WEBVTT - Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Robert D. Kaplan & Matthew Winkler

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>Single best idea on a Monday. It has been unlike

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<v Speaker 2>any Monday in recent history, surveillance history, and in American history.

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<v Speaker 2>First of all, thanks to the team for an incredible

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<v Speaker 2>amount of work Saturday, Sunday and this Monday to bring

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<v Speaker 2>you conversation with true experts about these events, the assassination

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<v Speaker 2>attempt on a former president, to continue to do the

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<v Speaker 2>market coverage, the bank earnings coming out and all that,

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<v Speaker 2>but just to get good conversation and perspective and opinion

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<v Speaker 2>about this moment in American history today. Andrew Rutliche was

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<v Speaker 2>with us with Boden Ronald Feynman of Florida Atlantic with

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<v Speaker 2>a definitive book, fourteen Chapters of Assassination and Attempted Assassination

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<v Speaker 2>in America. And Robert D. Kaplan Robert T. Kaplan is

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<v Speaker 2>my book of the year last year The Loom of Time,

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<v Speaker 2>which stretches from Morocco across Eurasia. If you will, he

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<v Speaker 2>is affiliated with Eurasia Group being Bremer Shop over to

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<v Speaker 2>India in the stands The Loom of Time. I think

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<v Speaker 2>it's a great read. And then he has a new read,

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<v Speaker 2>The Tragic Mind, which is just out. I have not

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<v Speaker 2>read it yet. I think I have to read it

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<v Speaker 2>now after the tragic events that we've had. Here is

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<v Speaker 2>Robert D. Kaplan. I'm Donald Trump.

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<v Speaker 3>No, not really. Trump is a really you know, he's

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<v Speaker 3>a character out of Shakespeare, even if he's never read Shakespeare.

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<v Speaker 3>But I don't, I don't know. He's pretty he's pretty

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<v Speaker 3>aggressive towards China. And keep in mind that the that

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<v Speaker 3>the you know that the actions between the US and

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<v Speaker 3>the Chinese are getting more and more aggressive, and that

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<v Speaker 3>is dangerous, you know, because this is what happened before

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<v Speaker 3>the Cuban Missile crisis. It was only after the Cuban

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<v Speaker 3>Missile crisis, after both superpowers stared into the ABYSS that

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<v Speaker 3>they went on to have the tunked and you know,

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<v Speaker 3>strategic arms limitation treaties and all of that stuff. So

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<v Speaker 3>what we need is a real cooling of relations between

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<v Speaker 3>the US and China, I mean cooling down the rhetoric.

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<v Speaker 2>Robert T. Kaplan again, I'm a to do list. That

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<v Speaker 2>pile of books you have in the living room wherever

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<v Speaker 2>you read your books. The Tragic Mind is his new

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<v Speaker 2>effort out just a couple of months ago, as well

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<v Speaker 2>as The Loom of Time, my book of the year

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<v Speaker 2>last year. Again any number of perspectives. Matthew Winkler, the

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<v Speaker 2>founder of Bloomberg News, it's his fault. I'm here and

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<v Speaker 2>of course editor in chief Emeritus dark in the door

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<v Speaker 2>of this morning to speak of South Africa. His great

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<v Speaker 2>essay with Shinpei about the success of South Africa is

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<v Speaker 2>seen in the bottom market. Some of that off their

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<v Speaker 2>new election, a different South Africa polity leading to that.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll talk about that in the coming days. It's an

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<v Speaker 2>important essay, hugely read across Europe and Africa. But we

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<v Speaker 2>had to talk to matt Winkler about these political times.

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<v Speaker 2>It was a very informed discussion, and particularly his history

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<v Speaker 2>he's out of Kenyon and the history of across Pennsylvania

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<v Speaker 2>into Ohio. That was really really quite something. Here is

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<v Speaker 2>Matthew Winkler on the moment at hand.

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<v Speaker 1>Remember what the record shows, which is that in almost

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<v Speaker 1>every instance where there's been an attempted assassination, whether it's

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<v Speaker 1>FDR in thirty three or even Theodore Roosevelt a month

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<v Speaker 1>before the election before him. More recently in the seventies,

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<v Speaker 1>there were two attempts on President Gerald Ford and of

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<v Speaker 1>course that was followed by the attempt on Ronald Reagan.

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<v Speaker 1>None of those events actually changed, if you will, the outcome.

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<v Speaker 1>Whatever the outcome turned out to be or was perceived

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<v Speaker 1>to be. Ronald Reagan did get a boost in the polls,

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<v Speaker 1>but then became very unpopular after that. It didn't help

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<v Speaker 1>Gerald Ford get elected against Jimmy Carter, and Theodore Roosevelt

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<v Speaker 1>certainly didn't benefit from having a bullet in his chest

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<v Speaker 1>when the election occurred. So we have to be careful

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<v Speaker 1>look at the historical record. The historical record says that

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<v Speaker 1>these assassination attempts so far, at least none of them

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<v Speaker 1>were significant.

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<v Speaker 2>Matt Winkler, the founder of Bloomberg News, so continue our coverage.

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<v Speaker 2>Joe Matthew and Kaylee Lynees leading the effort with balance

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<v Speaker 2>of power in Milwaukee. All sorts of good efforts by

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<v Speaker 2>our White House team as well in those following the

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<v Speaker 2>Trump campaign. We're out on YouTube. Excuse me, search and

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