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Speaker 1: One eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to The Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: We are the home of the Undefeated, the Winners. I

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Speaker 1: am Chad Millman from the Action Network Chief Content Officer.

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Speaker 1: I am joined as I am every episode by my bff,

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Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter, Chad five,

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Speaker 1: and oh brother Mitchell hit the music, Yeah five and

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Speaker 1: fucking oh Matt Mitchell said it best over the weekend

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Speaker 1: and before we joined, this is going to be an

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Speaker 1: epic hour of insufferable self congratulation. And you know what,

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Speaker 1: I really I didn't think we were going to go

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Speaker 1: that route. And then as soon as we started recording,

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Speaker 1: I was filled with so much confidence and a bulliance.

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Speaker 1: I don't know how this won't be mentioned every other word.

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Speaker 1: Chad Millman is proud of himself. Chad, speaking for himself,

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Speaker 1: I am quick to know you're only as good as

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Speaker 1: your last win. So I'm already on to week two.

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Speaker 1: But now I mean, we'll recap it and hell yeah,

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Speaker 1: it feels good, Chad, Right, like there where we are,

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Speaker 1: we know how big the shows, and we're also we're

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Speaker 1: talking to each other. We're just like, let's not overthink

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Speaker 1: this because that's our biggest issue. We overthink stuff. Um.

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Speaker 1: And again we went with what we believed in and

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Speaker 1: a five and oh it could have been a six

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Speaker 1: and not right if they would have gave us Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 1: Me and Chad. That was the one we switched out

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Speaker 1: for the Bears. Um. It was just one of those

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Speaker 1: where it was no matter what we were getting that five.

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Speaker 1: And note which is the best way you could possibly

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Speaker 1: start the season. Unfortunately, one on one on Survivors. Uh,

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Speaker 1: that was tough. So we're only come to one survivor.

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Speaker 1: But thank we also love Seattle, and so even if

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Speaker 1: we had dropped out the Steelers and put in Seattle,

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Speaker 1: we would have done. Okay to recap for everybody. UM

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Speaker 1: our final picks and I will reiterate because I got

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Speaker 1: some questions about this week. UM. Download the Action Network Gap.

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Speaker 1: You can follow every pick that we talked about on

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Speaker 1: the podcast. We put them on two different handles to follow.

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Speaker 1: One is the Phaves five. That is where Simon and

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Speaker 1: I put the five picks. We enter into our contest.

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Speaker 1: The reason we have that is a separate handle, the

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Speaker 1: Phase five is because we want to be able to

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Speaker 1: keep track with UM as much transparency as we are

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Speaker 1: able to through the technology of what we land on

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Speaker 1: on Sunday and these picks get put in Sunday at noon,

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Speaker 1: we talk about the five we are leaning to, but

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Speaker 1: between the time we do the podcast on Thursday and

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Speaker 1: the time the picks are do, a lot of things change.

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Speaker 1: We saw it on Sunday night on Saturday. On Saturday Night,

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Speaker 1: Packers had offensive line issues. There were stories about the

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Speaker 1: Niners having offensive line issues and kit will not playing.

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Speaker 1: So we are giving you our best leans, but we're

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Speaker 1: still always gonna maybe adjust on Sunday. That's why you've

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Speaker 1: got to follow in the app. The other handle the

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Speaker 1: follow is the Favorites podcast, where we put every thing

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Speaker 1: else that we talked about, including our executive decision, our

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Speaker 1: Simon says, our big balls better the week, etcetera, etcetera.

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Speaker 1: We won five and our final teams on Sunday, Atlanta, Houston, Bears,

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Speaker 1: Minnesota and the Chiefs. When with the Chiefs at minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half because that line had moved up

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Speaker 1: in the lines for the contest lock in the middle

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Speaker 1: of the week, Simon your Simon says, was Rams plus

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I was with you. The executive

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Speaker 1: decision from me was Lins plus four. The foxhole that

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Speaker 1: we both agreed on was Cowboys plus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: That hurt the big balls better. The week Seattle plus

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Speaker 1: six and a half. Boom boom, boom, we win, Scoot

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Speaker 1: throw Let you at Houston seven and a half, Atlanta

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Speaker 1: plus five and a half. Overall, astounding, astounding week. A

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Speaker 1: lot of takeaways from week one. Are you gonna do

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Speaker 1: this to recap every week? Because this is gonna be

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Speaker 1: pretty painful on the bad weeks to just relive it

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Speaker 1: all week. This is what we do. This is what

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Speaker 1: we do. People can follow it. I get paid enough

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Speaker 1: for this. People can follow it in the Favorites, in

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Speaker 1: the in the Action Network Gap, in the Favorites podcast

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Speaker 1: handled and the Phase five so they know. But it's

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Speaker 1: worth sharing. Yeah, that's true. It's just again five and

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Speaker 1: oh it's epic. The goal is so obviously there's gonna

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Speaker 1: be some hardache coming people, but I guess this is

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Speaker 1: my life and now I'm just gonna have Chad stomping

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Speaker 1: on me on the bad weeks, but praising me during

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Speaker 1: the good ones. So it's it's fun obviously. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: and now I'm just getting the visualization of this upcoming season.

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Speaker 1: Let me say it's gonna hurt. What kind of ego

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Speaker 1: do you have that you think that it's only about you?

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Speaker 1: Am I not making picks with you? Are we not

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Speaker 1: having a conversation on Sunday on Thursday? On Tuesday? Am

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Speaker 1: I not with you? On executive decision on Foxhold on

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Speaker 1: so and says on Big Balls, we're putting it in together. Man,

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Speaker 1: It's not all on you. You don't have to carry

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Speaker 1: it on your city of Philadelphia shoulders. I needed to

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Speaker 1: hear that we're a team, okay, team sport betting. So

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Speaker 1: some of my takeaways Number one Lions exactly what we

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Speaker 1: thought we would be, right, team that does not give up,

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Speaker 1: team that covers in the back door team that I

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Speaker 1: had at plus three and a half. I also had

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Speaker 1: DJ Shark under forty one and a half receiving yards,

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Speaker 1: so him scoring the game winning touchdown was a little

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Speaker 1: bit bitter sweet. I took that bet from Sean Kroner

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Speaker 1: on our Convinced Me Show, which also crushed I think

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Speaker 1: of the nine picks we had on convinced me in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network apps Sunday mornings eleven AM. When six

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Speaker 1: and three, the Jags looked younger than we thought. Lawrence Trevor,

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Speaker 1: Lawrence missed a lot of key passes. I immediately backed

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Speaker 1: the Acts at plus four and a half. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: talk about that bears were baptized in the rain. We

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Speaker 1: were spot on. You were just so sharp about the

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Speaker 1: backlash of the backlash on Patrick Mahomes. What do you got?

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Speaker 1: What do you take aways? Just not the overreact week

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Speaker 1: one to me means nothing kind of where like whatever

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Speaker 1: I believed in going into it, I kind of gotta

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Speaker 1: stand my ground to keep believing it. So Jaguars, I'll

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Speaker 1: go glass half full. I thought they played great on

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Speaker 1: the road and it's just a couple of mishaps and

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Speaker 1: they didn't actually, like you just said, they didn't capitalize

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Speaker 1: on certain situations. Travis E. T n looked like a

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Speaker 1: guy who was playing in his first game he ever

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Speaker 1: played in. So I love the upside. Thought Lawrence made

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Speaker 1: some great throws, So I'm excited for the Jaguars. Still,

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Speaker 1: the biggest bummer for me would be I had a

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Speaker 1: lot of had a lot of opportunities. I was gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to hedge out a lot of positions just

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Speaker 1: at their week one on Atlanta and Houston and their

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Speaker 1: divisional games, where if they both would have one and

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Speaker 1: have been on top of their divisions, Man, that would

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Speaker 1: have been incredible for me to take up as it

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Speaker 1: and on either team. Um, but the Witch and Hour

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Speaker 1: didn't play out that way. So that was tough where

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Speaker 1: I kind of look forward and I'm thinking, Okay, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get that back. Some dogs are gonna break right

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Speaker 1: for us when those ones really didn't. Um. Yeah, biggest takeaways,

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Speaker 1: don't overreact, it's this is how they Yeah, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: go through all the lines this week. People, it's gonna

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Speaker 1: feel just as gross did last week. I'm gonna ask

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Speaker 1: you do stuff you're not gonna like just because you're

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Speaker 1: just the public. You literally look at what happened last

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Speaker 1: wee can go that's what's That's what this team is,

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Speaker 1: and that's what they'll be the rest of the season.

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Speaker 1: And it's just not like a lot of different things

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Speaker 1: happened for certain teams to be in a certain situations.

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Speaker 1: We saw just in that Seahawks Bronco game. How stupid

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Speaker 1: football is. None of this makes sense, Like none of

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Speaker 1: it does. Like you know, if they sent in a simulation,

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Speaker 1: they play that game again a hundred times, I mean

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Speaker 1: at least seventy sixty five per at the time, Broncos

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Speaker 1: are probably gonna cover that number. They just were clearly

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Speaker 1: the better team. So that's what I try to try

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Speaker 1: to tell people. It's like a lot of what we

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Speaker 1: do here. Yeah, we use models and stuff off computers,

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Speaker 1: but a lot of it's human. We're talking to professionals,

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Speaker 1: other sharp groups, and just a human element of certain situations.

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Speaker 1: We talked how much about Russ going back to Seattle,

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Speaker 1: How weird that was gonna be. So to me, it's

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Speaker 1: funny where people are up on Seattle now and down

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Speaker 1: on the Broncos, and again that stuff we're gonna talk about,

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Speaker 1: don't do it. Don't do it. Kind of stick to

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Speaker 1: what you believe in head into the season, and you're

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Speaker 1: just from there, right, I mean, Chad talk At the time.

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Speaker 1: It takes a month, honestly to really figure out most

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Speaker 1: of these teams. Even then you don't really know. But

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Speaker 1: for the most part, I would say these teams I'll

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Speaker 1: really have a good handle in a month. So you

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Speaker 1: got to start five and oh and have a goal

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Speaker 1: of tenant oh this week, Chad, I'm fired up, brother,

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Speaker 1: Same with the Titans and the Giants. By the way,

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Speaker 1: like the Titans gave that game away. They got cute

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Speaker 1: so many times on third and short. The Giants scored

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Speaker 1: every time. Uh they they had bad turnovers. They were

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Speaker 1: just that team. Should have won that game, out right,

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Speaker 1: they should have won. The Giants are not a world

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Speaker 1: beating team, alright, Chades. Don't forget Green Dot Daily in

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Speaker 1: the Action Network app every day noon Eastern check it out,

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Speaker 1: setting the betting agenda for the day right off the bat.

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Speaker 1: Thursday night, Chargers visiting the Chiefs game open to three

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Speaker 1: and a half. You can still find some three and

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Speaker 1: a half out there. There is now a four Chargers

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Speaker 1: plus four that might be a reaction to Keenan Allen

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Speaker 1: not playing in the game. I was very impressed with

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, which we expected. You and I both a

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Speaker 1: little underwhelmed by the Chargers. What say you, yeah, I

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Speaker 1: just I mean, coming in, I was just so hyped

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Speaker 1: about the Chiefs team. So that was one of those

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Speaker 1: where it's like God, that felt good, like just watching

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Speaker 1: them absolutely destroy when I've put way too much money

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Speaker 1: into the Chiefs futures, all these different things, just fading,

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Speaker 1: all the public noise about my homes. In fact, that

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Speaker 1: came out and put forty four extreme confidence the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: Other way, it's like their offense look sloppy. They had

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Speaker 1: a lot of players left on the fields out. Mike

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Speaker 1: Williams was not existent in that game, which was bizarre

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Speaker 1: to me. Um Herbert's talents unreal. Like there's a throw again,

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Speaker 1: he's he's still doing really stupid ship And that's why

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be my issue with Herbert. He stared this down,

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Speaker 1: this post route, this this guy he really right up

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Speaker 1: the field. He stared him all the way down and

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Speaker 1: throw it between two guys with another safety coming over top,

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Speaker 1: Like I want, I got throw that only maybe the

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Speaker 1: other guys in the whole leak can make. And that

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Speaker 1: to me is Herbert's issue right now, is he's so

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Speaker 1: talented he can get away with these things where the

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Speaker 1: checkdown was there, the checkdown for an easy ten or

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Speaker 1: twenty was there, instead of taking this high risk throw

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Speaker 1: and pushing it down field. So yeah, the pro and me, God,

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Speaker 1: I want to bet this Charger's number so bad, Like

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Speaker 1: this is crazy. This number should be three, three and

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Speaker 1: a half. The fact that you said it's up to four,

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Speaker 1: I cant his weight and I'll grab the Chargers that

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Speaker 1: way cannot fault you feel like the Chiefs. To me,

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs are the better team right now, the we're

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Speaker 1: complete team, the biggest advantage right now for the Chargers

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Speaker 1: of that defense. Like Bosa, he was a game record

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Speaker 1: in that game. We saw Clil mac at At absolutely

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Speaker 1: game wrecked that game. Wow, Like that to me is

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Speaker 1: where I stopped. And I'm just like, Okay, if I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna bet it, I'll probably end up on the dog

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Speaker 1: on the under. But yeah, not knock. No chances will

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Speaker 1: be one of our five. Because there's no strong feeling

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Speaker 1: to me, and I'm a I'm a chiefs Omer. I

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Speaker 1: just really can't shick how much I love this Chief's

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Speaker 1: team and how much I love the offense they're running again.

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Speaker 1: We talked about to switch up their offense. Safeties have

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Speaker 1: to drop in. We saw what myhomes did. He just

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Speaker 1: picked them apart. So I am so fired up for

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Speaker 1: this game because to me, this might be the game

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Speaker 1: of the week. Yeah, I think it is. Uh, these

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Speaker 1: two teams when they play each other, it's just pretty

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Speaker 1: epic and you can count on And this is what

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Speaker 1: I'm a little bit worried about. You can count on

250
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Speaker 1: um unconditioned, untraditional decisions being made by the Chargers and

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Speaker 1: odd spots, which makes me worry about betting them. Normally

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Speaker 1: Charges plus four divisional game team that looked a little

253
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Speaker 1: bit worse, whereas the team that looks a little bit

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Speaker 1: better auto auto play. I on the Chargers on short

255
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Speaker 1: numbers because I can't count on them trying to get

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Speaker 1: as many points as possible. Right they are going to

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Speaker 1: go for broke. If they have a chance to go

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Speaker 1: for on fourth down at midfield, they may. If they

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Speaker 1: have a chance to go for a touchdown in the

260
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Speaker 1: five yard line on fourth down instead of kicking a

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Speaker 1: field goal, they may. So I don't know if they

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Speaker 1: will accrue enough points to keep it close. It's kind

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Speaker 1: of gonna be an all or nothing scenario for me.

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Speaker 1: And if you just want to acttion on this game,

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Speaker 1: I play a love from our guy Jill Galant is

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Speaker 1: Herbert their score rushing touchdown three out of four games

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Speaker 1: since in his career. He's bet against the Chiefs, he's

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Speaker 1: had a rushing touchdown. Right now, you can get a

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Speaker 1: plus four fifty at a book. I can't say you

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Speaker 1: get a plus four at vandal. So it's funny you

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Speaker 1: mentioned Jill because these any time touchdown props have become

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Speaker 1: a really big deal. People love betting him. Jill is

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Speaker 1: an expert at them. He cast a couple this past

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Speaker 1: weekend too. We will have Action Island me you Vegas

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Speaker 1: Refund Joe Gallant, Darren Ravel with market updates, presented by

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Speaker 1: Fandel Thursday, five thirty pm in the Action Network gapp

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Speaker 1: on YouTube, on Twitter, anywhere you get your Action Network content. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Joe will be on there. We'll talk about uh single game,

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Speaker 1: same game, parlays, touchdown props, all that kind of stuff.

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Speaker 1: All right, So this is gonna be a hold right

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Speaker 1: now because by the time people here our next show,

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Speaker 1: we won't be able to pick this game. So that's right,

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Speaker 1: all right, Colts on the road at the Jaguars right now,

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Speaker 1: the best number you can get is Jack's plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half. But it's minus one twelve, so it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit juiced, which means that it's probably gonna

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Speaker 1: go down to four. This approached Joe's game. Here, sixty

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Speaker 1: of the bets on the Colts, nine percent of the

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Speaker 1: money on the Jacks. And it's not like there's no

290
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Speaker 1: bets here. There's a decent number of bets. So I

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Speaker 1: will tell you I said this. I bet the Jacks

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Speaker 1: Sunday night at plus four and a half. I was

293
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Speaker 1: worried the four and a half would be gone immediately. Yeah,

294
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Speaker 1: no brainer, no brainer for four and four and a half.

295
00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:10,040
Speaker 1: Right when this never came out, I knew we were

296
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Speaker 1: gonna be on it. Uh again, we've the any time

297
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Speaker 1: time again. This Colds team is just historically overvalued, and

298
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Speaker 1: I loved it. I wanted to make it one of

299
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Speaker 1: our plays. But there's other games I do really like more.

300
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Speaker 1: Maybe by Thursday this will become I guaranteed to be

301
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Speaker 1: one of our five. But how do you know. I

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00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,760
Speaker 1: take the Jaguars at home after a loss and position

303
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Speaker 1: against the Colds team that again, I don't say they're flow,

304
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:36,440
Speaker 1: they're frauds, but they have weaknesses and those weekns is

305
00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,480
Speaker 1: gonna be exploited. Houston literally let them walk back into

306
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Speaker 1: that game. I just can't see this Jaguars team doing

307
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Speaker 1: the same thing. After that loss last week, they looked Yeah,

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00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:47,640
Speaker 1: they had moments of yeah, they look kind of young

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Speaker 1: and lost, like Chad was saying, the other moments where

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Speaker 1: it's like, I can see why the hype is around

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00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,760
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence in this offense and the defense. Their defense

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00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,520
Speaker 1: was making plays against Wentz and there's some issues at

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Speaker 1: their quarterback positions. So yeah, I love this matchup for

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Speaker 1: this Jaguars team. Historically, they've owned the Colts at home.

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Speaker 1: We know the history of these two. So four and

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Speaker 1: four and a half. I would grab that number now

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Speaker 1: if you can at that four and a half. I

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Speaker 1: don't think I'll be there by Thursday. I'm going to

319
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Speaker 1: say something right now. Executive decision, the choice between the

320
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Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible. Executive decision. I love this Jack's team,

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Speaker 1: and I didn't see anything on Sunday that made me

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Speaker 1: think differently other than they're young and made bad mistakes

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Speaker 1: that can be corrected. A lot of this was on

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Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. He missed three touchdown passes. He corrects a

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Speaker 1: couple of things, he pulls back on the throttle a

326
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Speaker 1: little bit. Doug Peterson can get them there there's no

327
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Speaker 1: doubt in my mind. Jags plus four and a half

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Speaker 1: market down. Executive decision, will put it in the app

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Speaker 1: Action Network app, Follow the Favorites podcast Jack's plus four

330
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Speaker 1: and a half love it? Yeah, all right? Dolphins visiting

331
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Speaker 1: the Ravens plus three and a half. The number moved

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00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:16,080
Speaker 1: down from four. This is an interesting team. You love

333
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:21,600
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, Chad, I you know what I don't. They're

334
00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 1: getting majority of the money. Good. The number opened at four.

335
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:34,480
Speaker 1: What's come down a little bit, But I'm not sold yet.

336
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:36,880
Speaker 1: Like I think the Patriots are worse than we think.

337
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:40,760
Speaker 1: I think Lamar Jackson is going to play his mind out.

338
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,600
Speaker 1: I think that the Dolphins can be overhyped, over confident.

339
00:18:46,560 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 1: And it's different when you're playing a team you're better

340
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 1: than at home than going on the road against a

341
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Speaker 1: team that I think, as we've talked about, can win

342
00:18:55,000 --> 00:18:59,640
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. So as we're talking, I like the Ravens,

343
00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:01,560
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna wake because I think this number is

344
00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:04,399
Speaker 1: going to go to three. I love the Ravens and

345
00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 1: I'm doing the exact same thing Chads do. I'm waiting

346
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:08,280
Speaker 1: on it. This was a no brain as soon as

347
00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:10,800
Speaker 1: I watched the tape on TOA and that game. Because

348
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,239
Speaker 1: I honestly watch much of that Miami game. I bet

349
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 1: heavy on the under and already had money in Miami

350
00:19:15,240 --> 00:19:17,199
Speaker 1: and minus two AF. We talked about Chad, We're like,

351
00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:19,720
Speaker 1: if this number is still under three, we were all

352
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 1: in on Miami. Unfortunately was three and a half in

353
00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:25,400
Speaker 1: our contest, so we just stayed away. But man, Miami

354
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,800
Speaker 1: is going to be hyped up just because their fan

355
00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:32,679
Speaker 1: base is so ravaged. And again to Uh, he was

356
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 1: he was begging to throw a couple of picks in

357
00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:36,240
Speaker 1: that game against to England, and to me it said

358
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 1: more about New England being underprepared, which is insane for

359
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:41,919
Speaker 1: a Belichick team. But we all heard all the stories

360
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:44,199
Speaker 1: coming out of other camp all off season and it

361
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,600
Speaker 1: turned out to be true of their offense was totally dysfunctional.

362
00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:50,199
Speaker 1: So just looking at this number, I hope Jad's right

363
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,320
Speaker 1: it gets down to that. But I had this number

364
00:19:52,359 --> 00:19:54,040
Speaker 1: four anyway, so I would take it up to four

365
00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,560
Speaker 1: regardless with the Ravens. But I'm always looking for the

366
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,160
Speaker 1: best number, so I have no problem waiting on this. Uh.

367
00:19:59,200 --> 00:20:01,800
Speaker 1: To me, again, we talked all the time about putting

368
00:20:01,800 --> 00:20:03,879
Speaker 1: favorites in this is one of the favorites I circled

369
00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:07,280
Speaker 1: right away. I love I love this Ravens team and

370
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:12,360
Speaker 1: the fact that Lamar is now a known Miami Dolphins guy,

371
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 1: where he's liking Miami Dolphins pictures of him dressed in

372
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,680
Speaker 1: uniform with the helm and all the gear on. He

373
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:19,640
Speaker 1: used to say, this isn't a trial for Lamar trying

374
00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,040
Speaker 1: to show off to this Miami team. So everything about it.

375
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 1: It's his hometown team. Um, the fact that you know,

376
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,080
Speaker 1: not that they didn't look great against the Jets, but

377
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 1: that was a little bit of sweat. There's moments there

378
00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:33,800
Speaker 1: the Jets were kind of in that game against the Ravens.

379
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:35,800
Speaker 1: They just look sloppy. I think it's what we talked

380
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 1: about the time. They're current quarterbacks. They probably should have

381
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:39,600
Speaker 1: play in the preseason. Maybe Littlemar is one of them,

382
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,600
Speaker 1: because he didn't look right until that second half. So

383
00:20:42,359 --> 00:20:45,200
Speaker 1: I love this matchup Ravens at home with that defense

384
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,359
Speaker 1: against an overrated Miami team where I might be one

385
00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:50,200
Speaker 1: of this bit that I have overrated him, but this

386
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,480
Speaker 1: is one of those from Miami. You have to win

387
00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 1: this game. You want to be one of the top

388
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,960
Speaker 1: teams in the NFC. You want to win the division

389
00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,240
Speaker 1: over the over the Bills. You have to win this game,

390
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,479
Speaker 1: no doubt about. This is statement game because I talk,

391
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,920
Speaker 1: we think the Ravens are top two, top three team

392
00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:07,960
Speaker 1: in the a f C. So I'm excited as hell. Again,

393
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 1: there's a bunch of good games this week. This is

394
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,880
Speaker 1: another one. It's like, great game taking the Ravens at home.

395
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,800
Speaker 1: Keep anything under four, I think you're getting good value.

396
00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:18,480
Speaker 1: Well all right, So that raises the question in the

397
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:21,280
Speaker 1: Action Network gap just now, I said an alert for

398
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:25,040
Speaker 1: when this line gets to three. Why wouldn't I just wait?

399
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:27,159
Speaker 1: I think it's going to get there. You're already you

400
00:21:27,200 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 1: know you can pay three and a half minus one

401
00:21:30,640 --> 00:21:35,680
Speaker 1: oh five. So they're gonna ask me to They're they're

402
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:37,360
Speaker 1: begging me to bet the three and a half right now.

403
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:39,120
Speaker 1: Why don't I just wait when I know the tickets

404
00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,359
Speaker 1: and the money are coming in on the Ravens on Miami.

405
00:21:42,400 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: Are they're coming on the Ravens, I mean on the

406
00:21:45,040 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 1: on Miami. Yeah, that's fair to wait to me. I'm

407
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:49,680
Speaker 1: just gonna grab it just to be safe, because I

408
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 1: know other pros are looking at this number like I'm

409
00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,080
Speaker 1: not the only one that has a model or and

410
00:21:54,119 --> 00:21:56,440
Speaker 1: talking other guys. So I know a couple of groups

411
00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: that are waiting for that three. See. I don't hate

412
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 1: it waiting for that, but it might only up there

413
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 1: for a second and the books will just bump it

414
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,120
Speaker 1: right back to three and a half. So yeah, no,

415
00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 1: no shoe waiting. If you're only gonna bet this game

416
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:08,360
Speaker 1: one time, wait, mem I've to bet multiple times. I've

417
00:22:08,359 --> 00:22:11,679
Speaker 1: already hit it a couple of times. You bet games

418
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:14,159
Speaker 1: a lot, you bet the same side a lot. I

419
00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 1: tend not to do that. Well, you don't have a

420
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 1: ship huge bank roll to blow away on the games.

421
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:22,360
Speaker 1: So it's like, yeah, I love Chad. Chad is my

422
00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,720
Speaker 1: boss of this job. You know I won five times.

423
00:22:25,840 --> 00:22:27,679
Speaker 1: When Chad pays me for a year in two hours,

424
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,479
Speaker 1: it's like high risk, high reward. I bet the Ravens

425
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 1: way too many times. Did I sleep at all? No,

426
00:22:33,440 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 1: Chad saw me Sunday morning. I literally couldn't sleep. It's

427
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: like I had way too much money out for a

428
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 1: week one Yeah, I got really lucky that everything pretty

429
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,640
Speaker 1: much hit except like maybe one big bet. So that

430
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,879
Speaker 1: that's that was probably my bigger weekends other than a

431
00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 1: super Bowl. Why do you have to make me feel

432
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:55,919
Speaker 1: bad about it. I'm sorry, like you're belittling me or something.

433
00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:04,680
Speaker 1: All right, Jets, Brown's Brown's minus six. Brown's broke my heart.

434
00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 1: I don't think they should have won that game. Jets

435
00:23:07,840 --> 00:23:13,399
Speaker 1: were terrible. Of the money coming in on the Jets

436
00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:16,679
Speaker 1: right now at plus six him it yeah, because I

437
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 1: want to take the Jets. I feel like this is

438
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,960
Speaker 1: a nice little spot for them. But hopefully that's professional money.

439
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 1: If that's public money, that's that's that's trouble. That's a

440
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: public dog. Um. I don't have to deal with it.

441
00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,960
Speaker 1: I like the Jets. Historically, teams that get blown out

442
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 1: at home then go on the road in week two,

443
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,280
Speaker 1: I think Van put it out. They hit at sixty

444
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 1: or six or six. Right, Historically it's good. Right Week two,

445
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 1: team gets embarrassed at home, they go on the road

446
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,440
Speaker 1: and they usually cover. So just playing the number, I

447
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: think you're getting good number. I had it at four.

448
00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 1: It's alway up the six again. Flacco is bad. The

449
00:23:47,720 --> 00:23:50,159
Speaker 1: Jets are bad. I don't know if Checoble percents that

450
00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 1: much better. I watched a decent amount of Cleveland game.

451
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 1: I felt like it was more about Baker that made

452
00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 1: that Cleveland have those points that kind of kept that

453
00:23:56,280 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 1: game closer. If Flacco just asn't terrible as Baker was,

454
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 1: like he wasn't at first half. I can see the

455
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: music fling the sum which is just two really bad teams.

456
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:06,679
Speaker 1: I don't know if you actually have on it. The

457
00:24:06,760 --> 00:24:09,840
Speaker 1: under feels safe to even though it's like I get

458
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 1: it other guys, like I've talked to you, pros usually

459
00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 1: take the overs in this because they expect a lot

460
00:24:13,280 --> 00:24:16,160
Speaker 1: of turnovers. I don't. I've seen both these teams offenses

461
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:18,360
Speaker 1: last week. They both kind of are very conservative, so

462
00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:22,080
Speaker 1: I think it's a safer playing the under um. But yeah,

463
00:24:22,240 --> 00:24:25,120
Speaker 1: I will most likely take that six six and a half.

464
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:26,800
Speaker 1: But it's one of the games I have not bet yet.

465
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:31,040
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell weighs in the New York Jets out gained

466
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:36,440
Speaker 1: Baltimore by a hundred and four yards. Doesn't change anything

467
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:39,240
Speaker 1: I feel about Baltimore against Miami. To me, that is

468
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 1: a public perception play in which public perception is leaning

469
00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:45,800
Speaker 1: too hard into the Dolphins right now. But it does

470
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 1: make me think about the Jets and look, we can't

471
00:24:48,560 --> 00:24:52,120
Speaker 1: lose the credit of our convictions, right if if this

472
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:55,320
Speaker 1: were Week one, we would have played the Jets just

473
00:24:55,359 --> 00:24:58,000
Speaker 1: because we saw how bad they were doesn't mean that

474
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:01,040
Speaker 1: the number isn't inflated on Browns who went on the

475
00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:05,159
Speaker 1: road and wanted a high profile matchup. So there's a

476
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:09,400
Speaker 1: lot of signals there that say, betting the Jets, it's

477
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: like betting on the Seahawks plus six and a half

478
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,359
Speaker 1: against the Broncos. It just might be something we have

479
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: to do that's fair, you know what I mean? Yeah,

480
00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: honestly would I would like to see a go up higher.

481
00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: But like the fact that so much pro money is

482
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,719
Speaker 1: already coming on them, um, it could drop. So if

483
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 1: if you do, or if you're like Chad, you just

484
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 1: want to grab the six, now grab it. But I'll

485
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 1: wait and see, Like it's six and a half, I'm

486
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:34,040
Speaker 1: gonna wait. I'm definitely gonna wait. Alrighty, I was just

487
00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 1: making a note. I got a lot of notes. I

488
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:38,520
Speaker 1: gotta run a show. Like you might just be a

489
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 1: professional better who's betting five times in a weekend what

490
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 1: I'm paying you in a year. But I'm trying to

491
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:48,800
Speaker 1: keep a show rolling. Okay, you say it like you

492
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,639
Speaker 1: say it like we're not even friends. We are friends.

493
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,600
Speaker 1: I say, like, you're not really my boss, which you

494
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: say you are my boss, but I view more as

495
00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:57,840
Speaker 1: a friend. It was hurtful. I just want to say

496
00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 1: that was hurtful. It may be good. I'm just saying

497
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:03,080
Speaker 1: it's like, you know, it's the way you refer to

498
00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:07,200
Speaker 1: me as like your boss, Like yeah, I guess, but

499
00:26:08,119 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 1: I don't know. We're friends, right friends. First football season

500
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530
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:07,680
Speaker 1: Virginia Buccaneers. Buccaneers did not look great against the Cowboys.

531
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:12,080
Speaker 1: The Cowboys just looked worst. The Saints a lot of pain,

532
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:15,840
Speaker 1: a lot of pain. I don't know how the Saints

533
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:19,199
Speaker 1: won that game. Boy, the Falcons. It's like, here's what

534
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: I love. You know how I feel about a f

535
00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:25,240
Speaker 1: C and NFC South teams that they're totally irrelevant, No

536
00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 1: one cares about them and outside of their specific city limits,

537
00:28:29,320 --> 00:28:35,320
Speaker 1: if they didn't exist, it wouldn't matter. The eight teams

538
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 1: in the NFC and a f C South, I think

539
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:42,280
Speaker 1: they won two games, including teams that played each other

540
00:28:42,760 --> 00:28:45,560
Speaker 1: in the Colts in the Texas UH and the Buccaneers

541
00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 1: and the Saints are the two teams that won. Saints

542
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 1: two and a half point home dogs. Of course you

543
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 1: got to play it um if you can get three,

544
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: that's great. Bets on the Bucks, money on the Saints. Pros.

545
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 1: Joe's give me the Saints. Foxel Yeah, easy, bad Foxhole.

546
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:12,200
Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the foxhole. If you like this

547
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:14,920
Speaker 1: show and you've listened to it a multiple years now.

548
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:18,520
Speaker 1: Saints are four now against Tom Brady since he joined

549
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:21,200
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, and me and Chad just blindly every time

550
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 1: have taken the Saints because they're always under value and

551
00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,720
Speaker 1: for some reason their defense has just figured out Brady.

552
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 1: So no surprise that the public has come back in

553
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 1: on Tom. They forget what happened that that did not

554
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: look like the Brady of old. That game against the

555
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 1: Dallas team that you left a lot of points in

556
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:40,520
Speaker 1: the field, which Brady does not do. We saw their

557
00:29:40,560 --> 00:29:45,240
Speaker 1: offensive line kind of have major problems. Right. It's like, again,

558
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 1: if you don't have Julio and Mike Evans, that would

559
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: be a really bad Bucks team. But luckily for him,

560
00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 1: he's got great weapons outside. You can stay competitive, but

561
00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:55,080
Speaker 1: scary when you have a forty five year old quarterback

562
00:29:55,120 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 1: with that bad of offensive line. And I do think

563
00:29:57,360 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: NFC there's gonna be big, big value in this division.

564
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:01,840
Speaker 1: And we talked I mean at this conference, we talked

565
00:30:01,840 --> 00:30:04,360
Speaker 1: about in the summer because no one knows, like how

566
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,160
Speaker 1: much doubt do we have right now about Green Bay,

567
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:09,000
Speaker 1: the Rams and the Buccaneers a lot. And again we

568
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,000
Speaker 1: try not to overreact just a week one, but man,

569
00:30:12,160 --> 00:30:14,719
Speaker 1: these teams they had weaknesses last year, it felt like

570
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,760
Speaker 1: they all quantified even more. It's way more, way more

571
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:20,640
Speaker 1: weaknesses for all these teams. And we've seen the Eagles

572
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 1: U super OOW odds drop way down. I think they're

573
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 1: thirteen to one at FanDuel Um. Just because of that,

574
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:29,400
Speaker 1: it's like the NFC seems wide open. So just this matchup.

575
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 1: Saints defensively match up great up with the offense there jamis,

576
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 1: but man hurting all over the best best interview in

577
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,760
Speaker 1: football everything. He says, it's hilarious. You went into the

578
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 1: medical tent at one point, came back out. Where was

579
00:30:42,240 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: the pain? Jamis? Yeah, just paying It was paining everywhere,

580
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,120
Speaker 1: so we gotta keep all pushing through and being resuming.

581
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 1: Michael Thomas looked good, right, he looked. He looked amazing

582
00:30:51,240 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 1: in the red zone, which was weird. Um. I don't

583
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 1: know if that's strategically by them not to have him

584
00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:56,960
Speaker 1: running all the way up and down the field, like

585
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,960
Speaker 1: keeping his legs fresh. But the same old Michael Tom

586
00:31:00,080 --> 00:31:02,040
Speaker 1: miss and Winston is taking a huge advantage of that.

587
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:06,360
Speaker 1: So uh yeah, I like this matchup. I can see

588
00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,800
Speaker 1: this being one of me and Chad's five, like you can.

589
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 1: I almost wanted to make it my Simon says, but

590
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 1: there's another game. I'm even grosser. I'm gonna get people

591
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,800
Speaker 1: in on. Look, there are plus threes around. I highly

592
00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 1: recommend you find one, uh and get it because it

593
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:23,720
Speaker 1: is plus three and plus two and a half. And

594
00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:25,400
Speaker 1: if you get a plus three, it's at minus one

595
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 1: oh five, which means it's going to two and a half.

596
00:31:28,040 --> 00:31:32,680
Speaker 1: So look fast, uh assignment. I've added to our list

597
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:34,520
Speaker 1: right now the two games that we love the most

598
00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 1: that we are going to be debating. Jack's four and

599
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 1: a half Saints plus three. It's gonna be ugly every

600
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:46,000
Speaker 1: single week. It's gonna be terrible. Patriots. This line is

601
00:31:46,000 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 1: all over the place. You can get the Patriots minus one,

602
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:53,520
Speaker 1: you can get the Steelers plus two pretty much even money,

603
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 1: a little bit more ticket activity on the Steelers. I mean,

604
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:01,040
Speaker 1: the Steelers are bad. We got them in the exact

605
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: right spot. It was a raw ra Mike Tomlins spot. Okay,

606
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,800
Speaker 1: we knew it. Every better knew it. Plus six and

607
00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: a half. They were a huge play for everybody at

608
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,360
Speaker 1: the Action Network. I know Stucky on the Action Network

609
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:16,400
Speaker 1: Pod loved him. You know, he didn't urinate down his leg. Man,

610
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: It's a great place to begin. Patriots looked terrible, terrible

611
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: against Miami. I mean it's tough, though. What do we do.

612
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: We don't know what's happened with mac. Mac apparently has

613
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:28,920
Speaker 1: it banged up back, I can't really do much. Again,

614
00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,040
Speaker 1: It's a game where I looked at it instantly thinking

615
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 1: New England, no brainer. You take New England here. Every

616
00:32:33,960 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: time Pittsburgh huge, huge win over a divisional foe. What

617
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 1: was a five four turnovers by the Bengals and they

618
00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: won by three more than that? Right, So it's like

619
00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh was gonna be an auto faith that was gonna

620
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,560
Speaker 1: be an easy bet against them. I do think Mac

621
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 1: is good. I know he looked terrible against Miami last week,

622
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: but I do think this kid's good. So I want

623
00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:59,680
Speaker 1: to wait and see because I love this play Like

624
00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 1: it's it's easy to bet New England in this situation

625
00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 1: just because of what Pittsburgh didn't what that's happened to them, right,

626
00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 1: losing a divisional game. But man, like, if Mac is out,

627
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: I can't do it. It's like who is that horrier?

628
00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:17,360
Speaker 1: I'm not even sure their backup that makes sense? So yeah,

629
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,560
Speaker 1: I just I can't can't touch the game until I

630
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,920
Speaker 1: know the definition of who's playing. So that's definitely when

631
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 1: we'll bring back up on Thursday. So now Baker is

632
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:27,800
Speaker 1: on the road. Is a two and a half point dog.

633
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,800
Speaker 1: This number has moved up. It opened it one. Now

634
00:33:30,800 --> 00:33:35,760
Speaker 1: it's a two and a half against the Giants, who like, look,

635
00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:38,360
Speaker 1: they stayed in the game against the Titans, but they

636
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:42,000
Speaker 1: stayed in the game because the Titans were like that

637
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator who I think is new it really has

638
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:49,640
Speaker 1: to re evaluate what he's doing because the play calling

639
00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:53,800
Speaker 1: was just terrible. I watched a lot of that game.

640
00:33:54,000 --> 00:33:55,960
Speaker 1: It's one of those games where I had the Titans

641
00:33:55,960 --> 00:33:57,800
Speaker 1: in the survivor pool, so I was upset about that,

642
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 1: but I really wanted to be right about the Titans

643
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 1: at five and a half, or I wanted the wise

644
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:04,920
Speaker 1: guys to be wrong about the Giants at five and

645
00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,040
Speaker 1: a half because we were so on it. So I

646
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:09,680
Speaker 1: was rooting for the Titans and against the Giants, even

647
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:12,840
Speaker 1: though I had no financial interest other than the survivor

648
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:19,200
Speaker 1: pools and like fun. At half half time, we were

649
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:22,839
Speaker 1: feeling good, thirty feel great. Yeah, we were feeling great.

650
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,600
Speaker 1: Through the third quarter, they just gave the game away.

651
00:34:25,800 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 1: So that's again this is the Giants thing where they

652
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 1: had one big run by se Quon set up a touchdown.

653
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,880
Speaker 1: Then they had one big catch by who was a shepherd,

654
00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:39,280
Speaker 1: some receiver Shepherd. Yeah, touchdown, right, so now it's thirteen thirteen.

655
00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:42,520
Speaker 1: This is like literally, this was one minute. They just

656
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 1: did all that, Like the Titans went three and now

657
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:46,400
Speaker 1: gave it back. So they put up thirteen points in

658
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 1: one minute. Then I'm not even joke. I think it

659
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 1: was twenty eight minutes went by or twenty seven minutes

660
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 1: went by. The Giants did nothing right, so they're down

661
00:34:55,640 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 1: seven at this point. Daniel Dimes, Danny Dimes drives the field,

662
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:03,560
Speaker 1: crushes me, and Chat scores a touchdown, gets a two pointer,

663
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:06,160
Speaker 1: and then they missed the field goal, so yeah, magical.

664
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,279
Speaker 1: Instantly knew I was going to fade a team that

665
00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 1: won a game all three plays like that's that's a

666
00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 1: miracle team right there. So to me, the Giants, I

667
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: was praying, even though I had money to Panthers, I

668
00:35:17,520 --> 00:35:19,160
Speaker 1: was kind of praying they were gonna lose here so

669
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 1: they will get a great number in this matchup because

670
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 1: I knew this was gonna be an easy, easy bet

671
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,880
Speaker 1: taking the Panthers here. Like again, it was my own fault.

672
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:28,680
Speaker 1: You should listen to the prosch I just said it

673
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 1: like every pro I knew was talking about being on

674
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:34,040
Speaker 1: the Giants, and I just couldn't see it, and that's football.

675
00:35:34,120 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: That did not make any sense how they want to

676
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 1: cover that game other than it's football. It's like these

677
00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:43,160
Speaker 1: things happened. So just look at this matchup. Baker horrible

678
00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:46,320
Speaker 1: first half, incredible second half. Literally looked like he figured

679
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:47,920
Speaker 1: out and put it together for that second half. It

680
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 1: was a little too late, right, can't turn it over

681
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 1: that many times, give that many points, I expect to

682
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:55,120
Speaker 1: come back. They need a miracle kick, miracle field goal,

683
00:35:55,200 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: I should say, by Cleveland to win that game. So again,

684
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:00,560
Speaker 1: we know Caroline has talent. They matched up l against

685
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:03,480
Speaker 1: a Cleveland team that, other than the quarterback position, has

686
00:36:03,520 --> 00:36:06,279
Speaker 1: really good talents. So just going off the matchup, had

687
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:09,480
Speaker 1: this game as a pick because again I have Carolina

688
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 1: graded as a higher grade. People don't realize the history.

689
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:16,160
Speaker 1: Danny dimes at home not good. You fade Danny at home,

690
00:36:16,200 --> 00:36:18,320
Speaker 1: you bet him on the road. Historically, he's just always

691
00:36:18,320 --> 00:36:21,279
Speaker 1: been that way. So to me, hoping we get a

692
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 1: three Chad, but that's a contest play real life. Of

693
00:36:24,719 --> 00:36:26,399
Speaker 1: course we won the three. Three and a half would

694
00:36:26,400 --> 00:36:28,800
Speaker 1: be amazing. Still find Ben at two and a half again,

695
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: money line play if you want it, I would take

696
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 1: the two and a half because we've seen two and

697
00:36:32,680 --> 00:36:35,280
Speaker 1: a half actually does matter nowadays. Teams missed extra points

698
00:36:35,280 --> 00:36:36,960
Speaker 1: and that does matter the two and a half. But

699
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 1: I understand if you just want to do the money line.

700
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:43,320
Speaker 1: I just I love Caroline in this position. Yeah it Uh.

701
00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:45,000
Speaker 1: This is one of those things where you've got to

702
00:36:45,040 --> 00:36:47,640
Speaker 1: watch some of the games. You've got to read the

703
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:51,880
Speaker 1: box scores. You gotta know more than what the highlights

704
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:55,040
Speaker 1: are telling you, because if you only watch the highlights,

705
00:36:56,760 --> 00:37:03,240
Speaker 1: Baker botched it. The Giants are a miracle team full

706
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:07,360
Speaker 1: of guts because they went for a two point conversion

707
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 1: when they were down nineteen. And then the Titans, by

708
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,640
Speaker 1: the way, who drove down the field and then wasted

709
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:18,200
Speaker 1: a time, wasted time, wasted a time out, and then

710
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:21,160
Speaker 1: went backwards to kick a forty seven year field goal

711
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 1: that they missed. So the Giants had no business winning

712
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:25,759
Speaker 1: this game, and they will be worse at home because

713
00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:28,399
Speaker 1: that's what Danny Dimes does. Panthers plus two and a half.

714
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:32,960
Speaker 1: We've just added it to the list. As always. The

715
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 1: three teams we love so far are in the a

716
00:37:36,800 --> 00:37:45,480
Speaker 1: f C and NFC. South Jacks, Jack Saints Panthers. Uh, reminder,

717
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,879
Speaker 1: our foxhold game right now is the Saints plus three

718
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 1: if you can get it. Jags plus four and a

719
00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 1: half is the exact decision. We've still got a sign

720
00:37:53,520 --> 00:37:56,359
Speaker 1: and says to talk about this is interesting, all right,

721
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 1: Washington commanders on the road at the Detroit Lions, who

722
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:06,239
Speaker 1: are slight favorites. I'm seeing one and a half to

723
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:09,360
Speaker 1: two and a half. What say you don't have a

724
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,720
Speaker 1: great feeling for this game because I really wanted Detroit

725
00:38:11,800 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: to be a dog at home. I thought the public

726
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 1: could be all over Washington. But I think it's kind

727
00:38:15,600 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 1: of the Carson Wentz effect, right, They're not really buying

728
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 1: it and they kind of view him as a question.

729
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:23,319
Speaker 1: A lot of questions just around this matchup. Both two

730
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: teams that could overachieve greatly this season, Like they both

731
00:38:27,200 --> 00:38:29,400
Speaker 1: have a lot of talent on offense. Both these teams,

732
00:38:29,719 --> 00:38:33,719
Speaker 1: UH with questions on their defensive side. So not gonna

733
00:38:33,719 --> 00:38:36,120
Speaker 1: be one of our five slides. Too close to evenly

734
00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:40,040
Speaker 1: matched teams leaning towards the Lions, just like them at home,

735
00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:46,759
Speaker 1: and it bounced back spot. They showed me a lot

736
00:38:46,760 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 1: on offense last week, like the fact that they kept

737
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:52,719
Speaker 1: coming back again. I switched to channel as an ELS fan,

738
00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 1: I was like, this is done. There's other games I'd

739
00:38:54,280 --> 00:38:56,880
Speaker 1: rather check out. They came back lines like they just

740
00:38:56,920 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 1: don't give up. There are just a gretty team have

741
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:02,120
Speaker 1: to win this game, Like if I am going to

742
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,440
Speaker 1: win any sort of futures on this team, this is

743
00:39:04,480 --> 00:39:07,920
Speaker 1: a must win. So way way bigger and more important

744
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:10,720
Speaker 1: game for both these teams. Deaf in the lines means more.

745
00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 1: I guess under three, under two, whatever you can get

746
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:15,799
Speaker 1: it at. I would take the lines, but I just

747
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 1: can't see it. I mean, when I meet one of

748
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:19,520
Speaker 1: our five, just because there's other favorites I like more.

749
00:39:20,200 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 1: You don't sound convinced, like, as I'm sitting here, I

750
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 1: bet that I bet the Panthers, I bet the Saints,

751
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 1: I bet the Jaguars. Already, I don't feel great about

752
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,759
Speaker 1: betting the Lions here. I'm going to the I can

753
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:34,440
Speaker 1: I can tell you that much. It's just yeah, it

754
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 1: will be one of my biggest seven or eight bets.

755
00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 1: Probably not the Seattle Seahawks, the resurgence Seattle Seahawks. The

756
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:46,680
Speaker 1: geno Smith doesn't get written off by himself. Seahawks. They

757
00:39:46,719 --> 00:39:49,320
Speaker 1: wrote me off. I ain't right back though, that's the problem.

758
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 1: Al right back, Let's go on the road. Double digit

759
00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:57,359
Speaker 1: dogs at San Francisco. Money coming in, early, money coming

760
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:01,319
Speaker 1: in on the Seahawks. I went from not thinking the

761
00:40:01,360 --> 00:40:04,600
Speaker 1: Bears could beat the forty niners to being all in

762
00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:09,360
Speaker 1: on the Bears against the forty niners and any monsoon

763
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: we're terrible. What does your numbers say here? Simon says

764
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: that the Forts do love this game so much. It's

765
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 1: like classic overreaction of playing in a monsoon. There was

766
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,280
Speaker 1: literally nothing you could take away from that game. Seattle

767
00:40:33,520 --> 00:40:37,840
Speaker 1: got every little break. I honestly, just looking on paper,

768
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:41,440
Speaker 1: might run for four yards against the Seahawks defense. And

769
00:40:41,480 --> 00:40:43,919
Speaker 1: I know people think I'm more exaggerated. I'm not. That's

770
00:40:43,960 --> 00:40:47,840
Speaker 1: how bad this team has run defensively. Oh, Jamal Adams

771
00:40:47,840 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 1: is now out for the year. Their number one run stopper.

772
00:40:51,719 --> 00:40:55,800
Speaker 1: Problems for the Seahawks. Enjoy last night and like the fans,

773
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:59,480
Speaker 1: everyone's all hyped. That was your Super Bowl Easy. It

774
00:40:59,520 --> 00:41:02,600
Speaker 1: was already to be a letdown spot. Um I knew

775
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,359
Speaker 1: that coming in with the Seahawks. We were all over

776
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 1: that number. Did not see the Foeurhers playing as bad

777
00:41:06,840 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 1: as they did because I I didn't know the weather

778
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: it was gonna be like it was, but we were

779
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 1: on the Bears. But everything, everything is lined up. This

780
00:41:13,760 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 1: is such a nice situational play on this four nis team.

781
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:21,160
Speaker 1: I take this up to thirteen. Um, I think, yeah, yeah, yeah,

782
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:24,160
Speaker 1: it's I don't think you realize how bad the Seahawks

783
00:41:24,160 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 1: team is. Gino Smith played the half of his life.

784
00:41:27,360 --> 00:41:30,040
Speaker 1: What was the seventeen of eighteen chat or seventeen of seventeen.

785
00:41:30,480 --> 00:41:32,600
Speaker 1: I think they were up. I don't even know. It

786
00:41:32,680 --> 00:41:34,480
Speaker 1: might have been like three or three points or seven

787
00:41:34,480 --> 00:41:37,719
Speaker 1: points at half. It was just like, as as good

788
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 1: as Gino played, that team is just not built to

789
00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:42,919
Speaker 1: be great. This four ours team is built to be great.

790
00:41:43,000 --> 00:41:45,640
Speaker 1: The talent across the board you just couldn't see because

791
00:41:45,640 --> 00:41:48,359
Speaker 1: they're playing against the Bears in a mon soon. It's

792
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:51,759
Speaker 1: that was crazy, Like that game made no sense. So

793
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:54,920
Speaker 1: I love the value we're getting on the forty nine ers. Um,

794
00:41:54,960 --> 00:41:56,600
Speaker 1: we'll see what kind of number were getting the contest,

795
00:41:56,640 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 1: But to me, this is an auto play every time

796
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 1: this number with this team. You know what I love?

797
00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 1: While you were talking, I went into the action app

798
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 1: hit forty niners minus nine and a half minus one

799
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:13,719
Speaker 1: ten quick slipped right in the FanDuel had the bet

800
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:19,760
Speaker 1: made in about fifteen seconds. Technology just beautiful. I guess

801
00:42:19,760 --> 00:42:21,279
Speaker 1: you're right. Like as soon as you said it, as

802
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 1: soon as you started talking about it, I started thinking, Look,

803
00:42:26,440 --> 00:42:30,480
Speaker 1: you don't have a choice. But also we're applying the

804
00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:34,520
Speaker 1: principles of a team looked horrible, look for the opportunity

805
00:42:34,600 --> 00:42:37,560
Speaker 1: to bet them as dogs, we still have to apply it.

806
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:40,439
Speaker 1: A team looked too good, a team looked horrible, look

807
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:42,479
Speaker 1: forward as an opportunity to bet a favorite. We can't

808
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:46,920
Speaker 1: just bet underdogs like and ignore favorites. We see a

809
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:48,960
Speaker 1: favorite right now? Is it nine and a half? That's

810
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:52,040
Speaker 1: a good number. You like it at thirteen? If I

811
00:42:52,080 --> 00:42:56,200
Speaker 1: can take it nine and a a half, and people going

812
00:42:56,239 --> 00:42:58,279
Speaker 1: through the season along, I will be on Seattle a

813
00:42:58,320 --> 00:43:00,160
Speaker 1: lot like I just going through the season long. There's

814
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:02,319
Speaker 1: not gonna be a lot opportunity with them, especially at home.

815
00:43:02,360 --> 00:43:05,160
Speaker 1: How many times they're catching a lot of points. This

816
00:43:05,239 --> 00:43:06,800
Speaker 1: is just not the time you want to back them,

817
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,879
Speaker 1: Like after such an emotional win again their super Bowl.

818
00:43:10,760 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 1: Hell Man, I did not know Russell Wilson had russelled

819
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,400
Speaker 1: so many people's feathers the wrong way. It seems like

820
00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 1: a lot of people were better towards him in that organization.

821
00:43:19,560 --> 00:43:23,319
Speaker 1: So wow, like that's that's a lot to bounce back

822
00:43:23,360 --> 00:43:25,799
Speaker 1: from in such a what six day period for this

823
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:29,720
Speaker 1: the Seahawks team. I just unless Trey Lances truly a bust,

824
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:31,920
Speaker 1: that should be a layup win for this team. I

825
00:43:32,040 --> 00:43:35,560
Speaker 1: was surprised at how much he was booed. Me too,

826
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 1: I disagreed with that. Um as a fan, like of

827
00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 1: an Eagles team that only had one good quarterback in

828
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:43,919
Speaker 1: my lifetime, you could say, because I had one Super

829
00:43:43,920 --> 00:43:48,240
Speaker 1: Bowl from Nick Foles, there's no scenario I'd do Nick Foles.

830
00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:50,879
Speaker 1: But you know, the booze were flowing. It was Monday night.

831
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:53,719
Speaker 1: They might feel bitter about it. Um. I just yeah,

832
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 1: me and chatter in agreement. You can't be doing booing

833
00:43:56,680 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 1: Hall of famers. Yeah, that was that just felt. I

834
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 1: thought the Seahawks fans were classier than that. Falcons on

835
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: the road at the Rams, two teams desperate for a win,

836
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:13,319
Speaker 1: Falcons plus ten and a half. I mean the money

837
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:17,640
Speaker 1: is coming in on the Falcons. I guess you take

838
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:21,200
Speaker 1: the Falcons, you kind of hold your nose, But I'm

839
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 1: not dying too. Yeah, I'm not. It's not a contest

840
00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 1: play No, I bet it, though. It's like I like

841
00:44:28,239 --> 00:44:30,279
Speaker 1: this Falcons team me and cha. I liked them coming in.

842
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:31,960
Speaker 1: Did I know they're gonna be the probably best run

843
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:33,960
Speaker 1: team of football? No, I thought it was be Baltimore.

844
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:37,919
Speaker 1: But Cordell Patterson, Mariota, that's a nice one to punch

845
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: on the running side of things. So yeah, they're fun team.

846
00:44:40,960 --> 00:44:43,399
Speaker 1: We'll take the points with them. But I don't know.

847
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,680
Speaker 1: It's extended rest for the Rams, I guess is maybe

848
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 1: the only reason I had a huge pause, and this

849
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:52,759
Speaker 1: Atlanta team a little bit of you know, I don't

850
00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,040
Speaker 1: really know what to make of them. Like Mariota, he

851
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,480
Speaker 1: had moments where he really flashed where I was like, Okay,

852
00:44:57,520 --> 00:44:59,560
Speaker 1: this this Lanta offense is gonna be really good this year,

853
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,000
Speaker 1: and then you couldn't buy our first down in that

854
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 1: second half. So it is tough with this Atlantic team.

855
00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: They have their warts um, but ten points ten a

856
00:45:07,560 --> 00:45:10,799
Speaker 1: half against a Rams team that has way more question marks, Yeah,

857
00:45:10,840 --> 00:45:12,719
Speaker 1: I get it. Where chats. I'll bet this, but won't

858
00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:16,760
Speaker 1: be one of our five Arizona Cardinals who looked terrible.

859
00:45:18,040 --> 00:45:19,799
Speaker 1: They were exactly what we thought they would be. And

860
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:22,160
Speaker 1: this was a great example of I kind of was

861
00:45:22,239 --> 00:45:26,000
Speaker 1: leaning Cardinals on Tuesday, and you completely talked me out

862
00:45:26,040 --> 00:45:28,440
Speaker 1: of it. And I'm so glad not only did you

863
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:29,640
Speaker 1: talk to me out of it, but we liked it

864
00:45:29,680 --> 00:45:31,920
Speaker 1: so much we put it in the contest. Game was

865
00:45:31,960 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 1: over four minutes in. They're on the road at the Raiders.

866
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,360
Speaker 1: Raiders five and a half. Raiders look better than we planned,

867
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:40,959
Speaker 1: or I shouldn't say better than we planned. I thought

868
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:43,640
Speaker 1: that game was closer than even five points. And so

869
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:47,719
Speaker 1: Raiders minus five and a half against the Cardinals team

870
00:45:47,760 --> 00:45:51,120
Speaker 1: that I think is terrible. Yeah, I know it's so chalky,

871
00:45:51,160 --> 00:45:53,000
Speaker 1: but I'm I'm I bet it. I bet them. I

872
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 1: think it was opened at three and a half. I

873
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:56,799
Speaker 1: got it when I was at four. I thought about

874
00:45:56,800 --> 00:45:57,880
Speaker 1: again four and a half. I was like, you know,

875
00:45:57,880 --> 00:45:59,440
Speaker 1: I'll wait, I bet you goes back to four, and

876
00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:00,879
Speaker 1: then I went right up the five and a half.

877
00:46:00,920 --> 00:46:02,960
Speaker 1: So I clearly a group took a position on that.

878
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,319
Speaker 1: I have no doubt. I'll find out who in the

879
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 1: next twenty four hours. I'm not going against whoever it is.

880
00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 1: They moved a line that many points they know something,

881
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:14,240
Speaker 1: So Auto Bay Auto played for me because those Raiders

882
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 1: opening opening game at home, if you remember last year,

883
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:20,279
Speaker 1: I think it was them versus the Ravens. They were

884
00:46:20,320 --> 00:46:22,160
Speaker 1: like a six point dog at home in a money

885
00:46:22,239 --> 00:46:24,520
Speaker 1: night game and they beat them. They beat them straight up,

886
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:28,440
Speaker 1: the Ravens. So we've learned this Raiders team, their fans

887
00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 1: show up and they are a rowdy and they're allowed.

888
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,880
Speaker 1: That's a true home field advantage there in Las Vegas.

889
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:35,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, under six points against the Cardinals team that

890
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:37,719
Speaker 1: I just don't have any faith in, Like chat again,

891
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 1: they're gonna win there, gonna cover some games. Kyler Murray

892
00:46:40,000 --> 00:46:42,640
Speaker 1: isn't out of this real talent, but this is a

893
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:44,839
Speaker 1: bad spot for them coming to face a team that

894
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 1: it's just better across the board. But what about the

895
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:50,400
Speaker 1: number if, like you didn't get it at two and

896
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 1: a half, three and a half, four and four and

897
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 1: a half, five and a half, just feels like if

898
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:57,839
Speaker 1: we're supposed to follow the philosophy of get the best

899
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:00,799
Speaker 1: of the number, we're a field go alof the best

900
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:03,680
Speaker 1: the number you are, but still a good number because

901
00:47:03,680 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 1: it's under six, and to me, six is such a

902
00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:07,920
Speaker 1: key number, just as just as much as seven is.

903
00:47:08,080 --> 00:47:10,239
Speaker 1: So I think you are getting a good number. If

904
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:12,560
Speaker 1: you believe in this, your team do it. If you're

905
00:47:12,560 --> 00:47:14,360
Speaker 1: a coward, you can tease it, like there's plenty of

906
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:16,440
Speaker 1: times I'll tease it a game down because I'm a coward,

907
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:18,800
Speaker 1: like I think I did when I give out Chiefs

908
00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:20,920
Speaker 1: and Ravens last week when I should just bet them straight.

909
00:47:20,960 --> 00:47:23,160
Speaker 1: But it's like I got such a good number now,

910
00:47:23,200 --> 00:47:25,560
Speaker 1: the number it moved, like Chad talked about. I usually

911
00:47:25,600 --> 00:47:29,200
Speaker 1: tease it because I overthink stuff, so to me, tease

912
00:47:29,280 --> 00:47:30,799
Speaker 1: it if you're scared. But five and a half is

913
00:47:30,800 --> 00:47:36,799
Speaker 1: still a good number, all right, Texans Broncos. How the

914
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:42,600
Speaker 1: Broncos are ten point favorites over anybody right now? I

915
00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:45,879
Speaker 1: don't know really actually like the Broncos here, so we'll

916
00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,040
Speaker 1: just skip this on. I just look at the Broncos team.

917
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:51,160
Speaker 1: Is they're really good? Russell Wilson is still pretty damn good.

918
00:47:51,560 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 1: They just made so many stupid mistakes. Their head coach

919
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:57,200
Speaker 1: might be a complete idiot like that. That guy might

920
00:47:57,200 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 1: be fired mid with through the season if Elway sees

921
00:47:59,840 --> 00:48:02,800
Speaker 1: more or what that guy just did, Like I I

922
00:48:02,880 --> 00:48:05,720
Speaker 1: still can't blue what happened Yeah, I literally cannot believe

923
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 1: what we saw Monday night. The guy taken a chance

924
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:10,359
Speaker 1: at a sixty four yard field goal over a rust

925
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:14,279
Speaker 1: getting in five yards. Um bizarre. So I don't know

926
00:48:14,320 --> 00:48:16,920
Speaker 1: what to really think of them, but I do know this,

927
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:21,480
Speaker 1: This Broncos team has tons of talent on offense and defense.

928
00:48:21,520 --> 00:48:24,920
Speaker 1: Their biggest weakness is still their offensive line looked improved though,

929
00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:27,880
Speaker 1: So yeah, I would love to come in here and

930
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:31,480
Speaker 1: shoot on Russell Wilson and tell you to take the Texans.

931
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,880
Speaker 1: And it's a good number. But I think exactly the

932
00:48:34,000 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 1: number eight is is the number it should be. I

933
00:48:35,520 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 1: had this ten ten and a half, that's where it

934
00:48:37,560 --> 00:48:41,120
Speaker 1: should be. Um won't won't really bet this one. If anything,

935
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,879
Speaker 1: Uh again, the Broncos with our team, I might tease um,

936
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 1: but again, I don't want to go against Houston. We

937
00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:52,560
Speaker 1: love Houston. But man, this Broncos team. The only thing

938
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,480
Speaker 1: slowing them down. We've seen as them right like they are.

939
00:48:55,560 --> 00:48:58,680
Speaker 1: The only issue is them right now. So Russell will

940
00:48:58,680 --> 00:49:00,480
Speaker 1: get more comfortable the season goes along. That's what I'll

941
00:49:00,480 --> 00:49:02,120
Speaker 1: bet them later in the season, is he gets more

942
00:49:02,160 --> 00:49:04,680
Speaker 1: comfortable all right now? Uh, Just there's no way I

943
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:06,200
Speaker 1: would make this one by five, and I can just

944
00:49:06,280 --> 00:49:08,440
Speaker 1: tell Chad he doesn't really like this one either. I

945
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:10,920
Speaker 1: don't like this at all, But then again, I don't know.

946
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:13,640
Speaker 1: We've only got four games we love right now. Bengals

947
00:49:13,719 --> 00:49:18,680
Speaker 1: on the road, massive favorites against the Cowboys. This is

948
00:49:18,800 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 1: traditionally a spot where you want to bet the big

949
00:49:22,719 --> 00:49:27,680
Speaker 1: home dog. Yeah, Cowboys eight and a half. Everyone listens

950
00:49:27,719 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 1: is not gonna bet this meat. Chad have to bet this.

951
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:34,160
Speaker 1: Make a donation to our favorite foundation, vandal sports book.

952
00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 1: No one's betting this but us. It's definition of a

953
00:49:37,640 --> 00:49:40,880
Speaker 1: prose verse. Joe's game is Dak Prescott worth nine and

954
00:49:40,880 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 1: a half points. I don't think so. I don't think

955
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 1: he's that good, like I think he's really talented. Nine

956
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:49,239
Speaker 1: and a half points. I just I can't get there

957
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:52,640
Speaker 1: with that. So yeah, I love the public taking the Bengals,

958
00:49:52,680 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 1: who should play better, can't play much worse than they

959
00:49:54,719 --> 00:49:58,439
Speaker 1: did against Pittsburgh, but man, uh seven and a half

960
00:49:58,480 --> 00:50:00,839
Speaker 1: points at this point, I just I'll hold my nose

961
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,400
Speaker 1: and I'll take it. Chat my build. It convinced me

962
00:50:03,440 --> 00:50:05,719
Speaker 1: on Sunday, as you say her Tuesday, I don't know

963
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:07,520
Speaker 1: in what world do I want to be sweating Cooper

964
00:50:07,640 --> 00:50:09,320
Speaker 1: Rush on my five contest, but I'm trying to go

965
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:11,120
Speaker 1: tenant now, so I just can't see him being it.

966
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 1: I'll tell you what though, Tune in later this week

967
00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:15,919
Speaker 1: and it might be a big balls better the week

968
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:25,040
Speaker 1: in fact, Packers Sunday night hosting the Resurgent, the celebrating

969
00:50:25,160 --> 00:50:29,239
Speaker 1: one win like it's Pet Beverley in the playoffs for

970
00:50:29,320 --> 00:50:34,360
Speaker 1: the Minnesota Timberwolves Chicago Bears. Look, I love the Bears.

971
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:38,120
Speaker 1: I was standing for most of that game. After the game,

972
00:50:38,600 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 1: I was sitting with my kid. We watched all the

973
00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:44,239
Speaker 1: games together. He's looking at the Bears social feeds. Every

974
00:50:44,320 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 1: two seconds, he's like, Dad, look at this one, Dad,

975
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:48,759
Speaker 1: look at this one. And it's just the Bears going

976
00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:53,879
Speaker 1: crazy posting on social He's like, they're posting a lot

977
00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:57,439
Speaker 1: for one win. He's like, Then then he's like, wow,

978
00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,879
Speaker 1: they're really posting a lot. So if a fifteen year

979
00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:03,359
Speaker 1: old kid who lives his life on social media says

980
00:51:03,400 --> 00:51:06,800
Speaker 1: you're overreacting and posting too much, he might be posting

981
00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:10,799
Speaker 1: too much. Yeah, and how do you not feel good?

982
00:51:10,840 --> 00:51:12,799
Speaker 1: To all of us? Me and you, Matt, we're all

983
00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:14,520
Speaker 1: one and oh right now I don't know if we've

984
00:51:14,520 --> 00:51:18,120
Speaker 1: ever been in one and O together, referring to the Bears,

985
00:51:18,200 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 1: Eagles and Bills by the way, Yeah, so uh yeah,

986
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:24,040
Speaker 1: it's hard not to enjoy it. Like again, I should

987
00:51:24,040 --> 00:51:27,840
Speaker 1: probably tweet it. I muted the word Giants because apparently

988
00:51:27,880 --> 00:51:31,200
Speaker 1: Giants hadn't been over five sixteen and then their fans

989
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:35,080
Speaker 1: were annoying. So um, I get it. We're all excited,

990
00:51:35,080 --> 00:51:38,160
Speaker 1: we're all one and oh uh, I don't have to

991
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:39,920
Speaker 1: deal with this game. Chad to me like this is

992
00:51:39,920 --> 00:51:42,279
Speaker 1: another game. I'll just that's the under because I really

993
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:43,319
Speaker 1: don't know what to do with it. I think it's

994
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:45,080
Speaker 1: a good number. I really want to take the Bears,

995
00:51:46,320 --> 00:51:49,279
Speaker 1: but god, Aaron Rodgers burns me in this spot every

996
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:52,160
Speaker 1: damn time, every time, and it will be hilarious. I

997
00:51:52,200 --> 00:51:55,200
Speaker 1: remember last year. I think we took the Bears. Man,

998
00:51:55,280 --> 00:51:56,759
Speaker 1: we might have had like six and a half chat

999
00:51:56,880 --> 00:52:00,399
Speaker 1: at home. We're up twelve going into the way through

1000
00:52:00,440 --> 00:52:03,439
Speaker 1: the third quarter, and Aaron Rodgers somehow ran it into

1001
00:52:03,440 --> 00:52:04,800
Speaker 1: the Bear end of the game for another touchow. I

1002
00:52:04,840 --> 00:52:06,360
Speaker 1: think that's what we said. I own you to the

1003
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:09,440
Speaker 1: Bears fans, and it owned our cover and like we

1004
00:52:09,560 --> 00:52:13,080
Speaker 1: lose this cover every time with this Bears team. But again,

1005
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 1: I can't listen to my five, but I have to

1006
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:17,560
Speaker 1: take this number every time like the Bears. This is

1007
00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:20,200
Speaker 1: an inflated line. I didn't really learn much from him

1008
00:52:20,239 --> 00:52:22,240
Speaker 1: last week other than the fact that I just love Fields.

1009
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:25,040
Speaker 1: He's such a game or such hard. He didn't put

1010
00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:27,480
Speaker 1: the stats right, but he made in the moments the

1011
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:30,359
Speaker 1: important place he needed to first team to win. So, um,

1012
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,640
Speaker 1: maybe we'll just fade green Bay being dysfunctional right now,

1013
00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:37,640
Speaker 1: and I'm just reading too much into that, but I

1014
00:52:37,719 --> 00:52:39,320
Speaker 1: just can't put money on green Bay right now. I

1015
00:52:39,360 --> 00:52:42,399
Speaker 1: feel comfortable putting money on the Bears rather than Green Bay,

1016
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,920
Speaker 1: which is crazy to think. Well, the problem is, Look,

1017
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,440
Speaker 1: the Packers often looked dysfunctional in the first game of

1018
00:52:47,480 --> 00:52:51,080
Speaker 1: the year, and their receivers were clearly terrible, and Aaron

1019
00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:54,920
Speaker 1: Rodgers was clearly frustrated, But that was also the exact

1020
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:58,279
Speaker 1: right spot to play the Packers for the Vikings. You

1021
00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:02,759
Speaker 1: don't really know who the Bears are yet. Playing in

1022
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:06,279
Speaker 1: a monsoon was not the right scenario to be able

1023
00:53:06,360 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 1: to judge what this team is defensively against the quarterback

1024
00:53:11,440 --> 00:53:13,279
Speaker 1: like Aaron Rodgers, so for me, it's probably going to

1025
00:53:13,360 --> 00:53:19,240
Speaker 1: be a pass. Yeah, that's fair. Titans visiting the Buffalo Bills.

1026
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:22,040
Speaker 1: I don't know if we have any Buffalo Bills drops

1027
00:53:22,239 --> 00:53:24,600
Speaker 1: because Matt Mitchell doesn't like to include those in the show.

1028
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:28,120
Speaker 1: That's true. Chatill like to keep it pretty subdued. That's

1029
00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:29,600
Speaker 1: why I'm going to be taking it easy on the

1030
00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:34,200
Speaker 1: bill signature shout song this year, introducing potentially a new

1031
00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:38,640
Speaker 1: Josh Allen theme Metal get Toes tapping coast to coast

1032
00:53:41,640 --> 00:53:46,280
Speaker 1: the Bills. The Titans are ten point underdogs. This number

1033
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 1: has popped. This is a inflation station line. To me,

1034
00:53:51,480 --> 00:53:53,960
Speaker 1: it's ugly to play it, but you kind of have to.

1035
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:58,319
Speaker 1: Primetime game. One team gut embarrassed. The other team looked

1036
00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:01,640
Speaker 1: like their ship don't stay. Everyone's all in on the Bills.

1037
00:54:02,360 --> 00:54:04,239
Speaker 1: Where I go back and watch the film and I

1038
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:07,880
Speaker 1: saw Josh Allen look flustered, had a bunch of turnovers,

1039
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 1: had a bunch of under throws on his deep balls

1040
00:54:10,280 --> 00:54:12,520
Speaker 1: that worked out, and the biggest advantage for him that

1041
00:54:12,600 --> 00:54:15,280
Speaker 1: Rams game was the Rams could not keep on the field.

1042
00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:17,280
Speaker 1: So by the second half, the Rams defense was shot

1043
00:54:17,520 --> 00:54:21,240
Speaker 1: Like Josh Allen, I mean, mean, mean, Chad both agreed.

1044
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:24,319
Speaker 1: We think he's the best athlete, best player right now

1045
00:54:24,400 --> 00:54:27,360
Speaker 1: in football just because of what he can do. He's bigger, faster,

1046
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:29,600
Speaker 1: stronger than everybody and has one of the best arms

1047
00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:33,439
Speaker 1: in football. And it's very accurate. So scared because Josh

1048
00:54:33,520 --> 00:54:35,000
Speaker 1: Allen didn't have a good game and his team won

1049
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:36,719
Speaker 1: by I don't even know what the final score was

1050
00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:39,560
Speaker 1: and would have been by twenty four. It's just, man,

1051
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,839
Speaker 1: this Bill's team is so good. But this is gonna

1052
00:54:42,840 --> 00:54:44,839
Speaker 1: be our lives chat all season. We're gonna be taking

1053
00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:47,400
Speaker 1: the value on the dog, and the dog against the

1054
00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:49,680
Speaker 1: Bills is always gonna be overvalue. Like this number is

1055
00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:52,799
Speaker 1: bumped up probably three points just because the Titans laid

1056
00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:55,280
Speaker 1: such a bad egg and the Bills look like world beaters.

1057
00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:58,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, I wish I could make it one of

1058
00:54:58,719 --> 00:55:00,960
Speaker 1: our five. Maybe I'll get push into it. But there's

1059
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:02,239
Speaker 1: a different game on one day that I like a

1060
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:07,160
Speaker 1: little more. Um So to me, it's it's tough where

1061
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:09,600
Speaker 1: I I just love the fact we're getting so many points,

1062
00:55:09,680 --> 00:55:12,359
Speaker 1: but Josh Allen scares the ship out of me. Man,

1063
00:55:12,480 --> 00:55:15,800
Speaker 1: Like I hated that experience on Thursday. He's just so

1064
00:55:16,080 --> 00:55:18,280
Speaker 1: good every time he needs a first down, he gets

1065
00:55:18,400 --> 00:55:21,799
Speaker 1: either run or Gabe Davis or Stefan digs Man. It's

1066
00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:25,719
Speaker 1: just man bills. Bills are so complete. Well, look, let's

1067
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:28,680
Speaker 1: talk about I'm gonna bet the Titans, but it doesn't

1068
00:55:28,719 --> 00:55:30,600
Speaker 1: have to be part of our part of our five

1069
00:55:42,239 --> 00:55:46,480
Speaker 1: Vikings visiting the Eagles to two and a half. Money's

1070
00:55:46,480 --> 00:55:51,000
Speaker 1: on the Eagles, tickets on the Vikings. Easy your ball game, buddy,

1071
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:53,239
Speaker 1: easy bet. One of the rare times I'll bet on

1072
00:55:53,400 --> 00:55:57,120
Speaker 1: my favorite home team, Eagles. Such an easy bet. Like

1073
00:55:57,239 --> 00:56:00,160
Speaker 1: our Eagles greatest strength has been able to run the

1074
00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 1: ball and own the offensive line, the Vikings. That's how

1075
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:05,759
Speaker 1: you can dominate this team. Like that matches up so

1076
00:56:05,920 --> 00:56:08,759
Speaker 1: well for this Eagles team. The ball control, dominate the line.

1077
00:56:09,320 --> 00:56:11,840
Speaker 1: Don't let Kirk Cousins get in a good comfortable position.

1078
00:56:12,520 --> 00:56:15,279
Speaker 1: We're also again Kirk Cousins in prime time. People don't

1079
00:56:15,320 --> 00:56:19,400
Speaker 1: forget Kirk Cousins. One pm at home auto play like

1080
00:56:19,480 --> 00:56:21,960
Speaker 1: I think it's six. I think Evant tweeted that out.

1081
00:56:22,400 --> 00:56:25,600
Speaker 1: It's I love the Vikings at home at one pm,

1082
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:29,080
Speaker 1: the Kirk Cousins on the road in a prime time game.

1083
00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:32,200
Speaker 1: I'm getting under three with the Eagles. The public is

1084
00:56:32,280 --> 00:56:35,239
Speaker 1: betting all the all the tickets are coming on the vikings,

1085
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:37,800
Speaker 1: all the pros are betting the Eagles. No Brander to

1086
00:56:37,880 --> 00:56:40,840
Speaker 1: me love this one. I'll try to convince Chad just

1087
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:43,160
Speaker 1: because we don't love having to wait all the way

1088
00:56:43,200 --> 00:56:45,600
Speaker 1: to get our five and now, but this might be

1089
00:56:45,680 --> 00:56:47,359
Speaker 1: worth it. I just love the Eagles in the spot.

1090
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 1: This is such a great position for them to be in.

1091
00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:52,480
Speaker 1: By the way, at fand right now the lot, the

1092
00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 1: Eagles are minus one and a half minus one eight team,

1093
00:56:56,760 --> 00:56:58,239
Speaker 1: so that means a little bit of promotes coming on

1094
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:04,719
Speaker 1: in Minnesota. So do you wait? Yeah, obviously I would

1095
00:57:04,760 --> 00:57:06,640
Speaker 1: keep waiting then because that means you could keep dropping.

1096
00:57:06,719 --> 00:57:09,480
Speaker 1: But I just think they're eventually gonna come. They're gonna

1097
00:57:09,520 --> 00:57:11,080
Speaker 1: come with a samdpage of me where it's just like,

1098
00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 1: this is a really good matchup for this Eagles team.

1099
00:57:13,880 --> 00:57:16,240
Speaker 1: But maybe they're skeptical because they just saw the lines

1100
00:57:16,400 --> 00:57:19,080
Speaker 1: do whatever they want an offense against them. But I

1101
00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:22,600
Speaker 1: think that was more situational for anything else. Like the

1102
00:57:22,720 --> 00:57:25,320
Speaker 1: Eagles defense was good. They just they stopped trying the

1103
00:57:25,400 --> 00:57:27,480
Speaker 1: second half and they gave up whatever it was, seventeen

1104
00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:34,000
Speaker 1: straight points right now, uh, the games we like Jags

1105
00:57:34,040 --> 00:57:36,520
Speaker 1: plus four and a half, Saints plus three, Panthers plus

1106
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:38,960
Speaker 1: two and a half. We're getting in your big favorite

1107
00:57:39,000 --> 00:57:42,560
Speaker 1: forty nine minus nine and a half, Eagles minus two,

1108
00:57:42,680 --> 00:57:46,320
Speaker 1: minus one and a half. Games we are watching that

1109
00:57:46,440 --> 00:57:50,040
Speaker 1: we will discuss on Thursday depending on the lines. Ravens

1110
00:57:50,120 --> 00:57:56,960
Speaker 1: minus three, New York Jets plus six. You're gonna be

1111
00:57:57,040 --> 00:57:59,120
Speaker 1: sick reading that chat. You literally look like you're about

1112
00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:02,360
Speaker 1: to be sick just reading the Jets. I also think

1113
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:04,160
Speaker 1: we should keep an eye on the Titans plus ten.

1114
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:06,440
Speaker 1: I don't know that we want to go into Monday

1115
00:58:06,560 --> 00:58:12,760
Speaker 1: night having to bets, but it definitely sticks out very

1116
00:58:12,880 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 1: well as a dog, double digit dog coming off a

1117
00:58:16,120 --> 00:58:19,920
Speaker 1: bad week, where like it just come on, what are

1118
00:58:19,960 --> 00:58:23,520
Speaker 1: we doing here? We're not betting Titans plus ten. It's

1119
00:58:23,560 --> 00:58:25,560
Speaker 1: like we bet the Seahawks plus six and a half

1120
00:58:25,600 --> 00:58:28,600
Speaker 1: in the same spot. Yeah, and you want to give

1121
00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:30,440
Speaker 1: it to our five fans that got upset at us

1122
00:58:30,440 --> 00:58:33,520
Speaker 1: because their contest locks on Thursday for Survivor um our

1123
00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:37,160
Speaker 1: Survivor pick and we go again Thursday. But to me,

1124
00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:40,200
Speaker 1: it's situational, right, Like that's why I love our guy,

1125
00:58:40,280 --> 00:58:44,040
Speaker 1: Travis Reid puts out your best options, um survivor just

1126
00:58:44,120 --> 00:58:45,920
Speaker 1: mathematically like when you would be able to use the

1127
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 1: team again and when you wouldn't be able to Bengos

1128
00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:50,640
Speaker 1: jumped out to me like the Bengals in this position

1129
00:58:50,840 --> 00:58:53,520
Speaker 1: against a backup quarterback. I don't know if the Bengals

1130
00:58:53,560 --> 00:58:56,400
Speaker 1: will cover, but man I I can't see a world

1131
00:58:56,440 --> 00:58:58,240
Speaker 1: they don't win this game. They need this game bad.

1132
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:00,440
Speaker 1: They can't start your own to this bang teams. So

1133
00:59:00,880 --> 00:59:02,200
Speaker 1: they jumped out to me in the same with the

1134
00:59:02,240 --> 00:59:06,320
Speaker 1: fourt Niners Niners at home in Seattle. This feels like

1135
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,200
Speaker 1: a no brainer. So those those to me are my

1136
00:59:08,240 --> 00:59:10,320
Speaker 1: two favorites. Um, I don't know if you have other

1137
00:59:10,360 --> 00:59:12,680
Speaker 1: ones you like more. Now, the team that jumped out

1138
00:59:12,680 --> 00:59:14,880
Speaker 1: to me was the Bengals. Yeah, because again it's all

1139
00:59:14,880 --> 00:59:16,280
Speaker 1: about when we're gonna be able to use them again.

1140
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:20,320
Speaker 1: Both those teams, their schedules are not easy alright. So

1141
00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:24,880
Speaker 1: to recap forty Niners minus nine and a half foxholl

1142
00:59:25,440 --> 00:59:29,440
Speaker 1: Saints plus three executive decision Jack's plus four and a

1143
00:59:29,480 --> 00:59:36,600
Speaker 1: half early survivor. If you're your contest locks before Thursday, Bengals,

1144
00:59:37,400 --> 00:59:39,760
Speaker 1: we will have on Thursday the big balls better the

1145
00:59:39,800 --> 00:59:43,720
Speaker 1: week scooch Roulette will finalize, will get closer to finalizing.

1146
00:59:44,320 --> 00:59:49,000
Speaker 1: Follow in the Action Network app the favorite podcast follow

1147
00:59:49,560 --> 00:59:54,080
Speaker 1: the Phase five followed Chad Milman, follow Simon Hunter. Download

1148
00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 1: us from Apple, podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts.

1149
00:59:59,360 --> 01:00:02,800
Speaker 1: Rate you subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you

1150
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:05,360
Speaker 1: want feedback as a gift for Simon Hunter. For Matt Mitchell,

1151
01:00:05,440 --> 01:00:08,680
Speaker 1: I am Shad Newman. Until next time. I Love you,

1152
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:12,360
Speaker 1: m M m m