WEBVTT - The Growing Chorus Singing Nuclear Power’s Praises

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. Welcome to Meren Talk's Money,

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast in which people who know the markets explain

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<v Speaker 1>the markets. I'm Meren zum zet Web.

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<v Speaker 2>Now.

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<v Speaker 1>This week we are focusing on a topic that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>John and I are both very interested in nuclear paramount

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<v Speaker 1>role it will pay or should pay in our future

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<v Speaker 1>energy systems. We talk about this a lot on this show.

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<v Speaker 1>As we push ourselves towards a world where we hope

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<v Speaker 1>to see better economic growth, better productivity, and as the

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<v Speaker 1>use of energy intensive technology such as AI increase, our

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<v Speaker 1>need for a better, more efficient, more secure energy supply

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<v Speaker 1>is only growing. So when we think about more energy,

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<v Speaker 1>we really do have to think very carefully about where

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<v Speaker 1>it is going to come from. According to report from

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<v Speaker 1>the World Nuclear Association, electricity demand is now increasing about

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<v Speaker 1>twice as fast as overall energy use and is going

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<v Speaker 1>to increase by good fifty percent, probably possibly between now

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<v Speaker 1>and twenty forty. So almost all reports on future energy

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<v Speaker 1>supply from all major organizations suggest that we do have

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<v Speaker 1>to think about an increasing role for nuclear energy. So

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<v Speaker 1>here to help us unpack that. Unpack what the world

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<v Speaker 1>looks like now, what it will look like or should

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<v Speaker 1>look like and what that means for your portfolio. We

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<v Speaker 1>have two brilliant guests. We have Jake Durrowitz, co founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO of Blue Energy. Blue Energy is commercializing an

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<v Speaker 1>innovative modular reactor agnostic power plant architecture to house the

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<v Speaker 1>next generation of nuclear reactors, and that we definitely have

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<v Speaker 1>to unpack that bit. And we have Nick Lawson, who

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<v Speaker 1>we have spoken to before, is CEO and co founder

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<v Speaker 1>of ocean Wall, which has three businesses corporate advisory, investment

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<v Speaker 1>and research. Nick has twenty five years of experience in

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<v Speaker 1>finance and is particularly interested in niche alternative investment opportunities.

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<v Speaker 1>And one of the things he is most interested right

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<v Speaker 1>now and here and I talk about a reasonable amount

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<v Speaker 1>is UCLAR energy. Nick, Jake, welcome, thank you for joining

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<v Speaker 1>us today.

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<v Speaker 2>Thank you lovely to be marrying and hijake you and Nick?

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<v Speaker 1>Right, Nick and Jake, Noick's other already which is extremely useful.

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<v Speaker 2>Right.

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<v Speaker 1>What we want to do is we want to set

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<v Speaker 1>the scene here. So Nick, let me ask you, can

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<v Speaker 1>you lay out for us as simply as possible the

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<v Speaker 1>case for nuclear energy in our changing energy world? And

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<v Speaker 1>I suppose the key thing to start with here is

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<v Speaker 1>just to say that abundant energy is the key to

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<v Speaker 1>pretty much everything. We talk a lot here about how

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<v Speaker 1>all economic activity is energy transformed. So the more abundant

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<v Speaker 1>we can make the energy that we survive on, and

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<v Speaker 1>the cheaper we can make it, the better. So how

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<v Speaker 1>can we make the case for nuclear in that context?

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<v Speaker 2>I think the point you made at the start merit

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<v Speaker 2>of the technological needs. I mean, the demand now on

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<v Speaker 2>a single request through an AI chat consumes two point

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<v Speaker 2>nine what hours? Now that's ten times more than a

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<v Speaker 2>Google search. Now, we as a country ten years ago

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<v Speaker 2>would have about fourteen percent of our power come from nuclear.

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<v Speaker 2>It's now about a little bit less than that. But

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<v Speaker 2>the reason there is a need for it is is

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<v Speaker 2>that stable and continuous energy source. And that's crucial. And

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<v Speaker 2>although I'm a big fan of wind and solar, the

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<v Speaker 2>intermittency is the issue. Now. The thing with nuclear is

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<v Speaker 2>there's no greenhouse gas emissions, so compared to fossil fuels,

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<v Speaker 2>it's a big plus there for combating climate change. But

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<v Speaker 2>I'd say in this very fragile world with so much

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<v Speaker 2>geopolitical risk, nuclear power offers domestically controlled energy. I mean

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<v Speaker 2>we're on big net importer now, particularly from Norway and

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<v Speaker 2>France of energy and this allows us that element of

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<v Speaker 2>national energy security. Also the safety issue. I know people

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<v Speaker 2>often conflate nuclear energy with nuclear weapons, and obviously the

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<v Speaker 2>memories of things like Chernobyl and through Mind Island for

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<v Speaker 2>Kushima still exists. But it is incredibly incredibly safe, efficient,

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<v Speaker 2>viable form of power and also at the same time

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<v Speaker 2>for the UK it drives technological innovation. I mean, we

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<v Speaker 2>have a company in Rolls Royce and other SMR developers

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<v Speaker 2>really really pushing forward to advance nuclear technologies which will

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<v Speaker 2>be good in terms of jobs, innovation and within their

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<v Speaker 2>overall UK supply chain. So I think for the UK's

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<v Speaker 2>long term sustainability, nuclear is the only answer.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, let's just unpack a little bit around the

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<v Speaker 1>use of renewable and low carbon energy sources. You say

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<v Speaker 1>that you're not against wind and SOL look great. But

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<v Speaker 1>the advantage that nuclear has over that, as I understand it,

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<v Speaker 1>is that a it's not intermittent, and B it can

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<v Speaker 1>be a nuclear plants, but whether they be big or small,

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<v Speaker 1>can be constructed where energy is required. So one of

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<v Speaker 1>the big problems with SOLO, which is mainly in the

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<v Speaker 1>south west of the UK. I'm just looking the UK

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<v Speaker 1>at the moment, and wind, which is mainly in the

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<v Speaker 1>very north of the UK is it not only as intermittent,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's far away from the areas where electricity demand

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<v Speaker 1>is the highest. And our grid is designed originally to

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<v Speaker 1>receive energy from a few large power plants relatively close

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<v Speaker 1>to where energy is required. Right, So renewables come with

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<v Speaker 1>two problems, distance and intermittency. I can see Jake wanting

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<v Speaker 1>to interrupt their Jake, Oh.

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<v Speaker 3>I add to that, I like wind and solar for

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of use cases, but in addition to the

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<v Speaker 3>reality that you have to build them where the wind is,

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<v Speaker 3>where the sun shines, and it's intermitute, it's not producing

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<v Speaker 3>twenty four seven through sixty five, which you need for

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<v Speaker 3>a modern economy. It's also low density, which means it

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<v Speaker 3>just consumes a lot of land. You need a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of acreage to put down a lot of solar panels,

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of winterbines, particularly in an increasingly advancing, modernizing

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<v Speaker 3>economy where we're inventing new ways to consume power like

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<v Speaker 3>large language models, data centers, but also as we deal

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<v Speaker 3>with climate resiliency, and increasing installation of air conditioning, in

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<v Speaker 3>electrification of space eating electrification of industrial loads. We need

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of power in a growing economy, and we

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<v Speaker 3>have been very thoughtful about our use of land. You

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<v Speaker 3>need a lot of land to put down a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of win turbines and solar panels. You also need a

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<v Speaker 3>lot of land to connect all the transmission and battery

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<v Speaker 3>is required to harden that intermitted generation. So just it.

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<v Speaker 3>It kind of balloons some of the infrastructure costs and

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<v Speaker 3>balloons some of the space requirements to the entirely reliant

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<v Speaker 3>upon wind and soilar.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and it is one of the big conversations in

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<v Speaker 1>the UK at the moment is that cost of infrastructure

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<v Speaker 1>and the problems of building new pylons in particular, and

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<v Speaker 1>new substations and the you know, I'm speaking to anecdotal

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<v Speaker 1>bit to friends the other day who suddenly find that,

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<v Speaker 1>having brought a nice house in the country, they're about

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<v Speaker 1>to be surrounded by ions, which was a surprise because

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<v Speaker 1>until recently that is not something that most people would

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<v Speaker 1>have considered to be a major risk when they buy

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<v Speaker 1>an isolated farmhouse, for example, I.

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<v Speaker 2>Don't mind pylons. I always think of the ted Hughes

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<v Speaker 2>poem iron Man. When I see them now, I actually

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<v Speaker 2>quite like them.

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<v Speaker 1>I'll let them know that, I'll let them know that's

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<v Speaker 1>an available buyer for their house.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I went, I shot a shot the other day

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<v Speaker 2>at someone's estate. And apparently to bury a pylon cost

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<v Speaker 2>just shy of a million pounds.

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<v Speaker 1>Well it's not just burying them. The cost is later

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, if they need fixing, you've got to

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<v Speaker 1>dig them up. So it's an awful lot more efficient

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<v Speaker 1>to have them above ground, even if it is uglier.

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<v Speaker 1>And obviously some people believe it leads to health concerns.

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<v Speaker 1>We are getting sidetracked. We're getting side tracked. So what

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<v Speaker 1>nuclear does. It solves for all these problems. It solves

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<v Speaker 1>for the intermittency, and it solves for the distance. It

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<v Speaker 1>solves in large part, not completely, for the infrastructure problem

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<v Speaker 1>and the need to build out a grid in a

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<v Speaker 1>very expensive way. So it solves for those problems. But

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<v Speaker 1>many would say that it comes with its own problems.

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<v Speaker 1>There is, as you said, Nick, a lot of ern

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<v Speaker 1>about safety, although I think we do know if we

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<v Speaker 1>look at the numbers, that it's one of the safest

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<v Speaker 1>ways of generating electricity. In terms of actual death right.

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<v Speaker 2>That forth absolutely absolutely right. The big issue back in

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<v Speaker 2>the nineteen fifties when you had Haitiam and Hartley Pool

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<v Speaker 2>and the big reactors getting built was the nimb issue.

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<v Speaker 2>People really didn't want them. And now if you go

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<v Speaker 2>back to the sites of with the old British Energy

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<v Speaker 2>Fleet is even side. Well the benefit has been huge.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean you've got the movement of brilliant people to

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<v Speaker 2>the area. But again it becomes a legacy thing. Now

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<v Speaker 2>what we have is these sites with the permissioning on

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<v Speaker 2>them where we can add these small modular reactors. The

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<v Speaker 2>issue in the UK is we have seven bodies that

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<v Speaker 2>effectively are responsible for making a decision on Britain's nuclear policy.

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<v Speaker 2>It's nuts now. I gave evidence to the Energy Select

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<v Speaker 2>Committee last year around the decarbonization of power wack paper

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<v Speaker 2>and you know they listen and they hear, but very

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<v Speaker 2>little action. I feel very worried and luke. When we

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<v Speaker 2>were at this dinner recently, the representatives to the National

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<v Speaker 2>Grid spoke and said there's no point us thinking about

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<v Speaker 2>having an AI strategy when we can't supply domestic households. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>there was a power surge in January of this year

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<v Speaker 2>where power hit six thousand pounds of megawatt hour and

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<v Speaker 2>we are reliant on Norway for the import of power.

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<v Speaker 2>We have the lack of whether it's government guidance, but

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<v Speaker 2>we just do not have the infrastructure to supply our

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<v Speaker 2>domestic needs, let alone those of a data center. And

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<v Speaker 2>Microsoft's Stargate Data center, which is a five gigawa data

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<v Speaker 2>center that takes down the power of five New York boroughs,

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<v Speaker 2>five New York boroughs twenty four to seven for one

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<v Speaker 2>five gigawatts Stargate center, and that's going to be that's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be around eight percent of their total data

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<v Speaker 2>center nees. So you need to have this ci of capacity.

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<v Speaker 2>And you're seeing now deals like Microsoft buying through Mile

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<v Speaker 2>Island that's eight hundred and nineteen megawatts, you know, buying

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<v Speaker 2>these states of themself. So you're going to have this

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<v Speaker 2>issue that's going to take place where who do you prioritize.

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<v Speaker 2>It will become an issue of moral turpitude if you're

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<v Speaker 2>not supplying your households but you are allowing Microsoft to

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<v Speaker 2>run a joint data stem.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it's interest, I mean, there was I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if you saw a little while back, there were some

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<v Speaker 1>mutterings in the EU about banning or limiting AI and

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<v Speaker 1>limiting the building and use of data centers specifically because

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<v Speaker 1>of the energy use. It's dangerous stoughf to talk about

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<v Speaker 1>in the UK because next thing you know, a Middle

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<v Speaker 1>vand will be out there banning data centers.

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<v Speaker 3>That's one of the things that kind of frustrates me,

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<v Speaker 3>is like since the nineteen seventies in the oil embargo,

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<v Speaker 3>there's been this big movement movement of energy efficiency. And

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<v Speaker 3>energy efficiency has been great for increasing the productivity of

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<v Speaker 3>certain technologies like refrigerators in your helm, but it's gotten

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<v Speaker 3>a little too far in the minds. I think of

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<v Speaker 3>certain politicians where they think, oh, we should just energy

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<v Speaker 3>efficiency our way out of this climate challenge, out of

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<v Speaker 3>this energy consumption challenge. People start to conplaine the idea

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<v Speaker 3>of oh, consuming more energy is bad, and that's just

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<v Speaker 3>a fly way of thinking. There's many countries around the

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<v Speaker 3>world that are just now installing air conditioning, refrigeration for food,

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<v Speaker 3>putting in hospitals, putting in modern infrastructure based standard of

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<v Speaker 3>building requirements that are going to increase their energy intensity

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<v Speaker 3>per capita from developing nation levels just to European levels,

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<v Speaker 3>which are still which are of the energy conception per

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<v Speaker 3>capital of the United States. For Canada, who are we

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<v Speaker 3>to say that they shouldn't consume energy? And let's look

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<v Speaker 3>at ourselves. The UK needs to continue to grow its economy.

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<v Speaker 3>Europe needs to continue to grow it's economy. It can't

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<v Speaker 3>afford to fall behind on key technologies like AI, It

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<v Speaker 3>can't afford to not electrify, transportation, industry, chemical synthesis, all

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<v Speaker 3>the new capabilities that are coming out from our universities

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<v Speaker 3>and labs. Are we going to say that we should

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<v Speaker 3>not invest in that infrastructure. Are we going to start

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<v Speaker 3>turning off people's hot showers. No, we have the technology,

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<v Speaker 3>We have the capability to build an energy supply infrastructure

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<v Speaker 3>that is both a zero carbon and affordable, liable enough

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<v Speaker 3>to meet the expectations that we've grown accustomed to over

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<v Speaker 3>the last one hundred years. So I get very frustrated

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<v Speaker 3>when I hear this rhetoric of oh, we should cut

0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:12.240
<v Speaker 3>things off because they consume too much energy. The water

0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:14.960
<v Speaker 3>desalination consumes a lot of energy. Should we not have

0:12:15.040 --> 0:12:15.600
<v Speaker 3>clean water?

0:12:16.360 --> 0:12:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so we should affect it. We should celebrate increasing

0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:22.280
<v Speaker 1>energy use because with increasing energy use, comes economic growth

0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:25.120
<v Speaker 1>and improve lifestyles. So we should celebrate it and find

0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:28.360
<v Speaker 1>a way to make it work. Right, absolutely, Jake, Let's

0:12:28.640 --> 0:12:30.839
<v Speaker 1>talk about what you do. When I described it in

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.920
<v Speaker 1>the introduction completely incomprehensible, accurate, but incomprehensible. So will you

0:12:35.000 --> 0:12:37.680
<v Speaker 1>explain to us what your product is, how it works.

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:38.360
<v Speaker 2>Yeah?

0:12:38.520 --> 0:12:41.760
<v Speaker 3>Shall I'll describe in very simple terms. What we're doing

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:45.800
<v Speaker 3>is designing a modular plant architecture that is compatible with

0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:50.600
<v Speaker 3>multiple nuclear actor vendors that allows us to basically cut

0:12:50.640 --> 0:12:53.840
<v Speaker 3>the costs and cut the deployment time roughly in hats.

0:12:53.920 --> 0:12:56.240
<v Speaker 3>And the way that we're doing that is that we're

0:12:56.280 --> 0:13:00.280
<v Speaker 3>designing the plant so it can be entirely prefabricated in

0:13:00.520 --> 0:13:03.480
<v Speaker 3>offshore oil and gas fab yards, offshore wind fabyards and

0:13:03.559 --> 0:13:07.240
<v Speaker 3>shipyards from around the North of Britain, North and Europe,

0:13:07.280 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 3>and other facilities around the world. The advantages for the

0:13:10.920 --> 0:13:13.880
<v Speaker 3>same reason a prefabricated home can be built on a

0:13:13.920 --> 0:13:17.719
<v Speaker 3>more predictable cost schedule and at lower price and on

0:13:17.760 --> 0:13:20.360
<v Speaker 3>a faster schedule than a stick built home on site.

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:24.720
<v Speaker 3>We're just taking advantage of the big factories that already

0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:27.760
<v Speaker 3>exist that have done this for large energy infrastructure before,

0:13:28.040 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 3>particularly for north sea oil and offshore wind. A little

0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:33.320
<v Speaker 3>known fact about nuclear power. If you look at Hinckley

0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:37.120
<v Speaker 3>Point C or Flamanville, oklode O, Vogel, or any other

0:13:37.240 --> 0:13:39.880
<v Speaker 3>major nuclear plant that's been built in the last forty

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:44.120
<v Speaker 3>to fifty years in the West, about only about seven

0:13:44.200 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 3>percent of the cost of that plant is the actual

0:13:46.480 --> 0:13:49.360
<v Speaker 3>nuclear actor. Ninety three percent of the cost of building

0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:53.319
<v Speaker 3>a nuclear plant is the accrude interest on debt because

0:13:53.320 --> 0:13:55.400
<v Speaker 3>it takes so long to build it, usually about ten

0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:58.839
<v Speaker 3>to fifteen years. Hence the construction overhead. It's the cost

0:13:58.880 --> 0:14:02.160
<v Speaker 3>of training and relooking about ten thousand skilled workers to

0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:06.440
<v Speaker 3>a place like Inkley Point and hosting them and their families,

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:10.920
<v Speaker 3>retaining them, mobilizing large thousand ton cranes, putting in performance bonds,

0:14:10.960 --> 0:14:15.600
<v Speaker 3>how contingency, the litigation that happens between trades. It's all

0:14:15.640 --> 0:14:18.080
<v Speaker 3>that overhead. And it's the same overhead that occurs when

0:14:18.120 --> 0:14:20.240
<v Speaker 3>you try and build a big international airport or other

0:14:20.240 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 3>big SIBL infrastructure projects. So if we're trying to make

0:14:23.360 --> 0:14:26.960
<v Speaker 3>nuclear look less like building a big international airport and

0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:30.280
<v Speaker 3>more like buying an airbus a three forty, we can

0:14:30.320 --> 0:14:33.680
<v Speaker 3>do that using the existing supply chain from off for

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:36.600
<v Speaker 3>wind and offshore oil and gas, using the existing labor

0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:39.720
<v Speaker 3>force that is already skilled and trained to do heavy

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:45.840
<v Speaker 3>steel fabrication. So we've designed the plant to minimize the

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:49.600
<v Speaker 3>amount of what's called kind of nuclear QA nuclear grade

0:14:49.640 --> 0:14:51.440
<v Speaker 3>work so that we can have most of it done

0:14:51.440 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 3>by the labor that's already trained. There's a big labor

0:14:54.080 --> 0:14:56.840
<v Speaker 3>challenge for building nuclear and for building a lot of

0:14:56.960 --> 0:15:00.920
<v Speaker 3>large infrastructure around the West. So part of the exercise

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:03.480
<v Speaker 3>here is thinking about how the best leverage the supply

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:06.040
<v Speaker 3>chain and the labor resources we do have so that

0:15:06.080 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 3>we can go faster. It's critical that we think about

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 3>how to move quickly onto playing new nuclear. If we

0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:16.480
<v Speaker 3>were to starting clean Point C you know today, we

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:18.880
<v Speaker 3>wouldn't and we built it the same way, we wouldn't

0:15:18.880 --> 0:15:21.560
<v Speaker 3>be seeing the power come online until maybe twenty forty,

0:15:22.440 --> 0:15:26.320
<v Speaker 3>and that is just too far for most companies to

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:30.720
<v Speaker 3>make investment decisions. The Microsoft's Googles Amazons in the world

0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:32.960
<v Speaker 3>who are thinking about where the put Ai data centers,

0:15:33.320 --> 0:15:36.320
<v Speaker 3>they're making shorter time scale decisions. They need power sooner.

0:15:36.520 --> 0:15:41.680
<v Speaker 3>Governments every need to make decisions sooner. So the way

0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:45.520
<v Speaker 3>that we're designing this plant is specifically to attract project

0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:48.400
<v Speaker 3>finance so that commercial banks can get back into the

0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 3>business of investing in nuclear power infrastructure instead of relying

0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 3>on government substitutes, which has been the process to date

0:15:55.920 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 3>and tends to be very slow.

0:15:58.480 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so you can make one of these things in

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Aberdeen and ship it out to wherever it needs to go.

0:16:04.920 --> 0:16:06.120
<v Speaker 3>Yep, that's the idea.

0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:10.520
<v Speaker 1>How much space does it require? How much power does

0:16:10.560 --> 0:16:11.320
<v Speaker 1>it provide?

0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:15.040
<v Speaker 3>So the reactors we're working with can range in size

0:16:15.360 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 3>from approximately seven to seven megalots to three hundred megalots

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:26.680
<v Speaker 3>per reactor. Per unit, each unit takes up approximately two

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:30.320
<v Speaker 3>to three acres when you take into account the full system,

0:16:30.360 --> 0:16:33.440
<v Speaker 3>the steam plant, the balance of plant, switch yard. So

0:16:33.560 --> 0:16:37.840
<v Speaker 3>it's a very space efficient, very power dense way to

0:16:37.960 --> 0:16:41.680
<v Speaker 3>produce power. We are designing it so that it can

0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:47.520
<v Speaker 3>tuck into places along the coast, rivers, lakes, canals, or

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:50.840
<v Speaker 3>go further offshore, out of sight, out of mind, over

0:16:50.880 --> 0:16:54.160
<v Speaker 3>the horizon line. Most of our design is below the

0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 3>water line, so you don't have a large two hundred

0:16:56.960 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 3>meters mast sticking above the horizon line taking up your

0:16:59.480 --> 0:17:02.440
<v Speaker 3>whole shed. If you own some property on the coastline

0:17:02.480 --> 0:17:05.840
<v Speaker 3>and you're like looking at them to see we're designing

0:17:05.840 --> 0:17:07.120
<v Speaker 3>it to blend into the environment.

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:09.640
<v Speaker 1>Okay, just to remind everybodycuse we're not talking to an

0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:12.760
<v Speaker 1>expert audience here. The reason that all these plants are

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:14.560
<v Speaker 1>on the water is because the water is used for cooling,

0:17:14.600 --> 0:17:16.880
<v Speaker 1>so they're automatically on a lake on the sea, et cetera.

0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:19.440
<v Speaker 3>Well, yeah, particularly in the UK, you know, the UK's

0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 3>and islands, so a lot of the tower plants are

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:24.240
<v Speaker 3>along the coast. We like to have water for cooling

0:17:24.280 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 3>the condenser, so yeah, it's used for cooling.

0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:26.920
<v Speaker 2>Okay.

0:17:26.960 --> 0:17:30.040
<v Speaker 1>And price wise, that Hankley is costing as what thirty

0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:32.639
<v Speaker 1>four billion or something after being ten years late and

0:17:32.760 --> 0:17:35.400
<v Speaker 1>seven thousand changes, etc. That's the kind of price point

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 1>we'd really really like to avoid all of us everywhere,

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:38.440
<v Speaker 1>isn't it.

0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:41.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think thirty four billion and growing. We don't

0:17:41.720 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 3>know what the final number is until it's all said

0:17:44.200 --> 0:17:48.120
<v Speaker 3>and done. It's just not a sustainable number for any

0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 3>sort of financing for anybody to kind of buy an ass.

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:53.240
<v Speaker 3>It's even challenging for the government to do it. You're

0:17:53.280 --> 0:17:56.119
<v Speaker 3>getting basically a negotiation between the UK government and the

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:57.800
<v Speaker 3>French government to try to figure out how to get

0:17:57.800 --> 0:18:01.880
<v Speaker 3>that thing financed. We're doing is designing a plant where

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.240
<v Speaker 3>you can build a unit for on the order of

0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:07.119
<v Speaker 3>about half a billion so far less than a billion dollars,

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:11.320
<v Speaker 3>which enables private sources of capital to come in and

0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:12.080
<v Speaker 3>tryance it.

0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.840
<v Speaker 1>Okay, well, this sounds absolutely fantastic. When can we have them?

0:18:16.200 --> 0:18:19.200
<v Speaker 1>It went outside every small town in the UK immediately,

0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:20.719
<v Speaker 1>when's the first one going up?

0:18:20.760 --> 0:18:25.640
<v Speaker 3>And where we're targeting a commercial operation for our first

0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:29.399
<v Speaker 3>unit of twenty thirty one, it's specifically chosen a site

0:18:29.440 --> 0:18:31.840
<v Speaker 3>where it can have a more accelerated path to permitting.

0:18:31.920 --> 0:18:34.679
<v Speaker 3>I would say permitting and regulation that Nick brought up

0:18:34.720 --> 0:18:39.560
<v Speaker 3>earlier is probably the main source of friction for moving faster.

0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 3>If we had a more stream aligned permitting process for

0:18:43.520 --> 0:18:45.840
<v Speaker 3>nuclear not just in the UK but other parts of

0:18:45.880 --> 0:18:49.280
<v Speaker 3>the world, we can deploy it much more quickly using

0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:54.399
<v Speaker 3>this supply chain method that we're pursuable energy. So twenty

0:18:54.440 --> 0:18:57.800
<v Speaker 3>thirty one, we're in discussions about possibly pulling that's forward

0:18:58.000 --> 0:19:01.120
<v Speaker 3>a couple of years with with an AI data center

0:19:01.200 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 3>partner who has a lot of appetite for power and

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:07.560
<v Speaker 3>then once the first one's online, everybody wants to be

0:19:07.600 --> 0:19:10.719
<v Speaker 3>in line for the second, so it's very quickly, very

0:19:10.800 --> 0:19:11.920
<v Speaker 3>quick to ask that.

0:19:12.440 --> 0:19:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Okay, so it is It really is the AI providers

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:17.480
<v Speaker 1>who are transformation all in the space, isn't it. They're

0:19:17.520 --> 0:19:19.119
<v Speaker 1>the ones who are going to provide the finance to

0:19:19.280 --> 0:19:21.600
<v Speaker 1>get this kicked off. And once the first couple are up,

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:24.760
<v Speaker 1>every other industry and every government is going to go, wow,

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:26.800
<v Speaker 1>why didn't we do this before? I'll have one of

0:19:26.840 --> 0:19:29.720
<v Speaker 1>those two, and then Nick, we run into a problem,

0:19:29.760 --> 0:19:32.600
<v Speaker 1>don't we, because everyone's going to want the same bit

0:19:32.600 --> 0:19:33.679
<v Speaker 1>of uranium.

0:19:34.080 --> 0:19:36.520
<v Speaker 2>Correct, And that's the premise of our thesis for the

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 2>last five years. What Jake was saying about the timeline,

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:43.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean it's the same for Bill Gates and samill

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 2>On with their SMR designs. But a lot of this

0:19:46.359 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 2>is permissioning, as Jake says, I mean, Russia already has

0:19:49.200 --> 0:19:53.439
<v Speaker 2>a floating swarm water to reactor academic loominofs which provides

0:19:53.560 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 2>energy for remote locations. The Chinese also have them as well.

0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:00.760
<v Speaker 2>The issue now is the size of the not just

0:20:00.760 --> 0:20:03.680
<v Speaker 2>the swarmwer directors, but to have these sort of one

0:20:03.960 --> 0:20:08.639
<v Speaker 2>plus gigawatt reactors, and all these require fuel. That fuel

0:20:08.680 --> 0:20:13.679
<v Speaker 2>is uranium. Uranium is the only the only inputs to

0:20:13.720 --> 0:20:16.240
<v Speaker 2>a nuclear fuel rod. And I often give analogies to

0:20:16.280 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 2>people that it's a little bit like a glass of water.

0:20:19.320 --> 0:20:22.119
<v Speaker 2>What price would you pay for a glass of water? Now, well,

0:20:22.119 --> 0:20:24.520
<v Speaker 2>probably a pound? What price would you pay in a

0:20:24.560 --> 0:20:27.720
<v Speaker 2>week if you haven't had any well edit all your wealth,

0:20:27.720 --> 0:20:30.080
<v Speaker 2>then you'll probably kill me and everyone around you to

0:20:30.119 --> 0:20:34.320
<v Speaker 2>achieve it. And that inelasticity that exists within uranium means

0:20:34.359 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 2>that if a power plant doesn't have uranium, they have

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 2>to shutter, and that shuttering can take years to restart.

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:45.639
<v Speaker 2>But also it costs an excess of a million dollars

0:20:45.680 --> 0:20:48.440
<v Speaker 2>a day. But the most important issue is, and particularly

0:20:48.359 --> 0:20:50.719
<v Speaker 2>in areas like the US, we're one in four households

0:20:50.880 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 2>on the Western seaboard take power from nuclear is societal unrest.

0:20:56.480 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 2>If you turn off the nuclear power station, it doesn't

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:01.000
<v Speaker 2>take much in the US get people on the streets

0:21:01.000 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 2>with guns anyway. But you know, we saw in two

0:21:04.359 --> 0:21:08.879
<v Speaker 2>thousand and six the price of uranium spike seven times

0:21:08.920 --> 0:21:12.199
<v Speaker 2>in six months. And that was the time when you

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:14.359
<v Speaker 2>had half the world was against nuclear. You didn't have

0:21:14.400 --> 0:21:18.520
<v Speaker 2>iPhones or AI data centers and the price because fuel

0:21:18.520 --> 0:21:23.679
<v Speaker 2>buyers will pay anything, and I mean anything, because the

0:21:23.720 --> 0:21:26.320
<v Speaker 2>input of the fuel in the oval cost of nuclear

0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:29.560
<v Speaker 2>power plant is between three and five percent, which means

0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 2>they will pay anything to secure the fuel. The issue

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 2>we miss in the West is is this whole idea

0:21:35.440 --> 0:21:39.679
<v Speaker 2>of the inelasticity of demand but also the issue of supply.

0:21:39.760 --> 0:21:44.320
<v Speaker 2>There is one country that is responsible for forty percent

0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 2>of the output, and that is Kazakhstan, and that effectively

0:21:48.640 --> 0:21:52.480
<v Speaker 2>makes it in uranium terms, the equivalent of OPEC plus

0:21:53.119 --> 0:21:55.760
<v Speaker 2>one country. And that country is bordered by two other

0:21:55.800 --> 0:21:59.320
<v Speaker 2>countries Kazakhstan Russia to the north and China to the east.

0:22:00.000 --> 0:22:02.800
<v Speaker 2>And if you look at the history of Kazakhstan, it

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:06.560
<v Speaker 2>never had its colored revolution from Russia. I won't use

0:22:06.600 --> 0:22:08.520
<v Speaker 2>the word apparatchic, but if you look at the way

0:22:08.560 --> 0:22:11.160
<v Speaker 2>in which the fuel rights took place in twenty twenty

0:22:11.200 --> 0:22:15.240
<v Speaker 2>two and Astana, they were quelled by Russian paratroopers. We

0:22:15.280 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 2>study trade data that comes out of Kazakhstan, and eighty

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:21.680
<v Speaker 2>percent of their uranium exports in the last quarter went

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:24.719
<v Speaker 2>to Russia and China. We are seeing a bifurcation of

0:22:24.720 --> 0:22:28.680
<v Speaker 2>supply from the world's biggest producer away from the West

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:32.320
<v Speaker 2>and to the east. We study and track all the

0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:36.159
<v Speaker 2>MIT state visits that take place. President She's first trip

0:22:36.440 --> 0:22:40.640
<v Speaker 2>after COVID was to see present Tokev of Kazakhstan when

0:22:40.720 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 2>Makron took Framatone and Arano out to Astana to meet

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:49.280
<v Speaker 2>Present Tokerev last November, who turned up the following week. Putin,

0:22:50.119 --> 0:22:55.280
<v Speaker 2>this is the hottest, hottest person at the disco Kazakhstan,

0:22:55.320 --> 0:22:58.400
<v Speaker 2>and everyone wants them now if you can't. The only

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 2>way in which uranium moves properly out of kazakhstanis through Russia,

0:23:02.840 --> 0:23:05.160
<v Speaker 2>so Petez on the Baltic and then it goes out.

0:23:05.359 --> 0:23:07.240
<v Speaker 2>We've looked at other roots to see if it can

0:23:07.240 --> 0:23:10.200
<v Speaker 2>move out through the East. It can't through to China,

0:23:10.320 --> 0:23:13.520
<v Speaker 2>and whether it can move through the Caspian Sea, the

0:23:13.560 --> 0:23:17.359
<v Speaker 2>Black Sea and the Bosphorus. It's almost impossible to do so.

0:23:17.520 --> 0:23:21.560
<v Speaker 2>Putin owns all the cards in this in this trade

0:23:21.560 --> 0:23:24.880
<v Speaker 2>at the moment, and Russia has been pioneering Uranian enrichment

0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 2>using gas interfugia since the sixties. They're responsible for fifty

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 2>percent of the world's enrichment. So you take the fuel

0:23:31.840 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 2>out of the ground in Kazakhstan as the oxide. Then

0:23:34.280 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 2>you have to turn it into a gas. Then you

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:38.080
<v Speaker 2>turn it into the pellets that go into the fuel rods.

0:23:38.600 --> 0:23:40.480
<v Speaker 2>That is done by Russia, but.

0:23:40.440 --> 0:23:42.800
<v Speaker 1>Not only Russian. It because you say forty percent comes

0:23:42.840 --> 0:23:44.959
<v Speaker 1>from the Kazakhsan where's the other sixty percent? I mean,

0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:46.760
<v Speaker 1>I love Canada. We like Canada.

0:23:47.040 --> 0:23:49.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well it's really it's a really good if you

0:23:49.280 --> 0:23:52.760
<v Speaker 2>look at the world. So Russia have a policy called

0:23:52.800 --> 0:23:55.960
<v Speaker 2>Near and Beyond are very similar to the Wings Belt

0:23:56.000 --> 0:23:58.720
<v Speaker 2>and Road initiative in China, which is to take control

0:23:58.760 --> 0:24:02.399
<v Speaker 2>of people that have or to go and build the plants,

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:06.800
<v Speaker 2>run the plants, fuel the plants in countries that mine

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:09.639
<v Speaker 2>the uranium. So if you look at the coups that

0:24:09.680 --> 0:24:12.639
<v Speaker 2>have gone from West to East Africa, Niche is the

0:24:12.720 --> 0:24:16.159
<v Speaker 2>fourth biggest producer of uranium that now is under the

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:18.920
<v Speaker 2>qu Daeta and the friendship being kicked out and the

0:24:19.000 --> 0:24:21.679
<v Speaker 2>Russians are now in there. If you look at the

0:24:21.680 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 2>other big producer, the Mibia is really controlled by China

0:24:25.080 --> 0:24:29.760
<v Speaker 2>through the Wings program. The other biggest producers Uzbekistan. So

0:24:29.840 --> 0:24:32.840
<v Speaker 2>you can get a picture. Now, Yes, Canada is a

0:24:32.880 --> 0:24:37.160
<v Speaker 2>producer of uranium habi Athabasca Basin in Saskatchewan. It produces

0:24:37.200 --> 0:24:40.560
<v Speaker 2>twelve percent of the world's uranium. But to give you

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:45.640
<v Speaker 2>an example, we financed the company that found discovered uranium

0:24:45.680 --> 0:24:48.920
<v Speaker 2>in twenty ten. They get it out to the ground

0:24:49.440 --> 0:24:53.560
<v Speaker 2>in twenty thirty two. Because everything in uranium exactly the

0:24:53.560 --> 0:24:57.080
<v Speaker 2>same is what Jate was saying around building plants is glacial.

0:24:57.800 --> 0:25:01.440
<v Speaker 2>Everything is glacial. Nothing moves quickly, and so the idea

0:25:01.480 --> 0:25:04.199
<v Speaker 2>of being able to ramp up production in uranium is

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:07.639
<v Speaker 2>dis impossible. So uranium has gone up three times in

0:25:07.640 --> 0:25:12.440
<v Speaker 2>the last four years, and the supply response it's gone down. Now,

0:25:12.480 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 2>what other commodity can you think of with a supply

0:25:14.680 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 2>response to a tripling in the price is going down.

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:20.560
<v Speaker 2>I think the price of uranium could be moving so

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.600
<v Speaker 2>exponentially that there will have to be almost like a

0:25:23.640 --> 0:25:26.280
<v Speaker 2>forced measure from governments, and that won't stop the price

0:25:26.320 --> 0:25:26.919
<v Speaker 2>going higher.

0:25:27.840 --> 0:25:29.679
<v Speaker 1>My worry here is that one of the things that

0:25:29.760 --> 0:25:33.159
<v Speaker 1>we started talking about was energy security and how we

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:35.399
<v Speaker 1>don't really get much of that from renewables, and we

0:25:35.400 --> 0:25:37.479
<v Speaker 1>certainly don't go much better from fossil fuels given we

0:25:37.480 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>refuse to explore and produce our own but I had

0:25:41.119 --> 0:25:43.879
<v Speaker 1>thought that maybe nuclear was a place we could get

0:25:43.880 --> 0:25:46.640
<v Speaker 1>a little energy security from. But from what you say,

0:25:46.760 --> 0:25:49.240
<v Speaker 1>absolutely not.

0:25:48.320 --> 0:25:50.919
<v Speaker 2>Not So the advice I gave to the government and

0:25:50.960 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 2>I still live to the government cause I advised the

0:25:52.480 --> 0:25:56.400
<v Speaker 2>treasury and number ten is the idea of having our

0:25:56.440 --> 0:26:00.239
<v Speaker 2>own sort of sequestering vehicle for uranium. Now, we are

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:03.679
<v Speaker 2>very fortunate that with Urenko we have enrichment facilities in

0:26:03.720 --> 0:26:08.000
<v Speaker 2>the UK, and they do exist, but it's not the

0:26:08.080 --> 0:26:10.280
<v Speaker 2>amount of the levels of enrichment that we need. And

0:26:10.320 --> 0:26:13.760
<v Speaker 2>there's a fundamental reason for this is that after nineteen

0:26:13.840 --> 0:26:17.720
<v Speaker 2>ninety three, when Yeltsin and Bush signed the mega tons

0:26:17.720 --> 0:26:20.040
<v Speaker 2>to megawatts program, this was the idea of the down

0:26:20.119 --> 0:26:23.320
<v Speaker 2>blending of Russian weapons grade uranium to be sold as

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:28.120
<v Speaker 2>an energy source. The world became hooked on cheap down

0:26:28.160 --> 0:26:31.720
<v Speaker 2>blended Russian uranium, which meant that they stopped investing in

0:26:31.760 --> 0:26:35.920
<v Speaker 2>their own centrifuges and enrichment facilities, and so by dint

0:26:35.920 --> 0:26:38.960
<v Speaker 2>of that, we don't have them. So Russia controls that game.

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:42.240
<v Speaker 2>So there is only one operational conversion facility in the

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 2>US that's in New Mexico, and it's run by Urenko, Right.

0:26:46.200 --> 0:26:48.160
<v Speaker 1>We've really got to stop getting hooked on Russian gear,

0:26:48.200 --> 0:26:50.800
<v Speaker 1>haven't we. We have to Jaco, Are you worried about

0:26:50.840 --> 0:26:52.720
<v Speaker 1>the supply of uranium to your plant?

0:26:53.359 --> 0:26:55.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I guess I want to add a few things here,

0:26:56.000 --> 0:27:00.800
<v Speaker 3>so don't want to in an inaccurate or so mystic picture.

0:27:01.440 --> 0:27:03.639
<v Speaker 3>I got to work with one of the largest nuclear

0:27:03.680 --> 0:27:05.919
<v Speaker 3>fuel park camroutines at Excellon when I was there on

0:27:05.920 --> 0:27:10.359
<v Speaker 3>the corporate strategy for six years. Excellent owned well now

0:27:10.440 --> 0:27:14.040
<v Speaker 3>constellations about I think it's twenty two to twenty three

0:27:14.040 --> 0:27:16.800
<v Speaker 3>reactors in the US. They'd buy a more nuclear fuel

0:27:16.880 --> 0:27:19.760
<v Speaker 3>than pretty much anybody, and we would buy pretty far

0:27:19.800 --> 0:27:21.840
<v Speaker 3>out in the future. As part of the supply chain.

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:28.040
<v Speaker 3>Uranium has not been a huge concern, largely because there

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:32.840
<v Speaker 3>are major uranium supplies in the US, in Canada and Australia,

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:35.600
<v Speaker 3>and not just in Kazakhstan. It's just that it's been

0:27:35.680 --> 0:27:39.879
<v Speaker 3>such a steady state supply and demand that there hasn't

0:27:39.880 --> 0:27:42.160
<v Speaker 3>been a lot of investment in new supply, and over

0:27:42.200 --> 0:27:45.399
<v Speaker 3>the years the supply is just slowly shuttered. If the

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:47.879
<v Speaker 3>price really spiked, just like anything, you'd see a lot

0:27:47.920 --> 0:27:51.640
<v Speaker 3>of new supply come online. In uranium mine.

0:27:52.040 --> 0:27:55.640
<v Speaker 2>Way would you? But Jake, I hear what you're saying

0:27:55.680 --> 0:27:59.160
<v Speaker 2>that a uranium mine is not like you don't take

0:27:59.200 --> 0:28:02.480
<v Speaker 2>it out of muffball and restart it. The inflatory break

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:05.600
<v Speaker 2>even costs of restarting a US miners around ninety dollars

0:28:05.640 --> 0:28:08.520
<v Speaker 2>a pound, But then you've got to go through the permissioning.

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:12.200
<v Speaker 2>I mean, we the US mine five hundred thousand pounds

0:28:12.200 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 2>of uranium a year. The global need is fifty million.

0:28:15.880 --> 0:28:18.480
<v Speaker 2>You know, this is almost impossible. And all the rigs

0:28:18.480 --> 0:28:20.760
<v Speaker 2>that were used in Why I'm in Utah have all

0:28:20.800 --> 0:28:23.960
<v Speaker 2>moved to oil and gas. The people, the geologists, the scientists,

0:28:23.960 --> 0:28:30.320
<v Speaker 2>they've all disappeared. It sounds so obvious to restart production,

0:28:30.400 --> 0:28:32.800
<v Speaker 2>but it's impossible to do in actual effect.

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:36.080
<v Speaker 3>I fully disagree. I complete.

0:28:36.119 --> 0:28:39.840
<v Speaker 2>Why Why do you disagree? Why do you disagree? Tell

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:41.360
<v Speaker 2>me in mine that you can restart now?

0:28:42.280 --> 0:28:45.880
<v Speaker 3>Well, so mining uranium isn't like mining most stays. And

0:28:45.920 --> 0:28:47.880
<v Speaker 3>that's because like a lot of people think about, oh,

0:28:47.880 --> 0:28:50.320
<v Speaker 3>it's a fuel, like it's like like coal or like gas,

0:28:50.480 --> 0:28:52.880
<v Speaker 3>and they think about roughly the ratio of how much

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:54.200
<v Speaker 3>of it you need? You need to feed a lot

0:28:54.200 --> 0:28:56.000
<v Speaker 3>of coal a lot of gas, a lot of other

0:28:56.240 --> 0:29:00.600
<v Speaker 3>kind of manner into these types of enter production for

0:29:00.680 --> 0:29:03.560
<v Speaker 3>nuclear nuclear is about one hundred million times more energy

0:29:03.600 --> 0:29:06.320
<v Speaker 3>against premium mass than anything else. You don't need you

0:29:06.360 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 3>to very much uranium to make a maguad hour, which

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 3>means that you can actually it's valuable to pour uranium

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:17.719
<v Speaker 3>out of extremely dilute sources. You can extract uranium out

0:29:17.720 --> 0:29:18.280
<v Speaker 3>of seawater.

0:29:18.400 --> 0:29:19.480
<v Speaker 2>How much does that cost?

0:29:19.960 --> 0:29:21.680
<v Speaker 3>The Japanese have shown you can do this for about

0:29:21.680 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 3>four hundred dollars a kilogram, four.

0:29:23.080 --> 0:29:25.160
<v Speaker 2>Hundred dollars a killer so four hundred dollars a killer one.

0:29:25.160 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 2>What's the price at the moment? It's sixty three dollars

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:31.200
<v Speaker 2>a pound the cost of extraction from seawater. So that

0:29:31.320 --> 0:29:33.000
<v Speaker 2>means the price of uranium is going to have to

0:29:33.080 --> 0:29:36.160
<v Speaker 2>absolutely raw to make the extractional costs from it.

0:29:36.640 --> 0:29:37.680
<v Speaker 1>Isn't that part of your point?

0:29:37.680 --> 0:29:38.120
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't.

0:29:38.200 --> 0:29:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Isn't that part of your point. It doesn't matter if

0:29:40.080 --> 0:29:42.680
<v Speaker 1>it rules, because it's such a tiny part of the

0:29:42.800 --> 0:29:45.720
<v Speaker 1>process that it doesn't matter if your uranium cost you

0:29:45.760 --> 0:29:47.520
<v Speaker 1>four hundred dollars. It's just a matter of it. Is

0:29:47.520 --> 0:29:50.520
<v Speaker 1>there uranium out there that we can get to keep

0:29:50.520 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 1>the plants rolling.

0:29:51.680 --> 0:29:55.160
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to play the expert here to uranium in

0:29:55.280 --> 0:29:58.640
<v Speaker 2>terms of the world needs two hundred million pounds as

0:29:58.640 --> 0:30:01.360
<v Speaker 2>it stands at the moment of side. When you mind

0:30:01.480 --> 0:30:04.040
<v Speaker 2>uranium at one hundred and fifty meters below ground, it

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:06.600
<v Speaker 2>has non conformity. It's a bit like a pearl necklace

0:30:06.640 --> 0:30:10.200
<v Speaker 2>with different sized pearls. The absolute amounts are tiny. The

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:12.480
<v Speaker 2>way in which geologists find it is they look for

0:30:12.640 --> 0:30:16.520
<v Speaker 2>radioactive samples in small boulders and they triangulate them from

0:30:16.560 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 2>where they would have moved from the thawing of the

0:30:18.200 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 2>last ice Age ten thousand years ago. They then have

0:30:21.000 --> 0:30:24.360
<v Speaker 2>to vector into very very very specific areas to find

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:27.640
<v Speaker 2>those scenes. There's two big seams that run radioactive seams

0:30:27.640 --> 0:30:31.040
<v Speaker 2>that run through the Athabasca basin. Then the timing of

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:34.480
<v Speaker 2>being able to extract it, permissioning from indigenous people, finding

0:30:34.520 --> 0:30:37.960
<v Speaker 2>the geologists, the cost of the rigs, everything about it

0:30:38.000 --> 0:30:40.200
<v Speaker 2>has to have a break even price to know that

0:30:40.240 --> 0:30:42.880
<v Speaker 2>you can sell that uranium at a future point in

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:45.760
<v Speaker 2>time of ninety dollars a pound. The current price is

0:30:45.800 --> 0:30:48.240
<v Speaker 2>sixty five. So we're now in a point where no

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:50.560
<v Speaker 2>way is going to restart. If you wanted to restart

0:30:50.720 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 2>any mine in the world, it's going to take you

0:30:53.160 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 2>four to five years of permissioning from an existing site

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 2>where broke US to uranium Nager Corporation, who are the

0:30:59.240 --> 0:31:02.560
<v Speaker 2>biggest US producer at the moment, they are waiting. They

0:31:02.560 --> 0:31:05.200
<v Speaker 2>sit on pounds and they're waiting. Of course they're waiting

0:31:05.240 --> 0:31:07.840
<v Speaker 2>because they have to be contracted at something norms of

0:31:07.880 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 2>one hundred to make it economically viable.

0:31:10.280 --> 0:31:12.320
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So I think we can agree on one thing,

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:14.640
<v Speaker 1>which is that uranium price will probably go up.

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:17.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay, yes, yes, okay.

0:31:17.240 --> 0:31:20.600
<v Speaker 1>So we can disagree about how the supply demand imbalance

0:31:20.680 --> 0:31:23.520
<v Speaker 1>may or may not be solved over the next five

0:31:23.560 --> 0:31:26.400
<v Speaker 1>to ten years, but we can agree that in the

0:31:26.520 --> 0:31:28.600
<v Speaker 1>short to medium term we would expect to see the

0:31:28.720 --> 0:31:32.800
<v Speaker 1>uranium price rise significantly. And we can also agree that

0:31:32.800 --> 0:31:37.280
<v Speaker 1>that shouldn't make any difference to the ongoing process of

0:31:37.360 --> 0:31:40.360
<v Speaker 1>producing a SMRs and bumping up the production of nuclear

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:41.160
<v Speaker 1>energy globally.

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.840
<v Speaker 2>Is that fair? I'm going to say one thing, and

0:31:43.920 --> 0:31:47.120
<v Speaker 2>I think the issue that we're seeing with Bill Gates

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 2>and Sam Altman securing the fuel, as Jake said, is

0:31:51.400 --> 0:31:54.719
<v Speaker 2>because when they started modeling the cost of small modulary

0:31:54.800 --> 0:31:58.400
<v Speaker 2>actors buck. In twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen, the cost of

0:31:58.480 --> 0:32:02.360
<v Speaker 2>enriched uranium was around six one thousand dollars a kilogram,

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:06.200
<v Speaker 2>that IRR was around fourteen to fifteen percent. It's now

0:32:06.640 --> 0:32:10.080
<v Speaker 2>thirty two thousand dollars a kilogram, which means that IRR

0:32:10.560 --> 0:32:12.960
<v Speaker 2>is zero. They need to find a way to secure

0:32:13.000 --> 0:32:15.800
<v Speaker 2>in rich uranium and a cost that brings the irs

0:32:16.120 --> 0:32:18.280
<v Speaker 2>back up to where they were when they started modeling.

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:19.680
<v Speaker 2>Small modulor reacted.

0:32:19.920 --> 0:32:21.920
<v Speaker 1>Jake, anything that we've missed? Do you think that you

0:32:21.960 --> 0:32:23.720
<v Speaker 1>would like to add this conversation.

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:26.880
<v Speaker 3>As a species, we need to figure out how to

0:32:26.880 --> 0:32:29.640
<v Speaker 3>come groupes of nuclear power pretty much every every power

0:32:29.680 --> 0:32:32.600
<v Speaker 3>source in universe. Ultimately it stems from nuclear. Wind and

0:32:32.600 --> 0:32:35.920
<v Speaker 3>solar are just indirect ways of extracting energy from the Sun.

0:32:36.600 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 3>And then if we're going to embrace this future of

0:32:39.360 --> 0:32:41.920
<v Speaker 3>energy abundance, not just for AI, but for any other

0:32:42.160 --> 0:32:45.800
<v Speaker 3>innovation that we're going to drive forward in our economy,

0:32:46.280 --> 0:32:48.760
<v Speaker 3>we've got to figure out how to build how to

0:32:48.760 --> 0:32:51.240
<v Speaker 3>build more nuclear power, and how to build out the

0:32:51.240 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 3>supply chain for nuclear power. Fuel included, labor included, still included, and.

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:01.520
<v Speaker 1>That is the path to cheap, abundant energy and fastising

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 1>living standards around the world, which of course is everyone's ultimate.

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:07.120
<v Speaker 3>Aim, right, Absolutely brilliant.

0:33:07.160 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 1>Thank you both so much, Nick, anything else you want

0:33:09.880 --> 0:33:11.000
<v Speaker 1>to add.

0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:14.840
<v Speaker 2>I'll say this, China have built thirty seven one gigawatt

0:33:14.880 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 2>reactors since Fukushima. They're building one hundred and fifty reactors

0:33:19.520 --> 0:33:23.280
<v Speaker 2>over the next decade. Now. That is effectively their demand

0:33:23.440 --> 0:33:27.000
<v Speaker 2>is to create two hundred gigawatts, which is twelve Beijing's

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:31.000
<v Speaker 2>of power. So I think if when we look at

0:33:31.000 --> 0:33:33.720
<v Speaker 2>what the UK is doing and contextualize it, it's the

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:36.240
<v Speaker 2>command economies that are really really going to drive this

0:33:36.320 --> 0:33:39.600
<v Speaker 2>further forward because they are building at a rate that

0:33:39.680 --> 0:33:41.400
<v Speaker 2>we can't even conceptualize.

0:33:41.680 --> 0:33:44.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and we should start thinking more about that. Thank you,

0:33:44.720 --> 0:33:47.240
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Nick, Thank you, Jake, very very kind of

0:33:47.320 --> 0:33:48.680
<v Speaker 1>you both too, join.

0:33:48.520 --> 0:33:49.960
<v Speaker 3>Us, Thank you, Thank you.

0:33:55.920 --> 0:33:57.760
<v Speaker 1>Right before we go, As you know here on Marrin

0:33:57.800 --> 0:34:00.080
<v Speaker 1>talks money, we like to leave you with a takeaway

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:02.640
<v Speaker 1>or two. So I know that after all this discussion

0:34:02.640 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 1>about uranium, uranium mining and uculear power, you will want

0:34:06.600 --> 0:34:08.880
<v Speaker 1>to know how you can invest. Now, obviously there is

0:34:08.960 --> 0:34:12.400
<v Speaker 1>not investment advice or anything remotely like that, but we

0:34:12.520 --> 0:34:14.839
<v Speaker 1>just wanted to let you know roughly where you can look.

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:16.840
<v Speaker 1>There are a couple of investment trusts in the space.

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:21.200
<v Speaker 1>There's Yellowcake and there's Giga Counter. Yellowcake actually holds physical

0:34:21.360 --> 0:34:26.440
<v Speaker 1>uranium oxide concentrate. Geiga Counter investment in exploration development production

0:34:26.560 --> 0:34:29.400
<v Speaker 1>companies in the sector. You can also look at the ETF.

0:34:29.440 --> 0:34:31.920
<v Speaker 1>There are quite a few of these. There's the Sprott

0:34:32.080 --> 0:34:35.880
<v Speaker 1>Uranium Miners ETF and there's the Global x Uranium ETF.

0:34:35.880 --> 0:34:39.000
<v Speaker 1>That's just a couple. There are several more, and the

0:34:39.040 --> 0:34:42.279
<v Speaker 1>performance of everything that I just mentioned should of course

0:34:42.320 --> 0:34:46.319
<v Speaker 1>be pretty closely linked to the uranium price. Thanks for

0:34:46.360 --> 0:34:49.240
<v Speaker 1>listening to this week's Marin Talks Money. If you like us, show, rate, review,

0:34:49.280 --> 0:34:51.760
<v Speaker 1>and subscribe wherever you listen to podcasts, and keep sending

0:34:51.800 --> 0:34:54.040
<v Speaker 1>questions or comments some Merri Money at Bloomberg dot net.

0:34:54.040 --> 0:34:56.279
<v Speaker 1>You can also follow me and John on Twitter or

0:34:56.640 --> 0:35:00.440
<v Speaker 1>xim marins w and John is John Underscore Step. Episode

0:35:00.440 --> 0:35:02.960
<v Speaker 1>was hosted by Mimare and some Upweb. It was produced

0:35:02.960 --> 0:35:07.160
<v Speaker 1>by Somesadi Moses and Amantala Amadi. Sound designed by Blake Naples.

0:35:07.320 --> 0:35:09.399
<v Speaker 1>Special thanks to Jake and to Nick