WEBVTT - LNG CEO: Asia, Europe Demand Propel U.S. Gas Projects

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Penl Podcast. I'm Paul swing you

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<v Speaker 1>along with my co host Lisa Brahmas. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most noteworthy and useful interviews for you

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<v Speaker 1>and your money, whether at the grocery store or the

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<v Speaker 1>trading floor. Find a Bloomberg Penl podcast on Apple podcast

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<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to podcasts, as well as at

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg dot com. We are broadcasting live from the Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>New Energy Finance Summit in New York City. One big

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<v Speaker 1>question is about natural gas, especially as it increasingly replaces

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<v Speaker 1>coal fueled power plants, and we are so lucky to

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<v Speaker 1>have with us. Greg vs He is chief executive officer

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<v Speaker 1>and managing director of llen G Limited based in Houston,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us here New York. Greg, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for being here. Let's just start with the idea of

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<v Speaker 1>llen G, a major natural gas supplier working on a

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<v Speaker 1>whole bunch of projects right now, trying to build out

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<v Speaker 1>the infrastructure at a time when natural gas prices have

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<v Speaker 1>kind of declined. Give us a sense of the layout

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<v Speaker 1>of land from your perspective. Sure will, and thanks Lisa all.

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<v Speaker 1>It's great to be here. Uh, you know, it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting across the globe how competitive And I never thought

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<v Speaker 1>in thirty nine years of the U S Energy industry

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<v Speaker 1>that I'd be saying how competitive US gas is for export.

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<v Speaker 1>And what people across the globe are seeing is this

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<v Speaker 1>huge resource that we continue to make more and more of.

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<v Speaker 1>It's at a price at Henry Hub, which is a

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<v Speaker 1>stable price. Now I'm used to huge volatility in this price.

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<v Speaker 1>They look out and see it very stable, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>a very favorable political and business environment. So it's very

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<v Speaker 1>much pointing to the US to be a place to come.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, who's coming here? Is it? China? Uh? If

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<v Speaker 1>you look out, the big the big growth areas are

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<v Speaker 1>going to be Europe and China. Um, I shouldn't say

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<v Speaker 1>Europe and China, Europe and Asia. Obviously China the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>component of Asia. But yes, Europe and China the two

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<v Speaker 1>that are really hitting it hardest right now. Europe. It's interesting.

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<v Speaker 1>We had a kind of a industry meeting in Berlin

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks back, and the German Minister of

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<v Speaker 1>Energy made the point of saying, we used to say

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<v Speaker 1>we're all about being electrified, now we're saying natural gas

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<v Speaker 1>is the best next step for us to take. That's

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<v Speaker 1>a huge change for them, and they're gearing up. They're

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<v Speaker 1>looking at re gas facilities. The whole region is putting

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<v Speaker 1>in re gas facilities. They're very focused on l and

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<v Speaker 1>G and Gulf Coast. L en G is going US.

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<v Speaker 1>Gulf Coast ellency is going to be the most affordable

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<v Speaker 1>and competitive for them. So great, let's let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the Gulf Coast. Is the infrastructure there and the Gulf

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<v Speaker 1>Coast right now to really take advantage of this robust

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<v Speaker 1>demand you've been talking about. It really is more so

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<v Speaker 1>in Louisiana. I think that you know because of where

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<v Speaker 1>Henry Hub is, it was originally designed to be the

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<v Speaker 1>place where all the gas comes on shore. Well that

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<v Speaker 1>model is completely reversed now all the gas is up

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<v Speaker 1>north and it's coming to the south, but the hub

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<v Speaker 1>is still that indicate that everyone will look at, and

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<v Speaker 1>all the end of the infrastructure has been built around that.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's pipes that were granted, they were intended to

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<v Speaker 1>take gas from south to north. Now they're all turning

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<v Speaker 1>around and bringing gas from north to south. But it

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<v Speaker 1>can bring huge amounts of that gas at competitive it's

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<v Speaker 1>to the Gulf coast, and you have a very friendly

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<v Speaker 1>environment in southwest Louisiana where we are. They are really excited.

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<v Speaker 1>They want to be like leading the US and leading

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<v Speaker 1>the world in lergy exports, and they are ready for

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<v Speaker 1>all that infrastructure development. How quickly does the US give

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<v Speaker 1>out permits for you to do these projects. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>great discussion, Lisa Um. It's not a quick process, but

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<v Speaker 1>it wasn't designed to be because it's the first and

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<v Speaker 1>foremost to make sure it's the right thing for the

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<v Speaker 1>country to do and to do it safely. As the

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<v Speaker 1>process gotten faster, it has gotten faster. Yes, I think

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<v Speaker 1>what we experienced and you're we're fully permitted. We've been

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<v Speaker 1>through all the FIRC in the deal. We were ready

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<v Speaker 1>to go with our Magnolia project. That was probably a

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<v Speaker 1>two and a half year, three year exercise. It's a

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<v Speaker 1>little faster than that, but not materially, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>as as business people and citizens, we should be a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit okay with that that it's a good process

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<v Speaker 1>that works. How competitive is US natural gas on the

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<v Speaker 1>world market and what needs to change maybe to make

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<v Speaker 1>it more competitive? You know, it's been very competitive of

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<v Speaker 1>the market that we all looked at was Europe, and

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<v Speaker 1>about a year and a half ago it turned where

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<v Speaker 1>it was much more competitive. It was very competitive versus

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<v Speaker 1>europe gas. And you've had a little downturn this winner

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<v Speaker 1>both in Asia and Europe, so it's kind of borderline, um,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's still very competitive on the world stage. What

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<v Speaker 1>you have to look for, you know, what we call

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<v Speaker 1>freight on free on board, where it's picked up at

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<v Speaker 1>the tailgate of a US plan, is a very competitive price.

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<v Speaker 1>Then it's how far do you have to pay transportation

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<v Speaker 1>to travel? All right? So we are at the New

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<v Speaker 1>Energy Finance Summit and natural gas is definitely a growing

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<v Speaker 1>source of energy, but it's not a new energy and

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just wondering, especially as it competes with renewable sources

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<v Speaker 1>of energy, how does it compete environmentally? So it's it's

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<v Speaker 1>a great question. I think there's two things. It's very

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<v Speaker 1>necessary for renewables because you have the intermittency of renewables.

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<v Speaker 1>Natural gas is a quick startup and can do that.

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<v Speaker 1>I think the US has shown the world a great

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<v Speaker 1>example that natural gas is an excellent bridge fuel. And

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<v Speaker 1>how long that bridge fuel is we don't know, but

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<v Speaker 1>the market brought permissions down in the US by switching

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<v Speaker 1>from coal to natural gas. The rest of the world

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<v Speaker 1>has seen that and they want to replicate that. So

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<v Speaker 1>still that just real quickly that where's the price of

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<v Speaker 1>gas and what kind of how do you view it

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<v Speaker 1>right now? Well, it's interesting at the price of us

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<v Speaker 1>Henry hub Is is probably two eighty to three dollars um.

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<v Speaker 1>When I started in the industry in it was two dollars,

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<v Speaker 1>So that that tells you that's a very competitive price.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's interesting that the volatility that we see

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<v Speaker 1>over the Winner hasn't been there this year. In fact,

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<v Speaker 1>the price got to its lowest point on If you

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<v Speaker 1>remember that coldest day of the year when people in

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<v Speaker 1>Chicago couldn't go out of their apartments, it's it's the

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<v Speaker 1>day of the price was the lowest is Winner? Okay? Interesting?

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<v Speaker 1>Greg vc, CEO and Managing director of l n G

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<v Speaker 1>A Limited based in Houston, Texas, but joining us here

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<v Speaker 1>at the Bloomberg dew Energy Finance Conference in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>We are broadcasting live from the Bloomberg New Energy Finance

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<v Speaker 1>Summit at the Grand Height Hotel in Midtown, Manhattan. And

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<v Speaker 1>when I think New energy. I think solar, I think wind.

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<v Speaker 1>I think there's big wind farms onshore, offshore generating electricity.

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<v Speaker 1>So that's why I am very excited for our next guest,

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<v Speaker 1>John Lavelle. John is the president and chief executive officer

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<v Speaker 1>of Offshore Wind for Ge Renewable Energy. He joins us

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<v Speaker 1>here in New York. John, Welcome. Thanks. You know, when

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<v Speaker 1>I think about some of these big offshore wind farms,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's just you know, you could really think

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<v Speaker 1>about the scale of this business. So if you could

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<v Speaker 1>just start us off in this size up what the

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<v Speaker 1>global wind business is and kind of the growth story though. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>if you think about it today, there's about seventy gigawatts

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<v Speaker 1>of offshore wind installed globally, uh, and conservative estimates would

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<v Speaker 1>have that go into ninety gigawatts by That would be

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<v Speaker 1>comparable to the entire installed base of the Okay for example. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think beyond that, China, Taiwan, create Asia, the

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<v Speaker 1>northeast of the US are coming strong, and I think

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<v Speaker 1>that number could grow by another fifty percent, So I

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<v Speaker 1>think you could end up with fifty gig watts globally. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>So demand and use of wind power definitely increasing, and

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<v Speaker 1>there has been a consolidation as far as market share

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<v Speaker 1>goes with General Electric invest as some of the other

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<v Speaker 1>big turbine producers. Profitability, however, has been a challenge. Can

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<v Speaker 1>you talk a little bit about why UH profitability fell

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of last year and kind of what

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<v Speaker 1>we'll what we'll pick it back up going forward. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, from an offshore wind perspective, you know, we're

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<v Speaker 1>just getting in the game, you know, so Gees not

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<v Speaker 1>UH has not historically been in offshore wind. We got

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<v Speaker 1>into offshore wind when we acquired Alstom. So our game

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<v Speaker 1>today is to invest, to generate, to develop the technology

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<v Speaker 1>to compete in the future. So we're we've invested, we're

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<v Speaker 1>investing now two developed the Holly at X, which is

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<v Speaker 1>the largest offshore wind turbine in the world by far um.

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<v Speaker 1>It'll stand nearly nine feet off the ocean floor, the

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<v Speaker 1>blades will be well over a football field long each

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<v Speaker 1>and it will drive the economics low for our customers

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<v Speaker 1>and if we can help our customers compete and grow,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll be successful to in the future. So our our

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<v Speaker 1>our point is we're gonna we're investing and offshore because

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<v Speaker 1>we see the market growing. We see that GE can

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<v Speaker 1>add value with technology development. We know how to do that.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a global scale. We've been in the energy

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<v Speaker 1>industry for a hundred years. Of all the electricity that's

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<v Speaker 1>produced comes from some form of G technology. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think we can help the industry grow by playing So

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<v Speaker 1>how competitive is wind energy relative to maybe traditional energy

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<v Speaker 1>sources and maybe even Yeah, it's a great question because

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<v Speaker 1>you you know, in the end, you have to compete

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<v Speaker 1>right against everything and uh and as you as we

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<v Speaker 1>look at these technologies. Uh, in all the business I've

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<v Speaker 1>run and worked in every facet of the energy industry,

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<v Speaker 1>so I've watched the costs come down with volume. So

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<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a volume curve as cost comes out.

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<v Speaker 1>More volume you have, the more productive you have, the

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<v Speaker 1>more scale you have, the more your costs will compete.

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<v Speaker 1>We're seeing bids now in the UK. UK auctions will

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<v Speaker 1>come up in June. You'll see those prices. We've seen

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<v Speaker 1>the auctions in Germany. Uh, you saw the auction in Massachusetts.

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<v Speaker 1>You've got offshore wind now competing with with on shore

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<v Speaker 1>levels that have had a you know, almost two decades

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<v Speaker 1>of a head start, right, So you see the costs

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<v Speaker 1>come down. You want to get to the point where

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<v Speaker 1>it's unsubsidized so that you can compete without subsidies, with

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<v Speaker 1>zero subsidies. UH. And what helps you get there. It's scale,

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<v Speaker 1>it's size, so that you get you you minimize your infrastructure.

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<v Speaker 1>Every we we had a six megawatt machine, now we

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<v Speaker 1>go to a twelve. That means you have to build

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<v Speaker 1>half the pedestals out in the ocean, you have to

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<v Speaker 1>build half the cabling. It's easier to service. So as

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<v Speaker 1>you take cost out and you get volume, volume and

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<v Speaker 1>size and standardization will help the industry. So John Leavel,

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<v Speaker 1>president and CEO of for the offshore wind unit of

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<v Speaker 1>GE Renewable Energy with us here right now, I'm wondering,

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<v Speaker 1>how about storage. That's been one of the challenges, certainly

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<v Speaker 1>for solar. What about winds? Yeah, a great question. In

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<v Speaker 1>our renewable energy portfolio. UH. In g E, we have

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<v Speaker 1>on shore and offshore wind. We've got hydro. We got

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<v Speaker 1>a hydro business. We have an LM Blade Manufacturing, we

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<v Speaker 1>acquired them in two thousand seventeen, the largest maker of blades.

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<v Speaker 1>We have a grid business. G IS Grid all the

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<v Speaker 1>transmission and distribution and very, very important to have that

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<v Speaker 1>grid business marry up with the wind because you have

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<v Speaker 1>to be able to stabilize the grid as you convert

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<v Speaker 1>from baselow nuclear and coal to cyclical renewables. And then

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<v Speaker 1>you get the storage. Should we also have a hybrid

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<v Speaker 1>and storage business that we've just put in place, And

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<v Speaker 1>so I think, uh, the value of us being able

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<v Speaker 1>to bring green electrons if you will, two people that

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<v Speaker 1>want it, not just households, but two companies that have said, well,

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<v Speaker 1>by green having a storage so you can store the

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<v Speaker 1>the wind energy. How I just think I'm through battery story,

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<v Speaker 1>through battery battery storage. Yeah. Yeah. You can decide where

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<v Speaker 1>you want to put it. Where you want to store it.

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<v Speaker 1>Do you want to store it at the site. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to store at a local distribution, uh network

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<v Speaker 1>out in your neighborhood? You know? Where do you store it? So? What?

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<v Speaker 1>So what are some of the constraints, Like I don't

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<v Speaker 1>want a big wind thing in my backyard. Maybe? How

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<v Speaker 1>about for offshore? What are the constraints whoever owns who

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<v Speaker 1>has the rights to that water? Say, I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to decide where to put these things. Keeping it simple, Paul,

0:12:09.440 --> 0:12:12.640
<v Speaker 1>I think normally it's the government the land, all right,

0:12:12.679 --> 0:12:16.040
<v Speaker 1>and we'll allocate the land through some process, whether it's

0:12:16.040 --> 0:12:21.160
<v Speaker 1>in the US, Taiwan, Japan, China, uh, you know, UK, whatever,

0:12:21.200 --> 0:12:25.080
<v Speaker 1>they allocate the land. Uh. Then in all the cases

0:12:25.920 --> 0:12:28.320
<v Speaker 1>they have to go through some permit process typical to

0:12:28.520 --> 0:12:31.719
<v Speaker 1>a zoning board in the local town. You'll say this

0:12:31.800 --> 0:12:33.880
<v Speaker 1>is gonna be built. You have so many so much

0:12:33.920 --> 0:12:37.720
<v Speaker 1>time to raise your questions or your concerns that have

0:12:37.760 --> 0:12:41.160
<v Speaker 1>to come. And it's a lot. It's the birds, right,

0:12:41.200 --> 0:12:44.520
<v Speaker 1>So there's concerned for the birds. Uh, there's concerned for

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:47.320
<v Speaker 1>the site in the visual impact it may have for

0:12:47.400 --> 0:12:51.880
<v Speaker 1>local residents. So putting these things deeper and deeper into

0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:56.960
<v Speaker 1>the ocean, it becomes uh um, you know a question

0:12:57.080 --> 0:13:00.200
<v Speaker 1>for that helps right farther you're out. But then gott

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.439
<v Speaker 1>to bring the power back. You have to bring the

0:13:02.440 --> 0:13:04.520
<v Speaker 1>power back. So some of the some of the projects

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.120
<v Speaker 1>like are going on in the UK now are so

0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:09.440
<v Speaker 1>far off they're gonna use high voltage DC interesting to

0:13:09.559 --> 0:13:11.680
<v Speaker 1>bring them back. John Lavell, thank you so much for

0:13:11.720 --> 0:13:16.120
<v Speaker 1>being with you. John Lavell, President, chief executive Officer of

0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 1>the Offshore Wind Unit at GE Renewable Energy, joining us

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:38.920
<v Speaker 1>here at the Bloomberg New Energy Finance Conference. We're a

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:42.280
<v Speaker 1>broadcasting life from the Bloomberg New Energy Finance Summit at

0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:45.960
<v Speaker 1>the Grand Hyatt Hotel in Niptown, Manhattan. Right now, we're

0:13:46.000 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 1>gonna turn our attention to the America power markets. A

0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:52.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of change going on there as renewable sources compete

0:13:52.880 --> 0:13:55.080
<v Speaker 1>with some of the more traditional sources of energy in

0:13:55.120 --> 0:13:57.560
<v Speaker 1>this country. To help us walk through that story, as

0:13:57.640 --> 0:14:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Paul Browning, Paul is the President chief executive officer of

0:14:01.440 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Mitsubichi Hitachi Power Systems America's Paul, welcome U to the show. Paul,

0:14:07.080 --> 0:14:08.960
<v Speaker 1>give us a sense a kind of where we are

0:14:09.000 --> 0:14:11.319
<v Speaker 1>in the US in terms of power generation to what

0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:16.480
<v Speaker 1>extent are renewables really becoming a competitive player in the marketplace? Well, thanks,

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:19.280
<v Speaker 1>Paul and Lisa. Um. Yeah, so there's really a lot

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of change happening in the power sector right now. We

0:14:22.040 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 1>are seeing the cost of electricity from renewables and battery

0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:29.280
<v Speaker 1>storage dropping rapidly. At the same time, we're actually also

0:14:29.320 --> 0:14:32.160
<v Speaker 1>seeing the cost of electricity from natural gas power generation

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:36.040
<v Speaker 1>dropping rapidly as well. Um, And so there's a there's

0:14:36.080 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 1>a you know, a real uh competitive dynamic. They're happening

0:14:40.320 --> 0:14:44.680
<v Speaker 1>between renewables with storage and natural gas competitive endemic or

0:14:44.760 --> 0:14:47.440
<v Speaker 1>race to the bottom, either one go on. And of

0:14:47.480 --> 0:14:49.600
<v Speaker 1>course it depends. You know, the cost of renewables. You

0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:51.360
<v Speaker 1>know that the cost of solar here in New York

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 1>City is very different than in the desert in Arizona. Um,

0:14:54.480 --> 0:14:57.040
<v Speaker 1>the cost of natural gas and different parts of the

0:14:57.040 --> 0:14:59.400
<v Speaker 1>country is different. So you know a lot at the times.

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 1>The answer to you know, which one of these is

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:04.120
<v Speaker 1>going to be less expensive is you know, it depends.

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:07.760
<v Speaker 1>So but in this race, a lot of governments have

0:15:08.000 --> 0:15:12.520
<v Speaker 1>subsidized the renewables to try to reduce the carbon emissions.

0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:16.400
<v Speaker 1>How much is that necessary to get the renewable market

0:15:16.760 --> 0:15:19.560
<v Speaker 1>up to speed to truly be competitive in a free

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:23.400
<v Speaker 1>market type of environment. You know right now renewable plus

0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.640
<v Speaker 1>battery storage needs a subsidy in order to compete with

0:15:26.960 --> 0:15:32.400
<v Speaker 1>natural gas in almost every market. Significant subsidy, well investment

0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:34.960
<v Speaker 1>tax credit that exists today is the kind of subsidy

0:15:35.000 --> 0:15:37.840
<v Speaker 1>it needs to be competitive in in in some markets.

0:15:38.400 --> 0:15:40.760
<v Speaker 1>Um and so uh and and you know the thing

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>that I always talk to people about is is um.

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 1>You know, natural gas is not standing still. Um. You know,

0:15:46.240 --> 0:15:49.040
<v Speaker 1>our turbans are less expensive today on a dollar per

0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:51.160
<v Speaker 1>killer lot basis than they were in the past. They're

0:15:51.200 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 1>more freel efficient, and the price of natural gases dropping

0:15:53.920 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 1>due to new drilling technologies, so, you know, while and

0:15:57.440 --> 0:15:59.920
<v Speaker 1>the good thing for consumers is they're getting lower carbon,

0:16:00.040 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 1>lower cost electricity, you know, as we all compete with

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:06.320
<v Speaker 1>one another in a you know, in a marketplace where

0:16:06.360 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 1>competition and technology is determining who wins. So it is

0:16:10.680 --> 0:16:15.000
<v Speaker 1>big coal in terms of the context of energy or electricity.

0:16:15.080 --> 0:16:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Is big coal just done? Is its day over well

0:16:17.520 --> 0:16:20.000
<v Speaker 1>in the United States right now, it's just it's cheaper

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 1>to produce electricity from natural gas and renewables than it

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:25.560
<v Speaker 1>is from coal, And of course it's also much more

0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:29.080
<v Speaker 1>carbon efficient, and that combination of cost and carbon efficiency

0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 1>is just very, very difficult to beat. So I really

0:16:31.800 --> 0:16:34.400
<v Speaker 1>don't see any new coal power plants being built. And

0:16:34.440 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 1>as a matter of fact, what we're seeing is a

0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:38.080
<v Speaker 1>lot of you know, coal that was built in the

0:16:38.120 --> 0:16:40.800
<v Speaker 1>sixties and seventies is now being retired and it's being

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:43.520
<v Speaker 1>replaced by a combination of natural gas and renewables. So

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 1>talking about bringing down the cost, how does artificial intelligence

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.120
<v Speaker 1>play into this, especially as it takes over the human

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 1>component of running some of these plants. Yeah, so, actually,

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 1>you know AI, what we're really not there's only about

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:59.440
<v Speaker 1>thirty five people who work in a combined cycle natural

0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:01.600
<v Speaker 1>gas power plant, and actually less than that in a

0:17:01.640 --> 0:17:04.399
<v Speaker 1>renewable power plant. We're actually not going after the people

0:17:04.520 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>with our AI. What we're really going after our lost

0:17:07.760 --> 0:17:12.480
<v Speaker 1>production and unplanned downtime, which are very big expenses for

0:17:12.480 --> 0:17:16.560
<v Speaker 1>our customers. So we're trying to eliminate unplanned maintenance because

0:17:16.600 --> 0:17:19.679
<v Speaker 1>the AI is able to identify a problem before it

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.959
<v Speaker 1>becomes a problem, and we turn unplanned maintenance into planned

0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:26.240
<v Speaker 1>maintenance and and do it in a very cost effective way.

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:29.320
<v Speaker 1>Paul Sweeney, this is such an interesting point because people

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:32.400
<v Speaker 1>look at artificial intelligence is the bogeyman at the boogeyman

0:17:32.520 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 1>for why people are losing their jobs. But this is

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:38.320
<v Speaker 1>an example of how to increase productivity and profitability without

0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:42.119
<v Speaker 1>actually cutting jobs. Yeah, exactly. It's interesting. But just technology

0:17:42.160 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>in general, is how much is that impacting the traditional

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:46.639
<v Speaker 1>power business in the in the U S. When I

0:17:46.680 --> 0:17:49.320
<v Speaker 1>think of these power plants, I think these monster things. Again.

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:51.200
<v Speaker 1>I live New Jersey, so I see these monster plants

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:53.719
<v Speaker 1>all over the place. We have lots of power plants

0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:56.320
<v Speaker 1>and lots of plants and new but house technology impacting

0:17:56.400 --> 0:18:00.000
<v Speaker 1>just that creation electricity. Yeah. So as as I said

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:02.280
<v Speaker 1>before that you know that the biggest impact is the

0:18:02.359 --> 0:18:06.880
<v Speaker 1>cost of renewables, storage and natural gas power generation are

0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:10.760
<v Speaker 1>all dropping dramatically and so and those happen to be

0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:13.159
<v Speaker 1>the most carbon efficient choices that we have right now.

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:15.960
<v Speaker 1>You know that combination of natural gas and renewables is

0:18:15.960 --> 0:18:20.400
<v Speaker 1>about eight lower CEO two emissions than a retiring coal

0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 1>fired power plant. So we're actually in the US people

0:18:23.359 --> 0:18:25.000
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people don't realize this. In the US

0:18:25.040 --> 0:18:29.120
<v Speaker 1>power sector, carbon emissions are down thirty three since two

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:32.840
<v Speaker 1>thousand five. UM. We sponsor Carnegie Mellon University that they

0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:36.520
<v Speaker 1>have a website that the Switch from It's it's the

0:18:36.560 --> 0:18:39.639
<v Speaker 1>switch from coal to a combination of gas and renewals

0:18:39.800 --> 0:18:42.479
<v Speaker 1>and you can go to www dot Emissions index dot

0:18:42.640 --> 0:18:46.399
<v Speaker 1>org and once a quarter we update that number. One word,

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Paul Browning, if you've been in this market for decades,

0:18:49.800 --> 0:18:52.159
<v Speaker 1>if you had to invest in one renewable energy source,

0:18:52.280 --> 0:18:54.840
<v Speaker 1>what would it be. I just started a renewable power

0:18:54.880 --> 0:19:00.159
<v Speaker 1>technology company yesterday there announced it's it's a it's a

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 1>distributed power generation for PV solar and battery storage. There

0:19:04.880 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 1>you go, solar and battery storage. Paul Browning, thank you

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 1>so much for being with us. Paul Browning as President,

0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:14.480
<v Speaker 1>chief executive officer of Mitsubishi Hitachi Power Systems America's joining

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:17.960
<v Speaker 1>us here at the Bloomberg New Energy Finance Conference. So

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:21.520
<v Speaker 1>interesting to sort of see the price dynamic as everybody

0:19:21.600 --> 0:19:24.360
<v Speaker 1>tries to bring costs down, including gas, so it makes

0:19:24.359 --> 0:19:40.200
<v Speaker 1>it a kind of shifting competitive landscape. Some big news

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:43.800
<v Speaker 1>in the healthcare industry four the United States President Trump's administration,

0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:47.080
<v Speaker 1>the Department of Justice coming out and now trying to

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:52.680
<v Speaker 1>claim that the entirety of the Obamacare Act is unconstitutional.

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.639
<v Speaker 1>Joining us now is Max Nisson, biotech, fharma and healthcare

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:59.200
<v Speaker 1>columnist for Bloomberg Opinion. Joining us from our Bloomberg Interactive

0:19:59.200 --> 0:20:02.440
<v Speaker 1>Broker Studios. Max, what exactly just happened and how big

0:20:02.480 --> 0:20:04.399
<v Speaker 1>of a reversal is it by the do o J.

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:07.600
<v Speaker 1>It's a pretty substantial one. So the d o J

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:11.159
<v Speaker 1>had had previously supported the lawsuit in partial form, and

0:20:11.359 --> 0:20:14.040
<v Speaker 1>that itself was pretty unusual. You know, the d o

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:17.040
<v Speaker 1>J generally tends to defend the law of the land

0:20:17.080 --> 0:20:20.040
<v Speaker 1>as opposed to um, you know, supporting case Concer. But

0:20:20.280 --> 0:20:23.720
<v Speaker 1>they had only they had elected to keep big chunks

0:20:23.760 --> 0:20:26.720
<v Speaker 1>of the A C A. So this move would basically

0:20:26.720 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 1>means that they're supporting a dramatically more disruptive potential result

0:20:32.400 --> 0:20:34.760
<v Speaker 1>in which really the entire and the entirety of the

0:20:34.760 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 1>A C A would go away. That's everything from the

0:20:36.800 --> 0:20:40.880
<v Speaker 1>Medicaid expansion to the changes to the individual market protections

0:20:40.920 --> 0:20:43.440
<v Speaker 1>for people with pre existing conditions, and you know, little

0:20:43.560 --> 0:20:46.280
<v Speaker 1>things like calorie counts on menus and the FDAs ability

0:20:46.320 --> 0:20:50.280
<v Speaker 1>to approved by similars. It would be just a giant mess. So, Max,

0:20:50.359 --> 0:20:53.080
<v Speaker 1>what do you think changed for the Trump administration to

0:20:53.119 --> 0:20:56.720
<v Speaker 1>take this more aggressi approach here? I'm actually still trying

0:20:56.720 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 1>to puzzle that out because from a purely kind of

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 1>political and policy standpoint, it's it's pretty puzzling. You know,

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:07.679
<v Speaker 1>the ten mid terms kind of told us that Americans

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:11.000
<v Speaker 1>are gravitating towards liking the A C A more than

0:21:11.040 --> 0:21:15.000
<v Speaker 1>they did over the initial years of his implementation, and um,

0:21:15.040 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, the move to to kind of more aggressively

0:21:17.160 --> 0:21:19.760
<v Speaker 1>try to take it away, uh not only kind of

0:21:19.800 --> 0:21:22.200
<v Speaker 1>goes against what the lesson that the administras should probably

0:21:22.200 --> 0:21:25.720
<v Speaker 1>should have learned. But against even its own budget, which

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:29.119
<v Speaker 1>you know still you know, has massive cuts to Medicaid

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:31.439
<v Speaker 1>and UH repeals parts of the a c A. But

0:21:31.520 --> 0:21:33.680
<v Speaker 1>doesn't you know, do what this case does and just

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:36.720
<v Speaker 1>kind of you know, potentially rip away coverage from from

0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:40.840
<v Speaker 1>tens of millions of Americans overnight. Yeah, I'm wondering from

0:21:40.840 --> 0:21:43.240
<v Speaker 1>a market perspective, are their companies that you would expect

0:21:43.240 --> 0:21:47.160
<v Speaker 1>would either benefit or UH lose out should the Department

0:21:47.160 --> 0:21:51.439
<v Speaker 1>of Justice be successful in this attempt. So the you know,

0:21:51.640 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 1>insures that are focused on on medicaid and the individual

0:21:55.520 --> 0:21:58.560
<v Speaker 1>market would definitely suffer. You know, they would get some

0:21:58.560 --> 0:22:01.240
<v Speaker 1>some market power back in the form of reduced regulation,

0:22:01.720 --> 0:22:03.960
<v Speaker 1>but you know, the millions of customers they lose with

0:22:04.080 --> 0:22:06.400
<v Speaker 1>would outweigh that, especially in the near term. And then

0:22:06.480 --> 0:22:09.080
<v Speaker 1>hospitals in the sense that you know, when people don't

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:11.440
<v Speaker 1>have courbadge that they don't get care. But you know,

0:22:11.520 --> 0:22:15.280
<v Speaker 1>it's still pretty unlikely that this case will will go

0:22:15.440 --> 0:22:18.720
<v Speaker 1>through or you know, actually end up invalidating the a

0:22:18.800 --> 0:22:21.280
<v Speaker 1>c A because it's based on pretty shaky legal ground

0:22:21.640 --> 0:22:24.119
<v Speaker 1>of the idea that you know, negating the penalty of

0:22:24.119 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 1>the individual mandate somehow means that the entirety of the

0:22:27.240 --> 0:22:29.800
<v Speaker 1>rest of the law when should be invalid when Congress

0:22:29.840 --> 0:22:32.920
<v Speaker 1>is pretty explicitly given an indication that it doesn't think

0:22:32.960 --> 0:22:34.879
<v Speaker 1>that's going to be the case, because when it had

0:22:34.880 --> 0:22:38.200
<v Speaker 1>the opportunity to do exactly that, it elected not to. So, Max,

0:22:38.240 --> 0:22:40.840
<v Speaker 1>what do you think the next steps are here? Um?

0:22:40.880 --> 0:22:44.639
<v Speaker 1>You know, I think we'll see kind of an aggressive

0:22:45.000 --> 0:22:48.879
<v Speaker 1>pushback from Democrats who are actually, you know, outloading a

0:22:48.920 --> 0:22:50.920
<v Speaker 1>set of bills that would actually strengthen the A c

0:22:51.160 --> 0:22:54.880
<v Speaker 1>A today in in pretty pretty good timing for them.

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:57.240
<v Speaker 1>It just gives them a kind of a new avenue

0:22:57.240 --> 0:23:00.879
<v Speaker 1>of attack and and a really immediate one. Well, but

0:23:00.960 --> 0:23:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Maxie said of liberal opinion, this is exactly where I

0:23:03.000 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 1>wanted to go with you, this whole political deliberation. What

0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:08.800
<v Speaker 1>politically was President Trump trying to go for, perhaps the

0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 1>Department of Justice, given the fact that in the midtell

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:15.240
<v Speaker 1>elections it did seem like voters did want the Obamacare,

0:23:15.320 --> 0:23:19.280
<v Speaker 1>they did want some sort of healthcare base for people

0:23:19.320 --> 0:23:21.919
<v Speaker 1>who might work you know, gigs or things where they

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:26.159
<v Speaker 1>don't get healthcare. Yeah, I that's what makes this so inexplicable,

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:28.399
<v Speaker 1>and beyond just what you saw in the mid terms,

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 1>you also have a bunch of states and and pretty

0:23:31.720 --> 0:23:36.000
<v Speaker 1>republican states electing to adopt the medicaid expansion that we

0:23:36.200 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>had through through referendums. Now even Kansas is considering it,

0:23:40.080 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 1>So that the move to kind of try to uproot

0:23:42.480 --> 0:23:46.159
<v Speaker 1>this law entirely is really just at the moment at

0:23:46.200 --> 0:23:50.359
<v Speaker 1>least inexplicable, maybe a triumph of of ideology over over

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:54.520
<v Speaker 1>smart strategic political thinking. I really don't know what what

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:57.000
<v Speaker 1>they had in mind. Maybe we'll find out, but it

0:23:57.040 --> 0:24:00.439
<v Speaker 1>clearly seems to indicate that they haven't really learned the

0:24:00.480 --> 0:24:03.439
<v Speaker 1>political lesson about healthcare, and they're gonna campaign on a

0:24:03.480 --> 0:24:06.520
<v Speaker 1>full repeal once again, which I don't think will work

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:08.800
<v Speaker 1>out terrifically well for them. Max. Do you think this

0:24:08.920 --> 0:24:11.680
<v Speaker 1>was just a coincidence that the Muller report comes out

0:24:11.720 --> 0:24:14.280
<v Speaker 1>and gives the president of victory and and then we've

0:24:14.320 --> 0:24:17.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of got this announcement or just I mean, if

0:24:17.560 --> 0:24:21.040
<v Speaker 1>it was deliberate, I can't imagine what what the thinking was,

0:24:21.119 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 1>because you know, it gives Democrats are ready made opportunity

0:24:24.720 --> 0:24:28.000
<v Speaker 1>to pivot towards an issue that's a clear winner for

0:24:28.080 --> 0:24:31.440
<v Speaker 1>them with voters as opposed to the Miller Report, which

0:24:31.480 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, I haven't seen the whole thing, but you know,

0:24:34.880 --> 0:24:38.120
<v Speaker 1>at least optically, at least in the beginning stages, didn't

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 1>seem to damage the president as much as some people expected.

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.680
<v Speaker 1>So now they have a perfect opportunity to pivot away

0:24:43.680 --> 0:24:46.200
<v Speaker 1>from it, and they'll use it. So we've talked about

0:24:46.200 --> 0:24:49.720
<v Speaker 1>this before, Max, and that is that Obamacare is not perfect.

0:24:49.760 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 1>It's been highly flawed. The rollout was not perfect. Uh,

0:24:53.640 --> 0:24:56.280
<v Speaker 1>there are ways to make it better. There's a question of,

0:24:56.560 --> 0:25:00.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, could this be uh the first step in

0:25:01.119 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 1>the GOP presenting some sort of plan of their own

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:07.440
<v Speaker 1>to grab with some of the healthcare issues problems in

0:25:07.480 --> 0:25:10.879
<v Speaker 1>the United States. You know, they if there's such a

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:14.600
<v Speaker 1>plan from the Trump administration, it doesn't really exist or

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 1>doesn't deviate particularly far from you know, what they what

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:20.760
<v Speaker 1>they tried and failed to pass over the last couple

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 1>of years, which you know, the main effect of that

0:25:23.280 --> 0:25:27.080
<v Speaker 1>was to basically kick a lot of people off their coverage,

0:25:27.359 --> 0:25:30.760
<v Speaker 1>make government healthcare and it's generally more difficult to access,

0:25:30.840 --> 0:25:34.919
<v Speaker 1>and reduce regulation. Um. Other than that, there's not kind

0:25:34.960 --> 0:25:38.200
<v Speaker 1>of an overwriting ethos or or any plan that does

0:25:38.960 --> 0:25:42.960
<v Speaker 1>much more anything different than that. And uh, you know,

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:45.520
<v Speaker 1>if one exists, we've yet to see it. Maybe it'll come.

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:48.320
<v Speaker 1>But considering that this, you know, this would repeal the

0:25:48.359 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 1>law with without any effort at a replacement, and just

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:54.800
<v Speaker 1>rely on a divided Congress to to finally, I guess

0:25:54.800 --> 0:25:59.920
<v Speaker 1>come up with something. Uh just don't don't don't see yet, Maxineessa,

0:26:00.000 --> 0:26:03.280
<v Speaker 1>Thanks so much. Max's Biotech format and healthcare calumness for

0:26:03.280 --> 0:26:06.120
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Opinion, joining us in our Bloomberg eleven three oh studios.

0:26:06.240 --> 0:26:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg P and L podcast.

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:11.280
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