WEBVTT - Twitter's AGM and the Texas Shooting

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where Innovation, money and power COLLI

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Jay I'm Emily check in San Francisco and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Technology. Coming up in the next hour. Texas

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<v Speaker 1>Governor Greg Abbott says the gunman who killed nineteen children

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<v Speaker 1>and two adults used Facebook to talk about his plants,

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<v Speaker 1>but the social network clarifies, claiming the posts were actually

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<v Speaker 1>private messages. We will bring you the very latest as

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<v Speaker 1>we learn more about this horrific turn of events, plus

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<v Speaker 1>lessons learned from Twitter's annual shareholder meeting, investor's voicing concerns

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<v Speaker 1>about Elon Musk's blooming takeover, and just after the meeting wraps,

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<v Speaker 1>Musk files to change the balance of equity and debt

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<v Speaker 1>in the deal. Our own at Ludlow will join us

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<v Speaker 1>live from the ground, and Meta and Amazon holding their

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<v Speaker 1>annual meetings as well. It's the first one for Amazon

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<v Speaker 1>CEO Andy Jassey, how he addressed growing concerns about worker

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<v Speaker 1>safety at the company's market cap threatens to dip back

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<v Speaker 1>below one trillion dollars. All of that in a moment,

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<v Speaker 1>but first let's get a look at the market, stocks

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<v Speaker 1>climbing after a volatile trading day and the tech having

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<v Speaker 1>NAZAC one hundred outperforming blooming. Waga Gupta has the latest Whittica.

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<v Speaker 1>Why the turn from yesterday, Yes, Emily is quite interesting

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<v Speaker 1>that we do see stocks finishing the day in the green,

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<v Speaker 1>and as you mentioned, NAZAC one hundred really outperforming here

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<v Speaker 1>and a lot of it, Emily, down to some of

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<v Speaker 1>those heavyweights you apple your Amazons in particular, leading that

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<v Speaker 1>index higher. But I will point out that a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of the impetus, that momentum really started gaining after the

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<v Speaker 1>Fed minutes. We're starting to see traders kind of pairing

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<v Speaker 1>back their expectations of just how aggressive the pace of

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<v Speaker 1>rate hikes. Maybe that's on some of those owth fear

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<v Speaker 1>So you didn't see much change in that tenure year,

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<v Speaker 1>but the two year yield, which is more sensitive to

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<v Speaker 1>Fed policy changes, just ticking up a little higher. And

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<v Speaker 1>then I do have to touch on end Video. They

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<v Speaker 1>just had their earnings out. You see that stock down

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<v Speaker 1>as some seven percent in after hours trade. They mere

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<v Speaker 1>the analysts estimates. They've been expecting some robust profit and growth.

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<v Speaker 1>But this stock on a year to date basis down

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<v Speaker 1>some forty or so. I mean, it's quite surprising. Just

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<v Speaker 1>back in November we were talking about it being close

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<v Speaker 1>to a one trillion dollar market cap valuation. But this, Emily,

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<v Speaker 1>is a story broader in the chip space. If you

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<v Speaker 1>think back to last year, we saw chips surging off

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<v Speaker 1>the chip shortage, but what we're seeing this year is

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<v Speaker 1>that momentum has really started to wane. An end video

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned the key issue there really about the supply chain

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<v Speaker 1>issues from those COVID China lockdowns, but it's also about valuations, Emily,

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<v Speaker 1>because investors have been shunning some of these high pe

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<v Speaker 1>stocks that we've seen in the text based particularly in

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<v Speaker 1>this chip makers. And really I do want to get

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<v Speaker 1>to these annual general meetings are happening today, many of

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<v Speaker 1>them intact, Twitter, Amazon, and Meta. We were all following

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<v Speaker 1>these What were key takeaways? Yes, Emily, we'll staff with

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter that one very closely watched a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>buzz because of course the drama surrounded by the Elon

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<v Speaker 1>Musk takeover drama, but that vote actually set to happen

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<v Speaker 1>at a later date. We did get the news the

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<v Speaker 1>founder Jack Dorsey stepping down off the board and a

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<v Speaker 1>key director also failing his re election bid. Let's move

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<v Speaker 1>it on to Amazon though, because the shareholders rejecting all

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<v Speaker 1>of the proposals that were in place to make the

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<v Speaker 1>conditions better for the the workers. This company has come under

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of scrutiny because of those conditions for workers,

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<v Speaker 1>as we know, and also the stock split being approved

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<v Speaker 1>by shareholders at twenty two one that's set to take

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<v Speaker 1>place in June. Emily all right, Rodko Gupta, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>for that round up. Meantime, were learning new details about

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<v Speaker 1>the deadly and devastating shooting in Uvaldi, Texas. Texas Governor

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<v Speaker 1>grab Abbott saying the eighteen year old gunman who killed

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen children and two teachers at rob Elementary School posted

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<v Speaker 1>about his plans on Facebook in the minute before the attack.

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<v Speaker 1>As of this time, the only information that was known

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<v Speaker 1>in advance was posted by the government on Facebook approximately

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<v Speaker 1>thirty minutes before reaching the school. The first post was

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<v Speaker 1>to the point of he said, I'm going to shoot

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<v Speaker 1>my grandmother. The second post was I shot my grandmother.

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<v Speaker 1>The third post, maybe less than fifteen minutes before arriving

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<v Speaker 1>at the school, was I'm going to shoot an elementary school.

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook spokes versus Andy Stone. However, verified and direct replies

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<v Speaker 1>on Twitter that the messages the governor described were private

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<v Speaker 1>one to one text messages that were discovered after the

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<v Speaker 1>tragedy occurred. I want to bring in our Bloomberg Technology

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<v Speaker 1>executive editor Tom Giles to discuss, so what exactly do

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<v Speaker 1>we know about these messages. There is a big distinction

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<v Speaker 1>between a public post and a private message, absolutely major distinction,

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<v Speaker 1>and what a horrific set of developments. What we know

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<v Speaker 1>is that once when these things happen, there's always a

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<v Speaker 1>question about what roles social media played in either broadcasting them,

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<v Speaker 1>glorifying them, Was social media involved in any way? Could

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<v Speaker 1>this have been prevented? Those questions always arise. In this instance,

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<v Speaker 1>what Greg Abbott said was taken to mean that somehow

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<v Speaker 1>he was publicizing his intentions, that he had made this

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<v Speaker 1>in a public setting. When you say post on Facebook,

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<v Speaker 1>that makes it sound like he's putting it out there

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<v Speaker 1>for everyone to hear, suggesting that maybe could this have

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<v Speaker 1>been prevented? Maybe was Facebook in some way involved in

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<v Speaker 1>this terrible way. Quickly Facebook comes out and says, wait,

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<v Speaker 1>these were private one to one message is not the

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of things that could have been seen by the public.

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<v Speaker 1>We are trying to get clarification from Abbott's office as

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<v Speaker 1>we speak to determine what he meant by that. Was

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<v Speaker 1>he referring to some public or semi public part of Facebook,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe in groups? Was there something out there that we

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<v Speaker 1>could have seen? Now, none of us has seen anything

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<v Speaker 1>publicly on Facebook. Obviously that would be blasted all over

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<v Speaker 1>social media. If somebody had used the public news feed

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<v Speaker 1>on Facebook to talk about this kind of thing. We

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<v Speaker 1>don't have any evidence of that. We're seeking clarification from

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<v Speaker 1>Abbott's office as we speak, but thus far Facebook has

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<v Speaker 1>been like this was private one to one ket Can

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<v Speaker 1>we confirm though, that these were on a Facebook platform

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<v Speaker 1>private because Facebook doesn't have text messages if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>there are direct right, there's the direct there's m there's WhatsApp,

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<v Speaker 1>there's the kinds of communications that you can use you

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<v Speaker 1>can use Instagram for But how much of that does

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<v Speaker 1>does Facebook have access to? Now? In a case like this,

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<v Speaker 1>if the shooter or the alleged shooter was a Facebook user,

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook would have justification for going into his private messaging,

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<v Speaker 1>but we don't know which platform on Facebook. If it

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<v Speaker 1>was in fact a Facebook platform that he used well.

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<v Speaker 1>And Andy Stone also says in this Twitter message that

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<v Speaker 1>they are coordinating cooperating with law enforcement in their ongoing investigation.

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<v Speaker 1>So Facebook is now somehow involved in this investigation. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>what do you make of the way that Facebook is

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<v Speaker 1>communicating this though through direct replies on Twitter not maybe

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<v Speaker 1>put a statement statement? I mean will in fairness, in

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<v Speaker 1>fairness to Facebook, I mean in Meta right, Twitter is

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<v Speaker 1>an official platform, I mean it is recognized. As a

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<v Speaker 1>way of getting the statement out there, I would like

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<v Speaker 1>Facebook Meta to be more clear about which messaging platform

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<v Speaker 1>they're talking about here. And remember, you know, in cases

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<v Speaker 1>like this, law enforcement will will want to move very

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<v Speaker 1>very quickly to get any private communications. They use power

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<v Speaker 1>of subpoena, they use court orders. They're able to get

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<v Speaker 1>access to these kinds of things that ordinarily big tech

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<v Speaker 1>does not want to share. But in this instance, obviously

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<v Speaker 1>Meta has a great interest in helping law enforcement and

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<v Speaker 1>the greater public get to the bottom of how its

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<v Speaker 1>platform may have been used, and incredibly important that we

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<v Speaker 1>do get to the bottom of it, given the gravity

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<v Speaker 1>of this situation. Tom Giles, our executive editor, thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for sharing we know now with us Jack

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<v Speaker 1>Dorsey is off Twitter's board. That is just one of

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<v Speaker 1>a few developments from Twitter's annual shareholder meeting. His departure

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<v Speaker 1>was announced earlier this year, but it's still notable since

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<v Speaker 1>it is the first time since two thousand six that

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<v Speaker 1>he has had no formal role at the company. No

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<v Speaker 1>new details on Elon Musk's takeover deal were shared, but

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<v Speaker 1>his shadow loomed large. CEO Paragua Agrawal opened his remarks

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<v Speaker 1>by addressing concerns about misinformation and bias. More broadly, we're

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<v Speaker 1>constantly improving our product, our policies, and our processes in

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<v Speaker 1>order to earn more trust. We believe Twitter is a

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<v Speaker 1>place for different voices and perspective to be. Our rules

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<v Speaker 1>are enforced objectively on content and accounts, and our policies

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<v Speaker 1>remain neutral too political identity and ideology. Our own and

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<v Speaker 1>bloodlaw joining us now has been following the meeting all

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<v Speaker 1>day and no vote ed on the Elon Musk deal.

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<v Speaker 1>But just how big was his shadow over this meeting today? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, shareholders found a way to get the references

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<v Speaker 1>in there, right. There was one proposal from our Junia Capital,

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<v Speaker 1>which you know really well, and on having a new

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<v Speaker 1>board member with a high level of expertise in human

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<v Speaker 1>and civil rights. And the point that Natasha Lamb and

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<v Speaker 1>our Juna made was had Twitter had a better track

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<v Speaker 1>record in human civil rights, they'd have a better track

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<v Speaker 1>record on free speech and freedom expression, and we would

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<v Speaker 1>not be where we are with the world's richest man

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<v Speaker 1>trying to take the company private to fix the issue

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<v Speaker 1>of freedom of speech, which of course is one of

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<v Speaker 1>the big rationales behind his decisions by the company. He says, Now,

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<v Speaker 1>just after the meeting ends, Elon Musk files a new

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<v Speaker 1>uht D where he boosts the equity portion of the

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<v Speaker 1>deal but deuces the dead portion of the deal. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you explain why this is significant? Yeah, it is significant.

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<v Speaker 1>So where the equity portion is now at thirty three

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<v Speaker 1>point five billion dollars, he's essentially removed altogether the margin

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<v Speaker 1>loan component. That's significant because the margin loan component had

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<v Speaker 1>the loan to value ratio of so Elon Musk had

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<v Speaker 1>to stump up a big number of Tesla shares to

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<v Speaker 1>meet the dollar value as collateral. That's gone. He in

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<v Speaker 1>turn currently concurrently is adding another six point two five

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars of exit financing. But as part of the filing,

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<v Speaker 1>we learned he's talking to existing shareholders about rolling their

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<v Speaker 1>public shares into the private entity, something he'd stated previously

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<v Speaker 1>he would do. Jack Dorsey is among those shareholders that

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<v Speaker 1>he's speaking to. Significant because it essentially de risks the

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<v Speaker 1>entire thing, right and interested to hear or your next

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<v Speaker 1>guest has to say on that point. But it will

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<v Speaker 1>be also interesting to see who he brings in because

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<v Speaker 1>he's talking about even though he's added at six point

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<v Speaker 1>two five billion dollars Vexty financing that he's backing, who

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<v Speaker 1>else might join this and really interesting names already there right,

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<v Speaker 1>Larry Ellison being one. The big question I have is like,

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<v Speaker 1>is this just Elon Musk searching for cash or are

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<v Speaker 1>the strategic elements here in terms of the people he's

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<v Speaker 1>bringing in for a new look private Twitter. Interesting, Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>at Ludlow outside Twitter headquarters there in San Francisco. I

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<v Speaker 1>want to bring in that next guest now, Ross Gerbert

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<v Speaker 1>of Guru Kawasaki CEO and president. They're also a Twitter shareholder. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>there was no vote taken on the Musk deal today, Ross,

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<v Speaker 1>but if you could have voted, are you four or against? Oh?

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<v Speaker 1>I mean I can't wait for it to happen. I

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<v Speaker 1>think Elan is going to do a phenomenal job fixing

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<v Speaker 1>this wonderful asset. So have you increased your Twitter position

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<v Speaker 1>since the sell off and are you continuing to boost

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<v Speaker 1>it ahead of this deal? Absolutely? Absolutely. The fact that

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<v Speaker 1>people don't believe that Elon is serious about taking this

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<v Speaker 1>company over just proves how many people don't really understand

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<v Speaker 1>Hellan after all these years. So he's dead serious on

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<v Speaker 1>completing this deal. Um, and it is at a price

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<v Speaker 1>of over fifty four dollars and there is no renegotiation

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<v Speaker 1>going on, and so you know, I very much believe

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<v Speaker 1>he's going to complete the deal. So look, some shareholders

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<v Speaker 1>are excited like you. Some shareholders are skeptical, Natasha lamb

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<v Speaker 1>As I've mentioned, very skeptical about how Elon Musk will

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<v Speaker 1>handle free speech, human rights, civil rights issues. What do

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<v Speaker 1>you think about those more nuanced and very complicated issues. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I think that it's silly to think that Elon musk

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<v Speaker 1>is new job is going to be the arbitrator of

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<v Speaker 1>free speech on Twitter. That's not his call in taking

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<v Speaker 1>over the company. I think what he's trying to do

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<v Speaker 1>is put in a management team and a transparent system

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<v Speaker 1>so that the users of Twitter fully understand what in

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<v Speaker 1>what isn't allowed on the platform. What I think most

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<v Speaker 1>people are upset about, including myself, with Twitter, is just

0:14:01.200 --> 0:14:04.080
<v Speaker 1>the sort of arbitrary nature that decisions are made and

0:14:04.120 --> 0:14:07.360
<v Speaker 1>the lack of transparency. And I think by bringing transparency,

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:11.080
<v Speaker 1>which He's already been pushing really hard on Twitter, at

0:14:11.120 --> 0:14:14.559
<v Speaker 1>Twitter to get more transparency, I think will be very

0:14:14.600 --> 0:14:18.720
<v Speaker 1>beneficial for the users of Twitter. Now, interestingly, we heard

0:14:18.720 --> 0:14:23.040
<v Speaker 1>parag agerol weiterate the company's mission to serve a diversity

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.280
<v Speaker 1>of views. But earlier this month, Elon Musk announced that

0:14:26.320 --> 0:14:29.360
<v Speaker 1>he will be voting Republican. How does that strike you?

0:14:29.760 --> 0:14:33.360
<v Speaker 1>Is that good for Twitter? You know, Elon and I

0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 1>are in the same camp here. We're both ex Democrats,

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:39.480
<v Speaker 1>and I'm never going to be a Republican because I

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 1>can't stand them. But but you know, I'm I've become

0:14:42.560 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 1>an independent voter, and I think what Ellen is saying

0:14:44.720 --> 0:14:47.240
<v Speaker 1>is true. I worked very very hard to get Joe

0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:49.920
<v Speaker 1>Biden and as president, and I'm a very big believer

0:14:50.240 --> 0:14:55.880
<v Speaker 1>in the values that the Democrats represent, and they've achieved nothing.

0:14:56.120 --> 0:14:58.960
<v Speaker 1>They've achieved none of the agenda that they set out

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:03.920
<v Speaker 1>to achieve, and they've really disappointed big supporters like myself

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:07.720
<v Speaker 1>and especially entrepreneurs who they've attacked and constantly saying that

0:15:07.760 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 1>we don't pay our fair share when we do. And

0:15:10.720 --> 0:15:14.040
<v Speaker 1>so it's just they've pushed the do you know, especially

0:15:14.200 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 1>successful entrepreneurs of the out of the Democratic Party and

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.160
<v Speaker 1>and I'm one of them too. Well, speaking about a

0:15:21.200 --> 0:15:24.360
<v Speaker 1>big time entrepreneur who is now out at Twitter, Jack Dorsey,

0:15:24.440 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 1>the era of Jack Dorsey is officially over. We knew

0:15:27.480 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 1>this was coming. No formal role at the company now,

0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 1>but you know, we can assume he will still have

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:34.560
<v Speaker 1>some influence. His tweets will carry some influence. What do

0:15:34.560 --> 0:15:39.480
<v Speaker 1>you think is the significance of Jack leaving? Well, I

0:15:39.520 --> 0:15:44.040
<v Speaker 1>think he'll be back. I think he'll be back. Well,

0:15:44.080 --> 0:15:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I think he's going to I think he's in with

0:15:47.040 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 1>this Zelon stuff. I mean, I would be surprised if

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.720
<v Speaker 1>he's not working with Elon at all. Um, he seems

0:15:52.760 --> 0:15:55.280
<v Speaker 1>to be on Twitter, you know, sort of jumping on

0:15:55.360 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 1>the arguments that Elon's are making and seem to be

0:15:57.960 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 1>defending Elon's positions. Um, So I'm not really sure what's

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:06.000
<v Speaker 1>next for Jack Um, I think he's really focused on Square,

0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:08.360
<v Speaker 1>which as a Square shareholder, I want him to be,

0:16:08.800 --> 0:16:12.800
<v Speaker 1>and I think he'll play a role in the new Twitter. Meantime,

0:16:12.960 --> 0:16:16.680
<v Speaker 1>silver Lakes Egon Durbin didn't get enough votes. Shareholders did

0:16:16.720 --> 0:16:19.400
<v Speaker 1>not re elect him to the board. What's your reaction

0:16:19.440 --> 0:16:25.040
<v Speaker 1>to that. Um, it's hard to understand, you know, why

0:16:25.120 --> 0:16:27.360
<v Speaker 1>certain shareholders are on the board and not on the board,

0:16:27.440 --> 0:16:29.520
<v Speaker 1>especially when they have large states in the company where

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:32.880
<v Speaker 1>that might have changed. UM. So, you know, I find

0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.720
<v Speaker 1>that to be significant because silver Lake is a major player.

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:38.760
<v Speaker 1>But I think it has to do with the changing

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:42.120
<v Speaker 1>nature of what's going on. So there might be some

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:45.760
<v Speaker 1>conflicts of interests involved as well. Maybe they're involved with

0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 1>the new takeover, so they don't want to have a

0:16:48.120 --> 0:16:50.000
<v Speaker 1>conflict by having somebody on the board. So it's just

0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>really hard to tell why these moves are being made.

0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 1>Meta also held its shareholder meeting today. Peter Till no

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.920
<v Speaker 1>longer on the board there, so that's also the end

0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 1>of an era. He's going to work more on the

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Trump agenda. I'm curious for your thoughts on Twitter versus Facebook.

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:07.600
<v Speaker 1>I know you don't you don't you have a miniscule

0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 1>position in Facebook, you know, also versus Snap, especially given

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:15.080
<v Speaker 1>social media stocks getting pummeled and Snap coming out saying

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 1>they're gonna miss their guidance, right, And We've spent a

0:17:19.320 --> 0:17:22.000
<v Speaker 1>good day looking at Snap and I have friends that Snap,

0:17:22.080 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 1>so you know, I was trying to figure out what

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.720
<v Speaker 1>the hell is going on there, And these are three

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 1>different stories and I think that they're playing out differently.

0:17:28.640 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 1>So Snap is just getting eaten by TikTok. You know,

0:17:31.240 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>there's not much more to it. TikTok is like a

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:39.320
<v Speaker 1>vacuum of young people's eyeballs and it's just Snapchat hasn't

0:17:39.359 --> 0:17:41.520
<v Speaker 1>been able to compete and there's nothing more to it

0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:44.720
<v Speaker 1>than that. Meta and you know, Facebook and Instagram are

0:17:44.720 --> 0:17:49.679
<v Speaker 1>also suffering from the TikTok thing and the Apple privacy changes,

0:17:49.920 --> 0:17:54.000
<v Speaker 1>which are really affecting Instagram and Facebook um and their targeting,

0:17:54.000 --> 0:17:57.440
<v Speaker 1>but also a lot of ad you know, people are saying, hey,

0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:59.199
<v Speaker 1>you know, you need to boot some of your instament

0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:02.199
<v Speaker 1>grand budget to TikTok, and that's what's happening. So that

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:06.040
<v Speaker 1>puts pressure on Facebook and Meta not to mention, you know,

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:08.320
<v Speaker 1>there really hasn't been any innovation there in a long time,

0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>and the younger generation isn't using Facebook. And then with Twitter,

0:18:12.280 --> 0:18:15.040
<v Speaker 1>it's really, to me the news, so it serves a

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:19.639
<v Speaker 1>completely different demographic than the Snapchat, Instagram, Facebook demo, and

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:22.800
<v Speaker 1>it really serves people who are looking for information, and therefore,

0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:25.960
<v Speaker 1>to me, it's a much more powerful and valuable platform.

0:18:26.320 --> 0:18:30.119
<v Speaker 1>And in fact, Twitter is probably the most valuable you know,

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:33.879
<v Speaker 1>information platform you know in the world, and if you

0:18:33.880 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 1>look at the depth of the global leaders and users, um,

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:41.760
<v Speaker 1>there really is nothing like it. And as an investor,

0:18:41.880 --> 0:18:44.719
<v Speaker 1>I I can't even imagine trying to be an investor

0:18:44.760 --> 0:18:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and not used Twitter. So I think Twitter has a

0:18:48.119 --> 0:18:51.720
<v Speaker 1>lot more intrinsic value than the other platforms. All right,

0:18:52.359 --> 0:18:56.120
<v Speaker 1>Les Garber, President and CEO of Gerbert Kawasaki, always love

0:18:56.320 --> 0:19:00.000
<v Speaker 1>having your views here, Ross, Thank you. Coming up, Twitter,

0:19:00.359 --> 0:19:02.400
<v Speaker 1>as we said, not the only one holding its shareholder

0:19:02.440 --> 0:19:05.160
<v Speaker 1>meeting today, Meta as well and Amazon. It was Andy

0:19:05.240 --> 0:19:08.399
<v Speaker 1>Jase's first as CEO. Will get an update on how

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:25.000
<v Speaker 1>it all went down. Next. This is Bloomberg Amazon also

0:19:25.160 --> 0:19:28.120
<v Speaker 1>holding its annual shareholder meeting, the first for CEO Andy Jase.

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:30.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm joined now by Bloomberg Spencer Soaper, who of course

0:19:30.680 --> 0:19:33.879
<v Speaker 1>covers Amazon for Spencer, what were the big takeaways and

0:19:33.880 --> 0:19:38.159
<v Speaker 1>Andy Jase's responses to some of these resolutions, Well, the

0:19:38.560 --> 0:19:42.440
<v Speaker 1>UH a big one. There were several regarding worker treatment

0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:46.280
<v Speaker 1>and Jesse really had to respond to that and just

0:19:47.000 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 1>these high injury rates. Amazon was hiring a lot of

0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:54.080
<v Speaker 1>people through the pandemic, and Jesse was trying to explain

0:19:54.119 --> 0:19:55.359
<v Speaker 1>that there are a lot of them are new to

0:19:55.480 --> 0:19:59.639
<v Speaker 1>industrial work environments. Therefore injury rates climbed even though Amazon

0:19:59.720 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 1>made the pledged to UH, you know, to make it

0:20:02.880 --> 0:20:04.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, the best place to work and to to

0:20:04.840 --> 0:20:08.119
<v Speaker 1>really target reducing the injury rates. So he's definitely like

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:10.280
<v Speaker 1>trying to buy some time there by explaining the unique

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.520
<v Speaker 1>circumstances around the pandemic. Then there was also an advisory

0:20:13.600 --> 0:20:16.639
<v Speaker 1>vote on pay and it was a big deal because

0:20:16.720 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 1>you have Jasse, who was promoted into this role as CEO,

0:20:20.040 --> 0:20:22.440
<v Speaker 1>is you know, not not someone who built the company himself,

0:20:22.480 --> 0:20:26.960
<v Speaker 1>but was you know, promoted into succeed Jeff Bezos. Um.

0:20:27.000 --> 0:20:33.439
<v Speaker 1>You know, some influential advisory firms saying that Jesse and

0:20:33.480 --> 0:20:37.320
<v Speaker 1>to other executives, their pay is not linked strongly enough

0:20:37.359 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>to company performance. They want to see if they're going

0:20:39.320 --> 0:20:41.640
<v Speaker 1>to be paid substantial amounts of money that it better

0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:44.399
<v Speaker 1>be more more directly tied to the performance of the company.

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 1>So quickly on that, you've got Amazon shares dipping nearly

0:20:48.800 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 1>below a trillion dollars UH in market cap. How concerned

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 1>our shareholders about that? Quickly? That did come up uh

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:58.800
<v Speaker 1>and Jasse addressed it. And one of the questions shareholders

0:20:58.920 --> 0:21:01.159
<v Speaker 1>shareholders had was he know, you're you're firing in so

0:21:01.160 --> 0:21:03.520
<v Speaker 1>many directions, You've got so many things going on. You

0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:05.600
<v Speaker 1>know what if you're more focused with that make the

0:21:05.600 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 1>company more profitable. And Jesse's response to that was, you know,

0:21:09.400 --> 0:21:11.960
<v Speaker 1>we'll look at we had Amazon Web Services and when

0:21:11.960 --> 0:21:15.600
<v Speaker 1>it was in its gestational period and infancy stage, you know,

0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 1>people were very critical of that or had a lot

0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:19.679
<v Speaker 1>of questions about that sort as a big gamble, and

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:22.280
<v Speaker 1>we turned into this huge, you know, multibillion dollar business.

0:21:22.560 --> 0:21:24.040
<v Speaker 1>So I guess he's trying to make the case that

0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 1>you can't afford to not invest in things even when

0:21:26.880 --> 0:21:31.000
<v Speaker 1>even when profitability is down. All right, Bloomberg Expense or soaper,

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:32.920
<v Speaker 1>thank you for giving us the round up on it.

0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:45.160
<v Speaker 1>Jesse's first a g M Welcome back to Bloomber technology

0:21:45.200 --> 0:21:47.760
<v Speaker 1>and Emily Chang in San Francisco. Get back now to

0:21:48.160 --> 0:21:51.240
<v Speaker 1>the markets and hone in on social media stocks where

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:53.680
<v Speaker 1>it could take it away. Yes, Emily, well, I'll start

0:21:53.720 --> 0:21:55.960
<v Speaker 1>off with the broader markets, which we did see moving

0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:59.400
<v Speaker 1>higher today, and it was now like one that out performed.

0:21:59.400 --> 0:22:00.960
<v Speaker 1>It was some of you a heavier weight. It's your

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:04.760
<v Speaker 1>your Amazon, your Tesla, and even your Apple pushing that

0:22:04.920 --> 0:22:08.479
<v Speaker 1>index up higher today. And that impetus that really started

0:22:08.520 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 1>to come out after those FED minutes. It was this

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:14.359
<v Speaker 1>idea that maybe Fed policymakers one as aggressive as the

0:22:14.440 --> 0:22:17.000
<v Speaker 1>market was expecting. You didn't see much changes in the

0:22:17.040 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>ten ye yield, but the two year yield has more

0:22:19.080 --> 0:22:22.320
<v Speaker 1>sensitive to FED policy changes. That did take just a

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:24.359
<v Speaker 1>touch higher. And I also point to the vix that

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:28.280
<v Speaker 1>is ak that big age. This was lower today and

0:22:28.320 --> 0:22:30.080
<v Speaker 1>this is as we get a bit more of a

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:32.280
<v Speaker 1>risk on field today. And speaking of risk on you

0:22:32.280 --> 0:22:36.320
<v Speaker 1>mentioned it, Emily, those social media stocks that plunged yesterday,

0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:38.320
<v Speaker 1>we are seeing them get We saw them get a

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:41.479
<v Speaker 1>big bid today, Snap actually bouncing back up some nearly

0:22:41.560 --> 0:22:44.639
<v Speaker 1>eleven percent. But we know that these stocks behind me,

0:22:44.680 --> 0:22:46.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean, perhaps investors thought they were a little bit

0:22:46.760 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>oversold yesterday and they're swooping in on some bargains, but

0:22:49.920 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>on a year today basis, they've all been down in

0:22:51.880 --> 0:22:54.879
<v Speaker 1>the double digits. It's concerns of a slowdown what that

0:22:54.920 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 1>means for ad revenues. But it isn't Emily just social

0:22:58.280 --> 0:23:02.280
<v Speaker 1>media companies that are stuffed ring this year. That's represented

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:05.160
<v Speaker 1>by the orange line there on my chart. They're down

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:08.199
<v Speaker 1>some thirty seven on a year to date basis, but

0:23:08.240 --> 0:23:10.800
<v Speaker 1>it's also your Spack Index, it's also your I p

0:23:10.920 --> 0:23:13.479
<v Speaker 1>O Index, it's also the r g TF and then

0:23:13.520 --> 0:23:16.640
<v Speaker 1>that's that Golden Dragon Index, which houses Chinese tech. Arguably

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:19.640
<v Speaker 1>has its own regulation challenges, but you can see clearly

0:23:19.880 --> 0:23:23.920
<v Speaker 1>investors shunning some sort of speculative or more risky assets

0:23:23.920 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 1>and honing in on some of those relatively more safe

0:23:26.760 --> 0:23:31.040
<v Speaker 1>place Emily alright, Ritica, thank you. And while we did

0:23:31.080 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 1>see that slight rebound in social media and tech stocks

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:36.320
<v Speaker 1>and general, big concerns still looming about the future of

0:23:36.320 --> 0:23:39.399
<v Speaker 1>digital ads. Joined now by Mark Mahaney's senior managing director

0:23:39.440 --> 0:23:42.199
<v Speaker 1>and head of the Internet research team at evercre Mark. Yes,

0:23:42.240 --> 0:23:44.800
<v Speaker 1>Snap bounced back a little bit today, but remember they

0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:49.399
<v Speaker 1>lost for yesterday so regained about about ten percent of

0:23:49.480 --> 0:23:53.919
<v Speaker 1>that today. You know, how concerned are you about Snap?

0:23:54.840 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 1>I think I share most of the market's concerns. The

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 1>open question is how much of this is mac growth,

0:24:00.400 --> 0:24:03.560
<v Speaker 1>which is impacting all which therefore impacts a whole bunch

0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:05.920
<v Speaker 1>of these names were particularly ad names, and how much

0:24:05.920 --> 0:24:08.399
<v Speaker 1>of this is Snap specific. And I guess I started

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:10.639
<v Speaker 1>off thinking this was largely macro. I was taking the

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:14.120
<v Speaker 1>company at at face value. Um, But you know, there

0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:16.200
<v Speaker 1>is a track record here and this company has had

0:24:16.600 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 1>a couple of surprises along the way, including in the

0:24:19.920 --> 0:24:22.919
<v Speaker 1>September quarter last year when they had said they wouldn't

0:24:22.920 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 1>have any impact from Apple and then they said they did.

0:24:25.600 --> 0:24:27.960
<v Speaker 1>So there's a bit of a there's a bit there's

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 1>a greater credibility issue here at Snap. Now. I assume

0:24:30.960 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 1>that they are seeing a lot of macro pressures. This

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:35.840
<v Speaker 1>company has a lot of exposure to brand advertising that

0:24:35.880 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>would be the first to get cut in a recession.

0:24:38.800 --> 0:24:42.360
<v Speaker 1>They also have substantial exposure to Europe, which I think

0:24:42.359 --> 0:24:44.480
<v Speaker 1>is a reasonably one could reasonably assume that's going to

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:47.800
<v Speaker 1>see pressure first before the US does. So a lot

0:24:47.800 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 1>of what they're seeing probably is a broader read due

0:24:49.880 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 1>to add names. But you know, this is a couple

0:24:51.840 --> 0:24:54.679
<v Speaker 1>of times that this has happened, so maybe it's not

0:24:54.760 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 1>terribly surprising this doc gets taken down more than the

0:24:57.280 --> 0:24:59.919
<v Speaker 1>other ad names. So how much of this could be

0:25:00.080 --> 0:25:05.480
<v Speaker 1>TikTok eating snaps lunch specifically? Look, you you're asking the

0:25:05.560 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 1>right question. If it isn't mackerel, what could it be?

0:25:08.119 --> 0:25:10.240
<v Speaker 1>Or if in addition to Mackerel, what are the other

0:25:10.280 --> 0:25:12.879
<v Speaker 1>could what could other factors could there be? Um, it

0:25:12.920 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>could be TikTok, It could well be ad budgets that

0:25:16.240 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 1>slipped over to um Snap and awake of the Apple

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:22.879
<v Speaker 1>privacy changes slipping back to Facebook. Um, it could be

0:25:23.440 --> 0:25:27.040
<v Speaker 1>additional Apple privacy changes. I mean, there's a serious series

0:25:27.080 --> 0:25:29.159
<v Speaker 1>of things that Apple could still do to kind of

0:25:29.160 --> 0:25:31.920
<v Speaker 1>tighten screws on the add ecosystem. That could be having

0:25:31.920 --> 0:25:35.119
<v Speaker 1>an issue on on Snap. And then there could just

0:25:35.160 --> 0:25:37.440
<v Speaker 1>be that this company is much more exposed to brand

0:25:37.480 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>advertising than the market realizes. And again that's the probably

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:43.679
<v Speaker 1>the part of Internet advertising in a in a in

0:25:43.720 --> 0:25:45.919
<v Speaker 1>a downturn, that gets hit first, and what would get

0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:49.320
<v Speaker 1>had black hit last? With the performance marketing channels of course, Google,

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:51.480
<v Speaker 1>but a lot of Facebook that would be hit last

0:25:51.640 --> 0:25:54.600
<v Speaker 1>because it's more performance marketing based. So anyway TikTok's an issue,

0:25:54.600 --> 0:25:56.560
<v Speaker 1>There's a couple of these other things that could all

0:25:56.560 --> 0:25:59.639
<v Speaker 1>be kind of piling up on Snap. Now it's just

0:25:59.720 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 1>us surprised to have that guidance change in just a

0:26:02.440 --> 0:26:05.080
<v Speaker 1>month period. So it's probably macro, but it could well

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:07.960
<v Speaker 1>be a few other factors. So there's a big question

0:26:07.960 --> 0:26:10.320
<v Speaker 1>what this means for other social media companies, even though

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:13.960
<v Speaker 1>they're all in the middle of some fairly different narratives. Twitter,

0:26:14.240 --> 0:26:17.199
<v Speaker 1>for example, just wrapping their a g M today. You know,

0:26:17.280 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 1>no vote on Elon Musk, but of course, you know

0:26:21.359 --> 0:26:26.640
<v Speaker 1>concerns excitement about the deal looming large over that meeting today.

0:26:26.680 --> 0:26:29.000
<v Speaker 1>You know, what's your take on what direction this is

0:26:29.000 --> 0:26:31.920
<v Speaker 1>gonna go? We just saw Elon Musk raised his equity

0:26:32.000 --> 0:26:38.439
<v Speaker 1>portion of the deal. Well, I assume he's not going

0:26:38.480 --> 0:26:41.359
<v Speaker 1>to walk away from the deal. I assume that he'd

0:26:41.359 --> 0:26:43.320
<v Speaker 1>love to get a lower price. Whether he can get

0:26:43.359 --> 0:26:46.680
<v Speaker 1>it or not will really come around to whether those

0:26:46.720 --> 0:26:50.600
<v Speaker 1>shareholders that he talked with and I think convinced that

0:26:50.920 --> 0:26:53.240
<v Speaker 1>he would be a good fire of their stock at

0:26:53.880 --> 0:26:57.760
<v Speaker 1>with a price, whether they would be really still willing

0:26:57.800 --> 0:27:00.280
<v Speaker 1>to sell it to him at forty five or forty

0:27:00.359 --> 0:27:02.439
<v Speaker 1>or some lower price. And I don't know who has

0:27:02.480 --> 0:27:06.160
<v Speaker 1>the most leverage in that in that environment. Um, maybe

0:27:06.160 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 1>he does. I assume he really still wants to have

0:27:08.119 --> 0:27:10.399
<v Speaker 1>this asset, that he really doesn't want to waste a

0:27:10.400 --> 0:27:13.760
<v Speaker 1>billion dollars. And uh, of course I would take Twitter's

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 1>shares down, but I think at the end of the day,

0:27:15.760 --> 0:27:18.760
<v Speaker 1>Elon Musk wants to own Twitter. So my guess is

0:27:18.800 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 1>that this gets negotiated, maybe at a lower price, or

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.159
<v Speaker 1>we're gonna be spending a lot of time in courts

0:27:24.200 --> 0:27:26.960
<v Speaker 1>for the next year, which would be unfortunate for everybody involved.

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:31.320
<v Speaker 1>And how insulated do you think Twitter and Facebook are

0:27:31.480 --> 0:27:34.480
<v Speaker 1>from the problems that Snap is facing or are are

0:27:34.520 --> 0:27:36.840
<v Speaker 1>they really in the same boat? Yeah, Emily, I don't

0:27:36.840 --> 0:27:38.880
<v Speaker 1>think they're insulated at all. But I'm sorry, I don't

0:27:38.880 --> 0:27:41.800
<v Speaker 1>think Twitter at all is insulated. I think Twitter has

0:27:41.840 --> 0:27:46.080
<v Speaker 1>got relatively material exposure to Europe, and uh, it's very

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:49.199
<v Speaker 1>heavily into brand advertising. Again, that's probably the weakest part

0:27:49.280 --> 0:27:53.200
<v Speaker 1>of the Internet advertising ecosystem, and that's seventy of Twitter's

0:27:53.200 --> 0:27:56.760
<v Speaker 1>total revenue. So if that's what's being hurt at, and

0:27:56.880 --> 0:27:59.000
<v Speaker 1>that's what's taking down Snap. It would be taking on

0:27:59.119 --> 0:28:01.640
<v Speaker 1>Twitter in dro of. I think there's also probably gonna

0:28:01.640 --> 0:28:03.680
<v Speaker 1>be a lot of dislocation and Twitter, well, this was

0:28:03.720 --> 0:28:05.760
<v Speaker 1>a hostile takeover. What do you expect? I mean, you

0:28:05.800 --> 0:28:09.200
<v Speaker 1>get you disenfranchised, your disincentivized, that's probably the better word.

0:28:09.400 --> 0:28:11.960
<v Speaker 1>A lot of the employees you've had turnover, a lot

0:28:11.960 --> 0:28:13.800
<v Speaker 1>of uncertainty over you know, whether people are going to

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:15.879
<v Speaker 1>keep their jobs. So of course, almost certainly it's going

0:28:15.920 --> 0:28:19.879
<v Speaker 1>to lead to poorer or less or suboptimal execution, although

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:24.200
<v Speaker 1>that's gonna pile up and probably hurt Twitter's fundamentals near term. Anyway,

0:28:24.280 --> 0:28:26.760
<v Speaker 1>this doesn't help what the issues that Snap talks about.

0:28:27.040 --> 0:28:29.680
<v Speaker 1>If in fact they are seeing loss of ad budgets

0:28:29.680 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to Twitter, if they're seeing macro pressure on their display advertising.

0:28:32.960 --> 0:28:35.200
<v Speaker 1>Twitter is going to see all of that. Facebook much

0:28:35.280 --> 0:28:37.000
<v Speaker 1>less so, but they'll see a smidgen of that, and

0:28:37.040 --> 0:28:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Google the least of all those. But just remember, go

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:43.080
<v Speaker 1>through these major recessions. You and I watched this. Google

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:46.240
<v Speaker 1>went uh growth rate crater to only three percent year

0:28:46.240 --> 0:28:48.560
<v Speaker 1>of rear during a great financial crisis, and then during

0:28:48.560 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 1>the COVID quarter it went negative. So Google is not

0:28:51.880 --> 0:28:55.200
<v Speaker 1>immune to you know, full blown advertising recession. Well, and

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:58.160
<v Speaker 1>let's talk about another big tech company where you know,

0:28:58.200 --> 0:29:00.959
<v Speaker 1>the gains from the pandemic have been completely erased, and

0:29:01.000 --> 0:29:05.120
<v Speaker 1>that is Amazon. We're seeing Amazon's market cap get close

0:29:05.240 --> 0:29:08.880
<v Speaker 1>back to that one chillion dollar mark. Amazon also holding

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:13.320
<v Speaker 1>their annual shareholder reading today. It's Andy Joss's first one

0:29:13.840 --> 0:29:16.520
<v Speaker 1>at the helm. You know what we are takeaways from

0:29:16.560 --> 0:29:20.760
<v Speaker 1>what we heard there, and you know whether Amazon can

0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 1>turn it around. The one I'm sure Amazon can turn

0:29:24.280 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it around. I look at Amazon is kind of what

0:29:26.000 --> 0:29:28.640
<v Speaker 1>I call a d h Q dislocated high quality stock.

0:29:29.240 --> 0:29:32.480
<v Speaker 1>It's the most successfully diversified tech asset that I followed.

0:29:32.560 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 1>I don't follow Apple, but it's the most successfully diversified

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:40.479
<v Speaker 1>in terms of advertising, cloud, retail, and then I think

0:29:40.480 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 1>there's a couple of other targets that they can go after,

0:29:42.960 --> 0:29:45.920
<v Speaker 1>including logistics and business supplies, et cetera. And I think

0:29:45.920 --> 0:29:48.280
<v Speaker 1>groceries that probably falls into retail, but I think I

0:29:48.280 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 1>think that's a new that's a that's a big area

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:52.280
<v Speaker 1>for them. So I'm not worried about the long term

0:29:52.280 --> 0:29:54.840
<v Speaker 1>outlook really for Amazon. I think they can execute their way.

0:29:54.840 --> 0:29:56.840
<v Speaker 1>I think they've got some good growth initiatives that the

0:29:56.920 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 1>nuance I picked up from today at least from the

0:29:58.880 --> 0:30:01.440
<v Speaker 1>headlines and we have them all up yet is the

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:04.960
<v Speaker 1>focus on cost efficiencies and so yeah, I think the

0:30:05.000 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 1>company um company did something where I don't recall Emily

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 1>Amazon ever coming out and saying we overbuilt. But that's

0:30:12.640 --> 0:30:15.160
<v Speaker 1>what they said on the March quarter earnings call that

0:30:15.240 --> 0:30:18.240
<v Speaker 1>they that they made it a mistake and they over

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>extrapolated when they were making their CAPEX plans, their distribution

0:30:22.200 --> 0:30:24.600
<v Speaker 1>center build up plans at the end of twenty and

0:30:24.640 --> 0:30:27.800
<v Speaker 1>beginning of twenty one, the over extrapolated trends. I don't

0:30:27.800 --> 0:30:29.520
<v Speaker 1>blame it for doing that. I think I probably did

0:30:29.560 --> 0:30:31.600
<v Speaker 1>that too. I think the market obviously did that too.

0:30:31.680 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 1>But Amazon did that, and now they've got excess capacity,

0:30:34.360 --> 0:30:36.800
<v Speaker 1>both on the labor force side and on the physical

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:39.240
<v Speaker 1>plant side. And the investor question is how long will

0:30:39.280 --> 0:30:41.880
<v Speaker 1>it take you to work through that? And will what

0:30:42.080 --> 0:30:44.320
<v Speaker 1>if we're going into recession, Well, that's just gonna make

0:30:44.360 --> 0:30:46.920
<v Speaker 1>that that that that could pass utilization build back up

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:50.600
<v Speaker 1>time longer and longer. But I think they'll get through this,

0:30:50.840 --> 0:30:53.160
<v Speaker 1>and and I think if I look at the stock

0:30:53.280 --> 0:30:55.520
<v Speaker 1>right now. You're a long term investor, not a trader,

0:30:55.520 --> 0:30:58.400
<v Speaker 1>but an investor that you should be buying at least

0:30:58.440 --> 0:31:02.600
<v Speaker 1>taking partial positions in Amazon on here today. Well, certainly

0:31:02.640 --> 0:31:05.160
<v Speaker 1>it will be interesting to watch how Andy Dasey steers

0:31:05.160 --> 0:31:07.600
<v Speaker 1>this ship. E recours at Mark Mahaney. Always good to

0:31:07.600 --> 0:31:21.720
<v Speaker 1>have you, Mark, Thank you. We're probably going to hit

0:31:21.800 --> 0:31:24.800
<v Speaker 1>eight thousand dollars before what was that number? Eight thousand

0:31:24.920 --> 0:31:29.640
<v Speaker 1>until we totally flush. I mean, if I were I'd

0:31:29.640 --> 0:31:33.000
<v Speaker 1>be short. Could Bitcoin follow as low as eight thousand dollars?

0:31:33.000 --> 0:31:36.440
<v Speaker 1>That was Googenheim Partners chief investment officer Scott Minored. They're

0:31:36.480 --> 0:31:39.200
<v Speaker 1>speaking in Davos. He's a known skeptic on crypto, though

0:31:39.200 --> 0:31:40.800
<v Speaker 1>at one point a couple of years ago, he was

0:31:40.840 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>optimistic enough to predict bitcoin would hit four hundred thousand dollars.

0:31:46.000 --> 0:31:47.960
<v Speaker 1>Of course we're still far from that. I want to

0:31:47.960 --> 0:31:50.640
<v Speaker 1>bring into well Atchison now for her perspective. She's the

0:31:50.640 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 1>head of market insights at Genesis Trading, a digital currency

0:31:54.000 --> 0:31:57.760
<v Speaker 1>prime broker. Noel, what do you think eight thousand dollars?

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>What's going to come first? That? Or four hundred? Well

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:03.640
<v Speaker 1>between eight and four there's certainly quite a right range.

0:32:03.680 --> 0:32:05.880
<v Speaker 1>I think you know the saying, if you're going to predict,

0:32:06.120 --> 0:32:09.160
<v Speaker 1>predict with very wide ranges. Right. Thank you so much

0:32:09.160 --> 0:32:11.240
<v Speaker 1>for having him. I do have to say that anything

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 1>I say or my opinions not those of my employer,

0:32:13.400 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 1>and of course nothing I say is investment advice. And

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:18.600
<v Speaker 1>first of all, huge respect to Mr Minard. He was

0:32:18.640 --> 0:32:21.320
<v Speaker 1>one of the first institutional investors, one of the early

0:32:21.360 --> 0:32:23.560
<v Speaker 1>ones to look at bitcoin, and he did do his

0:32:23.640 --> 0:32:25.880
<v Speaker 1>homework back in the day. But later on in this

0:32:25.960 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>interview that you showed a part of, he did say

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:31.320
<v Speaker 1>that his predictions of eight thousand was based on technicals

0:32:31.320 --> 0:32:34.120
<v Speaker 1>because there's nothing else like more or less quote there,

0:32:34.440 --> 0:32:38.959
<v Speaker 1>and that is overlooking the growing adoption and the fixed supply.

0:32:39.200 --> 0:32:41.480
<v Speaker 1>This is something that many people tend to forget that

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:45.400
<v Speaker 1>no matter how high the bitcoin price, for how large

0:32:45.440 --> 0:32:49.920
<v Speaker 1>the demand, the supply remains fixed. That's a fundamental feature

0:32:50.000 --> 0:32:53.840
<v Speaker 1>right there. Bitcoins demand, which is growing could multiply by

0:32:53.880 --> 0:32:57.240
<v Speaker 1>a thousand times the suppliable and rain fixed. Its price

0:32:57.280 --> 0:32:59.840
<v Speaker 1>could go up by tech x the suppliable raine fixed.

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:02.400
<v Speaker 1>That's a pretty compelling investment case right there. On me,

0:33:04.040 --> 0:33:07.040
<v Speaker 1>I want to ask you about some of the wreckage.

0:33:08.040 --> 0:33:12.320
<v Speaker 1>In the wake of this terror disaster, they now have

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:15.080
<v Speaker 1>a new plan that's been approved to split the Terror

0:33:15.160 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 1>blockchain into Terror Classic and Luna Classic. What do you

0:33:20.760 --> 0:33:23.840
<v Speaker 1>make of this as a path forward? Well, you can

0:33:23.880 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 1>imagine crypto Twitter today is having a field day with this.

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:31.400
<v Speaker 1>I must say that anything that gives those that lost

0:33:31.480 --> 0:33:33.719
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money a chance to get some of

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:37.040
<v Speaker 1>that money back should be entertained. I mean that would

0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:39.720
<v Speaker 1>be a very good development. That said, a lot of

0:33:39.760 --> 0:33:42.320
<v Speaker 1>trust has been broken here, a lot of trust needs

0:33:42.320 --> 0:33:44.080
<v Speaker 1>to be recovered, which is how many when you come

0:33:44.080 --> 0:33:46.479
<v Speaker 1>to think of it, it it is quite ironic that trust

0:33:46.600 --> 0:33:51.840
<v Speaker 1>is still such a firm component of a system that

0:33:52.000 --> 0:33:55.120
<v Speaker 1>was designed to not need centralized trust to be able

0:33:55.160 --> 0:33:58.280
<v Speaker 1>to have a decentralized trust mechanism. Shows that we can't

0:33:58.320 --> 0:34:02.040
<v Speaker 1>get rid of the trust component after all. Well, so

0:34:02.280 --> 0:34:05.920
<v Speaker 1>I wonder what the path forward is then? Also for regulators,

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:07.840
<v Speaker 1>we know that the house can be on financial services

0:34:07.920 --> 0:34:10.920
<v Speaker 1>is going to be talking about digital assets. For example,

0:34:11.000 --> 0:34:15.840
<v Speaker 1>could up FED you know, FED central bank digital dollar

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:20.879
<v Speaker 1>so to is bay possible? It's certainly possible, and in fact,

0:34:20.880 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 1>in some parts of the world we already are seeing

0:34:23.120 --> 0:34:26.080
<v Speaker 1>central bank digital currencies, and my opinion is that yes,

0:34:26.120 --> 0:34:28.960
<v Speaker 1>we will see central bank digital currencies be quite commonplace

0:34:29.320 --> 0:34:32.799
<v Speaker 1>within five years, and the form that this will take

0:34:32.880 --> 0:34:37.520
<v Speaker 1>is still being hotly debated. It has many potential efficiency features,

0:34:37.520 --> 0:34:39.640
<v Speaker 1>there are also some risks. We need to be careful.

0:34:39.960 --> 0:34:42.160
<v Speaker 1>But what is most interesting, and going back to what

0:34:42.200 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 1>you mentioned earlier about the terror implosion, is that this

0:34:46.160 --> 0:34:52.000
<v Speaker 1>will accelerate regulatory clarity not just about crypto assets, but

0:34:52.040 --> 0:34:55.920
<v Speaker 1>about stable coins, their potential use in global trade, their

0:34:55.920 --> 0:35:00.080
<v Speaker 1>potential convenience for consumer services as well. It's a as

0:35:00.160 --> 0:35:02.680
<v Speaker 1>a meeting field and standing here and right in the

0:35:02.719 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 1>middle of it where it's all happening, watching what is

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:08.120
<v Speaker 1>arguably one of the most profound transformations of how we

0:35:08.239 --> 0:35:13.120
<v Speaker 1>transact with each other as entities, as individuals, as sovereigns.

0:35:13.160 --> 0:35:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Even it's it's an exciting time to be looking at

0:35:16.200 --> 0:35:20.440
<v Speaker 1>this space now. Someone who is optimistic is Andreas and Harrow.

0:35:20.520 --> 0:35:23.680
<v Speaker 1>If they just announced a record for an half billion

0:35:23.719 --> 0:35:26.600
<v Speaker 1>dollar crypto fune, what do you make of the influence

0:35:26.640 --> 0:35:31.240
<v Speaker 1>that andreason Horowitz has on the cryptos ecosystem. More broadly,

0:35:31.400 --> 0:35:34.080
<v Speaker 1>They've got quite a bit of money at Stakecare. They

0:35:34.120 --> 0:35:35.959
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of money. They have a lot of money,

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:38.800
<v Speaker 1>and that's their main influence. But what they have announced

0:35:38.800 --> 0:35:42.040
<v Speaker 1>today is a reminder of just how much money is

0:35:42.040 --> 0:35:45.680
<v Speaker 1>still sitting on the sidelines. We've had a frothy time

0:35:45.719 --> 0:35:48.200
<v Speaker 1>of it in the crypto markets recently, certainly not because

0:35:48.200 --> 0:35:51.520
<v Speaker 1>of the price, but valuations have been very high, Hiring

0:35:51.560 --> 0:35:55.239
<v Speaker 1>has been very accelerated. I know of many investors who

0:35:55.320 --> 0:35:57.359
<v Speaker 1>have been accompla with this. They're sitting it out because

0:35:57.360 --> 0:35:59.680
<v Speaker 1>they think the valuations are crazy. I know of many

0:35:59.719 --> 0:36:02.720
<v Speaker 1>and burners that have walked out of initial pitch meetings

0:36:03.040 --> 0:36:06.240
<v Speaker 1>with signed term sheets, and many other investors and itcdotally

0:36:06.280 --> 0:36:08.000
<v Speaker 1>have told me that if they don't come up with

0:36:08.040 --> 0:36:09.880
<v Speaker 1>the term sheet after the first meeting, they're out of

0:36:09.920 --> 0:36:12.800
<v Speaker 1>the deals. That's kind of a crazy time. That's frothy,

0:36:12.920 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 1>not because of price, Unlike other frothy markets that we've had.

0:36:16.160 --> 0:36:18.720
<v Speaker 1>What happened in the market crash the week of maybe

0:36:18.719 --> 0:36:22.160
<v Speaker 1>eleventh is a cold, cold job of water, a j

0:36:22.160 --> 0:36:24.520
<v Speaker 1>are cold water on the entire system has knocked a

0:36:24.600 --> 0:36:27.279
<v Speaker 1>lot of the froth out. So the vast amount of

0:36:27.280 --> 0:36:29.320
<v Speaker 1>money that has been sitting on the sidelines, but a

0:36:29.400 --> 0:36:31.520
<v Speaker 1>lot of it coming from and recent horrowitz and their

0:36:31.520 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 1>funds will now have better opportunities in which to invest,

0:36:35.280 --> 0:36:36.960
<v Speaker 1>will be able to take their time and really do

0:36:37.040 --> 0:36:40.319
<v Speaker 1>some due diligence and perhaps be more careful. That's another thing.

0:36:40.320 --> 0:36:43.080
<v Speaker 1>The terror implosion reminded all of us that which we

0:36:43.160 --> 0:36:45.600
<v Speaker 1>do need to be careful and really think things through.

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:48.120
<v Speaker 1>The regulators also, no doubt, are going to be taking

0:36:48.120 --> 0:36:50.560
<v Speaker 1>a more careful look at some of the stable coins

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:53.759
<v Speaker 1>and some of the other projects, because protection is part

0:36:53.800 --> 0:36:56.960
<v Speaker 1>of their part of their role. But now that the

0:36:57.200 --> 0:36:59.760
<v Speaker 1>froth seems to have a slightly different tone, I expect

0:36:59.840 --> 0:37:02.880
<v Speaker 1>us to see different kinds of investment deals. There's a

0:37:02.880 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of money out there, a lot of belief in

0:37:05.480 --> 0:37:09.480
<v Speaker 1>the potential of the crypto industry to transform not just finance,

0:37:09.520 --> 0:37:12.560
<v Speaker 1>but many other aspects of our culture, and it's going

0:37:12.600 --> 0:37:15.239
<v Speaker 1>to be exciting. I wonder quickly, and I think about

0:37:15.239 --> 0:37:17.799
<v Speaker 1>a company like micro Strategy, how do you think these

0:37:17.840 --> 0:37:22.800
<v Speaker 1>massive price fluctuations are going to impact institutional sentiment quickly?

0:37:24.160 --> 0:37:26.520
<v Speaker 1>One thing that needs to change is the accounting principles

0:37:26.520 --> 0:37:28.960
<v Speaker 1>for companies like micro Strategy has a very different issue.

0:37:29.040 --> 0:37:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Institutional sentiment has taken a hit, but it is certainly

0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:33.640
<v Speaker 1>not gone away. This is something that we see a

0:37:33.719 --> 0:37:35.960
<v Speaker 1>Genesis every single day. We are still talking to them,

0:37:36.040 --> 0:37:38.440
<v Speaker 1>they are still investing, they are still trading, but a

0:37:38.480 --> 0:37:41.040
<v Speaker 1>bit more caution is definitely the tone that we're seeing.

0:37:41.960 --> 0:37:44.879
<v Speaker 1>All right now, I'll act to send Genesis trading. Thank

0:37:44.920 --> 0:37:47.239
<v Speaker 1>you for sharing your thoughts. Thank you very much. Money

0:37:48.320 --> 0:37:52.040
<v Speaker 1>coming up, the future of AI and keeping people safe

0:37:52.520 --> 0:37:56.000
<v Speaker 1>on the role then promoting fuel efficiency. I'll chat with

0:37:56.000 --> 0:38:22.799
<v Speaker 1>the CEO. Let's trying to make that happen. Let's talk

0:38:22.840 --> 0:38:25.200
<v Speaker 1>now about the future of AI and helping to make

0:38:25.360 --> 0:38:30.080
<v Speaker 1>driving safe. Motive, the tech company formally known as Keep Chucking,

0:38:30.280 --> 0:38:33.200
<v Speaker 1>just raised a new funding round at nearly three billion

0:38:33.239 --> 0:38:37.520
<v Speaker 1>dollar valuation, and it's planning to invest in artificial intelligence capabilities,

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:42.399
<v Speaker 1>including dash cams that can identify unsafe driving. For more.

0:38:42.520 --> 0:38:46.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm joined by Motive co founder and CEO Showing mccani Showy.

0:38:46.239 --> 0:38:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for joining us, so talk to

0:38:48.000 --> 0:38:51.480
<v Speaker 1>us about how the technology works, specifically the dash cams.

0:38:52.320 --> 0:38:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for having me. Yeah, it's great to be here.

0:38:54.600 --> 0:38:57.880
<v Speaker 1>Uh So, really a motive our mission is to unlock

0:38:58.360 --> 0:39:02.120
<v Speaker 1>the potential of the physical economy. We we serve industries

0:39:02.160 --> 0:39:07.920
<v Speaker 1>like construction, energy, transportation, agriculture. UH. And what we do

0:39:08.040 --> 0:39:12.080
<v Speaker 1>is we build technology that allows them to improve safety,

0:39:12.480 --> 0:39:15.400
<v Speaker 1>UH and productivity of their operations. One of our products,

0:39:15.480 --> 0:39:18.520
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned, is the AI dash Camp, which is

0:39:18.760 --> 0:39:23.319
<v Speaker 1>really a market leading technology that helps our customers understand

0:39:23.400 --> 0:39:25.800
<v Speaker 1>how their drivers are performing on the road and actually

0:39:25.840 --> 0:39:29.640
<v Speaker 1>in real time improved driving performance by observing the driver

0:39:30.120 --> 0:39:33.560
<v Speaker 1>and and alerting them of unsafe behaviors. UM. You know,

0:39:33.600 --> 0:39:38.080
<v Speaker 1>in in our analysis, we've we've observed almost a twenty

0:39:38.080 --> 0:39:42.319
<v Speaker 1>two percent reduction in accidents and road fatalities for our

0:39:42.360 --> 0:39:45.640
<v Speaker 1>customers who deploy this technology. Who are your customers and

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:49.200
<v Speaker 1>one of the growth opportunities you see ahead? Yeah, we

0:39:49.200 --> 0:39:52.520
<v Speaker 1>we we serve really what we call the physical economy. UM.

0:39:52.560 --> 0:39:57.120
<v Speaker 1>These are industries that move things, build stuff, serve customers

0:39:57.120 --> 0:40:02.879
<v Speaker 1>in the physical world, industries like construction, agriculture, transportation, logistics. UH.

0:40:02.920 --> 0:40:05.880
<v Speaker 1>And and really it's a segment of the economy that

0:40:05.920 --> 0:40:09.480
<v Speaker 1>has been underserved from a technology perspective. UM. These industries

0:40:09.520 --> 0:40:13.800
<v Speaker 1>haven't had a modern technology to drive the efficiency gains,

0:40:13.880 --> 0:40:17.279
<v Speaker 1>the productivity gains that are necessary for them to keep

0:40:17.360 --> 0:40:21.960
<v Speaker 1>up with what is a continuously expanding demand for their

0:40:21.960 --> 0:40:24.879
<v Speaker 1>output and so we we built technology that enables these

0:40:24.880 --> 0:40:29.760
<v Speaker 1>businesses to drive. So let's talk about what you're gonna

0:40:29.800 --> 0:40:33.560
<v Speaker 1>do with this funding. You know, do you have expansion

0:40:33.600 --> 0:40:38.239
<v Speaker 1>plans in mind, perhaps beyond the United States? Yeah? We

0:40:38.280 --> 0:40:42.399
<v Speaker 1>well so, so you know, we were definitely investing in growth. Uh,

0:40:42.600 --> 0:40:45.719
<v Speaker 1>monitoring the macro environment and the health of our customers

0:40:45.719 --> 0:40:48.760
<v Speaker 1>closely to make sure that we're taking the right actions

0:40:48.880 --> 0:40:50.920
<v Speaker 1>and make sure we can we can build great products

0:40:50.920 --> 0:40:54.480
<v Speaker 1>for them. But but also uh, you know, react to

0:40:54.560 --> 0:40:58.200
<v Speaker 1>what is it evolving market condition? Uh importantly, you know,

0:40:58.239 --> 0:41:02.120
<v Speaker 1>our customers are facing incredib inflationary pressures. Uh. The cost

0:41:02.160 --> 0:41:05.399
<v Speaker 1>of their inputs is is rising. Uh, and and our

0:41:05.440 --> 0:41:09.359
<v Speaker 1>technology and that sense actually can be fundamentally deflationary. If

0:41:09.400 --> 0:41:13.440
<v Speaker 1>we deliver on our promise of driving safety, productivity, helping

0:41:13.440 --> 0:41:16.440
<v Speaker 1>them actually reduce their fuel costs, their maintenance cost we

0:41:16.480 --> 0:41:20.040
<v Speaker 1>can help these businesses be more efficient and to thrive

0:41:20.400 --> 0:41:23.440
<v Speaker 1>no matter what happens in the macro environment. Um. And

0:41:23.480 --> 0:41:26.080
<v Speaker 1>so so we were very much investing in growth. Uh.

0:41:26.120 --> 0:41:29.920
<v Speaker 1>There's three really key areas that we're doubling down. Number one,

0:41:29.960 --> 0:41:33.600
<v Speaker 1>AI powered automation. We think the source of operating leverage

0:41:33.600 --> 0:41:36.759
<v Speaker 1>for the physical economy is going to come through productivity

0:41:36.800 --> 0:41:41.160
<v Speaker 1>gains that are happy that happens through automation. UM number two. Uh,

0:41:41.280 --> 0:41:45.200
<v Speaker 1>we're investing in fintech. Uh. So we recently launched the

0:41:45.239 --> 0:41:48.800
<v Speaker 1>Motive Card. It's a zero fee corporate card that helps

0:41:48.800 --> 0:41:52.560
<v Speaker 1>our customers save on fuel, maintenance, tires, the things that

0:41:52.600 --> 0:41:55.440
<v Speaker 1>they spend money on. UM, but also uh, you know,

0:41:55.560 --> 0:41:57.640
<v Speaker 1>give them controls to be able to reduce fraud and

0:41:57.680 --> 0:42:00.719
<v Speaker 1>reduce excess spend. And so we're be doubling down there

0:42:00.760 --> 0:42:03.480
<v Speaker 1>and then also going up market serving larger and larger customers.

0:42:04.560 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 1>All Right, Showy mccannie, co founder and CEO of Motive,

0:42:08.400 --> 0:42:11.160
<v Speaker 1>We'll keep watching you. And that does it for this

0:42:11.320 --> 0:42:14.720
<v Speaker 1>edition of Bloomberg Technology. We are back here tomorrow Thomas

0:42:14.760 --> 0:42:18.120
<v Speaker 1>Carrie and the CEO of Google Cloud. We'll be with us.

0:42:18.480 --> 0:42:20.239
<v Speaker 1>You don't want to miss it, and don't forget to

0:42:20.280 --> 0:42:23.120
<v Speaker 1>check out our podcast. You can find that anywhere you

0:42:23.200 --> 0:42:26.759
<v Speaker 1>get your podcast. To get your daily Bloomberg Tech ground up.

0:42:27.040 --> 0:43:00.800
<v Speaker 1>I'm Emily Changing in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg's eight