1 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 1: And welcome in Lake. Kick is Live. It is Tuesday Night, 2 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:19,960 Speaker 1: September twenty ninth, the year of our Laura in twenty twenty. 3 00:00:19,960 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 1: Debate night is upon us, And of course I mean 4 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:25,279 Speaker 1: who in the world's gonna win Saturday? Auburn, Georgia, A 5 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:27,319 Speaker 1: and m Alabama. We got a lot to talk about. 6 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,640 Speaker 1: It is prediction Tuesday. We predict games every Tuesday. We 7 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,559 Speaker 1: don't wait till Thursday, we don't wait till Friday. We 8 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: lead the pack. We get it out there on Tuesday, 9 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:37,600 Speaker 1: and we do everyone else's show prep form essentially, or 10 00:00:37,640 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: at least we try to. So we're going to predict 11 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:41,320 Speaker 1: games tonight. We're going to give you picks straight up. 12 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: We're gonna give you picks against the spread, speaking of 13 00:00:43,920 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: the spread. By the time we go off the air 14 00:00:46,200 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: in just a few short moments, we will have added 15 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 1: two more best bets to the Ramen Noodle Express. A 16 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: lot to get to, obviously. I'm also going to go 17 00:00:55,480 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: a little bit deeper into Florida. Why, because you've been 18 00:00:57,840 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: asking me about it, and a lot of people have 19 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:04,360 Speaker 1: come at me with essentially fifteen different versions of the 20 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,720 Speaker 1: same retort. Anytime someone gives Florida praise. It's well, yeah, 21 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: but it was all miss it was okay. So we're gonna 22 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: discuss that in just a second. I'm also going to 23 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,319 Speaker 1: tell you that you guys did a great job on 24 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: Sunday Night. We were diving back through the analytics and 25 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 1: I don't want to bore you with a lot of 26 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: this stuff, cause numbers tend to do that. But the 27 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: average viewer on our Sunday Night show, which set all 28 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: kinds of records, watched this show for over twenty minutes. 29 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,520 Speaker 1: The average viewer, let me state it again for those 30 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: in the back, watched Sunday Night Show or the replay 31 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:41,680 Speaker 1: of the show for over twenty minutes. If you don't 32 00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: know how to interpret that, let me just say it 33 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,479 Speaker 1: is far and away one of the most bonkers numbers 34 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,160 Speaker 1: that you will ever see on this platform they call YouTube. 35 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: Some movies don't have average viewership for twenty and a 36 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 1: half minutes. So thank you, so so so much. It 37 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: means the ones of you who tuned in essentially stayed 38 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:57,840 Speaker 1: here the whole show, So thank you so much for that. 39 00:01:57,880 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 1: All Right, we got a whole lot to get to. 40 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: We've got, as I said, game predictions coming up. Also, 41 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: I want to remind you almost did it again this morning. 42 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: Almost dropped another pick on the Ram and Noodle Express, 43 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:10,280 Speaker 1: which is our five pick of best bets for the week. 44 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 1: Almost dropped one on this morning's Late Kick Extra podcast. 45 00:02:12,880 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 1: Didn't quite have the number we wanted we do. Now 46 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: we're gonna drop it at the end of the show. 47 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: Make sure you are subscribed to that podcast. Make sure 48 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:20,679 Speaker 1: you don't miss a show on here, make sure you 49 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 1: don't miss a show there. With that in mind, let's 50 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 1: dive in shall We've got predictions coming up. But I 51 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: wanted to get to this first. Florida play South Carolina Saturday. 52 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,720 Speaker 1: It's not necessarily a game we expect to be all 53 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:34,239 Speaker 1: that tightly contested. Crazier things have happened. We're going to 54 00:02:34,280 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: talk more about that game later in the week, but 55 00:02:36,200 --> 00:02:39,240 Speaker 1: I did want to just kind of remind people. We 56 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 1: talked about this in the preseason, but I felt it 57 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: necessary to remind you again. Florida obviously had an impressive 58 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: opening week win against Ole Miss. They went in there 59 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,400 Speaker 1: and they ran up half a hundred on them, and 60 00:02:50,440 --> 00:02:54,400 Speaker 1: so in typical year, our theory is I want to 61 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 1: see two weeks of a season before I start changing 62 00:02:57,680 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: any hardwired, preconceived news about a team. And that's normally 63 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: with good reason, because normally we've gotten enough viable intel 64 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:10,520 Speaker 1: from spring, summer and fall workouts and spring practice and 65 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: fall camp that we can form a reasonable logic based 66 00:03:15,600 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: foundation of a belief about a team. This year, we 67 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 1: had none of that. We didn't have spring, we didn't 68 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:22,440 Speaker 1: have summer workouts at least a degree normally would. We 69 00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:24,920 Speaker 1: did not have a normal fall camp in a sense 70 00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,640 Speaker 1: that we didn't get any information because they were all closed, 71 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:31,200 Speaker 1: no one could go, and so normal modes of communication 72 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 1: and normal means with which we would gather information they 73 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,200 Speaker 1: were non existent, and there were fractions of whispers that 74 00:03:37,240 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: you would normally get. So my point is, with Florida 75 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: this year and with teams this year, as I told 76 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: you quite a while back, I had written in my 77 00:03:43,440 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 1: preseason notes in All Caps Value Week one of the 78 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: twenty twenty season, more than everything you heard in the 79 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,280 Speaker 1: months leading up to the season combined. So what does 80 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 1: that mean for Florida. Well, as I told you, with Florida, 81 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:00,440 Speaker 1: I didn't pick this team to win the SEC East. 82 00:04:00,840 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 1: I'm going to revise that in just a few minutes. 83 00:04:02,800 --> 00:04:04,800 Speaker 1: I did not pick this team to win the SEC East. 84 00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 1: And the reason that I gave you, I said it 85 00:04:06,320 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: was fifty one forty nine. I was right on the 86 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:09,920 Speaker 1: fence with it. But I picked Georgia. And the reason 87 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: was because I wasn't necessarily sold that there was going 88 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 1: to be this quantum leap, this progression of production between 89 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 1: you last year and this year for Kyle Trask, and 90 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:23,279 Speaker 1: I was not convinced that their perimeter skill was quite 91 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:25,520 Speaker 1: as deep. I knew the names, but I didn't know 92 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:29,120 Speaker 1: it was quite as deep and dependable and varied as 93 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 1: a lot of Florida fans swore to me that it was. 94 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: And so that was my preseason notion. I watched him 95 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: play Old Miss. They just carved old mess up. I 96 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 1: could have probably named a score a lot higher than 97 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:44,840 Speaker 1: they did. And so coming out of that game, I 98 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 1: drastically revised my perception of Florida. And I was not 99 00:04:49,040 --> 00:04:51,040 Speaker 1: bashful about it. I'm not bashful about it now that's 100 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:52,680 Speaker 1: only a couple of days old. Now, I'm not bashful 101 00:04:52,680 --> 00:04:55,600 Speaker 1: about it. Now. I'm telling you onequivocally, and I don't 102 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:57,839 Speaker 1: mind doing this. I picked Georgia to win the East. 103 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: If I made that decision again today, I would have 104 00:05:00,600 --> 00:05:04,400 Speaker 1: totally won eighty on that. I would absolutely picked Florida 105 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:06,440 Speaker 1: to win the SEC East if we were to turn 106 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 1: in those predictions today. That's how much Week one kind 107 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 1: of on both sides of that fence changed my mind. 108 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: You only have the information to go on that is 109 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,919 Speaker 1: before you right now, and you can forecast this to 110 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 1: happen or that to happen. But let's talk about Florida 111 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: here for a second. Every time this week so far, 112 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 1: and it's early, it's only Tuesday, every time I've given 113 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 1: praise to Florida, inevitably there's been someone or ten people 114 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:32,280 Speaker 1: in the room or on Twitter or whatnot that have said, well, 115 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,599 Speaker 1: it was just all miss. Hey, dude, it was just 116 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: old miss, Like I didn't watch the game, like I 117 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: haven't fooled CBS and to pay me to watch these 118 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:41,239 Speaker 1: games for a living. I know it was all missed. 119 00:05:41,400 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 1: I saw it, guys. I watched every snap and I've 120 00:05:43,800 --> 00:05:45,839 Speaker 1: watched the game again since then a couple times, so 121 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,640 Speaker 1: I know it was all miss. What are you talking about? 122 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:50,359 Speaker 1: What do you mean when you say that? Can you 123 00:05:50,400 --> 00:05:54,160 Speaker 1: not learn anything when you play an inferior opponent. Lying 124 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 1: on the game wasn't thirty one? Lying on the game 125 00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: was twelve and a half when we got it as 126 00:05:57,960 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 1: our best bet of the week, and then it went 127 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,160 Speaker 1: up to fourteen and so, point being, they won by 128 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:04,880 Speaker 1: more than that. So they exceeded an odds maker's expectation. 129 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,599 Speaker 1: They exceeded most people's expectation in Week one. But when 130 00:06:08,640 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: you say it was just old miss let me remind 131 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:13,880 Speaker 1: you of something, because my entire basis for this point 132 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: is I think they're a whole lot better than they 133 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 1: were last year. Last year, just a few games I 134 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: picked Florida in twenty nineteen, they scored twenty four. These 135 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,799 Speaker 1: are total points, not just offensive total points. They scored 136 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: twenty four against Miami. They scored twenty nine at Kentucky. 137 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:32,840 Speaker 1: They scored thirty four against Tennessee. They scored twenty four 138 00:06:33,279 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 1: against Auburn. They scored twenty three at Missouri. These were 139 00:06:37,680 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 1: last year's results. That's not just one or two. That's 140 00:06:39,880 --> 00:06:41,919 Speaker 1: like half of their schedule last year. That was the 141 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:45,600 Speaker 1: offensive production. Yeah, it's one sample size, it's one week's 142 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 1: worth of sample size this year. But the showing they 143 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 1: had Saturday, If you are familiar with Florida football. You 144 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,840 Speaker 1: spotted the difference immediately. Immediately. I don't care if they 145 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:59,159 Speaker 1: were playing against air. They looked radically different for the 146 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 1: better than they did this time a season ago. They 147 00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,280 Speaker 1: have got it and they've got a lot that I love. Okay, obviously, 148 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: they've got a dynamic quarterback. They've got dynamic and very 149 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: very different, versatile pieces on the perimeter in the skill department. 150 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:15,440 Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts was like, I said, the best football player 151 00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,240 Speaker 1: that I saw on any field Saturday. But I want 152 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:19,880 Speaker 1: to ask you because that's what I see. So if 153 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 1: you disagree with me, I want to ask you, what 154 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:26,360 Speaker 1: is your hesitance rooted in. I think the answer is 155 00:07:26,640 --> 00:07:30,680 Speaker 1: it's rooted in preconceived notions you formed during the preseason 156 00:07:31,120 --> 00:07:33,560 Speaker 1: reading a magazine that was printed before we even knew 157 00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 1: how many games we were going to play, or depth 158 00:07:36,040 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 1: charts that were made up by some guy who writes 159 00:07:38,480 --> 00:07:40,239 Speaker 1: for a living because they didn't come from Dan Mullin. 160 00:07:40,480 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: The folks who cover the Florida Beat didn't even know 161 00:07:42,640 --> 00:07:45,280 Speaker 1: who was starting until a couple of hours before game 162 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:48,520 Speaker 1: time last Saturday. So my point is, if you still 163 00:07:48,560 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: doubt Florida, if you're still of the belief that Georgia 164 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:52,440 Speaker 1: is far and away the team that's going to win 165 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: the SEC East. What is it rooted in, because there's 166 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 1: no chance it's rooted just in what you saw in 167 00:07:57,920 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: Week one. If I were to have taken you and 168 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: sit you to Mars for the offseason, and then I 169 00:08:02,400 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: brought you back and I watched your memory clean, but 170 00:08:05,400 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: you still maintain your knowledge of college football, and you 171 00:08:08,160 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: just watched Week one, what would you think about the 172 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: SEC East? What would you think? I always go back 173 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 1: to the old, old faithful, the old reliable, the Pierce 174 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:22,560 Speaker 1: Brozenan protocol and the Piers Brosman Protocol from the hit 175 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: blockbuster Colin's favorite movie by ten Miles of Dante's Peak 176 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 1: is just this. He was looking around at that little 177 00:08:28,480 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 1: town just outside of Dante's Peak, and it's a volcano movie. 178 00:08:31,840 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: And he said, I mean, he's a geologist. He said, 179 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: you know, we need to put we need to put 180 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: this town on a looked and no one wanted to 181 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,560 Speaker 1: put the town on a loot. And he said, you know, 182 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 1: if you take a frog and you put him in 183 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,439 Speaker 1: a pot of water and you slowly turn the heat up, 184 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:48,959 Speaker 1: the frog will just boil to death. But if you 185 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: throw the frog in the boiling water, it'll hop right out. 186 00:08:51,880 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 1: And they said, well, what is that, Harry, your recipe 187 00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:56,400 Speaker 1: for frog soup? And he goes, no, it's my recipe 188 00:08:56,480 --> 00:08:58,720 Speaker 1: for disasta. Well, you know what, it's my recipe for 189 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 1: a bunch of folks making a fool of themselves when 190 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 1: they talk about what Florida is and is not capable of. 191 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,559 Speaker 1: We're clipping that for individual use. I can tell you 192 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: that this team right here is for real. I don't 193 00:09:08,040 --> 00:09:09,720 Speaker 1: need to wait five weeks to tell you that for real. 194 00:09:09,760 --> 00:09:11,440 Speaker 1: It's my point. If you guys want to wait, that's 195 00:09:11,440 --> 00:09:13,360 Speaker 1: all well and good. I don't need to see anything 196 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:15,199 Speaker 1: more than I saw the other day. What you should 197 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 1: be thrown in my face as defense. That's what you 198 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 1: should be thrown in my face. And not a lot 199 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: of people did. But if you did, I would ask 200 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,840 Speaker 1: you this, what were you probably screaming this time and 201 00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: even later than this time last year about LSU. You 202 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: were probably screaming, Oh, defensively, they're not there. I mean 203 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,480 Speaker 1: Joe Burrow. Yeah, okay, that dude looks a lot better 204 00:09:33,480 --> 00:09:35,040 Speaker 1: than he did a year ago when he got shut 205 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 1: out by Alabama. Yeah, they got offensive skill for days, 206 00:09:38,280 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: but I mean they just had thirty eight hung on 207 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: them by Vanderbilt. Those were people that didn't watch the 208 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:46,160 Speaker 1: game and realize a lot of those were non offensive points. 209 00:09:46,240 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: But I digress. This time last year, you were hating 210 00:09:49,720 --> 00:09:53,040 Speaker 1: on LSU's defense, and then LSU started getting guys back, 211 00:09:53,160 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 1: just like Florida is about to start getting guys back. 212 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:56,559 Speaker 1: You really think Florida defensively is going to look that 213 00:09:56,640 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 1: bad the rest of the year. They may not be 214 00:09:58,000 --> 00:09:59,720 Speaker 1: a top three unit, but you think they're gonna look 215 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:01,960 Speaker 1: that bad. And if they can score like they showed 216 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 1: the proclivity to do in Week one, do they really 217 00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:07,200 Speaker 1: need to be holding everyone under seventeen points per game? 218 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,080 Speaker 1: I don't think so. So everyone out there that I 219 00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 1: have heard questioning Florida's validity, those are also the same 220 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,880 Speaker 1: folks who about their own team are saying, Oh, don't worry, 221 00:10:16,960 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: it was just week one, we'll get it together. Well, 222 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 1: you can't predict week to week rapid improvement for your team, 223 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,120 Speaker 1: but look at Florida and say, no, no, no, no, 224 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: that's actually the best they're ever gonna look. They're gonna 225 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 1: regress the year and we're gonna progress this year, and 226 00:10:30,360 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: that's not the way that works, at least I don't 227 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:33,560 Speaker 1: think that's the way it's gonna work. All right, let's 228 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 1: predict some games. The game that we're gonna start with 229 00:10:37,360 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: the CBS Game of the Week three thirty Eastern, two 230 00:10:39,679 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 1: thirty Central kickoff from Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Obama a seventeen point 231 00:10:43,720 --> 00:10:46,960 Speaker 1: favorite in what we called in the preseason the game 232 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: of the year in the SEC West, that is Texas 233 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: A and m at Alabama. Now, we do things a 234 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: little bit different when we have big favorites and we're 235 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 1: gonna break down a game here, we don't just do 236 00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 1: a normal shot for shot breakdown. We acknowledged at Alabama's favored. 237 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: They're favored for a reason. At the end of this preview, 238 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 1: Colin's gonna show you our game capsule where we juxtapose 239 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: the Vegas line to our line. So we'll do that 240 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 1: in just a few minutes. But we acknowledge Fama's a 241 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 1: big favorite for a reason. So we're not gonna necessarily 242 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:14,880 Speaker 1: lay out, Okay, here's who we think is gonna win 243 00:11:14,920 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 1: the game. It's pretty easy to figure out there. But 244 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:20,600 Speaker 1: what we do is we say, could an upset happen? 245 00:11:20,880 --> 00:11:25,079 Speaker 1: And so theoretically seventeen point dog crazier things have happened 246 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 1: just in the last week alone. So yeah, I guess 247 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 1: Texas A and M could pull an upset. What we 248 00:11:29,200 --> 00:11:31,280 Speaker 1: do in the preview, briefly, is we try and lay 249 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:33,800 Speaker 1: out the path how could they potentially pull that off? 250 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:36,559 Speaker 1: And to be honest with you, there are probably a 251 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:38,560 Speaker 1: few ways you think you could go. Let's go down 252 00:11:38,600 --> 00:11:41,320 Speaker 1: these roads to varying degrees, you and I both So 253 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:44,880 Speaker 1: some coaches, you may think to yourself, some coaches can 254 00:11:44,880 --> 00:11:46,960 Speaker 1: spring a trap on you, right, some coaches are very, 255 00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 1: very unpredictable. And some quarterbacks you can rely on to 256 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 1: just have the game of their life. Think Steven Garcia 257 00:11:51,880 --> 00:11:55,959 Speaker 1: against Alabama in twenty ten, Think, for that matter, Steve Spurrier, 258 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: the head coach of that South Carolina team in twenty 259 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: ten point being. Those are examples of coaches and or 260 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 1: quarterbacks who could just in one afternoon, have the game 261 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: of their life. Does Jimbo Fisher strike you as that man? 262 00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,719 Speaker 1: Does Kellen Mond strike you as that quarterback? Because I 263 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 1: got to be honest, my answers are no and no. 264 00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:18,880 Speaker 1: So again, crazier things have happened. But I don't see 265 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 1: that route being anything other than a dead end. So 266 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: let's find another path. What about this path, Well, we 267 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,400 Speaker 1: held back versus Vanderbilt. This has got to be your 268 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 1: hope if you're an A and M fan. Turnovers were 269 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: a big deal in this game. It was kind of 270 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:36,080 Speaker 1: a rare occurrence. But you gotta scan a message board. 271 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 1: You got to listen to a talk radio show, and 272 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:39,199 Speaker 1: you got to listen for about five minutes. In a 273 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: game like they had against Vanderbilt where they won by five. 274 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 1: I think they were favored by thirty. They won by five. 275 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: You got to listen for about five minutes or scan 276 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 1: for about five minutes to find someone who is going 277 00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:51,960 Speaker 1: to suggest to you, well, we probably just didn't show everything. 278 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:56,480 Speaker 1: We probably held something back. Well, I don't think that's true. 279 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: I think that rarely happens to degree that fans think 280 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 1: it happened. If you believe that there is a head 281 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 1: coach of any seasoning walking up and down a sideline 282 00:13:06,480 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: in a conference game that's a one possession game in 283 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: the second half, and he's going, Uh, that one would 284 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,280 Speaker 1: probably work, but I want to save that one. No 285 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:18,680 Speaker 1: we're not going to show that personnel package. No, No, 286 00:13:18,880 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 1: that's how you end up sitting in the stands saying 287 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,560 Speaker 1: such nonsense. No, they do what it takes to win 288 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 1: the game. But let me hear me you for a second. 289 00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:29,079 Speaker 1: If that were true, do you honestly think there's anything 290 00:13:29,080 --> 00:13:32,840 Speaker 1: about Jimbo Fisher and Kellen Mond's capabilities offensively if they've 291 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:35,440 Speaker 1: shown it or not, that Nick Saban and that offensive 292 00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 1: staff or defensive staff don't know about. You really think 293 00:13:37,840 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: that Nick Saban at this point probably knows Jimbo Fisher 294 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 1: well then some of his relatives. Guy knows every tendency. 295 00:13:43,920 --> 00:13:46,760 Speaker 1: Guy knows everything they've ever done, everything they're probably capable of. 296 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:48,760 Speaker 1: He could probably call their offense for them. And he's 297 00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:51,200 Speaker 1: not even an offensive guy. They got some sweet masks 298 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 1: at Alabama, though, Colin, we need to get us some 299 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:54,360 Speaker 1: of them. We may wear him on the air. So 300 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna shoot that one down. Let's go the third route. 301 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 1: The third ray of hope is is that, oh, maybe 302 00:14:01,000 --> 00:14:04,400 Speaker 1: defensively A and M can take something away. You take 303 00:14:04,400 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 1: away an explosive passing game, force them to beat you 304 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,439 Speaker 1: on the ground, You take away the star running back. 305 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 1: You force them to beat you through the air. We're 306 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 1: gonna talk about a lot more than the Auburn Georgia 307 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,800 Speaker 1: preview in just a second. What do you take away 308 00:14:15,800 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 1: from Alabama? Because this goes back to what I said 309 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:19,520 Speaker 1: about Alabama. We to talk about this a little bit 310 00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 1: more down the road too. This goes back to what 311 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 1: I said following last week's game. Some Bama fans actually 312 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 1: complained I loved what they showed offensively, because what they 313 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 1: showed is you can try and take away whatever you 314 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 1: want to. They have the makings of a premier running game, 315 00:14:35,000 --> 00:14:37,760 Speaker 1: and they also have the makings of a very efficient 316 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,800 Speaker 1: and explosive enough passing game. This is not a situation 317 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:44,200 Speaker 1: where it's a passing game where they got a nood 318 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,560 Speaker 1: alarm quarterback, but he's good enough to move the chains, 319 00:14:46,600 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: and he's good enough to put together twelve or fourteen 320 00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 1: play drives. Now they can burn you in two or 321 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: three plays. They got guys like DeVante Smith, they got 322 00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 1: guys like Jalen Waddle and Mechi. They got those guys, 323 00:14:56,800 --> 00:14:58,320 Speaker 1: and they got a quarterback that's got a plenty good 324 00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:00,320 Speaker 1: enough arm had two A tongue of ilo not ever 325 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 1: come along in this program, you'd look at Mac Jones 326 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:04,480 Speaker 1: a lot differently and you'd say, I mean, it's one 327 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: of the best quarterbacks they've had. He is, he's not 328 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: quite tong of Iiloa. But then again, I don't think 329 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: they want this offense to be molded like it was 330 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:13,440 Speaker 1: over the past couple of years, because you know what, 331 00:15:13,440 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 1: I think Nick Saban wants the ability to do. I 332 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 1: think he wants the ability to trot out three hundred 333 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 1: and forty pound offensive lineman and just lean on you. 334 00:15:21,760 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 1: And he looks across the field and he thinks, honestly, 335 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: if you can stand up to this for four quarters, 336 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,960 Speaker 1: you deserve to win. I don't think you can. And 337 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: he and I are speaking congruently now because I don't 338 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 1: think they can either. So what is the remaining option. Well, 339 00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: the remaining option here is, well, maybe A and M 340 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 1: can pop them ten fourteen points and they can tilt 341 00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:45,320 Speaker 1: the game early. I guess they could. They did it 342 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:47,160 Speaker 1: last year. They scored on them. I think the opening 343 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,040 Speaker 1: drive last year. I was at that game. It feels 344 00:15:49,040 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 1: so weird talking about games you were on the field 345 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: for that's been a long time. Listen, if you think 346 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 1: it's going to happen. That's wonderful. I think it's more 347 00:15:56,240 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 1: likely to occur the other way. I think it's more 348 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,840 Speaker 1: likely that Alabama pops in early. I think they'll be 349 00:16:00,960 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: very aggressive. Will the Alabama Christinas tie to their passing 350 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 1: game early like they were this last week and they 351 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:07,840 Speaker 1: pop A and M for a few points early? Because 352 00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:10,440 Speaker 1: what does that do? Obviously, what that forces A and 353 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 1: M to do is throw the ball to win the game. 354 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:16,200 Speaker 1: And if you've watched this series recently, throwing the ball 355 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: to win the game is not necessarily where you want 356 00:16:18,080 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 1: to find yourself if you're A and M and you 357 00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 1: are Kellen Mond. So I'm going to show you what 358 00:16:23,200 --> 00:16:25,720 Speaker 1: our game capsule has here, and I promise you I 359 00:16:25,800 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: try and find the path. I couldn't really find the 360 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: path for the upside here outside of a freakish minus 361 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 1: four minus five turnover type deal. Colin will show the 362 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 1: people what the Vegas line is, and then we'll show 363 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: you what the late kick line is. And the reminder, 364 00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 1: we generate our own number here. So we simulate a 365 00:16:41,120 --> 00:16:43,160 Speaker 1: game a thousand times, what do we think the average 366 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: final score would be? So the game capsule is as 367 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:48,280 Speaker 1: such for those of you listening on the podcast Colin 368 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:50,240 Speaker 1: showing it to you right now, Vegas has this thing 369 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: right around seventeen. That's the number currently that is betable 370 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: at most shops. Alabama favored by seventeen. We're a little 371 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 1: bit north of that. We got Bama minus nineteen. And 372 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: that's about what I expect here. Sometimes there's not much 373 00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:07,360 Speaker 1: skill in predicting final scores anywhere from the thirty eight 374 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 1: to forty five point range for Bama, anywhere from the 375 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: thirteen to twenty point range for A and M. That's 376 00:17:12,840 --> 00:17:14,959 Speaker 1: kind of what I expect this to be at. You know, 377 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: I don't think anyone's getting shut out. But here's the 378 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: thing that may make it look like we don't have 379 00:17:20,600 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: a lot of respect for A and M. No, I 380 00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:24,560 Speaker 1: think that's the second best overall roster in the SEC 381 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 1: West right now. So that is competitive as it relates 382 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 1: to what the rest of the SEC West we think 383 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,400 Speaker 1: will present to Alabama. You could argue, you could argue 384 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 1: that whole roster point, but this is not a bad team. 385 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,199 Speaker 1: A and M's actually a very good team. It's just 386 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 1: you can't be very good, especially if you're only very 387 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:44,520 Speaker 1: good at quarterback or good to very good. You don't 388 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 1: stand a very good chance of beating Alabama. So that's 389 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,480 Speaker 1: what we see in that one. Now let's roll on. 390 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,959 Speaker 1: Oh my, I look at this piece of paper, and 391 00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: I see, let's see. I look at my phone and 392 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:58,200 Speaker 1: then I look at this piece of paper. My phone says, well, 393 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,199 Speaker 1: it says September twenty ninth. But let's be real, it 394 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:03,360 Speaker 1: says week two of SEC play. And yet here we are. 395 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: It's Auburn Georgia week. This game is Saturday, seven point 396 00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:11,719 Speaker 1: thirty Eastern on ESPN. Georgia at home, favored by seven points. 397 00:18:11,800 --> 00:18:14,080 Speaker 1: Right now, seeing that at six and a half at 398 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:18,120 Speaker 1: some shops against Auburn, this is the new SEC. You're 399 00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,959 Speaker 1: getting the usual late season rivalry games early in the season. 400 00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: This is such a huge game. I cannot overstate the 401 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:27,000 Speaker 1: importance of this game. And I don't think I was 402 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:29,480 Speaker 1: doing some radio hits today and I've brought this point up. 403 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:33,120 Speaker 1: I think they understand the magnitude at Georgia and Auburn, obviously, 404 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:35,480 Speaker 1: but I don't think nationally a lot of people are 405 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 1: grasping how massive this game is. So let me tell 406 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:42,399 Speaker 1: you how massive it is. Georgia is favored. Let's just 407 00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 1: say Auburn pulls the upset. Let's say Auburn moves to 408 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 1: two to zero. There were a lot of people who 409 00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:49,760 Speaker 1: doubted their ability to beat Kentucky, and that one was 410 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:52,119 Speaker 1: very competitive. Obviously, there are gonna be a lot of 411 00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,720 Speaker 1: people who doubt their ability to hear. But I'm gonna 412 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,040 Speaker 1: minimize my screen right here, and I'm gonna pull something up. 413 00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 1: If Auburn were to win Saturday, that would move them 414 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:02,440 Speaker 1: to two and oh. Let me read you the following 415 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:04,600 Speaker 1: games that they would play in over the next month 416 00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:08,560 Speaker 1: to month and a half. Auburn would play Arkansas at home. 417 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,280 Speaker 1: They'd play South Carolina on the road. That'd play Ole 418 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 1: Mess on the road. They would play LSU at home, 419 00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 1: that have a bye week, they would play Mississippi State 420 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 1: on the road, they would play Tennessee at home, and 421 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,920 Speaker 1: then that have the Iron Bowl the last week of November. 422 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,920 Speaker 1: Allow me to translate, if Auburn wins this game Saturday, 423 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:32,359 Speaker 1: they will be two and oh with a likelihood that 424 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,400 Speaker 1: they will be favored in every game until they play 425 00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:39,240 Speaker 1: Alabama late in November. Now you kind of start to 426 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:42,520 Speaker 1: understand how big this game is and how potentially it 427 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 1: could shift a lot of things in the SEC because 428 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 1: you'd have a lot of folks in the West with 429 00:19:47,480 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 1: a two and o team on their hands that they 430 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,439 Speaker 1: did not think would be two and o. So you 431 00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:53,480 Speaker 1: need to clear your schedule for this one. You need 432 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:56,639 Speaker 1: to make time on Saturday night. It is a cross section. 433 00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: It appeals to everyone. It's a rivalry game. There are 434 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 1: obviously conference and national ramifications on the line. The matchups 435 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: are there, quarterback dramas there. We're about to get into that. 436 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: Everything is there. It's just a beautiful thing. So let's 437 00:20:10,320 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 1: get into Georgia. A lot of angst, a lot of 438 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:16,639 Speaker 1: nervousness about what happened against Arkansas last week, with good reason. 439 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,200 Speaker 1: I think there are a lot of questions at the 440 00:20:18,280 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: quarterback spot here. I've taken a lot of flack, which 441 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 1: honestly I'm a little surprised by. By suggesting that Stetson Bennett, 442 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,199 Speaker 1: a few things can be true here. You could praise 443 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,920 Speaker 1: his work ethic, you could praise the program by end 444 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 1: nature of this guy. He's been there, he's run scout 445 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,680 Speaker 1: team form. Everyone there loves him, and he came in 446 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 1: and he won a game for him against Arkansas in 447 00:20:39,119 --> 00:20:43,080 Speaker 1: Week one. Oh, that's true. I'm not questioning that Stetson Bennett, 448 00:20:43,119 --> 00:20:44,440 Speaker 1: as it turns out, was the right guy for the 449 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 1: job Saturday. I'm not questioning that what I have merely suggested, 450 00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:50,000 Speaker 1: and I'll do it again in no uncertain terms. I 451 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:51,879 Speaker 1: don't think stets And Bennett's going to lead Georgia to 452 00:20:51,920 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 1: an SEC championship. That's my opinion. That's where I stand 453 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: on it. I didn't think that was that radical. A 454 00:20:58,359 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: lot of you did. A lot of you thought I 455 00:20:59,920 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: was taking a personal shot at the kid. I guess, well, 456 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 1: I'm not. I got a healthy amount of respect for 457 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,120 Speaker 1: what he was called to do, especially having not taken 458 00:21:07,200 --> 00:21:09,680 Speaker 1: very many first team reps at all, and he came 459 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,560 Speaker 1: off the bench and ran that offense like he's been 460 00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:15,200 Speaker 1: doing it for four or five years. Well, now Arkansas's 461 00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,440 Speaker 1: in the rear view, and now you got probably the 462 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,679 Speaker 1: most pivotal stretch of your season and it starts with 463 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 1: Auburn this Saturday. Now, as much panic as there's been, 464 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 1: here's what I want to do. Let's do a little 465 00:21:26,840 --> 00:21:30,160 Speaker 1: exercise and changing perception. What if I were to tell 466 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 1: you we're going to keep everything about the outcome the 467 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 1: same in that Arkansas game, but here's what we're gonna do. 468 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 1: We're gonna take the second half and the first half 469 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 1: and we're gonna reverse them. So Stetson Bennett started the game, 470 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 1: puts out the same performance that he did. They build 471 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 1: a huge lead and go into the locker room. Then 472 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:51,320 Speaker 1: they get Dwan Mathis some work and they look terrible. Okay, 473 00:21:51,359 --> 00:21:53,400 Speaker 1: that's the way a game normally goes. Right, you build 474 00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,080 Speaker 1: the lead, then you get your backup some work, and 475 00:21:56,119 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: then yeah, things are kind of iffy. I don't think 476 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,240 Speaker 1: people would be nearest panic. And the reason I mentioned 477 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,760 Speaker 1: that it doesn't change anything about last Saturday, and they 478 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,399 Speaker 1: won the game, so they don't need to change anything. 479 00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:07,520 Speaker 1: But I think people would just look at Stetson Bennett 480 00:22:07,520 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 1: and say, Okay, well, our starter got the job done, 481 00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:12,160 Speaker 1: and then we brought in the backups, and backups did 482 00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 1: what backups do. And the only thing I changed there 483 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 1: are the haves. I kept the game the same. Well, 484 00:22:16,920 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: Stetson Bennett is probably going to be your starter. Saturday 485 00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:23,440 Speaker 1: enter JT. Daniels, who, after the show that we had Sunday, 486 00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 1: was announced to be cleared. JT. Daniels is eligible to 487 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 1: play medically for Georgia's Saturday. Does it strike anyone? I 488 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 1: know the guy's over at Dogs twenty four to seven 489 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,200 Speaker 1: brought this up and I was nodding my head emphatically. 490 00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 1: Does it strike anyone that a guy named Kirby Smart, 491 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 1: head coach at Georgia, who is notorious for keeping things 492 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,399 Speaker 1: close to the best, Does it strike anyone that he 493 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,359 Speaker 1: felt the need to walk to a podium and voluntarily 494 00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,639 Speaker 1: let everyone know, Oh, hey, I'm JT. Daniels is cleared 495 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:54,399 Speaker 1: he can play Saturday. Kirby Smart never does that, So 496 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,639 Speaker 1: what that struck me as is pretty obvious gamesmanship. I 497 00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: think he may play Saturday. I don't think he's your 498 00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: I also don't think that's been determined. But I really 499 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,880 Speaker 1: lean towards Stetson Bennett being the guy who's gonna run things. 500 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:09,000 Speaker 1: So with Stetson Bennett in there, let me tell you 501 00:23:09,040 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: a sentence that people would normally say about Georgia that 502 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:13,959 Speaker 1: I don't know you can say right now. Listen how 503 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 1: easily this rolls off the tongue. If you've watched Georgia 504 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,200 Speaker 1: football a lot, with Stetson Bennett in there, with the 505 00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:22,160 Speaker 1: run game they have, they can win it. You see 506 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:23,680 Speaker 1: how that run You see how people just look past 507 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 1: you just assume george has got a great run game, right, No, 508 00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: I can't say that right now. A week one to 509 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: week two, that's where the most improvement happens. Well, we 510 00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:33,879 Speaker 1: better hope it's true for Georgia because against one of 511 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:38,000 Speaker 1: the worst run defenses in the league last year, either 512 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: Arkansas became a brick wall overnight or Georgia's run game 513 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 1: has a lot of work to do. They averaged under 514 00:23:44,240 --> 00:23:46,440 Speaker 1: three yards per carry. They averaged under two and a 515 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:49,159 Speaker 1: half yards per carry in the first half last week. 516 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,960 Speaker 1: And that is a situation where you had a lot 517 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: of bad spotlight that was shown on the quarterback. You 518 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 1: shouldn't have ever had to worry about it. You should 519 00:23:56,760 --> 00:23:58,280 Speaker 1: have just been able to run it down their throat. 520 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,240 Speaker 1: You couldn't. You couldn't play Georgia foot him. That's the 521 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,440 Speaker 1: big concern because let me make a promise to you, 522 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:06,760 Speaker 1: Kevin Steele, and that defense is going to roll into 523 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 1: Athens Saturday, little upgrade in quality from what you saw 524 00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:12,520 Speaker 1: against Arkansas, And what I mean to put a finer 525 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,680 Speaker 1: point on it is Stetson Bennett better be the real deal, 526 00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:17,640 Speaker 1: because you're gonna have to throw the football to win, 527 00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:20,600 Speaker 1: regardless of how good your defense is. I don't think 528 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:22,520 Speaker 1: you're pitching a shutout against Auburn. You're gonna have to 529 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,280 Speaker 1: throw the football to win. Bo Knicks, I think is 530 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:27,919 Speaker 1: the most important player in this game, Auburn's quarterback. I 531 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 1: think probably the most overlooked Power five returning quarterback in 532 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 1: America relative to his potential is Bo Knicks Auburn. We 533 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,679 Speaker 1: called him the biggest mystery team in America. Still think that, 534 00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:39,359 Speaker 1: By the way, I think Bo Knicks is one of 535 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,400 Speaker 1: the most overlooked quality quarterbacks in America. He I think 536 00:24:43,480 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 1: is the most important player in this game because he's 537 00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,920 Speaker 1: the best quarterback in the game in my humble opinion. 538 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 1: And I'll also tell you I think there's a couple 539 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 1: of things that Gus Malsan knows head coach there at Auburn. 540 00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,640 Speaker 1: The first thing is, I think he knows his defense 541 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,800 Speaker 1: can limit what Georgia does, because I think they probably 542 00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:00,679 Speaker 1: look at Georgie's offense and say, they'll do a good 543 00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:04,199 Speaker 1: enough job limiting themselves, and we're not bad, so we 544 00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:07,199 Speaker 1: can limit them. I don't think Auburn believes Georgia can 545 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,200 Speaker 1: score seventeen to twenty offensive points on him. I think 546 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:12,640 Speaker 1: that's what they believe at Auburn. So Malazon knows that. 547 00:25:12,880 --> 00:25:15,160 Speaker 1: And the reason I mentioned that part one is because 548 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:17,479 Speaker 1: of what it means for Part two with Auburn. I 549 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,280 Speaker 1: was at this game last year. I stood there on 550 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: the field and watched Georgia completely pack Auburn's lunch all 551 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: afternoon shut out city. But the final score looks close 552 00:25:27,359 --> 00:25:30,520 Speaker 1: because towards the end of the game, apparently enough people 553 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 1: in the crowd shouted hurry up and tempo that Auburn 554 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,280 Speaker 1: went into their two minute offense and they started scoring, 555 00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:38,240 Speaker 1: and they started moving the ball up and down the field. 556 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 1: And now Georgia was in a more preventive look, obviously, 557 00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:45,520 Speaker 1: but that's when new life was breathed into that offense. 558 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 1: I don't think Malazon looks at things and say, well, 559 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,439 Speaker 1: we're gonna wait again, we're gonna go about things in 560 00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:54,200 Speaker 1: a more methodical nature again, and we're gonna get shut 561 00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:57,160 Speaker 1: out again, and then we'll be behind again. I don't 562 00:25:57,160 --> 00:25:59,560 Speaker 1: think he wants any agains. So what I think they'll 563 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,560 Speaker 1: do is I think they'll come out knowing that their 564 00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: defense may save them from having to pay for some 565 00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 1: mistakes in the passing game. I think they'll be as 566 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:10,720 Speaker 1: aggressive early downs in the passing game as you've seen 567 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 1: them be in quite a while, and I don't think 568 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:16,080 Speaker 1: they'll play with the normal trepidation that maybe you would 569 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: if you were facing a more prolific offensive attack on 570 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:21,960 Speaker 1: the other side of the football field. Malson Trust's defense, 571 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 1: and as a result, I think they're willing to take 572 00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,320 Speaker 1: a lot more risk offensively. Now that sounds all well 573 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:30,600 Speaker 1: and good because you always picture it working. You're also 574 00:26:30,640 --> 00:26:32,639 Speaker 1: playing one of the best defenses in the country, and 575 00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:37,040 Speaker 1: you're playing a veteran laden defense that doesn't necessarily bite 576 00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:39,840 Speaker 1: on all that motion and eye candy that maybe a younger, 577 00:26:39,880 --> 00:26:43,560 Speaker 1: greener defense would bite on. So if that doesn't pop, 578 00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:47,000 Speaker 1: if that plan doesn't work, Auburn may bog down, and 579 00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:50,440 Speaker 1: they may bog down pretty quickly. Because this offensive line 580 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 1: that Auburn's going to try it out there they looked 581 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:56,520 Speaker 1: okay last week. Make no mistake, that's a decided matchup 582 00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 1: advantage for Georgia, and Georgia should be able to do 583 00:26:59,640 --> 00:27:01,359 Speaker 1: some work up front, and Georgia should be able to 584 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:03,679 Speaker 1: pressure the quarterback. It's one of the big focal points here. 585 00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,719 Speaker 1: That's why bo Nick's making good decisions and just choosing 586 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: to throw the ball away or hold onto the ball. 587 00:27:08,520 --> 00:27:10,280 Speaker 1: Those are going to be as big as some of 588 00:27:10,320 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 1: the passes that he hopefully threads across the middle of 589 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:16,800 Speaker 1: the field. Georgia is very discipline defensively, so you can 590 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:18,960 Speaker 1: get points on him, but you're gonna have to earn it. 591 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:21,680 Speaker 1: And I think Kirby Smart is perfectly okay if everything 592 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,920 Speaker 1: I just said is the game plan for Auburn. If 593 00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,520 Speaker 1: he were to know right now, hey man, they're gonna 594 00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 1: take shots on you, Kirby Smart had probably lean back 595 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 1: and he'd go, all right, I mean, I've got this 596 00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: defense for a reason. All right, I'm probably more likely 597 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,440 Speaker 1: to end up scoring points with them doing that than 598 00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,240 Speaker 1: I am with my own offense on the field. That's 599 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: probably what Kirby Smart would say off the record, of course. 600 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:44,920 Speaker 1: So Colin, without further ado, let's go to the game capsule, 601 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,679 Speaker 1: because I think I may disagree with our model. Our model. 602 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:50,920 Speaker 1: Whereas the Las Vegas number is Georgia minus seven, our 603 00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:53,720 Speaker 1: model is right in line with the Vegas number. We've 604 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:56,280 Speaker 1: got it a tick higher. So we've got Georgia minus 605 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,480 Speaker 1: seven and a half. I got to tell you, as 606 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 1: I was making my pick on this, I initially leaned Georgia, 607 00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:05,360 Speaker 1: and I leaned Georgia covering, And the more I thought 608 00:28:05,400 --> 00:28:07,840 Speaker 1: about it, the more that I couldn't justify finding a 609 00:28:07,880 --> 00:28:09,960 Speaker 1: reason why they win by more than a score. So 610 00:28:10,040 --> 00:28:12,520 Speaker 1: I'm going to lean Georgia to win a narrow game 611 00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:15,360 Speaker 1: here because I think that offensive line defensive front matchup 612 00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: is probably the difference. But I'm going to take Auburn 613 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,680 Speaker 1: to cover. I think that's a very close, one possession 614 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:23,920 Speaker 1: down to the fourth quarter either way sort of game. 615 00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:27,280 Speaker 1: Needless to say, it's the game that we are looking 616 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 1: forward to the most on the college football slate. This week, 617 00:28:32,119 --> 00:28:35,000 Speaker 1: we got to do mood Tracker. The mood tracker is 618 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:36,679 Speaker 1: going to take us a number of different places. What 619 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,000 Speaker 1: the mood tracker is is we take the fringes off 620 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:41,400 Speaker 1: your fan base, the most radical and the most the 621 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,720 Speaker 1: most pessimistic, and we ignore them for the purposes of 622 00:28:44,760 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: the mood tracker, and we just try and e gauge 623 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: what the temperature is of the middle eighty percent of 624 00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:51,160 Speaker 1: your fan base, the silent majority, as we like to 625 00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,760 Speaker 1: call them. What is the mood and how much has 626 00:28:53,800 --> 00:28:55,960 Speaker 1: it changed over the course of the last few weeks 627 00:28:56,040 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 1: for these programs. First program up LSU Areason mood Tracker 628 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:05,000 Speaker 1: had house money swagger. That was the official mood. That's 629 00:29:05,040 --> 00:29:06,800 Speaker 1: the mood where you've already won a ton of money, 630 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:08,959 Speaker 1: you already got a national championship, in other words, and 631 00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,160 Speaker 1: so hey, anything you get this year's gravy and you 632 00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:15,440 Speaker 1: walk around really cocky. So we've upgraded the mood tracker 633 00:29:15,480 --> 00:29:18,200 Speaker 1: for LSU. Right now we are calling them being in 634 00:29:18,640 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: stubbed toe swagger mode. The swagger's there, it's gonna be 635 00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 1: there all year. They're always going to have that national 636 00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:27,320 Speaker 1: title to fall back on. But you can swagger and 637 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:30,480 Speaker 1: stub your toe, and boy did they collectively Saturday. That 638 00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,680 Speaker 1: was embarrassing. That wasn't just a hard fought twenty three 639 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: to twenty game. That was one where your defense got 640 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: completely and utterly torched charcoal all over that secondary by 641 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 1: Mike Leach, who had been in the conference about fifteen 642 00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:46,920 Speaker 1: minutes at that point. Stubbed toe swagger. Now, what they 643 00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 1: hope is get a lot of guys back, get your 644 00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:51,920 Speaker 1: feet back under you, come up here and pays Vanderbilt. 645 00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 1: Nashville's Nashville's team, that's who LSU is playing for the 646 00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:58,240 Speaker 1: second year in a row Saturday. Let me pause. You know, 647 00:29:58,240 --> 00:30:02,240 Speaker 1: there's an allegation that the SEC league office is in 648 00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:06,280 Speaker 1: cahoots with Alabama. Could I just point out that Alabama 649 00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:09,800 Speaker 1: centric league office in Birmingham has given LSU back to 650 00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: back trips to Nashville. Could I just put let me 651 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:14,560 Speaker 1: just have that said. I don't want that to sidebar. 652 00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,600 Speaker 1: I want it on the record. Let's move on. How 653 00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 1: about Alabama? Speaking of the Tide, I disagreed with a 654 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 1: lot of you after this Missouri game in Week one. 655 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,480 Speaker 1: What's the mood tracker for Alabama? I wrote down categorical 656 00:30:27,000 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: analyzation mode. Everyone's in analyzation mode after week one. But 657 00:30:32,160 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 1: I got to tell you there are camps forming amongst 658 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,560 Speaker 1: the Alabama faithful. Two of them in particular. One of 659 00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:41,360 Speaker 1: them is oh. I would call it the more common 660 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: sensical group because I agree with them. That's why they're 661 00:30:43,600 --> 00:30:47,000 Speaker 1: common sensical. And that's the group that says, we're probably 662 00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 1: not scoring sixty five and we're probably not going to 663 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 1: have a five hundred and fifty yard passing performance. But 664 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: what we are going to have is a lot more 665 00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:57,000 Speaker 1: balance and a lot less variance and a lot higher 666 00:30:57,040 --> 00:31:00,400 Speaker 1: reward lower risk proposition offensively this year, because we can 667 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 1: run the ball and get physical with people, which we 668 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,080 Speaker 1: kind of lost the ability to do most recently. There's 669 00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,840 Speaker 1: that crowd which is more than pleased with what they 670 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: saw in Week one against Missouri. Then there's the other crowd. 671 00:31:12,760 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: And the other crowd is the kind of crowd who 672 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,720 Speaker 1: could spot a divot on a fairway at Augusta National 673 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:21,720 Speaker 1: clear from space, and unless everything's perfect, they aren't happy. 674 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:26,040 Speaker 1: I kid you not. I came back to the Internet 675 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:28,560 Speaker 1: and Twitter dot com and the like a few hours 676 00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 1: after the Missouri game the other night, thinking, Alabama folks 677 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:34,160 Speaker 1: have to be ecstatic. I mean, I've watched Oklahoma blow 678 00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,320 Speaker 1: a lead, I've watched LSU get humiliated. I got Texas 679 00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,160 Speaker 1: over here in overtime in Lubbock, Texas, and you guys 680 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:43,240 Speaker 1: just smashed Missouri, So I figure you guys gotta be 681 00:31:43,320 --> 00:31:46,400 Speaker 1: happy and nah man. People were squabbling back and forth 682 00:31:46,440 --> 00:31:50,120 Speaker 1: over on Bama online dot com. Well, Bryce Young fumbled 683 00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 1: a snap. Did you see did you see number sixty 684 00:31:53,320 --> 00:31:56,000 Speaker 1: at right tackle? When they gave him some snaps and 685 00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,640 Speaker 1: I just washed my hands of it and I walked away. 686 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,719 Speaker 1: So you got analyzation going on. But it's categorical and 687 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,400 Speaker 1: you got infighting kind of amongst the Alabama fan base. 688 00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:06,400 Speaker 1: I think you'll be pleased with what you see them 689 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:11,800 Speaker 1: do Saturday. Moving on, Georgia, Oh boy, ready for redistribution? 690 00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:14,760 Speaker 1: Is what I wrote here. It's not political. It is 691 00:32:14,760 --> 00:32:16,880 Speaker 1: debate night, but this is not political. What it means 692 00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:20,400 Speaker 1: is this. There were a number of years in recent 693 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:24,080 Speaker 1: history where I was down in Columbus, Georgia, and I'm 694 00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 1: forty minutes depending on how far and how fast you 695 00:32:27,280 --> 00:32:30,479 Speaker 1: drive to the east of Auburn, Alabama, and a lot 696 00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: of people down there looked around and said, man, we 697 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,360 Speaker 1: got a really good defense, we got an elite defense, 698 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:38,080 Speaker 1: and yet we're gonna waste it. And now the same folks, 699 00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:40,280 Speaker 1: well not the same folks. Different folks have the same 700 00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,680 Speaker 1: attitude in Athens about their team. They're looking there and 701 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: they're saying, well, we got two things here. We got 702 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 1: a historic, potentially historic defense, and then we got an 703 00:32:48,320 --> 00:32:51,720 Speaker 1: offense we have no clue about. And could we not 704 00:32:51,880 --> 00:32:54,400 Speaker 1: go into video game mode and just take some of 705 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,720 Speaker 1: the skill points over here and all that we've invested defensively, 706 00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,160 Speaker 1: could we just not shift it. Instead of being a 707 00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,400 Speaker 1: ninety ten team, could we be like a seventy five, 708 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 1: twenty five team, or maybe a seventy thirty team, because 709 00:33:06,600 --> 00:33:09,200 Speaker 1: if we could just get a little bit over here offensively, 710 00:33:09,240 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: we don't have to score much. Man, We just we 711 00:33:11,840 --> 00:33:13,840 Speaker 1: got to be able to score more than five against 712 00:33:13,960 --> 00:33:16,400 Speaker 1: Arkansas and a half. Is that too much to ask? 713 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: We need to redistribute some of this on our talent 714 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:22,400 Speaker 1: roster or else we're gonna waste this defense. And if 715 00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,200 Speaker 1: you think that way in Georgia, I do not blame 716 00:33:25,240 --> 00:33:28,840 Speaker 1: you one bit. Let's move on to Oklahoma. You want 717 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: to talk about someone in need of defense. There was 718 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:32,840 Speaker 1: a John Mayer song that came out a few years ago, 719 00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:35,680 Speaker 1: waiting on the World to change. And that's exactly what 720 00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:37,160 Speaker 1: the mood is that we have right now on the 721 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,680 Speaker 1: mood tracker for Oklahoma, waiting on the world to change. 722 00:33:40,760 --> 00:33:44,120 Speaker 1: And by world, I of course mean defense, but not 723 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:47,840 Speaker 1: just defense anymore. They're unhappy even with their offense out there. 724 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 1: Their offensive line put up about as much resistance to 725 00:33:51,040 --> 00:33:54,320 Speaker 1: Kansas State as this thermos in my hand did. Saturday 726 00:33:54,440 --> 00:33:57,080 Speaker 1: it was a very ugly thing to watch. And as 727 00:33:57,120 --> 00:34:00,840 Speaker 1: I said, there were some irate fans in Norman, Oklahoma 728 00:34:00,920 --> 00:34:03,560 Speaker 1: and the surrounding areas. And while I may be a 729 00:34:03,600 --> 00:34:05,640 Speaker 1: guy sometimes who says you need to pump the brakes, 730 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 1: you need to be a little more patient, I'm not 731 00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,080 Speaker 1: saying that to Oklahoma folks. You got every right to 732 00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:13,399 Speaker 1: be irate because, as I stated Sunday, and I will 733 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,719 Speaker 1: restate now, this is not the NFL, this is not 734 00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:20,880 Speaker 1: professional sports in general. This is not a parody driven model. 735 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:24,880 Speaker 1: The model of college football is not equality. The model 736 00:34:24,920 --> 00:34:28,719 Speaker 1: of college football is heavily tilted towards the big programs. 737 00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,759 Speaker 1: And this guy Lincoln Riley and that OEU behind him, 738 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:35,000 Speaker 1: that's one of the big boys, and everything's tilted towards them, 739 00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: and they should dominate teams like Kansas State. I don't 740 00:34:38,560 --> 00:34:40,919 Speaker 1: say that disrespectfully to kay State. I say it as 741 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:44,640 Speaker 1: just an honest observer of the sport. And when you're 742 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:46,759 Speaker 1: getting pushed around like they did, and you're giving up 743 00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:49,319 Speaker 1: thirty five to fourteen leads like they did, it is 744 00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 1: absolutely well within a fan's right who is fully invested 745 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 1: financially and emotionally like you asked them to do. It's 746 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:57,920 Speaker 1: fully and well within their right to complain. And not 747 00:34:58,000 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 1: only are they complaining about defense non existent for several years. Now, 748 00:35:02,160 --> 00:35:04,440 Speaker 1: hopefully you got Alex Grinch and hopefully he's the right 749 00:35:04,440 --> 00:35:06,879 Speaker 1: guy for the job. And to be honest, I think 750 00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:08,279 Speaker 1: we still have to give him time because he's not 751 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:12,799 Speaker 1: playing with his roster. But they got complaints about their offense, man, 752 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: they have valid complaints about their offense. So Oklahoma, man, 753 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:18,440 Speaker 1: they they gotta lick their wounds quick because I don't 754 00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 1: know if anyone's noticed, but they go play my eye 755 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 1: with State cyclone Saturday, a state I've never been to, 756 00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:25,120 Speaker 1: a school I've never been to, but I have the 757 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:28,440 Speaker 1: T shirts and they are favored by not twenty seven, 758 00:35:28,880 --> 00:35:34,880 Speaker 1: not seventeen, their favorite by seven as of now. And 759 00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:37,400 Speaker 1: since we're speaking of points spreads, Colin, why don't we 760 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,400 Speaker 1: wrap up the show by talking about the Rama Noodle Express, 761 00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:42,880 Speaker 1: which is currently sitting at six three and one on 762 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:46,200 Speaker 1: the year. That is profitable by any standard, And so 763 00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:48,880 Speaker 1: we added Missouri plus ten and a half as our 764 00:35:48,920 --> 00:35:51,680 Speaker 1: early best bet on Sunday. We've got two more games 765 00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:54,879 Speaker 1: to add Tonight. Favorites. Favorites were good to us last week. 766 00:35:55,120 --> 00:35:58,920 Speaker 1: Let's add two. Let's go to North Carolina. UNC is 767 00:35:58,960 --> 00:36:02,440 Speaker 1: on the road against Boston College and they are laying 768 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:04,400 Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, and we want to get that 769 00:36:04,440 --> 00:36:06,440 Speaker 1: one at thirteen and a half. Now, I got to 770 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:08,400 Speaker 1: be honest with you, I should have tweeted this one 771 00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 1: out earlier. I got it at eleven. You're not interested 772 00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:12,600 Speaker 1: in what I got it at because it's not available 773 00:36:12,680 --> 00:36:14,000 Speaker 1: right now, So I'm going to shut up about that. 774 00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:19,000 Speaker 1: But we have North Carolina winning this game comfortably by 775 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:22,359 Speaker 1: three scores, and by scores I mean touchdowns, so I'm 776 00:36:22,400 --> 00:36:24,440 Speaker 1: not talking about a seventeen point win there. We like 777 00:36:24,520 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 1: them comfortably. This game, we think sets up the exact 778 00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,400 Speaker 1: same way that the Florida ole Miss game set up. 779 00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,959 Speaker 1: In fact, our model used the Florida ole Miss data 780 00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,000 Speaker 1: point as a comparable data point, and so we think 781 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:37,520 Speaker 1: North Carolina is going to go in there and do 782 00:36:37,560 --> 00:36:40,120 Speaker 1: some work. Keep in mind, they've been resting due to 783 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:43,160 Speaker 1: COVID for like a month it seems now, so not 784 00:36:43,320 --> 00:36:46,200 Speaker 1: fatigued by any stretch. Will be the North Carolina tar Hills. 785 00:36:46,239 --> 00:36:48,880 Speaker 1: Another game that we're on is Arkansas State minus three. 786 00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 1: A lot of COVID headlines and rumors out there. We 787 00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:53,359 Speaker 1: don't care. We are taking Arkansas State on the road 788 00:36:53,360 --> 00:36:56,799 Speaker 1: against Coastal Carolina minus three. Remember we will have two 789 00:36:56,840 --> 00:37:00,040 Speaker 1: more games to add to that between now and the 790 00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 1: end of the show Thursday. I could wait to then, 791 00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:04,880 Speaker 1: I could tweet it out, I could do it on 792 00:37:04,920 --> 00:37:07,360 Speaker 1: the podcast. So I highly advise you to follow me 793 00:37:07,400 --> 00:37:10,640 Speaker 1: on Twitter if you haven't already at Late Kick Josh. 794 00:37:11,080 --> 00:37:13,120 Speaker 1: Very easy to remember. At Late Kick Josh, I go 795 00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:14,480 Speaker 1: back and forth with a lot of you. I've been 796 00:37:14,480 --> 00:37:17,319 Speaker 1: doing that today. I probably talked to like two or 797 00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:19,600 Speaker 1: three dozen of you today. I try and make myself 798 00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:21,960 Speaker 1: available and I converse with you back and forth. But 799 00:37:22,080 --> 00:37:24,480 Speaker 1: sometimes I don't wait to the shows. So be there 800 00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 1: for that. If you haven't already liked the video, if 801 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,759 Speaker 1: you're watching live or the replay, and subscribe to the 802 00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:30,680 Speaker 1: twenty four to seven Sports YouTube channel. Cause the other 803 00:37:30,719 --> 00:37:33,160 Speaker 1: little piece of information I wanted to give you outside 804 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:34,800 Speaker 1: of the metrics that you guys blew out of the 805 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,600 Speaker 1: water Sunday is I think we had like four hundred 806 00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,960 Speaker 1: new subscribers to the channel over the course of one day. 807 00:37:40,320 --> 00:37:42,520 Speaker 1: That's a really good number. But I think we can 808 00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:44,880 Speaker 1: do better, So subscribe here if you haven't already, and 809 00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:46,759 Speaker 1: clicked the bill for notifications. It let you know the 810 00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,160 Speaker 1: moment that we go live and the moment that we 811 00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,640 Speaker 1: post new videos, and sometimes they are very time sensitive. 812 00:37:51,840 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 1: All Right, I've talked long enough. Let's get out of here. 813 00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,160 Speaker 1: For director Colin, for Jordan. On the podcast side, I'm 814 00:37:56,200 --> 00:37:57,759 Speaker 1: Josh Paton. We'll be back here at the same time 815 00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,919 Speaker 1: Thursday night with final thoughts on week Lash week two 816 00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:02,880 Speaker 1: for the sec take care of, have a great night, 817 00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 1: and God bless