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Speaker 1: All right, welcome to Hoops tonight. You're at the volume.

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Speaker 1: Happy Thursday, the Know all If you guys are having

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Speaker 1: a great week. We're continuing with our series previews today

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Speaker 1: with the Orlando Magic versus the Boston Celtics. You guys

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Speaker 1: know the drip before we get started. Subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: Hoops and Not YouTube channels. You don't miss any more

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Speaker 1: of our videos. Follow me on Twitter at underscore Jason

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Speaker 1: lt so you guys don't miss announcement. So don't forget

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Speaker 1: about a podcast fee wherever you get your podcast on

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Speaker 1: our Hoops Tonight, it's also super helpfulf we leave a

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Speaker 1: rating and a review on that front. We have social

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Speaker 1: media feeds on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook where Jackson is

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Speaker 1: making great content throughout the year. Make sure you guys

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Speaker 1: follow us there, and last but not least, keep dropping

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Speaker 1: mailbag questions and the YouTube comments. We can get two

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Speaker 1: in our mailbags throughout the remainder of the season. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's talk some basketball, so we're gonna be going shorter

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Speaker 1: on this one. The Celtics are a comically large favorite

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Speaker 1: over the Orlando Magic. All of our odds, again are

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Speaker 1: provided by DraftKings, but right now the Celtics are minus

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Speaker 1: five thousand to beat the Orlando Magic. You'd have to

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Speaker 1: bet five thousand dollars to win one hundred dollars if

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Speaker 1: the Celtics won. We've also got so many other series

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Speaker 1: previews that I have to get to this week, so

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Speaker 1: I'm just choosing to go a little bit shorter on

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Speaker 1: this one, but I'm just gonna briefly give you guys

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Speaker 1: my thoughts on both ends of the Floors season series.

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Speaker 1: Orlando actually won two to one, but Tatum didn't play

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Speaker 1: in the first Orlando win, nobody played in the second

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Speaker 1: Orlando win. In Boston's win, Orlando was missing a bunch

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Speaker 1: of guys, so there's not too much to learn from

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Speaker 1: the season series. Let's start with the Celtics on offense.

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Speaker 1: I expect Orlando to have some success slowing down the

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Speaker 1: Celtics offense. I'm actually looking at this series kind of

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Speaker 1: is like the more dramatically lopsided Eastern Conference version of

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Speaker 1: the Warriors Rocket Series in the sense that the team

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Speaker 1: that I'm picking against has this truly elite defense that

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Speaker 1: will make their opponent uncomfortable for stretches of the series,

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Speaker 1: but their offense is just not close to consistent enough

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Speaker 1: at generating quality shots that they can make in order

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Speaker 1: to actually give themselves a real chance to win the series.

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Speaker 1: The Orlando Magic were the second best defense in the

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Speaker 1: NBA this year, and they're specifically well equipped to handle

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Speaker 1: Boston's offense relative to most tams. They have a lot

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Speaker 1: of size and they can switch. The game plan for

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Speaker 1: Orlando needs to be to switch, contain the ball and

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Speaker 1: force the JS into settling into tougher jump shots so

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Speaker 1: they can stay out of rotation. How Boston can beat it.

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Speaker 1: I think Tatum will do some early work against Wendell

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Speaker 1: Carter Juniors just to see how he feels and switches there.

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Speaker 1: I could see him trying Jonathan Isaac a little bit

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Speaker 1: because he's skinny and similar to his matchup, but Evan Mobley.

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Speaker 1: Tatum has some advantage there when he can bump guys

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Speaker 1: off with that shoulder. But I think most of the

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Speaker 1: work that Tatum does will be against guards in this matchup,

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Speaker 1: some against KCP, a lot against guys that Corey, Joseph Cole, Anthony,

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Speaker 1: et cetera. Things are going to come down to Tatum

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Speaker 1: and Brown in those matchups doing a good enough job

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Speaker 1: of punishing in those one on ones that the doubles

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Speaker 1: need to come. And when the doubles need to come,

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Speaker 1: that's when they can start getting into those driving kick

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Speaker 1: sequences that generate the super high quality shots that have

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Speaker 1: been the hallmark of the Boston Celtics over the course

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Speaker 1: of the last several years. On the other end of

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Speaker 1: the four. I was watching Orlando play in the playing

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Speaker 1: game yesterday versus the Hawks, and I still hate their offense.

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Speaker 1: So many possessions for Orlando basically just take on a

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Speaker 1: four out one end setup and then it's just Paalo

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Speaker 1: and Franz standing at the top of the key while

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Speaker 1: KCP wattles up to set a ghost screen or a

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Speaker 1: quick screen on Franz or Palow and they either get

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Speaker 1: a quick you know, two on the ball where they

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Speaker 1: can toss it over to KCP and they try to

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Speaker 1: play out of it, or they'll get a switch and

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Speaker 1: then Palo and Franz will just start trying to isolate

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Speaker 1: in the middle of the floor and inevitably either settle

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Speaker 1: for a short jump shot or a longer mid range

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Speaker 1: jump shot, or a kickout to a shooter that's probably

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Speaker 1: not going to make the shot. And I think that

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Speaker 1: Boston is just gonna put Drew Holliday on KCP so

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Speaker 1: they feel really comfortable switching those ghost screens. I think

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Speaker 1: we'll see a lot of Horford at center in this series.

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Speaker 1: He's one of the best centers in the league at

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Speaker 1: switching onto power ball handlers and just keeping those guys

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Speaker 1: in front and forcing them to settle for jump shots. Again,

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Speaker 1: I look at this as a series similar to Rockets Warriors,

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Speaker 1: where there will be times where Orlando makes Boston's defense

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Speaker 1: Boston's offense look uncomfortable. But I think Boston's defense is

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Speaker 1: going to be able to strangle the Magic at times

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Speaker 1: in this series. Now, Orlando's path to an upset is

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Speaker 1: pretty simple. As we mentioned, switch and contain stay out

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Speaker 1: of rotation forced the Jays to settle for bad jump shots.

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Speaker 1: On the other end, attacking smalls, generating quality kickout threes

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Speaker 1: from those attacks or quality attempts at the rim. Then

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Speaker 1: from there they have to shoot the ball very well,

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Speaker 1: but those are all very highly unlikely to occur. Reminder,

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Speaker 1: the Magic are so bad at jump shooting. They get

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Speaker 1: five fewer points per one hundred jump shots than the

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Speaker 1: twenty ninth ranked jump shooting team in the league. On

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Speaker 1: wide open, unguarded catch and shoot attempts, they get one

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Speaker 1: point zero four points per shot. For perspective, the Celtics

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Speaker 1: get twenty six more points per one hundred unguarded cats

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Speaker 1: shoot shots than Orlando, twenty six more points per one

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Speaker 1: hundred to tens. They are an entirely different level of

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Speaker 1: jump shooting team. It's worth mentioning. At least Orlando has

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Speaker 1: shot a little better over the tail end of the season.

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Speaker 1: They're fifteenth and three point percentage over the last fifteen games.

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Speaker 1: But once again last night in a big playoff game,

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Speaker 1: they took fifty one jump shots and made fifteen of

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Speaker 1: them for forty one points. It's not something they can

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Speaker 1: rely on. I just don't think they're gonna be able

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Speaker 1: to make enough shots to keep this series interesting. So

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Speaker 1: this is my one sweet pick. I think the Celtics

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Speaker 1: are gonna sweep the Magic. Maybe Orlando steals a game,

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Speaker 1: but there's never gonna be a situation here where Orlando

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Speaker 1: can truly threaten them. They just don't have a reliable

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Speaker 1: enough offense to stick with this high powered Celtics attack.

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Speaker 1: All right, that's all I have for this particular series.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, I promise we were gonna go short

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Speaker 1: so I can get to these other series. As always,

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Speaker 1: as sincerely appreciate you guys for supporting me and supporting

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Speaker 1: the show. We will obviously be covering this series in

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Speaker 1: detail throughout each game. I will see you guys for

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Speaker 1: game one on Sunday. What's up, guys. As always, I

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Speaker 1: appreciate you for listening to and supporting OOPS tonight. It

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Speaker 1: would actually be really helpful for us if you guys

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Speaker 1: would take a second and leave a rating and a review.

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Speaker 1: As always, I appreciate you guys supporting us, but if

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Speaker 1: you could take a minute to do that, I'd really

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Speaker 1: appreciate it. The volume