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Speaker 1: Good luck with the most beautiful game jewish prow read enough.

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Speaker 2: They're running a game.

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Speaker 3: So smooth, so sweet.

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Speaker 2: Mid sixteen, just glorious execution. Guys, all I'm looking for

5
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Speaker 2: is sixty percent effort four thousand percent of the time.

6
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Speaker 2: How shot with that? Shop with mind, buddy, and that's

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Speaker 2: why you see.

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Speaker 4: Your beautiful tiers.

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Speaker 1: Look at his movements, the.

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Speaker 2: Most dangerous a mount of the planet.

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Speaker 1: Nobody kicks them.

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Speaker 3: Shut up, I'm trying. The love is left to.

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Speaker 4: One of the wide eyed, drilled bibused.

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Speaker 2: How on earth.

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Speaker 3: Did that happened?

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Speaker 5: Hello, ey one, Welcome back to Wonderful, the Soccer betting

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Speaker 5: podcast from the Action Network. My name is Michael Lee

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Speaker 5: buff Joining me in just a moment will be Anthony

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Speaker 5: Debundo and BJ Cunningham, and together the three of us,

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Speaker 5: we'll take you on a handicapping adventure through European soccer

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Speaker 5: seven Premier League matches this week. We'll talk some Bundesliga,

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Speaker 5: La Liga, Siria A league all, give out our three

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Speaker 5: leg money line underdog parlay, and then our favorite bets

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Speaker 5: for the Premier League this week. And at the end

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Speaker 5: you can hear another chat with former US men's national

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Speaker 5: team player eric Uanald that's been another interesting few days

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Speaker 5: in the US m m T camp, so we'll get

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Speaker 5: his thoughts on all that. But before we get started,

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Speaker 5: a reminder that Wonder Goal is presented to you by

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Speaker 5: Bet three six five, the world's favorite sportsbook brand. Sign

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Speaker 5: Bet one dollar round any game and get two hundred back,

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Speaker 5: no questions asked. All right, We'll start on Saturday afternoon,

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Speaker 5: a one thirty pm kickoff Eastern Time between two of

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Speaker 5: the best teams in the world, Chelsea minus two twenty

37
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Speaker 5: hosting Everden seven to one. The draw here is plus

38
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Speaker 5: three point thirty since Sean Ditsch took over at Goodison Park,

39
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Speaker 5: Everton three wins, a draw and three losses, five goals scored,

40
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Speaker 5: ten allowed.

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Speaker 3: It's just a hilarious split. But their ex G.

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Speaker 5: Numbers are pretty good compared to where they were before

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Speaker 5: Diytsche came in. They're around just under fifty percent in

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Speaker 5: terms of the x G share ten point six six

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Speaker 5: spectacles created in eleven point four against We've talked a

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Speaker 5: lot about Chelsea's incoming alleged offensive regression. I think we

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Speaker 5: all believe in it, but I think that this number

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Speaker 5: on Everden is too long. Considering that they've just been

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Speaker 5: a different team under Ditch and they've raised their floor

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Speaker 5: so much that they have a decent chance of turning

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Speaker 5: this match into a bit of a rock fight, a slugfest.

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Speaker 5: I think that they would fancy themselves in that kind

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Speaker 5: of environment. Also, very little for Chelsea to play for

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Speaker 5: in the Premier League too, This is the kind of

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Speaker 5: situation I think that Ditsch is known for taking advantage of.

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Speaker 3: Bj What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind to play on Everton honestly in

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Speaker 1: this match, I think that Chelsea Listen, I agree with you.

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Speaker 1: I believe in their offensive aggression. I believe in Graham Potter.

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Speaker 1: I believe in the trajectory that Chelsea is going on.

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Speaker 1: But this is something that we've kind of talked about

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Speaker 1: through this run, where Chelsea's going up against certain types

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Speaker 1: of teams that I think they can take advantage of.

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Speaker 1: If you look through their matches and you look through

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Speaker 1: teams essentially where they've had to face a low block

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Speaker 1: and break that down. You look at the match against

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Speaker 1: west Ham where they just created a little over one

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Speaker 1: expectacle and drew that one. One they go to Tottenham

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Speaker 1: and they put it in just a horrible offensive performance

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Speaker 1: and couldn't get the ball into the final third. And

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Speaker 1: then even a match you know, even further back than that,

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Speaker 1: you know, they face Nottingham for US and only created

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Speaker 1: less than one expected goal against them. So now you're

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Speaker 1: going against Neverton team that I mean, the low block

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Speaker 1: hasn't been as good as we saw in the very

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Speaker 1: first match against Arsenal, Like there's been more space in

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Speaker 1: the middle of the pitch and some teams have exploited that,

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Speaker 1: and I mean Chelsea can definitely do that, but I

79
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Speaker 1: don't know. I still am like very wary of this

80
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Speaker 1: Chelsea team. It's funny how regression works, right, because they

81
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Speaker 1: beat Lesser three to one. Lesser creates over two expected

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Speaker 1: goals and everybody's like, oh my gosh, Chelsea got lucky.

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Speaker 1: Well that was coming for Chelsea for a very long time.

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Speaker 1: They're very due to get lucky in something like that.

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Speaker 1: So again, you know, Everton away from home has not

86
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Speaker 1: been good this season. They still only scored six goals,

87
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Speaker 1: which is not good or excuse me, seven goals, and

88
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Speaker 1: but I do think the low block can be effective

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Speaker 1: here against Chelsea, because yes, they are due for offensive regression.

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Speaker 1: But if you're looking how Chelsea's getting these goals, it's

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Speaker 1: basically just all like Enzo Fernandez lung balls in up

92
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Speaker 1: over the over the back line, which Everton's not going

93
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Speaker 1: to play some type of very high line for the

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Speaker 1: Chelsea to be able to do that. So I have

95
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Speaker 1: major concerns about Chelsea's ability to break down Everton's low block,

96
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Speaker 1: and I only project Chelsea are on minus one fifty,

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Speaker 1: so I actually do like Everton plus one at plus

98
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Speaker 1: one twenty, I think just Diytsche goes and gets a

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Speaker 1: draw here at Stanford Bridge.

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Speaker 3: Anthony, what do you got? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I like the over two and a half is plus money.

102
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Speaker 2: I project this just over two goal two and a

103
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Speaker 2: half goals, so anything plus money is good with me.

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Speaker 2: On said over, I would actually make this closer to

105
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Speaker 2: minus one to ten. I think that I agree with

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Speaker 2: you guys that you know Chelsea has improved, They've been

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Speaker 2: playing better. You know, they score three against Leicester. They

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Speaker 2: were able to get out and get in behind a

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Speaker 2: little bit more. And I think Everton, when you look

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Speaker 2: at their numbers under Dice. You know, you talked about

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Speaker 2: the ultimate end result, which was that they haven't really

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Speaker 2: scored many goals, but they produced one point four expected

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Speaker 2: goals per ninety since dische became the manager, and it's

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Speaker 2: been a much more high event approach and style. It

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Speaker 2: hasn't necessarily been like the traditional low block. They've been

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Speaker 2: pushing more numbers forward and been more aggressive than like

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Speaker 2: compared to his Burnley teams, where I think some of

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Speaker 2: that is Dice recognizing he has more talent with this

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Speaker 2: team than he ever did with that Burnley team, and

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Speaker 2: that they're able to play a little bit more expansive.

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Speaker 2: They don't just have to completely shut it down. And

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Speaker 2: as a result, you're seeing more chances created. Now they

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Speaker 2: have not finished anything for the last six hundred and

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Speaker 2: thirty minutes since Disce became the manager. They're their goals

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Speaker 2: per match are under one, but like I said, the

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Speaker 2: chances have been there, and I think that eventually the

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Speaker 2: goals will come for this team, and so I think

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Speaker 2: this is a good overspot here. Chelsea continues to be,

129
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Speaker 2: you know, due for more positive finishing regression. It's been

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Speaker 2: a really rough couple of months, and I actually think

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Speaker 2: Everton has some advantages here. Everton's fifth and set piece attack,

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Speaker 2: Chelsea's thirteenth defensively and XG percent piece allowed, So like

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Speaker 2: you can see some weakness in the Chelsea's set piece

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Speaker 2: defense and you even saw that against Leicester where the

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Speaker 2: Fox is nearly scored off of one. Everton's fourth worst

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Speaker 2: defense though by XGA since Dice took over. So they

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Speaker 2: haven't really improved defensively, They've just produced more and that's

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Speaker 2: what's gotten you know, to what Michael said about them

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Speaker 2: being right around or slightly worse than an average team.

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Speaker 2: It's been the attack that's improved. And since the World Cup,

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Speaker 2: Chelsea's averaged about two and a half expected goals combined

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Speaker 2: it's four and against in matches, but they've only had

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Speaker 2: only about one point six goals per match, So I

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Speaker 2: think this is a little bit short. I mean, think

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Speaker 2: back to early in the season, this total would not

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Speaker 2: have been sitting at too and half overplus money. And

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Speaker 2: I think that you're getting a good chance to to

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Speaker 2: buylow on both attacks really and bet they over Yeah.

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Speaker 5: I think also it's a it's a game that if

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Speaker 5: everything falls behind, I would back them live to get

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Speaker 5: something out of this one too.

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Speaker 1: Dominie Calvalon has been upgraded to uh questionable.

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Speaker 5: Well, yeah, I think that Damari Gray's was really he's

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Speaker 5: been good in that role, like since decided they.

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Speaker 1: Need they need an aerial threat to play Diutsche's style,

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Speaker 1: like like to be really really effective. So Dominie Calvalon

157
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Speaker 1: is obviously huge for them to be able to.

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Speaker 5: Play Arkowski they got, Michael Keane, these are I mean,

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Speaker 5: they do serious you always I talk about long balls

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Speaker 5: up at the pitch winning those us. Well, it's funny

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Speaker 5: he did kind of you know, switches his his kind

162
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Speaker 5: of tone a little bit with with how they were

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Speaker 5: trying to get forward with Gray, whereas instead of having

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Speaker 5: someone hold the ball up, you're just having.

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Speaker 3: Him run onto it. It's working.

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Speaker 5: And then so you have Gray for sixteen minutes playing

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Speaker 5: that role and then Calvert Lewin hopefully off the bench, but.

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Speaker 1: Or both of them up top and the four to

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Speaker 1: four too, and then that's the dream Michael.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, then we're Lookout champions.

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Speaker 1: Then we're cooking.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, Friday four pm start a little Friday night Lights

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Speaker 5: Nodding Forced hosting Newcastle Forest plus four point fifty at home.

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Speaker 5: The matt pis minus one fifty. That draw is plus

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Speaker 5: two sixty. I've got nothing here, Bja. I see you've

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Speaker 5: got nothing here, Anthony. This one's all you.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Newcastle got a deserved home win against Wolves. The attack,

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Speaker 2: you know, finally finished the chances and kind of overwhelmed

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Speaker 2: Wolves in the end. I just think it's a much

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Speaker 2: more difficult task going on the road in this spot.

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Speaker 2: I think the number is not quite there yet for

183
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Speaker 2: me to play it. I would want closer to a

184
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Speaker 2: flat one to bet them at home. You know, we've

185
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Speaker 2: talked on this show repeatedly about the home and away

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Speaker 2: splits for Nottingham Forest. Newcastle has some pretty significant splits

187
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Speaker 2: the other way, but there's only two teams in the

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Speaker 2: league that have more drastic splits home and away. Number

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Speaker 2: two is Everton number one Nottingham Forest. They've actually been

190
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Speaker 2: an average team, with a positive goal differential and more

191
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Speaker 2: wins than losses at the City ground. It's been away

192
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Speaker 2: from home that they've really seen their aggregate, you know,

193
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Speaker 2: numbers fall off a cliff, and so Newcastle on the

194
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Speaker 2: opposite end of that spectrum hasn't been nearly as good

195
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Speaker 2: at home. They've been about an average team away from

196
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Speaker 2: home with with a lot of draws. You know, they've

197
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Speaker 2: been struggling to put teams away away from home. I

198
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Speaker 2: think that's a potential land mine here for them in

199
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Speaker 2: a in a tough road spot. But again, I want

200
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Speaker 2: the one to feel good about it. I still don't

201
00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:31,280
Speaker 2: trust this Forest defense nearly enough to back them. Just

202
00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,480
Speaker 2: at plus a half plus one, you know, fifteen ish,

203
00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:35,199
Speaker 2: I would want the you know, I'd even lay a

204
00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:36,800
Speaker 2: little bit of juice up to like minus one twenty

205
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Speaker 2: five thirty to get that goal, because we've seen Newcastle

206
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Speaker 2: has been grinding out a lot of close results lately.

207
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Speaker 5: Let's flip it to Saturday. Back to Saturday that everything

208
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Speaker 5: Chelsea game. As I said, it's one thirty. Let's go

209
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Speaker 5: morning kickoff. Villa minus one forty three, Getst Bourne Myths

210
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Speaker 5: four to one.

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Speaker 3: The draw is plus two eighty. I think Bournemuth is unbelievable.

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00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:57,920
Speaker 2: Slowly, I knew it was going to be a stupid

213
00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:02,360
Speaker 2: weekend when we had we all score instead of both

214
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Speaker 2: teams to score, and they scored in like the seventeenth

215
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Speaker 2: minute and.

216
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Speaker 1: I was Liverpool.

217
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Speaker 5: Someone on the podcast said, why would you go with

218
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Speaker 5: just you know, the team total over when you can

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Speaker 5: bet both teams score, because we knew Liverpool.

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Speaker 3: Was going to get on the board.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, we most saw had a penalty. It was a

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Speaker 2: horrible weekend of variance for me. And that was just

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Speaker 2: the kickoff seven thirty am, first match of the day watching.

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Speaker 1: I was watching on my iPad in bed and I

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Speaker 1: was just pomping, you know, and then yeah, Liverpool just

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Speaker 1: didn't score, and you watch, Anthony's going to be dead right.

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Speaker 1: We are recording this before they played Real Madrid, so

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Speaker 1: you know, I might be wrong about this. Liverpool will

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Speaker 1: scored like five goals against Real Madrid and then well,

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Speaker 1: yeah can.

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Speaker 2: If they do that, I think I'm going to catch

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Speaker 2: a sixteen to one ticket, so I will not be

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Speaker 2: too upset, but they probably have not. This will not

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Speaker 2: be out until after the match, so yeah, maybe I'll

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Speaker 2: look like an idiot again with Liverpool, but.

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Speaker 5: Born with I think is slowly becoming a team of

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Speaker 5: this podcast a little bit.

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Speaker 1: Nah, yeah, no, and.

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Speaker 3: I say the run is over.

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Speaker 2: I'm done with them now.

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Speaker 3: No, this is a great spot.

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Speaker 2: I don't see it.

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Speaker 3: What what does Villa?

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Speaker 5: What does Villa do that makes them all that much

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Speaker 5: different from for straight, I mean from Bournemouth right.

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Speaker 1: Now, Yeah, I mean so yeah, go ahead, Anthony.

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Speaker 2: These are the two worst defenses. These are These are

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Speaker 2: the two worst defenses in the Premier League since the

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Speaker 2: last eight matches. Yeah, yeah, so you know, the Villa

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Speaker 2: defense is really really struggled. I think now at home

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Speaker 2: where I actually think the Bournemouth and I agree with

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Speaker 2: Bjay that the Bournemouth team total has actually gotten too

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Speaker 2: juice now based on what I have it at, I

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Speaker 2: think the market is now recorrected again back to what

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Speaker 2: we think it should be. And you know, this is

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Speaker 2: a decent yet right spot for a Villa defense against

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Speaker 2: a really bad it's still a bad attack. I mean,

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Speaker 2: it's not a good attack. I'm not going to sit

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Speaker 2: here and like pretend that they're good now because they

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Speaker 2: scored a couple of goals.

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Speaker 3: No, they're not good. But that's been the question.

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Speaker 5: The question is should they be this long against, like

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Speaker 5: you said, the second worst defense since the World Cup?

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Speaker 1: And you can even you could I.

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Speaker 5: Think that some models have Everden kind of sandwich in

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Speaker 5: between them, but I think you throw them out because

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Speaker 5: of the improvement under Dytche. So it's really these two

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Speaker 5: and one team has nothing to play for. They're just

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Speaker 5: like the only team in the Premier League that's kind

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Speaker 5: of got nothing either to play to aspire to or

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Speaker 5: to to fend off in terms of relegation fight, and

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Speaker 5: the other team has everything to play for.

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Speaker 3: H Yeah, I mean I like the number four to one.

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Speaker 2: Uh, this is not their biggest win. They just had

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Speaker 2: their biggest win of the season too, though. That's the thing.

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Speaker 2: It's now they go on the road to Villa, So.

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Speaker 3: What do you think that they're gonna have like a

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Speaker 3: letdown spot in a relegation. I just don't.

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Speaker 2: I don't think that Bournemouth is better than Villa. I

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Speaker 2: think they're considerably still worse. Yeah, they are, Like the number.

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Speaker 2: The number has them right about where I would have it.

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Speaker 2: So I'm just like not that interested here.

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Speaker 3: I think it's this was the easiest.

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Speaker 2: Pass on the board for me, although I did the

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Speaker 2: first thing I did was like, okay, what's Bournemouth's you know,

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Speaker 2: team total numbers? And it wasn't quite good enough.

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Speaker 1: So it's mine one ninety. There's no minus one ninety

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Speaker 1: for Boman to score. I mean, here's the thing is,

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Speaker 1: like Bournemouth has created at least one expected goal. I mean,

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Speaker 1: depending by the model you look at at Liverpool it

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Speaker 1: was it was pretty close to one. I mean, we

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Speaker 1: were going on seven matches in a row now or

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Speaker 1: they've at least created one expectable And what they are

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Speaker 1: so good at, and you know it's something that we

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Speaker 1: were mulling and complaining about before the World Cup, is

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Speaker 1: they get these one or two just like really good

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Speaker 1: counter tacks, huge opportunities, and they're finishing them based on

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Speaker 1: what they create. So they're like they're getting they're not

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Speaker 1: necessarily getting lucky like they were in the before the

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Speaker 1: World Cup when they were putting four past Everton off

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Speaker 1: of you know, point eight expected goals. I agree with anything.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think this is a pretty easy pass.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you, Michael. There is some value on Bournemouth,

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Speaker 1: like I project aston Villette minus one fifteen. The one

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Speaker 1: thing about Villa is, and I've said this before, is

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Speaker 1: like where they struggle is when Miamori wants to play

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Speaker 1: out of the back, he wants to, you know, build

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Speaker 1: up against these teams that are not gonna you know,

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Speaker 1: control much possession against them, and they run into trup

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Speaker 1: When teams were able to press them for sidh turnovers

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Speaker 1: and get them going in transition. But Borma's not really

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Speaker 1: that team. They're basically sitting in a you know, some

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Speaker 1: version of a four five to one and then you know,

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Speaker 1: looking to get forward an attack from their own final third,

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Speaker 1: not in the opponent's final third. So I think this

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Speaker 1: is you know, a little value in Bournemouth, but also

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Speaker 1: just kind of a pretty easy pass and move on

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Speaker 1: to their matches.

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Speaker 5: We could talk about Brentford then coming off they're playing

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Speaker 5: in the midweek, we're recording before that, and then they

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Speaker 5: lost over the weekend. They go to some park to

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Speaker 5: the mighty mighty Toffees.

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Speaker 1: That was That was a Sean Dyche like wet dream

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Speaker 1: win right there.

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Speaker 3: That's beautiful stuff.

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Speaker 5: The only thing it was missing, The only thing it

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Speaker 5: was missing was like howling howling wins right there.

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Speaker 1: Maybe some maybe some maybe some rain.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 5: The weather, I mean the weather is bad. Just the

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Speaker 5: wind wasn't It wasn't as windy as he would have liked.

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Speaker 5: Brentford minus one ten hosting Leicester. Uh, the Foxes plus

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Speaker 5: two seventy five, the Drys plus two sixty. This looks

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Speaker 5: like at Brentford spot matchup the number wise Leicester's terrible anthony,

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Speaker 5: I'll be on the bes.

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Speaker 3: What about you, Yeah, I will be too.

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Speaker 2: I think this is kind of not that different from

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Speaker 2: what we just saw with Fulham. Lester, you know, doesn't

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Speaker 2: quite have the same level of progression coming. They're kind

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Speaker 2: of just we're sitting where Fulham should be and they're

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Speaker 2: kind of comparable to Fulham for me at this point

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Speaker 2: on true talent and like power rating perspective, and I

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Speaker 2: have Brentford closer to minus one thirty here. I am

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Speaker 2: surprised by this number. I think there are teams that

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Speaker 2: can cause problems for Brentford when Brentford is a favorite.

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Speaker 2: Fulham and Lester are like not those kind of teams

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Speaker 2: because they just play a style that leaves them open

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Speaker 2: at the back more so than like a traditional defensive

349
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Speaker 2: team who's going to let you have the ball and

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Speaker 2: darry to beat them with it. That's not really what

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Speaker 2: Fulham and Lester do. And so I think this kind

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Speaker 2: of profile similarly to that matchup, there is a rest advantage.

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Speaker 2: Brentford goes on the road to Southampton on Wednesday, before

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Speaker 2: you know, you will know the result of that either way.

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Speaker 2: I still think plus one hundred is short and I

356
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Speaker 2: will never hesitate to play again. And they can see

357
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Speaker 2: a ton of big scoring chances. They stink on set

358
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Speaker 2: pieces and Brentford, you know, creates the big chances and

359
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Speaker 2: wins this one at home where they're much better.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it does.

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Speaker 5: It does feel a lot like that that Fulham match

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Speaker 5: from a couple of weeks ago. And and you brought

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Speaker 5: up a good point about like how much styles matter

364
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Speaker 5: with teams. I think, like like Brentford, and we saw

365
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Speaker 5: it in that Everdon match that they they were I

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Speaker 5: don't think they were bad at all. Everdon gets that

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Speaker 5: early goal and then the two teams kind of played

368
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Speaker 5: out a to a coin flip from there. This this

369
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Speaker 5: Leicster team is like made for for Brentford, I think,

370
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Speaker 5: just made for them.

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Speaker 2: Brentford came out flat early. I thought they were pretty

372
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Speaker 2: bad the first twenty twenty five minutes and then they

373
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Speaker 2: kind of kicked in the gear and showed whether they

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Speaker 2: the better team. But they definitely were a little flat.

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Speaker 2: But I don't expect that to happen at home as

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Speaker 2: nearly as frequently, and so you know, it's a much

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Speaker 2: better spot.

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Speaker 5: And it's also it's just like a trickier thing to

379
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Speaker 5: match to kind of wade into when you're playing that

380
00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,480
Speaker 5: version of Everden versus a lesser city team that you

381
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Speaker 5: just can't trust them with that ball.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

383
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:06,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, he wants to have the ball and then likes

384
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Speaker 2: to give you the ball.

385
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Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly. VJ. What are your thoughts?

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Speaker 1: No, I think it's slam Doug Brentford's spot, and I

387
00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:16,120
Speaker 1: think the matchup sets up perfectly for him, because why

388
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Speaker 1: Brentford is so good against you know, the Big six

389
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Speaker 1: and team to like to hold a lot of possession

390
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:23,240
Speaker 1: is they can sit back and they can direct counter

391
00:17:23,320 --> 00:17:25,560
Speaker 1: you better than any really any better than any team

392
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Speaker 1: in the Premier League. And Lester is a very different

393
00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,040
Speaker 1: style of team in the bottom half of the table

394
00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,440
Speaker 1: where they're a top half team in the Premier League

395
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Speaker 1: in terms of average possession. But if you take their

396
00:17:34,119 --> 00:17:36,760
Speaker 1: average possession against non in Big six sides, it's actually

397
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Speaker 1: one of the highest in the Premier League outside of

398
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Speaker 1: I think Brighton. I mean, Brentford is just gonna probably

399
00:17:42,160 --> 00:17:43,880
Speaker 1: sit back in their three five to two and then

400
00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:45,840
Speaker 1: just direct counter attack them through the middle of the

401
00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,399
Speaker 1: pitch and just create chance after chance after chance and

402
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,119
Speaker 1: Anthony mentioned it. Brentford obviously one of the most efficient

403
00:17:51,160 --> 00:17:53,080
Speaker 1: step piece teams in the Premier League, and Lester is

404
00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:56,800
Speaker 1: one of the worst defending them, so Lester's thought welt faced.

405
00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:59,840
Speaker 1: They're without vest reguards, so they're thin defensively. I mean

406
00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:02,160
Speaker 1: this is a slam dunk Brentford spot here. I mean Brentford.

407
00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,840
Speaker 1: I mentioned it last week, but against the bottom half

408
00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:06,639
Speaker 1: of the table, and they still you know, created two

409
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,399
Speaker 1: expected goals against Everton. Against the bottom half of the table,

410
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,680
Speaker 1: they have a plus five point two expected goal differential

411
00:18:12,760 --> 00:18:15,240
Speaker 1: and in their last five matches they've created at least

412
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Speaker 1: two expected goals in four of them and nine point

413
00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,719
Speaker 1: three overall. So this is still a really, really good offense.

414
00:18:20,760 --> 00:18:23,639
Speaker 1: And obviously they are much better at the Brentford Community

415
00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:25,880
Speaker 1: Staium than they are away from home. So I think

416
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Speaker 1: this is a fantastic Brentford spot. I agree with you guys.

417
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Speaker 1: I have Brentford projected at minus one twenty, so Brentford

418
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Speaker 1: even money for me, does have some value.

419
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Speaker 4: Uh.

420
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Speaker 5: When the Spurs go march in it, marching south Coast,

421
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,880
Speaker 5: take on Southampton, Anthony, You're Spurs.

422
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:44,440
Speaker 3: Your beloved Spurs.

423
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:48,200
Speaker 5: Are minus one twenty five on the road, Southampton's plus

424
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:53,680
Speaker 5: three fifty at home, that draws plus two sixty. I've

425
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Speaker 5: got nothing here, you two. I think A're gonna end

426
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Speaker 5: up on the same side, Anthony, what do you think?

427
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not betting this match, but I do show

428
00:19:02,000 --> 00:19:05,280
Speaker 2: a little bit value on Saints at home. I think

429
00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:07,960
Speaker 2: the market has more respect for this team than I

430
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:09,879
Speaker 2: thought it was going to have, and it seems to

431
00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:15,080
Speaker 2: consistently have. But even in their good performances, even in

432
00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:18,520
Speaker 2: their good results, like it feels like they're teetering on

433
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:21,159
Speaker 2: the edge, but defensively, And this is the kind of

434
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Speaker 2: matchup we've talked about where Tottenham. If you're going to

435
00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:28,680
Speaker 2: press them and give them opportunities, I think Spurs could

436
00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:31,199
Speaker 2: exploit them in behind. They haven't been very good at

437
00:19:31,200 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 2: doing that all year. So I don't even know how

438
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,720
Speaker 2: true that narrative is anymore, like how that matchup necessarily

439
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:38,400
Speaker 2: benefits us, Like we have not been good in transition

440
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,800
Speaker 2: this season, but I just worry about a team like

441
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 2: Saints in this spot. The number is almost there for me,

442
00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,560
Speaker 2: it's close, and if it gets anywhere near you plus

443
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:51,000
Speaker 2: three quarters, I'm in on the Saints. But it's not

444
00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,520
Speaker 2: quite there. Tottenham did have a solid bounce back home

445
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:58,960
Speaker 2: performance against Forest, similar to Southampton a little bit, and

446
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,680
Speaker 2: that they are willing to come out and play more

447
00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,640
Speaker 2: than you know, your traditional lower table team. But this

448
00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,600
Speaker 2: is a stay away from me with a lean to

449
00:20:05,640 --> 00:20:07,000
Speaker 2: the Saints just based on my numbers.

450
00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:07,760
Speaker 3: JA.

451
00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:09,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I do like Southampton this matchup.

452
00:20:09,880 --> 00:20:10,159
Speaker 4: I mean we do.

453
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:12,239
Speaker 1: Obviously we're recording this before the Brentford match, so I'm

454
00:20:12,280 --> 00:20:13,840
Speaker 1: not really sure what happens there. I'll probably wait till

455
00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:16,119
Speaker 1: after the Brentford match happens to whether I'm going to

456
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 1: play that or not. But I mean this is more

457
00:20:18,760 --> 00:20:21,960
Speaker 1: of a question for Anthony, But what's the last performance

458
00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:25,280
Speaker 1: from Tottenham away from home that like convinced you like, yes,

459
00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,600
Speaker 1: that was a good performance because the last one, I mean,

460
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,040
Speaker 1: you know, the actually doesn't bear it out, but the

461
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 1: four all win against Crystal Palace. I mean even that win,

462
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:34,520
Speaker 1: they weren't good for the first fifty minutes of that

463
00:20:34,560 --> 00:20:35,920
Speaker 1: match and then Kane puts the ball in the back

464
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,200
Speaker 1: of the net and eventually they you know, went away

465
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:39,920
Speaker 1: from it. But if you look at it, I mean

466
00:20:40,320 --> 00:20:41,800
Speaker 1: the one to Ozer lost to Wolves, Yes, they won

467
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:43,959
Speaker 1: an xtally, but they barely created over one. They went

468
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 1: on the road to Milan and got pretty well dominated there.

469
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:49,440
Speaker 1: They went on, they went on the road to Lester,

470
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,320
Speaker 1: got beat four to one. They went to Fulham. You know,

471
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 1: they obviously got their early goal and they put in

472
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,879
Speaker 1: a great defensive performance after that, but actually buried it

473
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 1: out or it was basically even. So I don't know, Anthony,

474
00:20:59,359 --> 00:21:00,560
Speaker 1: I struggle.

475
00:21:00,640 --> 00:21:01,640
Speaker 2: I thought they played well on that map.

476
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:05,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, well, but then you have to ask yourself, all right,

477
00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:07,159
Speaker 1: am I really gonna lay minus one twenty five on

478
00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:10,040
Speaker 1: the road? But this team as we're going away. So

479
00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 1: that's where I think the value comes in here with

480
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 1: with Southampton obviously a team that has been due for

481
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:19,600
Speaker 1: positive aggression defensively for a really long time. And you

482
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 1: know they're set up obviously to high press and play

483
00:21:22,320 --> 00:21:24,560
Speaker 1: for neetic But I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if

484
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 1: they back off the press and they just get hand

485
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:28,520
Speaker 1: Todd on the ball and say, hey, let's try to

486
00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,239
Speaker 1: break us down her four to fourth two. Uh So

487
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:34,520
Speaker 1: you know, I like project Southampton around plus two fifty.

488
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,360
Speaker 1: So I'm trying showing a lot of tremendous value here

489
00:21:37,359 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 1: on Southampton and Todd is going to be a very

490
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:44,119
Speaker 1: a very weird team to handicap. Obviously, they're still, you know,

491
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:46,080
Speaker 1: right in the middle of a Top four battle and

492
00:21:46,080 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 1: they're still one of the favorites. Yeah, they're still one

493
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 1: of the favorites. You know, if you look by all

494
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,400
Speaker 1: the books, they're basically it's basically a three way tie

495
00:21:52,440 --> 00:21:56,000
Speaker 1: between them, Newcastle and Liverpool for that spot. So this

496
00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 1: match obviously means a ton to them. But you know,

497
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,160
Speaker 1: right before in anational break, Yeah, it's just a very

498
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:04,520
Speaker 1: weird spot with hold, what's what's going on with Conte?

499
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 1: Obviously he's probably not gonna be back next year, So

500
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,000
Speaker 1: just very weird stuff going on at Tottenham. So I

501
00:22:10,040 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 1: like Southampton on the road here at home, here at

502
00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 1: plus half a goal.

503
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:16,760
Speaker 2: All right, it goes to Everton after the break there.

504
00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:18,840
Speaker 5: You go, slam my side that time, and then they

505
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 5: host Brighton bear Pit uh two more to get to

506
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:25,159
Speaker 5: in the Premier League. Wolves and Leads. I feel like

507
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 5: Wolves and Leads play seven times already this season.

508
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 2: They haven't.

509
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,159
Speaker 3: It's just how I feel. It's like. So when I

510
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 3: say it's like, are these two teams playing again?

511
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 1: They played on these opening day extures of opening weekend. Yeah,

512
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:39,320
Speaker 1: have they? Did they play in the FA Cup?

513
00:22:39,920 --> 00:22:42,399
Speaker 3: No? No, it's just in my head. It's just one

514
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:43,639
Speaker 3: of those things kind of like.

515
00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 1: Oh they did they played in THEFO Cup.

516
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 3: There you go. Maybe that's what it is.

517
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,639
Speaker 5: Wolves is plus one twenty five at home leads plus

518
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:55,880
Speaker 5: two forty traveling to the mull and you the draw

519
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:59,880
Speaker 5: is plus two twenty. I mean every match when you're

520
00:22:59,880 --> 00:23:03,680
Speaker 5: in a relegation battle, it must win or huge.

521
00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:07,600
Speaker 3: I guess you can say this one feels really big

522
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:08,920
Speaker 3: for Wolves.

523
00:23:09,119 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 5: I mean it's big obviously for both sides, but I

524
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 5: think if Wolves can get three points here, you get

525
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 5: that separation needed to go into an international break with

526
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 5: perhaps like a six point gap between you and the

527
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,280
Speaker 5: drop zone depending on how other results shake out. So a

528
00:23:25,359 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 5: huge contest here for Wolverhampton it is a six pointer.

529
00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 3: I would lean towards leads. I don't think the numbers there.

530
00:23:31,800 --> 00:23:32,840
Speaker 3: I just don't trust this team.

531
00:23:32,880 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 5: But Anthony, you blindly bet them every week, So tell

532
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 5: us why you're on the Peacocks this time.

533
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:39,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's like the aw shit, here we go again, meme.

534
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: I actually think this is a pretty low event match

535
00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 2: given the defensive profile for Leads kind of pressing Wolves

536
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: and not conceding a ton. If you go back to

537
00:23:48,960 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: the first match, Wolves created less than one expect to

538
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,640
Speaker 2: go on that match, so did leads. Leads ultimately break

539
00:23:54,640 --> 00:23:57,359
Speaker 2: through late to win that turned two to one. I

540
00:23:57,359 --> 00:23:59,359
Speaker 2: think their biggest problem for Leeds has been I mean

541
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 2: we've talked about this is they can see too many

542
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:03,840
Speaker 2: big chances when they over commit or make a mistake,

543
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 2: but Wolves don't create any of those. Like that's the thing.

544
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 2: Wolves aren't really an attack that's going to punish you

545
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:10,920
Speaker 2: when you give the ball away high like Wolves are

546
00:24:11,600 --> 00:24:14,200
Speaker 2: not forcing any high turnovers to begin with their eighteenth

547
00:24:14,200 --> 00:24:16,840
Speaker 2: and high turnovers force. They're dead last in big scoring

548
00:24:16,880 --> 00:24:19,000
Speaker 2: chances created. They shoot a ton from outside the box

549
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 2: and I don't think that's great against this Leads team

550
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:23,280
Speaker 2: where you have to punish them with that, You're not

551
00:24:23,320 --> 00:24:26,000
Speaker 2: going to get a ton of shot volume against Leeds.

552
00:24:26,560 --> 00:24:28,679
Speaker 2: And so I have the better field tilt team, the

553
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 2: better expected threat, the better team overall. They're much much

554
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 2: much more trustworthy attack. And Harrison and Bamford both back

555
00:24:39,359 --> 00:24:42,840
Speaker 2: and playing I think is improvement for this forward line

556
00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:45,359
Speaker 2: that has struggled. They just went toe to toe with

557
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 2: Brighton and it was a very even game and I

558
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:49,920
Speaker 2: was impressed by them. They conceded over one and a

559
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 2: half expected goals, they produced it themselves, and I think

560
00:24:52,720 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 2: that they are a little better team here. So I'm

561
00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 2: going to take the quarter goal on the Peacocks in

562
00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:57,760
Speaker 2: this matchup.

563
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 1: One thing that was impressive in that match is obviously

564
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: Brighton loves to bait you into pressing and Leads didn't

565
00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:06,080
Speaker 1: do that. They just honestly sat in a very compact

566
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: defensive shape and they didn't buy into what Brighton wanted

567
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,520
Speaker 1: them to do. It wasn't the Jesse Marsha all let's

568
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:14,440
Speaker 1: just fly high and press and whatever happens and let

569
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 1: Brighton get in behind. No, it was actually a very

570
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:20,000
Speaker 1: good structured defensive performance. So if they can do something

571
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:22,680
Speaker 1: similar like that with Wolves, who obviously is one of

572
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:25,800
Speaker 1: the more dominant, like not dominant, but holds a ton

573
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:28,000
Speaker 1: of possession in their own half of the pitch. I mean,

574
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:29,760
Speaker 1: they have the second most touches in the Premier League

575
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: in their own defensive third. It's it's troublesome how Wolves

576
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 1: is actually gonna break them down. So I do agree

577
00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 1: with Anthony. I might I might end up on Anthony's

578
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 1: leads here by match time.

579
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:41,680
Speaker 5: How many times do you think you've bet leads this year?

580
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:43,160
Speaker 5: PJ two or three?

581
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,520
Speaker 1: Maybe probably early on in the season would be my guess.

582
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 1: I was actually maybe looking at over here, but I

583
00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: couldn't bring myself to do it. I don't think Wolves

584
00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: overs are back yet.

585
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:53,680
Speaker 2: It will be counted right now, and how many times

586
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:57,720
Speaker 2: I've bet leads this season? The nineteenth place team in

587
00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 2: the league. And we'll come back to it. While I

588
00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:01,840
Speaker 2: count you can talk about the next game.

589
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:05,240
Speaker 1: Real quick before we just gut reaction. Who I think

590
00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:07,159
Speaker 1: this is interesting? Who the three teams you guys think

591
00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,360
Speaker 1: are getting relegated right now? If you had to.

592
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:14,280
Speaker 5: Pick Bournemouth, Southampton, Leicster, yeah, I'd probably go Boorne with

593
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 5: Southampton Leicester.

594
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I have to go with those three

595
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 1: as well. You know what, I'll go get the table

596
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 1: really quick.

597
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,120
Speaker 2: Not Forest is far Yeah, I was gonna say, I'll go.

598
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:32,400
Speaker 1: I'll go Nottingham, Forest, h Southampton and Leicester. I think

599
00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:34,200
Speaker 1: our Cherries survive.

600
00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,399
Speaker 2: And then everything just go Based on just raw gold

601
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 2: raw gold differential forced to still the joint worst in

602
00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 2: the league with Bournemouth. Their x G numbers are not

603
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:45,400
Speaker 2: very good. They're sitting in fourteenth, but there two points

604
00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 2: of Borne.

605
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 1: Palace is another one to look out for.

606
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:49,720
Speaker 2: I don't see I don't see it with Palace. I

607
00:26:50,040 --> 00:26:53,320
Speaker 2: just think we talked about three points. We're about to

608
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 2: talk about Palace. Yeah, we can transition that into the

609
00:26:56,040 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 2: next game. Arsenal host Palace, big match for bj Yep,

610
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:03,879
Speaker 2: he likes Arsenal, I do. Why why do you like Arsenal?

611
00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:04,199
Speaker 6: Oh?

612
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,200
Speaker 1: I feel very similar about this one too. I felt

613
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 1: about the Arsenal and Fulham match where you know, Crystal

614
00:27:09,760 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 1: Palace has been this very similar defense to Fulham where

615
00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,440
Speaker 1: they played this low block and they're just not effective

616
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 1: in playing it whatsoever. And Arsenal, you know, that was

617
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,480
Speaker 1: a horrible spot for them going into Sunday, coming off,

618
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 1: coming off the match traveling to Portugal, having to play Sporting,

619
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:27,640
Speaker 1: coming back playing a Fulham team at home, and they

620
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 1: blitzed him right away, scored three goals in the first half.

621
00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,919
Speaker 1: Was a very very dominant performance. Now they're hosting Sporting

622
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,440
Speaker 1: on Thursday. Robberts recording that before this match arsen was

623
00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 1: probably gonna win that for nothing, and Arsenal has just

624
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:42,119
Speaker 1: been awesome against the bottom half the table, like Gabra

625
00:27:42,240 --> 00:27:44,440
Speaker 1: Jezus is coming back, so they're getting the best striker

626
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:48,439
Speaker 1: back Arsenal since or Arsenal against the bottom half the

627
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 1: table has a plus twelve point eight expected goal differential.

628
00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:53,679
Speaker 1: At home, they're at plus one point two three to

629
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:57,520
Speaker 1: expect a gold differential per ninety minutes. And Palace, I mean, yes,

630
00:27:57,560 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 1: they got Zaha back, but like they have no attackers

631
00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: outside of him. We're obviously recording this during the Palace

632
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: Brighton match, but before this, and you know, so whatever

633
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:09,920
Speaker 1: happens there happens. But before that match, I mean, Palace

634
00:28:09,920 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: had had a shot on target in three matches. They've

635
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 1: created under one expected goal combined in those three matches.

636
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 1: So it's it's I think a slam dunk Arsenal spot here.

637
00:28:18,359 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 1: They're still battling for the title. They're gonna take this

638
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 1: incredibly seriously. So I love Arsenal, especially getting Gabble his

639
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,399
Speaker 1: Zeus back to provide more attacking threat. I don't know

640
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,239
Speaker 1: how Palace is going to keep them out. Obviously, this

641
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 1: is the repeat of the opening match of the entire

642
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,199
Speaker 1: Premier League season, where We all loved Crystal Palace and

643
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,200
Speaker 1: we thought they were the best team in the Premier League,

644
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 1: and they've just completely fallen off and they're just not

645
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,680
Speaker 1: that anymore. They're a horrible offense. I don't see them

646
00:28:40,680 --> 00:28:44,560
Speaker 1: threatening Arsenal in transition. So I love my gunners minus

647
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 1: one and a half at minus one twenty.

648
00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 3: So here's the thing.

649
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 2: It is the eighth minute, as we sit here and

650
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 2: record this great podcasting. Palace has ended the streak. They

651
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:54,600
Speaker 2: have put a shot on target.

652
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 1: Oh I thought you could say the score.

653
00:28:57,160 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 2: They have not.

654
00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: They have had a heart attack because I was I'm

655
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:00,120
Speaker 1: on Brighton.

656
00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,760
Speaker 2: Put a shot on target and then they put another

657
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 2: shot just wide of the post at Bard.

658
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,720
Speaker 1: So their three target in four matches.

659
00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 2: My son up to one. Now I would bet for

660
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,280
Speaker 2: the teams to score here or nothing. I think Arsenal's

661
00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 2: attack should should have its way and and look, the

662
00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 2: system is very impressive and Jesus can make it back

663
00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 2: to Yeah, Jesus, you probably should have scored. Jesus definitely

664
00:29:24,880 --> 00:29:26,400
Speaker 2: improves the attack al though I don't know how many

665
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 2: minutes we'll get out of him in this match, but

666
00:29:28,320 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 2: I think, uh, you're you're getting the absolute floor on

667
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 2: the Palace attack. I mean, everybody's talking about the whole thing.

668
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 2: Everybody I know who fought a soccer has told me

669
00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 2: in the last three days that, hey, did you see

670
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:42,560
Speaker 2: that Palace have another shot on goal in the last

671
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,360
Speaker 2: four games? Like it's insane, it's terrible, don't get me wrong,

672
00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:46,959
Speaker 2: but the market has kind of gone a little far

673
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 2: here And let me talk about the Palace schedule because

674
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,960
Speaker 2: it is insane. They have now played. After today they'll

675
00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 2: have played Brighton, so after Wednesday they'll play Arsenal. They

676
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 2: will have played everybody in the league once and then

677
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 2: eleven teams Ushumi, nine teams a second time, twenty eight matches.

678
00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 3: Right.

679
00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:08,880
Speaker 2: Of the nine teams they've played, all of them rank

680
00:30:08,920 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 2: in the top eleven of my power ratings. They have

681
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 2: played City twice, Arsenal, Newcastle, Liverpool, Brighton, Brentford, West Ham Villa,

682
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:23,920
Speaker 2: who's eleventh, barely, and that's insane when you think about

683
00:30:24,040 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 2: the talent that they face. They've also have placed United

684
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 2: twice and Chelsea twice, so and Liverpool twice, so everybody

685
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:32,040
Speaker 2: in the league. That's good. They've played twice. They have

686
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: not played any of the dregs of the league a

687
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 2: second time yet, and I think it's kind of I

688
00:30:37,320 --> 00:30:38,600
Speaker 2: don't even know how to wait for this. We talked

689
00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:40,360
Speaker 2: about this in the first half of the season and

690
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: the attack did get better just production wise, because they

691
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 2: played worse teams the second half before the World Cup.

692
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,720
Speaker 2: So I think you're getting a little bit of a

693
00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,760
Speaker 2: small bargain on both teams to score here, you know,

694
00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: plus one twenty eight plus one thirty and I will

695
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,160
Speaker 2: probably end up playing that, but I do want to,

696
00:30:58,200 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 2: you know, get some more data on Brighton and see

697
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,160
Speaker 2: how that match plays out before I bet it. But yeah,

698
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 2: I think I'll be uh doing that.

699
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 5: I do think Arsenal wins though, Anthony Uh, you said

700
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:12,840
Speaker 5: on our last Premier League podcast, I believe that you

701
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 5: liked man City anything plus money to win the league.

702
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:21,760
Speaker 5: They're obviously not playing this weekend. Arsenal is Arsenal wins

703
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:25,000
Speaker 5: against Pallace is the odds and you and BJ and

704
00:31:25,040 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 5: I expect them to do. Do you think that's the

705
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 5: right time to kind of jump in the number showd

706
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:31,480
Speaker 5: lengthen a little bit.

707
00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't see them moving a ton.

708
00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:35,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, it'd be like plus five.

709
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, uh, it's still fine. I mean the

710
00:31:39,360 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 2: Arsenal tougher fixtures are coming after the break. They have

711
00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:46,680
Speaker 2: leads who will score in that match After.

712
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:50,960
Speaker 1: The break, I will lead off with Leeds.

713
00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:52,880
Speaker 2: Team total over dude. I mean, did you watch the

714
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 2: reverse fixture. Leads are gonna be plus one and a

715
00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:55,840
Speaker 2: half plus two.

716
00:31:56,440 --> 00:31:59,320
Speaker 1: That was the best manager of the right.

717
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:01,240
Speaker 2: Yes, of course I'll probably be on leads in that match.

718
00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 2: But I mean I think the tougher pictures are coming

719
00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,480
Speaker 2: for Arsenal and City of course. I mean City City.

720
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 2: I don't even know who they were supposed to play

721
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:09,960
Speaker 2: this weekend that it got to west Ham. Yeah, so

722
00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:10,520
Speaker 2: they would.

723
00:32:10,440 --> 00:32:13,120
Speaker 1: Break west Ham spot too. I was looking forward to,

724
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:14,600
Speaker 1: I guess I after bet Burnley now and then the

725
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 1: f A Cup against them.

726
00:32:15,960 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well Holland scored five on me when I had

727
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:21,200
Speaker 2: the under on on Tuesday, So I'm so, yeah, I

728
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 2: need a break from City and Unders. But I think,

729
00:32:23,760 --> 00:32:26,080
Speaker 2: I think, yeah, it's a you know, like if you

730
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 2: I'm not saying keep adding every week as Arsenal key's winning,

731
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 2: but you know it's a good time to place It's

732
00:32:31,280 --> 00:32:33,000
Speaker 2: good time to place a wager on the Citizens to

733
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 2: win the league. Still at plus money. Nothing's changed since

734
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:35,840
Speaker 2: last week.

735
00:32:35,880 --> 00:32:40,720
Speaker 5: Really, all right, let's let's talk about Bundesliga. We'll talk

736
00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:44,720
Speaker 5: about Leipzig. The one hundred to one tickets on Leipzig

737
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 5: to win the Champions League.

738
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:47,959
Speaker 1: I still think they can win, barely hanging on by

739
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:48,640
Speaker 1: a threat. Irons.

740
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: It just got to be really happy that I didn't

741
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: add that ticket.

742
00:32:51,840 --> 00:32:53,920
Speaker 1: To I still think they can win.

743
00:32:54,040 --> 00:32:54,840
Speaker 3: They could still do it.

744
00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:56,960
Speaker 5: They just need City to be kicked out for the

745
00:32:57,040 --> 00:33:00,200
Speaker 5: financial fair place that that's fine.

746
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:02,240
Speaker 3: Ones, all right?

747
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 5: Uh, what have you had to play on Leipsig? I

748
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,000
Speaker 5: forget which one it was. That was me, that was

749
00:33:07,000 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 5: BJ What you got I.

750
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 1: Got Leipzig again minus one on the road against Bochum. Uh,

751
00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 1: this is a great bounce back spot for them. I

752
00:33:15,320 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 1: mean Bokum. They listen. They did get a winning as

753
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,920
Speaker 1: Colone last Friday. I was on Cologne. They got a

754
00:33:19,960 --> 00:33:22,320
Speaker 1: penalty early on and they created point seven expected goals

755
00:33:22,320 --> 00:33:25,080
Speaker 1: from open play and Colone basically did nothing. So hats

756
00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:27,520
Speaker 1: off to Bochum. But Bochum, when they have to play

757
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:31,080
Speaker 1: against the top six in the Bundesliga, it's gone really

758
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:33,360
Speaker 1: really bad. Eight matches against the top six they have

759
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,920
Speaker 1: conceded twenty point four expected goals. In the reverse fixture

760
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: of this one, Leipzig won the match for nothing, created

761
00:33:40,160 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 1: three point nine expected goals. The outshot Bochum fifteen to

762
00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 1: two and box entries were twenty three to two. The

763
00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:49,360
Speaker 1: strange part about Bochum is they're actually a good pressing team.

764
00:33:49,600 --> 00:33:53,000
Speaker 1: Like they're second in the Bundesliga in passes per defensive action.

765
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:55,400
Speaker 1: They're eighth in high turnal overs now, but outside of

766
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 1: Bayern Munich RBI, Leipsig is the second best team in

767
00:33:58,160 --> 00:34:01,400
Speaker 1: Germany at playing through pressure, which happened the last time

768
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 1: they faced Bochum because Bochum tried to play a high line.

769
00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 1: They tried to press Sleipzig a bunch once Sleipzig got

770
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:09,040
Speaker 1: into their final third and they just absolutely picked him apart.

771
00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,759
Speaker 1: So I like Leipzig minus one at minus one seven

772
00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:14,520
Speaker 1: on the road in a great bounce back spot after

773
00:34:14,560 --> 00:34:17,400
Speaker 1: giving up seven at the f you had on Tuesday.

774
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 1: I think I have them projected their spread projected at

775
00:34:20,920 --> 00:34:23,680
Speaker 1: minus one point sixty four, So minus one at minus

776
00:34:23,719 --> 00:34:24,840
Speaker 1: one seven is good enough for me.

777
00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,120
Speaker 3: Anthony, your thoughts on on the Bundesliga, Yeah.

778
00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:29,640
Speaker 2: It's not a great prem Slave. But there's some really

779
00:34:29,719 --> 00:34:32,320
Speaker 2: juicy matches around the continent this weekend and I'm gonna

780
00:34:32,320 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 2: touch on most of them. Byern Leverkusen hosts Bayern Munich.

781
00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:40,799
Speaker 2: Byron rolled last weekend, as they tend to do. After

782
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:43,280
Speaker 2: conceding a first minute gold to Osburg had no problems.

783
00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:45,319
Speaker 2: This is a similar spot to me from a couple

784
00:34:45,360 --> 00:34:48,720
Speaker 2: of weeks ago. Wolfsburg was plus one at home against Byron.

785
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 2: They won the match, they didn't play particularly well. Leverkusen

786
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,720
Speaker 2: is trending up. The attack has taken a huge step

787
00:34:54,719 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 2: forward in the last month with the return of Florian Vertz,

788
00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,400
Speaker 2: who already has four assists and four point nine nineties

789
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,600
Speaker 2: in the Bundesliga and also has been excellent in the

790
00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:04,719
Speaker 2: Europa League. And I actually think Leverkusen, you know, we

791
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,719
Speaker 2: talked about them as a potential buy team. Uh you

792
00:35:07,760 --> 00:35:09,919
Speaker 2: know we I talked about them as a buye team

793
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:13,040
Speaker 2: coming in the season. That was stupid, pretty hard. They

794
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,480
Speaker 2: regrets pretty hard from last season. They've now hit the

795
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,560
Speaker 2: bottom of the market here and are starting to come

796
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:19,680
Speaker 2: back up. They still, in my power ratings, are the

797
00:35:19,719 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 2: fourth best team in Germany. They're sitting in ninth in

798
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:25,439
Speaker 2: the table catching a goal at home with verts back

799
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:28,640
Speaker 2: dB shick like, this is still a very good transitional team,

800
00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 2: and I think Byron's just a touchover valued. Again, I

801
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:33,839
Speaker 2: have this closer to about point six goals they should

802
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,320
Speaker 2: be favored by, So I'm going to take a fades,

803
00:35:36,480 --> 00:35:39,120
Speaker 2: fade them and take leverracuzin at home catching the goal.

804
00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:44,720
Speaker 5: La Liga time. Real Madrid is playing Liverpool on Wednesday.

805
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:47,319
Speaker 5: I think I would go against them either either way

806
00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,400
Speaker 5: here over the weekend, but anty, what do you have?

807
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,600
Speaker 2: I am taking the over two and a half goals,

808
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:55,520
Speaker 2: and I would also look to play Barcelona. I show

809
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:59,200
Speaker 2: value on both Barsa and the over look this Barcelona defense.

810
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:03,120
Speaker 2: It's like remarkable how well they've run this season. Billboo

811
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 2: hits two posts on Sunday and then I don't know

812
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 2: what happened. Still, I was actually in our office at

813
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,720
Speaker 2: the action with a friend. We were watching it, Charlie

814
00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:16,280
Speaker 2: de Serco, friend of the pod, and we were celebrating.

815
00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 2: We were like, oh, it's a goal. We catch both

816
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 2: teams to score. Billbo great finish and Naki Williams and

817
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:23,239
Speaker 2: I'm like, what could they have possibly varred? What could

818
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:25,319
Speaker 2: the possibly have been a handball. They had to go

819
00:36:25,400 --> 00:36:28,240
Speaker 2: back like ninety yards down the pitch and two players

820
00:36:28,320 --> 00:36:32,000
Speaker 2: jump simultaneously nicked off the guy's arm. And then an

821
00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:33,799
Speaker 2: hour later they scored and they had to vart off.

822
00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:37,520
Speaker 2: So Barcelona giving up over one expected goal to bill Bao.

823
00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 2: Just I think this plays out very differently from the

824
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,319
Speaker 2: Super Cup match. Barcelona didn't have Lewandowski for that match.

825
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:44,920
Speaker 2: They were very short handed in an attack. They had a

826
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,319
Speaker 2: very clear plan to sit deep and absorb and not

827
00:36:47,400 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 2: really come out at Real in the first leg. This

828
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 2: is different at Barsa in a league match. I expected

829
00:36:52,680 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 2: to be a little more open. The totals a little low,

830
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:58,600
Speaker 2: given Real Madrid has major defensive problems and Barsia's defense

831
00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 2: is just overvalued here. But I do think I have

832
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:04,080
Speaker 2: Barcia value on them. I think they should be minus money,

833
00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:07,440
Speaker 2: not plus one oh five, and I think that the

834
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,120
Speaker 2: over so I expect this to be a back and

835
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 2: forth kind of game and Real Madrid needs to win.

836
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:14,239
Speaker 2: They can't really just take the point. I mean they're

837
00:37:14,640 --> 00:37:16,359
Speaker 2: far enough behind now that they might as well go

838
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 2: for it.

839
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:17,560
Speaker 3: Yeah.

840
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,320
Speaker 5: I like Barcelona. I think they're fine. It's like a

841
00:37:20,320 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 5: parlay piece around Robert piece. Hey, Australian Football League is

842
00:37:23,520 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 5: back this weekend as well, starts Thursday night. If you

843
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:29,800
Speaker 5: want to throw them in a parlay with like Geelong

844
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,879
Speaker 5: and and Richmond, I think Barcelona is a good piece

845
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:36,080
Speaker 5: for that. BJ What are your thoughts here La Liga

846
00:37:36,160 --> 00:37:37,280
Speaker 5: anything on El Classico?

847
00:37:37,680 --> 00:37:40,319
Speaker 1: Well, if I have two thoughts before I get to

848
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:42,400
Speaker 1: any of the picks. First off, breaking news if you're

849
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:44,480
Speaker 1: listening to this team, I want to sit down. Brighton has

850
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,600
Speaker 1: scored against Crystal Palace. Okay, I know that's breaking news there,

851
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:51,080
Speaker 1: but listening to this podcast on Thursday next up that

852
00:37:51,280 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 1: our decision. That's what bright That's what Barcelona has been

853
00:37:53,880 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 1: paying for all the time with those payments to the

854
00:37:55,600 --> 00:37:58,839
Speaker 1: referees organization. Okay, Anthony, So you cannot complain about that.

855
00:37:58,920 --> 00:38:01,479
Speaker 1: You get what you pay for. Thirdly, I actually agree

856
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:03,800
Speaker 1: with Anthony. I do like the over in El Classico.

857
00:38:03,960 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 1: I project two point seven goals, so over two and

858
00:38:06,920 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 1: a half setting a plus money, I think it is

859
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 1: fantastic value. I agree with Anthony. If if Rial Madrid

860
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:13,920
Speaker 1: can't just sit deep encounter when they have to go

861
00:38:13,960 --> 00:38:15,680
Speaker 1: for it, it leaves a lot of open space for Barcelona

862
00:38:15,719 --> 00:38:17,799
Speaker 1: to get in behind them and it should play out.

863
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:19,840
Speaker 1: How all the matches really have played out throughout these

864
00:38:20,840 --> 00:38:22,840
Speaker 1: this year, with both Real Madrid at Barcelona which had

865
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 1: both all been pretty high event But my favorite pick

866
00:38:27,080 --> 00:38:31,239
Speaker 1: in La Liga is going to be Valencia plus one

867
00:38:31,320 --> 00:38:34,680
Speaker 1: on the road against Athletico. I know I'm betting against

868
00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,760
Speaker 1: my guy Diego Simioni, which you know, they got a late,

869
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: last gasp, last kick of the game winner against Jerona

870
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 1: on Monday. Our guy Alvo Maratta got the winner and

871
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:45,359
Speaker 1: good for you know, always good to see him put

872
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,160
Speaker 1: the ball in the back of the net. But I

873
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:50,239
Speaker 1: think Athletico is getting a little overvalid here because of

874
00:38:50,280 --> 00:38:53,560
Speaker 1: how underrated Valencia is. Like Valencia is in the relegation battle.

875
00:38:54,320 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 1: Gennaro Gatusso has been relieved of his duties after they're

876
00:38:57,040 --> 00:39:00,160
Speaker 1: one zero loss to Valdalide about a month ago, but

877
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 1: the performances as of late have improved. They lost two

878
00:39:03,640 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: one a home to bill Bao, but expected goals that

879
00:39:05,680 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: basically even. They beat Socia Dodd at home again expected

880
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 1: goals was about even. They lost one nothing to Barcelona

881
00:39:11,960 --> 00:39:14,800
Speaker 1: on the road, but they only allowed on one expected

882
00:39:14,800 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: goal from open play, and then this past weekend it

883
00:39:17,560 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 1: was their best performance since, you know, coming out of

884
00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:22,280
Speaker 1: the World Cup break where they beat Osona won nothing

885
00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:24,560
Speaker 1: and beat them on expected goles one point seven to

886
00:39:24,640 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 1: point three. And I mean this is a very underrated

887
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 1: defense with Valencia their tenth in La Vega and non

888
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:32,839
Speaker 1: penalty expected goals, but their top four in final third

889
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 1: entries allowed box entries allowed. They're the number one team

890
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:37,840
Speaker 1: in Spain in defending crosses, which is always big against

891
00:39:37,880 --> 00:39:40,480
Speaker 1: Diego Simbioni teams. The only worry here is they're bad

892
00:39:40,480 --> 00:39:42,640
Speaker 1: at defending set pieces, which could come back to bite them.

893
00:39:42,640 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 1: But they are a very good pressing team as well.

894
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:47,320
Speaker 1: Their fourth and pass per defense faction sixth and high turnover,

895
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:49,640
Speaker 1: so Athletico will not be able to just build out

896
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:51,759
Speaker 1: of the back and play through them. And Athletico listen,

897
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 1: they've been awesome offensively this season, but I mean defensively,

898
00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:57,600
Speaker 1: they're seventh in non penalty expected goals. I mean they're

899
00:39:57,600 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 1: allowing point nine to six, but that's up from about

900
00:39:59,560 --> 00:40:02,719
Speaker 1: point seven five last year, so the defense has gotten progressively.

901
00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:05,320
Speaker 1: Worth their tenth and big scoring chances allowed, and Valenci

902
00:40:05,440 --> 00:40:08,040
Speaker 1: is a top seven offense by basically any metric that

903
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,160
Speaker 1: you look at and have underperformed twenty six goals of

904
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 1: a thirty two expected So I only project that Lettiko

905
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 1: at minus one twenty four. So I like Valencia plus

906
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 1: one at minus one thirty.

907
00:40:17,680 --> 00:40:21,120
Speaker 5: All right on Tasiria on now BJ one of the

908
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 5: teams of the podcast m HM and you're.

909
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:25,320
Speaker 1: On one of the managers of the podcast.

910
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:27,399
Speaker 5: One of the managers of the podcast fan if Only

911
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 5: spurs held onto this guy.

912
00:40:29,280 --> 00:40:33,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean this is the most slam dunk spot

913
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,760
Speaker 1: of all time. Roma in the Rome derby against Lotzio.

914
00:40:37,160 --> 00:40:40,680
Speaker 1: I mean unless Lotzio like scores something from distance or

915
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:43,319
Speaker 1: lucks their way into a penalty. I don't know how

916
00:40:43,520 --> 00:40:45,560
Speaker 1: which they will, but like, I don't know how they

917
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 1: score against Roma. And I'm not gonna put too much

918
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:49,760
Speaker 1: dock into what Stu Swallow did to Roma this past weekend.

919
00:40:49,920 --> 00:40:51,960
Speaker 1: Great performance by a gam an underrated team that put

920
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 1: up a lot of you know, a lot of expected

921
00:40:53,480 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: goals and chances, which you know, credit to you, Anthony,

922
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:58,759
Speaker 1: good pick for that. But with that being said, I

923
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:01,359
Speaker 1: mean Loatzio. So what they want to do is they

924
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,280
Speaker 1: want to play through the middle of the pitch. Milikaitch

925
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 1: Savage is obviously a very good midfielder, and you know

926
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 1: all Luis Felipe is also very good getting the ball

927
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 1: through the middle of the pitch. But outside of that,

928
00:41:11,520 --> 00:41:14,160
Speaker 1: like they're dead last in Syria, and crosses completed in

929
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,640
Speaker 1: the penalty area they're ninth, and non penalty expected goals

930
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,000
Speaker 1: they're sixteenth, and shots per ninety So basically it's all

931
00:41:19,320 --> 00:41:22,720
Speaker 1: just built on creating these big scoring chances for Sierra Mobley,

932
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 1: who was injured for this match. So now you're going

933
00:41:26,360 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 1: to get to Roman defense that allows the fewest big

934
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:32,040
Speaker 1: scoring chances in Italy, that has the best final third

935
00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 1: to box entry conversion rate in all of Europe, is

936
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 1: allowing point eight three non penalty expected goals in a

937
00:41:38,560 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: neutral site match, and they're in Lazio. Is gonna have

938
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:45,320
Speaker 1: to start Philippe Anderson up top. That is a recipe

939
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,879
Speaker 1: for disaster. This line is sitting right at a pick

940
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 1: them and it's basically saying that these two teams are

941
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 1: absolutely neutral. That is absolutely not the case. Roma plus

942
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:57,879
Speaker 1: eighteen point eight expected goal differential LATSI O plus five

943
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,120
Speaker 1: point five, and I mean, listen, people will tell you that,

944
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:04,439
Speaker 1: oh well, Roma is coming off a Europa League match

945
00:42:04,520 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 1: on Thursday, traveling to Spain. Well, Lasio has got to

946
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:10,480
Speaker 1: go to the Netherlands for a Conference league match with

947
00:42:10,520 --> 00:42:13,960
Speaker 1: Al Kamar, who basically destroyed them in the previous meeting

948
00:42:14,440 --> 00:42:17,359
Speaker 1: in Rome. So I love Jose Marino here. I mean

949
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,160
Speaker 1: they have to battle for a top four spot like

950
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 1: they are falling behind it, and this is one of

951
00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 1: the matches that you need. You need to get all

952
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:24,759
Speaker 1: three points to overtake Lotzio, so we can cast some

953
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: Roma top four tickets. So I love Joserinho in the spot.

954
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:30,720
Speaker 1: I project them in this round and even money favorite

955
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:34,319
Speaker 1: on neutral field against Loatzio. So give me Roma all day,

956
00:42:34,719 --> 00:42:37,280
Speaker 1: all day, every single day of the year against Loatzio.

957
00:42:38,000 --> 00:42:38,480
Speaker 3: Anthony.

958
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:40,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll make it two for two. You know when

959
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,000
Speaker 2: I said, you know such a great slate around Europe,

960
00:42:42,040 --> 00:42:43,640
Speaker 2: I mean big match in Germany, a couple of big

961
00:42:43,680 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 2: matches in Italy Classico and Spain. One of the other

962
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,880
Speaker 2: big matches in Italy inter hosting Juventus, and I think

963
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,280
Speaker 2: the total is a little too low here Interer's defense,

964
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,239
Speaker 2: if you watched them in the two Champions League legs

965
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,680
Speaker 2: against Porto, they I still don't know how they kept

966
00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:01,560
Speaker 2: a clean sheet andre Nana has certainly improved. They're shot

967
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:03,960
Speaker 2: stopping compared to Hondanovich early in the season, which is

968
00:43:04,000 --> 00:43:05,799
Speaker 2: something we talked about early. We're like, why isn't your

969
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,839
Speaker 2: conceding so many goals? Okay, well they're conceding fewer goals now,

970
00:43:08,840 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 2: but the defensive numbers have shown some cracks. And Juventus

971
00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 2: with de Maria now fully inserted in the lineup and Kiezo,

972
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,600
Speaker 2: you know, in and out, they have had more attacking firepower.

973
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 2: We talked about this team and how they couldn't create

974
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,719
Speaker 2: any chances and it was just Vovich and really nothing else.

975
00:43:25,120 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 2: And even though Valhovich owned just as a show, he

976
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:30,799
Speaker 2: you know, has more help now and it makes this

977
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:34,160
Speaker 2: attack much better. And so you have seen ventus attacking

978
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 2: numbers take up, but the defense is still a luck

979
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:39,839
Speaker 2: box and Inter's attack is still very capable of taking

980
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:41,279
Speaker 2: advantage of that. So this over two and a half

981
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,720
Speaker 2: is at plus money. I'm betting the over here as well.

982
00:43:44,040 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 2: I know I'm betting a lot of overs this week, weird,

983
00:43:46,280 --> 00:43:48,480
Speaker 2: but I like the over in this match. I think

984
00:43:48,719 --> 00:43:52,759
Speaker 2: this total is just too low between these two Italian giants.

985
00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:55,160
Speaker 5: And legal Bja, you're the only one with the play

986
00:43:55,160 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 5: in France, and we're yeah, we're looking at the portion

987
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 5: of this, Yeah.

988
00:44:01,160 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 1: We're getting to the portion of every single season where

989
00:44:03,160 --> 00:44:05,799
Speaker 1: it's like, how much is PSG care anymore? But I

990
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 1: like PSG ran both teams to score at minus one forty.

991
00:44:09,239 --> 00:44:12,600
Speaker 1: The PSG defense has been pretty vulnerable this season in

992
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 1: League onun if you look at how they've fared against

993
00:44:15,000 --> 00:44:17,799
Speaker 1: some of the better offenses around France, and there are

994
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:21,920
Speaker 1: seven matches against Marseille, Lil Lenz and Monaco, which are

995
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:25,200
Speaker 1: essentially the top five offenses outside of PSG. PSG has

996
00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:28,360
Speaker 1: allowed twelve point eight expected goals in those seven matches

997
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,279
Speaker 1: and for the season, and PSG is allowing one point

998
00:44:30,360 --> 00:44:33,120
Speaker 1: zero eight non penally expected goals in France, Like that's

999
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:35,759
Speaker 1: fifth best in the league. That's not good whatsoever. And

1000
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:38,200
Speaker 1: it's somewhat of the same story that we talk about

1001
00:44:38,200 --> 00:44:40,600
Speaker 1: with them in the Champions League, where they're just not

1002
00:44:40,840 --> 00:44:43,000
Speaker 1: that great of a pressing team when your front line

1003
00:44:43,080 --> 00:44:46,160
Speaker 1: just will not provide much pressure. So they're you know,

1004
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:49,080
Speaker 1: they're fifth and passes per defensive action, they're eighth in

1005
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:51,720
Speaker 1: final third entries allowed, eighth, and progressive passes and dribbles

1006
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 1: like those aren't dominant numbers for the number one team

1007
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 1: in the league. You won't see those from teams like

1008
00:44:56,200 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 1: Barcelona or Napoli. And with that being said, I mean

1009
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,359
Speaker 1: PSG is still is going to be without Markinhos, They're

1010
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:05,919
Speaker 1: gonna be without Compembe for this match, So you're leaving

1011
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,160
Speaker 1: yourself very vulnerable at the back as well. And Ren

1012
00:45:08,200 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 1: has perfectly capable attackers to tack PSG in wide areas.

1013
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:13,480
Speaker 1: And Ren is a very good offense. I mean they're

1014
00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:15,320
Speaker 1: averaging one and a half expect goals for NINETI the

1015
00:45:15,320 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 1: second best team in France at playing through pressure. Their

1016
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,279
Speaker 1: top five in box entry, so that the top five

1017
00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,359
Speaker 1: most efficient set piece offense in France. Just a very

1018
00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 1: very well rounded offense who actually has run pretty cold

1019
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:29,720
Speaker 1: as of late. Last five matches, they've scored five goals

1020
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,360
Speaker 1: and have created eight point one expected So but you

1021
00:45:33,400 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 1: look at their defense, it hasn't I mean, it's the

1022
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:36,840
Speaker 1: seventh best in France. If you look at some of

1023
00:45:36,840 --> 00:45:39,320
Speaker 1: their previous matches, they just allowed two point six to Notce,

1024
00:45:39,320 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 1: they allowed one point six to Marseilles, so it's not

1025
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 1: really that good of a defense. So this is also

1026
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:45,359
Speaker 1: a revenge spot for PSG who lost on the road

1027
00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,000
Speaker 1: at Ren in a in a sleepy midwek spot. So

1028
00:45:48,520 --> 00:45:50,080
Speaker 1: I think they'll come out a little more motivated in

1029
00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:52,839
Speaker 1: this one. But again, their defense just really isn't that good.

1030
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:54,759
Speaker 1: So I think this is a good spot to back

1031
00:45:54,840 --> 00:45:57,759
Speaker 1: some both team to score now at minus one forty yes,

1032
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: oh yes, yes, I keep doing so. Are you so

1033
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:05,239
Speaker 1: addicted to both teams to score? No, I had to

1034
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,840
Speaker 1: say no, Yes, I love both teams to score.

1035
00:46:08,360 --> 00:46:10,719
Speaker 2: Yes, they've been a money they've been a money printer

1036
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:11,840
Speaker 2: for PSG in the league.

1037
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:12,439
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1038
00:46:12,600 --> 00:46:14,960
Speaker 2: PSG is conceded and scored in every match except for

1039
00:46:15,000 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 2: the Marseille one in like the last two.

1040
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: Months exactly Marseilles still a period like two expected goals

1041
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:19,399
Speaker 1: in that one.

1042
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 5: Yeah, okay, on two our three like underdog parlay. This

1043
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:26,239
Speaker 5: is an all Premier League one rarely.

1044
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:29,640
Speaker 2: Happily glad box should have won. Yeah, they had a

1045
00:46:29,640 --> 00:46:31,400
Speaker 2: penalty to take the lead, got one. No, in the

1046
00:46:31,400 --> 00:46:33,080
Speaker 2: second half, they were the better team the first hour,

1047
00:46:33,160 --> 00:46:36,919
Speaker 2: missed the penalty and then completely collapsed. Absolute train wreck

1048
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:37,880
Speaker 2: final thirty minutes.

1049
00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 5: That's okay, it's okay, We're going to get it back

1050
00:46:40,480 --> 00:46:42,000
Speaker 5: on this one, which is going to come out to

1051
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 5: one hundred and twenty to one, So you'll know there'll

1052
00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:47,239
Speaker 5: be some prices in here, and Anthony will start with you.

1053
00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:49,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gona go Leeds plus two fifty five on

1054
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 2: the road at Wolves. You know, I talked about this

1055
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:53,759
Speaker 2: in the actual pick segment when we talked about on

1056
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,479
Speaker 2: the show. I think they're a better field till team,

1057
00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:59,480
Speaker 2: They're a better expected threat team, and the biggest weakness

1058
00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:01,840
Speaker 2: for Leeds they've conceded a lot of big scoring chances

1059
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:04,360
Speaker 2: this season. Well, now they face an attack that faces

1060
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 2: that creates no high turnovers. They're third to last there

1061
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:10,800
Speaker 2: has the fewest big scoring chances created, the fewest shots

1062
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,880
Speaker 2: in the opposition penalty area, and the longest average shot distance.

1063
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:16,400
Speaker 2: This is the Leads defense that I think has its

1064
00:47:16,480 --> 00:47:19,960
Speaker 2: vulnerabilities for sure. We've seen that this season, but they

1065
00:47:19,960 --> 00:47:23,239
Speaker 2: will not be necessarily as exposed against an attack as

1066
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 2: anemic as Wolves and Leeds have gotten Bamford and Harrison back,

1067
00:47:27,160 --> 00:47:29,560
Speaker 2: so the attack has taken a step forward and we

1068
00:47:29,600 --> 00:47:31,719
Speaker 2: saw that against Brighton last weekend too as well.

1069
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:34,279
Speaker 5: Yeah, you're not going to keep me up this one

1070
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 5: at Everdon at seven to one on the road at

1071
00:47:36,920 --> 00:47:39,520
Speaker 5: Stanford Bridge. They just look like a different team under

1072
00:47:39,719 --> 00:47:42,279
Speaker 5: Sean Ditsch. I think that the numbers bear that out

1073
00:47:42,320 --> 00:47:45,359
Speaker 5: as well, ten point six expectacles for eleven point four

1074
00:47:45,840 --> 00:47:49,080
Speaker 5: against their goal differential, it does look ugly rape minus

1075
00:47:49,120 --> 00:47:52,160
Speaker 5: five and five goals score ten goals against in their

1076
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:54,680
Speaker 5: seven games under the scot But I think all of

1077
00:47:54,760 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 5: us would agree that the eye tests and the numbers

1078
00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 5: back up that they've been better than that. Now they're

1079
00:47:59,280 --> 00:48:02,240
Speaker 5: taking on a Chelsea team that it's still finding itself

1080
00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:04,560
Speaker 5: under Potter. I think we all agree that they should

1081
00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:06,799
Speaker 5: start trending up. But they're four to four and four

1082
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 5: since the World Cup, ten goals scored, nine against and

1083
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 5: very little to play for in this match.

1084
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 3: This should be a pretty physical match.

1085
00:48:16,200 --> 00:48:19,719
Speaker 5: Everton under Ditch, with their size and their kind of

1086
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:21,600
Speaker 5: just dogg in this, will try to turn this into

1087
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:23,359
Speaker 5: a rock fight. I think that they should be able

1088
00:48:23,360 --> 00:48:27,520
Speaker 5: to do it. They are now a pretty high floor team,

1089
00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:29,839
Speaker 5: which is not what they were eight for the last

1090
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,960
Speaker 5: eighteen months, So I like Ditsche. I like Everton to

1091
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:34,520
Speaker 5: be able to turn this one into a coin flip

1092
00:48:34,520 --> 00:48:37,000
Speaker 5: and provide some value at seven to one BJ what

1093
00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:37,719
Speaker 5: do you got.

1094
00:48:37,719 --> 00:48:41,600
Speaker 1: Southampton plus three forty at home against Tottenham. The performances

1095
00:48:41,600 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 1: for Tottenham away from home just really have not been impressive.

1096
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 1: Lost to Wolves, won nothing, only created one point two

1097
00:48:47,080 --> 00:48:49,680
Speaker 1: expected goals and Milan in the world in the Champions

1098
00:48:49,760 --> 00:48:52,640
Speaker 1: League con seeded in the seventh minute, proceeded to create

1099
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:54,239
Speaker 1: just half an expect goal for their man of the match.

1100
00:48:54,320 --> 00:48:56,920
Speaker 1: Lost four to one at Lester beat Fulham one nothing

1101
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:59,840
Speaker 1: despite creating less than one expected goal. So the performances

1102
00:48:59,880 --> 00:49:02,800
Speaker 1: for Tottenham have not gotten much better. So it's a

1103
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,719
Speaker 1: good slam spot here for Southampton, who is under a

1104
00:49:05,760 --> 00:49:07,959
Speaker 1: caretaker unders Reuben Salas for the rest of the season.

1105
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 1: He's been an assistant at Southampton for a really long

1106
00:49:10,160 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 1: time under Hassen Hudle, so he's going to play some

1107
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,279
Speaker 1: of the same principles which could lead in pressing more.

1108
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:17,520
Speaker 1: But he's also got a lot of familiary with this team,

1109
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:20,160
Speaker 1: so don't be surprised for Southampton to sit a little deeper,

1110
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 1: not press as much, allow Tottenham to have the ball

1111
00:49:22,520 --> 00:49:24,839
Speaker 1: and try to break them down where Spurs just haven't

1112
00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:27,080
Speaker 1: really been that good from open player, very reliant on

1113
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 1: set pieces, and also to Southampton defense that is due

1114
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 1: for positive aggression defensively, So I like Saints in a

1115
00:49:32,960 --> 00:49:34,520
Speaker 1: good spot here at home and project them at plus

1116
00:49:34,520 --> 00:49:37,320
Speaker 1: two fifty. So plus three forty is a good value

1117
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 1: for me.

1118
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,279
Speaker 5: Lead Southampton Everton like I said, one hundred and twenty

1119
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:45,520
Speaker 5: to one in all Premier League. Part lay onto our

1120
00:49:45,560 --> 00:49:48,440
Speaker 5: best bets in the Premier League this weekend. Like we've said,

1121
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,840
Speaker 5: international break coming after this one, so let's try to

1122
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 5: send everybody off on a high note.

1123
00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:54,759
Speaker 3: BJ what's your favorite bet?

1124
00:49:54,880 --> 00:49:58,040
Speaker 1: I like Brentford even money at home against Leicester this match.

1125
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,040
Speaker 1: That's a very very well for Brentford coming off that

1126
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:03,040
Speaker 1: loss at Everton where they created two expected goals. It's

1127
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,239
Speaker 1: actually the fourth time in their last five matches that

1128
00:50:05,239 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 1: they've created over to expected goals and total nine point

1129
00:50:08,640 --> 00:50:11,760
Speaker 1: three in those five matches. And how Brentford likes to play,

1130
00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,439
Speaker 1: is there not this possession based type team that really

1131
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:16,920
Speaker 1: breaks down low blocks. They're very like to sit back

1132
00:50:16,960 --> 00:50:19,200
Speaker 1: in a three to five to two and counter direct,

1133
00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:20,960
Speaker 1: counter right through the middle of the pitch. That plays

1134
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:23,720
Speaker 1: it really well against Lester who is a very possession

1135
00:50:23,800 --> 00:50:26,960
Speaker 1: dominant team against lower half sides. So I do not

1136
00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:30,200
Speaker 1: be surprised if Brentford lets Lester have the ball, lets

1137
00:50:30,239 --> 00:50:32,480
Speaker 1: them have possession and then just plays right through them.

1138
00:50:32,640 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 1: Where Lester is best is when they're playing teams that

1139
00:50:34,760 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 1: will press them high and where they can play through that,

1140
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,879
Speaker 1: because outside of the top six, they're the second best

1141
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:41,719
Speaker 1: team in the Premier League at playing through pressure. Well,

1142
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:43,759
Speaker 1: Brentford is near the bottom and passes per defensive action.

1143
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:45,880
Speaker 1: They're not going to provide much resistance for the Lester

1144
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:47,920
Speaker 1: getting into their final thirds. So Brentford's going to have

1145
00:50:48,160 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 1: a ton of chances getting in behind with those direct

1146
00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,400
Speaker 1: counter attacks up to m Bueimu and Tony. Plus, the

1147
00:50:54,440 --> 00:50:57,000
Speaker 1: Bees have been really, really good at the Brentford Community

1148
00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:59,040
Speaker 1: Staium dating back all the way to last season, So

1149
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:03,920
Speaker 1: I love these Plus one hundred at home against Leicester.

1150
00:51:04,560 --> 00:51:05,520
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Bournemouth.

1151
00:51:05,520 --> 00:51:07,800
Speaker 5: I'll take a shot on Bournemuth plus four hundred is

1152
00:51:07,840 --> 00:51:11,399
Speaker 5: my favorite bet. The numbers kind of tell a story here.

1153
00:51:11,680 --> 00:51:14,000
Speaker 5: Since the World Cup asen Villa is five wins, two

1154
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:17,720
Speaker 5: draws and four losses, but they're expected goals against twenty

1155
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 5: point nine expected goals for thirteen point eight. They are

1156
00:51:21,520 --> 00:51:25,239
Speaker 5: a defensive mess. Since the World Cup began or World

1157
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 5: Cup ended. Bournemouth their numbers two wins, two draws, seven losses. Ugly,

1158
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 5: they are coming off of a big win against Liverpool,

1159
00:51:33,520 --> 00:51:35,520
Speaker 5: but when you look at the underlying numbers, they're not

1160
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:38,200
Speaker 5: all that dissimilar from the team that they are playing

1161
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:43,000
Speaker 5: this weekend. Asen Villa twenty two expecta goles against nineteen

1162
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:46,160
Speaker 5: goals allowed Villa's at seventeen. They're playing crazy high event

1163
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:50,360
Speaker 5: games thirty four goals in the eleven matches since the

1164
00:51:50,360 --> 00:51:53,120
Speaker 5: World Cup for Villa. I think Bournemouth is able to

1165
00:51:53,520 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 5: turn this one into a closer match than the odds suggest,

1166
00:51:56,239 --> 00:51:59,520
Speaker 5: just based on Villa's defensive form alone. So give me

1167
00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:02,200
Speaker 5: the Cherries at four to one. Anthony take us home.

1168
00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:06,320
Speaker 2: Chelsea Everton over two and a half goals at plus

1169
00:52:06,360 --> 00:52:12,200
Speaker 2: one ten. Everton's attack has been much better since the

1170
00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 2: hiring of Sean Disch. They're up to about one point

1171
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 2: four expected goals per ninety and I think that's been

1172
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 2: a major step forward. The finishing just has not been

1173
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,040
Speaker 2: there for them. They have only scored five goals, but again,

1174
00:52:21,800 --> 00:52:23,600
Speaker 2: the goals will come if they continue to at this

1175
00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:26,920
Speaker 2: current process, so I expect a better attacking showing, but

1176
00:52:27,120 --> 00:52:29,759
Speaker 2: this is not a traditional dis Burnley defense. I mean

1177
00:52:29,760 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 2: they're conceding a ton of chances. Still, they've been the

1178
00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:34,279
Speaker 2: fourth worst defense since he got hired, so they haven't

1179
00:52:34,280 --> 00:52:36,759
Speaker 2: really taken much of a step forward there. They have

1180
00:52:36,800 --> 00:52:39,160
Speaker 2: a huge advantage in attacking set pieces against Chelsea, and

1181
00:52:39,239 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 2: Chelsea's attack continues to have more positive regression coming in

1182
00:52:42,239 --> 00:52:44,719
Speaker 2: the attack as well. So I project this just over

1183
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:46,359
Speaker 2: two and a half, and I'm happy to take two

1184
00:52:46,360 --> 00:52:47,520
Speaker 2: and a half at plus one ten.

1185
00:52:47,640 --> 00:52:51,120
Speaker 5: Over all, right, stay tuned for our chat with Eric Ganalda,

1186
00:52:51,239 --> 00:52:54,680
Speaker 5: where we'll talk some more soap opera stuff with the

1187
00:52:54,760 --> 00:52:57,920
Speaker 5: US men's national team, get his thoughts on the European

1188
00:52:58,000 --> 00:53:01,400
Speaker 5: soccer landscape as we had toured in international break and

1189
00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:04,400
Speaker 5: down the stretch, and maybe even talk a little ted Lasso.

1190
00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:08,840
Speaker 5: All right, we are pleased to be joined once again

1191
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:14,520
Speaker 5: by friend of the program, Eric Wanda. Eric will start

1192
00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:19,759
Speaker 5: with what's going on the latest chapter I guess in

1193
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:24,959
Speaker 5: the soap opera, the Geo Rena US men's national team

1194
00:53:24,960 --> 00:53:28,360
Speaker 5: soap opera. He is included in the squad for the

1195
00:53:28,880 --> 00:53:33,719
Speaker 5: upcoming Nations League games in Granada or against Granada and

1196
00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:36,440
Speaker 5: al Salvador. But I mean, I'll just turn it over

1197
00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:40,200
Speaker 5: to you. I guess my question is like, how does

1198
00:53:40,239 --> 00:53:44,840
Speaker 5: this thing end in a spot where it's not a

1199
00:53:45,000 --> 00:53:48,040
Speaker 5: detriment to this team as the games get more important,

1200
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,200
Speaker 5: you know, over the next few years.

1201
00:53:50,600 --> 00:53:53,200
Speaker 4: Well, I mean, obviously all the information coming out, all

1202
00:53:53,280 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 4: those text messages that we are now pretty too. It's

1203
00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:58,680
Speaker 4: a good thing I didn't see my text messages because

1204
00:53:59,200 --> 00:54:01,880
Speaker 4: I didn't need to be on that on that hitlist.

1205
00:54:02,000 --> 00:54:06,439
Speaker 4: But I think to answer your question, everyone is ready

1206
00:54:06,480 --> 00:54:12,600
Speaker 4: to move on. It is a scenario where and the investigation,

1207
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:16,759
Speaker 4: as silly and frivolous as it might sound that it was,

1208
00:54:17,640 --> 00:54:20,560
Speaker 4: it needed to happen just to get to put it

1209
00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 4: in the rear view mirror. I spoke to J. T.

1210
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:27,400
Speaker 4: Batson about this CEO of US Soccer, you know, and basically,

1211
00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:29,879
Speaker 4: you know, with with the with the changes that they're

1212
00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:33,200
Speaker 4: gonna make, the way there's going to restructure the federation,

1213
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 4: all of this stuff just kind of coincides with with

1214
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:40,480
Speaker 4: a transition away from running Stewart, away from the Brian

1215
00:54:40,560 --> 00:54:45,000
Speaker 4: McBride position. They're still in the search for a sporting director.

1216
00:54:45,840 --> 00:54:51,080
Speaker 4: This does allow as Greg Buralter essentially to be eligible, uh,

1217
00:54:51,600 --> 00:54:54,040
Speaker 4: to be a part of that list if you will.

1218
00:54:54,080 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 4: I do not think that that will happen. I think

1219
00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:59,360
Speaker 4: it too much has happened for for him to be

1220
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:04,279
Speaker 4: still a a viable candidate. But it's it's unfortunate. It's

1221
00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 4: just it's almost like it's like every U fourteen girls

1222
00:55:10,080 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 4: team in America, I mean, any coach it's ever been

1223
00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:15,560
Speaker 4: getting text messages from dad. It doesn't like the way

1224
00:55:15,640 --> 00:55:20,680
Speaker 4: the kids playing. It's it's kind of it's kind of crazy,

1225
00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:24,120
Speaker 4: but our system guys perpetuates this kind of behavior.

1226
00:55:24,200 --> 00:55:26,280
Speaker 5: I was gon say, it seems a very American problem,

1227
00:55:26,320 --> 00:55:29,280
Speaker 5: American soccer problem. It is I remember growing up playing

1228
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:31,399
Speaker 5: and like being like this is something that I dealt

1229
00:55:31,440 --> 00:55:32,960
Speaker 5: with like as a kid, as like an eleven year old,

1230
00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:34,640
Speaker 5: and my parents are complaining to me what's going on.

1231
00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:38,120
Speaker 4: But it's it's look think about it. All these parents

1232
00:55:38,120 --> 00:55:40,200
Speaker 4: out there and whoever's listening, and if you are a

1233
00:55:40,239 --> 00:55:43,279
Speaker 4: mom or a dad, you are not entitled to act

1234
00:55:43,360 --> 00:55:45,959
Speaker 4: like that just because you paid for it. And that's

1235
00:55:45,960 --> 00:55:49,560
Speaker 4: the problem. All these parents pay for a service and

1236
00:55:49,600 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 4: then they don't like the service. It's almost like they

1237
00:55:51,800 --> 00:55:54,000
Speaker 4: complain to the coach like he's the plumber, and then

1238
00:55:54,040 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 4: they didn't think it was a good job. They want

1239
00:55:55,640 --> 00:55:58,239
Speaker 4: their money back. It's it's it's a it's something that

1240
00:55:58,360 --> 00:56:02,120
Speaker 4: is created through our them, through our culture that this

1241
00:56:02,239 --> 00:56:06,160
Speaker 4: kind of behavior is at times acceptable, or at least

1242
00:56:06,600 --> 00:56:10,279
Speaker 4: so rampant that that it doesn't seem like when you're

1243
00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:12,799
Speaker 4: in the middle of it that you're doing anything wrong.

1244
00:56:12,920 --> 00:56:15,600
Speaker 4: So I think I think the rain is have you know,

1245
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:19,120
Speaker 4: and in retrospect they've looked at it and realize that

1246
00:56:19,120 --> 00:56:22,759
Speaker 4: their behavior was unacceptable and just dealing with the just

1247
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,799
Speaker 4: the disappointment of what the World Cup represented for Geo

1248
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:28,360
Speaker 4: just didn't get to play the way that they thought,

1249
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:31,160
Speaker 4: and essentially there was a lot writing on that, and

1250
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:35,800
Speaker 4: you had a lot of disappointment that ultimately turned into

1251
00:56:35,840 --> 00:56:40,160
Speaker 4: some misbehaving people, which which in my mind, you know,

1252
00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,800
Speaker 4: as people say, it's unforgivable for human beings. Man. We

1253
00:56:44,040 --> 00:56:46,799
Speaker 4: we we all deal with disappointment in different ways, and

1254
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:48,680
Speaker 4: I've seen a hell of a lot worse, just not

1255
00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:52,200
Speaker 4: at the highest highest level. But I think we're through it,

1256
00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:55,200
Speaker 4: and I think the part we have to to say is,

1257
00:56:56,160 --> 00:56:58,960
Speaker 4: you know, Geo is a fantastic soccer player. I can't

1258
00:56:59,000 --> 00:57:01,120
Speaker 4: imagine what he's going through some of the some of

1259
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:02,560
Speaker 4: the stuff that he has to put up with in

1260
00:57:02,600 --> 00:57:05,359
Speaker 4: social media and or what the crowds are yelling at him.

1261
00:57:05,440 --> 00:57:07,520
Speaker 4: I mean, the only thing I said a friend of

1262
00:57:07,560 --> 00:57:09,399
Speaker 4: mine the other day, I was like, I'd rather see

1263
00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:11,799
Speaker 4: him start so he doesn't have to deal with the

1264
00:57:11,840 --> 00:57:14,120
Speaker 4: warm up because when he warms up, can you imagine

1265
00:57:14,120 --> 00:57:17,160
Speaker 4: what those people are saying to him. So it's it's

1266
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:19,400
Speaker 4: great to see him back on the list. There's some

1267
00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 4: some other players that that that are on the current

1268
00:57:23,320 --> 00:57:26,480
Speaker 4: list that hopefully they'll get some minutes and the US

1269
00:57:26,520 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 4: can just just get a game, get it under our belt,

1270
00:57:29,120 --> 00:57:31,440
Speaker 4: get it over with. Let's see how he handles it.

1271
00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 4: I think he'll be okay though, but it's it was

1272
00:57:34,080 --> 00:57:35,840
Speaker 4: a rough week for US soccer. It was just a

1273
00:57:35,840 --> 00:57:39,080
Speaker 4: reminder of how crazy things got over the winter.

1274
00:57:39,560 --> 00:57:41,760
Speaker 2: Is there anyone specifically you're looking forward to seeing. I

1275
00:57:41,760 --> 00:57:43,960
Speaker 2: know that the level of competition is not necessarily high,

1276
00:57:44,000 --> 00:57:45,840
Speaker 2: but are there any players that got the call up

1277
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:48,320
Speaker 2: list which we just saw for the rosters that they're

1278
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:50,080
Speaker 2: going to play over this break? Is there anybody you're

1279
00:57:50,080 --> 00:57:51,919
Speaker 2: looking forward specifically to seeing besides Geo?

1280
00:57:52,320 --> 00:57:54,720
Speaker 4: Well, I think that this soul story of in Zindeos

1281
00:57:54,800 --> 00:57:57,520
Speaker 4: is pretty interesting, you know. I'm I think that that

1282
00:57:58,040 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 4: there was some speculation of which way he was going

1283
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:01,960
Speaker 4: to go. He didn't know really, you know, if that

1284
00:58:02,080 --> 00:58:05,640
Speaker 4: was going to be a situation where he ended up,

1285
00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:08,080
Speaker 4: you know, going the Mexican route, and but you know,

1286
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,240
Speaker 4: and you know that the controversy behind that. He came

1287
00:58:10,280 --> 00:58:12,560
Speaker 4: out for one game, he played fairly well, stayed out

1288
00:58:12,560 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 4: there for ninety wasn't going to play in the second

1289
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:17,120
Speaker 4: match against Colombia, went back to his club and immediately

1290
00:58:17,200 --> 00:58:20,400
Speaker 4: got hurt. So that ever helps relationships when you're when

1291
00:58:20,400 --> 00:58:24,360
Speaker 4: you're when you're trying to to foster you know, some

1292
00:58:24,400 --> 00:58:27,480
Speaker 4: cooperation there. So that was That's a guy that he

1293
00:58:27,520 --> 00:58:29,400
Speaker 4: brings a new element to all of this. He's just

1294
00:58:29,440 --> 00:58:32,080
Speaker 4: a different kind of player. I also want to see

1295
00:58:32,120 --> 00:58:34,160
Speaker 4: del DK. It's been a while, man, it's been a

1296
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 4: while since we've seen that monster up top, and I

1297
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:40,880
Speaker 4: like him. I think what we don't remember, or we

1298
00:58:40,920 --> 00:58:43,680
Speaker 4: should remember, is that he was hurt in a moment

1299
00:58:43,680 --> 00:58:46,720
Speaker 4: where he's being evaluated. It was the shoulder. I've had

1300
00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:50,520
Speaker 4: the shoulder injury before. It messes up your gate. You

1301
00:58:50,560 --> 00:58:52,800
Speaker 4: can't go into a tackle strong, you can't jump, you

1302
00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:56,120
Speaker 4: can't be yourself. So when when he had that injury,

1303
00:58:56,200 --> 00:58:59,160
Speaker 4: last go around it and maybe it didn't get a

1304
00:58:59,200 --> 00:59:01,320
Speaker 4: real look from from Burlt and that's why he didn't

1305
00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:03,520
Speaker 4: make the team. And then the injury the other injury

1306
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:05,480
Speaker 4: didn't help either. But yeah, I want to see Dka.

1307
00:59:05,760 --> 00:59:08,000
Speaker 4: I want to see if, if, if, if he can

1308
00:59:08,360 --> 00:59:10,680
Speaker 4: get on the end of something. Uh and and then

1309
00:59:10,760 --> 00:59:13,240
Speaker 4: score some goals. But it's a good it's a good lineup.

1310
00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 4: It's you know, I gotta I'm gonna be talking to

1311
00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:19,040
Speaker 4: Tim Reim tomorrow. I'm worried about him on that trip.

1312
00:59:19,040 --> 00:59:22,320
Speaker 4: Man thirty five years old, it's this long time to

1313
00:59:22,360 --> 00:59:24,200
Speaker 4: be on a plane and needs in such great form.

1314
00:59:24,240 --> 00:59:26,680
Speaker 4: But uh, I guess that will be Joe Scolly and

1315
00:59:26,720 --> 00:59:31,040
Speaker 4: I'm hoping, hoping, hoping, uh that Horvath gets he gets

1316
00:59:31,040 --> 00:59:32,560
Speaker 4: a game. I know this has got to be a

1317
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:35,360
Speaker 4: kind of a strange reunion for the goalkeepers, but uh,

1318
00:59:35,440 --> 00:59:39,520
Speaker 4: and we'll see Zach Turner tomorrow. But it's it's gonna

1319
00:59:39,520 --> 00:59:41,400
Speaker 4: be an interesting setup. I mean, I had the bigger

1320
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:44,880
Speaker 4: news guys, is this uh balagud and and is he coming?

1321
00:59:44,960 --> 00:59:46,640
Speaker 4: Is he going, are we gonna get him? What do

1322
00:59:46,680 --> 00:59:48,560
Speaker 4: we have to do to get him? Because that guy

1323
00:59:48,800 --> 00:59:52,800
Speaker 4: changes everything. The other part is I was on I

1324
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:55,440
Speaker 4: was on the horn earlier today with Christian politics Camp.

1325
00:59:55,960 --> 00:59:58,600
Speaker 4: I'll just call that he's excited to be back a

1326
00:59:58,640 --> 01:00:02,600
Speaker 4: part of this and to the timing isn't right though,

1327
01:00:02,640 --> 01:00:04,959
Speaker 4: I mean it sucks. Right. He finally gets back and fit,

1328
01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:06,760
Speaker 4: he's going to be able to contribute for Chelsea and

1329
01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:08,920
Speaker 4: immediately has to get on a plane and be a

1330
01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:11,480
Speaker 4: part of the national team, and those obligations can sometimes

1331
01:00:12,120 --> 01:00:15,240
Speaker 4: hurt you. I've lived that. There's nothing worse. It would

1332
01:00:15,240 --> 01:00:18,040
Speaker 4: be nothing worse if Christian Polisk gets a couple of

1333
01:00:18,080 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 4: minutes for Chelsea, goes home and then gets hurt again.

1334
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:23,880
Speaker 4: Oh my god. I just I'm crossing my fingers. That

1335
01:00:23,960 --> 01:00:25,600
Speaker 4: is not going to be the case. But this will

1336
01:00:25,640 --> 01:00:28,560
Speaker 4: be interesting. It's good to start national team back at

1337
01:00:28,560 --> 01:00:28,920
Speaker 4: it again.

1338
01:00:29,320 --> 01:00:32,000
Speaker 1: Let's transition a little bit. One of the more popular

1339
01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:34,680
Speaker 1: shows he's coming back for season four, I believe is

1340
01:00:34,920 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 1: Ted Lasso on Apple TV, which is you know, obviously

1341
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:41,400
Speaker 1: won a ton of awards as well. Have you seen

1342
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:42,920
Speaker 1: the show? Are you fan of it? What do you

1343
01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:46,080
Speaker 1: think the perception of it is around US soccer. Does

1344
01:00:46,120 --> 01:00:48,960
Speaker 1: it make us kind of look like dumb American idiots

1345
01:00:49,080 --> 01:00:50,920
Speaker 1: or do you think it has had a positive effect

1346
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 1: on a lot of Americans around European soccer.

1347
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:55,919
Speaker 4: It took me a long time to get talked into

1348
01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:58,840
Speaker 4: seeing it because I thought I had all those preconceived

1349
01:00:58,840 --> 01:01:00,520
Speaker 4: notions about this is just going to be a big

1350
01:01:00,600 --> 01:01:05,360
Speaker 4: joke and making fun of Americans, and and and the

1351
01:01:05,680 --> 01:01:10,240
Speaker 4: storyline the is great. It gives you kind of a

1352
01:01:11,280 --> 01:01:14,200
Speaker 4: pretty good look at at the possibilities of what are

1353
01:01:14,240 --> 01:01:15,840
Speaker 4: a locker room looks like. I think some of those

1354
01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:19,480
Speaker 4: storylines are funny. I have watched the show now. It

1355
01:01:19,560 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 4: took me a while to get there, but I'm looking

1356
01:01:21,840 --> 01:01:26,160
Speaker 4: forward to seeing the next version, the next you know, episodes,

1357
01:01:26,240 --> 01:01:29,439
Speaker 4: because I am still in that boat though. I think

1358
01:01:29,480 --> 01:01:33,800
Speaker 4: this is really giving a lot of people license to

1359
01:01:33,800 --> 01:01:36,920
Speaker 4: throw more rocks at Americans. I've spoken to some of

1360
01:01:36,920 --> 01:01:39,520
Speaker 4: my friends who are you know, in the coaching profession

1361
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:43,640
Speaker 4: here in the States and in other places, and it's it.

1362
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:47,400
Speaker 4: They don't appreciate it, and they feel it's not noted

1363
01:01:47,600 --> 01:01:49,800
Speaker 4: the perception and perception is always going to be a problem.

1364
01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:53,000
Speaker 4: But the fact that Jesse Marsh just got booted out

1365
01:01:53,000 --> 01:01:54,840
Speaker 4: of his job. It didn't work out for Bob Bradley

1366
01:01:54,840 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 4: and the EPL, and then this show comes out and

1367
01:01:57,640 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 4: everybody wants to and wants to kind of connect the two.

1368
01:02:01,160 --> 01:02:03,080
Speaker 4: The only thing that's good is that people don't know

1369
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:05,960
Speaker 4: is that Jesse Marsh is a huge fan of visors.

1370
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:08,959
Speaker 4: I just hope that none of those pictures come out

1371
01:02:09,080 --> 01:02:11,880
Speaker 4: where they actually show him in that damn white visor,

1372
01:02:11,960 --> 01:02:14,640
Speaker 4: because then all hell will break loose. But I'm gonna

1373
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:17,480
Speaker 4: watch it. I'm going to watch it. I don't appreciate

1374
01:02:17,520 --> 01:02:20,720
Speaker 4: all the stuff that comes out and the changing of

1375
01:02:20,760 --> 01:02:25,040
Speaker 4: the perception of an American mentality and just how he

1376
01:02:25,080 --> 01:02:26,960
Speaker 4: doesn't even know what I mean. Some of the funniest

1377
01:02:26,960 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 4: lines guys are like he goes.

1378
01:02:28,120 --> 01:02:30,960
Speaker 6: Wait, there's ties my job just got a lot easier.

1379
01:02:30,960 --> 01:02:33,640
Speaker 6: I mean, it's like, you know, stuff like that whinker

1380
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:38,680
Speaker 6: they call me winker. It's funny, but it's it's It

1381
01:02:38,880 --> 01:02:41,160
Speaker 6: just gives us, just people.

1382
01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:43,160
Speaker 4: The impression that we're very naive and we're not up

1383
01:02:43,160 --> 01:02:45,320
Speaker 4: to speed with the world's game.

1384
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:47,200
Speaker 2: Do you ever think that'll change? Like you think there

1385
01:02:47,280 --> 01:02:49,680
Speaker 2: always be that with with Europe? Because I feel like

1386
01:02:49,840 --> 01:02:53,520
Speaker 2: you know, it'll always be second fiddle here to other sports,

1387
01:02:53,920 --> 01:02:56,080
Speaker 2: and I think Europeans will look down on us because

1388
01:02:56,080 --> 01:02:58,080
Speaker 2: of that. Do you think that that has ever a

1389
01:02:58,080 --> 01:03:00,720
Speaker 2: real chance of changing or improving.

1390
01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:03,680
Speaker 4: The only chance we have of changing that narrative is winning.

1391
01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:06,440
Speaker 4: We have to win. That's it. I mean, it was

1392
01:03:06,440 --> 01:03:09,040
Speaker 4: always a famous comic coming out of ESPN that soccer

1393
01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:12,000
Speaker 4: is the sport of the future and always will be.

1394
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:15,040
Speaker 4: That was their quote, which was kind of a kind

1395
01:03:15,040 --> 01:03:16,960
Speaker 4: of a smack at us. Maybe let's face it. I mean,

1396
01:03:16,960 --> 01:03:19,000
Speaker 4: the English are always going to be a bit pompous.

1397
01:03:19,160 --> 01:03:22,440
Speaker 4: I mean they still think that the World Cup's coming home.

1398
01:03:22,600 --> 01:03:25,200
Speaker 4: What do you mean it's coming home? It was never

1399
01:03:25,240 --> 01:03:27,960
Speaker 4: there in the first place. So just relax. It's it's

1400
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:30,360
Speaker 4: one of those. Uh, it's it's it's one of those

1401
01:03:30,840 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 4: again when we're dealing with with our mentality and our culture. Uh.

1402
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:39,080
Speaker 4: And then the I guess the eurosnob you know component

1403
01:03:39,120 --> 01:03:40,960
Speaker 4: of We've been doing this a lot longer and we

1404
01:03:41,000 --> 01:03:42,680
Speaker 4: know a hell a lot more than you do. You're

1405
01:03:42,720 --> 01:03:45,160
Speaker 4: the new Uh, you're the new people at the party.

1406
01:03:45,560 --> 01:03:47,560
Speaker 4: Just know your place. The only way we're going to

1407
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:49,680
Speaker 4: ever get there is to really piss him off and

1408
01:03:49,720 --> 01:03:52,120
Speaker 4: win the World Cup. That's that's the only thing that's

1409
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:53,280
Speaker 4: that's ever going to shut him up.

1410
01:03:53,560 --> 01:03:57,040
Speaker 2: You mentioned Baligan, you mentioned Baligan uh and and you

1411
01:03:57,040 --> 01:04:00,720
Speaker 2: know recruiting him. He's been linked with, you know, potential moves.

1412
01:04:00,720 --> 01:04:02,280
Speaker 2: Now do you see that there's a future for him

1413
01:04:02,280 --> 01:04:05,240
Speaker 2: at Arsenal ac Milan or rumored to be interested, Like

1414
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:07,720
Speaker 2: are you seeing him moving on? You know, and what's

1415
01:04:07,760 --> 01:04:11,640
Speaker 2: the next step for him club wise? Whereas you know,

1416
01:04:12,000 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 2: as we're recruiting him to hopefully play for US national international.

1417
01:04:15,520 --> 01:04:17,440
Speaker 4: To be honest with I don't care where he goes,

1418
01:04:17,840 --> 01:04:19,880
Speaker 4: you know. And there's there's been a lot of a

1419
01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:23,640
Speaker 4: lot of names that have have been rumored. We've seen

1420
01:04:23,680 --> 01:04:25,600
Speaker 4: that this is is that time of year everybody's kind

1421
01:04:25,640 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 4: of you know, jockeying positioning for a way to see

1422
01:04:27,880 --> 01:04:30,480
Speaker 4: where those Champions League places are. That's what he's going

1423
01:04:30,560 --> 01:04:32,920
Speaker 4: to say. I deserve a chance a Champions League football.

1424
01:04:33,280 --> 01:04:35,160
Speaker 4: So we won't really know our real number until a

1425
01:04:35,240 --> 01:04:38,120
Speaker 4: real list until the end of the season, and we

1426
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:41,680
Speaker 4: know where the where the cards fell with him, But

1427
01:04:41,760 --> 01:04:43,560
Speaker 4: he's worthy of a big club and it's a great

1428
01:04:43,640 --> 01:04:46,760
Speaker 4: year he's having. It's a phenomenal year. I honestly don't

1429
01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:48,160
Speaker 4: care where he goes. I know he's going to want

1430
01:04:48,200 --> 01:04:51,320
Speaker 4: to go somewhere big. I hope he continues to score goals.

1431
01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:53,400
Speaker 4: I just care about him wearing red, white and blue

1432
01:04:53,440 --> 01:04:56,280
Speaker 4: when we get to twenty twenty six or twenty twenty five.

1433
01:04:56,360 --> 01:04:58,160
Speaker 4: To be honest, we needed a little bit sier than that.

1434
01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:00,880
Speaker 4: And I've said this public. They got to throw the

1435
01:05:00,920 --> 01:05:02,720
Speaker 4: kitchen Saint Anam. They got to figure out a way

1436
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:04,600
Speaker 4: to make him a very rich man. And it doesn't

1437
01:05:04,640 --> 01:05:08,920
Speaker 4: necessarily mean that he's going to make money playing for

1438
01:05:08,960 --> 01:05:10,880
Speaker 4: the US national team, but we have to introduce him

1439
01:05:10,920 --> 01:05:13,560
Speaker 4: to some of our sponsors and we need to make

1440
01:05:13,600 --> 01:05:16,280
Speaker 4: some commercials. That's the way the world works. Man. You

1441
01:05:16,320 --> 01:05:18,000
Speaker 4: look at Aaron Rodgers, I mean they got much money

1442
01:05:18,040 --> 01:05:21,000
Speaker 4: that guy's made. It was State Farm and what I

1443
01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:24,040
Speaker 4: look at, look at Patrick Mahomes, I mean, it's the

1444
01:05:24,080 --> 01:05:26,120
Speaker 4: way we do things in America. I don't know how

1445
01:05:26,360 --> 01:05:28,400
Speaker 4: how up to Speedy is with all that stuff, but

1446
01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:32,520
Speaker 4: I wouldn't be surprised if if the Federation starts to

1447
01:05:32,520 --> 01:05:34,560
Speaker 4: figure out how to get with his agent and make

1448
01:05:34,640 --> 01:05:37,240
Speaker 4: him a very rich man and make it very clear

1449
01:05:37,720 --> 01:05:41,400
Speaker 4: that this money doesn't happen unless you are an American.

1450
01:05:42,040 --> 01:05:46,880
Speaker 5: All right, finally we will throw you into the fire bit.

1451
01:05:46,960 --> 01:05:51,960
Speaker 5: What is your favorite underdog in the European soccer schedule?

1452
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:55,439
Speaker 4: It's such a bad I mean, it's crazy, right.

1453
01:05:56,760 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 3: The Premier League slate is not great.

1454
01:05:58,800 --> 01:06:01,920
Speaker 4: It's not the only one that would would jump out

1455
01:06:02,240 --> 01:06:06,560
Speaker 4: and you'll love this is Everton. Can Everton beat Chelsea?

1456
01:06:07,680 --> 01:06:08,120
Speaker 3: They can't.

1457
01:06:09,000 --> 01:06:11,480
Speaker 4: I think they can. I mean, I mean, it's just

1458
01:06:11,560 --> 01:06:14,400
Speaker 4: it's gonna be ugly. It's gonna be and we're gonna

1459
01:06:14,400 --> 01:06:17,360
Speaker 4: beat you up and we don't care. But the reality

1460
01:06:17,400 --> 01:06:20,000
Speaker 4: of of the way he likes to play is problematic

1461
01:06:20,080 --> 01:06:22,680
Speaker 4: for Chelsea. And and there's not a lot of guys

1462
01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:25,160
Speaker 4: that are in clean form, so.

1463
01:06:25,160 --> 01:06:26,160
Speaker 2: I might go that route.

1464
01:06:26,160 --> 01:06:31,200
Speaker 4: I did look at I know that Southampton is a mess,

1465
01:06:31,360 --> 01:06:33,520
Speaker 4: uh and Todd them looks like they've had a balance,

1466
01:06:33,560 --> 01:06:35,160
Speaker 4: but that was something I also looked at.

1467
01:06:36,720 --> 01:06:37,280
Speaker 1: Great pick.

1468
01:06:38,000 --> 01:06:40,200
Speaker 3: So so you're two for two for two so far

1469
01:06:40,320 --> 01:06:43,840
Speaker 3: on our I gave out. I gave out Everton seven

1470
01:06:43,840 --> 01:06:44,160
Speaker 3: to one.

1471
01:06:44,720 --> 01:06:45,160
Speaker 5: You think.

1472
01:06:46,960 --> 01:06:49,320
Speaker 4: I would take that? I think the other the other

1473
01:06:49,400 --> 01:06:55,000
Speaker 4: messy game is obviously Wolves leads. That's that's tricky because uh,

1474
01:06:55,120 --> 01:06:57,640
Speaker 4: Leeds is in big trouble and and Wolves is actually

1475
01:06:57,640 --> 01:06:59,640
Speaker 4: starting to figure it out. They don't look like the

1476
01:06:59,680 --> 01:07:03,080
Speaker 4: same that they were a couple of months ago. I

1477
01:07:03,200 --> 01:07:05,400
Speaker 4: like that when I think, I think there's a couple

1478
01:07:05,400 --> 01:07:08,360
Speaker 4: of messy games in the Bundesliga too. You got hoffenheimen Head,

1479
01:07:08,640 --> 01:07:11,520
Speaker 4: which is just an absolute swing fast. It's like the

1480
01:07:12,040 --> 01:07:13,800
Speaker 4: It's like if you go to a big fight, you

1481
01:07:13,840 --> 01:07:16,880
Speaker 4: know there's like there's four fights before the main event.

1482
01:07:17,440 --> 01:07:19,120
Speaker 4: This is what that's going to feel like. It's just

1483
01:07:19,120 --> 01:07:22,000
Speaker 4: two people just smashing that kind of out of each

1484
01:07:22,040 --> 01:07:26,080
Speaker 4: other's face and it's gonna get nasty. We have to

1485
01:07:26,080 --> 01:07:29,840
Speaker 4: see how Frankfurt comes out of out of this fixture.

1486
01:07:29,880 --> 01:07:31,720
Speaker 4: But that the only one that I would throw out

1487
01:07:31,720 --> 01:07:35,080
Speaker 4: there guys that that might have relevance and people might

1488
01:07:35,120 --> 01:07:38,760
Speaker 4: call me crazy. Is I'm liking later Cruisin right now.

1489
01:07:39,200 --> 01:07:40,720
Speaker 4: I'm liking them a lot. And I know we beat

1490
01:07:40,800 --> 01:07:43,800
Speaker 4: up on Byron last time with Gladbock and Gladbach couldn't

1491
01:07:43,800 --> 01:07:46,360
Speaker 4: figured it out after they figured it out, But don't

1492
01:07:46,360 --> 01:07:49,960
Speaker 4: be surprised if that that's a high scoring tie. That's

1493
01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,200
Speaker 4: the way I'll categorize that one. I'm not saying that

1494
01:07:52,680 --> 01:07:57,560
Speaker 4: lever Cousin can beat Byron, but that's a trough trip.

1495
01:07:58,120 --> 01:08:00,880
Speaker 4: You know when people that have and the Bundesliga and

1496
01:08:00,960 --> 01:08:03,080
Speaker 4: know what it's like to go to Labratuzin. It's a

1497
01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:05,840
Speaker 4: quaint little place. It's got a big gray cloud over it,

1498
01:08:05,880 --> 01:08:09,240
Speaker 4: and the food sucks, but you're you got to get

1499
01:08:09,240 --> 01:08:11,000
Speaker 4: in and get out. And if Byron is in the

1500
01:08:11,000 --> 01:08:14,160
Speaker 4: wrong mood, that could go sideways. I see them losing

1501
01:08:14,200 --> 01:08:16,600
Speaker 4: a point there. But outside of that, I mean the

1502
01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,720
Speaker 4: minds Freiburg isn't isn't too sexy And then of course

1503
01:08:19,760 --> 01:08:25,400
Speaker 4: Bolholm's got lipstake after they just got absolutely destroyed. Some

1504
01:08:25,439 --> 01:08:28,880
Speaker 4: people might think, Okay, that's good for Bulholm. I actually

1505
01:08:28,920 --> 01:08:31,600
Speaker 4: don't think it's very good for Bolcholm at all. I

1506
01:08:31,640 --> 01:08:36,920
Speaker 4: think that's actually a bad omen because you know, watching

1507
01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:41,080
Speaker 4: them just get get get railroaded by Holland was was

1508
01:08:41,160 --> 01:08:45,040
Speaker 4: something else. It's probably one of the craziest performances I've

1509
01:08:45,080 --> 01:08:46,920
Speaker 4: ever seen here of it, and Pep's been a part

1510
01:08:46,960 --> 01:08:48,720
Speaker 4: of both of them. The two that I would I

1511
01:08:48,760 --> 01:08:51,240
Speaker 4: would equate to that with the five goals Lewandowski in

1512
01:08:51,320 --> 01:08:54,679
Speaker 4: nine minutes and now this and taking him out after

1513
01:08:54,840 --> 01:08:57,080
Speaker 4: after sixteen minutes. I don't know if you heard his comments,

1514
01:08:57,479 --> 01:09:01,960
Speaker 4: but Holland was all about wasn't thinking at all? I wasn't.

1515
01:09:01,720 --> 01:09:03,360
Speaker 4: I don't even know what I was thinking. I just

1516
01:09:03,439 --> 01:09:05,240
Speaker 4: I just kept finding myself in front of the goal

1517
01:09:05,280 --> 01:09:07,000
Speaker 4: and it was just beat the guy in the long

1518
01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:09,200
Speaker 4: sleeve shirt. I mean, that's that's that was his mentality.

1519
01:09:09,320 --> 01:09:11,680
Speaker 4: They've obviously got the the f A Cup, as does

1520
01:09:11,720 --> 01:09:15,519
Speaker 4: Manchester United. But and that's an interesting one with with

1521
01:09:15,600 --> 01:09:17,519
Speaker 4: Burnley and man City in the.

1522
01:09:17,560 --> 01:09:18,960
Speaker 2: FA Cup company.

1523
01:09:18,960 --> 01:09:21,599
Speaker 4: You know, it's it's it's it's they played before too, right,

1524
01:09:21,680 --> 01:09:23,519
Speaker 4: and it's it's one of those deals where I just

1525
01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:26,559
Speaker 4: don't think Burnley's got enough. I mean, as much of

1526
01:09:26,840 --> 01:09:29,200
Speaker 4: eventsive company has become one hell of a manager and

1527
01:09:29,280 --> 01:09:32,520
Speaker 4: what he is doing in the championship is is almost unprecedented.

1528
01:09:32,520 --> 01:09:35,200
Speaker 4: But he's not gonna have enough to beat He's not

1529
01:09:35,200 --> 01:09:37,000
Speaker 4: gonna be have enough to beat City. So there really

1530
01:09:37,080 --> 01:09:38,680
Speaker 4: is a whole lot on the bone, is there. I mean,

1531
01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:40,439
Speaker 4: I think they have the first couple out of the

1532
01:09:40,439 --> 01:09:42,040
Speaker 4: out of the gate sound good to me. I'd love

1533
01:09:42,080 --> 01:09:47,040
Speaker 4: to see Southam to do some cool, but it's it's, uh,

1534
01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:50,919
Speaker 4: what did sir Alex call this. Uh is this a

1535
01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:52,720
Speaker 4: twitchy bum time? Wherever the hell it was?

1536
01:09:52,760 --> 01:09:55,639
Speaker 5: I mean, this is weak, squeaky bumquakey bom, not twitchy.

1537
01:09:55,640 --> 01:09:58,760
Speaker 4: Well maybe it's twitchy. I don't know, it's something. It's

1538
01:09:58,800 --> 01:10:00,439
Speaker 4: it's that time of year where you know you can

1539
01:10:00,479 --> 01:10:04,400
Speaker 4: see the teams that are for fighting relegation will literally

1540
01:10:04,479 --> 01:10:07,160
Speaker 4: fight all the way. But I'm rooting for your Everton.

1541
01:10:07,200 --> 01:10:11,160
Speaker 5: I'm hoping that happens, aren't we all team of the podcast?

1542
01:10:12,000 --> 01:10:15,639
Speaker 5: All right, great, that wraps up another episode of Wonder Goal.

1543
01:10:15,680 --> 01:10:18,040
Speaker 5: Thank you to Eric Guinalda, Thank you Anthony Dbundo, thank

1544
01:10:18,040 --> 01:10:20,320
Speaker 5: you to BJ Cunningham, and thank you to our sponsor's

1545
01:10:20,320 --> 01:10:20,960
Speaker 5: bet three six'.

1546
01:10:21,040 --> 01:10:23,920
Speaker 3: Five we will see you guys again in a.

1547
01:10:24,120 --> 01:10:28,320
Speaker 5: Fortnight enjoy the football this, weekend enjoy the footy back

1548
01:10:28,360 --> 01:10:32,000
Speaker 5: In australia this, weekend and enjoy the international Break.

1549
01:10:39,400 --> 01:10:43,920
Speaker 2: Action network reminds you please gamble. Responsibly if you or

1550
01:10:43,920 --> 01:10:46,720
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling, problem help is

1551
01:10:46,760 --> 01:10:49,879
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight Hundred gambler