1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,120 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,160 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey p joep Zapia and today, oh, 3 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,280 Speaker 1: we've got a special one for you. The NFL is 4 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:12,400 Speaker 1: over all sad. I know I'm believing we'll all be 5 00:00:12,440 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: crying for a while, but don't worry. It'll be back 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:16,759 Speaker 1: before you know it, come around to August time. But 7 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,159 Speaker 1: we've got a lot of other NFL coverage here on 8 00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:22,119 Speaker 1: the shows here on Betting Pros. We're gonna talk to 9 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: combine some other things. But it's really NBA season right now, 10 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: and we're a little bit past the halfway mark, which 11 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: means it's All Star Game time, which means we have 12 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:35,240 Speaker 1: to talk to our resident NBA legend, Matt Modi, who 13 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: is the host of Fast Break Bets here right on 14 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: the channel every Monday, Wednesday Friday, three days a week now, 15 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 1: giving you the best in NBA. Matt, appreciate you hanging 16 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: out with us today outside the normal work you're doing, 17 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: because today we're gonna talk a little All Star Game, 18 00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: a little bit of the maybe what the NBA looks 19 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 1: like in the future. But this is that time of 20 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: year where I think you sit back and evaluate the 21 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 1: season and what you've seen so far. So that being said, 22 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 1: I know it's kind of a big question, what are 23 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:02,200 Speaker 1: the big takeaways for you so far? But what you've 24 00:01:02,200 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: seen now the NBA in twenty twenty three now into 25 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, Yeah. 26 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: Good question. 27 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 3: I think it's been interesting to see how much people 28 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 3: care about the game limit for season awards and stuff 29 00:01:14,760 --> 00:01:16,800 Speaker 3: like the sixty five game limit to be all NBA 30 00:01:17,040 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 3: or to win like MVP and stuff like Embide was 31 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 3: the favorite. 32 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: Now he's hurt. 33 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 3: Now he's not even he's not even possible to win 34 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:26,080 Speaker 3: the MVP now because he's hurt. I think it's been 35 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 3: interesting to see like the Oklahoma City the one of 36 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 3: the youngest teams in the NBA, one of the best 37 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 3: teams in the NBA, the Celtics just running away with 38 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,640 Speaker 3: the with the East. I feel like every year there's 39 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 3: there's some type of like narrative that forms at the 40 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 3: beginning of the year, whether scoring is up, whether scoring's down. 41 00:01:43,040 --> 00:01:44,840 Speaker 3: This year, it kind of feels like it's the young 42 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 3: guys in the West, the thunder the even the Timberwolves, 43 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 3: or the number one seed in the West with the 44 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 3: Anthony Edwards leading the charge. 45 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 2: So no, it's been a fun season. 46 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:54,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, and you mentioned some of the changes to the 47 00:01:54,800 --> 00:01:57,360 Speaker 1: NBA season. I love it. I think it's great. I 48 00:01:57,360 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 1: would like Major League Baseball to continue to evolve. Last 49 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: year it was a big jump for MLB and some 50 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 1: of the rules changes we had. It was very positive 51 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: across the board. And speaking of baseball, we'll be having 52 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: baseball shows there. Don't worry. Joey Futures already has some 53 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: bets in. I'm gonna be giving them to you Alia 54 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: as we go on in the next week's ahead. But Matt, 55 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: let's turn our attention, obviously to the All Star Game, 56 00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 1: and let's start here with the competition for the skills, 57 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,640 Speaker 1: because that's something you know, I grew up with. I 58 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: was in the I'm old enough, Matt. I'm old enough 59 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:26,840 Speaker 1: to remember Spudweb winning. I'm old enough to remember the 60 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: Jordan years and Dominique Wilkins and all that stuff. But 61 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,639 Speaker 1: it's become a different contest over the years. We're gonna 62 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 1: talk dunk contest, but let's start the three point contest. 63 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: When I was a boy, Larry Bird was winning every year. 64 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 1: But now it's a very different set of circumstances. So 65 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: who is your favorite pick here for the three point 66 00:02:42,400 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: contest this coming weekend. 67 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, so for the three point competition, I definitely did 68 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 3: the deep, the deepest dive on that, so very prepared 69 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 3: for this. My favorite bet is Tyre's Halliburton right now, 70 00:02:52,480 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 3: he has the second best odds, so it's not a 71 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:56,959 Speaker 3: super hot take. The favorite at the betting favorite in 72 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:58,320 Speaker 3: terms of odds is Damian Lillard. 73 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,239 Speaker 2: I'm not on Dame actually, like Tyre's Halliburton. 74 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 3: Technically a hometown player has never won the three point competition, 75 00:03:06,400 --> 00:03:08,640 Speaker 3: which is interesting. Not that that doesn't scare me off 76 00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:10,760 Speaker 3: at all. That's just kind of more facts than any 77 00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 3: that actually matters or anything. Last year was in Utah 78 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:17,280 Speaker 3: Lauri Markden, he was participating. 79 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:19,079 Speaker 2: Obviously he didn't end up winning. 80 00:03:19,880 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, Dame's the betting favorite, but he's just not having 81 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 3: a good year shooting from deep. He's shooting his second 82 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 3: lowest percentage in his career at thirty four point four percent. 83 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 3: Last year when he won, he was shooting thirty seven 84 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,160 Speaker 3: point one percent and averaging over thirty points per game. 85 00:03:35,440 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 3: He's even admitted that he's got some personal stuff going 86 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 3: on that's kind of the reason why he's been shooting 87 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:42,520 Speaker 3: in the slump a little bit. But I think just 88 00:03:42,560 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 3: because he won last year and because he's got the 89 00:03:44,320 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 3: name value of Davy and Freakin Lillard, that's why he's 90 00:03:47,080 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 3: the betting favorite. 91 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 2: I don't really see the value there. For me, it 92 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 2: was on Tyre's Halliburton. 93 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 3: He was the runner up last year, lost to Dame, 94 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:57,960 Speaker 3: So he's got experience in the competition, successful experience in 95 00:03:58,000 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 3: the competition, and he tied the record for most points 96 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 3: in the first round last year with thirty one. 97 00:04:03,520 --> 00:04:04,840 Speaker 2: That's literally the record. 98 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 3: Obviously, they changed the scoring every year, so the records 99 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 3: are kind of wonky, but he did really well in 100 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 3: the first round and they kind of just lost his 101 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:14,800 Speaker 3: juice as it went on. But five years into his career, 102 00:04:14,840 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 3: he shot forty percent from deep or yeah, forty percent 103 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 3: from deep or better every single year. And the reason 104 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 3: why I ended up picking him as my favorite. I 105 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:26,800 Speaker 3: try to find like advanced stats that matter for the 106 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 3: three point competition, like what matters what doesn't, And the 107 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,360 Speaker 3: two things that I looked at was not only shooting percentage, 108 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,400 Speaker 3: but volume as well. And I looked specifically at wide 109 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:37,800 Speaker 3: open three point attempts, because that's exactly what the three 110 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 3: point competition is. 111 00:04:38,839 --> 00:04:40,160 Speaker 1: It's a great point point. 112 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:44,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, he attempts the second most wide open three point 113 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,120 Speaker 3: attempts in the NBA at five point one, and he shoots. 114 00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:50,599 Speaker 3: He makes forty three point two percent on those attempts. 115 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 3: The only player that shoots more than him is Trey Young, 116 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 3: who is participating. He's got the third best thoughts, but 117 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 3: he shoots out a much lower clip. Right, Like Trey 118 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:02,720 Speaker 3: Young is more than as a shooter, I think not 119 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 3: he's he's known as being a better shooter than he 120 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 3: actually is. I think because he can he has deep range, 121 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 3: but he's not a high percentage type of shot maker 122 00:05:10,440 --> 00:05:14,400 Speaker 3: like Haliburton is. And then in terms of strictly percentages, 123 00:05:14,440 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 3: Malie Beasley technically makes the highest percent of anybody participating, 124 00:05:18,560 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 3: but he shoots less than half the attempts for games 125 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 3: I tried to find volume plus accuracy is kind of 126 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:25,480 Speaker 3: where I went and how I landed on Tyres Haliford. 127 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:26,839 Speaker 3: And so I know that was a long die tribe, 128 00:05:26,839 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 3: but that's now we're gone. 129 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: I think you backed it up, man, like I think 130 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,279 Speaker 1: it's fascinating because you actually found some stats that could 131 00:05:33,279 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: actually somehow be relevant in a contest where everything is 132 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: completely arbitrary, and I think that's fantastic not to mention 133 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: the number is more than four to one. I mean, 134 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:43,080 Speaker 1: Matt right off the bat, how often do you get 135 00:05:43,120 --> 00:05:45,160 Speaker 1: any contest where the second person is four to one? 136 00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 1: That's a really good situation. So is there a long 137 00:05:47,880 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: shot too, if people want to have some fun and 138 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: maybe sprinkle something somewhere else, Yes. 139 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:51,760 Speaker 2: There is. 140 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 3: So it's what I try to do for all these 141 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 3: kind of events, a favorite and a long shot. My 142 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 3: long shot is Lauren Markinen. He's best offered at plus 143 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 3: eight hundred odds, so one pretty good his second year participating. 144 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 3: I do like the fact that he has some experience. 145 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 3: I mean, the first time player has one before, so 146 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 3: it's not necessary or it's not like I'm completely writing 147 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 3: them off. I dislike the fact that they have experience. 148 00:06:13,800 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 3: So I looked at a little bit of a different 149 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,960 Speaker 3: stat with market In. For Halliburton, it was shots that 150 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 3: were wide open for marketing. It's catch and shoot opportunities 151 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:26,159 Speaker 3: because that's essentially the same mechanics as the three point competition, 152 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 3: and Lauri Marketen attempts the most catch and shoot opportunities 153 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,240 Speaker 3: per game in the NBA, he launches seven point four 154 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 3: catch and shoot. He's the only player in the NBA 155 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,720 Speaker 3: above seven. Everybody else is six and below, and he 156 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 3: shoots about forty two percent on those, so he does 157 00:06:40,839 --> 00:06:43,120 Speaker 3: shoot them at a high clip and at a high percentage. 158 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,719 Speaker 3: The next closest participant in terms of catch and shoot 159 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 3: is Malik Beasley, who attempts four point eight's almost three 160 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 3: fewer per game. So that's kind of like for Haliburton, 161 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 3: it was wide open for Marketing, it's catch and shoot, 162 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:57,640 Speaker 3: and I do like the fact that market In also 163 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 3: of the participants, attempts the third most wide open shot 164 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 3: attempts as well, so he kind of has the best 165 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 3: balance of the two. He makes forty five percent on 166 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 3: three point six attempts per game, and then on the 167 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 3: ear he's shooting forty point four percent. Another another shooter 168 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:14,640 Speaker 3: that shoots a lot of volume at a high clip. 169 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 3: So between the two, I like the two guy. I 170 00:07:16,800 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 3: like Caliburn, and I like market In. Hopefully we can 171 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:19,440 Speaker 3: get one of them into cash. 172 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: All right, let's move to the dunk contest now, which 173 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 1: has really, you know, evolved and changed in the last 174 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: decade too. I would say, I think the big takeaway 175 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 1: for me when I watch it annually now is the 176 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 1: miss dunks really taking the air out of the room. 177 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: Like you gets so hyped up to get so excited. 178 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 1: You see all the setups and all the things, and 179 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: they're like that, well there's a Rolls Royce and now 180 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 1: Shack's gonna stand on top of that. You guy's gonna 181 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: grab the ball off of that and he's gonna miss 182 00:07:42,400 --> 00:07:44,640 Speaker 1: it six times and then eventually he makes it. Yeah, 183 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,040 Speaker 1: I wish they would just tighten that up a little bit. 184 00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 2: Now. 185 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: I understand that everyone's watching all that stuff, but I 186 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: feel like so much of that too is I don't 187 00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: know if you could, you know, find a stat to 188 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 1: back this up, but it feels like we're, you know, 189 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: the guys who at least complete their dunks within one 190 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:02,280 Speaker 1: try or two tries almost a better opportunity to get 191 00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: further in this competition because the air doesn't go out 192 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:06,559 Speaker 1: of the bubble as much for them, despite the degree 193 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:10,800 Speaker 1: of difficulty. So with all the weird little idiosyncrasies that 194 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:12,720 Speaker 1: are now part of this dunk contest, there's somebody that 195 00:08:12,760 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: stands out to you in the betting board. That makes sense. 196 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, Admittedly the dunk contest is harder to find, like 197 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:20,120 Speaker 3: the stats that I found for the three point competition 198 00:08:20,760 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 3: for context, the favorite is Mac McClung, who won last year, 199 00:08:24,240 --> 00:08:27,080 Speaker 3: but he's offered at minus one ninety. Yeah, I'll probably 200 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 3: admit that he's the most likely to win. The odds 201 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,199 Speaker 3: obviously reflect that only four guys have repeated as NBA 202 00:08:32,240 --> 00:08:33,960 Speaker 3: Slam Dunk Champions, and the last one to do it 203 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 3: was twenty fifteen. Granted, McClung is definitely a good bet 204 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 3: to do so I went with Jacob Toppin at plus 205 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,840 Speaker 3: six hundred odds. He's got the third so the sport participants, 206 00:08:43,840 --> 00:08:46,199 Speaker 3: he's got the second long shot odds the second he's 207 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:48,199 Speaker 3: his the least second favorite. I'm not sure the wording there, 208 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 3: with Hame Hakes Junior as the longest, I mean so 209 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:55,959 Speaker 3: Obi Toppin is his brother he won in twenty twenty. 210 00:08:56,000 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 3: One of the guys participating, Toppin has the longest reach, 211 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 3: so I think from He's also one of the taller ones, 212 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 3: so I think from height and length alone, he could 213 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,400 Speaker 3: probably finish some dunks that the other guys might not 214 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 3: be able to like Matt book Clunk could jump higher, 215 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 3: but he's got a shorter reach, and he's just shorter 216 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:18,240 Speaker 3: in general. So maybe Obi Top is capable of finishing 217 00:09:18,240 --> 00:09:21,840 Speaker 3: some dunks without needing ten different attempts like some other guys. 218 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 3: So that one I'm immittedly not as competent in but 219 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 3: six to one plus six hundred odds again longest, longest reach, 220 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 3: which is which was my logic there, But this one's 221 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 3: a little bit tougher. 222 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: Admittedly was that Zach Levine the last guy I look 223 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:40,520 Speaker 1: at that The recesses of the brain still work. Not great, Matt, 224 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,680 Speaker 1: but they still work a little bit, still work. Let's 225 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 1: get to the game itself. Now, Obviously, if you like defense, 226 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: this is not the game for you. The All Star 227 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:50,360 Speaker 1: Game officially has always been well, it's a shooe fast, 228 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: it's fun, it's running up and down, it's like watching 229 00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,319 Speaker 1: your uncle's play basketball and all that kind of stuff. 230 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 1: But it is fun from the standpoint of his very 231 00:09:57,440 --> 00:10:01,079 Speaker 1: high scoring. There's a lot of show and that's entertaining. 232 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 1: So before you even get to some of the individual stuff, 233 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,720 Speaker 1: when you look at over under numbers, is there. I 234 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 1: think this is one of the harder things in all 235 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:13,080 Speaker 1: of sports, sure to hit on the over under because 236 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: the number is always going to be so high the 237 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:17,520 Speaker 1: defense is so low. Do you have a lean on this, 238 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: like we set it to a point this year where 239 00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 1: it's so high that maybe it does underperform slightly. 240 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:24,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I do have some numbers about the total. 241 00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:27,440 Speaker 3: So it opened up at three sixty five and a half, 242 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 3: is currently offered at three sixty one and a half. 243 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,440 Speaker 3: So what, however, sharp you can call it, because it's 244 00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:34,400 Speaker 3: the All Star Game. Sharp money did come in on 245 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:37,719 Speaker 3: the under. The important thing to note with the All 246 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 3: Star Game is there's no elamending. They had it for 247 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 3: the past three or four years where the elam ending 248 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,199 Speaker 3: for those of you who don't know, it's instead of 249 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 3: having a time to fourth quarter, it's just first to 250 00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 3: get to this many points. This year they're just doing 251 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:53,120 Speaker 3: four normal twelve minute quarters, So no elam ending. So 252 00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:55,559 Speaker 3: you can't look at last year the total the over 253 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 3: under was three twenty five and a half. 254 00:10:57,800 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 2: That's because the elam ending. 255 00:10:59,200 --> 00:11:02,440 Speaker 3: With that said, I'm not going to suggest anybody actually 256 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:04,520 Speaker 3: take it the under on the All Star Game, but 257 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 3: I will admit that's the better play than the over. 258 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:08,319 Speaker 3: It's not gonna be as fun, and you're gonna watch 259 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:09,480 Speaker 3: it and you're like, man, he's got. 260 00:11:09,440 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 2: Some play defense. 261 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,439 Speaker 1: No, but even even. 262 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:14,520 Speaker 3: The past couple of years pre elamending, like, the total 263 00:11:14,520 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 3: hasn't exceeded three hundred and sixty one since twenty seventeen, 264 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 3: and there's a three or four year span in there 265 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,720 Speaker 3: where there's no elamending. So I personally am not touching 266 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:25,079 Speaker 3: the total. If someone were to bet the total, the 267 00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,959 Speaker 3: best value would be on the under. But that's definitely 268 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 3: gonna make you sweat. 269 00:11:29,640 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 4: A little bit. 270 00:11:30,480 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 1: I imagine, you know, Charles Oakley and Bill Lambier just 271 00:11:34,600 --> 00:11:36,719 Speaker 1: watched the All Star Game and just punch walls the 272 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,120 Speaker 1: entire time. Yeah, yeah, yeah, but you know they used 273 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:42,560 Speaker 1: to punch people. Now they just find it all all right, 274 00:11:42,600 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: Let's get to a side of this game that you 275 00:11:45,440 --> 00:11:47,880 Speaker 1: like potentially here, so East or West? Which side of 276 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:48,760 Speaker 1: you landing on? 277 00:11:49,320 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 2: Yeah? 278 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,000 Speaker 3: So I actually like the East, and they're the underdog 279 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,680 Speaker 3: here they're plus one twenty five plus one twenty eight 280 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 3: actually are the actual odds. I feel like the West 281 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 3: is the favorite because they have the better players, and 282 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 3: you just look at the name Jokic Doncic, Kawhi, Lebron, 283 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:08,560 Speaker 3: Kevin Durant. A lot of these guys don't try in 284 00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 3: the All Star Game anymore, whereas the East a bunch 285 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 3: of young and upcoming guys who actually will give effort. 286 00:12:13,679 --> 00:12:15,679 Speaker 3: Or Jannis, even though he's a little bit older, he 287 00:12:15,960 --> 00:12:18,280 Speaker 3: still gives a ton of effort in the All Star Game. 288 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:20,319 Speaker 3: And if I'm picking a side, I'll pick the side 289 00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 3: that I think is at least going to try better, 290 00:12:22,280 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 3: try harder, not necessarily the side with the bigger names 291 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,679 Speaker 3: like Luca. He's appearing four All Star games, He's never 292 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:31,720 Speaker 3: scored more than eight points. Jokic, he literally admitted last 293 00:12:31,760 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 3: year that he just doesn't care about the All Star Game. 294 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 3: His exact quote, I would not draft myself either. I'm 295 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:42,120 Speaker 3: not meant for this game, which is hilarious. And I mean, 296 00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 3: you just watched Jokic play like his game. Is not 297 00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 3: an All Star type of guy. And then there's Lebron, 298 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:49,679 Speaker 3: who used to give a ton of effort in the 299 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:52,040 Speaker 3: All Star Game. As he's gotten older, has given a 300 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:55,680 Speaker 3: lot less effort. Beginning in his career, he would always 301 00:12:55,720 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 3: play thirty plus minutes. He's played fewer than twenty and 302 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 3: three of the last four, and he scored single digits 303 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,520 Speaker 3: in two of the last three as well. Whereas the 304 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 3: young guys, they got tyres Halibert making his first career start. 305 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:08,959 Speaker 3: Jason Tatum dropped fifty five in the Off Star Game 306 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 3: last year. Damian Lillard is not obviously a young guy, 307 00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,199 Speaker 3: but he's also making his first start in the All 308 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 3: Star Game. And then like Jalen brunts in, Trey Young, 309 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:18,440 Speaker 3: all these guys that have a little bit more to 310 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 3: prove than Kawhi Leonard and all these vets in the 311 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 3: West that have been there and done that. So I 312 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 3: think the better play here is on the East money line. 313 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 3: You can get it for plus odds. 314 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: Plus odds sounds good to me. I didn't realize Dame 315 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 1: had never started an All Star Game. That's kind of interesting. 316 00:13:32,559 --> 00:13:35,120 Speaker 3: It's because the West, between the Guards and Steph Threer 317 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 3: so loaded. 318 00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess so we all the years of the 319 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,839 Speaker 1: Warriors and you know, Lakers, and it just ah, that's 320 00:13:39,840 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 1: one I just never really thought about. All right, So 321 00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 1: let's pick an MVP because that's always fun. You know, 322 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:46,959 Speaker 1: these odds are probably all over the place in terms 323 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: of big names and big numbers, but is there one 324 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 1: combination of those two things that you think as a 325 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: real opportunity, And especially if you like the East, I 326 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:55,240 Speaker 1: would imagine that MVP comes from there. 327 00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:58,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, So if the East wins, which is my prediction, 328 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 3: I think the most likely MVP he's Giannis. There's a 329 00:14:01,480 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 3: couple of things that you need to win MVP. You 330 00:14:03,559 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 3: obviously need to care about the game. That's the most 331 00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:08,760 Speaker 3: important one, and Giannis has shown that he cares. Last year, 332 00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,840 Speaker 3: you can't look at because he was hurt heading into 333 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 3: the game, so he only played one possession because he 334 00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,400 Speaker 3: still wanted to start it. But prior to that, he 335 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,640 Speaker 3: had scored thirty points in the previous two All Star games, 336 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 3: and he checks every box for if you look at 337 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,160 Speaker 3: previous MVPs. He's obviously got a massive name. He's one 338 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 3: of the biggest names in the NBA. Excuse me. He's 339 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 3: shown that he cares about the game, which is important. 340 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 3: He's on a good team. Granted they're on a little 341 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 3: bit of a slump, but I think they're still third, 342 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 3: maybe fourth in the East. At this point. He's won 343 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,680 Speaker 3: and finals MVP before, he's won real life MVPs before, 344 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:41,960 Speaker 3: so after missing it last year. I think it only 345 00:14:41,960 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 3: makes sense for him to go giving full effort in 346 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 3: the game this year. He's also having an awesome year himself, 347 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 3: even though the Bucks are kind of stumbling a little bit, 348 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 3: He's having a great year. And even though he is 349 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:53,640 Speaker 3: the betting favorite, he's still six to one, he's plus 350 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: six hundred odds. So I always feel chalky going with 351 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 3: the favorite. It makes you feel a little bit better 352 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:58,840 Speaker 3: when it's plus six hundred. 353 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I would make me. I feel better too. Now, 354 00:15:01,080 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 1: if you parlay those things together, I imagine it's a 355 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: pretty good payout. I almost kind of want to check 356 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 1: on that to see what that might be. Or so 357 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 1: if I take the East for the upset and Yannis, 358 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 1: I put those two things together right now, I can't 359 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:15,320 Speaker 1: parlay them on FDS. I got to find another way 360 00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:16,680 Speaker 1: to do that. And that's why you have the Betting 361 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: pros app so you know exactly where to bet the 362 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:22,040 Speaker 1: best lines at the best times and get the most 363 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:23,880 Speaker 1: out of it. So if you haven't already, download the 364 00:15:23,920 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 1: Betting pros app and make sure utilizing the tools. And 365 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: of course if you want to check out premium you 366 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:31,040 Speaker 1: have iOS you can go ahead and get three free 367 00:15:31,120 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 1: days of premium. Perfect weekend to do it with the 368 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: All Star weekend. You got MLB futures out and ready 369 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 1: to go, You've got some early NFL stuff out there, 370 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 1: So a lot of opportunities this weekend on the holiday 371 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 1: to make some bets and do it smarter, not harder 372 00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: over the betting pros app, So do that please? All right? 373 00:15:46,440 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 1: So Matt I also tasked I put them to extra 374 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:50,800 Speaker 1: work again, this extra credit he's putting in for the 375 00:15:50,840 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: people today, So I hope you appreciate it. But let's 376 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,680 Speaker 1: get a little bit into the future of the NBA. 377 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: So if there are three bets maybe for the people 378 00:15:59,760 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 1: out there on the board that you like, that you 379 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:03,800 Speaker 1: think that people can use betting pros app, go ahead 380 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 1: and use this knowledge and go ahead and make some 381 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 1: money on NBA rest of season. What do you see 382 00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: that's out there that's really intriguing for the rest of 383 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,440 Speaker 1: twenty four Sure, So I. 384 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 3: Have three for you guys. They're going in order of 385 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 3: most likely to least likely to occur. 386 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 2: So keep that in mind. 387 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 3: They're all plus money because that's one of my you 388 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 3: gotta bet plus money, that's one of my favorite things 389 00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:20,520 Speaker 3: to do. 390 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 2: The first one that. 391 00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 3: I want to talk about is Steph Curry to win 392 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 3: the Clutch Player Award. He's currently the betting favorite, but 393 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 3: he's plus one ninety at DraftKings, so I still think 394 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 3: that's solid value. It's honestly a two man race in 395 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:36,680 Speaker 3: my opinion, between him and Damian Lillard. Dame has the 396 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 3: second best odds to win at plus two seventy. But 397 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:42,560 Speaker 3: I think, I mean, you could take both because if 398 00:16:43,040 --> 00:16:44,640 Speaker 3: I'd be shocked if a third player wins, So you 399 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 3: can kind of guarantee some income there assuming one of 400 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 3: them does win. It's only the second year of this award, 401 00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 3: so you don't have a ton of historical data and 402 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:54,320 Speaker 3: precedent and kind of what to go off of and stuff. 403 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 3: But Steph Curry obviously has the name Steph Frick and Curry, 404 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 3: and I did try to find some stats to back 405 00:17:01,480 --> 00:17:05,120 Speaker 3: this up. So NBA has a stat where they define 406 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 3: clutch points. It's like if five minutes are fewer in 407 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:10,320 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter and the game is within I think 408 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:13,199 Speaker 3: a couple I forget the exact numbers, but on the 409 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 3: entire season, Steph has one hundred and fifty seven total 410 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:19,400 Speaker 3: clutch points. Again as defined by NBA dot Com. The 411 00:17:19,440 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 3: next closest player is DeMar DeRozan at one hundred and 412 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 3: six clutch points. It's a fifty one point difference between 413 00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,240 Speaker 3: him and the second most. And then if you look 414 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 3: at like minutes played in the clutch, he's at the 415 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 3: fourth moost. So it's not like he's wrapping up a 416 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:37,320 Speaker 3: bunch of stats just because he's playing the most fourth most. Yeah, 417 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,440 Speaker 3: it's a lot, it's not the most. And he's scored 418 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 3: the most points by a mile. In terms of clutch 419 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 3: points per game, he's second in the NBA with five 420 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,920 Speaker 3: point one. The only guy above him is Anthony Simons 421 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,400 Speaker 3: and he averages five point two. Obviously, Simons isn't gonna 422 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,639 Speaker 3: win the award, and he has the highlight reel moments, 423 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:54,360 Speaker 3: which I think you need. 424 00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:55,960 Speaker 2: You need to have the stats, we need to have 425 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 2: the highlight reel moments. 426 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 3: We all remember the game winner he had against the 427 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 3: Suns where he like turned and shot and put it 428 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 3: up with like a couple second stuff. It was like 429 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 3: a ridiculous shot. So you can have that on the 430 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:07,399 Speaker 3: highlight board when you when you announce Steph Curry as 431 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 3: the winner. So I think at plus one ninety. I think, yeah, 432 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,440 Speaker 3: I think. I think it's like what a forty percent 433 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 3: and something like that. I think it's pretty good more 434 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:14,479 Speaker 3: often not. 435 00:18:14,520 --> 00:18:15,960 Speaker 1: You know, it's funny we put this show together a 436 00:18:16,000 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 1: couple of days ago, and that numbers even moved. I 437 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:19,480 Speaker 1: don't know. If you've seen some spots it's even minus 438 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:21,160 Speaker 1: all the way at minus one twenty five. You think 439 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:22,840 Speaker 1: it would still be a good wager if by the 440 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:24,920 Speaker 1: time people see this, like I'm looking at betting pros 441 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 1: right now, you see one twenty five even minus one 442 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:29,200 Speaker 1: fifty and a couple other books. I see that's where 443 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,880 Speaker 1: DraftKings has moved. Would you still bet it with all 444 00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,640 Speaker 1: those great stats you have? I know you're not your 445 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 1: plus money. Otherwise it's start calling you minus money, Matt, 446 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: And I don't think you want that, Moniker. I don't 447 00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: think that's what you want. 448 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:42,920 Speaker 2: It went from plus one ninety to minus one fifty. 449 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,119 Speaker 1: See, your instincts were amazing, mode I. Your instincts are 450 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,400 Speaker 1: right on. See if we had just done this show Thursday, 451 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,400 Speaker 1: things would have been better. So now that it's moved 452 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,080 Speaker 1: to minus one twenty five in some spots, like I said, 453 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 1: I'm looking up betting pros right now, you can get 454 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:57,560 Speaker 1: that over at bet MGM. Would you still invest in 455 00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,880 Speaker 1: it before it goes even further down the road? 456 00:19:00,359 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 3: So I would still take it at minus one twenty five. 457 00:19:02,640 --> 00:19:05,120 Speaker 3: I wouldn't take it at minus one fifty. It has 458 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,200 Speaker 3: moved like that for a reason. Like right now, Jokic's 459 00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 3: minus one fifty to win MVP, and I still think 460 00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 3: that's a good bet at that number, because at the 461 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:14,400 Speaker 3: end of the day, it's what are the win percentage 462 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 3: of the odds and what's the win percentage of the bet? 463 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:18,240 Speaker 3: And I still think that the win percentage is higher 464 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:19,800 Speaker 3: than the minus went twenty five odds. 465 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,520 Speaker 2: But that is unfortunate that I didn't really move that much. 466 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 1: This is why I have the VP app. Everybody, so 467 00:19:25,240 --> 00:19:27,159 Speaker 1: I'm looking at it because I'm looking to bet it, 468 00:19:27,400 --> 00:19:29,720 Speaker 1: because you know, I'm knee deep in Major League Baseball 469 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 1: right now. I do nothing but NFL all year long 470 00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 1: pretty much too, so NBA. This is kind of where 471 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 1: I start to get caught up a little bit. So 472 00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:37,720 Speaker 1: I'm Lucio, like, all right, Matt's putting me in the 473 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:40,400 Speaker 1: right direction, And all of a sudden, Matt's so smart. 474 00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:42,639 Speaker 1: He says something boom. Next thing, you know, all of 475 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 1: a sudden, the lines move. All right, let's get to 476 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: another one here. Let's talk about Coach of the Year. 477 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 1: You got a feeling for that one, yeah. 478 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 3: So Coach of the Year, I'm going with Chris Finch. 479 00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 3: I will admit I'm pretty heavy on futures that that 480 00:19:55,040 --> 00:19:57,480 Speaker 3: are related to the Timberwolves in the regular season, not 481 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:01,399 Speaker 3: in the playoffs. But right now they're the favorite in 482 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,439 Speaker 3: the West or sorry, they're the one seed in the 483 00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:06,679 Speaker 3: West by a couple games now. They just smacked the 484 00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:08,919 Speaker 3: Clippers in the Clippers' home court, like that's fresh in 485 00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 3: people's minds. They also won and this isn't as I 486 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 3: presitive back to back against the Blazers. 487 00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 2: I mean, they beat the crap out of them, so 488 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:15,840 Speaker 2: that's obviously good. 489 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:19,560 Speaker 3: What I like is, eiy're already in the one seed. 490 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 3: B they have of the top four seeds in the West, 491 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:26,639 Speaker 3: which is that's them, the Clippers, the Nuggets, and the Thunder, 492 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,680 Speaker 3: they have the easiest strength of schedule remaining. 493 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 2: Of those four. 494 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,200 Speaker 3: And they also have the best record in the NBA 495 00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:34,640 Speaker 3: against teams. 496 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:36,560 Speaker 2: Above the five hundred, even. 497 00:20:36,359 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 3: Better than the Celtics, who have a four and a 498 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:41,000 Speaker 3: half game lead on them. Just in terms of overall record, 499 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:44,879 Speaker 3: they have the best win percentage against teams above five hundred, 500 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:46,919 Speaker 3: so they have an easy schedule, and then on the 501 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:50,800 Speaker 3: teams that are tougher they have a good win percentage against. 502 00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:54,160 Speaker 3: Right now, the betting favorite is Mark Dagnel at plus 503 00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 3: one seventy. That makes sense because the thunder are one 504 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,600 Speaker 3: of the youngest teams and last I checked, they were 505 00:20:59,600 --> 00:21:01,359 Speaker 3: the second even the West, so that all makes sense. 506 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,640 Speaker 3: But it's not like the Thunder I don't have talent, 507 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 3: right like chet is either going to win Rookie of the 508 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:09,359 Speaker 3: Year come up second. SGA is a legitimate MVP candidate. 509 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,440 Speaker 3: Jalen Williams is getting better every month. 510 00:21:11,840 --> 00:21:12,680 Speaker 2: And let's not. 511 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:16,320 Speaker 3: Forget how bad the Timberwolves have been for my entire adulthood. 512 00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,360 Speaker 3: They've been a joke for twenty five years. And now 513 00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 3: he's got Chris Finch's got the Timberwolves with the best 514 00:21:21,560 --> 00:21:24,439 Speaker 3: defense in the NBA by a mile, the best defense 515 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:26,160 Speaker 3: of the past two years if you just look at 516 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 3: defensive net rating, and this team was a mess even 517 00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:29,879 Speaker 3: last year. 518 00:21:29,760 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 2: When they first got Rudy Gobert. 519 00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:33,280 Speaker 3: So I think he deserves credit for how good their 520 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 3: defense has become, for making Rudy Gobert back into a 521 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,560 Speaker 3: defensive Player of the Year type of caliber, type of 522 00:21:37,560 --> 00:21:39,639 Speaker 3: player where he was with the Jazz, and againting this 523 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:41,360 Speaker 3: for plus three twenty odds. 524 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 2: I think that's what it was last that check. Hopefully 525 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:45,440 Speaker 2: this didn't. This one didn't move aggressively. 526 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 1: Again, No, no, I didn't just that one. And again 527 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 1: it's only because I'm looking. I'm like, well, I might 528 00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 1: as well bet this because I trust you. You're a 529 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: very smart guy, and you're smarter than you know. The 530 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:56,360 Speaker 1: next one, I love this. This is I am from 531 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 1: New York. If you are from New York, it's not 532 00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:00,880 Speaker 1: a lot of New York basketball been very excited about 533 00:22:00,880 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 1: for a very long time. But the Knicks seemed to 534 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:05,520 Speaker 1: be on a team that's on an upwards trajectory. They 535 00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,480 Speaker 1: are plus seven hundred and you think they can win 536 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:10,159 Speaker 1: the East? Tell everybody why, Yes, I. 537 00:22:11,000 --> 00:22:14,200 Speaker 3: Have been the Knicks hater my entire life, but I'm 538 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:15,640 Speaker 3: switching the other way. 539 00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,080 Speaker 2: I'm going totally in the opposite. 540 00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 1: Well, the last time the Knicks made it to a 541 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: finals was ninety nine, so that was probably it was jeez, 542 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:25,399 Speaker 1: Charles Oakley might have been on that team. Now, I 543 00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: was about seven years old when there you go, there 544 00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:28,480 Speaker 1: you go. 545 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:29,760 Speaker 2: Yeah. 546 00:22:29,800 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 3: So the Celtics are the heavy, heavy favorite for obvious reasons. 547 00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 3: They have the best record in the NBA. They probably 548 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,639 Speaker 3: have the best top six in the NBA. They're plus 549 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:38,360 Speaker 3: one thirty to win the East. Like to me, there's 550 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 3: not enough value on that at plus one thirty like that, 551 00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,199 Speaker 3: like maybe the Warriors in their prime, I would take 552 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 3: plus one thirty to win. So of the options of 553 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 3: the field, it was the Bucks, who, as a six 554 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:50,640 Speaker 3: Ers fan, are coached by Doc Rivers. He hasn't made 555 00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 3: an adjustment since two thousand and eight. 556 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:52,640 Speaker 2: I'm out on that. 557 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:56,560 Speaker 3: They're the second favorite at plus two plus three hundred. Now, 558 00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,160 Speaker 3: the third favorite is the Knicks that I'm talking out 559 00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:02,119 Speaker 3: at plus seven hundred, and the fourth favorite or the 560 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 3: Calves at plus nine hundred. The Calves, like I like 561 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,199 Speaker 3: their roster, they're still a little bit younger, and they 562 00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 3: got punked so badly by the Knicks in the playoffs 563 00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:12,080 Speaker 3: last year that I have a hard time seeing them 564 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 3: winning three playoff series to get out of the East 565 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 3: in a really, really tough East. And then the Sixers 566 00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:19,800 Speaker 3: are the fifth best at plus eleven hundred. If you 567 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:21,720 Speaker 3: guaranteed me then and beat came back and was healthy, 568 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,399 Speaker 3: I thought, I think that'd be some good value. But 569 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 3: at plus or without that guarantee, obviously you can't guarantee 570 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 3: that I'm not touching. 571 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 2: So that led me to the. 572 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 3: Knicks third best odds, who I think have a phenomenal roster. 573 00:23:32,760 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 3: But more importantly than that, I don't think that the 574 00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 3: public has adequately caught onto Jalen Brunson being a legitimate superstar. 575 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:41,320 Speaker 3: Like he joined the Knicks and last year they were 576 00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:44,399 Speaker 3: a fun, up and coming team that nobody expected to 577 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:48,000 Speaker 3: do anything. He's a legitimate superstar, like he's I mean 578 00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:50,320 Speaker 3: with their whole team bank Duff. He's scoring thirty points 579 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,040 Speaker 3: a game. He's one of the best pull up shooters 580 00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:54,639 Speaker 3: in the NBA. Off the pick and roll, he can lead, 581 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,320 Speaker 3: then he can lead the fast break. 582 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:58,439 Speaker 2: He's a good distributor. 583 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 3: And while he's not the best in terms of quick 584 00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,919 Speaker 3: twitch defender, he's at least got a sturdy base so 585 00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,520 Speaker 3: you can't just out muscle him and punk him on defense. 586 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 3: And outside of that, like, their roster is phenomenal before injuries, 587 00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:14,520 Speaker 3: kind of derailed the team. They made the Og Andnobi 588 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,879 Speaker 3: trade right around New Year's They had the best defense 589 00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 3: in the NBA for five six weeks, but better than 590 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:23,920 Speaker 3: the Cavs, better than the Timberwolves, the best defensive net rating. Obviously, 591 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,800 Speaker 3: they need all those guys to get healthy, but you 592 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,199 Speaker 3: Og Andnobi, Julius Randall should get back in the next 593 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:28,760 Speaker 3: couple weeks. 594 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 2: There's no really no concern like there is on the 595 00:24:30,880 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 2: embid side. And outside of that, like the. 596 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:35,600 Speaker 3: Vincenzo has been playing great, Josh Harp, Josh Hart has 597 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,320 Speaker 3: been playing great. I love the addition of Boyan Vogdadom. 598 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,200 Speaker 3: It's just another shooter who won't get it completely exposed 599 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 3: on defense. And they might even get Mitchell Robinson back, 600 00:24:44,520 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 3: who would turn their already elite defense into even more. 601 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,120 Speaker 3: And I just like the fact that they can play 602 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:51,879 Speaker 3: different ways. They can go small, put Hartenstein at center, 603 00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,160 Speaker 3: they can go big. They have a bunch of ways 604 00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,719 Speaker 3: they can beat you. And I think Jaylen Brunson, like 605 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:58,440 Speaker 3: I said, what you need to win in the NBA 606 00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 3: is a legitimate superstar, and they have at and Jalen Brunson. 607 00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 3: So for plus seven hundred seven to one, odds. 608 00:25:03,640 --> 00:25:06,679 Speaker 1: There you go, there, you go really good. It's very 609 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,000 Speaker 1: exciting for Knicks fans. Be careful, Knicks fans. I know 610 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,800 Speaker 1: you don't have a lot historically to get excited about. 611 00:25:11,880 --> 00:25:13,400 Speaker 1: But I was wrong. It wasn't Oakley. He was already 612 00:25:13,440 --> 00:25:17,000 Speaker 1: gone from that team. That was the Alan Houston Latrelle Spree. 613 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 1: Well days, Marcus Cambi, I want to say on that rock. 614 00:25:20,080 --> 00:25:21,960 Speaker 2: That the lockout yere where they had it was a 615 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:22,639 Speaker 2: short season. 616 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:26,040 Speaker 1: You might be right, might be right. That's what Google's for, Matt, 617 00:25:26,080 --> 00:25:29,080 Speaker 1: That's what Google all after the show, But make sure 618 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:32,240 Speaker 1: you're staying here for the show every Monday, every Wednesday, 619 00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,240 Speaker 1: every Friday, eleven am Eastern Live right here. You got questions, 620 00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,359 Speaker 1: you can ask Matt. But Matt Modai is the man 621 00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,320 Speaker 1: when it comes to NBA, so make sure you're following 622 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: him over on x Make sure you also check out 623 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:45,360 Speaker 1: the live streams every single Monday, Wednesday Friday. Again. Subscribe 624 00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:47,840 Speaker 1: to the challenge. Drop your comments below, give us your 625 00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,240 Speaker 1: picks for the dunk contest, for the three point contest 626 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,040 Speaker 1: for the rest of the season too. You got something 627 00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:54,080 Speaker 1: to say, say it and the YouTube comments, but say 628 00:25:54,119 --> 00:25:56,400 Speaker 1: it respectfully. Be nice. All right, we run a nice 629 00:25:56,400 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: little community here, be nice. That's a warning from Uncle Joe. Matt. 630 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 1: Great up as always, man. Great to talk to you. Finally, 631 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:03,920 Speaker 1: our first show together. I doubt it'll be the last. 632 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,960 Speaker 1: I doubt it, but fantastic work here. Go enjoy the 633 00:26:07,080 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: NBA All Star Game festivities and the rest of the 634 00:26:09,600 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: NBA season. We'll check in on you, I'm sure in 635 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 1: the months to come, and that'll do it for us. 636 00:26:13,800 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Matt. 637 00:26:15,960 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids. 638 00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 639 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 640 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:27,679 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 641 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 642 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,359 Speaker 4: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 643 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,919 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.