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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to Hoops tonight. You're at the volume.
Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, the Know all If you guys are having
Speaker 1: a great week. We're continuing with our series previews today
Speaker 1: with the Orlando Magic versus the Boston Celtics. You guys
Speaker 1: know the drip before we get started. Subscribe to the
Speaker 1: Hoops and Not YouTube channels. You don't miss any more
Speaker 1: of our videos. Follow me on Twitter at underscore Jason
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Speaker 1: rating and a review on that front. We have social
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Speaker 1: making great content throughout the year. Make sure you guys
Speaker 1: follow us there, and last but not least, keep dropping
Speaker 1: mailbag questions and the YouTube comments. We can get two
Speaker 1: in our mailbags throughout the remainder of the season. All right,
Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball, so we're gonna be going shorter
Speaker 1: on this one. The Celtics are a comically large favorite
Speaker 1: over the Orlando Magic. All of our odds, again are
Speaker 1: provided by DraftKings, but right now the Celtics are minus
Speaker 1: five thousand to beat the Orlando Magic. You'd have to
Speaker 1: bet five thousand dollars to win one hundred dollars if
Speaker 1: the Celtics won. We've also got so many other series
Speaker 1: previews that I have to get to this week, so
Speaker 1: I'm just choosing to go a little bit shorter on
Speaker 1: this one, but I'm just gonna briefly give you guys
Speaker 1: my thoughts on both ends of the Floors season series.
Speaker 1: Orlando actually won two to one, but Tatum didn't play
Speaker 1: in the first Orlando win, nobody played in the second
Speaker 1: Orlando win. In Boston's win, Orlando was missing a bunch
Speaker 1: of guys, so there's not too much to learn from
Speaker 1: the season series. Let's start with the Celtics on offense.
Speaker 1: I expect Orlando to have some success slowing down the
Speaker 1: Celtics offense. I'm actually looking at this series kind of
Speaker 1: is like the more dramatically lopsided Eastern Conference version of
Speaker 1: the Warriors Rocket Series in the sense that the team
Speaker 1: that I'm picking against has this truly elite defense that
Speaker 1: will make their opponent uncomfortable for stretches of the series,
Speaker 1: but their offense is just not close to consistent enough
Speaker 1: at generating quality shots that they can make in order
Speaker 1: to actually give themselves a real chance to win the series.
Speaker 1: The Orlando Magic were the second best defense in the
Speaker 1: NBA this year, and they're specifically well equipped to handle
Speaker 1: Boston's offense relative to most tams. They have a lot
Speaker 1: of size and they can switch. The game plan for
Speaker 1: Orlando needs to be to switch, contain the ball and
Speaker 1: force the JS into settling into tougher jump shots so
Speaker 1: they can stay out of rotation. How Boston can beat it.
Speaker 1: I think Tatum will do some early work against Wendell
Speaker 1: Carter Juniors just to see how he feels and switches there.
Speaker 1: I could see him trying Jonathan Isaac a little bit
Speaker 1: because he's skinny and similar to his matchup, but Evan Mobley.
Speaker 1: Tatum has some advantage there when he can bump guys
Speaker 1: off with that shoulder. But I think most of the
Speaker 1: work that Tatum does will be against guards in this matchup,
Speaker 1: some against KCP, a lot against guys that Corey, Joseph Cole, Anthony,
Speaker 1: et cetera. Things are going to come down to Tatum
Speaker 1: and Brown in those matchups doing a good enough job
Speaker 1: of punishing in those one on ones that the doubles
Speaker 1: need to come. And when the doubles need to come,
Speaker 1: that's when they can start getting into those driving kick
Speaker 1: sequences that generate the super high quality shots that have
Speaker 1: been the hallmark of the Boston Celtics over the course
Speaker 1: of the last several years. On the other end of
Speaker 1: the four. I was watching Orlando play in the playing
Speaker 1: game yesterday versus the Hawks, and I still hate their offense.
Speaker 1: So many possessions for Orlando basically just take on a
Speaker 1: four out one end setup and then it's just Paalo
Speaker 1: and Franz standing at the top of the key while
Speaker 1: KCP wattles up to set a ghost screen or a
Speaker 1: quick screen on Franz or Palow and they either get
Speaker 1: a quick you know, two on the ball where they
Speaker 1: can toss it over to KCP and they try to
Speaker 1: play out of it, or they'll get a switch and
Speaker 1: then Palo and Franz will just start trying to isolate
Speaker 1: in the middle of the floor and inevitably either settle
Speaker 1: for a short jump shot or a longer mid range
Speaker 1: jump shot, or a kickout to a shooter that's probably
Speaker 1: not going to make the shot. And I think that
Speaker 1: Boston is just gonna put Drew Holliday on KCP so
Speaker 1: they feel really comfortable switching those ghost screens. I think
Speaker 1: we'll see a lot of Horford at center in this series.
Speaker 1: He's one of the best centers in the league at
Speaker 1: switching onto power ball handlers and just keeping those guys
Speaker 1: in front and forcing them to settle for jump shots. Again,
Speaker 1: I look at this as a series similar to Rockets Warriors,
Speaker 1: where there will be times where Orlando makes Boston's defense
Speaker 1: Boston's offense look uncomfortable. But I think Boston's defense is
Speaker 1: going to be able to strangle the Magic at times
Speaker 1: in this series. Now, Orlando's path to an upset is
Speaker 1: pretty simple. As we mentioned, switch and contain stay out
Speaker 1: of rotation forced the Jays to settle for bad jump shots.
Speaker 1: On the other end, attacking smalls, generating quality kickout threes
Speaker 1: from those attacks or quality attempts at the rim. Then
Speaker 1: from there they have to shoot the ball very well,
Speaker 1: but those are all very highly unlikely to occur. Reminder,
Speaker 1: the Magic are so bad at jump shooting. They get
Speaker 1: five fewer points per one hundred jump shots than the
Speaker 1: twenty ninth ranked jump shooting team in the league. On
Speaker 1: wide open, unguarded catch and shoot attempts, they get one
Speaker 1: point zero four points per shot. For perspective, the Celtics
Speaker 1: get twenty six more points per one hundred unguarded cats
Speaker 1: shoot shots than Orlando, twenty six more points per one
Speaker 1: hundred to tens. They are an entirely different level of
Speaker 1: jump shooting team. It's worth mentioning. At least Orlando has
Speaker 1: shot a little better over the tail end of the season.
Speaker 1: They're fifteenth and three point percentage over the last fifteen games.
Speaker 1: But once again last night in a big playoff game,
Speaker 1: they took fifty one jump shots and made fifteen of
Speaker 1: them for forty one points. It's not something they can
Speaker 1: rely on. I just don't think they're gonna be able
Speaker 1: to make enough shots to keep this series interesting. So
Speaker 1: this is my one sweet pick. I think the Celtics
Speaker 1: are gonna sweep the Magic. Maybe Orlando steals a game,
Speaker 1: but there's never gonna be a situation here where Orlando
Speaker 1: can truly threaten them. They just don't have a reliable
Speaker 1: enough offense to stick with this high powered Celtics attack.
Speaker 1: All right, that's all I have for this particular series.
Speaker 1: Like I said, I promise we were gonna go short
Speaker 1: so I can get to these other series. As always,
Speaker 1: as sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting me and supporting
Speaker 1: the show. We will obviously be covering this series in
Speaker 1: detail throughout each game. I will see you guys for
Speaker 1: game one on Sunday. What's up, guys. As always, I
Speaker 1: appreciate you for listening to and supporting OOPS tonight. It
Speaker 1: would actually be really helpful for us if you guys
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Speaker 1: As always, I appreciate you guys supporting us, but if
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