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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by DraftKings. The Crown is yours.

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Speaker 1: We are an Action Network podcast. I'm Brandon Kravitz and

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Speaker 1: the crew is back on this fine Tuesday morning. Kendra Middleton,

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Speaker 1: the Prime Minister Stuckey. On today's episode, We've got our

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Speaker 1: plant the Flag. Game of the week for Week nine

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Speaker 1: in the NFL, which, please God, be better than Week eight.

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Speaker 1: Thursday Night Football Preview, a breakdown of the top storylines

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Speaker 1: in terms of the betting perspective, and of course, the

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Speaker 1: main event Evans Primer coming up at the end of

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Speaker 1: the episode.

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Speaker 2: Be sure to stick around for that. We had an

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Speaker 2: eighteen inning game in baseball last night.

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Speaker 1: The sports equinox was equinoxing and Kendra's back from Scotland.

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Speaker 2: Kendra, how was your trip overseas?

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Speaker 3: It was good.

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Speaker 4: I was glad to have the break. I'm ready to

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Speaker 4: grind through the Super Bowl, though. Oh I didn't see

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Speaker 4: the Lockness Monster, I didn't learn how to play bagpipes.

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Speaker 4: And I did figure out that they don't wear underwear

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Speaker 4: under kilts at all.

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Speaker 3: No one Dei's they freeball that shit.

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Speaker 1: I always I always sort of assumed what was the

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Speaker 1: most fun thing you did while you were over there.

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Speaker 3: Ooh, good question. Most fun thing.

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Speaker 4: I am not a huge history person, but I really

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Speaker 4: enjoyed learning about the Mary Queen of Scott's situation, how

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Speaker 4: that there was like that giant power struggle, and I

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Speaker 4: also got to see a bunch of the Harry Potter

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Speaker 4: graves and how there was like a dog that basically protected.

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Speaker 3: Edinburgh for a while.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with the dog probably, but lots of

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Speaker 4: lots of fun things.

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Speaker 1: Okay, we'll get a maybe you'll get a breakdown video

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Speaker 1: as well on the social channels. Not a horrible idea, Stucky.

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Speaker 1: You want to give us a recap of Monday Night

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Speaker 1: football twenty eight to seven. The commander is not able

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Speaker 1: to get it done for us.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I did miss their chances early and then died late.

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Speaker 5: I mean, they'd five trips inside the forty first four

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Speaker 5: trips inside of the forty zero points and you can't

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Speaker 5: do that against the Chiefs. They also went zero of

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Speaker 5: two on fourth downs. Chiefs went two of two and

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Speaker 5: then the second half was all Chiefs dominant second half

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Speaker 5: by Kansas City washing them more injuries. That team is

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Speaker 5: just decimated. McLaurin didn't finish. They lost their left they

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Speaker 5: lost Tunsil, they lost another defensive lineman. They're just in

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Speaker 5: rough shape. But yeah, they couldn't take advantage early. They

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Speaker 5: came out hair on fire and just couldn't take advantage.

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Speaker 5: There was a fumble that they couldn't pick up which

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Speaker 5: was a huge turning point, and a couple fourth downs.

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Speaker 5: So yeah, I will say the Chiefs are playing their

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Speaker 5: offenses on fire, but I will say the team has

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Speaker 5: been pretty fortunate overall. They have nine fumbles on the year,

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Speaker 5: they've recovered all of them. They are fourteen of seventeen

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Speaker 5: on fourth down. This is a non sneak team eighty

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Speaker 5: three percent. That's getting up to like that's like Washington

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Speaker 5: Territory last year opponents are four of sixteen on fourth

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Speaker 5: down twenty five percent. So there might be some And

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Speaker 5: that's basically what these football games come down to, turnovers,

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Speaker 5: fourth downs, Right it's usually like five or six plays

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Speaker 5: that will decide a game and or cover, and the

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Speaker 5: Chiefs have been getting those plays. But they're also their

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Speaker 5: offense right now is looks pretty unstoppable.

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Speaker 4: How different do we think that game is if Jaden plays,

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Speaker 4: Because I definitely think it's a lot different of the game.

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Speaker 5: I mean, Mariotta was fine in the first half, they

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Speaker 5: just couldn't They turned it over. There was a throwoff

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Speaker 5: Deebo's helmet that ended in an interception. The fourth down

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Speaker 5: play calls were bizarre. I thought there was a.

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Speaker 3: Bad terrible what's that.

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Speaker 4: I didn't think his decisioning was good whatsoever? And he

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Speaker 4: was slow to make them.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, second half it was. It was especially bad. But

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Speaker 5: there was a spot on a fourth down that was

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Speaker 5: awful that took points off the board.

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Speaker 3: But umpires also going in the favor of the Chiefs.

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Speaker 3: That was a terrible spot on that. What is the

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Speaker 3: point of that?

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Speaker 4: I was in I was watching that game in the

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Speaker 4: shower because I have like a thing I can put

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Speaker 4: my phone on the wall in the shower so I

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Speaker 4: can watch games and ESPN while I washed my hair.

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Speaker 4: I was literally screaming like no, in my shower.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it wasn't even close, you Like, I got up

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Speaker 5: by a half yard and they marked it a half

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Speaker 5: yard short. That was very bizarre. But now it's it's

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Speaker 5: on to week ten or week nine, and there are

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Speaker 5: lots and lots of injuries to track.

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Speaker 1: As per usual, let's get to our quick three, our

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Speaker 1: top three takes our storylines. Heading into Week nine, the

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Speaker 1: Pats and the Broncos have each won five straight games,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots five and zero against the spread in those

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Speaker 1: five the Broncos are three and two Ats within that

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Speaker 1: five game stretch. But who are we buying more stock

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Speaker 1: in right now? Between the two hottest teams in the NFL? Kendrey,

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Speaker 1: you are our resident Patriots experts? Are we all in

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Speaker 1: on this team? They just look so good, so fluid

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Speaker 1: on offense. Rabel is a phenomenal coach. Hard not to

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Speaker 1: buy stock here. Trees don't grow to the sky, but

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Speaker 1: they have it Atlanta this week, and Atlanta looks like

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Speaker 1: they are on major fraud alert.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's tough because the Patriots not only have, in

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Speaker 4: my opinion, probably the easiest schedule in the NFL, but

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Speaker 4: as far as luck being healthy at this point in

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Speaker 4: the season, they're probably the healthiest team in the league

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Speaker 4: right now. And I get that Will Campbell's not gonna

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Speaker 4: have to go up against Miles Garrett every week. Stefon

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Speaker 4: Diggs is playing at a level people didn't expect him to.

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Speaker 4: A lot of people, including myself, were wondering what Drake

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Speaker 4: May was going to look like this year, but it

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Speaker 4: looks like him and Josh McDaniels are forehead kissing each

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Speaker 4: other every night before bed. Everything is honey Dory there.

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Speaker 4: So I think that the Patriots are lucky with the

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Speaker 4: schedule and lucky with the health. I don't think that

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Speaker 4: both of those things last forever. I don't think that

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Speaker 4: they have the depths on the roster or that the

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Speaker 4: Broncos do so despite the fact that the Broncos don't

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Speaker 4: cover the spread at the highest clip in comparison. I'm

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Speaker 4: going to go with the Broncos because I believe in

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Speaker 4: their talent, I believe in their depth, and I believe

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Speaker 4: in kind of the seniority that they have in the

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Speaker 4: locker room a little bit more than the Patriots.

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Speaker 3: But I will say I do with the Patriots. They're flowers.

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Speaker 4: They are out kicking the coverage that I personally thought

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Speaker 4: they would this season. I'm going to go with the Broncos,

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Speaker 4: but I have to respect what the Patriots have done.

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Speaker 4: I just expect that luck to run out at some point, and.

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Speaker 1: The Broncos are getting points on the road against Houston

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Speaker 1: this week, the Patriots laying five and a half against

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Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons stucky.

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Speaker 2: If you want to look at this season long that's.

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Speaker 1: Fine, But in terms of this coming weekend, is there

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Speaker 1: are there one of those two where you're still willing

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Speaker 1: to invest in a team right now who's stock is

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Speaker 1: as high as it could be yet.

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Speaker 5: I don't think it's not the Broncos. I mean, the

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Speaker 5: Broncos won five straight. They beat Jake Browning, the Jets

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Speaker 5: by two, the Giants by one. In the game they

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Speaker 5: should have lost, they were down twenty and then the

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Speaker 5: you know, the Road Cowboys, they blew them out. And

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Speaker 5: then the Eagles they were down seventeen three and they

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Speaker 5: had a good comeback. But it hasn't been that impressive.

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Speaker 5: If you dig into the competition, I would take the Patriots,

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Speaker 5: Like if I wanted to buy long term, it's the

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Speaker 5: Patriots because Drake May he's playing extremely well. His deep

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Speaker 5: ball has been unbelievable, and I would just take him

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Speaker 5: over Bo Nicks any day of the week. Plus, Broncos

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Speaker 5: is gonna be without Patrick Sutan for quite some time,

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Speaker 5: and that's huge because he enables them to do so

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Speaker 5: much defensively. I could be interested in the Falcons this

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Speaker 5: week they need Penix back. He's clearly better than whatever

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Speaker 5: whatever Kirk Cousins is out there now. But they have

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Speaker 5: a bunch of other injuries, Like their defense wasn't the

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Speaker 5: same because Zach Harrison has been great. He was a

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Speaker 5: late scratch to play without Jalen Walker, Jesse Bates got hurt,

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Speaker 5: Billy Bowman didn't play, so they hadn't deep Devon Divine Diablo,

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Speaker 5: who's been a big loss. He's on ir though, and

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Speaker 5: then obviously they miss Drake London. So there's a lot

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Speaker 5: of injuries to watch, including Pennix for the Falcons. The Patriots,

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Speaker 5: on the other end, they've been fairly healthy. Texans Broncos game,

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Speaker 5: it's if you get Nico Collins back. That's very important.

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Speaker 5: Without certain but the concern there is does the Broncos

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Speaker 5: defensive line ruin the game for the Texans?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 5: The Texans are c J. Strapp can still pick apart

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Speaker 5: defense as if he has time, and San franc can't

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Speaker 5: generate any pass rush, but Denver obviously ken, so is

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Speaker 5: that going to ruin the game. I think you're gonna

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Speaker 5: need Collins this week, so we'll see if he can go.

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Speaker 5: I don't think Christian Kirk will, but that's certainly worth monitoring.

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Speaker 5: And then just a note on injury reports. You want

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Speaker 5: to look at an injury report, go to the Giants

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Speaker 5: and forty nine ers for this week. That is as

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Speaker 5: long as you'll see in the NFL on both sides.

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Speaker 5: The forty nine is it gonna be is Brock party back?

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Speaker 5: I think, but we'll see. But they've had more injuries

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Speaker 5: on defense last week. We'll see if they get anyone

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Speaker 5: back on offense. But the Giants also Holland Flop a

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Speaker 5: debo like Art Green who was starting, he got hurt.

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Speaker 5: They were down to like a practice squad guy. And

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Speaker 5: Deontay Banks who's unplayable. So there's a ton of injuries

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Speaker 5: to watch in that game and a number of others.

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Speaker 5: But like I mentioned the Panthers, we'll see about Bryce Young.

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Speaker 5: They had some offensive line injuries, they had some key

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Speaker 5: defensive injuries last week. They got really beat up. And

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Speaker 5: they're going to Green Bay, who could be even healthier

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Speaker 5: this week, so they could be in trouble. Those are

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Speaker 5: some of the ones I'll point out. And then the Raiders,

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Speaker 5: are you gonna get Meyers, Bowers and Crosby obviously a

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Speaker 5: different team with them back, and then you have for

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Speaker 5: the Jags, the Jags Podcast, Murray BTJ, Devin Lloyd are

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Speaker 5: ones to watch there. So yeah, there's a There's definitely

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Speaker 5: a lot than Jaden and Dan on Monday Night Football

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Speaker 5: or Sunday Night Football. We'll see if he can go.

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Speaker 5: But there are a lot of injuries in the last one.

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Speaker 5: I keep saying the last one. But Lamar Jackson, we're

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Speaker 5: gonna do this dance again. He's expected to play.

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Speaker 1: The line indicates that he is in there against last week.

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Speaker 3: I don't believe anything anymore.

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Speaker 1: What does it matter, Just by the way and move

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Speaker 1: on with your lives. I am predicting it right now.

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Speaker 1: Thursday's pickle game for Kendra is Jags Raiders. I'll just

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Speaker 1: that one's sitting at three. Both teams off a bye.

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Speaker 1: Who the hell is Jacksonville. There's no way that you're

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Speaker 1: going to have.

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Speaker 3: We want the super Bowl.

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Speaker 2: It's already over super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Speaking of the teams inside of the AFC South, the

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Speaker 1: Colts have the most ridiculous point differential in the NFL

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Speaker 1: there at plus one sixteen. The next closest is Kansas

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Speaker 1: City at plus eighty three. Yet the Colts are just

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Speaker 1: three point favorites on the road against the steel this week,

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Speaker 1: so it looks too obvious again to take Indianapolis, which,

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Speaker 1: by the way, we never do.

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Speaker 2: I would love to go.

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Speaker 1: Back in time and not be a Jags podcast and

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Speaker 1: just be a Colts podcast. Why do we not throw

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Speaker 1: this team in our parlay every single week? Somebody please

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Speaker 1: explain the stasses I have.

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Speaker 3: Our plan. Week twelve is when we fade the Colts.

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Speaker 3: And here's why.

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Speaker 4: From week twelve, their schedule goes at Kansas City home

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Speaker 4: versus Houston, at Jacksonville they haven't won a game in

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Speaker 4: Jacksonville in ten years, at Seattle home versus San Francisco

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Speaker 4: home versus Jacksonville, and then they close out at Houston.

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Speaker 4: We start fading the Colts week twelve.

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Speaker 5: I might start this week. I mean, look, I've upgraded

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Speaker 5: the Colts so much, but that the Packers just cloes

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Speaker 5: two and a half minus one twenty in Pittsburgh. Like

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Speaker 5: we're saying the Colts are better than the Packers.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 5: No, I saw I saw the Packers power raided number

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Speaker 5: one in the NFL.

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Speaker 3: I don't believe Ben Jordan Love I don't.

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Speaker 5: I mean, he just I believe in love. See, I'm

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Speaker 5: like you, I believe in love.

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Speaker 1: But the thing that we've had, the thing this is

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Speaker 1: about Pittsburgh as far as the.

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Speaker 2: Like their defense has been so awful.

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Speaker 1: As we continue to upgrade the Indianapolis Colts, we have

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Speaker 1: to continue to downgrade the Pittsburgh Steelers too.

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Speaker 5: But I mean, I just can't get to especially three

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Speaker 5: and a half. I'll have to play the Steelers here.

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Speaker 5: I mean, the Colts defense isn't any good either. The

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Speaker 5: Packers defense is good that they the Colts don't have

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Speaker 5: a pass rush.

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Speaker 2: Forty nine and a half, by the way, is the total.

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Speaker 2: Maybe we played the over there.

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Speaker 5: Could be some weather there which would help Pittsburgh. And yeah,

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Speaker 5: I mean it's just a number. Just comes down to numbers.

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Speaker 5: I mean, like if the Packers and Colts but in

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Speaker 5: the neutral field, I would certainly have the Packers favored

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Speaker 5: over the Bolts. So yeah, I'm interested in the Steelers,

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Speaker 5: especially if I can get a three and a half.

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Speaker 5: It's weekly you couldn't even get a you couldn't even

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Speaker 5: get a clean three with the Steelers against the Packers. Yeah, like, no,

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Speaker 5: I'm I'm potentially interested in the Steelers this week.

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Speaker 1: I uh my, my new fangled numbers actually make this

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Speaker 1: Colts minus two. So if I was playing that, I'd

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Speaker 1: have to be on Pittsburgh also. But my general point

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Speaker 1: in saying all of this is I'm tired of either

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Speaker 1: fading or just not betting on the Indianapolis Colts. Now

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Speaker 1: does that mean that you have to go run to

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Speaker 1: the window and bet them. No, But there are those

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Speaker 1: teams that every year US Sharp's just sleep on and

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Speaker 1: they're out here just making people money every single week,

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Speaker 1: and Indianapolis is definitely doing that now the biggest game

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Speaker 1: of the weekend.

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Speaker 2: Chiefs at Bill No.

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Speaker 4: Because the second we do is when they'll come out.

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Speaker 2: That's why you have to You do have to compose yourself.

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Speaker 1: I'm thinking more like retroactively, we should have just been like, no,

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Speaker 1: this is the team, this is this year's Minnesota Vikings

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Speaker 1: with Sam Darnold, and just ride that train. There's always

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Speaker 1: a team where you can just they'll just sort of

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Speaker 1: take you to mid season profitability. And Indianapolis was that

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Speaker 1: we'd missed the boat on it, and I think we

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Speaker 1: should just call spata spade here. Fine and fine, okay,

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Speaker 1: thank you for giving into that. Chiefs at Bill's biggest

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Speaker 1: game of the weekend. I am not in charge of

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Speaker 1: your social calendars out there, but if you have plans

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Speaker 1: at four to twenty five pm on the East Coast,

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Speaker 1: you should probably go ahead and cancel those. We did

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Speaker 1: see this flip already. The Chiefs or the Bills opened

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Speaker 1: as favorites. The Chiefs are now favored there on a

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Speaker 1: short week. The Bills off of a blowout win against

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Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 2: They look pretty damn good. This is a tough one

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Speaker 2: any early read.

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Speaker 1: I'm probably gonna wait until the last minute, but I

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Speaker 1: will be on this game because it's just too big

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Speaker 1: not to have.

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Speaker 2: Some action on it.

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Speaker 4: I'm annoyed by the NFL schedule makers once again.

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Speaker 3: Why why is this a four o'clock game? Why? Like,

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Speaker 3: I do not understand why they continue to do this

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Speaker 3: to us. This needs to be a like this Thursday

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Speaker 3: night matchup? Are we serious? We didn't look at this sooner?

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Speaker 1: You would rather have this game on a Thursday night?

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Speaker 1: Four twenty five is like to me, that's the best

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Speaker 1: window for games like this.

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Speaker 4: No, I want this in primetime at night. I want

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Speaker 4: this to be you know, I want this to be

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Speaker 4: all I'm watching. All I'm caring about. All I'm investing

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Speaker 4: in this is the two you know, top teams heading

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Speaker 4: into the season playing each other. That's what I want.

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Speaker 4: I want it stand alone by itself. That being said,

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Speaker 4: you're the only one is.

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Speaker 5: Is act to be just paying attention to this because

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Speaker 5: the other games are Jags, Raiders and Saints Rams.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, there's okay, we have three games. We turn the

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Speaker 2: others off.

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Speaker 3: Drags podcast.

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Speaker 5: What you're saying, you have to watch the Raiders like

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Speaker 5: the Chief Spills of base essentially have thero own window here.

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Speaker 1: Just turn your lights off, make it feel like it's

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Speaker 1: at night, and treat it like a primetime game.

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Speaker 2: That's why.

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Speaker 4: Well, you know what, this this game, unfortunately for me,

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Speaker 4: is not going to be on my big TV because

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Speaker 4: I'm going to be jagging off unlike you fake fans.

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Speaker 3: Anyways, I'm on the Bills.

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Speaker 2: I'm not a Jags fan. You guys are forcing me

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Speaker 2: into this every single week.

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Speaker 3: I do have the Bills, worst team in the state.

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Speaker 3: Don't do me that well.

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Speaker 2: We get primetime games though.

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Speaker 1: I do have the Bills, and a teaser bought them

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Speaker 1: up to seven and a half paired with the Bengals

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Speaker 1: at eight and a half against the Bears. So if

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Speaker 1: you wanted some way of playing into this early in

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Speaker 1: the week, I I feel like that's a good one piece.

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Speaker 5: Uh, the injuries are bad, Like I'm worth watching it,

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Speaker 5: Oliver the I are.

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Speaker 2: The Chiefs.

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Speaker 5: You want to watch their offensive line injuries looks Josh

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Speaker 5: Simmons I think is going to be out again. But

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Speaker 5: Tray Smith is questionable. That matters a lot more against

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Speaker 5: Buffalo than it does against Washington. Whoever they have left

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Speaker 5: on their defensive line, but maybe not because Buffalo d

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Speaker 5: lose that. Oliver Dae Kwon Jones is questionable. Their safeties

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Speaker 5: are a mess. Matt Malono and Terrell Bernard are questionable.

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Speaker 5: So like this defense is in rough shape. So but

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Speaker 5: like is they should be able to run the ball

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Speaker 5: in Kansas City. It's Josh Allen at home. I mean,

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Speaker 5: this is a Buffalo team that for the moment, I

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Speaker 5: think they have three losses at home over the last words. Now,

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Speaker 5: they did lose at home earlier this year. A lot

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Speaker 5: of that is the defensive injuries. Their defense hasn't been right.

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Speaker 5: Now you're going up against this Chiefs offense. But chief

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Speaker 5: short week traveling on the road, Bills have this circle.

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Speaker 5: They usually have the Chiefs number in the regular season,

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Speaker 5: but those defensive injuries.

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Speaker 2: Four and L I believe is the number.

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Speaker 5: Or yeah, defensive injuries might be too much. But nowan

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Speaker 5: I'll keep this close, so I don't mind that teaser piece.

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Speaker 2: Let's look at Thursday Texans.

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Speaker 5: I would pair with Texans too. Like Texans up over

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Speaker 5: a touchdown in a game with a total of thirty nine.

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Speaker 1: The Texans are favored now though, would you still play that?

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Speaker 5: Oh no?

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Speaker 2: As far as a teaser, no, no, no Little Wi

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Speaker 2: at San Francisco.

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Speaker 1: Oh no, I'm sorry. That was last week's game. I

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Speaker 1: was thinking about no Denver. And by the way, excuse yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean the teasing Denver. Sure, Bo Nicks is a

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Speaker 1: teaser god. Evan Abrams puts this in his primer every

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Speaker 1: single week. This guy, when you use him, buy up

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Speaker 1: some points. He doesn't miss. So that I like that angle.

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Speaker 1: As far as the Broncos goes, Thursday Night Football Ravens.

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Speaker 2: Dolphins Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 1: Dolphins seven and a half point underdogs, total sitting at

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Speaker 1: fifty and a half, both teams coming off of double

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Speaker 1: digit wins. But this number is where it is for

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Speaker 1: a reason. Lamar is supposed to be back for Baltimore.

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Speaker 1: John Harball played some games with the injury report last week.

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Speaker 1: We'll slap on the wrist, move on. Get Lamar back now.

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Speaker 1: Both teams sitting on two wins right now, and a

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Speaker 1: win for either one more likely the Ravens could actually

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Speaker 1: make a case to make a play for a wild

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Speaker 1: card spot. I think the Ravens are actually favored right

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Speaker 1: now to win their division, so pretty wild stuff. This

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Speaker 1: is a big game, even though you have two teams

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Speaker 1: record wise that have been terrible. The Dolphins four and

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Speaker 1: two against the spread over their last six games, so they're.

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Speaker 2: Not dead yet.

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Speaker 1: I kind of want to be on Miami. Can somebody

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Speaker 1: talk me off of losing money on my own team?

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Speaker 3: They suck? Have you not been watching the games every.

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Speaker 2: Two as last six weeks?

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Speaker 4: You know? But everybody's injured for them. The Ravens are

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Speaker 4: finally getting healthier. It's Baltimore and nothing for me here.

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Speaker 4: They've got to absolutely blow doors, not just win, to

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Speaker 4: get the confidence up, to get back on track to

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Speaker 4: actually be back in the playoff conversation. They don't have

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Speaker 4: to just I mean they do have to just win,

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Speaker 4: but they've got to win convincingly. Now it's not just

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Speaker 4: they're they're convincing, you know, the general public. They've got

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Speaker 4: to convince themselves that they are not the team that

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Speaker 4: they have shown everybody the last couple of weeks despite

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Speaker 4: the injuries that they've had, because some of the losses,

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Speaker 4: even with the injuries, are inexcusable. In my opinion, I

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Speaker 4: don't know what's going on with this team. It's got

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Speaker 4: to be Baltimore and nothing for me here. The Dolphins

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Speaker 4: no business doing what they did to the Falcons the

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Speaker 4: other day, and the Falcons I think are a good team.

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Speaker 4: I think it was just a bad spot for them.

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Speaker 4: It was an easy get up spot for the Dolphins.

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Speaker 4: They had nothing to lose. They could just go out

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Speaker 4: there and ball with the injuries that they have. But

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Speaker 4: they they're just they're they're like roadkill. When you feel

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Speaker 4: bad for them and they start kicking again and you're like, damn,

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Speaker 4: like they're eventually going to die. Should I just put

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Speaker 4: the car in reverse? And and their misery right now,

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Speaker 4: that's where I see the Dolphins.

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Speaker 2: Wow.

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Speaker 1: Just a disclaimer, no animals were injured during the use

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Speaker 1: of that take. Maybe we should put an eye patch

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Speaker 1: on Tua. That seemed to work the one eye Toua

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Speaker 1: was hurling touchdowns left and right. Stucky, you're the Ravens, whisper,

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Speaker 1: What are you seeing matchup wise Thursday night?

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Speaker 5: I just don't know. On themar and to lay over

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Speaker 5: a touchdown on a short week, and then like if

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Speaker 5: he does play the other like I like that spot

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Speaker 5: against the Bears. Regardless coming out of the by the

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Speaker 5: Bears defense has been a paper to Lamar has not

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Speaker 5: been efficient. But if Lamar plays is how is he

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Speaker 5: gonna look? How's the ofphense gonna be called? Is he

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Speaker 5: going to be healthy? Is he going to be fully mobile?

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Speaker 2: I don't know.

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Speaker 5: There's so much on certain the end. It's a short week.

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Speaker 5: I hate Thursday night football games already. The Dolphins also

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Speaker 5: had a ton of injuries last week, a lot in

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Speaker 5: the secondary. Storm Duck who just came back. I think

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Speaker 5: it will be out. Fitzpatrick got hurt. I mean it

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Speaker 5: goes on. That team is just decimated. And they caught

437
00:21:27,160 --> 00:21:31,320
Speaker 5: a sleepy Falcons team without Penix, without London, without like

438
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:34,680
Speaker 5: four or five starting defenders, and they just caught him

439
00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:36,000
Speaker 5: on a good day. This is still a really bad

440
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 5: Dolphins team. But like, I have no interest in this

441
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,040
Speaker 5: game whatsoever, will not be betting it.

442
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 1: It is a bad Dolphins team, and I have no

443
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 1: believe me, I have no delusions about what this Dolphins

444
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:49,639
Speaker 1: team is.

445
00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 2: But still, uh, I don't know. I think you might

446
00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 2: Thursday night.

447
00:21:54,359 --> 00:21:58,520
Speaker 1: To me, it's about the perception not meeting up with reality.

448
00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,240
Speaker 1: The perception of Miami is what you said, Kendrid. It's

449
00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:04,639
Speaker 1: that their roadkill, that they've given up on their coach.

450
00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,440
Speaker 1: And outside of getting blown out by the Cleveland Browns,

451
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 1: the Dolphins play every team they go up against tough,

452
00:22:10,600 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 1: and their schedule hasn't been easy. They've faced the Bills,

453
00:22:13,160 --> 00:22:16,119
Speaker 1: They've gone up against the Patriots. I mean, they're covering

454
00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:19,760
Speaker 1: spreads against good teams, and yet the perception on them,

455
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:23,119
Speaker 1: even after a win is still Yeah, but this team sucks.

456
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:27,240
Speaker 1: They do, but they're good enough to cover numbers, especially

457
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,760
Speaker 1: when you get over a touchdown and an extra point.

458
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:34,880
Speaker 4: Legitimately, two years ago, my dog body slammed a rat

459
00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,680
Speaker 4: in the backyard and I thought that it had died,

460
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 4: and I went back out there two days later with

461
00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:41,720
Speaker 4: a shovel to put it in the trash, and it

462
00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 4: started squeaking, and the body had already molded, and I

463
00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:45,840
Speaker 4: had to go out there and smash the head of

464
00:22:45,840 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 4: the rat in with the shovel so that it would die.

465
00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:50,679
Speaker 3: So I put it in the trash. That is this

466
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:51,600
Speaker 3: Dolphins team.

467
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,880
Speaker 4: My dog has broken the ribs and pounced on this rat,

468
00:22:54,920 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 4: and it just every once in a while shows a

469
00:22:56,720 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 4: sign of life.

470
00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 3: The Ravens are gonna go out there be the shovel

471
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:00,320
Speaker 3: that I had to be.

472
00:23:00,920 --> 00:23:03,399
Speaker 1: You know, this is where my stubbornness gets me in trouble.

473
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 1: Put your fucking shovel away. I'm taking the Dolphins plus

474
00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:07,200
Speaker 1: the seven end.

475
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:09,040
Speaker 3: Do you collared?

476
00:23:09,480 --> 00:23:12,920
Speaker 1: We're about to plant our flag presented by Draft Kings,

477
00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,760
Speaker 1: but first the word from our very own Kendra as

478
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: we chat about our great friends at DraftKings.

479
00:23:18,200 --> 00:23:21,800
Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in

480
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 4: partnership with DraftKings. Favorites listeners get a great offer right now.

481
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,680
Speaker 4: New customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred

482
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Speaker 4: dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins, and

483
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Speaker 4: three months of NBA League Pass.

484
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Speaker 3: For new customers.

485
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,159
Speaker 4: To get started, use code favorites when signing up with DraftKings.

486
00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 4: That's code favorites when signing up with DraftKings for three

487
00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:42,360
Speaker 4: months of NBA League Pass and three hundred dollars back

488
00:23:42,359 --> 00:23:45,280
Speaker 4: in bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is yours.

489
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 2: All right, Kendra, what do you got? Where are you

490
00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 2: planting your flag?

491
00:23:51,760 --> 00:23:52,040
Speaker 1: Flag?

492
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:52,719
Speaker 6: And a shut up.

493
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 3: I'm trying to plant my flag here. Okay, you're really

494
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 3: planning your flag in that thing.

495
00:23:57,640 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 4: We were filling out our notes what's the same time

496
00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:02,400
Speaker 4: early and typed in the same game, and I decided

497
00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:04,479
Speaker 4: to pivot, and I'm gonna let you have it just

498
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:08,280
Speaker 4: in case it's wrong. I want to say that this

499
00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:12,000
Speaker 4: slate feels like fools gold because it feels so good.

500
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 4: It feels like an easy slate to be able to

501
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 4: gamble on, which is what makes me think that I

502
00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 4: might not have the best week because it feels too

503
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:19,160
Speaker 4: good to be true.

504
00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:22,360
Speaker 3: However, I think I'm gonna go with the Bears.

505
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,560
Speaker 4: Stucky alluded to the point that the Bears defense has

506
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 4: not been what some of us expected. It's, you know,

507
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 4: highest caliber to be so far this season. They're playing

508
00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:35,160
Speaker 4: the Bengals, though I get that the Bengals. Joe Flacco's

509
00:24:35,160 --> 00:24:38,840
Speaker 4: had some chemistry with Jamar Chase. They're kind of progressing

510
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 4: a way, but they're just unreliable. I think that what's

511
00:24:42,119 --> 00:24:43,680
Speaker 4: gonna happen is the Bears are going to be able

512
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:47,359
Speaker 4: to outscore that offense, regardless of the chemistry that they have.

513
00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 4: The Bears are the better team, don't think too hard

514
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 4: about it. The Bengals are a bad team. They need

515
00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 4: Joe Burrow, They're beaten up, they're discouraged. I'm going with

516
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 4: the Bears. I'm closing my eyes and I'm just hitting

517
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:58,879
Speaker 4: the smash button. I'm like that lizard and like that

518
00:24:58,960 --> 00:24:59,960
Speaker 4: Disney meme that was going aro.

519
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:02,360
Speaker 3: For a while. That's just like lizard, Lizard, Lizard. That's

520
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:02,960
Speaker 3: me with this game.

521
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:04,919
Speaker 4: I can't even think about it. It just it's what

522
00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,520
Speaker 4: feels right. It feels the best to me. I'm going

523
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 4: with it, closing my eyes.

524
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 1: I'm just worried about what Chase is going to do

525
00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,359
Speaker 1: to the secondary. But that's why I bought the points up.

526
00:25:13,480 --> 00:25:15,480
Speaker 1: Can't talk you off of the Bears minus the two

527
00:25:15,520 --> 00:25:16,880
Speaker 1: and a half. Stucky you where you at?

528
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:17,480
Speaker 2: Yeah?

529
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,400
Speaker 5: I haven't bet anything yet this week. There's a lot

530
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 5: of favorites that I think are a little overvalued. I

531
00:25:22,560 --> 00:25:25,480
Speaker 5: don't know if I'll get to Maybe that's as a

532
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:27,600
Speaker 5: result of this past week. I think favorites had their

533
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:32,400
Speaker 5: best day and best weekend in twenty five years or something.

534
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,960
Speaker 2: Eleven ats this week a.

535
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:36,000
Speaker 3: Good season for him.

536
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 5: None were even close, So I think there's a couple

537
00:25:38,320 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 5: that are overvalued. I haven't played anything yet, but I'll

538
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,120
Speaker 5: just go back to what I said before. I can't

539
00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 5: get to this cold Steelers number. So I'll plan my

540
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:48,760
Speaker 5: flag on the Steelers plus three minus one to five.

541
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,120
Speaker 5: But wait, I think you're going to get to three

542
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:53,560
Speaker 5: and a half. So but I'll plan my flag now

543
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,920
Speaker 5: on the Steelers. The Bears Bengals, I mean you Kenjri,

544
00:25:57,000 --> 00:25:59,680
Speaker 5: you might also not get Flacco, could be browning Flacco's

545
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,480
Speaker 5: younger shoulder injuries day to day, so that would be beneficial.

546
00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,280
Speaker 5: The Bears, I mean there they're secondaries and just such shambles.

547
00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 5: We'll see if Stevenson can come back. But Gordon and

548
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 5: Johnson on I are but the Bears should be able

549
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 5: to move the ball. On the Bengals, I mean the

550
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,640
Speaker 5: Jets with a bunch of backup receivers and at Justin

551
00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:19,399
Speaker 5: Field's put a five hundred yards. That's right insane. So

552
00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 5: the Bengals defense is pathetic. Their offensive line is still bad.

553
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 5: I mean that should be a shootout, but there is

554
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:29,639
Speaker 5: a chance that Flacco doesn't go, and it's clearly a

555
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 5: downgrade when when Browning is in there. But like some

556
00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 5: other games that I think are a little too high,

557
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 5: I mean the Giant s Niners. I mean, I gotta

558
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 5: wait on the injury report there. Let's see maybe if we.

559
00:26:42,760 --> 00:26:45,400
Speaker 3: Talked about how Joe Flacco did a toush push. Though

560
00:26:45,560 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 3: that old man did the toush push, anybody.

561
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 2: Could do it.

562
00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:54,919
Speaker 5: Any everyone needs to adopt a sneak. I'm interested in

563
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,919
Speaker 5: the Cardinals at three. I do think the Lions are

564
00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:01,600
Speaker 5: a tad too high. See what their secondary looks like.

565
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:04,600
Speaker 5: I just think that should be seven. The Titans are

566
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 5: too high, But am I going to bet them? I

567
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 5: don't know. I doubt it. I do think the Falcons

568
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 5: are too high right now. But I need more clarity

569
00:27:13,200 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 5: on the injury situation. Like I need Panics back, I

570
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 5: need London back. A couple of defenders would help. And yeah,

571
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 5: I think that's about it on the radar for now.

572
00:27:23,359 --> 00:27:25,959
Speaker 1: How about the Carolina Panthers. That's thinking about putting them.

573
00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:28,680
Speaker 3: I thought about them too.

574
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:32,280
Speaker 2: I never thought I would say this. I need Bryce

575
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 2: young Beck.

576
00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 5: They also had more offense. They had a couple offensive

577
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:39,160
Speaker 5: line and more offensive line injuries last week, and they're

578
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 5: already down offensive linemen. Derek Brown is like so important.

579
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,120
Speaker 5: Their defense got hurt. Their defense had a couple injuries,

580
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,880
Speaker 5: like their Rundy has been really good, had a couple injuries,

581
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:51,240
Speaker 5: and the Bills did whatever they wanted. So I would

582
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 5: be a little cautious.

583
00:27:52,119 --> 00:27:55,440
Speaker 3: There, Andy asked Dalton. I can't do it.

584
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 5: You don't want to.

585
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 2: I'm betting.

586
00:27:57,000 --> 00:28:00,000
Speaker 1: I'm not betting on Andy Dalton three turnovers last week.

587
00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:05,359
Speaker 1: He looks beyond washed. I play at the flag game, though,

588
00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,880
Speaker 1: I was thinking about the well not to think. I've

589
00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 1: already bet the Detroit Lions at minus eight and a half.

590
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 1: That number is not going anywhere. But uh, but I'm

591
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 1: gonna go with the forty nine ers minus two and

592
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,679
Speaker 1: a half. I am over the Max Jones experience. We

593
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 1: might be getting Brock Purty back. I would love that

594
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 1: nice bounce back opportunity after getting dominated by a desperate

595
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 1: Houston team and the Giants are falling apart. The neighbors

596
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:29,320
Speaker 1: injury was a big blow to the offense. I think

597
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,360
Speaker 1: the Scataboo injury hurts their identity. Yeah, I think it's

598
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,639
Speaker 1: much worse in terms of what and I mean the

599
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:42,040
Speaker 1: the unquantifiable swag that him and Jackson Dart had. There's

600
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 1: a reason why Dart had the reaction he did when

601
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 1: when he saw Skataboo's leg twisted all sorts of ways.

602
00:28:47,560 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 1: I think that might have been the straw that broke

603
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 1: the Campbell's back. The Giants were a nice story.

604
00:28:51,760 --> 00:28:52,800
Speaker 3: But it was fine.

605
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: Yeah it was. It was a lot of fun.

606
00:28:54,760 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 1: But this is a big bounce back spot for about it.

607
00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:05,600
Speaker 1: Solidarity Bears minus two and a half is in the

608
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:08,680
Speaker 1: plant the flag spread here forty nine Ers minus two

609
00:29:08,680 --> 00:29:11,720
Speaker 1: and a half and the Steelers plus three, but Stucky

610
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: advising that you wait until you get the plus three

611
00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,440
Speaker 1: and a half. Those are a plant. The Flag Games

612
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. Now time for the main event. No

613
00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 1: betting week can start without it. It's the primer courtesy

614
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:27,800
Speaker 1: of Evan Abrams. Yeah, into the show, Evan, how much

615
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 1: fun have you had listening to us yell at each other?

616
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:32,840
Speaker 6: So you guys said eleven and two ats or favorites.

617
00:29:33,640 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 6: That was in week eight, best win percentage for favorites

618
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,800
Speaker 6: in a single week since December of eighty five. I

619
00:29:38,840 --> 00:29:42,320
Speaker 6: think the crazy thing is all eleven favorites covered by

620
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 6: seven plus points, which is the most I've seen in

621
00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:48,760
Speaker 6: a week in over thirty years. So really insane in

622
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 6: the fact that no game was even close for other

623
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 6: than the two upsets. The other note favorites thirty three

624
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:58,640
Speaker 6: and ten straight up the last three weeks, so dogs

625
00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:00,960
Speaker 6: really not even winning on the mon as well in

626
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,400
Speaker 6: that span. In terms of everything else, the one thing

627
00:30:04,440 --> 00:30:07,600
Speaker 6: you might notice from the slate this week is a

628
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 6: lot of high totals. So right now we have five

629
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:14,000
Speaker 6: totals of fifty plus that would be the most since

630
00:30:14,040 --> 00:30:16,479
Speaker 6: Week ten of twenty twenty one at this point, and

631
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 6: we even have a few in the forty eight and

632
00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,680
Speaker 6: forty nine, so have to see how that goes. But yeah,

633
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 6: a lot of high totals this week. A few other

634
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:27,239
Speaker 6: things I'll just throw at you. GoF eight to zero

635
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 6: against the spread versus the Vikings with the Lions. Wow,

636
00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 6: he is absolutely dominated. Minnesota.

637
00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:35,000
Speaker 2: Oh love Tennessee.

638
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:37,240
Speaker 6: We talk about this all the time, But got to

639
00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 6: say it. They've lost eleven straight ats at home, so

640
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 6: they are getting ten points against Harbaugh, who usually crushes

641
00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 6: on these road trips out east in Central does really

642
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:50,440
Speaker 6: really well with those Chargers teams. But boy is at

643
00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:53,200
Speaker 6: a high number. And here's the best one. Colts and

644
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:57,000
Speaker 6: Ravens can both cash their win totals this week. Colts

645
00:30:57,040 --> 00:30:59,440
Speaker 6: can go over seven and a half, Ravens can go

646
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 6: under eleven and a half.

647
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:01,400
Speaker 2: With a loss.

648
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 6: And it is only week nine, so can't wait for

649
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:05,080
Speaker 6: that stuff.

650
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,320
Speaker 1: Wow, that's really good stuff. Do you have anything on

651
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:12,440
Speaker 1: the Patriots? This feels like they're tied right now with

652
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 1: the Broncos in terms of winning streaks in the NFL,

653
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: but they're also doing it in terms of covering the number.

654
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 1: They're on the heater of all heaters right now. Is

655
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,600
Speaker 1: there a cell point for them? Is there anything in

656
00:31:26,640 --> 00:31:31,280
Speaker 1: the primer this week about hey, ease up on trying

657
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 1: to tail this team as trees don't grow to the sky.

658
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:37,640
Speaker 6: I feel like I kind of just used the same

659
00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:39,400
Speaker 6: stat I used last week because I went one in

660
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 6: one with Chicago and New England. But the fact that

661
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 6: teams are a four plus game straight at Ats who

662
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 6: didn't make the playoffs fifteen and twenty seven against the

663
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 6: number two and fifteen since twenty twenty two. So at

664
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:53,400
Speaker 6: some point New England comes back to the mean. But

665
00:31:53,760 --> 00:31:57,440
Speaker 6: the crazier thing is those MVP odds. Drake May opens

666
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 6: the year at fifty to one, but crazy thing. Entering

667
00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,160
Speaker 6: Week five he was one hundred to one and now

668
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 6: he's five to one. So that is a massive, massive

669
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,920
Speaker 6: correction based off the season that he's had so far,

670
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,440
Speaker 6: two thousand passing yards, seventy five percent completion percentage to

671
00:32:14,480 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 6: eight games. Only Drew Brees in twenty eighteen pulled that off,

672
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,280
Speaker 6: so what he's been doing is really really crazy. I

673
00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 6: think the other thing when it comes to this game

674
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:27,680
Speaker 6: is Atlanta Outdoors has been pretty bad, and I think

675
00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 6: it's a little bit different in terms of how they've

676
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,920
Speaker 6: performed zero to two this year, but losing by twenty

677
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:35,960
Speaker 6: points per game an outdoor game since twenty twenty just

678
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 6: eleven and eighteen, So maybe a bit of a tough

679
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 6: spot there.

680
00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: Damn because Stucky, this feels like the ultimate buy opportunity.

681
00:32:43,440 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 1: This is this is the kind of game that you

682
00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 1: bet on with the Falcons plus the five and a half.

683
00:32:48,760 --> 00:32:51,320
Speaker 1: They just got blown out by a bad Dolphins team.

684
00:32:51,440 --> 00:32:55,560
Speaker 1: Ultimate sell high. Everybody is on their knees for the

685
00:32:55,560 --> 00:32:59,560
Speaker 1: New England Patriots right now. I'd be surprised if you're not.

686
00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,640
Speaker 5: I needed injuries like I need. I need Panics, I

687
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:05,280
Speaker 5: need I need London. I need some of the defenders

688
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:06,320
Speaker 5: back or at least a couple.

689
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:10,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, great stuff, Evan, appreciate it. Make sure you go

690
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 1: and check out the primer Actionnetwork dot com or on

691
00:33:13,080 --> 00:33:16,200
Speaker 1: the Action Network app, and that will do it for

692
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: today's episode special thanks to our producers David Paine and

693
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,600
Speaker 1: Gifford Gold. The Favorites will return on Thursday, two days

694
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:24,880
Speaker 1: from now, day before Halloween.

695
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:26,720
Speaker 2: So maybe we have to wear costumes, guys.

696
00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 1: We'll hash that out on our slack channel Action Network

697
00:33:30,280 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: YouTube pages where you can find us. We will talk

698
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 1: week nine best bets on Thursday, plus our two Kings

699
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:36,000
Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay.

700
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:37,920
Speaker 2: We'll see her here right here.

701
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 1: Next time on the Favorites presented by DraftKings wear Out.

702
00:33:50,760 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

703
00:33:55,320 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem. Help is

704
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler