1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock that we 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast Network. This is the 3 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,040 Speaker 1: betting show that makes the square sharper and makes the 4 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Nouman. I am 5 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: joined by my cost my bff, Mike Companion, mikem Fadre 6 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: professional better signon Hunter, Hello Simon. 7 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: Chad, good morning to you, my good friend. 8 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:26,079 Speaker 1: Good morning on the first Sunday of the NFL season 9 00:00:26,560 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. This is this We're calling this like 10 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: the stripped down in the room easdropping version of Sharper 11 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:37,599 Speaker 1: Square because this will be doing on Sunday mornings going forward. 12 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,040 Speaker 1: And as most listeners know, you and I have been 13 00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:44,520 Speaker 1: doing contests for years, whether or not people were able 14 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: to play along, and on that Sunday morning of the 15 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: NFL season, when we're putting in our final picks, you 16 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: and I would be having a conversation about what the 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 1: final five picks should be. And it was just us 18 00:00:59,280 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: basically arguing and debating with each other over the final 19 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 1: five picks for about ten or fifteen minutes. We decided, 20 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: like before Sunday kickoffs for this season, we're going to 21 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 1: let people into the room where it happens, so they 22 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:18,320 Speaker 1: can get in real time what we're planning on doing 23 00:01:20,080 --> 00:01:24,200 Speaker 1: because things change, like we might want to make picks 24 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:26,480 Speaker 1: that are on the wrong on the right side of 25 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:29,360 Speaker 1: massive line moves over the past forty eight hours, injuries, 26 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:32,479 Speaker 1: et cetera. Stuff changes since Thursday. So now you get 27 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: to hear all of that convo. Are you ready sign it? 28 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 3: I am, And people should know we're going to do 29 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:42,759 Speaker 3: our best not to make too many changes right now. 30 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,399 Speaker 2: People hear what our five are. 31 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:47,240 Speaker 3: It's the same five I put in Tuesday. So if 32 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:50,560 Speaker 3: we make changes today, we can't help. But people, we're 33 00:01:50,600 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 3: just like, we're like all of you right the Sunday 34 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:55,400 Speaker 3: Morning panic is real. And I looked at it my 35 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 3: lineup this morning. I woke up and it's like, how 36 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:00,480 Speaker 3: do you not overthink every thing you do? 37 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:00,800 Speaker 2: Right? 38 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 3: So, yeah, I'm I'm loving this this new routine we're 39 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 3: doing here. I think it's really gonna be funny show 40 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 3: unhinged we are by week seven eight, So yeah, right now, 41 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,040 Speaker 3: CD very happy. Life is good. It's gonna be interesting 42 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 3: how this Sunday show keeps going throughout this season. 43 00:02:15,919 --> 00:02:17,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, we're gonna be We're gonna be quick, cause I 44 00:02:17,480 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 1: know people are trying to do a lot of things 45 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,680 Speaker 1: on Sunday morning. So the idea isn't here deep. The 46 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:24,360 Speaker 1: idea here isn't deep dives into every game. It's just 47 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 1: quick recap on where we stand and how honestly Saturday 48 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: and Sunday, I was like, I don't know, making breakfast 49 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:35,079 Speaker 1: or something yesterday and this morning too when I woke up, 50 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: I had like a little tingle because I'm like, all right, 51 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 1: I get to check lines. I get to see how 52 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: things have changed. I get to see if some of 53 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: the numbers I want have moved in my direction, have 54 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 1: they moved away from me? And am I going to 55 00:02:46,600 --> 00:02:49,760 Speaker 1: be an idiot and just chase the number? Anyways? Because 56 00:02:50,200 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 1: I feel like this is my last best chance. I'm 57 00:02:52,160 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: trying to be really focusing, disciplined. So a couple of 58 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: things to think about. The contests Simon and I play, 59 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: they lock lines at different times, So we might talk 60 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: about games where lines of locked on Tuesday or Wednesday. 61 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: If we're playing that locked line from a Tuesday or Wednesday, 62 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: we're not going to recommend you played in a contest 63 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: that has lines locking. 64 00:03:11,800 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 2: Today. 65 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,080 Speaker 1: We'll give you some alternatives, So don't worry. We're not 66 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: going to leave you in the literature. Simon first game, 67 00:03:18,760 --> 00:03:24,440 Speaker 1: like Tennessee at Denver, your choice for brass Balls, you 68 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 1: own it. I will happily accept the w if it works, 69 00:03:29,880 --> 00:03:33,560 Speaker 1: and joyfully remind you of your mistakes later tonight. If 70 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 1: it doesn't, any regrets hearing anything to change your mind. 71 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: At this point, the hard rock bet line on this 72 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: game is eight. I don't know what our contest line is. 73 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:44,600 Speaker 1: Is it seven and a half? 74 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 2: Yeah? Contests seven and a half, So it's just like 75 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: the Cowboys. 76 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 3: I love the Cowboys. This week our contest was six 77 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 3: and a half. We didn't play like if it was 78 00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 3: eight and a half in our contest, we would have 79 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 3: played Cowboys. 80 00:03:56,280 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 2: It's the same thing here with Tennessee. 81 00:03:57,880 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 3: I like Tennessee, but why would I be betting so 82 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 3: much eight and a half? And now we're playing our 83 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:06,440 Speaker 3: most important contest of the year at seven and a half, 84 00:04:06,480 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 3: so we can force it in if we want to. 85 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 3: But to me, there's better better numbers out there. And 86 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 3: if this number of lands on eight and we lose 87 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 3: this contest, I would lose my mind about that. 88 00:04:17,600 --> 00:04:21,400 Speaker 2: Cause again, people were sticklers. We might annoy you. We're 89 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 2: talking about how me and Chat always want the best 90 00:04:22,880 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 2: of the number. We get it right. The first two 91 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:26,839 Speaker 2: games that spread did not matter. 92 00:04:27,480 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 3: One game this week will matter on the spread, and 93 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:31,840 Speaker 3: that of course will be the game Mean Chat put 94 00:04:31,920 --> 00:04:34,680 Speaker 3: our contest. So we are sticklers about it because we've 95 00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:37,159 Speaker 3: been burned by the half a point by. 96 00:04:37,040 --> 00:04:40,400 Speaker 2: The point, you know, like Dallas, I really loved it. 97 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:41,760 Speaker 3: If it was seven and a half, I think I 98 00:04:41,800 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 3: could have forced us to take it. But at six 99 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 3: and a half, Mean Chat aren't going to take a 100 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 3: line that's off by two points just because we love it. 101 00:04:48,720 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 2: So that's what people have to work us here. 102 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 3: There's some games that we'll put in sometimes that even 103 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 3: if we don't love it, it's the values too insane 104 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 3: to pass on and we're just playing the long term 105 00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 3: odds here. So yeah, the Tennessee game, I do love it, Chat, 106 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:04,919 Speaker 3: I still love it. It's seven and a half for 107 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 3: our current test. I don't know if it's gonna be 108 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 3: one of our four. 109 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:11,520 Speaker 2: Best picks five best picks. I already put Chargers in, brother, 110 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 2: So oh you did? 111 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: I didn't even know that? 112 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 2: No, no, all right, yeah, we're already up one nothing 113 00:05:18,120 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 2: brother three. 114 00:05:19,480 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: Look at us, all right, we got we had the Chargers. 115 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:23,880 Speaker 1: What was the final line in the Chargers three and. 116 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 2: A half or three and a half? 117 00:05:25,480 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: All right, so we had chargers three and a half. Uh, 118 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:32,159 Speaker 1: we're gonna have to get better at telegraphing this for 119 00:05:32,240 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: our listeners as we go through the SAT. 120 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 3: On the show, auto play three and a half Chargers 121 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 3: contest line. So I get what you're saying, but yeah, 122 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 3: I just I don't want to put anything on social media. 123 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 3: If you want our if you want our contest plays, 124 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:46,520 Speaker 3: this is where you're gonna have to find it. 125 00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:52,039 Speaker 1: That's fair. That's fair, all right. Cincinnati and Cleveland still 126 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:53,839 Speaker 1: love it. The hard rocked bet line is five and 127 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:56,280 Speaker 1: a half is five, The contest line is five and 128 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:56,679 Speaker 1: a half. 129 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:02,200 Speaker 3: Book it locked in so like again, one of the 130 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 3: five players I put in on Tuesday Cleveland plus five 131 00:06:05,080 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 3: and a half. 132 00:06:05,400 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 2: So we'll keep it in there. 133 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: Baltimore at Buffalo. The hard reck bet line is Baltimore 134 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:14,280 Speaker 1: minus one. Full disclosure. I played at minus one. We 135 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,560 Speaker 1: talked about it on the show. It was our rock 136 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:18,520 Speaker 1: and a hard Place, Hard Rock Better of the Week, 137 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: Baltimore at minus one. We don't love playing games where 138 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:25,000 Speaker 1: the Linus flipped from Baltimore as an underdog to Baltimore 139 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: as a favorite. Those are scary, sticky spots to play. 140 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 1: But in the lot, in the contest lines we play, 141 00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: it's a plus one and a half. We're locking it day. 142 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, and people listening to the show, I'd bet up 143 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 3: to minus two. So if you're out there and you 144 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 3: can still get the minus one and a half, I'd 145 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:46,920 Speaker 3: still take this on the Ravens live betting. And you know, 146 00:06:46,960 --> 00:06:49,000 Speaker 3: this is a game that both teams have injuries to 147 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:51,920 Speaker 3: different positions, and obviously at the end of the day, 148 00:06:51,960 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 3: the biggest weakness to meet this matchup is the Bills secondary. 149 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,000 Speaker 3: So I do think we have a huge advantage with 150 00:06:57,040 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 3: this Ravens passing offense. And we meet chat talking nauseum. 151 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:03,600 Speaker 3: This is regular season, Lamar. This is exactly where we 152 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 3: want to back them, this exact spot. So, yeah, what 153 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 3: I've loved to have him as a dog. Yes, those 154 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:10,960 Speaker 3: that would have been really nice to give it out 155 00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:13,560 Speaker 3: this morning as a dog once again, but the line 156 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 3: has flipped. I'm telling you I'd still been up to 157 00:07:15,600 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 3: minus two and me and Chad we're taking it plus 158 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:18,960 Speaker 3: one and a half in the contest. 159 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:23,160 Speaker 1: Detroit at Green Bay. Look, this is my Chad Loves Love. 160 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 1: When it was at two and a half, it's now 161 00:07:27,440 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: one and a half at hard Rock Bet it's one 162 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 1: and a half in the contest. I feel like we 163 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 1: got to pass on this one. The value has moved 164 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: away from us. I was sort of holding out hoping 165 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 1: it would get to three. Like I said, I'm trying 166 00:07:45,600 --> 00:07:49,680 Speaker 1: to be super thoughtful this year and not just AutoPlay 167 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: a bet because my spidy senses are saying this is 168 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:56,600 Speaker 1: the right side or there's too much value, so I 169 00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: don't want to force this in at all. We're not 170 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 1: getting the best. The number two and a half is 171 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: the right value. Two and a half has become a 172 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: key number. The market is recognized that maybe there was 173 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: some inflation on the packers. Not a play for me. 174 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 3: Okay, yeah, so this is another game that this is 175 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 3: one of the five I put in for us on Tuesday, 176 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:18,720 Speaker 3: And my view of it was we got to put 177 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 3: one super chalky public play right now. That could be 178 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 3: the Ravens, so we don't have to force in the lines. 179 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:26,680 Speaker 3: Like you said, we do love the lines, but yeah, 180 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 3: it's not the best number and It is by. 181 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:30,920 Speaker 2: Far the biggest public dog of the week. I mean 182 00:08:30,960 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 2: it is everyone I talk to. 183 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:35,679 Speaker 3: It's all Detroit money for what meants I believe is 184 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:37,640 Speaker 3: good reason. So okay, we don't have to force that 185 00:08:37,679 --> 00:08:39,120 Speaker 3: went in. There are some other lines we can put 186 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 3: it instead of that. Once, I'll switch it out. 187 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:42,960 Speaker 1: So right now, just to recap, we've got Chargers at 188 00:08:42,960 --> 00:08:45,079 Speaker 1: three and a half. We already covered that one. We're 189 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 1: putting in Cleveland five and a half. We're putting in 190 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: Baltimore plus one and a half. We like Baltimore up 191 00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 1: to minus two, so if you're in a contest and 192 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:56,080 Speaker 1: you're getting Baltimore minus one, have no fear play it. 193 00:08:56,960 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: We're passing on Detroit at plus one and a half 194 00:09:00,000 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: because we like the value at two and a half. 195 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 1: I'll own that. If it works out and we end 196 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,840 Speaker 1: up losing a game that we put in because we 197 00:09:06,880 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: took Detroit out, I'm going to eat it, no problem. 198 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,560 Speaker 1: All right, then, we got a bunch of games to 199 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:20,200 Speaker 1: debate here, So we got three in right now, Pittsburgh 200 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 1: and New York Jets. This line has been sort of 201 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: hanging around three all weekend, but this morning it's been 202 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 1: moving in the Jets direction, it's at two and a half. 203 00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:33,120 Speaker 1: It's two and a half at hard rot Bet, it's 204 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:36,400 Speaker 1: two and a half in the contest. I don't know, brother, 205 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:40,319 Speaker 1: this one coming off the three scares me a little bit. 206 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's it's definitely a pros Verst jaws with the 207 00:09:45,080 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 3: pros are lining up on the. 208 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:47,840 Speaker 2: Jets team and the public. 209 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 3: They keep coming in heavy on this Pittsburgh side, And 210 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 3: for me looking at this matchup, a lot of things 211 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 3: I do love about the Jets, and I love this number. 212 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 3: But Chad's right, we love it at three. We were 213 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 3: hoping for three and a half. In contest. We're sitting 214 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:04,680 Speaker 3: here Sunday morning, it's two and a half. You'll see 215 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 3: I didn't even have this one in on Tuesday. I 216 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 3: love this game, but there's just other games I love more. 217 00:10:08,960 --> 00:10:09,760 Speaker 2: This week. 218 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:13,920 Speaker 1: Las Vegas at New England, Las Vegas is two and 219 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: a half. Right now, it touched the three. It just 220 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:21,440 Speaker 1: kissed the three, little tiny peck now is it two 221 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 1: and a half everywhere including hard Rock Bat. It's like 222 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,760 Speaker 1: they're really making it hard on us right now. The 223 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: Jets are two and a half, the Raiders at two 224 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:35,120 Speaker 1: and a half. I played both of these games at three. 225 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,440 Speaker 1: I probably feel better putting the Raiders in at two 226 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: and a half than the Jets at two and a half. 227 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:43,040 Speaker 1: Do you have an opinion on that? 228 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:46,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, once again, I love the Raiders are just other 229 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 3: games I love more. 230 00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:47,679 Speaker 2: So, It's another game. 231 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,400 Speaker 3: I didn't put it in first on Tuesday, and my 232 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 3: view of it was a little bit the same thing. Right, 233 00:10:52,200 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 3: I didn't know that Christian Gonzalez was out yet, so 234 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 3: I could be tucked into it. Right, He's Christian gonzalezes out, which. 235 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 2: Is arguably their best player. 236 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 3: You know the kid they drafted, you know, he's got 237 00:11:04,360 --> 00:11:06,319 Speaker 3: a tall task today. I think was Will Howard, I 238 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 3: forget the name of the Will Campbell has a big 239 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:12,240 Speaker 3: ask today. He's a rookie, asked the draft they drafted, 240 00:11:12,280 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 3: asked to block Max Crosby. 241 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 2: Like to me, we have advantages. 242 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 3: That we can attack and exploit here with this Raiders team, 243 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:21,200 Speaker 3: and this is a good match for them in many ways. 244 00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, I'm trying to 245 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 2: stay true to it. 246 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,480 Speaker 3: Chad, where it's I love the Raiders season long, and 247 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 3: I'm worried I'm being a little too blind to it. 248 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 3: Where I'm so heavily invested this game, and there's just 249 00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 3: so much I like about this team compared to this 250 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 3: New England team. And yeah, I'm like, I already know 251 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 3: I'm gonna kick myself if I don't take this one 252 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:42,360 Speaker 3: and they cover. But like I said, there's there's other 253 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 3: games I like more, and I just did not put 254 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:45,760 Speaker 3: this one in first Tuesday. So if you want to 255 00:11:45,760 --> 00:11:47,319 Speaker 3: be the breaker and this is the game you want 256 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,439 Speaker 3: to force in, I'm not going to stop you. But 257 00:11:49,440 --> 00:11:50,719 Speaker 3: I think there's other games We're gonna go through the 258 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:52,679 Speaker 3: list here that you might you might like better. 259 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 1: Well, the last one I want to bring up. I 260 00:11:54,520 --> 00:11:56,520 Speaker 1: know we got three in so far, we need two more. 261 00:11:56,600 --> 00:11:59,679 Speaker 1: San Francisco at Seattle. Seattle is plus two and a 262 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:03,320 Speaker 1: half the contest plus one right now at most books, 263 00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,079 Speaker 1: including hard Rock BET. I feel like you're going to 264 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 1: tell me you love this game and that you have 265 00:12:09,040 --> 00:12:12,120 Speaker 1: done all the research and now with questions about McCaffrey 266 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: and like you talked about on Thursday, Kubeak's ability to 267 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: create a rush scheme that takes advantage of the outside 268 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: lanes where the Niners don't have the same personnel that 269 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: they used to and that could be a spot and 270 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: you like the Seahawks defense. I feel like you were 271 00:12:29,320 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 1: going to tell me we got to play the number 272 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:34,560 Speaker 1: here because the value is so is so huge on Seattle. 273 00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 2: It isn't it. 274 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,120 Speaker 3: It really does come down to the Caffrey injury, right, 275 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:40,920 Speaker 3: And I think I was very confident coming to this 276 00:12:40,960 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 3: week about the Seahawks team loving the matchup. And I 277 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:45,920 Speaker 3: mean I could not walk through a sportsbook about a 278 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 3: pro come up to me and asking me what my 279 00:12:47,600 --> 00:12:49,280 Speaker 3: redos on this game and how much they love it 280 00:12:49,559 --> 00:12:51,839 Speaker 3: if they're ever thinking, and I'd agree with them. We we 281 00:12:51,920 --> 00:12:54,319 Speaker 3: just talked about, right, I love the Seahawks defense. I 282 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:55,840 Speaker 3: think they're going to match up really well against this 283 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 3: forty nine ers team. And then the secondary of the 284 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 3: forty nine or Droid like you just talked about, they've 285 00:13:00,280 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 3: lost really key pieces and free agency to injury to 286 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 3: the years. Right now, they have a really young secondary. 287 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:08,559 Speaker 3: They're gonna be tested by this run blocking scheme. Are 288 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,120 Speaker 3: these corners gonna step up and tackle? Are there safety? 289 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:13,160 Speaker 3: Is gonna play downhill and make the right place. So 290 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 3: a lot of questions to me about this Fortinitans defense 291 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 3: where Seattle I know exactly the defensive scheme I'm gonna 292 00:13:19,640 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 3: get and now if there's no McCaffrey and their main 293 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 3: focus would be shutting just down party. I mean, come on, 294 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 3: that is such a huge matchup and such a big 295 00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 3: deal for the Seahawks defense. So yeah, you nailed it. 296 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,440 Speaker 3: It's really about the number plus two and a half. 297 00:13:33,480 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 3: We love it. You know most books out there, I 298 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:37,319 Speaker 3: think the best you can get now is plus one 299 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 3: and a half. So if you missed the Seahawks, you 300 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 3: didn't take it when we talked about it on Thursday, 301 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 3: Just be patient, Right, McCaffrey gets cleared easily, will bump 302 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 3: back couple points, This will go go right back to 303 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 3: two and a half. Still could see the fort Niners winning, 304 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:52,959 Speaker 3: But the key number, Like we talked about, two and 305 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 3: a half, this feels like divisional game close and grueling 306 00:13:56,160 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 3: home Divisional dog Week one. Yeah, I can't avoid. I 307 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:01,840 Speaker 3: know we already have one in there with Cleveland, but 308 00:14:01,840 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 3: this is another one. I just I love this matchup 309 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 3: with this number for this team, in this exact spot. 310 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: We are crazy excited to announce our new presenting sponsor, 311 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:14,800 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. I don't know if you know this. 312 00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: I've got a very long history of staying at hard 313 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:25,280 Speaker 1: Rock hotels and casinos, including one football season practically living there. Literally, 314 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 1: they've always been to me the best combination of vibe 315 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,520 Speaker 1: and fun. Now you can use the top rated hard 316 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:37,800 Speaker 1: Rock Bet sportsbook to place your bets all NFL season 317 00:14:38,160 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: and beyond. 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If you 341 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 1: are someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, 342 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: call one eight hundred and nine with it gambling problem 343 00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: called one eight hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee. 344 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,280 Speaker 1: For ja, Hi, what are we missing? 345 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 3: So I'm gonna throw it out there and you give 346 00:16:29,320 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 3: me your opinion because we didn't talk much about this game. 347 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 3: And this is strictly based off contest playing line value. 348 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 2: The Jaguars right now are up to four and a half. 349 00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:39,720 Speaker 3: I believe hard Rock has them at four in Jersey 350 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:44,720 Speaker 3: here contest Chad minus two and a half. The Jaguars, 351 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 3: so that is very tempting where we don't love them. 352 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 3: We have a lot of questions, but we both agreed 353 00:16:51,080 --> 00:16:54,760 Speaker 3: much better offense, much better defense than the Panthers, and 354 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:58,600 Speaker 3: you know, it's it's it's a lot to take in. 355 00:16:58,680 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 3: But at two and a half, we're two points of 356 00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:05,560 Speaker 3: value and week one that's that's a lot. So it's 357 00:17:05,600 --> 00:17:08,160 Speaker 3: a game that we didn't talk much about. But it's 358 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 3: minus two and a half right now. Jaguar's at home 359 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 3: and the line live is at minus four and a half, 360 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:15,399 Speaker 3: So you don't have the SAYD thing now, let that 361 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:16,280 Speaker 3: simmer just from that. 362 00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 1: I don't want to I don't want to react one 363 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: way or the other. I've been I'm not gonna lie 364 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,359 Speaker 1: to you. That game's been on my mind and I 365 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 1: feel like I don't want to be Panther blind, right, 366 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: and like that's been a failing of ours. We we 367 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: over indexed on the Panthers last year. It didn't work 368 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 1: out for us in the first half and then it 369 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:43,960 Speaker 1: crushed for us in the second half. So I don't 370 00:17:44,000 --> 00:17:46,640 Speaker 1: want to think, Okay, Bryce Young he can fix everything 371 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 1: when he's got no receivers and their defenses and shambles. 372 00:17:50,840 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 1: I don't want to over index on thinking. Okay, Liam 373 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:54,840 Speaker 1: Cohne is going to fix everything, because like you said 374 00:17:54,840 --> 00:17:57,639 Speaker 1: on Thursday, everyone said Trevor Lawrence was eight and three 375 00:17:57,720 --> 00:17:59,240 Speaker 1: until they got injured. In the last two years have 376 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:04,520 Speaker 1: been terrible. We get it. Two and a half is sneaky, 377 00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:09,560 Speaker 1: hard to avoid, and we do like having a favorite 378 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:13,280 Speaker 1: in there that is not just like a Baltimore minus one, right, 379 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 1: sort of a relatively chalky home favorite, which is what 380 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,000 Speaker 1: the Jags are turning into with some line value. 381 00:18:19,040 --> 00:18:21,199 Speaker 3: Okay, I like it, that's what stuff because I know 382 00:18:21,240 --> 00:18:24,240 Speaker 3: pros who love like they've been betting the Jags at three. 383 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 2: They've been bet in the Jags of minus three and 384 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: a half. 385 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 3: They're even taking the minus four And that's why you're 386 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 3: seeing the four and a half pop now, just because 387 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,640 Speaker 3: the pros, I think they're with Chad coming into the year. 388 00:18:33,680 --> 00:18:35,679 Speaker 2: They just love the idea of the upgrade of that 389 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:36,639 Speaker 2: the coach position. 390 00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:40,080 Speaker 3: And Liam Cohenen, you know, now we're in a spot 391 00:18:40,119 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 3: here that me and Chad might be actually taking the 392 00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:45,960 Speaker 3: Jaguars in our contest because the line value is just 393 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 3: too good to pass up. 394 00:18:46,880 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 2: And like Chad said, we need a favorite. 395 00:18:49,640 --> 00:18:51,640 Speaker 3: That's our Achilles heel of people for near the show, 396 00:18:51,720 --> 00:18:54,280 Speaker 3: me and Chad only picked dogs, and we're sitting here 397 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 3: right now, we don't have a single favorite pick that 398 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 3: would be our first favorite pick. The only other game 399 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:01,320 Speaker 3: that jumped out to me, a game we talked all week. 400 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:04,160 Speaker 3: Just want to know your head's at Miami plus one 401 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 3: and a half, Chad, this is your baby. You love it. 402 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,120 Speaker 3: Still you're getting cold feet. It's another spot that it's 403 00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 3: super public, it's super chalky. But I told Chad, I 404 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,720 Speaker 3: can squim my eye and I see it. I see 405 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 3: exactly what he's saying in this matchup, that it's Miami 406 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 3: two indoors against a really bad secondary. Everybody's healthy. This 407 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 3: is not a bang up Miami team. So it's tough. 408 00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:29,000 Speaker 3: It's tough. I see exactly what you're saying. But yeah, 409 00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,280 Speaker 3: it's I love it. 410 00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:35,639 Speaker 1: I want it. I'm so glad you're listing it. I 411 00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:38,199 Speaker 1: actually had it on the list, and then I just 412 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:40,000 Speaker 1: didn't want to bring it up again because I felt 413 00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:41,119 Speaker 1: like you were gonna laugh at me. 414 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 2: So yes, please, So you want you want them over 415 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 2: the Jags? 416 00:19:48,320 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: I almost want the Jags over the Seahawks. Like you 417 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 1: love the Seahawks, right, So, well, who do you like 418 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:57,159 Speaker 1: better between the Jags and the Seahawks. 419 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:01,440 Speaker 3: In my in real world life, I am way more 420 00:20:01,440 --> 00:20:03,080 Speaker 3: heavily bet into the Seahawks. 421 00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 2: I never got the good number on the Jaguars. I 422 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:05,879 Speaker 2: was late to the party. 423 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,800 Speaker 3: I just I don't know what I want to do 424 00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 3: with that game, and by the time it already crossed 425 00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 3: the three, I had no money bet on it. So 426 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,720 Speaker 3: if you're asking me which one I actually have real 427 00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,040 Speaker 3: sweat and money invested, it's Seahawks and I've been close. 428 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 3: But again for contest, I don't care about that, Like, 429 00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 3: I'm just trying. 430 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:23,399 Speaker 2: To win a million. 431 00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:27,040 Speaker 3: Dollars with you, so like, yeah, I'm I'm cool either way. 432 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 3: But yeah, to me, if I'm going line value, yeah, 433 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 3: there's no doubt it's it's Jaguars. 434 00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's the Jacks. So last one out 435 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:41,080 Speaker 1: is going to be Seattle. And we'll review this later 436 00:20:41,119 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 1: tonight and see how miserable we are. 437 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:47,280 Speaker 3: So you want it to be our fight in Miami 438 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:55,080 Speaker 3: Cleveland Ravens, and we're switching out Seattle put in the Jaguars. 439 00:20:54,560 --> 00:20:59,280 Speaker 1: Yes, and no Tennessee because of the plus seven and 440 00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: a half and no Jets and Raiders because it's plus 441 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 1: two and a half not three. Okay, so that the 442 00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 1: final Remember we had the Chargers, so we're already one 443 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:17,200 Speaker 1: to know the final four for today. Cleveland plus five 444 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 1: and a half. Baltimore we like him at minus one. 445 00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:25,639 Speaker 1: It's plus one and a half in our contest. The 446 00:21:25,640 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 1: the Dolphins plus one and a half. It's about plus 447 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,560 Speaker 1: one plus one and a half at most books, no difference, 448 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: Jags minus two and a half. It's been bet up 449 00:21:35,040 --> 00:21:37,520 Speaker 1: to four and a half in a lot of books, 450 00:21:37,520 --> 00:21:40,880 Speaker 1: so minus four at hard Rock Bet. So those are 451 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 1: the picks as of right now. That's what we're going 452 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:50,640 Speaker 1: to put in. That's what we will be rooting for today. 453 00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:51,600 Speaker 1: I'm feeling pretty good. 454 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:51,919 Speaker 2: Simon. 455 00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:54,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, and people listening, put your five picks in the 456 00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 3: YouTube comments. Let us see who you guys are taking 457 00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 3: for your contest. And you know, obviously before our show 458 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:05,640 Speaker 3: Sunday night, I'll post the exact games we did take 459 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 3: and prove to everyone, all the doubters that we actually 460 00:22:08,840 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 3: took these teams in the contest before we do our 461 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 3: Sunday night show and hopefully we do the show coming 462 00:22:13,320 --> 00:22:15,919 Speaker 3: in four and no brother. So yeah, I'm pretty excited 463 00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:17,120 Speaker 3: for today in the games ahead. 464 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:19,159 Speaker 1: All right, this has been Sharper Square, part of the 465 00:22:19,240 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 1: Volume podcast Network. We will be back on Sharper Square 466 00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 1: on YouTube tonight lot at seven point thirty to recap 467 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,359 Speaker 1: all the misery and glory of the day. Watch or 468 00:22:30,400 --> 00:22:33,000 Speaker 1: listen on YouTube at sharper Square. Like the video, subscribe 469 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,440 Speaker 1: to the channel. Also download us with Spotify, Apple Pods 470 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 1: wherever you get your pods, rate review, subscribe. Most importantly, 471 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: do all these things because feedback is always give and 472 00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 1: it helps make the show easier fine for everyone. Until tonight, 473 00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:53,760 Speaker 1: Love you,