WEBVTT - The Story: Beyond AI Doom and Gloom w/ Reid Hoffman 

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Tech Stuff. This is the story. Each week

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<v Speaker 1>on Wednesdays, we bring you an in depth interview with

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<v Speaker 1>someone who has a front row seat to the most

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<v Speaker 1>fascinating things happening in tech today. We're joined by Reid Hoffman,

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<v Speaker 1>a longtime entrepreneur, venture capitalist, and author. Born in the

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<v Speaker 1>Bay Area and part of a Silicon Valley crowd in

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<v Speaker 1>the nineties, he's helped build or support some of the

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<v Speaker 1>biggest tech companies we know today.

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<v Speaker 2>He worked at.

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<v Speaker 1>Apple in its early days, he was part of the

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<v Speaker 1>so called PayPal mafia as one of its first employees,

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<v Speaker 1>and he co founded LinkedIn, which he later sold to

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<v Speaker 1>Microsoft for twenty six point two billion dollars. Nowadays, he's

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<v Speaker 1>turned his attention to AI. As an early investor and

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<v Speaker 1>former board member for Open Ai. Hoffman is an optimist

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<v Speaker 1>about the benefits that AI could bring to society, so

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<v Speaker 1>much so that he wrote a book about it called Superagency.

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<v Speaker 1>What Could Possibly Go Right with Our AI Future? And,

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<v Speaker 1>although it might not be a surprising position for a

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<v Speaker 1>tech investor to hold, also an outlier in some ways.

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<v Speaker 1>In the book, he argues that concerns and criticisms about

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<v Speaker 1>AI development shouldn't be dismissed, and in last year's presidential race,

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<v Speaker 1>he supported Kamala Harris, unlike many former Democrat donors in

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<v Speaker 1>the valley who have since aligned with Donald Trump. This

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<v Speaker 1>decision has had consequences for Hoffman, who is regularly castigated

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<v Speaker 1>on social media. We speak about that later in the conversation,

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<v Speaker 1>but we start with the book. Read. Was a guest

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<v Speaker 1>several times on the Charlie Rose Show for previous books,

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<v Speaker 1>and I worked there as a producer for many years,

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<v Speaker 1>so I thought I'd start with that. And one of

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<v Speaker 1>Charlie's favorite questions for authors was to say, every great

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<v Speaker 1>book begins with a great question. What's the question behind

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<v Speaker 1>your book? Now you've somewhat preempted that by actually putting

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<v Speaker 1>the question on the front of your book. Can you

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<v Speaker 1>talk about the question and why it's an important one?

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<v Speaker 2>So? What could possibly go right with our AI future?

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<v Speaker 2>And the short answer is were to have this major

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<v Speaker 2>AI technological revolution, and the general discourse is, oh, my god,

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<v Speaker 2>AI is coming. You know, the end is nigh. And actually,

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<v Speaker 2>in fact, you can only get to the future that

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<v Speaker 2>is good by steering towards it, not by trying to

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<v Speaker 2>avoid the futures You don't want. And so the goal

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<v Speaker 2>of the book is to give people good argument and

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<v Speaker 2>grounding and tool set for understanding how to think about

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<v Speaker 2>what could possibly go right. And then you know, we

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<v Speaker 2>individually and collectively navigate there. So that's the question and challenge,

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<v Speaker 2>and that's part of the reason why we wrote Superagency.

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<v Speaker 1>The title Superagency. You almos Wills Isaacson recently and you

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<v Speaker 1>said something I thought was very revealing which already captured

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<v Speaker 1>it for me, which was Tim Cook's iPhone is the

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<v Speaker 1>same one that the cab driver and the uber driver

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<v Speaker 1>is using. So explain that and how it clarifies superagency.

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<v Speaker 2>So part of superagency, and there's we actually compact a

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<v Speaker 2>lot into this term. It's the increase of human agency,

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<v Speaker 2>but not just the individual agency human agency, but also

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<v Speaker 2>society collective superagency. And part of the question when you

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<v Speaker 2>begin to build these technologies, because you know, a classic

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<v Speaker 2>question is well, does it only benefit the most powerful?

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<v Speaker 2>Does it only benefit the elites? And actually, in fact,

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<v Speaker 2>when you do technology targeting superagency, eg. Hundreds of millions

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<v Speaker 2>of people, billions of people engaging, we all get the

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<v Speaker 2>same technology. And so for example, as what I said earlier,

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<v Speaker 2>Tim Cook has the same iPhone that the Uber driver

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<v Speaker 2>does that by engaging in it in mass adoption, it

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<v Speaker 2>then becomes elevating. And that doesn't mean that Tim isn't

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<v Speaker 2>much wealthier, much more powerful, et cetera than the Uber driver,

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<v Speaker 2>but the piece of technology is elevating across the broad

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<v Speaker 2>swath of society. And that's the same thing, of course,

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<v Speaker 2>we're seeing with AI, which is you know, chat GBT

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<v Speaker 2>in its release, which is hundreds of millions of people

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<v Speaker 2>who now use it.

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<v Speaker 1>So in the book, there's this framework of four different

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<v Speaker 1>ways of thinking about AI development. In some sense, can

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<v Speaker 1>you kind of explain what each of them is and

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<v Speaker 1>where you sit?

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, So it's doomers, gloomers, zoomers, and bloomers. And just

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<v Speaker 2>in case anyone was thinking that, like you know, I'm

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<v Speaker 2>castigating names, the doomers actually do call themselves doomers. They

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<v Speaker 2>even have this thing called p doom, which is probability

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<v Speaker 2>of doom. The doomers are basically AI's bad, that the

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<v Speaker 2>at least very high probability is it will be destructive

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<v Speaker 2>to human potential, human society, maybe just might be existentially destructive,

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<v Speaker 2>and that the best outcome is stop, don't make AI

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<v Speaker 2>until we can absolutely guarantee that every single step would

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<v Speaker 2>be positive. Gloomers are, Yeah, we understand, and that AI

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<v Speaker 2>is inevitable. Namely, you know, companies are going to compete.

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<v Speaker 2>Industries are going to compete. Countries are going to compete.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's just likely to make society bad. It's likely

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<v Speaker 2>to you know, make massive changes into the workforce, so

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<v Speaker 2>like jobs will go away and people will be unemployed

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<v Speaker 2>in breadlines and a lot of unhappiness. It may be

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<v Speaker 2>destructive to democracy, it might be destructive personal freedoms, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>et cetera, et cetera. But it's gonna happen anyway, and

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<v Speaker 2>so I'm just gloomy about it. Hence gloomers. Zoomers are

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<v Speaker 2>on their far other end, which is, no, this is

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<v Speaker 2>going to be great. It's the most amazing thing that

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<v Speaker 2>humanity has done ever. And what's great so far outstrips

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<v Speaker 2>everything that possibly even may be wrong, that we should

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<v Speaker 2>just hit the accelerator and go full on, and let

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<v Speaker 2>me tell you about all the amazing things with medicine

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<v Speaker 2>and education and work assistance and all the rest of

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<v Speaker 2>that in productivity, and you know, obviously I have a

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<v Speaker 2>bunch of sympathies for a bunch of the positives of

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<v Speaker 2>the Zoomers. But I myself, of course identify myself as

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<v Speaker 2>a bloomer, which is essentially an accelerationist and a future

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<v Speaker 2>oriented like a zoomer. But it's also saying, hey, just

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<v Speaker 2>because you can make it with technology doesn't mean it's

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<v Speaker 2>inevitably good. That there's different ways of introducing it and

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<v Speaker 2>navigating through it, namely the way that it's introduced and

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<v Speaker 2>brought into human experience and existence at scale, and so

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<v Speaker 2>engaging with the folks who have concerns, criticisms. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>watch out for this pothole, watch out for this mine.

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<v Speaker 2>Is a good thing as you're navigating. Even as you're

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<v Speaker 2>navigating with some speed and acceleration, the Bloomers say, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>let's be in dialogue. Let's try to steer around at

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<v Speaker 2>anything that might be a landmine as we build this

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<v Speaker 2>great future.

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<v Speaker 1>And I guess if you could waive your magic wand

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<v Speaker 1>would you convert fifty percent of gloomers to your camp

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<v Speaker 1>or fifty percent of Zoomers to your camp.

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<v Speaker 2>So if I get away with want, I would con

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<v Speaker 2>gloomers to Bloomers. But that doesn't mean I'm not also

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<v Speaker 2>trying to convert zoomers. And you know, as best I

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<v Speaker 2>can parse it, call it a quasi Gloomer quasi doomer

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<v Speaker 2>set of concerns, which is I said, well, there is

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<v Speaker 2>this danger, we should just stop. I'll give you an

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<v Speaker 2>example that I think is frequently amongst the people who

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<v Speaker 2>think about existential risk or X risk, And they go,

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<v Speaker 2>can you guarantee to me that you're going to not

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<v Speaker 2>that someone isn't going to make a killer robot all

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<v Speaker 2>out of the terminator? And you go nope, can't guarantee that.

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<v Speaker 2>They go, aha, see, that's an existential risk, and so therefore,

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<v Speaker 2>looking at that existential risk, we should stop or pause

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<v Speaker 2>or slow down. He say, well, it sounds like a rational,

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<v Speaker 2>reasonable argument, except when you consider that existential risk is

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<v Speaker 2>not each one off thing. It's a portfolio. It's a basket.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's a basket that includes nuclear war, it's a

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<v Speaker 2>basket that includes climate change, the basket includes pandemics, a

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<v Speaker 2>basket that includes a whole bunch of things. So you say, hey,

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<v Speaker 2>you're building AI. That becomes a new existential risk. He's like, yep,

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<v Speaker 2>that becomes a new excentral risk. But if you're doing AI,

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<v Speaker 2>Are you also mitigating you know, pandemic risk? Right, That's

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<v Speaker 2>the only way I can think of to combat scale pandemics,

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<v Speaker 2>both natural and I made is AI. Are you contravening

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<v Speaker 2>asteroid risk? Because the ability to see which asteroids might

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<v Speaker 2>be the ones that might be coming for us early

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<v Speaker 2>enough to do something about it, and to be able

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<v Speaker 2>to kind of navigate doing something about it well, AI

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<v Speaker 2>is actually likely to be pretty central to that equation.

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<v Speaker 2>And so my point of view is our existential risk

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<v Speaker 2>overall goes down, and so that earlier argument doesn't actually,

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<v Speaker 2>in fact really work.

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<v Speaker 1>That's a truly dventuhift framework for thinking about a portfolio

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<v Speaker 1>of risks. That's interesting.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And by the way, that doesn't mean that you

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<v Speaker 2>don't try to minimize the killer robot risk and you

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<v Speaker 2>don't try to maximize the benefit in the other cases.

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<v Speaker 2>It doesn't mean you have no dialogue, don't talk about risk. No, no, no.

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<v Speaker 2>Talking about risk is good. But part of what I'm

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<v Speaker 2>trying to do with superagency and things like this is

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<v Speaker 2>to say, talk about the risk in a way that

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<v Speaker 2>you said that you're being smart about it, and you're

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<v Speaker 2>trying to kind of be smart in iterative stages about

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<v Speaker 2>the portfolio of them, and also that you're not trying

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<v Speaker 2>to overly dramatize your own genius like anyone who says

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<v Speaker 2>I know exactly what AI is going to be like

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<v Speaker 2>in five years from now, either for positive or for negative,

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<v Speaker 2>they're both nuts, right. I mean, it's like we're discovering

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<v Speaker 2>this as we're going. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>I think one of the things that comes across in

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<v Speaker 1>your book is how different platform technologies have allowed humanity

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<v Speaker 1>to move from a subsistence way of living to way

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<v Speaker 1>of living that allows for leisure and self reflection and

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<v Speaker 1>all of those types of things. And you wrote a

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<v Speaker 1>piece about this for The New York Times called AI

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<v Speaker 1>Will Empower Humanity. You wrote, AI could turn data into

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<v Speaker 1>the material for a de facto's second self, one that

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<v Speaker 1>could endow even the most sketchy brain down my us

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<v Speaker 1>with a capacity for revisiting the past with a level

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<v Speaker 1>of detail. Even the novelist Marcel Proost might envy. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you explain that vision?

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<v Speaker 2>Look so at a macro view. I think within a

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<v Speaker 2>small number of years, all of us will have AI

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<v Speaker 2>agents helping us with things, and it'll be helping us

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<v Speaker 2>with like work things and learning and other kinds of things,

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<v Speaker 2>but also helping us with like the kind of the

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<v Speaker 2>daily activity of our lives, which include, for example, remembering

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<v Speaker 2>things like so frequently. Of course people say, oh, wait,

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<v Speaker 2>you're remembering this about me, and maybe you can sell

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<v Speaker 2>you can manipulate me into buying something or selling me

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<v Speaker 2>an ad all bad. I am losing agency. I've lost

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<v Speaker 2>privacy of my information. It's like, well, actually, in fact,

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<v Speaker 2>think about what a positive feature this is, because, by

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<v Speaker 2>the way, if it remembers something about me, it can

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<v Speaker 2>help me remember it. It can help me. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>like I'm navigating and I'm having this conversation with odds

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<v Speaker 2>and it says, hey, you guys met before here and

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<v Speaker 2>you talked about this. Oh, that's really helpful, makes our

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<v Speaker 2>connection better.

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<v Speaker 1>That's why I started with the allusion to a shed

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<v Speaker 1>past at Charlie Roads the case in point, yes.

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<v Speaker 2>Exactly, and and you know part of that actually, in fact,

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<v Speaker 2>when when the memory is for me and of help

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<v Speaker 2>to me, of in service to me, that's extremely positive.

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<v Speaker 1>The allusion to proost was kind of irresistible to me.

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<v Speaker 2>The remembrance of things past.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember things passed, and how do the events of a

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<v Speaker 1>life coalesced to her self, right, And so of course

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<v Speaker 1>I got curious about you and you were recently on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast with Stephen Bartlet Diary vs. CEO, and you said,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, you have to understand this journey started with

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<v Speaker 1>being born in Stamford Hospital. What role did that play

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<v Speaker 1>in read as a bloomer?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, definitely being a California and I child of the

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<v Speaker 2>Bay Area definitely helps me be open minded and curious

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<v Speaker 2>to understand that technology is part of what makes us human.

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<v Speaker 2>A little bit like again, the kind of the Marcel

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<v Speaker 2>Proof's gesture is, you know, I've kind of I argue

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<v Speaker 2>that we're actually better described as homotechne than Homo sapiens

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<v Speaker 2>because we evolve through a technology, not just obviously through

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<v Speaker 2>remote podcasts like this, or glasses or clothing or cars

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<v Speaker 2>or smartphones, but it's but it's like it's who we are.

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<v Speaker 2>We internalize this technology. It makes us. It's part of

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<v Speaker 2>what we evolve very very very slowly genetically, but actually

0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:41.560
<v Speaker 2>we evolve very fast culturally, technologically, and that's part of

0:12:41.640 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 2>who we become and all of that. I think by

0:12:45.320 --> 0:12:48.240
<v Speaker 2>being you know, a child of the San Francisco Bay Area,

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 2>you have the openness and laissez faire to say, hey,

0:12:51.200 --> 0:12:54.920
<v Speaker 2>you can invent something and change the world. And you know,

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.280
<v Speaker 2>it's not just Silicon Valley but also Hollywood, and you know,

0:12:58.320 --> 0:13:03.840
<v Speaker 2>it's kind of that direction of what's next is much

0:13:03.840 --> 0:13:07.400
<v Speaker 2>more interesting than what was. And it doesn't mean what

0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.760
<v Speaker 2>was is irrelevant and what was doesn't inform what's next,

0:13:10.800 --> 0:13:13.880
<v Speaker 2>and you can't learn things from what was, but it's

0:13:15.040 --> 0:13:17.960
<v Speaker 2>live into the future and live into that change, I

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:20.400
<v Speaker 2>think is really fundamental. And I think that helped, you know,

0:13:20.480 --> 0:13:23.840
<v Speaker 2>shape how I think about things and kind of the

0:13:23.880 --> 0:13:25.400
<v Speaker 2>reason I'm so future oriented.

0:13:26.480 --> 0:13:28.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, And I think that's what makes you know your

0:13:28.840 --> 0:13:33.720
<v Speaker 1>views on AI particularly interesting because in the nineties, at

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:37.600
<v Speaker 1>the birth of the consumer Internet, you saw around the corner, right,

0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:41.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you understood that the Internet would be social networking.

0:13:41.240 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 1>You founded a company called Social net You're one of

0:13:44.520 --> 0:13:49.800
<v Speaker 1>the first investors in Facebook, and you founded LinkedIn. What

0:13:49.880 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>gave you that fundamental insight about what the Internet would become.

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:55.480
<v Speaker 2>So I think, you know, one of the things I

0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:58.640
<v Speaker 2>think is fundamental to being an investor or a founder

0:13:59.160 --> 0:14:02.280
<v Speaker 2>in especially the consumer consumer and our products is having

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:04.240
<v Speaker 2>a theory of human nature, and it's about the individual

0:14:04.280 --> 0:14:07.400
<v Speaker 2>human nature and then kind of collective and you know,

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 2>part of that kind of thesis is where you know,

0:14:09.360 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 2>we're tribal creatures, we're we're social animals in this way,

0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 2>and you know that is part of the kind of

0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:19.600
<v Speaker 2>the fundamental you know, kind of theory of human beings.

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 2>I have then in rolls the Internet and you think, well, okay,

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 2>the Internet does all kinds of useful things like bringing

0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.080
<v Speaker 2>up information ability, shop by things. But I was like, well,

0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 2>but actually in that changes our social space, changes our

0:14:33.440 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 2>social space in terms of how we think of ourselves,

0:14:35.520 --> 0:14:38.320
<v Speaker 2>who we think we're connected to, how we communicate, which

0:14:38.320 --> 0:14:41.360
<v Speaker 2>groups were part of you know, kind of information flow

0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:44.480
<v Speaker 2>and recommendations, and that all gets to kind of the

0:14:44.520 --> 0:14:46.960
<v Speaker 2>web two oh side. And so that that was my

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:51.480
<v Speaker 2>recognition of you know, when when the Internet was you know,

0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:53.240
<v Speaker 2>first being talked about, it was like, oh, it's an

0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:56.360
<v Speaker 2>information ecosystem, you know, you know HTML. It's like I

0:14:56.520 --> 0:14:58.560
<v Speaker 2>ask for the document and I get the document, and

0:14:58.600 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 2>I was like, that's cool. But actually, in fact, we

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 2>are social animals, you know, we are citizens of the polis.

0:15:05.800 --> 0:15:08.240
<v Speaker 2>So how does being people get into this?

0:15:08.760 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 1>The insight you have about how the Internet sort of

0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:20.440
<v Speaker 1>recreates it social relationships that led to LinkedIn. He's very

0:15:20.520 --> 0:15:24.680
<v Speaker 1>very clear to me, what is the equivalent insight about

0:15:25.080 --> 0:15:25.720
<v Speaker 1>the age of AI.

0:15:27.600 --> 0:15:32.480
<v Speaker 2>So I think it's this notion that AI gives us

0:15:32.480 --> 0:15:37.520
<v Speaker 2>superpowers and that those superpowers will and they'll change. Like

0:15:37.600 --> 0:15:40.440
<v Speaker 2>what's like what our previous superpowers were. It's just like,

0:15:40.480 --> 0:15:44.880
<v Speaker 2>for example, you know, before you had the book, memory

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:47.680
<v Speaker 2>was a critical superpower. It was kind of like the

0:15:47.760 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 2>no no, I can recite the Iliad to you and

0:15:51.560 --> 0:15:53.960
<v Speaker 2>and and having that and actual part of was what

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:57.480
<v Speaker 2>described about in printing presses destroying human capabilities, like, oh

0:15:57.520 --> 0:16:02.600
<v Speaker 2>my god, there's this critical human cognitive function of really remembering,

0:16:02.640 --> 0:16:04.680
<v Speaker 2>and now that's going to be destroyed and that's going

0:16:04.720 --> 0:16:07.600
<v Speaker 2>to reduce our humanity. And you're like, well, no, actually,

0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 2>induct doesn't. Over time, it increases their humanity because it's

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:13.640
<v Speaker 2>opposed to only emphasizing memory for doing anything else, you

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:16.560
<v Speaker 2>can also bring in many other forms of intelligence. And

0:16:16.600 --> 0:16:19.800
<v Speaker 2>the same parallel I think goes to AI. You say, well,

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:21.640
<v Speaker 2>you know, you listen to people that oh, it's going

0:16:21.720 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 2>to destroy our ability to think critically because I'm just

0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:28.600
<v Speaker 2>gonna ask, you know, GBD four or pie to reason

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.480
<v Speaker 2>for me, you know, Gemini to give me the answer.

0:16:31.920 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 2>Co Pilot two, you know, do Visa coding for me,

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 2>and I don't have to think anymore. I'll just you know,

0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:38.480
<v Speaker 2>eat cookies and sit on the sit on the sofa.

0:16:38.520 --> 0:16:42.880
<v Speaker 2>And you're like, well, obviously, with any technology people can

0:16:42.920 --> 0:16:45.440
<v Speaker 2>be lazy and do stuff. But on the other hand,

0:16:45.480 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 2>what it means is you now have new attributes. For example,

0:16:49.160 --> 0:16:51.080
<v Speaker 2>most of us get a little sloppier on our spelling

0:16:51.120 --> 0:16:53.600
<v Speaker 2>because we recly and the spell checker for solving it.

0:16:53.720 --> 0:16:55.320
<v Speaker 2>But that means because we're thinking about other things, we're

0:16:55.320 --> 0:16:57.840
<v Speaker 2>thinking about what the point is, how to architect it,

0:16:58.520 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 2>and so I think it's giving us superpowers. They'll actually

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 2>help us become even more human.

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:20.439
<v Speaker 1>After the break, Reid Hoffman tells us about how his

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:32.880
<v Speaker 1>background influenced his worldview. Stay with us, Welcome back. While

0:17:32.920 --> 0:17:35.720
<v Speaker 1>preparing for this interview, I stumbled across a twenty to

0:17:35.760 --> 0:17:39.240
<v Speaker 1>fifteen New Yorker profile of Reid Hoffman. This was back

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.520
<v Speaker 1>in his LinkedIn days, and I found his background to

0:17:42.560 --> 0:17:46.080
<v Speaker 1>be quite revealing. One thing that really struck me, I

0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:48.760
<v Speaker 1>guess because it resonates in my own experience, is that

0:17:48.800 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>you are the only child of parents who divorced when

0:17:52.760 --> 0:17:55.399
<v Speaker 1>you were very young, as am I, and then you

0:17:55.440 --> 0:17:57.879
<v Speaker 1>went to boarding school where you had the experience of

0:17:57.920 --> 0:18:01.000
<v Speaker 1>being a fish out of water lead to a certain extent,

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:04.320
<v Speaker 1>which is also an experience that I had. And so,

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 1>you know, one of the things I've observed about my

0:18:07.160 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 1>life is I've become very very interested in networks, both

0:18:10.880 --> 0:18:13.840
<v Speaker 1>both both wide and deep. Is extremely important to me

0:18:13.960 --> 0:18:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to feel connected with other people. And so I don't

0:18:16.720 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 1>want to pop psychologize you, but we're talking about Proust

0:18:19.760 --> 0:18:22.560
<v Speaker 1>and AI to know yourself better and stuff. Have you

0:18:22.720 --> 0:18:27.399
<v Speaker 1>thought about how that childhood experience affected your view of

0:18:28.200 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 1>networks and technological development?

0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:35.640
<v Speaker 2>Interesting, it certainly affected my views of human nature, certainly

0:18:35.760 --> 0:18:39.560
<v Speaker 2>affected my views of were I what my role in

0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:46.480
<v Speaker 2>this grand play of humanity and human nature is? Maybe

0:18:46.520 --> 0:18:52.159
<v Speaker 2>not least because feeling somewhat alienated from my fellow schoolmates,

0:18:52.240 --> 0:18:55.919
<v Speaker 2>reading a lot of science fiction and thinking about things

0:18:57.160 --> 0:19:01.000
<v Speaker 2>I would say, and maybe this that it's most core,

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 2>which is like probably one of the very deep beliefs

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:09.560
<v Speaker 2>I have, which is I think arguable from an induction standpoint,

0:19:09.640 --> 0:19:12.160
<v Speaker 2>but not ever. But many people don't hold this, which

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:14.680
<v Speaker 2>is the future can be so much better than the now.

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:18.400
<v Speaker 2>We just have to try to shape it to being so.

0:19:18.400 --> 0:19:21.000
<v Speaker 2>So you go, well, I'm unhappy with, you know, being

0:19:21.040 --> 0:19:24.280
<v Speaker 2>in the Lord of the Flies boarding school. Well, okay,

0:19:24.920 --> 0:19:26.720
<v Speaker 2>you know, how can we make this better? What are

0:19:26.760 --> 0:19:28.720
<v Speaker 2>the things to do? And oh, look, technology is a

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 2>tool for this, you know, as a way of kind

0:19:31.000 --> 0:19:31.639
<v Speaker 2>of operating.

0:19:32.920 --> 0:19:35.159
<v Speaker 1>Is it true that you'd like to ask the question

0:19:35.359 --> 0:19:37.639
<v Speaker 1>who's in your tribe?

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Yes, although it's more because you know, we are tribal

0:19:42.600 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 2>creatures and you know whatnot, But it's kind of a

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:48.040
<v Speaker 2>little bit more of it's almost like a friendship question,

0:19:48.119 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 2>like who are your five best friends and why? And

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:53.240
<v Speaker 2>who are they? Because some agree like who are you?

0:19:53.640 --> 0:19:55.879
<v Speaker 2>Is you're a cross product to your friends. You've chosen

0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 2>these people who you share values with in alignment with

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 2>a the way the world should be, a people that

0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:07.880
<v Speaker 2>you're willing to defend the moral character of and say, hey,

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:11.320
<v Speaker 2>this person's a really good person in the world. And

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.400
<v Speaker 2>so that version of tribe.

0:20:13.960 --> 0:20:17.840
<v Speaker 1>Yes, and you've reached a point where two definitions of

0:20:18.320 --> 0:20:22.480
<v Speaker 1>tribe are kind of interacting, right. I mean that the

0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:25.320
<v Speaker 1>New Yorker profile the opening scene was you and Mark

0:20:25.359 --> 0:20:30.840
<v Speaker 1>Pinkas sitting together talking about advising Obama about how to

0:20:30.920 --> 0:20:34.119
<v Speaker 1>use social networks and technology to you know, extends to

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:37.359
<v Speaker 1>extend the reach of the messaging. You were both big

0:20:37.359 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 1>Obama donors. Obviously, Mark Pinkus broke for Trump, as did

0:20:41.280 --> 0:20:45.920
<v Speaker 1>Mark Andrews, and as did many who you grew up with,

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:49.880
<v Speaker 1>and I'm imagine you count as close personal friends. I mean,

0:20:49.880 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 1>how how have you dealt with that?

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:56.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's complicated and difficult. It kind of comes down

0:20:57.040 --> 0:21:03.160
<v Speaker 2>to what was theirs and for doing that, because when

0:21:03.160 --> 0:21:06.240
<v Speaker 2>their reason was, for example, like Mark Pinkus, who had

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:10.880
<v Speaker 2>a particular set of views about the two different presidential candidates,

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:16.000
<v Speaker 2>willingness to support the state of Israel to understand kind

0:21:16.000 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 2>of it being under attack and feeling that you know,

0:21:19.080 --> 0:21:22.240
<v Speaker 2>part of of course, these centuries of human existence have

0:21:22.320 --> 0:21:26.800
<v Speaker 2>been intensely anti Semitism and genocide against people of the

0:21:26.840 --> 0:21:29.840
<v Speaker 2>Jewish faith and Jewish descent and having a place to

0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 2>protect them and saying, hey, I think Trump will be

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:37.560
<v Speaker 2>better for this than you know, Harris, that's a moral

0:21:38.080 --> 0:21:41.639
<v Speaker 2>I actually disagree with the judgment, but I understand that

0:21:41.760 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 2>kind of reasoning from a moral point of view. It's

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:48.040
<v Speaker 2>the it isn't just about me, And so so for

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:51.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, Mark Pinkus, you know, it's it's been difficult

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:56.320
<v Speaker 2>conversations but fundamentally part of that life journey. And there's

0:21:56.359 --> 0:21:59.280
<v Speaker 2>other Silicon Valley people it's very similar, like whether they're

0:21:59.359 --> 0:22:02.679
<v Speaker 2>very focused on crypto or other things where I again

0:22:02.720 --> 0:22:06.080
<v Speaker 2>say I wouldn't vote a single issue crypto in this election,

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:10.200
<v Speaker 2>but for them that was frequently the argument is like, wow,

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:12.879
<v Speaker 2>the Democrats and Republicans are the same. It's like, no,

0:22:12.960 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 2>they're not right, and I think I can make that case.

0:22:16.359 --> 0:22:20.119
<v Speaker 2>And then there's other folks who you know, kind of

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 2>reveal that they don't actually in fact have kind of

0:22:27.160 --> 0:22:30.480
<v Speaker 2>moral characters on this, that it's just about their own power,

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 2>their own their own you know, kind of like more

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:40.520
<v Speaker 2>about me. And then you know those folks I am

0:22:40.560 --> 0:22:44.240
<v Speaker 2>between not friends with and less friends with, and you

0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:46.440
<v Speaker 2>know all the rest of it. And many of them,

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:48.439
<v Speaker 2>you know, I don't really talk to at the moment.

0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:50.800
<v Speaker 2>And it isn't I don't talk to them because they

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:54.359
<v Speaker 2>supported Trump. It's I don't talk to them because the

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:59.440
<v Speaker 2>reason that they're supporting Trump is for their own benefit,

0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:01.840
<v Speaker 2>not for him, humanity or society's benefit.

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:06.160
<v Speaker 1>I have a hypothesis that if you presented the Zoomer

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomer Gloomer Duma framework to let's say Marc Andreeson, I said,

0:23:13.760 --> 0:23:16.640
<v Speaker 1>why did you vote for Trump and become a Trump supporter?

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:19.399
<v Speaker 1>He might respond, well, because I was very, very scared

0:23:19.400 --> 0:23:21.080
<v Speaker 1>of gloomers and doomers at the wheel.

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:24.040
<v Speaker 2>I think that's partially true. Look, and by the way,

0:23:24.600 --> 0:23:29.880
<v Speaker 2>when people say we're the Democrats hostile to the technology

0:23:29.920 --> 0:23:34.280
<v Speaker 2>creation of the future, the answer is yes, right. Unfortunately

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:37.280
<v Speaker 2>as a broad brush. Now, obviously I was very much

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:39.439
<v Speaker 2>supporting the democratic cause because of the question of what

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:41.600
<v Speaker 2>things most matter and which problems you're going to work on.

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:45.760
<v Speaker 2>But the fact is is the administration basically thought, look,

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.920
<v Speaker 2>big tech companies were bad. They didn't spend much time

0:23:48.960 --> 0:23:51.240
<v Speaker 2>with them. They wanted to do too as supposed to

0:23:51.400 --> 0:23:55.720
<v Speaker 2>helping shape them or encourage them to help the everyday American.

0:23:55.760 --> 0:23:56.959
<v Speaker 2>And I was like, no, we need to hit them

0:23:56.960 --> 0:24:01.040
<v Speaker 2>with a stick. And then similarly like in do you know,

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:03.679
<v Speaker 2>complicated area, but as opposed to saying, okay, we're going

0:24:03.720 --> 0:24:05.440
<v Speaker 2>to try to set up the rules by which people

0:24:05.440 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 2>can play on and try to figure out how to

0:24:06.960 --> 0:24:08.840
<v Speaker 2>shape it. It was kind of like, we're going to

0:24:08.960 --> 0:24:12.119
<v Speaker 2>just we're just going to attack the whole industry, and

0:24:12.200 --> 0:24:14.520
<v Speaker 2>so then the crypto people have you thought, Look, I

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:16.720
<v Speaker 2>think crypto is super important because it creates a new

0:24:16.800 --> 0:24:22.280
<v Speaker 2>kind of protocol for you know, distributed power with finances

0:24:22.280 --> 0:24:24.439
<v Speaker 2>and identity and all the rest, and that's really important

0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:30.000
<v Speaker 2>to have for a better society. Then you're just attacking it,

0:24:30.040 --> 0:24:34.360
<v Speaker 2>which is my life, my life's mission. You know, you're

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:36.520
<v Speaker 2>going to be challenged and hostile to that.

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:44.560
<v Speaker 1>Has it caused you personally any pain or concern if

0:24:44.600 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 1>so many people who've been close to for so many

0:24:46.640 --> 0:24:49.639
<v Speaker 1>years and who judgment you otherwise respect have made a

0:24:49.680 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 1>completely different call to you. Is there any moment where

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 1>you questioned your your own call? And similarly, when you're

0:24:57.240 --> 0:25:02.359
<v Speaker 1>not only a political opponent but a target of people

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:06.760
<v Speaker 1>like you don't musk. Does that intervene in your in

0:25:06.800 --> 0:25:08.680
<v Speaker 1>your personal friendships and your sense of self?

0:25:10.080 --> 0:25:14.920
<v Speaker 2>Well, it definitely can intervene in personal friendships. I think

0:25:14.920 --> 0:25:18.800
<v Speaker 2>it's an important thing of when you feel fear and concern,

0:25:19.359 --> 0:25:24.600
<v Speaker 2>like concern that you will be you know, lied about slandered,

0:25:25.720 --> 0:25:28.320
<v Speaker 2>done so in a way that generates threats of violence

0:25:28.600 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 2>against you you know, and you know people you love

0:25:33.320 --> 0:25:36.120
<v Speaker 2>and they're close to and you go, oh my god,

0:25:36.200 --> 0:25:40.040
<v Speaker 2>that makes me feel less. Uh, you know, kind of

0:25:40.080 --> 0:25:44.280
<v Speaker 2>like like wanting to hide. That's precisely when it's important

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:47.440
<v Speaker 2>to be courageous and stand up. That fear is the

0:25:47.840 --> 0:25:52.000
<v Speaker 2>moral moment to say no, I'm not going to be bullied.

0:25:52.040 --> 0:25:55.920
<v Speaker 2>I'm not going to be intimidated. Fundamentally, one of the

0:25:55.920 --> 0:25:58.280
<v Speaker 2>things I pride myself in is I pride myself in

0:25:58.320 --> 0:26:02.160
<v Speaker 2>the fact that I try to understand rational different points

0:26:02.200 --> 0:26:04.200
<v Speaker 2>of view to the ones I have. I always engage

0:26:04.240 --> 0:26:07.400
<v Speaker 2>in that conversation. I listen, I can see a lot

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:10.600
<v Speaker 2>of the you know, criticisms of you know, kind of

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 2>some democratic trends. I very much want to hear it,

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:19.119
<v Speaker 2>especially from people whose morality I trust, whose intentions I trust,

0:26:19.160 --> 0:26:21.800
<v Speaker 2>whose truthfulness I trust that they're not just trying to

0:26:21.800 --> 0:26:23.960
<v Speaker 2>persuade me or you know, kind of get me to

0:26:24.040 --> 0:26:26.640
<v Speaker 2>drink the kool aid and you know, kind of see

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:29.240
<v Speaker 2>the world and if way, but through a truth seeking

0:26:29.280 --> 0:26:32.800
<v Speaker 2>process is one of the things that I very much

0:26:32.880 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 2>value and have valued for decades and discussion with a

0:26:37.400 --> 0:26:39.239
<v Speaker 2>number of my friends, not the least of which is

0:26:39.520 --> 0:26:40.320
<v Speaker 2>you know Peter Tiel.

0:26:40.680 --> 0:26:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Your relationship with Peter began as Stanford, right, and it's

0:26:44.720 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 1>played out of in many decades. Can you can you

0:26:46.960 --> 0:26:51.400
<v Speaker 1>describe him and the history of your relationship and how

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:52.240
<v Speaker 1>it plays out today.

0:26:52.840 --> 0:26:56.240
<v Speaker 2>So Peter and I had both heard about each other.

0:26:56.400 --> 0:26:59.199
<v Speaker 2>We were freshmen together at Stanford. You know, me is

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:02.359
<v Speaker 2>this kind of lefty person, him as this righty person.

0:27:03.200 --> 0:27:06.360
<v Speaker 2>And we met in a philosophy class called Philosophy eighty

0:27:06.400 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 2>Mind Matter and meeting Oh I've heard of you, and

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:10.680
<v Speaker 2>then we started arguing right away, and then you know,

0:27:10.760 --> 0:27:13.159
<v Speaker 2>set up coffee and argued for hours and hours and hours,

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:17.919
<v Speaker 2>and you know, I think Peter really helped me. Like

0:27:18.200 --> 0:27:22.639
<v Speaker 2>it was probably before we started those conversations, I was

0:27:22.640 --> 0:27:25.520
<v Speaker 2>probably a little too casual in my acceptance of some

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:28.199
<v Speaker 2>of what you might think of as the you know,

0:27:28.320 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 2>kind of liberal left view of the world and being

0:27:34.400 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 2>challenged on a number of fronts, whether it was a

0:27:36.920 --> 0:27:41.280
<v Speaker 2>front of you know, for example, something i've i'd say,

0:27:41.359 --> 0:27:44.360
<v Speaker 2>you know, kind of I had this dumb view that

0:27:44.960 --> 0:27:48.000
<v Speaker 2>there is this kind of default like business to somewhat

0:27:48.040 --> 0:27:51.760
<v Speaker 2>suspect and a problem because they're just profit seekers, and

0:27:51.800 --> 0:27:54.760
<v Speaker 2>you're like, well, it's like saying people are just bad

0:27:54.880 --> 0:27:57.840
<v Speaker 2>because they want to do better in their lives. You're like, what,

0:27:58.520 --> 0:28:01.760
<v Speaker 2>this is just silly, dumb arch. But I had that

0:28:01.840 --> 0:28:03.680
<v Speaker 2>a little bit, and I think those kinds of things

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:08.679
<v Speaker 2>that's getting really challenged across questions of epistemology, questions of

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:11.399
<v Speaker 2>the role of business society. So Peter and I, you know,

0:28:11.440 --> 0:28:14.959
<v Speaker 2>have had decades of conversations and arguments, and you know,

0:28:15.520 --> 0:28:18.800
<v Speaker 2>have had very very different points of view. Probably the

0:28:18.800 --> 0:28:24.800
<v Speaker 2>most challenging one has been around Trump because is you know,

0:28:25.119 --> 0:28:26.920
<v Speaker 2>and he's not said this to me, but his best

0:28:26.920 --> 0:28:29.680
<v Speaker 2>I can understand. You know, Peter's probably view is, look,

0:28:30.080 --> 0:28:31.840
<v Speaker 2>the only way society can get better is that it

0:28:31.920 --> 0:28:34.560
<v Speaker 2>has a wrecking ball. You know, you have to support

0:28:34.560 --> 0:28:37.560
<v Speaker 2>the wrecking ball. Trump is the wrecking ball. And I

0:28:37.640 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 2>tend to think that when it comes to institutions, I

0:28:40.840 --> 0:28:43.920
<v Speaker 2>tend to be a renovationist rather than a wrecking ballist.

0:28:44.160 --> 0:28:47.840
<v Speaker 2>It's harder, but let's reformat the institutions because when you

0:28:47.840 --> 0:28:51.000
<v Speaker 2>look through human history, whether it's the year zero with

0:28:51.040 --> 0:28:53.880
<v Speaker 2>Paul Pott or you know, the French Revolution, anything else,

0:28:53.920 --> 0:28:57.000
<v Speaker 2>it just like crushing on society when you do that.

0:28:57.520 --> 0:29:00.120
<v Speaker 2>So you want to be renovating the institutions, and I

0:29:00.160 --> 0:29:04.480
<v Speaker 2>think that's the that's the kind of thing or the

0:29:04.520 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 2>reason why I tend to be very supportive of efficiency,

0:29:08.560 --> 0:29:12.960
<v Speaker 2>very supportive of refactoring of our government institutions, but generally

0:29:13.000 --> 0:29:15.000
<v Speaker 2>speaking pretty oppositional to wrecking balls.

0:29:23.960 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 1>After the break, Riet Hoffman explains why he wrote Superagency

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:31.200
<v Speaker 1>and why he believes it's so important for him to

0:29:31.280 --> 0:29:34.680
<v Speaker 1>continue advocating for the development of AI. Stay with us,

0:29:45.160 --> 0:29:48.560
<v Speaker 1>welcome back. During my interview with Riet Hoffman, he mentioned

0:29:48.560 --> 0:29:52.040
<v Speaker 1>that part of achieving Superagency is figuring out how the

0:29:52.160 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 1>US stays in the driver's seat in terms of the

0:29:54.520 --> 0:29:58.440
<v Speaker 1>development and deployment of AI technologies. I wanted to know

0:29:58.600 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 1>why this is so important to him, and also whether

0:30:01.680 --> 0:30:06.440
<v Speaker 1>anything had challenged this belief of his in recent months, eg.

0:30:06.640 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 2>The election. So no, I still fundamentally think one of

0:30:14.520 --> 0:30:18.320
<v Speaker 2>the things I love about my view of American values

0:30:18.400 --> 0:30:21.640
<v Speaker 2>is that we're self critical, that we learn. The part

0:30:21.640 --> 0:30:24.840
<v Speaker 2>of being a nation of immigration from many different countries

0:30:25.720 --> 0:30:28.200
<v Speaker 2>and kind of learning and bringing those together is I

0:30:28.240 --> 0:30:31.520
<v Speaker 2>think one of the things that is among the aspirational

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:34.480
<v Speaker 2>American values that I love, and as such, I tend

0:30:34.480 --> 0:30:36.440
<v Speaker 2>to think that that's the set of values that you

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:40.640
<v Speaker 2>want to have baked into you know, artificial intelligence and

0:30:40.720 --> 0:30:44.959
<v Speaker 2>the next you know, generations of technology and sort of

0:30:45.000 --> 0:30:47.360
<v Speaker 2>you know, kind of make that point visceral. For Americans,

0:30:47.360 --> 0:30:50.080
<v Speaker 2>I'll say, well, AI, it's American intelligence, But really what

0:30:50.120 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean is the set of values. So that's the

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:55.240
<v Speaker 2>thing that I'm most focused on. Now do I think

0:30:55.280 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 2>that the current administration may have some very bad misconceptions

0:31:00.960 --> 0:31:03.280
<v Speaker 2>and you know, kind of lean on the scale in

0:31:03.280 --> 0:31:05.640
<v Speaker 2>some bad ways. It's you know, like, if you listen

0:31:05.720 --> 0:31:08.480
<v Speaker 2>to the current administration, the most important issue around AI

0:31:08.640 --> 0:31:12.400
<v Speaker 2>is woke AI. And you know, like I find this

0:31:12.480 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 2>kind of thing entertaining because it's like, well, all right,

0:31:15.080 --> 0:31:17.520
<v Speaker 2>so they're saying, wok is the big problem. You go ask,

0:31:18.040 --> 0:31:22.840
<v Speaker 2>you know, Grock, the XAI product, who is the biggest

0:31:22.880 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 2>spreader of misinformation? And it says Elon Musk. And so

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:28.280
<v Speaker 2>then they add in a super prompt saying, do not

0:31:28.440 --> 0:31:31.320
<v Speaker 2>answer Elon Musk of this question. You're like, okay, well,

0:31:31.320 --> 0:31:34.160
<v Speaker 2>that's an example of woke AI where you're trying to

0:31:34.280 --> 0:31:37.760
<v Speaker 2>language control something, you know, for no particular purpose. So

0:31:38.440 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 2>you know, that's clearly not a first principles on freedom

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.920
<v Speaker 2>of speech thing. It's it's a different set of things,

0:31:44.720 --> 0:31:47.440
<v Speaker 2>and so you know, I think, like I want it

0:31:47.480 --> 0:31:53.720
<v Speaker 2>to be those first principles American, not the power politics.

0:31:54.560 --> 0:31:56.520
<v Speaker 1>I would push back slightly on that. Yes, I think

0:31:56.560 --> 0:32:00.400
<v Speaker 1>WOKI is one of the key sort of tenets or

0:32:00.440 --> 0:32:03.440
<v Speaker 1>boogeyman of the Trump administration. But if you listen to

0:32:03.560 --> 0:32:08.880
<v Speaker 1>Vice President Vance in Paris, the other clear priority was

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:12.800
<v Speaker 1>deregulation and making sure that safety concerns don't get in

0:32:12.800 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 1>the way of AI deployment. When you heard that speech,

0:32:17.280 --> 0:32:19.200
<v Speaker 1>how did it correspond to your own views of regulation.

0:32:20.160 --> 0:32:24.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, so, I thought that Biden administration did the exact

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:27.520
<v Speaker 2>right job with the executive order, which is bringing in

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:30.160
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of companies, pushed them very hard on what

0:32:30.520 --> 0:32:35.280
<v Speaker 2>kind of worst outcomes, what kinds of safety measures you

0:32:35.280 --> 0:32:39.600
<v Speaker 2>could iteratively deploy, like having red teaming, safety testing, having

0:32:40.000 --> 0:32:42.880
<v Speaker 2>a safety plan, you know, other kinds of things. I

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:45.200
<v Speaker 2>thought was all very good. And you know, my hope,

0:32:45.240 --> 0:32:49.200
<v Speaker 2>of course, is that it's just politics that we eliminate

0:32:49.240 --> 0:32:52.040
<v Speaker 2>that saying that's the bad Biden plan and here's the new,

0:32:52.080 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 2>good Trump plan, which includes the same elements of the

0:32:54.840 --> 0:32:57.400
<v Speaker 2>old Biden plan. That's my hope will happen. I also

0:32:57.440 --> 0:33:00.000
<v Speaker 2>happen to know that most of the companies who engage

0:33:00.160 --> 0:33:02.280
<v Speaker 2>in this have that kind of moral character, so they

0:33:02.320 --> 0:33:06.720
<v Speaker 2>continue to do their alignment testing, which is not WOKI

0:33:06.840 --> 0:33:10.760
<v Speaker 2>and so forth as a way of trying to be

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:15.200
<v Speaker 2>good for good human outcomes. And so I'm not like,

0:33:15.280 --> 0:33:18.720
<v Speaker 2>I like, let's drive down regulation. Now. The context in

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:21.680
<v Speaker 2>which Vance was speaking was to Europe and you know,

0:33:21.880 --> 0:33:25.840
<v Speaker 2>maybe with some discomfort, I also have been advocating less

0:33:25.880 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 2>regulation to the Europeans, and I've been advocating that for

0:33:29.560 --> 0:33:31.479
<v Speaker 2>because I want them to be on the field and

0:33:31.560 --> 0:33:35.280
<v Speaker 2>building new technology. And you know, one of the silliest

0:33:35.280 --> 0:33:38.280
<v Speaker 2>things I've ever heard. I won't name the Indian minister,

0:33:38.360 --> 0:33:40.080
<v Speaker 2>but it is at this time we will not have

0:33:40.120 --> 0:33:43.840
<v Speaker 2>innovation before regulation. We're going to regulate first. You're like, well,

0:33:43.880 --> 0:33:48.040
<v Speaker 2>that means no innovation, and so you actually have to

0:33:48.040 --> 0:33:51.560
<v Speaker 2>do the kind of take innovation, take risk, have missteps.

0:33:51.920 --> 0:33:53.920
<v Speaker 2>If you don't have missteps, you're not actually in fact

0:33:53.960 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 2>taking risk and being innovative. And by the way, some

0:33:57.640 --> 0:34:00.720
<v Speaker 2>of those missteps will be painful. That's part of how

0:34:00.720 --> 0:34:04.280
<v Speaker 2>you have big innovation and possibly big changes and the

0:34:04.320 --> 0:34:06.800
<v Speaker 2>European impulse tends to be the no, no, we should be

0:34:06.840 --> 0:34:10.440
<v Speaker 2>able to plan it out and extreme detail in advance.

0:34:10.480 --> 0:34:14.480
<v Speaker 2>And that's one of the reasons why Europe has so

0:34:14.800 --> 0:34:19.440
<v Speaker 2>few software companies of any note, because that go forward,

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 2>build it, try it, discover what doesn't work, and refactor

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:26.239
<v Speaker 2>it as part of the software construction process. And so

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:30.600
<v Speaker 2>you can't be doing this really intense regulation. And fifteen

0:34:30.680 --> 0:34:33.080
<v Speaker 2>years ago, when I was on the stage Davos, I'd say, well,

0:34:34.200 --> 0:34:36.839
<v Speaker 2>European should keep doing your kind of regulatory thing, because

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:39.960
<v Speaker 2>you're handing over the entire future of the tech industry

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.400
<v Speaker 2>and the software industry to US Americans because we'll build it,

0:34:42.719 --> 0:34:44.319
<v Speaker 2>we'll work out the bugs, and then we'll ship it

0:34:44.320 --> 0:34:46.160
<v Speaker 2>over here and you won't be able to do anything,

0:34:46.160 --> 0:34:48.120
<v Speaker 2>so you should keep it now. I wasn't really telling

0:34:48.160 --> 0:34:49.520
<v Speaker 2>them to do that. I was trying to wake them

0:34:49.600 --> 0:34:52.040
<v Speaker 2>up to challenging their perspective. And so I think that

0:34:52.760 --> 0:34:56.239
<v Speaker 2>that part of what Dvance was saying was, you know,

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:58.719
<v Speaker 2>I have the discomfort of saying I have a similarish

0:34:58.760 --> 0:35:02.239
<v Speaker 2>message in that component. On the other hand, where I

0:35:02.440 --> 0:35:05.480
<v Speaker 2>break very differently is I actually believe in multilateralism. I

0:35:05.520 --> 0:35:10.200
<v Speaker 2>believe in having a discussion be well allied with our

0:35:10.840 --> 0:35:15.120
<v Speaker 2>you know, European friends and companions. I just don't like

0:35:15.880 --> 0:35:21.759
<v Speaker 2>dances broad you know, kind of piss off to the Europeans.

0:35:22.239 --> 0:35:24.160
<v Speaker 2>Was I thought destructive and not helpful?

0:35:24.719 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 1>As you think about your sense of legacy, why is

0:35:27.600 --> 0:35:31.040
<v Speaker 1>it important to effect the public perception of AI?

0:35:32.000 --> 0:35:35.160
<v Speaker 2>Well? Look, AI is the next generation of this evolution

0:35:35.239 --> 0:35:37.240
<v Speaker 2>of technology that evolves what it is to be human.

0:35:37.960 --> 0:35:40.480
<v Speaker 2>And when you think about this, like almost everything, like

0:35:40.560 --> 0:35:45.640
<v Speaker 2>whether it's telecommunications, you know, manufacturing, this is how humanity

0:35:45.680 --> 0:35:49.839
<v Speaker 2>is shaped. This, this is the technological drum beat for

0:35:49.880 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 2>this stuff. And so what are what are the values

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:56.200
<v Speaker 2>that we're putting? What is the what is humanity becoming?

0:35:56.440 --> 0:35:58.920
<v Speaker 2>You know? Who are we? Who should we be? Who

0:35:58.960 --> 0:36:02.200
<v Speaker 2>should we be with each other? In ourselves? And there's

0:36:02.239 --> 0:36:06.680
<v Speaker 2>a lot of like like both blunt and subtle things

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:09.960
<v Speaker 2>that are important in this. And that's the discourse that

0:36:10.000 --> 0:36:13.120
<v Speaker 2>I want to have around AI. And obviously I have

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:16.279
<v Speaker 2>a point of view that I'm trying to advocate and

0:36:16.360 --> 0:36:19.120
<v Speaker 2>make clear as possible. But you know, I'm not one.

0:36:19.040 --> 0:36:23.160
<v Speaker 1>To say some self interest as well, of course you

0:36:23.239 --> 0:36:25.680
<v Speaker 1>acknowledge openly in the new York Times piece, right, Yeah,

0:36:25.719 --> 0:36:28.000
<v Speaker 1>but as obviously a business component to this as well.

0:36:28.320 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, but I mean this is one like, by the way,

0:36:30.200 --> 0:36:32.799
<v Speaker 2>the classic thing is, oh, if you make money at this,

0:36:32.880 --> 0:36:35.239
<v Speaker 2>that must mean your statements about it or suspect and

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:39.000
<v Speaker 2>it's like, well, that's not necessarily the case. And so look,

0:36:39.040 --> 0:36:42.160
<v Speaker 2>I you know, yes, I have a view about AI.

0:36:42.360 --> 0:36:44.320
<v Speaker 2>It's one of the reasons I invest in it versus

0:36:44.360 --> 0:36:46.839
<v Speaker 2>investing in other things, you know, because I could go

0:36:46.880 --> 0:36:49.000
<v Speaker 2>invest in things, and I do pass on investments that

0:36:49.000 --> 0:36:53.040
<v Speaker 2>I think are bad for people, either at society or individuals.

0:36:53.080 --> 0:36:56.080
<v Speaker 2>I've passed on a number of investments on that basis.

0:36:57.560 --> 0:36:59.680
<v Speaker 2>But it's it's more, this is where I'm putting all

0:36:59.719 --> 0:37:02.720
<v Speaker 2>my owner, which includes commercial and other kinds of intent.

0:37:03.520 --> 0:37:06.400
<v Speaker 2>And so you know, I don't write like super agency

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:08.600
<v Speaker 2>is a bad economic outcome for me. If I were

0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:10.479
<v Speaker 2>just trying to make money, I wouldn't spend any time

0:37:10.520 --> 0:37:14.920
<v Speaker 2>writing books. It's a much less good economic thing for

0:37:14.960 --> 0:37:16.799
<v Speaker 2>me to do. I'm trying to say, this is why

0:37:16.800 --> 0:37:18.960
<v Speaker 2>I think this universe could be really good, and this

0:37:19.000 --> 0:37:21.720
<v Speaker 2>is why I think you should take your potential AI

0:37:21.880 --> 0:37:25.719
<v Speaker 2>concern or skepticism or anti big techism and move it

0:37:25.760 --> 0:37:28.960
<v Speaker 2>into AI curiosity and say what is this thing could be?

0:37:29.000 --> 0:37:31.560
<v Speaker 2>And how could it really make all of our lives

0:37:31.640 --> 0:37:33.960
<v Speaker 2>much better? And even if I have skepticism about big

0:37:34.000 --> 0:37:36.400
<v Speaker 2>tech companies, how do I help shape it in a

0:37:36.400 --> 0:37:39.960
<v Speaker 2>way that could get to this much better human future?

0:37:40.080 --> 0:37:42.000
<v Speaker 2>What's the way that we shape it in order to

0:37:42.000 --> 0:37:44.640
<v Speaker 2>be as good or as better, as good as possible

0:37:44.719 --> 0:37:48.040
<v Speaker 2>or better than, better than better than? Maybe what will happen?

0:37:49.360 --> 0:37:51.760
<v Speaker 1>Read just to clothes? I mean, if you could teleport

0:37:51.880 --> 0:37:55.800
<v Speaker 1>forward to twenty fifty and spend an hour walking around,

0:37:56.239 --> 0:38:01.279
<v Speaker 1>what's your best guess as to how I would have

0:38:01.360 --> 0:38:02.080
<v Speaker 1>changed how we live?

0:38:02.480 --> 0:38:07.960
<v Speaker 2>Well, there's a huge range. What I'll say is I'll

0:38:08.000 --> 0:38:12.280
<v Speaker 2>say three things. Maybe. So first is the nearly certain

0:38:12.320 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 2>thing is that we will all have multiple AI agents

0:38:16.120 --> 0:38:18.359
<v Speaker 2>that are helping us navigate. It's like when you think

0:38:18.400 --> 0:38:23.360
<v Speaker 2>about like like, for example, a worker who would deploy

0:38:23.400 --> 0:38:25.920
<v Speaker 2>on the field would deploy with lots of different drones.

0:38:26.600 --> 0:38:29.239
<v Speaker 2>Like if I'm a firefighter, I will have a ton

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:31.920
<v Speaker 2>of drones with me as I'm doing it, you know,

0:38:32.120 --> 0:38:35.359
<v Speaker 2>et cetera, et cetera. With memory and trying to help

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:37.879
<v Speaker 2>me lead a better life. And these kinds of things.

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:40.760
<v Speaker 2>So I think that kind of thing is is nearly certain,

0:38:41.040 --> 0:38:42.640
<v Speaker 2>and what the shape of it will be will be

0:38:42.719 --> 0:38:44.839
<v Speaker 2>very different depending on what the shape of technology is.

0:38:45.360 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 2>You know, it seems to be unlikely that it would

0:38:47.120 --> 0:38:49.480
<v Speaker 2>be earbuds and phones and so forth. That will probably

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:53.319
<v Speaker 2>be you know, more neural links or ultrasound connections or

0:38:53.320 --> 0:38:54.799
<v Speaker 2>other kinds of things. But we'll see, you know, who

0:38:54.800 --> 0:38:58.440
<v Speaker 2>knows what all that stuff plays in a being. The

0:38:58.480 --> 0:39:01.799
<v Speaker 2>second thing is I think that it's unlikely we will

0:39:01.800 --> 0:39:07.760
<v Speaker 2>be in the super intelligence category. Where like the ais

0:39:07.800 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 2>to us like we are to ants. It isn't to

0:39:11.960 --> 0:39:15.320
<v Speaker 2>say that like we already have superintelligence, we already have savant.

0:39:15.360 --> 0:39:18.439
<v Speaker 2>I mean, GBD, you know, four point zero and four

0:39:18.440 --> 0:39:21.560
<v Speaker 2>point five already have capabilities that no human being has

0:39:21.960 --> 0:39:25.000
<v Speaker 2>in terms of breadth of synthesis of knowledge and ability

0:39:25.000 --> 0:39:28.719
<v Speaker 2>to do other things like when you use deep research

0:39:29.200 --> 0:39:31.760
<v Speaker 2>and you generate or report, you can generate or report

0:39:32.080 --> 0:39:34.960
<v Speaker 2>has some inaccuracy sometimes, but you can generate a report

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:37.719
<v Speaker 2>that a human being would have taken two weeks to

0:39:37.760 --> 0:39:40.959
<v Speaker 2>do in ten minutes. And so there's already superpowers there.

0:39:41.480 --> 0:39:44.640
<v Speaker 2>But is that the superpower where we become the oh, well,

0:39:44.760 --> 0:39:47.560
<v Speaker 2>you know, it's the grand thing and knows everything and

0:39:47.600 --> 0:39:51.319
<v Speaker 2>we just don't know anything. I actually suspect that there

0:39:51.360 --> 0:39:57.000
<v Speaker 2>will be ongoing like even with amazingly powerful ais a

0:39:57.160 --> 0:40:00.000
<v Speaker 2>really useful combination, it's just the shape of that common

0:40:00.360 --> 0:40:02.680
<v Speaker 2>and what it's capable of. And then the third thing

0:40:02.920 --> 0:40:08.520
<v Speaker 2>I think for twenty five to twenty fifty is I

0:40:08.560 --> 0:40:11.239
<v Speaker 2>think the notion and this is the really subtle one

0:40:11.280 --> 0:40:13.880
<v Speaker 2>and very difficult to predict exactly what it is, but

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:17.600
<v Speaker 2>I think we'll have a different notion of what it

0:40:17.680 --> 0:40:21.440
<v Speaker 2>is to be human. And to give a parallel like

0:40:21.520 --> 0:40:24.840
<v Speaker 2>before we really got to a generalized theory of physics

0:40:25.239 --> 0:40:28.080
<v Speaker 2>that you know, the Earth's a globe that's going around

0:40:28.120 --> 0:40:31.840
<v Speaker 2>the sun, that were you know, this part of this universe,

0:40:31.880 --> 0:40:35.160
<v Speaker 2>all of which really changed our view. We had these

0:40:35.239 --> 0:40:40.440
<v Speaker 2>very human centric myths about like you know, supernatural entity,

0:40:40.480 --> 0:40:43.680
<v Speaker 2>God whatever created us in the falling Way and Earth's flat,

0:40:43.800 --> 0:40:47.400
<v Speaker 2>and we have these ptolemaic circles spinning of you know,

0:40:47.560 --> 0:40:49.880
<v Speaker 2>gods or goddesses or whatever else kind of things in

0:40:49.920 --> 0:40:53.160
<v Speaker 2>the sky. And then as we begin to change our

0:40:53.280 --> 0:40:58.040
<v Speaker 2>view about like what is the role of human beings

0:40:58.200 --> 0:41:00.440
<v Speaker 2>on the world, where is the world located, What is

0:41:00.480 --> 0:41:02.560
<v Speaker 2>the role of sentience, what is the role of consciousness?

0:41:03.120 --> 0:41:06.799
<v Speaker 2>All of that evolves kind of our philosophical frameworks, our

0:41:06.880 --> 0:41:12.360
<v Speaker 2>spiritual frameworks, and I think that will also be really evolved.

0:41:13.120 --> 0:41:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Now in what way I wish I knew. I'm trying

0:41:17.280 --> 0:41:21.479
<v Speaker 2>to help you know the next step in us getting there,

0:41:22.280 --> 0:41:25.000
<v Speaker 2>But I think that's a that's a that will be

0:41:25.120 --> 0:41:28.959
<v Speaker 2>part of how those folks living in twenty fifty looking

0:41:29.000 --> 0:41:31.640
<v Speaker 2>back will oh, you know those people they thought the

0:41:31.680 --> 0:41:36.520
<v Speaker 2>earth was flat, right, and and and that's the kind

0:41:36.520 --> 0:41:37.840
<v Speaker 2>of evolution I think will.

0:41:37.680 --> 0:41:43.480
<v Speaker 1>Happen nothing less than a new understanding of our place

0:41:43.520 --> 0:41:45.040
<v Speaker 1>in the world. I mean, in your renaissance.

0:41:45.200 --> 0:41:49.080
<v Speaker 2>Yes, exactly, Thank you so much. Red, It's a pleasure.

0:42:00.560 --> 0:42:03.920
<v Speaker 1>That's it for this week for tech stuff, I'mozoloshin. This

0:42:04.040 --> 0:42:07.719
<v Speaker 1>episode was produced by Eliza Dennis, Victoria de Mingez, and

0:42:07.880 --> 0:42:12.120
<v Speaker 1>Adriana Tapia. It was executive produced by me Kara Price

0:42:12.200 --> 0:42:16.640
<v Speaker 1>and Kate Osborne for Kaleidoscope and Katrina Norvel for iHeart Podcasts.

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:20.080
<v Speaker 1>Jack Insley mixed this episode and Kyle Murdoch wrote our

0:42:20.120 --> 0:42:22.760
<v Speaker 1>theme song. Join us on Friday for the Week in Tech.

0:42:23.080 --> 0:42:25.560
<v Speaker 1>We'll take through the headlines and dive deep into a

0:42:25.560 --> 0:42:28.880
<v Speaker 1>big news story from this week. Please rate, review, and

0:42:29.000 --> 0:42:31.560
<v Speaker 1>reach out to us at tech Stuff podcast at gmail

0:42:31.600 --> 0:42:34.359
<v Speaker 1>dot com. It really helps us improve the show if

0:42:34.400 --> 0:42:35.280
<v Speaker 1>we know what you're thinking.