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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network Huge

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Speaker 1: Huge show today Week one College Football kicking off on

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Speaker 1: Friday night, all day Saturday Sunday. This is our Week

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Speaker 1: one College Football Best Bets episode We're going to bring

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Speaker 1: on the Action Network Ogs Stuckey and Colin Wilson, hosts

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Speaker 1: of Everything to Do with BBOC, the best college football podcast,

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Speaker 1: the best college football pregame show there is. You can

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Speaker 1: catch the BBOC podcast. You can watch the BBOC live

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Speaker 1: show on the Action Network app. You can also see

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Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. As a reminder, well hold

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Speaker 1: on before we get there. I'm so excited about what

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Speaker 1: we got going on today. I'm Chad Milman, chief Content

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Speaker 1: Officer of the Action Network, and I am joined as

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Speaker 1: i am every episode by my companion, my co host

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Speaker 1: mi Ca Padre, my BFF, Simon Hunter Eto.

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Speaker 2: So I'm in Jeah.

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Speaker 3: We made it last day of August, last day of August.

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Speaker 1: Last day of August. Brother, We've run through so much

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Speaker 1: NFL and then we got another show. We got to

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Speaker 1: Convince me show also presented by BET three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Me You, Raybon Kroner going after each other with some

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Speaker 1: futures bets that we're talking about that'll air today Thursday.

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Speaker 4: That was a lot of fun.

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Speaker 1: Listen, dude, I made some more bets for futures this

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Speaker 1: morning that you convinced me of yesterday. I went I

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Speaker 1: went deep on that. Justin Herbert to lead the league

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Speaker 1: in total passing yards. I can't wait for that. I

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Speaker 1: can't wait for college football. I realized today I was

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Speaker 1: walking the dog and it's beautiful out. It's sixty two

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Speaker 1: degrees here in central Connecticut, sunny, little crisp, And I

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Speaker 1: realized this Saturday, my wife will be out of town.

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Speaker 1: My sixteen year old son, you know, he'll do what

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Speaker 1: he's doing. I'll be on the couch watching college football

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Speaker 1: the entire day.

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Speaker 4: Now.

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Speaker 3: It's the best time of year, brother. I mean, I

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Speaker 3: walked outside today in Jersey. It was that cool seventy

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Speaker 3: that fall weather, and it's just it's your baby, It's

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Speaker 3: football season.

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Speaker 1: Let's not dilly dally. Let's get people to the contest.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder of the Favorites podcast is proudly presented

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Speaker 1: by Bet three sixty five, the world's favorite sportsbook brand.

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Speaker 1: Sign Up with promo code Action to get Bet three

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Speaker 1: any game and get two hundred dollars in bonus bets.

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Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older. Offer is available in Colorado,

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, and Iowa. Gambling problem call or

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Speaker 1: text one eight hundred gambler, Brother, Holy.

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Speaker 4: Fuck, brother, we did it.

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Speaker 1: The Favorites Podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick

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Speaker 1: Them Contest is live.

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Speaker 4: Queue the balloons, queue the horn section. Woooo, I know

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Speaker 4: it's more.

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Speaker 1: It's it's more than one hundred thousand dollars. It's more.

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Speaker 1: The Favorites Podcast more than one hundred thousand dollars Pro

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Speaker 1: Football Can Pick Them contest is live right now. To

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Speaker 1: sign up, go to I'm gonna go slow because you're listening.

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Speaker 1: I don't know where you are. I want you to

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Speaker 1: write this down. Go to Favorites dot Action network dot com.

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Speaker 1: That is Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com. Be the first

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Speaker 1: to sign up. If you can hear my voice and

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Speaker 1: you are twenty one or older, right now, go sign up.

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Speaker 1: We're doing this. Brother, me you, Matt Mitchell. We have

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Speaker 1: been dreaming about this for five years, we have been

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Speaker 1: dreaming about having a contest. It's a season long contest

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Speaker 1: five picks against the spread every week picks lock twelve

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Speaker 1: to fifty nine a pm Eastern on Sunday. There's also

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Speaker 1: the weekly five picks against the spread. You can win

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Speaker 1: thousands of dollars playing the weekly. Each week, you can

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Speaker 1: win tens of thousands of dollars playing the season long. Simon,

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Speaker 1: We've been dreaming about giving the listeners a chance to

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Speaker 1: compete against us every single week. It's a lot of pressure.

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Speaker 1: You're professional, but there's a lot of pressure.

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Speaker 3: It's a lot of pressure, but it's also just an

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Speaker 3: amazing feeling. I don't know if I've ever given away

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Speaker 3: one hundred thousand dollars in my life chat maybe to

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Speaker 3: the sports books.

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Speaker 1: But I say, I feel like you've given one hundred

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars probably too many many places along the Jersey shore.

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Speaker 3: So this is a really good feeling. I hope this

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Speaker 3: is a tax right off for me and you both.

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Speaker 1: You know what, that's a good question. Let's get our

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Speaker 1: accountant and go reminder, go sign up favorites dot actionnetwork

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Speaker 1: dot com. Also, Simon, we got to give credit to

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Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, who has been He's got so much going

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Speaker 1: on right now. Okay, it's two weeks before the NFL

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Speaker 1: season starts, it's the run up to college football. He

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Speaker 1: does incredible work getting all of these podcasts, getting our

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Speaker 1: recalcitran talent like you and Me and Stuckey and Colin

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Speaker 1: Wilson like ready and in the right places so we

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Speaker 1: can kick off the season successfully. Everyone can see their

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Speaker 1: numbers grow, everyone can get their podcasts out. In addition

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Speaker 1: to that, he has been up NonStop for like ninety

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Speaker 1: six hours getting this contest ready to go. Yay Matt

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Speaker 1: Mitchell rate work. All the little tiny terms and conditions

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Speaker 1: that need to be relevant, all the gameplay that needs

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Speaker 1: to be executed. For our listeners who go to favorites

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Speaker 1: dot actionnetwork dot com to sign up, Matt, really, you produced,

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Speaker 1: you totally produced, Well done? What am I missing?

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Speaker 4: Thank you ched.

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Speaker 5: It is an honor and a privilege to grind away

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Speaker 5: at this time of year. For those wondering about gameplay,

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Speaker 5: there's a million little details to share. For people who

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Speaker 5: have played in the contest like this, but high level

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Speaker 5: five games against the spread. Yes, the lines will change

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Speaker 5: dynamically from the time it opens at midnight going into

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Speaker 5: Tuesday morning before they close at one pm. On Sundays,

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Speaker 5: it's just the Sunday games and Monday Thursday Night football,

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Speaker 5: and then the earlier kicks. It's the Sunday afternoon, Sunday

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Speaker 5: Night Football, Monday Night football. They are contest lined, so

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Speaker 5: it's always a half point. There will be no pushes.

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Speaker 5: There's a grand price of forty thousand dollars. We will

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Speaker 5: pay out the top ten season finishers. We will also

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Speaker 5: pay out three thousand dollars in weekly prizes to the

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Speaker 5: top five finishers. Every single week. Your two lowest scores

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Speaker 5: are dropped through week twelve, So after the Thanksgiving week slate,

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Speaker 5: your two crappiest weeks are removed from your score, and

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Speaker 5: then the scoreboard will be considered kind of finalized, and

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Speaker 5: it's a horse race for those final six weeks. Are

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Speaker 5: there any states where you can't play? I am delighted

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Speaker 5: to inform everyone it is just two states, Rhode Island

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Speaker 5: and Washington State. Why can't those two states play? You're

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Speaker 5: never gonna believe this, but I'm not an attorney nor

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Speaker 5: legal expert, So call your fucking senator if you have

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Speaker 5: a question about that. The website again, Favorites dot actionnetwork

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Speaker 5: dot com. Can I change my picks? Yes, you can

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Speaker 5: cancel your entry and replay as long as you do

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Speaker 5: so before gamelock. So if you want to change one line,

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Speaker 5: you have to risk changing all of them, so just

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Speaker 5: be advised. There we will have a tiebreaker. The tiebreaker

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Speaker 5: will typically be a statistic that will end between one

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Speaker 5: and one hundred, so tie break will be very important

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Speaker 5: with a contest of this scope. And then finally, do

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Speaker 5: I have to listen to the Favorites podcast to win prizes?

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Speaker 5: Not technically, but very soon. It will be very crucial

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Speaker 5: that you listen to this show in order to have

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Speaker 5: a confident time finishing in the money, So just be

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Speaker 5: advised that won't be week one, but if you tell

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Speaker 5: your friends, hey, you should sign up, they should be

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Speaker 5: prepared to have to listen to at least some of

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Speaker 5: the show in order to finish in the money. So

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Speaker 5: very excited. Tell everyone you can that's twenty one or

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Speaker 5: older as of today to sign up. There's no downside,

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Speaker 5: there's no risk. You just sign up and you're ready

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Speaker 5: to play all season.

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Speaker 3: But high perfectly is don't know.

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Speaker 2: We can finally play the game.

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Speaker 4: Dude, it's big. It's just big. It's a big deal.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if a podcast has ever given away

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Speaker 1: more than one hundred thousand dollars like this.

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Speaker 5: You can just have the money. You just make the picture.

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Speaker 5: You're making the picks anyway, folks, just make them here.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's true. As a reminder, you can catch every

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Speaker 1: episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. So for those

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Speaker 1: enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like.

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Speaker 1: We're giving you one hundred thousand dollars, one hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty thousand dollars. Give us a freaking like. Subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. It's time to roll with

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Speaker 1: the ogs. It's time to roll with our good friends

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Speaker 1: Stucky and Colin Wilson.

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Speaker 4: I love these guys so much.

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Speaker 1: I love listening to them talk about college football, even

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Speaker 1: when they do it for an hour and forty three

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Speaker 1: minutes on the week one College Football BBOC episode.

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Speaker 5: Once again, that's the Big Bets on Campus podcast. If

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Speaker 5: you like betting college football, Welcome Home.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to listen to it at triple time and

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Speaker 1: it'll take me four walks with the dog. I don't care.

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Speaker 1: These guys have been looking at each other for like

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Speaker 1: four days straight. Colin, at this point in the college

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Speaker 1: football season, do you look at Stucky and think that's

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Speaker 1: my guy? Or do you look at him and think, ah,

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Speaker 1: I hate him with the passion of a thousand suns.

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Speaker 2: Stucky is always my guy.

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Speaker 6: He was a big supporter of me a decade ago,

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Speaker 6: so I'll always be a big supporter of him. But man,

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Speaker 6: we sometimes we get locked up head to have had

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Speaker 6: differing opinions. I get made fun of for my love

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Speaker 6: for San Diego State overs, which I love. I will

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Speaker 6: take it all day. I need someone to bounce off of.

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Speaker 6: I'm in my own head all week, and you need

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Speaker 6: someone to bounce your ideas off of.

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Speaker 2: And he's the perfect person to do it.

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Speaker 1: You're in your head. I would never guess that Stucky

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Speaker 1: funny Colin. He was saying the exact opposite about you,

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Speaker 1: for course this morning.

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Speaker 7: Look, I love Colin. A lot of people don't know

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Speaker 7: Chad that like the when we started Action Network, you

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Speaker 7: came on a couple months after me, so at first

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Speaker 7: it was and thank god because I would have no

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Speaker 7: idea how to run an entire content business. But our

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Speaker 7: content team at first you know. For we had the

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Speaker 7: app team, the engineers and Brian Mead, who I love.

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Speaker 1: Brian me the founder of the Action Network and the

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Speaker 1: founder of the creator of the Action app, who recruited

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Speaker 1: me at the same time I was recruiting you.

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Speaker 7: Yep, so I came on. Was the entire content team,

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Speaker 7: so it was writing, editing, posting on some RinkyDink site

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Speaker 7: Action Sports. Action dot Io was the site, the first hire,

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Speaker 7: and it was just in part time we were I

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Speaker 7: was still working in finance getting these articles up. The

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Speaker 7: first person that I reached out to was Colin and

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Speaker 7: brought Colin on. He was helping me write college football,

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Speaker 7: and then I was taking the NFL, and then we

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Speaker 7: brought on one of my good friends, Daniel Scotti to

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Speaker 7: write tennis, and I was getting that up. And all

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Speaker 7: of us are still here, which I think speaks to

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Speaker 7: the passion for this company and the work that we do.

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Speaker 7: So yeah, I'm very It just brings me so much

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Speaker 7: joy every year seeing how much the team is growing,

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Speaker 7: and to still be doing this with Colin six seven

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Speaker 7: years later, it's an absolute pleasure.

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Speaker 1: It's stunning, well said, I didn't know we were going

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Speaker 1: to get sentimental but I fucking love it.

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Speaker 4: I'm here for it.

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Speaker 1: I'm also here for a Week one college football bets.

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Speaker 6: If that doesn't want your appetite, you watch him the

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Speaker 6: wrong channel.

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Speaker 1: I know Simon loves this. Simon is like sneaky in

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Speaker 1: that you think he's so focused on football, but he's

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Speaker 1: firing away on every other sport almost entirely based on

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Speaker 1: what are experts in the Action Network app our tracking? Simon,

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Speaker 1: tell me, how much will you really bet on college

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Speaker 1: football during the college.

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Speaker 3: Football season compared to NFL?

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Speaker 1: Well, no, nothing compares the NFL for you, But like,

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Speaker 1: will you be firing away like on Week one with

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Speaker 1: nothing else going on?

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Speaker 6: Oh?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 3: I mean I was one of those people where I

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Speaker 3: think I turned on the app and I saw Stucky

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Speaker 3: and a couple other guys were on Navy, and I

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Speaker 3: was just like, you're giving me a double digit dog

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Speaker 3: week one?

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Speaker 2: Why not?

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Speaker 3: And uh, I think all of us knew at halftime

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Speaker 3: that was a dead bet, and that's what I'm looking for. Chat.

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Speaker 7: I want to first quarter first Yeah, I want to

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Speaker 7: pick that.

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Speaker 2: So that was great.

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Speaker 3: It was just like college football is back. Navy couldn't

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Speaker 3: couldn't pass the ball more than two yards, and I

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Speaker 3: was just like, this is why I love college football.

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Speaker 3: It's just it's the best because you know, even even tonight,

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Speaker 3: a couple of games we're going to talk about, there's

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Speaker 3: just there's always new injuries coming out. There's just so

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Speaker 3: much craziness in college football that makes it so much fun.

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Speaker 3: And again it's if you're a good capper. You can

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Speaker 3: get a huge advantage betting college football. You just if

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Speaker 3: you have good information the public doesn't have. It is

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Speaker 3: truly one of the one of the better sports to bet,

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Speaker 3: just because there's so many teams and there's so much

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Speaker 3: bad information being given out on all these different teams.

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Speaker 3: So we've already seen a game we're gonna talk about

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Speaker 3: tonight Utah Florida. That line has been running chat And

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Speaker 3: that's why we love college football. It's just it's so

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Speaker 3: much here saying what's gonna happen, what's not gonna happen.

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Speaker 3: It's just it's really great to have it back.

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Speaker 4: Well, look, not.

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Speaker 7: Day went up seven to and then Navy had a

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Speaker 7: fourth down in Notre Dame territory through the ball had

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Speaker 7: a die wide open, but another wide receiver on Navy

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Speaker 7: ran into him. Pass was incomplete, and I said, we

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Speaker 7: are back.

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Speaker 1: Listen. You mentioned Utah, Florida. Let line's running before we

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Speaker 1: even started the podcast. Stucky and Colin, we're talking about

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Speaker 1: Hawaii and I want to get to all the Week

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Speaker 1: one best bets for everybody before we do that. Stuck,

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Speaker 1: you had a story on Action which and I love

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Speaker 1: when you sort of dig into these stories. It was

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Speaker 1: about historical trends, which was basically asking the question, is

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Speaker 1: it better to start out the year with a game

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Speaker 1: in week zero or is it better to start off

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Speaker 1: the year to play someone who had played in Week zero.

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Speaker 1: Give me your take on that theory, and then tell me,

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Speaker 1: based on that, who has the edge this week.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 7: So it's a really unique situation in college football where,

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Speaker 7: you know, unlike the NFL, where everyone starts at the

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Speaker 7: same on the same week, you know, you don't have

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Speaker 7: a buy in week one college football, you have a

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Speaker 7: handful of teams last week it was fourteen that will

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Speaker 7: start out in Week zero and then they will play

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Speaker 7: a again in Week one against the team making their debut.

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Speaker 7: So there's two ways that you can look at this.

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Speaker 7: You could say, Okay, the team that already played was

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Speaker 7: able to kind of shake the rust off, work out

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Speaker 7: the kinks right, and then from an execution standpoint, you

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Speaker 7: could say, all right, this didn't work, let's tweak this

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Speaker 7: and let's speak that. So then that would be the

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Speaker 7: advantage you get to going out and playing. However, on

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Speaker 7: the other side, you have a team, you know the

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Speaker 7: next week that's going to be making their debut against

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Speaker 7: a team that already played. They have number one or

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Speaker 7: rest advantage, right, you didn't play, a preparation advantage. They've

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Speaker 7: been preparing for their first opponent for weeks. Well, the

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Speaker 7: other team, you know, already played someone they had to

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Speaker 7: prepare for, and then you have film on that team,

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Speaker 7: so you can see some of their tendencies. You can

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Speaker 7: see what they're gonna do, which is even more important

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Speaker 7: college because there's so much coaching and player turnover that

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Speaker 7: a lot can change from season to season, whereas unlike

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Speaker 7: the NFL, you know, if you're the Lions, you're like,

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Speaker 7: all right, Mahomes is going to carve us out what

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Speaker 7: can we do? Right, Like, it's there's not much you

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Speaker 7: need to see if the Chiefs played a week before

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Speaker 7: and what you can expect. So if you look back

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Speaker 7: just a FBS games in Week one, so FBS verus

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Speaker 7: FBS teams that played, or I should say teams that

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Speaker 7: didn't play that are playing a team that already played,

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Speaker 7: the team making their debut against a team that they

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Speaker 7: got to see in Week zero. Over the past eighteen years,

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Speaker 7: since twenty and five, fifty six and thirty three against

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Speaker 7: the spread, it's about sixty two percent, which hints that

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Speaker 7: the clear edge is having that film, rest and preparation advantage.

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Speaker 7: So it applies to five games this week. I actually

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Speaker 7: faded this. You know, it's a trend. It's something that

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Speaker 7: you should keep in mind. Also, markets adjust the trends.

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Speaker 7: You know, a team like UMass already played. I actually

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Speaker 7: took them against Auburn, and the same thing with Hawaii.

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Speaker 7: Granted at lines that are you know, have been since

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Speaker 7: bet down a lot, but one that I do like

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Speaker 7: SMU playing for the first time against the Louisiana Tech

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Speaker 7: team that just looked awful and doesn't have much as

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Speaker 7: one that I would like. USC already played there playing

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Speaker 7: Nevada that one, you know, very high spread, hard to protect.

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Speaker 7: Don't really like that. So if I had to go

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Speaker 7: with one that does fit this historical trend. I would

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Speaker 7: go with S against Louisiana Tech laying under three touchdowns.

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Speaker 7: Just something to keep in mind, and it's even more stunning.

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Speaker 7: I think it's like seventy five seventy six percent. I

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Speaker 7: had the article out on the Action NEWORKAP and Action

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Speaker 7: Nework dot Com. When it's a conference matchup, if you

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Speaker 7: look back at historic we don't have any this year.

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Speaker 7: We had it last year with Indiana Illinois. But the

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Speaker 7: thinking there, so just keep this in mind the future years,

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Speaker 7: is that with a conference matchup, then that film advantage

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Speaker 7: is even greater and you might unleash, you know, some

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Speaker 7: new looks and you're gonna put more stock into that

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Speaker 7: opponent because it's more important as a conference game. But

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Speaker 7: none of those fit the mold this year. But history

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Speaker 7: says the advantage is not playing in week zero and

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Speaker 7: getting to play a team that already played because of

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Speaker 7: that film preparation and rest advantage.

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Speaker 1: You guys, I think one place, go ahead, Colin.

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Speaker 6: I was gonna say one place where we actually hopped

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Speaker 6: off this train on the podcast was Auburn UMass. I mean,

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Speaker 6: you Mass looked excellent, and so what happens is when

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Speaker 6: U Mass and Hawaii have these kinds of games. The

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Speaker 6: spread moves four to seven points in their favor because

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Speaker 6: the odds. You know, it's the last thing you saw,

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Speaker 6: so I'm gonna move the board. But in this case,

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Speaker 6: U Mass is going to an SEC school with Auburn,

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Speaker 6: and that thing dipped down to thirty five. I mean,

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Speaker 6: we could discuss key numbers in the thirties, but I

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Speaker 6: mean once you get to thirty five, that's just a

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Speaker 6: red flag to me that you know, Auburn and Hugh

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Speaker 6: Freeze is not going to stop scoring. It's still you Mass, right,

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Speaker 6: they beat New Mexico State. Let's hold the brakes here

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Speaker 6: on pumping this line three or four points on the minute.

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Speaker 2: Men.

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Speaker 7: So no, you bring up a good point because my

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Speaker 7: data and when I have referenced trends on you know,

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Speaker 7: big DUTs on campus podcasts or the action over podcasts

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Speaker 7: for college and NFL, I'm going against the closing line.

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Speaker 7: So you know, for example, I that Hawaii plus eight

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Speaker 7: against Stanford last week, and now it's plus three, right,

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Speaker 7: So if Stanford wins by four, right, I'm going to

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Speaker 7: show that they covered against the closing line. But I

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Speaker 7: took it up, you know, last week U mass was

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Speaker 7: plus thirty eight and a half. It's down to thirty five.

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Speaker 7: So part of that is, you know the teams that

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Speaker 7: in week zero, after they have some success, you might

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Speaker 7: see the lines come down. And at times it's an overreaction,

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Speaker 7: which speaks again to always trying to get the best

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Speaker 7: of the number.

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Speaker 1: I fucking love college football line sign you mess open

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Speaker 1: plus thirty eight and a half.

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Speaker 2: That's crazy.

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Speaker 3: So Colin, I've been checking up on you brother, and

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Speaker 3: I saw you have a story up about the new

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Speaker 3: rules impacting over unders. If you could tell our fans

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Speaker 3: what are these new rules and you know what kind

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Speaker 3: of adjustments have you made because of them?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't want to get too mathematical. You know,

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Speaker 6: no one wants their brain fried this early. But so

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Speaker 6: the thinking was that every it's going to follow the

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Speaker 6: NFL that every time there's a first down, Uh it's

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Speaker 6: not two minutes within the end of the half or

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Speaker 6: the end of the game. Every time there's a first down,

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Speaker 6: they're going to keep the clock running and they're going

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Speaker 6: to spot the ball. Now, in college football, they've never

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Speaker 6: done that before. I think in thirty five years they

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Speaker 6: haven't changed the clock rules. So what I project was

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Speaker 6: about six to eight seconds are going to burn off

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Speaker 6: the clock, and we averaged about thirty eight first downs

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Speaker 6: per game in college football. I said, I didn't want

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Speaker 6: to too much math, but simon I came up to

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Speaker 6: about five to seven minutes of clock being burned. And

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Speaker 6: then you know the handicap there is, Well, this really

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Speaker 6: only applies to teams that are methodical and get a

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Speaker 6: lot of first downs. It doesn't really apply to teams

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Speaker 6: that are just explosive down the field. When we get

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Speaker 6: our really small seven game sample set from last weekend,

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Speaker 6: more than half the teams came to their average of

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Speaker 6: plays per game. It had no effect on scoring whatsoever.

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Speaker 6: It didn't have any effect on tempo. It made the

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Speaker 6: game shorter. It's kind of like baseball in the pitchclock.

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Speaker 6: You didn't stop games from being ten to nine, but

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Speaker 6: you did speed it up to make it two hours

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Speaker 6: and forty minutes. And collegeable is kind of experiencing that.

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Speaker 6: So plays per game didn't change that much. Scoring didn't

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Speaker 6: change that much. And now I've got to go readjust

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Speaker 6: it's only seven games. But I took five percent off

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Speaker 6: my totals assuming unders would come in, and I think

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Speaker 6: Unders went four and three last week, so I'll continue

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Speaker 6: to monitor through a huge set of games this weekend.

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Speaker 1: When you're looking at the games this weekend, are there

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Speaker 1: totals that you're thinking about or playing because of this

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Speaker 1: that haven't adjusted, Well, well.

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Speaker 6: I think there's I'm playing actually the reverse in Stanford Hawaii,

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Speaker 6: and the thinking is is that you know the Unders

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Speaker 6: should hit here based upon that Stanford doesn't have any offense,

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Speaker 6: or maybe the clock's going to burn a lot, and

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Speaker 6: I Hawaii hit the under nine times last year. I

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Speaker 6: think that's all about to change because these are two

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Speaker 6: teams that are going to have explosive plays.

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Speaker 2: They're not going to burn up a bunch of.

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Speaker 6: Third downs Sagar for Hawaii's just throwing fifty yard bombs

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Speaker 6: or to this Ashlock freshman kid, it's amazing. So there's

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Speaker 6: this narrative out there that the Unders just need to

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Speaker 6: be played, and they have been hammered for the last

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Speaker 6: month while these lines have been out. But at this point,

436
00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,119
Speaker 6: you know, we're hours away from kickoff, it's time to

437
00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:49,000
Speaker 6: start playing back on some overs. So I wouldn't be

438
00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 6: looking at it under at this point right now because

439
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,719
Speaker 6: they've all been taking a lot of heat leading up

440
00:22:52,720 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 6: to the leading up to this moment.

441
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,400
Speaker 7: All right, it's a good point because I just want

442
00:22:58,400 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 7: to say it's a good point because we're talking about

443
00:22:59,920 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 7: the plays being reduced and the points are expected to

444
00:23:03,080 --> 00:23:05,679
Speaker 7: come down two to three points. You've reduced, you know,

445
00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,440
Speaker 7: by the seven to eight plays a game, but that's

446
00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,680
Speaker 7: in aggregate. Teams that methodically move the ball and might

447
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,639
Speaker 7: produce the more teams that can fire exposive plays downfield,

448
00:23:15,160 --> 00:23:18,080
Speaker 7: you know, it might not have as much of an impact,

449
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,200
Speaker 7: So you want to be careful applying any blanket rules.

450
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:22,760
Speaker 7: And we're going to continue to gather data and we'll

451
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 7: continue to talk about that weekly on the Big Bets

452
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 7: on Campus podcast. And Chad, you mentioned thirty eight point spread,

453
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:32,120
Speaker 7: which is crazy because you guys, you know, talk predominantly

454
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,239
Speaker 7: about the NFL, which would be unheard of. So I'll

455
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:36,240
Speaker 7: get I'll give you and Simon a trivia question. You

456
00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 7: rarely see spreads above two touchdowns the NFL in the

457
00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 7: history of the NFL. What is the highest point spread ever?

458
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 7: I'll give you a hint that it happened within the

459
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 7: past ten years.

460
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,880
Speaker 6: Can I say, Jackson guess with the number Jack's Broncos

461
00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 6: twenty seven wasn't that?

462
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,120
Speaker 2: Yes? Okay, all right?

463
00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,240
Speaker 3: I mean what I mean Chad's best wins is we

464
00:23:56,320 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 3: took a Patriots team that was minus twenty as a

465
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 3: favorite of the night and they covered Tom Brady. Hell, Mary,

466
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 3: I can't think of anything other than some team was

467
00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:09,560
Speaker 3: a twenty point dog. I'm guessing it was the Jets

468
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 3: against the Patriots.

469
00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: No, I think I think Colin is is almost right.

470
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 1: I think it's stuck. I think it's since we launched

471
00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:24,960
Speaker 1: action and because I remember probably in two thousand, I

472
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 1: think two thousand and eighteen season, the Jags were terrible,

473
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,639
Speaker 1: and you know that's when there's always those conversations, Hey,

474
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: can the Alabama Crimson Tide beat the Jacksonville Jaguars?

475
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 4: What would the spread be?

476
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:46,280
Speaker 1: And I think the Jags were like something like twenty

477
00:24:46,320 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 1: two to twenty three point underdogs to whoever the most

478
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: dominant team was in twenty eighteen.

479
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 7: Now, well, this is supposed to be a fun trivia

480
00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:02,560
Speaker 7: question for you and Simon, but Colin ruined it. Of course,

481
00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 7: it was Jaggs Broncos two thousand and thirteen. At one

482
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:11,399
Speaker 7: point it was it was twenty eight, which is just stunning,

483
00:25:11,440 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 7: they didn't cover. They won thirty five twenty or something

484
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:17,720
Speaker 7: like that and it closed I think twenty six and

485
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:21,399
Speaker 7: a half there. So the highest NFL spreads ever got

486
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:22,760
Speaker 7: up to his twenty eight. I think there was like

487
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 7: a Steelers game or something way back and there was

488
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 7: like twenty seven. So yeah, that's the highest spread in

489
00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:28,800
Speaker 7: NFL history.

490
00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:32,720
Speaker 6: Wasn't I the champion stumped the stuck during the pandemic?

491
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 6: Wasn't I the champion?

492
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 7: Well, we didn't, we didn't, we didn't. Yeah, we didn't finish,

493
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:42,159
Speaker 7: but I would have absolutely demolished you. But as I

494
00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:44,439
Speaker 7: did on trivia last year on the copro of podcast,

495
00:25:44,440 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 7: which we'll have this year again new BCS with Brett

496
00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:47,160
Speaker 7: mc murphy.

497
00:25:47,280 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 1: Those were those stumped stuck shows were just glorious days

498
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: during the pandemic.

499
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 3: Baseball nick soccer for me Australia.

500
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:03,440
Speaker 1: Football speak, and don't forget Russian ping pong y. Yeah,

501
00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 1: speaking of a pandemic, Colin, I would say one of

502
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:17,360
Speaker 1: the best things, best pieces of content we have are

503
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:21,719
Speaker 1: the voicemails and that we get from the listeners that

504
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:25,320
Speaker 1: you guys play on the Monday BBOC show, in which

505
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 1: people are just so mad or happy and tell their

506
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 1: stories about what happened. Inevitably, inevitably, somebody will either love

507
00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 1: you or hate you for Havoc. Yes, give me your

508
00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:48,040
Speaker 1: favorite your favorite HAVOC teams this year. Explain to people

509
00:26:48,080 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 1: what havoc is and how you will be playing any

510
00:26:51,440 --> 00:26:52,960
Speaker 1: Havoc rankings this year.

511
00:26:53,480 --> 00:26:56,560
Speaker 6: So, Havoc is a combination of tackles for loss, sacks,

512
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,600
Speaker 6: past breakups, anytime you do something to the defense that

513
00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:02,280
Speaker 6: could call a turnover or causes a negative yard play.

514
00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 6: And you know passes defense is PBUs an interception, So

515
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,199
Speaker 6: all of those things play apart. They come in and

516
00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,560
Speaker 6: I integrate them all I get, I wait them based

517
00:27:11,640 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 6: upon you know, I mean, if it's an interception, it's

518
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:15,840
Speaker 6: a possession turnover, it's a tackle for loss. You know

519
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:17,320
Speaker 6: you got them behind the line of scrimmage. But it

520
00:27:17,359 --> 00:27:20,359
Speaker 6: all calculates up. It's weighted into a Havoc ranking for

521
00:27:20,440 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 6: the defense this year, by far, it's not close. It's

522
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:25,920
Speaker 6: Penn State. The Penn State defense is going to be

523
00:27:26,040 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 6: number one in the nation and Havoc Manny Diaz did

524
00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 6: not have a good head coaching junior at Miami. He

525
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 6: comes into play defensive coordinator which he's best at. Now

526
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:36,920
Speaker 6: he's defensive coordinator under James Franklin, and James Franklin doesn't

527
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:38,679
Speaker 6: have to worry about that defense. They have two corners

528
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 6: that are going to play on the NFL level. They

529
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:42,440
Speaker 6: have linebackers are going to play on the NFL level.

530
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:45,679
Speaker 6: You do not want to throw against this team whatsoever.

531
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 6: So I'm very high on Penn State. They are going

532
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 6: to be the best havoc defense in the nation.

533
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:51,560
Speaker 2: You're not gonna be.

534
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,080
Speaker 6: Able to throw in their corners, and that's going to

535
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 6: be a problem for Ohio State and in Michigan later down

536
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:55,120
Speaker 6: the road.

537
00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 1: Guess who's going to the Ohio State Penn State game.

538
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,360
Speaker 1: Guess which one of the four of us is doing that?

539
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 3: Me?

540
00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 7: Well, some of us have to work on Saturdays, So.

541
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:09,360
Speaker 1: Chad Chad Milman is going to the Ohio State Penn

542
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,679
Speaker 1: State game. Chad Malman was a little nervous about it

543
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 1: because my buddy, Matt, his kid is a sophomore at

544
00:28:18,320 --> 00:28:24,480
Speaker 1: Ohio State and we're going to visit him. I'm incredibly nervous.

545
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 1: As a guy who goes to bed at nine o'clock

546
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:30,880
Speaker 1: every night, I'm not sure I can last two nights

547
00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:32,639
Speaker 1: in Columbus.

548
00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:34,840
Speaker 3: I thought that was gonna be a game Time read.

549
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: Oh my god, you know what, that's a good idea.

550
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:39,400
Speaker 4: Why don't I do it?

551
00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 1: Why don't I do a game Time read right now?

552
00:28:43,360 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 1: Because simon, you know, game Time is the fastest growing

553
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:51,320
Speaker 1: ticketing app in the United States. They are our sponsor.

554
00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:53,680
Speaker 1: I love game Time for so many reasons.

555
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 4: It's very good chance.

556
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,920
Speaker 1: I'm buying tickets for Penn State, Ohio State on the

557
00:28:57,000 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 1: game Time app. I love them because they spa the show.

558
00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,360
Speaker 1: I actually use game Time to buy tickets. They've got

559
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 1: amazing last minute deals on all sorts of tickets, including

560
00:29:09,840 --> 00:29:15,360
Speaker 1: pro and college football games. They are truly amazing. I'm

561
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 1: going to game Time right now. Of course I can

562
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 1: get US Open Tennis championship tickets. I can also get

563
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 1: Mets tickets. Tomorrow night, I can get I can see

564
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 1: the Mets in New York six bucks. As I said

565
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 1: in the previous show, if you're not going to Queens

566
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,680
Speaker 1: this weekend to watch the Mets in the US Open

567
00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 1: and using game Time to do it, you are freaking insane.

568
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: No matter where you live, download the game Time app,

569
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 1: get out, have some fun this week, Go sweat your

570
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 1: bets live and in person, and you can redeem code

571
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:50,800
Speaker 1: favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase. Terms apply again.

572
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:55,800
Speaker 1: Just download the game Time app and enter code Favorites

573
00:29:55,800 --> 00:29:59,080
Speaker 1: for twenty dollars off last minute ticket's lowest price guaranteed

574
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:02,200
Speaker 1: reminder the second time. I'm doing it for producer Tito.

575
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: You can catch every episode of the Favorites live on YouTube.

576
00:30:06,120 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 1: If you're watching us on YouTube right now, give us

577
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,560
Speaker 1: a like. We're giving you one hundred thousand dollars. You

578
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: should like us. You subscribe to the Action Network YouTube.

579
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 1: I have one more question for Stucky before we dig

580
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 1: even deeper into best bets. Okay, So Tom Herman was

581
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:30,040
Speaker 1: a disaster at Texas, like I've heard from people in

582
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 1: the athletic department, just complete disaster. Everybody hated him. He

583
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,360
Speaker 1: leaves Texas, Texas is now one of your favorite bets

584
00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: to win their conference. You also love Tom Herman in

585
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 1: Florida Atlantic. Why do you love Tom Herman so much?

586
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 7: Well, Tom Herman was a covering god as an underdog,

587
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 7: so he won me a lot of money. And yeah,

588
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,600
Speaker 7: I mean some of like the Howie ran the team,

589
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:03,440
Speaker 7: and I've heard some bad things as well. But it's

590
00:31:03,480 --> 00:31:07,600
Speaker 7: a lot easier of a job at Florida Atlantic than

591
00:31:07,640 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 7: it is at Texas, And I'm sure he's learned a

592
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:15,360
Speaker 7: lot and I just really love the personnel that he's

593
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 7: brought in. And I think this team has a ton

594
00:31:17,480 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 7: of upside. And in regards to end their schedule, by

595
00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 7: the way, I mean they avoid half of the best

596
00:31:25,200 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 7: teams in the conference. In the other half they get

597
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,280
Speaker 7: at home. It's a very, very favorable schedule. I think

598
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,560
Speaker 7: they're going to be in the mix. A ton of

599
00:31:32,600 --> 00:31:35,760
Speaker 7: talent on that team. And then in regards to Texas,

600
00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 7: is Texas back well no Week two when they go

601
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,719
Speaker 7: to Alabama, a team that they should have been at

602
00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 7: home last year. Basically comes down to do Queen viewers

603
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 7: take the next step in his passing development, mainly with

604
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 7: his downfield passing where he really struggled last year with

605
00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 7: his footwork, so that he put the time in in

606
00:31:53,840 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 7: the offseason. Kid with all the talent to really improve there.

607
00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 7: But this Texas team, Steve sarkisan Is has finally built

608
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 7: this team out to SEC caliber before they actually make

609
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:07,760
Speaker 7: the switch. When you're talking the offensive line, which has

610
00:32:07,760 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 7: been a problem in recent years of Texas now get

611
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,000
Speaker 7: argue it's a top five unit. They have the depth

612
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:16,680
Speaker 7: the defense now and then obviously the skill position talent

613
00:32:17,000 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 7: where they are just head and shoulders above for the

614
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 7: rest in the Big twelve. You know, Oklahoma is not

615
00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:25,800
Speaker 7: where it once was. I think TCU takes a big

616
00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 7: step back. The Baylor d might be pretty bad, so

617
00:32:30,280 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 7: like a lot of these other top teams, I think

618
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:33,640
Speaker 7: are going to take a step back. And this Texas

619
00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,320
Speaker 7: team is just so complete. Last year was a disappointing year,

620
00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:38,400
Speaker 7: but they were so close and lost so many one

621
00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,600
Speaker 7: session games. I mean, this is a team that people

622
00:32:40,640 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 7: would been talking about as a national title contender if

623
00:32:42,800 --> 00:32:44,840
Speaker 7: they don't lose Tobama by one in a game where

624
00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:46,680
Speaker 7: viewers got hurt. And then you know, a couple of

625
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 7: weeks later, they lose to Texas Tech in overtime on

626
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,760
Speaker 7: it I think it was a Bijon Robinson fumble, which

627
00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 7: like never happens in overtime, So they were so close.

628
00:32:56,440 --> 00:33:00,400
Speaker 7: The team is even better This year another year year

629
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:04,160
Speaker 7: for Quinn Yours. The ceiling is so high for this team.

630
00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:06,640
Speaker 7: But even if they don't reach their full potential, I

631
00:33:06,720 --> 00:33:09,720
Speaker 7: still think that they you know, or maybe close to

632
00:33:09,960 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 7: when it's all said and done, a touchdown better than

633
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:17,200
Speaker 7: every other team in the conference. So around even money

634
00:33:17,240 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 7: to win the Big Twelve. I would bet that and

635
00:33:20,840 --> 00:33:24,400
Speaker 7: I collom into Penn State. I also love Penn State.

636
00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 7: I think they have a shot to make some noise

637
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:30,160
Speaker 7: on a national level, So I don't mind some Penn

638
00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 7: State futures. And when you're going to that Penn State

639
00:33:31,800 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 7: Ohio State game in Ohio State questions a quarterback after

640
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:38,640
Speaker 7: losing Stroup, make sure on the game Time app you

641
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:41,400
Speaker 7: can see the you know, you can see your where

642
00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:43,600
Speaker 7: you're sitting in the view. There's a couple of seats

643
00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:46,000
Speaker 7: in the horseshoe, which is awesome. I think like on

644
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:47,400
Speaker 7: one of the like a B deck or somewhere you

645
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:49,560
Speaker 7: can get like blocked by pillars. So make sure. I'm

646
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 7: sure you're probably sitting front row or something.

647
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 1: But I use I use that feature in the game

648
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:58,280
Speaker 1: Time app, like when I went to the Mariners game

649
00:33:58,640 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: over the summer with my kid, and like I was

650
00:34:01,920 --> 00:34:06,120
Speaker 1: totally absolutely looking at the three sixty views and checking

651
00:34:06,160 --> 00:34:08,759
Speaker 1: it out. It's a great feature in the game Time

652
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:11,239
Speaker 1: Appen Colin, I know, I know, Simon wants to ask you,

653
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 1: like very specifically about week won best Bets, but you

654
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 1: were just shaking your head about Texas. So I want

655
00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:17,959
Speaker 1: to hear we have to say about Texas. I also

656
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,319
Speaker 1: want I want to hear we have to say arch Manning, like,

657
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:23,839
Speaker 1: what do we think? What did you see in the preseason?

658
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 1: Is this a guy who's going to be everything that

659
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:28,400
Speaker 1: everyone says he can be.

660
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 6: It's to be determined. He has the pedigree, he has

661
00:34:32,440 --> 00:34:35,239
Speaker 6: he can be talented. But remember quinn Ewers struggled. He

662
00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:36,800
Speaker 6: came out, I didn't even play a senior year of

663
00:34:36,840 --> 00:34:39,359
Speaker 6: high school, went to a house States sat and then

664
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,360
Speaker 6: he had his freshman year last year at Texas and

665
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 6: it just wasn't the quinn Ewrs that we saw with

666
00:34:43,200 --> 00:34:44,879
Speaker 6: the recruiting rankings. And I think we're going to see

667
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:46,120
Speaker 6: a lot of that with arch Manning, which is the

668
00:34:46,160 --> 00:34:49,040
Speaker 6: reason he's second strength. I would argue he's probably third

669
00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 6: string because Malik Murphy is the one that's ready to

670
00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,319
Speaker 6: put in some playing time. We'll see what the order

671
00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,520
Speaker 6: is against Rice, but quinn yours the white snake hair

672
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,360
Speaker 6: is gone, you know, the rock and roll, the Lucy

673
00:34:59,360 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 6: Goosey's gone. He is all professional. He's got abs of steel,

674
00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:05,399
Speaker 6: He's got you know, eight pack abs. I love Texas.

675
00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:08,279
Speaker 6: It was the very first everybody was betting on the

676
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:11,520
Speaker 6: Kentucky Derby earlier in May. That's when all the lines

677
00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:13,839
Speaker 6: opened up. I saw Texas plus one fifty to win

678
00:35:13,880 --> 00:35:15,840
Speaker 6: the Big Twelve. I immediately got in my car and

679
00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:18,680
Speaker 6: drove to an adjacent state to throw some dimes down

680
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:22,600
Speaker 6: because that number was stupid. And so, you know, as

681
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:24,640
Speaker 6: I started to tell everybody was watching horses, and I

682
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 6: started to tweet out and tell everybody is a really

683
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,560
Speaker 6: bad Texas number got to one twenty, it got to

684
00:35:28,560 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 6: plus one ten. I argue that the round robin format

685
00:35:32,000 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 6: of the Big Twelve, there's no way Texas is finishing

686
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:37,600
Speaker 6: third in this conference. So minus one twenty is your bypoint.

687
00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:39,800
Speaker 6: You can still go by it. Go buy Texas. Because

688
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 6: the gap between the Longhorns and the rest of this

689
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,560
Speaker 6: conference is massive, stuck. He says seven points between them

690
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:47,719
Speaker 6: in Oklahoma. I make it a little like nine, and

691
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:49,480
Speaker 6: then the rest of the conference can't even catch them.

692
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 2: And I think, you know.

693
00:35:50,640 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 6: Like I said, I don't want to fry anybody's bearing

694
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:55,280
Speaker 6: with mathematics, but I use the five factors, the finishing

695
00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:57,359
Speaker 6: drives a success rate. They were top twenty in all

696
00:35:57,400 --> 00:35:58,440
Speaker 6: those categories last year.

697
00:35:58,480 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 2: They're going to put it together this year.

698
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:03,560
Speaker 7: So I loved Yeah. To your point, it's something in

699
00:36:03,600 --> 00:36:05,960
Speaker 7: the note is you asked about arch Manning, who obviously

700
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:10,960
Speaker 7: has the pedigree, and you know you have Malik Murphy

701
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 7: as well. That's an enormous safety net. Right when you're

702
00:36:15,000 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 7: betting a future or just you know, evaluating a team

703
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 7: in general. Quin Ewers has the experience and he is

704
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:25,800
Speaker 7: most likely the quarterback that needs to lead them to

705
00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 7: reach their full potential. But when you're talking about winning

706
00:36:27,680 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 7: the Big twelve and just a team in general, many

707
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:33,640
Speaker 7: teams of college football, just like in the NFL, say

708
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 7: their starting quarterback goes down with an injury, they're done, right,

709
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:39,360
Speaker 7: Like how many games of the Chiefs winning if Mahomes

710
00:36:39,400 --> 00:36:39,839
Speaker 7: gets hurt?

711
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:41,320
Speaker 6: Like four?

712
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:46,719
Speaker 7: So but with Texas, if a guy like arch Manning

713
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 7: is your third string quarterback, right so even if you

714
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:52,240
Speaker 7: were struggles or viewers gets hurt like that quarterback depth,

715
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 7: that's a beautiful safety net to have and a great

716
00:36:56,040 --> 00:36:57,239
Speaker 7: luxury that many teams don't.

717
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:00,040
Speaker 2: And is it ties.

718
00:36:59,840 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 6: In the NFL, Like when you lose b Jhon Robinson

719
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:04,880
Speaker 6: as a running back who's like number one everybody's fantasy board.

720
00:37:05,280 --> 00:37:06,799
Speaker 6: Texas is not even going to skip a beat. They

721
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:08,960
Speaker 6: have four running backs that can be as good, if

722
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 6: not already as good as b John Robinson.

723
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:13,360
Speaker 1: Stuck Legal Betting coming to Kentucky.

724
00:37:15,000 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 2: We're excited.

725
00:37:16,239 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 1: We're Simon and I are gonna come celebrate that with

726
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:21,560
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell as we did last fall, and we're gonna

727
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 1: make Colin Wilson and Brett McMurphy come visit to Simon.

728
00:37:25,280 --> 00:37:28,719
Speaker 1: I've been cutting in part Oh, we're all staying at

729
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:29,839
Speaker 1: the Stuck You Mansion.

730
00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,399
Speaker 7: Ye party of stagger In, and we're going.

731
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:38,240
Speaker 1: To stagger into the stagger In. Simon, I was cutting

732
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 1: you off.

733
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna do what you wanna do. Chad,

734
00:37:41,239 --> 00:37:43,040
Speaker 3: do you want to talk about their best bets? But

735
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:45,319
Speaker 3: we're forty minutes in Chad, and I got to talk

736
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:48,759
Speaker 3: about this LSU Florida State game. It is every pro

737
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,600
Speaker 3: I've talked to. I think this is the biggest pros

738
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,360
Speaker 3: verse jokes any prov talk to is on Florida State.

739
00:37:55,000 --> 00:37:57,880
Speaker 3: Every Joe public I've talked to, they're like easy spatter

740
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 3: in my life. LSU under a field, Colin, We'll start

741
00:38:01,680 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 3: with you. How are you approaching this game? I mean

742
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,319
Speaker 3: it's rare we get a five to eight matchup Week one.

743
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 3: You know, the college football put this in the schedule

744
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,520
Speaker 3: for a reason. This is good, This is this is

745
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 3: why we love college football. So you know, looking at this,

746
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:15,920
Speaker 3: this is a stinky line, and I can see why

747
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:17,880
Speaker 3: the pros love Florida State. Again, I don't know much

748
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:20,520
Speaker 3: about either team. Is that the right read is Florida

749
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,000
Speaker 3: State to play in this? Or is LSU being slept on?

750
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:25,959
Speaker 6: There's two reasons why you're betting Florida State. I'm betting

751
00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:27,720
Speaker 6: Florida State. I would just like a three. I'm probably

752
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,520
Speaker 6: not gonna get it, but I'll bet any plus number.

753
00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:32,360
Speaker 6: This game should should be neutral. I mean, there's so

754
00:38:32,440 --> 00:38:34,839
Speaker 6: much NFL talent on both sides that really cancels each

755
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,600
Speaker 6: other out. The line should be a pick. So if

756
00:38:36,600 --> 00:38:38,200
Speaker 6: you're gonna give me points, I'm gonna take it. But

757
00:38:38,239 --> 00:38:40,800
Speaker 6: more specifically, you want to break down x's and o's.

758
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,719
Speaker 6: LSU wants to run inside zone with Jayden Daniels and

759
00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,000
Speaker 6: that's not gonna work against Florida State's front seven, which

760
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 6: is just massive. You're gonna hear about Jared Vers at

761
00:38:48,200 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 6: the NFL level. And then if you go to the

762
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 6: other side of the ball, Florida State, Jordan Trafs are

763
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 6: gonna be able to get down the field with these

764
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 6: wide receivers against a Juco fresh faced I'm not sure

765
00:38:58,800 --> 00:39:01,840
Speaker 6: if some of these kids are shaving in the LSU secondary.

766
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,319
Speaker 6: LSU is going to be hot and sec play. They

767
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:06,560
Speaker 6: need some experience in that back seven, and they just

768
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,840
Speaker 6: they don't have it right now. And plus the world

769
00:39:08,880 --> 00:39:10,719
Speaker 6: loves Harold Perkins. He might be the number one pick

770
00:39:10,760 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 6: in the NFL draft, but he's a great run walker

771
00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,680
Speaker 6: and he runs sideline to sideline. He's not very good

772
00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:17,600
Speaker 6: in coverage unless he's you know, worked on that in

773
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:20,359
Speaker 6: the offseason. So Florists A can get down the field here.

774
00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 6: They've got the weapons to do it. As to were

775
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 6: what LSU wants to do on offense, Florist say is

776
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:25,280
Speaker 6: pretty good at stopping.

777
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:30,640
Speaker 7: Do you know that's that's the sound of Colin backtracking

778
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 7: after during the summer, I told him LSU's is overrated,

779
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:38,640
Speaker 7: and he told me LSU's gone to the College twelve

780
00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:42,320
Speaker 7: playoff winning the national title now and now he's fading

781
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:45,319
Speaker 7: them in Week one as a favorite under a field goal.

782
00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 7: But I agree, I think this LSU team is overrated.

783
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:52,200
Speaker 7: Last year, they they could have lost three to four

784
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,600
Speaker 7: more games. I mean they almost lost the Colins Arkansas

785
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:58,799
Speaker 7: team who didn't even have their quarterback, and they got

786
00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:02,440
Speaker 7: They got pretty fortunate in the number of games. I

787
00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:04,560
Speaker 7: think they're You know, Brian Kelly is a great higher

788
00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:07,080
Speaker 7: and he's also a covering god. For what it's worth,

789
00:40:07,120 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 7: he's the second most profitable coach against the spread, uh

790
00:40:10,360 --> 00:40:12,440
Speaker 7: since two thousand and five in all of college football.

791
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,160
Speaker 7: That's like five hundred and seventy five coaches. The first,

792
00:40:15,200 --> 00:40:19,720
Speaker 7: by the way, Colin mentioned, uh shaving in Youngstown, Ohio

793
00:40:20,320 --> 00:40:23,319
Speaker 7: legend Jim Tressel is the most profitable. But I agree

794
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:24,239
Speaker 7: with Florida State here.

795
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 4: I actually see what we did there.

796
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 7: Yeah, Colin said the secondary might not be shaving you.

797
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 7: We got to watch your play on words there when

798
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:37,279
Speaker 7: we talk about betting. But uh yeah, I think Florida State.

799
00:40:37,360 --> 00:40:39,600
Speaker 7: The key to this game is will can they establish

800
00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:42,839
Speaker 7: the run Keith Perkins and those other great LAC linebackers,

801
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:45,680
Speaker 7: you know, prevent them from pinning their ears back on

802
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:49,120
Speaker 7: known passing downs and getting into the backfield, creating havoc

803
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 7: as Colin alluded to against Jordan Travis. But I think

804
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 7: Florida State will be able to establish the run here,

805
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 7: open up the platch, and open up some deep shots

806
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:01,319
Speaker 7: with a really good wide receiver room against a very

807
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:06,279
Speaker 7: inexperienced new Newish put together LSU secondary that I think

808
00:41:06,320 --> 00:41:08,839
Speaker 7: is vulnerable. So I agree, I think Florida State wins

809
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:10,640
Speaker 7: this game. It's sitting at two and a half right now.

810
00:41:11,360 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 7: I'm waiting, so we have all the way until Sunday.

811
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 7: You know, maybe you'll you'll get some There's no real

812
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:19,800
Speaker 7: harm in waiting right now and betting right now and waiting.

813
00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,640
Speaker 7: So I'm gonna see if hey, look, you said all

814
00:41:23,640 --> 00:41:25,799
Speaker 7: of the jos. We'll see how much Joe money can

815
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 7: actually influence this line. Once we get to Sunday. People

816
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 7: may be chasing after losing Saturday and saying it's just

817
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:34,919
Speaker 7: Elsia needed to win by three. Maybe this line touches three.

818
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:37,080
Speaker 7: I assume whenever it does, you've got to be quick,

819
00:41:37,360 --> 00:41:39,680
Speaker 7: but put the alerts on line movement on the action

820
00:41:39,719 --> 00:41:42,960
Speaker 7: network gap to get that three even three minus one

821
00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:45,319
Speaker 7: fifteen I would love because I think once at any

822
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:48,280
Speaker 7: time it hits threes, you're gonna get professional money scooping

823
00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:51,040
Speaker 7: that up. But I think Florida State's the right side.

824
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:52,200
Speaker 4: All right.

825
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:56,920
Speaker 1: So Saturday, I'm gonna be sitting on my couch stuck.

826
00:41:57,840 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 4: What am I betting?

827
00:41:58,760 --> 00:42:00,800
Speaker 1: One of my best bets are going to see popping

828
00:42:00,880 --> 00:42:02,560
Speaker 1: up in the Action Network gap from Stuckey.

829
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,720
Speaker 7: I'll give you a one that I haven't bet yet

830
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 7: that I'm going to bet is this is the Favorites podcast.

831
00:42:09,880 --> 00:42:11,400
Speaker 7: I got to give you a big favor and we

832
00:42:11,400 --> 00:42:16,840
Speaker 7: were talking about giant spreads. So how about Alabama minus,

833
00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 7: you know, close to forty. I'm trying to see if

834
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:22,399
Speaker 7: it comes down to thirty eight again. But if it's

835
00:42:22,400 --> 00:42:24,040
Speaker 7: set thirty nine, thirty nine and a half where it

836
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:28,080
Speaker 7: is now, that's where I will fire. They are playing

837
00:42:28,360 --> 00:42:32,239
Speaker 7: a Middle Tennessee state team, the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders,

838
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 7: that I think is going to be really bad. The

839
00:42:35,040 --> 00:42:37,759
Speaker 7: defense that got really lucky in the takeaway department last year.

840
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:40,480
Speaker 7: They lose their sack leader to the NFL. They lose

841
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:42,960
Speaker 7: their top corner who let fbs and interceptions. He transferred

842
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,440
Speaker 7: to UCF and so I think the defense takes a

843
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,360
Speaker 7: big step back and then lose their starting quarterback Cunningham.

844
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,160
Speaker 7: They lose their top three targets ones in the NFL,

845
00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:54,000
Speaker 7: one transfer to Virginia Tech, and another graduated. And this

846
00:42:54,040 --> 00:42:55,600
Speaker 7: is the team that can't run the ball because they're

847
00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 7: off its line, can't run block. I don't know how

848
00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,520
Speaker 7: they're going to move the ball against Alabama. And I

849
00:43:00,560 --> 00:43:05,359
Speaker 7: think Alabama. They've spent the whole summer hearing Alabama's taking

850
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:08,719
Speaker 7: a step back. You know, it's now Georgia back to

851
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,160
Speaker 7: back national titles. I think they come out with a

852
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,080
Speaker 7: purpose here. This happened last year. You could say, hey,

853
00:43:14,120 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 7: Alabama is Texas on deck, and they might you know,

854
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 7: bring their pull their starters a little early, not show much.

855
00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 7: But they were in the same exact spot last year

856
00:43:22,440 --> 00:43:23,480
Speaker 7: with Bryce Young as the quarterback.

857
00:43:23,480 --> 00:43:24,239
Speaker 2: They already had a known.

858
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:26,080
Speaker 7: Now they have two to three guys so we're going

859
00:43:26,120 --> 00:43:27,840
Speaker 7: to play the whole game at quarterback who were in

860
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:31,239
Speaker 7: the competition. So I think they're gonna be They're not

861
00:43:31,239 --> 00:43:33,200
Speaker 7: gonna take their foot off the gas until really relate.

862
00:43:33,200 --> 00:43:35,719
Speaker 7: But last year in the same spot and Brycetonge basically

863
00:43:35,719 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 7: didn't play the entire second half similar spread against Utah State,

864
00:43:39,920 --> 00:43:42,040
Speaker 7: they won fifty five to nothing. And if you go

865
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:47,080
Speaker 7: back since two thousand and five, the most profitable Week

866
00:43:47,160 --> 00:43:51,320
Speaker 7: one coach against the spread in college football is Nick Saban.

867
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 7: Since arriving in Tuscaloosa, he is thirteen and two against

868
00:43:56,920 --> 00:44:01,480
Speaker 7: the spread in season openers, covering by about eight points

869
00:44:01,520 --> 00:44:03,919
Speaker 7: per game. That includes four to zer against the spread,

870
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:07,440
Speaker 7: one favor by more than thirty and he's just been

871
00:44:07,480 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 7: a covering machine. Has his teams ready to come out

872
00:44:10,000 --> 00:44:11,800
Speaker 7: at the gates with our hair on fire, which I

873
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:14,680
Speaker 7: think is even more of the case this year after

874
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:18,719
Speaker 7: all the rumblings about Alabama taking a step back. So yeah,

875
00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:23,080
Speaker 7: I think that they absolutely hammer MTSU.

876
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:27,480
Speaker 1: Alabama minus forty is so disgusting. It's exactly the kind

877
00:44:27,560 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 1: of thing I need to do when I'm sitting on

878
00:44:30,760 --> 00:44:36,279
Speaker 1: the couch eating my specialty roasted spiced mixed nuts that

879
00:44:36,320 --> 00:44:41,280
Speaker 1: I made from the New York Times cooking app. Colin, Yeah,

880
00:44:41,520 --> 00:44:42,080
Speaker 1: give me one.

881
00:44:43,239 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 6: I'm gonna give you two quick ones, and they're gonna

882
00:44:45,200 --> 00:44:45,719
Speaker 6: be West Coast.

883
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:51,400
Speaker 1: Then Colin is a comrade in arms when it comes

884
00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:53,080
Speaker 1: to thoughtful eating.

885
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:53,759
Speaker 4: I know this.

886
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:56,239
Speaker 1: He and I have talked about this so much like

887
00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:58,919
Speaker 1: he cares about what he puts in his body. He's

888
00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 1: measuring it down to the gram. Signon, don't give me

889
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:06,320
Speaker 1: that look when I'm talking about the spiced mixed nuts

890
00:45:06,320 --> 00:45:09,239
Speaker 1: that I'm making myself, because Colin is the exact same way.

891
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 1: He's even crazier. He measures his food how.

892
00:45:12,440 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 3: We'll be eating meat though on Saturday. So that's what

893
00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:17,160
Speaker 3: I was offended by. Saturday's reading meat, Chad, you gotta

894
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:18,440
Speaker 3: eat meat and watch football.

895
00:45:18,880 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 6: Well, I'll get to two hundred protein grams, then I

896
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:22,520
Speaker 6: gotta stop eating chicken.

897
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:24,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I count out my wall. I count

898
00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 2: out everything that I.

899
00:45:25,520 --> 00:45:27,520
Speaker 6: Eat, which is I'm glad I've lost thirty pounds in

900
00:45:27,520 --> 00:45:29,359
Speaker 6: the offseason. But now here we are, I will see

901
00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:30,080
Speaker 6: if I put it back on.

902
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:31,520
Speaker 1: This is the test, Colin.

903
00:45:31,680 --> 00:45:35,280
Speaker 6: Yeah, I almost thought about making a burner Twitter account

904
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:36,759
Speaker 6: so I could just talk about my health, like what

905
00:45:36,800 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 6: am I doing for health during football season?

906
00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:42,200
Speaker 2: But we'll see. I'm gonna get two.

907
00:45:41,200 --> 00:45:43,760
Speaker 6: Quick that's on the West Coast favorites. I'm gonna go Washington,

908
00:45:43,800 --> 00:45:46,279
Speaker 6: I'm gonna go Ucla and really, let me talk about

909
00:45:46,280 --> 00:45:49,400
Speaker 6: the other teams. Dirk Cotter was calling plays offensively for

910
00:45:49,480 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 6: Boise State.

911
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:50,640
Speaker 2: He's gone.

912
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:54,000
Speaker 6: They bring in Bush Hampden Hamden is putting a bunch

913
00:45:54,040 --> 00:45:57,600
Speaker 6: of priorities pre snap on the center. Well, their main

914
00:45:57,640 --> 00:45:59,400
Speaker 6: center wasn't even on the two deep depth chart. We

915
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,399
Speaker 6: don't know why they're not disclosing it. So they're moving

916
00:46:01,440 --> 00:46:03,319
Speaker 6: the right guard over. He's never played center in his life.

917
00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 6: Washington is absolutely gonna roll them. Then you go down

918
00:46:06,560 --> 00:46:09,880
Speaker 6: to Westwood, UCLA, and you know, I go back to

919
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 6: the theory of I want to back teams that are favorites,

920
00:46:12,040 --> 00:46:14,440
Speaker 6: that have three quarterbacks that need to play well. Ucla

921
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 6: is gonna have Ethan Garber start, then Colin Schlee from

922
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:18,759
Speaker 6: Kent State. But then if you're an NFL person, sit

923
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,840
Speaker 6: back and get ready for Dante Moore, true freshman, highest

924
00:46:21,960 --> 00:46:23,400
Speaker 6: rating ever for recruit.

925
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:25,720
Speaker 2: He is going to be something special.

926
00:46:25,800 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 6: Coastal Carolina comes in, they're under new management, and everybody

927
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:31,520
Speaker 6: loves Grayson McCall, but that Jamie Chadwell offense with all

928
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,360
Speaker 6: that motion and misdirection and just crazy triple in space,

929
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:37,400
Speaker 6: it's gone. It's gonna be vanilla. It's not gonna be pretty.

930
00:46:37,600 --> 00:46:40,760
Speaker 6: And plus Coastal Carolina is breaking in two new corners

931
00:46:40,920 --> 00:46:43,600
Speaker 6: that have never played before that are like five foot nine.

932
00:46:44,239 --> 00:46:46,600
Speaker 6: That's problem against UCLA out on the West coast. So

933
00:46:46,640 --> 00:46:48,319
Speaker 6: take Ucilli and Washington late at night.

934
00:46:48,920 --> 00:46:52,240
Speaker 1: What does that mean? Dante Moore is the highest rating

935
00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,759
Speaker 1: ever for freshman like for UCLA for a quarterback like.

936
00:46:55,719 --> 00:46:58,759
Speaker 6: No, so Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence were ninety nine

937
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:01,080
Speaker 6: point nine nine nine nine nine and the recruiting, well,

938
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 6: Dante More is one hundred, which not not lying. So

939
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:07,360
Speaker 6: get settled in with UCLA and when his he's not

940
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:09,600
Speaker 6: gonna start, Chip's gonna roll. I mean I talked to

941
00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:12,840
Speaker 6: Chip at Pack told media days cash your tickets stuck? Uh,

942
00:47:12,880 --> 00:47:13,719
Speaker 6: And I asked Chip Kelly.

943
00:47:13,760 --> 00:47:15,120
Speaker 2: I was like, what's the plan with Dante Moore?

944
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:17,880
Speaker 6: Because DTR played a lot during his freshman year and

945
00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:19,839
Speaker 6: and Chip Kelly was, you know, told me flat out

946
00:47:19,840 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 6: he's like we tried. I tried to hold DTR back

947
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:24,880
Speaker 6: as much as possible, protect him as a freshman, but

948
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 6: it was around game six or seven where it was

949
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:28,399
Speaker 6: like it was his job, it was go time. He's

950
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:31,840
Speaker 6: just way more special. Well, now Chip Kelly gets blessed

951
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:35,000
Speaker 6: with Dante Moore. The kid is going to be unbelievable.

952
00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:38,080
Speaker 6: So get your popcorn, gets your uh, your nuts, get everything,

953
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:38,799
Speaker 6: by the way.

954
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,319
Speaker 7: Accurate he is, by the way, because yeah, ninety nine

955
00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:45,439
Speaker 7: point nine nine, nine years later and justin Field still

956
00:47:45,480 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 7: is inaccurate.

957
00:47:46,080 --> 00:47:49,959
Speaker 1: But oh oh no, no, no, no, no no, we're

958
00:47:50,000 --> 00:47:56,279
Speaker 1: not doing justin Fields violence on this show. We only

959
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:59,560
Speaker 1: do justin Fields is going to be very accurate because

960
00:47:59,600 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 1: he's got a all Pro receiver and DJ Moore, who

961
00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,799
Speaker 1: is going to help him, whose catch radius is so

962
00:48:05,920 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 1: much better than anyone who's ever had. He will actually

963
00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:12,120
Speaker 1: be elevated as an accurate passer. It's all We're gonna say. Stuck,

964
00:48:12,320 --> 00:48:16,760
Speaker 1: We're not doing justin Fields. You know it will.

965
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:18,120
Speaker 7: Packers week one, Lou.

966
00:48:18,440 --> 00:48:22,320
Speaker 4: It's also oh Jesus Christ, well listen.

967
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:23,799
Speaker 1: You can listen to I can listen to you and

968
00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:26,960
Speaker 1: raybon argue about that on the Action Network podcast on

969
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:30,080
Speaker 1: Thursdays heading into the football season, which is also one

970
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:33,840
Speaker 1: of my favorite podcasts to listen to and prep for

971
00:48:35,239 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 1: next week.

972
00:48:35,640 --> 00:48:36,759
Speaker 7: What we do, by the way, when we're doing the

973
00:48:36,760 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 7: six pack live, yep, that's right, listen to Wednesday night,

974
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:42,560
Speaker 7: so keep an eye off for that.

975
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,200
Speaker 1: Listen to that. You can watch it on YouTube. You

976
00:48:45,239 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 1: can watch it in the Action Network app. It's gonna

977
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:52,279
Speaker 1: be awesome. Also, I like your reference to being at

978
00:48:52,320 --> 00:48:57,200
Speaker 1: media days Colin h Listen, what was it five years ago?

979
00:48:57,600 --> 00:49:00,320
Speaker 1: You're just some schmuck flying around as a consultant writing

980
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:04,560
Speaker 1: out ratings and longhand and now you're an actual reporter

981
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:07,320
Speaker 1: covering media days and still a Yeah.

982
00:49:07,360 --> 00:49:09,800
Speaker 6: In twenty seventeen, I produced one hundred and fifty page

983
00:49:09,840 --> 00:49:12,840
Speaker 6: Google doc for free and just linked it out to

984
00:49:12,920 --> 00:49:15,319
Speaker 6: like what four hundred followers on Twitter. So yeah, things

985
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:17,520
Speaker 6: have changed. It's a little bit media Day talking to

986
00:49:17,560 --> 00:49:18,080
Speaker 6: Chip Kelly.

987
00:49:18,520 --> 00:49:21,120
Speaker 1: By the way, this is why people hate the media.

988
00:49:21,920 --> 00:49:26,360
Speaker 1: Simon has a massive podcast. Really, he was a grip

989
00:49:26,440 --> 00:49:30,320
Speaker 1: for you know, the Jersey Shore, became a professional better

990
00:49:31,080 --> 00:49:34,880
Speaker 1: Stucky Stuckey has a made up name and had a

991
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:37,840
Speaker 1: Twitter account that was private that had tens of thousands

992
00:49:37,880 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 1: of followers and was working in finance. Colin was a consultant.

993
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:46,120
Speaker 1: Only one of us has dedicated his career to journalism.

994
00:49:46,560 --> 00:49:49,640
Speaker 1: I'm the least expert and the least popular of anybody

995
00:49:50,200 --> 00:49:53,439
Speaker 1: on this show right now. It's freaking ridiculous, by the way,

996
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:55,040
Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous.

997
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:59,280
Speaker 7: I've got all twenty years posting bets online. So forums

998
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:01,120
Speaker 7: back in high school, when I was in two thousand

999
00:50:01,120 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 7: and three is when I started. It's pretty crazy, and

1000
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:08,640
Speaker 7: I'm certainly fortunate to have gotten in when I did,

1001
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:11,880
Speaker 7: because now it's everyone wants to get into the sports

1002
00:50:11,880 --> 00:50:14,319
Speaker 7: betting space, and a lot of life is just being

1003
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:17,520
Speaker 7: in the right place at the right time. So definitely

1004
00:50:17,520 --> 00:50:18,480
Speaker 7: blessed in that area.

1005
00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:21,160
Speaker 1: Everyone thinks they're an expert. Now you know who the

1006
00:50:21,160 --> 00:50:24,640
Speaker 1: real experts are, Simon, you know who the real experts are,

1007
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:29,640
Speaker 1: Colin Wilson, Stuckey, and you. I'm glad you guys were

1008
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:33,240
Speaker 1: all on the podcast today. I'm going to remind everybody.

1009
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,640
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Speaker 4: We did it.

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Speaker 1: It's happening. Dreams come true. Hal lafreakin'lujah. I am Shadmilman

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Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter. This has been the Favorites Podcast, presented

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Speaker 1: us from Apple, podcasts from Spotify wherever you get your podcast,

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Speaker 4: I Love you.

1036
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