WEBVTT - Tesla's Master Plan, Part Quattro

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. Let me tell you

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<v Speaker 1>we have a new star. A star is born elan

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<v Speaker 1>On mars Jus and Kennemy.

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<v Speaker 2>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus of our age.

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<v Speaker 1>Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel for the guy.

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<v Speaker 1>I would say ninety eight percent really appreciate what he does.

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<v Speaker 1>But those two percent.

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<v Speaker 2>That are nasty, they are opit in full.

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<v Speaker 1>Fols. We were meant for great things in the United

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<v Speaker 1>States of America, and Elon reminds us of that. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>very disappointed in Elon.

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<v Speaker 2>I've helped Elon a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Elon Aink, Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>It's Tuesday, September two. I'm your host, Max Chafkin, joined

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<v Speaker 1>right now by Craig Trudell, Bloomberg Autos editor, Hey, Craig AMX,

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<v Speaker 1>and of course Stana Hall, Bloomberg Elon Musk reporter and

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<v Speaker 1>the regular contributor to this podcast, Dana. How are you, hey, Max?

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<v Speaker 1>So yesterday was Labor Day. Normally that's a slow day,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess slow day for most of people in the

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<v Speaker 1>United States anyway, But it wasn't slow for Elon, so

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla unveiled its master Plan Part four. These were once

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<v Speaker 1>like a big part of the company's identity, of Elon's identity.

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<v Speaker 1>But the weird thing about this fourth master plan was

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<v Speaker 1>that Elon basically didn't talk about it. Most of the weekend.

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<v Speaker 1>He was tweeting about kind of his usual like political interests.

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<v Speaker 1>He was tweeting about the quote rape of Europe, a

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<v Speaker 1>bunch of other niche topics, birth rates, far right, British politics,

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<v Speaker 1>supposed voter fraud, groomers, JB. Pritzker's cousin. It went on

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<v Speaker 1>and on and on, many many tweets about all this,

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<v Speaker 1>and the only mention as far as I could find

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<v Speaker 1>of the master plan at all was the comment that

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<v Speaker 1>quote eighty percent of Tesla's value will be optimists. We'll

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<v Speaker 1>get to optimists in a second, But Craig, what is

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<v Speaker 1>your read on this latest master plan?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, as you alluded to, this has been the big

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<v Speaker 3>thing in Tesla lore right. The first one came out

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<v Speaker 3>in two thousand and six, and it was before Tesla

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<v Speaker 3>was really even on most people's radar. It wasn't really

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<v Speaker 3>a company that was on the tip of anybody's tongue

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<v Speaker 3>wasn't the world's most valuable car company, and it was

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<v Speaker 3>kind of endearing. It's sort of you know, it was fun.

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<v Speaker 3>It was the title of it was something about secret

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<v Speaker 3>master plan between you and me. It was something that

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<v Speaker 3>people could enjoy. It was a little bit unconventional, not

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<v Speaker 3>like other CEOs. I think the second one was sort

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<v Speaker 3>of like that too, right. They referred to it as

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<v Speaker 3>master Plan Pardue. I think we're less jokey with the

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<v Speaker 3>last iteration. They tried to do this long winded presentation

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<v Speaker 3>about all it was going to take to turn the

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<v Speaker 3>world to sustainable energy. And I feel like it was

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<v Speaker 3>right around that time that this was a company that

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<v Speaker 3>was all about sustainable energy. To Psyche, it's all about AI,

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<v Speaker 3>it's all about robots, it's all about self driving cars,

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<v Speaker 3>and the business that you've known us for since the

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<v Speaker 3>beginning forget about it. Where As Dana likes to say,

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<v Speaker 3>we're tired of we're bored of making cars and this

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<v Speaker 3>master plan it really underwhelmed me. It was super vague,

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<v Speaker 3>had a lot of platitudes, and it was very uninitial

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<v Speaker 3>master plan like in that it was a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>empty rhetoric and sort of vague platitudes and not much substance.

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<v Speaker 1>Part quatro dana, I mean definitely less specific. Sustainable abundance

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<v Speaker 1>is the main theme.

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<v Speaker 2>Yes, abundance is like the new buzzword. And I'm like,

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<v Speaker 2>are they just trying to like jump on the fact

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<v Speaker 2>that there's a book out about abundance and like capture

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<v Speaker 2>the like search engine SEO terms about that. What struck

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<v Speaker 2>me is that this is recycling stuff that has been

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<v Speaker 2>in their shareholder decks and in their impact reports. They're

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<v Speaker 2>like even the picture of like the family playing Jiggo,

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<v Speaker 2>while I guess Optimist is in the background like watering

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<v Speaker 2>the plants or something like that. We've seen those images before,

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<v Speaker 2>and so fundamentally, I think that Tesla has a real

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<v Speaker 2>marketing problem where you have a CEO who is clearly

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<v Speaker 2>bored of the car industry, wanting to continue to ride

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<v Speaker 2>this AI hype wave and convinced shareholders that the future

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<v Speaker 2>is all about robotics and AI, but like they keep

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<v Speaker 2>falling short of really being able to do that in

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<v Speaker 2>a cogent way. And for a long time it was

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<v Speaker 2>all about FSD, But now I almost get the sense

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<v Speaker 2>that Elon is tired of FSD because he's talking more

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<v Speaker 2>about optimists. If optimist is going to be eighty percent

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<v Speaker 2>of the value, then what is the value of FFSD?

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<v Speaker 2>Like he's constantly reinventing ways for Tesla to differentiate itself. Meanwhile,

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<v Speaker 2>as Craig knows, like they've got four factories around the

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<v Speaker 2>globe that are over capacity and declining sales, Like what

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<v Speaker 2>are they going to do with these auto plants that

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<v Speaker 2>they built in Berlin? In places like Berlin? I just

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<v Speaker 2>think it's like, why drop this on labor Day? Unlet

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<v Speaker 2>It's the proxy is gonna come out soon. But it's

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<v Speaker 2>just like from from everything, from like a timing perspective

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<v Speaker 2>and a marketing perspective and a strategic communications perspective. It's

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<v Speaker 2>the mess that Tesla has always been.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to get to this sort of marketing question

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute. But like Craig on this optimist thing,

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<v Speaker 1>Elon's own, like I said, his only comment about this,

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<v Speaker 1>and in years past, right the part uno or part

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<v Speaker 1>uh and part duh were very personal documents. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>Part uh was basically a blog post. Uh. Part two

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<v Speaker 1>was a blog post. Part three was this crazy white paper.

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<v Speaker 1>But even there, Elon spent a lot of time tweeting

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<v Speaker 1>about it, and I went back and looked and he

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<v Speaker 1>was promoting it on the day it dropped. He was

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<v Speaker 1>talking about he's talking about writing it eighty percent of

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<v Speaker 1>Tesla's valuable optimist, Craig, do you know what that actually means? Like,

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<v Speaker 1>is that is there a deadline on that? Or like,

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<v Speaker 1>at what point is optimists eighty percent? Any sense of

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<v Speaker 1>how investors should should model this one?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, my inbox has been interesting. We have a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of investors that tend to like to message authors of

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<v Speaker 3>stories about Tesla, as you might imagine, and most of them, yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>have been very thumbs down and sort of bronx cheers

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<v Speaker 3>in terms of this, you know, and they're pretty consistent,

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<v Speaker 3>right of, like how long is this guy going to

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<v Speaker 3>keep up the stick of trying to cover for the

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<v Speaker 3>fact that his car business is not growing and not

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<v Speaker 3>even really do so in an incredible way, because you know,

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<v Speaker 3>these robots make for cool hype videos, they make for

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<v Speaker 3>maybe being fun at parties, although we've seen that they've

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<v Speaker 3>needed remote support in order to do simple things like

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<v Speaker 3>serve drinks. Like, we have no idea when exactly these

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<v Speaker 3>robots are actually going to be as Musk would say,

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<v Speaker 3>doing something useful, and until and unless we have a

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<v Speaker 3>clear indication of what sort of glidepath we are on

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<v Speaker 3>toward that, how can you possibly come up with a

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<v Speaker 3>credible sort of line about how much value this product

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<v Speaker 3>is going to be for this company in the next

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<v Speaker 3>few years.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm also just like stignied by the ever changing mission

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<v Speaker 2>of the company. So first it was to celebrate the

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<v Speaker 2>advent of sustainable transportation that it was widened to be

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<v Speaker 2>sustainable energy, and we saw products like the solar roof

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<v Speaker 2>and the power wall and the megapac, which are real

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<v Speaker 2>products and actually like a pretty actually are like a

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<v Speaker 2>growth driver of the business at this point. But now

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<v Speaker 2>it's sustainable abundance. And it's like what does abundance mean?

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<v Speaker 2>Am I supposed to think that? Like if Optimists can

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<v Speaker 2>water my garden, that's somehow abundant for me? Like I

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<v Speaker 2>actually enjoy watering my garden. Like what I don't understand?

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<v Speaker 2>Like what is what is abundance supposed to mean? Is

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<v Speaker 2>it time? Is it wealth? Is it like freedom from

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<v Speaker 2>mundane tasks? Like if you look at these shareholder decks,

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<v Speaker 2>like Optimist is pushing a baby carriage, and is that

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<v Speaker 2>the product that Elon is now most excited about because

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<v Speaker 2>it certainly sounds like it based on his post sun X.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean, I think just to maybe I'm reading

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<v Speaker 1>too much into this. I mean, I think it's the

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<v Speaker 1>idea that these optimi will eventually staff factories and be

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<v Speaker 1>much less expensive than human workers, and therefore our stuff

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<v Speaker 1>will get much, much much cheaper. It's the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>like utopian like Sam Altman. I mean, obviously Elon and

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<v Speaker 1>Sam Altman have their differences, but like the kind of

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<v Speaker 1>techno utopian idea of AI. I mean, that's that's my

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<v Speaker 1>reading of it. But like to your point and to

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<v Speaker 1>Craig's point, optimists, according to this very short master plan,

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<v Speaker 1>is quote changing not only the perception of labor itself,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's availability and capability. So maybe it sound like

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<v Speaker 1>optimist is already put to work. There are these pictures

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<v Speaker 1>that Dana mentions in this in this thing. One is

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<v Speaker 1>an optimize, an optimist working in a factory. It looks

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<v Speaker 1>like with some little chemical vials. There's also a very

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<v Speaker 1>nice one of a of a like kind of a

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<v Speaker 1>high end party scene where the optimist is serving drinks.

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<v Speaker 1>Another one where the optimist is watering the plants. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess the family plays Jenga some really you know,

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<v Speaker 1>pastoral scenes. But like, is optimists even in the Tesla

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<v Speaker 1>Cafe still remember we had those videos where it was

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<v Speaker 1>making popcorn. Are we seeing more Optimists out in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Do we have any sense of actual progress here?

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<v Speaker 3>I think Musk was asked about this and has been

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<v Speaker 3>asked about this the last couple of earnings calls, and

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<v Speaker 3>he's been really sort of reluctant to give firm timelines.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think my favorite on the last earnings call was,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, it's really hard to talk about the beginning

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<v Speaker 3>of an S curve, but you know it's much easier

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<v Speaker 3>for me to say five years from now, there's gonna

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<v Speaker 3>be these really big numbers of these things to talk about,

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<v Speaker 3>and that you know, it's just gonna go like Gangbusters,

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<v Speaker 3>but actually pin down on but when exactly are we

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<v Speaker 3>going to see these being sold to customers outside of

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<v Speaker 3>Tesla and not just use by your own employees And

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<v Speaker 3>he won't really say. I think the closest he got

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<v Speaker 3>to that was back in January, where he said maybe

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<v Speaker 3>second half of next year for him to be again

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<v Speaker 3>talking about.

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<v Speaker 1>Shan elon time could mean anything from second half of

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<v Speaker 1>next year to second half of next decades.

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<v Speaker 3>It's so ironic for him to say, Oh, it's easier

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<v Speaker 3>for me to talk about five years out from now

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<v Speaker 3>and harder about the nearer term, when even his super

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<v Speaker 3>fans make jokes at his expense about whenever he says

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<v Speaker 3>two weeks be skeptical about something actually being ready two

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<v Speaker 3>weeks from now.

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<v Speaker 1>Dana, what is happening with Tesla's auto sales? There have

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<v Speaker 1>been a couple of bad quarters. I know that there

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<v Speaker 1>are bulls who are sort of hoping that the anxiety

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<v Speaker 1>over the ev tax credits going away as a result

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<v Speaker 1>of the passage of the Big Beautiful Bill will lead

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<v Speaker 1>to sort of spike in sales. Is there any sense

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<v Speaker 1>that like things are going to turn around in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of car sales in the near term.

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<v Speaker 2>Tesla operates basically in three markets in North America, Europe,

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<v Speaker 2>and China. And in North America sales have been down

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<v Speaker 2>quarter over quarter, mostly because of the backlash to Elon,

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<v Speaker 2>and I do think that the third quarter will see

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<v Speaker 2>a bump because people are trying to get ahead of

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<v Speaker 2>these tax credits that sunset on September thirtieth. But in Europe,

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<v Speaker 2>as Craig knows, sales have really cratered in like all

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<v Speaker 2>the key markets, and then in China there's this growing

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<v Speaker 2>competition from BYD and so you're seeing Tesla now push

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<v Speaker 2>into new markets, like the cyber truck is going to

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<v Speaker 2>be available in South Korea, and like they started selling

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<v Speaker 2>cars in Turkey and they've got six hundred cars. I

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<v Speaker 2>think they've sold in India. So like the only thing

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<v Speaker 2>that they can do is expand the map because their

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<v Speaker 2>core map is cratering. And that's just hard to do

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<v Speaker 2>because it means like growing in new markets is not

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<v Speaker 2>as easy as sustained markets where you were once the

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<v Speaker 2>market leader. And that's that's what's so I think crazy

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<v Speaker 2>making to all of the like longtime Tesla investors and

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<v Speaker 2>early employees who just remember like how hard it was

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<v Speaker 2>to make the Model three and to like get production

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<v Speaker 2>at scale and then they made like the best selling

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<v Speaker 2>car in the world, and Elon is throwing it out

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<v Speaker 2>like he's he has not done anything personally to really

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<v Speaker 2>market the new model. Why we've heard nothing about the

0:12:26.160 --> 0:12:28.800
<v Speaker 2>cyber truck. I mean, I've written about this before, but

0:12:29.280 --> 0:12:32.200
<v Speaker 2>I think fundamentally this is a person who wants to

0:12:32.240 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 2>be in the arena where everyone else is focused. I

0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:37.880
<v Speaker 2>think in his mind, he solved the problem of making

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:41.320
<v Speaker 2>an affordable, high quality electric car, and he's bored and

0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:43.840
<v Speaker 2>he's moved on, and like the fact is that like

0:12:44.040 --> 0:12:46.600
<v Speaker 2>tens of thousands of employees and all of these factories

0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:50.120
<v Speaker 2>in this entire global supply chain have not and so

0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:53.920
<v Speaker 2>how are they gonna Like it's selling the cars, is

0:12:54.000 --> 0:12:56.360
<v Speaker 2>what is going to fund projects like optimists?

0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.920
<v Speaker 1>Well that's what's crazy about this document. I mean, it

0:12:59.240 --> 0:13:05.319
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mention affordability really at all. It suggests that Optimists

0:13:05.360 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 1>will make things cheaper by the I think by the

0:13:08.200 --> 0:13:11.320
<v Speaker 1>mechanism that I've suggested, But there's no talk of like

0:13:11.640 --> 0:13:15.000
<v Speaker 1>the cost per mile, like any of these things that

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:18.520
<v Speaker 1>like we've seen Elon talk about where you could squint

0:13:18.960 --> 0:13:24.199
<v Speaker 1>and see how automation and the old mission connected to

0:13:24.280 --> 0:13:26.480
<v Speaker 1>one another. That was sort of the point, if I

0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:30.320
<v Speaker 1>memory serves of Part DUA. The crazy thing is that

0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:34.080
<v Speaker 1>the third one, which I went back and scanned, I

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:39.000
<v Speaker 1>didn't reread the whole thing because it's like thirty pages. Yeah,

0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>it's like a weird document from another time, because it's

0:13:43.000 --> 0:13:46.320
<v Speaker 1>entirely about clean energy and it's like much like a

0:13:46.960 --> 0:13:50.560
<v Speaker 1>yeah Biden era, like we're gonna get solar. And it's

0:13:50.600 --> 0:13:53.600
<v Speaker 1>just wild to think that the guy who created that

0:13:53.640 --> 0:13:57.680
<v Speaker 1>would then turn around the next year and endorse and

0:13:57.720 --> 0:14:00.560
<v Speaker 1>then and then do all this stuff to hell a

0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 1>candidate who is like really committed, as we've seen, to

0:14:03.520 --> 0:14:07.040
<v Speaker 1>dialing all that stuff, back to getting rid of solar installations,

0:14:07.040 --> 0:14:10.040
<v Speaker 1>getting rid of wind farms, getting rid of these tax

0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 1>credits that have been very good to Tesla? What about

0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:18.680
<v Speaker 1>the robotaxi rollout? So, like you have the car sales

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:22.160
<v Speaker 1>going down, there have been over the last couple of

0:14:22.160 --> 0:14:26.840
<v Speaker 1>weeks a few little developments in robotaxis. Craig I think

0:14:27.080 --> 0:14:32.640
<v Speaker 1>Tesla has repeatedly increased the area under which these taxis

0:14:33.160 --> 0:14:37.480
<v Speaker 1>operate in Austin. They also said that the availability of

0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:40.760
<v Speaker 1>robotaxis would increase by fifty percent. I guess we could

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 1>take that to mean that there are now fifteen robotaxis

0:14:44.960 --> 0:14:47.840
<v Speaker 1>in Austin instead of ten. But like, where do you

0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:49.320
<v Speaker 1>think this is going? Do you think we're going to

0:14:49.360 --> 0:14:51.280
<v Speaker 1>see a bunch of a bunch more cities in the

0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:53.400
<v Speaker 1>coming months. It almost feels like he's going to have

0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:57.440
<v Speaker 1>to do something like that. To avoid even more investor backlash.

0:14:57.640 --> 0:15:01.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think he was a to be moderately successful,

0:15:01.800 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 3>I would say, in getting cars onto the road, at least,

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 3>even if it was with employees in the passenger seat,

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:11.800
<v Speaker 3>even if it was with super fans in the backseat,

0:15:12.240 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 3>trying to sugarcoat every sort of issue that they had

0:15:15.880 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 3>or problem that they captured as they intestantly filmed on

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.720
<v Speaker 3>their phones, because it did still generate the buzz that

0:15:22.880 --> 0:15:25.400
<v Speaker 3>was needed for the sort of Tesla bubble on X

0:15:25.480 --> 0:15:29.840
<v Speaker 3>and sometimes that is enough. And I think we then

0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 3>saw the company try to kind of replicate that in

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:36.240
<v Speaker 3>San Francisco. As we know and we're able to see

0:15:36.920 --> 0:15:39.640
<v Speaker 3>well in advance, that's not going to be doable because

0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:43.360
<v Speaker 3>of the regulatory regime there, and so they don't actually

0:15:43.400 --> 0:15:47.960
<v Speaker 3>have cars without people behind the wheel there. They're doing

0:15:48.000 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 3>this token indication that they're growing in Austin before they

0:15:53.480 --> 0:15:57.120
<v Speaker 3>increase the area where these cars can run around. You

0:15:57.280 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 3>already were having people trying to use the service who

0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:03.000
<v Speaker 3>we're finding really long wait times because there's not that

0:16:03.080 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 3>many cars available and not a huge user base, not

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:09.640
<v Speaker 3>many cars on the road. That makes this you know,

0:16:09.680 --> 0:16:13.960
<v Speaker 3>sort of headline indication that they're growing in terms of

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.680
<v Speaker 3>the service area meaningless, right, You're not actually seeing a

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 3>business yet for Tesla any time soon, and this is

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 3>really continues to be a stunt.

0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean, in my opinion, it's all meaningless just

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 1>because I mean, these are not driverless cars. We don't

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 1>know anything about the economics. If I'm an investor, like

0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:35.320
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what to think about any of this.

0:16:35.440 --> 0:16:39.320
<v Speaker 1>Like clearly we've seen from other companies it's possible to

0:16:39.440 --> 0:16:42.680
<v Speaker 1>create something that looks like a driverless car service, like

0:16:43.520 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Cruz has done it, Waimo has done it. Tesla is

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.520
<v Speaker 1>doing it, but not quite so I don't know, but

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:51.480
<v Speaker 1>I do want to try to theory on you both

0:16:51.480 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>that I've been thinking about as I was digesting all this,

0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:58.920
<v Speaker 1>which is that what we're seeing is sort of a

0:16:59.080 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 1>quiet rebrand that Tesla is doing. And I don't know

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:06.480
<v Speaker 1>if it's happening because of Elon or despite Elon, but

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:08.919
<v Speaker 1>I think it has two components. One of them is

0:17:08.960 --> 0:17:12.439
<v Speaker 1>the one that Dana just mentioned, which is that sustainability

0:17:12.480 --> 0:17:15.639
<v Speaker 1>is out, abundance is in right, Like he's not going

0:17:15.720 --> 0:17:18.240
<v Speaker 1>to talk about sustainability, and that kind of makes sense

0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:21.760
<v Speaker 1>because we're in a different political climate and everyone is

0:17:21.760 --> 0:17:24.600
<v Speaker 1>into AI, including investors. But I think the other one,

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:27.320
<v Speaker 1>and this one to me is more subtle, is that

0:17:27.440 --> 0:17:29.959
<v Speaker 1>Elon is going to be less of a factor in

0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 1>the Tesla brand. They're you know, recent episode of jay

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 1>Leno's Car podcast I think it's called jay Leno's Garage

0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:42.400
<v Speaker 1>featured two Tesla executives not named Elon, Lars Moravi and

0:17:42.520 --> 0:17:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Franz von Holhausen talking about the company and even this

0:17:47.560 --> 0:17:52.919
<v Speaker 1>un bylined marketing document that Elon is not talking about.

0:17:53.160 --> 0:17:55.440
<v Speaker 1>It feels like there's a little bit of an effort,

0:17:56.000 --> 0:18:00.399
<v Speaker 1>maybe even a deliberate effort underway to untangle you On

0:18:01.160 --> 0:18:04.480
<v Speaker 1>from the kind of like future of Tesla. Am I

0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:06.639
<v Speaker 1>just seeing things or is that is that real? Do

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 1>you think?

0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:10.159
<v Speaker 2>I think that the two are so intertwined. It's like

0:18:10.160 --> 0:18:13.000
<v Speaker 2>I can't think of another auto executive more intertwined with

0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:14.919
<v Speaker 2>the brand than like you have to go back to

0:18:14.960 --> 0:18:17.639
<v Speaker 2>like Leiahcoca and Chrysler to find someone else who is

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:19.760
<v Speaker 2>like such a pitchman for the company. And that has

0:18:19.800 --> 0:18:22.720
<v Speaker 2>always been the sort of problem with Tesla is that

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:26.879
<v Speaker 2>they don't really have a marketing team. They have influencers,

0:18:26.960 --> 0:18:29.119
<v Speaker 2>but like Elon has always been the public face of

0:18:29.119 --> 0:18:30.960
<v Speaker 2>the brand and the only person who can speak for

0:18:31.000 --> 0:18:33.360
<v Speaker 2>the company until recently, and to your point, like now

0:18:33.359 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 2>they are putting more executives out there, but like Elon

0:18:36.920 --> 0:18:39.119
<v Speaker 2>will forever be tied to Tesla, which is why so

0:18:39.200 --> 0:18:42.520
<v Speaker 2>many people who are upset about Trump being elected are

0:18:43.040 --> 0:18:45.199
<v Speaker 2>A will never buy a Tesla and B will never

0:18:45.240 --> 0:18:47.440
<v Speaker 2>step foot in a ROBOTAXI. Like that's the other thing,

0:18:47.560 --> 0:18:49.960
<v Speaker 2>Like how do you grow a ride hailing service where

0:18:49.960 --> 0:18:53.000
<v Speaker 2>the same people who like have stickers on their car

0:18:53.480 --> 0:18:56.480
<v Speaker 2>or are like selling their cars, like they're never gonna

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:59.320
<v Speaker 2>set foot in these vehicles. Like it's He's been the

0:18:59.440 --> 0:19:02.480
<v Speaker 2>CEO of this company since two thousand and eight. He's

0:19:02.520 --> 0:19:07.520
<v Speaker 2>like the longest tenured CEO Obeedny automaker currently. I don't

0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:10.080
<v Speaker 2>think you can decouple it like that easily. It's like

0:19:10.160 --> 0:19:12.440
<v Speaker 2>cemented in people's minds.

0:19:12.040 --> 0:19:14.320
<v Speaker 3>Forever, you know. I think there may be something to

0:19:14.480 --> 0:19:18.960
<v Speaker 3>this theory, and not necessarily by design, because if anyone

0:19:19.040 --> 0:19:21.240
<v Speaker 3>were to come to Elon and say, hey, Elon, you

0:19:21.280 --> 0:19:22.639
<v Speaker 3>know the problem.

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.080
<v Speaker 1>We have is you're just a little too close.

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:28.280
<v Speaker 3>To the company. People associate you with our cars a

0:19:28.320 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 3>little bit too much. Maybe we should back on down

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:32.160
<v Speaker 3>from that they'd be thrown out.

0:19:32.200 --> 0:19:32.359
<v Speaker 1>You know.

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:36.120
<v Speaker 3>Maybe there's someone very smartly behind the scenes in some

0:19:36.240 --> 0:19:39.919
<v Speaker 3>dark rooms at Tesla Austin who've drawn this up. But

0:19:40.480 --> 0:19:42.040
<v Speaker 3>I think to Danna's point, they're going to have a

0:19:42.080 --> 0:19:44.399
<v Speaker 3>really hard time actually executing it. If that's the case.

0:19:45.160 --> 0:19:48.280
<v Speaker 1>It just felt like, especially this weekend, Elon and Tesla

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:50.600
<v Speaker 1>were pushing in two different directions. He was tweeting about

0:19:50.600 --> 0:19:54.479
<v Speaker 1>the AfD. He was tweeting about far right UK issues.

0:19:54.520 --> 0:20:00.919
<v Speaker 1>Tommy Robinson, this extremely divisive figure in British politics. You know,

0:20:00.960 --> 0:20:04.360
<v Speaker 1>he's backing this far right political party in the UK.

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:07.800
<v Speaker 1>Tesla's sales in Europe have been really bad, and so

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.639
<v Speaker 1>it's like it's like, on one hand, Tesla is attempting

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:12.600
<v Speaker 1>to kind of reset the narrative. On the other hand,

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:15.840
<v Speaker 1>he law Musk is out there just doing his poster thing,

0:20:16.040 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 1>just posting about the most divisive stuff he could think of.

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:23.840
<v Speaker 3>He is now getting behind a party that is to

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:27.000
<v Speaker 3>the right of Nigel Farage right, a party that thinks

0:20:27.000 --> 0:20:30.679
<v Speaker 3>that Farage is soft on immigration. To give people a

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:33.639
<v Speaker 3>sense of this is like, I don't know if in

0:20:33.680 --> 0:20:36.879
<v Speaker 3>the it's a US equivalent of trying to find someone

0:20:36.880 --> 0:20:41.280
<v Speaker 3>who thinks that Stephen Miller is too soft on immigrants, right,

0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:44.880
<v Speaker 3>And it is so incessant that his posting about the UK,

0:20:45.280 --> 0:20:47.600
<v Speaker 3>and before that it was all sorts of posting about

0:20:47.640 --> 0:20:49.919
<v Speaker 3>groc Imagine and you know what.

0:20:49.840 --> 0:20:52.600
<v Speaker 1>Age we talked about last week. I mean, I say

0:20:52.680 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>porn companion, the barely legal right right right, sensual companion

0:20:57.840 --> 0:20:58.920
<v Speaker 1>that his company created.

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:02.160
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and just getting this guy to post at all

0:21:02.200 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 3>about Tesla, it seems to be a chore. He'll repost

0:21:05.720 --> 0:21:09.280
<v Speaker 3>this master plan, he'll comment on somebody who was a

0:21:09.320 --> 0:21:11.959
<v Speaker 3>little bit confused about Okay, so what are exactly the

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:15.160
<v Speaker 3>next steps of executing this master plan? And that's where

0:21:15.200 --> 0:21:18.760
<v Speaker 3>we get his you know, eighty percent value posts. These

0:21:19.480 --> 0:21:23.119
<v Speaker 3>absolutely are just quick little divergences from the culture wars

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 3>and his chatbot.

0:21:25.040 --> 0:21:26.920
<v Speaker 1>All right, before we go, I just want to bring

0:21:27.000 --> 0:21:29.199
<v Speaker 1>up one last thing with you guys, And this is

0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:32.879
<v Speaker 1>going very deep in the kind of Elon universe, the

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:38.200
<v Speaker 1>Tesla universe. But a bunch of fanboys noticed a new

0:21:38.359 --> 0:21:41.959
<v Speaker 1>potential new Tesla vehicle. Now I don't think Tesla has

0:21:42.000 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 1>given people any reason to think this is real, but

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:49.640
<v Speaker 1>in a video that was released of the Tesla design studio.

0:21:50.240 --> 0:21:53.159
<v Speaker 1>In the very background you could see what looked like

0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:58.719
<v Speaker 1>perhaps Dana a cyber truck suv, like an suv version

0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:02.119
<v Speaker 1>of the cyber truck. And I think the base for

0:22:02.200 --> 0:22:04.520
<v Speaker 1>this feels very very thin, But like it hasn't stopped

0:22:04.560 --> 0:22:06.960
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of like fan sites from writing articles about

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:10.679
<v Speaker 1>it with like little red circles around the relevant portion

0:22:10.920 --> 0:22:14.240
<v Speaker 1>of the video, leaving aside whether it's real or whether

0:22:14.280 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 1>it's not. And I think the answer is that it

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:17.960
<v Speaker 1>is not real because Elon Musk has said over and

0:22:18.000 --> 0:22:21.239
<v Speaker 1>over again that like autonomy is the only thing like

0:22:21.320 --> 0:22:24.600
<v Speaker 1>there's been actually no signaling about this. Plus like it

0:22:24.680 --> 0:22:28.560
<v Speaker 1>really seems like the steel architecture of the cyber truck

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:32.400
<v Speaker 1>didn't really work. But do you think a cyber suv

0:22:32.640 --> 0:22:35.080
<v Speaker 1>would be a hit on the streets of the United

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.840
<v Speaker 1>States of America or even in South Korea?

0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:40.080
<v Speaker 2>There has always been this question, like is Tesla gonna

0:22:40.080 --> 0:22:41.920
<v Speaker 2>make a different kind of truck? Would they ever make

0:22:42.000 --> 0:22:44.719
<v Speaker 2>like a normal pickup truck, like a F one point fifty,

0:22:44.920 --> 0:22:47.199
<v Speaker 2>or would they try to tweak the cyber truck to

0:22:47.240 --> 0:22:50.280
<v Speaker 2>be less expensive in some way? And I saw Lawyer's

0:22:50.320 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 2>Mavi speak in the Bay Area a couple months ago,

0:22:52.600 --> 0:22:54.720
<v Speaker 2>and he was sort of like vague about it, like

0:22:54.720 --> 0:22:57.159
<v Speaker 2>they're always thinking of things. But to be clear, the

0:22:57.200 --> 0:23:00.359
<v Speaker 2>cyber truck was a complete flop, like that they is

0:23:00.400 --> 0:23:04.159
<v Speaker 2>not selling. It is wildly expensive. It is like the

0:23:04.160 --> 0:23:08.640
<v Speaker 2>poster child for Elon and politics. It has a niche audience,

0:23:08.760 --> 0:23:11.959
<v Speaker 2>but it is nowhere on the S curve. And so

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:15.440
<v Speaker 2>the fact that they would make like an suv version

0:23:15.600 --> 0:23:18.639
<v Speaker 2>of a failing product doesn't really make sense to me

0:23:18.880 --> 0:23:22.399
<v Speaker 2>because the cyber truck itself has not been successful. So

0:23:22.520 --> 0:23:24.359
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I guess you could make a cyber truck suv,

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:26.119
<v Speaker 2>but I don't know what the market would be for that.

0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:30.440
<v Speaker 2>The bottle why is really popular, that's their best selling car.

0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:31.879
<v Speaker 1>I don't know.

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:33.720
<v Speaker 2>And then you look if you look at the as

0:23:33.800 --> 0:23:36.160
<v Speaker 2>your plan. You know, they've talked in the past about

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:39.359
<v Speaker 2>making the Robovan, So who knows.

0:23:39.560 --> 0:23:42.439
<v Speaker 1>Is it Robovan or Rebovin.

0:23:43.000 --> 0:23:48.280
<v Speaker 3>I don't think knows. Max. Yeah, yeah, this to me

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:53.159
<v Speaker 3>felt like, you know, it's very Taylor Swiftian. The Swifties

0:23:53.200 --> 0:23:56.640
<v Speaker 3>talk about Easter eggs and her videos and lyrics and stuff.

0:23:56.960 --> 0:24:00.480
<v Speaker 3>This was a total Easter egg for the Tesla audience

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:04.200
<v Speaker 3>to you know, very clearly, slip in a little something

0:24:04.240 --> 0:24:07.960
<v Speaker 3>from the design studio to get everybody excited, and we'll

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:10.359
<v Speaker 3>see if it ever actually leaves that studio.

0:24:10.760 --> 0:24:13.320
<v Speaker 1>You're probably right, Craig is like, I don't know, you

0:24:13.359 --> 0:24:15.280
<v Speaker 1>put something in the background of a video, people are

0:24:15.320 --> 0:24:19.199
<v Speaker 1>gonna see it. But yeah, very strange. Also like the

0:24:19.280 --> 0:24:23.159
<v Speaker 1>typical buyer of a three row suv, like, I'm not

0:24:23.320 --> 0:24:26.439
<v Speaker 1>sure that really fits with this sort of cyber truck.

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:29.879
<v Speaker 1>Like if you you know, whatever it is, whatever the

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:34.560
<v Speaker 1>cyber truck thing is, it feels like pretty far from

0:24:34.600 --> 0:24:35.679
<v Speaker 1>the kid houler.

0:24:36.080 --> 0:24:38.200
<v Speaker 2>The cyber truck is like a tank for the apocalypse,

0:24:38.320 --> 0:24:40.439
<v Speaker 2>and an suv is like you want to drive the

0:24:40.440 --> 0:24:41.560
<v Speaker 2>carpool to soccer, So.

0:24:41.560 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 1>I don't tell me, you know, the divorced dad's got

0:24:44.560 --> 0:24:47.520
<v Speaker 1>his kids like every other weekend or whatever, he's got

0:24:47.560 --> 0:24:50.520
<v Speaker 1>to take take around somehow. I guess like that's a possible.

0:24:51.040 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 3>I think Jeep is gonna be okay. I think is

0:24:54.080 --> 0:24:57.120
<v Speaker 3>we're arriving at it is our conclusion here, all right,

0:24:57.560 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 3>Dana Hall, thank.

0:24:58.840 --> 0:24:59.600
<v Speaker 1>You for being here.

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<v Speaker 2>Always a pleasure.

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:11.439
<v Speaker 1>Greg, thank you, thanks for having me. This episode was

0:25:11.440 --> 0:25:14.960
<v Speaker 1>produced by Stacy Wong and edited by Ana Maazarakis, Blake

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:18.919
<v Speaker 1>Maple's Handles Engineering, and Dave Purcell fact checks. Our supervising

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:22.560
<v Speaker 1>producer is Magnus Hendrickson. The Elnink theme is written and

0:25:22.640 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 1>performed by Taka Yazusawa and Alex Sagiera. Sage Bauman is

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:28.719
<v Speaker 1>the head of Bloomberg Podcast. A big thanks to our

0:25:28.720 --> 0:25:32.040
<v Speaker 1>supporters Joel Webber and Bradstone. I'm Max Chapkin. If you

0:25:32.080 --> 0:25:34.160
<v Speaker 1>have a minute, rate and review our show, it'll help

0:25:34.200 --> 0:25:38.040
<v Speaker 1>other listeners find us and we'll see you next week.