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Speaker 1: One of the guys. How are you happy Monday? Welcome

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Speaker 1: into a new episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Peroult. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 1: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt. And we're

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Speaker 1: back after a lousy Sunday. This is why betting props

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Speaker 1: can be difficult, and it's why I only bet to

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Speaker 1: win a half a unit. And I told you I

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Speaker 1: was about to go to full units. Well, I'm glad

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Speaker 1: that I didn't. I'm gonna stick with my current strategy

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Speaker 1: of bank roll management because the DeMar DeRozan prop, our

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Speaker 1: prop of the day should have hit.

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Speaker 2: I mean, we did everything right.

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Speaker 1: With that handicap, even with overtime kind of we had

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Speaker 1: a you know, an outside shit, but Zach Levine's shot

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Speaker 1: that missed at the buzzer killed it. He hits that

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Speaker 1: fade away, the Kings win, and we're way under for

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Speaker 1: DeMar DeRozan. Instead, DeMar de Rosen gets going in overtime.

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Speaker 1: I knew we were dead the second we went in there.

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Speaker 1: And then look, sometimes coaches just decide not to play guys,

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Speaker 1: and Peyton Watson sat the entire second half, didn't play

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Speaker 1: played six minutes in the first half and they didn't play.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes coaches just do odd things when it comes to rotations.

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Speaker 1: The Bradley Beal prop goes over. I should have gone

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Speaker 1: with Michigan State and Drake. I swapped out Nebraska at

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Speaker 1: the last second because I thought Michigan might have something

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Speaker 1: for Michigan State not even close. Nebraska is a downright

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Speaker 1: embarrassment and they have no business and I mean no

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Speaker 1: business in the NCAA Tournament. They didn't belong anyway, even

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Speaker 1: in the conversation. I don't know what the hell the

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Speaker 1: bracketologers are looking at. That team stinks like stinks State,

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Speaker 1: Iowa stinks. And Iowa was made to look like a

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Speaker 1: decent basketball team against Nebraska on the road because they

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Speaker 1: couldn't do anything. I mean, Nebraska, have you ever heard

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Speaker 1: of defending the rim?

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Speaker 2: Like?

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Speaker 1: How many layups did Iowa get in that game? That

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Speaker 1: was crazy? They had so many uncontested layups. It's like Hoiberg,

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Speaker 1: what do you I mean are you coaching defense? Are

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Speaker 1: you paying attention? Like? What is whoa? That was horrible?

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Speaker 1: Great win from Michigan State. Bad on me, bad Sunday,

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Speaker 1: bad week, losing week on to Monday.

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Speaker 2: It happens.

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Speaker 1: You know, it happens, but we're not changing I'd mentioned

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Speaker 1: like if we'd done well and changed the strategy. We

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Speaker 1: are not changing the strategy. Three NBA player props for

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Speaker 1: you guys.

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Speaker 2: I will if we go cold, just fyi.

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Speaker 1: Okay, if we go cold, our record right now is

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Speaker 1: thirty one and twelve.

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Speaker 2: I believe that's right.

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Speaker 1: We're thirty one and twelve in twenty twenty five betting

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Speaker 1: NBA player props. But if we go cold, like if

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Speaker 1: all of a sudden and we just stop hitting, then

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Speaker 1: we will swap out and go to other things.

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Speaker 2: Just fyi.

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Speaker 1: I can move around. There's plenty of things we can

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Speaker 1: bet on. It's the springtime, so we have NASCAR, we

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Speaker 1: have the PGA Tour, we've got the NHL, we've got

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Speaker 1: the NBA full game and totals, and we've got the

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Speaker 1: NSAA tournaments. Okay, so like, I don't have to keep

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Speaker 1: betting NBA player props if we go cold. But that

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Speaker 1: was our first one in two day, you know, I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't know when the last time we went one

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Speaker 1: and two. We've gone one in one. I don't know

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Speaker 1: when the last time. It's easily three weeks ago where

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Speaker 1: we went one and two on NBA player props, at

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Speaker 1: least by my memory. So I've got three plays in

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Speaker 1: one hockey bet for you guys coming up here for today.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the picks, let me tell you

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Speaker 1: about our friends at bet three six five. If you guys,

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Speaker 1: go there right now to bet three six five daily

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Speaker 1: ten dollars. If you place a bet of at least

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Speaker 1: five dollars, you'll earn one hundred and fifty dollars in

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Speaker 1: bonus bets. Again, that's bettingpros dot Com Slash three six

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Speaker 1: five twenty one plus only. Must be present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. Gambling problem called

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Speaker 1: one hundred gambler or one a hundred bets off if

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Speaker 1: you live in Iowa. Terms and conditions will ply Okay,

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Speaker 1: let's start with the hockey bet, and then we'll get

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Speaker 1: to the three NBA player props. The Edmonton Oilers are

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Speaker 1: facing off against the Buffalo Sabers on the road. The

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers haven't won a hockey game since February twenty fifth.

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Speaker 1: I haven't won a hockey game in the month of

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Speaker 1: March yet. They've lost to Florida, Tampa, San Jose, Montreal twice.

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Speaker 1: In Carolina, they've lost five two, four to two, four, three,

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Speaker 1: six two, six, five and four or nothing. That is

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Speaker 1: six losses and a four and two mark on the

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Speaker 1: puck line. Now, if you want to bet on Edmonton

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Speaker 1: on the puck line, you can do that if you

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Speaker 1: would like. That is a plus one point thirty play.

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Speaker 1: But I'd rather bet it in regulation. I'd rather just

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Speaker 1: have it be a three to two win, which is

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Speaker 1: the score of the first meeting between these two teams,

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Speaker 1: a three to two win. That was a three to

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Speaker 1: two win by the Oilers in Edmonton.

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Speaker 2: I'd rather have it. If it falls three to two,

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Speaker 2: so be it.

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Speaker 1: We just get a win in regulation Edmonton in sixty

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Speaker 1: it's only minus one. Fifteen goes to overtime, we lose, okay,

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Speaker 1: But as long as the game is decided in regulation

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Speaker 1: and Edmonton wins, they are seventeen eleven and two on

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Speaker 1: the road. Edmonton's coming off of a big five to

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Speaker 1: four win over Dallas. They've beat Montreal three to two

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Speaker 1: in overtime. They lost to Anaheim six to two, but

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Speaker 1: they beat Carolina three to one, so they are now

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Speaker 1: three and one over their last four games. Buffalo lost

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Speaker 1: four nine thing last night to the Buffalo Saber. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: sorry to the Florida Panthers. So they're coming in here

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Speaker 1: on a back to back, and it was a five

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Speaker 1: to four win for Edmonton last night, so the both

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Speaker 1: teams run back to backs rather But to.

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Speaker 2: Me, oh no, no, no, they will fit on Saturday in

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Speaker 2: place today. Sorry so sorry.

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Speaker 1: They played Saturday SD eighth, not the ninth, so both

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Speaker 1: these teams will have a chance to play with one

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Speaker 1: day's worth of rest. But goaltending wise, I don't care

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Speaker 1: if it's skinnered or Picard.

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Speaker 2: I don't care if it's luking In or Rhymer.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't make a big difference to me in terms of

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Speaker 1: that Edmonton's the better hockey team. Bet the streak six

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Speaker 1: consecutive losses for Buffalo Edmonton is playing good hockey at

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Speaker 1: the moment, getting a big win over Dallas in her

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Speaker 1: last game. I think they continue on here they start

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Speaker 1: this road trip for them. Edmonton plays. This is the

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Speaker 1: first game of the road trip for Edmonton. They will

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Speaker 1: play at Buffalo, at New Jersey, at New York Islanders,

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Speaker 1: at New York Rangers on this four game Okay, all

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Speaker 1: in the New York, New Jersey region. Get off to

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Speaker 1: a good start here. You get a win at home

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Speaker 1: against Dallas. Go on the road here. Skinner played decent

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Speaker 1: in that game, five to four win for Edmonton. Let's

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Speaker 1: go in sixty minus one point fifteen the Edmonton Oilers

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Speaker 1: winning on the road at the Buffalo Sabers again. You

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Speaker 1: can bet puckline if you want. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: these are the two top two of the top three

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Speaker 1: teams for goals for over first periods. Edmonton hits it

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Speaker 1: at sixty three point four percent and number two in

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Speaker 1: the NHL. Buffalo hits it at sixty one point two.

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Speaker 1: But the only problem is is five and five for

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Speaker 1: Buffalo over the last ten games, Edmonton's eight and two

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Speaker 1: to the over. These two teams won one after one

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Speaker 1: in Edmonton first period gifts goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: Buffalo is in the top five U seventy percent of

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Speaker 1: the time over seven and three over your last ten

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Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the time they are in. Edmonton

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Speaker 1: is sixty three point four percent. They're six and four

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Speaker 1: to a gift if you want. But it's both really expensive,

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Speaker 1: like one's sixty one seventy, Like it's super expensive to

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Speaker 1: play the first period over and it's super expensive to

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Speaker 1: play the goal in the first ten minutes. So that's

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Speaker 1: why I'm just gonna play Edmonton to win the game

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Speaker 1: in regulation. But if you want to get involved with

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Speaker 1: some other markets, I don't hate to get hate getting

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Speaker 1: involved with those bets either for Edmonton in the first

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Speaker 1: sixty but also gift goal in the first ten minutes

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Speaker 1: and over one and a half goals in the first period.

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Speaker 1: That's just one sixty for over one and a half

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Speaker 1: goals like that play, but rather just take Edmonton to

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Speaker 1: win the game in regulation. Okay to our NBA player props,

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Speaker 1: Let's take a look at Carlton Carrington aka Bob Carrington.

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Speaker 1: Bob Carrington points, rebounds and assists, five star play plus

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Speaker 1: thirty five percent positive ev This has not hit every

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Speaker 1: time he has played up against the Toronto Raptors. These

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Speaker 1: are plays that we'd like to identify players we'd like

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Speaker 1: to look at head to head wise. He has played

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Speaker 1: two times this year against Toronto, the eighth of March

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Speaker 1: and the twenty ninth of January. Way Under had thirteen

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Speaker 1: in that game in March, and he had six in

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Speaker 1: that game back in January. Last time out for Carrington

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Speaker 1: against Toronto on the road at he had thirteen. Like

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Speaker 1: we mentioned, so the two previous games before that he

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Speaker 1: did go over this number. He had twelve points, five assists,

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Speaker 1: five rebounds and nine assists, and then he had fourteen points,

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Speaker 1: five rebounds and seven assists. But against Toronto he had

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Speaker 1: eight two and three. Here his number is twenty two

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Speaker 1: and a half for bub Carrington. This is a player

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Speaker 1: that I think, you know, just defensively and looking at

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Speaker 1: the way he has gone this number. You know, he

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Speaker 1: did go over twenty two and a half against Utah,

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Speaker 1: but the number was fifteen and a half against Toronto

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Speaker 1: back on the eighth of March. Now here we're back

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Speaker 1: again and the numbers ballooned all the way up to

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I mean, that's a little.

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Speaker 1: It's a little surprising, to be quite honest about where

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Speaker 1: we are numbers wise. On this I'm not sure I

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Speaker 1: completely agree with where we are, but you know, twenty

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I bet that number comes down, which,

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Speaker 1: by the way, look I'm talking to about numbers overnight.

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Speaker 1: If these numbers jump, I mean, you can't get you

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Speaker 1: can't get angry at.

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Speaker 2: These numbers and they move.

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Speaker 1: It's a fluid market, okay, But I'm gonna be at

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Speaker 1: the under under twenty two and a half points, rebounds

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Speaker 1: and assist for Carlton Bubb Carrington of the Washington Wizards

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Speaker 1: here today on the road against the Toronto Raptors. Bet

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Speaker 1: number two. Let's talk about the Rockets hosting the Orlando Magic.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Green points and assists For Jalen Green, you can

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Speaker 1: play around with. I mean, Jalen Green is a player

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Speaker 1: that you can jump around with that you can actually

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Speaker 1: see a couple different angles. The prop bet chee sheet likes, points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists the best here for him with under

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Speaker 1: thirty and a half.

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Speaker 2: For Jalen Green.

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Speaker 1: I think I wrote that wrong on the on the

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Speaker 1: slide right, points and assists under twenty six and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I bet points and assists. Sorry, you can. It likes

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Speaker 1: points and rebounds, and it likes points, assists and rebounds

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Speaker 1: as well.

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Speaker 2: Thirty and a half. You can play that as well.

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Speaker 1: I just played points and assists twenty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: The project projection there is twenty two and a half points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists projection is twenty six and a half.

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Speaker 1: So they're basically both a projection of going four under.

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Speaker 1: They're both five star plays. They're both up against the

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Speaker 1: number one defense in Orlando here against these props for

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Speaker 1: Jalen Green, so you can play kind of either one

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Speaker 1: of you'd like. I played points and assists at MIS

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Speaker 1: one twenty five. He has gone way under. The last

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Speaker 1: time he went over over twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: points in assists was back on the twenty fifth of

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Speaker 1: February against Milwaukee. He's gone under on his points and

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Speaker 1: assists prop one, two, three, four or five six straight

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Speaker 1: games seventeen, seventeen, fourteen, twenty two, twenty six and twenty five,

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Speaker 1: so he's been going way under. The rebound number is

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Speaker 1: the reason why I get a little worried. He had

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Speaker 1: seven rebounds against the Pelicans in his last game. He's

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Speaker 1: had seven two four and six two and seven during

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Speaker 1: the losing streak. So I get a little concern with points,

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Speaker 1: rebounds and assists that maybe he grabs a bunch of

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Speaker 1: boards and that's what could cause him to go over

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Speaker 1: his points, rebounds and assists. I'd rather just leave it

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Speaker 1: with points and assists, and we're going to go under

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Speaker 1: for points and assists at twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: for Jalen Green. So Carrington points, rebounds and assists under

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Speaker 1: twenty two and a half, Jalen Green points and assists

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Speaker 1: under twenty six.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: And you guys know, I like to give you one over,

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Speaker 1: and let's take a look at Kevin Durant, who's been

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Speaker 1: playing really well. Kevin Durant's on Twitter fighting with Skip

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Speaker 1: Bayless because Skip Bayles told him he's washed and he's

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Speaker 1: kind of like, you know, tongue in cheek. Wise his

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Speaker 1: points prop here for tonight. I think this is gonna

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Speaker 1: be a game. I think for the rest of the year.

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Speaker 1: I think Kevin Durant could be a really interesting bet.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the over on Kevin Durant points over

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half points for Kevin Durant at

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Speaker 1: minus one point fifteen, and I think he's got the

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Speaker 1: opportunity to do some big things here. His point prop

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Speaker 1: was twenty five and a half against Denver. He scored

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Speaker 1: twenty nine against the Clippers. He was twenty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. He scored thirty four against Minnesota. It was

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half. He scored twenty six against Dallas.

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Speaker 1: He had twenty one points. There wasn't there's not a

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Speaker 1: proper line here on the prop bet analyzers, so I'm

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Speaker 1: not sure what the number was for that. But he

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Speaker 1: scored twenty one and nine. He had twenty one, nine

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Speaker 1: and eight. He looked completely locked in and the Suns

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Speaker 1: aren't totally dead, Like they're not totally dead here against Dallas.

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Speaker 1: He scored twenty one points in the last game out

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Speaker 1: against Dallas on the road. He scored thirty five against

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Speaker 1: Dallas on the twenty seventh of December. He scored twenty

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Speaker 1: six against Dallas on the eighth of November. Now, obviously

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Speaker 1: that's with Luca in different situations, you know, on the court,

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Speaker 1: so like the lineup for Dallas is different. But I

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Speaker 1: think Kevin Durant is gonna have a little late season

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Speaker 1: magic here. I'm gonna bet the over on Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: over twenty four and a half points for Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: here tonight for UH minus one would be minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five. We paid on that, so our three NBA

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Speaker 1: player props. Carrington points, rebounds and assists under twenty two

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Speaker 1: and a half, Jalen Green points and assists under twenty

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Speaker 1: six and a half, Kevin Durant over twenty four and

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Speaker 1: a half points on the night against Dallas and Edmonton

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Speaker 1: in sixty to win their game against the Buffalo Sabers

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Speaker 1: over time, we're dead. Must win in regulation at minus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen minus.

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Speaker 2: Matt Paroli.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me because all my socials at

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Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt every single morning wherever you guys get

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Speaker 1: your podcasts, it is the Daily Juice