1 00:00:14,600 --> 00:00:16,080 Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday, guys, What's up? 2 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 2: Welcome in to another episode on the Daily Juice podcast 3 00:00:18,560 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrault at Sports Talk, Matt to follow 4 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 2: me across all socials. After a down one point one 5 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 2: unit Monday losing night last night, boy, people get angry 6 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 2: when they come on. You're like, Matt, you come on 7 00:00:32,800 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 2: and you cry. So I'm not going to cry about 8 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 2: what happened last night. I just need to point something 9 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 2: out really fast. 10 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 1: Okay. 11 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:39,320 Speaker 2: So it was not a good night for the trends 12 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:43,320 Speaker 2: the Bruins. I said it last night. The Boston Bruins 13 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:45,760 Speaker 2: was going to be a major test for the Winnipeg Jets. 14 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: Trend. 15 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,160 Speaker 2: Boston scored two goals in the first period, four goals 16 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 2: for the game, won the game four to one. Amazingly enough, 17 00:00:54,040 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 2: it stayed under, which keeps this like Jets trend of 18 00:00:57,000 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 2: going under a live which we should probably jump on 19 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 2: the full game. Now forget the team total under and 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,880 Speaker 2: just start looking at the games going under. But that 21 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 2: was a big fear, and I told you I could 22 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,880 Speaker 2: have lost three bets in the first three minutes or 23 00:01:10,959 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: the first period, and I did gift no under the 24 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 2: first period. No game, team total Bruins. No, luckily only 25 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 2: one beneficial, but that North Carolina correct. No trend there, 26 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 2: just a handicap. And then Stonybrook game was on TV. 27 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 2: I actually wish it was not on TV because it 28 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 2: being on TV caused it to be a really big problem. 29 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 2: So let's just paint the picture. If you missed out, 30 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:40,840 Speaker 2: if you bet this and just watched it and didn't 31 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: bet it. Stonybrook was down two points with forty four 32 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 2: seconds to go, there's no need to foul. You just 33 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:51,680 Speaker 2: play it out. If they score, fine, but you're going 34 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 2: to you get the ball back. If they miss, you 35 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 2: have a chance to either win the game with a 36 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 2: three or tie the game and have a potential to 37 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 2: go to overtime. They fouled a ninety five percent shooter 38 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 2: for Hofstra, ninety five percent free throw shooter. That was horrific. 39 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:15,160 Speaker 2: So that was your first like what are we doing moment? 40 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 2: Hit both freely, So you're down four, right down, four 41 00:02:18,520 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 2: to forty seconds to go. They took a three from 42 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 2: NBA range that was contested, that hit the side of 43 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:30,080 Speaker 2: the backboard and that's it. It was like you didn't 44 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 2: need to take that shot. Then on top of that, 45 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,120 Speaker 2: they got the rebound and went out of bounds. 46 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:38,919 Speaker 1: It was their ball. 47 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 2: They got the ball back down four and they jacked 48 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:48,040 Speaker 2: a corner three that was like completely impossible, and not 49 00:02:48,120 --> 00:02:52,120 Speaker 2: go to the basket quarner three. Like this coaching job 50 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 2: was so bad. It was almost like the kid was 51 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,480 Speaker 2: the kids are being coached to lose. It's like no discipline, 52 00:02:58,960 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 2: no strategy, it made no sense. So then they hit 53 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 2: two free throws and they're up by six. They shot 54 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 2: another corner three that made no sense, ball doesn't go in. 55 00:03:13,280 --> 00:03:18,359 Speaker 2: They foul again. Kid hits one of two and they 56 00:03:18,360 --> 00:03:20,600 Speaker 2: come down and hit a three and lose by six. 57 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:25,880 Speaker 2: Like plus four was what we were on. That was 58 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 2: unbelievable to me. So like when people say that plus 59 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:33,000 Speaker 2: four was the right side, that's what they mean. They 60 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 2: mean that the handicap, the entire game was right and 61 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 2: then something very fluky happened. It's oftentimes it's whining. I'm 62 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:42,600 Speaker 2: not going to debate that. It's like did it win, no, 63 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 2: did it lose yes, So it's a loss, right, absolutely, 64 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 2: But more often than not, if we're on that side, 65 00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 2: and that's how the game plays out all the way 66 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:54,800 Speaker 2: to the forty four second mark, We're going to cash 67 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 2: more often than not. So the handicap was right, the 68 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:01,800 Speaker 2: side was right, the decision making, the coaching, and everything 69 00:04:01,800 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 2: else that happened in the last forty four seconds. 70 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 1: It just melted the night. 71 00:04:05,560 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 2: So down one point one units three college basketball bets 72 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:11,680 Speaker 2: tonight that I'm gonna tell about here in just one second. 73 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 2: But first, olmah Steaks dot com. You're gonna go to 74 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,359 Speaker 2: the custom url for us here with the juice that 75 00:04:16,480 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 2: is www dot Omaha Steaks dot com slash juice. 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Now, somebody in the comment section said, Matt, 86 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 2: you haven't exactly been killing it with this trend. 87 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 1: That you found. I went back and looked. It's a 88 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 1: fair point. 89 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 2: Okay, some of the bets I've been making that haven't 90 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 2: been that haven't been official have come in. But for 91 00:05:09,720 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 2: the official plays after last night, we're seven six and one, 92 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:17,560 Speaker 2: seven six and one. For the plays I have used 93 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 2: this formula that I found myself. So that's not great, right, 94 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:25,919 Speaker 2: that's barely maybe over the juice, but not really. It's like, 95 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 2: you know, probably like we're up like point seven point eight, 96 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:35,480 Speaker 2: like barely up if anything were up my personal plays everything. 97 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:36,359 Speaker 1: I went and looked at it. 98 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 2: I'm nine seven and one again, profitable, but not like 99 00:05:39,600 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 2: tremendously profitable. So I think it's time we did the experiment. 100 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 1: It was fun. 101 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:47,400 Speaker 2: Let's use it, okay, but let's not follow it blindly. 102 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:50,360 Speaker 2: Let's use other handicapping principles and let's just come on. 103 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 2: It was fun to try it out and see what happen, 104 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 2: much like the Jets bet. Right, it was fun and 105 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:55,600 Speaker 2: try it out to see what's go. I'll come back 106 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,039 Speaker 2: with one more, I said, I do it three times. 107 00:05:57,080 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 2: We're one and one doing it for the Jets team 108 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 2: total opponent under. So the Bruins were the fear so 109 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,640 Speaker 2: maybe the next game will go under easily, but we'll 110 00:06:04,680 --> 00:06:07,680 Speaker 2: bet that next time for the Jets. But I'm not 111 00:06:07,720 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 2: going to bet hockey tonight, at least not officially. I 112 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 2: may bet some personal stuff, but not officially. Here are 113 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,880 Speaker 2: the three plays. I'll give you the play that actually 114 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:21,960 Speaker 2: fits the trend. And I wasn't even trying to bet 115 00:06:22,000 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 2: the trend. But BYU is at home against number two Houston. 116 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:30,320 Speaker 1: Right the rank number two? Now right Houston is or 117 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 1: is it higher than that? BYU is hosting four number 118 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:35,080 Speaker 1: four Houston. 119 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,120 Speaker 2: BYU lost their last game on the road to Texas 120 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,600 Speaker 2: Tech eighty five seventy eight. They come back home. They 121 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 2: are three point dogs tonight. Now Ken Palm has this 122 00:06:43,440 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 2: as a three point win for Houston. Here's the problem. 123 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:52,720 Speaker 2: Houston and BYU are very similar. This game is probably 124 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,520 Speaker 2: going to go under. But the opener was one thirty 125 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:58,359 Speaker 2: five and a half from a total perspective, and the 126 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:02,120 Speaker 2: first move was over one thirty six. That concern me 127 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 2: a little bit. That gave me pause. I was like, Okay, 128 00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 2: maybe they think there's gonna be more offense in this game. 129 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 2: This is the number one ranked efficient defense in college basketball. 130 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 2: The number one ranked effective field goal percentage college basketball, 131 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:19,920 Speaker 2: the number eight ranked three point defense team in college basketball, 132 00:07:20,080 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 2: the number one two point defensive team in college basketball, 133 00:07:24,760 --> 00:07:28,800 Speaker 2: and a team that is extremely difficult to score on. 134 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 2: But BYU is number twenty in that category for efficiency defensively, 135 00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 2: seventeenth in field goal percentage, fourteenth and three point percentage, 136 00:07:41,640 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 2: and fifty first in two point percentage. 137 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 1: That's not bad, Okay. BYU is not gonna get. 138 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:50,200 Speaker 2: Man handled here. We know what it's like to play 139 00:07:50,200 --> 00:07:52,760 Speaker 2: at Provo. We know what the Marriott Center is gonna 140 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,440 Speaker 2: be like tonight. They're gonna be bumping for the number 141 00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 2: four team, number one team. One can bomb to go 142 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 2: in there. So what has happened previously? You start looking 143 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 2: at the numbers for BYU in Houston, and it's pretty interesting. 144 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: ATS wise, BYU is nine and two at home, nine 145 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,920 Speaker 2: and two. Now they're one in four in the Big twelve. 146 00:08:17,240 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 2: That's not great, okay. And they're one and four over 147 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 2: the last five games. That's not great. But Houston's two 148 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 2: and five ATS on the road. They're great at home, 149 00:08:27,920 --> 00:08:31,400 Speaker 2: but they're not great on the road against TCU on 150 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 2: the road. They lost the last game by one against 151 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 2: Iowa State in the last game, they lost it by four. 152 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:39,360 Speaker 2: They were favored by three and two and a half 153 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,440 Speaker 2: in both those games neutral court against XA and M. 154 00:08:42,600 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 2: Lost the game by four. On the road to Xavier, 155 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 2: laying eight and a half, they won by six. They 156 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 2: didn't cover the games they have covered. Those are games 157 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:55,640 Speaker 2: on neutral courts. But you look at the road game 158 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 2: and TCU, the road game against Iowa State, and the 159 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 2: road game against Xavier. True road games this year for Houston, 160 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:08,120 Speaker 2: they're zero for three ats they haven't covered yet. At 161 00:09:08,160 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 2: home for BYU, huge win over Iowa State laying four 162 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 2: one by fifteen. Same Iowa State team that beat Houston, 163 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 2: similar style Iowa State and BYU similar style Iowa State. 164 00:09:21,760 --> 00:09:27,319 Speaker 2: Houston Houston versus BYU against Cincinnati was the worst game 165 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,520 Speaker 2: of the year for them. In the home game before 166 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:31,959 Speaker 2: the Iowa State loss, they were laying ten. They lost 167 00:09:32,000 --> 00:09:35,800 Speaker 2: by eleven. Against Wyoming, they led nineteen, they laid nineteen, 168 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 2: they won by twenty six. 169 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 1: They've only played one game in the Big. 170 00:09:39,000 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 2: Twelve so far this year. That was the home game 171 00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,000 Speaker 2: against Iowa State. The other three games have been on 172 00:09:44,000 --> 00:09:47,959 Speaker 2: the road. Baylor lost by nine, UCF lost by five 173 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:52,959 Speaker 2: in Texas Tech lost by seven. BYU needs this game, 174 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 2: incredible atmosphere. Houston and BYU haven't played all that much 175 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:00,520 Speaker 2: as far as I can tell in their history. Give 176 00:10:00,559 --> 00:10:04,040 Speaker 2: me the home dog. I'm taking BYU plus three. I 177 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,840 Speaker 2: would have bet it anyway, but this comes into play 178 00:10:06,880 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 2: with the trend. It factors into the team and conference play. 179 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:12,760 Speaker 2: Losing on the road coming back home as a dog. 180 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:16,320 Speaker 2: Let's see how the trend plays out here with one 181 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,160 Speaker 2: of the bigger games on the night, BYU plus three 182 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:25,200 Speaker 2: at home against Houston. Let's go to South Carolina hosting Kentucky. 183 00:10:25,240 --> 00:10:29,079 Speaker 2: This game is not part of the trend, however, it's 184 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 2: a home dog plus five according to Kenpom. Kempom has 185 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 2: this as a three point win for BYU. The number 186 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:41,480 Speaker 2: sorry for South Carolina first sorry, three point for Kentucky 187 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:46,679 Speaker 2: plus five for South Carolina is the current number. Kentucky 188 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:50,560 Speaker 2: is the opposite of Houston. They are all offense. Kentucky 189 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 2: is the fourth most efficient offense in college basketball. Kentucky 190 00:10:54,040 --> 00:10:58,200 Speaker 2: is third ineffective field goal percentage. Kentucky is seventh in 191 00:10:58,280 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 2: three point percentage. They are eighteenth in two point percentage. 192 00:11:02,520 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 2: They are really really hard to stop on the offensive end. 193 00:11:08,320 --> 00:11:10,960 Speaker 2: Thirty three percent of the points come from behind the arc, 194 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 2: forty nine percent of the points come inside the arc, 195 00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 2: just sixteen percent of their points come in from the 196 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 2: foul line. Now on the flip side, South Carolina's defense 197 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:25,360 Speaker 2: is really their calling card. They are thirty fourth and 198 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:28,679 Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage sixty fifth in an adjusted efficiency. 199 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:31,520 Speaker 2: There are one hundred and fiftieth and three point defense, 200 00:11:31,559 --> 00:11:34,320 Speaker 2: which is not good. But they're twenty first and two 201 00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:38,120 Speaker 2: point percentage. That's pretty good because they only give up 202 00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 2: twenty seven percent of the points from behind the three 203 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:43,320 Speaker 2: point line, far less than what Kentucky gets. Fifty two 204 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:45,199 Speaker 2: percent of the points they give up are inside the 205 00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:48,200 Speaker 2: two point inside the arc at fifty two percent. But 206 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:52,440 Speaker 2: they have a chance to really do a good job 207 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:56,680 Speaker 2: here slowing the game down and grinding it and using 208 00:11:57,040 --> 00:12:01,880 Speaker 2: the home crowd, using the game car home crowd. This 209 00:12:02,040 --> 00:12:03,959 Speaker 2: place has been a little bit of a house of 210 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 2: horrors so far for Kentucky. Last year, Kentucky was laying 211 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 2: ten points on the road. 212 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 1: Well, let's see, they didn't play here. 213 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 2: It was in February of twenty two, So those two 214 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:19,079 Speaker 2: years ago, right, That wasn't last year, right, because it 215 00:12:19,120 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 2: would have been February of twenty three, so they didn't 216 00:12:21,160 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 2: play there last year, But two years ago it was 217 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 2: a ten point spread, UK one by ten. Two times 218 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 2: for that, in twenty twenty and twenty eighteen, Kentucky lost 219 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:36,440 Speaker 2: the game outright eighty one seventy eight in seventy six sixty. 220 00:12:36,600 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: Now that has no real bearing. Okay, I only use. 221 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 2: That for historical because no one on the Kentucky team 222 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:42,320 Speaker 2: was part of those losses. 223 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:43,319 Speaker 1: I'm not trying to say that. 224 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 2: It's just always fun to kind of look at the 225 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: fact that Kentucky is zero to three ATS in their 226 00:12:48,679 --> 00:12:53,079 Speaker 2: last three trips to South Carolina. Historically speaking, some gyms 227 00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 2: are just really hard to play against. In some gyms 228 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 2: you just stink at The big fear factor here is 229 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 2: that Kentucky is five and one away for home. 230 00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: But let's dig a little deeper here into that number. 231 00:13:02,960 --> 00:13:07,040 Speaker 2: For Kentucky being five and one on the road against 232 00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:10,160 Speaker 2: A and M, there were three point dogs. They lost 233 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 2: the game outright. That was their last road game. They 234 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:17,559 Speaker 2: went to Florida. They caught three and a half or yeah, 235 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:19,360 Speaker 2: they're catching three and a half. They won the game 236 00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 2: by two. Okay, so they won and they covered in 237 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 2: that game against Louisville, who's horrible, laying fourteen. They won 238 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:31,680 Speaker 2: by nineteen. But that's it for Kentucky. They've played three 239 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:35,600 Speaker 2: games on the road so far this year Louisville, Florida 240 00:13:36,120 --> 00:13:39,000 Speaker 2: and Texas A and M. They won two of them 241 00:13:39,240 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 2: and lost their last one, so not exactly road tested. Okay, 242 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 2: this is a team that's going to go into sort 243 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,880 Speaker 2: of of a buzzsaw. South Carolina in their last game 244 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 2: at home lost to Georgia. They're going to be fired 245 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:56,240 Speaker 2: up and angry about that loss at home, lost by five. 246 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 2: They went on the road to Arkansas, they were three 247 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 2: point dogs, they won by thirteen. They beat Missouri on 248 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:04,679 Speaker 2: the road, They got killed against Alabama on the road. 249 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,679 Speaker 2: Then they beat Missippi State at home as three point dogs. 250 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: They won by six. That's the last time they were 251 00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:14,640 Speaker 2: home and underdogs. Like tonight, they are five point dogs 252 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:15,760 Speaker 2: to Kentucky. 253 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 1: Again. 254 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:19,640 Speaker 2: This is a bit of a scary bet, but Kempalm 255 00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 2: has this as a three point win for Kentucky, and 256 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,560 Speaker 2: I think we're getting value of five points with a 257 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,400 Speaker 2: home dog and a chance to let history kind of 258 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:32,880 Speaker 2: play out here. Slow pace for South Carolina, they are 259 00:14:32,920 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 2: not gonna run run runs is not gonna I mean, 260 00:14:35,120 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 2: they're gonna take the air out of the ball in 261 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:38,760 Speaker 2: a big time way. They're not gonna want to play 262 00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:41,560 Speaker 2: fast at all. This team is three hundred and forty 263 00:14:41,640 --> 00:14:46,000 Speaker 2: eighth in tempo okay, three hundred and forty eighth. Kentucky 264 00:14:46,080 --> 00:14:46,640 Speaker 2: is tenth. 265 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:47,640 Speaker 1: Okay. 266 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 2: So on the road against a team that's gonna play 267 00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 2: a very frustrating style, we'll see how Kentucky handles that. 268 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,800 Speaker 2: They may panic a little bit here. The Wildcats outscore 269 00:14:59,840 --> 00:15:04,920 Speaker 2: their team. They don't play defense. Rebounding has to be 270 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:08,440 Speaker 2: monster tonight for South Carolina. They've got to hit their 271 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,880 Speaker 2: free throws. They've got to do a good job of 272 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:13,240 Speaker 2: protecting the home court. In riding the home court. The 273 00:15:13,280 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 2: public and everybody else will bet Kentucky. I got five. 274 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 2: You guys might get even more than that, but I 275 00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,800 Speaker 2: got five. I'm taking Kentucky plus sorry, South Carolina plus 276 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 2: five at home against Kentucky BYU plus three. South Carolina 277 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 2: plus five. What's the third play? The third play is 278 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:36,720 Speaker 2: a fade on a team that beat a top five 279 00:15:36,840 --> 00:15:41,920 Speaker 2: team that had absolutely no business doing it. Kansas lost 280 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 2: to West Virginia. How I have absolutely no idea how. 281 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,720 Speaker 1: That happened, but it happened. 282 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 2: West Virginia on the road this year is one in 283 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:58,160 Speaker 2: five ATS, but at home they somehow beat KU in 284 00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 2: their last game. They're seven and eleven ATS. They're two 285 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,360 Speaker 2: and three in the Big Twelve. But this is a 286 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 2: Central Florida team that is eight and three at home ATS, 287 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:12,840 Speaker 2: the number is seven and a half. They've covered four 288 00:16:12,920 --> 00:16:18,040 Speaker 2: games in a row, including at Houston, at Texas, home 289 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 2: for BYU, and home for Kansas, where they lost, they 290 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:25,560 Speaker 2: won by five. They also beat Kansas by five those 291 00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,120 Speaker 2: the first like what are we doing Kansas type of game. 292 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: But you look at West Virginia. 293 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 2: And this is much like when we faded Nebraska when 294 00:16:33,960 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 2: they beat Purdue. When you get the biggest win of 295 00:16:36,600 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 2: the year, when you get a win and when things 296 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 2: have been going really crappy and you've been circling the drain, 297 00:16:41,400 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 2: you get all big man on campus and you feel 298 00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,840 Speaker 2: like everything is great and you've got some swagger back 299 00:16:46,880 --> 00:16:49,120 Speaker 2: and you don't feel like you're the laughing stock anymore, 300 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 2: and you've got a chance to go out there and 301 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:56,080 Speaker 2: play basketball again. Because everything's right, you beat Kansas. What 302 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,120 Speaker 2: is Central Florida gonna do. Come on, they're not gonna 303 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:00,360 Speaker 2: be able to touch us. Look what we're doing. We're 304 00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,440 Speaker 2: gonna walk in there, walk on the road and get 305 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:06,120 Speaker 2: a much, you know, an easy victory. Kem Pom has 306 00:17:06,119 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 2: this as a nine point win for UCF. The number 307 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 2: is seven and a half. I'm fading West Virginia again. 308 00:17:12,880 --> 00:17:15,159 Speaker 2: I think this is strictly just a great spot to 309 00:17:15,240 --> 00:17:18,400 Speaker 2: fade West Virginia on the road. This year, they've lost 310 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 2: to Oklahoma. They've lost to Houston, badly, to Houston eight 311 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,919 Speaker 2: nine to fifty five and seventy seven sixty three. In 312 00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,720 Speaker 2: the two games in the Big Twelve on the road 313 00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:30,840 Speaker 2: this year, they got housed. They beat Texas at home, 314 00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 2: they beat Kansas at home. They righted the ship a 315 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 2: little bit. But away from home, I don't think so. 316 00:17:37,359 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 2: Lay the seven and a half Central Florida minus seven 317 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 2: and a half at home against West Virginia. Okay, three 318 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 2: games for betan today, all in college basketball. Look, it's 319 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 2: the time of the year that I do look to 320 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:50,600 Speaker 2: heavily bet college hoops. 321 00:17:50,800 --> 00:17:52,639 Speaker 1: I know you guys love hockey. I know a lot 322 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,760 Speaker 1: of you guys do really enjoy betting other sports. The NBA, 323 00:17:55,920 --> 00:18:00,000 Speaker 1: maybe your you know your wheelhouse college basketball. 324 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:01,880 Speaker 2: It's just when I'm more comfortable betting, I feel more 325 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:03,000 Speaker 2: confident and more comfortable. 326 00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: I like it more. So I'll be betting college basketball 327 00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:07,359 Speaker 1: for a lot of times. Here. 328 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 2: We'll get back into the NBA probably on Friday. College 329 00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,120 Speaker 2: will get into the NHL. 330 00:18:12,320 --> 00:18:13,399 Speaker 1: For sure. I'm watching. 331 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 2: I'm doing some personal personal bets, trying to get my 332 00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:18,560 Speaker 2: feel back in my handle on the NHL. We'll get 333 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 2: back to betting hockey at some point, maybe tomorrow here 334 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:22,520 Speaker 2: on the show, on the show, on the show. But 335 00:18:22,880 --> 00:18:25,919 Speaker 2: for now, three bets for us here, all in college 336 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:29,840 Speaker 2: basketball on a Tuesday. We're going BYU plus three, South 337 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:33,119 Speaker 2: Carolina plus five and Central Florida minus seven and a 338 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 2: half here all for one point one units minu. 339 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 1: Is Matt Parol. 340 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:38,840 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports 341 00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 2: Talk Matt. 342 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,560 Speaker 1: Every single morning they DELIDUCEE podcast. 343 00:18:41,680 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 2: I was being brought to you by omastakes dot com.