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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Podca All right, here we go, ready in the corner,

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Speaker 2: ten seconds remaining, so it just goes throw up to

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Speaker 2: the basket, under the basket.

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Speaker 3: It's the true for the wind, God, miracles, the water,

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Speaker 3: that one from a parking lot.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast on Mike

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Speaker 4: Caliberry's joined by my Action Network co host Duck. This

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Speaker 4: is the March Madness recap from the first weekend, going

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Speaker 4: from the first four all the way through all the

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Speaker 4: action we saw in the round of thirty two. Also

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Speaker 4: going to get you ready for the upcoming look aheads

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Speaker 4: in the sweet sixteen. But Duck, let's get started right

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Speaker 4: away and talk about your favorite moment, because listen, there

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Speaker 4: was some great enthusiasm.

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Speaker 5: Early in this tournament.

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Speaker 4: You know, the two first four games on Tuesday, it

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Speaker 4: was like, Oh, all of a sudden, are the underdogs alive?

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Speaker 4: You know, Dayton produced a lot of it. Then we

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Speaker 4: saw High Point upset Wisconsin. It's like maybe the whole

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Speaker 4: world is turning on its access back to Cinderella having

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Speaker 4: a shot and then bam, they just got slammed in

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Speaker 4: that mousetrap and they had no chance whatsoever in some

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Speaker 4: of these.

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Speaker 5: Games, including painfully so.

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Speaker 4: So many of our underdog darlings just melting away in

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Speaker 4: the last five to six minutes of games where it's

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Speaker 4: like they're there, it's nip and Tucket's two possessions and

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Speaker 4: then they lose by eighteen points. So it was brutal

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Speaker 4: for them. But this tournament certainly has pop and sizzle

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Speaker 4: thanks to the Iowahawkeyes. But I don't want to put

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Speaker 4: words in your mouth. What has been your most memorable

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Speaker 4: part or favorite part of the tournament so far?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean you bring up a good point.

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Speaker 6: I think we all love seeing the Cinderella stories and

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Speaker 6: we love seeing the one bid leagues have teams that

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Speaker 6: advance farther into the tournament than what we saw this year.

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Speaker 6: We didn't have a lot of drama, you know. I

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Speaker 6: thought it was real fun to see Sienna push Dup

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Speaker 6: to the brink. The MAC is one of my favorite

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Speaker 6: conferences to follow, and it was the year as well,

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Speaker 6: and so for those guys to have a real serious

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Speaker 6: threat being outmanned, and I mean, Duke was such a

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Speaker 6: superior team in talent, but Sienna pushed Duke to the

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Speaker 6: brink was just so incredible to see, specifically because the

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Speaker 6: hyperbole around this tournament was really about the four number

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Speaker 6: one seeds and how they had separated themselves from the pack.

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Speaker 6: So I thought it was really cool to see Sienna

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Speaker 6: play their best basketball.

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Speaker 5: But then you hit it right in the head.

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Speaker 6: I mean, earlier today, Iowa defeating Florida in Tampa just

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Speaker 6: something you rarely ever see with a team that's at

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Speaker 6: a talent disadvantage, being up by twelve, having surrendered that

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Speaker 6: lead at one point, Iowa trailed late in the second

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Speaker 6: half by multiple possessions. They were missing foul shots. Bennett

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Speaker 6: Start's was zero for nine from three. It was just

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Speaker 6: a situation where you never see the underdog pull that

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Speaker 6: situation out. And then the exquisite execution on the out

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Speaker 6: of bounds play to end the game where Bennett Sturtz

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Speaker 6: passes the ball to Vulgaris and for him to get

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Speaker 6: that shot off and hit it in the.

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Speaker 5: Corner was just incredible.

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Speaker 6: I was really I was really stunned to see Iowa

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Speaker 6: win that game after how it played out the last

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Speaker 6: ten minutes of the second half.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, full Garris, I'm so proud of the guy, you know,

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Speaker 4: coming from Bobby mow He was ice cold from three

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Speaker 4: late in the season, yet he had no fear on

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Speaker 4: corking that three. You know, the perfect catch, collect your feet,

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Speaker 4: get him behind the line, square up, knock it down,

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Speaker 4: like one incredible moment. And we talked about it, you know,

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Speaker 4: kind of poking holes in Florida late in the season.

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Speaker 4: I think as a collective here at BBOC, we just

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Speaker 4: figured they got a pretty easy you know draw to

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Speaker 4: the second weekend at least maybe we'll start talking upset then.

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Speaker 5: But the big you know pushback that I had was their.

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Speaker 4: Guard play and Clayton Junior would have made a shot

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Speaker 4: last year. He seemingly pulled a rabbit out of his

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Speaker 4: hat every single time they needed him to. And then

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Speaker 4: you saw it on that final possession. It's like you

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Speaker 4: didn't even get a shot off on the final basis

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Speaker 4: against Iowa, Like that was kind of a wild outcoming.

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Speaker 4: You brought it up with the foul shooting too. Benn

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Speaker 4: starts over nine from three, sixty four percent from the line,

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Speaker 4: But critically, they had more offensive rebounds than the Gators,

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Speaker 4: which to me may be the most shocking stat of

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Speaker 4: you know, the tournament thus far.

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Speaker 2: No pressure on entry.

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Speaker 5: They've changed the inbounder.

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Speaker 2: It's content to lead driving to the cup underneath pay

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Speaker 2: the line can't.

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Speaker 3: Out a shot, and Iowa wins.

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Speaker 2: A Sunshine State stunner. Isle up bounces Florida in Tampa

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Speaker 2: seventy three, seventy two, the writing champion gaiters are gone.

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Speaker 2: The one is done is a south and a nine

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Speaker 2: is one to sweet sixteen.

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Speaker 4: In terms of my favorite moment, it might have been

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Speaker 4: High Points upset at Wisconsin. It was everything we needed

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Speaker 4: and more in an upset. You had the absurd shot

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Speaker 4: making from Johnston late in that game, just pulling up

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Speaker 4: from the logo just like to say it was a

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Speaker 4: catch and shoot is an understatement, like as soon as

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Speaker 4: he touched his hands it was a hot potato.

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Speaker 5: It was out and just.

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Speaker 4: Making shots from thirty five forty feet. You get the

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Speaker 4: late comeback, you get the low major using the three

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Speaker 4: ball to create an advantage for themselves. They fired up

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Speaker 4: forty triples in that game. Elite point guard play for

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Speaker 4: bron Martin and then we got Flynn Clayman after the

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Speaker 4: game basically go into bat for all the little guys

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Speaker 4: in the world where it's like you actually don't know

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Speaker 4: how good we are because we're basically getting iced out

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Speaker 4: from scheduling and not just US Miami of Ohio.

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Speaker 5: It's like, you don't know until.

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Speaker 4: We get on the court, and you really should because

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Speaker 4: as a sport, we're missing out.

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Speaker 5: I couldn't agree more so.

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Speaker 4: I'm glad that he got that, and also I think

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Speaker 4: they validated that it wasn't just an absolute flash in

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Speaker 4: the pan fluke against Wisconsin.

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Speaker 5: They played Arkansas well.

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Speaker 4: I mean, Arkansas was playing as good as any team

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Speaker 4: in the entire country, and they hung with him for

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Speaker 4: the most part for forty minutes. So I was really

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Speaker 4: happy to ride with High Point and to watch them.

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Speaker 4: And the only downside is that I had high Point

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Speaker 4: money line and over one sixty five and a half,

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Speaker 4: I got the worst number on the total. And Cameron

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Speaker 4: Fletcher gets fouled there at the end of the game,

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Speaker 4: and this is the front end, and I lose by

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Speaker 4: the hook.

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Speaker 5: But so the cookie crumbles.

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Speaker 4: You know, basketball is just it's a mine field of

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Speaker 4: bad beats and foul shooting and three point variants and

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Speaker 4: you just kind of have to take your lumps from

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Speaker 4: time to time and just kind of suck it up,

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Speaker 4: all right, let's transition now to I mean, we already

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Speaker 4: talked about the upsets and kind of the lack thereof

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Speaker 4: to a certain degree.

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Speaker 5: Let's talk about Texas real quick.

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Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on You know, clearly they have talent.

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Speaker 4: Sean Miller is a great coach, he has plenty of

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Speaker 4: tournament experience.

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Speaker 5: We've talked a lot about it a lot, you.

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Speaker 4: Know, throughout the course of the year, always circling that

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Speaker 4: eleven game play and using it as a springboard.

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Speaker 5: Texas used it had all.

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Speaker 4: The momentum in the world, but then also they were

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Speaker 4: just the beneficiaries of it was a BYU team not

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Speaker 4: at one hundred percent health.

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Speaker 5: Debans goes for thirty five.

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Speaker 4: His teammates totally let them down, shot three for fifteen

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Speaker 4: from long range. And then the Zags their offense was

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Speaker 4: kind of just not up to snuff. It certainly did

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Speaker 4: not look good enough against Kinnesaw. They flirted with being,

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Speaker 4: you know, upset out right there. They clearly needed Huff

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Speaker 4: shorter back and they shot twenty five percent from three.

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Speaker 4: I kind of look ahead on the horizon they're drawing Purdue.

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Speaker 4: Purdue has a lineup where four guys could be you

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Speaker 4: on a given night, Like Kloff was so hot in

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Speaker 4: the Big ten tournament.

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Speaker 5: Now it's Lawyer's turn. He's knocking down.

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Speaker 4: I think he shot like eight for twelve from three

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Speaker 4: across those two games. We know we get with Braden

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Speaker 4: Smith and TKR.

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Speaker 5: It looks like, you know, any rumors about injuries.

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Speaker 4: Or anything, you know, kind of impacting his play, He's

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Speaker 4: powering through that. So I wouldn't mind laying anything below

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Speaker 4: ten with the boiler Makers there.

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Speaker 5: But any other thoughts on this Texas team what they've

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Speaker 5: been able to accomplish. I think, you know, Cinderella in

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Speaker 5: seed only clearly.

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Speaker 4: You know, they have the GDP of a small European country,

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Speaker 4: the UT Athletic department, so like they are well stocked.

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Speaker 4: This team just kind of didn't gel until this run.

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Speaker 4: But it's still kind of exciting to watch them play.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I tend to agree with that. I think Texas

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Speaker 6: was fortuitous in their draw in the first four. I

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Speaker 6: think NC State clearly had some holes. It was a

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Speaker 6: very poor defensive team, and it was a team in

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Speaker 6: that game that just didn't make shots. Then they line

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Speaker 6: up against BYU, who was just not fully equipped. They

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Speaker 6: had guys that were out in Devansa just couldn't matriculate

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Speaker 6: the heroism that was needed in order to pull BYU

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Speaker 6: at it. I think BYU was a fascinating story because

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Speaker 6: it's just it's a story of a team that wasn't

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Speaker 6: playing its best basketball late in the season. They had

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Speaker 6: peaked early on in the season, they had made some noise,

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Speaker 6: but just a shell of what they showed early on.

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Speaker 6: And really the Zags as well, not being fully equipped

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Speaker 6: and even their Braden Smith was out against Kennesas State

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Speaker 6: early in Assante went out and it was just hard

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Speaker 6: for Gonzaga to get into an offensive rhythm. And I

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Speaker 6: think that's what Texas did really well in all three games.

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Speaker 6: They played up tempo NC State, uptempo BYU, up tempo Gonzaga,

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Speaker 6: and they ran a little bit at in spurts in

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Speaker 6: all three of those games. But Texas really controlled the

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Speaker 6: pace and played through the post on offense, and I

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Speaker 6: thought that the varying pace really helped them. It's going

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Speaker 6: to be a different story here against Perdue. I'm sad

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Speaker 6: to say, because I think Purdue is just so well

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Speaker 6: executed offensively and it's going to be hard to guard

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Speaker 6: all of their players. Fletcher Lawyer's been on fire from deep,

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Speaker 6: Kopp and Ren has been kind of just above average,

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Speaker 6: and they've still played very, very well. Oscar Clough is

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Speaker 6: just so unique in his game on the block, and

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Speaker 6: it's going to be hard for Texas, I think, to

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Speaker 6: match up well with everything that Purdue can do. And

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Speaker 6: so I don't want to call Texas to Cinderella because

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Speaker 6: as you would allude to, they're not in seed only.

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Speaker 6: But I think the run comes to an end here

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Speaker 6: and Purdue moves on it, and I want to give

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Speaker 6: this one a full look, but I think laying seven

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Speaker 6: and a half or so with Purdue is probably where

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Speaker 6: I'll end up being.

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Speaker 4: Let's talk bet regret real quick. I didn't have many

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Speaker 4: winners here in the first two rounds, but one that

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Speaker 4: I was on was that Illinois game against Penn, and

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Speaker 4: I should have just unloaded the clip. I mean, I

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Speaker 4: also hit it from a live number perspective when it

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Speaker 4: went from twenty five pre tip to twenty, but it

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Speaker 4: was a shooting drill. It was incredible. That's as good

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Speaker 4: as that offense has looked really in months. And Penn

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Speaker 4: obviously being down Roberts as well, and finally had a

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Speaker 4: game plan where they just stopped Powers from getting the ball,

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Speaker 4: So I should have just gone.

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Speaker 5: Even bigger there. I think they ended up winning by

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Speaker 5: forty plus they get to triple digits.

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Speaker 4: That was really my only regret. There was a lot

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Speaker 4: of very narrow losses. I mentioned the high point parlay.

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Speaker 4: I also jumped in live on Duke, and I believe

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Speaker 4: I laid six and a half and they ended up

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Speaker 4: winning by six. It just it had the feel particularly

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Speaker 4: and like listen, the narrative to me was still strong.

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Speaker 4: If I got the opportunity to make the same bet

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Speaker 4: again tomorrow, I would Sienna was playing five guys once

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Speaker 4: the secret was out there, and they were not going

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Speaker 4: to the bench, and they're clearly gonna wilt late, and

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Speaker 4: some misfoul shots and some misbunnies at the rim for

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Speaker 4: Duke really was the difference between you know, getting to

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Speaker 4: the window and not. So I don't necessarily have a

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Speaker 4: regret in that spot, but certainly I just wish i'd

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Speaker 4: bet the farm on Illinois. You also wanted to mention

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Speaker 4: that Duke game there was an opportunity for you to

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Speaker 4: jump in.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean I was pretty well prepared to pluck

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Speaker 6: Duke at some point their money line against Siena was

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Speaker 6: down to minus two point fifteen, and that would have

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Speaker 6: been just such a spot to unload the clip on

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Speaker 6: them for a single game betting perspective, but also for

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Speaker 6: any potential pending futures that would have been outlaying in

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Speaker 6: that bracket. If Duke had gone down, that would have

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Speaker 6: opened up the bracket significantly, and I just didn't hit

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Speaker 6: it hard enough. I also have regret betting into and

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Speaker 6: leaning into teams that had really formulated a mid season identity.

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Speaker 6: Virginia had a terrible tournament and just looked completely void

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Speaker 6: of the identity that they had built their season on.

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Speaker 6: The defense just couldn't stop anybody. They were not really

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Speaker 6: protecting the rim like they had throughout the second half

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Speaker 6: of the ACC schedule. I mean, Sam Lewis and Leek

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Speaker 6: Thomas just completely disappeared when the Wahoos needed these guys

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Speaker 6: the most, And so I really have a regret of

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Speaker 6: betting into that. What I should have bet more heavily

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Speaker 6: was Idaho and Houston under, and wish I would have

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Speaker 6: bet that under up. As the game progressed that first

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Speaker 6: half started so quickly. There was scoring bursts in the

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Speaker 6: first half and the live number got into the one fifties,

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Speaker 6: and I wish I would have bet that one all

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Speaker 6: the way to the top on the under, just knowing

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Speaker 6: that the slowdown was coming and it was assured. Kelvin

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Speaker 6: Sampson has been a great under coach when his team

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Speaker 6: is a decided favorite and the total is lined under

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Speaker 6: one forty. And sure enough in the second half we

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Speaker 6: saw I think fifty two or fifty eight combined points

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Speaker 6: and all those numbers would have cashed. So it was

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Speaker 6: a missed opportunity there to not hit that one in

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Speaker 6: game as the total continued to climb and climb as

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Speaker 6: Idaho started out a little hotter than expected, and it

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Speaker 6: just tapered off badly towards the end.

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Speaker 4: If you don't have Action Pro, you probably have some

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Speaker 4: serious FOMO over missing out on it for the opening weekend,

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Speaker 4: But don't worry. Get Action Pro today and you can

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00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,559
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284
00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,319
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Speaker 4: real time alerts when I sports like Duck myself, all

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Speaker 4: the guys on the team, Nick Giffin Sean Kerner. When

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Speaker 4: these guys log bets, they are market movers, so it's

289
00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,200
Speaker 4: not just about getting the best bets, it's about getting

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Speaker 4: the best bets at the best prices. Plus you'll get

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Speaker 4: player prop projections from our analytics team for the rest

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Speaker 4: to the Sweet sixteen. But first a word from Stucky

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Speaker 4: All right, duck back to the games that have already

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Speaker 4: transpired before we get into our look aheads for the

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Speaker 4: Sweet sixteen. I'm just gonna throw this out there quickly.

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Speaker 4: We talked about the Iowa outcome already.

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Speaker 5: The North Carolina melts.

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Speaker 4: Oh lord, I mean, at least we were the beneficiaries

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Speaker 4: as someone you know, often pulling for these mid majors

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Speaker 4: that VCU. You know, the door was open and they

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Speaker 4: walked right through it. That was I mean, I would

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Speaker 4: like to toss to you in.

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Speaker 5: Just a moment.

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Speaker 4: But the other one I want to bring up is

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Speaker 4: Georgia giving up sixty six paint points to slew like

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Speaker 4: it ended up creating fool's gold for me because I

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Speaker 4: ended up on plus twelve and a half. And that

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Speaker 4: was one of those teams that for a minute, it

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Speaker 4: looks like they were going to go fifteen rounds in

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Speaker 4: Michigan and then all of a sudden, Michigan goes on

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Speaker 4: like a fifteen to two run and the game is

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Speaker 4: blown wide open. But a part of that was this

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Speaker 4: kind of like point doping that happens watching them play Georgia,

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Speaker 4: and I'm like, Okay, the offense is back. This is

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Speaker 4: like November slew you know, slu Alcinder is playing through

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Speaker 4: his foot injury. It's gonna be fine at Georgia. It's like,

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Speaker 4: that was one of the most embarrassing defensive and interior

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Speaker 4: performances I've ever seen from a Power Conference team anything

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Speaker 4: else in terms of like wild outcomes inconsistency that really

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Speaker 4: stuck out to you from the first four days of

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Speaker 4: you know, round one, Round two.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, I was stunned at how poorly Kansas

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Speaker 6: played in the second half against cal Baptist and then

344
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Speaker 6: that carried over to I mean today's matchup. But Illinois

345
00:15:52,480 --> 00:15:55,520
Speaker 6: was a hair inconsistent, especially in the opener. I know,

346
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Speaker 6: the offense was great, but they showed zero interest in

347
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Speaker 6: playing any defense against Penn. And then VCU couldn't hit

348
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Speaker 6: a shot against these guys and couldn't get a decent look.

349
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Speaker 6: So there was some inconsistency on Illinois's defensive performance. I

350
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Speaker 6: was really surprised at how Vanderbilt struggled with both McNeice

351
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Speaker 6: and Nebraska. I thought they had a chance to really

352
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Speaker 6: make a deep run in this tournament. They took the

353
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Speaker 6: Gators to the wire and then beat him in the

354
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Speaker 6: SEC tournament, and I was thinking Vandy would have had

355
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Speaker 6: a real chance to get to the second weekend. But

356
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Speaker 6: a real pleasant surprise you had already hit on was

357
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Speaker 6: high Point. And what a surprise to see a team

358
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Speaker 6: from a one bid league like the Big South. The

359
00:16:35,840 --> 00:16:38,160
Speaker 6: moment was not too big for these guys. They were

360
00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:42,720
Speaker 6: exceptionally well coached. They played great situational basketball, and a

361
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Speaker 6: team that was fully embracing their identity of who they are,

362
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Speaker 6: how they play, their quickness, getting threes off, getting to

363
00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,400
Speaker 6: the rim occasionally, and even when Terry Anderson went out

364
00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:55,440
Speaker 6: against Wisconsin, it didn't thwart the effort for high Point.

365
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Speaker 6: And then they go toe to toe with Arkansas and

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Speaker 6: give them thirty eight minutes. I thought it was really

367
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Speaker 6: pleasant to just see high Points performance. So big kudos

368
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Speaker 6: to those guys.

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Speaker 5: Let's get into some early leans or bets that you'd

370
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Speaker 5: like to make. I want to jump in. I don't

371
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Speaker 5: need to go deeper into this one.

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Speaker 4: I think the Purdue line is going to steam up

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Speaker 4: at seven and a half as of recording, I think

374
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Speaker 4: it's going to close closer to nine and a half

375
00:17:18,760 --> 00:17:20,639
Speaker 4: or ten. I think it's a good matchup for the

376
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,879
Speaker 4: boiler Makers. I think they have everything on the offensive

377
00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:26,440
Speaker 4: ends to kind of drag the Longhorns to the deep

378
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Speaker 4: end of the pool and a big part of this run.

379
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Speaker 4: And this is something you need to keep in mind

380
00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,800
Speaker 4: with all of these teams. Your path is just as

381
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Speaker 4: important as your personnel, how you're playing, and nobody could

382
00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 4: knock down any perimeter shots against Texas. I think this

383
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,719
Speaker 4: Purdue team is going to be the team that kind of,

384
00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:46,320
Speaker 4: you know, for lack of a better phrase, exposes this

385
00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,919
Speaker 4: Texas team. There's still a really good story. I'm not

386
00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:51,639
Speaker 4: saying that, you know, they are an absolute luck box

387
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:53,679
Speaker 4: by any stretch, but I think it's a bad matchup

388
00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:55,320
Speaker 4: for the long horn. So I want to grab the

389
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,160
Speaker 4: right number at least in my opinion below eight. Talk

390
00:17:58,200 --> 00:18:00,439
Speaker 4: to me about Tennessee though you like them, plus the

391
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Speaker 4: points here in this look ahead against the Clones.

392
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Speaker 6: Certainly considering it that, especially with Jefferson not in the

393
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:08,679
Speaker 6: fold for Iowa State, his health will be real critical

394
00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:10,840
Speaker 6: to monitor here. But if he's not out there, I

395
00:18:10,880 --> 00:18:14,280
Speaker 6: would really worry about Iowa State being able to keep

396
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 6: Tennessee off the boards. I mean, you look at Tennessee.

397
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:20,159
Speaker 6: They rebound forty five percent of their misses and extra

398
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:24,119
Speaker 6: possessions will be a significant problem if Joshua Jefferson's not

399
00:18:24,200 --> 00:18:27,200
Speaker 6: in the lineup. I haven't gotten to the window quite yet.

400
00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 6: I want to give this one a real full handicap

401
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:32,959
Speaker 6: and monitor the health of Jefferson. But I mean, we

402
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,760
Speaker 6: saw Iowa State really struggle in that first fifteen minutes

403
00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:41,560
Speaker 6: against Kentucky, and Tennessee just with their system, the defensive

404
00:18:41,600 --> 00:18:45,520
Speaker 6: ferocity is really there and rebounding. They've owned the glass

405
00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,080
Speaker 6: in these first couple of matchups, and so I could

406
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:51,600
Speaker 6: really see Tennessee being a team that puts not only

407
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 6: a significant scare, but I think they can. I think

408
00:18:54,600 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 6: they can beat Iowa State outright, specifically if Jefferson's not there.

409
00:18:58,280 --> 00:19:00,480
Speaker 6: Another one I want to look at is Houston to

410
00:19:00,480 --> 00:19:03,159
Speaker 6: make the final four. Yes is plus one thirty one,

411
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:05,800
Speaker 6: and I just like the path. I think not having

412
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:09,200
Speaker 6: Florida in the fold is huge for Houston. They get

413
00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:11,680
Speaker 6: to play at home. It's not their home gym on campus,

414
00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:14,000
Speaker 6: but they get to play in their home city, and

415
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:17,040
Speaker 6: it's just hard to understate that the environment is going

416
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:20,119
Speaker 6: to be so pro Houston, and we saw that with

417
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:23,920
Speaker 6: teams like Duke who played close to home. Nebraska had

418
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:26,200
Speaker 6: such a pro crowd and really was able to ride

419
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 6: that momentum in environments that are kind of home feels.

420
00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,280
Speaker 6: So I do want to lean into that with Houston.

421
00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,600
Speaker 6: You're still getting plus money on them to win their

422
00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 6: next two games. So I'm going to take Houston to

423
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,040
Speaker 6: make the final four. Yes, plus one thirty.

424
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,679
Speaker 5: One, Yeah, Houston. I'm going to try to pull this

425
00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,160
Speaker 5: number off the top of my head. I think it's

426
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:43,919
Speaker 5: three games.

427
00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,840
Speaker 4: You're allowed to play three times on a floor that's

428
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:50,200
Speaker 4: not your home floor without it impacting some of the

429
00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:54,000
Speaker 4: tournament's seating. I think it results in, you know, the regionals,

430
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 4: but at least in the first two rounds of it.

431
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,600
Speaker 4: They played earlier this season against Florida State. They played

432
00:19:59,640 --> 00:20:02,439
Speaker 4: regular over the years of the Toyota Center. But I

433
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 4: think it is going to put wind in their sales,

434
00:20:04,760 --> 00:20:07,359
Speaker 4: and really, for me, I mean, I love your pick.

435
00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 4: I got them at seventeen to one to win the Natty,

436
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:11,520
Speaker 4: this is the hedge spot. I think this could end

437
00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 4: up being their most difficult game of the entire tournament.

438
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,040
Speaker 4: You know, if Illinois shoots the way that they did

439
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 4: against you know, some of the teams in their early

440
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 4: pod games like they're one of the most difficult teams

441
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:24,280
Speaker 4: to stop because you really need to defend out to

442
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,400
Speaker 4: thirty five feet. Ends with the way that Houston can

443
00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 4: gamble a little bit and put a lot of ball

444
00:20:29,040 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 4: pressure when they're swinging the ball, and you get those

445
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:33,920
Speaker 4: hockey assists that you know, one pass to another pass

446
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:35,679
Speaker 4: and then people are opening knocking down shots.

447
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:37,680
Speaker 5: They're a special offense.

448
00:20:37,800 --> 00:20:40,879
Speaker 4: And I bristled a little bit earlier in the season

449
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 4: when I believe it was Ken Pum had them rated

450
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,040
Speaker 4: as the highest offense in the history of his database

451
00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 4: going back to ninety seven.

452
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 5: I was like, let's pump the brakes a little bit.

453
00:20:49,640 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 4: But when you watch them play at their absolute ceiling

454
00:20:52,080 --> 00:20:55,560
Speaker 4: eight plus basketball, there's no answers. Everyone on the floor

455
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:59,119
Speaker 4: can knock down shots. You know, the ball moves effortlessly

456
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 4: at times, and it's not dependent on just a point

457
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:04,840
Speaker 4: guard making it all work. There are some teams like

458
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:06,680
Speaker 4: this Iowa team that's making a dream run to the

459
00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:10,560
Speaker 4: Sweet sixteen. They need starts to initiate so much and be,

460
00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,160
Speaker 4: you know, the maestro of the offense in this case.

461
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:14,919
Speaker 5: You know, Boswell is fine.

462
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:17,320
Speaker 4: I'm not enamored with his game by any stretch, but

463
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:19,040
Speaker 4: they don't need him to play hero ball.

464
00:21:19,080 --> 00:21:19,760
Speaker 5: They don't need him to.

465
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,800
Speaker 4: Have fifteen assists, just like be another cog in this

466
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:23,840
Speaker 4: offensive machine.

467
00:21:23,920 --> 00:21:25,560
Speaker 5: So yeah, I think I'm just.

468
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,760
Speaker 4: Gonna hedge in this spot, but I don't hate it.

469
00:21:27,760 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 4: At what you say is plus money.

470
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 5: Right now on the market, Yeah, plus one thirty one. Yeah,

471
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:37,200
Speaker 5: that's that's pretty good. All right, let's talk most intriguing matchups.

472
00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:41,240
Speaker 5: I mean there's a lot over the horizon here. I mean, like,

473
00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 5: like we said at the top, no true Cinderella, but

474
00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 5: at this point that's in the past.

475
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 4: Who gives a shit give me Arizona Arkansas and Illinois

476
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,480
Speaker 4: Houston on the same night, Like the heavy hitters are

477
00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:55,680
Speaker 4: just coming out, Like the prime time offense is getting

478
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 4: to see some of the best players who are going

479
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,399
Speaker 4: to be NBA stars by next year, Like this is

480
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 4: our reward for having to Unfortunately see ar Cinderellas just

481
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:07,960
Speaker 4: got clubbed, Like this is it, and I know you

482
00:22:08,000 --> 00:22:10,480
Speaker 4: want to talk about Saint John's Duke this game.

483
00:22:11,040 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 5: I wouldn't want to be holding the Duke ticket. I'm

484
00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:15,840
Speaker 5: not giving away points. So the Blue Devils, particularly if

485
00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 5: I don't know what they have in terms of their health.

486
00:22:18,400 --> 00:22:21,040
Speaker 5: Unless Foster walks through that door and he can play,

487
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 5: I'd much rather be on the Red Storm in DC.

488
00:22:24,040 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean then they're getting seven. I just don't

489
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 6: want to count out a Rick Patino coach team this

490
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 6: deep into the tournament. They're scrappy, they can vary their pace.

491
00:22:32,720 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 6: The guards are so pesky defensively, Ian Jackson, Dylan Darling.

492
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:40,399
Speaker 6: Every night they seem to have multiple steals, and Zoobie

493
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,320
Speaker 6: and Dylan Mitchell can rim protect here. I think the

494
00:22:43,359 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 6: real question for the Johnny's is can they stop the run?

495
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 6: Patino is such a great in game coach, and I

496
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,640
Speaker 6: think that in game adjustments will be really important here.

497
00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:56,000
Speaker 6: Duke thrives on huge runs, the sixteen to two run,

498
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,360
Speaker 6: the twelve ozho run, whatever it might be. We saw

499
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:00,919
Speaker 6: it in the ACC Championship final, and we saw it

500
00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:05,919
Speaker 6: against Sienna and also TCU. So can Saint John's avoid that?

501
00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 5: If so?

502
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:07,920
Speaker 6: I think this is a real game here.

503
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 4: If there's no Foster, i'mhammer in the money line here.

504
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 4: It's already sitting at five to two right now. I

505
00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:16,159
Speaker 4: think it's worth just a blind shot. Obviously not knowing

506
00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 4: the injury availability, but assuming he even comes back, who's

507
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,479
Speaker 4: to say that he's not going to be rusty, that

508
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,160
Speaker 4: he's not going to be limited, Because you also saw

509
00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 4: it right away from the Sienna game. There was times

510
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,760
Speaker 4: when they were just letting Boozer kind of do that

511
00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,199
Speaker 4: Cooper flag where it's like just getting the ball at

512
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,200
Speaker 4: the top of the key and let him like slowly

513
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,400
Speaker 4: develop offense on his own. Sienna was able to shut

514
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 4: that down or at least be a nuisance. He went

515
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 4: below is scoring prop in that game, Like, what do

516
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:43,960
Speaker 4: you think the Saint John's defense is going to do?

517
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 4: And their defensive staff, Patino is famous for working his

518
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,440
Speaker 4: staff to death, They're going to have a really good

519
00:23:49,480 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 4: game plan to basically say, everybody, the other four guys

520
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 4: on the floor beat us. We're not going to allow

521
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,440
Speaker 4: Boozer to have a vintage twenty five and fifteen kind

522
00:23:57,440 --> 00:23:59,639
Speaker 4: of game. We're going to always be finding him on

523
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,840
Speaker 4: the c and we're going to make it difficult at

524
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 4: every single turn, Entry passes, doubling him, getting the ball

525
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:05,760
Speaker 4: out of his hands.

526
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:07,720
Speaker 5: I agree with you in terms of the look where it's.

527
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 4: Like Patino is a dog in the spot, he's already

528
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,840
Speaker 4: playing with house money. This is the first time in

529
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 4: forever that the Johnny's are in the second weekend, So

530
00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:16,640
Speaker 4: in terms of like good vibes and feeling like they've

531
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 4: accomplished what they need.

532
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,440
Speaker 5: To, because it seemed as though.

533
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:22,680
Speaker 4: It was going to be misery again with a late

534
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 4: game melt and giving it away, Peterson starts to get

535
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 4: in the flow.

536
00:24:26,320 --> 00:24:28,760
Speaker 5: They end up tying the game, and I actually, really

537
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 5: I'm gonna give kudos.

538
00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:32,919
Speaker 4: To build self with so many fouls to give at

539
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 4: the end, spreading it out, condensing the clock and saying,

540
00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,240
Speaker 4: all right, the Saint Joe's or Saint John's offense that

541
00:24:38,280 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 4: doesn't necessarily have the best set plays, they're not necessarily

542
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 4: the best operators in the half court offense, like beat

543
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,679
Speaker 4: us with a limited clock, and they didn't. They got

544
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 4: out to Darling, put it said down, got to the tin,

545
00:24:50,000 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 4: made the shot like it's it's a great story for

546
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 4: the Johnny's, but I don't think it's necessarily ending there.

547
00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,440
Speaker 4: I think they are a potential matchup problem. And Zubie

548
00:24:58,520 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 4: is somebody who's.

549
00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 5: Not going to be a fraid.

550
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,680
Speaker 4: He's played, you know, over one hundred college games. He's

551
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,400
Speaker 4: been the main man on campus for years in Jamaica.

552
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 4: Queens like this is his moment to rise up, and

553
00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 4: he doesn't need to shut down Boozer.

554
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 5: Boozer can still go for twenty and ten.

555
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:16,399
Speaker 4: But I think if he does and they limit him

556
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,040
Speaker 4: in that way, the Johnny's are going to be a

557
00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:21,040
Speaker 4: live underdog in this spot. All right, this wouldn't be

558
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,280
Speaker 4: a show with Duck unless we talked about one of

559
00:25:23,320 --> 00:25:26,600
Speaker 4: his underwhelming predictions. You're going to get into a total

560
00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 4: that you already have circled that you're hoping maybe for

561
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 4: some tight rims, maybe for some shot clock violations, those

562
00:25:32,840 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 4: empty possessions, no runouts, no easy looks, and hopefully sub

563
00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 4: thirty five percent from three for both teams. Talk to

564
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 4: me about an under that you already have on your radar.

565
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, before I do, I wanted to bet Houston and

566
00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 6: Illinois under, but the total was released solo and Houston

567
00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:51,240
Speaker 6: has run quite a bit early in games, so I

568
00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 6: might wait live for a better number there. Michigan State

569
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,640
Speaker 6: Yukon under at one thirty seven and a half could

570
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 6: certainly be one. You have two exceptional in game coaches,

571
00:25:59,520 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 6: two great defensive coaches, and a battle between two top

572
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 6: fifteen defenses. In terms of efficiency, both of these defenses

573
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 6: are great.

574
00:26:07,720 --> 00:26:08,360
Speaker 5: On the boards.

575
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,560
Speaker 6: We should see a limited number of putbacks, a limited

576
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:15,879
Speaker 6: number of second chance possessions, and we have between Michigan

577
00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 6: State and Yukon two bottom level, bottom one hundred level teams.

578
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,679
Speaker 6: In terms of offensive operating tempo, I could see this

579
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,040
Speaker 6: one being a real slog and one where these possessions

580
00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:29,840
Speaker 6: really matter. Early in the second half. We don't see

581
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:31,560
Speaker 6: a lot of fast break, we don't see a lot

582
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 6: of run, and I think under one thirty seven and

583
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:35,280
Speaker 6: a half here is worth of luck.

584
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,000
Speaker 4: All right, I saw on the sheet. In terms of underdogs,

585
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 4: I'm already on the Johnnies. If you had to choose

586
00:26:40,840 --> 00:26:44,359
Speaker 4: between Iowa or Tennessee, which of those two are you picking.

587
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:45,920
Speaker 5: I know that we're going to do the full breakdown

588
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:47,280
Speaker 5: our minder to our audience.

589
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 4: We're going to hit you with a full breakdown of

590
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 4: the Sweet sixteen, the Elite eight. We're gonna have everything

591
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:53,960
Speaker 4: covered to fore you. We're also running it back with

592
00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 4: Doctor Nick and Sean Kerner. I'm going to host an

593
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 4: episode where we talk about player props as well.

594
00:26:58,280 --> 00:26:59,360
Speaker 5: You're not going to want to miss that.

595
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,679
Speaker 4: We will go live on YouTube, so please subscribe to

596
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 4: the YouTube channel so you know when that episode is dropping.

597
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:10,359
Speaker 4: But Duck between the Balls and the Hawkeyes, Tennessee doesn't

598
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:11,320
Speaker 4: feel fluky at all.

599
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 5: And the Hawkeyes, you know, were able to pull out.

600
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 4: That amazing win that basically a game winning three in

601
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:18,520
Speaker 4: the defensive stop.

602
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 5: Do you think they run.

603
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,800
Speaker 4: Out a runway here or is there a path forward

604
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,280
Speaker 4: for them to beat Nebraska in a game?

605
00:27:25,320 --> 00:27:28,840
Speaker 5: I saw a tweet a game that should have a ceremonial.

606
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:32,520
Speaker 4: Opening punts before things get started between the coron Oscars

607
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 4: and the Hawkeyes.

608
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:35,200
Speaker 5: But of those two, which one you picking?

609
00:27:35,760 --> 00:27:37,680
Speaker 6: I mean, the proof is in the pudding. Iowa was

610
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 6: able to do it against Florida, but also in the

611
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:43,560
Speaker 6: meetings against Nebraska this season. Iowa defeated Nebraska at home

612
00:27:43,600 --> 00:27:46,159
Speaker 6: fifty seven to fifty two. They took the Huskers on

613
00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:49,240
Speaker 6: the road to overtime. So yeah, I wouldn't be surprised

614
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 6: at all if This one comes down to the last

615
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,439
Speaker 6: two or three possessions with Iowa having a change. I mean,

616
00:27:53,440 --> 00:27:55,959
Speaker 6: you look at Iowa, who played some of their worst

617
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 6: situational basketball late in that game against Florida. They were

618
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:03,000
Speaker 6: missing from Nanza one and one's, they were missing key

619
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:06,679
Speaker 6: foul shots from an eighty four percent file shooter, and

620
00:28:06,720 --> 00:28:09,439
Speaker 6: then Bennett Startz didn't make a three, and it just

621
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 6: seemed like they were able to find ways to create

622
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 6: stops on the defensive end. Other key components on the

623
00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 6: offensive end stepped up. I absolutely think Iowa can beat Nebraska.

624
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:22,240
Speaker 6: It should be a real fun game there, and it's

625
00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:24,119
Speaker 6: going to be lined at two two and a half.

626
00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:28,000
Speaker 6: But yeah, I think I think i was live to

627
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:28,960
Speaker 6: win that one for sure.

628
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:30,520
Speaker 5: The last one I'm waiting on.

629
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 4: I'm hoping there's an overreaction to Alabama making every goddamn

630
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:36,959
Speaker 4: three in the universe to finally kill my Texas Tech

631
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:40,640
Speaker 4: national title ticket. I'm hoping that that moves this line down.

632
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 4: It's open to ten and a half. If I can

633
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:44,680
Speaker 4: get to single digits, I'm on the Wolverines there. This

634
00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:48,480
Speaker 4: Alabama team I think is just it's two high variants,

635
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:52,920
Speaker 4: and Michigan is perfectly suited to go ahead and win

636
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 4: an up tempo, high scoring game. Texas Tech obviously playing

637
00:28:57,040 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 4: with one arm tied behind us back, not having JT. Toppen,

638
00:29:00,920 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 4: I just didn't come together. And when they make that

639
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 4: many three pointers, I mean, what are you going to do?

640
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:08,400
Speaker 4: But that's another thing that I've circled. So if you're

641
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,959
Speaker 4: listening to this in the morning on Monday, if that

642
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,640
Speaker 4: number dips below ten, I think it's time to pounce

643
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:14,680
Speaker 4: on the Wolverines.

644
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 5: Let's close there.

645
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 4: Any thoughts on that one on Alabama's run, Certainly they

646
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 4: enter the tournament with all the news and the sentiment

647
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 4: going against them, losing their second leading scorer to that arrest,

648
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:30,320
Speaker 4: and then they end up running away from Hofstra and

649
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 4: then just beating the crap out of Texas Tech. Do

650
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,000
Speaker 4: you think this is going to create them being overvalued

651
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 4: in the market or do you think there's an opportunity

652
00:29:37,280 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 4: for them to keep this rolling. It wasn't that long

653
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:41,360
Speaker 4: ago that they just rode the three point shot to

654
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:42,040
Speaker 4: the final four.

655
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 5: So we've seen it before with Natoes.

656
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 6: Yeah, we have seen it before, and this offense can

657
00:29:46,760 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 6: be dangerous. But I think Michigan should be fairly prepared

658
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,560
Speaker 6: for how to defend this offense, and in a game

659
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 6: where you make nineteen three point shots, generally that variance

660
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 6: evens out the next time around here. And I think

661
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 6: you know the problem with Michigan is we've just seen

662
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,640
Speaker 6: them play with their food so often, and we've seen

663
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:05,520
Speaker 6: it in this NCAA tournament. They were in a real

664
00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:08,680
Speaker 6: battle for twenty five to thirty minutes with Howard. They

665
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:12,280
Speaker 6: were down early against Saint Louis, and you mentioned the run.

666
00:30:12,360 --> 00:30:14,440
Speaker 6: Saint Louis gave up a thirty to eight run, and

667
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 6: you're just not gonna win a game after surrendering that

668
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 6: much and having its snowball on you so negatively. So yeah,

669
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:24,640
Speaker 6: I mean I could see a play pre flop on Michigan.

670
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 6: I could also see Alabama maybe starting off a little hot.

671
00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 6: Maybe Michigan's down seven, and you can pluck a minus four,

672
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 6: minus five in game on the Wolverines, kind of knowing

673
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 6: that that run is coming. But man, Michigan is just

674
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,320
Speaker 6: so talented offensively, and when the defense is playing well,

675
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 6: it's really hard to avoid that second half run from

676
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 6: the Wolverines. So I would imagine that they move on.

677
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 6: Be interesting to see where this line comes out at.

678
00:30:49,920 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 6: I won't want to lay double digits with Michigan, but

679
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,400
Speaker 6: could certainly look for an in game play, especially if

680
00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:56,760
Speaker 6: Alabama does start hot.

681
00:30:57,000 --> 00:30:58,680
Speaker 4: All right, that'll do it for us here at the

682
00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 4: Big Bets on Campus Pott, He's duck. Follow him over

683
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 4: on Twitter at step on a Duck. You can follow

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00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,560
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Speaker 4: up for Action Pro because all the features that it

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687
00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,280
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00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:19,760
Speaker 4: sure to check that out. Also, as I said earlier,

690
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 4: please subscribe to our YouTube channel. We're gonna have more

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00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 4: March Madness content along the way, including another player prop

692
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:28,479
Speaker 4: show featuring myself, Doctor Nick and Sean Kerner. You do

693
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:32,040
Speaker 4: not want to miss that. Those two are absolute market movers.

694
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 4: All right, that's it for us, Thank you so much

695
00:31:33,880 --> 00:31:36,120
Speaker 4: for listening to the show, our recap. We're going to

696
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 4: be back grinding the Sweet sixteen looking for every single

697
00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 4: edge that we can.

698
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 5: Be sure to follow all of us on the Action

699
00:31:42,880 --> 00:32:03,080
Speaker 5: Network App and we'll see you next time. Action Network

700
00:32:03,160 --> 00:32:07,240
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701
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:10,480
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702
00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:12,720
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