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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you time for a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice podcast. I am your

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Speaker 1: host every single morning, Matt Paroltz. You can follow me

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Speaker 1: on Twitter at sports Dog Matt. We are here on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. We're here on YouTube and wherever you

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Speaker 1: get your podcasts, and we're always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM with the offer that's always right above

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Speaker 1: me here on YouTube, the twenty bucks offer one hundred

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Speaker 1: Juice one hundred when you sign up for a new

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Speaker 1: account at bet mgm or on the application. And remember,

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Speaker 1: if you're in DC, you got a six hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: risk free first bet with that promo code Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred when you signed for a BETMGM account in d C. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So let's break down last night. And I'm in a

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Speaker 1: good mood because I spent the better part of forty

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Speaker 1: eight hours arguing with Canadian about the Vegas goal of

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Speaker 1: the Knights and why they were going to win and

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Speaker 1: win relatively easily over the Montreal Canadians. You guys were saying,

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Speaker 1: bet the puck line. It was a good bet. It

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Speaker 1: was a better bet than what I made now. I

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Speaker 1: laid a full unit down on Vegas at minus two

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Speaker 1: fifty eight, huge favorites. I'm not taking a victory lap

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Speaker 1: because a bet of that magnitude hit. Okay, I'm not

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Speaker 1: some you know handicapper that goes ahead and pounds my

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Speaker 1: chest or some tut when I win a plus or

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Speaker 1: minus two fifty plus bet. Okay, it's supposed to hit.

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Speaker 1: The reason why I'm happy is because of the way

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Speaker 1: the game played out and the fact that there were

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Speaker 1: so many Canadians on my Twitter, timeline and radio shows

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Speaker 1: I appeared on telling me that this Montreal Canadians team

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Speaker 1: was not to be messed with, that they were different,

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Speaker 1: the carry price was different, that they could shut down Vegas.

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Speaker 1: They shut down Winnipeg and Tarronna, so why couldn't they

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Speaker 1: shut down Vegas. And they kept on saying, you guys

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Speaker 1: played cupcake hockey for the better part of a year

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Speaker 1: and a half. That was the first game for the

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Speaker 1: Canadians outside of Canada in over four hundred days, and

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Speaker 1: they came out flying in the first ten minutes, just flying.

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Speaker 1: Couldn't do anything else after that, only had five shots

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Speaker 1: in the entire second period. They had nothing. If you

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Speaker 1: bet the under though last night, man, that was a

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Speaker 1: lottery hit. To have the four to one lead and

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Speaker 1: the under five and a half goals and have an

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Speaker 1: empty net for four and a half minutes and no

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Speaker 1: goals get scored. Holy, that's yeah, that's a victory and

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Speaker 1: that is a monster sweat. Vegas had multiple shots at

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Speaker 1: the open net and they couldn't get it in. So unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: if you bet the over, that's stunk. I'm not sure

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Speaker 1: who was you know, freaking out more the under or

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Speaker 1: the over, but e so the under hits. We'll see

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Speaker 1: what happens game number two on Wednesday, but I don't

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Speaker 1: think this series goes beyond six. That's the max. And look,

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Speaker 1: Marc Andre Fleury played incredibly well. Carrie Price kept that

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Speaker 1: from being like a seven to one. Now, probably the

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Speaker 1: final score with average goaltenders, the final score that game

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Speaker 1: is probably like seven to three. It's probably something stupid Vegas.

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Speaker 1: There was a ton of goals, but then Montreal scores

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Speaker 1: at least two more goals. Mark Andre Fluury was just awesome.

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Speaker 1: And this is why these two teams are in the

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Speaker 1: semi finals because they've got great goaltending. But Vegas was

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Speaker 1: exactly what I thought they would be and the atmosphere

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Speaker 1: was exactly what I thought it would be, rocking, awesome atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: Vegas scored first, Vegas had control of the game. Great,

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Speaker 1: great win for Vegas. Full unit it comes in and

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Speaker 1: cash is that's the second time we've bet a full unit.

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Speaker 1: I think we're two and zher in twenty twenty one

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Speaker 1: betting full units. So yeah, we'll start doing that more.

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Speaker 1: As I've kind of decided that once we get to

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Speaker 1: the one year and of nursery, I'm going to kind

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Speaker 1: of sit back, see where I am. I will reassess

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Speaker 1: what my personal one unit is, and well, right now

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Speaker 1: would be kind of a good time to talk about that.

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Speaker 1: I was asked that question last week when somebody said, Matt,

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Speaker 1: when do you decide to recalibrate and decide what your

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Speaker 1: one unit is? And I take my bankroll, I take

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Speaker 1: a look at what we're going to do coming up

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Speaker 1: for football season, and whatever you're comfortable with your one unit,

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Speaker 1: then go ahead and set it, and that's your one unit.

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Speaker 1: I have had my one unit in my half a

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Speaker 1: unit play for the pretty pretty much the entire time

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Speaker 1: of this we in football season, we bet one unit.

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Speaker 1: I was not betting full units in any other sport,

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Speaker 1: and I will again bet one full unit coming out

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Speaker 1: for football season. But for July and August, I got

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Speaker 1: to kind of figure out I'm probably gonna come out

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Speaker 1: and fire full units, but just I may have half

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Speaker 1: in full. I may kind of mixed up a little

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Speaker 1: bit for July and August with baseball until we get

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Speaker 1: ourselves into a situation where I feel more comfortable. But

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Speaker 1: I will reac calibrate because it's been one year and

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Speaker 1: it's time to take a look at the bank roll

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Speaker 1: and take a look at what I think I should

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Speaker 1: do and how do I approach the twenty twenty one

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Speaker 1: football season. What's going to be my one unit? So

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Speaker 1: that's when I will do it, probably January, sorry, July seventh,

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Speaker 1: So we're looking at three weeks or so from now

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Speaker 1: to see if that's gonna happen. So we got the

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Speaker 1: the Vegas gold Knights, right, that was nice. We got

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to see wherelds, what are the other bets do?

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Speaker 1: We came in? My phone just died to normally keep

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Speaker 1: check all this on my phone but I can't do that.

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Speaker 1: So we got Vegas right, we got Philadelphia wrong, and

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox came back in the bottom of the

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Speaker 1: ninth after Vlad Guerrero hit an absolute moonshot to tie

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Speaker 1: the game off. Matt Barnes cannot throw that guy a

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Speaker 1: bad breaking ball. Hit that thing a mile. But then

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox came back. Raphael D. Devers with an

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Speaker 1: RBI single to win the game for Boston two to

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Speaker 1: one against the Toronto Blue Jay. So we got that

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Speaker 1: right at minus one eighteen, and then Shake Milton scored

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Speaker 1: eight points, so that came in that hit, and then

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Speaker 1: Rudy go bear points and rebounds over twenty six and

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Speaker 1: a half. The game's still going on right now. I'm

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Speaker 1: watching it because I have a bet on the over,

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Speaker 1: personal bet on the over. In this game. It's one

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Speaker 1: ten to ninety seven, with three to eleven to play

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Speaker 1: the live total, they shut it off, so it's tight

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Speaker 1: in terms of where I'm gonna be. So I'm at

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Speaker 1: what I'm at two oh seven right now, and I'm

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Speaker 1: going over to twenty four, so I need sixteen points

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Speaker 1: in three minutes. It's not impossible. If we start seeing

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Speaker 1: threes in free throws, So maybe I get there to

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Speaker 1: the over, but you know, Philadelphia just I mean twenty

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Speaker 1: point lead and they blew it. I mean they had

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Speaker 1: a chance to take a commanding lead. And as I said,

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Speaker 1: as long as if we're going to lose the bet,

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Speaker 1: we had to have a we had to have a

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Speaker 1: win for Atlanta because now it's two to two and

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Speaker 1: they're going back to Philadelphia for Game five. Our plus

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Speaker 1: one fifty five wager are still alive for Atlanta to

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Speaker 1: win the series. So now it's two two, it's the

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Speaker 1: best two out of three. In Atlanta has to try

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Speaker 1: to win Game six because they don't have home court,

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Speaker 1: but they're not going back to Philadelphia down three to one.

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Speaker 1: In that case, I think it's over. I think most

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Speaker 1: likely the Sixers win Game five and then Atlanta maybe

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Speaker 1: wins Game six. But it's going to be interesting to

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Speaker 1: see what happens with that knee injury, because Joel Embii

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Speaker 1: looked wrong, like he couldn't jump, everything was short, He

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Speaker 1: played horrifically. That knee is getting progressively worse given the

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Speaker 1: minutes he's playing, and he does not have any lift.

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Speaker 1: Donoman Mitchell tonight didn't have any Lyft, although he scored

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Speaker 1: thirty six thirty seven points. He watched the injuries for sure,

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Speaker 1: watch the injuries. So this is a blowout win for

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Speaker 1: the Clippers, and we'll watch and see what happens in

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Speaker 1: Game five here. But I would have sat Donovan Mitchell down.

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Speaker 1: The lead is only thirteen points here were three minutes

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Speaker 1: to play, So I guess Utah is not totally out

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Speaker 1: of it. And if you bet the Clippers minus five,

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Speaker 1: you're still sweating this. I mean, this cover is not

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Speaker 1: locked in yet with the way that we're seeing the

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Speaker 1: Jazz come out and threes here and just try to

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Speaker 1: contend and try to be in this series. Mitchell is

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Speaker 1: not going anywhere, so he doesn't look right, you know,

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Speaker 1: I don't think inbiid looks right. But it's the postseason

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Speaker 1: in this point in the year, like who actually is

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Speaker 1: is right? But so a three and two day Rudy

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Speaker 1: Gobert just had a dunk, but he's gonna come woefully

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Speaker 1: short on his rebounds and assists. He was just not

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Speaker 1: even a factor in this game at all. For the

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Speaker 1: Utah Jazz, and credit Kawhi and credit Paul George. They

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Speaker 1: were absolutely tremendous Okay, so let's get to the plays here.

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Speaker 1: I've got four of them because no player props today,

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Speaker 1: just one NBA game, so no player props coming up

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Speaker 1: here today. So I've got a baseball bet, a basketball bet,

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Speaker 1: a baseball a hockey bet, and a soccer bet. The

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Speaker 1: discord bet today is the soccer bet that you have

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Speaker 1: all been asking for. It's the first ever soccer bet,

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Speaker 1: the first ever soccer bet for us here in the

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Speaker 1: history of the Daily Juice, and it is. It is

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Speaker 1: a discord crowdsourced bet. Okay, if you were on the

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Speaker 1: live chat and this thing is really fun. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how you guys do your process of figuring out

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Speaker 1: what games to bet, but I find it so beneficial

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Speaker 1: to talk it through with literally anybody, like anyone who

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Speaker 1: has any real idea about gambling. It's so good to

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Speaker 1: talk out your bet and to hear what they think

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Speaker 1: in them, to point out things that you may not

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Speaker 1: know or you may not think about, and say what

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Speaker 1: about this? What about that? I just I absolutely love it.

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Speaker 1: So I love the discord conversation we're having. I love

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Speaker 1: the fact that we're having this every week. And if

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Speaker 1: you're not in the discord chat, get in and then

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Speaker 1: be a part of the discord stages conversation every Monday

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Speaker 1: afternoon Monday evening on the East coast because I find

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Speaker 1: it awesome. So we had again we have like fifty

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Speaker 1: sixty people hang out. They recommend different bets. We had

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Speaker 1: a total of one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine,

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Speaker 1: ten wagers that were recommended. The discord bet is France

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Speaker 1: and Germany. Okay, France in Germany, both teams to score

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Speaker 1: yes at MIS one twenty five at DraftKings France in Germany,

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Speaker 1: both teams to score is the prop bet both teams

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Speaker 1: to score yes at MIS one twenty five. Now that

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Speaker 1: game is let me make sure we've got what time

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Speaker 1: that game is going to kick off here, because I

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Speaker 1: believe it's sometime in the middle of the day and

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Speaker 1: I don't want you guys to miss this when you

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Speaker 1: wake up and well, where is soccer? All there? Soccer? Okay?

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Speaker 1: So then the schedule it is France in Germany. Uh,

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Speaker 1: that game will happen for Tuesday, Okay, sorry, change today.

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Speaker 1: That's a twelve noon Pacific time three pm Eastern time

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Speaker 1: start on ESPN. Okay France, Germany, both teams to score

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Speaker 1: yes at Mins one twenty five at DraftKings for the

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Speaker 1: discord way. Okay, so both teams to score yes as

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Speaker 1: one twenty five is our wager four and six all

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Speaker 1: time on the Discord bet. I like that bet a lot.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully we get one goal from France one goal from Germany.

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Speaker 1: That's all we need to cash the wager for us

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Speaker 1: for the discord bet. Okay. There is the first ever

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Speaker 1: soccer bet in the history of the Daily Juice and

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Speaker 1: it's a crowdsource bet. We've got. We've got soccer, so

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Speaker 1: you can't get mad at me. If you wanted soccer,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris wanted soccer, Dan, you wanted soccer. Here's your

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Speaker 1: soccer bet, all right. And two bets we discussed on

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Speaker 1: the Discord chat. I'm taking and I was going to

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Speaker 1: take them anyway. I'm one taking them now after us

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Speaker 1: talking it through, all right, let's talk about we bet

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Speaker 1: this one time before it didn't hit yesterday. Pittsburgh Pirates

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Speaker 1: Yes in the first inning to score a run. The

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Pirates are taking on the Washington Nationals. Two pitchers

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Speaker 1: are Tyler anders In, Patrick Corbyn. Anderson's three and six

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Speaker 1: with a four point five to two era. Patrick Corbyn

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Speaker 1: is three and five with a six point twoy one er.

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Speaker 1: Tyler Anderson's eight and four to a Yes run in

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Speaker 1: the first inning off of him, and Patrick Corbyn is

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Speaker 1: nine and five to the Yes, scoring a run off

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Speaker 1: him in the first inning. One of these two teams

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Speaker 1: they will score, Okay, one of these two teams are

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Speaker 1: going to score. Mice one to Fifteen's what I got it?

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Speaker 1: Yes run in the first inning, Mice one to fifteen,

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Speaker 1: Pirates Nationals half a unit. It's a quick one, but

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Speaker 1: it's in place of the props. Okay, so it's a

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Speaker 1: quick one and we're jumping on it. Pirates Nationals. Yes

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Speaker 1: run in the first inning. Half a unit at Mice

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Speaker 1: one fifteen to basketball. Let's talk about the Nets and

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Speaker 1: the Bucks. So the under train is on for Milwaukee

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Speaker 1: and for Brooklyn. For Milwaukee, five of the last six

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Speaker 1: games have gone under. For the Brooklyn Nets, all five

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Speaker 1: of their last five have gone under. And in this

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Speaker 1: series it's been ridiculous. Under by seventeen and a half,

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Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half, sixty six and a half

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Speaker 1: twenty six and a half totals have been two thirty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half two thirty eight and a half,

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Speaker 1: two thirty five and a half in two twenty nine, okay,

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Speaker 1: two twenty nine, under twenty six points in the last

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Speaker 1: game one oh seven to ninety six. The total is

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Speaker 1: two eighteen that I got here in Vegas shop around.

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Speaker 1: I think points matter, but without Kyrie Irving and James Harden,

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a real tough game for

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn to score. And I think Brooklyn's gonna slow the

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Speaker 1: pace down. I think Brooklyn's gonna want to play the

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Speaker 1: type of game that we saw in game number three,

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Speaker 1: which was an eighty six eighty three type of game.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if we go that low, but I

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Speaker 1: think we're that we're in that type of game because

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Speaker 1: I don't think Brooklyn can get into a track meet

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Speaker 1: with Milwaukee, nor do I do I think they want

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Speaker 1: to get into a track meet with Milwaukee. Under to

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Speaker 1: eighteen for the Nets. Let's get another under here, and

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Speaker 1: let's hope that we don't see like Joe Harris bomb

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Speaker 1: one hundred and threes or something, but under to eighteen

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Speaker 1: for the Nets. And they're in Milwaukee, uh Bucks for

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Speaker 1: game five of their Monsters series, and this is a

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Speaker 1: huge game in Brooklyn. Man. They talk about a big game.

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Speaker 1: This is a big, big game here for these two

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Speaker 1: teams without two of their best players. It's gonna be

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Speaker 1: wild to watch for the Nets. Can they score? I

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Speaker 1: don't think they can under to eighteens what we're taking.

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Speaker 1: And then finally Tampa Bay and the New York Islanders.

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Speaker 1: So the Islanders are a team that have had just

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Speaker 1: a crazy run over the last THIRTI seven games on

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Speaker 1: the road. The Islanders under is twenty five ten and two.

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Speaker 1: Varleomnov's been tremendous under basically two goals against average. He

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Speaker 1: was great in Game one, a two to one final.

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Speaker 1: Vassilevski is just incredible under two goals against average. He's

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Speaker 1: just insane. I don't think we're gonna deal with a

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Speaker 1: high scoring series at all. I got five and a

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Speaker 1: half here in Vegas. Now you may see a five, okay,

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Speaker 1: and I don't I don't mind if it gets to five.

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Speaker 1: If you bet the over five in that same trend,

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Speaker 1: I I don't mind that. But I found five and

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Speaker 1: a half and I'm betting under, and the juice is

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Speaker 1: not that bad, so to me, I think playing under

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Speaker 1: five and well, actually the juice is kind of bad. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: it's mine one pty five. No, sorry, one forty five.

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, mine one forty five. The ju juice is

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Speaker 1: kind of bad, but it's mine one forty five under

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Speaker 1: five and a half. I've seen a five out there

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Speaker 1: at a different book at plus one hundred. I think

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Speaker 1: you might see fives at some point. But five and

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Speaker 1: a half in under is my play here, not five

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Speaker 1: and over. So five and a half under. Maybe it's

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Speaker 1: a three to two win, and we get it. It

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Speaker 1: might be really really sweaty and nasty, much like the

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Speaker 1: Vegas game, But I'm just gonna keep going with the

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Speaker 1: unders here under five and a half. For these teams

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Speaker 1: not scoring a ton with great goaltenders and standing on

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Speaker 1: their heads and not allowing a lot of goals, it

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Speaker 1: may be a sweat. It may be us pacing around,

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Speaker 1: but I'm gonna go ahead and I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: five and a half for Tampa Bay in New York Islanders.

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Speaker 1: I'll lay to mass one forty five juice on that

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Speaker 1: and take the under. Okay, so our four. Wow, I'm

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Speaker 1: getting really close to this. I need three points in

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Speaker 1: a minute to get to the over, and it looks

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Speaker 1: like we're going to see a foul. Okay, we've got

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Speaker 1: a minute left. Can I get three points to at

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Speaker 1: least get a push. I'm on over to twenty four

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Speaker 1: and we're at two twenty one right now for the

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Speaker 1: total with a minute and a half left, not boud

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Speaker 1: to and on the night, on a winning night, that

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Speaker 1: won't be bad if I can kind of figure out

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Speaker 1: we get three points in one minute or ah, way,

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Speaker 1: I get free throws too. How about that? It was

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Speaker 1: a foul to get Paul Georgia to the game, and

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Speaker 1: of course he misses the free throw. Boy, we got

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Speaker 1: scrubs in for both teams? Can I get three points?

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'll hit the second free throw on and get

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Speaker 1: two points and then maybe one layup and at least

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Speaker 1: I've got a push out of this. With the total.

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Speaker 1: Our bets for tomorrow the Discord bet and he hit it,

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Speaker 1: so I'm only two points in a minute oh four?

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Speaker 1: Both teams to score yes between France and Germany. Discord

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Speaker 1: bet minus one twenty five half a unit yes run

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Speaker 1: in the first inning. Nationals and the Pittsburgh Pirates at

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen, under two eighteen for the Nets and

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Speaker 1: the Bucks and under five and a half for the

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders. Those are

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Speaker 1: the plays. My name is Matt Paroltz. You can follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning,

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Speaker 1: it's the Daly Juice Podcast right here on Betting pros

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Speaker 1: dot com, brought you by bet I'MGM persent from Pasanti

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Speaker 1: pasant Persanto