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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorite. So I'm Chad Millman of the

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Speaker 1: Action Network. This is the Favorite podcast, The Parlay Show.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by Jeff Schwartz eight years in the

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Speaker 1: National Football League as an offensive lineman and Paul Laduca

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Speaker 1: ten years in Major League Baseball, four time All Star catcher,

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Speaker 1: both Action Network analysts. Two things that people should know

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Speaker 1: that we did before we even started. One, Laduca pointed

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Speaker 1: out that like everyone should have bet the first five

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Speaker 1: in the last baseball game of the season last year

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Speaker 1: because everybody just wants to go home. Thanks for that

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Speaker 1: advice in advance, Paul. Second, right before we started recording,

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Speaker 1: this is the last thing, Luduca said, I've got the

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Speaker 1: Phil Dawson blues. I'm done with both of you guys. Well,

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Speaker 1: so many different things. We can bring up, so many

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Speaker 1: different things, and I don't want to make the ID

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Speaker 1: it's too early. I'm I'm upset you got Stone Lucky yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Million Monster. You're still the million Monster because you're the

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Speaker 1: million Monster because you called Oakland and got the change

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Speaker 1: in the spot. I mean it is. I will tell you.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you a true story. It wasn't It

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Speaker 1: was an epic, epic day. I had six bets. Uh,

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Speaker 1: I went four into Three of those games went to overtime.

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Speaker 1: One of those I won on a last second kick.

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Speaker 1: One of them. The three overtime games were flat out

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Speaker 1: miracles the Titans, like multiple fourth downs where they went

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Speaker 1: for it and like then they decided to go for

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Speaker 1: the win instead of the tie and overtime. The fact

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Speaker 1: that Colts did anything to get that game even close.

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Speaker 1: I didn't deserve it. I couldn't even get upset at

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Speaker 1: that game because I didn't deserve to be in that game.

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Speaker 1: That that change of the spot in the Browns game

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Speaker 1: from first down to fourth down, and then them coming

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Speaker 1: back with nine seconds the Raiders and tying it with

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Speaker 1: the two point conversion um, and the number of times

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Speaker 1: they could have blown it in overtime, that was like

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Speaker 1: dinner time in my house. And uh, the whole family

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Speaker 1: was involved. Here's why, because not only was that like

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Speaker 1: a game that I needed just for my day, but

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Speaker 1: you know, I do these Sports center hits on Sunday mornings,

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Speaker 1: and I choose three games, and I had made a

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Speaker 1: last second decision to take the Titans Eagles game out

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Speaker 1: and put the um and put the Browns Raiders game in,

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Speaker 1: and then they had cut the Cardinals Seahawks game, and

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Speaker 1: so I had two games that I won taken out

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Speaker 1: and one game that looked like I was gonna lose

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Speaker 1: put in. So I was gonna go one and two

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Speaker 1: on the day and I was gonna feel like a jerk.

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Speaker 1: Instead I went to and one and I feel fantastic.

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Speaker 1: Taken every day. Baby over. Wait wait wait wait wait,

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Speaker 1: Schwarts quit talking because for the podcast last week, I'm

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Speaker 1: sitting there like scrambling with all my notes. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take New England. I'm gonna I'm gonna challenge that anyway. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 1: both of you guys all over New England yesterday. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna challenge me. You're gonna challenge me last week

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Speaker 1: when I said New England, I have a bone to

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Speaker 1: pick with Chad, by the way, so I should just

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Speaker 1: go away because this is because Chad was the one

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Speaker 1: who challenged you first on that one, and I haven't

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get. I'm getting. I'm also piling on chat

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Speaker 1: as well. That's why this is the point of my

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Speaker 1: of my story. Can I continue? Paul? Okay, okay, I

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Speaker 1: know you're you're so angry today. I love it. I

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Speaker 1: love fired up. So last week I said I wanted

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Speaker 1: Denver and they still played tonight. So now we've we've

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Speaker 1: lost our parlay, but Denver still played tonight. I said

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Speaker 1: I want Denver plus the points, and Chad said it

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Speaker 1: was an awful pick, and he disagreed highly with that pick.

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Speaker 1: So I tune into the podcast on Wednesday, the Favorites

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Speaker 1: Pod with Bookmaker to the World, and Chad goes on

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Speaker 1: there and says, I love Denver plus four points. Then

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Speaker 1: he goes on to his Friday podcast with black Jack Fletcher,

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Speaker 1: the Super Contest Podcast and says, I love Denver as well.

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Speaker 1: How do you change your mind in such a short

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Speaker 1: period of time. The world was pretty fast, Jeff, I

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Speaker 1: don't know what else to tell you, Like I mean

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Speaker 1: New Orleans. You guys know I am not reliable in

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Speaker 1: this way. I cannot be beholden to what I say

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Speaker 1: on Monday morning, on Wednesday and on Friday and things

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Speaker 1: sort of. In the betting world, your opinions evolve over time,

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Speaker 1: and I love to pick within within forty eight hours.

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Speaker 1: I mean you literally last week you said New Orleans

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Speaker 1: and then you're like you went to the Giants again,

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Speaker 1: and then I came back and said I want New

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Speaker 1: Orleans and then you got all over me and said

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Speaker 1: I just said, and then you went on Sports Center

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Speaker 1: and picked the Giants and it turned out I was wrong,

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Speaker 1: So I really were initially I am, so you're especially right.

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Speaker 1: And for people who don't know, here's the point of

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Speaker 1: our podcast. On Monday mornings, me and Jeff and Polly,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna record a podcast in which we're gonna make

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Speaker 1: nine picks twenty parlay to win. I think it's no

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Speaker 1: it's sixty dollar parlay to win twenty dollars and we

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Speaker 1: each have to make three picks. Last week, Uh, I

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Speaker 1: was oh one and two in my picks. Um, PAULI

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Speaker 1: did a great job. He got the Vikings at plus

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, but he missed his other two.

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Speaker 1: And Jeff, you went one on one with the Broncos

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Speaker 1: still to go. Um, I lost the Colt and pushed

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Speaker 1: the Raiders push the Cardinals. Jeff, Uh, we lost b

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Speaker 1: y U. That was the one college game I bet

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Speaker 1: right way we lost that together. We don't know about

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Speaker 1: the Broncos yet. You know you won the Lions game, Polly.

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Speaker 1: Let's see what did you do? You lost? Why? I myself?

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Speaker 1: You lost East Carolina? I got beat by myself, Blake

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Speaker 1: larusa five ft ten walk on quarterback. Where Old Dominion

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Speaker 1: beat me as East Carolina. Well, they won the game,

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover. It was like Nightmari's Day outplayed him

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Speaker 1: by like three yards and couldn't cover. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to talk about it. It put me on tilt. I

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Speaker 1: was throwing stuff around at work. Um East Carolina Pirates. Literally,

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Speaker 1: I will never wear any kind of PA any time. Jeff,

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Speaker 1: You're over doing on Amazon right now, and I'm sending

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Speaker 1: Paul Duco like in East Carolina Pirates wardrobe like a

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Speaker 1: big fat head of like their quarter of the current

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Speaker 1: quarterback to put on his wallet work. I love the

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Speaker 1: text that we got from Paul. So we we rased

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Speaker 1: each other during the day during the week about our picks.

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Speaker 1: And I was like, you know, I was like, go Pirates,

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Speaker 1: and Paul said, I just threw my iPad at work.

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Speaker 1: Believe it too. I believe totally did. They had five

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Speaker 1: hundred yards of total offense Old Dominion had. It was

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Speaker 1: like it was unbelievable. They had three of the yard

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Speaker 1: three plays of over forty yards get called back. But

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Speaker 1: here's the whole thing is Old Dominion sacked the quarterback

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Speaker 1: at the East Carolina quarterback nine times. I mean the

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Speaker 1: guy was running for his life. I will give Old

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Speaker 1: Dominion front credit. The guy was running for his life

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Speaker 1: for East Carolina. We have now spent more time talking

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Speaker 1: in detail about the Old Dominion game then we did

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks card Larusa. Let's get I want to get

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Speaker 1: to our probably, But Jeff, there's one thing that happened

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Speaker 1: on the field other day that I thought was incredibly fascinating.

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Speaker 1: And I feel like because you where you are an

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Speaker 1: NFL veteran player. Earl Thomas breaks his leg and he's

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Speaker 1: carted off the field. There have been all these uh

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Speaker 1: been all this controversy about Earl Thomas wanting to get traded,

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Speaker 1: wanting more money, holding out, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. He's being

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Speaker 1: carted off the field. He gives the Seahawks sideline the finger.

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Speaker 1: Pete Carroll says, it's a big stadium. I don't know

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Speaker 1: where he was directing. It explained to me, like from

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Speaker 1: from a player perspective, what's going on there? I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think we all know what's going on. How did

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks players react to that? Interesting? So Bobby Wagner

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Speaker 1: came out and supported him. But I think a lot

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Speaker 1: of players probably feel, like, you know, Earl Thomas as

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Speaker 1: a leader in that locker room, and they probably felt

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Speaker 1: the finger was probably pointed maybe at them too, Like,

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Speaker 1: I don't know how you distinguished who the finger was

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Speaker 1: pointed at. It was it just that Pete Carroll and

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Speaker 1: John Schneider. It was sorry, Pete Carroll, it wasn't just

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Speaker 1: in a big stadium. It was pointed directly at you

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Speaker 1: and John Schneider. Um. And here's the deal about about

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Speaker 1: guys getting paid. We all root for players to get paid, right,

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Speaker 1: no one does. No one roots for someone to not

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Speaker 1: get their their their money. But Earl Thomas is under

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Speaker 1: contract I believe eight point five million dollars this year.

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Speaker 1: Him is it free agency? He will hit fre agency

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Speaker 1: next year. But when you when you show up to

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Speaker 1: the facility after your holdout, then you have to be

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Speaker 1: all in. And he's not quite all in. Remember two

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Speaker 1: weeks ago before the Cowboys game, he just showed up

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Speaker 1: and decided to not do anything at practice that day.

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Speaker 1: Just I'm not like I'm protesting in the facility. Um

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Speaker 1: he last year he went into Cowboys locker room and

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Speaker 1: asked to be traded to the Cowboys. I had a

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Speaker 1: buddy who was there, not a player, someone who's in

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Speaker 1: the front office there who told me that that's exactly

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Speaker 1: what happened. UM, and that stuff I think wears on

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks. And and in no manner, and no did

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Speaker 1: they want to trade him, because that's giving in to

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Speaker 1: Earl Thomas. UM. And I don't think anyone was doing

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Speaker 1: trade for him anyways. And look, it's unfortunate he got hurt.

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Speaker 1: He's still gonna make his money this year, he'll be

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Speaker 1: a free agent, maybe he'll go somewhere, maybe he won't

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Speaker 1: next year. UM, but I gotta think there's some players

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Speaker 1: in that locker room that did not appreciate, um, Earl

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Speaker 1: Thomas kind of not buying in all year. I understand

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Speaker 1: he's upset. He got hurt. I get it. Trust me,

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Speaker 1: I've been hurt multiple times. I get the feeling. I

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Speaker 1: felt like at times in my career teams kind of

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Speaker 1: did me wrong with injuries. UM, but not everyone that

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Speaker 1: locker room is gonna be happy with that you played

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Speaker 1: professional sports. At a high level even though you didn't

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Speaker 1: play in the NFL. Do you have experiences like that

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Speaker 1: that you can draw upon, that you can think back

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Speaker 1: on with with other players. Well, Jeff makes a good

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Speaker 1: point at the end. Sometimes it can be good ridden

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Speaker 1: especially with guys that are that are cancers inside the clubhouse.

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Speaker 1: Doesn't matter how good you are. You know, you play

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Speaker 1: with some guys that are just dynamic and you have

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Speaker 1: to deal with them even though they can be cancers

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Speaker 1: in the clubhouse. But I mean, is he basically flipping

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Speaker 1: off the sideline saying I'm still gonna get my money

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Speaker 1: and I'm out for the year. I think he's upset

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Speaker 1: that he's thinking his extension. But he didn't get this

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Speaker 1: and he didn't And Jeff is completely right. We're all

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Speaker 1: for everybody getting their money. Like um, I've never understood

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Speaker 1: that when it comes to the players this when other

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Speaker 1: guys don't support other guys like what what man like

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Speaker 1: name one human being in the United States. I hate

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Speaker 1: when fans or other people say, oh, this guy is

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Speaker 1: not worth the money. He signed a ridiculous contract. Okay,

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Speaker 1: put the contract in front of you with a nice

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Speaker 1: little big pen, and you tell me you don't sign

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Speaker 1: that contract if it's you, So keep your mouth shut.

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Speaker 1: You know. Um, I think that when you show up,

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Speaker 1: you should be all in. And that's the concerning part

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Speaker 1: to me is he didn't see him all in. Um,

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Speaker 1: and that if I was a teammate of of this

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Speaker 1: is why the Steelers players, by the way, what leave

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Speaker 1: and bet will show up is because he can't negotiate

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Speaker 1: anything better at this at this point and they want

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Speaker 1: to win. They want to win football games because and

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Speaker 1: Ramote Foster finally came out and said, this is that

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Speaker 1: if if we win super Bowls, we get paid. Everyone

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Speaker 1: gets paid more when you win a super Bowl because

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Speaker 1: your your team is happy. Your team wants to pay

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Speaker 1: their their core. They want to keep guys there. And

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Speaker 1: that's why players want their their buddies to show up

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Speaker 1: for Week one. You you've you've done your hold out,

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Speaker 1: you've proven your point. Um, you lost, you lost your holdout.

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Speaker 1: Essentially you don't have your leverage. Uh so come in

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Speaker 1: be part of the team and uh and buy in.

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Speaker 1: And if I was a team at Earl Thomas, you're

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Speaker 1: the flipping off wouldn't bother me. But the idea of

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Speaker 1: coming to practice and then just deciding I'm not practicing

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Speaker 1: that would that would that would frustrate me. You know.

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Speaker 1: The thing the other part about this is is like,

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Speaker 1: you know what sucks about sports is when your guy,

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Speaker 1: your buddies got traded and like and I get that,

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Speaker 1: Like I used to hate that, Like you know you

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Speaker 1: used to you make you have friends with guys in

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Speaker 1: double A, triple A. You get to the big leagues

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Speaker 1: and they get traded. Um, guys take it personal. Now

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Speaker 1: it's like we don't have this guy, we don't have

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Speaker 1: this guy, or you don't you don't want to sign

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Speaker 1: this guy. You know, it's a it's called a business

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Speaker 1: for a reason. Just because they don't want to sign

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Speaker 1: you don't want to sign it, and they take it personally.

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Speaker 1: They're flipping guys off, Like you gotta have to be

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Speaker 1: able to deal with We traded again. Tommy Losorda was

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Speaker 1: the GM for the Dodgers for a year. He traded

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Speaker 1: Paul Knurko and Pedro Martinez. He was a great GM.

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Speaker 1: I mean, like a lot of people forget about that.

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Speaker 1: Like sometimes you gotta deal with stuff like that and

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Speaker 1: just deal with it like a man, take your money

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Speaker 1: and play and be a mentor for the other guys.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I've never understood that speaking of dealing with

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Speaker 1: it like a man taking your money and playing. Boys

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Speaker 1: tend to go all in. Let's do it, let's go.

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Speaker 1: Can we win some games? Please, Let's win some money.

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Speaker 1: Jeff Schwartz, make our first pick the Parlay Show. This

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Speaker 1: is the road to twenty thousand dollars. You know, look

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Speaker 1: at the NFL schedule. I want to start there like

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Speaker 1: there's nothing that that really uh, it's a very tough slate.

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Speaker 1: So there's a couple of directions I have. I have

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Speaker 1: maybe a couple of picks. I'm sure I might get

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Speaker 1: veto and some of these, and then I have some

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Speaker 1: backup pick to go. Um. I've watched every snap of

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Speaker 1: the Giants of the Giants games this year, they have

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Speaker 1: not football team. Already know if you're if you're picking

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Speaker 1: the Giants, I am a Carolina at home this week.

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Speaker 1: I don't even need an explanation six the team against

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Speaker 1: the Giants. I am automatically picking six and a half.

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Speaker 1: The Giants have not scored more than thirty points since

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Speaker 1: since I was since yeah be since I was there,

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Speaker 1: they have not scored more than twenty points a game. Um,

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Speaker 1: the Panthers at home are good. They can run the football,

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Speaker 1: they consult away a game. Uh, they're off of buy two,

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Speaker 1: so they'll they'll have some uh some cool new wrinkles

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Speaker 1: to put it in against the Giants. And the Giants

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Speaker 1: just on the road. Eli Manning does not look good. Um,

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Speaker 1: they're they're not. They're not gonna come close in this game.

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Speaker 1: They're gonna lose by fourteen and seventeen points. It's gonna

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Speaker 1: be an ugly game. The Panthers are physically better than

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Speaker 1: the Giants almost every position. Um, and there's only so

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Speaker 1: much a defense can do before they kind of just

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Speaker 1: like give up. And the Giants defense yesterday, Uh the

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Speaker 1: Saints winning the red zone five times their first five trips,

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Speaker 1: allowed four field goals and a touchdown. Like, that's a

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Speaker 1: great job by the Giants defense. Eventually you just break,

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Speaker 1: and eventually the Giants broke yesterday. I think the Panthers

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Speaker 1: win this game fairly easily. Uh that six and a

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Speaker 1: half right now. I like the Panthers. That might be

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Speaker 1: the quote of the day. They haven't scored a thirty

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Speaker 1: points since I played there in two thousand fifteen. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: they haven't. It's unreal. I love that, Like, you know

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Speaker 1: how hard that is. Like there are games when teams

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Speaker 1: score a special teams and a defensive touchdown that's obviously

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Speaker 1: fourteen points. Then you offense just has to get the thirty.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there are games when when teams just salt

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Speaker 1: away the game at the very end, and like yesterday,

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Speaker 1: the Saints just scored touchdown at the very end. As

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Speaker 1: their know, the Jaguars scored a late, a late touchdown

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Speaker 1: to go over thirty points yesterday, and the Giants have

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Speaker 1: not done it. They have not. That's that's they went

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Speaker 1: to the playoffs. There were eleven and five and sixteen

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Speaker 1: without scoring thirty points. Look, the Giants can't open and

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Speaker 1: they can't close. They're like the worst show on Broadway.

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Speaker 1: Topical reference, Curtains. We got you guys on this podcast

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Speaker 1: who lived in New York. We should all appreciate a

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Speaker 1: Broadway reference. Wicked. Wicked still gets me. We can still

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Speaker 1: just beat Schwards for the best line of the podcast.

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Speaker 1: We're still we're still very very early in the podcast.

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Speaker 1: It's still early. If we're gonna rank lines right now,

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Speaker 1: Wicked Still gets Me is number one. They haven't scored

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Speaker 1: thirty points since I played for them in two thousand fifties.

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Speaker 1: Number two, uh POULI give me a pick, all right?

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Speaker 1: The college players I had this week, we're just unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: Not well, um, but I love one. I love a

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Speaker 1: team this week. And it's a little bit bouncing off Schwartzy,

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a team off of bye week.

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Speaker 1: I like. I like Illinois. There they're laying two and

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Speaker 1: a half at Rutgers. UM. Illinois actually is thirty five

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Speaker 1: in the nation in running. They've actually ran. They actually

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Speaker 1: ran for two hundred and fifty yards against Penn State

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Speaker 1: that game. I watched the second half of that game.

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Speaker 1: It got out of hand. We know how good Penn

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Speaker 1: State is. They actually should have been at Ohio State yesterday.

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Speaker 1: Confusing call at the end of that game. UM, and

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Speaker 1: they let Ohio State back in that game. A couple

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Speaker 1: tough calls. But you know, Illinois got blown out in

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Speaker 1: the second half of that game. But Rutgers is got awful.

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Speaker 1: Their hundred and twenty in the nation against the run.

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Speaker 1: They gave a five hundred or four nine four yards

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Speaker 1: to Kansas. Who's awful. I'm running the football in Illinois,

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Speaker 1: coming off of by a young lovey Smith team. Um.

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Speaker 1: And you know, besides getting blown out against Penn State

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Speaker 1: for being a young team, they were going in the

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Speaker 1: right direction and they are going in the right direction.

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Speaker 1: And I think Rutgers is getting um on the over

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Speaker 1: sold in this game because they covered. They were seventeen

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Speaker 1: point dog against Indiana. Indiana is that I've been a

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Speaker 1: seventeen point favorite in football ever. So I think Illinois

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Speaker 1: is a great play and I think they're gonna run

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Speaker 1: for over four hundred or five yards. Records. Football is

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Speaker 1: just dead. This is really interesting. There's nothing better than

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Speaker 1: wake you up early on a Monday morning doing this

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Speaker 1: podcast and hearing Paul breakdown the twelve noon Big ten

340
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Speaker 1: kickoff like the most boring game of the entire weekend

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Speaker 1: uh in college football slate, the one that no one's watching,

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Speaker 1: the one that no one will bet on. And I

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Speaker 1: can't Archie. I mean Rutgers is bad, I don't. I

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Speaker 1: just they're really bad at football. The one thing that

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Speaker 1: worries me about this game a little bit is Illinois

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Speaker 1: is is very bad on defense yards per play because

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Speaker 1: of last week that yes, um, I kind of white

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Speaker 1: curds is bad. I don't know why you bet four

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Speaker 1: Rutgers at any point. So here's the problem. Colin Wilson,

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Speaker 1: it's pretty smart about college football. In the column he

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Speaker 1: wrote for Sunday Morning projecting the week, six point spreads

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Speaker 1: had Rutgers as a two and a half point favorite

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Speaker 1: in this game. So in this game, Illinois is a

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Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite. It's five point difference.

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Speaker 1: So if we go with this game, we are going

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Speaker 1: against what Colin Wilson says we should do. Are we

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Speaker 1: comfortable with that? Has he put his money down? Is

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Speaker 1: it worth dollars to us? On the Paul has been

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Speaker 1: accurate on these college games until last week. So I

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Speaker 1: I love the bye I love the bye week, and

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Speaker 1: and did to me? Illinois has played some better teams. Well,

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Speaker 1: I know rucords where they played Ohio Stater earlier in

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Speaker 1: the year in the last fifty three, but I mean

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Speaker 1: they are so point to yard to carry Rutgers is

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Speaker 1: three point eight. I mean everything kind of Ruckers is

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Speaker 1: really bad. And third down, he does not put any

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Speaker 1: money down in this game. So let's do it. Let's

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Speaker 1: do it. I'm in We're all together? Do we all agree? Yes?

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Speaker 1: Because I agree I feel like Jeff if Paul's going

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Speaker 1: to come in strong on a Monday morning at eight

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Speaker 1: o'clock and have analyzed the University of Illinois and Rutgers. Uh,

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Speaker 1: he deserves credit for that. She definitely does you pretty astonishing.

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Speaker 1: He loves college football. He loves it. Okay, here's what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. I am gonna go with the Washington

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Speaker 1: Redskins as seven point underdogs next week. So I need

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Speaker 1: to explain myself. They're playing at New Orleans. No, I'm

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Speaker 1: I saw this come through the email this morning, and

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Speaker 1: I bet it right away? You did? Should I bet? Well?

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Speaker 1: I guess my feeling is that, Um, I think the

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Speaker 1: Saints continue to be overvalued in the market. And while

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Speaker 1: their defense played great yesterday, Alex mean, I think it's

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00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,960
Speaker 1: probably a better quarterback than Eli Manning right now, Um,

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Speaker 1: the Redskins defense is still really good. And so you're

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Speaker 1: telling me that I can get a team off of

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Speaker 1: by uh having come off a huge upset win against

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Speaker 1: the Packers with a quarterback who I think can move

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Speaker 1: the ball and is smarter, and we'll be able to

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Speaker 1: pick a part of defense that I think is not

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Speaker 1: very good. Um. As a pretty big underdog. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to do it. So let's let's value. Let's look at

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Speaker 1: New Orleans eight points to you know, obviously, opening week

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Speaker 1: against Tampa, they should have lost to Cleveland. Atlanta's defense

393
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Speaker 1: is right now, just completely banged up in the secondary. UM,

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Speaker 1: but that was part of that game, right, Jeff. I

395
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Speaker 1: mean they got banged up in that game and then

396
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Speaker 1: they beat a bad Giant team. So is the jury

397
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Speaker 1: still out? You think Jad Chad on them and Jeff

398
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:22,800
Speaker 1: on the jury is still out of them. They they

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Speaker 1: play better as the season goes along. Remember the last previously,

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Speaker 1: this year, the last four years they started and two

401
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Speaker 1: this year they almost started owing two with the loss

402
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Speaker 1: of the Browns. I just think that they're not playing

403
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 1: as crisp as they did last year. They get mark

404
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,240
Speaker 1: ingram back, I don't think that it's gonna help too much. Defensively,

405
00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: they haven't been as good as we thought they'd be.

406
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Speaker 1: And here's the thing, Washington with Alex Smith. All Oxmith

407
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,280
Speaker 1: doesn't marking season has win games. We know that, UM,

408
00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:47,720
Speaker 1: their defense is a little undervalued, and they have an

409
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 1: excellent offensive line. Adrian Pearson looks like he's twenty two again.

410
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Speaker 1: Behind that offensive line. So I think that that you're

411
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Speaker 1: getting a full touchdown here. Um for a team who's

412
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Speaker 1: undervalue in the Redskins going on the road, I think

413
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Speaker 1: it's I it's a good play. It's a lot of points. Man,

414
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Speaker 1: in the NFL. For a quality team to lose on

415
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,000
Speaker 1: the road, it is a lot of points. The Redskins,

416
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Speaker 1: I think, are surprised, like they're a sleeper team right now.

417
00:23:11,320 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 1: To me, I think, I think that you lose to

418
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Speaker 1: the Colts in the second week of the year, and

419
00:23:19,359 --> 00:23:23,399
Speaker 1: I think that lingers with people. And so this is

420
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Speaker 1: a team that because they had to buy after that

421
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Speaker 1: big winn against the Packers, they're sort of gonna get

422
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Speaker 1: forgotten about. And where is the Saints go on the road?

423
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Speaker 1: They beat the Giants. Um, that's a big win. That's

424
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:37,400
Speaker 1: hard to do. People still feel like the Giants could

425
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:41,040
Speaker 1: be a team, like they're getting that close. So, um,

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Speaker 1: it's all my reasoning taken a question with you, Yes,

427
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:52,679
Speaker 1: what's the what bye week do you want? Jeff? You

428
00:23:52,720 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: want it week nine? See what I like? Split the

429
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: difference things, But yeah, I missed the bye weeks were

430
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:01,760
Speaker 1: like the best right at week nine? Your coach gives

431
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:03,119
Speaker 1: you the whole week off. I went to Turks and

432
00:24:03,200 --> 00:24:05,160
Speaker 1: Caicos one year during bye week. I was all over

433
00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:09,040
Speaker 1: the place Bahamas one year. Yeah, we got the whole

434
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 1: week off. I came to say that with the Turks.

435
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:15,360
Speaker 1: Came back on Saturday. But yeah, that's awesome. Yeah, you're

436
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 1: with friends. Like, no, we had no kids yet, so bounced.

437
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:28,400
Speaker 1: So we're going back to college really quick. Um, Kentucky

438
00:24:28,680 --> 00:24:31,919
Speaker 1: on the road at A and M. It opened at

439
00:24:31,960 --> 00:24:34,359
Speaker 1: six players plus six point five and now at plus

440
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 1: six Kentucky is five and oh, folks, like they're playing

441
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:40,000
Speaker 1: really good football and they're playing really good defense. Uh.

442
00:24:40,040 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 1: They beat South Carolina, who's whatever. They missip State, who

443
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,399
Speaker 1: we thought was gonna be really good. They gave it

444
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,160
Speaker 1: to Florida earlier in the year. Um, I think that

445
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,960
Speaker 1: this this this team can play some ball and defense.

446
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 1: Remember travels very well. So Kentucky right now defensively is

447
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 1: four and yards per play. They're playing an an M

448
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 1: team that's sloppy under under Jimbo Fisher, first year head

449
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:03,760
Speaker 1: coach there. Um, their yards for playing on defense is

450
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 1: a hundred and twelve. So so Kentucky will be able

451
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:07,640
Speaker 1: to move the ball on them and I think they'll

452
00:25:07,640 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 1: be able to stop them. I get almost a touchdown

453
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,560
Speaker 1: here with a five in old football team on the

454
00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:16,439
Speaker 1: road against a new program. In Jimbo Fisher, I like

455
00:25:16,520 --> 00:25:22,520
Speaker 1: Kentucky here, I had a strong opinion on this game.

456
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: Go ahead. I actually love this pick. Wow, all right,

457
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 1: it's it's a tough chick to love. It's a tough

458
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: pick to love. But like, listen, I'm not a Stoops fan,

459
00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 1: but I think this is the one Stoops that could

460
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:42,840
Speaker 1: actually coach. Um. Kentucky hasn't been relevant in football listen.

461
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:45,520
Speaker 1: Like I said, I've spent so much time in Lexington

462
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: when they don't don't care about anything else besides who

463
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,920
Speaker 1: the next great basketball player that's gonna walk on that campus.

464
00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:56,439
Speaker 1: And they got a real football team this year, and

465
00:25:56,480 --> 00:26:00,240
Speaker 1: they got a real defense. Um, and this is gonna

466
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: be the best defense, said Jimbo Fisher's face. And maybe

467
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,320
Speaker 1: they're gonna have a little bit of a you know,

468
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,320
Speaker 1: after the Clemson game, they had a little bit of

469
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,840
Speaker 1: a tiny bit of a letdown. And he's right, it's

470
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: a little bit of all over the they're a little

471
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:16,880
Speaker 1: bit all over the place. Kentucky is for real on defense,

472
00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 1: and like he said, I don't know if anybody's gonna

473
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:20,640
Speaker 1: take them serious. You're still getting six and a half

474
00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:22,480
Speaker 1: seven points. The fact that they put six and a

475
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,719
Speaker 1: half again, that line got six and a half just

476
00:26:25,760 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 1: scares me. Why don't you like it? I feel like

477
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,359
Speaker 1: I look at Collins numbers. Colin has Texas A and

478
00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,800
Speaker 1: M as in eight and a half point favorite in

479
00:26:35,840 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 1: this game. Right now, the line is six, Kentucky is

480
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:43,280
Speaker 1: five and Oh, as you said, they are never going

481
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:47,159
Speaker 1: to have more value, more inflation in their perspective than

482
00:26:47,160 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 1: they do right now. A and M is coming off

483
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,280
Speaker 1: of what jimbo Fisher called their worst game of the

484
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: season against Arkansas. So I think we've got sort of

485
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:02,960
Speaker 1: a low perception of A and M and a high

486
00:27:03,040 --> 00:27:06,320
Speaker 1: perception of Kentucky meeting in the middle to create a

487
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 1: line that is probably two to three points lower than

488
00:27:09,119 --> 00:27:11,040
Speaker 1: what it should be. So I'm getting about two and

489
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,600
Speaker 1: a half points of value on A and M. I

490
00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:17,200
Speaker 1: need to pull up my slack because I asked Colin

491
00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,119
Speaker 1: about the projections, because for example, he had Ohio State

492
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 1: um favored by eight over initially over Penn State. So

493
00:27:24,760 --> 00:27:26,560
Speaker 1: I said, like, oh, how states favor by four? I

494
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,159
Speaker 1: should take them, right, that would be the smart thing

495
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,199
Speaker 1: to do. And he's like, well, not really, like it

496
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 1: gave me the reasons why I don't have my slack.

497
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:33,639
Speaker 1: I'm on a different computer right now. I don't know

498
00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:35,640
Speaker 1: my slack pulled up. But he said it was not

499
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:38,920
Speaker 1: It's not like totally. When you added all the things

500
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:40,600
Speaker 1: and you get the new projections from the week, and

501
00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:42,600
Speaker 1: do you see where the new stats are at? He's like,

502
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:45,040
Speaker 1: you have to look at more sometimes than just that

503
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:47,239
Speaker 1: initial line. Because I was gonna bet Ohio State hard.

504
00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,440
Speaker 1: I bet him anyways, but because I'm like, look a

505
00:27:49,560 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 1: four point difference, let's go harder. And he's like, just like,

506
00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 1: do your research before you go hard at it? All right,

507
00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:59,639
Speaker 1: I listen, all we can do in these things is

508
00:27:59,680 --> 00:28:03,639
Speaker 1: talk about it, right. Oh no? And then I feel like,

509
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: ultimately I'm going to side with the majority. I'm not

510
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:13,520
Speaker 1: obstinate in my leanings. I'm not like you know, Congress,

511
00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 1: I just I'm looking forward to to you and Blackjack

512
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 1: throwing our college football game and you're super contest and

513
00:28:18,080 --> 00:28:20,360
Speaker 1: being really happy about Kentucky this week. After I said,

514
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:24,160
Speaker 1: after you told me it was a bad play on Monday,

515
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:30,080
Speaker 1: I go with the wind. That's why I can never

516
00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: be a politician, because, like I, I won't be hard

517
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,720
Speaker 1: and fast in my feelings. I will go with the wind.

518
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 1: How many bets are on that game? They're playing all

519
00:28:41,120 --> 00:28:43,880
Speaker 1: in Kentucky that game right now? Let me look in

520
00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:47,600
Speaker 1: the Action Network Gap and Jeff Schwartz has a bet

521
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 1: on it that there are nine d bets on this

522
00:28:51,000 --> 00:28:54,120
Speaker 1: game currently. But that is also I'm looking at one book.

523
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 1: So my uh, my Action Network Gap, I follow the

524
00:28:57,360 --> 00:28:59,960
Speaker 1: West Gate. The West Gate has nine dred bets in

525
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:04,840
Speaker 1: that game. I will say, of all the SEC games, um,

526
00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:10,320
Speaker 1: this one has double oh no Florida lsus N, and

527
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:18,040
Speaker 1: then it's this one and then Bama Arkansas obviously low volume. Still, PAULI,

528
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:24,800
Speaker 1: who do you got? Oh? Oh boy, I'm gonna go

529
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:28,120
Speaker 1: to the NFL. I thought you were gonna pull like

530
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: regional Mississippi teams. There's too many points and it's already

531
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:41,160
Speaker 1: got the most pets I think in the NFL. Yeah,

532
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'm I'm on the West Guide. Well

533
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,360
Speaker 1: in second less sev one, I I gotta take the

534
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:51,800
Speaker 1: points to ten points with the Colts against the Patriots. Um,

535
00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 1: you guys talk about Andrew Luck never in that game,

536
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:58,920
Speaker 1: but somehow just finds a way. We talked about that

537
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:03,360
Speaker 1: last week, how they just find a way. Um. New

538
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 1: England played a bad Miami team. I think Miami got

539
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 1: sought out this week. I don't think they're that good.

540
00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:10,400
Speaker 1: They're gonna be eight and eight by the seasons. And

541
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: we all know that New England is very average. Josh

542
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,240
Speaker 1: Gordon does not move them up that much to be

543
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. The weather is going to be normal.

544
00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be crazy. Are we looked at the weather.

545
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,360
Speaker 1: It's not gonna be like forty degrees or anything like.

546
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: That's gonna be in the seventies. I'll give. I'll take

547
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:31,520
Speaker 1: Andrew Luck in the ten points. The thing about Paul

548
00:30:31,640 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: chat As, he is so well prepared, Like I don't

549
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:36,560
Speaker 1: know how to counter a lot of what he says

550
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,560
Speaker 1: other than do we do we better get the Patriots? Like?

551
00:30:39,760 --> 00:30:42,760
Speaker 1: Is that is that a smart play? In general? It's

552
00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:45,560
Speaker 1: a Thursd end of football game. The culture on the road.

553
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,880
Speaker 1: I think Andrew Luck is kind of like a covering machine,

554
00:30:48,960 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 1: especially the end of football games. I can see this

555
00:30:50,560 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 1: being a late cover. New England played their best game

556
00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:56,000
Speaker 1: this season by far yesterday against like Paul said in

557
00:30:56,120 --> 00:30:58,840
Speaker 1: Miami Team that um I was high on, but I

558
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 1: can't be anymore. They they got exposed. I think, uh,

559
00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 1: pretty pretty harshly in that game until ten points a lot.

560
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,400
Speaker 1: I mean even you know, even last Thursday and night,

561
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:11,440
Speaker 1: we thought the Rams were gonna just run all over

562
00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:13,760
Speaker 1: the Vikings and and and the vikings depending what number

563
00:31:13,800 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 1: you got pushed or you got seven and a half,

564
00:31:15,720 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: or are you lost by half a point and six

565
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:20,960
Speaker 1: and a half, I just I can't see this being

566
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:24,000
Speaker 1: a total blowout, which makes me think the points aren't

567
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 1: the bad play here. Well, coming from someone who has

568
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 1: literally had money on or against the Colts every single

569
00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 1: week so far this year. Oh yeah, yeah, so I've

570
00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:39,280
Speaker 1: watched Actually I'll value your opinion, and you have watched

571
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:43,360
Speaker 1: every snap. I've watched all of their games. Andrew Luck,

572
00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:48,240
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter what the numbers say. Fucking keeps his

573
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:53,760
Speaker 1: team in the game. He just does like and ten

574
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: points Are you kidding me? This is another one? This

575
00:31:56,080 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: is a and M Kentucky right Like, Look, look, I

576
00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:02,360
Speaker 1: recently discovered the Patriots as a team you want to

577
00:32:02,360 --> 00:32:04,280
Speaker 1: bet on. You can read all about it in my

578
00:32:04,560 --> 00:32:10,680
Speaker 1: new column on Action network dot Com. Um, wow, pop

579
00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 1: tarts with the sun. But uh, I will tell you,

580
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:20,160
Speaker 1: I think you're getting like the Patriots at an extreme

581
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 1: high right now. And when I looked at this, when

582
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 1: I looked at these lines to to talk about this

583
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:28,280
Speaker 1: podcast today, this is one of the lines when that

584
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 1: I looked at him like, huh, I might like this one.

585
00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 1: But I felt like I couldn't go back to the

586
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:34,640
Speaker 1: Colts because I go to them every single week. So

587
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:39,160
Speaker 1: I'm glad someone else is doing it. You someone jumping

588
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:42,080
Speaker 1: on the ship. Yeah, someone do it because I can't

589
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 1: do it. I mean, by the end of the week

590
00:32:44,160 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: here and have so much money in New England. I mean,

591
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:50,040
Speaker 1: you're gonna be on Sports Center touting that in double time. Seriously,

592
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:52,480
Speaker 1: I can't wait to go on Sports and I'm gonna

593
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 1: be like, guys, I'm all in on the Giants on Rutgers.

594
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:08,960
Speaker 1: Give me a taste of East Carolina. Feel like, I

595
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 1: just love that that Paul was at work and there's

596
00:33:10,960 --> 00:33:13,920
Speaker 1: there's a zillion good games on TV yesterday and Paul's

597
00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:17,680
Speaker 1: like huddling his cubicle watching East Carolina Old Dominion on

598
00:33:18,040 --> 00:33:20,959
Speaker 1: ESPN three on his iPad like I just I just

599
00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:22,720
Speaker 1: love it, like I wasn't watching the game, was his

600
00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 1: pay attention to on the app. And my favorite part

601
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 1: two about Hawaii and and and same Ay State is

602
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 1: the game was literally not on television, like the app said,

603
00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:34,560
Speaker 1: does not have enough information to provide accurate updates because

604
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 1: like it was literally no one was watching it. It

605
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,520
Speaker 1: was not on television. I had to go to regular

606
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:43,760
Speaker 1: like a regular ESPN app and search for the the

607
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:47,320
Speaker 1: box score because it was not like able to be

608
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,920
Speaker 1: updated on the Action Network app. It was hilarious, so classic,

609
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:53,719
Speaker 1: by the way, you hear did you see the ending

610
00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 1: of that game? And went into four overtimes? They went

611
00:33:56,640 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 1: seven seven zero zero zero zero zero zero. San Jose

612
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,000
Speaker 1: State kicked a field goal, Hawaii scored a touchdown. San

613
00:34:05,080 --> 00:34:08,399
Speaker 1: Jose State missed three field goals to win that game

614
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: in overtime. Paul, I know, I did not watch it.

615
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:13,319
Speaker 1: I just said it wasn't on television. I don't know

616
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:15,279
Speaker 1: if that's that's what ended up happening in the game.

617
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:18,279
Speaker 1: Is what I'm saying, is like they missed stayed on

618
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:19,680
Speaker 1: the money line. It has to be one of the worst.

619
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 1: I think they missed two or three field goals in overtime. Crazy?

620
00:34:24,200 --> 00:34:28,000
Speaker 1: All right, is it my turn? I would like to

621
00:34:28,120 --> 00:34:40,160
Speaker 1: choose the Atlanta Falcons as four point underdog. No why why? Why? Why? No? No? No?

622
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:48,600
Speaker 1: Their their defense is so bang no no, like why listen? Why?

623
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 1: By the way, can I ask you you a question?

624
00:34:53,960 --> 00:34:55,719
Speaker 1: What was going on with Big Ben in the second half?

625
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,280
Speaker 1: He looked like Stefan Diggs in the Geico commercial. Everything

626
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 1: was sticking to his hands and he was spiking the ball.

627
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:08,600
Speaker 1: Look doesn't normal? Someonmizes Thomber or something. So I want

628
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:12,000
Speaker 1: to hear Chad's reasoning. Let's let's go my My reasoning

629
00:35:12,080 --> 00:35:14,640
Speaker 1: is that the Steelers are a hot mess right now.

630
00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:18,120
Speaker 1: They shouldn't be favorite against anybody. And while the Falcons

631
00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 1: defense really is is like horrible, like no Dion Jones,

632
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:26,799
Speaker 1: no kian O'Neil Ricardo Allen, like you know, the three

633
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,680
Speaker 1: of us, Uh, just the three of us with like

634
00:35:29,800 --> 00:35:33,840
Speaker 1: Jeff at the offensive line, Paul at his flanker position

635
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:39,680
Speaker 1: and he is a as an RPO quarterback. Uh could

636
00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 1: beat this team, right, Tayo Hill Right? But um, but

637
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:48,000
Speaker 1: they can score. The Falcons can score, and like all

638
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 1: of a sudden, it's like they're playing flag football out there.

639
00:35:50,960 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: Every time Matt Ryan drops back, everybody's wide open. I

640
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,000
Speaker 1: don't think the Steelers can cover them. I think it's

641
00:35:56,040 --> 00:35:58,960
Speaker 1: a close game. I'll tell you what. You have something there,

642
00:35:59,080 --> 00:36:02,600
Speaker 1: because I've been seeing literally waiting for my book to

643
00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,279
Speaker 1: open up the over and under. I'm worried about Ben

644
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm not lying because that second half was

645
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,080
Speaker 1: ridiculous because he couldn't throw the ball. But I don't

646
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,120
Speaker 1: know what they're gonna hang this under and over because

647
00:36:13,239 --> 00:36:16,480
Speaker 1: if they don't fumble the ball on the one yard line,

648
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,680
Speaker 1: it's twenty one to three Baltimore and they could have

649
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, there could be a lot of

650
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,319
Speaker 1: points scored in this game. No short syne, there could

651
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,200
Speaker 1: be a lot of points scoring this game. Just for fun.

652
00:36:26,320 --> 00:36:28,479
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan gets the Steelers and his career only played

653
00:36:28,520 --> 00:36:31,400
Speaker 1: twice over two because they play uh every four years,

654
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:33,440
Speaker 1: they go home in array every eight years. Why hasn't

655
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,440
Speaker 1: only played them twice? Was he hurt? It's kind of weird.

656
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:41,320
Speaker 1: He's own too, by the way, played back against AFC South.

657
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:45,400
Speaker 1: Nothing you're saying is relevant to this game, nothing, Chad.

658
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:47,960
Speaker 1: Let me ask you a quick question. I found one

659
00:36:48,080 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: under and over that online. What do you think the

660
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:55,759
Speaker 1: under and over in that game is? I was gonna so, yeah,

661
00:36:56,000 --> 00:37:01,440
Speaker 1: fifty six that is a that's a college line. Wow.

662
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:04,560
Speaker 1: All right, listen, you guys don't like this game. Clearly

663
00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:07,319
Speaker 1: you're both like you're not in favor of this game.

664
00:37:07,440 --> 00:37:10,760
Speaker 1: Which is cool, Atlanta is this this season? That's defense?

665
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, their defense is really bad. That's good. Staffs

666
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:15,719
Speaker 1: like their defense there twenty six yards. I'm sort of

667
00:37:15,800 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: with chat that they're hot. Man. Such a tough read here,

668
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,399
Speaker 1: because you guys don' want a challenge flag. I will

669
00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:24,359
Speaker 1: come back this. I think about this week. I think

670
00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 1: about this week is I just don't think there's like

671
00:37:26,239 --> 00:37:28,520
Speaker 1: a lot of games were like that. That's a great game.

672
00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:31,359
Speaker 1: So if you feel strongly about a game, I kind

673
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 1: of have to go with your gut here because like

674
00:37:32,680 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 1: I said, like I'm looking to NFL schedule, like there's

675
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:37,080
Speaker 1: not like games are like wow, this is the Vegas

676
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 1: have screwed this lineup and we got to bet this

677
00:37:39,760 --> 00:37:42,759
Speaker 1: right away. So there's gonna be a lot of points

678
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:47,400
Speaker 1: scoring this game. Um, which and you get four points.

679
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,840
Speaker 1: I mean, it's not it's not that bad. Paul already

680
00:37:50,880 --> 00:37:53,440
Speaker 1: bet Pittsburgh. Already bet Pittsburgh last night. Paul, I bet

681
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 1: him last night because after watching that's why, after watching

682
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:04,320
Speaker 1: the first half, and I'm like and watching, after watching

683
00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 1: the first half of that game last I watched, I

684
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,319
Speaker 1: watched Andy Dalton like literally just go up and down

685
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:13,239
Speaker 1: the field, like there's Swiss cheese right now in the phone.

686
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: You bet, you bet, you bet. By the way, I

687
00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 1: thought Pittsburgh was gonna blow out Baltimore in the second half.

688
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 1: The way they were playing. They were getting rolling, you know,

689
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,240
Speaker 1: and I thought, Okay, maybe this line will go open

690
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:29,560
Speaker 1: if you look. Look how much money's on Atlanta. Everybody's

691
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 1: going towards Atlanta because they saw Pittsburgh play the second half.

692
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:38,759
Speaker 1: The bets are on Atlanta right now, so should we

693
00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:42,240
Speaker 1: technically what year ninety? This is a good head for Paul.

694
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 1: This is good like he doesn't need to be wrapped

695
00:38:44,640 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 1: up in Pittsburgh everywhere so he can have his individual

696
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:51,880
Speaker 1: bet on Pittsburgh. And I guess, I guess I'm you know,

697
00:38:51,960 --> 00:38:58,239
Speaker 1: in our airs, but a root against her. Yeah, I

698
00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:01,439
Speaker 1: will go back and and play Atlanta even it out,

699
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:05,400
Speaker 1: because no, no, no, this is this is this is

700
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 1: your hedge. Right, you can be in Pittsburgh individually, but

701
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,839
Speaker 1: if Pittsburgh doesn't work out, you got Atlanta plus four

702
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,879
Speaker 1: in the parlay and you could win or a piece

703
00:39:14,880 --> 00:39:19,040
Speaker 1: of the other eight. Right there you go, chassy guy

704
00:39:19,040 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: who who who plays that don't pass line? Oh one?

705
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:28,640
Speaker 1: For sure? Yes there's ever a hedge. I'm gonna find it.

706
00:39:29,719 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 1: I mean, um, all right, I'm fine, I'm I'm fine.

707
00:39:34,760 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 1: Feel like I feel like I'm being insulted. I just

708
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:39,000
Speaker 1: don't know it. Do you know? Did you play craps

709
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,439
Speaker 1: that don't pass line? I don't play craps. You know why?

710
00:39:42,600 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: I can't ever figure it out. You typically bet for

711
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 1: the roller that's the pass line that don't pass lines.

712
00:39:48,880 --> 00:39:51,040
Speaker 1: You bet against the rollers. You basically bet against the table,

713
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 1: and you be that guy who walks. Everyone hates that guy.

714
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:56,600
Speaker 1: They walk up, They put their money where it's empty,

715
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 1: where no one else has money, and your root against

716
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:01,600
Speaker 1: the guys rolling the dice. Listen, I feel like that's

717
00:40:01,640 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: that is an inappropriate interpretation of who I am. There's

718
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,400
Speaker 1: nobody who roots for everybody around him more than me

719
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:15,120
Speaker 1: written seven books, But you cannot figure out grass. There's

720
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:18,040
Speaker 1: nobody who roots friends more than me. My friends success

721
00:40:18,080 --> 00:40:20,520
Speaker 1: is my success. I only want you guys to win.

722
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: Only that's because I'm a leader, Jeff, go ahead, Okay.

723
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:28,440
Speaker 1: So I wanna need you guys help on this one.

724
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:30,839
Speaker 1: There's two that I in the NFL that I sort

725
00:40:30,840 --> 00:40:34,319
Speaker 1: of like equally and maybe not like equally. So I

726
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 1: need can we get some some I need some help

727
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:38,400
Speaker 1: from the gallery? All right? So to the two options

728
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 1: for this play and I have I can make statements

729
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:45,520
Speaker 1: either one for this Arizona. Where to go Arizona at

730
00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 1: San Francisco they opened up at plus five is now

731
00:40:49,160 --> 00:40:51,800
Speaker 1: down to plus four and a half weird number there,

732
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:54,840
Speaker 1: or Jacksonville plus three at Kansas City. Now we know

733
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,919
Speaker 1: that line could move after the Kansas City plays tonight. Um,

734
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 1: that game is at Kansas City? Which one of those

735
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:01,960
Speaker 1: two do you feel more comfortable about? And I can?

736
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:06,239
Speaker 1: I kind of like both equally. Poli, Well, I think

737
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,239
Speaker 1: a lot of people are gonna be on Arizona just

738
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:12,480
Speaker 1: because of the Phil Dawson Blues. Like I said, um,

739
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:16,680
Speaker 1: I think there and C. J. Bethard sort of imploded

740
00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:19,120
Speaker 1: in the second half of that very good They had

741
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,080
Speaker 1: a good start. I mean that's yeah, good started and

742
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:22,719
Speaker 1: then then they put the clamps on him in the

743
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 1: second half. Cardinals, they couldn't win a game. I guess

744
00:41:30,239 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 1: they don't have to win this game for us to

745
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 1: win the bet, though. If you play Jacksonville now, I

746
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:40,000
Speaker 1: mean Kansas City plays tonight, what is the Jacksonville line?

747
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:42,640
Speaker 1: Three plus three? You guys, this is a no brainer?

748
00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:48,440
Speaker 1: Is Jacksonville plus three? Right? No, it's Arizona. Noll I

749
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: bet Arizona already, So I feel better now that we

750
00:41:50,719 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 1: agreed on that. So that's one of the two NFL

751
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,239
Speaker 1: bets already made for this week. I love this Cardinals team.

752
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:56,959
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna turn around. Don't think they're gonna

753
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,920
Speaker 1: make the playoffs, But like, what do you love about that?

754
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 1: Because they well, you know what I do like about

755
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:05,000
Speaker 1: them is that I like about rosen As. They were

756
00:42:05,040 --> 00:42:07,520
Speaker 1: down a touchdown and he at least drove the team

757
00:42:07,560 --> 00:42:09,439
Speaker 1: down the field to get a chance to tie the game.

758
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:14,200
Speaker 1: I mean, I think that says enough against against the foe.

759
00:42:14,280 --> 00:42:16,239
Speaker 1: I don't think Seattle's much, but then they end up.

760
00:42:16,239 --> 00:42:18,200
Speaker 1: I also thought their defense yesterday was great, Like the

761
00:42:19,239 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 1: defense really well, they have a lot of talent, They're

762
00:42:21,719 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 1: trying to figure out how to because Steve Wilkes is

763
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:27,680
Speaker 1: more of a four three cover two guy, and and

764
00:42:28,640 --> 00:42:30,719
Speaker 1: they have three or four personnel, and they're trying to

765
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:33,120
Speaker 1: figure out, like how to get these guys all playing

766
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,279
Speaker 1: the same place. And yesterday felt like the first time.

767
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:38,360
Speaker 1: And look, Seattle's offensive line is garbage, but they found

768
00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 1: a way to get after Seattle. I just I'm with you, Paul.

769
00:42:41,840 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 1: I think Arizona has to win. And here's something about c. J. Bethard.

770
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:47,279
Speaker 1: He played really well to open that game yesterday, they're

771
00:42:47,360 --> 00:42:49,600
Speaker 1: up fourteen nothing, but then it kind of wore off.

772
00:42:49,640 --> 00:42:52,200
Speaker 1: He kind of came back to reality. Because here's the

773
00:42:52,200 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 1: thing I've said this with the Bears is you have

774
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:57,359
Speaker 1: a first fifteen, so you design your first fift team

775
00:42:57,400 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 1: places and College Nahan does that as well. And those

776
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:01,799
Speaker 1: are places you've you've scripted in your head. You know

777
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:04,240
Speaker 1: what defense you're gonna get, you know everything that's about

778
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:08,160
Speaker 1: to happen, and you then have a chance to succeed that.

779
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:10,360
Speaker 1: After you that first fifteen is up, then your quarterback

780
00:43:10,360 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 1: has to then go into the regular plays and and

781
00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:14,640
Speaker 1: he's not gonna know exactly what defense he's getting every

782
00:43:14,640 --> 00:43:16,520
Speaker 1: time and you kind of come back to earth a

783
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:18,919
Speaker 1: little bit. So its like a low scoring game. Both

784
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 1: defenses playing well, and I'll take the points. In Arizona. Boom, noise, Wow,

785
00:43:28,320 --> 00:43:32,080
Speaker 1: he said, make the noise, demanded it. It's Matt Ford,

786
00:43:32,080 --> 00:43:35,279
Speaker 1: our producer. There you go. We're seven picks in. We

787
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:39,480
Speaker 1: got two more to go. Okay, I know where I'm going. Really,

788
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:41,759
Speaker 1: Paul's looking at the FBS schedule right now to find

789
00:43:41,920 --> 00:43:46,319
Speaker 1: some I did have a crazy game, but I don't

790
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,880
Speaker 1: want I need to hear it. I need it. I

791
00:43:48,960 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 1: needed my blood. I'm going to Houston Texans minus three.

792
00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:59,839
Speaker 1: I know it's it's not a popular pick. They beat

793
00:43:59,880 --> 00:44:04,160
Speaker 1: the Chad Millman Indianapolis Colts, who we're gonna like this week.

794
00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,479
Speaker 1: I mean, I think DeShawn Watson getting his first win back.

795
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:11,600
Speaker 1: I think it's gonna give him a little bit of confidence. Yeah.

796
00:44:12,680 --> 00:44:16,319
Speaker 1: The Cowboys, I mean they're the most a team of

797
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:18,719
Speaker 1: all time. They really are. And and here's the thing

798
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,200
Speaker 1: is they should have lost last week that a couple

799
00:44:21,280 --> 00:44:24,520
Speaker 1: of Detroit at a couple of plays called back they did.

800
00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:28,839
Speaker 1: They were in and against against in against Seattle, I

801
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:32,000
Speaker 1: mean they could barely put up twenty points against the Giants.

802
00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:34,319
Speaker 1: I don't know. I just think Houston needs to show

803
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,839
Speaker 1: up now. I mean they started going three, one and three.

804
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:40,720
Speaker 1: If they can get to two and three, um, um

805
00:44:40,760 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: by beating Dallas and then they got Buffalo and then

806
00:44:46,320 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 1: they got Jacksonville, they they can get to three and three.

807
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,280
Speaker 1: I think if I'm in that locker room, I'm thinking, okay,

808
00:44:51,440 --> 00:44:53,160
Speaker 1: I'm one and three. We win this game, and then

809
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:55,080
Speaker 1: we got Buffalo at home. We can get to three

810
00:44:55,080 --> 00:44:57,600
Speaker 1: and three, okay, and then we get Jacksonville and then

811
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 1: Miami and then Denver. We get honestly, get to like

812
00:45:01,000 --> 00:45:03,600
Speaker 1: four and three, five and four, and then be back

813
00:45:03,640 --> 00:45:07,680
Speaker 1: in this race after starting this season only three. This

814
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:11,920
Speaker 1: has the potential to be an ugly football game. Um.

815
00:45:12,080 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 1: You have a Cowboys offense that is basically just Zeke

816
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:16,879
Speaker 1: Elliott and then a bunch of other players that are

817
00:45:16,920 --> 00:45:20,000
Speaker 1: on the team. UM. Gets the Texas defense that's starting

818
00:45:20,040 --> 00:45:21,440
Speaker 1: to play a little better now that you know the

819
00:45:21,480 --> 00:45:24,120
Speaker 1: cold scheme was, but their defensive line Watt is now

820
00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:27,640
Speaker 1: back in full force. Um. And then you have a

821
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:32,600
Speaker 1: Texans offense that's like getting better with Watson, but their

822
00:45:32,600 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 1: offensive line is miserable because the Cowboys good pass rush

823
00:45:38,800 --> 00:45:40,680
Speaker 1: the Texans whin they're gonna win by three? I think,

824
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 1: I mean that's I don't I don't buy the Cowboys.

825
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:44,799
Speaker 1: Don't really buy the Texans either, But Paul, I mean,

826
00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: I don't know. How do you feel, Chad? Chad? Why

827
00:45:48,320 --> 00:45:50,600
Speaker 1: is you know it's you and Scooch for we're talking

828
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,719
Speaker 1: about this? Why nobody's playing the Cowboys no more? No

829
00:45:53,800 --> 00:45:56,720
Speaker 1: fans in the Cowboys anymore? Huh? No one to watch?

830
00:45:56,960 --> 00:45:58,719
Speaker 1: Who's the who's on the team that you're interested in?

831
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 1: Just like Ezekie Eliot is not a guy that you

832
00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:04,040
Speaker 1: rove for, Dak Prescott, no one cares about Cole Beasley

833
00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,600
Speaker 1: is your best receiver? Like I was thinking about this yesterday,

834
00:46:07,000 --> 00:46:11,319
Speaker 1: there is zero sort of view ability. Zack Martin the

835
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:16,839
Speaker 1: right guard. Please, He's amazing, There's no doubt about it.

836
00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:24,120
Speaker 1: I think, just right there. I love Houston, Love it.

837
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:27,279
Speaker 1: I got a Houston super Bowl ticket. I got a

838
00:46:27,280 --> 00:46:29,680
Speaker 1: Houston super Bowl ticket. You can read about it in

839
00:46:29,680 --> 00:46:31,640
Speaker 1: the column I wrote for Action Network dot Com when

840
00:46:31,640 --> 00:46:33,800
Speaker 1: I broke down diary, what company do you work for?

841
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 1: I've never heard that comedy before? You and others as well?

842
00:46:41,239 --> 00:46:48,200
Speaker 1: Uh my pick, Here we go Boys. Here we go.

843
00:46:49,600 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 1: Get those flags ready. Seattle plus seven and a half

844
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 1: at home against the Los Angeles Rames. Man, I was

845
00:46:57,880 --> 00:47:04,200
Speaker 1: gonna take this one. I kind of like it. It's

846
00:47:04,640 --> 00:47:07,480
Speaker 1: this look. We know that that the Rams are very

847
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:12,040
Speaker 1: good and eventually though, they're not gonna be this way

848
00:47:12,160 --> 00:47:15,080
Speaker 1: every single week, and it feels like this is a

849
00:47:15,640 --> 00:47:19,800
Speaker 1: little opportunity for a letdown on the road in Seattle.

850
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:21,920
Speaker 1: We still know it's a hostile place to play. Seattle

851
00:47:22,000 --> 00:47:24,319
Speaker 1: one as well this week too, so their fans might

852
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:27,759
Speaker 1: be back into it. Um. Earl Thomas being out there

853
00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:31,520
Speaker 1: is a big problem for Yeah, but this may help

854
00:47:31,600 --> 00:47:34,680
Speaker 1: him around. But you get no, he's still he played.

855
00:47:34,680 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 1: He's playing really well, but he had two interceptions against

856
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:40,200
Speaker 1: the Cowboys two weeks ago. Um, that hook is really important.

857
00:47:40,200 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 1: I think here because Seattle and Russell Wilson, they he

858
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,239
Speaker 1: just manages to like at the end of games, score

859
00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 1: a bunch of points. In the two minutes, Hill just

860
00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 1: running for his life, throwing the ball up. If if

861
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 1: Peters is not back yet, Peter has played, but he

862
00:47:53,520 --> 00:47:56,160
Speaker 1: was a pent. If Peterson add percent and to leave

863
00:47:56,280 --> 00:47:58,640
Speaker 1: not playing, I can see the seven and a half.

864
00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:00,880
Speaker 1: I don't I don't really. Like I said in the

865
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,160
Speaker 1: sleeve of NFL games this year, this is this week.

866
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:05,800
Speaker 1: I should say it's not bad, you know what? This

867
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:08,840
Speaker 1: week and reminded me of this. This weekend reminded me

868
00:48:09,920 --> 00:48:13,600
Speaker 1: that sometimes you believe in certain theories and principles and

869
00:48:13,640 --> 00:48:15,560
Speaker 1: if you see it, you gotta bet it and just

870
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:19,600
Speaker 1: hold your nose. Like going into the weekend. The previous weekends,

871
00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:24,840
Speaker 1: I had been anxious about betting big home underdogs against teams.

872
00:48:24,840 --> 00:48:28,239
Speaker 1: I thought that we're killing it and it costs me opportunities.

873
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:31,480
Speaker 1: This week, I bet all the home underdogs, I bet

874
00:48:31,600 --> 00:48:34,279
Speaker 1: the short favorites, and it paid off for me, and

875
00:48:34,400 --> 00:48:37,359
Speaker 1: so I gotta do it again, like right now, all

876
00:48:37,400 --> 00:48:38,719
Speaker 1: the money. We know, all the money is going to

877
00:48:38,760 --> 00:48:41,480
Speaker 1: come in in the Rams, So I gotta bet the

878
00:48:41,560 --> 00:48:44,560
Speaker 1: Rams and we got we gotta bet the Seahawks and

879
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:48,600
Speaker 1: know that this is the opportunity. So we already down

880
00:48:48,680 --> 00:48:51,239
Speaker 1: to seven. If you think about it, I'm gonna put

881
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:55,560
Speaker 1: alert on this game. The Rams played flawless and and

882
00:48:55,600 --> 00:48:58,440
Speaker 1: there and there was a block in the back that

883
00:48:58,600 --> 00:49:00,600
Speaker 1: the refs picked up the flag. If they don't pick

884
00:49:00,640 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 1: up that flag, Minnesota backdoor covers them. Last week completely

885
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:05,560
Speaker 1: because some people have the game at six and now

886
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 1: some people that had seven, some people that had seven out.

887
00:49:08,440 --> 00:49:10,800
Speaker 1: If they pick up that flag, they don't kick that

888
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 1: field goal. In Minnesota back door they win the game

889
00:49:13,160 --> 00:49:15,880
Speaker 1: by four. So a lot of people forget that. I

890
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 1: understand the Rams offense was phenomenal, but Kirk Cousins in

891
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,680
Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings with Adam Feeling, who's I get it.

892
00:49:22,760 --> 00:49:27,200
Speaker 1: He's a great, good receiver. Not great. It's shredded them too.

893
00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:31,000
Speaker 1: On the other side, boys, I believe we have a

894
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,680
Speaker 1: nine team parlay. Are we ready to roll? Should we

895
00:49:33,800 --> 00:49:36,359
Speaker 1: hear it? Should we play it back? Yes? You ready

896
00:49:36,360 --> 00:49:40,560
Speaker 1: to go? We have the Carolina Panthers minus six and

897
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:43,200
Speaker 1: a half at home against the New York Giants. We

898
00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:46,680
Speaker 1: have Illinois minus two and a half. At Rutgers. We

899
00:49:46,760 --> 00:49:50,759
Speaker 1: have the Washington Redskins plus seven. At New Orleans, we

900
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:54,600
Speaker 1: have the University of Kentucky Wildcats plus six. At Texas

901
00:49:54,640 --> 00:49:59,200
Speaker 1: A and M, the Indianapolis Colts plus ten versus the

902
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:03,800
Speaker 1: New England Patriot. It's Atlanta Falcons plus four. At Pittsburgh

903
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:08,120
Speaker 1: we have Arizona plus four. At San Francisco we have

904
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:12,440
Speaker 1: the Texans minus three verse of the Dallas Cowboys the

905
00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:16,799
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks plus seven and a half versus the Los

906
00:50:16,840 --> 00:50:24,520
Speaker 1: Angeles Rams, or, as Georgina likes to say, Rams at home.

907
00:50:25,320 --> 00:50:27,759
Speaker 1: I feel it. You know why I'm excited for this week.

908
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,360
Speaker 1: It's because other weeks, I feel like we've been like

909
00:50:30,880 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 1: this is the great slate of games, and this week

910
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:34,560
Speaker 1: I'm kind of like, you know what, the weird games

911
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 1: are kind of weird, and I feel like this is

912
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:38,600
Speaker 1: a weekend we can really take advantage of the weirdness

913
00:50:38,640 --> 00:50:41,520
Speaker 1: and like get get a great nine team parlay win

914
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:45,800
Speaker 1: for us exactly the same way. That's what I'm thinking, Like,

915
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:48,040
Speaker 1: we don't have a ton of confidence in these games,

916
00:50:49,160 --> 00:50:51,920
Speaker 1: but that's when you win. Yeah, I'm with you. Do this.

917
00:50:52,320 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: It just seems doesn't seem out Regius. It seems like

918
00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:58,480
Speaker 1: a lot of people are saying our regis more than outrageous.

919
00:50:58,520 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 1: Now I've never heard what's Outreaches, Who are you hanging

920
00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:05,279
Speaker 1: out with Paul? In a million years, I've never heard

921
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:08,839
Speaker 1: I heard a reporter say it out Reaches. I'm like, listen,

922
00:51:08,960 --> 00:51:12,399
Speaker 1: they're playing us off. Clearly playing is off. This has

923
00:51:12,480 --> 00:51:15,520
Speaker 1: been the Favorites podcast from the Action Network I'm Chad Nolman,

924
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:18,680
Speaker 1: that is, Jeff Schwartz and Paul La Duca. Listen to

925
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:21,719
Speaker 1: us every Monday, Wednesday and Friday. Wednesday's episode, me and

926
00:51:21,800 --> 00:51:24,400
Speaker 1: Bookmaker to the World, Bob Scucci will break down the

927
00:51:24,480 --> 00:51:28,439
Speaker 1: markets from the professional betting perspective. To see you next time.