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Speaker 1: Sports Radio Network. Fantasy best Friends Forever. M to Do
Speaker 1: Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do Do
Speaker 1: Do doo? Dude didn't too? Yeah, there as the Fantasy
Speaker 1: best Friends Forever here in the Fantasy Sports Radio Network. Hello,
Speaker 1: e sad Raggy Snaffle. I am what's going on? A
Speaker 1: happy Tuesday? It's so interesting spring training games on the
Speaker 1: board today. I gonna talk about the outfield position. Uh,
Speaker 1: really see how far we can get into the outfield
Speaker 1: position because it's very deep, well not deep in terms
Speaker 1: of talent, but there's just a lot of players. There's
Speaker 1: like so many different players, you know. I think we'll
Speaker 1: aim for like top twenty, maybe top thirty, try and
Speaker 1: get through like three four tiers of talent. I'd imagine
Speaker 1: what Greg, Yes, how did you sleep last night? Buddy?
Speaker 1: This is great? This is great, man, great I did.
Speaker 1: I went to bed like another. Raw ends up exactly
Speaker 1: eleven o'clock, because Monday is like Bachelor night, right, so
Speaker 1: Bachelor's like two hours. Shouldn't say that on the show
Speaker 1: out loud? Why it's because you know, Bachelor, right, a
Speaker 1: lot of shams. Okay, so Bachelor. So Judy watches The
Speaker 1: Bachelor from eight to ten. So I usually watched like whatever.
Speaker 1: The beginning of RAW is. We usually eat dinner about
Speaker 1: eight o'clock, as you know, So we eat dinner, she
Speaker 1: starts the Bachelor. Whoever, we're done whatever. I watched a
Speaker 1: little bit of Raw. Then I go out and watch
Speaker 1: the rest of the like last half hour, let's say,
Speaker 1: to the Bachelor. Then I get to pass forward like
Speaker 1: the last hour. We're also like live for the end.
Speaker 1: Now that it ends like an exactly o'clock and baseball
Speaker 1: hasn started yet, obviously there's the one that night football
Speaker 1: Nick suck, So I'm like, well they didn't pay last
Speaker 1: night too, And then you play last night, I'm like,
Speaker 1: all right, we go to bed. So it's in bed
Speaker 1: at exactly eleven o nine last night. The next day
Speaker 1: I n my low and off was like, wow, I
Speaker 1: was a good sleep. I can't even tell you the
Speaker 1: last time that happened. I'd have to be pretty inebriated
Speaker 1: for that time. That usually helps boost to sleep normal
Speaker 1: random weeknight. It's great. It doesn't go well for me really,
Speaker 1: Like how often do we got lots of tossing? Attorney?
Speaker 1: And do you know what I think about a lot
Speaker 1: of stuff when I try to go to bed, Greg,
Speaker 1: I think too much. That's my problem. I gotta think less.
Speaker 1: It's gonna do you know what I'm saying? I think
Speaker 1: too much? What come down to? I do a lot
Speaker 1: of thinking in bed, A lot of reading in bed,
Speaker 1: which is bad, Like you're not supposed to read your
Speaker 1: phone and stuff. I read a lot. You know. That's
Speaker 1: the time where you know people normally the old fashioned
Speaker 1: the movies and stuff. You see people reading their books
Speaker 1: before they go to sleep and stuff. That's when I
Speaker 1: read a lot of you know, sports fantasy. You know
Speaker 1: the problem. So the cool thing is that that is
Speaker 1: like when you're reading a book if you kind of
Speaker 1: get lost in whatever like world you're in, right, like
Speaker 1: in the book theoretically, but you're like reading stats and
Speaker 1: you're reading articles and trying to retain information to learn
Speaker 1: about players, and you're trying to obviously just understand more
Speaker 1: and be more prepared to be better educated in this,
Speaker 1: and you're just like reading and by doing so, it's
Speaker 1: just like your brain is working too hard. At that moment.
Speaker 1: I think you get lost in a book, You're just like,
Speaker 1: all right, this is cool. You get tired, you go
Speaker 1: to sleep, but you're so focused on this that you're
Speaker 1: not ready to you shut down yet. You're probably right, yeah, yeah,
Speaker 1: I'm doing this great Fantasy Baseball Invitational Champions League there,
Speaker 1: and you are like so crazily focused on it. I'm
Speaker 1: stressed out, stressed out. I wake up in the middle
Speaker 1: of night, like, dude, God, don't want to take Malex Smith,
Speaker 1: don't want to take Michael Like Frank made a pick yesterday.
Speaker 1: Frank made a pick yesterday, and then I'm not even
Speaker 1: in this league and you had a pick yesterday and
Speaker 1: every pick he was giving me update was like, dude,
Speaker 1: you don't pick for another twenty five picks, Like, what
Speaker 1: do you do doing that? Was not true? Yes, it was.
Speaker 1: I was giving you an update when there was like
Speaker 1: three people before. You don't have the Marriager Jersey got
Speaker 1: a little Mitch Haniger action yesterday. There were five outfielders
Speaker 1: that you wanted. So immediately after you took James Paxton,
Speaker 1: which is what I thought the right move was, you
Speaker 1: were giving me the updates. It was it was actually like, okay, fine, fine,
Speaker 1: this is my first you know, I've done some Best
Speaker 1: Ball drafts and stuff. This is my first legit Rhoto
Speaker 1: draft listen. I didn't I get I totally get it,
Speaker 1: but like if you you shouldn't be doing you good
Speaker 1: a bed like big a pig and they're like, all right,
Speaker 1: wait in the morning, didn't do that. I was. I
Speaker 1: had to make a pick last night. I ended up
Speaker 1: taking Hazy Agilard in the seventh round, something that which
Speaker 1: you do not like. I don't like it. Seventh round.
Speaker 1: I mean his a DP s a lot earlier than that.
Speaker 1: If it if it makes feeling, it does um yeah.
Speaker 1: I was just kind of like staring at stats and
Speaker 1: stuff for like an hour last night trying to figure
Speaker 1: out who to the drestr Kingo was thrilled she's already
Speaker 1: she goes to sleep early. It's always as many times
Speaker 1: I understand that. I when you say last night, like
Speaker 1: you didn't say like after she went to bed, if
Speaker 1: he goes to bed at like ten o'clock, and then
Speaker 1: you're like pumped, No, what kind of well not yesterday
Speaker 1: she burned her fingers, so I had to wash all
Speaker 1: the dishes. I washed all the dishes every night. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and she was looking them over today and she put
Speaker 1: a bunch of them back in the sink. I guess
Speaker 1: I didn't do a good job. I honestly was piste
Speaker 1: off because there were so many dishes and took me
Speaker 1: like thirty minutes to do. Would you last night? I
Speaker 1: mean's chicken, rice and beans and pepper like like spoons
Speaker 1: and all. So we told you on Sunday night for
Speaker 1: the there was a lot of stuff to do. And
Speaker 1: then apparently I did it bad too. On Sunday night
Speaker 1: we watched the Oscars, we made wings and stuff and
Speaker 1: first logic though, greg, because if I do them bad
Speaker 1: enough too many times, she'll be like, you don't even
Speaker 1: have to do them anymore. So I hope on Sunday,
Speaker 1: we watched the watch the Oscars like wings and stuff.
Speaker 1: Um spent all these dishes like we were eating at
Speaker 1: the TV because we're watching the Oscars. She brings all
Speaker 1: the plates there kind of just leaves in there, Like
Speaker 1: are you leaving them there for me? She no, I
Speaker 1: just like we're watching the Oscars. I gonna do it.
Speaker 1: We'll do it later. I was like, all right, so
Speaker 1: why can't we do it together? Like, yeah, we can,
Speaker 1: but like I just felt like you just really took
Speaker 1: our plates up there and just left them there instead
Speaker 1: of just like washing them. We'll do it later. But
Speaker 1: it was all a trick. She played me. I got played.
Speaker 1: That doesn't surprise me because Judy wears the pain because
Speaker 1: she knew, No, she just knows my tendencies and that
Speaker 1: like I wouldn't be able to just like have him
Speaker 1: sitting there. So remember we talked for a while on
Speaker 1: Sunday night, you and I remember, Yes, we did so
Speaker 1: while I was on the phone with you, is set
Speaker 1: there clean dishes, and she knew it. She knew I
Speaker 1: would be able to do it, and I did. I
Speaker 1: sat there on the phone with you washing dishes while
Speaker 1: were on the phone. Have my headphones. Inday, we'll talk
Speaker 1: to you. I'm washing the dishes. Yeah, I probably wouldn't
Speaker 1: be able to focus. Why I don't need to focus
Speaker 1: on washing dish I'm not good at it anyway. All Right,
Speaker 1: Today on the show, we're getting into the outfield preview s.
Speaker 1: S Frank I mentioned there's so many outfielders. We're thinking
Speaker 1: that taking like a three day affair. We were thinking Tuesday,
Speaker 1: Wednesday and Thursday. Franks not gonna be here Thursday, so
Speaker 1: I'll take you hole on Thursday with all the late
Speaker 1: round guys and the sleepers and whatnot. UM hoping then
Speaker 1: she will joined me for two hours. He doesn't know
Speaker 1: that yet, but umventure if you're listening downstairs, two hours
Speaker 1: for you on Thursdays. It's kind of the goal here
Speaker 1: telling on Thursday at We do have a guest book
Speaker 1: for Friday, which would be awesome, a lot of fun. Thursday.
Speaker 1: The second hour is actually gonna be a combined preview
Speaker 1: show in the combines, so te days gonna be on
Speaker 1: here with christ and so we're hoping that first hour
Speaker 1: we ventured I talking baseball rapt of the outfielders. In
Speaker 1: the second hour outfield sleepers, some doctor, will do the combat,
Speaker 1: will do the COMBA. Yeah, the outfield injury updates UM
Speaker 1: with dr Ay the first ALB asked dr about Justin
Speaker 1: Upton because he has Pateeller tendonitis, which tomorrow when I
Speaker 1: sent him the list, you'll be here for that Friday. Uh,
Speaker 1: we have a guest coming in are on Skype, which
Speaker 1: would be awesome. It will be UM some of the
Speaker 1: pictures list, which is cool one any you're a big
Speaker 1: fan of that, yeah, Nick Pollock, Nick Pollock, Yeah, they
Speaker 1: do great work. They do a lot of gifts, a
Speaker 1: lot of videos out on Twitter, but not just that.
Speaker 1: I mean Nick is a great fantasy baseball player, great
Speaker 1: fantasy baseball mind. I listen to work that he's done
Speaker 1: on the Sleeper and the Bus podcast with Paul Spoorer.
Speaker 1: I respect his opinion a lot, so I think it
Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense. I mean, pitch your list.
Speaker 1: We're gonna start our starting pitt Er preview on Friday
Speaker 1: with Nick Pollock. I mean it makes a lot of sense. Yep.
Speaker 1: So there you goes and Nick Pollock will be Let's
Speaker 1: tip with us for the first hour of the show.
Speaker 1: Venture of course, will be out on us with us
Speaker 1: for our too, and they're hoping that Ian Cotton tomorrow.
Speaker 1: I didn't want to announce that, but reach out from tomorrow.
Speaker 1: He's gonna see if it could work and we'd like
Speaker 1: to have him, and studio should be great for like that.
Speaker 1: Middle out fielders a nice So today on the show,
Speaker 1: we are getting into the top little outfielders and we'll
Speaker 1: see how far we get where wherever we land will
Speaker 1: pick up tomorrow nice and easy. So we start at
Speaker 1: the top, and I give a very similar question to
Speaker 1: start this off. Rank. Can you make an argument that
Speaker 1: Mookie Bets you go ahead of Mike Trapp? Mm hmm.
Speaker 1: You can make the argument for it just because he's
Speaker 1: been healthier the past couple of seasons. To me, that's
Speaker 1: really the only argument. On a per game basis micro
Speaker 1: To still the best player in baseball. But but these
Speaker 1: are undoubtedly the top two picks, and Fancis baseball like,
Speaker 1: there's no reason to try and get cute Mookie Bets
Speaker 1: Mike Trout. There legit five category contributors. If you're play
Speaker 1: in Rodo and if you're play in a points league,
Speaker 1: both of these guys make a lot of contact. They
Speaker 1: both walk a decent amount They're both gonn hit at
Speaker 1: the top of you know, the Red Sox is a
Speaker 1: little bit of a better lineup than the Angels, but
Speaker 1: pretty good line ups. They're both gonna hit at the
Speaker 1: top there. I think, regardless of format, these are your
Speaker 1: top two players. I know that you'll see some people
Speaker 1: tweeting about how my Mookie Bets has out earned Mike
Speaker 1: Trout in terms of auction dollars over the past couple
Speaker 1: of seasons in Roto, and that really just comes down
Speaker 1: to the health that and that comes down to, you know,
Speaker 1: him playing more games consistently. So yeah, that's the argument
Speaker 1: that you can make. You know, if you think, you know,
Speaker 1: you think this is a recurring thing with Mike Trout
Speaker 1: where he's gonna miss you know, maybe twenty thirty games
Speaker 1: per season kind of thing you worry about that. There
Speaker 1: were a few leagues and the Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational,
Speaker 1: and you'll hear us talk about this. The Great Fantasy
Speaker 1: Baseball Invitational's kind of like Scott's Fistball, but for baseball.
Speaker 1: There's fifteen team fifteen team rotal leagues. There's about you know,
Speaker 1: I want to say fifteen of them something like that.
Speaker 1: There might even be more. But it's a bunch of
Speaker 1: different fifteen team rotal leagues, and everyone's competing in their
Speaker 1: league but also against each other for an overall. So
Speaker 1: we have a lot of data on a lot of
Speaker 1: average draft position um data based on these drafts that
Speaker 1: are going on right now. And I know that there
Speaker 1: were a few drafts where Mookie Bets was actually selected
Speaker 1: ahead of Mike Trout. It's not like unspeakable me personally,
Speaker 1: I wouldn't do it. I would still take Micron. I
Speaker 1: wouldn't do it either. My Chats still a guy. It's
Speaker 1: crazy that, like Mike Chad has been in the league
Speaker 1: for so long at this point that you're like, oh man,
Speaker 1: it's probably getting a hold, it's probably slowing down. Just
Speaker 1: seven years old, prive of his career. He's the best
Speaker 1: player in baseball every year, Like, all right, so maybe
Speaker 1: a little more speed about Mookie Beats. Trout has missed
Speaker 1: an average of thirty five games over the past few
Speaker 1: seasons that you know. So that's it. That's not nothing.
Speaker 1: That's it's a pretty big that's a pretty big bugaboo
Speaker 1: when it comes to realistically. First of that came in
Speaker 1: seventeen last year, he missed twenty games. I mean, yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean it still matters. Though Mike Trout, Mookie Bets
Speaker 1: is a little bit more adorable. Look how fun with that? Man? Like,
Speaker 1: you know, I'm not even I'm not doing it. I
Speaker 1: mean you want to talk. I have some stats hurting
Speaker 1: down for both of you, Like I honestly didn't do
Speaker 1: much digging into either one because it's just like if
Speaker 1: you just look at the surface stats hard hit rate
Speaker 1: ninety one percentile for Mike Trout, his friends speed was
Speaker 1: nine percent how so, legitimately one of the best athletes
Speaker 1: in the game in terms of elite contact and elite speed.
Speaker 1: At least twenty two stolen bases and three straight seasons
Speaker 1: for Trout, at least twenty seven home runs in seventh
Speaker 1: straight a three or seven career hit her um with
Speaker 1: Mookie Bets three six batting average, pretty pretty good. Won
Speaker 1: the batting title last season. A d twenty nine runs
Speaker 1: also led the MLB at least one one runs scored
Speaker 1: in in three straight season, at least twenty six stolen bases.
Speaker 1: These are your top two players. They're going to contribute
Speaker 1: in all five categories. It stop two players on the board,
Speaker 1: but you have to ask, like, is there an argument
Speaker 1: to take Max Scherzer ahead of one orblem? Okay, okay, great, fair,
Speaker 1: it's fair question. I mean someone might be thinking about it.
Speaker 1: I'm happy to do you have that, well, I don't
Speaker 1: you have that feel what people have discussed that as well.
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just not just me. A couple of
Speaker 1: years ago, I had the first overall pick and we
Speaker 1: actually given the players that were keptain whatnot. It was
Speaker 1: actually between bets And and Kris Shaw at the time,
Speaker 1: and I would up taking and I would up taking Kershaw. Kurshow,
Speaker 1: by the way, I wasn't good right now, It's not
Speaker 1: worse than Carlos Martinez, which is is it really not?
Speaker 1: I mean, Kurs I can't even throw a ball right now, Dude,
Speaker 1: Carl Martin is in a sling cave fame. Like someone's
Speaker 1: gonna come out and spin a promo for Carlos Martinez
Speaker 1: away Kenny injury all along and he just hits it
Speaker 1: with the cast. Okay, So Shotton vets go one to
Speaker 1: no argument by anybody, right, that is correct? And look,
Speaker 1: you really do worry about pitching on your next turn?
Speaker 1: Take two starting pitchers. You're in a prime position to
Speaker 1: do so where you know, I believe in my league's
Speaker 1: the person who's Carlos Crasco over there right, Yeah, like
Speaker 1: you Corey Kluberfeld all the way today in fift seam league.
Speaker 1: You know Blake Snells in that range, Carrasco, Savorino, Trevor Bauer,
Speaker 1: Walker Bueller. So I'm gonna go snag two of those
Speaker 1: guys if you really want to shore up your starting pitching.
Speaker 1: Absolutely already have one one of the two best hitters
Speaker 1: in baseball. Then you get to the next outfielder on
Speaker 1: the board NFBC Y and by the way, Frank's outfield
Speaker 1: ranks soon enough inside his Patreon. But which you will
Speaker 1: have to pay for. You're gonna have to pay pay
Speaker 1: for that. We're giving you the infield and the catchers
Speaker 1: for free, but the outfields, starting pitching, and the relievers.
Speaker 1: Maybe will make the relievers free. But the outfielders and
Speaker 1: the starting pitchers a lot of work, a lot of
Speaker 1: names there. Unfortunately, you're gonna have to pay for that.
Speaker 1: How much is that gonna cost people? Uh? Well, we
Speaker 1: have different packages for the rankings, for the rankings, for
Speaker 1: the rankings, like reveal that'll be like the five dollars.
Speaker 1: That's a five dollars. It's a firm like my updated
Speaker 1: like rankings that you can see, like the Fantasy Pros
Speaker 1: what I'm gonna plug in and like keep updating that.
Speaker 1: So ultimately you want the initial rankings, you get five
Speaker 1: dollars for the ones that's gonna be in a Fantasy
Speaker 1: Pros which is gonna update really every week every month.
Speaker 1: That's gonna be a ten dollar tier for you. Let'sten,
Speaker 1: it's ten ten bucks you updated ranks, Like, yeah, it's
Speaker 1: like a beer in the city. Come on, take my money.
Speaker 1: It's it's it's ten bucks for the updated ranks on
Speaker 1: Frank's Patreon. And I do actually want to take this
Speaker 1: time to make the announcement that came out yesterday that
Speaker 1: Rhoto Experts this year is going to uh three hundred
Speaker 1: sixty five days of football content. Um football is obviously
Speaker 1: number one sport in the industry, so that's where roto
Speaker 1: Experts is going to focus. And there's a lot of
Speaker 1: great talent on the daily Rodo's side and on the
Speaker 1: Roto Expert side that's gonna contribute to that football content.
Speaker 1: Frank maybe one of those names coming up after we
Speaker 1: get through baseball draft season. But if you want your
Speaker 1: baseball content, obviously we're all over Fantasy Sports Radio Network
Speaker 1: and all over the Fantasy sports that we're giving you
Speaker 1: that baseball content. And if you want our experts rankings,
Speaker 1: there's nobody that we have that's better than Franks. So
Speaker 1: please if any money that you would have contributed toward
Speaker 1: the Roto Experts Baseball package to this man's pockets, Frank
Speaker 1: Staffell's Patreon Now in your phron I'm going to assume
Speaker 1: that your next afterbas are off the board was G. D. Martens.
Speaker 1: So you've taken in drafts, in beastballs and whatnot thus far,
Speaker 1: he's number three according to the NFBC. And I've actually
Speaker 1: uh limited the scope to February today, so almost like
Speaker 1: the last ten days or so, getting rid of early February,
Speaker 1: they have changed from training and starting and whatnot, So
Speaker 1: I've limited my school doing February fifteen. Now, okay, I'll
Speaker 1: do the same thing. Okay, so the last two weeks
Speaker 1: or or last eleven days or so. J. D. Martinez
Speaker 1: goes next, followed by Christian Yellich and then Ronald Lacuna.
Speaker 1: All these guys. These guys according to an FBC or five,
Speaker 1: six and seven. Do you agree with that? Do you
Speaker 1: agree with this is a tier? Do you agree with
Speaker 1: the order? Yeah? So I have my top tier as
Speaker 1: Trout and Beats. I think they're in a tier of
Speaker 1: their own for me. That's here one. Tier two starts
Speaker 1: with J. D. Martinez. Uh, and I do have it
Speaker 1: in the order j D. Martinez, Christian Yellich, and Ronald Lacuna.
Speaker 1: But I will say if you are worried about the
Speaker 1: stolen bases, for example, in my Great Fantasy Based Invitational League,
Speaker 1: A Kuna and Yellis both went before J. D. Martinez.
Speaker 1: So if you're someone who worries about the stolen based
Speaker 1: category a little bit more than others than Acuna and
Speaker 1: Yellois might be where you want to go instead of J. D. Martinez.
Speaker 1: But J D. Martinez is still Look he's an elite
Speaker 1: four category contributor in terms of batting average, home runs
Speaker 1: r B, I has run scored, the ability to hit
Speaker 1: the ball hard. He finally stayed healthy last year becauseause
Speaker 1: he was mostly a d H for the Boston Red Sox.
Speaker 1: That's gonna be the case again. He's gonna hit in
Speaker 1: the middle of a great line up three thirty last year, Greg,
Speaker 1: that was second best in all of baseball behind who
Speaker 1: Mookie bets? Again? That lineup really good. I don't think
Speaker 1: to go wrong with any three of these guys talk
Speaker 1: about the more when we get them. Yeah, absolutely, we
Speaker 1: have another hour and forty minutes were all these guys.
Speaker 1: You stick around more from your right after this. Daily
Speaker 1: rodo dot Com learned from the game's best DFS players.
Speaker 1: We don't just give you advice. We play every day,
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Speaker 1: scout Fantasy Sports. I took Aaron Joe and he's being undervalued.
Speaker 1: I think he's the first round pick and consistently going
Speaker 1: to the second although my scout forty four. The guy
Speaker 1: on the turn of twelve took him thirteen. I thought
Speaker 1: I was getting a fourteen him. Like, is this guy
Speaker 1: kidding me? I don't understand it, Like he was the
Speaker 1: first round pick last year? And what did he do
Speaker 1: last year to say that the guy is not any good?
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Speaker 1: guys on a hundred twelve games week days to the
Speaker 1: four pm Eastern on the Fantasy Sports Network and on
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Speaker 1: best friends forever. How about killed little news and notes.
Speaker 1: We do want to get to you before we see you.
Speaker 1: All the outfielders. Clayton Kershaw shut down again, little shows soreness.
Speaker 1: I know who's still avail. He's still available in your draft?
Speaker 1: Who is this? Uh No? He went the slide ended
Speaker 1: at pick eight one, which was the that was the
Speaker 1: max pick, max pick, min pig. Would that be max?
Speaker 1: Uh No, yeah, that would be his max pick. That
Speaker 1: was his max pick in the Great Fantasy based invitation
Speaker 1: across all the leagues. That was the latest he went.
Speaker 1: So he went in the sixth round um at pick
Speaker 1: eight one. And you know, I saw a lot of
Speaker 1: discussion about it on Twitter yesterday. Look, there was already
Speaker 1: reasons to be concerned with the decreased velocity, the decreased skills.
Speaker 1: You know, I talked with Modica a little bit about
Speaker 1: it yesterday, and it seems like, you know, a lot
Speaker 1: of people agreed that maybe he should have went even
Speaker 1: a nater. It's only he can't throw a ball right now.
Speaker 1: It's only getting worse when it comes to Clayton Kershaw,
Speaker 1: who has tried. I leaped twice now to get back
Speaker 1: on the mountain. Throw, and it just hasn't gone well unfortunately,
Speaker 1: Bill Plunkett yesterday Dave Dave Robert said Clayton Kershaw quote
Speaker 1: didn't feel great about throwing point today, throwing program back
Speaker 1: on hold. We already had concerns with you know, injury
Speaker 1: risks and uh, you know, skill risk in terms of,
Speaker 1: you know, he's not striking people out as much, he's
Speaker 1: walking a few more guys, the velocities down. You have
Speaker 1: to worry is he gonna go a hundred sixty endings?
Speaker 1: And you have to worry about, well, when is he
Speaker 1: gonna pitch. There's too many concerns. I could you know,
Speaker 1: I passed on this guy in the fifth you know,
Speaker 1: the fourth, fifth round as my SP three. I couldn't
Speaker 1: pull the trigger. I totally agree with you. I think
Speaker 1: there's way too many concerns with Cleanton Kershaw right now,
Speaker 1: way too many concerns at that shoulder is just not right.
Speaker 1: And this is coming from somebody who last year's velocity dipped.
Speaker 1: Everything dipped. Last year every metric youse can read was
Speaker 1: bad for Clay Kershaw. Besides, you know the E R
Speaker 1: A and whatnot. So be very very very cautious, well
Speaker 1: asked dr about CLAYT. Kershaw. Obviously there is the headliner
Speaker 1: up by just speaking of headliners, that no Dowarnado signs
Speaker 1: the highest A A V contract in baseball history, three
Speaker 1: or two and a half million dollars a year for
Speaker 1: an eight year, two hundred and sixty million dollar contract
Speaker 1: extension which goes into effect this year. Ronado off the market.
Speaker 1: Good for him, good for the Rockies. Yeah. Also, I
Speaker 1: have talked to me about Ernado because he had like
Speaker 1: a shoulder thing in the second half lest year and
Speaker 1: I haven't heard anyone talk about it. So I just
Speaker 1: want to make sure, like it's still good. But he's
Speaker 1: still amazing. It's gonna have he was. I mean he
Speaker 1: declined a little bit. It wasn't like anything too drastic.
Speaker 1: I mean, these shoulder things can linger. So you know,
Speaker 1: he's like, all right, one of the names if you
Speaker 1: get to it, you get to it kind of thing
Speaker 1: with doctors on the end of the list. Yeah, he's
Speaker 1: on the end of the list. But you know, I
Speaker 1: do want to know if there's any like residual effects
Speaker 1: of that shoulder from last season. Yeah, about at three
Speaker 1: twelve of the first half, just to seventy five in
Speaker 1: the second half for Aronado last year. I want to
Speaker 1: know about that. But three homers the first great for keeper,
Speaker 1: Great for Dynasty beeause you have him in a keeper league.
Speaker 1: This is great obviously for Dynasty. You know, being in
Speaker 1: Coors Field, there's there's ever better spot. And look at
Speaker 1: his home road splits in his career too, so this
Speaker 1: is great, great for them. They're still expected to be
Speaker 1: a pretty good UM free agent class next year, one
Speaker 1: that will be headlined by Anthony Randon. Looks like he's
Speaker 1: the best hitter available for next year, and there's guys
Speaker 1: like Justin Verlanders, Jericole, Paul Gloschman also up there as well.
Speaker 1: So pretty good class next season. Um, I don't know
Speaker 1: if it has the same combination of youth meets talent
Speaker 1: that this one had in terms of Bryce Harper and
Speaker 1: and Manny Machado, but definitely some better pictures available next
Speaker 1: season than there are this year. This year was really
Speaker 1: Dallas Kaiko and you know a couple of relievers. Nothing
Speaker 1: nothing too great in terms of starting pitching. Absolutely, So
Speaker 1: let's get back to the outfielders now, and we're in
Speaker 1: that J. D. Martinez, Christian Yellick and Ronald Kuna territory.
Speaker 1: Don't do the uh Modika came on for one Monday
Speaker 1: and he's already got you saying, Christian, how many times
Speaker 1: did you try and get Modia to not say that?
Speaker 1: It just doesn't list every day, but like they did,
Speaker 1: multiple players for multiple people. Um, who was it? Oh
Speaker 1: my god? Who what? Who was it? Yes? Yell? No,
Speaker 1: no, no no, it wasn't Yellow and it wasn't Modica. It
Speaker 1: was somebody. I was talking to you about a certain player,
Speaker 1: like kept saying the player's name, and I kept correcting
Speaker 1: them over was it Miles Mikolas because I still don't
Speaker 1: know how to say it is Kolos is Michels It's not.
Speaker 1: I think it's just Nicholas, Nicholas whatever, Imber it was
Speaker 1: all right, see as JD. Martine's Christian yell and great story.
Speaker 1: I wish I remember the player was. I apologize now.
Speaker 1: It's it's an annoying that he should just a couple
Speaker 1: of days ago. All right, Frankie break yeah. Look with
Speaker 1: with J. D. Martinez, I would probably still take him
Speaker 1: over all three of these guys. I know you can.
Speaker 1: Some people might worry about the injuries, but look, you
Speaker 1: played a hundred and fifty games last year. He finally
Speaker 1: stayed healthy three of the five years before UM three
Speaker 1: of the five seasons he was a hundred twenty three
Speaker 1: games or less. So I understand some of your concern,
Speaker 1: but he doesn't really play outfield all that much. They
Speaker 1: protect him now. He plays a lot of d H. Uh,
Speaker 1: and you know that obviously helped him last season. And
Speaker 1: this guy has been hitting the ball hard his entire career.
Speaker 1: Over the past five seasons, he's been over hard hit rate.
Speaker 1: He's been hitting the ball hard since it was cool
Speaker 1: to hit the ball hard, greg And you know, nine
Speaker 1: average eggs velostity, that was eighth best in baseball. You know,
Speaker 1: I trust this guy. Three hitter, forty plus home runs, uh,
Speaker 1: close to a hundred runs definitely over as as longly
Speaker 1: he stays healthy. That's the biggest knock on on j. D.
Speaker 1: Martinez being a d H kind of changed everything for him.
Speaker 1: Obviously he did that a lot in Detroit, but not
Speaker 1: as much as he could have with the Martinez Bigelobrera
Speaker 1: there whatever to Arizona the second half of that year
Speaker 1: couldn't be the d H. Last year, essentially as a
Speaker 1: full time d H was able to stay healthy and
Speaker 1: played in those hundred and fifty games and now back
Speaker 1: to back seasons with forty home runs. This guy's this
Speaker 1: guy's ability to hit the ball completely changed when he
Speaker 1: revamped this wing and he saw that in Detroit and
Speaker 1: it just has not stopped. And I understand had the
Speaker 1: age concerns at thirty one years old, but thirty one
Speaker 1: is not exactly old by any means. And I think
Speaker 1: playing in Fenway Park, hitting in that lineup, he is
Speaker 1: out of Ronald Kunia and in Christian Yell. I understand
Speaker 1: that he cannot give you the fifth category of stolen bases,
Speaker 1: but I think what he can do is almost most
Speaker 1: replicable out of these guys, like I trust Jade Martinez
Speaker 1: to do he when he did again more so than
Speaker 1: necessarily Ronald Lacunaum royal Queen, you're buying the what do
Speaker 1: you expect him to? Mostly because both had ridiculous second hands.
Speaker 1: And even when we were talking to Modica yesterday, he's
Speaker 1: someone who likes yellow. He said, Look, regression is gonna come,
Speaker 1: but even if regression comes, he's still gonna be a very,
Speaker 1: very great player. He's gonna be like a top ten player.
Speaker 1: And that's why he's being drafted where he is in
Speaker 1: Fantasy shouldn't surprise it should surprise you. J D. Martinez
Speaker 1: is babbit. Last year was a crazy three seventy five
Speaker 1: yellow just three seventy three. But he hits them all
Speaker 1: so hard, so so you can't like, Okay, is it
Speaker 1: really a high babbitt or No. He's a great hitter.
Speaker 1: He hits the ball to all fields and he hits
Speaker 1: the ball hard all the time. So that's why you
Speaker 1: know he has bad is as high as it is.
Speaker 1: Do you lean towards j D. Martinez these guys, I
Speaker 1: do I pretty pretty easily, but like pretty affirmatively. I
Speaker 1: I lean Georg j D. Martinez over both this guys.
Speaker 1: You know what's pretty cool to think about is Aaron
Speaker 1: Judge could be j D. Martinez. He can be a
Speaker 1: top five player for Fantasy. The biggest differences of strikeouts
Speaker 1: because they both hit the ball extremely hardly. If you
Speaker 1: look at these guys side by side, it's Aaron Judge
Speaker 1: strikes out thirty percent of the time. Last year, j D.
Speaker 1: Martinez struck out twenty two percent of the time, which
Speaker 1: was a six year low for him. And that's the
Speaker 1: difference that eight percent strikeout, right, is the difference between J. D.
Speaker 1: Martinez hitting you know for a three thirty batting average
Speaker 1: because both of those guys hit the ball so hard,
Speaker 1: and Aaron is being a two eight hitter because he
Speaker 1: strikes out eight percent more than j D. Martinezes he
Speaker 1: strikes out around thirty percent of the actually difference. You know.
Speaker 1: You know, if Aaron Judge ever cut those strikeouts down,
Speaker 1: then he has the ability to be a three hitter.
Speaker 1: But we haven't really each seen that at any at
Speaker 1: any point, right, even if you're a month by month
Speaker 1: throughout Judge's career. I mean, the strikeouts have been pretty
Speaker 1: consistent totally. What's cool about um JD. Martinez is the
Speaker 1: average is has always been good, right like two two
Speaker 1: three or three and three thirty last year O BP
Speaker 1: has gotten better every single year. Like you won't project
Speaker 1: a three thirty batting average, but like average, yeah he
Speaker 1: can be, He's gonna be a three hitter goes drastically wrong. Yeah. So,
Speaker 1: And what I'm learning now is, especially in these Rhoto drafts, man,
Speaker 1: please grab batting average early. You gotta grab batting average early.
Speaker 1: It's the only guys that you're gonna get batting average
Speaker 1: from late and I'm kind of figuring it out now
Speaker 1: on the fly. Is Michael Brantley, Julie Gariel, maybe like
Speaker 1: Jesse Winker, Corey Dickerson, Like it's not pretty Robinson Cano,
Speaker 1: like he's another batting average guy you know, in the
Speaker 1: middle to later rounds. But you gotta be conscious of
Speaker 1: batting average early. I drafted Jose ramror Is and Bryce Harper.
Speaker 1: But your guess is as good as mine is what
Speaker 1: they're gonna hit. Because Bryce Harper's all atility and batting
Speaker 1: average has been all over the place. And we'll get
Speaker 1: into that too, but definitely, you know, one year he's
Speaker 1: a three thirty hit in the next year weird. So
Speaker 1: his like volatility and batting average is all over the place.
Speaker 1: Good luck trying to project that, Like I I project
Speaker 1: Breaks Harper for like two seventy five, just because it's
Speaker 1: kind of the middle. Yeah, you don't really know. And
Speaker 1: then Jose Ramirez, he's kind of sacrifice batting average the
Speaker 1: past couple of years to become more of a power hitter.
Speaker 1: As I've said throughout the draft process, we're gonna get
Speaker 1: into these guys in just a few moments, I said
Speaker 1: jose Marriage because that was the other player I drafted. Here.
Speaker 1: We get to this a few moments, but those outfitlders,
Speaker 1: the standing, the judges, the Harpers are all going in
Speaker 1: the second round. Like what's amazing about them and picking
Speaker 1: where you are for the opportunity to get them is
Speaker 1: they all have the ability to finish his first round picks.
Speaker 1: Like we've seen Harper go off the board at two
Speaker 1: overall in that year he was going at too many
Speaker 1: people argue you should be one standard was first round
Speaker 1: pick forever our and judge last year and the argument
Speaker 1: he is the first round pick. So all those guys
Speaker 1: have the ability to finish as a first round with
Speaker 1: first round value, which I think, um obviously is great value.
Speaker 1: You can get them in the second and you get
Speaker 1: the season that you expect. Before we get to those
Speaker 1: guys more in depth, I want to then argue the
Speaker 1: Christian Yellows versus Ronald Kuna point. So we both agree
Speaker 1: that j D. Martinez should be the third outfielder off
Speaker 1: the board. We kind of compared up to the Yelloch
Speaker 1: and that makes me think that you also have yell
Speaker 1: Atch above Acuna Kuna yes, I do, okay, yeah, And
Speaker 1: it comes down to the batting average. I trust the
Speaker 1: batting average more for Christian Yellows because he didn't strike
Speaker 1: out as much as a guy like a Kunya. You're
Speaker 1: kind of hoping that a Kunya is Christian Yellis, maybe
Speaker 1: with more stone basis last year's Christian Yellots, not like
Speaker 1: Marlin's very early Marlins. Like, you're kind of based on
Speaker 1: my projection, right, So I have Christian Yellots for three
Speaker 1: D batting average, twenty eight home runs, a hundred runs scored,
Speaker 1: ninety five ribbies, eighteen stolen basis. That's kind of what
Speaker 1: you want Ronald Lacunia to be. Maybe more stone basis
Speaker 1: stolen basis. But if he gets more stolen basis, that's
Speaker 1: gonna come at the expense of his RBIs because that
Speaker 1: means he's going to be leading off. Because I truly
Speaker 1: believe that if he bats clean up, his stolen basis
Speaker 1: are gonna be closer to fifteen for the season. If
Speaker 1: he bats lead off, Ronald Dacunia, that is, you might
Speaker 1: be able to steal twenty five bases, might even be
Speaker 1: able to come close to thirty, But then his RBIs
Speaker 1: are probably gonna be closer to eighty. If he bats
Speaker 1: clean up in the Braves lineup, he's probably gonna be
Speaker 1: closer to bis. So it's kind of the trade off
Speaker 1: and not. Someone on Twitter asked me yesterday, you know
Speaker 1: where do you want Ronald lacune you the bat because
Speaker 1: yesterday in the Braves he was batting clean up. I said,
Speaker 1: I want him to hit leadoff because I want the
Speaker 1: stolen basis. So you know, I'd rather have the thirty
Speaker 1: stolen basis for Ronald da Cunea. But with Christian Yellis, Look,
Speaker 1: the second half was just it was otherworldly. I mean
Speaker 1: it was ridiculous. Three sixty seven with twent five home
Speaker 1: runs in the second half alone. I mean, you want
Speaker 1: some guys said, it's twenty five on runs in a
Speaker 1: full season. Christian Yellows did that in the the second
Speaker 1: half alone. He had a twelve nineteen o PS. He
Speaker 1: did make some bad ball adjustments here. He raised his
Speaker 1: fly ball rate by four percent. The hard hit rate
Speaker 1: went up from forty five percent to fifty percent for
Speaker 1: Christian Yellis. Here in the second half he's a legitimate
Speaker 1: five category contributor eighty eight percentile in terms of sprints speed,
Speaker 1: so I trust the stolen bases are going to be
Speaker 1: you know, in that fifteen and twenty range for Yellows.
Speaker 1: Maybe doesn't have to upside in terms of stolen basis
Speaker 1: that Ronald Lacunia does. Still hits too many ground balls,
Speaker 1: still over fifty percent last year, but it's trending in
Speaker 1: the right direction, Like I say, the fifty one point
Speaker 1: eight percent, which is still very high. That was a
Speaker 1: career low for the Christian Knowledge, so he's slowly de
Speaker 1: trending in the right direction. And his thirty five point
Speaker 1: six percent home on the flyball ratio was ridiculous last year.
Speaker 1: What was it the year before, Aaron Judge posted a
Speaker 1: thirty five percent home run to fly ball ratio, So
Speaker 1: like when you hit the ball as hard as they do,
Speaker 1: Judges hard hit rate last year was I mean two
Speaker 1: years ago was that maintained a thirty percent home on
Speaker 1: the fly ball ratio. Yellows hit rate last year was
Speaker 1: forty seven point six percent, so better than Aaron Judge
Speaker 1: the year before. It was a seventh best in baseball
Speaker 1: and he had a thirty percent home on the flyball ratio.
Speaker 1: So yes, it's very high. I'm not going to protect
Speaker 1: him to hit thirty six home runs again. But if
Speaker 1: he's hitting the ball that hard, it's really not that crazy.
Speaker 1: Because we saw Aaron Judge do it two years ago.
Speaker 1: I think the home run of fly ball ratio is
Speaker 1: probably closer to like percent, maybe, you know, if if
Speaker 1: he can still kind of maintain his quality of contact.
Speaker 1: But again, most the thirty home runs a three hitter,
Speaker 1: he's a legitimate hitter. Uh, He's gonna score a lot
Speaker 1: of runs in this Brewer's lineup expected to beat second
Speaker 1: RBIs are gonna be there because it's still a very
Speaker 1: deep line up. So even when it wraps around, I
Speaker 1: still think he's gonna have RBI opportunities and he's gonna
Speaker 1: steal bases. So I think he's a little bit safer
Speaker 1: than a Counia. I'd rather have him than a Counia.
Speaker 1: I agree with you. I agree with you for everything
Speaker 1: that you said. He's gonna still he's gonna steal a few,
Speaker 1: but you're gonna start saying to me outlandish so that
Speaker 1: you disagree with I'm sorry. R Also, I think Christian
Speaker 1: Yellich I don't want to say Ronald is Christian Yelloch.
Speaker 1: I think he could be better and a honestly than
Speaker 1: Christian Yelloch. I feel safer might have a higher upside
Speaker 1: Like Christian yellis Is upside was what he did last
Speaker 1: year is an MP Definitely you got it. Like can
Speaker 1: it be better? Though for Christian Ellities I don't think so.
Speaker 1: Like I think what you got last year is the
Speaker 1: best of what can Ronald lacun you get to that level?
Speaker 1: I think six home runs, batting average, we saw score.
Speaker 1: I don't know the batting average, but like we saw
Speaker 1: he strikes out a little bit more than you. We
Speaker 1: saw this twenty six homers in a hundred eleven games.
Speaker 1: Is it's crazy that he hits thirty five homers in
Speaker 1: a hundred fifty games? No, no, of course not in
Speaker 1: a hundred fifty games. Is it crazy to think he
Speaker 1: gets the thirty stolen bases? No, of course not. I
Speaker 1: do think it'll be crazy to think he bass three thirty.
Speaker 1: That's not gonna happen. But I think the stolen bases
Speaker 1: will make it, will you know? Kind of take that
Speaker 1: part away. So I think ronaldun Is upside is higher
Speaker 1: in the first round. I always want a little bit
Speaker 1: more safety, So why I have no issue drafting Ronald
Speaker 1: Lacuna in the first round. I do have an issue
Speaker 1: drafting rot Lacuna had a Christian yell. Yeah, I agree
Speaker 1: with that too. And look pre injury, remember like when
Speaker 1: he hyper extended his knee when he was in Fenway,
Speaker 1: he was trying to run through first base, kind of
Speaker 1: slid across the bag, hyper extended his knee. That's Ronald
Speaker 1: Lacuna before the injury. Last year, in twenty nine games,
Speaker 1: he was, you know, eight percent walk crazy. He's striking
Speaker 1: out a lot twenty nine percent of the time to
Speaker 1: sixty five hitter. He had five home runs during that
Speaker 1: that stretch. When he came back from the injury, that's
Speaker 1: when Ronald Lacun you really really took off. Eighty two
Speaker 1: games post injury. The walk rate up to about ten percent,
Speaker 1: the strikeout rate down percent, so down about five percent.
Speaker 1: He was a three hundred hitter, three eighty O b
Speaker 1: P five eighty nine slugging percentage. He had a two
Speaker 1: eighty five isolated power, twenty one home runs in eighty
Speaker 1: two games. So we talked about what is the upside
Speaker 1: for Ronald Lacun So eighty two games, you know, you
Speaker 1: multiply that by two hundred and sixty games season, you
Speaker 1: can hit around forty home runs. Like, that's what his
Speaker 1: upside can be. He showed that like as hot as
Speaker 1: he was in the second half lest year, he showed
Speaker 1: it during that stretch. Fourteen stolen basis already during that
Speaker 1: that time. So again, he has the speed, he has
Speaker 1: the ability here to steal twenty five to thirty basis.
Speaker 1: The upside legitimately is higher. Yeah, I think his upside
Speaker 1: could be higher than Christian Yell. Just I'll just say
Speaker 1: it like that, But I think Christian Yelli is a
Speaker 1: little bit more agree a safer player. But the adjustment
Speaker 1: said he made though in season, Ronna, I can't stress
Speaker 1: that enough in terms of not chasing as many pitches
Speaker 1: before he got hurt, thirty two chase rate when he
Speaker 1: came back, Like we're talking about a guy how old
Speaker 1: years old, Ronald making one years old, those type of
Speaker 1: adjustments mid season, Like this is a really really impressive
Speaker 1: cat here. Absolutely totally totally agree with you. The upside
Speaker 1: is the moon for Ronald Kuna. Now, Frank, we're gonna
Speaker 1: why don't get into the break in just a few
Speaker 1: moments here, So I don't want to start a whole
Speaker 1: new tier, but I think that's here. When he gets
Speaker 1: you after the break is kind of what we mentioned earlier.
Speaker 1: These three guys, really four guys do you want to
Speaker 1: include Charlie Blackman and him that have the ability to
Speaker 1: be a first round pick or have been a first
Speaker 1: round pick just a few, you know, years ago or
Speaker 1: even a year ago. That's what Aaron Judge, Bryce Harper,
Speaker 1: John Carlston and Charlie Blackman represent. They're all going in
Speaker 1: the second round right now? Should they be? What the
Speaker 1: what should the order be for these guys? Well, you
Speaker 1: know when we return, it's Franks Stamps the Fantasy best
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Speaker 1: I will basically do your draft for you know, that's
Speaker 1: not I mean, look, part of the draft, part of
Speaker 1: the fantasy baseball season that's so fun is doing your
Speaker 1: own draft. But like if you will be in there,
Speaker 1: like on call if you need help. Like I'm going
Speaker 1: to the bathroom. There's a good chance that I have
Speaker 1: my holy draft. I'm just going to buy Frank's lunch
Speaker 1: like every day that week so I could text him
Speaker 1: during my draft and he's forced to respond. That's what
Speaker 1: I follars. I would rather just sign up for the Patreon. Greg, Okay, fine,
Speaker 1: we still old me a bunch of lunches anyway, and
Speaker 1: I think a few beers in there too. I bought
Speaker 1: you beers on fry that that's true. I bought you beer.
Speaker 1: Now I have to buy you lunch. Did you buy
Speaker 1: me beer? You can expense that I was buying the beer.
Speaker 1: Didn't thank you, Greg. We had a great time. It
Speaker 1: was fun. It was fun. It was time I thank
Speaker 1: you for the beers. I do still owe you two lunches.
Speaker 1: What did we say, shake shack? Do we wanted to do?
Speaker 1: We haven't done that in a while. We haven't. I
Speaker 1: get you dinner dinner soon. We have dinner really soon.
Speaker 1: To be honest with you, we have to have an
Speaker 1: auction dinner and have an auction dinner. You never come
Speaker 1: to my house, but I don't feel like you don't
Speaker 1: want to come to Queens. You're invited if you want
Speaker 1: to appreciate that. It's just like we have work and
Speaker 1: then I live close, so it's easy. It's just easy,
Speaker 1: all right. If I invited you and Judy over to
Speaker 1: my house on a weekend dinner, Yeah, of course that
Speaker 1: sounds great. I mean, Queens, is you know, not the
Speaker 1: easiest trip to make sure I can make it? Um,
Speaker 1: would you take a cab there? I take a subway.
Speaker 1: I'd probably take a uber from the stuff from when
Speaker 1: I get to the subway. Wouldn't take the bus after that? Yeah,
Speaker 1: that's true, That's what I would do. Although there is
Speaker 1: a train that leaves you right next to a bus
Speaker 1: that like, oh it's like a five minute ride that
Speaker 1: brings you basically right to my then I would do that.
Speaker 1: I wouldn't like walk anywhere to get the bus, that's fair. Walk.
Speaker 1: We have our draft two weeks from tomorrow. I don't
Speaker 1: even know my draft lottery yet for my home league.
Speaker 1: So we were a draft two weeks from Thursday and
Speaker 1: then we have so we I should have dinner next
Speaker 1: week or something like that. We could just do it
Speaker 1: during work hours too, if you want it. Yeah, I'm down.
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean whatever, um Kinga got a new job,
Speaker 1: so she actually has to travel a lot, like going
Speaker 1: between like Washington, d C. So she's like she's she's
Speaker 1: going like she's leaving tomorrow at eight am. She's coming
Speaker 1: back Friday night. He was like, maybe it was like
Speaker 1: over through a weekend Friday. Yeah, I mean, there's gonna
Speaker 1: be some days available where like I'm not doing anything
Speaker 1: because she's not around. They're gonna need food. So maybe
Speaker 1: one of those days you want to feed me. She's
Speaker 1: not gonna be here, all right, maybe Friday night, maybe,
Speaker 1: like I don't know, tomorrow night, but I don't like
Speaker 1: those are two nights where she's gonna be gone, got
Speaker 1: nothing to do? All right, what do you want to do?
Speaker 1: We's talk, okay? She just the outfielders, Yes, we should
Speaker 1: perfect he was canceled by the way, is the rain?
Speaker 1: I'm sorry? Really it means not a lot of games
Speaker 1: are probably gonna be canceled. Is they all kind of
Speaker 1: play in the same area? Hopefully you Darvish isn't man.
Speaker 1: That's one that I really want to see what happens
Speaker 1: to today, Like we're on you Darvish watch. He's one
Speaker 1: of the big names pay attention to here during the spring.
Speaker 1: Let's see what happens. The Blue Jay's Red Sox game
Speaker 1: was also canceled, and yeah, that looks like it for
Speaker 1: now everything A few of the games are warming up.
Speaker 1: So let's see the Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Bryce Harper tier.
Speaker 1: How does that break down for you? And why so?
Speaker 1: I still have all these players in the same tier
Speaker 1: as a Kunia YELLOWT JTT Martinez. I mean, you can
Speaker 1: argue that maybe they shouldn't be, but to me, these
Speaker 1: are all like mid to late first round, maybe early
Speaker 1: second round outfielders. Um, but I have it. Excuse me,
Speaker 1: I have it, Bryce Harper, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Standing have
Speaker 1: it in that order. So I have Bryce Harper the
Speaker 1: highest out of the three. And I don't disagree. Like
Speaker 1: I heard Rona's talking about this yesterday on Scout Fantasy.
Speaker 1: You can hear him at two p m here on
Speaker 1: fanc s Y Radio. Um, he drafted Aaron Judge, I believe,
Speaker 1: twelfth or thirteen in our Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational draft,
Speaker 1: and he said that Judge should be a first round pick.
Speaker 1: I can't really argue with that. Well you did when
Speaker 1: I when you show me the second half. No, it
Speaker 1: wasn't the second half, it's the it's the home road.
Speaker 1: I mean those matter more for head to head leagues
Speaker 1: than you know in Rhodo. It's end of season numbers, like, yeah,
Speaker 1: Aaron Judge is much better at home. You know, I'm
Speaker 1: looking at that of here, three two hitter at home
Speaker 1: within eleven thirty seven o ps and Yankee Stadium. On
Speaker 1: the road, he's a two twenty six hitter with a
Speaker 1: seven ninety three ops. So you know he's more like
Speaker 1: Steven Suzo when he's on the road. Uh, and he's
Speaker 1: you know, he's he's Aaron Judge, he's j D. He's
Speaker 1: j D Martinez when he's at home in Yankee Stadium.
Speaker 1: So those are stark differences. But for Rhodo it doesn't
Speaker 1: really matter. It's like, okay, end of season numbers. You know,
Speaker 1: he's still gonna hit forty five home runs. He has
Speaker 1: the upside to give you fifty. Uh, he's in a
Speaker 1: great lineup. He's gonna hit you know, to seventy. And
Speaker 1: he's no slouch on the basse pats either, Like it's
Speaker 1: gonna have you eight to ten stone basis. So I
Speaker 1: can't agree that Aaron Judge should be should be a
Speaker 1: first round pick in fifteen team leagues. If you're in
Speaker 1: a twelve team league, he's there on the turn, but
Speaker 1: not before Harper. To me, it's like maybe Aaron Judge
Speaker 1: is safer. Rice Harper is volatile. I've talked about this,
Speaker 1: like his batting average the last four years, Greg, like
Speaker 1: he's inconsistent the other way. Yeah, that was weird. I'm sorry.
Speaker 1: I was going from last year and back, Um, what
Speaker 1: he's inconsistent on a year to year basis, and we
Speaker 1: still don't even know where he's gonna play. Like, the
Speaker 1: only one to me that you really have to worry
Speaker 1: about is San Francisco, if he goes to the Dodgers,
Speaker 1: if he goes to Philly, I mean, I'd love Philly.
Speaker 1: Philly is the idea that obviously it's just a better
Speaker 1: ballpark than Dodgers. But if he goes into that, Dodgers
Speaker 1: lineup as a party, good Dodgers lineup too. So so
Speaker 1: so let me try to get this out right. So
Speaker 1: you mentioned the volatility to set three three nineteen and
Speaker 1: then to forty nine last season. Why what change? What
Speaker 1: also changes year to year that he has not been
Speaker 1: able to have a sustained batting average around you know three.
Speaker 1: So I think last year he obviously had bad, badbit bluck.
Speaker 1: Right if you look at the two years where you know,
Speaker 1: seen where he hit too forty three and last year
Speaker 1: where he hit to forty nine. Last year, you know,
Speaker 1: his his babbit last season was too eighty nine. Batting
Speaker 1: average on balls and play was to eighty nine, despite
Speaker 1: his hard hit rate being the highest of his career
Speaker 1: forty two point three forty two point three percent. Now
Speaker 1: you know he did he did pull the bowl a
Speaker 1: ton last year. That was the second highest of his career.
Speaker 1: But guess what, he also pulled the ball forty five
Speaker 1: percent of the time when he won the MVP, back
Speaker 1: when he was completely ridiculous. So you know, these are
Speaker 1: things that I was looking at. He still hit the
Speaker 1: ball hard. Last year, his babbit was unlucky. That's what
Speaker 1: it comes down to, you. I mean, he had a
Speaker 1: two eighty nine babbitt. He was a two forty nine hitter.
Speaker 1: He's expected batting average was two sixty. So you know,
Speaker 1: we'll talk about expected batting average a lot. It's not
Speaker 1: extremely higher, but a lot of the times people's expected
Speaker 1: batting average according to stack cast is lower than their
Speaker 1: batting average. His was eleven points higher, so she was unlucky.
Speaker 1: I mean in the two years where he and two
Speaker 1: nine is, Babbitt was much lower than his career mark,
Speaker 1: which is right around three sixty four and sixteen to
Speaker 1: eighty nine eighteen in the years they betted over three
Speaker 1: hundred in the last four back in MVP season three
Speaker 1: sixty nine was his batting average balls in play, which
Speaker 1: also isn't sustainable, and then in three fifty six, So
Speaker 1: like there's a wide range of baban. We talked a
Speaker 1: lot about bad babit, which is batting average of balls
Speaker 1: in play this week, and a lot of times I've
Speaker 1: brought it up. Frank has mentioned He's like, well, he
Speaker 1: hits the ball so hard it's gonna land somewhere. And
Speaker 1: that's what you kind of said about a lot of
Speaker 1: players or speed guys hit the ball in the ground.
Speaker 1: They run it out, they can they can run, they
Speaker 1: make it. It's not always a direct correlation just between
Speaker 1: hitting the ball hard and Babbitt, because I mean, you know,
Speaker 1: you could be unlucky for an entire season, right like
Speaker 1: you're squaring the ball up. But it's like these guys
Speaker 1: have so many different shifts and stuff, and they know
Speaker 1: how to align their fielders where you know, maybe a
Speaker 1: lot of the times when you're hitting the ball on
Speaker 1: the screws, it's going right at defenders. So and especially
Speaker 1: now as a lefty with so many shifts in the game,
Speaker 1: and you know, over dramatic shifts where you know they're
Speaker 1: playing another guy in basically you know right field that's
Speaker 1: taking away a line drive or a hard hit ground ball,
Speaker 1: it's a little bit harder. So you know, we saw
Speaker 1: it happening with like Mark two Shara when I'm like,
Speaker 1: when they started shifting him crazy in Yankee Stadium, all
Speaker 1: they tried to do was hidden out of the park.
Speaker 1: He was just trying to hit it over the shift.
Speaker 1: But he you know, he's in a turning in constantly
Speaker 1: because you know it was just because of the shifts.
Speaker 1: But you look at you look at the stack cast
Speaker 1: data last year for Bryce Harper, like the average act
Speaker 1: velocity is still very good. His expected WHOBO greg was
Speaker 1: nineties six percentile. He's in the top four percent in
Speaker 1: terms of like WHOAA weighted on base average, which is
Speaker 1: you know, another metrics similar to kind of like it's
Speaker 1: it's a more contemporary version of like what they're trying
Speaker 1: to replace ops. Basically, it weighs you know, ballparks and
Speaker 1: your lineup, and it kind of it weighs it compared
Speaker 1: to like everyone else in the league centile. So he's
Speaker 1: in the top four percent of the league in terms
Speaker 1: of uh, you know his expected WHOAA expected slugging percent.
Speaker 1: You know he was unlucky last year, you flat out
Speaker 1: was unlucky. What do you think how would you have
Speaker 1: these three ranked in terms of Judge, Harper and Stating
Speaker 1: Because I think if you ask ten different people, you
Speaker 1: might get I don't even know if there's like a
Speaker 1: different combinations, but you could get different answers every single time.
Speaker 1: It's really really hard for me. Rice Harper has like
Speaker 1: the reason why I rank him higher is he has
Speaker 1: the ability to hit three thirty. Aaron Judge doesn't have
Speaker 1: that ability, and the batting average is hard to come by.
Speaker 1: Like Rice has showed us that his ultimate upside is
Speaker 1: if you put together like all his best categories throughout
Speaker 1: the seasons, he ge hit three thirty with forty home runs,
Speaker 1: twenty stolen bases, a hundred runs and over d RBIs.
Speaker 1: That could be Bryce's best season. Can Aaron Judge's best
Speaker 1: season be better than that? I don't think so. So
Speaker 1: I feel most comfortable saying I would put Stanton last
Speaker 1: out of these three. I have him last as well,
Speaker 1: only because he strikes out the suns. He definitely doesn't suck.
Speaker 1: He strikes out the same amount as Aaron Judge, but
Speaker 1: almost walks six percent less than Aaron Judge. So he
Speaker 1: has the powers are saying. The RBIs are the same,
Speaker 1: the runs of the same projecting, of course, So if
Speaker 1: you're looking just for a couple of differences, then that's
Speaker 1: all you're looking for. That strike out to walk ratio
Speaker 1: is enough for me to break him last. Is that
Speaker 1: enough for you? I don't why you haven't last? Like,
Speaker 1: is that enough for you? Yeah? Um, I think the
Speaker 1: so freaking hard. And look they both hit the ball,
Speaker 1: they both ed the balls stream of course. Yeah, they're
Speaker 1: really similar, place, really similar. Looking for probably gonna give
Speaker 1: you like two three stolen bases, whereas Judge is gonna
Speaker 1: give you eight to ten. Is that the difference? Maybe
Speaker 1: the fact that you're gonna get like last year's standing
Speaker 1: stole five bases Judge even though played in twelve games,
Speaker 1: but so sex a dozen twelve games h hundred five.
Speaker 1: They give you nine the year before, so it's gonna
Speaker 1: be eight to ten. Sure those you know, stolen bases
Speaker 1: matter that much in terms of like you know, when
Speaker 1: you ranked players in terms of like boxin dollars, it
Speaker 1: goes based on like Z scores and stuff. I don't
Speaker 1: you know, I don't want to get into this too much,
Speaker 1: but it basically puts a weighted value on every single
Speaker 1: statistical category. So the difference between like three and eight
Speaker 1: or nine stolen bases between Stanton and Judge is actually
Speaker 1: going to push the auction rank value of Aaron Judge
Speaker 1: up that much more or like just ahead of him
Speaker 1: because of the stolen basis. Like they actually do mean
Speaker 1: that much. So you know, he ses, I'll use the
Speaker 1: strikeout to walk ratio whatever it is. Stanton's last for us,
Speaker 1: I mean at least three. They're very similar players. They're
Speaker 1: both going to strike out around thirty percent of the time,
Speaker 1: and you know, you look at what's the outlier season
Speaker 1: for gian Carlo Ston it was his m v P year,
Speaker 1: The only strikeout twenty three point six percent of the time.
Speaker 1: Every other season in his career he was twenty six
Speaker 1: point six percenter higher. He's a you know, career twenty
Speaker 1: eight percent strikeout rate, So that's the outlier. His MVP
Speaker 1: season was the outlier year in terms of in terms
Speaker 1: of strikeout right, he still swings and misses a lot.
Speaker 1: He hits the ball extremely hard. One thing that I
Speaker 1: didn't notice last year with Jiancarlo Stanton is that how
Speaker 1: about this Greig? He had two seven seventy nine s
Speaker 1: at Yankee Stadium. He was the opposite of Aaron Judge.
Speaker 1: He sucked at Yankee Stadium. Comfortable. Yeah, but I'm I'm.
Speaker 1: This is me making the case for him where if
Speaker 1: you know, if he hits and the opius goods up
Speaker 1: to where it should be for John in Yane Stadium,
Speaker 1: and his other side is maybe even higher, Like you
Speaker 1: can perform under pressure. Man, he kisses me off. If
Speaker 1: real life baseball John call Stand pissed me off. In
Speaker 1: the big moments when you needed him most, he didn't
Speaker 1: come through. You know a lot of Yankee fans will say, um, oh, well, Aaron.
Speaker 1: When Aaron Judge got hurt, John Carl Stanton put a
Speaker 1: team on his back. There was like a month stress
Speaker 1: where like he hit three D Yeah, that's fine too,
Speaker 1: he did, but he's always kind of nicked up though,
Speaker 1: isn't he all right? So we will have a Stanton last,
Speaker 1: would you feel comfortable to thinking of that? They literally
Speaker 1: back to back to back and there's a little separation
Speaker 1: an FBC. Um, let's see who they're actually separated by
Speaker 1: a hang on. So you have Judge in between in
Speaker 1: between Harper and Stantonio justin vertlantas, all right, that's a picture. Um.
Speaker 1: In between Judge and Harper, you have Goldschmidt's story, machadow Bys.
Speaker 1: So if I'm taking I'm kind of looking at this
Speaker 1: from a roster construction perspective here. If I'm taking Aaron,
Speaker 1: Judge or Stanton, I kind of want to pair them
Speaker 1: with someone who's gonna get me close with three batting average.
Speaker 1: If I'm going in some speed, if I'm going hit
Speaker 1: or hitter, you need some speed too, yeah, I mean yeah, Well,
Speaker 1: like so look at this team. For example, I'm looking
Speaker 1: at you know, my draft right now, and someone started
Speaker 1: Lindoor Stanton Mondescy. You get your you get your speed
Speaker 1: with modesty pitching land though, yeah. I mean as of
Speaker 1: right now he has Patrick Corbin, Blake Trining, and David Price.
Speaker 1: That's not good team week. You're gonna have a whole somewhere.
Speaker 1: That's what it comes out. You're gonna have a whole somewhere.
Speaker 1: Ronus for example, started Aaron Judge and Alex Bregg. Mean
Speaker 1: that's pretty good because you get the batting average of Bregman,
Speaker 1: not a lot of solen bases. You'll get like eight
Speaker 1: to ten out of both guys. I mean you just
Speaker 1: kind of like you gotta chip chip away at the
Speaker 1: Soulen base category throughout the draft. I think the awesome
Speaker 1: to like para Kunia in Stanton, like that would be fun,
Speaker 1: that doable. Not really, Stanton's not really gonna fall. Like
Speaker 1: maybe you might get like who you think person picking
Speaker 1: your lakes now because they took a Knia fourth overall.
Speaker 1: But if you get a Kunia at eight or nine,
Speaker 1: the Yellish person star Marte, that's interesting telling you batting
Speaker 1: average and Stulen bases. You're getting a five category contributor
Speaker 1: in Yellows. And then you're getting Starley Marte who doesn't
Speaker 1: kill you in home runs, but he also gives you runs.
Speaker 1: He's gonna give you batting average is gonna beve stolen bases.
Speaker 1: Starley Martex, you're making the earlier than I would take.
Speaker 1: Starling Mardon person in roto Man. He's a second, he's
Speaker 1: a late second. You're official Harper over Judge your taking. Yes,
Speaker 1: can not gonna be a popular take, but I don't
Speaker 1: think I want to do it. Can You'm gonna argue
Speaker 1: with you and I got I got Harper later than
Speaker 1: Judge instant. I got Harper five picks after stay all right,
Speaker 1: give you the top eight for the next hour, will
Speaker 1: give you a you know, a couple more stick around
Speaker 1: our series next. I couldn't catch the live show, make
Speaker 1: sure at the download our podcast at the v n
Speaker 1: T S Y Sports Network Audio Boom channel oh