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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Day Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parol. You can follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. We are here every morning on Bettingpros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: on YouTube with the video and wherever you get your podcasts,

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Speaker 1: always being brought to you by BETMGM. And we'll give

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Speaker 1: you a couple of different options here. You can jump into

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Speaker 1: with BETMGM if you want with that twenty dollars to

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Speaker 1: win one hundred dollars on any event using the promo

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Speaker 1: cod Juice one hundred, which is always above me right

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Speaker 1: here on YouTube, Bettingpros dot Com, BETMGM, and the BETMGM application.

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Speaker 1: All right, so I get to recap. It's kind of

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Speaker 1: a weird day because everything that happened kind of to

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Speaker 1: a day and a half ago. We get to recap

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Speaker 1: now because it was an overnight play. But it was

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Speaker 1: nice to wake up this morning and three and one

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Speaker 1: on the podcast play and then we got the baseball

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Speaker 1: bet right, so well four and one day for us officially.

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Speaker 1: I also had the under for Team France and Team

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Speaker 1: USA for those games, so that was nice. I told

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Speaker 1: you I was going to be on both of those

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Speaker 1: on a personal play. So it was a really good

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Speaker 1: day for me betting wise. That was great. And we

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Speaker 1: had a couple of down days, so we won three

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Speaker 1: and then we lost two, and then we came back

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Speaker 1: in one big yesterday. So really good to have that,

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Speaker 1: and we need more of those. I mean, four and

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Speaker 1: one days are awesome. And hey, I won the Red

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Speaker 1: Sox bet as well, so the Red Sox a second

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Speaker 1: time we've won a plus money bet with the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: We're now three two and one during this experiment. This

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Speaker 1: is day seven of the experiment of only betting Red

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Speaker 1: Sox games, and we're having to play on the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: And I told you I just have a much better

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Speaker 1: mark betting on Red Sox games. And you know, two

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Speaker 1: plus money wagers, we're up. I'm up over a unit

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Speaker 1: since we started doing this, So this is you know,

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Speaker 1: yesterday was plus one twenty two on the first five

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Speaker 1: Tigers to be leading against the Red Sox. They were

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Speaker 1: up three to two after five and so we wound

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Speaker 1: up getting and that correct and that was really nice.

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Speaker 1: So basketball was three and one, but it should have

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Speaker 1: been four, and oh damn, Kevin durant dunk at the end,

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Speaker 1: meaningless dunk. What were they doing? Man? Spain? God, did

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Speaker 1: you know what the spread was of Spain? Did you

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Speaker 1: let them let them score? What the hell was that?

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Speaker 1: That's stunk. So we got a loss there, but that

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Speaker 1: should have been a win. Now, I will say this

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Speaker 1: the France game. We had a meaningless bucket at the

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Speaker 1: end of the France game too for us to cover

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Speaker 1: that eight. They won by nine, so it does even

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Speaker 1: out there. So it probably would have been three and

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Speaker 1: one anyway. So maybe we were gotten both breaks. But fine,

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Speaker 1: I'll take three and one. I won't be you know,

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Speaker 1: argumentative about it. Will take three and one, and then

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Speaker 1: the baseball bet hits. So it's a four and one

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Speaker 1: day officially yesterday. So I'm coming back here today. I've

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Speaker 1: got two basketball plays and I've got two baseball plays

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Speaker 1: for you guys coming up here today. Now, Dan Harris,

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Speaker 1: I'm driving to pick up my wife and my kid

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Speaker 1: from the airport. Driving along and the Discord channel starts

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Speaker 1: to diging my phone, like okay, So I look down

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Speaker 1: and there's Dan Harris saying that I don't ask him

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Speaker 1: for baseball plays, even though he does a baseball podcast

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Speaker 1: every morning for fantasy pros. But I don't ask him now.

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Speaker 1: He forgot that. In the beginning of the baseball year,

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Speaker 1: I was asking him for player props and he was losing,

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Speaker 1: and so I went, all right, player props aren't working,

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Speaker 1: and this is you know, you can only do so much.

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Speaker 1: So now Dan wants back in. So now Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: has a baseball play for you guys today. And I

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Speaker 1: asked him and said, okay, you want in, let's go.

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Speaker 1: Let's let's have you pick a game. And he has

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Speaker 1: picked a game today because I'm only betting the Red Sox.

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Speaker 1: So let's have you pick another game. Because I'm only

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Speaker 1: betting half of units in the Red Sox, so let's

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Speaker 1: have you bet the other half a unit. So Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris is doing that today. I'll redo his play and

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Speaker 1: what he is going with today for his play an

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Speaker 1: official play for the Daily Juice podcast. So if he

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Speaker 1: will he wins, give Dan Harris some shouts on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. If he loses, give Dan Harris bleep on

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Speaker 1: the Discord channel for doing it. So some fun there.

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Speaker 1: You guys were asking me, by the way, about the

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Speaker 1: Discord bet this week. I'm gonna do it the same

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Speaker 1: way I did it last week or two weeks in

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Speaker 1: a row. I think I'm gonna do it on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do it before the Hall of Fame game.

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Speaker 1: Gave that play out yesterday about the under we're gonna

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Speaker 1: do it before the Hall of Fame game because we're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to see who's playing and who is not.

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Speaker 1: And you guys can go ahead and jump in on

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Speaker 1: the Hall of Fame game for Thursday and Thursday night football,

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Speaker 1: so for the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Dallas Cowboys. So

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Speaker 1: we'll do that before the game kicks off on the

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Speaker 1: Discord Channel tomorrow, probably somewhere three thirty ish Pacific time,

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Speaker 1: six thirty Eastern somewhere in that range, like we did

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Speaker 1: last time, right around the same time that we'll do

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Speaker 1: that to get a play for the Discord bet, which

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Speaker 1: is now seven and ten missing last week seven and

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Speaker 1: ten historically speaking right now for so we're three games underwater,

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Speaker 1: trying to claw a way out before the start of

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Speaker 1: the football season coming up here at the end of

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Speaker 1: the month. All right, So on the Discord Channel, I've

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Speaker 1: given you two plays already. The numbers have moved here

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Speaker 1: and I'm a little bit. I hope you guys are

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Speaker 1: on it because we came to open. The line opened

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Speaker 1: at either nine and a half or ten for Team

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Speaker 1: USA in their game against Australia. All Right, the line

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Speaker 1: is now twelve, Team USA laying twelve. I bet ten

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Speaker 1: and a half. That's when I got in. I told

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Speaker 1: you on the Discord channel, I laid ten and a

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Speaker 1: half on Team USA for a half of unit to

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Speaker 1: beat Australia. I know they lost an exhibition game against Australia.

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Speaker 1: I understand that, but this is a huge opportunity for

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Speaker 1: us from a hedge perspective. Now it's minus six seventy

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Speaker 1: five to bet Team USA to win the game on

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Speaker 1: the money line. There's no real value on this, Okay.

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Speaker 1: I really do think that if Team USA wins, they

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Speaker 1: win going away, like it won't be close or they're

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Speaker 1: gonna lose outright one of the two. Okay, much like

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Speaker 1: the game against Spain where they covered barely didn't cover.

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Speaker 1: The final number it was fifteen, didn't you know the

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Speaker 1: closing number that didn't cover? And my guess is Team

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Speaker 1: USA is going to close nine to fifteen tip time

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Speaker 1: Eastern time on tomorrow, tonight, tomorrow, later tonight, I think

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Speaker 1: we're looking at probably somewhere around a similar fifteen point

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Speaker 1: spread for Team USA. Again, I had ten and a half,

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Speaker 1: so we're going to have some closing line value. And

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Speaker 1: closing line value worked out pretty well for US the

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Speaker 1: last time we had this for Olympic basketball, and so

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Speaker 1: I've got ten and a half. Hopefully you guys bet

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Speaker 1: ten and a half as well. I don't hate twelve,

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Speaker 1: but it's a full you know, almost it's a full

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Speaker 1: shot more than what I've got. And again, getting in

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Speaker 1: at twelve is not bad. Fourteen I wouldn't play it, Okay,

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Speaker 1: start getting around fourteen fifteen points, I wouldn't play it.

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Speaker 1: But I think at ten and a half team USA

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Speaker 1: to win by eleven overall Australia. I do think that

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Speaker 1: they win the game and cover. Now if they lose,

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Speaker 1: we cashed the plus eight hundred, okay, so I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna lay them on a six to seventy five because

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Speaker 1: it's just not really worth it. I mean, you know,

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Speaker 1: you come back with let me just do the quick

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Speaker 1: math on this while we're sitting here and chatting, because

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Speaker 1: I think it's actually worth to kind of have the conversation.

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Speaker 1: Uh so it's a quarter unit at plus eight hundred,

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Speaker 1: and so it's a it's a two unit win, right,

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Speaker 1: So in order to make any real money on this,

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Speaker 1: it's just I mean, this is this is crazy. So

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Speaker 1: it's six seventy five on this. So in order to

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Speaker 1: make any real money on this, we're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: lay two units, I believe on this. No, even two

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Speaker 1: units is nothing and two units is coming back and

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Speaker 1: you're winning now, you're winning point three. Nah, it's it's

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Speaker 1: not worth So if you lay three hundred dollars on this,

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Speaker 1: it's not even a half a unit. So it's just

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Speaker 1: it's just not worth it. I mean, bottom line is

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Speaker 1: it's just simply not worth coming back in laying six

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Speaker 1: to seventy five on the money line for Team USA

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Speaker 1: against Australia. But let's just lay the twelve points, okay,

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Speaker 1: So lay the twelve Team USA against Australia, and if

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Speaker 1: we're wrong and Australia wins the game outright, we cash

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Speaker 1: a plus eight hundred. So clearly there's a very big

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Speaker 1: middle there. TM USA wins by one to eleven or

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Speaker 1: one to not I one to ten for my bet,

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Speaker 1: and I lose, I lose both bets. Okay, so technically

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Speaker 1: I could lose both bets. It's very possible, but there's

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Speaker 1: no clean way of hedging this given the number. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's so high, but I did lay ten and a half.

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Speaker 1: So tm USA officiup play Team USA minus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half. Now the total is one eighty and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna let this thing climb, all right, I'm just

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Speaker 1: gonna let it climb up, up, up. Let people bet

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Speaker 1: it more and more and more. Get that number as

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Speaker 1: big as possible, and then I will come back and

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Speaker 1: tell you the official number I will play on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. Okay, so I will have more than just

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Speaker 1: one play on Team USA. I want that number as

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Speaker 1: big as possible. And that number is gonna balloon. Okay.

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Speaker 1: As we wake up and they realize, oh Tmusa is

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Speaker 1: playing in Australia, they're both going to play really fast paced,

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Speaker 1: up tempo. They forget it's a ten minute quarter and

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Speaker 1: they forget the rules of Foeba. And I do believe

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Speaker 1: that in an elimination game like this, you know this

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Speaker 1: is the metal round, if you will, I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to be a lower scoring tight game, kind of

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Speaker 1: like a Game seven type of situation. I want as

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Speaker 1: many points as possible here, So get me to one

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Speaker 1: eighty three, one eighty four, one eighty five, and I'll

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Speaker 1: bet the under on Team USA in Australia. And so

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Speaker 1: I'll have a play on Team USA minus ten and

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Speaker 1: a half officially, and I'll have a play on the under,

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Speaker 1: but that number will be given out. The number all

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Speaker 1: play will come up on the Discord channel bettingcros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash chat to get in or underneath me here

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Speaker 1: on YouTube. Next Slovenia in France, this number is crashing

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Speaker 1: and I bet two and a half. Okay, you can

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Speaker 1: get one and a half right now. So if you

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Speaker 1: did not play it when I played it, the official

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Speaker 1: play is going to have to be two and a half,

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Speaker 1: even though the numbers moved against me. There's a lot

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Speaker 1: of money coming in here on France, Okay, I get it.

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Speaker 1: It's the bigs, it's the post play. It's the fact

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Speaker 1: that you don't have to double the post with Rudy Gobert,

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Speaker 1: he can play defense on the block and then you're

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Speaker 1: not getting those opening kickouts that Slovenia loves so much.

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Speaker 1: But the problem with playing defense like that means Luca

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Speaker 1: goes off and I just don't think I know Evan

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Speaker 1: Fournia has been playing really well. These are the two

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Speaker 1: teams that I've made the most money on here during

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Speaker 1: the Olympic. I mean, I have to go out of

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Speaker 1: what our record is here betting Olympic basketball, but it's good.

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Speaker 1: It's around like six and one, six and two, somewhere

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Speaker 1: in that range. But mostly it's been because of Slovenia

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Speaker 1: in France winning and covering. So now they're playing each other,

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Speaker 1: and this number by people I'm talking to, this number

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Speaker 1: should be four or five. Given the pace of play

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Speaker 1: for Slovenia, the three point shooting for Slovenia, they've got

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Speaker 1: way better scorers than France, way better scores, the post

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Speaker 1: play and the defense. That's the difference here that will

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Speaker 1: keep France in this game. So I laid two and

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Speaker 1: a half, it's now one and a half. You can

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Speaker 1: get a better number than me. I laid two and

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Speaker 1: a half minus one ten. There are one fifteen minus

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Speaker 1: one fifteen. Sorry, there's mis one and a half at mius.

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Speaker 1: One fifteen's that are out there, mis one twenties that

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Speaker 1: are out there as well, but the official play will

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Speaker 1: be minus two and a half. For me. You can

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Speaker 1: you on a trail. You take Slovenia minus one and

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Speaker 1: a half against France coming up. That's a four am

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Speaker 1: Eastern time, one am Pacific time start for that game.

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Speaker 1: We'll go to sleep and we'll wake up with the final,

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Speaker 1: hopefully like we did this morning where I woke up

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Speaker 1: with three cases out a four, which was really really nice.

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Speaker 1: Actually for me it was five cashes at six. It

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Speaker 1: was really nice to wake up to that. So hopefully

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Speaker 1: Slovenia shoots the rock really well. It comes down to

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Speaker 1: the three point shooting and comes down to Luca and

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna say, I don't know how they stop him.

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Speaker 1: I think Luca has a monster monster game, and I

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Speaker 1: think you're gonna see other shooters get opened for Slovenia

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Speaker 1: and they hit threes and they win. Okay, so I

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Speaker 1: got Slovenia minus two and a half again, you can

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Speaker 1: get it at one and a half now the total

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Speaker 1: is one seventy four and a half, one seventy five,

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Speaker 1: somewhere in that range. I also like the unduring this,

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Speaker 1: but I'm going to watch where the number goes before

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Speaker 1: I bet it because there is a chance the pros

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Speaker 1: come in and drive this thing so far down that

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Speaker 1: the over might be in play because of the three

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Speaker 1: point shooting for Lucas team. So I will have a

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Speaker 1: total play as well on this one, but I don't

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Speaker 1: yet really know what I'm gonna jump into. Most likely

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Speaker 1: I'm on the under, but I'm not positive yet. I

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Speaker 1: might stay away from this game because of the defense

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Speaker 1: of France, and it feels like there may be a slow,

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Speaker 1: slow tempo, but Slovenia might speed it up and hit

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Speaker 1: a bunch of threes. One team wants to play fast

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Speaker 1: and shoot threes, next team plays slow and shoot twos.

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Speaker 1: Normally that's underplay, but also Slovenia could just get red

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Speaker 1: hot and blast them off the gym and then all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know, they score ninety points and

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Speaker 1: we're sailing over here, you know, to ninety to you

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Speaker 1: know eighty I guess ninety five to eighty five type

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Speaker 1: of final, and it goes way over. So let's just

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Speaker 1: see how the day goes and see how the numbers go.

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Speaker 1: But I will have another play coming up in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel for us here on the total for Slovenia

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Speaker 1: in France. So just for the podcast sake, USA minus

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Speaker 1: ten and a half, Slovenia minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Right now, it's twelve and minus one and a half,

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Speaker 1: so you get a worse number for USA and a

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Speaker 1: better number for Slovenia. If you weren't on the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: you didn't didn't follow when I posted this earlier today

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Speaker 1: to bet it. But you can still jump in now

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Speaker 1: if you'd like, and you get a better number and

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Speaker 1: a worse number in each game, so it kind of

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Speaker 1: evens itself out. Okay, let's talk baseball, and let's go

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Speaker 1: to our good friend Dan Harris. Dan Harris is going

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Speaker 1: Braves money line against the Cardinals at minus one ten Ja.

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Speaker 1: I call him ja Hap starting here. Cards ranked twenty

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Speaker 1: first in the majors in ops against lefties. J or

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Speaker 1: Ja has allowed twenty runs in his last three starts.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I still can't believe somebody actually went out

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Speaker 1: there and acquired j Hap. They wanted him. They legitimately

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Speaker 1: said let's do a deal. And I know what I

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Speaker 1: want to go ahead and do. I got an idea.

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Speaker 1: Here's who we're going to go and trade for guys,

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Speaker 1: Jay Happ is available, Let's go get him. It's like,

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Speaker 1: excuse me, Like, what do you mean? Why? This game's

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Speaker 1: on ESPN, so it's nationally toe the device game. Jay

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Speaker 1: Happ starting for the Cardinals. Drew Smiley starting for the Braves,

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Speaker 1: so we're going Braves money line. Smiley hasn't been great

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Speaker 1: according to Dan Harris, but he's all. He hasn't allowed

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Speaker 1: more than three earned runs in a start since May

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Speaker 1: twenty six. Brave's bullpen has improved. Richard Rodriguez has come

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Speaker 1: in to link in the game a bit. He says

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Speaker 1: a little worried he's gonna be a public play because

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Speaker 1: the Braves won six to one last night, but he's

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Speaker 1: good with it. He's laying half a unit min's one

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Speaker 1: ten Braves money line against the Cardinals. There is our

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Speaker 1: first play for Major League Baseball, and as a Dan

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Speaker 1: Harris play, my play is the Boston Red Sox taking

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Speaker 1: on the Detroit Tigers at bet MGM. Take the bet

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Speaker 1: MGM offer and go and get this if you would like.

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Speaker 1: But four and a half is the total verse five

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Speaker 1: for the total here for this game. Red Sox starting

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Speaker 1: e Rod and look, I bet this pitcher before and

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Speaker 1: it burned me. Okay. The Detroit Tigers are pitching, are

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Speaker 1: throwing their stud Casey Mice. Okay, they think this dude's

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Speaker 1: going to be an ace. They really like him. He's

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Speaker 1: been kind of hit or missed though. He's been a

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Speaker 1: little bit up and down. And the last time we

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Speaker 1: bet him, he wasn't very good. And that's kind of

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Speaker 1: the way things have gone for Casey Mice. One good start,

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Speaker 1: one bad start, one good start, one bad start. So

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Speaker 1: if you go and look where he's been four back

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Speaker 1: on the seventh of July, he was okay, four innings

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Speaker 1: to earn runs against Texas at home. On the nineteenth

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Speaker 1: of July, he went four innings, no earn runs. On

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Speaker 1: the road at Kansas City, he went four and two thirds,

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Speaker 1: gave up four earned runs. But last time out against

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Speaker 1: the Baltimore Orioles, seven innings, four hits, just one run,

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Speaker 1: nine earned pitch pretty well and they let him pitch

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Speaker 1: into the seventh inning through eighty eight pitches in that game.

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Speaker 1: That was a season high. So letting him stretch out

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Speaker 1: here just a little bit. At home, Casey Miz, like

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Speaker 1: most pitchers, is a better pitcher at home than he

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Speaker 1: is on the road, which is weird because E Rod's

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Speaker 1: a better pitcher on the road than he is at home,

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Speaker 1: but his era is still five on the road. Here

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Speaker 1: the total at four and a half. The Red Sox

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00:16:25,120 --> 00:16:28,840
Speaker 1: are in desperate need of offense. They scored two runs yesterday.

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Speaker 1: This is a little bit of a worry time for Boston.

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00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,200
Speaker 1: So the Red Sox now have lost five games in

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Speaker 1: a row, five out of They've lost six to of seven,

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00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:42,440
Speaker 1: and people are starting to ring the bell of uh oh,

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00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:45,920
Speaker 1: what's happening to Boston. They're now one full game back

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Speaker 1: of Tampa in the lost column. They've lost five games

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Speaker 1: in a row. They've scored two, two, five, three, one,

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Speaker 1: four and one over their last seven games. The offense

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Speaker 1: needs to get going, now, does it against Casey Meis?

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Speaker 1: I don't know, but four and a half. I think

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00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:06,959
Speaker 1: the Red Sox are good for at least two and

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00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:09,720
Speaker 1: the Tigers are good for three off of E Rod.

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Speaker 1: Here in the first five minus one fifteen at bet MGM,

348
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Speaker 1: I'm going over Red Sox Tigers first five over four

349
00:17:18,840 --> 00:17:20,479
Speaker 1: and a half. I had a personal play on this

350
00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,879
Speaker 1: last night and it lost, but I'm coming back with

351
00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:25,760
Speaker 1: it again because I think Boston's offense really needs to

352
00:17:25,800 --> 00:17:28,480
Speaker 1: get going. And there are some real big warning signs

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Speaker 1: about what's happening with the Red Sox here. They need

354
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:32,800
Speaker 1: to score and score quickly. I think this could be

355
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:34,439
Speaker 1: a big night. And like I mentioned, Casey MII is

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00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:35,840
Speaker 1: going to going back and forth, he is coming off

357
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Speaker 1: of his career or yeah, I think it's his career,

358
00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:40,840
Speaker 1: but a season high for pitches in his last start.

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00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,520
Speaker 1: Maybe a little tired after that, or it might be

360
00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:46,159
Speaker 1: a little fatigued late in the year. Red Sox may

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00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:48,480
Speaker 1: be due to have a big night. So over four

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00:17:48,480 --> 00:17:52,000
Speaker 1: and a half minus one fifteen first five Red Sox

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00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:56,240
Speaker 1: and the Tigers is my play for a half a unit,

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00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,760
Speaker 1: all right, So the plays here on the podcast. What

365
00:17:58,800 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 1: we're going with here. And by the way, I'm wearing

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Speaker 1: a Westgate Super Contest shirt tonight because we're getting psyched

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Speaker 1: for the football contest, and I'm wearing my Cub friend.

368
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 1: This was given to me by a good friend of mine.

369
00:18:09,720 --> 00:18:11,879
Speaker 1: His Cubs are really bad, so I'm kind of tapping

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Speaker 1: my head for the Cubs and showing some solidarity for

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00:18:14,000 --> 00:18:16,919
Speaker 1: Cub fans. I feel for you guys, that stings. Really

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00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,560
Speaker 1: your season's over and I really and watching all your

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00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,800
Speaker 1: ex players go and hit home runs. Ouch. Not good?

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00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,240
Speaker 1: All right? So we're going Team USA minus ten and

375
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:28,000
Speaker 1: a half up against Australia. That we're going Slovenium minus

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00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 1: two and a half up against France. Better number available

377
00:18:30,280 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 1: now at one and a half up against France. I'll

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00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:34,399
Speaker 1: have a total play on both those games on the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel bettingpros dot COM's last chat or underneath me

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00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:40,520
Speaker 1: here on YouTube for a link to get in Baseball cards,

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00:18:40,640 --> 00:18:43,760
Speaker 1: money line and red sucks over four and a half

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00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:47,520
Speaker 1: with the Tigers first five minus one fifteen for over

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00:18:47,640 --> 00:18:49,560
Speaker 1: four and a half runs. You can get that at

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00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,040
Speaker 1: bet MGM minus Matt Parolt to following me on Twitter

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00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,119
Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpro dot com, brought

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Speaker 1: you by BETMGM.