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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

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Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing.

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Speaker 2: We're sitting up to cash.

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Speaker 4: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible. Big bank, small bank.

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Speaker 3: I like to make money. All right, this is the

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Speaker 3: ultimate kabar want to pull.

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Speaker 2: And we are underway.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast. This is the Week

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Speaker 4: nine NFL Betting Edition. I am Chris Raybond and on

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Speaker 4: today's show, as usual, we will be breaking down our

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Speaker 4: top spread bets of the week.

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Speaker 3: In the NFL.

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Speaker 4: In the Sunday six pack, we will also give you

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Speaker 4: our favorite over underpick of the week, our favorite teaser

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Speaker 4: money line, under parlay, and Survivor pool pick. But as always,

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Speaker 4: we're going to start you off by breaking down the

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Speaker 4: Thursday night football game. So let's get right into the

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Speaker 4: Thursday night preview. But before we do, I just want

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Speaker 4: to remind you guys check out the Action Network app

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Speaker 4: because it's my favorite app.

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Speaker 3: It's free, it's in the app Store.

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Speaker 4: You can get real time odds, box scores, live win probabilities.

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Speaker 3: And the capacity to track every bet you make.

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Speaker 4: You can follow me, you can follow my co host Stuckey,

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Speaker 4: so be sure to check that out the Action Network app.

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Speaker 4: Let's get in to our Thursday Night football preview.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night Football for this Thursday.

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Speaker 4: We have the seven to zero San Francisco forty nine

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Speaker 4: ers on a roll, fresh off demolishing the Carolina Panthers,

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Speaker 4: going to Arizona to play the three four and one

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Speaker 4: Cardinals led by Kyler Murray, coach by Cliff Kingsbury. Ten

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Speaker 4: point spread in favor of the San Francisco forty nine Ers,

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Speaker 4: eighty percent of the bets eighty seven percent of the

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Speaker 4: money on San Francisco the over unders forty two and

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Speaker 4: a half.

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Speaker 3: Sixty six percent of the bets.

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Speaker 4: Coming in on the over in that one, but only

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Speaker 4: thirty three percent of the money on the over. Here

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Speaker 4: to help me break it down, the Prime Minister of

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Speaker 4: Degenerate Nation, my dude, Stucky Stuck, how was Week eight

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Speaker 4: and what are your thoughts on this Thursday night?

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Speaker 2: Week eight was slightly profitable, it was should have been

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Speaker 2: a lot better. I still can't believe the Browns didn't

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Speaker 2: cover You know how hard it is to get a

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Speaker 2: bet in the NFL plus thirteen and it closes nine

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Speaker 2: and a half without injuries. And then it's just that

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Speaker 2: the Browns average five point three yards were played to

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Speaker 2: the Pats four point eight and the gift gifted them

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Speaker 2: seventeen points. Dropping picks, dropping fumbles. I mean, it was bad.

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Speaker 2: And then at the end Baker Mayfield can't even get

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Speaker 2: a yard to get in the back door. But the

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Speaker 2: Patriots defense was exposed for some things that we'll get into,

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Speaker 2: and it wasretty much the first real offense they've played

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Speaker 2: all year. But we'll get to that. But I'm ready

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Speaker 2: to get into this week.

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Speaker 4: You know, just for the listeners out there, we are

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Speaker 4: keeping score. We give two points for our top pick

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Speaker 4: in the six pack, and then one point for the

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Speaker 4: other two and one for the over runder. We're tied

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Speaker 4: at twenty three, the only reason really being that I

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Speaker 4: picked against you in that Browns Patriots game, and as

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Speaker 4: you mentioned, somehow got the miracle cover. I mean, this

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Speaker 4: is one of those games where I wish, you know,

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Speaker 4: we don't get a chance to really watch these games together.

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Speaker 4: I just would have liked to see in your face

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Speaker 4: after like the opening sequence of plays for the Browns

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Speaker 4: because that essentially kind of dictated the outcome. I mean,

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Speaker 4: I've never seen something that bizarre. My favorite moment in

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Speaker 4: that game might have been when the Browns scored the touchdown.

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Speaker 4: I think it was to Demetrius Harris to tight end

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Speaker 4: and it was only the second passing touchdown. The Pats

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Speaker 4: have given up and they just look so confused, like, wait,

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Speaker 4: so we have to get off the field. It's like

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Speaker 4: it's not a punt, it's not a field goal. It

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Speaker 4: didn't look like they've ever gotten scored on before.

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Speaker 2: One thing I just want to bring up about this

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Speaker 2: pop we recorded on Wednesday night. Most of the time

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Speaker 2: all plays in the app, but once in a blue moon,

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Speaker 2: I might buy out, which is why it's important to

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Speaker 2: follow me. Like last week, I had the Chiefs plus five,

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Speaker 2: which is my top pick, and I actually bought out

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Speaker 2: of that at Packer's minus three for a little bit

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Speaker 2: and try and try to middle it as well. After

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Speaker 2: I saw that the Chiefs their injuries, but all along

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Speaker 2: their offensive line, all their defenders out, I just had

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Speaker 2: to get out something. So that's why it's important just

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Speaker 2: to follow us, and you know, read our guide that

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Speaker 2: will have out everything that I say on this podcast.

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Speaker 2: I do bet, but if some things change in the

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Speaker 2: line moves and I might want to get out, that's

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Speaker 2: why it's important to follow us on the app.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, absolutely, that's a great point. You know, we do

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Speaker 4: record this Wednesday. We have our draft even earlier in

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Speaker 4: the day Wednesday, so sometimes the lines move and sometimes yeah, we.

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Speaker 2: Haven't made our best. Thursday has changed. I mean, there's

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Speaker 2: the most important one we're looking for.

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Speaker 4: Like, there's a line today that we talked about and

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Speaker 4: we'll get into it later. But I kind of said, hey,

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Speaker 4: you know, you think this thing is going to.

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Speaker 3: Move because I might wait.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, there, you know, definitely follow us in the app.

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Speaker 4: You're at Stucky two, I'm at Chris Raybon. You can

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Speaker 4: see all our bets there. You know, if we decide

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Speaker 4: to not bet a game or we'd come different side later,

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Speaker 4: we try.

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Speaker 3: To middle it whatever it may be.

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Speaker 4: You can catch all our picks in the app as

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Speaker 4: well as everyone else from the Action Network. But with

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Speaker 4: that said, let's get into this Thursday night gare because

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Speaker 4: I mean, man, I like the Panthers last week.

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Speaker 3: I know you liked them a little bit as well.

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Speaker 4: And I thought they were not as good as the

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Speaker 4: forty nine ers, but a competent team that could kind

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Speaker 4: of come in there and give them keep the game close.

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Speaker 3: And man, was I wrong because.

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Speaker 4: The forty nine ers, it's like they have injuries to

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Speaker 4: both tackles, they have injuries to their full beck Kyle

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Speaker 4: youth Check, and yet Kyle Shanahan just completely out coached

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Speaker 4: Ron Rivera, who, by the way, is usually good in

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Speaker 4: these underdog spots. I think he's twenty four and fourteen

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Speaker 4: against the spread coming in as a dog. They were

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Speaker 4: just running out of formations that the Panthers no way,

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Speaker 4: in no way could have prepared for. They had wide

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Speaker 4: receivers scoring touchdowns on the ground, motions, shifts.

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Speaker 2: My favorite one was that fake handoff and then the

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Speaker 2: d end came at Jimmy g and then he pitched

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Speaker 2: it so like you're just you're getting that defender out

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Speaker 2: of the way with that fake. That was a brilliant

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Speaker 2: play golf.

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Speaker 4: You know, it's absurd, and you know it's crazy because

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Speaker 4: the Fantasy Flex this week, Corner was talking about how

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Speaker 4: he seems to be a week behind, when you know,

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Speaker 4: he was calling out some of his you know, favorite

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Speaker 4: kind of bounce back guys like he was like on

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Speaker 4: on Montgomery the week before and then he bounces back

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Speaker 4: this week.

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Speaker 3: Like I feel that way about.

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Speaker 4: The forty nine ers because I actually wrote up all

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Speaker 4: of our betting previews in twenty eighteen for the Action

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Speaker 4: Network and I was like, you.

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Speaker 3: Know, who's my sleeper super Bowl team?

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Speaker 4: The San Francisco forty nine ers, because I thought they

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Speaker 4: were well coached, had a lot of talent on the

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Speaker 4: defensive front offense. I thought that they have the right

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Speaker 4: quarterback and you know it didn't happen for him last year.

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Speaker 4: Of course Jimigi going down, but man, do they look

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Speaker 4: poised to get back.

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Speaker 3: Now?

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Speaker 4: The question is in this game stuck. This is one

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Speaker 4: of those nine to ten point spreads where we know

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Speaker 4: from you know, kind of looking into the data, they

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Speaker 4: don't happen often, but we know looking into this that

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Speaker 4: these are those spreads that are just really tough to

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Speaker 4: cover for a national football We favorite thirty eight and

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Speaker 4: nine for the underdog when it's a nine to ten

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Speaker 4: point spread. That's according to bet Labs, which you can

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Speaker 4: find on the Action Network if you are a subscriber,

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Speaker 4: So be sure to check into bet labs if you

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Speaker 4: really want to dig into all this data, but can

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Speaker 4: the forty nine is cover this number?

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Speaker 2: And I have to feel really compelled about a Thursday

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Speaker 2: night game just I always feel like you get some weird, fluky,

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Speaker 2: sloppy play. I do think the short week helps the

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Speaker 2: Cardinals in this sense that Kyle Shanahan doesn't have as

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Speaker 2: much time to get into the kitchen and you know,

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Speaker 2: cook up some new plays and new things, and maybe

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Speaker 2: he doesn't even want to show off some of the

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Speaker 2: stuff he has stored for a game that they should win.

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Speaker 2: I do think that helps a little bit. And it

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Speaker 2: is a semi you know, maybe a letdown emotionally if

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Speaker 2: there's such a big win after scoring fifty plus, But

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Speaker 2: you know, so then I look at Arizona and I say,

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Speaker 2: all right, let me see if I can make a

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Speaker 2: case for the ten point dog, which is generally going

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Speaker 2: to be a side that I want to look into.

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Speaker 2: And you know, the first thing that jumps out to me.

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Speaker 2: Number one is they can't cover tight ends or backs

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Speaker 2: out of the backfield if horrible linebackers and safeties. So

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Speaker 2: that's not good against the forty nine ers and kittle

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Speaker 2: weakest link.

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Speaker 4: I think against tight ends and all that inside stuff

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Speaker 4: with Swearinger. Now they released him a couple weeks ago,

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Speaker 4: so they've been a tiny bit better. But I was

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Speaker 4: actually tabulating every team against the slot, whether it doesn't

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Speaker 4: it could be a tight end, it could be anyone

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Speaker 4: who lines up in the slot. And the Cardinals given

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Speaker 4: up the most production in the league. So you're exactly

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Speaker 4: on point. It's going to be tough for them, especially

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Speaker 4: now that added Emmanuel Sanders. And remember Shanahan, it was

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Speaker 4: two years ago they were using Marche's goodwin out like

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Speaker 4: moving him around, putting him in the slot, and he

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Speaker 4: had huge numbers for this like five six game stretch

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Speaker 4: and everyone thought he was going to be kind of

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Speaker 4: a productive, you know, receiver going forward, and that really

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Speaker 4: hasn't happened.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I agree. I think that there's gonna be

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Speaker 3: matchup problems for the Cardinals.

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Speaker 2: I also look at Arizona offensive line major weak point.

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Speaker 2: I mean, going against the forty nine ers elite defensive line,

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Speaker 2: that's a problem. You know, they also have trouble stopping

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Speaker 2: the run. That's a problem against sanfrad So and you know,

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Speaker 2: I know that you know some people might point to

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Speaker 2: this and say San Frand has a beat Arizona in

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Speaker 2: what five years? I think they're zero and eight their

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Speaker 2: last eight. Now this team is completely different, but that

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Speaker 2: actually might serve as you know, somewhat of a motivating

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Speaker 2: factor for San Fran here and what could be you know,

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Speaker 2: you could argue that the baby they come out a

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Speaker 2: little flat, but this is a team that's owned them,

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Speaker 2: you know, over the last four years or so. So

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Speaker 2: given the spot and the spread and you know, Fran

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Speaker 2: the San Fran is legit because they're elite defensive line

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Speaker 2: and because of their scheme on how they play on

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Speaker 2: the back end. They also not only do they after

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Speaker 2: the quarterback, they also don't give up any explosive place.

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Speaker 2: They've allowed twenty explosive plays on the entire year. That's

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Speaker 2: fewest in the NFL. I mean, it's fewer than the

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Speaker 2: Patriots who have played clown cards every week. The forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers, who you know, you could have questioned who

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Speaker 2: they played and that now you can't. I mean, what

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Speaker 2: they did to the Rams, what they did to the Panthers,

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Speaker 2: they're legit. But this is you know, a market here.

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Speaker 2: They're going to be most likely overvalued in the near term.

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Speaker 2: This one I think the line might be a tattoo high,

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Speaker 2: but given all the matchup advantages and Thursday night complete

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Speaker 2: easy pass for me.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, And I think kind of compa problems for the

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Speaker 4: Arizona Cardinals is that you mentioned the offensive line. I

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Speaker 4: think the way you kind of keep the score close

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Speaker 4: against San Francisco is you turn it into a run

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Speaker 4: heavy ball game. We saw Washington do that in that

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Speaker 4: bad weather game where they just ran the ball all day,

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Speaker 4: and so San Francisco ends up not covering. Of course,

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Speaker 4: one of those nine to ten points spreads. They hit

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Speaker 4: nine to nothing shut him out, Like I don't know

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Speaker 4: when the last time a team got a shut out

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Speaker 4: and failed to cover. That would actually be an interesting one.

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Speaker 2: Johnson's hurt, he's a game time call.

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Speaker 4: I mean, I don't think he'll play, but he's a

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Speaker 4: game time called. Chase Edmonds has been ruled out, so

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Speaker 4: we should mention that Kenyan Drake traded from the Miami

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Speaker 4: Dolphins to the Arizona Cardinals, so they have Zach Zenner

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Speaker 4: and Alfred Morris also on the roster. DJ game time

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Speaker 4: call probably on the wrong side of question. A couple

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Speaker 4: of trends that are worth noting. Thursday Night, and we

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Speaker 4: talk about this a lot, but it's tough to when

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Speaker 4: you're the inferior team on a short week to stay competitive.

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Speaker 4: And Thursday night football favorites by seven points or more

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Speaker 4: are actually thirty nine and nineteen sixty seven percent against

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Speaker 4: the spread going back to two thousand and three.

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Speaker 3: That's per bet Labs. And I kind of have this theory.

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Speaker 3: I don't know how you feel about this stuff, but I.

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Speaker 4: Kind of feel like, because this is one of the

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Speaker 4: only situations Thursday Night generally when you see favorites are profitable.

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Speaker 4: You've been doing this for a while, do you think

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Speaker 4: books are okay with kind of taking maybe like slight

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Speaker 4: losses leaving that line to where favorites can cover on

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Speaker 4: Thursdays because they know that you know that's going to

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Speaker 4: kind of get people in the door to then bet

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Speaker 4: all these Sunday games.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it is an island game, so it's so

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Speaker 2: heavily bet that I don't think so. I mean, I

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Speaker 2: think that you also have what would have sharp money

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Speaker 2: that would correct that. But it's it's one of those

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Speaker 2: things where everything is different, there's something missing. There's something

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Speaker 2: missing in how I model teams too, which is why

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Speaker 2: I always say I want to stay away. You know,

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Speaker 2: if a recreational better, if you're a booky out there

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Speaker 2: and recreational better has a big Thursday, maybe it sets

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Speaker 2: up for an even worse weekend. But I just think

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Speaker 2: these are hard games to handicap and set lines for the.

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Speaker 3: One thing I always go back to.

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Speaker 4: I was doing some coaching, some personal coaching for DFS

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Speaker 4: and happen to get this former O Ligneman that kind

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Speaker 4: of got into DFS and we would talk every week

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Speaker 4: and he would tell me that, you know, one of

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Speaker 4: the toughest things to do for offensive linemen is recover

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Speaker 4: from these games. And he said, you know, one thing,

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Speaker 4: going on the road, you know, just sitting on the

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Speaker 4: planes and stuff for these big guys is tough, and

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Speaker 4: sometimes some of the hotels, and also playing on short weeks.

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Speaker 4: So I wonder if it's just that a lot of

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Speaker 4: times the favorite tends to be the team it's a

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Speaker 4: better offensive line, because that's that's football, right. Perhaps you

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Speaker 4: don't have a lot of numbers to quantify, but maybe

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Speaker 4: offensive line is playing even more poorly on the short weeks.

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Speaker 4: As far as the total, it's forty two and a

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Speaker 4: half Now this is one where we are seeing I guess,

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Speaker 4: a sharp square disagreement because sixty six percent of the

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Speaker 4: bets over forty two and a half but sixty seven

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Speaker 4: percent of the money under forty two and a half.

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Speaker 3: Is this one where you're leaning under?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if I had to, I'd probably side

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Speaker 2: with the under here. I think that if San fred

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Speaker 2: is potentially flat, I think they're going to go run heavy,

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Speaker 2: but the number seems about right.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I would lean under his.

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Speaker 4: Well, early downs, I like to look at just early

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Speaker 4: down success rate. You know, that means getting four yards

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Speaker 4: on first down, half of the artists necessary on second,

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Speaker 4: and picking up a conversion on third or four. So

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Speaker 4: just a percentage of successes you have in San Francisco's

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Speaker 4: defense number one in the league in past success rate,

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Speaker 4: so they're allowing only thirty four percent of opponents plays

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Speaker 4: in the past game to be successful on first and

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Speaker 4: second down. But they are twenty third in the league

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Speaker 4: in run defense success rate over at forty nine percent.

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Speaker 4: So there's at least a chance that you know, the Cardinals,

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Speaker 4: you know, stay on schedule at least early in the

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Speaker 4: down and not put Kyler Murray in bad situations which

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Speaker 4: I think could lead to the under Let's wrap this

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Speaker 4: Thursday night football preview up as we always do with

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Speaker 4: the coaches pep talk. This week's pep talk comes to

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Speaker 4: us from Lieutenant Colonel Frank Slade from the nineteen ninety

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Speaker 4: two film Scent of a Woman, and we're dedicating it

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Speaker 4: to the Arizona Cardinals defense because I think that's really

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Speaker 4: the key here. Need to stop this San Francisco offense

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Speaker 4: which just put up fifty one hung a fifty piece

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Speaker 4: on the Carolina Panthers last week.

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Speaker 5: Wow, gentlemen, when the shit hits the fan, some guys

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Speaker 5: run and some guys stay. And if you think you're

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Speaker 5: preparing these minnos for manhood, you better think again.

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Speaker 2: What a sham?

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Speaker 5: What kind of a show you guys putting on here today?

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Speaker 4: All right, stuck, let's do it. Let's get into the

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Speaker 4: main event. It's time for the Sunday six.

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Speaker 1: Pack Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 4: All right, So, as mentioned last week, we each got two.

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Speaker 4: We're tied at twenty three for the year out of

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Speaker 4: a possible forty points, so we dropped under sixty percent.

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Speaker 3: So we got to get right back to it. It

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Speaker 3: was your pick first. So where are you going?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I'm going with my Baltimore Ravens. I

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Speaker 2: also have to clarify that I am the least bias

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Speaker 2: Ravens better. There's the Ravens have covered twice this year

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Speaker 2: against the Seahawks and against the Chiefs. Those are the

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Speaker 2: only two times I've did my pick in my six pack,

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Speaker 2: and the lag times I've said to bet them in

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Speaker 2: any way, generally have a good pulse on them, and

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Speaker 2: you know, bets come first. This is now a spectacular

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Speaker 2: matchup for the Ravens for I mean, I could spend

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Speaker 2: the whole podcast talking about this game. But look, the

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Speaker 2: Patriots defense, I said, since the beginning of the year

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Speaker 2: is the best the NFL. I said on this podcast

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Speaker 2: probably every week that we should just bet their unders.

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Speaker 2: And we were in the first whole month of the

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Speaker 2: season because their offense is not as good, but their

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Speaker 2: defense is lee and they were playing nobody. Now they're

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Speaker 2: always going to win the turnover battle, which is what people,

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Speaker 2: you know, should realise if you go back since Brady

356
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Speaker 2: got there, because Brady doesn't turn the ball over. And

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Speaker 2: you know they're also in a terrible division and play

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Speaker 2: terrible quarterbacks. But a lot of what's happening this year

359
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Speaker 2: has been a ton of luck because there is a

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Speaker 2: ton of luck that goes into turnovers. In that game

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Speaker 2: against the Bill in Buffalo, they got a punt return

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Speaker 2: for a touchdown, which basically got them that win. Because

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Speaker 2: if you look at the final stats in the game

364
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Speaker 2: against the Bills, who just gave up a ton of

365
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Speaker 2: the Eagles at home and the win the Bills at

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Speaker 2: three hundred and seventy five yards in that game, Patriots

367
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Speaker 2: two hundred and twenty four yards per play, Bills five

368
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Speaker 2: point three, Pats three point six. This defense is excellent

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Speaker 2: because they have great corners, good safeties, they're well coached,

370
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Speaker 2: well schemed, but they're very vulnerable against the run. Well

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Speaker 2: gets what the Ravens are gonna do. The Ravens are

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Speaker 2: going to line up, You're going to see two tight

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Speaker 2: end sets. You're gonna see two two, three running backs

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Speaker 2: in there at a time, and they're going to line

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Speaker 2: up and run it, and they're just going to run

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Speaker 2: it and run it and run it. Right now, that there's

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Speaker 2: the number one rush team in the NFL by almost

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Speaker 2: any metric, and when they do go to pass it.

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Speaker 2: The most interesting thing is what will the Patriots do

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Speaker 2: from a scheme perspective number one, because are they going

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Speaker 2: to play all their elite corners against a three tight

382
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Speaker 2: end two tight end set where the Ravens can are

383
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Speaker 2: going to line up and try to power. And the

384
00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,280
Speaker 2: Ravens also throw out of this. They throw out of

385
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Speaker 2: it a lot, and they have design runs for Lamar.

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Speaker 2: But when they go to passing situations. Patriots, why they're

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Speaker 2: so good is they can just man up, play cover zero,

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Speaker 2: no safety on top, and blitz. But if you do

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Speaker 2: that against Lamar Jackson, all he has to do is

390
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Speaker 2: get by one level and he's gone. That's just why

391
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Speaker 2: people say Alabama struggles against running quarterbacks because they play

392
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Speaker 2: man everything and then the cornerbacks are running with the receivers.

393
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Speaker 2: And if you look back historically the Patriots, one of

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Speaker 2: the things they've always struggled with. You Cam Newton, Mitch

395
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Speaker 2: Trubisky last year ran for niris mobile quarterbacks. Greg Rowman,

396
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Speaker 2: the offensive coordinator for the Ravens, states the Patriots five

397
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Speaker 2: times in his career, averages about four touchdowns a game

398
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Speaker 2: against the Patriots, and that's with Kaepernick and Tyrod Taylor

399
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Speaker 2: as the quarterbacks in those five games, so the Raves

400
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Speaker 2: are gonna have success running the ball. The Ravens also

401
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Speaker 2: have an enormous, enormous advantage in special teams DVA or

402
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Speaker 2: Ravens number one Patriots like number twenty eight. They're down

403
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Speaker 2: to on their third kicker. Now Raven's best special teams

404
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Speaker 2: in the NFL. But in those side of the ball.

405
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Speaker 2: The Ravens defense now with Jimmy Smith back, Marcus Peters

406
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Speaker 2: and I save before the Seattle game is a huge

407
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Speaker 2: signing and Humphrey on the outside, and they're just gonna blitz.

408
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Speaker 2: They're gonna blitz everyone. The only way you can beat

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Speaker 2: the Patriots and the only team that ever has done

410
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Speaker 2: it in the playoffs up in foxburs the Ravens because

411
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Speaker 2: they have great corners and they could hit Brady. That

412
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Speaker 2: is the only way you do. You can't play zone,

413
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Speaker 2: you can't play off man. You have to get up

414
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 2: in the receiver's face and you have to blitz. Well.

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Speaker 2: The Ravens have three elite man corners and they blitz

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Speaker 2: more than any team in the NFL. And the Patriots

417
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Speaker 2: offense isn't right. They have new pieces every week. Their

418
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,280
Speaker 2: offensive line has all the injuries. Now they have the

419
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Speaker 2: best offensive line coach the NFL. So I'm sure they're

420
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Speaker 2: gonna figure it out by the end of the year.

421
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Speaker 2: But right now, they can't run the ball because they

422
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Speaker 2: can't run block and they're you know, Brady doesn't get sacks.

423
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:35,439
Speaker 2: It gets rid of the ball so quick. But if

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Speaker 2: you're pressuring them, make them do that, and you have

425
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Speaker 2: elite corners blanket on the receivers, that's gonna make it

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Speaker 2: tough for them to run the ball. So basically, what

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Speaker 2: it comes down to for me is the Patriots defense

428
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Speaker 2: vulnerable against the run. Well, they're playing the best running

429
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Speaker 2: team in the NFL, and when the Ravens have to

430
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Speaker 2: pass it, it could open the Patriots defense up to

431
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Speaker 2: Lamar running the ball. They might have to start. They're

432
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Speaker 2: gonna probably have to spy them. I mean, it's belgier.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna come up with something, but it's they're not

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Speaker 2: gonna do what they've been doing all year. This is

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Speaker 2: the best team by far that they've played all season.

436
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Speaker 2: And the other side of the ball, the Ravens are

437
00:19:05,440 --> 00:19:07,720
Speaker 2: with their corners now healthy. That was the biggest week

438
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:09,320
Speaker 2: part of their defense. I look at all their defensive

439
00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:10,960
Speaker 2: numbers are in the year, it's because they'd have a

440
00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 2: second quarter. Well, I only have a second quarter and

441
00:19:12,600 --> 00:19:14,240
Speaker 2: a third corner with Smith and Peters back. The only

442
00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:15,840
Speaker 2: thing I want to see is who plays slots. I

443
00:19:16,119 --> 00:19:16,399
Speaker 2: don't know.

444
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 4: You're probably Humphrey, I would think, especially if I think

445
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:20,440
Speaker 4: Edelman right, he would track Edelman.

446
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,160
Speaker 2: I would think he's the only one that could play

447
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:23,600
Speaker 2: slot because Peters has to stay on the side and

448
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 2: stick to it. Jimmy Smith is not nimble enough to

449
00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,520
Speaker 2: play in the slot. But I also want to know

450
00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:30,840
Speaker 2: who does that when you want Humphrey to trail a

451
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 2: number one. Now, that's not as much of a concern

452
00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 2: against the Patriots, but is a great matchup. And then

453
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,120
Speaker 2: it's the Ravens off of a bye. If there's one

454
00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,399
Speaker 2: coach that's been great off of a bye, it was

455
00:19:39,440 --> 00:19:43,200
Speaker 2: three coaches and I always say them, Reid Belichick, John Harball,

456
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:45,720
Speaker 2: and the winner of this game will determine who's been

457
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,720
Speaker 2: the best against the spread, the most profitable coach you

458
00:19:47,760 --> 00:19:49,760
Speaker 2: over the past fifteen years off of by Belichick's not

459
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:51,280
Speaker 2: off a bye, but if Hardball wins, will go to

460
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:54,280
Speaker 2: nine and three against the spread and pass belichicks against

461
00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,640
Speaker 2: the spread percentage nine and three against the spread. After

462
00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,520
Speaker 2: by he's six and one at home. The one loss

463
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:01,520
Speaker 2: came against the Jaguars, and again the NFL it will

464
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,159
Speaker 2: apologize for there was a field goal that should have

465
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,119
Speaker 2: never happened. They had to send out a message. So

466
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,520
Speaker 2: you really should be seven to zero straight up after

467
00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:10,520
Speaker 2: a buye at home. This is a dream spot for

468
00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,760
Speaker 2: the Ravens. I don't even think that the Patriots would mind.

469
00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:15,760
Speaker 2: Bill Belichick is going to obviously coach when the geame,

470
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:17,280
Speaker 2: but they don't even mind if they lose this game.

471
00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,080
Speaker 2: He knows that there's some vulnerable weak points on this

472
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:21,840
Speaker 2: team and they're gonna be fine by the end of

473
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 2: the year. Their defense is still lead. They got to

474
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:25,920
Speaker 2: figure out some things on offense. But you're gonna see

475
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 2: that the Ravens are gonna not fail execution wise what

476
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:32,119
Speaker 2: we saw last week with the Browns, and again the

477
00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:34,320
Speaker 2: Browns could have won if they just didn't vomit all

478
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 2: over themselves. I love this at anything field goal or

479
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 2: above too much value for me to pass up on

480
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,280
Speaker 2: the Ravens. I think they went out right.

481
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,199
Speaker 4: You've bet against the Patriots a couple of times, and

482
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:45,360
Speaker 4: I go and I tell you why you shouldn't.

483
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,720
Speaker 3: Bet against the Patriots. This is when I actually agree

484
00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:47,920
Speaker 3: with you.

485
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:49,400
Speaker 4: Now, I don't know if I'm going to actually pull

486
00:20:49,440 --> 00:20:51,480
Speaker 4: the trigger on it, but I do agree there's no

487
00:20:51,560 --> 00:20:53,240
Speaker 4: reason to bet on the Patriots this week.

488
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,520
Speaker 3: So you either stay away or you bet on the Ravens.

489
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 4: I think I suspect what they'll do against Lamar Jackson

490
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:02,080
Speaker 4: is try to keep them in the pocket, which means

491
00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:03,840
Speaker 4: you might see more zone than usual.

492
00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:04,440
Speaker 3: You might see it.

493
00:21:04,520 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 4: You might see even a double spy with zero coverage

494
00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,600
Speaker 4: behind it, if they feel like they can still match up,

495
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 4: you know, to the Ravens receivers. Marquis Brown obviously may return,

496
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,160
Speaker 4: which would be a big boost for them.

497
00:21:15,240 --> 00:21:16,119
Speaker 3: But I do agree.

498
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:17,439
Speaker 4: I think the key is on the other side of

499
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,479
Speaker 4: the ball, where the Ravens can match up to this

500
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:22,159
Speaker 4: Patriots offense that has been getting by by playing some

501
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 4: of the worst teams.

502
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,879
Speaker 3: That they have. They've had the ball for a while.

503
00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:27,399
Speaker 3: The Ravens, you mentioned, they haven't covered much.

504
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 4: So when a team covers thirty percent or less, and

505
00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 4: then they're going up against a team that's fifty percent

506
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,480
Speaker 4: or better from Week six on the team that the

507
00:21:35,520 --> 00:21:38,400
Speaker 4: worst team against the spread is one seventy one oh

508
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:39,680
Speaker 4: four and nine since.

509
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:41,760
Speaker 3: Two thousand and three. That's a sixty two percent hit rate.

510
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 4: So I think there are a lot of kind of

511
00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:47,119
Speaker 4: factors that lead you to say, Okay, I'm going to

512
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,200
Speaker 4: back the Ravens in this spot, so I don't hate

513
00:21:49,200 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 4: that pick. For my first pick, I'm going with the

514
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 4: Jacksonville Jaguars in London in there essentially their home, because

515
00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 4: we know the Jaguars ball out in London. But I

516
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:02,119
Speaker 4: think I think that you know, they're getting this Houston

517
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,399
Speaker 4: team at the right time. Now, Houston banged up. You know,

518
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,280
Speaker 4: just lost JJ Watt for the year.

519
00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:07,800
Speaker 3: Which is big.

520
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 4: Still looks like they're going to be without Will Fuller

521
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:11,920
Speaker 4: and others.

522
00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, the secondary has been banged. Looks like Johnson Joseph

523
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,919
Speaker 3: the corner will be back, he's probable, but you know

524
00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:20,200
Speaker 3: it's just it's a banged up secondary.

525
00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:23,359
Speaker 4: Now you're losing your top essentially have the creator in

526
00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:27,679
Speaker 4: JJ Watt. Remember they already traded Jadeveon Clowney to the Seahawks,

527
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:31,160
Speaker 4: and you're getting a Jags team that Deshaun Watson. Number

528
00:22:31,160 --> 00:22:32,840
Speaker 4: one has struggled against Now I know it's been with

529
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,560
Speaker 4: you know, Jayleen Ramsey mostly in the lineup. But if

530
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,120
Speaker 4: you look at this Jags defense as of late, they're

531
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 4: kind of getting back to what they do well. A

532
00:22:40,200 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 4: Number one, they've been stopping to run a lot better

533
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 4: over these past two games. But number two, they are

534
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:48,240
Speaker 4: now number six in the NFL in pressure rate, which

535
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 4: kind of surprised me a little bit. But they're getting

536
00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,879
Speaker 4: pressures on twenty eight twenty eight point three percent of dropbacks.

537
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 4: That's number six in the league. And that's gonna be

538
00:22:56,080 --> 00:22:59,199
Speaker 4: a problem for Deshaun Watson. Now, no Will Fuller, you

539
00:22:59,280 --> 00:23:01,840
Speaker 4: have aj Boue who can shadow and has been used

540
00:23:01,840 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 4: in shadow coverage on Hopkins. Looks like QT is in

541
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:08,199
Speaker 4: the doghouse active but didn't play a snap, got replaced

542
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,240
Speaker 4: by DeAndre Carter in the slot. Newston's kind of just

543
00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:13,520
Speaker 4: been living on these magical Deshaun Watson plays.

544
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:14,320
Speaker 3: Uh, they've been.

545
00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,679
Speaker 4: They've been living on these plays, the tight ends that

546
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,439
Speaker 4: really have no business making them. I mean, Darren Fells

547
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,639
Speaker 4: has made so many plays that for a guy that

548
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 4: they they probably thought they were gonna cut.

549
00:23:23,320 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 3: Before the season started.

550
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,200
Speaker 4: But then Jordan Thomas and went on ir Khill warring

551
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:30,320
Speaker 4: those guys end up keeping them. But it's just a

552
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:33,000
Speaker 4: bad spot for Uston having to travel banged up against

553
00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:36,080
Speaker 4: the Jags team that has played in London before. And

554
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 4: let's not forget Watson banged up. I mean, we don't

555
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 4: really you know, made a crazy play with this vision.

556
00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:42,960
Speaker 4: Uh kind of impaired, I think, getting kicked in the

557
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 4: face in the open game, but it's telling that for

558
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,840
Speaker 4: an open team that gets zero pressure. Uh, and Loster

559
00:23:50,040 --> 00:23:53,200
Speaker 4: Center is starting center in that game. You know, Houston

560
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:55,000
Speaker 4: really had to kind of struggle to pull it out

561
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:57,919
Speaker 4: late with with a touchdown with six six or so

562
00:23:58,000 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 4: minutes to go.

563
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:00,679
Speaker 3: So I think this is a tough spot for Houston.

564
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 4: Usually when you want to back the Jags, they are

565
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 4: thirteen eight and two against the spread sixty two percent

566
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 4: as an underdog under Doug Marone. Houston under Bill O'Brien

567
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 4: over the last three in some odd years just eleven

568
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,440
Speaker 4: fourteen and two forty four percent against the spread is

569
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 4: a favorite. So this is usually kind of the spot

570
00:24:18,000 --> 00:24:21,320
Speaker 4: where I want to go after fade Houston and get

571
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:22,480
Speaker 4: on the side of the Jags who are.

572
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:22,760
Speaker 3: Playing a lot.

573
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:26,040
Speaker 4: But Gardner minshrew to thirteen touchdowns, two picks, playing really

574
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,280
Speaker 4: well under pressure, and that o Lie is getting healthier.

575
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you. I'm I'm either going to

576
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,359
Speaker 2: play the Jags or on my tease them. They're sitting

577
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 2: at one and a half, so they're a good teaser

578
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,280
Speaker 2: spot to to go over seven. I mean I mentioned

579
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,200
Speaker 2: this earlier when I played the Jags in Houston and

580
00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:41,440
Speaker 2: they almost won. Deshaun Watson just struggles against their defense

581
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:42,879
Speaker 2: because they can get a ton of pressure and they

582
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:44,840
Speaker 2: take away a lot of the deep stuff that he

583
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:46,800
Speaker 2: loves to throw. In four games against the Jags, he's

584
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 2: a seventy six point nine ratings, six hundred and thirty

585
00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 2: four yards, two touchdowns, one pick, one fumble loss, sack

586
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 2: fifteen times, so two touchdowns, two turnovers, completed fifty eight

587
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:59,000
Speaker 2: percent of his passes. This is the one defense that

588
00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:02,320
Speaker 2: gives him fit. Uh. Now, I will say it looks

589
00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:04,199
Speaker 2: like Dede Westbrook's practicing for the Jags, which is big

590
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:06,960
Speaker 2: because the wide rear is with him in there, it's

591
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 2: a it's a formidable wide receiving corps. But I did

592
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,880
Speaker 2: see Chark had some kind of something popped up today

593
00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:14,600
Speaker 2: with a quad. Hopefully that's not.

594
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 3: It's just like Wednesday.

595
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:19,360
Speaker 4: Like Wednesday injine reports are the most tilting injury reports ever,

596
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:21,680
Speaker 4: Like you can't like you just see like half the league,

597
00:25:21,760 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 4: especially in week nine popping up.

598
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:24,840
Speaker 3: But I think Chark Movie.

599
00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:26,479
Speaker 2: College at least is not as bad as college. They

600
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,680
Speaker 2: don't put guys out that just there's this is week

601
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 2: the week on a Wednesday. But the one thing I

602
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,359
Speaker 2: will say is the Jags lineback I mean the Marshall

603
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:37,439
Speaker 2: Darius is out, Ramsey's on this team, but the defense

604
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:40,680
Speaker 2: stole some players. Now the linebacker corps is decimated. Yeah,

605
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:44,080
Speaker 2: the Jaguars linebackers. They have no linebackers left. But I

606
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,720
Speaker 2: still like the Jags here and the familiarity factors will

607
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 2: put me over to the top. And that's what you mentioned.

608
00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:50,120
Speaker 2: I mean this is they played six games in London,

609
00:25:50,200 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 2: It's the most in the NFL. This is the first

610
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,359
Speaker 2: time for Houston going over there. The Jags lost their

611
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,480
Speaker 2: first two there. They were three and one since the

612
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,120
Speaker 2: one loss was a competitive loss to the Eagles. So yeah,

613
00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:01,000
Speaker 2: I agree with you there with the Jags.

614
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 3: All right.

615
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 2: For my second pick, you mentioned the Raiders so I'll

616
00:26:04,359 --> 00:26:07,080
Speaker 2: throw them out now. I like the Raiders minus two

617
00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: at home against the Lions. Look, the Raiders have this

618
00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:13,600
Speaker 2: stigma attached to their name because if they're the Raiders

619
00:26:13,840 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 2: and everyone wanted to laugh at them before the year,

620
00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:18,360
Speaker 2: But they've been playing really good football and a lot

621
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 2: of it starts with their offensive line. I know they

622
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 2: lost their center, Hudson, but then the Incognito might actually

623
00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 2: move over to center this week. They actually have a

624
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,560
Speaker 2: really good offensive line. It's top ten in my book.

625
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,199
Speaker 2: And you know, they have a running back which arguably

626
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:34,520
Speaker 2: you know, there's other names you're going to throw out there,

627
00:26:34,520 --> 00:26:36,400
Speaker 2: but it's in one of the best or the best

628
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:38,199
Speaker 2: pure running back in the NFL.

629
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 3: Oh already recalled.

630
00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:41,760
Speaker 4: I mean, no, we loved them in fantasy you know

631
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:43,920
Speaker 4: before the season. He's a guy we love this week,

632
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 4: but whoa, I don't think I've heard that one yet.

633
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 2: But he's he's not just just pure running back. So

634
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:51,560
Speaker 2: I mean, you obviously have like McCaffrey and Kamara who

635
00:26:51,560 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 2: are going to bring so much more out of the

636
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 2: backfield as well, you know, and Zeke there's obviously and

637
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 2: obviously your man up in New York. I'm just saying

638
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 2: he's in the conversation, he's probably eight percent of his carries.

639
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 2: You know, his elusive rating leads all NFL running backs.

640
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 2: I mean, it's he's really solid. They're averaging four point

641
00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:12,480
Speaker 2: eight yards per carry, seventh in the NFL. Yards per

642
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 2: play Raiders top six six point three. It's all starting

643
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 2: with their offensive line, their run game. They're getting protection,

644
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:21,320
Speaker 2: and what do the lines not do? They can't stop

645
00:27:21,359 --> 00:27:24,200
Speaker 2: the run. They're twenty fourth, given up four point seven

646
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 2: yards per carry, they get no pressure, twenty six adjusted sacker.

647
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,159
Speaker 2: They're all defensive lines also twenty seventh and adjusted lineyards

648
00:27:30,320 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 2: and their secondary is decimated. That was the strength of

649
00:27:32,520 --> 00:27:34,119
Speaker 2: their team and allowed them to do so much from

650
00:27:34,160 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 2: a scheme perspective. But it looks like Slagh's going to

651
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:39,159
Speaker 2: be out. They traded digs, it looks like Walker's going

652
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,680
Speaker 2: to be out, and they had two great safeties in

653
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 2: a lockdown corner. They're probably gonna be without all three

654
00:27:43,119 --> 00:27:45,480
Speaker 2: this week. You know, I really like the Raiders here.

655
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 2: They should have won that game in Houston last week.

656
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 2: Hit over seven yards per play and held Houston closer

657
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 2: to five. I mean, just some fluky stuff happened this

658
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:55,919
Speaker 2: team's playing really well and the market doesn't really realize it.

659
00:27:55,960 --> 00:27:58,439
Speaker 2: And the Lions are just so banged up in that

660
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:01,920
Speaker 2: secondary now, which was a strike. They have no running game. Now,

661
00:28:02,000 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 2: I will say this, you can throw on the Raiders

662
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 2: all day.

663
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:06,959
Speaker 3: So this is also the pressure either yeah, yeah, they

664
00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 3: get no pressure.

665
00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,160
Speaker 2: They know they can't cover. This is what I said

666
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 2: last week. All we played the Lions giants over I

667
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,680
Speaker 2: think in this case Stafford, they'll probably don't even try

668
00:28:14,680 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 2: to run that much. He should be able to get

669
00:28:16,880 --> 00:28:19,439
Speaker 2: time his weapons on the outside. He's going to have

670
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:21,400
Speaker 2: some success through. I think it's a good overplay as well.

671
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 2: But I think the Raiders find a way to win

672
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:26,960
Speaker 2: this game without all these their safeties, without Sleigh. It

673
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,360
Speaker 2: looks like this is a tough ass for the Lions.

674
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 2: The Raiders finally get back home and I think it'll win.

675
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 4: Personally, I'm going to wait until Friday because this is

676
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:38,200
Speaker 4: what we just talked about, these injury reports, and I

677
00:28:38,280 --> 00:28:40,120
Speaker 4: really have no idea what's going on with the Lions,

678
00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 4: because number one, I don't know if there's like holding

679
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 4: slay out on some kind of like it's like a

680
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:46,680
Speaker 4: Jalen Ramsey thing where he's just in a contract dispute

681
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:48,360
Speaker 4: and he's just not happy, and so they're not going

682
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,080
Speaker 4: to you know, he's not going to really push to play.

683
00:28:50,120 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 4: But so Tracy Worker did not practice, slated, Mike Daniels did,

684
00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 4: and and forget Yeah.

685
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:56,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, han.

686
00:28:56,320 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 4: So like a lot of guys are returning to practice, now,

687
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,719
Speaker 4: does that mean they'll play? I don't know, but I

688
00:29:00,760 --> 00:29:02,240
Speaker 4: do agree. I think this is a it's like a

689
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 4: coin flip game. I think the Raiders being at home,

690
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:07,560
Speaker 4: you probably give them the edge, probably the right pick,

691
00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:09,640
Speaker 4: but I think I'm gonna wait a little bit on that.

692
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,280
Speaker 3: One, just just to confirm.

693
00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:14,560
Speaker 4: Let's go to my number two pick, and I'm going Pittsburgh.

694
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:16,719
Speaker 4: And this is another team a little bit banged up

695
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:20,400
Speaker 4: as well, with James Connor, questionable Ramon Foster in the

696
00:29:20,480 --> 00:29:21,360
Speaker 4: cushion protocol.

697
00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:22,640
Speaker 3: But I think.

698
00:29:22,480 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 4: Pittsburgh it gets slept on because they started the season

699
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:28,360
Speaker 4: with these losses, but they lost to teams that are

700
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:31,040
Speaker 4: combined believe it's twenty six and four, and then they

701
00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 4: be teams on the other hand that are you know,

702
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:35,120
Speaker 4: atrocious as well, so it kind of evens out. But

703
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 4: I think this is a matchup of two in facing

704
00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:41,880
Speaker 4: the Colts a matchup of two more evenly team even

705
00:29:42,000 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 4: we match teams than we think the Colts.

706
00:29:44,480 --> 00:29:45,800
Speaker 3: I think a lot of people.

707
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,800
Speaker 4: You know, they're gonna remember that one victory against the

708
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 4: Chiefs where surprise a lot of people and probably you know,

709
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,720
Speaker 4: everyone's like, Okay, they're for real, and I think they're

710
00:29:52,760 --> 00:29:54,760
Speaker 4: well coached team. But I think the same thing is

711
00:29:54,760 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 4: true of the Steelers. I think the Steelers being at

712
00:29:57,480 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 4: home helps. I think the fact that the Colts are

713
00:29:59,600 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 4: strugg I'm going you know.

714
00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:01,320
Speaker 3: Adam nt Terry.

715
00:30:01,400 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 4: I mean, he's been up and down this year, missing

716
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,440
Speaker 4: extra points, missing field goals. So I think if you're

717
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:08,320
Speaker 4: gonna give me a point in a game where I

718
00:30:08,320 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 4: don't think, I think these teams are evenly matched at

719
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 4: the moment. I think Brissett it's been well schemed, but

720
00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:15,320
Speaker 4: I don't think he's playing quite as well as people

721
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 4: think or as the early you know, I think he

722
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 4: had ten touchdowns in the first five or six weeks.

723
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:21,400
Speaker 3: I don't think he's playing as well as that.

724
00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:24,360
Speaker 4: You know, he's in the bottom twenty, you know, outside

725
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 4: the top twenty in his Pro Football Focus passing grade.

726
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:31,840
Speaker 4: So Mason Rudolph Rusty to start that game against the Dolphins.

727
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,760
Speaker 4: If Pittsburgh covers that game or blows him out, I

728
00:30:34,760 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 4: think we're looking at probably Pittsburgh favored by one or

729
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 4: pick them. But since they didn't and Miami covered, We're

730
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:46,320
Speaker 4: seeing Pittsburgh getting a point here, and I'm gonna take it.

731
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:49,320
Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin love these spots for tom Win thirty two

732
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:52,680
Speaker 4: and seventeen with two pushes in his career at sixty

733
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:56,240
Speaker 4: five percent when the Steelers are an underdog.

734
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:57,880
Speaker 3: So you know again, I just think.

735
00:30:57,840 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 4: You look at that game against the Colts, excuse me,

736
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 4: against the Broncos for the Colts last week, where that

737
00:31:03,280 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 4: was a game that they probably had no business winning

738
00:31:06,000 --> 00:31:09,280
Speaker 4: in the first place. Luckily for them, the Broncos have

739
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:12,680
Speaker 4: their own issues which seem to always pop up. Now,

740
00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 4: you know in this post Kubiak post Wade Phillips era

741
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,800
Speaker 4: no matter what they do. But you know, they've been

742
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 4: playing some they lost to the Raiders. They they they've

743
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,160
Speaker 4: kind of been playing these close games where they come

744
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 4: out on the right side of some of them wrong side.

745
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,560
Speaker 4: But give me the Steelers at home if the gain points.

746
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:30,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean look that I agree with you here.

747
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:33,000
Speaker 2: I think the Steeler should be three point favorites. I'm

748
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:35,840
Speaker 2: gonna be on the Steelers here as well. You know,

749
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:37,720
Speaker 2: it is a short week and the only time. The

750
00:31:37,760 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 2: only thing I hate about fading the Colts is that

751
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:43,160
Speaker 2: they're just so well coached. Yeah, And I was saying

752
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 2: on Twitter, who is who are the Colts? And I

753
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 2: was debating with a few people I just throw out there,

754
00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,600
Speaker 2: and the best answer I can come up with is

755
00:31:49,640 --> 00:31:51,280
Speaker 2: there a well coached shitty team.

756
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 3: Now.

757
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,640
Speaker 2: They also have a really good offensive line, which helps

758
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:57,320
Speaker 2: might have the best offensive line in football. But that's

759
00:31:57,320 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 2: the best dancer I can come up with. And dy'veen

760
00:31:59,120 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 2: doing this a lot with smoking mirrors all year. And

761
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:04,480
Speaker 2: their defense is bad. They can't defend the run at all,

762
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 2: and all their cornerbacks are out. It looks like to

763
00:32:06,920 --> 00:32:08,959
Speaker 2: see her. They said that they want to hold him

764
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:11,000
Speaker 2: out until he's fully off, that he's banged up. Kenny

765
00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 2: Moore's banged up, I mean their cornerback, and they have

766
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,560
Speaker 2: no cornerback depth. You know. I think that the Colts,

767
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:20,680
Speaker 2: because they're five and two, are just overinflated in the

768
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 2: market right now, when really they've just they've benefited from

769
00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 2: I mean, I look back at that Texans game. They

770
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,640
Speaker 2: have five point seven yards per play, the Texans six

771
00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 2: point four. They're well coached here, but I do think

772
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,400
Speaker 2: that the Steelers have They have a defensive line that

773
00:32:34,440 --> 00:32:38,080
Speaker 2: can challenge the Colts offensive line. They're number one ADJUSTEDT

774
00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,360
Speaker 2: sack right, They're going to get some pressure. Their offensive

775
00:32:40,360 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 2: line is great, and they're still not allowing pressure. Now.

776
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:45,760
Speaker 2: The run game is struggled for the Steelers, but I

777
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 2: think a lot of that has to do with their backs.

778
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 2: I actually prefer Samuel in there as far as running

779
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 2: the ball, so I think the Steelers can move it

780
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 2: through the air end on the ground here, I think

781
00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:56,920
Speaker 2: they'll have a special teams advantage with the kicking in

782
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,000
Speaker 2: Hinz Field, which is an easy five and two cold.

783
00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 2: It's just that's what you're getting here. If they lost

784
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 2: a couple of the games, you know, they easily could have.

785
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:08,280
Speaker 2: I think that this line would be Steelers minus three,

786
00:33:08,680 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: which is where I have it. From yards per play perspective,

787
00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 2: the Colts are averaging five point four on offense Steelers

788
00:33:15,040 --> 00:33:17,600
Speaker 2: five point three. I mean these are bottom ten offenses

789
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:22,000
Speaker 2: overall from a yards per play perspective. Defensively, Colts are

790
00:33:22,080 --> 00:33:25,440
Speaker 2: allowing six point two that's bottom ten in the NFL.

791
00:33:25,720 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 2: The Steelers are five point three, that's top ten, and

792
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 2: that includes the whole season before they got Fitzpatrick. Their

793
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 2: defense and their success rates since they've gotten Fitzpatrick across

794
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:38,520
Speaker 2: the board has been significantly better. It's one of the

795
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:42,400
Speaker 2: most underrated acquisitions of the season so far. You know,

796
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,000
Speaker 2: it's not a star player, but their defense has benefited

797
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:47,240
Speaker 2: tremendously from it. I agree that I like the Steelers here.

798
00:33:47,600 --> 00:33:49,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, and just a couple of stats to back you

799
00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:51,720
Speaker 4: know that up the Steelers. I told you always like

800
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,640
Speaker 4: to look at those early down success rates. And the

801
00:33:54,680 --> 00:33:59,000
Speaker 4: Steelers number six in past defense at forty seven percent,

802
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,280
Speaker 4: seventeen against the runoff So at forty seven percent, the

803
00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:06,720
Speaker 4: Colts are worse in both areas. They're number sixteen against

804
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 4: the pass and number twenty one against the run.

805
00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:11,880
Speaker 3: Better offense, I think for the Steelers.

806
00:34:12,080 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 4: And Adam Vanteri has now missed four extra points and

807
00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 4: four field goals in seven games, and that's not what

808
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,080
Speaker 4: you want now kicking outdoors in a close game.

809
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 2: So yeah, all right. For my third pick, I'm going

810
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:29,840
Speaker 2: with the Bucks plus six in Seattle. Everyone out there

811
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,960
Speaker 2: already knows that I love fading Seattle. This team could

812
00:34:33,040 --> 00:34:36,400
Speaker 2: easily have five losses, but the defense is still a mess.

813
00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:40,320
Speaker 2: And now my favorite player also just went on I

814
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:41,879
Speaker 2: don't know if you saw this, just went on high

815
00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:43,000
Speaker 2: are Tedrick Thompson.

816
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 3: It's that an addition by subtraction though.

817
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:48,400
Speaker 2: But it would be. But then they don't have anyone

818
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 2: right now because Diggs is not healthy. So Carol came out,

819
00:34:52,120 --> 00:34:53,960
Speaker 2: I said, look, this is a great sign and getting

820
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:56,920
Speaker 2: Digs a great safety from the lines. Carol came out

821
00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,319
Speaker 2: today and said, we found some stuff that we still

822
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 2: have to work out. AKA, he wasn't healthy, so he's

823
00:35:03,080 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 2: not practicing. It doesn't look like he's gonna play. They

824
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:08,200
Speaker 2: got Blair backed. I mean their secondary is a mess.

825
00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 2: Matt Shob, I know some of it came in garbage time.

826
00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:14,120
Speaker 2: Matt Shob threw for what four hundred last week, so

827
00:35:14,239 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 2: the secondary still has major issues. They'd also don't get pressure.

828
00:35:17,360 --> 00:35:19,800
Speaker 2: So this Bucks offense, which can throw against anyone on

829
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:21,719
Speaker 2: a good day, with two of the best receivers of

830
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:23,920
Speaker 2: the NFL, should have a ball out there as long

831
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:26,680
Speaker 2: as you don't get a bad, horrible Winston day. And

832
00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 2: then the other side of the ball. State, no one

833
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 2: can run on the Bucks. That's just a given with

834
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:33,440
Speaker 2: their scheme and their front. Seattle now is down the

835
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,439
Speaker 2: third center, and it's a kid who's just not big.

836
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,560
Speaker 2: He's a smart kid, Joey Hunt, I think his name is.

837
00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:42,960
Speaker 2: And going against those there's mammoth dudes inside on the

838
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 2: Bucks defense, it's gonna be. They're gonna blow up some players.

839
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:48,360
Speaker 2: They're gonna blow up the run game. Bucks number one

840
00:35:48,360 --> 00:35:51,240
Speaker 2: in the NFL against the run, and they're gonna bring pressure.

841
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,800
Speaker 2: They're gonna bring pressure off the edge to prevent Wilson

842
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 2: from scrambling. Now, Wilson will have some success throwing against

843
00:35:56,480 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 2: the ball, that's an understatement. Everyone has success thro the Seahawks.

844
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:01,399
Speaker 2: One of his was to run. The Bucks aren't gonna

845
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:03,680
Speaker 2: let them do that. And I also think that the

846
00:36:03,680 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 2: Bucks can keep up with the Seahawks through the air.

847
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 2: And I don't even think the Bucks are gonna It's

848
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 2: not like the Bucks can really run the ball. Their

849
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,320
Speaker 2: Bucks are just gonna do what they did last week,

850
00:36:12,600 --> 00:36:14,839
Speaker 2: and I think they can have just as much success.

851
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:18,240
Speaker 2: So UH just banged up offensive line up the middle

852
00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:21,200
Speaker 2: with a brand new center and the decimated secondary. Give

853
00:36:21,239 --> 00:36:23,880
Speaker 2: me that Bucks offense, give me the run defense, and

854
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:25,799
Speaker 2: then the Bucks, by the way, speaking of records, are

855
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 2: two and five, they could be four and three. They won,

856
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 2: you know, they rolled in LA they won in Carolina.

857
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:34,399
Speaker 2: And you have a guy and Bruce Arians who's four

858
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,000
Speaker 2: and one in Seattle, in Seattle not you know, so

859
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 2: he's gone on the road. He's familiar with this team.

860
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:41,799
Speaker 2: These two teams are their records could be flipped with

861
00:36:41,880 --> 00:36:44,919
Speaker 2: a few bounces of the ball without Russell Wilson being

862
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:46,680
Speaker 2: a god. And then you see what you would see

863
00:36:46,680 --> 00:36:48,440
Speaker 2: this line three or four. So give me the Bucks.

864
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 4: My process, you know, for for kind of analyzing these

865
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:53,040
Speaker 4: games and deciding who to bet is you know, I'm

866
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 4: looking at all the matchups and all the numbers and analytics.

867
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:59,080
Speaker 4: We talk about pressure and early down success and uh,

868
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,239
Speaker 4: special teams, all that stuff, and then I use bet

869
00:37:02,320 --> 00:37:04,480
Speaker 4: labs a lot for the kind of the intangible factors,

870
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 4: you know, the trends.

871
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 3: You know, I'm not a person that's just gonna blindly

872
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:07,560
Speaker 3: bet on any.

873
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:09,319
Speaker 4: Trend, but I like to see, you know, okay, in

874
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:12,719
Speaker 4: this given situation, you know, before houses kind of turned

875
00:37:12,760 --> 00:37:15,240
Speaker 4: out and so I have all these kind of trends

876
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,280
Speaker 4: saved that you know, you know, for those not familiar

877
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 4: with bet labs, you know, for every game, any trend

878
00:37:19,480 --> 00:37:22,040
Speaker 4: you have saved, like say, you know, underdogs by ten

879
00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:23,919
Speaker 4: points or whatever. You know, it'll pop up for any

880
00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:26,160
Speaker 4: game that it matches. And that's how I kind of,

881
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 4: you know, try to avoid some.

882
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:28,360
Speaker 3: Of the traps, you know.

883
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 4: That's why a lot of times I say, hey, you know,

884
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,480
Speaker 4: everything says the bet against the Pats here, but I

885
00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:36,160
Speaker 4: don't know. And usually there's always these trends for the

886
00:37:36,200 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 4: Seahawks too, like, okay, you know, no matter what you think,

887
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:40,840
Speaker 4: the Seahawks have some kind of edge, whether it's p

888
00:37:40,960 --> 00:37:44,360
Speaker 4: Carol Russell Wilson. Well, this week, there are four trends

889
00:37:44,360 --> 00:37:46,960
Speaker 4: that are popping for me in this game for the spread,

890
00:37:47,080 --> 00:37:50,560
Speaker 4: and all four say to bet the Bucks. James Winston

891
00:37:50,600 --> 00:37:52,920
Speaker 4: as a dog is over fifty percent against the spread,

892
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:57,000
Speaker 4: Bruce Arians as a dog fifty four percent. Underdogs when

893
00:37:57,080 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 4: the total has moved down at least two and a

894
00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:02,319
Speaker 4: half points are hitting at at fifty four fifty eight

895
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:05,919
Speaker 4: percent on the season, and rogue dogs getting fifty percent

896
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 4: or more of the money. Since the start of last season,

897
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,560
Speaker 4: are covering at sixty four percent, which the Bucks are

898
00:38:10,560 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 4: currently getting so and nothing for the Seahawks this week.

899
00:38:13,040 --> 00:38:15,440
Speaker 2: You know, even you're catching six, you could have Russell

900
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,680
Speaker 2: Wilson a god mode at the end to win, but

901
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 2: you're still good catching six. So it's not like this

902
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 2: is a pick them.

903
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:25,200
Speaker 4: Right right, Yeah, it's it just really comes down to

904
00:38:25,640 --> 00:38:29,960
Speaker 4: how many turnovers Jamis Winston commits, because that's been the

905
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,480
Speaker 4: difference in these games, and especially with them failing to

906
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:35,279
Speaker 4: get that call last week really just sunk them.

907
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 3: And then Shot Perlman, I mean they got avent.

908
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:38,640
Speaker 4: They just got to play Scotti, Miller or something for

909
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:41,000
Speaker 4: Shot Peraman has been the biggest with one of the

910
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 4: biggest bus giving them absolutely.

911
00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 3: Nothing on offense.

912
00:38:44,880 --> 00:38:47,480
Speaker 4: For my last pick, and this is this is when

913
00:38:47,520 --> 00:38:50,719
Speaker 4: I might regret, but I think it's finally time that

914
00:38:50,800 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 4: I'm going to bet on the Cleveland Browns.

915
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:55,920
Speaker 3: They're going to Mile High.

916
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:57,719
Speaker 4: I guess it's kind of on brand still for me

917
00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 4: because I do love to bet against the Broncos. U

918
00:39:00,920 --> 00:39:03,719
Speaker 4: Joe Flacco called out the team the coaching staff last

919
00:39:03,719 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 4: week and mysteriously came down with a neck injury and

920
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:10,040
Speaker 4: now is out indefinitely. Uh, I wonder if there's any

921
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:13,040
Speaker 4: connection there, But you mentioned this stuff. This is a

922
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,000
Speaker 4: Cleveland team that went into Foxborough played well enough to

923
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:17,360
Speaker 4: win outside of the miscues.

924
00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:19,840
Speaker 3: You know, the all the talk.

925
00:39:19,640 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 4: Is on Freddie kin Kitchens and the mistakes he made.

926
00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:24,440
Speaker 4: I think he's gonna if there's ever a week where

927
00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,359
Speaker 4: he's gonna kind of be on his game and think

928
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:28,360
Speaker 4: about what he's doing out there, I think it's this

929
00:39:28,400 --> 00:39:31,120
Speaker 4: week and they're going against Brandon Allen for the Broncos,

930
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 4: who had probably had no idea that he was going

931
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:36,080
Speaker 4: to start even a few days ago. Look back at

932
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 4: his preseason numbers, he's been in the league for four years.

933
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:40,120
Speaker 3: I believe it is he.

934
00:39:40,239 --> 00:39:43,320
Speaker 4: You know, his in totality, his career numbers are still

935
00:39:43,360 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 4: like the stuff of bad NFL starters, which is not

936
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 4: what I like to see because I want, you know,

937
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:50,880
Speaker 4: if you've played four preseasons, I want your preseason numbers

938
00:39:51,440 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 4: to kind of look decent, you know, so when you

939
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:56,279
Speaker 4: come to the NFL, obviously their numbers aren't gonna be

940
00:39:56,280 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 4: as good. But six point seven yards in an attempt,

941
00:39:58,560 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 4: it's a completion percentage.

942
00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 3: Think sixty two to sixty.

943
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 4: Three more picks and touchdowns, So you know, I think

944
00:40:04,520 --> 00:40:09,319
Speaker 4: Cleveland Denzel Ward healthier. You know, they can kind of

945
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 4: give the Broncos problems. Courtland Sutton has struggled when he's

946
00:40:12,560 --> 00:40:14,680
Speaker 4: been the only the number one guy. You know, he's

947
00:40:14,760 --> 00:40:17,120
Speaker 4: kind of gotten by big play a real good stiff

948
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,840
Speaker 4: arm last week, but caught only three balls against the Colts.

949
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:22,799
Speaker 4: I think if you can shut him down, it's going

950
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,000
Speaker 4: to be tough for the Broncos to move the football.

951
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:28,080
Speaker 4: I think Cleveland getting better on defense, and all they

952
00:40:28,160 --> 00:40:29,600
Speaker 4: have to do is kind of win with the mistakes,

953
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:31,920
Speaker 4: which this is the kind of game where, unlike I

954
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:33,880
Speaker 4: think the Patriots, even if you make a couple of

955
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:36,200
Speaker 4: mistakes against the Broncos, it's going to be hard for

956
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 4: the Broncos on the other end to take advantage because

957
00:40:38,080 --> 00:40:39,320
Speaker 4: you know they want to run the ball. They're not

958
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:40,719
Speaker 4: going to take too many chances. And now they got

959
00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:42,759
Speaker 4: a backup quarterback. So as much as it might have,

960
00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 4: you know, if Joe Flacco was in the lineup and

961
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 4: he called them out, maybe they're more aggressive this week.

962
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 4: But with Brandon Allen, I don't know how much more

963
00:40:49,000 --> 00:40:51,319
Speaker 4: aggressive you can be because you're going against you know

964
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,200
Speaker 4: that Cleveland front Miles Garrett, you're going against Denzel Ward

965
00:40:54,480 --> 00:40:56,640
Speaker 4: in a game that's projected to be well scoring.

966
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:58,279
Speaker 3: I think you probably have to play it close to

967
00:40:58,320 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 3: the best. So don't feel great.

968
00:40:59,719 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 4: About betting on Cleveland, but I think this is a

969
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 4: time where they put it together and get and do

970
00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:07,760
Speaker 4: something convincing on a football field.

971
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:10,680
Speaker 2: Look, I don't have much faith in everything that I'm

972
00:41:10,719 --> 00:41:14,880
Speaker 2: hearing and have seen with Brandon Allen, but as a result,

973
00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:17,920
Speaker 2: I think what you're going to see here is the

974
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 2: Broncos run the ball forty three times maybe, and that's

975
00:41:21,960 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 2: one of the weaknesses of the Browns, especially you know,

976
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:26,719
Speaker 2: end easy passes. They're going to get easy passes. And

977
00:41:26,719 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 2: the weakness on the Browns with their corners back is

978
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 2: that linebacker and you know in that interior their defensive line.

979
00:41:32,120 --> 00:41:34,840
Speaker 2: If you look at some of their defensive rush metrics

980
00:41:35,320 --> 00:41:38,880
Speaker 2: on that defensive line, they're ugly. So, you know, Broncos

981
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 2: defense continues to play really well every week and this

982
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 2: offense continues to let them down every single week and

983
00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 2: they don't let up any explosive plays. They're top five

984
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 2: in the NFL, and that which is you know, really

985
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:51,840
Speaker 2: what the Browns want to do. I think the Browns

986
00:41:51,840 --> 00:41:53,719
Speaker 2: are the better team. I think I'm not betting the

987
00:41:53,719 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 2: Broncos here. I'm just playing Devil's avacate people listening. Where

988
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,320
Speaker 2: are the Browns out emotionally after losing that game? Just vomiting?

989
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,959
Speaker 2: Going to two and I don't know, there's seasons not over,

990
00:42:02,200 --> 00:42:04,959
Speaker 2: but going to Denver here for a second straight road game.

991
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:07,560
Speaker 2: They need to stop the run. If they commit to

992
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:09,360
Speaker 2: stopping the run and do it, they should win this

993
00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 2: game fairly easily. They just can't make dumb Brown's mistakes.

994
00:42:13,320 --> 00:42:13,959
Speaker 2: But that's it.

995
00:42:14,040 --> 00:42:16,360
Speaker 3: Like the Browns should have been better all year. We've

996
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 3: talked about it.

997
00:42:17,160 --> 00:42:18,600
Speaker 4: This is the game where they can stick with the

998
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 4: run if they want, with Chubb. And I think the

999
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 4: Broncos are going to struggle too, because the Broncos are

1000
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,000
Speaker 4: good when there's like one receiver to stop, like you

1001
00:42:26,000 --> 00:42:28,360
Speaker 4: saw the Colts struggle because you shut down to y

1002
00:42:28,440 --> 00:42:29,759
Speaker 4: Hilt and I have to get two catches. You know,

1003
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:31,480
Speaker 4: Chris Harris, he can shut down, he can take out

1004
00:42:31,520 --> 00:42:33,319
Speaker 4: one guy. But when the Browns have two guys, they

1005
00:42:33,320 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 4: have Landry and they have Beckham, so I think it's

1006
00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 4: a little.

1007
00:42:36,080 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 3: Tougher for them, so fair enough. You got it all right.

1008
00:42:39,040 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 3: So that wraps up our Sunday six pack.

1009
00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:45,560
Speaker 6: Hope you're enjoying this great action network podcast. I want

1010
00:42:45,560 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 6: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast network.

1011
00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 6: Locked On has a daily podcast on your favorite team.

1012
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:52,960
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

1013
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 3: You are locked down of the Dallas marriage everybody for

1014
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 3: the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's Go.

1015
00:42:57,560 --> 00:43:00,319
Speaker 6: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local x birts

1016
00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 6: who know your team better than anyone and give you

1017
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:05,200
Speaker 6: the inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and

1018
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:09,280
Speaker 6: search locked on your favorite team, subscribe to your locked

1019
00:43:09,320 --> 00:43:13,160
Speaker 6: On podcast, and.

1020
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 3: Now let us jump in to our favorite over under.

1021
00:43:17,239 --> 00:43:19,239
Speaker 4: This is this is an ugly one. I think the

1022
00:43:19,280 --> 00:43:22,919
Speaker 4: game's going to be ugly, so I'm going with the under.

1023
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:24,400
Speaker 3: I got it. I got it at thirty seven.

1024
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:26,680
Speaker 4: But the under in Buffalo Washington it's I think it's

1025
00:43:26,680 --> 00:43:28,120
Speaker 4: down a thirty six to five, So we'll go with

1026
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,319
Speaker 4: that for the purposes of the show.

1027
00:43:30,360 --> 00:43:32,600
Speaker 3: But listen, it's a low total.

1028
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,360
Speaker 4: Usually you're trying to be contrariant and bet overs and

1029
00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:37,719
Speaker 4: low totals, but I think this is on point and

1030
00:43:37,760 --> 00:43:41,239
Speaker 4: the fact that it's falling, signifies that Josh Allen in

1031
00:43:41,280 --> 00:43:43,360
Speaker 4: his starts the under is twelve and six.

1032
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 3: And then it looks like it's going to be another

1033
00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:45,439
Speaker 3: one of these windy games.

1034
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,319
Speaker 4: I know it didn't pay off in the Philly game

1035
00:43:47,360 --> 00:43:49,239
Speaker 4: last week against Buffalo, but it looks like it's going

1036
00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:51,480
Speaker 4: to be double digit wind. The under hits at a

1037
00:43:51,480 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 4: fifty six percent rate going back to two thousand and

1038
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 4: three when wind is ten miles peror plus. I know

1039
00:43:57,239 --> 00:43:59,319
Speaker 4: a lot of people tend to ask about that, how

1040
00:43:59,360 --> 00:44:01,640
Speaker 4: to win, to effect the totals in these games, So

1041
00:44:01,719 --> 00:44:04,279
Speaker 4: that's really it's when you hit that double digit mark,

1042
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,600
Speaker 4: and so when you see even nine mile per hour wins,

1043
00:44:06,600 --> 00:44:08,520
Speaker 4: there's really no change. Right when you hit that ten

1044
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,239
Speaker 4: you start to see the under hit at a higher rate.

1045
00:44:11,360 --> 00:44:14,320
Speaker 4: So I expect another ugly game. I expect Washington to

1046
00:44:14,360 --> 00:44:15,880
Speaker 4: try to keep it on the ground. They saw Philly

1047
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:19,040
Speaker 4: had success with Jordan Howard running against the.

1048
00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:20,040
Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills last week.

1049
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,959
Speaker 4: Buffalo gives up pretty much no zero big plays down

1050
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 4: the field, so Terry McLaurin, he might get his catches underneath,

1051
00:44:27,160 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 4: but I don't expect much from Washington down the field.

1052
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,520
Speaker 4: And this Buffalo offense in a game where they're the

1053
00:44:33,520 --> 00:44:36,600
Speaker 4: better team. I think that they are not going to

1054
00:44:36,640 --> 00:44:38,120
Speaker 4: have Josh Allen trying to do too much on the

1055
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 4: other side either, So you just gonna have two old

1056
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:42,400
Speaker 4: school coaches. We want to run the football and not

1057
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:44,000
Speaker 4: give up big plays. We saw it kind of play

1058
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:49,480
Speaker 4: out Washington Minnesota, nineteen to nine game Washington San Francisco.

1059
00:44:49,520 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 4: Granted in the bad weather, but nine nothing game. Give

1060
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:53,480
Speaker 4: me the under, even though it's low.

1061
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 2: I can't disagree with that. I mean, the only thing

1062
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 2: I would disagree with you is the numbers really low.

1063
00:44:57,840 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 2: You just got to avoid flukes. But as far as

1064
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:01,560
Speaker 2: you awoard, that should be good, all right. And then

1065
00:45:01,560 --> 00:45:04,000
Speaker 2: for my total, I'm going with an under as well.

1066
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,200
Speaker 2: I'm waiting on this right now. I've been putting in

1067
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:09,319
Speaker 2: the app the under Tennessee Carolina. It's under at forty

1068
00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:10,400
Speaker 2: one to forty one and a half right now. I'm

1069
00:45:10,400 --> 00:45:12,400
Speaker 2: going to see if it goes to forty two. Look,

1070
00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:16,399
Speaker 2: there's only been three defenses in the last decade that

1071
00:45:16,640 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 2: have gone the first seven weeks of the year without

1072
00:45:19,200 --> 00:45:21,880
Speaker 2: allowing an opponent to score more than twenty points. The

1073
00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 2: twenty thirteen Chiefs the twenty nineteen Patriots and the twenty

1074
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:31,320
Speaker 2: nineteen Titans. This defense is real and the reason is

1075
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 2: their front end. They added Jeffrey Simmons, who I love.

1076
00:45:35,120 --> 00:45:36,840
Speaker 2: I thought he was the best pick of the NFL draft.

1077
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:39,319
Speaker 2: Is on the defensive side. Now Bosa went, I mean

1078
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:40,880
Speaker 2: he wasn't gonna go wun. He had some issues. I'll

1079
00:45:40,920 --> 00:45:44,319
Speaker 2: feel everything's been great with Simmons. Simmons I believe has

1080
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:47,520
Speaker 2: a pass block win rate. He doesn't qualify yet of

1081
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:51,080
Speaker 2: like twenty eight. Bosa's like setting records at like fifteen

1082
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:53,600
Speaker 2: or six in say numbers for Simmons at his first

1083
00:45:53,600 --> 00:45:56,239
Speaker 2: two starts. Put him on that on that defensive line,

1084
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 2: and they're three to four with Daikwon Jones and Darrell Casey.

1085
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 2: Oh boy. Both of these offensive lines are the bottom

1086
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,520
Speaker 2: ten as far as run blocking is concerned. If you

1087
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,320
Speaker 2: look at adjusted lineyards. That's been some of the weakness

1088
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 2: of the Panthers. So I'm not as afraid as you

1089
00:46:10,000 --> 00:46:11,719
Speaker 2: know of what we saw last year, and I think

1090
00:46:11,719 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 2: we'll get a really good effort from the Panthers after

1091
00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 2: they gave up fifty plus last week. I'm not afraid

1092
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:20,520
Speaker 2: of Ryan Tannehill. I think we're seeing some regression here

1093
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:24,880
Speaker 2: with Kyle Allen of late. It's also a huge game

1094
00:46:24,960 --> 00:46:27,239
Speaker 2: for both teams, right, So the Panthers are sitting at

1095
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:30,000
Speaker 2: four and three, the Titans are sitting at four and four,

1096
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 2: So you might see both coaches play and you know,

1097
00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:35,880
Speaker 2: the titansuos all the time, but play it even a

1098
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 2: little closer to the vest, not wanting to make a

1099
00:46:38,600 --> 00:46:41,640
Speaker 2: mistake with their quarterbacks who weren't starters to start the year.

1100
00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:44,279
Speaker 2: We basically have two backups here. So I love this

1101
00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:47,720
Speaker 2: this Titans defense, especially their front with Jeffrey Simmons, remember

1102
00:46:47,719 --> 00:46:50,560
Speaker 2: the name. One of the best defensive linemen in the NFL.

1103
00:46:50,600 --> 00:46:52,120
Speaker 2: For I think he's going to be He's only played

1104
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:54,000
Speaker 2: two games. I thought he was coming out of college.

1105
00:46:54,080 --> 00:46:57,880
Speaker 2: His numbers in college were record setting. Since PFF started

1106
00:46:57,920 --> 00:47:00,239
Speaker 2: tracking metrics of defensive line. He was number one in

1107
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:02,600
Speaker 2: the last five or six years. But that defense is

1108
00:47:02,640 --> 00:47:05,120
Speaker 2: really good. It's really solid. They also don't allow up

1109
00:47:05,160 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 2: anything explosive. Give me the under weight on the forty two,

1110
00:47:07,760 --> 00:47:10,120
Speaker 2: but I still like it. Under forty one or forty yeah, well, I.

1111
00:47:10,080 --> 00:47:10,920
Speaker 3: Like it as well. You know.

1112
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:12,239
Speaker 4: The forty two is just to kind of protect you

1113
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:14,480
Speaker 4: against like something like a thirty five seven. It's not

1114
00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:17,040
Speaker 4: too much out common number, but yeah, if you can

1115
00:47:17,080 --> 00:47:19,560
Speaker 4: get it, why not. A note to our listeners, We've

1116
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:21,880
Speaker 4: had a lot of people reaching out to us about

1117
00:47:21,920 --> 00:47:26,320
Speaker 4: Action Network swag. How about a free Action Network hoodie? Well,

1118
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 4: we're running a contest this weekend. To enter, just leave

1119
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:34,360
Speaker 4: this podcast, the Action Network podcast a review on Apple Podcasts,

1120
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:35,840
Speaker 4: which you can do right now.

1121
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 3: From your phone. End your review with two things.

1122
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:42,319
Speaker 4: Number one, your favorite NFL Week nine underdog and we'll

1123
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:44,920
Speaker 4: get to our underdog moneyline parlay in just a second.

1124
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:48,719
Speaker 4: And to your Twitter handle. We will reach out to

1125
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,799
Speaker 4: the winner on Twitter on Monday, so be sure to

1126
00:47:51,880 --> 00:47:54,800
Speaker 4: check that out if you want a free Action Network hoodie.

1127
00:47:54,920 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 4: All right, now, let's get into our weekly teaser.

1128
00:47:58,360 --> 00:48:03,520
Speaker 1: Segment six point Deezers Stuck?

1129
00:48:04,239 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 3: Where are you going with your teaser this week?

1130
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:09,080
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the Jaguars and the Chargers. We

1131
00:48:09,080 --> 00:48:11,680
Speaker 2: already talked about the Jaguars getting them to over seven

1132
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:15,120
Speaker 2: or seven and above. I think in a favorable spot

1133
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:17,200
Speaker 2: for them in eighteen that they've played well. And I'm

1134
00:48:17,200 --> 00:48:19,040
Speaker 2: going to with the Chargers here. I think that the

1135
00:48:19,120 --> 00:48:20,719
Speaker 2: Chargers and by the way the charges. Every game the

1136
00:48:20,760 --> 00:48:23,279
Speaker 2: Chargers plays one possession, and if you throw out the

1137
00:48:23,280 --> 00:48:26,360
Speaker 2: Dolphins game, that's true again this year Philip Rivers is

1138
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:28,919
Speaker 2: a dog forty one, twenty nine and four overall fifty

1139
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:30,920
Speaker 2: eight point six percent against the spread. But if you

1140
00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:33,560
Speaker 2: chease Philip Rivers as a dog throughout his whole career

1141
00:48:33,880 --> 00:48:36,520
Speaker 2: six points, you'd be sixty one and thirteen. It's eighty

1142
00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:39,759
Speaker 2: two percent. All these games are are one possession that

1143
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 2: they played this year. Oh Kong back makes a huge difference,

1144
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:45,320
Speaker 2: and I thought there would be some rust Nope, elite

1145
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:49,480
Speaker 2: pass blocking grade last week and they had two poor tackles.

1146
00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:52,240
Speaker 2: When you have now just one, it's so much easier

1147
00:48:52,239 --> 00:48:54,400
Speaker 2: to scheme. You can just help on one side. It

1148
00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 2: just helps their offense tremendously. You also have Melvin Gordon

1149
00:48:57,120 --> 00:48:59,279
Speaker 2: getting back up to speed. He hasn't been great, but

1150
00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 2: he missed camp but all that time and he's been awful,

1151
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:03,520
Speaker 2: so I expect them to be a little better. They

1152
00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:06,040
Speaker 2: also have the new offensive coordinator here, so you're going

1153
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:08,800
Speaker 2: to see some hopefully new things that wasn't Hunt wasn't doing.

1154
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:12,319
Speaker 2: Also throws the element of surprise in for the Packers.

1155
00:49:13,040 --> 00:49:15,360
Speaker 2: And so I think that works in their favor as well.

1156
00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:18,120
Speaker 2: The Packers are really good. Go pack oh, I say

1157
00:49:18,120 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 2: every podcket. They're my only future. But they're overvalued in

1158
00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:22,400
Speaker 2: the market right now. They get a fortunate on a

1159
00:49:22,440 --> 00:49:24,719
Speaker 2: number of games. They're getting fortunate every week with injuries,

1160
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:27,759
Speaker 2: so they're overvalued here. But Okong against one of the

1161
00:49:27,800 --> 00:49:29,840
Speaker 2: Smiths will help. They can help on the other This

1162
00:49:29,880 --> 00:49:31,879
Speaker 2: will be a one possession game with a couple minutes ago.

1163
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:32,920
Speaker 3: I totally agree.

1164
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:34,399
Speaker 4: I think Andy Reid kind of gave him a gift

1165
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 4: last week punting that football. I think there's a few

1166
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:39,359
Speaker 4: teams that you're looking at teasing this week. I think

1167
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:43,960
Speaker 4: the Lions, the Chargers are in the conversation with the

1168
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:45,960
Speaker 4: Steelers and the Jaguars. So those are the two I'm

1169
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:49,000
Speaker 4: going with since those are my top two picks this week,

1170
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:51,799
Speaker 4: teasing the Jacks to seven and a half and the

1171
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,880
Speaker 4: Steelers two seven. Of course, a standard six point teasers

1172
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:57,640
Speaker 4: when you get six extra points against the spread for

1173
00:49:57,680 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 4: each of the teams you're picking first flight, we juice payout,

1174
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:05,400
Speaker 4: so you're going Chargers and Jags. I'm going Steelers and Jags.

1175
00:50:05,640 --> 00:50:10,280
Speaker 4: Hopefully we hit these teasers. Let's get right into our

1176
00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:13,760
Speaker 4: next segment, the underdog moneyline parlay.

1177
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:20,920
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1178
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:22,400
Speaker 1: money line parlay.

1179
00:50:23,440 --> 00:50:26,280
Speaker 4: All right, we started out the season strong. My Panthers

1180
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:29,040
Speaker 4: did not come through last week. Your fade Mitch did somehow,

1181
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:31,880
Speaker 4: of course, with another missfield goal for the Chicago Bears.

1182
00:50:32,200 --> 00:50:34,520
Speaker 3: This week starts off stuck. Who you got?

1183
00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 2: I don't even need to go into this. Ravens, you know,

1184
00:50:36,640 --> 00:50:37,359
Speaker 2: I already.

1185
00:50:37,080 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 4: Know, yeah, and I'm going with the Jags again mentioned it.

1186
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,400
Speaker 4: I just think it's a bad time for Uston to

1187
00:50:42,440 --> 00:50:45,879
Speaker 4: be traveling banged up. So this payout would be four

1188
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:49,440
Speaker 4: point four to one. So if you put one hundred

1189
00:50:49,480 --> 00:50:52,480
Speaker 4: dollars down, you'd win for thirty nine for a total

1190
00:50:52,480 --> 00:50:56,200
Speaker 4: payout of five thirty nine. To calculate payouts for parlays

1191
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:58,680
Speaker 4: and any other bet type, you can go to actionnetwork

1192
00:50:58,719 --> 00:51:03,400
Speaker 4: dot com slash calculators and now you're.

1193
00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:04,520
Speaker 2: Gonna be bu By the way, you're gonna be upset

1194
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 2: if you have a bad week after you're betting the

1195
00:51:07,480 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 2: Browns and fading your boy Watson.

1196
00:51:09,760 --> 00:51:11,719
Speaker 4: I know, all right, I mean, but generally I like

1197
00:51:11,760 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 4: to take Watson when he's like a road.

1198
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:15,640
Speaker 2: Dog and you like to fait the Broncos.

1199
00:51:15,640 --> 00:51:18,160
Speaker 3: So you're, eh, you know that's it's on brand. We'll

1200
00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:18,840
Speaker 3: see what happens.

1201
00:51:20,120 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 4: Now, we'll quickly cover the best of the rest, all

1202
00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:26,040
Speaker 4: the games that did not make it into any other segment.

1203
00:51:26,080 --> 00:51:28,759
Speaker 4: Would start with the Chicago Bears. They are going to

1204
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:32,239
Speaker 4: Philly as five point underdogs, fifty seven percent of the

1205
00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 4: bet seventy one percent of the dollars on the Eagles.

1206
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 4: The over under his forty two, with sixty five percent

1207
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:39,640
Speaker 4: of the bets, eighty nine percent of the money on

1208
00:51:39,719 --> 00:51:40,120
Speaker 4: the under.

1209
00:51:40,440 --> 00:51:43,160
Speaker 2: Jashaun Jackson might be back. That'll help the Eagles offense tremendously.

1210
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,560
Speaker 2: If he isn't and healthy, it'll open everything up. It's

1211
00:51:45,560 --> 00:51:48,480
Speaker 2: another good matchup for the Eagles because now Alan Robinson's

1212
00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:51,040
Speaker 2: a legit number one, he could have some matchup problem

1213
00:51:51,040 --> 00:51:53,759
Speaker 2: and so will Mac with Dillard at left tackle who's

1214
00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:56,360
Speaker 2: still getting up to speed. But generally speaking, this is

1215
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 2: just like the Bills last week. While I was on

1216
00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 2: the Eagles, the two worst quarterbacks growing more than ten

1217
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:03,200
Speaker 2: yards down the field Josh Allen and Mitch Trubisky. So

1218
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:05,680
Speaker 2: it's Alec Mitch Trubisky's gonna go out there and shred

1219
00:52:05,920 --> 00:52:08,560
Speaker 2: the weakest part of the Eagles team, which is their corners.

1220
00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:11,680
Speaker 2: The Bears have no QB, no line, no running game,

1221
00:52:11,760 --> 00:52:15,920
Speaker 2: their coaches lost, their kicker is now shook. Its Eagles

1222
00:52:15,920 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 2: are nothing, especially if the Sean Jackson plays.

1223
00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:20,680
Speaker 4: And he was our getting a little bit healthier in

1224
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 4: that secondary, and actually have the Minnesota Vikings going to

1225
00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:26,560
Speaker 4: Arrowhead to take on the Chiefs. Now, this line looks

1226
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:28,480
Speaker 4: like it's off the board right now as we record this.

1227
00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:31,520
Speaker 4: On Wednesday night last we saw the Chiefs were a

1228
00:52:31,640 --> 00:52:33,839
Speaker 4: two and a half point favorite allies who This all

1229
00:52:33,880 --> 00:52:35,879
Speaker 4: depends on the status of Patrick Mahomes, who did get

1230
00:52:35,880 --> 00:52:38,400
Speaker 4: in a limited practice on Wednesday.

1231
00:52:38,400 --> 00:52:40,359
Speaker 3: But any thoughts about where this line might end up.

1232
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:42,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, just read our preview later in the week also

1233
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:44,400
Speaker 2: to see who's playing like on the Chiefs. Like you

1234
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:46,600
Speaker 2: have their offensive line, which as of right now is

1235
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:50,360
Speaker 2: a disaster. They really need Fisher back. Their defensive line

1236
00:52:50,480 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 2: is also missing guys, mainly Jones and like you know,

1237
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:56,360
Speaker 2: Clark is still out. They have injuries in the secondary.

1238
00:52:56,360 --> 00:52:58,520
Speaker 2: They're punters now hurt. They'd a sign a punter. Cole

1239
00:52:58,600 --> 00:53:01,239
Speaker 2: Quick's hurt, So yeah, there's nothing I could talk about here.

1240
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:03,839
Speaker 2: Check our Guy later in the week, which is must

1241
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:06,799
Speaker 2: read material every week, and we go through every single

1242
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 2: NFL game because this is all going to come down

1243
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,960
Speaker 2: to who's playing, namely the starting quarterback. The other players

1244
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:14,719
Speaker 2: are just ancillary factors that I'll consider. Injury record is

1245
00:53:14,719 --> 00:53:15,279
Speaker 2: everything in this.

1246
00:53:15,239 --> 00:53:18,160
Speaker 4: Game, absolutely, and that's the NFL Ultimate Betting Guy usually

1247
00:53:18,160 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 4: comes out on Fridays. I break down for the matchup

1248
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:24,640
Speaker 4: mismatches for the week. Stucky breaks down another four our

1249
00:53:24,640 --> 00:53:29,080
Speaker 4: guy Matthew Friedman as well and Mike Randalls, so some

1250
00:53:29,080 --> 00:53:31,000
Speaker 4: good stuff there. We also give a bunch of trends

1251
00:53:31,000 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 4: picks all of that good stuff. Last on the docket

1252
00:53:33,800 --> 00:53:36,399
Speaker 4: that we didn't get to the New York Jets going

1253
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:40,120
Speaker 4: to Miami three point. I know three point favorites are

1254
00:53:40,160 --> 00:53:42,200
Speaker 4: the Jets. They're getting sixty three percent of the bets,

1255
00:53:42,239 --> 00:53:44,719
Speaker 4: sixty eight percent of the dollars the over, unders forty one,

1256
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:47,279
Speaker 4: seventy percent of the bets going to the over, but

1257
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:50,160
Speaker 4: only fifty three percent of the money is on the over.

1258
00:53:50,239 --> 00:53:52,240
Speaker 4: The Jets two and five against the spread the Dolphins

1259
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,800
Speaker 4: three and four. But these two teams are both bottom

1260
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:57,200
Speaker 4: three in margin against the spread, the Jets at minus

1261
00:53:57,239 --> 00:54:00,760
Speaker 4: six point four Dolphins at minus eight point nine.

1262
00:54:00,960 --> 00:54:02,800
Speaker 2: It's I think I need more about the Dolphins. The

1263
00:54:02,800 --> 00:54:05,439
Speaker 2: Dolphins are still fighting and this might be their best shot.

1264
00:54:05,440 --> 00:54:07,279
Speaker 2: They're home against the Bengals too late in the year.

1265
00:54:07,320 --> 00:54:08,960
Speaker 2: I don't know who's going to be healthier playing for

1266
00:54:09,000 --> 00:54:11,520
Speaker 2: the Bengals at that point, but this is what that

1267
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,319
Speaker 2: might be their best shot to get a win and

1268
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:16,600
Speaker 2: avoid the dreaded zero to sixteen. The Jets are a

1269
00:54:16,640 --> 00:54:17,439
Speaker 2: mess right now.

1270
00:54:17,560 --> 00:54:18,880
Speaker 3: I mean, you're their best shot.

1271
00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:23,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, requesting, I mean they are line the Jets linebackers.

1272
00:54:23,160 --> 00:54:24,440
Speaker 2: By the way, I don't even know who's playing the

1273
00:54:24,440 --> 00:54:26,440
Speaker 2: linebacker for them anymore. But I mean, everywhere you look

1274
00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:28,759
Speaker 2: at the Dolphins, there's nothing like good. There's nothing where

1275
00:54:28,760 --> 00:54:30,719
Speaker 2: you could be like, if this is good, you'll have

1276
00:54:31,040 --> 00:54:34,359
Speaker 2: Fitzpatrick's slinging it and trying to make plays. Hopefully doesn't

1277
00:54:34,400 --> 00:54:37,200
Speaker 2: throw picks and look left Belgia have a huge day.

1278
00:54:37,280 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 2: The Dolphins can't do anything against backs. They can card

1279
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:41,160
Speaker 2: the run, they kick our backs out of the backfield.

1280
00:54:41,160 --> 00:54:43,080
Speaker 2: I mean, they can't really guard anything. So you would

1281
00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:46,279
Speaker 2: think the Jets could win this game. But maybe it's

1282
00:54:46,320 --> 00:54:49,640
Speaker 2: just a fact where they've their locker room is far gone.

1283
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:52,720
Speaker 2: You know, Adam's requesting a trade and the Dolphins are fighting.

1284
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:54,279
Speaker 2: You know they've been fighting the last couple of weeks

1285
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:56,560
Speaker 2: and covering for a win. I don't know. This game

1286
00:54:56,640 --> 00:54:59,279
Speaker 2: is horrendous. I wish that I could remove this from

1287
00:54:59,320 --> 00:54:59,920
Speaker 2: Red Zone on some.

1288
00:55:00,719 --> 00:55:03,040
Speaker 4: I aired in betting the Jets last week. I still

1289
00:55:03,040 --> 00:55:05,799
Speaker 4: think they're more of a below average than a horrible team.

1290
00:55:05,800 --> 00:55:09,480
Speaker 4: I think the market is kind of overreacting to the Docins.

1291
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:10,640
Speaker 2: And create they should the place should be the Jets,

1292
00:55:10,760 --> 00:55:12,360
Speaker 2: But last week I didn't played the Jet should like

1293
00:55:12,400 --> 00:55:14,520
Speaker 2: I'm missing something. I feel like I'm missing something again here.

1294
00:55:14,680 --> 00:55:17,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it's not It's not a good one

1295
00:55:17,160 --> 00:55:18,960
Speaker 4: to bet, but I think I was lean Jets if

1296
00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:23,279
Speaker 4: forced to make a pick. Speaking of picks, let's close

1297
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 4: out with our Survivor Pool pick of the week.

1298
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:33,600
Speaker 1: One pick, one chance to advance Survivor.

1299
00:55:34,960 --> 00:55:38,120
Speaker 4: All right, so I am still alive outlast did you?

1300
00:55:38,200 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 4: I think it was week five you went down with

1301
00:55:40,400 --> 00:55:45,520
Speaker 4: that Colt's upset the Chiefs. I have used Seattle, Houston, Dallas, Chargers, Philly,

1302
00:55:45,680 --> 00:55:48,160
Speaker 4: New England, and Buffalo this week.

1303
00:55:48,640 --> 00:55:48,799
Speaker 3: You know.

1304
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:51,080
Speaker 4: I hate to do it, especially in a division game

1305
00:55:51,120 --> 00:55:53,360
Speaker 4: on Thursday, where things tend to go very weirdly, But

1306
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:55,320
Speaker 4: there's not a lot of value out there.

1307
00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:57,160
Speaker 3: So I'm going to go with the San Francisco forty

1308
00:55:57,239 --> 00:55:57,760
Speaker 3: nine ers.

1309
00:55:58,000 --> 00:56:00,440
Speaker 4: Maybe it's closer than we think, but to go with

1310
00:56:00,480 --> 00:56:03,839
Speaker 4: them to get to eight and oh here stuck. If

1311
00:56:03,880 --> 00:56:05,520
Speaker 4: you couldn't pick the forty nine ers this week, and

1312
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:07,759
Speaker 4: yet you use all those teams I mentioned, is there

1313
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 4: anybody else you would look at?

1314
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:11,960
Speaker 2: I think it's safety as the Bills this week against

1315
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:14,880
Speaker 2: the Redskins at home, if you haven't already, If you

1316
00:56:14,920 --> 00:56:18,080
Speaker 2: want to get risky here, it's really a tough week

1317
00:56:18,120 --> 00:56:20,120
Speaker 2: to get risky, you know. I think if you haven't

1318
00:56:20,200 --> 00:56:22,319
Speaker 2: used the Eagles, I like them at home against this

1319
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:24,839
Speaker 2: Bears team. That's about it. The rest I could see

1320
00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:26,279
Speaker 2: really going either way.

1321
00:56:26,680 --> 00:56:27,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a tough week.

1322
00:56:27,680 --> 00:56:29,360
Speaker 4: Want to close spread, So I think it's more of

1323
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 4: a betting week. But if you're alive in survivor pool, hopefully.

1324
00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,560
Speaker 3: You can keep it going. Going with the forty nine ers.

1325
00:56:36,560 --> 00:56:38,480
Speaker 4: They have them and the Bills I think have the

1326
00:56:39,000 --> 00:56:40,520
Speaker 4: best probabilities of winning if you.

1327
00:56:40,480 --> 00:56:43,080
Speaker 3: Just look at the line, so those would.

1328
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 4: Be the picks and that does it for another episode

1329
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:49,840
Speaker 4: of the Action Network podcast. Again, you can fill stuck

1330
00:56:50,360 --> 00:56:54,360
Speaker 4: on Twitter at Stucky two and me at Chris Raymond.

1331
00:56:54,640 --> 00:56:56,959
Speaker 4: Our names are the same. In the Action Network app,

1332
00:56:57,000 --> 00:56:59,960
Speaker 4: you can follow all of our bets, track Roan, get live,

1333
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:02,480
Speaker 4: I have odds, win probabilities, all that good stuff, so

1334
00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:06,760
Speaker 4: be sure to go download that. Again, we're doing the contest,

1335
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,719
Speaker 4: so go leave us review on Apple favorite Underdog and

1336
00:57:10,520 --> 00:57:13,200
Speaker 4: your Twitter handle to be entered for a chance to

1337
00:57:13,239 --> 00:57:14,879
Speaker 4: win Action Network hoodie.

1338
00:57:15,239 --> 00:57:17,360
Speaker 3: And we're out of here. Good lucky week nine. Let's

1339
00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:18,120
Speaker 3: get this money.

1340
00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:20,000
Speaker 2: Go pack out, Go Ravens