1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: This is the Action Network podcast. But this one is good. 2 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 2: All right. Here we go. 3 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 3: We're throwing in so we're sitting it to cash touchdown 4 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,200 Speaker 3: that we see most gamblers when they go to gamble, 5 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 3: they go to wind. 6 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:24,439 Speaker 2: That's incredible, big bank, small banks. 7 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: I like to make money. 8 00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: All right, it is the ultimate kaban. You want to 9 00:00:28,840 --> 00:00:36,040 Speaker 2: pa and we are Hello and welcome to another episode 10 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 2: of strong Side Fridays here on the Action Network podcast. 11 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: I'm your host, Brandon Anderson here as all is with 12 00:00:43,800 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 2: Raheem Palmer to get you ready for some week sixteen 13 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 2: Christmas holiday football Action. We got Saturday games, we got 14 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 2: Sunday games. We had Monday, Tuesday, and Thursday games. This 15 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:00,400 Speaker 2: week we got football almost every day of the week. 16 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:05,400 Speaker 2: Right now with all this crazy COVID rescheduling and protocols, Rahiem, 17 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 2: I feel like every minute we check our phone and 18 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:10,000 Speaker 2: get some new notification. What in the world are we 19 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:11,280 Speaker 2: doing with the slate right now? 20 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: It's really tough. 21 00:01:13,120 --> 00:01:14,920 Speaker 3: You kind of got to wait to the last minute, 22 00:01:15,080 --> 00:01:18,120 Speaker 3: or sometimes you got to jump ahead of things and 23 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 3: try to get the best of it and hope that 24 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 3: you have COVID variants. 25 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 1: But it's a tough Slate. 26 00:01:22,959 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 3: We're going to try to break this thing down before 27 00:01:24,600 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 3: you get you some winners, right before Christmas, go into 28 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 3: the new year, and you know, lost it up a 29 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 3: little bit. 30 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 2: That's right before I forget. You are now able if 31 00:01:35,000 --> 00:01:37,399 Speaker 2: you're a Spotify user, even if you're not. If you've 32 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 2: got Spotify, we are now able to rate and give 33 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 2: reviews on Spotify. So if you haven't, Yatt, please rate 34 00:01:44,720 --> 00:01:48,240 Speaker 2: and review the podcast on Apple and Spotify both places 35 00:01:48,280 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: five stars. Give us those stars got free to download 36 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:54,800 Speaker 2: the app. Odds today are from BETMGM as all is, 37 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 2: the official ODS provider of the Action Network podcast. So 38 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 2: let's get down to business and take a look at 39 00:02:00,240 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: our week sixteen games. Let's get down. Let's get down 40 00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: to business. So let's get down. 41 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:08,959 Speaker 1: Let's get down. Now. 42 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 2: We're gonna do things a little differently today. We're gonna 43 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,000 Speaker 2: skip the look ahead. This is not the time to 44 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 2: be picking. We don't even know what's happening an hour 45 00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:20,000 Speaker 2: from now or for the game Saturday and Sunday. We 46 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:23,080 Speaker 2: are not gonna be putting bets in for next weekend 47 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 2: on the look ahead. It's just it's too volatile right now. 48 00:02:25,320 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 2: So we agreed, no look Ahead. We're gonna skip our 49 00:02:28,160 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 2: usual best bets. We're gonna go for just the four 50 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,360 Speaker 2: games that we felt best about, big games on the 51 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: schedule and games that we think we were pretty good 52 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:38,000 Speaker 2: to read on, and really those are our best bets 53 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 2: right now. So we're just gonna jump in and first 54 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 2: game this week on Christmas, a little Christmas Football Saturday evening, 55 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 2: the Indianapolis Colts at Arizona Cardinals. Now the line is 56 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:55,239 Speaker 2: Cardinals minus one. A week ago on this podcast on 57 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 2: The look Ahead, Colts plus four. So we've dropped this 58 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,120 Speaker 2: line almost a whole field goal. Why do you thing 59 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,799 Speaker 2: where him left the line has moved so much is I. 60 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 3: Think one of the things that you see is that 61 00:03:04,280 --> 00:03:07,079 Speaker 3: the public is all over the Colts. They've been red hot, 62 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: and obviously we saw this line drop from Cardinals minus 63 00:03:11,520 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 3: two and a half to where it sits now at 64 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 3: Cardinals minus one. There there was some pickums in the market. Personally, 65 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 3: from a numbers perspective, I'm not buying it. But of course, 66 00:03:21,560 --> 00:03:23,760 Speaker 3: when you look at some of the matchups, and the 67 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:27,840 Speaker 3: big one is the Cardinals run defense. They're just twenty 68 00:03:27,960 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 3: third in rushing success rate, allowing forty one percent of 69 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 3: opposing rushes to grade out successful, and that's not good 70 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 3: against Jonathan Taylor. So I think that's that's one of 71 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 3: the reasons why you probably saw this line go down 72 00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:43,920 Speaker 3: a little bit. But at the end of the day, 73 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:46,200 Speaker 3: it's going to come down to Carson wins. Cardinals are 74 00:03:46,280 --> 00:03:50,480 Speaker 3: actually dead last and explosive run play rate, so sixteen 75 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 3: percent of the rushes go for twenty yards of war 76 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 3: So the Colts may be. 77 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 1: Able to run the ball here. But we'll see what's 78 00:03:58,640 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 1: your thoughts on this game. 79 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:02,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's going to be interesting that the Colts defense 80 00:04:02,560 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 2: has really shifted a lot. Early in the season, the 81 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:08,000 Speaker 2: Colts were this dominant run defense, but the numbers have 82 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,200 Speaker 2: kind of flipped over the last six weeks or so. 83 00:04:10,720 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 2: Folts run defense has struggled now, but the Cardinals don't 84 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 2: really run the ball, like you said, So that's this 85 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 2: place where you can kind of gash the Colts a 86 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 2: little bit. But the Cardinals are looking to pass. Folts 87 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:25,239 Speaker 2: have ranked number two in EPA per play defensively against 88 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 2: the pass over the last six weeks, so I like 89 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:33,880 Speaker 2: the Colts matchup defensively here. The Cardinals offense is starting 90 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 2: to look and feel a little bit gimmicky to me. 91 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 2: It always has been under Cliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray 92 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:43,279 Speaker 2: and all the little weapons that they've got, but especially 93 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 2: with no Down or Hopkins out, it's just there's still 94 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 2: is too much of Hey, Kyler, go make a play, 95 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 2: hy Kyler, go run around and do a thing. And 96 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 2: the Colts are just a very fundamental, stay home, do 97 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,799 Speaker 2: things the right way sort of defense that I think 98 00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 2: holds up relative well against that. So let me ask 99 00:05:04,040 --> 00:05:06,599 Speaker 2: you this. So the Cardinals are coming off two losses 100 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:08,760 Speaker 2: in a row, so the Colts are red hot. The 101 00:05:08,800 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 2: Cardinals have lost twice. They lost twice in the week, 102 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 2: lost to the Rams Monday night, they lost the Lions. 103 00:05:14,200 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 2: We talked about those games when they happened, But now 104 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,240 Speaker 2: that a little time has passed, how much do you 105 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 2: make of those losses for the Cardinals? Like how much 106 00:05:22,720 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 2: lower are you feeling about Arizona or do you feel 107 00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:27,600 Speaker 2: like it's not that big of a deal too. 108 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell will tell you that Cliff Kingsbury his offenses 109 00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,360 Speaker 1: tend to struggle towards the end of the year. 110 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 3: And now we're going into this matchup in James Connor 111 00:05:39,440 --> 00:05:41,560 Speaker 3: and Ron del Moore are both were going to be 112 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 3: game time decisions for this matchup, So you kind of 113 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 3: have to be a little bit concerned for the Cardinals. 114 00:05:47,240 --> 00:05:49,520 Speaker 3: Sometimes you had these teams which run hoth at the 115 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:53,480 Speaker 3: start of the year, and obviously they'd had some injuries 116 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:56,080 Speaker 3: that DeAndre Hopkins, Kyler Murray missed a couple of games, 117 00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:58,240 Speaker 3: and they were able to float through those games, and 118 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 3: now this team is kind of coming down on earth. 119 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 3: You also have Rodney Hudson, who missed the Lions game 120 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 3: on the COVID reserve list. We don't know if he's 121 00:06:07,920 --> 00:06:10,600 Speaker 3: playing this week in as well. So I'm really concerned 122 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 3: about this team from a numbers perspective looking towards the Cardinals. 123 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,919 Speaker 3: But if I'm handicapping this matchup, I'm leaning towards the Colt. 124 00:06:18,680 --> 00:06:21,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm leaning Colts as well. I think that the 125 00:06:21,839 --> 00:06:24,560 Speaker 2: line movement has robbed a lot of the value here. 126 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 2: I loved Colts at plus four. We could go on 127 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 2: the look ahead, I would put this about at the 128 00:06:29,760 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 2: line where it's at. I think Cardinals minus one pick them. 129 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,280 Speaker 2: That feels about right with what we've seen on the season. 130 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 2: But then you look at where the rankings are going, 131 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 2: and it's there's a little bit two ships passing the 132 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 2: night here that the Colts are headed in the right direction. 133 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 2: You mentioned the run game. Obviously that's the big thing 134 00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 2: Christmas Night. This is the chance. This is Jonathan Taylor's chance. 135 00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:54,800 Speaker 2: If you want to be a non quarterback MVP candidate, 136 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:58,760 Speaker 2: this is the spot against the Cardinals. The Colts basically 137 00:06:58,760 --> 00:07:01,279 Speaker 2: have to win out to have as at the division still, 138 00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 2: which they might because the Titans they're faltering. Folts have 139 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:09,240 Speaker 2: been last six weeks. They're the number one run offense, 140 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 2: which is not surprising. What is surprising is typically even 141 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 2: the best rushing offense is still only as good as, 142 00:07:17,560 --> 00:07:20,400 Speaker 2: maybe like an average passing attack. But the Colts, on 143 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 2: EPA per play, how many expected points are adding, have 144 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:26,400 Speaker 2: been better running the ball than all but five teams 145 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 2: are passing over the last six weeks. That's how good 146 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:32,680 Speaker 2: they are rushing. So and the Cardinals run defense during 147 00:07:32,720 --> 00:07:35,520 Speaker 2: that span especially, I think to me, we're focusing a 148 00:07:35,560 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 2: lot on the Cardinals offense. The Cardinals defense is where 149 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,640 Speaker 2: I'm really concerned. They're not getting off the I mean, 150 00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: you can't give up thirty points the Lions, the Lions. 151 00:07:44,080 --> 00:07:47,000 Speaker 2: That's not good. Give up points to Matt Stafford. Okay, sure, 152 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 2: we forgive you. It's John McVay. You can't give up 153 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 2: thirty to the Lions. Since JJ Watt went out, which 154 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:56,440 Speaker 2: I think was Week seven, Since then EPA. Defensively, the 155 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 2: Cardinals are twenty fifth in the NFL. That's the bottom 156 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,760 Speaker 2: quarter of the league, twenty ninth against the run. So 157 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 2: I just I worry about the Cardinals defense here. I 158 00:08:07,160 --> 00:08:09,239 Speaker 2: like the Colts. The one thing giving me a little 159 00:08:09,320 --> 00:08:13,119 Speaker 2: pause is the Colts offensive line you mentioned just before 160 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 2: we came on. Colts right guard is potentially out. Ryan Kelly, 161 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 2: the center, didn't play last week, personal reasons. We're not 162 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:24,160 Speaker 2: positive with him yet. Quentin Nelson, the stud left guard, 163 00:08:24,600 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 2: the real MVP of the Colts team his illness. He's 164 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:31,520 Speaker 2: got a question mark. So I gotta wait till closer 165 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:33,880 Speaker 2: the kick just to make sure. I gotta make sure 166 00:08:33,920 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 2: my MVP is playing. And the MVP of this team 167 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 2: is not Carson Wentz, but it's not Jonathan Taylor either. 168 00:08:38,280 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 2: It's the old line. I gotta make sure my big 169 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: boys up front are going. But I like the Colts here. 170 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 3: I can't argue with that. To me, this lends itself 171 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 3: towards Arizona or Path. But Carson Wentz just has Tod 172 00:08:50,480 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 3: not lose his game for that's what it feels like. 173 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think so. Pointing out the stats here too, 174 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: we've talked about short road dogs all season. Three of 175 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 2: the four games were doing and all with short road dog. 176 00:09:01,000 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 2: So here's the numbers where that stands short road dog. 177 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 2: So road underdog under a touchdown six and a half 178 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,679 Speaker 2: or less for the season, fifty four and twenty six 179 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 2: against the spread. That's more than two out of three. 180 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,439 Speaker 2: That's sixty eight percent cover rate. That is a massive edge. 181 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:20,880 Speaker 2: Straight Up road underdogs this season are forty five, thirty 182 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:23,480 Speaker 2: four and one straight up. They've got a winning record 183 00:09:23,880 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 2: forty eight percent ROI on that. So if you're one 184 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:28,960 Speaker 2: hundred dollars better for our bet labs, if you just 185 00:09:29,120 --> 00:09:32,839 Speaker 2: blindly bet every road underdog this season on the money line, 186 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,600 Speaker 2: one hundred dollars better, would be up three eight hundred 187 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 2: and fifty seven dollars for the season. So that's another 188 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,120 Speaker 2: reason to look for the Colts. 189 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 3: Here. 190 00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 2: We've talked about the declining home field advantage. I like 191 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 2: the Colts. It's gonna be close. This is a good one. 192 00:09:46,520 --> 00:09:49,319 Speaker 2: I'm excited to watch this one on Christmas evening, so 193 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 2: I'm looking forward to that. Sunday at noon Central one 194 00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,440 Speaker 2: Eastern are our other three games, so we've got really 195 00:09:56,480 --> 00:09:58,200 Speaker 2: good slay. You want to make sure you settle in 196 00:09:58,240 --> 00:10:01,000 Speaker 2: for some good football. So we're gonna go next to 197 00:10:01,080 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 2: the AFC East New England hosting the Buffalo Bills. This 198 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 2: was the big one we got all excited about a 199 00:10:07,520 --> 00:10:09,720 Speaker 2: few weeks ago on Monday Night and then they played 200 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 2: in a tornado and we had no idea what's happening 201 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,560 Speaker 2: and what to take away from it, and the Patriots 202 00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 2: got the win. Yet again, the division's up for grabs here. Really, 203 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 2: Buffalo can take the division lead if they get the 204 00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 2: win here. Patriots are favored by two. So I want 205 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 2: to start at that weird tornado we Monday night game. Again. 206 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 2: We talked about it before. What if anything can we 207 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,000 Speaker 2: take away from that game that matters for Sunday. 208 00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 3: The biggest thing we can take away is that the 209 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 3: Buffalo Bills cannot stop the run at all. And you 210 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 3: had twenty five thirty mile per hour wins in that matchup, 211 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 3: and the Patriots were able to just run the ball 212 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:50,679 Speaker 3: forty six times compared to just three passes. But if 213 00:10:50,720 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 3: the Bills can't stop the run when they know what's coming, 214 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 3: how do you stop the run when Matt Jones is 215 00:10:57,160 --> 00:10:59,320 Speaker 3: obviously going to throw the ball more than three times. 216 00:10:59,360 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 1: Like, that's my take away. 217 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 3: That's advantage is still there, but now you also have 218 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 3: to worry about the pass as well. 219 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 4: So I want to push back on that though, because 220 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:09,640 Speaker 4: I don't think it's fair to say that the Bills 221 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 4: couldn't stop the run. So Damien Harris had the one 222 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 4: long touchdown seventy seventy five yards somewhere in there, but 223 00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:19,199 Speaker 4: I believe that the Patriots rushed like all their other 224 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:21,840 Speaker 4: rushes averaged like three and a half yards of pop. 225 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:24,520 Speaker 2: You're stopping the run pretty well. If you're only allowing 226 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 2: three and a half yards a pop, that's that's a 227 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 2: successful defensive play. So I don't know that it's fair 228 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 2: to necessarily say that they couldn't stop that. I thot 229 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:36,120 Speaker 2: the Bills defense outside of one long touchdown. Bill's defense 230 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 2: did what they should that game. The offense, it's not 231 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 2: really fair to say let them down. But the offense 232 00:11:41,960 --> 00:11:43,719 Speaker 2: is who could have won the game. There were a 233 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:45,959 Speaker 2: couple of drop passes, Dawson Knox dropped a couple of 234 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 2: key third downs. Josh Allen had a couple of plays 235 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 2: late where he just missed a pass. Hey, you know, 236 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 2: credit to the Bills letting him throw. He's got their 237 00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:55,559 Speaker 2: arm strength. Where Mac Jones they were just like, he's 238 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:56,760 Speaker 2: just hand the ball off, buddy. 239 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 1: But look, the Pitchers had two hundred and twenty two 240 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,520 Speaker 1: rushing yards on four point eight yards per care. 241 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:05,440 Speaker 3: A lot of that was that large run, but the 242 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 3: fact that they were able to just two a clock 243 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:10,680 Speaker 3: in the manner that they did, and I think a 244 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 3: lot of that is big. Now you got to deal 245 00:12:12,920 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 3: with the threat of the pass at this point, Davis White, 246 00:12:16,520 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 3: you got to be concerned for the Bills in this matchup. 247 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 2: In my pion, So one thing that I'm looking for. 248 00:12:21,880 --> 00:12:23,960 Speaker 2: I don't do a lot of NFL props. I'm the 249 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:28,640 Speaker 2: NBA prop guy, But I'm looking for Josh Allen rushing 250 00:12:28,720 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 2: props in this game. To me, last game, that was 251 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 2: a big strategic miss by Buffalo to not run with 252 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 2: Josh Allen Moore. And I know Alan was in the 253 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 2: walking boot. He supposedly is healthy and fine now and 254 00:12:42,040 --> 00:12:44,319 Speaker 2: you got to protect your franchise quarterback. You don't want 255 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,400 Speaker 2: him logging those big carries is a big He's not 256 00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson's a big, physical runner going to allow you over. 257 00:12:49,640 --> 00:12:51,520 Speaker 2: This is it, this is the game, this is the 258 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 2: season right here. This is what you save your Josh 259 00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 2: Allen carries for. So I like Josh Allen to get 260 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:02,040 Speaker 2: eight to ten carries designed runs. I like him to 261 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 2: get maybe fifty yards. His over unders at thirty five 262 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:07,320 Speaker 2: and a half right now. To me, that was the 263 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,720 Speaker 2: big miss, especially in that win game, to not run 264 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:14,200 Speaker 2: with Alan Moore. But even here, I think they're gonna 265 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:17,600 Speaker 2: course cract a little bit and run with Alan. I thought, 266 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:21,320 Speaker 2: looking back on that first game, the Bills were the 267 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:24,960 Speaker 2: better team. The Patriots got a couple of big turnover 268 00:13:25,160 --> 00:13:27,720 Speaker 2: moments and they got the big run. I think if 269 00:13:27,720 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 2: you play that exact game in those conditions ten times, 270 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 2: the Bills win six of them. The Patriots just won 271 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 2: that day, and you know it's Belichick. This is what 272 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 2: Belichick does. Belchik just wins that day every week. But 273 00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 2: I think Buffalo showed themselves to be the better team there, 274 00:13:44,040 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 2: and with less weather factor, I think that dep only Widens. 275 00:13:48,120 --> 00:13:50,520 Speaker 3: You know, that was my initial That was my initial 276 00:13:50,559 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 3: thought when I watched that game. But when you dig 277 00:13:54,800 --> 00:14:01,839 Speaker 3: into the Bill season, they really struggle against competition. Yeah, 278 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,480 Speaker 3: obviously you have two wins over Miami, you have a 279 00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 3: win over Washington football team, you have a win over Texans. 280 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 3: But outside of the Chiefs, they don't have a real 281 00:14:10,760 --> 00:14:12,800 Speaker 3: quality win the entire season. 282 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:14,439 Speaker 1: Like, who has this team beat? 283 00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, they haven't. But but here's what I'm looking at though. 284 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:20,040 Speaker 2: So the Bills are eight and six, all eight wins 285 00:14:20,080 --> 00:14:23,640 Speaker 2: by fifteen or more points one score games. They're on five. 286 00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 2: We got like Minnesota Vikings East going on out here. 287 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:30,960 Speaker 2: But we know, you know, one score games are proven 288 00:14:30,960 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 2: to be random over time. So who have they beat? Well, 289 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,120 Speaker 2: they haven't yet. They beat the Chiefs that game when 290 00:14:36,120 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 2: the Chiefs weren't really a worthy team to beat. Now 291 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 2: they are, but at the time it wasn't that exciting. 292 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:44,520 Speaker 2: But what if that on on five evens out over 293 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:47,120 Speaker 2: time and instead it's two and three or three and two. 294 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,640 Speaker 2: Now the Bills are ten and four. Now they're eleven 295 00:14:49,720 --> 00:14:52,240 Speaker 2: and three. Now they're the top of the AFC. And 296 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 2: wouldn't we think about this team a lot differently, if 297 00:14:54,760 --> 00:14:57,280 Speaker 2: they just caught a couple, you know, like just a 298 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 2: couple bounces or a pass off of finger tips, and 299 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 2: that's Buffalo. They're right there, and I think that they 300 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 2: The numbers show them to still be right there at 301 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 2: the top of the AFC even though they haven't closed 302 00:15:10,880 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 2: out that win yet. But I think this is a 303 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 2: spot where they can. I will say though, argument against 304 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:20,240 Speaker 2: that Bill Belichick in toss up games when the spread 305 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 2: is three or less twenty six twelve and one against 306 00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:26,080 Speaker 2: the spread sixty eight percent. So I love Belichick in 307 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,440 Speaker 2: that spot usually. But Josh Allen has an underdog fifteen 308 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 2: seven and two against the spread, also sixty eight percent. 309 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 2: So I just this to me is the Bills are 310 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 2: the better team. The Patriots have had their run. The 311 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 2: Patriots really haven't had a lot of those big marquee 312 00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 2: wins still either. Both of these teams have been a 313 00:15:46,880 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 2: bit unproven. I like Buffalo better here, and I like 314 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,120 Speaker 2: them again. It's another one of those road dogs. In 315 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 2: addition to we said road dogs sixty eight percent cover 316 00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:01,520 Speaker 2: division road dogs even better in the road underdogs this 317 00:16:01,640 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 2: season twenty and seven against the spread, covering by almost 318 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:09,920 Speaker 2: a touchdown. Road underdogs under a touchdown eighteen and nine 319 00:16:10,120 --> 00:16:13,120 Speaker 2: straight up for the seventy seven percent ROI, So we 320 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,320 Speaker 2: got another one that was coming up. But I like 321 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:17,800 Speaker 2: that trend a lot for Buffalo. I got to take 322 00:16:17,800 --> 00:16:19,080 Speaker 2: the two and a half here if you can get 323 00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:20,400 Speaker 2: at the two, if you count. 324 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 3: Personally, I'm leaning towards the Patriots in this matchup. Obviously, 325 00:16:23,960 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 3: Buffalo has some issues on offensive line. John Feliciano, Dion 326 00:16:28,120 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 3: Dawkins placed on COVID last week. We don't know if 327 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 3: they're gona be playing this week. Buffalo could be missing 328 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 3: Cole Beasley and a manual saying it. So we're gonna 329 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 3: be relying on Josh Allen and a team that really 330 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:42,000 Speaker 3: doesn't have that much of a runking, but those are 331 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:45,880 Speaker 3: that's huge. Josh Allen hasn't been the Josh Allen that 332 00:16:45,960 --> 00:16:49,040 Speaker 3: we saw last season. You're telling Josh Allen to go 333 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 3: into Foxborough to beat Belichick without two of his top 334 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 3: three receivers. 335 00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's true, but you know the Patriots time of 336 00:16:56,880 --> 00:16:59,840 Speaker 2: the Patriots weapons are overwhelming, either a lot of injuries, 337 00:17:00,120 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 2: the question marks for Damien Harris, Formanri Stevenson, Brandon Bolden. 338 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,399 Speaker 2: Like the entire running backstaff, Nikhil Harry and Nelson Aguilar. Like, 339 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:12,479 Speaker 2: that's the receivers. There's not much weapons here. Basically, you know, 340 00:17:12,720 --> 00:17:15,040 Speaker 2: it feels like an under the defenses we know are 341 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 2: gonna be good and the weapons on both sides are injured. 342 00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:19,680 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a low scoring close game. 343 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 1: But see that. That's my thing. 344 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,520 Speaker 3: If you're telling me this is gonna be a low 345 00:17:22,560 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 3: scoring close game, I want Bellichiet. 346 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, because that's. 347 00:17:26,320 --> 00:17:29,680 Speaker 1: The exact same game that we saw before. You're telling 348 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:31,359 Speaker 1: me it's gonna be a low scoring. 349 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,280 Speaker 2: Games, not weapons. I agree, it is the game we 350 00:17:34,320 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 2: saw before. Just for me, I think the Bills should 351 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 2: have won the game we saw before, So I've got 352 00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:41,880 Speaker 2: to stick with that. Read here. Let me ask this though, 353 00:17:41,920 --> 00:17:44,399 Speaker 2: before we move on. So the Bills end seeing around 354 00:17:44,440 --> 00:17:47,359 Speaker 2: plus one fifteen on the money line. If you like 355 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 2: the Bills, if you like them to win, I think 356 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:52,080 Speaker 2: the better angle is you can play them to win 357 00:17:52,119 --> 00:17:55,439 Speaker 2: the division plus one forty five at bet MGM. If 358 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 2: Buffalo wins this, they can tell their destiny. They play 359 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 2: the Falcons and the Jets. Come on. The Bills aren't 360 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,640 Speaker 2: losing those games after this one. That's a division lead. 361 00:18:02,720 --> 00:18:05,880 Speaker 2: Even better, if you want, you can play at some 362 00:18:05,920 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 2: books which teams to make the wild card Patriots plus 363 00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:12,160 Speaker 2: one seventy five to make the wild card. So that's 364 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 2: a snare where Buffalo gets this one wins the division, 365 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 2: Patriots still get into the playoffs. So I like that. 366 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,760 Speaker 2: That's kind of a nice angle. You know. At plus 367 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 2: one fifteen, we're basically getting close to a coin flip, 368 00:18:24,880 --> 00:18:26,840 Speaker 2: and I think we're agreeing this game should be close. 369 00:18:27,200 --> 00:18:30,200 Speaker 2: But plus one seventy five, if you're tweeting that as 370 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:33,199 Speaker 2: a money line sort of, now you're suddenly getting the 371 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:35,680 Speaker 2: bills only as like a forty percent to have to win, 372 00:18:36,119 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 2: And I think that you get a really nice angle 373 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 2: in your favorite there. What do you think about that? 374 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:41,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm not mad at that at all. I definitely 375 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:42,080 Speaker 1: like that. 376 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,160 Speaker 2: All right, Well, we are head to head so far 377 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,120 Speaker 2: in these two games before we get to our other 378 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 2: two games. That's your quick word from our sponsor, and 379 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:49,439 Speaker 2: make a couple more picks. 380 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:55,159 Speaker 5: The Action Network podcast is proudly presented by bet MGM, 381 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:58,600 Speaker 5: and to celebrate the twenty twenty one NFL season, bet 382 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 5: MGM is offering a rate sign up offer for our 383 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 5: listeners a one thousand dollars risk free first bet. You 384 00:19:05,720 --> 00:19:08,680 Speaker 5: just open an account at betmgm and make your first deposit, 385 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,159 Speaker 5: then make your first bet. 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Minnesota Vikings, My Minnesota Vikings 412 00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 2: home underdogs, three points to the Los Angeles Rams. So 413 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 2: let's start with the injury and COVID news because there 414 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:44,680 Speaker 2: is a lot. Just before recording, maybe an hour or 415 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:47,080 Speaker 2: two go, we found out that Dalvin Cook has gone 416 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:50,320 Speaker 2: in the COVID protocols. He is out on Sunday. Obviously 417 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 2: that is a big loss. The Rams still have COVID 418 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:55,760 Speaker 2: issues they're sorting through. They're on a short week, they 419 00:20:55,800 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 2: just played Tuesday. So what to you are the injury 420 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,919 Speaker 2: or COVID protocol names You're keeping a close eye on 421 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 2: here and how much do you think that that short 422 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:08,879 Speaker 2: week matters for the Rams here? 423 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:11,119 Speaker 1: This is a tough matchup for me. 424 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:16,199 Speaker 3: Dalvin Cook being out is huge because we all know 425 00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:19,000 Speaker 3: the Vikings are going to run the ball as much 426 00:21:19,040 --> 00:21:19,720 Speaker 3: as possible. 427 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:21,359 Speaker 1: Adam d Lan's been practicing. 428 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 3: That's something in which could really drastically impact this Vikings offense. 429 00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 3: I just struggle with the conservatism of Mike Zimmer. This 430 00:21:32,240 --> 00:21:35,200 Speaker 3: Vikings offense is just so frustrating to me because it's 431 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,160 Speaker 3: like they should be passing the ball more. You got 432 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 3: these dynamic weapons Justin Jefferson, Adam Feelin, and they still 433 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,000 Speaker 3: play football out of the nineteen fifties. 434 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean you're preaching the choir and this one. 435 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:48,960 Speaker 2: As our resident Vikings fan here, I do wonder, though, 436 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 2: could Dalvin Cook being out actually accidentally help the Vikings 437 00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 2: by forcing their hand to force them to pass a 438 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 2: little more. We know the numbers all tell us that 439 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 2: the Vikings are best passing, they're better funneling toward Justin Jefferson, 440 00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 2: So maybe you take that crutch away and now they 441 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:10,320 Speaker 2: have to pass a little bit. That makes me feel 442 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:12,920 Speaker 2: a little better. But then I look at the Rams 443 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 2: and their defense, and Jalen Ramsey has not been doing 444 00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 2: a lot of shadow covering. But if I were playing 445 00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:22,639 Speaker 2: defense against the Vikings, especially if Adam Feeln's out. If 446 00:22:22,680 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 2: Feelings back, this changes. But until I see him, I 447 00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 2: don't expect him back. Why wouldn't you shadow Ramsey on 448 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,000 Speaker 2: a justin Jefferson? And now what's left? Dalvin Cook is out, 449 00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 2: Deeling's out. We had a bunch of other guys and 450 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 2: now it's just on Kirk Cousins to make some plays. 451 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 2: And last week against the Bears, I Keem Hicks up 452 00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:43,639 Speaker 2: the middle all night long, just dominated that matchup interior. 453 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:46,439 Speaker 2: The Vikings line couldn't handle it. Oh boy, do the 454 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 2: Rams have a defensive tackle and come up the middle? 455 00:22:48,560 --> 00:22:51,080 Speaker 2: Oh right, Aaron Donald maybe the best one of all time. 456 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,960 Speaker 2: So the matchups really worry me here for the Vikings, 457 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 2: just because those two megastars on defense are at exact 458 00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:01,920 Speaker 2: of weak spots that you'd want to try to match 459 00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,919 Speaker 2: up with. And if you do that, now you flip 460 00:23:04,960 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 2: the other side. So those defense not very good. This year. 461 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,879 Speaker 2: Rams offense has been up and down, but we're backed 462 00:23:11,960 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 2: up lately and Stafford's passing well. I think Cooper Cup 463 00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,639 Speaker 2: can like pick a line in this game, like pick 464 00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 2: a number of catches and yards just decided for the 465 00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 2: game and just go get it like he might break 466 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,159 Speaker 2: the receiving record for the season today or is this 467 00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:28,800 Speaker 2: game already because the Vikings aren't going to have an 468 00:23:28,840 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 2: answer there. So if the Rams defense can slow the 469 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:37,000 Speaker 2: offense a little bit with Ramsey, with Aaron Donald the 470 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:38,920 Speaker 2: other side of the matchup, I think ski is pretty 471 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:39,720 Speaker 2: heavily in their favor. 472 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:42,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I've definitely see that. 473 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 2: So the trends here would tell you to bet on 474 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:50,199 Speaker 2: Minnesota Mike Zimmer at home sixty one percent cover right 475 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:52,959 Speaker 2: against the spread. Mike Zimmer is a home dog ten 476 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:55,720 Speaker 2: and five against the spread, and as a home dog 477 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:57,879 Speaker 2: more than a field goal, which it looks like this 478 00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,760 Speaker 2: line is trending that way. It's already at three and 479 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 2: a half from some books, more than a field goal 480 00:24:01,920 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 2: is six and a one against the spread. Two wins alright, 481 00:24:04,720 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 2: four losses by a field goal. So to me, the 482 00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 2: play that I like best here is a Vikings teaser. 483 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,720 Speaker 2: Because we're at three three and a half, we tease 484 00:24:14,800 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 2: that up this to nine nine and a half. We 485 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 2: know the numbers, the Vikings have played in fourteen games, 486 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 2: thirteen have been by a one score, and the one 487 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,600 Speaker 2: that wasn't was a win, so they've obviously have covered 488 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,879 Speaker 2: a nine point spread every single game this season. I 489 00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 2: know you like your teasers. This isn't quite that plus 490 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 2: two spot you like to look at, and it's a 491 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 2: home team, but what do you think about teasing the 492 00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:37,080 Speaker 2: Vikings here? 493 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,359 Speaker 3: The Bikers haven't lost more than eight points the entire season, 494 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:44,520 Speaker 3: so this gets us to that range to where they 495 00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:46,399 Speaker 3: could keep this game close. And I really haven't been 496 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:49,880 Speaker 3: that impressed with the Rams. They definitely shouldn't have covered 497 00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:53,720 Speaker 3: against the Seahawks, probably almost lost that game. Obviously, there's 498 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:57,200 Speaker 3: some controversial calls which helped them get their touchdown and 499 00:24:57,240 --> 00:25:00,200 Speaker 3: then pretty much put them in cover and rain with 500 00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 3: them putting them into the field goal range against the Seahawks. 501 00:25:02,880 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 3: And you're in a short week, and I think that's 502 00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 3: gonna have some impact. Obviously we don't know the COVID step, 503 00:25:08,600 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 3: but I do think this is a close game either way, 504 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:14,840 Speaker 3: especially with the Vikings. They've just been playing close games 505 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,920 Speaker 3: the entire year, so I do like that teaser. I 506 00:25:17,000 --> 00:25:19,800 Speaker 3: don't really have much from a sad perspective or total 507 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 3: perspective on this game. So that's probably the way I 508 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:22,920 Speaker 3: would go. 509 00:25:23,480 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 2: If I find I like the teaser angle best, I 510 00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 2: think that that's our best play here. I would lean 511 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,200 Speaker 2: toward taking the Vikings on a side here. It's not 512 00:25:33,320 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 2: a strong player, but I think actually that the Dalvin 513 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 2: Cook injury is what leans me toward Minnesota. At minus three, 514 00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:44,560 Speaker 2: I think this line is about right on, but with cookout, 515 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,399 Speaker 2: I think the line is going to start to creep 516 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,159 Speaker 2: toward the Rams. And if it gets past the key 517 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:50,280 Speaker 2: number to three and a half, it already is at 518 00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 2: some books that that that extra half point, get below 519 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 2: the three to two to two and a half, and 520 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:57,960 Speaker 2: I might feel pretty good about the Rams. I do 521 00:25:58,119 --> 00:26:01,320 Speaker 2: like the matchup better get past the three, and that 522 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 2: we've seen so many close games from Minnesota that I 523 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 2: think that the difference of the number there, in addition 524 00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:12,080 Speaker 2: to Cook actually forcing the passing, might make me lean 525 00:26:12,160 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 2: the Vikings here. But it's close, and I will be 526 00:26:15,560 --> 00:26:18,240 Speaker 2: watching that one with my family over the holidays. Here, 527 00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 2: let's do one more division game here, wrapping up heading 528 00:26:22,240 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 2: out to the AFC North, where we've just had battles 529 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 2: all season long. We got a lot of them left 530 00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:30,640 Speaker 2: to come. Baltimore heads to Cincinnati. The Bengals are three 531 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 2: point home favorites. Baltimore has lost their last three games 532 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 2: by one, two and a one point. I looked it 533 00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 2: up and in our system, which tracks back to two 534 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 2: thousand and three, that four points over a three game 535 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,760 Speaker 2: losing streak is the lowest margin of victory in our database. 536 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:51,480 Speaker 2: There isn't anything lower. I obviously the only lowered to 537 00:26:51,480 --> 00:26:54,280 Speaker 2: be all lose three straight one point games. The Ravens 538 00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:59,000 Speaker 2: are losing heartbreakers, They're outmanned, they're shorthanded, but they're hanging 539 00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:02,120 Speaker 2: in there. So I guess where we have to start 540 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:06,359 Speaker 2: with this one. Is Lamar Jackson still not practicing. And 541 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 2: this is crazy. Sounded crazy a month ago, But Mike 542 00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 2: questioning those two parts, Number one, do we think, well 543 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:17,359 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson will play? And number two does it really 544 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:20,520 Speaker 2: matter that much? Because Tyler Huntley is playing pretty good 545 00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 2: ball right now? 546 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:23,359 Speaker 1: Do you think it matters? 547 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:25,639 Speaker 3: And I actually wish, like, as somebody who likes the 548 00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 3: Bengals in this matchup, I actually would. 549 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: Love to see Lamar Jackson in this matchup. 550 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:33,920 Speaker 3: He's thrown sixteen touchdowns thirteen interceptions twenty twenty one. He 551 00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,639 Speaker 3: hasn't really been that effective as a runner, and for 552 00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 3: whatever reason, Tyler Huntley, he's just making all of the 553 00:27:41,200 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 3: right reads. 554 00:27:41,920 --> 00:27:45,960 Speaker 1: He's getting the ball out quickly. He's doing what has 555 00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: to be done. 556 00:27:47,000 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 3: Now that said, when I look at this Ravens team, 557 00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:53,320 Speaker 3: they're completely overmatched, and a lot of that has to 558 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 3: deal with the issues on the defensive side of the ball. 559 00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:59,280 Speaker 3: They basically have replacement level guys in the secondary, and 560 00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:02,359 Speaker 3: you have to deal with Jamar Chase, Tyler Board Joseph 561 00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:04,440 Speaker 3: Burrow's gonna be able to get the ball out and 562 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,080 Speaker 3: do whatever he wants. In the first game, he had 563 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:11,040 Speaker 3: over four hundred yards and Cincinnati road to a forty 564 00:28:11,119 --> 00:28:14,640 Speaker 3: one seventeen victory. We look at this Ravens defense, They're 565 00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:18,359 Speaker 3: twenty six in drop back EPA per play thirty first 566 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:22,159 Speaker 3: and exposive pass play defense. They're allowing twelve percent of 567 00:28:22,200 --> 00:28:25,120 Speaker 3: passes to go for twenty yards or more. I don't 568 00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 3: know if Tyler hunt they can keep up with that. 569 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,320 Speaker 3: They were able to stay in that game against the Packers, 570 00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:30,920 Speaker 3: and a lot of it had to do with the 571 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 3: Packers kind of shutting things down towards the end playing 572 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 3: really really soft coverage, which was like really disappointing because 573 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,880 Speaker 3: I was on the Packers. But this Ravens team, the 574 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,320 Speaker 3: reason why they're in the position they are in now 575 00:28:42,880 --> 00:28:45,160 Speaker 3: being a playoff contender is because they won a lot 576 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,120 Speaker 3: of close games and now you're finally starting to see that. 577 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,400 Speaker 3: Regressing to me, I like the Bengals in this matchup, 578 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,480 Speaker 3: but I think this is a high scoring game. I 579 00:28:53,680 --> 00:28:55,800 Speaker 3: like the over forty four and a half. My model 580 00:28:55,840 --> 00:28:59,520 Speaker 3: makes this game close to the forty seven, so I'm 581 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,280 Speaker 3: going over. That's probably one of my favorite plays in 582 00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 3: the week. 583 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 2: Interesting. Yeah, I think that this game echoes a lot 584 00:29:05,360 --> 00:29:07,680 Speaker 2: of what we said about the Rams Vikings game. So, 585 00:29:07,840 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 2: first thing, the Ravens, since they lost to that Bengals 586 00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 2: that blow out lost, then they went into the bye 587 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 2: week coming out of the by seven straight one score 588 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:19,520 Speaker 2: games for the Ravens. So every game since then, eleven 589 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 2: out of fourteen on the season one score games. So 590 00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,160 Speaker 2: we know that the Ravens find a way to keep 591 00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,240 Speaker 2: things close and give them a shot. They didn't in 592 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:31,320 Speaker 2: the last matchup against Cincinnati, but they did typically find 593 00:29:31,360 --> 00:29:34,080 Speaker 2: a way to hang around. And if they find a 594 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: way to hang around, We've said this about the Patriots game. 595 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:40,240 Speaker 2: If it's close, don't you have to like Bill Belichick? 596 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 2: And that's where I'm like, Okay, well, if it's close, 597 00:29:43,920 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 2: John Harbaugh or Zach Taylor, Boy, I guess I know 598 00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,120 Speaker 2: which one I want in that matchup. So if I 599 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,040 Speaker 2: can get a close game, and then I've got the 600 00:29:53,160 --> 00:29:55,400 Speaker 2: Ravens sort of playing for their season a little bit, 601 00:29:55,560 --> 00:29:57,120 Speaker 2: or they got to get a win. They can't have 602 00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:01,000 Speaker 2: a fourth straight heartbreaker loss. And I got John Harby. 603 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: I know he's going to be aggressive appropriately all the 604 00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:07,480 Speaker 2: analytics conversation, but Harbaugh's the guy that's responsible for a 605 00:30:07,560 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 2: lot of that. So I like that. But the matchup. 606 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 2: The other thing that echoes to me, the Vikings thing, 607 00:30:14,960 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 2: is that I don't want the Bengals running the ball 608 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 2: that much here. I'm worried that they're going to over 609 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:22,760 Speaker 2: commit to the run. The Ravens run defense is good, 610 00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 2: and the Bengals have not been super effective running the ball. 611 00:30:26,040 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 2: They're not super efficient that way, but they just love 612 00:30:29,280 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 2: to just hand it off to Joe Mixon on first down, 613 00:30:31,320 --> 00:30:34,440 Speaker 2: over and over and over again. Chase Young had two sorry, 614 00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 2: Jamar Chase had eight catches, two hundred one yards last game, 615 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:40,800 Speaker 2: and that was basically being shot up by Marlin Humphrey, 616 00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,400 Speaker 2: who's out now. So the cornerbacks we got Jimmy Smith 617 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 2: and COVID protocol for the Ravens, Chris Westren protocol. Keavon 618 00:30:48,840 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 2: Young is questionable with concussion issues. Those are the three 619 00:30:51,960 --> 00:30:55,880 Speaker 2: good cornerbacks, like, nobody can cover these guys. To Higgins 620 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:59,760 Speaker 2: will be open, Tyler Boyd will be open. So it's 621 00:30:59,800 --> 00:31:02,920 Speaker 2: the same thing. It's like, well, I like the matchup 622 00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,520 Speaker 2: here if the Bengals will pass, but I don't know 623 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 2: if I trust them to pass enough. And for me, 624 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 2: the line change here is key because at two and 625 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 2: a half I was leaning Bengals, and I like the 626 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:19,120 Speaker 2: matchup better, even though I first see the line and 627 00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 2: I think, oh Man, Ravens underdogs division on the road. 628 00:31:23,120 --> 00:31:25,400 Speaker 2: I have to take the points here, but I like 629 00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,560 Speaker 2: the matchup for Sincy. But now that it's three, we're 630 00:31:27,600 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 2: at the key number. We've talked about. The road, the 631 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:35,600 Speaker 2: short road Dogs, thing Division, short Road Dogs, Baltimore all 632 00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:38,800 Speaker 2: is tough in these one score games. I don't think 633 00:31:38,840 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 2: that I will play the money line here because we've 634 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 2: seen the Ravens lose by one, lose by two, But 635 00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:47,080 Speaker 2: I think that I have to play the trend and 636 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 2: go with Baltimore plus three. I'm learning these this season. 637 00:31:52,720 --> 00:31:55,120 Speaker 2: If I just can't make up my mind on one 638 00:31:55,160 --> 00:31:57,520 Speaker 2: of these toss ups, if the line's not a toss 639 00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 2: up and it's closer to a field goal, had to 640 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:01,680 Speaker 2: take the points because that's the way that the game's 641 00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 2: would go in this season. So I think I'm on 642 00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 2: Baltimore plus three. But it is a lean and not 643 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 2: a strong. 644 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 3: I'm gonna be honest with you, I don't even think 645 00:32:08,800 --> 00:32:10,720 Speaker 3: this game is a toss up. And then it actually 646 00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:13,600 Speaker 3: just came out today and the Ravens are up to 647 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:16,479 Speaker 3: twelve players in a protocol and a lot of those 648 00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:18,080 Speaker 3: guys on the defensive side of the balls. 649 00:32:18,400 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 2: I saw a tweet from Jeff's reback. Here's what he says. 650 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:25,400 Speaker 2: The Ravens current This is as of December twenty second, 651 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:29,120 Speaker 2: so Wednesday afternoon, so maybe updated now, but as of then, 652 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,800 Speaker 2: the Ravens currently have fifteen defensive players on their fifty 653 00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:36,760 Speaker 2: three manter active roster. Fifteen you play eleven at once, 654 00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:40,640 Speaker 2: and of those fifteen, Palas Campbell sideling with a hamstring 655 00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:44,840 Speaker 2: injury and Tevon Young in concussion protocol. So yeah, fifteen 656 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:48,640 Speaker 2: defenders is not a great look. So you're right, this 657 00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,959 Speaker 2: definitely is a spot where I will wait till right 658 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:52,680 Speaker 2: before kickoff. 659 00:32:52,760 --> 00:32:55,440 Speaker 3: I know you said that you don't particularly trust Zak 660 00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:58,680 Speaker 3: Taylor to throw the ball enough, but when you're down 661 00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:02,160 Speaker 3: four different on backers, Joe Mixon could have a big 662 00:33:02,240 --> 00:33:06,120 Speaker 3: day too. Yeah, it's just we're just looking at a 663 00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:08,520 Speaker 3: team that and I mentioned this a couple of weeks 664 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 3: ago on the podcast, that there were some sharper guys 665 00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 3: within the market taking the Ravens to miss the playoffs. 666 00:33:15,960 --> 00:33:17,520 Speaker 1: And I think that's in play right now. 667 00:33:17,960 --> 00:33:19,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's in play. I will say this too, 668 00:33:20,760 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 2: it would be tempting to look at this game, decide 669 00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:26,280 Speaker 2: which side you're on, and then play the division odds. 670 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:28,480 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna do that here. I don't think that's 671 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,800 Speaker 2: a smart play. Because these teams all play each other 672 00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 2: these last couple of weeks. I think the Browns could 673 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:36,760 Speaker 2: still be live even if they lose to the Packers. 674 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,280 Speaker 2: The Browns get to play both these teams. I believe 675 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 2: the final two weeks, I think the Steelers are alive 676 00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:44,560 Speaker 2: even if they lose to the Chiefs this week. Pittsburgh 677 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,800 Speaker 2: could still possibly get in here. These teams have tough 678 00:33:47,920 --> 00:33:50,560 Speaker 2: schedules coming up. The Bengals play the Chiefs next week. 679 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:54,479 Speaker 2: The Ravens have nobody healthy. Don't get too far ahead here, 680 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:58,160 Speaker 2: Just play the game. This division is a mess there. 681 00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 2: You're basically getting about even odds between the two teams 682 00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 2: on the division. But I would rather just focus on 683 00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:05,240 Speaker 2: the game. I don't want to put too many things 684 00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,600 Speaker 2: into the mix here, so I would stick to the game. 685 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:11,560 Speaker 2: I will stick to something closer to kickoff for now. 686 00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:15,480 Speaker 2: I lean Ravens plus three. You're on the Bengals here. 687 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:17,719 Speaker 2: I might be off of the Ravens by kickoff if 688 00:34:17,760 --> 00:34:19,680 Speaker 2: the injury news keeps getting uglier, though. 689 00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on the Bengals in the over, I love 690 00:34:21,920 --> 00:34:24,040 Speaker 3: that over. I think forty four and a half is 691 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:27,360 Speaker 3: way too low for this matchup. Obviously, we're seeing some 692 00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:28,279 Speaker 3: forty five's. 693 00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 2: In the market as well, so. 694 00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:31,800 Speaker 1: We're any direction. 695 00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:34,880 Speaker 2: Do you have any concern that that we've seen the 696 00:34:35,000 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 2: last week with all the COVID once people start missing, 697 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 2: we saw a lot of unders. Do you have any 698 00:34:40,640 --> 00:34:43,800 Speaker 2: concern that the Bengals will score their points, but that 699 00:34:43,920 --> 00:34:45,960 Speaker 2: the Ravens might not keep up and then you don't 700 00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:46,520 Speaker 2: hit the over. 701 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:51,600 Speaker 3: I'm not really that concerned with that, honestly. Obviously we 702 00:34:51,719 --> 00:34:55,720 Speaker 3: see the Bengals defense kind of struggle. So like outside 703 00:34:55,719 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 3: of last week against the the Broncos, these Bengals game 704 00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,440 Speaker 3: if it going over every week, so. 705 00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 1: I think this is just way too low. 706 00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:06,239 Speaker 3: Last time we did see the Bengals put a forty 707 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,759 Speaker 3: one points and the Ravens put up seventeen, and I 708 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:10,960 Speaker 3: think something like that is in play as well. 709 00:35:11,360 --> 00:35:13,680 Speaker 2: That of all the games we talked about, that over 710 00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:17,120 Speaker 2: is your favorite play of any bets, right, Yeah, like. 711 00:35:17,160 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 1: The Bengals too. Those are my two players. Actually, I 712 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:21,000 Speaker 1: just like this game in general. 713 00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:23,799 Speaker 2: Okay, all right, Well that seemed like a good place 714 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,279 Speaker 2: to stop for the week, and that will wrap it 715 00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 2: up for the Action Network podcast. We hope that we 716 00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:32,640 Speaker 2: get some extra spinning cash for your Christmas weekend and 717 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,279 Speaker 2: everyone hits the stores right after the holidays to get 718 00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 2: some returns and get some other good stuff, so hopefully 719 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,600 Speaker 2: you get some good angles from our podcast here. Don't 720 00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:45,520 Speaker 2: forget to rate, subscribe, and review. Remember Apple and Spotify now, 721 00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 2: so make sure to do that in both places. Stuck 722 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 2: and Raybon have their six pack out that was overnight 723 00:35:51,800 --> 00:35:53,560 Speaker 2: last night, so be sure to check that out for 724 00:35:53,680 --> 00:35:56,400 Speaker 2: our picks. Raheem and I are back first thing on 725 00:35:56,680 --> 00:35:59,600 Speaker 2: Monday to talk about all the weekend action and by 726 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:02,319 Speaker 2: the way, free to check out the Buckets podcast feed 727 00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 2: that's from the Action Network where Heem will be on 728 00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:07,520 Speaker 2: with Matt Moore giving you as best as we can 729 00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:10,920 Speaker 2: some of Christmas goodies for NBA Christmas. It's a big 730 00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:14,479 Speaker 2: holiday NBA on Christmas, so five big games we hope, 731 00:36:14,600 --> 00:36:16,799 Speaker 2: and you can get some good info there on how 732 00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 2: to bet them. For Heem Palmer, I'm Brandon Anderson and 733 00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:23,920 Speaker 2: this has been the Action Network podcast. Hey Merry Christmas. 734 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:25,880 Speaker 2: Let's get some winners and enjoy your weekend. 735 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:45,680 Speaker 1: Brain it on Christmas of control, It's about you, I trust, 736 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:54,600 Speaker 1: can't keen time with it, don't grame it over Christmas.