1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: What's up, guys, how are you happy? Saturday? Welcome into 2 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: a late version of the Daily Juice podcast with me 3 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter. 4 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet mgm, the 5 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars first bet offer for new users with 6 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 1: that promo code Juice when you set them for a 7 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: new account for new users at betmgm dot com. So, 8 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: this podcast normally drops, you know, somewhere in the neighborhood 9 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: of like, you know, one am Eastern. Well, there's a 10 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:43,040 Speaker 1: lot of people in town. So I was down on 11 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 1: the strip. I was down at Circa and so it's 12 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:48,239 Speaker 1: currently one p fifteen in the morning Pacific time. This 13 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:49,760 Speaker 1: is a little unusual. So you guys went in the 14 00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: discord channel, Matt, are you okay? Just know this podcast 15 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: is a morning podcast. Like the actual deadline is six 16 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 1: am Eastern time, so I technically have like two hours 17 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 1: to get this thing up by that standard. So I'm fine, nothing, 18 00:01:04,240 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: you know, nothing to worry about, just a later night 19 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: on the strip here in Las Vegas. So tonight, as 20 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 1: I tape this in the morning, I've got four bets 21 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:15,000 Speaker 1: for you guys. I have three bets in college basketball. 22 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: I have one bet in hockey, and I don't know 23 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: what to do at the main event for the UFC 24 00:01:19,400 --> 00:01:22,240 Speaker 1: card tonight, I want to bet onrage, but I just 25 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:26,040 Speaker 1: I don't know mass one twenty. Something about the number smells, 26 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: something about the number feels like a trap in a 27 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,600 Speaker 1: way that like how Live is the dog in that fight. 28 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: I just don't know. So if I do like it 29 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 1: and I end up betting it, I will put it 30 00:01:37,480 --> 00:01:40,880 Speaker 1: in the discord channel bettingcros dot com slast chat to 31 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 1: get into bets if I add. But as of right now, 32 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 1: four bets going over four units going for US here tonight, 33 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: one hockey, three in college basketball. But let's talk about 34 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 1: Betting cross Premium for one second, bett Pro's Premium, we 35 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: are giving away Betting Crows Premium. We're giving away a 36 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: one year premium upgrade here to Betting Pros Premium, and 37 00:02:03,400 --> 00:02:05,480 Speaker 1: it's pretty easy to win it. All you have to 38 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 1: do is just subscribe to this YouTube channel comment underneath 39 00:02:11,280 --> 00:02:13,680 Speaker 1: this video, and when you do, you can win a 40 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: free year upgrade to Betting Pros Premium. Whether you're looking 41 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: for at Taxis Exclusive picks, top rated player props, or 42 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: customer analysis of your betting performance. Betting Both Premium has 43 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,239 Speaker 1: tools to help you catch more bets. It's that simple. 44 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,760 Speaker 1: Don't want to wait for the giveaway, though, Sign up 45 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 1: today bettingpros dot com, slash upgrade and start betting smarter, 46 00:02:33,560 --> 00:02:36,639 Speaker 1: not betting harder. All right, let's start with hockey. Hockey's 47 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: been really good for a great week. There's one bet 48 00:02:40,680 --> 00:02:42,919 Speaker 1: that jumped off the page to me that I simply 49 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 1: had to make, and that is the Columbus Bluejackets at 50 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: the Dallas Stars at home. The Dallas Stars are nine 51 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: to one to the under over their last ten games. 52 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 1: They played on the road last night against Minnesota to 53 00:02:57,120 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: one game there. That game was way under. We got 54 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: the first period under for one unit. That cash for Minnesota. 55 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,839 Speaker 1: They continued to be an absolute cash cow Vancouver Minnesota 56 00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 1: whenever they play. Right now, write it in Vancouver over 57 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: Minnesota under, first period over first period under. Just bet it, okay, 58 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: bottom line, Just bet it tonight Dallas nine to one. 59 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:24,880 Speaker 1: Either goaltender's fine, doesn't matter to me. Columbus on the 60 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 1: road is a little bit of an under team. They're 61 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: five to four and one to the under. It's not dramatic, 62 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: but Dallas being such an under team, it's minus one 63 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 1: oh five good push potential on a four to two final, 64 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: five to one final, under six, minus one oh five 65 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: one point zero five units down on Dallas at home 66 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: against Columbus or taking the under six there. Okay, let's 67 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: talk a little college basketball. Let's start with Providence and 68 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 1: their home game tonight that I don't understand this number. 69 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,119 Speaker 1: There are certain numbers that just kind of make me go, wait, 70 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:09,119 Speaker 1: what So Providence is a very good team at home. 71 00:04:09,160 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: In fact, they're undefeated. They're fourteen and oh at home. 72 00:04:11,560 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: All right, So you have a fourteen and oh team 73 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: at home with Providence. They're thirtieth ranked on ken Palm. 74 00:04:19,839 --> 00:04:24,400 Speaker 1: They're taking on Villanova numbers three and a half. Kem 75 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:31,160 Speaker 1: Pom has this number as a seven point win for Providence. 76 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:36,840 Speaker 1: I just don't understand this Providence number wise, they have 77 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:40,960 Speaker 1: the twenty first best adjusted efficient offense in college basketball 78 00:04:40,960 --> 00:04:44,799 Speaker 1: and they're facing a defense it's ninety first in adjusted 79 00:04:44,839 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 1: efficiency defensively, Providence is pretty good sixty first offensively. Nova's okay, 80 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 1: but Nova can't rebound. They're one of the worst rebounding 81 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 1: teams in all of college basketball, and Providence is tough 82 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 1: as nails when they're playing at home. In particular, they 83 00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: are rebounding. They are twelve in the country an offensive 84 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:08,960 Speaker 1: rebound percentage. Nova can't rebound. Novah's gonna have a real 85 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: tough time with the toughness and the intensity. I like 86 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: Providence here. I'm gonna follow Ken Palm. We get three 87 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:17,640 Speaker 1: and a half points of value here. Ken Pum has 88 00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 1: the number at seven. Providence. This number open at five. 89 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:23,679 Speaker 1: It was bet down to three and a half. Don't 90 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:26,920 Speaker 1: understand it. Give me the home favorite games on Fox, 91 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:29,720 Speaker 1: Big Fox. I'm taking Providence at home to win their 92 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:32,920 Speaker 1: fifteenth straight game at home. Providence minus three and a 93 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 1: half for one point one units. Now, speaking of Ken Palm, 94 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:42,919 Speaker 1: let's talk a little bit about Alabama and Bama's game 95 00:05:43,160 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: here up against Georgia. I can't believe I'm gonna do this, 96 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: but I'm gonna do this. This comes. I talked to 97 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 1: Dave Sheapan tonight. We were at circle together and he 98 00:05:57,040 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 1: just talked me into this. Alabama's at home against Georgia. 99 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 1: They're laying eighteen and a half points, and I'm like, David, 100 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: we really going to go bet eighteen points today, eighteen 101 00:06:09,760 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 1: and a half points. He said, yeah, and the reason 102 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 1: is Alabama at home annihilates teams. And Alabama just lost 103 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 1: to Tennessee. So they're coming home angry, not happy at all. 104 00:06:26,839 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: Alabama at home against the spread, they're eight and four. 105 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:33,400 Speaker 1: Ats against the SEC, they're ten and three. Here are 106 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 1: the games that Alabama has won at home. They were 107 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: laying nine and a half at home against Florida, they 108 00:06:40,320 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: won by twenty eight. They were laying fifteen points at 109 00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:47,440 Speaker 1: home against Vanderbilt, they won by fifty seven. They were 110 00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:50,480 Speaker 1: laying eleven and a half against Missippi State only won 111 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: by three. Didn't cover. But they were laying fourteen and 112 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 1: a half against LSU they won by forty. They were 113 00:06:57,160 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 1: laying four and a half against Kentucky, the won by 114 00:06:59,600 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 1: twenty six. They were laying ten and a half points 115 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: against Mississippi against Ole Miss and they won by twenty two. 116 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 1: In the SEC, when they've been at home and when 117 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: they've been laying double digits, they have covered every game 118 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: except one. It was nine and a half against Florida 119 00:07:15,320 --> 00:07:18,320 Speaker 1: and then won the game by twenty eight points. I'm 120 00:07:18,320 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: gonna be ridiculous and hold my nose here and I'm 121 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: gonna take Alabama minus eighteen and a half. It's a 122 00:07:26,080 --> 00:07:28,640 Speaker 1: crazy number. You may go Bama in the first half, 123 00:07:28,680 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: you might like that better. But Alabama, I think, is 124 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: gonna kill Georgia today, who is not good. Who somehow 125 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: has won their last two games against Kentucky and LSU 126 00:07:38,800 --> 00:07:43,800 Speaker 1: at home, but on the road they've been awful five 127 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 1: and six ats one in four over the last five, 128 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: two and eight over their last ten. Alabama minus eighteen 129 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,960 Speaker 1: and a half, yuck. I'm gonna do it for one 130 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: point one units. And then finally in kem Ponm by 131 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 1: the way, has this as a twenty point win for Alabama, 132 00:08:00,760 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 1: so there's a point and a half of value with 133 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:06,880 Speaker 1: Ken Palm. And then finally another total that I found 134 00:08:06,880 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: to be interesting. We've got Kansas up against Baylor. Game 135 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:16,840 Speaker 1: of the day line's five. Kempom has it as a 136 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 1: four point win for Kansas. Ah too tight, right, One 137 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:25,880 Speaker 1: forty eight and a half is the total. Kenpom has 138 00:08:25,920 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 1: this at one fifty two, three and a half points 139 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: of value. It's not as dramatic as we've saw early 140 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: in the week, but I'm four and oh betting college 141 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 1: basketball this week by following a lot of these trends 142 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: with Ken Palm. When there's a big difference, and this 143 00:08:38,600 --> 00:08:40,120 Speaker 1: is a three and a half point difference, it's over 144 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 1: one possession full difference between Kansas and Kansas and Baylor's total, 145 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet over one forty eight and a half. 146 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:50,960 Speaker 1: We're talking about the number one just an efficiency for 147 00:08:51,040 --> 00:08:55,679 Speaker 1: offense in Baylor and a team that's okay defensively, not outstanding. 148 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 1: Kansas can score. We know they're capable of going up 149 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:01,880 Speaker 1: and down. We know Kansas is capable of putting in 150 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:05,560 Speaker 1: points against pretty much anybody here. Fifteen and eleven to 151 00:09:05,600 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: the over for KU. On the year, KU at home 152 00:09:09,200 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: is eight and five to the over. Baylor is six 153 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:15,600 Speaker 1: and five on the road to the over. Baylor has 154 00:09:15,600 --> 00:09:18,079 Speaker 1: not been an over team. Just three of the last 155 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 1: ten games have gone over for Baylor, but five and 156 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,080 Speaker 1: five for Kansas. First time these two teams have played. 157 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:26,959 Speaker 1: Last game out against Oklahoma State, it was one forty 158 00:09:26,960 --> 00:09:28,959 Speaker 1: and a half. Game went over by twenty two and 159 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,480 Speaker 1: a half points for Kansas. The last home game was 160 00:09:31,520 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 1: against against Texas one forty five and a half in 161 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 1: the game went over by twenty two and a half 162 00:09:36,679 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 1: points again at home against Kansas State. It was one 163 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 1: forty five and a half. It went over by twenty 164 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: two and a half. Okay, these games have been flying 165 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: over at home one forty eight and a half. Ken 166 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 1: Pum has it at one fifty two. Let's bet the 167 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:55,160 Speaker 1: over Baylor Kansas over one forty eight and a half 168 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: here for one point one units. All right, so four 169 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: bets going four point four units in play. Basically the 170 00:10:02,840 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 1: Blues under six and minus one oh five, Providence minus 171 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,960 Speaker 1: three and a half, minus one ten, Alabama minus eighteen 172 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:13,280 Speaker 1: and a half minus one ten, and Baylor over one 173 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 1: forty eight and a half at Kansas at minus one ten. 174 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:18,720 Speaker 1: If I added anything else, I will let you guys 175 00:10:18,760 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: know in the Discord channel Betting pros dot Com slash chat. 176 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 1: Let's have a day, hopefully not a bad day. We'll 177 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: have another winning day. I'm pretty confident we're gonna have 178 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:30,720 Speaker 1: a winning week. I'll have to check how many units 179 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:32,360 Speaker 1: we could be wun up up, but we started ten 180 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 1: in one and then we were flat yesterday and then 181 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,960 Speaker 1: we won two more units again, so pretty confident that 182 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 1: we're way up this week. We're doing very well. I 183 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: gotta check the math and check the old, the counting 184 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 1: of it all. But it's been a good week. Let's 185 00:10:43,679 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: have a good Saturday. Mis Math Parol's follow me on 186 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning it is 187 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice podcast being brought to you. I bet I'MGM.