01,560 --> 01:00:03,880
Speaker 2: I think. And and this week, you know they are

1209
01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:06,560
Speaker 2: in an underdog spot. I think they were. I guess, well,

1210
01:00:06,560 --> 01:00:08,920
Speaker 2: I guess they were. They closed underdogs last week. They

1211
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:11,880
Speaker 2: opened his favorites too. But either way, yeah, I think

1212
01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:14,480
Speaker 2: he's just been him and Kyler. It's maybe it's the

1213
01:00:14,560 --> 01:00:17,160
Speaker 2: downfield passing for Kyrie, he just doesn't see it as well,

1214
01:00:17,200 --> 01:00:20,560
Speaker 2: and maybe it's partly Harrison probably isn't getting opened quite

1215
01:00:20,600 --> 01:00:22,760
Speaker 2: as much as as I think we expected coming out

1216
01:00:22,760 --> 01:00:26,400
Speaker 2: of school with him. So uh, yeah, it's it's it's

1217
01:00:26,400 --> 01:00:29,120
Speaker 2: concerning because I think the Seahawks are also a tougher

1218
01:00:29,120 --> 01:00:31,400
Speaker 2: matchup than people might realize if you haven't been paying attention,

1219
01:00:31,480 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 2: Like they're very, very good defense, even when guys are

1220
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 2: out in the secondary. So yeah, he's he's always kind

1221
01:00:36,440 --> 01:00:39,360
Speaker 2: of just a middling uh you know, wide receiver three

1222
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:41,960
Speaker 2: for me and Thomas. I still have, you know, as

1223
01:00:42,000 --> 01:00:44,120
Speaker 2: a kind of mid range wide receiver too that you

1224
01:00:44,160 --> 01:00:47,240
Speaker 2: can easily get back to wide receiver one status with

1225
01:00:47,480 --> 01:00:50,400
Speaker 2: you know. This week, all right, tight end top five.

1226
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:55,760
Speaker 1: We got h Brock, Bauers, Trey McBride, Tucker Kraft, Jake Ferguson,

1227
01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:56,920
Speaker 1: and Tyler Warren.

1228
01:00:57,600 --> 01:01:02,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got McBride, Bowers, Ferguson, Warren and Samuel Porta

1229
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:06,200
Speaker 2: and Ferguson third for me, just because we have seen

1230
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:10,080
Speaker 2: him now sustay in this high volume role, you know,

1231
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:13,840
Speaker 2: multiple weeks, and I think it's another spot for that

1232
01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 2: against Steve Packers, you know, with zone heavy team, big

1233
01:01:19,000 --> 01:01:23,480
Speaker 2: underdog at home, so another another spot for Ferguson. And

1234
01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:28,640
Speaker 2: it's just been an unpredictable tight end year. Who are

1235
01:01:28,680 --> 01:01:30,880
Speaker 2: you high on at tight end this week?

1236
01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:35,880
Speaker 1: I'm high on Darren Waller, just kidding, I'm high on

1237
01:01:37,400 --> 01:01:40,680
Speaker 1: I'm high. I gotta do that every so often. He

1238
01:01:41,040 --> 01:01:44,880
Speaker 1: is supposed to play this week. I'm high on the guy.

1239
01:01:45,320 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 1: He's replacing John new Smith, who I talked about on

1240
01:01:49,840 --> 01:01:52,200
Speaker 1: the Waiver Pod. He opens the week as my tight

1241
01:01:52,320 --> 01:01:57,840
Speaker 1: end thirteen, still in a you know, tricky tight time

1242
01:01:57,880 --> 01:02:01,160
Speaker 1: to share with Pat Fryarmouth. But this week, you know,

1243
01:02:01,200 --> 01:02:03,720
Speaker 1: he saw a huge increase in routs run all the

1244
01:02:03,760 --> 01:02:06,320
Speaker 1: way up to eighty four percent. You had mentioned that

1245
01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:10,040
Speaker 1: he's basically the slot receiver in this offense, so he's

1246
01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:13,000
Speaker 1: just getting more playing time over those you know, scrub

1247
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:17,280
Speaker 1: receivers and Roman Wilson, Scottie Miller, Bin Scaronic. So I

1248
01:02:17,280 --> 01:02:20,120
Speaker 1: think that trend should stick. I don't think the Steelers

1249
01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:22,440
Speaker 1: want to get those other guys involved going forward. I

1250
01:02:22,480 --> 01:02:25,240
Speaker 1: think they want. They traded for John new for a reason,

1251
01:02:25,680 --> 01:02:27,520
Speaker 1: so I think they're just looking to get him as

1252
01:02:27,880 --> 01:02:30,560
Speaker 1: involved as much as possible, and that this week they're

1253
01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 1: going to play a much more zone heavy defense in

1254
01:02:32,840 --> 01:02:35,240
Speaker 1: the Vikings, so I think this is a great spot

1255
01:02:35,280 --> 01:02:39,280
Speaker 1: for him. He usually thrives against zone, so I like

1256
01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 1: him like a streamer option this week. But if anything

1257
01:02:42,480 --> 01:02:45,080
Speaker 1: were to happen to Firemouth, he would have I don't know,

1258
01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 1: potential top seven upside. So he's a you know, a

1259
01:02:48,400 --> 01:02:51,080
Speaker 1: tight end I think worth playing this week, and he

1260
01:02:51,160 --> 01:02:53,760
Speaker 1: has some long term value. Again, he was the tight

1261
01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:57,480
Speaker 1: end five overall last season, so we've seen his upside

1262
01:02:57,560 --> 01:02:59,720
Speaker 1: hit before. So I like John new Smith this week

1263
01:02:59,760 --> 01:03:02,200
Speaker 1: again to the Vikings as my tight end thirteen.

1264
01:03:02,480 --> 01:03:04,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it makes sense. You know, he should be

1265
01:03:04,480 --> 01:03:06,760
Speaker 2: the like his route rate should have never been kind

1266
01:03:06,760 --> 01:03:09,280
Speaker 2: of like, I know it was similar to to friar

1267
01:03:09,320 --> 01:03:12,080
Speaker 2: Mouth and uh probably got like all right, people were

1268
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:14,240
Speaker 2: they're just kind of splitting snaps, but really it's two

1269
01:03:14,240 --> 01:03:17,360
Speaker 2: completely different roles. So in you know, most weeks, teams

1270
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:20,800
Speaker 2: are gonna have to to use their slot receiver, you know,

1271
01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:23,440
Speaker 2: seventy percent of the time or so in sixty to

1272
01:03:23,440 --> 01:03:25,520
Speaker 2: seventy percent. So yeah, I think John News route should

1273
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:27,880
Speaker 2: always be kind of a more similar to so last

1274
01:03:27,880 --> 01:03:30,440
Speaker 2: week than not going forward. So I think he's a

1275
01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:34,400
Speaker 2: good uh good guy to stash now to get on

1276
01:03:34,400 --> 01:03:36,720
Speaker 2: your roster somebody it doesn't have him because I mean

1277
01:03:36,760 --> 01:03:39,040
Speaker 2: I think people were dropping him after week one or

1278
01:03:39,200 --> 01:03:40,800
Speaker 2: was it week one? Did he get Oh no, he's

1279
01:03:40,840 --> 01:03:41,440
Speaker 2: treed a touchdown?

1280
01:03:41,520 --> 01:03:45,560
Speaker 1: Right, Oh yeah, he's touchdown week one? Probably week two,

1281
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:49,680
Speaker 1: let me see he Yeah, yeah, he didn't do much

1282
01:03:49,800 --> 01:03:52,800
Speaker 1: week two. Oh four catches twenty seven yards that you

1283
01:03:52,800 --> 01:03:53,280
Speaker 1: could do one.

1284
01:03:53,200 --> 01:03:56,680
Speaker 2: Yeh, no, that was yeah, yeah, people don't people see

1285
01:03:56,720 --> 01:04:00,680
Speaker 2: the twenty seven and I got yeah. But I am

1286
01:04:00,840 --> 01:04:04,080
Speaker 2: high on so a couple guys in the same matchup

1287
01:04:04,120 --> 01:04:06,240
Speaker 2: that I think people are low on because other guys

1288
01:04:06,240 --> 01:04:10,600
Speaker 2: are coming back and they've been shaky. But at the

1289
01:04:10,640 --> 01:04:13,360
Speaker 2: tight end position, there's only so many guys you can

1290
01:04:13,440 --> 01:04:16,520
Speaker 2: really rely on to run routes or you know, be

1291
01:04:17,240 --> 01:04:19,760
Speaker 2: part of the offensive game plan, first read and whatnot.

1292
01:04:20,000 --> 01:04:23,240
Speaker 2: So I'm high on both Travis Kelcey and Mark Andrews Baby.

1293
01:04:24,040 --> 01:04:27,640
Speaker 2: Kelsey and Andrews are both upside my top ten, whereas

1294
01:04:27,680 --> 01:04:30,920
Speaker 2: they're eleven and fourteen in ECR. And I get it

1295
01:04:30,960 --> 01:04:33,960
Speaker 2: with Kelsey. You know, production has been treading down for

1296
01:04:34,040 --> 01:04:37,680
Speaker 2: years now, but he actually looks better physically this year,

1297
01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:40,400
Speaker 2: and he's just made mistakes. I think that if left

1298
01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:42,200
Speaker 2: plays out on the field, and I know he got

1299
01:04:42,200 --> 01:04:44,000
Speaker 2: to the spat reads. There's a lot of kind of

1300
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:46,960
Speaker 2: narrative based stuff with you know, Tay he got married

1301
01:04:46,960 --> 01:04:49,080
Speaker 2: at it, So like I think people are just the

1302
01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:50,720
Speaker 2: market's gonna be a little more down on him. You

1303
01:04:50,720 --> 01:04:53,520
Speaker 2: know that tends to be the case with certain successful people.

1304
01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:56,560
Speaker 2: You know, they start getting crazy hate for no reason.

1305
01:04:56,640 --> 01:04:58,920
Speaker 2: So Kelsey think he's good to go. And I talked

1306
01:04:58,960 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 2: about this with Andrews. I think it was on our

1307
01:05:01,120 --> 01:05:03,120
Speaker 2: touchdown power or something. But you know it's like, you know,

1308
01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:06,120
Speaker 2: I'm just gonna like Mark Andrews, we gotta just stay

1309
01:05:06,160 --> 01:05:07,880
Speaker 2: the course because he's still out there getting first reads

1310
01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:09,280
Speaker 2: in the red zone. And sure enough, he ended up

1311
01:05:09,320 --> 01:05:11,840
Speaker 2: with a two touchdown game against the Lions. And I

1312
01:05:11,840 --> 01:05:15,560
Speaker 2: think this Chiefs matchup, you're gonna see them play man

1313
01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:18,240
Speaker 2: coverage on the outside a lot of time. It's just

1314
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:20,520
Speaker 2: what they do they have, They have the cornerbacks capable

1315
01:05:20,520 --> 01:05:23,480
Speaker 2: of doing it, and that actually, unlike most tight ends,

1316
01:05:23,480 --> 01:05:27,320
Speaker 2: that actually is a positive for Mark Andrews because he

1317
01:05:27,400 --> 01:05:30,160
Speaker 2: can beat linebackers in safeties in man coverage, and so

1318
01:05:30,200 --> 01:05:32,880
Speaker 2: he tends to be one of their highest UH target

1319
01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:36,120
Speaker 2: per route guys him along with say against man coverage.

1320
01:05:36,160 --> 01:05:38,600
Speaker 2: So I think there should be another good spot for

1321
01:05:38,720 --> 01:05:43,560
Speaker 2: Andrews here against uh what could be an improved offense

1322
01:05:43,600 --> 01:05:46,000
Speaker 2: on both sides. So you know, Likely people are like,

1323
01:05:46,040 --> 01:05:48,000
Speaker 2: all right, you know he's gonna cut in, but again

1324
01:05:48,440 --> 01:05:51,040
Speaker 2: two different roles. Likely is kind of just like a

1325
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:53,440
Speaker 2: slot receiver. You're not gonna have him on the field

1326
01:05:54,000 --> 01:05:56,960
Speaker 2: for blocking purposes really ever, Whereas and Andrews is just

1327
01:05:57,040 --> 01:06:00,000
Speaker 2: kind of that number one tight end. So uh if

1328
01:06:00,120 --> 01:06:02,560
Speaker 2: even Likely's first game back, I think that switches. Maybe

1329
01:06:02,560 --> 01:06:04,439
Speaker 2: if like he continues to play it can did last year.

1330
01:06:04,560 --> 01:06:07,160
Speaker 2: Over the long term, it could, but for now I

1331
01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:09,480
Speaker 2: want to buy I want to continue buying low on

1332
01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:12,240
Speaker 2: Andrews if he's still going to be viewed as that

1333
01:06:12,280 --> 01:06:13,560
Speaker 2: in the market. But I think it's just early and

1334
01:06:13,600 --> 01:06:16,200
Speaker 2: they played late, so I think his ECR will will rise.

1335
01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:18,640
Speaker 2: Who are you lot?

1336
01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:20,240
Speaker 1: I hate to do it, but I'm low on Juan

1337
01:06:20,360 --> 01:06:24,840
Speaker 1: Johnson against the Bills. He's my tight end fourteen, and

1338
01:06:24,920 --> 01:06:26,240
Speaker 1: you know I was high on him heading into the

1339
01:06:26,280 --> 01:06:29,760
Speaker 1: season because they don't have anybody else on the depth chart.

1340
01:06:29,800 --> 01:06:33,240
Speaker 1: So last week had another solid six catch fifty one

1341
01:06:33,320 --> 01:06:37,360
Speaker 1: yard game. Continues to play nearly every snap and one

1342
01:06:37,440 --> 01:06:40,200
Speaker 1: of the top targets in this offense. And it also

1343
01:06:40,240 --> 01:06:42,880
Speaker 1: helped that they got down you know big early. Just

1344
01:06:42,920 --> 01:06:46,360
Speaker 1: an extreme pass heavy game script. This should be the

1345
01:06:46,400 --> 01:06:49,600
Speaker 1: same thing, you know, an extreme trailing pass heavy game

1346
01:06:49,600 --> 01:06:52,440
Speaker 1: strip where he's out there near the every snap. But

1347
01:06:52,480 --> 01:06:54,640
Speaker 1: the Bills have been you know, shut down defense for

1348
01:06:54,720 --> 01:06:57,840
Speaker 1: tight ends so far, allowing just twenty seven yards total.

1349
01:06:58,560 --> 01:07:01,480
Speaker 1: Granted they've been playing just you know, shitty tight end rooms,

1350
01:07:02,080 --> 01:07:05,440
Speaker 1: but still this could be one of the tougher matchups

1351
01:07:05,440 --> 01:07:08,200
Speaker 1: for him yet to get going. I still think he's

1352
01:07:08,240 --> 01:07:11,600
Speaker 1: a high floor option right now, but just just outside

1353
01:07:11,600 --> 01:07:13,520
Speaker 1: my tight end one tier. And we have to remember

1354
01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:16,400
Speaker 1: that he's playing all these snaps now because you know,

1355
01:07:16,480 --> 01:07:19,120
Speaker 1: Foster Row and Taysom Hill are both on the pup list.

1356
01:07:19,480 --> 01:07:22,080
Speaker 1: I don't know when or if either of those guys returned,

1357
01:07:22,080 --> 01:07:24,200
Speaker 1: but when they do, you know, his snapshare is going

1358
01:07:24,280 --> 01:07:26,800
Speaker 1: to go down and then he's probably going to be

1359
01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:29,560
Speaker 1: more of a tight end too. So similar to Pearcel,

1360
01:07:29,640 --> 01:07:32,400
Speaker 1: we just have to realize that he's in his best

1361
01:07:32,440 --> 01:07:36,760
Speaker 1: case ser ceiling phase right now. So yeah, he's still

1362
01:07:36,840 --> 01:07:39,320
Speaker 1: you know, on the fringe for me as a you know,

1363
01:07:39,400 --> 01:07:43,040
Speaker 1: streaming option as my tight end fourteen, but just a

1364
01:07:43,040 --> 01:07:45,520
Speaker 1: little bit lower on it than other weeks. I mean,

1365
01:07:45,760 --> 01:07:48,240
Speaker 1: last week he was my tight end sex like he's

1366
01:07:48,280 --> 01:07:50,840
Speaker 1: been pushing top five values. So I just have to

1367
01:07:50,880 --> 01:07:54,840
Speaker 1: note that he's almost ten slots lower this week, just

1368
01:07:54,880 --> 01:07:56,160
Speaker 1: based on the matchup.

1369
01:07:56,160 --> 01:07:58,800
Speaker 2: I think. So I think that's interesting. I don't I

1370
01:07:58,840 --> 01:08:00,920
Speaker 2: do have him lower than in last week too, but

1371
01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:03,600
Speaker 2: I don't think the Bills are really an imposing matchup.

1372
01:08:03,600 --> 01:08:06,120
Speaker 2: I think it was just because they played Andrews in

1373
01:08:06,120 --> 01:08:09,000
Speaker 2: week one, and so because their linebackers and safeties are

1374
01:08:09,040 --> 01:08:11,400
Speaker 2: so shaky, like that's the guy you're gonna kind of

1375
01:08:11,440 --> 01:08:13,760
Speaker 2: have to hone in on like that. That's that's not

1376
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:16,360
Speaker 2: gonna happen with Johnson, I don't think. And then in

1377
01:08:16,400 --> 01:08:19,040
Speaker 2: week two they played the Jets, who pretty much no

1378
01:08:19,320 --> 01:08:22,160
Speaker 2: tight end involvement was Rucker to Taylor and Ruckets still

1379
01:08:22,200 --> 01:08:25,080
Speaker 2: did catch a touchdown eight And then week three the Dolphins,

1380
01:08:25,080 --> 01:08:28,000
Speaker 2: which we know are gonna just go Cardio King with

1381
01:08:28,240 --> 01:08:32,599
Speaker 2: Tanner Connor and Julian Hill who had three targets combined

1382
01:08:32,640 --> 01:08:34,560
Speaker 2: for the whole game. So yeah, I think it's a

1383
01:08:34,560 --> 01:08:37,120
Speaker 2: little bit of a mirage. Like I do think Johnson

1384
01:08:37,160 --> 01:08:39,120
Speaker 2: will get a decent envioument this one. But yeah, he's

1385
01:08:39,120 --> 01:08:41,439
Speaker 2: not as he's not like a top eight guy like

1386
01:08:41,479 --> 01:08:42,920
Speaker 2: he was last week.

1387
01:08:44,360 --> 01:08:46,840
Speaker 1: Was fun and maybe he'll go back to that next week.

1388
01:08:46,880 --> 01:08:49,880
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's also not their fault that they played

1389
01:08:49,920 --> 01:08:52,280
Speaker 1: such shitty tight ends. But I just had a note that,

1390
01:08:53,040 --> 01:08:55,680
Speaker 1: But yeah, it's it's just he's not pushing top five

1391
01:08:55,760 --> 01:08:57,639
Speaker 1: value for me this week. Where do you have ranked though?

1392
01:08:57,720 --> 01:09:00,320
Speaker 1: You said, is he still in your top ten? Probably

1393
01:09:00,320 --> 01:09:02,720
Speaker 1: not because Kelsey and Andrews. Let me see, That's what

1394
01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:05,360
Speaker 1: I'm saying. Like I've had so many guys like Pits.

1395
01:09:05,840 --> 01:09:08,880
Speaker 1: I'm high on Pits now, Hawkinson's up there for me.

1396
01:09:10,320 --> 01:09:12,840
Speaker 1: I like Hunter Henry this week. There's just a lot

1397
01:09:12,840 --> 01:09:15,880
Speaker 1: of guys that I've I've moved up this week. Who

1398
01:09:15,880 --> 01:09:17,320
Speaker 1: do you have in the top tenants?

1399
01:09:17,640 --> 01:09:21,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, yeah, I do have I do have pits

1400
01:09:21,160 --> 01:09:22,600
Speaker 2: there too, and I kind of hate it. Yeah, but

1401
01:09:22,760 --> 01:09:25,639
Speaker 2: I was gonna say Johnson is my tight end, so

1402
01:09:25,720 --> 01:09:28,559
Speaker 2: he's my first. He's my best, like tight end if

1403
01:09:28,600 --> 01:09:31,559
Speaker 2: you're in a league where uh like some like you

1404
01:09:31,560 --> 01:09:33,400
Speaker 2: don't have one of those, Like he's the thirties, he's

1405
01:09:33,400 --> 01:09:37,160
Speaker 2: the tight end thirteen, So unlucky thirteen on Johnson and

1406
01:09:37,160 --> 01:09:40,720
Speaker 2: then Fanning and Strange round at the top fifteen. So

1407
01:09:40,760 --> 01:09:43,040
Speaker 2: it's it's close. But yeah, I think he's just yeah,

1408
01:09:43,080 --> 01:09:45,080
Speaker 2: he's just not Like last week, I was like, oh man,

1409
01:09:45,080 --> 01:09:46,320
Speaker 2: he could be a top five guy, but you know,

1410
01:09:46,520 --> 01:09:51,920
Speaker 2: poor went out for Cardio Kao who got cut and

1411
01:09:51,960 --> 01:09:54,439
Speaker 2: then Jack stole a touchdown on two.

1412
01:09:54,240 --> 01:09:59,320
Speaker 1: CA touchdown talk about he does his first does his

1413
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,519
Speaker 1: first CR. I thought I could have swore he scored

1414
01:10:02,560 --> 01:10:04,600
Speaker 1: at least once for I don't know the Eagles or

1415
01:10:04,640 --> 01:10:06,200
Speaker 1: something back in the day, but that was his first

1416
01:10:06,240 --> 01:10:08,559
Speaker 1: career touchdown. So congrats Jack.

1417
01:10:10,080 --> 01:10:12,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Eagles. The Eagles, I mean not I would

1418
01:10:12,240 --> 01:10:13,960
Speaker 2: say it's more Jamen Hurts, but they don't really look

1419
01:10:13,960 --> 01:10:16,280
Speaker 2: to their you know, if it's not like the first

1420
01:10:16,320 --> 01:10:18,960
Speaker 2: riad Jamon Hurts is just out out most of the time,

1421
01:10:19,040 --> 01:10:21,519
Speaker 2: most of the time. So yeah, that's not because kal

1422
01:10:21,560 --> 01:10:22,880
Speaker 2: Katara never does anything either.

1423
01:10:23,160 --> 01:10:26,439
Speaker 1: When yeah, I thought I could have swore, you know,

1424
01:10:26,520 --> 01:10:29,559
Speaker 1: six seven years ago, Jack's still score touchdown. But what

1425
01:10:29,640 --> 01:10:30,040
Speaker 1: do I know?

1426
01:10:30,320 --> 01:10:31,560
Speaker 2: For me, it's the guy on the opposit side of

1427
01:10:31,560 --> 01:10:33,080
Speaker 2: the game that I'm on in this one. It's h

1428
01:10:33,560 --> 01:10:37,160
Speaker 2: Dalton king Kaid. So he is looks like a top

1429
01:10:37,200 --> 01:10:40,080
Speaker 2: eight tight end in ECR. He's my tight end seventeen.

1430
01:10:40,360 --> 01:10:43,519
Speaker 2: I know he's gotten more touchdowns this year, which have

1431
01:10:43,640 --> 01:10:46,680
Speaker 2: been whacking in the past. I do think that's reasonable

1432
01:10:46,680 --> 01:10:48,800
Speaker 2: to continue to expect an up token touchdowns compared to

1433
01:10:48,840 --> 01:10:51,240
Speaker 2: his career rate because Josh I haven't even mentioned before

1434
01:10:51,280 --> 01:10:52,760
Speaker 2: the season coming in that he's missed him and so

1435
01:10:52,800 --> 01:10:54,320
Speaker 2: I think he's looking for more on the red zone.

1436
01:10:54,600 --> 01:10:59,080
Speaker 2: But the issue with Kincaid is routes run. He is

1437
01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:01,439
Speaker 2: still running a rout about sixty percent of their dropbacks,

1438
01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:04,200
Speaker 2: and to kind of understand why that. So we're just

1439
01:11:04,240 --> 01:11:07,080
Speaker 2: thinking about it from the perspective of, okay, sixty percent

1440
01:11:07,280 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 2: route rate, but you're also when you're on the field,

1441
01:11:10,080 --> 01:11:13,240
Speaker 2: you're also only expecting like a sixty percent path rate,

1442
01:11:13,840 --> 01:11:16,519
Speaker 2: and so like those two things mixed with the fact

1443
01:11:16,560 --> 01:11:20,080
Speaker 2: that the Bills are sixteen and a half point favorite,

1444
01:11:20,160 --> 01:11:23,160
Speaker 2: so you know, want like if they could lose a

1445
01:11:23,240 --> 01:11:26,320
Speaker 2: driver to or kin Kak lose a driver to just

1446
01:11:26,680 --> 01:11:29,240
Speaker 2: a passing period, if they really get out to that

1447
01:11:29,240 --> 01:11:31,200
Speaker 2: that weed that we expect, So then you're kind of

1448
01:11:31,240 --> 01:11:33,160
Speaker 2: marrying all these things and there's just such a low

1449
01:11:33,240 --> 01:11:36,360
Speaker 2: floor where if he's not the if he doesn't get

1450
01:11:36,400 --> 01:11:38,880
Speaker 2: the touchdown, you can end up with zero catches on

1451
01:11:38,920 --> 01:11:41,040
Speaker 2: the day, you know, with a gooseg and the in

1452
01:11:41,160 --> 01:11:43,679
Speaker 2: fantasy production on like you know, three targets or something

1453
01:11:43,720 --> 01:11:45,960
Speaker 2: like that. So yes, it looks good right now, but

1454
01:11:46,520 --> 01:11:49,120
Speaker 2: I don't think he's the guy that we could trust

1455
01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:51,960
Speaker 2: just yet, just based on that usage where you still

1456
01:11:52,000 --> 01:11:55,320
Speaker 2: have Knox playing half to snap, you still have pretty

1457
01:11:55,360 --> 01:11:57,519
Speaker 2: much everyone rotating in and out on Buffalo, and that's

1458
01:11:57,520 --> 01:12:01,719
Speaker 2: even without them getting uh you know, necessarily big weeds

1459
01:12:01,920 --> 01:12:05,360
Speaker 2: in every every single spot. So uh yeah, it could.

1460
01:12:05,439 --> 01:12:08,400
Speaker 2: I think you're actually hoping for like the Bills kind

1461
01:12:08,400 --> 01:12:11,040
Speaker 2: of sucked this week and just you know, kind of

1462
01:12:11,120 --> 01:12:13,280
Speaker 2: rusty and have to keep it going. But even then,

1463
01:12:13,600 --> 01:12:15,960
Speaker 2: like I said, it's and then it's because he's a

1464
01:12:16,000 --> 01:12:18,240
Speaker 2: tight end. He's still not a guaranteed or one hundred

1465
01:12:18,240 --> 01:12:21,280
Speaker 2: percent of the routes he's playing in. He's in there

1466
01:12:21,280 --> 01:12:23,479
Speaker 2: for past half like he might still walk one or

1467
01:12:23,520 --> 01:12:25,760
Speaker 2: two times as well, because you like James Cook so

1468
01:12:25,800 --> 01:12:27,519
Speaker 2: much you want to get him out there. So yeah,

1469
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:30,360
Speaker 2: it's just it's just a low floor situation. The ceiling

1470
01:12:30,360 --> 01:12:33,160
Speaker 2: is still high, but floor I think not not top

1471
01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:35,760
Speaker 2: ten for me over guys that run more routes like

1472
01:12:35,800 --> 01:12:38,880
Speaker 2: Kelsey and Andrews and Pitts. All right, close this out

1473
01:12:38,920 --> 01:12:40,120
Speaker 2: with the tight end prop.

1474
01:12:40,240 --> 01:12:42,240
Speaker 1: All right, these are two guys that have just been

1475
01:12:42,280 --> 01:12:44,120
Speaker 1: trending up for me in the past couple of weeks.

1476
01:12:44,640 --> 01:12:49,160
Speaker 1: It's I'm gonna do Jake Ferguson versus Tucker Craft receiving yards,

1477
01:12:50,080 --> 01:12:53,840
Speaker 1: and I'm gonna set Bergie as the two and a

1478
01:12:53,880 --> 01:12:56,200
Speaker 1: half yard favorite. Who are you taking?

1479
01:12:56,840 --> 01:12:58,559
Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure I'm gonna still take ferguy, But let

1480
01:12:58,600 --> 01:13:00,400
Speaker 2: me let me move that and they play, because I

1481
01:13:00,439 --> 01:13:02,360
Speaker 2: know the Craft has been it's been so explosive, but

1482
01:13:02,400 --> 01:13:03,880
Speaker 2: he could be able to bang up and we saw

1483
01:13:03,920 --> 01:13:07,920
Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick get a touchdown. John fits with a big, big,

1484
01:13:08,080 --> 01:13:09,360
Speaker 2: f big piece.

1485
01:13:09,720 --> 01:13:11,880
Speaker 1: I think we talked about it. I know nick bet

1486
01:13:12,200 --> 01:13:16,080
Speaker 1: Nick bet On musk Grave end craft, which I thought

1487
01:13:16,120 --> 01:13:19,599
Speaker 1: was sneaky because if like Craft is ruled out, then

1488
01:13:19,640 --> 01:13:22,000
Speaker 1: you get the Musgrave value kind of there. But we

1489
01:13:22,040 --> 01:13:25,639
Speaker 1: had mentioned Fitzpatrick is being a monster seven foot two

1490
01:13:25,760 --> 01:13:28,000
Speaker 1: eighty or whatever it is, and then sure enough he

1491
01:13:28,080 --> 01:13:32,040
Speaker 1: got the touchdown vultured it. But yeah, Cruff did see

1492
01:13:32,040 --> 01:13:35,360
Speaker 1: a down tick in snaps. Maybe that bounces back this week,

1493
01:13:35,400 --> 01:13:38,559
Speaker 1: but who knows. But who do you have because they're

1494
01:13:38,600 --> 01:13:42,479
Speaker 1: kind of like a floor ceiling kind of combo here

1495
01:13:42,560 --> 01:13:46,439
Speaker 1: because Fergie's is going to see massive volume right with

1496
01:13:46,600 --> 01:13:48,800
Speaker 1: CD out, so I'd say he has the higher floor.

1497
01:13:48,840 --> 01:13:52,080
Speaker 1: But are you taking the points here they are taking?

1498
01:13:52,120 --> 01:13:54,960
Speaker 2: I'm taking Fergie because if I have it more, I

1499
01:13:55,000 --> 01:13:58,760
Speaker 2: have it about a twice that in terms of the differential,

1500
01:13:58,840 --> 01:14:01,719
Speaker 2: only because I think there is some correlation there where

1501
01:14:02,680 --> 01:14:09,000
Speaker 2: the more explosive Craft is, the more Ferguson will just

1502
01:14:09,040 --> 01:14:12,160
Speaker 2: need volume because that means that, you know, the packers

1503
01:14:12,160 --> 01:14:15,760
Speaker 2: are probably doing well on offense and holding their you know,

1504
01:14:15,920 --> 01:14:18,680
Speaker 2: out to even bigger wed than maybe expected because tight

1505
01:14:18,760 --> 01:14:21,479
Speaker 2: ends aren't supposed to make like these, you know, fifty

1506
01:14:21,479 --> 01:14:24,559
Speaker 2: seven yard catches and whatnot or whatever. Whoever, it was

1507
01:14:25,520 --> 01:14:27,559
Speaker 2: on that last on that Thursday night game. So yeah,

1508
01:14:27,560 --> 01:14:30,000
Speaker 2: I have I have Craft around forty five yards and

1509
01:14:30,240 --> 01:14:32,479
Speaker 2: Ferguson you know, the mid in the mid fifties. So

1510
01:14:33,200 --> 01:14:36,320
Speaker 2: I still think that's a fair expectation given you know,

1511
01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:38,719
Speaker 2: number one, we don't know how healthy he is. Number

1512
01:14:38,720 --> 01:14:42,320
Speaker 2: two Dallas a lot better. I mean, yeah, green Bay

1513
01:14:42,320 --> 01:14:44,640
Speaker 2: a lot better than Dallas. So and ANA want us

1514
01:14:44,680 --> 01:14:45,800
Speaker 2: to run the ball. So it's another one of those

1515
01:14:45,840 --> 01:14:49,200
Speaker 2: high variant situations where it's like green Bay's path rate

1516
01:14:49,640 --> 01:14:53,679
Speaker 2: is so low that yeah, Craft goes from okay, eighty

1517
01:14:53,720 --> 01:14:56,439
Speaker 2: five percent routes run and an explosive, but if he

1518
01:14:56,479 --> 01:14:59,080
Speaker 2: goes to like seventy five percent and no explosive, it's

1519
01:14:59,080 --> 01:15:01,200
Speaker 2: like a whole end of package on a little more too.

1520
01:15:01,520 --> 01:15:04,120
Speaker 2: It's just a whole different type of floor. So I

1521
01:15:04,120 --> 01:15:06,519
Speaker 2: think I mentioned last week, or yeah, I think it

1522
01:15:06,560 --> 01:15:08,320
Speaker 2: was last week that yeah, Craft could still be like

1523
01:15:08,320 --> 01:15:09,760
Speaker 2: a lower floor guy, and we think that's why I

1524
01:15:09,800 --> 01:15:12,640
Speaker 2: hate two weeks of data. So yeah, I'm still I

1525
01:15:12,680 --> 01:15:14,840
Speaker 2: still kind of feel that way. Whereas Dallas, I don't

1526
01:15:14,880 --> 01:15:19,120
Speaker 2: really just see how they magically improve their defense, and

1527
01:15:19,200 --> 01:15:21,200
Speaker 2: I don't see how they magically make up for all

1528
01:15:21,240 --> 01:15:25,040
Speaker 2: these cd LAMB targets without ferguson CN and up tick anyway,

1529
01:15:25,080 --> 01:15:27,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, Fergus is just a lot better. I think

1530
01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:29,920
Speaker 2: floor ceiling this week, even though craft has been great

1531
01:15:30,200 --> 01:15:32,479
Speaker 2: most of the year, that's going to do it for us.

1532
01:15:32,520 --> 01:15:36,920
Speaker 2: Here on the week four NFL Player projected episode here

1533
01:15:36,960 --> 01:15:38,800
Speaker 2: on the Fantasy Flex B Show to subscribe to the

1534
01:15:38,800 --> 01:15:41,799
Speaker 2: pod so you don't miss an episode all season long.

1535
01:15:42,400 --> 01:15:45,760
Speaker 2: We have our waver episode already out and we will

1536
01:15:45,800 --> 01:15:48,479
Speaker 2: be back for the DFS show on Thursday. I also

1537
01:15:48,479 --> 01:15:51,160
Speaker 2: got the Touchdown show on the Action Network podcast on Friday.

1538
01:15:51,439 --> 01:15:53,680
Speaker 2: Shout out to Jill Gallant Kernan and I will be

1539
01:15:53,680 --> 01:15:56,600
Speaker 2: there with him for that. For all of our projections

1540
01:15:56,640 --> 01:16:00,679
Speaker 2: and more in season, we can use code flex twenty

1541
01:16:00,680 --> 01:16:03,320
Speaker 2: for twenty dollars off an NFL sub check out the

1542
01:16:03,320 --> 01:16:06,040
Speaker 2: Fantasy AABS app or go to fantasywabs dot com slash flex.

1543
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:09,519
Speaker 2: We'll be back with our DFS Poddmori to find Sean

1544
01:16:09,680 --> 01:16:12,280
Speaker 2: x at Theador's Garage maker at Chris Raybond. We were

1545
01:16:12,280 --> 01:16:14,400
Speaker 2: at those same handles on the free award winning Action

1546
01:16:14,479 --> 01:16:16,720
Speaker 2: Network AB and don't forget to check out Playbook on

1547
01:16:17,080 --> 01:16:26,880
Speaker 2: x as well, until next time, let's get this money.

1548
01:16:27,360 --> 01:16:31,880
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1549
01:16:31,880 --> 01:16:34,680
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1550
01:16:34,720 --> 01:16:37,839
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