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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 1: Welcome in to another episode of the Dial Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: with Me, Matt Perrault at Sports Talk, Matt Devol and

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Speaker 1: Me across all socials. This podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by Omaha Steaks dot Com. Omaha Steaks dot com slash

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Speaker 2: Get in there.

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Speaker 1: Possibilities are endless shop the President Day Sail load up

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Speaker 1: and all those favorites you got going on right now.

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Speaker 1: Eight free burgers and select packages. Got a hurry end

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Speaker 1: offer ends coming up on Sunday night. Monday night, we

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Speaker 1: have a new Monday morning, have a new offer for

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Speaker 1: you guys after the big game. Olmastakes dot com slash

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Speaker 1: Juice and shop the President's Day Sale today Okay, college

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Speaker 1: basketball has been very good, but I don't even know

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Speaker 1: where I am right now. That was one of the

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Speaker 1: most insane weeks of my life. And my daughter and

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Speaker 1: I just got back from the NFL Fan Experience, which

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Speaker 1: was awesome. If you like pictures of family nonsense of

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Speaker 1: those things, Sports Talk Matt on Instagram has a bunch

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Speaker 1: of them. I'll do a different a couple of different

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Speaker 1: content pieces later on today as I'm going to do

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Speaker 1: relatively nothing, although I am going to go to a

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Speaker 1: live golf tour today, so I am going to go

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Speaker 1: out there because that's going on. They gave us tickets

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Speaker 1: to go out and check that out, so I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go and check that out. Today is kind of

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Speaker 1: like my last Super Bowl event in Vegas. And then

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Speaker 1: I will be on my couch for the entire day

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Speaker 1: on Sunday because I'm going back into the lab on

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Speaker 1: Monday and I'm back onto a Phase two for the Hard.

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Speaker 1: If you've not I've ever done the seventy five hard before,

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Speaker 1: you guys may have followed me along doing that seventy

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Speaker 1: five hard did the first time, did Phase one, which

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Speaker 1: was a thirty day. This is Phase two, which is

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Speaker 1: again a thirty day if you need to look it up.

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Speaker 1: Heard seventy five rules and they add with cold plunges

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Speaker 1: and meditation and all this other stuff. So I'm way

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Speaker 1: more productive when I'm back on it. But I have

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Speaker 1: intentionally ate like crap for the last two weeks because

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Speaker 1: I'm about to go into a complete detox post super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: So more two more days of kind of cheating and

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Speaker 1: beating up on my body and then we're back into

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Speaker 1: it really getting after it heavily with two workouts a

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Speaker 1: day for thirty days.

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Speaker 2: So uh yeah, I'm rambling because I'm just so tired.

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Speaker 1: So I'm sorry to bear with me on this because

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Speaker 1: I am banged up, not a lot of sleep, a

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Speaker 1: whole lot of talking. My voice is gone, Like I

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Speaker 1: just I'm working lose my voice. But I've gone nine

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Speaker 1: and one or nine and two rather in my last

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Speaker 1: eleven bets in college basketball. We've had a really good

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Speaker 1: week in college basketball. So what am I doing today?

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Speaker 1: Three bets in college basketball? Okay, I might add, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I might. I don't know, but I might add if

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Speaker 1: I do Discord Channel bettingpros dot Com slash chats. But

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Speaker 1: VCU right, Nevada right, although overtime didn't was needed for that,

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Speaker 1: but we did. We went two and oh. There went

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Speaker 1: two and oh with Penn State and Oregon State. The

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Speaker 1: night before we got Auburn and Providence. Right, we got

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Speaker 1: k State in Virginia. Right.

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Speaker 2: It's it's just we got, you know, really good week going.

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Speaker 1: So three bets here in one more NFL play prop

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Speaker 1: to give you guys coming up here for today.

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Speaker 2: And well, it's a little bit of news. I don't

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Speaker 2: want to say.

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Speaker 1: It's a rumor, okay, And it's just one of those

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Speaker 1: rumors you hear on radio row with people who aren't

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Speaker 1: gonna report it, and they're just kind of like gonna tip,

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Speaker 1: you know, kind of quietly say, hey, by the way,

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Speaker 1: this is something that is going on.

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Speaker 2: It may be something to look at. I like the

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Speaker 2: bet anyway, so I.

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Speaker 1: Think it's probably a good idea to jump on it anyway,

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Speaker 1: just because I think, well, you can't be on over everything, Okay,

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Speaker 1: So we're gonna we're gonna take a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a flyer here.

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Speaker 2: On it.

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Speaker 1: So I'll give that bet here here in just one second.

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Speaker 1: So three college basketball bets and one NFL prop for

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl to give you guys, which would put

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Speaker 1: us with four bets. Yeah, four bets prop wise, one

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Speaker 1: teaser side and total bets to be had. Come as

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Speaker 1: we're going to the Big Game, you know, we got

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Speaker 1: we're up about nine units on the year, so we

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Speaker 1: have some some things to play with, some things to

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Speaker 1: have some fun with here for the Super Bowl. Let's

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Speaker 1: start talking college basketball. Though the Creighton Blue Jays have

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Speaker 1: lost two games in a row. The Jays have not

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Speaker 1: lost three games in a row this season.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: They lost three out of four when they lost to UNLV,

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Speaker 1: they beat Bama and then lost to Nova in Marquette.

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Speaker 1: This time around, they lost to Yukon, then they beat

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Speaker 1: Seaton Hall, they beat Xavier, they beat to Paul where

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Speaker 1: they've lost to Butler by one in Providence by four.

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Speaker 1: The Jays are a pick on the road again Xavier,

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Speaker 1: who was eight and six at home, ats seven and

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Speaker 1: five in the conference, fourteen and nine overall, the J's

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Speaker 1: are ten and thirteen ATS three and nine in the

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Speaker 1: Big East, and they haven't covered in the last four games.

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Speaker 1: In fact, they're three and seventy ats over the last ten.

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Speaker 1: This is a by low spot. Okay it to buy

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Speaker 1: low spot on the Jays to go on the road

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Speaker 1: to a tough place to play in Xavier. Kem Pom

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Speaker 1: has this as a one point loss for the Jays

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Speaker 1: seventy four, sorry, seventy five to seventy four. The difference

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Speaker 1: in this game, in my opinion, the J's have to

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Speaker 1: be very judicious and smart with their shots. Okay, They're

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Speaker 1: going up against a very good defense, not a great offense, however, Okay,

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Speaker 1: Xavier two hundred and sixty eighth and two point percentage.

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Speaker 1: The J's are seventeenth in that category, one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty first in three point shooting. Jays are one hundred

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Speaker 1: and third in that category. Effective field goal percentage they're

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Speaker 1: two hundred and fortieth Xavier. The Jays are eighteenth in defense. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so this team doesn't foul. The Jays are given are

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Speaker 1: number one in limiting opponents free throw attempts because they

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Speaker 1: don't foul. If defensive efficiency, they're thirty ninth davers fifty

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Speaker 1: fourth on the flip side, Zaver is very good defensively, okay.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty eighth in efficiency, forty second infective fift goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty fifth in three point percentage defense

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Speaker 1: and thirty fifth and two point percentage defense. This is

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Speaker 1: going to be a grinder, but the Jays are desperate

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Speaker 1: back against the wall. Fox has this game. Big Fox

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Speaker 1: has this game. Cintas Center has not been great for

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Speaker 1: the Jay's historically.

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Speaker 2: It's a pick.

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Speaker 1: Though the Jays are better than Xavier, the j should

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Speaker 1: be laying points. They're not to pick Jay's pick to

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Speaker 1: win the game. It's a money line play for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. Pretty simple creaton Blue Jays to not

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Speaker 1: lose three games in a row. Creighton Blue Jays money

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Speaker 1: line pick? What do you want to call it? At

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Speaker 1: minus one to ten up against Xavier? Second bet. And look,

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Speaker 1: if you've listened to this podcast at for any length

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Speaker 1: of time, you know that I have fit a lot

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Speaker 1: of teams like the Jays in North Carolina. North Carolina

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Speaker 1: is on the road at Miami. Now many people are

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Speaker 1: on Miami here. Okay, Miami is seven five and one ATS.

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Speaker 1: At home, they're five to five and two ATS here

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Speaker 1: in the ACC. North Carolina is eight and four seven

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Speaker 1: and three over the last ten eight and four on

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Speaker 1: the road. They're actually a better on the road team

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Speaker 1: ats than they are at home. But the numbers coming down.

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Speaker 1: North Carolina has lost two of three outright. Lost to

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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech in their last home game, lost by one,

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Speaker 1: laying eight and a half, beat Duke by nine at home,

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Speaker 1: and then lost to Clemson by four at home in

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Speaker 1: the last game last time out, Miami against Virginia lost

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Speaker 1: by twenty two points. Really smarted them at home. They're

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Speaker 1: laying four against VA Tech. They won by eight against Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 1: laying four. They won by four against Florida State, laying

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Speaker 1: five and a half, lost by nine, nine against Louisville

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Speaker 1: laying sixteen and a half, lost by nine. They did

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Speaker 1: win and cover against Clemson, but that was a while

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Speaker 1: ago at home. Recently, things haven't been so good for

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Speaker 1: Miami to be kind of a jekylin High team. To

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Speaker 1: be quite honest, kempom is really interesting. Kempom has this

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Speaker 1: as a seven point win for North Carolina. The line's

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Speaker 1: three is someone not playing. Maybe I've looked around, tried

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Speaker 1: to find any information about players. Nothing definitive to really

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Speaker 1: go off of, except that it looks like everyone should

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Speaker 1: be playing yet Miami.

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Speaker 2: They can say they need it more.

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Speaker 1: Miami's back to against a wall here this game actually

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Speaker 1: does factor into my team loses on the road and

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Speaker 1: then comes home as a dog trend. They're six and

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Speaker 1: six in the ACC, fifteen to eight overall. That just

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Speaker 1: lost to Virginia sixty to thirty eight. We faded them

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Speaker 1: against Virginia. I'm fading them here. I'm gonna go ahead

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Speaker 1: and jump in and grab a hold of North Carolina

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Speaker 1: at a small price minus three North Carolina for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. Final college basketball bet. Florida is hosting Auburn.

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Speaker 1: KEMPOM has this as a four point loss, but it's

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Speaker 1: kind of wild to look at this. Florida is four

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Speaker 1: and one ATS over their last five games, they lost

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Speaker 1: by one to A and M three. They beat Kentucky

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Speaker 1: by three in overtime.

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Speaker 2: They lost.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgia, but they were laying eight. They lost me.

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Speaker 1: They lost to Missippi State. Sorry that sorry, excuse me.

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Speaker 1: They beat Missippi State laying four and a half and

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Speaker 1: they beat Missouri laying three, winning by twelve. Their last

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Speaker 1: game was a loss on the road in Tennessee. They're

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Speaker 1: laying they're catching ten. They lost by nineteen. We were

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Speaker 1: on Tennessee in that game against Arkansas at home, they're

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Speaker 1: laying seven.

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Speaker 2: And a half.

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Speaker 1: They won by twenty two points points, so five and

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Speaker 1: two over their last seven, six and one straight.

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Speaker 2: Up over their last seven.

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Speaker 1: Auburn, on the other hand, has been very good on

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Speaker 1: the road seven and four ats on the road, eight

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Speaker 1: and two in the SEC, covered three straight games, but

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover against Bama, didn't cover against Missippi State,

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Speaker 1: and they we faded them against Ole Miss and they

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Speaker 1: won by fourteen. They're laying three and they one by fourteen.

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Speaker 1: They dominated, But I'm just not believing this here. Florida

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Speaker 1: needs this win. Okay, This again also factors in my trend.

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Speaker 1: Team loses by losers on the road against A and

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Speaker 1: M loses by one, come home their dogs catching two points. Look,

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Speaker 1: Kem Palm may be off. I think Floria's gon win

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Speaker 1: the game. I think Florida needs the game more. Auburn's

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Speaker 1: are a really good basketball team. They're fourth in Kenpom,

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Speaker 1: Florida's thirty fifth. I totally understand that, but they match

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Speaker 1: up pretty well with each other. Efficiency is sixteenth offensively

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Speaker 1: for Florida, third for Auburn, defense, one hundred and thirtieth

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Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage to second in Auburn. That's

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Speaker 1: pretty impressive. One seventy six and three point percentage to twentieth,

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Speaker 1: but fifty second, fifty two point percentage one hundred and thirteenth.

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Speaker 1: That's first forty two and a half for Auburn. They're

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Speaker 1: tough defensively, but so is Florida. Florida's tough defensively as well.

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Speaker 1: And again this goes down to teams at home that

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Speaker 1: need w's. I'm picking teams here that are, you know,

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Speaker 1: middle of the pack and or middle of Florida or

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Speaker 1: a minue of February. Rather teams like Florida North Carolina

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Speaker 1: although they are a one seed so more Creton and

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Speaker 1: Creating in Florida combined, that are just needing victories. They

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Speaker 1: have got to keep getting ws and Auburn is coming

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Speaker 1: to town. Tough game in the SEC numbers two, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the home dog Florida plus two for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. All right, three bets in college basketball,

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays pick North Carolina's three minus three and

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Speaker 1: Florida plus two for one point one units. Now, last

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Speaker 1: night we bet one point five units down on the

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Speaker 1: shortest touchdown under one and a half yards, right, so

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Speaker 1: we have half unit kind of flying around.

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Speaker 2: What am I gonna do with it?

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Speaker 1: Okay? On Radio Row, somebody came up and said that

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Speaker 1: they had heard a rumor. Again, I'm not reporting anything.

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Speaker 1: This is a rumor that Deebo Samuel has been playing

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Speaker 1: with a pretty significant injury. We know the shoulders a problem,

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Speaker 1: but it's maybe a little more than that. The Debo

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Speaker 1: may not be as effective in the run game and

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Speaker 1: may not be used much in the run game because

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Speaker 1: the team is a little bit concerned about getting that

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Speaker 1: shoulder injured during the Super Bowl. He may be more

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Speaker 1: of a decoy when it comes to running the football.

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Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel's rushing prop is sixteen and a half.

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Speaker 2: We're going to go under.

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Speaker 1: It's miss one oh five for Deebo Samuel. Under sixteen

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Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards here. Now, he could be

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Speaker 1: very effective in the passing game, but running between the tackles.

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Speaker 1: He may get it in the red zone. Okay, he

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Speaker 1: may get it in short yardage, but chances are they're

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Speaker 1: not going to run the football that effectively with him

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Speaker 1: all the time. And he may pop one, and he

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Speaker 1: pops one, we lose the half of unit, and so

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Speaker 1: be it.

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Speaker 2: We're down.

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Speaker 1: Okay, but I like this idea because we know he

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Speaker 1: missed some time with the shoulder being injured. He came back,

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Speaker 1: but the team is a little bit concerned about how

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Speaker 1: severe the shoulder injury is and that running the football

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Speaker 1: between the tackles is probably not something they're going to

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Speaker 1: do all that often.

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Speaker 2: They want to really have to.

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Speaker 1: Be effective in the passing game and catch the ball,

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Speaker 1: go down, not so much run and break tackles and

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Speaker 1: run through people. Let Christian McCaffrey be the one to

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Speaker 1: do that, not Deebo Samuel. Elijah Mitchell may have a

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Speaker 1: bit of a role here in this game as well.

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Speaker 1: He may, you know, want to take a look at

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Speaker 1: that a little bit. But under sixteen and a half

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Speaker 1: minus one oh five rushing yards for Deebo Samuel for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit, and it's basically you're betting point

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Speaker 1: five six to win half a unit coming back here

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Speaker 1: on this minus one oh five under sixteen and.

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Speaker 2: A half Deebo Samuel rushing yards for the Super Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Okay, keep on stacking up the prop bets, keep on

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Speaker 1: getting the plays more. Coming tomorrow on the live stream

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning live stream, we will do that. It'll be

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Speaker 1: a lot of fun myself, both Pat fitst Morris and

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson breaking down all.

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Speaker 2: Of our picks, plays and thoughts for the game.

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Speaker 1: I've given the teaser. We have four props. There'll be

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Speaker 1: a couple of more props. I'm gonna jump on side.

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Speaker 1: Total other bets still to come here for us on

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, so stick around for that.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Each and every morning the Deal Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: I was being brought to you by Olmastaks dot com