WEBVTT - COVID-19 Chapter 18: Conservation & Pandemics

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<v Speaker 1>My name is Mierica and I've been a vetinary systant

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<v Speaker 1>for almost four years and I'm currently in the middle

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<v Speaker 1>of completing my Veternary Technician diploma. I work in Vancouver, BC, Canada,

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<v Speaker 1>and have been working throughout the COVID nineteen pandemic along

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<v Speaker 1>with everyone else in the field, as we redeemed an

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<v Speaker 1>essential service. As a vetinary assistant, I am exposed to

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<v Speaker 1>stress and trauma on a daily basis. I witness pain

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<v Speaker 1>and suffering of both animals and their owners, and I

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<v Speaker 1>am often holding animals as they take those hard final breaths.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not all puppies and kittens. Clients are stressed and anxious,

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<v Speaker 1>and they often take it out on the staff. Throughout COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>we have implemented a client free policy and only allow

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<v Speaker 1>patients into and out of the building. While this helps

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<v Speaker 1>keep us safe, it also poses a bunch of logistical obstacles.

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<v Speaker 1>We went from normal practice to a brand new way

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<v Speaker 1>of operation we have never had to do before. Overnight.

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<v Speaker 1>We split our staff into two teams and spent the

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<v Speaker 1>next nine months working short staffed. Clients were angry they

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<v Speaker 1>could no longer come inside with their beloved pets and

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<v Speaker 1>many thought we were over exaggerating this COVID thing. I

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<v Speaker 1>personally was working one month on overnights and one month

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<v Speaker 1>off overnights for months on end, and I was exhausted.

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<v Speaker 1>Oftentimes I was on my own and having to deal

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<v Speaker 1>with an angry client as well as sick patients. Veterinary

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<v Speaker 1>medicine is hard even in the best of times. Veterinary

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<v Speaker 1>medical professionals are three times more likely to commit suicide

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<v Speaker 1>than the average person. Many of us are on anti

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<v Speaker 1>anxiety or depression medication, I being one of them, and

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<v Speaker 1>work eleven plus hour days with little to no breaks

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<v Speaker 1>even to go to the bathroom. COVID has only made

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<v Speaker 1>things worse. Along with the pressures that COVID has placed

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<v Speaker 1>on our profession, there is often a lot of moral

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<v Speaker 1>pressure as well. When clients have low funds, they expect

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<v Speaker 1>us to do things for free. If we don't, we're

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<v Speaker 1>seen as monsters who are in it for the money,

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<v Speaker 1>because aren't we supposed to be helping sick animals. Anyone

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<v Speaker 1>who works in vet med will tell you that nobody

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<v Speaker 1>goes into this profession for the money. While we get

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<v Speaker 1>into this work because we love it, we also have

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<v Speaker 1>bills to pay and families to support. Especially here, Vancouver

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<v Speaker 1>is the most expensive city in Canada to live in,

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<v Speaker 1>with the average one bedroom apartment costing two thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a month. During COVID we have been the busiest we've

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<v Speaker 1>ever been. We've had to stop accepting new clients as

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<v Speaker 1>we just don't have the capacity to take on anymore.

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<v Speaker 1>For a while, we had an average weight of three

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<v Speaker 1>months for a surgical procedure and two weeks for an appointment,

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<v Speaker 1>which doesn't sound like a lot, but it is a

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<v Speaker 1>very long time in veterinary medicine. With the incredible upsurge

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<v Speaker 1>impet adoptions while people work from home due to COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>emergency and general practices alike were overwhelmed in veterinary medicine.

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<v Speaker 1>We are all worried about what will happen once people

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<v Speaker 1>are back to work. We all expect animal abandonment to

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<v Speaker 1>skyrocket as people realize that they're now nine month old

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<v Speaker 1>German shepherd cross has horrible separation anxiety because its owners

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<v Speaker 1>we're home all the time, and now when they leave

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<v Speaker 1>for work, it destroys their apartment and they can't handle

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<v Speaker 1>it anymore.

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<v Speaker 2>While we are.

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<v Speaker 1>Lucky to be able to put social distancing measures in

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<v Speaker 1>place to keep clients and staff safe. We are not

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<v Speaker 1>immune to COVID transmission. We are all exhausted physically, emotionally,

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<v Speaker 1>and mentally. I'm tired of being verbally abused by clients

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<v Speaker 1>for charging for our time as if it's not valuable.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm tired of hearing that I'm only in it for

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<v Speaker 1>the money as I stay late to comfort a pet

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<v Speaker 1>who is in critical care. I'm tired of being told

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<v Speaker 1>that I'm a bad person for needing to pay my bills.

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<v Speaker 1>Please be kind to your veterinary staff. We are all suffering,

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<v Speaker 1>and I promise you we understand your frustration. We deserve

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<v Speaker 1>to be treated with dignity and respect. And if you're

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<v Speaker 1>a veterinary worker, I see you, I understand your struggle,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're not alone. If you need help, please reach

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<v Speaker 1>out to somebody. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 3>My name is A d I'm a volunteer EMT in Israel.

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<v Speaker 3>I've been volunteering for the last four years and I've

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<v Speaker 3>been volunteering even more during COVID. I've got to see

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<v Speaker 3>some very unusual cases during this crisis, whether people who

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<v Speaker 3>had to go to the hospital but refused due to

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<v Speaker 3>fear of COVID, or people who had COVID but other

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<v Speaker 3>medical conditions and refuse to leave because they couldn't be

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<v Speaker 3>accepted into the regular ward instead of the COVID unit.

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<v Speaker 3>I've got to go with pregnancies that had to be

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<v Speaker 3>taken to the COVID unit, or just sit in people's

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<v Speaker 3>houses for an hour, just giving them the company they

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<v Speaker 3>need and providing them a mental relief because they couldn't

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<v Speaker 3>leave the house. I've been called to so many elderly

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<v Speaker 3>people just so they could have a social interaction, or

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<v Speaker 3>I've taken elderly people to a mental ward just so

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<v Speaker 3>they could have the help they need. When the vaccine came,

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<v Speaker 3>I was actually very happy, thankfully. I got my first

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<v Speaker 3>vaccine dose at the end of December last year when

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<v Speaker 3>they just started coming out. I am happy that the

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<v Speaker 3>vaccines are out, and I am happy that my family

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<v Speaker 3>took it, and I am happy that I'm managed to

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<v Speaker 3>get friends to take the vaccine. I would love to

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<v Speaker 3>see situation and ambulances and go back to normal and

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<v Speaker 3>people actually having social interactions because I've seen the mental

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<v Speaker 3>and physical devastation that it causes. People dying due to

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<v Speaker 3>heart issues that could have been easily solved if they've

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<v Speaker 3>just gone to the er with us, or people who

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<v Speaker 3>just died of loneliness, which is something that should have

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<v Speaker 3>been taken more care of.

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<v Speaker 4>Hello. I'm Sarah. I'm fifty one. I live in Herefordshire

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<v Speaker 4>in the UK with my fiance and I'm a grower

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<v Speaker 4>supervisor for a medium sized wholesale horticultural company growing thousands

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<v Speaker 4>of potted ornamental plants. When the lockdown came, our general

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<v Speaker 4>manager was all over it. He found work for the

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<v Speaker 4>seasonal staff we weren't going to keep at a local

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<v Speaker 4>food factory and everyone who could be spared was furloughed.

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<v Speaker 4>In the UK, the government covered eighty percent of the

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<v Speaker 4>furloughed wages, including my fiancee who works in the loading bay.

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<v Speaker 4>My department cares for the plants, so obviously we couldn't

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<v Speaker 4>be furloughed. We expected business to drop through the floor.

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<v Speaker 4>It wasn't a walk in the park. But what we

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<v Speaker 4>didn't expect was that the moment people were forced to

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<v Speaker 4>stay indoors, they became desperate for plants to bring nature

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<v Speaker 4>into their homes. Garden centers were closed, but supermarkets increased

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<v Speaker 4>their orders. My fiance was brought out a furlough after

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<v Speaker 4>only three weeks and worked twelve hour days until we

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<v Speaker 4>got our seasonal staff back in May. It was exhausting.

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<v Speaker 4>Working during a national lockdown is strange. It's like going

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<v Speaker 4>to work in the apocalypse. Then you go home with

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<v Speaker 4>only enough energy to browse social media and no one

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<v Speaker 4>has the same experience as you. Suddenly you have nothing

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<v Speaker 4>in common with longtime friends. The one time I tried

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<v Speaker 4>to express this, I got shot down in flames for

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<v Speaker 4>not just being grateful that I still have a job,

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<v Speaker 4>which I am. Maybe I should add here that I'm

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<v Speaker 4>being referred to a chronic fatigue clinic. So I may

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<v Speaker 4>have struggled more than others, but we were all exhausted.

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<v Speaker 4>Now we're in the second lockdown. Our wedding got canceled

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<v Speaker 4>just fifteen days before the date, but we scheduled for March.

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<v Speaker 4>Now we can't get ppe suits for spraying, so we

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<v Speaker 4>may lose crops soon, on top of losing the Wales

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<v Speaker 4>in Scotland markets because they're lockdown. Horticulture has been previously

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<v Speaker 4>treated like a poor cousin. Our general manager's daughter was

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<v Speaker 4>told that she was too intelligent to go into horticulture.

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<v Speaker 4>For the record, by training, I'm a horticultural research scientist.

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<v Speaker 4>I have a research master's. Maybe now we'll be less

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<v Speaker 4>overlooked by schools and colleges as viable careers we're hiring

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<v Speaker 4>and any field you might be interested in, from the

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<v Speaker 4>grunt work through to logistics, through to science, it all

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<v Speaker 4>has its place. More than that, I hope people remember

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<v Speaker 4>just how much they needed nature during this time.

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<v Speaker 5>Thank you, Thank you again so so much for sharing

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<v Speaker 5>your stories with us.

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<v Speaker 6>And thank you to everyone who has written in to

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<v Speaker 6>share your COVID nineteen experience with us.

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<v Speaker 2>We really appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, we do. Hi, I'm erin Welsh and I'm erin

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<v Speaker 7>Alman Updike and this is this podcast will kill.

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<v Speaker 6>You And Welcome to chapter eighteen of our Anatomy of

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<v Speaker 6>a Pandemic series.

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<v Speaker 7>Welcome. I can't believe we've made it this far, but

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<v Speaker 7>also I can totally believe.

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<v Speaker 2>I know same, I feel the same.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, we are very excited for this episode because it's

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<v Speaker 7>kind of a continuation of an earlier episode.

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<v Speaker 6>We had an episode fairly early on in this series

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<v Speaker 6>that was all about spillover events where we spoke with

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<v Speaker 6>doctor John and Mazette from the One Health Institute about

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<v Speaker 6>the search for emerging viruses, the interface between wildlife, the environment,

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<v Speaker 6>and human health, and her work with the Predict Project,

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<v Speaker 6>which focused on detecting viruses of pandemic potential.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a great episode.

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<v Speaker 7>It was really great. I loved it. And today we're

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<v Speaker 7>talking about similar topics but with a different view. What

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<v Speaker 7>have we learned now that we're over a year into

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<v Speaker 7>a global pandemic about how exactly this virus spilled over

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<v Speaker 7>and how has it changed the way that we think

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<v Speaker 7>about the potential for future pandemics and how we prepare

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<v Speaker 7>for them.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it's going to be a good one. But first,

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<v Speaker 6>of course, we have very important business to attend to.

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<v Speaker 7>What time is it?

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<v Speaker 6>It's quarantiney time.

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<v Speaker 7>Wonderful. What are we drinking this week?

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<v Speaker 6>Of course, Aaron, We're drinking Quarantiny eighteen. Well that makes sense,

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<v Speaker 6>which has apple brandy, lemon juice, orange juice, maple syrup,

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<v Speaker 6>some bitters, and a little bit of grated nutmeg just

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<v Speaker 6>for you know, grading netmeg.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, we're running out of different liquors or liqueurs to

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<v Speaker 7>put in our quarantini, so.

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<v Speaker 2>I have to get creative.

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<v Speaker 7>We will post the full recipe for Quarantiny eighteen, as

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<v Speaker 7>well as the non alcoholic Placybrita on our website This

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<v Speaker 7>Podcast will kill You dot Com, as well as on

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<v Speaker 7>all of our social media channels.

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<v Speaker 6>Speaking of our website, have you checked it out yet?

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<v Speaker 6>It's a pretty great website, it is.

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<v Speaker 7>It is. We've got a lot of fun stuff on there.

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<v Speaker 7>We of course have every reference that we ever use

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<v Speaker 7>in any of our episodes. We've got some links to

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<v Speaker 7>some great things like bookshop dot org, affiliate account, a

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<v Speaker 7>Goodreads list, We've got transcripts, we've got amazing merch we've

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<v Speaker 7>got links to all of the promo codes you hear

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<v Speaker 7>in our ads, and we also finally set up a

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<v Speaker 7>Patreon by popular request.

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<v Speaker 2>So you can find all those and so much more

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<v Speaker 2>at this Podcast will kill You dot Com.

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<v Speaker 7>Yes, all right, let's get to the actual business now.

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<v Speaker 6>I am really really excited for this episode. We were

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<v Speaker 6>so fortunate to get to chat with doctor Chris Waltzer,

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<v Speaker 6>who is the executive director of Health at the Wildlife

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<v Speaker 6>Conservation Society.

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<v Speaker 7>Oh my gosh, so exciting.

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<v Speaker 6>It was such a great conversation and I honestly learned

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<v Speaker 6>so much.

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<v Speaker 7>Oh totally so we chatted with doctor Waltzer back on

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<v Speaker 7>April sixth, so keep that in mind if there are

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<v Speaker 7>any numbers discussed, and we will let him introduce himself

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<v Speaker 7>right after this break.

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<v Speaker 8>Hi. I'm Chris Waltz. I'm a board certified wildlife veterinarian

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<v Speaker 8>and I'm the executive director for Health at the Wildlife

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<v Speaker 8>Conservation Society. I work out of the Bronx in New York.

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<v Speaker 8>We have a global conservation program in that spans some

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<v Speaker 8>sixty countries around the globe, and my work is responsible

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<v Speaker 8>for health aspects across those countries.

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<v Speaker 2>Excellent.

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<v Speaker 6>Thank you so much for joining us. We're really excited

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<v Speaker 6>to chat with you. So our first question is, we

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<v Speaker 6>actually had an episode many months ago, close to a

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<v Speaker 6>year ago now where we focused on spillovers and we

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<v Speaker 6>know that sars kov two very likely spilled over into

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<v Speaker 6>humans from an animal reservoir of some kind. But now

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<v Speaker 6>that we are well over a year into this pandemic,

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<v Speaker 6>what do we know about the sequence of events that

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<v Speaker 6>led to the spillover in this pandemic? Can you kind

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<v Speaker 6>of walk us through the timeline of those early days.

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:27.880
<v Speaker 8>Yeah. Thanks, that's a really good question because and it's

0:15:28.320 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 8>really timely as well, because just a few days ago

0:15:31.600 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 8>the WHO I Think Commission they were called, release their report,

0:15:36.280 --> 0:15:39.360
<v Speaker 8>which also provides a really great overview of the timeline.

0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:42.200
<v Speaker 8>So basically what you have in the last weeks of

0:15:42.240 --> 0:15:46.240
<v Speaker 8>December twenty nineteen, you know, there was a recognition of

0:15:46.280 --> 0:15:50.000
<v Speaker 8>a severe respiratory disease which we now know is COVID

0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.440
<v Speaker 8>nineteen and I was sort of noted by Chinese health

0:15:52.480 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 8>workers in the city of Wuhan, and within a few

0:15:58.400 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 8>few weeks, by the time January, already the causative agent

0:16:03.720 --> 0:16:06.560
<v Speaker 8>had been identified and the sequence of which was also

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 8>made publicly available, which is really an extraordinarily short time.

0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:15.080
<v Speaker 8>So basically, at the end of December, something news turning up.

0:16:15.120 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 8>It doesn't it doesn't look like fluid influenza tests and negative,

0:16:19.000 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 8>Sarus seems to be negative, and then by the tenth

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:24.040
<v Speaker 8>of January you already have a sequence for what we

0:16:24.120 --> 0:16:28.440
<v Speaker 8>now know is the SARS coronavirus. Too. By looking back

0:16:28.520 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 8>now at the data that the collated, for example in

0:16:31.360 --> 0:16:35.560
<v Speaker 8>this WHO report, it seems very very unlikely that there

0:16:35.600 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 8>was any significant circulation of this virus or at least

0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:46.480
<v Speaker 8>clinical disease clinically apparent disease before November October November, there's

0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:52.120
<v Speaker 8>really no data looking at mortality events or looking at

0:16:52.520 --> 0:16:56.440
<v Speaker 8>clinical respiratory disease outbreaks in the city of Wuhan in

0:16:56.480 --> 0:17:00.480
<v Speaker 8>May in the associated province, but you do you see

0:17:00.640 --> 0:17:05.639
<v Speaker 8>very clearly from the data from the National Notifiable Disease

0:17:05.680 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 8>Reporting System in China that by the end of December,

0:17:10.440 --> 0:17:15.359
<v Speaker 8>the virus plus the clinical disease was definitely circulating the

0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 8>community within the city of Huhan, initially in the central

0:17:19.240 --> 0:17:23.040
<v Speaker 8>districts and then started to spread around these outside the

0:17:23.040 --> 0:17:26.679
<v Speaker 8>central districts, and then with about two weeks time delay

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:30.240
<v Speaker 8>start seeing the increase immortality and clinical events also in

0:17:30.280 --> 0:17:34.119
<v Speaker 8>the province of Rubai. So the other thing that's quite

0:17:34.119 --> 0:17:37.880
<v Speaker 8>interesting that we now have summary data. As you remember,

0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:41.800
<v Speaker 8>back in January February, there was this very very strong

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:46.320
<v Speaker 8>signal from the Huanan seafood wholesale market. The key was

0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:50.600
<v Speaker 8>that this market was selling live wildlife species. So there

0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:54.080
<v Speaker 8>was seen, as in previous outbreaks like SARS, that it

0:17:54.200 --> 0:17:58.840
<v Speaker 8>may be a strong link he and initially many of

0:17:58.840 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 8>the cases were directly linked to that market, and then

0:18:02.119 --> 0:18:04.560
<v Speaker 8>as the weeks went on, there were more and more

0:18:04.600 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 8>reports well some of the cases are not linked to

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:10.280
<v Speaker 8>this market, and there was a lot of questions around

0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:12.320
<v Speaker 8>what was the role of the market, if at all.

0:18:13.119 --> 0:18:16.399
<v Speaker 8>What we see now though, is that in these early

0:18:16.480 --> 0:18:19.600
<v Speaker 8>days people also had contacts. Some people also contact to

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:23.960
<v Speaker 8>other markets. And I find it particularly compelling that there

0:18:24.000 --> 0:18:29.199
<v Speaker 8>are thirteen sequences available of saras COVID two with an

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:33.920
<v Speaker 8>onset in December, and of those thirteen, all of them

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:38.800
<v Speaker 8>had contact to a market. I think eleven of them

0:18:38.840 --> 0:18:41.120
<v Speaker 8>had a contact with the jhure Non market, and then

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:45.119
<v Speaker 8>the able two to other markets. So that's a really

0:18:45.160 --> 0:18:48.760
<v Speaker 8>strong signal. And we also know now from some nine

0:18:48.800 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 8>hundred plus environmental samples that most of the positive samples

0:18:53.040 --> 0:18:55.879
<v Speaker 8>came from this western part of the market where the

0:18:55.920 --> 0:18:59.639
<v Speaker 8>wildlife was housed and traded. But we still do not

0:18:59.800 --> 0:19:03.480
<v Speaker 8>know at this point in time how the spillover event

0:19:03.720 --> 0:19:08.360
<v Speaker 8>actually happened. With the timing is pretty good, but what happened.

0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:12.359
<v Speaker 8>Was there an intermediary species, was it the traders, Was

0:19:12.400 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 8>it humans that brought the virus into the city, into

0:19:16.400 --> 0:19:18.680
<v Speaker 8>the market. That's still pretty unclear at the moment. I

0:19:18.720 --> 0:19:25.080
<v Speaker 8>think the two main hypothesis at the moment from the

0:19:25.160 --> 0:19:28.680
<v Speaker 8>ancestral host, which is in a horseshoe bad species. And

0:19:28.760 --> 0:19:33.359
<v Speaker 8>as I'm sure you've discussed previously, this virus either spilled

0:19:33.400 --> 0:19:38.040
<v Speaker 8>over directly into humans with cryptic evolution, for example, in

0:19:38.080 --> 0:19:42.000
<v Speaker 8>a rural area and no one noticed, and then was

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:44.760
<v Speaker 8>brought to the market where there was an amplification event,

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:48.240
<v Speaker 8>or the more likely theory, and that's the one being

0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 8>favored at the moment, is that it's spilled over into

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:55.480
<v Speaker 8>an intermediary host and there's a lot of those available,

0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 8>and then at the trading site or longer trade value chain,

0:20:00.200 --> 0:20:02.560
<v Speaker 8>it came to a spiller rint to humans.

0:20:03.320 --> 0:20:07.880
<v Speaker 7>Mm hmmm, that makes sense. Yeah. So people have been

0:20:08.080 --> 0:20:12.359
<v Speaker 7>studying spillovers and the emergence of novel viruses for a

0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 7>very long time, and you know, they have been saying

0:20:16.080 --> 0:20:18.919
<v Speaker 7>also for a very long time that a pandemic just

0:20:19.160 --> 0:20:23.240
<v Speaker 7>like this was almost inevitable. And so knowing that, knowing

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:26.760
<v Speaker 7>that something like this was almost inevitable, where do you

0:20:26.920 --> 0:20:30.879
<v Speaker 7>think that we went wrong on either a national level

0:20:31.000 --> 0:20:35.160
<v Speaker 7>or an international level in terms of preparedness or control.

0:20:35.840 --> 0:20:38.920
<v Speaker 8>So I think one of the most important things we've

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 8>learned is that the known science has been inadequately translated

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:48.040
<v Speaker 8>for policy makers and decision makers. So this was known

0:20:48.240 --> 0:20:51.040
<v Speaker 8>and we all put ourselves on what you're saying, well,

0:20:51.080 --> 0:20:53.760
<v Speaker 8>this was no surprise. But what we should really be

0:20:53.800 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 8>saying is if we knew this, how come we were

0:20:57.000 --> 0:21:01.760
<v Speaker 8>unable to or unwilling maybe to come communicate this adequately

0:21:02.359 --> 0:21:06.800
<v Speaker 8>so that decision makers policimates could prepare us better for

0:21:06.880 --> 0:21:09.840
<v Speaker 8>this measure. That's sort of one aspect. I think that

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:14.919
<v Speaker 8>general aspect from science and researchers that we would need

0:21:14.960 --> 0:21:20.320
<v Speaker 8>to make more efforts to translate our science findings beyond

0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:23.800
<v Speaker 8>publishing it in the highest impact journal that we can find.

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:28.480
<v Speaker 8>Just having a disease x buried somewhere in some report

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:34.440
<v Speaker 8>is obviously inadequate. In this case, this is compounded by

0:21:34.480 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 8>the fact I would say that humans in general, or societies,

0:21:39.400 --> 0:21:45.600
<v Speaker 8>humans and societies basically are always discounting the future. We're

0:21:45.760 --> 0:21:51.560
<v Speaker 8>obviously always taken by some short terms and immediate gains,

0:21:51.880 --> 0:21:55.879
<v Speaker 8>and investing into the future, into the next generations, especially

0:21:55.920 --> 0:22:00.439
<v Speaker 8>for events which have a low probability of happening, is

0:22:00.440 --> 0:22:04.879
<v Speaker 8>something we we we always discount. So that is definitely

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:08.359
<v Speaker 8>sort of a foundational problem, and we need to get

0:22:08.440 --> 0:22:11.280
<v Speaker 8>over that if we want to move forward. I mean,

0:22:11.400 --> 0:22:13.680
<v Speaker 8>this is a this is a viral spill over we're

0:22:13.680 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 8>talking about now, But climate change, you know, it's on

0:22:17.320 --> 0:22:19.800
<v Speaker 8>the heels, so to say, I think it's here now.

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:25.359
<v Speaker 8>Plus the problem is growing every moment, and we're also

0:22:25.440 --> 0:22:28.160
<v Speaker 8>discounting those effects at the moment. We still think we're

0:22:28.200 --> 0:22:31.679
<v Speaker 8>going to get over it somehow. So I believe that,

0:22:31.720 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 8>you know, the lack of investment, the lack of understanding

0:22:34.560 --> 0:22:40.360
<v Speaker 8>of long term investments with low immediate returns of investment.

0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:43.000
<v Speaker 8>I think, as I said, that's a real problem as well.

0:22:43.359 --> 0:22:48.199
<v Speaker 8>But the other one is one thing we all underestimated,

0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:50.840
<v Speaker 8>I'm sure, and I use this sort of a royal

0:22:51.359 --> 0:22:57.640
<v Speaker 8>we all is the impacts, the broad and wide impacts

0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:00.840
<v Speaker 8>that a single event is going to have on a

0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:05.000
<v Speaker 8>global scale. Who would have thought that we would not

0:23:05.320 --> 0:23:11.399
<v Speaker 8>have enough ppe gloves needles as a prevention measure on

0:23:11.440 --> 0:23:14.280
<v Speaker 8>a global scale. And who would have known that six

0:23:14.320 --> 0:23:18.840
<v Speaker 8>months later, eight months later, you still can't get spare

0:23:18.960 --> 0:23:24.800
<v Speaker 8>parts for multiple products. The interconnectness of the world I

0:23:24.840 --> 0:23:30.639
<v Speaker 8>think was sorely under matd. So the obvious one was

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 8>that the virus was able to spread super, super quickly

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:37.640
<v Speaker 8>across the entire globe, but also the interconnectness of our

0:23:38.280 --> 0:23:42.640
<v Speaker 8>economic interdependency I think was something we really underestimated.

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:48.360
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, definitely, So kind of on the flip side of that,

0:23:49.240 --> 0:23:53.240
<v Speaker 6>although you know, we've done things wrong or maybe missed things,

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:57.320
<v Speaker 6>discounted things, at the same time, we've also seen over

0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 6>the last year massive biomedical accomplishments that have happened on

0:24:01.560 --> 0:24:05.400
<v Speaker 6>a timeline we've never that's really never been possible before.

0:24:05.800 --> 0:24:07.600
<v Speaker 6>So could you talk a bit about what things we

0:24:07.840 --> 0:24:12.160
<v Speaker 6>did write or what things we maybe actually had prepared

0:24:12.160 --> 0:24:12.960
<v Speaker 6>for quite well.

0:24:14.000 --> 0:24:18.240
<v Speaker 8>So mainstreaming messenger RNA vaccines I think is one of

0:24:18.240 --> 0:24:22.840
<v Speaker 8>the greatest achievements that we have managed in this past year.

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:29.560
<v Speaker 8>And generally the development and deployment of multiple vaccines within

0:24:29.680 --> 0:24:34.800
<v Speaker 8>a twelve month is really extraordinary. That's absolutely extraordinary. So

0:24:34.840 --> 0:24:39.000
<v Speaker 8>that's a huge gain. And remember that things like messenger

0:24:39.119 --> 0:24:42.880
<v Speaker 8>RNA vaccines are not only going to help us in

0:24:42.920 --> 0:24:47.280
<v Speaker 8>this present pandemic, but it's also going to help us

0:24:47.280 --> 0:24:50.680
<v Speaker 8>in the future, not only for infectious disease, but generally.

0:24:51.760 --> 0:24:57.040
<v Speaker 8>If we reflect based on a maybe ten thousand meter view,

0:24:57.760 --> 0:25:00.720
<v Speaker 8>then one of the things that the pandemic has really done,

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:03.159
<v Speaker 8>and I think this is One of the great opportunities

0:25:03.200 --> 0:25:07.960
<v Speaker 8>that we have moving forwards is the pandemic has at

0:25:08.000 --> 0:25:13.000
<v Speaker 8>a great cost, of course, but has humanized the fact

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:19.400
<v Speaker 8>that destruction of our planet, destruction of our environment impacts

0:25:19.520 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 8>each and every one of us. Basically, it has made

0:25:22.280 --> 0:25:28.000
<v Speaker 8>it real that destruction of a habitat halfway across the

0:25:28.040 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 8>globe is going to kill potentially kill my neighbor in

0:25:31.840 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 8>the bronx, and that is something we've never had before.

0:25:35.880 --> 0:25:40.000
<v Speaker 8>I think each and every person I meet at least

0:25:40.040 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 8>has some inkling that events on the other side of

0:25:45.359 --> 0:25:49.160
<v Speaker 8>the globe, in the environment have potential to harm each

0:25:49.160 --> 0:25:52.840
<v Speaker 8>and every one of us, impact our well being, our

0:25:52.880 --> 0:25:59.439
<v Speaker 8>economic security, and in the end our lives. Yeah.

0:25:59.480 --> 0:26:05.639
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely, So just to play with hypotheticals a bit, You know,

0:26:05.680 --> 0:26:08.919
<v Speaker 7>a pandemic is such a product of its time in

0:26:09.080 --> 0:26:11.720
<v Speaker 7>both in like the policies that are in place, in

0:26:11.800 --> 0:26:14.480
<v Speaker 7>terms of how interconnected the world is, and so I

0:26:14.560 --> 0:26:17.160
<v Speaker 7>kind of want to dive into you know, what might

0:26:17.240 --> 0:26:21.520
<v Speaker 7>this pandemic have looked like if it happened in say

0:26:21.560 --> 0:26:24.439
<v Speaker 7>two thousand and three, when stars happened, so instead of

0:26:24.440 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 7>like sars kov one, what might have happened if it

0:26:27.640 --> 0:26:30.119
<v Speaker 7>was actually SARS Kobe two in two thousand and three.

0:26:30.240 --> 0:26:33.679
<v Speaker 7>Are there ways in which we've made scientific progress that

0:26:33.840 --> 0:26:37.840
<v Speaker 7>might have changed the pandemic, either for the worse or

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:40.440
<v Speaker 7>for the better. But in any case, how do you

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:43.399
<v Speaker 7>think it might have played out differently than it could have,

0:26:43.520 --> 0:26:44.800
<v Speaker 7>let's say, twenty years ago.

0:26:45.200 --> 0:26:48.680
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so obviously this is very hypothetical to think about

0:26:48.680 --> 0:26:51.920
<v Speaker 8>how it would have played out, but based only what

0:26:51.960 --> 0:26:55.399
<v Speaker 8>we know from SARS back in two thousand and two,

0:26:55.480 --> 0:26:58.520
<v Speaker 8>two thousand and threes, one of the biggest differences the

0:26:58.560 --> 0:27:02.240
<v Speaker 8>interconnectness of the world. Amount of people moving around the

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:08.600
<v Speaker 8>globe has just increased exponentially, so that enabled the virus

0:27:08.640 --> 0:27:12.719
<v Speaker 8>to spread very very quickly. There was obviously, you know,

0:27:13.280 --> 0:27:16.840
<v Speaker 8>bad luck around the New year as well, there was

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:20.840
<v Speaker 8>going to be more people traveling anyway, all that to

0:27:20.880 --> 0:27:24.080
<v Speaker 8>be said, it's just there are so many more people traveling.

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:28.880
<v Speaker 8>So I think that's that's the biggest difference. On the

0:27:28.880 --> 0:27:32.200
<v Speaker 8>flip side, of course, if you remember that, I think

0:27:32.240 --> 0:27:35.600
<v Speaker 8>we were a year and a half into SARS before

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:39.560
<v Speaker 8>we knew what the virus was, and certainly it took

0:27:39.600 --> 0:27:42.080
<v Speaker 8>a long time to even establish that it had a

0:27:42.119 --> 0:27:46.720
<v Speaker 8>source in wildlife, and that now as I said, you know,

0:27:47.200 --> 0:27:50.480
<v Speaker 8>it was only three weeks probably after the official recognition

0:27:51.800 --> 0:27:54.879
<v Speaker 8>of the severe respiratory to zee, that we had a

0:27:54.920 --> 0:28:00.520
<v Speaker 8>full sequence, had a phylogenetic tree that showed that the

0:28:00.680 --> 0:28:04.240
<v Speaker 8>sequence was very close to BAT sequences and so on.

0:28:04.280 --> 0:28:09.480
<v Speaker 8>So that's changed a lot, interestingly from the therapeutic side,

0:28:09.480 --> 0:28:13.679
<v Speaker 8>And while that is certainly not my expertise, there's not

0:28:14.040 --> 0:28:16.440
<v Speaker 8>that much new at least is what I can see

0:28:16.480 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 8>from the literature. You know, the mainstay, a good old

0:28:20.040 --> 0:28:25.320
<v Speaker 8>veterinary drug that we use widely for respiratory disease when

0:28:25.320 --> 0:28:28.359
<v Speaker 8>it gets dire dexa metasone is still you know, it

0:28:28.440 --> 0:28:32.920
<v Speaker 8>was a mainstay halfway through this pandemic. And then, as

0:28:32.960 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 8>I pointed out before, of course what's new as well

0:28:35.160 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 8>is that we have a vaccine in one year. Remember

0:28:38.520 --> 0:28:43.840
<v Speaker 8>the SARS vaccine development basically petered out after you know,

0:28:44.040 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 8>a decade of no cases of SARS. So I think

0:28:48.280 --> 0:28:50.760
<v Speaker 8>that's sort of my take of what would have been different.

0:28:51.600 --> 0:28:55.080
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, So kind of going back to something you were

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 6>talking on earlier today about the kind of large scale

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:04.040
<v Speaker 6>coal markets that sell and trade in wildlife. These type

0:29:04.040 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 6>of markets have been implicated not just in this pandemic,

0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:09.160
<v Speaker 6>but like you said, in other large epidemics before this,

0:29:09.680 --> 0:29:11.520
<v Speaker 6>and so they've kind of gotten a lot of press,

0:29:11.560 --> 0:29:14.640
<v Speaker 6>which has led to some controversies, with some people saying

0:29:15.080 --> 0:29:18.800
<v Speaker 6>we should ban the wildlife trade, ban hunting on wildlife completely,

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:22.200
<v Speaker 6>and other people pushing back and saying, well, these are

0:29:22.240 --> 0:29:25.479
<v Speaker 6>sources of protein for people who need it for nutrition,

0:29:25.680 --> 0:29:26.160
<v Speaker 6>et cetera.

0:29:27.120 --> 0:29:28.120
<v Speaker 2>But this is a much.

0:29:27.920 --> 0:29:30.720
<v Speaker 6>More nuanced problem than just like to ban or not

0:29:30.760 --> 0:29:33.320
<v Speaker 6>to ban. So could you talk us through some of

0:29:33.360 --> 0:29:37.320
<v Speaker 6>this nuance and the interplay between these commercial wildlife markets

0:29:37.360 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 6>and spillover events and wildlife hunting for subsistence purposes.

0:29:42.360 --> 0:29:44.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I think the key point here is there is

0:29:44.560 --> 0:29:47.960
<v Speaker 8>a lot of nuance and the use of wildlife for consumption.

0:29:48.080 --> 0:29:49.880
<v Speaker 8>For it, there's a lot of nuance in use of

0:29:50.160 --> 0:29:53.240
<v Speaker 8>wildlife generally, but let us focus on use of wildlife

0:29:53.280 --> 0:29:58.440
<v Speaker 8>for human consumption, and there's a huge gradient here in

0:29:58.480 --> 0:30:06.920
<v Speaker 8>Southeast Asia and China specifically. Wildlife for consumption has certain attributes.

0:30:06.960 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 8>First of all, the wildlife is often sold alive, which,

0:30:11.200 --> 0:30:13.840
<v Speaker 8>as you can imagine, when you sell in a large,

0:30:13.880 --> 0:30:17.080
<v Speaker 8>industrial sized market where you will have hundreds of species

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:23.520
<v Speaker 8>potentially mixing with the consumers, but also with domestic livestock

0:30:23.560 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 8>and poultry, these are provides a really dynamic and very

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:31.800
<v Speaker 8>very dangerous interface for virus exchange, so that's quite special.

0:30:31.880 --> 0:30:35.560
<v Speaker 8>Though in Southeast Asia and China, the animals are alive

0:30:36.560 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 8>across all of China. There is no subsistence hunting anymore.

0:30:41.240 --> 0:30:45.640
<v Speaker 8>The wildlife is produced for a middle class and up

0:30:45.640 --> 0:30:49.320
<v Speaker 8>and coming middle class as a luxury item, as a

0:30:49.320 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 8>status symbol. The wildlife is always more expensive. So it's

0:30:55.040 --> 0:31:00.880
<v Speaker 8>estimated that wildlife you know, bamboo rats and the civets

0:31:00.880 --> 0:31:04.720
<v Speaker 8>and so on, costs between two and five times as

0:31:04.760 --> 0:31:08.280
<v Speaker 8>much as pork of the same volume, all the same weight,

0:31:08.800 --> 0:31:13.440
<v Speaker 8>so it's definitely a luxury item. It doesn't meet any

0:31:13.520 --> 0:31:20.000
<v Speaker 8>dietary or nutritional needs. Now that is starkly contrasted to,

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:24.920
<v Speaker 8>for example, the use of wildlife meat in Central Africa,

0:31:25.800 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 8>where there are millions of people who are absolutely dependent

0:31:30.400 --> 0:31:34.680
<v Speaker 8>on having access to wildlife meat to meet there are

0:31:34.880 --> 0:31:39.480
<v Speaker 8>simple nutritional needs and you know that's protein and also

0:31:39.600 --> 0:31:43.800
<v Speaker 8>micronutrient needs. They need that access because there are absolutely

0:31:43.840 --> 0:31:49.080
<v Speaker 8>no alternatives now the way these two markets, and you know,

0:31:49.800 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 8>similar markets are in Latin America and other parts of

0:31:54.280 --> 0:31:57.120
<v Speaker 8>Asia as well. But taking these two is the extreme.

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:04.200
<v Speaker 8>As you're hunt out the forests in let's say Central Africa,

0:32:04.640 --> 0:32:09.520
<v Speaker 8>part of that meat is being used in large cities

0:32:09.560 --> 0:32:12.480
<v Speaker 8>where there is no longer a nutritional need. Some of

0:32:12.520 --> 0:32:15.120
<v Speaker 8>it is being shipped across the globe to end up

0:32:15.120 --> 0:32:19.240
<v Speaker 8>in markets in Asia. And so what you're doing with

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:23.240
<v Speaker 8>the commercial trade of wildlife for consumption is that you're

0:32:23.240 --> 0:32:26.520
<v Speaker 8>actually depriving the people who need it the most, which

0:32:26.560 --> 0:32:31.080
<v Speaker 8>is mostly indigenous peoples and local communities of that resource

0:32:31.200 --> 0:32:34.760
<v Speaker 8>which is so important to them. So the two are interconnected,

0:32:35.520 --> 0:32:40.040
<v Speaker 8>and the bands on the curbing of wildlife for human

0:32:40.080 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 8>consumption from our point of view, from the point of

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:47.240
<v Speaker 8>view of the wildlife conservation society, focuses very very strongly

0:32:47.600 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 8>on the urban commercial wildlife markets, while at the same

0:32:52.960 --> 0:32:57.800
<v Speaker 8>time recognizing and supporting indigenous peoples in local communities and

0:32:57.840 --> 0:33:02.960
<v Speaker 8>their need and their right to access wildlife meet So

0:33:03.000 --> 0:33:08.400
<v Speaker 8>it's not complicated, but it's very nuanced and it does

0:33:08.480 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 8>require a clear understanding of the dynamics in different contexts. Now,

0:33:16.160 --> 0:33:18.959
<v Speaker 8>as I pointed out, the fact that the animals are

0:33:18.960 --> 0:33:23.640
<v Speaker 8>alive is definitely the biggest risk. Once the animal has

0:33:23.720 --> 0:33:27.600
<v Speaker 8>been killed, and smoked and processed in any way, the

0:33:28.320 --> 0:33:33.520
<v Speaker 8>risk drops by orders of magnitude. Of course, once it's

0:33:33.520 --> 0:33:37.280
<v Speaker 8>been cooked, there's no worry there at all. But with

0:33:37.440 --> 0:33:41.800
<v Speaker 8>the life wildlife trade you do have this issue that

0:33:41.960 --> 0:33:46.640
<v Speaker 8>as the animal moves along the trade value chain from

0:33:46.680 --> 0:33:52.000
<v Speaker 8>its side of capture or the farm where it's being produced,

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:56.000
<v Speaker 8>to the market or the kitchen in the restaurant, the

0:33:56.240 --> 0:34:02.200
<v Speaker 8>prevalence or the positivity rate to a specific pathogen actually increases.

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.719
<v Speaker 8>So we've been able to show that for field rats,

0:34:05.760 --> 0:34:09.080
<v Speaker 8>for example, along the trade value chain in Vietnam, at

0:34:09.080 --> 0:34:12.360
<v Speaker 8>the field site where it's captured or bred, it's only

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:16.840
<v Speaker 8>every fifth rat which would be positive for coronavirus. By

0:34:16.880 --> 0:34:19.920
<v Speaker 8>the time he gets to the kitchen in the restaurant

0:34:19.920 --> 0:34:22.280
<v Speaker 8>in an urban setting, every second one of those rights

0:34:22.320 --> 0:34:25.920
<v Speaker 8>is coronavirus positive. And the sad thing is this has

0:34:25.960 --> 0:34:29.920
<v Speaker 8>already been shown back in two thousand and four for civets.

0:34:30.440 --> 0:34:36.240
<v Speaker 8>Civets and farms in China had practically no amptibodies to SARS,

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:40.880
<v Speaker 8>but by the time they'd reached the market site, I

0:34:40.920 --> 0:34:44.480
<v Speaker 8>think eighty percent of them were positive for SARS. So

0:34:44.600 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 8>this concentration and amplification along the market value chain is

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:52.240
<v Speaker 8>something that's really really important to consider.

0:34:52.800 --> 0:34:56.640
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, that makes sense, and so kind of going along

0:34:57.280 --> 0:35:03.719
<v Speaker 7>with this discussion of wildlife, hunting and biodiversity and interconnectedness,

0:35:04.400 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 7>can you talk a little bit about the measures that

0:35:07.080 --> 0:35:10.920
<v Speaker 7>we have in place to prevent spillover events and or

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:14.719
<v Speaker 7>maybe just prevent spillover events from turning into another pandemic,

0:35:15.280 --> 0:35:18.520
<v Speaker 7>And can you discuss that sort of in the context

0:35:18.600 --> 0:35:22.120
<v Speaker 7>of wildlife and forest conservation. How do those things fit

0:35:22.160 --> 0:35:25.760
<v Speaker 7>into this equation of spillover events and pandemic control.

0:35:26.400 --> 0:35:30.239
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so when we talk about pandemic control, I think

0:35:30.239 --> 0:35:32.600
<v Speaker 8>it's also important we want to prevent epidemics as well.

0:35:32.600 --> 0:35:34.879
<v Speaker 8>We don't always have to go all the way full

0:35:34.920 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 8>blown full Monty pandemic, but epidemics as well is somewhat

0:35:40.200 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 8>to prevent. Now it's the most important concept. We're so

0:35:44.360 --> 0:35:47.799
<v Speaker 8>focused now on the market because this is obviously this

0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 8>is an interface that is a particular concern to us,

0:35:50.719 --> 0:35:54.879
<v Speaker 8>but on a much more basic level, it's all about interfaces.

0:35:55.520 --> 0:35:59.440
<v Speaker 8>Seventy five percent of all emerging infectious disease have their

0:35:59.480 --> 0:36:06.000
<v Speaker 8>origin wildlife, So it's about this contact, these interfaces between

0:36:06.040 --> 0:36:11.120
<v Speaker 8>wildlife and their habitat and humans. And the more contact

0:36:11.400 --> 0:36:16.440
<v Speaker 8>we allow or enable on these contact areas, the greater

0:36:16.560 --> 0:36:19.279
<v Speaker 8>the chance that one of the spillover events is going

0:36:19.320 --> 0:36:24.560
<v Speaker 8>to be successful. So you have a compartment that's wildlife

0:36:24.600 --> 0:36:28.279
<v Speaker 8>in an intact habitat, a lot of different species, one

0:36:28.360 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 8>hundred thousands of viruses which are being shared, and the

0:36:32.560 --> 0:36:36.040
<v Speaker 8>animals are not sick. They're just the reservoirs. It doesn't

0:36:36.040 --> 0:36:40.480
<v Speaker 8>bother anyone. You put a road into that compartment, or

0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:44.000
<v Speaker 8>you put a road alongside there, you're starting to DeForest

0:36:44.719 --> 0:36:47.680
<v Speaker 8>and you're trying to bring out the logs right and

0:36:47.680 --> 0:36:50.360
<v Speaker 8>the left of that road. You have created an interface

0:36:50.680 --> 0:36:55.959
<v Speaker 8>with the formerly intact forest, and along that interface there's

0:36:56.000 --> 0:36:58.600
<v Speaker 8>going to be incoursions. People will go into the forest,

0:36:58.719 --> 0:37:00.839
<v Speaker 8>they will hunt there. They need to go hunt. They'll

0:37:00.880 --> 0:37:04.000
<v Speaker 8>be trapping animals, they're getting fire wood, and within a

0:37:04.000 --> 0:37:08.080
<v Speaker 8>few hundred meters there will be repeated contacts with wildlife.

0:37:08.760 --> 0:37:11.239
<v Speaker 8>They will return to the road and then they will

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:15.520
<v Speaker 8>try to sell surplus wildlife. That animal will then move

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:19.560
<v Speaker 8>down the road and can be consumed and used. And

0:37:19.800 --> 0:37:22.920
<v Speaker 8>as you can imagine, that is a possibility for a

0:37:22.920 --> 0:37:26.359
<v Speaker 8>spillover event to occur. Now, these spill over events are

0:37:26.360 --> 0:37:30.360
<v Speaker 8>happening all the time. Viruses are spilling over constantly. The

0:37:30.440 --> 0:37:33.839
<v Speaker 8>point being now that for the most part they do

0:37:33.880 --> 0:37:36.960
<v Speaker 8>not cause disease. They are not able to replicate in

0:37:37.120 --> 0:37:39.839
<v Speaker 8>human cells, and they certainly aren't able to transmit from

0:37:39.920 --> 0:37:44.239
<v Speaker 8>human to human. But the more opportunities you provide at

0:37:44.280 --> 0:37:49.640
<v Speaker 8>these interphases, it's like a numbers games. The more opportunities

0:37:49.680 --> 0:37:52.960
<v Speaker 8>you provide, the greater the chance that eventually one virus

0:37:53.040 --> 0:37:56.080
<v Speaker 8>is going to make it across the multiple barriers that

0:37:56.160 --> 0:38:00.319
<v Speaker 8>stop that naturally. So these would be interphase. It's in

0:38:00.480 --> 0:38:05.359
<v Speaker 8>forests and at the edges of growing industrial expansion where

0:38:05.400 --> 0:38:09.120
<v Speaker 8>you have cattle pastures. Those are the classic interfaces. But

0:38:09.200 --> 0:38:11.680
<v Speaker 8>then we as humans, of course, we're particularly good at this.

0:38:11.800 --> 0:38:14.320
<v Speaker 8>So what we do is we'll go in the forest

0:38:14.320 --> 0:38:16.200
<v Speaker 8>and catch animals from all over the globe and then

0:38:16.239 --> 0:38:19.480
<v Speaker 8>bring them together in a room and a marketplace. So

0:38:19.480 --> 0:38:23.600
<v Speaker 8>we create these, you know, basically super interfaces. That is

0:38:23.680 --> 0:38:27.480
<v Speaker 8>probably you know, one of the worst ideas if you

0:38:27.520 --> 0:38:30.520
<v Speaker 8>want to prevent spill over is to bring animals that

0:38:30.600 --> 0:38:37.160
<v Speaker 8>are never to get normally into one place alive and

0:38:37.239 --> 0:38:40.960
<v Speaker 8>let them exchange viruses and then add in several thousand

0:38:40.960 --> 0:38:44.480
<v Speaker 8>people a day into that environment. That's just from a

0:38:44.960 --> 0:38:47.120
<v Speaker 8>you know, looking at it from a risk side of things,

0:38:47.160 --> 0:38:50.919
<v Speaker 8>that's just a very very bad idea. If you ask

0:38:51.040 --> 0:38:55.120
<v Speaker 8>for a permit and you had a BSL four lab

0:38:56.040 --> 0:38:57.719
<v Speaker 8>and you said, well, you know what I want to do.

0:38:57.760 --> 0:39:00.600
<v Speaker 8>We want to get fifty species just kind of put

0:39:00.640 --> 0:39:02.520
<v Speaker 8>them in there and they'll just let them poop and

0:39:02.600 --> 0:39:05.279
<v Speaker 8>exchange blood and we'll see what comes out of it.

0:39:05.320 --> 0:39:07.560
<v Speaker 8>And that's what we'd like to do. You never get

0:39:07.560 --> 0:39:09.919
<v Speaker 8>a permit for it, but that's why you're basically doing

0:39:09.960 --> 0:39:15.520
<v Speaker 8>in a market. So it's interesting that we don't consider

0:39:15.640 --> 0:39:20.560
<v Speaker 8>or not we have not considered those threats adequately in

0:39:20.600 --> 0:39:22.840
<v Speaker 8>the past, and no one's obviously going to pay for

0:39:22.920 --> 0:39:23.360
<v Speaker 8>them now.

0:39:27.120 --> 0:39:31.320
<v Speaker 6>So kind of along those lines, when we talk about

0:39:31.440 --> 0:39:36.520
<v Speaker 6>you know, epidemic or pandemic preparedness and also epidemic and

0:39:36.640 --> 0:39:41.360
<v Speaker 6>pandemic response, these are two very different aspects dealing with

0:39:41.400 --> 0:39:43.760
<v Speaker 6>a pandemic and of course as part of the wildlife

0:39:43.800 --> 0:39:47.759
<v Speaker 6>conservation society or dealing more with the pandemic preparedness and

0:39:47.880 --> 0:39:50.600
<v Speaker 6>you know, identification aspect. But I wonder if you could

0:39:50.680 --> 0:39:53.680
<v Speaker 6>touch a little bit about how these two different aspects

0:39:53.800 --> 0:39:57.680
<v Speaker 6>really differ and maybe touch a bit on the importance

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:01.200
<v Speaker 6>of working across different sectors. We are looking at things

0:40:01.200 --> 0:40:03.160
<v Speaker 6>like epidemics and pandemics.

0:40:03.840 --> 0:40:08.920
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, so the one Lefe Conservation Society, as the name implies,

0:40:08.960 --> 0:40:12.680
<v Speaker 8>we're a conservation organization with a very robust and long

0:40:12.719 --> 0:40:16.279
<v Speaker 8>standing health program. So inherently we are working at what

0:40:16.480 --> 0:40:20.360
<v Speaker 8>is perceived as the front lines of spillover. WCS is

0:40:20.400 --> 0:40:27.520
<v Speaker 8>protecting forests and landscapes, especially those high biodiverse areas where

0:40:27.560 --> 0:40:31.320
<v Speaker 8>we can expect and where models have shown that spillover

0:40:31.440 --> 0:40:36.480
<v Speaker 8>is going to be more likely. So the first sort

0:40:36.520 --> 0:40:40.319
<v Speaker 8>of say barrier against spillover and the next pandemic is

0:40:40.480 --> 0:40:46.839
<v Speaker 8>recognizing when spillover does happen at a very very early stage,

0:40:48.080 --> 0:40:51.600
<v Speaker 8>and even more importantly is of course preventing spillover to

0:40:51.640 --> 0:40:55.120
<v Speaker 8>happen at all. So it is well known and has

0:40:55.160 --> 0:41:00.080
<v Speaker 8>been documented in numerous studies that intact landscapes intact forests

0:41:00.640 --> 0:41:05.480
<v Speaker 8>generally do not constitute such a threat as disturbed landscapes.

0:41:05.960 --> 0:41:10.160
<v Speaker 8>Spillovers happen predominantly in disturbed landscapes, so on the edges

0:41:10.760 --> 0:41:16.960
<v Speaker 8>of these intact areas. So wcs's mainstay is protecting areas

0:41:17.600 --> 0:41:20.680
<v Speaker 8>and the communities that rely on them. That's the mainstay

0:41:20.680 --> 0:41:23.000
<v Speaker 8>of our work. But around the edges, of course, in

0:41:23.080 --> 0:41:26.840
<v Speaker 8>these edges of destruction, that's where the land is being changed,

0:41:26.880 --> 0:41:30.120
<v Speaker 8>and this is the areas where we would expect future

0:41:30.760 --> 0:41:34.560
<v Speaker 8>spill over events of importance to occur. And since we

0:41:34.600 --> 0:41:38.960
<v Speaker 8>are already working there, we were able to sort of

0:41:39.000 --> 0:41:41.080
<v Speaker 8>the eyes and boots on the ground in some of

0:41:41.080 --> 0:41:45.320
<v Speaker 8>these areas where with our tools which we're using for conservation,

0:41:45.440 --> 0:41:48.280
<v Speaker 8>they're easily adapted and have been adapted in these past,

0:41:48.719 --> 0:41:53.440
<v Speaker 8>you know, past year to also pick up early indications

0:41:53.440 --> 0:41:57.239
<v Speaker 8>of the spillover event, and that can now be prepared

0:41:58.040 --> 0:42:03.120
<v Speaker 8>at you at frontline community health centers can be pared

0:42:03.160 --> 0:42:09.200
<v Speaker 8>with innovative technology to get very early in diagnosis of

0:42:09.280 --> 0:42:12.960
<v Speaker 8>something awry, I think, and I'm saying that on purpose,

0:42:13.480 --> 0:42:17.000
<v Speaker 8>because what you want to actually notice is that there's

0:42:17.040 --> 0:42:22.120
<v Speaker 8>something going on here which we cannot diagnose, but it

0:42:22.160 --> 0:42:25.719
<v Speaker 8>has potential to be dangerous. Basically, it really breaks down

0:42:25.760 --> 0:42:29.280
<v Speaker 8>to something very simple. When you have a febrile disease

0:42:29.320 --> 0:42:32.640
<v Speaker 8>which is being transmitted in a community somewhere on the

0:42:32.760 --> 0:42:35.600
<v Speaker 8>edge of a forest or a disturbed landscape, you want

0:42:35.600 --> 0:42:39.520
<v Speaker 8>to be very attentive to that, so that part that

0:42:39.800 --> 0:42:44.279
<v Speaker 8>pre pandemic pre spillover is really the mainstay as we

0:42:44.360 --> 0:42:48.920
<v Speaker 8>move forwards, protecting landscapes, protecting our forests, protecting the environment

0:42:49.000 --> 0:42:54.520
<v Speaker 8>in general, maintaining ecosystem function and biodiversity is probably one

0:42:54.560 --> 0:42:57.960
<v Speaker 8>of the best investments we can make into the future

0:42:58.080 --> 0:43:04.080
<v Speaker 8>and repair that with frontline and diagnostics and information networks.

0:43:04.120 --> 0:43:07.719
<v Speaker 8>One of the things we've learned about working across sectors.

0:43:09.040 --> 0:43:14.760
<v Speaker 8>Our organization is just inherently transsectoral, and you know governments,

0:43:14.760 --> 0:43:18.520
<v Speaker 8>you would think that all the administrations and different ministries

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:21.799
<v Speaker 8>are talking to each other, are constantly and coordinating, but

0:43:21.840 --> 0:43:25.120
<v Speaker 8>the reality is that's not happening. Most basic would be

0:43:25.200 --> 0:43:30.720
<v Speaker 8>the agricultural sector is completely siloed from the public health sector,

0:43:31.239 --> 0:43:34.759
<v Speaker 8>so spillover, for example, from wildlife to livestock and then

0:43:34.840 --> 0:43:40.000
<v Speaker 8>onto humans would actually need to be addressed by different sectors.

0:43:41.000 --> 0:43:46.120
<v Speaker 8>Interestingly enough, as an organization, we actually work already with

0:43:46.200 --> 0:43:49.960
<v Speaker 8>both sectors, so we're often a great convener and a

0:43:50.120 --> 0:43:53.360
<v Speaker 8>great place to share information and to make people aware

0:43:53.400 --> 0:43:59.280
<v Speaker 8>of how these different areas are interconnected. So as we

0:43:59.360 --> 0:44:04.240
<v Speaker 8>talk about frontline diagnostics and early onset sort of diagnostics,

0:44:04.440 --> 0:44:07.000
<v Speaker 8>We also need to make sure that that information is

0:44:07.040 --> 0:44:10.480
<v Speaker 8>made available into the existing public health networks, and that

0:44:10.680 --> 0:44:13.200
<v Speaker 8>is really a challenge at the moment we need to

0:44:13.239 --> 0:44:16.360
<v Speaker 8>address as we move forward. We really need to find

0:44:16.400 --> 0:44:21.000
<v Speaker 8>out how to streamline that information and how to use

0:44:21.040 --> 0:44:24.280
<v Speaker 8>that information. It's not that simple.

0:44:26.680 --> 0:44:30.600
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, we know that this isn't going to be the

0:44:30.680 --> 0:44:34.759
<v Speaker 6>last pandemic or the last epidemic that we see, unfortunately.

0:44:35.480 --> 0:44:37.920
<v Speaker 6>So this is kind of a multi part question. But

0:44:38.239 --> 0:44:41.720
<v Speaker 6>what are people like you, people who work in this field,

0:44:42.160 --> 0:44:45.440
<v Speaker 6>most concerned about when it comes to the next potential

0:44:45.480 --> 0:44:48.400
<v Speaker 6>pandemic And what are the areas that you feel we

0:44:48.440 --> 0:44:51.640
<v Speaker 6>still have really big improvements to make either and how

0:44:51.640 --> 0:44:55.080
<v Speaker 6>we prepare for or how we predict and try and

0:44:55.120 --> 0:44:56.880
<v Speaker 6>prevent pandemics like this.

0:44:58.040 --> 0:45:00.279
<v Speaker 8>I think one of the I believe one of the

0:45:00.320 --> 0:45:04.799
<v Speaker 8>things we really need to address is the siloed structure

0:45:04.880 --> 0:45:09.880
<v Speaker 8>of our governments and decision processes. We definitely if we

0:45:09.960 --> 0:45:13.440
<v Speaker 8>want to address future pandemics and epidemics, we need what

0:45:13.560 --> 0:45:16.560
<v Speaker 8>is called a one health approach, And so one health

0:45:17.000 --> 0:45:21.560
<v Speaker 8>approach is an approach that does acknowledge that the health

0:45:21.600 --> 0:45:25.520
<v Speaker 8>of humans, the health of animals, plants, and the environment

0:45:25.600 --> 0:45:31.280
<v Speaker 8>are all entangled and interconnected, and by trying to only

0:45:31.360 --> 0:45:35.799
<v Speaker 8>deal with one pillar, you will never be able to

0:45:35.840 --> 0:45:40.200
<v Speaker 8>address these complex issues, as a pandemic has shown, so

0:45:40.560 --> 0:45:45.600
<v Speaker 8>a one health framing, this kind of framing is essential,

0:45:45.680 --> 0:45:50.279
<v Speaker 8>and I am seeing that across the globe as governments

0:45:50.280 --> 0:45:54.279
<v Speaker 8>and administrations and multilaterals are scrambling to see how they're

0:45:54.280 --> 0:45:56.480
<v Speaker 8>going to be able to implement that. So there's a

0:45:56.480 --> 0:46:01.719
<v Speaker 8>broad realization that this is necessary. That great thing. On

0:46:01.760 --> 0:46:04.880
<v Speaker 8>the other hand, we do have a problem that we're obviously,

0:46:05.200 --> 0:46:08.759
<v Speaker 8>I mean calling it a problem is really an understatement.

0:46:09.239 --> 0:46:14.200
<v Speaker 8>We do have this issue that we're talking about unknowns.

0:46:14.719 --> 0:46:17.320
<v Speaker 8>As you will see in the media and in discussions,

0:46:17.360 --> 0:46:20.879
<v Speaker 8>there's always this talk about zoonosis in the sense that

0:46:21.200 --> 0:46:25.000
<v Speaker 8>the classic description we have an animal reservoir and pathogens

0:46:25.040 --> 0:46:29.200
<v Speaker 8>spill over, known pathogens spill over into humans. But what

0:46:29.239 --> 0:46:32.000
<v Speaker 8>we're dealing with with these pandemics is what are actually

0:46:32.080 --> 0:46:37.000
<v Speaker 8>just zoonotic origin potential pathogens they spill over and then

0:46:37.040 --> 0:46:40.400
<v Speaker 8>they don't need that animal reservoir at all anymore because

0:46:41.120 --> 0:46:43.520
<v Speaker 8>they've got into the best host there is out there

0:46:43.520 --> 0:46:48.960
<v Speaker 8>with nearly eight billion humans, So these zoonotic origin is

0:46:49.000 --> 0:46:52.920
<v Speaker 8>just a small point in time and then all subsequent

0:46:54.320 --> 0:46:59.759
<v Speaker 8>evolution and spread happens in humans, and to recognize which

0:47:00.360 --> 0:47:03.839
<v Speaker 8>virus is going to become a pathogen of importance, it's

0:47:03.920 --> 0:47:09.200
<v Speaker 8>a very very difficult process at the moment. So I

0:47:09.239 --> 0:47:13.319
<v Speaker 8>always say, if we had described SARS coronavirus to mid

0:47:13.560 --> 0:47:17.040
<v Speaker 8>twenty nineteen from one of the species we call in

0:47:17.080 --> 0:47:23.399
<v Speaker 8>Southeast Asia, probably wouldn't even have published the paper. I mean,

0:47:23.440 --> 0:47:26.839
<v Speaker 8>it wouldn't have surprised anyone to find something. It would

0:47:26.880 --> 0:47:29.880
<v Speaker 8>have maybe been interesting because it was so closely related

0:47:29.920 --> 0:47:33.200
<v Speaker 8>to SARS, but it would have just been another one.

0:47:33.920 --> 0:47:40.720
<v Speaker 8>So how do we characterize these discovered pathogens quickly enough

0:47:41.040 --> 0:47:45.160
<v Speaker 8>or these potential pathogens quickly enough that they can actually

0:47:45.239 --> 0:47:49.160
<v Speaker 8>inform policy and decision makers. So that's going to be

0:47:49.200 --> 0:47:53.840
<v Speaker 8>a tricky discussion and process in the next you know,

0:47:53.920 --> 0:47:58.520
<v Speaker 8>hopefully shorter them later, But that's something we definitely need

0:47:58.560 --> 0:48:02.240
<v Speaker 8>to work on. A lot of is own about sell entry

0:48:02.440 --> 0:48:08.080
<v Speaker 8>and replication in human sales and transmission, But how do

0:48:08.120 --> 0:48:11.320
<v Speaker 8>you process that information, which is often you know, basic

0:48:11.440 --> 0:48:16.080
<v Speaker 8>research in labs so that it can actually inform policy

0:48:16.440 --> 0:48:19.040
<v Speaker 8>and decisions. So I think that's one of the really

0:48:19.040 --> 0:48:22.320
<v Speaker 8>big challenges moving forward. Yeah.

0:48:22.360 --> 0:48:28.399
<v Speaker 7>Absolutely, So the pandemic has changed a lot of our

0:48:28.560 --> 0:48:32.200
<v Speaker 7>daily lives, both from a big picture in terms of

0:48:32.280 --> 0:48:37.000
<v Speaker 7>how we understand spillover events to you know how it's

0:48:37.040 --> 0:48:39.640
<v Speaker 7>a you know, day to day change, maybe working from home,

0:48:39.960 --> 0:48:42.759
<v Speaker 7>or saving a lot on gas this year, or doing

0:48:42.800 --> 0:48:47.360
<v Speaker 7>grocery pickup, and so our last question kind of focuses

0:48:47.400 --> 0:48:50.239
<v Speaker 7>on it's a more personal question. So what do you

0:48:50.800 --> 0:48:54.480
<v Speaker 7>hope that we keep or learn from this pandemic, either

0:48:54.840 --> 0:48:57.840
<v Speaker 7>something personal to you or maybe as a society.

0:48:58.920 --> 0:49:03.280
<v Speaker 8>I think my main wish will be that we don't

0:49:03.280 --> 0:49:06.520
<v Speaker 8>go back to where we were before. That's I think

0:49:06.800 --> 0:49:12.040
<v Speaker 8>very very important. The pandemic has provided some extraordinary opportunities

0:49:12.080 --> 0:49:15.560
<v Speaker 8>to make our world and our society is a better place.

0:49:16.200 --> 0:49:20.120
<v Speaker 8>The pandemic, of course, isn't alone. The pandemic comes together

0:49:20.239 --> 0:49:26.919
<v Speaker 8>with biodiversity loss, with climate change, global crisis, in inequities

0:49:26.920 --> 0:49:29.680
<v Speaker 8>and injustice, and now this health crisis, so we have

0:49:29.880 --> 0:49:33.920
<v Speaker 8>multiple crisis going on. They all are symptoms of an

0:49:33.960 --> 0:49:38.000
<v Speaker 8>ailing planet. And I think the pandemic, because it has

0:49:38.160 --> 0:49:41.840
<v Speaker 8>impacted the well being and the health each and every

0:49:41.880 --> 0:49:46.040
<v Speaker 8>family across the globe, makes it more tangible that the

0:49:46.080 --> 0:49:50.719
<v Speaker 8>planet is ailing. So I do believe that it's going

0:49:50.800 --> 0:49:53.319
<v Speaker 8>to provide an opportunity for us to have a more

0:49:53.360 --> 0:49:56.960
<v Speaker 8>respectful and humble approach to our planet.

0:50:30.480 --> 0:50:35.160
<v Speaker 7>That was so great. Thank you so much, doctor Walter

0:50:35.400 --> 0:50:38.360
<v Speaker 7>for taking the time to chat with us about spillover

0:50:38.480 --> 0:50:43.520
<v Speaker 7>and conservation and viruses and policy and everything like all.

0:50:43.400 --> 0:50:44.720
<v Speaker 2>The things we love to talk about.

0:50:45.000 --> 0:50:48.080
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, exactly. And I also want to give a shout

0:50:48.080 --> 0:50:51.239
<v Speaker 7>out to nat for helping us set everything up. That

0:50:51.440 --> 0:50:52.320
<v Speaker 7>was so helpful.

0:50:52.320 --> 0:50:55.640
<v Speaker 2>Thank you. Impossible without you. Thank you so much.

0:50:56.680 --> 0:50:59.160
<v Speaker 7>All Right, should we go over the top five things

0:50:59.200 --> 0:51:01.960
<v Speaker 7>that we want to take away from the interview?

0:51:02.160 --> 0:51:03.080
<v Speaker 2>I think we should erin.

0:51:03.160 --> 0:51:05.279
<v Speaker 6>You want to start us off, I will, all right.

0:51:05.440 --> 0:51:10.080
<v Speaker 7>Number one, so we know now from retrospective analysis that

0:51:10.160 --> 0:51:14.960
<v Speaker 7>the SARS covy two virus didn't likely emerge until November

0:51:15.000 --> 0:51:18.759
<v Speaker 7>twenty nineteen, or perhaps at the very end of October

0:51:18.800 --> 0:51:22.080
<v Speaker 7>of that same year. And it was December twenty nineteen

0:51:22.239 --> 0:51:24.680
<v Speaker 7>when it was first noticed that a new to US

0:51:24.880 --> 0:51:29.360
<v Speaker 7>unidentified virus was causing a febrile illness in Wuhan in China,

0:51:29.800 --> 0:51:33.759
<v Speaker 7>and by January tenth that virus had been sequenced, which

0:51:33.800 --> 0:51:38.080
<v Speaker 7>is like amazingly fast, still so fast, and today, we

0:51:38.160 --> 0:51:41.200
<v Speaker 7>still don't know the exact sequence of events or the

0:51:41.320 --> 0:51:45.800
<v Speaker 7>precise spillover event or events that took place that led

0:51:45.840 --> 0:51:49.480
<v Speaker 7>to this new virus emergence, but we do know that

0:51:49.560 --> 0:51:53.120
<v Speaker 7>the ancestral host of SARS Kobe two was likely a bat,

0:51:53.400 --> 0:51:57.960
<v Speaker 7>But we can't pinpoint yet whether this virus spilled directly

0:51:58.000 --> 0:52:01.759
<v Speaker 7>over from bats into humans or whether there was an

0:52:01.800 --> 0:52:06.360
<v Speaker 7>intermediate host involved, which is probably more likely because that

0:52:06.440 --> 0:52:10.879
<v Speaker 7>has been the case with other coronavirus epidemics. But one

0:52:10.920 --> 0:52:13.799
<v Speaker 7>thing is certain, and that is that it's very likely

0:52:14.040 --> 0:52:18.760
<v Speaker 7>that large scale wildlife markets where live wildlife are housed

0:52:18.800 --> 0:52:21.600
<v Speaker 7>and sold, such as the seafood market in Muhan and

0:52:21.680 --> 0:52:26.200
<v Speaker 7>others nearby, that these markets likely played an integral role

0:52:26.360 --> 0:52:29.080
<v Speaker 7>in the emergence of this particular virus.

0:52:30.719 --> 0:52:31.239
<v Speaker 2>Number two.

0:52:31.719 --> 0:52:37.040
<v Speaker 6>We often see scientific developments inadequately translated into something policymakers

0:52:37.080 --> 0:52:41.680
<v Speaker 6>can actually use to develop and implement public health policies.

0:52:42.360 --> 0:52:46.120
<v Speaker 6>This may be in large part due to issues in communication,

0:52:46.560 --> 0:52:50.319
<v Speaker 6>which of course we've touched on in every single one

0:52:50.360 --> 0:52:54.920
<v Speaker 6>of our COVID episodes, but it also has to do

0:52:55.000 --> 0:52:59.239
<v Speaker 6>with the fact that as humans, we are always discounting

0:52:59.239 --> 0:52:59.760
<v Speaker 6>the future.

0:53:00.120 --> 0:53:02.720
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah, Yeah, especially when.

0:53:02.560 --> 0:53:07.600
<v Speaker 6>That potential future has a low probability of happening, like

0:53:08.120 --> 0:53:12.520
<v Speaker 6>spillover events turning into global pandemics. For example, we have

0:53:12.760 --> 0:53:16.120
<v Speaker 6>known about spillover events and the scenarios in which they

0:53:16.160 --> 0:53:20.840
<v Speaker 6>tend to occur. We have seen epidemics unfold countless times before,

0:53:21.280 --> 0:53:25.239
<v Speaker 6>yet we still underestimate the potential impacts of a pandemic

0:53:25.600 --> 0:53:26.840
<v Speaker 6>on a global scale.

0:53:27.880 --> 0:53:29.000
<v Speaker 2>And the thing is, it's not.

0:53:28.920 --> 0:53:32.759
<v Speaker 6>Just translating between scientists and decision makers, or even scientists

0:53:32.800 --> 0:53:35.960
<v Speaker 6>and the general public. It's even getting information to flow

0:53:36.000 --> 0:53:40.320
<v Speaker 6>smoothly between different sectors of government and these different agencies

0:53:40.360 --> 0:53:44.120
<v Speaker 6>that actually make public policy. Often these different groups work

0:53:44.160 --> 0:53:48.360
<v Speaker 6>with entirely different sets of information, which makes making collective,

0:53:48.480 --> 0:53:53.839
<v Speaker 6>large scale decision making really difficult, if not almost impossible.

0:53:54.600 --> 0:53:59.719
<v Speaker 7>Yeah yeah, number three. In some ways, this pandemic has

0:54:00.080 --> 0:54:03.520
<v Speaker 7>brought to the forefront the fact that events that degrade

0:54:03.680 --> 0:54:07.560
<v Speaker 7>or affect the environment thousands of miles away from where

0:54:07.600 --> 0:54:11.520
<v Speaker 7>you are have the ability to directly affect our lives

0:54:11.560 --> 0:54:15.200
<v Speaker 7>and our economies and our health. Not only does global

0:54:15.239 --> 0:54:17.919
<v Speaker 7>travel make it possible for someone to be on three

0:54:17.960 --> 0:54:21.200
<v Speaker 7>different continents in a span of twenty four hours, and

0:54:21.560 --> 0:54:24.160
<v Speaker 7>during that time, they've been able to interact with thousands

0:54:24.200 --> 0:54:27.479
<v Speaker 7>of other humans. Over the past year, we've also seen

0:54:27.560 --> 0:54:31.719
<v Speaker 7>the impact of globalization in so many other ways, everything

0:54:31.840 --> 0:54:36.600
<v Speaker 7>from not having enough ppe or testing equipment, or in

0:54:36.680 --> 0:54:40.799
<v Speaker 7>terms of vaccine development, like we're still seeing supply chain difficulties,

0:54:40.880 --> 0:54:44.080
<v Speaker 7>and even outside the realm of healthcare, we're seeing supply

0:54:44.239 --> 0:54:49.520
<v Speaker 7>chain difficulties. Remember the toilet paper. This interconnectedness that we

0:54:49.600 --> 0:54:54.080
<v Speaker 7>often underestimate has been impossible to ignore during this pandemic.

0:54:54.840 --> 0:54:59.040
<v Speaker 7>And while this interconnectedness is the exact thing that allows

0:54:59.160 --> 0:55:02.400
<v Speaker 7>pandemics like COVID nineteen to flourish, it also has a

0:55:02.440 --> 0:55:06.879
<v Speaker 7>flip side because it's the same global network that has

0:55:07.000 --> 0:55:11.320
<v Speaker 7>led to scientific progress, allowing us to identify and sequence

0:55:11.360 --> 0:55:14.880
<v Speaker 7>this virus, trace its origin, and develop tests within a

0:55:14.920 --> 0:55:19.200
<v Speaker 7>matter of weeks after its emergence. Despite how much havoc

0:55:19.239 --> 0:55:22.520
<v Speaker 7>this pandemic has reaked, we have achieved a hecka a

0:55:22.560 --> 0:55:27.640
<v Speaker 7>lot amazing new vaccine technologies have been tested, scaled up,

0:55:27.680 --> 0:55:30.759
<v Speaker 7>and deployed all around the globe in record time.

0:55:31.800 --> 0:55:32.319
<v Speaker 2>Number four.

0:55:32.880 --> 0:55:38.040
<v Speaker 6>Speaking of scientific advancements, we have the technology to detect

0:55:38.239 --> 0:55:42.120
<v Speaker 6>novel viruses and people have been working for decades identifying

0:55:42.200 --> 0:55:46.920
<v Speaker 6>these new viruses in wildlife, But how do we characterize

0:55:47.160 --> 0:55:50.759
<v Speaker 6>and decide where to put our funding to know which

0:55:50.800 --> 0:55:55.040
<v Speaker 6>ones would really have pandemic potential. That is still a

0:55:55.080 --> 0:56:00.480
<v Speaker 6>really big challenge. It's theoretically possible that some one could

0:56:00.560 --> 0:56:04.520
<v Speaker 6>have found or identified a very similar virus to SARS

0:56:04.560 --> 0:56:09.200
<v Speaker 6>CoV two in its original host, but couldn't have predicted

0:56:09.440 --> 0:56:11.360
<v Speaker 6>that it would then cause this pandemic.

0:56:12.320 --> 0:56:14.120
<v Speaker 2>We need new tools.

0:56:13.760 --> 0:56:17.759
<v Speaker 6>To be able to process this massive amount of information,

0:56:18.160 --> 0:56:22.200
<v Speaker 6>not only to identify these pathogens early, but this also

0:56:22.239 --> 0:56:25.680
<v Speaker 6>then has to be paired with working with community health centers,

0:56:25.840 --> 0:56:29.120
<v Speaker 6>with people who develop diagnostic tools to be able to

0:56:29.320 --> 0:56:33.360
<v Speaker 6>identify on the ground in humans when things are awry

0:56:33.560 --> 0:56:37.040
<v Speaker 6>or when risks pop up, and then those networks have

0:56:37.160 --> 0:56:40.920
<v Speaker 6>to also be paired with larger information networks to share

0:56:41.000 --> 0:56:46.640
<v Speaker 6>this data across the globe and then translate it to policymakers.

0:56:46.320 --> 0:56:48.319
<v Speaker 2>And on and on and on.

0:56:49.440 --> 0:56:53.680
<v Speaker 6>Pandemic preparedness really has to be very transsectoral work for

0:56:53.760 --> 0:56:56.959
<v Speaker 6>it to be effective. What we need is a one

0:56:57.040 --> 0:57:02.120
<v Speaker 6>health approach which acknowledges that animal, human, and environmental health

0:57:02.120 --> 0:57:05.480
<v Speaker 6>are all very interconnected and we have to address all

0:57:05.520 --> 0:57:08.840
<v Speaker 6>of them, not just piecemeal, but all together to ensure

0:57:08.880 --> 0:57:12.160
<v Speaker 6>that the planet and us humans living on it actually

0:57:12.200 --> 0:57:15.240
<v Speaker 6>are healthy. The good news is that this is starting

0:57:15.280 --> 0:57:18.240
<v Speaker 6>to happen. This pandemic has I think led to a

0:57:18.280 --> 0:57:21.600
<v Speaker 6>broad realization that this approach really is vital going forward.

0:57:21.720 --> 0:57:25.080
<v Speaker 6>But like we said, even in an earlier learning point,

0:57:25.320 --> 0:57:27.520
<v Speaker 6>getting all of these different sectors to talk to one

0:57:27.560 --> 0:57:29.280
<v Speaker 6>another is still a challenge.

0:57:29.880 --> 0:57:31.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:57:31.320 --> 0:57:38.480
<v Speaker 7>Number five, conservation is an integral part of pandemic prevention. Yeah,

0:57:39.040 --> 0:57:44.000
<v Speaker 7>conserve the forests, conserve the planet, conserve wildlife, and we

0:57:44.040 --> 0:57:48.440
<v Speaker 7>will likely incredibly reduce the potential for a pathogen to

0:57:48.480 --> 0:57:53.520
<v Speaker 7>spill over and cause another pandemic or epidemic. Seventy five

0:57:53.640 --> 0:57:58.480
<v Speaker 7>percent of all emerging infectious diseases have their origin in wildlife,

0:57:59.320 --> 0:58:03.760
<v Speaker 7>but not every spillover event results in a global pandemic

0:58:04.040 --> 0:58:08.760
<v Speaker 7>or even an epidemic. Viruses are constantly spilling over, but

0:58:08.920 --> 0:58:11.520
<v Speaker 7>for the most part, they don't lead to epidemics or

0:58:11.600 --> 0:58:16.000
<v Speaker 7>pandemics because they don't cause disease in humans, or if

0:58:16.040 --> 0:58:20.080
<v Speaker 7>they do, they aren't transmissible from person to person. And

0:58:20.120 --> 0:58:23.800
<v Speaker 7>it's not intact forest habitats that pose a threat, it's

0:58:23.840 --> 0:58:27.800
<v Speaker 7>the edges. It's those disturbed habitats. The more that we

0:58:27.920 --> 0:58:33.160
<v Speaker 7>increase the number of interfaces between wildlife, their habitats, and humans,

0:58:34.080 --> 0:58:37.600
<v Speaker 7>the more we're playing a numbers game. We're just increasing

0:58:37.640 --> 0:58:40.919
<v Speaker 7>the chances that a spillover event can occur, and we're

0:58:40.920 --> 0:58:44.320
<v Speaker 7>increasing the chances that it will be successful, as in

0:58:44.560 --> 0:58:48.840
<v Speaker 7>resulting in an epidemic or pandemic. Keeping live animals in

0:58:48.880 --> 0:58:52.760
<v Speaker 7>cages at large scale commercial wildlife markets is one example

0:58:52.800 --> 0:58:55.480
<v Speaker 7>of a place where you're really increasing the numbers of

0:58:55.520 --> 0:58:59.640
<v Speaker 7>potential contexts, and it's why urban wildlife markets pose such

0:58:59.720 --> 0:59:03.040
<v Speaker 7>a great threat in terms of zoonotic disease than wildlife

0:59:03.080 --> 0:59:06.920
<v Speaker 7>that is consumed by local communities for subsistence. For example,

0:59:07.800 --> 0:59:12.080
<v Speaker 7>conservation of our forests not only decreases the contact between

0:59:12.200 --> 0:59:16.720
<v Speaker 7>humans and wildlife, it also preserves habitat for wildlife populations

0:59:16.760 --> 0:59:20.200
<v Speaker 7>in areas where people actually depend on wildlife as a

0:59:20.240 --> 0:59:24.840
<v Speaker 7>food source. Doctor Waltzer said that this pandemic is one

0:59:25.320 --> 0:59:30.120
<v Speaker 7>just one of the symptoms of our ailing planet. Conservation

0:59:30.520 --> 0:59:32.160
<v Speaker 7>has to be one of the treatments.

0:59:32.920 --> 0:59:36.760
<v Speaker 6>Oh yes, that's I think my favorite take home point.

0:59:37.320 --> 0:59:41.200
<v Speaker 6>Oh yeah, thank you again so much to doctor Waltzer

0:59:41.240 --> 0:59:43.200
<v Speaker 6>for taking the time to chat with us, and to

0:59:43.320 --> 0:59:45.000
<v Speaker 6>Nat for all of your help in getting all of

0:59:45.000 --> 0:59:46.080
<v Speaker 6>this interview set up.

0:59:46.360 --> 0:59:50.160
<v Speaker 7>Yes, and thank you again to everyone who has provided

0:59:50.200 --> 0:59:53.480
<v Speaker 7>a first hand account in this episode, in just in

0:59:53.520 --> 0:59:57.120
<v Speaker 7>our email, in filling out the form. Thank you to everyone.

0:59:57.480 --> 1:00:00.720
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, we really feel very like to get to hear

1:00:00.760 --> 1:00:03.320
<v Speaker 6>so many stories from you all. Thank you also to

1:00:03.360 --> 1:00:06.200
<v Speaker 6>Bloodmobile for providing the music for this episode and all

1:00:06.240 --> 1:00:07.120
<v Speaker 6>of our episodes.

1:00:07.440 --> 1:00:10.280
<v Speaker 7>And thank you to the Exactly Right Network, of whom

1:00:10.280 --> 1:00:11.800
<v Speaker 7>we are a very proud member.

1:00:12.280 --> 1:00:14.000
<v Speaker 2>And thank you to you listeners.

1:00:14.640 --> 1:00:18.000
<v Speaker 6>We have what two more episodes of this series erin

1:00:18.280 --> 1:00:21.120
<v Speaker 6>I think so? Yeah, I think so so.

1:00:21.240 --> 1:00:23.640
<v Speaker 2>Stay tuned, stay tuned.

1:00:23.800 --> 1:00:27.040
<v Speaker 7>Thanks for sticking with us this whole journey.

1:00:27.200 --> 1:00:28.720
<v Speaker 2>I know it's been a long one.

1:00:29.200 --> 1:00:33.400
<v Speaker 7>It has well. Until next time, wash your hands

1:00:33.560 --> 1:00:34.640
<v Speaker 2>You filthy animals.