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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys. How are you welcome into the last

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Parolta.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning. We are here on bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: YouTube for the video audio wherever we get your audio podcasts.

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Speaker 1: This podcast being brought to you by bet MGM with

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Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one fifty new accounts. You bet

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Speaker 1: ten bucks. You went one hundred and fifty bucks automatically

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Speaker 1: with that promo code Juice one fifty for a new

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Speaker 1: promo code Louisiana. By the way, we welcomed New York

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Speaker 1: last week, we welcome in Louisiana coming up here today

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Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice podcast. So that's good stuff there.

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Speaker 1: If you're Louisiana, you can use that promo code. It

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Speaker 1: will work for you here today. All right, we've been

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Speaker 1: kind of scuffling this week. One and one again we

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Speaker 1: get the Memphis Grizzlies right, the parlay misses, I didn't

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Speaker 1: see the end of the Sun's game because the parlay

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Speaker 1: miss I don't know the Sun's covered or not, but

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Speaker 1: the parlor they missed because the Memphis game went over,

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Speaker 1: not by a lot, but to go over unfortunately. So

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Speaker 1: the parlay falls one in one. Now we're still totally

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Speaker 1: up five units to be bet one unit on that parlay.

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Speaker 1: But we won't hit every week, you know. But we

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Speaker 1: get Atlanta, right, I think we got the Suns right,

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Speaker 1: let me just check or we're sitting here. I had

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Speaker 1: not seen the end of that game, so it was

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Speaker 1: trending in the right direction for us with the Suns.

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Speaker 1: Let's see and the Suns, let's see, where was the

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Speaker 1: final tip by the one by ten? So they covered,

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Speaker 1: so that's a bummer, just barely minus nine. They win

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Speaker 1: by ten, so everything we go two out of three

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Speaker 1: for the parlay. That's kind of the you knows how

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Speaker 1: parlys go unfortunately, just the way things go with parlays.

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Speaker 1: But we get the Memphis Grizzlies miss two and a half.

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Speaker 1: They win that game easily, the game goes under. They

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Speaker 1: win the game by ten, so the game so the

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Speaker 1: game goes over rather excuse me. We bet under two

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Speaker 1: twenty four and total was two twenty eight, so it

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Speaker 1: didn't go way over, but did go over. So and

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Speaker 1: then we got the did you see what Bryce Hamilton

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Speaker 1: did for UNLV scored thirty five points, Like what the

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Speaker 1: heck was that that kid has that ability. But no one,

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Speaker 1: I didn't see that coming. I don't know anybody saw

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Speaker 1: that coming. That was That was the craziest score of

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Speaker 1: the night. That was a one twenty four right, no sorry,

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Speaker 1: one forty one and a half under that we bet

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Speaker 1: and that game flew over due to UNLV scoring eighty

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Speaker 1: eight points. Eighty eight points for UNLV, that was absolutely stunning.

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Speaker 1: They shot fifty point nine percent for the game. They

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Speaker 1: shot twelve for twenty nine from behind the three point line.

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Speaker 1: Hamilton shot twenty two shots, win thirteen of twenty two

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Speaker 1: for forty five points. Scored forty five points in that game.

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Speaker 1: The next highest score was eleven for UNLV. That's just

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Speaker 1: a guy on fire. So we got beat by a

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Speaker 1: dude on fire, like what career high? Forty five points

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Speaker 1: for Bryce Hamilton. Christmas so eah, one in one day.

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Speaker 1: Down the juice again, so not a lot of damage there.

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Speaker 1: So partly goes wrong, but you know that doesn't count.

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Speaker 1: We don't count that for the record for the party.

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Speaker 1: So it's a one in one day for us as

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Speaker 1: we head towards a Saturday, all right, so here's what

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Speaker 1: tomorrow is gonna look like. We have the live stream,

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Speaker 1: so we have four player props going for the game.

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Speaker 1: I will have at least three bets going with full

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Speaker 1: units and potentially more going, so we'll have at least

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Speaker 1: four units going on Sunday. So because of that, we're

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Speaker 1: again gonna come in here and I'm just making two bets.

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Speaker 1: I may add on as the day goes on. I

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Speaker 1: may make a couple of different official plays. But I

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Speaker 1: got one college basketball play and I got one NBA

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Speaker 1: play to give out here on a Saturday. And let's

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Speaker 1: start with Baylor at Alabama, maybe the game of the

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Speaker 1: day here defending champs on the road, laying three points

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Speaker 1: to Alabama. I have seen a lot of people in

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Speaker 1: gambling Twitter on the dog here for Alabama, but they're

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Speaker 1: laying three and a half and that number really isn't available.

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Speaker 1: It wasn't to me here in Vegas. It's been three

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Speaker 1: I think over one possession. Is an interesting look at

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Speaker 1: the home dog. I will back up and say, yeah,

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Speaker 1: home dog, I can see it. But Baylor is twelve

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Speaker 1: and seven and one overall this year against the number.

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Speaker 1: Bama is seven and thirteen. Alabama is one in nine

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Speaker 1: over the last ten games against the spread, Alabama is

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Speaker 1: three and seven at home, They've lost six consecutive games

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Speaker 1: against the spread, and they're one in seven in their

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Speaker 1: own conference. Baylor's four and four. Baylor has covered their

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Speaker 1: last three games, and they're five to two and one

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Speaker 1: on the road. And this is the SEC Big twelve

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Speaker 1: champion challenge. You got a Kansas State game they win

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Speaker 1: by twenty five. In Oklahoma game they win by fourteen.

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Speaker 1: In a West Virginia game they win by nine, and

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Speaker 1: two of those three were on the road. Look, I

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Speaker 1: know Tuscal loose is a tough place play, and I

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Speaker 1: know you might be buying really low on Alabama, and

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Speaker 1: the books are telling you that they think Bama's live

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Speaker 1: here because this number should be more. Right. You look

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Speaker 1: at this number and you're like, wait, why isn't this

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Speaker 1: more Maybe it will be by the time you guys

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Speaker 1: get up. But I had Baylor minus three. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to overthink this. I got a team that's playing

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Speaker 1: really really well. I've got the defending champs in a

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Speaker 1: big Cross conference, you know, rivalry type of game here.

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Speaker 1: Bama can light the scoreboard up. And if Bama goes

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Speaker 1: crazy from behind the arc, then yeah, maybe they could

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Speaker 1: be live here. But I mean, other than that two

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Speaker 1: games swoon against Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, where Baylor

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Speaker 1: lost both games at home, They've turned around and bounced

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Speaker 1: back and won the last three games, you know, basically

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Speaker 1: by an average of over ten points in those three victories.

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Speaker 1: So you know, if you're looking for, you know, some

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Speaker 1: matchup stats, clearly it's all about Bama's you know, productivity

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Speaker 1: from behind the three point line, because they shoot so

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Speaker 1: many threes per game. They launched twenty nine nine point

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Speaker 1: eight threes per game, that's seventh in the country. And

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Speaker 1: against Baylor's defense, I mean, Baylor generally doesn't give you

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Speaker 1: three point shooting. I mean, right now, Baylor's defense gives

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Speaker 1: up twenty nine point four percent three points shooting. That's

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Speaker 1: twenty eighth best in the country. I'm just gonna take

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Speaker 1: Baylor here. I think this number should be higher. Minus

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Speaker 1: three Baylor. I know people are gonna say, take the dog.

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Speaker 1: I'm calling he's mister square. I don't care. Baylor minus

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Speaker 1: three half a unit. I'm laying it. And then the

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Speaker 1: game of the day in the NBA, the Brooklyn Nets

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Speaker 1: and the Golden State Warriors. Look, this game I think

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Speaker 1: will go under. Okay, I think there's a decent shot.

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Speaker 1: This is a low scoring game. In fact, most books

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Speaker 1: don't even have a total up for this game. But

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Speaker 1: whatever the total may wind up being, I think the

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Speaker 1: guys see lineups before they project the total. But I'll

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Speaker 1: see who's playing. But this is an ABC primetime game

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Speaker 1: with Kyrie and James Harden both playing here in this game.

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Speaker 1: If either one is out, I would eject from this

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Speaker 1: bet okay, just if you can bet the other side.

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Speaker 1: Bit the other side and get out of the bet okay,

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Speaker 1: because you need Hardin and you need Kyrie Irving both

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Speaker 1: to be on the floor here for Brooklyn. But the

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn Nets are thirteen and ten against the spread on

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Speaker 1: the road. Why Kyrie, Because they're five nineteen and one

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Speaker 1: at home against the spread? Because no, Kyrie. Now, Golden

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Speaker 1: State's very good at home seven eight and two overall, sorry,

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Speaker 1: seventeen eight and two against the spread this season. They've

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Speaker 1: covered their last two games. Both those games were pretty

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Speaker 1: spectacular against Dallas and against Minnesota. They one by thirty

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Speaker 1: eight against Dallas and one by nine against Minnesota. But

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Speaker 1: in the games before that against Utah, against Houston, against Indiana,

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Speaker 1: they did not cover. Okay, Brooklyn I think comes in

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Speaker 1: here with a lot of confidence on prime time because

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Speaker 1: they've lost three games in a row. They have to

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Speaker 1: win this. This is a big message. Without Kevin Durant

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Speaker 1: being avail saying look it, a lot of eyeballs are

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Speaker 1: going to be on them here. It should be an

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Speaker 1: unbelievable atmosphere. But I think six and a half is

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Speaker 1: too heavy. This is a three possession win here for

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Speaker 1: Golden State over the Brooklyn Nets. You might get seven,

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Speaker 1: you might get even more. I mean, I love this

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Speaker 1: at seven, seven and a half. At six and a half,

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Speaker 1: I like it. I like it enough to bet. I

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Speaker 1: don't like six. I want six and a half here

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Speaker 1: for the Brooklyn Nets. And I think the number is

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Speaker 1: everyone's waiting to make sure James Harden plays. I think

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Speaker 1: James Harden's going to play. Like I mentioned, if he

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Speaker 1: is out of this game, then yeah, bet the other

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Speaker 1: side and get out of it. I will punt on

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Speaker 1: the bet if Harden's not available. But if Harden can play,

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Speaker 1: Kyrie and Harden can keep the Warriors can keep the

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Speaker 1: game close. They can score enough to keep up with

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Speaker 1: Klay Thompson and Steph Curry, Steph went off two games ago,

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Speaker 1: came back down to earth a little bit, you know, again,

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Speaker 1: a guy who can talk about three point shooting and

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Speaker 1: how inconsistent he's been shooting from behind the arc right now.

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Speaker 1: But I think until Draymond Green comes back, you have

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Speaker 1: to be a little bit skeptical of this Golden State

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Speaker 1: Warriors team as to where they're going to be. So

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Speaker 1: Draymond's not playing in this game, so I think without Draymond,

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Speaker 1: you know, Kevin Durant is a far better player, but

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Speaker 1: Draymond's really important to the Warriors. So you're talking about

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Speaker 1: no Durant, no Dream, no Draymond. It's specially you know,

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Speaker 1: it's Kyrie Irving and James Harden versus the Golden State Warriors,

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Speaker 1: Curry and Thompson and their bench. But the NETS bench

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Speaker 1: is not horrible. It's not as good as Golden States,

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Speaker 1: but I think it's good enough to keep the game close.

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Speaker 1: Plus six and a half, I'm taking the Brooklyn that's

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Speaker 1: plus six and a half here on the road at

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Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so just two plays again, as I said, we're tiptoeing

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Speaker 1: our way through the week. We get to Sunday and

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Speaker 1: then we really can unload. Coming up on Sunday, just

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Speaker 1: one college basketball bet and one college one NBA bet

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Speaker 1: to get to. Got a litany of props to come here,

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Speaker 1: and I'm eyeballing a lot of them. I thought about

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Speaker 1: giving you guys some of the props today, but I

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Speaker 1: want to just see a little bit more, do a

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Speaker 1: little bit more research. Like I'm eyeballing Jimmy Garoppolo over

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Speaker 1: prop for passing. I'm eyeballing you know, Deebo Samuel over

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Speaker 1: for rushing. I'm looking at over for Joe Burrow, over

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Speaker 1: for maybe t Higgins or Boyd and avoiding Jamar Chase

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Speaker 1: and say they're going to take away Jamar Chase and

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Speaker 1: somebody else can have to beat them. So I think

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Speaker 1: that's possible after what Jamar Chase did to them in

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Speaker 1: the last matchup. So just want to look at some

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Speaker 1: different games, watch some more film, read a bit more

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Speaker 1: see what's going on before I fully commit. But we

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Speaker 1: will have the live stream coming up tomorrow eight o'clock

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Speaker 1: in the morning Pacific time, eleven am Eastern time, right

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Speaker 1: before the first game kicks off. Here. It is a

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Speaker 1: three o'clock kickoff on the East Coast for the first game,

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Speaker 1: and you know, doubleheader NFL Championship weekend, so cool. Only

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Speaker 1: three games left in the NFL, four games you count

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Speaker 1: the Pro Bowl, so it's kind of a bummer. So

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Speaker 1: we want to definitely try to unload there a little

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Speaker 1: bit and have our prop bets good to go and

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Speaker 1: having all of our side and total it's good to

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Speaker 1: go for these games coming up on Sunday. So I

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Speaker 1: don't think we're gonna see much line movement. I've talked

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Speaker 1: about it, you know, plus seven and a half plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half most likely where I'm going to be.

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Speaker 1: I'll see. I'll tell you tomorrow. We're going to be

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Speaker 1: officially on that for the podcast, all right, we're taking

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn plus six and a half on the road at

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Speaker 1: the Golden State Warriors, and we are laying three points

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Speaker 1: with Baylor on the road at bail at Alabama. Both

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Speaker 1: those bets for half a unit. Mine's Matt Parolt. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talc Matt. Each every morning

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Speaker 1: it's the Deal Jes podcast, always being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BEDEMGM