WEBVTT - Shomik Dutta on Climate Tech Investments

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<v Speaker 1>This is Master's in Business with very Rid Holds on

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>This week on the podcast, I have an extra special guest,

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<v Speaker 2>show Meek Data, co founder and managing partner at Overture

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<v Speaker 2>Climate VC, focuses on all sorts of fascinating startup and

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<v Speaker 2>climate change technology, from concrete to energy production, to storage,

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<v Speaker 2>to carbon capture, to material science to well turning the fuels.

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<v Speaker 2>This is really a fascinating discussion about some of the

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<v Speaker 2>latest greatest technology that's going to help the world get

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<v Speaker 2>to a carbon neutral status and maybe even a carbon

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<v Speaker 2>negative status to roll back the impact of two hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and fifty years of burning fossil fuels. I found this

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<v Speaker 2>conversation to be absolutely fascinating, not just because show Meek

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<v Speaker 2>has a little bit of a political background and had

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<v Speaker 2>worked in both of Obama's campaign where he was frequently

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<v Speaker 2>fired by the soon to be president but still managed

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<v Speaker 2>to maintain his job, but because of his deep and

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<v Speaker 2>broad knowledge of the technologies behind climate change. He said,

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<v Speaker 2>this isn't a green investment so much as a money

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<v Speaker 2>making economic investment, and if you're not paying attention, you're

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<v Speaker 2>going to miss the opportunity. With no further ado, my

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<v Speaker 2>conversation with Overture Climate VCS show mc dadda.

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<v Speaker 1>Erry, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 2>So, what was the original plan? Was it politics or finance?

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<v Speaker 2>Where were you thinking of going?

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<v Speaker 1>It was always politics. I grew up a political junkie,

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<v Speaker 1>worked on Senate races and governor's races, and had the

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<v Speaker 1>really good fortune of linking up with Barack Obama in

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand and seven. I was one of the early

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<v Speaker 1>staffers on that campaign, and it ended up obviously being

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<v Speaker 1>this incredible rocket ship'll kind of start up in his

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<v Speaker 1>own right, And it was that experience that convinced me

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<v Speaker 1>that it's really possible to do big, daring, hard things.

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<v Speaker 1>Watching the president sort of go from a US senator

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<v Speaker 1>who's still paying off his law school loans to stepping

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<v Speaker 1>into the most important job in the world was an

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<v Speaker 1>inspiring and crazy experience.

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<v Speaker 2>What did you do for the campaign in eight and

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<v Speaker 2>then what'd you do in twenty twelve?

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<v Speaker 1>I was his fundraiser, so I oversaw the mid Atlantic states,

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<v Speaker 1>about nine states. I was twenty four years old, cocky

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<v Speaker 1>and a little bit insane. I'd read a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>books about rom and Manuel, so I thought you were

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<v Speaker 1>supposed to swear at people and yell and push hard,

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<v Speaker 1>which I did and proud to say that we outraised

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<v Speaker 1>Hillary Clinton from the very first day that I joined.

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<v Speaker 1>I turned down an offer from Hillary Clinton at the time,

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<v Speaker 1>which you know, my father's a risk averse immigrant, so

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<v Speaker 1>his two pieces of advice to me were to work

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<v Speaker 1>at Lehman Brothers from investment banking, good call, and to

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<v Speaker 1>work for Hillary Clinton, not Barack Obama. But those are

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<v Speaker 1>the only two things I've ignored his advice on.

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<v Speaker 2>And your dad's O for two.

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<v Speaker 1>My dad's one thousand for one thousand and two.

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<v Speaker 2>But that's great. So how did you go from working

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<v Speaker 2>in the campaign to working at both the White House

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<v Speaker 2>and the FCCI.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, you could say a lot of it was

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<v Speaker 1>political nepotism. Candidly, I was a you know, coffee boy.

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<v Speaker 1>I was Greg Craig, the White House Counsel's special assistant,

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<v Speaker 1>and as puffed up and important as I thought I

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<v Speaker 1>was on the campaign, when it turns to governing, it

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<v Speaker 1>turns out you need some specialization. So I quickly realized

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<v Speaker 1>that I didn't have a sort of path to being

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<v Speaker 1>the National Security Council Advisor at any point. So I,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, after serving coffee for about a year working

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<v Speaker 1>on a Supreme Court nomination, shifted to go work for Julius,

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<v Speaker 1>who is the FCC chairman. And that's when I realized

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<v Speaker 1>that a lot of the smartest guys in the room

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<v Speaker 1>are actually in business more often than not, and got

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<v Speaker 1>really interested in shifting my career that that direction.

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<v Speaker 2>So someone interested in doing work in politics, how do

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<v Speaker 2>you get a foot in the door?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it really starts with picking a campaign. And

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<v Speaker 1>a campaign is like a lot like a startup, with's

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<v Speaker 1>a really flat organization. You have to raise an unbelievablemount

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<v Speaker 1>of money and spend it in a short period of time,

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<v Speaker 1>and you have this discrete objective that everyone's nailed towards.

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<v Speaker 1>And so for a young there's no better experience than

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<v Speaker 1>working on a campaign, where if you can get something done,

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<v Speaker 1>there is a job for you. And so that's where

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<v Speaker 1>I really cut my teeth, working on campaigns, getting stuff done.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, no better boss than Obama.

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<v Speaker 2>So venture capitalists are notorious for having this really in

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<v Speaker 2>depth network of high performing, plugged in people. How similar

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<v Speaker 2>is that to what takes place in the world of

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<v Speaker 2>political networking.

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<v Speaker 1>It's fine. I heard doug Ley Owne, the founder of

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<v Speaker 1>the managing partner at Sequoia, have this great phrasing, there's

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<v Speaker 1>many paths to heaven, And it seems in venture capital

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<v Speaker 1>there are many paths to heaven. Right. You can have

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<v Speaker 1>a really well networked media executive, as was Mike Moritz

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<v Speaker 1>at the time. You can have drilled down operators who

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<v Speaker 1>have run businesses. There are many different ways venture capitalists

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<v Speaker 1>can add value. And it was my observation in climate

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<v Speaker 1>investing that there were no venture capitalists that deeply understand

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<v Speaker 1>government and regulatory risk, despite the fact that the government's

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<v Speaker 1>playing this central casting role in the energy transition. And

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<v Speaker 1>so I thought this might be a pathway to heaven

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<v Speaker 1>for us, observing Tusk Ventures in New York doing this

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<v Speaker 1>quite successfully for coinbase and draft Kings and Uber. I

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<v Speaker 1>just don't really care about sports betting, but I really

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<v Speaker 1>thought that I could add value to these startups as

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<v Speaker 1>a venture capitalist that deeply understood government, and so that

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<v Speaker 1>was my path to heaven.

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<v Speaker 2>So you grow up in Chicago, you moved to DC

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<v Speaker 2>after college. Was it for a political campaign or was

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<v Speaker 2>it just a coincidence? Hey, this local business seems pretty

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<v Speaker 2>pretty fascinating.

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<v Speaker 1>No, explicitly for campaigns, and so, you know, moved around

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<v Speaker 1>zip codes in a lot of sort of post industrial

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<v Speaker 1>wasteland places. I lived in Baltimore working for Martin O'Malley's

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<v Speaker 1>first governor's race. I lived in Rhode Island working for

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<v Speaker 1>a Senate race, and then in two thousand and seven

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<v Speaker 1>got recruited into Obama and that's when I moved to DC.

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<v Speaker 2>Huh, so your campaign staff during Obama's re election campaign?

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<v Speaker 2>What were you doing with the Biden administration when they

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<v Speaker 2>were running in twenty sixteen.

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<v Speaker 1>I built an impact venture fund that you referenced called

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<v Speaker 1>Higher Ground Labs. It was our others that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Trump had benefited from a lot of new technology, and

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<v Speaker 1>Democrats were still campaigning with number two pencils and spreadsheets.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, let me ask you. That's I'm gonna interrupt you

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<v Speaker 2>right there, because I very vividly recall reading a Wired

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<v Speaker 2>piece from Wired magazine about how cutting edge the Obama

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<v Speaker 2>campaign was with iterative changes and a B testing and

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<v Speaker 2>they just were raising more money, faster for more people.

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<v Speaker 2>You're telling me by twenty sixteen that's already out of

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<v Speaker 2>date and fallen way behind.

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<v Speaker 1>You're exactly right, it's exactly the insight that actually led

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<v Speaker 1>us to start Higher Ground Labs. Campaigns are like big

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<v Speaker 1>startups and you raise a billion dollars, as was the

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<v Speaker 1>case with Obama, you build cutting edge technology, and after

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<v Speaker 1>election day, the lights go off, everybody leaves, the email

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<v Speaker 1>addresses go off, and you start anew in four years.

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<v Speaker 1>As though none of that mattered, and there was no longitudinal,

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<v Speaker 1>inherent inheritance of learnings and data and technology. And so

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<v Speaker 1>we wanted to build for profits startups that could build

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<v Speaker 1>longitudinally compounding innovation and standing as free standing entities that

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<v Speaker 1>could be even profitable for investors so that we could

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<v Speaker 1>raise more capital for them. And so we did that.

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<v Speaker 1>We built companies like Mobilized, which ended up shifting all

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<v Speaker 1>of the volunteer action in the Democratic Party, sold to

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<v Speaker 1>an Insight backed the private equity fund insights backed company,

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<v Speaker 1>and so things like that can both compound returns for

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<v Speaker 1>investors but also compound innovation to the party, so you

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<v Speaker 1>don't have to start from zero every four years.

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<v Speaker 2>So on your LinkedIn, I see you got an NBA

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<v Speaker 2>from Wharton around the same time as the election. Please

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<v Speaker 2>don't tell me you would do both at once.

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<v Speaker 1>I did both. It is not recommended. It was a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of pounds and gray hair. But you know, my

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<v Speaker 1>deal with my dad, who came to this country with

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<v Speaker 1>you know, a big dream, came his country about two

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<v Speaker 1>hundred bucks in his pocket. He worked as a security

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<v Speaker 1>guard at Harvard Business Schools and attended Harvard Business School

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<v Speaker 1>at the same time. You know, there's that line Obama

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<v Speaker 1>has that every son wants to be live up to

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<v Speaker 1>his father's expectations or to be something as father is not.

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<v Speaker 1>It definitely fell in the first category. And so my

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<v Speaker 1>dad would always point out, like, look, I came to

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<v Speaker 1>this country with two hundred bucks, and he ultimately became

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<v Speaker 1>the president of the United Airlines and it was like

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<v Speaker 1>an incredible career.

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<v Speaker 2>And so your dad was president of the United Airlines.

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<v Speaker 2>He was as an immigrant who arrived essentially with a

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<v Speaker 2>handful of monops.

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<v Speaker 1>With working as a security guard at night at HBS,

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<v Speaker 1>and so you know, those were big shoes to fill.

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<v Speaker 1>And the thing that I always took away from him

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<v Speaker 1>was that, look, the thing that inspired him about building

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<v Speaker 1>big businesses and running them was not power. It was

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<v Speaker 1>not money, though the money is nice. It's the ability

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<v Speaker 1>to just help so many people he said, like his

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<v Speaker 1>heroes were always people that could provide a lot of jobs,

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<v Speaker 1>businessmen and businesswomen that can provide jobs. And so it

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<v Speaker 1>was that narrative that was always in my head and

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<v Speaker 1>the need to sort of live up to his big

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<v Speaker 1>expectations at something to business school.

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<v Speaker 2>Huh really really interesting? So what'd you study at Wharton?

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<v Speaker 2>And is any of that appleable to what you do now?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, thankfully there was no great disclosure at Wharton.

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<v Speaker 1>I can't tell you very much of what I don't

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<v Speaker 1>think any NBA can really tell you what they learned.

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<v Speaker 1>But what I took away from it was an amazing

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<v Speaker 1>network in some signaling value to say, hey, maybe this

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<v Speaker 1>guy has half a brain for business, which I'm not

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<v Speaker 1>even sure is true today.

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<v Speaker 2>Really really interesting. So you have a quote I really like.

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<v Speaker 2>You said you felt much closer to Governor Martin O'Malley

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<v Speaker 2>than he felt towards me. Isn't that true? How it

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<v Speaker 2>is in all campaigns everybody is looking and sponsoring and

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<v Speaker 2>loving the candidate, but they have to distribuliviate their affection

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<v Speaker 2>to millions of supporters.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, you know, there's there's a right and wrong reason

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<v Speaker 1>to get involved in politics. One of the wrong reasons

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<v Speaker 1>I think that a lot of people end up doing

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<v Speaker 1>is that it's a pathway to being closer to power.

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<v Speaker 1>And I observed it, you know, probably succumbed to some

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<v Speaker 1>of it myself. But it's the wrong reason to be

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<v Speaker 1>doing the work. And so I was, you know, kind

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<v Speaker 1>of making fun of myself for that, but yeah, you're right.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, these campaigns, you end up liking a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of hours with these folks. You know, I was. I

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<v Speaker 1>was Obama's call time manager and fundraiser.

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<v Speaker 2>You're again, you're anticipating my next question. How much time

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<v Speaker 2>time did you spend with Obama? And did you not

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<v Speaker 2>feel the love reciprocated or because he seems to be

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<v Speaker 2>kind of an unusual guy in politics.

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<v Speaker 1>A little more removed, a little more ascetic and monkish.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, yeah, I think he tried to fire me

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<v Speaker 1>a few times for being too aggressive in fundraising from

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<v Speaker 1>his friends.

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<v Speaker 2>But oh really, I'll just say, you know, wait, you were,

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<v Speaker 2>you were? Obama said, Hey, that dutt a guy. Can

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<v Speaker 2>we lose him?

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<v Speaker 1>This guy at least at least twice. Though, My favorite

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<v Speaker 1>moment was in the Dungeons of two thousand and seven

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<v Speaker 1>when you know, doldrums of two thousand and seven. We

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<v Speaker 1>were forty points down to Hillary Clinton and I was

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<v Speaker 1>still producing multimillion dollar fund raising outcomes for him. And

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<v Speaker 1>so one time we dropped him off at the you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he'd start event saying, who do I have to apologize

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<v Speaker 1>to in here for you, Shamik, and I'd be like

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<v Speaker 1>that guy, that guy, that guy. So we dropped him

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<v Speaker 1>back at his apartment and he doubled back to the

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<v Speaker 1>car and he said, Shimik, keep doing what you're doing.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll keep apologizing. It's worth it. And it was like

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<v Speaker 1>the highlight of my career.

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<v Speaker 2>Is that your Obama is that as good as a guest?

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<v Speaker 2>WHOA how are you? I can't help but notice that

0:11:02.760 --> 0:11:07.960
<v Speaker 2>President Obama was probably the first president to take a

0:11:08.040 --> 0:11:12.080
<v Speaker 2>very strong stance on climate change. How much of your

0:11:12.160 --> 0:11:16.760
<v Speaker 2>work with the Obama campaign inspired you to start investing

0:11:16.760 --> 0:11:17.320
<v Speaker 2>in the space.

0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:22.280
<v Speaker 1>I think the experience from the Obama world was that everybody,

0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:24.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's this big, great Bill Gates line, that

0:11:24.440 --> 0:11:27.400
<v Speaker 1>everybody underestimates what they can do in ten years and

0:11:27.440 --> 0:11:29.800
<v Speaker 1>overestimates what they can do in one year, and taking

0:11:29.840 --> 0:11:32.880
<v Speaker 1>a long term path to doing something really big and

0:11:32.960 --> 0:11:35.640
<v Speaker 1>grinding on it for a long time can produce extraordinary outcomes.

0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.960
<v Speaker 1>You know, the president was the architect of the Paris Accords,

0:11:39.000 --> 0:11:41.960
<v Speaker 1>which is the framework that the IPCC now uses to

0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:44.319
<v Speaker 1>ensure that the world is driving to a net zero future,

0:11:44.720 --> 0:11:47.080
<v Speaker 1>and so there is a you know, the sparkle I

0:11:47.120 --> 0:11:49.319
<v Speaker 1>take away from the Obama days was a challenge from him,

0:11:49.320 --> 0:11:51.400
<v Speaker 1>which is that we should do big things, and if

0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:53.679
<v Speaker 1>you focus and execute every day for a long period

0:11:53.720 --> 0:11:56.520
<v Speaker 1>of time, most people probably underestimate what they can accomplish.

0:11:56.679 --> 0:11:59.880
<v Speaker 2>So we just kind of wrapped up the Climate Accords.

0:12:01.000 --> 0:12:04.920
<v Speaker 2>Surprisingly in the Middle East, sponsored by a big oil

0:12:05.000 --> 0:12:08.360
<v Speaker 2>producing nation. How do you look at those events? Are

0:12:08.400 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 2>these just photo ops or does something substantial come out

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:12.400
<v Speaker 2>of them?

0:12:12.800 --> 0:12:16.920
<v Speaker 1>I think there was a great deal of heart palpitation

0:12:17.000 --> 0:12:19.640
<v Speaker 1>about this COP in part because, as you correctly note,

0:12:19.720 --> 0:12:22.120
<v Speaker 1>the head of the largest oil and gas company in

0:12:22.160 --> 0:12:24.600
<v Speaker 1>Abu Dhabi was the same man in charge of the COP.

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:28.120
<v Speaker 1>And yet all one hundred and eighty countries left with

0:12:28.240 --> 0:12:33.240
<v Speaker 1>a firm commitment to decarbonize and to transition away from

0:12:33.320 --> 0:12:40.720
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels and oil and gas, with an emphatic agreement

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:43.280
<v Speaker 1>around that big daring idea that's the first time this

0:12:43.320 --> 0:12:45.200
<v Speaker 1>has ever come out of a cop and I think

0:12:45.280 --> 0:12:49.280
<v Speaker 1>the US government's leadership in this, particularly on methane, is

0:12:49.320 --> 0:12:51.280
<v Speaker 1>going to start reverberating through the market in a really

0:12:51.320 --> 0:12:51.920
<v Speaker 1>positive way.

0:12:52.200 --> 0:12:55.040
<v Speaker 2>So I've been reading a bunch of stuff on mething lately.

0:12:55.800 --> 0:12:59.960
<v Speaker 2>Not only is it a notorious noxious waste that contribute

0:12:59.960 --> 0:13:03.240
<v Speaker 2>to the greenhouse effect and all sorts of other issues.

0:13:03.520 --> 0:13:07.200
<v Speaker 2>We just burn off tons of it in flares. Another thing.

0:13:07.679 --> 0:13:11.400
<v Speaker 2>Not too long ago, Sixty Minutes had a episode where

0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:16.920
<v Speaker 2>they showed a company was essentially capturing that flare, using

0:13:16.960 --> 0:13:21.720
<v Speaker 2>it to generate electrical power and running data service centers

0:13:22.400 --> 0:13:24.040
<v Speaker 2>right there on the oil field.

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.280
<v Speaker 1>Called Crusoe Energy. I'm actually an investor in that company.

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 2>Tell us a little bit about that.

0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:31.319
<v Speaker 1>That's quite fascinating, you know, the two the twin problems.

0:13:31.400 --> 0:13:34.000
<v Speaker 1>We're going to realize in the near future that we'll

0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:37.400
<v Speaker 1>have these stranded energy assets that are often leaking methane.

0:13:37.400 --> 0:13:39.920
<v Speaker 1>We have oil and gas wells that have sustained casing

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>pressure that are bubbling methane. We need to seal those

0:13:42.840 --> 0:13:45.360
<v Speaker 1>wells permanently or make use of the methane because the

0:13:45.400 --> 0:13:48.040
<v Speaker 1>methane has a great deal of economic value. The second

0:13:48.120 --> 0:13:50.520
<v Speaker 1>challenge we have is that our next generation compute is

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:54.760
<v Speaker 1>going to be incredibly electricity intensive, far more than what

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 1>we experienced today, and so data centers are going to

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.760
<v Speaker 1>become opex pain points for a lot of companies. And

0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.920
<v Speaker 1>what CRUSO wants to do is resolve those two challenges.

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Take strained energy assets, utilize that energy creatively, and also

0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:09.559
<v Speaker 1>ensure that we can decarbonize data centers, which are increasingly

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:12.280
<v Speaker 1>a large pain point in emissions. There's another company to

0:14:12.320 --> 0:14:15.160
<v Speaker 1>mention we invested in recently called bio Squeeze, which has

0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:18.320
<v Speaker 1>invented a new way of permanently sealing oil and gas wells.

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:21.320
<v Speaker 1>Some of these operators, like Halliburton, are spending millions of

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:24.680
<v Speaker 1>dollars sealing and resealing oil and gas wells with no success.

0:14:25.000 --> 0:14:28.240
<v Speaker 1>And so these guys have invented a biomineralization technology that

0:14:28.360 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 1>is stronger than cement, that can shoot into these wells

0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and permanently seal them, which may one day even replace

0:14:34.320 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 1>cement in all infrastructure one day, is what we hope.

0:14:37.040 --> 0:14:39.160
<v Speaker 1>There's some exciting things happening around methane.

0:14:39.280 --> 0:14:43.360
<v Speaker 2>So this year's cop Conference of Parties about Climate change

0:14:44.240 --> 0:14:48.200
<v Speaker 2>ends up with governments making a number of commitments and

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 2>a lot of nonprofits joining in in those commitments to

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 2>get towards a carbon neutral But it kind of raises

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 2>the question is that as effective as what you do

0:14:59.600 --> 0:15:03.800
<v Speaker 2>in entire terms of venture capital and startups that are

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 2>looking to in the private sector combat climate change for profit.

0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:14.680
<v Speaker 1>It's all required. Every single aspect of society will be

0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:17.760
<v Speaker 1>impacted by climate change, and so every single aspect of

0:15:17.760 --> 0:15:21.480
<v Speaker 1>society has something to contribute, and every asset class of capital,

0:15:22.200 --> 0:15:25.760
<v Speaker 1>from private equity to growth to debt, will have to

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 1>play a role. The reason governments are so centrally important

0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:32.520
<v Speaker 1>is that it's not enough for us to look at

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:35.240
<v Speaker 1>business pain points caused by climate of which there are many,

0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:39.640
<v Speaker 1>by the way, supply chain disruption, extreme weather events. But

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:42.120
<v Speaker 1>you also need to start creating sticks at the same

0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:44.640
<v Speaker 1>time to push fossil fuels off a cliff. And so

0:15:44.960 --> 0:15:47.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm encouraged by the fact, for example, that internal combustion

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 1>engine vehicles will be banned all together in the state

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:53.240
<v Speaker 1>of California in ten years. Similarly, France has banned all

0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:56.200
<v Speaker 1>internal combustion flights within its own borders in the next

0:15:56.200 --> 0:15:58.960
<v Speaker 1>ten years, and so these sticks are also important to

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 1>intersect with the care that help new technologies mature fast

0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.680
<v Speaker 1>enough to replace them, and there will be a fundamental

0:16:05.720 --> 0:16:07.920
<v Speaker 1>rewiring of the economy that takes place as a result.

0:16:08.000 --> 0:16:11.440
<v Speaker 1>When you think of every single aspect of industry, steel making,

0:16:11.840 --> 0:16:14.920
<v Speaker 1>fertilizer that you know, ten trillion dollars of ebidel will

0:16:14.920 --> 0:16:17.120
<v Speaker 1>be at stake in this turnover, and so there's an

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:20.440
<v Speaker 1>enormous prize for those that can innovate quickly and help decarbonize.

0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:24.680
<v Speaker 2>You mentioned the company that seals up well heads. Bloomberg

0:16:24.760 --> 0:16:27.440
<v Speaker 2>had an article not too long ago about what a

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 2>massive carbon footprint concrete manufacturing has. Tell us a little

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:38.120
<v Speaker 2>bit about that technology that theoretically you might replace concrete

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:38.680
<v Speaker 2>in the future.

0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, one of the central insights here is that

0:16:42.200 --> 0:16:46.640
<v Speaker 1>industrial heat is the key input to manufacturing just about anything.

0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:49.720
<v Speaker 1>If you think about steel making from iron, if you

0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:52.320
<v Speaker 1>think about concrete, if you think about a lot of

0:16:52.360 --> 0:16:56.840
<v Speaker 1>food and ethanol methanol production, all of it requires in

0:16:56.880 --> 0:16:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the United States alone, one hundred and forty billion dollars

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:01.920
<v Speaker 1>worth of industrial heat, almost all of which comes from

0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:05.200
<v Speaker 1>natural gas or coal. And to get really high temperatures

0:17:05.240 --> 0:17:08.119
<v Speaker 1>from that heat, is sometimes difficult, and so there are

0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:11.879
<v Speaker 1>breakthrough technologies. We're excited about one called Antra in particular,

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:15.160
<v Speaker 1>financed by Bill Gates and Chris Sokka and by Overture,

0:17:15.560 --> 0:17:18.480
<v Speaker 1>and these three Stanford PhDs have figured out a way

0:17:18.520 --> 0:17:22.480
<v Speaker 1>to take grid connected renewable electricity and produce industrial heat

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:25.560
<v Speaker 1>above eighteen hundred degrees celsius. And when you think about

0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:29.399
<v Speaker 1>the hardest to decarbonize industries, you know, about ninety five

0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:32.719
<v Speaker 1>percent of all industrial manufacturing can be decarbonized with that

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.680
<v Speaker 1>kind of heat. And what's amazing about this company is

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:37.920
<v Speaker 1>they're not going you know, it's called the mister Burns test.

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:40.720
<v Speaker 1>I can go to a conglomerate who does not care

0:17:40.760 --> 0:17:43.359
<v Speaker 1>a lick about climate change and convince them that I

0:17:43.400 --> 0:17:47.240
<v Speaker 1>can save them opex with this decarbonized solution. It has

0:17:47.320 --> 0:17:49.360
<v Speaker 1>nothing to do with climate change in their minds, and.

0:17:49.280 --> 0:17:52.040
<v Speaker 2>They just still want investment of money saving opportunity for

0:17:52.440 --> 0:17:53.359
<v Speaker 2>companies in the space.

0:17:53.400 --> 0:17:56.400
<v Speaker 1>So the coke industries is behind this company has taken

0:17:56.440 --> 0:17:58.480
<v Speaker 1>them to a lot of their conglomerates and it's a

0:17:58.520 --> 0:18:01.560
<v Speaker 1>really exciting technology because it is just beating natural gas

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:03.800
<v Speaker 1>at its own game. And that is you know, a

0:18:03.840 --> 0:18:06.200
<v Speaker 1>theory of change for us is that if you can

0:18:06.320 --> 0:18:09.840
<v Speaker 1>beat natural gas at its own game and save conglomerates

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:12.639
<v Speaker 1>and big businesses money, they will adopt your technologies. It

0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.639
<v Speaker 1>becomes more challenging when you're bringing them green premiums and

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:16.840
<v Speaker 1>things that are a little more expensive.

0:18:17.000 --> 0:18:20.040
<v Speaker 2>So correct my ignorance, if you will. I look at

0:18:20.119 --> 0:18:25.240
<v Speaker 2>natural gas as a transitional energy source from oil and

0:18:25.280 --> 0:18:30.760
<v Speaker 2>coal to ultimately renewables. Tell me where that thesis is wrong.

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:34.639
<v Speaker 1>It was correct. It was absolutely a better source of

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 1>fuel than coal, which you know produces black suit and

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 1>all kinds of problems and diesel.

0:18:39.520 --> 0:18:43.080
<v Speaker 2>Now the what about clean coal? The case face.

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.520
<v Speaker 1>The key is to now transition from natural gas. You know,

0:18:45.640 --> 0:18:49.200
<v Speaker 1>natural gas is a is a nice word for methane.

0:18:49.240 --> 0:18:52.560
<v Speaker 1>It's primarily methane, and methane is about eighty times more

0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 1>warming than carbon dioxide. And so if carbon dioxide is

0:18:55.840 --> 0:18:58.080
<v Speaker 1>one blanket thick to keep the earth warm, you can

0:18:58.119 --> 0:19:01.440
<v Speaker 1>think of Lebron James height blanket to trap the molecule

0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>traps far more heat and doesn't allow our sunlight to

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.760
<v Speaker 1>radiate back to outer space as it should. And so

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:12.600
<v Speaker 1>the key now is that renewables have this extensive runway

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>since we thought of natural gas as a bridge fuel,

0:19:15.400 --> 0:19:20.760
<v Speaker 1>And candidly, the lowest costs of energy today are solar

0:19:20.760 --> 0:19:23.359
<v Speaker 1>and wind, and so businesses can make rational decisions to

0:19:23.400 --> 0:19:27.639
<v Speaker 1>adopt them. And the key is to now sort of

0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.159
<v Speaker 1>transition us off this sticky drug that we've been addicted

0:19:30.200 --> 0:19:30.880
<v Speaker 1>to for some time.

0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:35.200
<v Speaker 2>That wasn't true a couple of years ago. Renewable energies

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:40.960
<v Speaker 2>like solar and wind were pricier than natural gas and oil. Today,

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:46.440
<v Speaker 2>the price of solar and wind just keeps falling and falling.

0:19:47.320 --> 0:19:51.800
<v Speaker 2>Is it accurate to say on a per kilowatt basis

0:19:52.240 --> 0:19:54.680
<v Speaker 2>they are now cheaper than carbon based fuel.

0:19:54.960 --> 0:19:58.199
<v Speaker 1>They are absolutely the cheapest forms of electricity available in

0:19:58.200 --> 0:20:02.160
<v Speaker 1>most places in the world today. A staggering statistic. The

0:20:02.280 --> 0:20:05.399
<v Speaker 1>capex of a new solar plant is today cheaper than

0:20:05.440 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>the opex the annual opex of a coal plant real

0:20:08.520 --> 0:20:10.520
<v Speaker 1>and so these things, you know, the human mind is

0:20:10.560 --> 0:20:15.399
<v Speaker 1>some sometimes bad at tracking exponential change. The logarithmic drop

0:20:15.840 --> 0:20:19.720
<v Speaker 1>in solar and wind prices continually surprises even the most

0:20:19.720 --> 0:20:22.800
<v Speaker 1>bullish analysts. And I think the same is now coming

0:20:22.840 --> 0:20:25.120
<v Speaker 1>true for lithium ion and a lot of these other

0:20:25.200 --> 0:20:29.280
<v Speaker 1>technologies and so we are dropping down these logarithmic cost curves.

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:33.000
<v Speaker 1>And what's interesting is I think there's a geopolitical reality

0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:35.879
<v Speaker 1>today in a global contest for power with China, the

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:38.560
<v Speaker 1>countries that are able to have the lowest cost of

0:20:38.840 --> 0:20:42.520
<v Speaker 1>plentiful energy that does not require any kind of foreign inputs,

0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 1>that has a domestic supply chain underneath it, that can

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.639
<v Speaker 1>produce that energy on their own, that will be one

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 1>of the key key drivers to global heged demonic success

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>in this new world, coupled with next generation compute that's

0:20:54.080 --> 0:20:57.040
<v Speaker 1>also within our own supply chain. And so the last

0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:59.919
<v Speaker 1>time we saw a great power struggle like this was

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 1>in the semiconductor boom, where where Faild, Fairchild, semiconductors, Intel

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:09.159
<v Speaker 1>Texas instruments were built. Those were not like the bits

0:21:09.200 --> 0:21:11.879
<v Speaker 1>that are traded in software today. Those were atoms. It

0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:15.240
<v Speaker 1>was hardware investing that governments were deeply involved in. So

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:18.440
<v Speaker 1>the fifty percent of the revenue of Fairchild in the

0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:21.719
<v Speaker 1>early days came from the Pentagon. Similarly, TSMC when it

0:21:21.760 --> 0:21:24.720
<v Speaker 1>was built, fifty percent of that CAPEX was handled by Taiwan,

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:27.400
<v Speaker 1>And when Samsung went into semiconductors, the same proof true

0:21:27.400 --> 0:21:29.359
<v Speaker 1>of the South Korean government. The same is going to

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:31.480
<v Speaker 1>be true of climate investing today. A lot of the

0:21:31.560 --> 0:21:35.080
<v Speaker 1>innovative hardware must be built today and that will require

0:21:35.200 --> 0:21:41.120
<v Speaker 1>intense government involvement. And that's why overtures thesis is that

0:21:41.240 --> 0:21:44.520
<v Speaker 1>investors that deeply understand and can navigate government and regulatory

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 1>complexity can actually produce alpha for their investors. Because it's

0:21:47.840 --> 0:21:49.880
<v Speaker 1>a bit like in World War Two, if you knew

0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:51.800
<v Speaker 1>what the US government needed, if they were going to

0:21:51.920 --> 0:21:55.359
<v Speaker 1>need to pay betting manufacturers to make parachutes, you know,

0:21:55.400 --> 0:21:58.199
<v Speaker 1>that's an important insight to be able to drive the

0:21:58.200 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 1>best investments through.

0:21:59.640 --> 0:22:03.360
<v Speaker 2>Really really very interesting. So let's talk a little bit

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:08.000
<v Speaker 2>about what you look for in a climate investment. Is

0:22:08.000 --> 0:22:11.560
<v Speaker 2>this about looking for companies that are going to be

0:22:11.640 --> 0:22:14.679
<v Speaker 2>casual and positive right away or are you willing to

0:22:14.800 --> 0:22:17.320
<v Speaker 2>be a little more long term in your thinking?

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 1>Venture capital is an incredibly patient game, right on average

0:22:20.720 --> 0:22:23.480
<v Speaker 1>ten to twelve year positions you're taking, as we saw

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 1>with Union Score Ventures is first fund. I think it

0:22:25.800 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>took them almost sixteen years from start to finish.

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.080
<v Speaker 2>So it's an incredibly that worked out pretty well, didn't.

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:34.359
<v Speaker 1>Worked out great. It's an incredibly patient, deeply liquid game.

0:22:34.880 --> 0:22:37.199
<v Speaker 1>But you know, to radically oversimplify what we look for.

0:22:37.359 --> 0:22:41.320
<v Speaker 1>We're looking for visionary, unbelievable founders. Founders are the soul

0:22:41.800 --> 0:22:46.080
<v Speaker 1>of startups, and we're looking for unbelievable founders with deep

0:22:46.160 --> 0:22:51.760
<v Speaker 1>expertise in what they're building, coupled with differentiated technology that

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:55.119
<v Speaker 1>can help unlock gigantic markets. And so to give you

0:22:55.160 --> 0:22:58.600
<v Speaker 1>a couple of examples, we're investors in a company called Dextmat,

0:22:59.000 --> 0:23:03.200
<v Speaker 1>which has invented a carbon nanotube technology that is stronger

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.880
<v Speaker 1>than steel, lighter than aluminum, and more conductive than copper.

0:23:07.359 --> 0:23:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Copper is going to be one of the most important

0:23:09.640 --> 0:23:12.800
<v Speaker 1>metals in all of electrification. Aluminum is in every aircraft

0:23:12.800 --> 0:23:16.480
<v Speaker 1>and every airplane, a lot of phone poles and wires,

0:23:16.760 --> 0:23:21.159
<v Speaker 1>and steel is steel. This technology might fully decarbonize in

0:23:21.160 --> 0:23:25.119
<v Speaker 1>a carbon negative way a metal that is stronger, more conductive,

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:29.040
<v Speaker 1>and lighter. And so those are our moonshot examples of

0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:31.159
<v Speaker 1>what we're looking for, and that require a lot of

0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:34.119
<v Speaker 1>technological and go to market innovation to be successful. But

0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:36.800
<v Speaker 1>if they are, I think there are trillion dollar rewards

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:37.520
<v Speaker 1>on the other side.

0:23:37.680 --> 0:23:42.160
<v Speaker 2>So you're looking to replace the skin of aircraft, perhaps

0:23:42.240 --> 0:23:47.640
<v Speaker 2>the body of automobiles, the wires on interstate or local

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:54.440
<v Speaker 2>electronic transmission, electricity transmission, and even things like telephone wires

0:23:54.520 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 2>and internet wires or is it am I overstating that

0:23:58.240 --> 0:23:58.640
<v Speaker 2>that's right?

0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 1>And the company today is, you know, the production of

0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 1>their of their metal is so expensive that only ultra

0:24:07.000 --> 0:24:12.520
<v Speaker 1>advanced defense manufacturers and companies testing R and D can

0:24:12.560 --> 0:24:14.880
<v Speaker 1>afford it. The bet is that they can drive down

0:24:14.920 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 1>the cost by one thousand, you know, one one thousandth

0:24:17.880 --> 0:24:20.879
<v Speaker 1>the cost over time and produce something that is just

0:24:21.040 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 1>better than the industrial inputs that have very carbon intensive

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:27.239
<v Speaker 1>emissions footprints, as we've mentioned before. And so if you're

0:24:27.240 --> 0:24:30.119
<v Speaker 1>an aircraft and can find something lighter than aluminium that

0:24:30.160 --> 0:24:33.800
<v Speaker 1>can help your aircraft travel farther, that's a money saver

0:24:33.920 --> 0:24:34.480
<v Speaker 1>for the company.

0:24:34.520 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 2>And so those does material science have the equivalent of

0:24:38.400 --> 0:24:39.240
<v Speaker 2>a Moore's law.

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:44.240
<v Speaker 1>It does, And interestingly a lot of the materials today

0:24:44.440 --> 0:24:48.959
<v Speaker 1>are reaching that high point. Right at some point, semiconductors

0:24:49.040 --> 0:24:51.879
<v Speaker 1>are reaching the theoretical limits of how many transistors you can

0:24:51.880 --> 0:24:54.920
<v Speaker 1>wedge in. And so that's why innovating with ferro electric

0:24:55.040 --> 0:24:58.520
<v Speaker 1>materials and using AI to be able to optimize all

0:24:58.560 --> 0:25:00.880
<v Speaker 1>of the dizzing different kind of material combinations we can

0:25:00.920 --> 0:25:03.320
<v Speaker 1>consider is what we need to do for this next

0:25:03.400 --> 0:25:06.400
<v Speaker 1>layer of industrial revolution. So when you consider just the

0:25:06.440 --> 0:25:10.960
<v Speaker 1>ten trillion in ebidah, start considering every manufacturing process today

0:25:11.000 --> 0:25:14.160
<v Speaker 1>as we do it, every food production process, the way

0:25:14.200 --> 0:25:17.280
<v Speaker 1>we move ourselves with transportation, the way we grow food

0:25:17.280 --> 0:25:20.000
<v Speaker 1>in agriculture, all of this is going to have to

0:25:20.040 --> 0:25:22.639
<v Speaker 1>reorient in about fifty years. If you believe the science

0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:27.000
<v Speaker 1>and old conglomerates, large scale conglomerates aren't usually not the

0:25:27.000 --> 0:25:30.040
<v Speaker 1>places that drive innovation, and that's what makes venture such

0:25:30.080 --> 0:25:32.480
<v Speaker 1>an interesting catalytic. A SI class to me in climate.

0:25:32.800 --> 0:25:34.879
<v Speaker 1>I am not doing this out of the goodness of

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:37.119
<v Speaker 1>my heart. I candidly kind of missed the Internet. I

0:25:37.160 --> 0:25:39.439
<v Speaker 1>was so involved in politics. And if you consider some

0:25:39.480 --> 0:25:44.640
<v Speaker 1>of the megacycles software eating the world, China opening up

0:25:44.920 --> 0:25:47.200
<v Speaker 1>ultra low cost interest rates, I think this is another

0:25:47.560 --> 0:25:50.200
<v Speaker 1>megacycle coming and I don't want to miss it. And

0:25:50.520 --> 0:25:52.960
<v Speaker 1>like all megacycles, being early is the same as being wrong.

0:25:53.080 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 1>And so a lot of our job is timing our

0:25:55.720 --> 0:25:59.000
<v Speaker 1>bets to make sure where can technoeconomics just beat fossil

0:25:59.000 --> 0:26:01.200
<v Speaker 1>fuels invest behind that right now?

0:26:01.280 --> 0:26:04.919
<v Speaker 2>So let's talk about some of those different spaces. I

0:26:04.960 --> 0:26:07.240
<v Speaker 2>want to throw out some broad topics. You tell me

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:10.680
<v Speaker 2>what you think about those and what sort of investments

0:26:10.760 --> 0:26:14.160
<v Speaker 2>you would be looking at or have already made in those.

0:26:14.840 --> 0:26:18.679
<v Speaker 2>And let's start with carbon capture. You know, some people

0:26:18.680 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 2>have said we can solve climate change by just taking

0:26:22.880 --> 0:26:26.679
<v Speaker 2>all this excess carbon that's in the air. What do

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:28.320
<v Speaker 2>you think about carbon capture?

0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:32.640
<v Speaker 1>I think if you believe the science, the IPCC has

0:26:32.680 --> 0:26:36.760
<v Speaker 1>stated we're going to need to remove ten billion tons

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:40.439
<v Speaker 1>of carbon every year by the year twenty fifty. And

0:26:40.520 --> 0:26:41.919
<v Speaker 1>if you look at what we did last year, we

0:26:41.920 --> 0:26:44.440
<v Speaker 1>did about six thousand tons. So there's a two million

0:26:44.600 --> 0:26:46.879
<v Speaker 1>x scale up that has to happen, or a seventy

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:49.360
<v Speaker 1>four percent cager, which is twice the growth of software.

0:26:49.640 --> 0:26:52.359
<v Speaker 1>So there's an enormous undertaking. The question for us is

0:26:52.960 --> 0:26:56.640
<v Speaker 1>what is the lowest cost, most scalable, more most efficient

0:26:56.760 --> 0:27:00.320
<v Speaker 1>version of this. Direct air capture today still pencils around

0:27:00.359 --> 0:27:04.800
<v Speaker 1>sixteen hundred dollars per ton, enormously electricity intensive. We have

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:07.760
<v Speaker 1>drifted a little bit more towards two categories. The first

0:27:07.800 --> 0:27:10.440
<v Speaker 1>is enhanced rock weathering. We're investors in a company called

0:27:10.520 --> 0:27:14.719
<v Speaker 1>ion that has pulverized a certain silicate rock called olivine

0:27:14.920 --> 0:27:18.800
<v Speaker 1>that can help basically grow more crops for farmers. They're

0:27:18.920 --> 0:27:21.879
<v Speaker 1>very familiar with it. It's basically a form of fertilizer,

0:27:22.040 --> 0:27:25.240
<v Speaker 1>while it also sucks carbon out of the atmosphere permanently.

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:28.240
<v Speaker 1>Very excited about technologies like that. We're also investors in

0:27:28.280 --> 0:27:31.640
<v Speaker 1>a company called Climate Robotics that is similarly taking agricultural

0:27:31.680 --> 0:27:34.480
<v Speaker 1>waste and pyalizing it, basically cooking it in an oxygen

0:27:34.520 --> 0:27:37.800
<v Speaker 1>free environment and producing something called biochar, which is an

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:42.080
<v Speaker 1>excellent soil amendment. It helps crops grow more, Farmers crave biochar,

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 1>but it also sequesters carbon for at least a thousand

0:27:45.320 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>years according to a new white paper. And so we're

0:27:47.280 --> 0:27:49.440
<v Speaker 1>really excited about companies and technologies like this.

0:27:49.640 --> 0:27:53.040
<v Speaker 2>Huh, really interesting. What about just straight up energy production?

0:27:53.600 --> 0:27:59.600
<v Speaker 2>It seems like it's been mostly incremental improvements in the

0:27:59.760 --> 0:28:05.000
<v Speaker 2>cost of solar and winds, but not so much the productivity.

0:28:04.760 --> 0:28:09.360
<v Speaker 2>They've also been very very gradual. Do we need an

0:28:09.520 --> 0:28:14.239
<v Speaker 2>order of magnitude improvement in the production of energy or

0:28:14.320 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 2>is it just something we're going to grind away at

0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 2>for decades at a time.

0:28:17.800 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 1>We need a paradigm shift and energy production. You know,

0:28:21.040 --> 0:28:23.600
<v Speaker 1>if you're gonna electrify everything, think for a moment about

0:28:24.040 --> 0:28:28.040
<v Speaker 1>electrifying every form of vehicle transportation. You're not gonna have

0:28:28.080 --> 0:28:30.159
<v Speaker 1>gas stations anymore. You're gonna have to charge them. And

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:32.680
<v Speaker 1>so that estimates are that the United States is gonna

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:35.960
<v Speaker 1>have to triple its energy product, its electricity production, and

0:28:36.080 --> 0:28:39.680
<v Speaker 1>its borders alone over the next fifteen to twenty five years.

0:28:39.680 --> 0:28:42.640
<v Speaker 1>An enormous undertaking. Right this we're talking about trillion dollar

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:46.480
<v Speaker 1>capex required to be able to reinvent the grid. And

0:28:46.600 --> 0:28:48.520
<v Speaker 1>at the heart of this is where can you dry

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:51.920
<v Speaker 1>drive the lowest cost electricity and have it to be

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 1>available plentifully and infirm power twenty four to seven and

0:28:55.920 --> 0:28:58.400
<v Speaker 1>so storage and I think batteries will be there.

0:28:58.400 --> 0:29:01.200
<v Speaker 2>That's my next question is, you know, I don't believe

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.600
<v Speaker 2>lithium ee on is the end game in battery storage.

0:29:04.840 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 2>They're just too big and too heavy and they have

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:11.680
<v Speaker 2>a fairly short life cycle. What's the next phase in

0:29:11.800 --> 0:29:14.480
<v Speaker 2>batteries that are going to be lighter, are going to

0:29:14.600 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 2>improve range, allow you to use smaller batteries, and aren't

0:29:18.720 --> 0:29:23.800
<v Speaker 2>gonna start dying after a thousand full charges and discharges,

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:26.560
<v Speaker 2>but have a lifespan of ten thousand or one hundred

0:29:26.560 --> 0:29:27.400
<v Speaker 2>thousand charges.

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 1>You know, there are a lot of interesting things happening

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:32.920
<v Speaker 1>in fusion right now that we're tracking. We have not

0:29:32.960 --> 0:29:36.480
<v Speaker 1>made an investment, but I think the rate of exponential

0:29:36.480 --> 0:29:39.840
<v Speaker 1>improvement and possibility in fusion is coming much faster than

0:29:39.840 --> 0:29:40.760
<v Speaker 1>people realize.

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 2>And in the nuclear fusion like what drives the sun

0:29:43.520 --> 0:29:45.560
<v Speaker 2>and stars at the universe.

0:29:45.640 --> 0:29:49.840
<v Speaker 1>Correct, So commonwealth fusion companies like Avalanches, which are in

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:53.080
<v Speaker 1>the lower carbon portfolio, incredibly exciting. In the interim, there's

0:29:53.200 --> 0:29:56.400
<v Speaker 1>interesting innovation for grid scale storage coming from companies like

0:29:56.440 --> 0:29:59.600
<v Speaker 1>form Energy and hopefully and Torah in our portfolio is

0:29:59.600 --> 0:30:02.320
<v Speaker 1>also going to to provide a huge storage buffer. And so,

0:30:02.360 --> 0:30:05.200
<v Speaker 1>as you correctly note, lithium ion is ill suited for

0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:07.760
<v Speaker 1>long duration storage, right for forty six hours, If you

0:30:07.760 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>need to slam something quickly, it's perfect. And so we

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:13.440
<v Speaker 1>think lithium ion will continue to power most electric vehicles,

0:30:13.680 --> 0:30:17.440
<v Speaker 1>electric aircraft, but for grid scale, long duration storage, you're

0:30:17.440 --> 0:30:19.680
<v Speaker 1>going to require innovation, and that innovation is going to

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 1>have hundreds of billions of dollars of reward waiting. On

0:30:22.280 --> 0:30:22.959
<v Speaker 1>the other side of it.

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:27.200
<v Speaker 2>You mentioned fusion. What about I keep reading about the

0:30:27.280 --> 0:30:32.040
<v Speaker 2>smaller scale traditional fission nuclear plants. We haven't built a

0:30:32.080 --> 0:30:36.000
<v Speaker 2>new nuclear plant in the United States for decades. That

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:38.240
<v Speaker 2>seems to be changing now there are a few small

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 2>scale plants coming online. How do you look at nuclear?

0:30:42.440 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, I'm a bit of more of a skeptic.

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:46.440
<v Speaker 1>I think in the tech communities you get a lot

0:30:46.480 --> 0:30:48.120
<v Speaker 1>of folks who roll their eyes and say, just build

0:30:48.200 --> 0:30:51.400
<v Speaker 1>nuclear and you'll be fine. The cost overruns in nuclear

0:30:51.440 --> 0:30:54.760
<v Speaker 1>have been astronomic, and in building the grid scale plants,

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 1>everyone is different. Whereas the South Koreans are stamping out

0:30:58.320 --> 0:31:01.480
<v Speaker 1>units and learning from them increasingly over time, we don't

0:31:01.520 --> 0:31:04.760
<v Speaker 1>have those learnings here and so on average, a nuclear

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:07.080
<v Speaker 1>plant is taking twenty years to build. Way too, it

0:31:07.120 --> 0:31:09.880
<v Speaker 1>is going three hundred percent over cost, and so I

0:31:09.920 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 1>am excited about the miniaturized nuclear applications. We're going to

0:31:13.000 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 1>need a lot of energy to do things like electrolyzed hydrogen,

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:18.760
<v Speaker 1>and that's going to be incredibly electricity intensive and potentially

0:31:18.800 --> 0:31:22.240
<v Speaker 1>power direct air capture. So I think there's certain use

0:31:22.280 --> 0:31:24.360
<v Speaker 1>cases there, But again to learn that, you have to

0:31:24.440 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 1>modularize and build a factory method that allows you to

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:30.120
<v Speaker 1>iterate and improve on your production, not build these one

0:31:30.120 --> 0:31:32.520
<v Speaker 1>off plants that are all looking different, all running out

0:31:32.560 --> 0:31:33.760
<v Speaker 1>of money, all over cost.

0:31:33.960 --> 0:31:38.640
<v Speaker 2>I remember about a decade ago the Great reactor hope

0:31:38.640 --> 0:31:42.800
<v Speaker 2>with thorium kind of fell of the off the front pages.

0:31:43.160 --> 0:31:45.640
<v Speaker 2>What's going on in that space? You know?

0:31:45.800 --> 0:31:47.920
<v Speaker 1>I think a big challenge here is that there's real

0:31:48.040 --> 0:31:51.120
<v Speaker 1>national security issues around building nuclear plants. And if you

0:31:51.120 --> 0:31:53.640
<v Speaker 1>talk to the national security community, you know they're very

0:31:53.720 --> 0:31:56.600
<v Speaker 1>worried about being able to take enriched uranium and build

0:31:56.640 --> 0:32:00.000
<v Speaker 1>dirty bombs out of it. And so if you couple

0:32:00.520 --> 0:32:03.120
<v Speaker 1>the amount of intense regulatory scrutiny out of the nuclear

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 1>regulatory world, which is the most brutal place if you

0:32:05.840 --> 0:32:09.920
<v Speaker 1>want to talk about regulatory risk, national con security considerations,

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:13.080
<v Speaker 1>costs over runs, time, and a lack of deep specialization

0:32:13.160 --> 0:32:16.160
<v Speaker 1>in this country, I think candidly we're better off investing

0:32:16.200 --> 0:32:20.680
<v Speaker 1>in wind water through hydroelectric power, solar and batteries. Those

0:32:20.720 --> 0:32:23.200
<v Speaker 1>are scaled and ready to be deployed right now. And

0:32:23.280 --> 0:32:26.200
<v Speaker 1>fusion already happens right We're already harnessing the energy of

0:32:26.200 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 1>the sun in our solar panels. And so I am

0:32:29.040 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 1>personally more bullish on that as a method of deployment.

0:32:32.600 --> 0:32:35.960
<v Speaker 2>What do you think is the most exciting climate innovation

0:32:36.120 --> 0:32:38.320
<v Speaker 2>that we'll see come out in twenty twenty four.

0:32:40.800 --> 0:32:44.040
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of the IRA incentives, the inflation

0:32:44.080 --> 0:32:47.480
<v Speaker 1>reduction X incentives, have yet to be realized in the market.

0:32:47.720 --> 0:32:51.160
<v Speaker 1>There's a provision in the IRA called forty five X,

0:32:51.680 --> 0:32:53.920
<v Speaker 1>and what forty five X does is, for the first

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:57.120
<v Speaker 1>time since World War Two, pays OEMs to make things.

0:32:57.160 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>So back to my betting analogy, if you are a

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:02.240
<v Speaker 1>betting manufacturer and the government wanted you to make parachutes,

0:33:02.480 --> 0:33:04.480
<v Speaker 1>they would just pay you to make those parachutes before

0:33:04.480 --> 0:33:06.840
<v Speaker 1>they even bought the parachute, and so you were going

0:33:06.920 --> 0:33:09.560
<v Speaker 1>to see a staggering scale of deployment. We're investors in

0:33:09.600 --> 0:33:12.560
<v Speaker 1>a company called Harbinger, which is an electric mid duty truck,

0:33:12.880 --> 0:33:15.400
<v Speaker 1>one of the most important vehicles on the road the

0:33:15.440 --> 0:33:18.400
<v Speaker 1>workhourses that drop off all of our e commerce delivery equipment.

0:33:18.760 --> 0:33:21.240
<v Speaker 1>There is nobody building a good mid duty truck today.

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:24.040
<v Speaker 1>Harbinger is building a mid duty EV truck that is

0:33:24.080 --> 0:33:27.840
<v Speaker 1>going to beat ice trucks at their own game. Before incentives,

0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:30.560
<v Speaker 1>and when you factor in things like forty five x

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.560
<v Speaker 1>this company Harbinger could have negative cogs. And so when

0:33:33.560 --> 0:33:36.160
<v Speaker 1>you think about what that means for the scale of deployment,

0:33:36.360 --> 0:33:39.280
<v Speaker 1>I would say the big surprise is not a particular technology.

0:33:39.280 --> 0:33:40.880
<v Speaker 1>It's just going to be the speed and scale of

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:43.400
<v Speaker 1>deployment is going to singd your eyebrows. It's going to

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:45.760
<v Speaker 1>be incredibly exciting. You know this. We're talking about a

0:33:45.800 --> 0:33:48.360
<v Speaker 1>trillion dollar wall of money coming from the US government

0:33:48.360 --> 0:33:50.720
<v Speaker 1>from the Infliction Reduction Act, the Chips Bill, and the

0:33:50.720 --> 0:33:53.680
<v Speaker 1>Infrastructure Bill to scale the deployment of a lot of

0:33:53.680 --> 0:33:57.080
<v Speaker 1>decarbonized technologies to remake the world as we've described it.

0:33:57.080 --> 0:33:58.719
<v Speaker 1>And so that's what gets me really excited.

0:33:58.960 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, that sounds really really interesting. So one of the

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 2>things I wanted to ask you about. You had referenced

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:08.799
<v Speaker 2>how in a lot of technologies the government is the

0:34:08.840 --> 0:34:14.879
<v Speaker 2>big mover, and we could talk about everything from railroads

0:34:14.920 --> 0:34:19.200
<v Speaker 2>and the telegraph to more recently semiconductors. The one thing

0:34:19.239 --> 0:34:24.680
<v Speaker 2>we didn't mention is how the government essentially has driven

0:34:24.719 --> 0:34:28.040
<v Speaker 2>the creation of the Internet through everything they did with

0:34:28.280 --> 0:34:34.600
<v Speaker 2>DARPA and having a essentially hardened response to a nuclear

0:34:34.640 --> 0:34:41.320
<v Speaker 2>attack is effectively where the Internet came from.

0:34:40.080 --> 0:34:43.600
<v Speaker 1>You know, surprised to learn every single component of the

0:34:43.640 --> 0:34:47.280
<v Speaker 1>iPhone from the touchscreen on down has an origination story

0:34:47.360 --> 0:34:48.840
<v Speaker 1>from US government programs.

0:34:49.360 --> 0:34:50.719
<v Speaker 2>I mean, if you look at what came out of

0:34:50.800 --> 0:34:53.720
<v Speaker 2>the moon landings and NASA, it's everything from the microwave

0:34:53.760 --> 0:35:00.239
<v Speaker 2>oven to arguably tang But I think we underestimate the

0:35:00.320 --> 0:35:04.479
<v Speaker 2>impact of that private public partnership. Tell us a little

0:35:04.520 --> 0:35:06.319
<v Speaker 2>bit about what you see in that space and what

0:35:06.320 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 2>it's going to mean for climate transition.

0:35:08.640 --> 0:35:11.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, I just watched Oppenheimer with my business partner

0:35:11.160 --> 0:35:12.319
<v Speaker 1>to me, and I don't know if you've seen that.

0:35:12.600 --> 0:35:16.560
<v Speaker 1>Oh fantastic sensational and it's such a terrific example of

0:35:16.719 --> 0:35:19.400
<v Speaker 1>how the US government can do things so much faster

0:35:19.800 --> 0:35:22.400
<v Speaker 1>when it puts its mind to it, and in emergencies,

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:24.480
<v Speaker 1>and I believe climate change will be an emergency that

0:35:24.560 --> 0:35:26.680
<v Speaker 1>every will affect everybody, and we'll all have to spend

0:35:26.719 --> 0:35:30.239
<v Speaker 1>the rest of our lives solving together. There is no

0:35:30.800 --> 0:35:34.120
<v Speaker 1>entity large enough that can scale innovation quickly enough to

0:35:34.200 --> 0:35:36.120
<v Speaker 1>hit these net zero targets, and that's what makes it

0:35:36.160 --> 0:35:38.800
<v Speaker 1>such an important place. And you know, these national labs

0:35:38.800 --> 0:35:42.000
<v Speaker 1>started their origin from the Manhattan Project and they gave

0:35:42.080 --> 0:35:44.920
<v Speaker 1>us fission right. Ultimately, our nuclear plants came out of

0:35:44.920 --> 0:35:47.520
<v Speaker 1>the Manhattan Project, and it's a good example of what

0:35:47.640 --> 0:35:49.640
<v Speaker 1>happens when you get a lot of buying and a

0:35:49.640 --> 0:35:52.279
<v Speaker 1>lot of focus from government unlock things, which is what

0:35:52.520 --> 0:35:54.279
<v Speaker 1>the period of time we're about to enter right now in.

0:35:54.280 --> 0:35:57.400
<v Speaker 2>Clim So what other technologies do you find interesting? What

0:35:58.200 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 2>types of companies are you looking at?

0:36:00.920 --> 0:36:03.440
<v Speaker 1>So the heating and cooling of big buildings is a

0:36:03.440 --> 0:36:07.239
<v Speaker 1>place of major focus. The built environment buildings are responsible

0:36:07.239 --> 0:36:07.840
<v Speaker 1>for that.

0:36:07.560 --> 0:36:10.840
<v Speaker 2>That doesn't sound sexy and exigning that sounds like it

0:36:10.880 --> 0:36:15.560
<v Speaker 2>should be basic efficiency and blocking and tackling. But every

0:36:15.640 --> 0:36:17.759
<v Speaker 2>large you know, you look in a city like New

0:36:17.840 --> 0:36:22.160
<v Speaker 2>York or Chicago, it's an immense amount of energy consumption.

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:25.600
<v Speaker 1>An immense amount of fossil fuel energy, using natural gas,

0:36:25.640 --> 0:36:28.440
<v Speaker 1>still using diesel, still using coal in some cases as

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:31.560
<v Speaker 1>parts of the world, and yet everybody's urbanizing, we're building

0:36:31.600 --> 0:36:34.920
<v Speaker 1>bigger buildings, and it's becoming an opex headache in some cases.

0:36:34.920 --> 0:36:37.319
<v Speaker 1>And so we're investors in a company called Bedrock that

0:36:37.360 --> 0:36:40.200
<v Speaker 1>I'm excited to announce. This is a technology founded by

0:36:40.280 --> 0:36:42.880
<v Speaker 1>Joscelyn Lai and her co founder Sylview, who is a

0:36:42.920 --> 0:36:45.239
<v Speaker 1>chief scientist of Baker Hughes, and he's basically taken a

0:36:45.239 --> 0:36:48.680
<v Speaker 1>lot of ultra advanced oil and gas rig technology and

0:36:49.120 --> 0:36:52.680
<v Speaker 1>invented a miniaturized rig that can drill subsurface to the

0:36:52.680 --> 0:36:56.120
<v Speaker 1>depth required to unlock heating and cooling for huge buildings.

0:36:56.400 --> 0:36:58.640
<v Speaker 1>So CI am the largest asset owner America with a

0:36:58.640 --> 0:37:01.600
<v Speaker 1>million square feet on her ownership invested in this technology.

0:37:01.880 --> 0:37:05.080
<v Speaker 1>And this sounds like geothermal, It is geothermal heating and

0:37:05.120 --> 0:37:08.640
<v Speaker 1>cooling which is previously inaccessible to big buildings because of

0:37:08.680 --> 0:37:11.480
<v Speaker 1>the depth required to drill would meet a rig that

0:37:11.520 --> 0:37:15.080
<v Speaker 1>can't operate in urban environments. And so the magic of

0:37:15.120 --> 0:37:17.440
<v Speaker 1>this company is they can go to companies and say, look,

0:37:17.800 --> 0:37:20.799
<v Speaker 1>I can beat your heating and cooling bills with a

0:37:20.840 --> 0:37:23.880
<v Speaker 1>decarbonized solution that will save you money and op X

0:37:24.280 --> 0:37:26.279
<v Speaker 1>and get you an unbelievable amount of credits from the

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:28.839
<v Speaker 1>US government. And so those are technologies we get really

0:37:28.840 --> 0:37:31.560
<v Speaker 1>excited about. Built environment is forty percent of global emissions

0:37:31.600 --> 0:37:34.000
<v Speaker 1>forty percent, So it is not a sexy sounding thing,

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:35.920
<v Speaker 1>but it's very important. If you want to think about

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:38.239
<v Speaker 1>some of the more interesting sort of risk on parts

0:37:38.239 --> 0:37:41.520
<v Speaker 1>of our portfolio. There's an unbelievable company called Linean Labs

0:37:41.520 --> 0:37:44.880
<v Speaker 1>we recently invested in alongside Union's coare Ventures and a

0:37:44.880 --> 0:37:49.200
<v Speaker 1>bunch of other unbelievable funds. They're building sustainable aviation fuels.

0:37:49.440 --> 0:37:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Sustainable aviation fuels can take industrial CO two waste and

0:37:53.520 --> 0:37:56.720
<v Speaker 1>repurpose it and remake it using a Fisher trough process

0:37:56.719 --> 0:37:59.520
<v Speaker 1>and a reverse water gas shifter to then produce sustainably

0:37:59.520 --> 0:38:01.960
<v Speaker 1>aviation fuels. And we think this company can do it

0:38:02.040 --> 0:38:05.080
<v Speaker 1>cheaper ultimately than what jet fuel a costs in the

0:38:05.080 --> 0:38:07.880
<v Speaker 1>market over time. And so when you consider United Airlines,

0:38:07.920 --> 0:38:10.640
<v Speaker 1>in these companies, all of which have made commitments to

0:38:10.719 --> 0:38:13.920
<v Speaker 1>use half of their fuel mix for jet for sustainabiliation fuel,

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:16.800
<v Speaker 1>there's a software like scale up a thousand x increases

0:38:16.800 --> 0:38:18.640
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna need to see in the coming years. And

0:38:18.680 --> 0:38:21.080
<v Speaker 1>so that gets really exciting. If you can beat jet

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:24.000
<v Speaker 1>fuel at their own game and produce something cheaper, why

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:25.839
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't an airline want to use that?

0:38:25.920 --> 0:38:28.360
<v Speaker 2>And so so it's funny funny you mentioned airlines. So

0:38:28.440 --> 0:38:34.759
<v Speaker 2>when we look at ethanol, they're notoriously subject to they're

0:38:34.800 --> 0:38:38.640
<v Speaker 2>they're not as stable as petroleum. If you put them

0:38:38.680 --> 0:38:42.759
<v Speaker 2>in marine engines, especially in a salt water environment, there's

0:38:42.800 --> 0:38:45.120
<v Speaker 2>a problem with with they tend to gunk up and

0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:49.960
<v Speaker 2>they don't do well. And the tolerances in aviation fuel

0:38:50.480 --> 0:38:57.799
<v Speaker 2>are even more stringent than maritime or or automotive. You

0:38:57.880 --> 0:39:00.880
<v Speaker 2>can come up with some form of av fuel that

0:39:01.200 --> 0:39:05.880
<v Speaker 2>is able to fit those demands, and that incredibly high

0:39:05.920 --> 0:39:08.280
<v Speaker 2>requirements from the aviation industry.

0:39:08.680 --> 0:39:11.359
<v Speaker 1>Yes, think of being able to drop something into their

0:39:11.400 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 1>existing engines molecularly identical to jet fuel, a that happens

0:39:15.200 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 1>to be entirely carbon neutral, something that is actually derived

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:21.880
<v Speaker 1>from captured CO two, either atmospherically or otherwise. And so

0:39:22.040 --> 0:39:24.359
<v Speaker 1>this is what gets us excited, right. Hydrogen aircraft would

0:39:24.360 --> 0:39:26.680
<v Speaker 1>require you to invent a new aircraft. I think about

0:39:26.680 --> 0:39:29.680
<v Speaker 1>how long FAA approvals take. Electric aircraft will be great

0:39:29.680 --> 0:39:32.359
<v Speaker 1>for short distances, but for long haul aircraft, we don't

0:39:32.400 --> 0:39:34.400
<v Speaker 1>see a path given the weight and density of those

0:39:34.440 --> 0:39:37.160
<v Speaker 1>lithium ion batteries that you mentioned. And so if you

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:40.520
<v Speaker 1>can provide the multi you know, hundreds of billions of

0:39:40.560 --> 0:39:44.000
<v Speaker 1>dollars of jet fuel that is consumed every year with

0:39:44.120 --> 0:39:47.480
<v Speaker 1>something fully decarbonized, it's going to be a much attractive

0:39:47.480 --> 0:39:49.880
<v Speaker 1>and more easier path for airlines to adopt.

0:39:50.200 --> 0:39:53.920
<v Speaker 2>So you would mentioned how complex the regulatory environment is

0:39:53.960 --> 0:39:59.400
<v Speaker 2>for nuclear How much have the recent legislation the IRA,

0:39:59.600 --> 0:40:02.680
<v Speaker 2>the same Doctor Acting Infrastructure Bill. How much has that

0:40:03.000 --> 0:40:06.360
<v Speaker 2>allowed things to happen more quickly than they have in

0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:09.480
<v Speaker 2>the past in terms of regulatory approval.

0:40:09.640 --> 0:40:13.920
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to overstate how staggering and ambitious and exciting

0:40:13.920 --> 0:40:17.240
<v Speaker 1>the Inflation Reduction Act is. This is the single most

0:40:17.840 --> 0:40:22.560
<v Speaker 1>comprehensive and aggressive climate bill ever produced by any country anywhere.

0:40:23.120 --> 0:40:27.160
<v Speaker 1>And what this is doing is allowing OEMs and asset

0:40:27.160 --> 0:40:30.880
<v Speaker 1>owners to pull forward innovation because it is simply making

0:40:30.920 --> 0:40:34.560
<v Speaker 1>these things cheaper than fossil fuel alternatives because of these

0:40:34.600 --> 0:40:38.000
<v Speaker 1>eyewatering incentives. And so interestingly, I'll give you an example.

0:40:38.000 --> 0:40:40.360
<v Speaker 1>We actually have a company and a software company called Crux,

0:40:40.600 --> 0:40:43.600
<v Speaker 1>which is a marketplace for tax credits generated by the IRA.

0:40:44.000 --> 0:40:46.960
<v Speaker 1>The ITC and PTC tax credits will be about eighty

0:40:47.040 --> 0:40:49.600
<v Speaker 1>three billion dollars per year according to Credit Suites, which

0:40:49.680 --> 0:40:52.719
<v Speaker 1>is about seventeen percent of total corporate tax liability. And

0:40:52.760 --> 0:40:55.239
<v Speaker 1>so this will have to flow from the producers of

0:40:55.280 --> 0:40:59.040
<v Speaker 1>those credits to big banks, family office places like where

0:40:59.080 --> 0:41:01.440
<v Speaker 1>you work. That connecttion you monetize those credits and help

0:41:01.480 --> 0:41:04.600
<v Speaker 1>their client. Your clients save money today on taxes, and

0:41:04.680 --> 0:41:07.680
<v Speaker 1>so these software marketplaces will be really an interesting way

0:41:07.680 --> 0:41:11.720
<v Speaker 1>of demonstrating how giant the IRA opportunity is today.

0:41:12.080 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 2>So, what's the big obstacle that this form of investing faces.

0:41:17.160 --> 0:41:20.920
<v Speaker 2>This has been pushed back to ESG and the concept

0:41:20.960 --> 0:41:26.160
<v Speaker 2>of greenwashing. What you're really talking about is innovation on

0:41:26.239 --> 0:41:30.000
<v Speaker 2>the level of basic science as a physics, chemical chemistry,

0:41:30.320 --> 0:41:34.879
<v Speaker 2>material science. Tell us a little bit about what sort

0:41:34.920 --> 0:41:36.160
<v Speaker 2>of skepticism you face.

0:41:36.920 --> 0:41:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Well, for one, we can never bend the laws of

0:41:38.880 --> 0:41:41.839
<v Speaker 1>physics or chemistry, and so we are taking engineering risk,

0:41:41.880 --> 0:41:44.400
<v Speaker 1>but we don't take science risk as a fund. I

0:41:44.400 --> 0:41:48.240
<v Speaker 1>think the two hardest things to bet on are sticks

0:41:48.239 --> 0:41:51.040
<v Speaker 1>that come from the federal government that will actually, you know,

0:41:51.160 --> 0:41:54.120
<v Speaker 1>put a price on carbon and ultimately ban a lot

0:41:54.120 --> 0:41:57.720
<v Speaker 1>of fossil fuel alternatives. And second, higher interest rate environments

0:41:57.719 --> 0:42:00.920
<v Speaker 1>are going to be enormously punishing for capital and teens transitions.

0:42:00.960 --> 0:42:04.560
<v Speaker 1>And so I think the two obstacles we face today

0:42:04.920 --> 0:42:07.560
<v Speaker 1>are thankfully not technology, right, A lot of the technology

0:42:07.560 --> 0:42:09.399
<v Speaker 1>we need to do this transition is here. The two

0:42:09.440 --> 0:42:12.680
<v Speaker 1>obstacles are one, what's the regulatory environment that will force

0:42:12.719 --> 0:42:15.520
<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels off a cliff. And then two, how do

0:42:15.560 --> 0:42:17.759
<v Speaker 1>we ensure that this isn't more expensive? Because if you

0:42:17.800 --> 0:42:20.440
<v Speaker 1>go to working class Americans and a bunch of you know,

0:42:20.520 --> 0:42:25.080
<v Speaker 1>a feat over educated coastal elites say take this electric vehicle,

0:42:25.080 --> 0:42:26.600
<v Speaker 1>take this heat pump, it'll be better for you, and

0:42:26.640 --> 0:42:29.480
<v Speaker 1>it ends up more expensive, that will break the Democratic

0:42:29.520 --> 0:42:32.839
<v Speaker 1>Party apart. And so we need to really focus on

0:42:32.880 --> 0:42:34.279
<v Speaker 1>how do we do this as what they call a

0:42:34.440 --> 0:42:37.160
<v Speaker 1>just transition. How do you help you know, working class

0:42:37.160 --> 0:42:39.279
<v Speaker 1>Americans actually save money on their bills, how do you

0:42:39.280 --> 0:42:42.560
<v Speaker 1>produce give them something that is not just better but cheaper.

0:42:43.080 --> 0:42:45.920
<v Speaker 1>The median you know, savings account in America right now

0:42:46.000 --> 0:42:48.600
<v Speaker 1>is four hundred dollars of total savings. And so if

0:42:48.600 --> 0:42:50.239
<v Speaker 1>you go to someone say I need ninety percent of

0:42:50.239 --> 0:42:52.600
<v Speaker 1>that for a heat pump today, that's going to be

0:42:52.640 --> 0:42:53.120
<v Speaker 1>a problem.

0:42:53.360 --> 0:42:58.600
<v Speaker 2>What do you think of products like the Ford Lightning

0:42:59.120 --> 0:43:01.799
<v Speaker 2>one point fifty, which I think the base price is

0:43:01.840 --> 0:43:05.640
<v Speaker 2>something like forty thousand dollars that looks like a truck

0:43:05.680 --> 0:43:07.200
<v Speaker 2>that could find it. Did it go up?

0:43:07.200 --> 0:43:09.160
<v Speaker 1>It's fifty thousand dollars expensive.

0:43:09.400 --> 0:43:12.680
<v Speaker 2>It started originally at forty, maybe it's fifty now, Like

0:43:12.719 --> 0:43:15.440
<v Speaker 2>the cyber truck started at forty at sixty now, but

0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:18.960
<v Speaker 2>the lightning seems to be sort of that looks like

0:43:19.040 --> 0:43:21.880
<v Speaker 2>a regular truck, but you could power your house with it.

0:43:22.520 --> 0:43:26.040
<v Speaker 2>Are these things going to be useful in our energy transition?

0:43:26.400 --> 0:43:27.960
<v Speaker 1>You know? One of the tensions I have, just to

0:43:27.960 --> 0:43:32.080
<v Speaker 1>speak plainly, is that Americans like to drive big things.

0:43:32.200 --> 0:43:35.400
<v Speaker 1>But from a climate perspective, ultimately it is kind of

0:43:35.440 --> 0:43:37.839
<v Speaker 1>a joke to say, like the EV hummer is good.

0:43:37.880 --> 0:43:39.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, you're actually better off driving a used F

0:43:39.920 --> 0:43:43.399
<v Speaker 1>one to fifty Ford Ranger than buying a new EV

0:43:43.520 --> 0:43:45.880
<v Speaker 1>hummer because of the you know, carbon intensity of the

0:43:45.880 --> 0:43:50.120
<v Speaker 1>manufacturing process. And so that's the thing we need to missauge.

0:43:50.160 --> 0:43:52.280
<v Speaker 1>We do need to make this transition. You should probably

0:43:52.320 --> 0:43:56.360
<v Speaker 1>surprise in the like customers, but buying giant heavy vehicles

0:43:56.360 --> 0:43:58.120
<v Speaker 1>that are not traveling very far and don't need to

0:43:58.120 --> 0:44:01.360
<v Speaker 1>be as giant and heavy is not the ideal outcome.

0:44:01.440 --> 0:44:04.120
<v Speaker 1>Though probably this sort of consumer taste is here and

0:44:04.120 --> 0:44:04.960
<v Speaker 1>we need to fulfill it.

0:44:05.000 --> 0:44:07.440
<v Speaker 2>What we need to do is take like a nineteen

0:44:07.560 --> 0:44:11.320
<v Speaker 2>eighties era portion nine to eleven and convert those.

0:44:11.120 --> 0:44:12.959
<v Speaker 1>To who we're talking. Yeah, that can be my gift

0:44:12.960 --> 0:44:15.320
<v Speaker 1>after doing this podcast if you wanted to tend that

0:44:15.400 --> 0:44:15.600
<v Speaker 1>to me.

0:44:16.160 --> 0:44:19.040
<v Speaker 2>So let me jump to my favorite questions. We'll only

0:44:19.080 --> 0:44:22.560
<v Speaker 2>have you for a few minutes, starting with tell us

0:44:22.640 --> 0:44:25.800
<v Speaker 2>you mentioned Oppenheimer. Tell us what you're watching or streaming,

0:44:26.000 --> 0:44:27.320
<v Speaker 2>what's keeping you entertained.

0:44:28.160 --> 0:44:33.320
<v Speaker 1>There's an unbelievable TV show about the French intelligence service

0:44:33.400 --> 0:44:36.439
<v Speaker 1>called The Bureau that is a must watch and it's

0:44:36.440 --> 0:44:40.440
<v Speaker 1>sort of the like what a US allied intelligence service?

0:44:40.480 --> 0:44:42.799
<v Speaker 1>How they dealt with Syria, how they dealt with a rock,

0:44:42.840 --> 0:44:44.920
<v Speaker 1>how do they dealt with the United States from their perspective?

0:44:45.480 --> 0:44:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Must watch.

0:44:46.960 --> 0:44:49.600
<v Speaker 2>I just finished The Bodyguard, which was very interesting, and

0:44:49.640 --> 0:44:52.680
<v Speaker 2>it's the UK. And anytime you get to see how

0:44:52.719 --> 0:44:56.879
<v Speaker 2>a different country, even the entertainment, how they portray their

0:44:58.120 --> 0:45:02.600
<v Speaker 2>national security and police, it is always fascinating. Tell us

0:45:02.600 --> 0:45:05.360
<v Speaker 2>about your mentors who helped shape your career.

0:45:05.880 --> 0:45:08.920
<v Speaker 1>You know, my father, who is still the closest person

0:45:08.960 --> 0:45:11.480
<v Speaker 1>to me in my life apart from my wife, was

0:45:11.520 --> 0:45:13.400
<v Speaker 1>my earliest mentor and I couldn't be lucky to have

0:45:13.480 --> 0:45:15.719
<v Speaker 1>had him. And he was the one that always challenged us.

0:45:16.040 --> 0:45:18.040
<v Speaker 1>Let us said, you can do anything, but whatever you

0:45:18.120 --> 0:45:21.759
<v Speaker 1>do be the best at you know, push yourself and

0:45:21.800 --> 0:45:23.520
<v Speaker 1>do something big and help a lot of people. And

0:45:23.560 --> 0:45:25.799
<v Speaker 1>so that is the sort of challenge that continues to

0:45:25.800 --> 0:45:28.120
<v Speaker 1>push me today. I was also really lucky to work

0:45:28.160 --> 0:45:33.320
<v Speaker 1>for Governor Martin O'Malley, really closely with President Obama and

0:45:33.680 --> 0:45:36.560
<v Speaker 1>learn from them. And then guys like Julius Genakowski, who

0:45:36.600 --> 0:45:38.960
<v Speaker 1>is the FCC chairman, who's a partner at Carlisle now

0:45:39.000 --> 0:45:41.520
<v Speaker 1>an investor in overture, has been a long time mentor

0:45:41.560 --> 0:45:43.840
<v Speaker 1>and friend to me. And I'm also mentored by my friends.

0:45:43.840 --> 0:45:46.360
<v Speaker 1>You know, they say, to be happy, make friends that

0:45:46.360 --> 0:45:49.080
<v Speaker 1>are less successful you to be successful, make friends more

0:45:49.080 --> 0:45:51.160
<v Speaker 1>successful than you. And all of my friends are more

0:45:51.160 --> 0:45:52.919
<v Speaker 1>successful than me. I learned from them all the time.

0:45:52.960 --> 0:45:55.319
<v Speaker 1>And although you know what's like gorviy doll line, every

0:45:55.360 --> 0:45:57.200
<v Speaker 1>time a friend succeeds, a small part of me dies,

0:45:57.640 --> 0:45:59.000
<v Speaker 1>you might still feel a little bit of that.

0:45:59.000 --> 0:46:01.799
<v Speaker 2>But such a terror terrible I mean, I'm familiar with

0:46:01.800 --> 0:46:05.600
<v Speaker 2>the quote. It's such a terrible, terrible perspective. I had

0:46:05.640 --> 0:46:09.080
<v Speaker 2>a buddy from grad school who was wildly successful, and

0:46:09.120 --> 0:46:12.239
<v Speaker 2>people always ask me, doesn't it kill you how great

0:46:12.280 --> 0:46:12.919
<v Speaker 2>Jeff is doing?

0:46:12.960 --> 0:46:13.920
<v Speaker 1>I got a root for your friends.

0:46:14.840 --> 0:46:16.600
<v Speaker 2>He's one of my favorite people in the world. No

0:46:16.600 --> 0:46:19.920
<v Speaker 2>one deserves it more, and no one believed me, absolutely

0:46:20.120 --> 0:46:25.160
<v Speaker 2>absolutely nobody. Nobody believed me. So tell us about some

0:46:25.200 --> 0:46:27.360
<v Speaker 2>of your favorite books. What are you reading right now?

0:46:28.160 --> 0:46:30.719
<v Speaker 1>Books to recommend to the listeners. The Ministry for the

0:46:30.760 --> 0:46:32.759
<v Speaker 1>Future is the probably the best book on climate I've

0:46:32.760 --> 0:46:33.200
<v Speaker 1>ever read.

0:46:33.239 --> 0:46:34.840
<v Speaker 2>It's Ministry for the Future.

0:46:34.840 --> 0:46:37.440
<v Speaker 1>Ministry for the Future. It's a climate dystopia of you know,

0:46:37.520 --> 0:46:41.120
<v Speaker 1>the first chapter involves twenty million Indians dying in a

0:46:41.160 --> 0:46:43.400
<v Speaker 1>heat wave and we are going to start seeing thermal

0:46:43.640 --> 0:46:45.680
<v Speaker 1>temperatures around one hundred and fifty five degrees, which has

0:46:45.719 --> 0:46:48.680
<v Speaker 1>got clocked in Tehran, and so imagine what happens to

0:46:48.760 --> 0:46:51.080
<v Speaker 1>human life? How does human life flourish in those temperatures?

0:46:51.760 --> 0:46:54.480
<v Speaker 1>And then every other chapter is a scientific sort of

0:46:54.520 --> 0:46:57.760
<v Speaker 1>examination of the underlying sort of science transition. So Ministry

0:46:57.760 --> 0:47:02.280
<v Speaker 1>for the Future is fantastic. Just read David Wallace Wells's

0:47:02.280 --> 0:47:07.000
<v Speaker 1>book The Uninhabitable Earth, which is excellent. You'll need a

0:47:07.040 --> 0:47:08.600
<v Speaker 1>shot of whiskey after reading it.

0:47:08.680 --> 0:47:11.560
<v Speaker 2>Oh, really a little depressing, a little tough.

0:47:11.719 --> 0:47:13.239
<v Speaker 1>But you know, he has this sort of line that

0:47:13.280 --> 0:47:14.560
<v Speaker 1>our kids will look at us in the eye one

0:47:14.600 --> 0:47:16.799
<v Speaker 1>day and say what were you thinking? Or were you

0:47:16.840 --> 0:47:18.560
<v Speaker 1>even thinking at all? Which kind of haunts me.

0:47:19.480 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 2>There is a fascinating book that was very early in

0:47:24.280 --> 0:47:28.680
<v Speaker 2>energy investment called Windfall, and it's really fascinating because it

0:47:28.800 --> 0:47:33.840
<v Speaker 2>goes to the various investment banks and funds and talks

0:47:33.920 --> 0:47:36.840
<v Speaker 2>about whatever's hot's going to get hotter, whatever's what's going

0:47:36.920 --> 0:47:40.160
<v Speaker 2>to get wetter? And here are all these companies and

0:47:40.280 --> 0:47:45.839
<v Speaker 2>technologies that climate is almost secondary their for profit, and

0:47:45.920 --> 0:47:48.560
<v Speaker 2>some of them have done exceedingly well. Really, really was

0:47:48.600 --> 0:47:51.280
<v Speaker 2>a fascinating book. And now we're down to our last

0:47:51.280 --> 0:47:54.760
<v Speaker 2>two questions. What sort of unless you have more books?

0:47:54.760 --> 0:47:58.120
<v Speaker 2>Did I interrupt the book? Fly? All right? What sort

0:47:58.160 --> 0:48:00.880
<v Speaker 2>of advice would you give to a recent college grad

0:48:01.400 --> 0:48:08.279
<v Speaker 2>interested in a career in either climate change investing, venture investing,

0:48:08.680 --> 0:48:09.480
<v Speaker 2>or politics.

0:48:11.480 --> 0:48:14.400
<v Speaker 1>I think a startup is the equivalent of a campaign,

0:48:14.640 --> 0:48:19.520
<v Speaker 1>which is incredibly flat, incredibly labor intensive, and so my

0:48:19.560 --> 0:48:21.480
<v Speaker 1>advice to anyone that wants to get involved in politics

0:48:21.560 --> 0:48:23.520
<v Speaker 1>or in climate is go work at a startup, or

0:48:23.520 --> 0:48:26.480
<v Speaker 1>go work in a campaign, and just be the person

0:48:26.520 --> 0:48:28.719
<v Speaker 1>they can turn to if you figure that out, if

0:48:28.719 --> 0:48:30.080
<v Speaker 1>you can be a person that I can turn to,

0:48:30.200 --> 0:48:33.000
<v Speaker 1>or any leader can turn to and know that they

0:48:33.040 --> 0:48:35.120
<v Speaker 1>are going to handle that task. Well, you know, there's

0:48:35.160 --> 0:48:36.200
<v Speaker 1>a really quick ramp.

0:48:36.080 --> 0:48:39.279
<v Speaker 2>Rate for you. And our final question, what do you

0:48:39.280 --> 0:48:42.799
<v Speaker 2>know about the world of venture investing today? You wish

0:48:42.800 --> 0:48:44.959
<v Speaker 2>you knew ten twenty years ago when you were first

0:48:44.960 --> 0:48:46.160
<v Speaker 2>getting started.

0:48:46.680 --> 0:48:48.279
<v Speaker 1>That it would have been better to get started ten

0:48:48.360 --> 0:48:49.280
<v Speaker 1>years ago than today.

0:48:50.160 --> 0:48:52.360
<v Speaker 2>So that wasn't too early ten years ago.

0:48:52.239 --> 0:48:53.960
<v Speaker 1>No, I think ten years ago it was still a

0:48:54.000 --> 0:48:56.680
<v Speaker 1>little bit more of a cottage industry with ultra low

0:48:56.680 --> 0:48:59.960
<v Speaker 1>cost interest rates and the zero interest rate environment allows

0:49:00.360 --> 0:49:05.240
<v Speaker 1>folks to take rewarding bets that you know, delayed revenue

0:49:05.280 --> 0:49:08.400
<v Speaker 1>recognition for ten years because it was a quick, effectively

0:49:08.440 --> 0:49:11.480
<v Speaker 1>free and so that was a heyday. I wish I

0:49:11.520 --> 0:49:13.640
<v Speaker 1>had been doing venture more consciously then.

0:49:14.000 --> 0:49:16.279
<v Speaker 2>You know, it's funny I say the same thing about

0:49:16.360 --> 0:49:19.200
<v Speaker 2>running an investment firm, because I see these firms have

0:49:19.320 --> 0:49:22.319
<v Speaker 2>been around thirty forty years and it's like, God, if

0:49:22.360 --> 0:49:24.680
<v Speaker 2>I would have started in you know, eighty two, we'd

0:49:24.719 --> 0:49:27.319
<v Speaker 2>be a trillion dollars. I can't. I feel like I'm

0:49:27.400 --> 0:49:30.399
<v Speaker 2>late to the party. I recognize the same thing with you,

0:49:30.760 --> 0:49:33.320
<v Speaker 2>but it's never too you know, ten years ago was

0:49:33.400 --> 0:49:36.280
<v Speaker 2>always the best time to do something, and the second

0:49:36.320 --> 0:49:37.200
<v Speaker 2>best time is right now.

0:49:37.200 --> 0:49:39.760
<v Speaker 1>There is a Chinese proverb the best time to plant

0:49:39.760 --> 0:49:41.520
<v Speaker 1>a tree was one hundred years ago, but the second

0:49:41.560 --> 0:49:45.080
<v Speaker 1>best time is today. Perfect. But I will say, you know,

0:49:45.520 --> 0:49:48.400
<v Speaker 1>I do think in climate is one of these mega

0:49:48.480 --> 0:49:51.000
<v Speaker 1>trends that is going that is just here and it

0:49:51.040 --> 0:49:54.320
<v Speaker 1>doesn't you know, it is probably the easiest arbitrage investment

0:49:54.440 --> 0:49:57.440
<v Speaker 1>I can imagine, which is to bet on scientists or

0:49:57.640 --> 0:50:00.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, an opinions that editor at the wall Stree Journal.

0:50:00.800 --> 0:50:03.760
<v Speaker 1>And so, you know, I just recommend to the listeners

0:50:03.800 --> 0:50:05.560
<v Speaker 1>to really start paying attention to this. Once you start

0:50:05.600 --> 0:50:08.359
<v Speaker 1>looking at it, the investment opportunity, the opportunity to make

0:50:08.440 --> 0:50:11.879
<v Speaker 1>money is eyewatering. In addition to being able to sleep

0:50:11.920 --> 0:50:12.359
<v Speaker 1>all night.

0:50:12.640 --> 0:50:15.880
<v Speaker 2>That's great. We have been speaking with show Meek Dutta,

0:50:16.160 --> 0:50:20.359
<v Speaker 2>co founder and managing partner at Overture Climate VC. If

0:50:20.400 --> 0:50:23.000
<v Speaker 2>you enjoy this conversation, well, be sure and check out

0:50:23.239 --> 0:50:26.000
<v Speaker 2>any of the previous five hundred or so we've done

0:50:26.120 --> 0:50:31.200
<v Speaker 2>over the past nine years. You can find those at iTunes, Spotify, YouTube,

0:50:31.560 --> 0:50:35.480
<v Speaker 2>wherever you find your favorite podcasts. Sign up from my

0:50:35.600 --> 0:50:38.719
<v Speaker 2>daily reading list at Ridhelts dot com. Follow me on

0:50:38.760 --> 0:50:41.560
<v Speaker 2>Twitter or x or whatever you want to call it.

0:50:42.200 --> 0:50:45.160
<v Speaker 2>Hopefully it's still around by the time this broadcast. At

0:50:45.239 --> 0:50:49.360
<v Speaker 2>Ridholt's follow all of the Bloomberg Family of podcasts at

0:50:49.600 --> 0:50:52.319
<v Speaker 2>podcast I would be remiss if I did not thank

0:50:52.360 --> 0:50:55.720
<v Speaker 2>the crack team that helps me put these conversations together

0:50:55.920 --> 0:51:00.239
<v Speaker 2>each week. My engineer this week is Kayleie Lapara uh

0:51:00.239 --> 0:51:02.680
<v Speaker 2>A tick of Al Brown is our project manager. Sean

0:51:02.800 --> 0:51:06.480
<v Speaker 2>Russo is my head of research. Anna Luke is my producer.

0:51:07.160 --> 0:51:11.120
<v Speaker 2>I'm Barry Ritolts. You've been listening to Masters Business on

0:51:11.239 --> 0:51:12.760
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Radio.