1 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:05,640 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,680 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: dot com, the Radio plus mobile LAP and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,840 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash. Good morning, I'm John Tucker. 4 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 1: This Bloomberg Futures report being brought you by Interactive Brokers 5 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,280 Speaker 1: and CME Group. If you're looking for global futures contracts 6 00:00:19,280 --> 00:00:22,920 Speaker 1: with low trading costs, look no further Interactive Brokers. The 7 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,239 Speaker 1: industry Leader learned more at Interactive Brokers dot com, Slash 8 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 1: CME Group. A rally and overseas shares isn't translating into 9 00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: much of a lift for the U, S, S and 10 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,159 Speaker 1: B futures ahead of the open on Wall Street right 11 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: now down four points, the Dow futures down nineteen NASDAKI 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,239 Speaker 1: mini futures are at twelve points lower and among the 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: most actively traded in the pre market. Shares of Apple 14 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 1: they're down one point seven percent and according to of 15 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: the UH regulators in Beijing, Apple violated design patents of 16 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 1: a Chinese devise. A device maker may have to hault 17 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: sales of its latest iPhones in Beijing lumber liquidators that 18 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,720 Speaker 1: may be active in when the market opens. The Consumer 19 00:01:05,760 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: Chronic Safety Commission ended it's probe of lumber liquidators. Also 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 1: Smith and Wesson shares they are rising. This comes after 21 00:01:15,040 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 1: the gunmaker had a fourth quarter that beat estimates, and 22 00:01:19,959 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 1: we checked the markets for you every fifteen minutes during 23 00:01:22,800 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 1: the trading day right here on Bloomberg Radio. Back to 24 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 1: Tom in the studio, John Tucker, thanks so much again 25 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: in the day to check in to recalibrate into your 26 00:01:32,640 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 1: reading weekend. Uh, the yield was at one sixty. We're 27 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:38,960 Speaker 1: now at one fifty eight. Yields will come back in 28 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: from the enthusiasm of the higher yield earlier this morning. 29 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: I had one listener yesterday complain of saying why they said, 30 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 1: you can't say up or down with foreign exchange. You 31 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 1: have to say stronger weaker, which we really try to do. 32 00:01:53,480 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 1: And I apologize if I confused yesterday on that Mexican 33 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:02,600 Speaker 1: paso is strong or today by a good amount. Eighteen 34 00:02:02,640 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: point eight five certainly a good sign after a horrific 35 00:02:06,400 --> 00:02:11,480 Speaker 1: week of weaker Mexican pay so yen weaker fractionally one 36 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:15,799 Speaker 1: oh four bears to be careful. I want to have 37 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:19,239 Speaker 1: a thoughtful final discussion John Herman coming up on the 38 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 1: American economy, on England, and on the United Kingdom, Charles 39 00:02:23,919 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: Duma writes brilliantly for his Lombard Street research. He's the 40 00:02:28,639 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 1: author of many books and one of them and I 41 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: thought you had, Charles, when I thought of globalization fractures? 42 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 1: Is your United Kingdom fracturing? We just saw the Prime Minister, 43 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: the head of the Labor Party, Cameron and Corborn in 44 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: front of the priestly statue in Burstall are they looking 45 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: upon a United Kingdom that is fracturing? Well, I mean, 46 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:57,280 Speaker 1: the fact is that what's happened in Europe over the 47 00:02:57,360 --> 00:03:03,720 Speaker 1: last ten years really has been a disaster and we're 48 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,799 Speaker 1: part of it um and it's aroused very strong feelings 49 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: um and differences which are embodied in this sort of 50 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 1: a powerful argument over over this referendum, and including some 51 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,640 Speaker 1: obvious outline and nutcases, one of whom seems to have 52 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: got carried away and involved in this tracker with this 53 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 1: poor MP who was killed. Guess there was a disaster, 54 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:34,600 Speaker 1: of course. The the the timeline here, folks, is a 55 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:39,880 Speaker 1: debate and a campaigning that has gone silent. Mr Corbin 56 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 1: asked the Prime Minister to bring parliament back, and I 57 00:03:42,800 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: believe Charles Duma Parliament will gather on Monday to remember 58 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: remember Joe Cox, which I understand my question to you, 59 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 1: and this is with great respect for the somber moment. 60 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: What happens on Tuesday and Wednesday is we go to 61 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: a Thursday vote. What you what will we presume to 62 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 1: see on Tuesday and Wednesday? Well, I mean it is. 63 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:09,640 Speaker 1: I mean one has to be pretty cold blooded and 64 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: think through all this stuff, because it is an important 65 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: decision which goes way beyond one particular nutcase murdering one 66 00:04:17,279 --> 00:04:22,600 Speaker 1: particular very tragic mp um. And the fact is that 67 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: the only president I can think of is two thousand 68 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:31,719 Speaker 1: and four, when three days on a Thursday, just before 69 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 1: a Sunday election in Spain, um and the year after 70 00:04:36,320 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 1: the Iraq War, which had been supported by as another 71 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: five Minister of Spain and the Spanish UM, the the 72 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 1: al Qaeda I think, or whoever it was, blew up 73 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: a train going into Madrid, killing off I think, a 74 00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: couple of hundred people, who I remember rightly and as 75 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:57,719 Speaker 1: an art immediately blames it on Basks. Terrorists have been 76 00:04:58,600 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: fighting a separatist type of one with terrorism for the 77 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: for god knows how long. And of course he was 78 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 1: wrong and people would see immediately he was wrong and 79 00:05:08,320 --> 00:05:10,560 Speaker 1: had no evidence to support his assertion. It was a 80 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,359 Speaker 1: simple political move from a right of center party to 81 00:05:14,360 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: to blame terrorism on on their opponents. And and he 82 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: got bowled out as a as a result. Um. And 83 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,720 Speaker 1: in fact the man who won, the socialist and winner 84 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:30,320 Speaker 1: also got re elected a few years later. So UM. 85 00:05:30,360 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 1: The interesting thing is that in a three day time scale, 86 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 1: the reaction was to to to react to the immediate 87 00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:45,599 Speaker 1: circumstances in a relatively emotional way. Now Here, I'm being 88 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,360 Speaker 1: quite cold blooded about it. We have a seven day 89 00:05:48,360 --> 00:05:54,240 Speaker 1: timetable from Thursday yesterday to Thursday next week. UM. And 90 00:05:54,360 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 1: no doubt at the moment, a lot of people are saying, well, 91 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: look this, um, this Brexit campaign looks like in that cases. UM. 92 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,320 Speaker 1: And you know some of the people who involved in 93 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 1: it are fairly sort of extreme characters or seemed like that. 94 00:06:11,240 --> 00:06:14,640 Speaker 1: So so you know, there may be a reaction upole 95 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 1: reaction UM towards a reveins I'd stay staying in the 96 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:23,560 Speaker 1: you but and bounced at the same time that with 97 00:06:23,640 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: a few more days to think about it, people may 98 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,760 Speaker 1: realize that actually this is who goes beyond Charles. This 99 00:06:28,839 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: is very valuable. Thank you and short notice. This morning, 100 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: after we hear from the Prime Minister and a labor leader, 101 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,080 Speaker 1: we are thrilled to bring a Charles Duma, Chief Economists 102 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 1: Lombard Street Research, where they think some good perspective. I 103 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:45,280 Speaker 1: can't say how out front Mr Duma was on tepid 104 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:48,960 Speaker 1: economic growth in Europe. It was extraordinary some of the 105 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:51,880 Speaker 1: stuff he wrote two and three years ago where people 106 00:06:51,880 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: said really, and the answer was, Charles Duma got the 107 00:06:57,279 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: slowdown in the tepid growth. Correct futures at negative three, 108 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: down futures a negative fifteen. The major message of the 109 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: last two hours is yields come in oil advances by 110 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 1: a stick. Somebody said the other day, what's a stick 111 00:07:14,200 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: that's one dollar up a dollar five? Is? You know, 112 00:07:18,400 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 1: you forget about the five cents. It's like a stick 113 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: up one gold twelve ninety two, the ounce down six dollars. 114 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 1: So we come back under currencies with a collective shirt. 115 00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: Is how I would put a dollar again one oh 116 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: four thirty and euro dollar one sixty. 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