WEBVTT - Pershing Square Founder & CEO Bill Ackman Talks Public IPO, Investment Strategy

0:00:02.480 --> 0:00:07.000
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

0:00:07.800 --> 0:00:10.200
<v Speaker 2>Now the big deal of today, and it's a day

0:00:10.240 --> 0:00:12.239
<v Speaker 2>that's been years in the making for Bill Ackman and

0:00:12.360 --> 0:00:15.440
<v Speaker 2>his hedge fund, Pershing Square. Pershing has raised a five

0:00:15.480 --> 0:00:19.079
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars for a US dual IPO in pursuit of

0:00:19.120 --> 0:00:22.360
<v Speaker 2>a Warren Buffett investing powerhouse, and for our radio and

0:00:22.400 --> 0:00:25.279
<v Speaker 2>TV listeners. I want to welcome Pershing Square CEO and

0:00:25.320 --> 0:00:26.680
<v Speaker 2>founder Bill Ackman.

0:00:26.760 --> 0:00:28.600
<v Speaker 3>Bill, thank you so much for stopping buy today.

0:00:28.680 --> 0:00:29.479
<v Speaker 4>Of course, thank you so.

0:00:29.480 --> 0:00:31.280
<v Speaker 2>As I mentioned this, this has been years in the making,

0:00:31.320 --> 0:00:33.640
<v Speaker 2>out at least two years. It's had fits and starts,

0:00:33.720 --> 0:00:36.159
<v Speaker 2>much like this American IPO market itself.

0:00:36.479 --> 0:00:38.519
<v Speaker 3>What was it like to get this over the line.

0:00:38.960 --> 0:00:41.800
<v Speaker 1>It's great, it's a great day, but it's really you know,

0:00:41.800 --> 0:00:44.040
<v Speaker 1>it's the beginning, right, beginning of a journey.

0:00:44.400 --> 0:00:46.480
<v Speaker 3>So it's the beginning of a journey. And now armed

0:00:46.520 --> 0:00:48.960
<v Speaker 3>with five billion, how quickly can you put that to work?

0:00:49.560 --> 0:00:50.960
<v Speaker 1>Actually, we think it's a very good time to put

0:00:51.000 --> 0:00:52.599
<v Speaker 1>the capital of work, and we invest in the most

0:00:52.640 --> 0:00:55.080
<v Speaker 1>liquid companies in the world. So it's really it's weeks,

0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:55.680
<v Speaker 1>not months.

0:00:55.800 --> 0:00:56.560
<v Speaker 3>So it's weeks.

0:00:56.960 --> 0:00:59.000
<v Speaker 2>But there's this question, so some of the companies that

0:00:59.040 --> 0:01:03.000
<v Speaker 2>you own in your other PORTFO for example example Uber Meta.

0:01:03.080 --> 0:01:05.399
<v Speaker 2>They've had a good run and you're already very long then,

0:01:05.840 --> 0:01:08.399
<v Speaker 2>so the question might arise, is now the right time

0:01:08.680 --> 0:01:09.760
<v Speaker 2>to be doubling down?

0:01:09.880 --> 0:01:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Actually, I think the companies you mentioned are very cheap

0:01:12.440 --> 0:01:14.800
<v Speaker 1>stocks today. Interestingly, some of the best businesses in the

0:01:14.840 --> 0:01:16.840
<v Speaker 1>world are training at the lowest multiples they've traded that

0:01:17.160 --> 0:01:20.039
<v Speaker 1>in some cases in history. Actually those multiples bottom maybe

0:01:20.080 --> 0:01:22.320
<v Speaker 1>two weeks ago, so we're a little bit off the

0:01:22.319 --> 0:01:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the all time bottom. But you know, very bullish on

0:01:24.400 --> 0:01:27.280
<v Speaker 1>the economy, and you know there are some amazing businesses

0:01:27.360 --> 0:01:30.240
<v Speaker 1>available at really cheap prices. This will be kind of

0:01:30.360 --> 0:01:32.800
<v Speaker 1>a continuation of what we're doing now. So we're going

0:01:32.840 --> 0:01:36.319
<v Speaker 1>to just add to existing positions which will give us

0:01:36.319 --> 0:01:38.600
<v Speaker 1>more ownership and our strategy we like to be a big,

0:01:38.640 --> 0:01:39.920
<v Speaker 1>big shareholder.

0:01:39.520 --> 0:01:41.039
<v Speaker 3>As you said, very liquid stocks.

0:01:41.080 --> 0:01:42.880
<v Speaker 2>So the market is there, What about for like a

0:01:42.959 --> 0:01:45.720
<v Speaker 2>Fany or Freddy where they trade OTC. How does that work?

0:01:45.880 --> 0:01:48.120
<v Speaker 2>How do you dive back in without moving the market.

0:01:48.880 --> 0:01:50.840
<v Speaker 1>We're going to be very thoughtful about the way we

0:01:50.880 --> 0:01:53.200
<v Speaker 1>deploy the capitol, and we're not going to tell anyone

0:01:53.200 --> 0:01:54.120
<v Speaker 1>on TV what we're going to do.

0:01:54.520 --> 0:01:56.840
<v Speaker 2>I'd see you don't want to front run anyone. Perhaps

0:01:56.840 --> 0:02:00.160
<v Speaker 2>perhaps wise decision. And look, you've discussed you were talking

0:02:00.160 --> 0:02:02.920
<v Speaker 2>about it earlier this morning on CNBC that closed end

0:02:02.920 --> 0:02:05.320
<v Speaker 2>funds they trade at a discount to Now that's not

0:02:05.360 --> 0:02:07.800
<v Speaker 2>a surprise. So what does success look like in this

0:02:07.840 --> 0:02:10.880
<v Speaker 2>scenario is, for example, like a ten percent discount.

0:02:11.160 --> 0:02:13.560
<v Speaker 4>Okay, So I want to give you a new construct

0:02:13.600 --> 0:02:14.000
<v Speaker 4>to think about.

0:02:14.080 --> 0:02:14.400
<v Speaker 3>Please.

0:02:14.520 --> 0:02:14.840
<v Speaker 4>Okay.

0:02:14.880 --> 0:02:18.280
<v Speaker 1>So there's hundreds of closed end funds, but they're a

0:02:18.360 --> 0:02:21.080
<v Speaker 1>very different animal from what we're doing here. We're adopting

0:02:21.120 --> 0:02:24.280
<v Speaker 1>the closed end structure, the legal structure, the corporate structure,

0:02:24.320 --> 0:02:27.280
<v Speaker 1>because it's the most flexible and most tax efficient corporate

0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:29.840
<v Speaker 1>structure in America. It's never been used for the purpose

0:02:29.840 --> 0:02:30.720
<v Speaker 1>that we're going to use it for.

0:02:31.320 --> 0:02:32.320
<v Speaker 4>But if you think about.

0:02:32.080 --> 0:02:34.160
<v Speaker 1>Our business as a business, think of us as an

0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:37.240
<v Speaker 1>investment holding company. It's a business that's earned a nineteen

0:02:37.280 --> 0:02:39.360
<v Speaker 1>percent return on equity for the last twenty two years.

0:02:39.800 --> 0:02:42.200
<v Speaker 1>If you look in Bloomberg, someone should do a search

0:02:42.240 --> 0:02:44.720
<v Speaker 1>real time. Find me a business that's earned nineteen percent

0:02:44.720 --> 0:02:46.800
<v Speaker 1>of equity for the last twenty two years. It trades

0:02:46.840 --> 0:02:49.160
<v Speaker 1>for less than two times book value, and we're taking

0:02:49.200 --> 0:02:51.679
<v Speaker 1>the company public at book value, so we think that's

0:02:51.800 --> 0:02:54.160
<v Speaker 1>going to be a cheap price now at the nature

0:02:54.160 --> 0:02:56.440
<v Speaker 1>of IPOs are such that in the first couple of days,

0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:58.680
<v Speaker 1>I can't tell you exactly what's going to happen. But

0:02:58.720 --> 0:03:01.400
<v Speaker 1>over time, we're going to compound this book value or

0:03:01.520 --> 0:03:04.240
<v Speaker 1>navy as some people call it, if we do anything

0:03:04.280 --> 0:03:05.840
<v Speaker 1>like what we've done in the past a high rate

0:03:05.880 --> 0:03:07.280
<v Speaker 1>over time, and it's going to compound, and it's going

0:03:07.320 --> 0:03:09.120
<v Speaker 1>to grow, and we're going to run it like a

0:03:09.160 --> 0:03:09.760
<v Speaker 1>real company.

0:03:10.160 --> 0:03:11.760
<v Speaker 4>Closed M funds are kind of a backwater.

0:03:13.120 --> 0:03:15.560
<v Speaker 1>No one actually wakes up and gets excited about investing

0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:17.680
<v Speaker 1>in a close den a traditional clothes and IPO.

0:03:17.680 --> 0:03:19.400
<v Speaker 4>They're kind of generic. You don't know who runs them.

0:03:19.440 --> 0:03:23.560
<v Speaker 1>I bet Bloombergs never even run a story, and they

0:03:23.560 --> 0:03:25.840
<v Speaker 1>don't have convers sculpt where their shaholders, they don't have

0:03:25.840 --> 0:03:30.520
<v Speaker 1>particularly distinguished boards of directors. If this were a sea corp,

0:03:30.639 --> 0:03:32.399
<v Speaker 1>no one will be asking me whether it should trade

0:03:32.400 --> 0:03:35.600
<v Speaker 1>it a discount or not. But we can't deploy our

0:03:35.640 --> 0:03:39.320
<v Speaker 1>strategy in a sea corp, which is why we've chosen

0:03:39.360 --> 0:03:41.360
<v Speaker 1>this structure. And it's more tax efficient than a sea corp.

0:03:41.440 --> 0:03:44.040
<v Speaker 1>It's a flow through entity for tax purposes, so more

0:03:44.080 --> 0:03:46.440
<v Speaker 1>tax efficient, and then we fix the things that are

0:03:46.440 --> 0:03:49.120
<v Speaker 1>problematic about clothes and funds. So it's the lowest cost

0:03:49.160 --> 0:03:52.880
<v Speaker 1>compensation for a management firm like us to manage this

0:03:52.920 --> 0:03:55.000
<v Speaker 1>pool of assets. In fact, we charge our other funds

0:03:55.200 --> 0:03:57.400
<v Speaker 1>incentive fees. We don't do so here, we're not permitted

0:03:57.440 --> 0:03:59.080
<v Speaker 1>to do so here. So it's the lowest cost version

0:03:59.080 --> 0:04:01.440
<v Speaker 1>of Pershing Square. You take our record over the last

0:04:01.480 --> 0:04:03.320
<v Speaker 1>eight years since we've had permanent capital, it's been a

0:04:03.360 --> 0:04:06.440
<v Speaker 1>twenty four point nine percent return. That's a very high

0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:09.240
<v Speaker 1>rate of return relative even to the stock market, which

0:04:09.240 --> 0:04:13.280
<v Speaker 1>did you know about a ten percent per annum not

0:04:13.360 --> 0:04:15.440
<v Speaker 1>as well. So it's a liquid way to invest in

0:04:15.600 --> 0:04:19.000
<v Speaker 1>Pershing Square at very low cost, and we're going to

0:04:19.040 --> 0:04:19.840
<v Speaker 1>build a value this.

0:04:19.920 --> 0:04:22.159
<v Speaker 4>Entity over decades. Well, and I know you've said, by

0:04:22.200 --> 0:04:24.120
<v Speaker 4>the way, that's just one of the companies we took public.

0:04:23.839 --> 0:04:24.680
<v Speaker 3>Today, that's true.

0:04:24.760 --> 0:04:28.160
<v Speaker 2>And you have Pershing Square the holding company, the hold co,

0:04:28.480 --> 0:04:31.120
<v Speaker 2>and you also have ambitions to maybe list more funds.

0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:33.440
<v Speaker 3>How quickly can you ramp up aum?

0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:34.960
<v Speaker 2>I know you said just by the nature of what

0:04:35.000 --> 0:04:36.919
<v Speaker 2>you're doing, by compounding that you could get to a

0:04:36.960 --> 0:04:38.560
<v Speaker 2>trillion in twenty years.

0:04:38.800 --> 0:04:40.880
<v Speaker 3>Do you have your own internal targets you're thinking of.

0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:43.240
<v Speaker 1>So the first priority is to compound at a high

0:04:43.320 --> 0:04:45.279
<v Speaker 1>rate for a long period of time. That's a much

0:04:45.320 --> 0:04:48.200
<v Speaker 1>easier thing than doing an IPO right. IPOs can take

0:04:48.240 --> 0:04:51.080
<v Speaker 1>management time and attention. So we're going to focus on investing.

0:04:51.320 --> 0:04:53.520
<v Speaker 1>We're going to focus on getting our universal music deal done.

0:04:53.520 --> 0:04:57.640
<v Speaker 1>We're going to focus on helping the administration figure out

0:04:57.680 --> 0:05:01.240
<v Speaker 1>Fanning and Freddy. We're going to help our companies succeed.

0:05:01.880 --> 0:05:04.800
<v Speaker 1>And the beauty of that is it grows our aem

0:05:04.839 --> 0:05:08.200
<v Speaker 1>and the beauty of this of persons where the management

0:05:08.200 --> 0:05:11.240
<v Speaker 1>company some people call the GP, is it grows with compounding.

0:05:11.680 --> 0:05:14.680
<v Speaker 1>Other asset management firms generally only grow with raising money.

0:05:14.680 --> 0:05:17.400
<v Speaker 1>If you look at a KHR or the other sort

0:05:17.440 --> 0:05:20.760
<v Speaker 1>of alternate investment management firms, if they stop raising money,

0:05:20.800 --> 0:05:23.960
<v Speaker 1>they shrink because they're constantly sending money back to their investors.

0:05:23.960 --> 0:05:26.680
<v Speaker 1>As they sell assets, they send money back. In our model,

0:05:26.960 --> 0:05:30.400
<v Speaker 1>we build off a base and if we're up twenty percent,

0:05:30.800 --> 0:05:33.080
<v Speaker 1>the assets will grow about twenty percent, and so that's

0:05:33.120 --> 0:05:36.240
<v Speaker 1>a very fast rate of growth without the need to

0:05:36.320 --> 0:05:37.400
<v Speaker 1>raise an exctional company.

0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:38.800
<v Speaker 3>Can you rival the size of those?

0:05:38.839 --> 0:05:40.520
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I know it's a very different model, but

0:05:40.520 --> 0:05:42.839
<v Speaker 2>do you see yourself growing to a size of a

0:05:42.839 --> 0:05:44.760
<v Speaker 2>Blackstone of an Apollo over time?

0:05:44.800 --> 0:05:45.200
<v Speaker 4>For sure?

0:05:45.320 --> 0:05:47.360
<v Speaker 1>And that was the point I was making. We'll have

0:05:47.400 --> 0:05:50.200
<v Speaker 1>twenty five today, post the closing of this IPO, we'll

0:05:50.200 --> 0:05:52.920
<v Speaker 1>have twenty five to twenty six billion of fee paying assets.

0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:54.960
<v Speaker 2>Is the way you invest need to change then, because

0:05:55.000 --> 0:05:58.160
<v Speaker 2>these are huge platforms that have many different types of assets.

0:05:58.200 --> 0:05:59.520
<v Speaker 4>They invest in utifur strategy.

0:05:59.640 --> 0:06:01.720
<v Speaker 1>We invest in the largest companies in the world, kind

0:06:01.760 --> 0:06:05.120
<v Speaker 1>of large cap nega cap companies mostly based here. We're

0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:08.120
<v Speaker 1>tiny in the context of the capital markets. We manage

0:06:08.160 --> 0:06:10.400
<v Speaker 1>money on a concentrated fashion. But with twenty five billion

0:06:10.839 --> 0:06:14.760
<v Speaker 1>of capital a couple billion dollars per investment, that's small

0:06:14.760 --> 0:06:16.400
<v Speaker 1>in the context of the market we invest in.

0:06:16.520 --> 0:06:19.000
<v Speaker 2>By the way, and this is quite unique, as you

0:06:19.040 --> 0:06:21.560
<v Speaker 2>point out, there's not really another structure that's listed like this.

0:06:22.279 --> 0:06:24.359
<v Speaker 2>How are you thinking about it though, in terms of

0:06:24.440 --> 0:06:29.080
<v Speaker 2>having a listed structure, both Pershing Square and PSUs that

0:06:29.240 --> 0:06:30.440
<v Speaker 2>it is centered around.

0:06:30.200 --> 0:06:31.920
<v Speaker 3>You and your very small team, which I know.

0:06:31.880 --> 0:06:33.880
<v Speaker 2>Is you see that as a benefit to does it

0:06:33.920 --> 0:06:36.320
<v Speaker 2>change how you communicate? Does it change what you put

0:06:36.320 --> 0:06:39.520
<v Speaker 2>on social media? Because it could impact share prices? It

0:06:39.560 --> 0:06:41.640
<v Speaker 2>does well, I guess legally, is one question.

0:06:41.680 --> 0:06:43.720
<v Speaker 4>But beyond that, well, actually.

0:06:43.400 --> 0:06:45.640
<v Speaker 1>I believe or not, I've been very constrained on social media.

0:06:46.160 --> 0:06:48.640
<v Speaker 1>Maybe you find that a surprise. But with respect to

0:06:48.640 --> 0:06:52.520
<v Speaker 1>talking about Pershing Square, there are a lot of limitations.

0:06:52.360 --> 0:06:53.520
<v Speaker 4>Up until this moment in time.

0:06:54.040 --> 0:06:58.359
<v Speaker 1>Now we have an SEC registered entity, our existing offshore

0:06:58.360 --> 0:06:59.920
<v Speaker 1>clothes and fun, we're not allowed to talk about it

0:07:00.000 --> 0:07:02.480
<v Speaker 1>in America, and that's where I spend the vast majority

0:07:02.480 --> 0:07:04.360
<v Speaker 1>of my time. So it's something we can't talk about.

0:07:04.400 --> 0:07:06.800
<v Speaker 1>The beauty of this entity is we're going to be

0:07:06.800 --> 0:07:08.880
<v Speaker 1>able to make an investment. We can say today we

0:07:08.920 --> 0:07:11.840
<v Speaker 1>bought a ten percent stake in company ABC. Here's why

0:07:11.880 --> 0:07:14.600
<v Speaker 1>we own it, ticker simple ps US and investment. We

0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:17.480
<v Speaker 1>can keep very close touch with our shareholders. And one

0:07:17.520 --> 0:07:19.200
<v Speaker 1>thing that Elon Musk has done very well over a

0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:20.840
<v Speaker 1>long period of time is he built a base of

0:07:20.840 --> 0:07:24.120
<v Speaker 1>followers that you know, we're very supportive of Tesla over

0:07:24.160 --> 0:07:27.160
<v Speaker 1>time reduced the cost of Tesla stock and that's been

0:07:27.200 --> 0:07:29.840
<v Speaker 1>a competitive vantage that Tesla's had over time. We have

0:07:30.040 --> 0:07:33.840
<v Speaker 1>already a very large base of followers in the capital markets.

0:07:34.680 --> 0:07:36.800
<v Speaker 1>They haven't had a way to invest with us until now.

0:07:36.880 --> 0:07:39.400
<v Speaker 2>It does sometimes make for more volatility, though, when a

0:07:39.400 --> 0:07:41.440
<v Speaker 2>post can potentially move around share prices.

0:07:41.920 --> 0:07:43.760
<v Speaker 3>How do you think about that, I.

0:07:43.680 --> 0:07:45.360
<v Speaker 4>Mean, we're only going to post stuff that's true.

0:07:45.720 --> 0:07:48.200
<v Speaker 3>I think that's I think that's a good rule to statify.

0:07:48.480 --> 0:07:48.800
<v Speaker 4>Yes.

0:07:49.200 --> 0:07:51.720
<v Speaker 2>At the same time, you know you've been pretty early

0:07:51.760 --> 0:07:55.160
<v Speaker 2>in some major dislocations in this market, be it COVID,

0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:58.080
<v Speaker 2>be the inflation that followed, and some really successful hedging

0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:01.880
<v Speaker 2>strategies behind that. Do you see any dislocations like that

0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:04.200
<v Speaker 2>at the moment and hedging strategies you'd want to deploy.

0:08:05.440 --> 0:08:09.160
<v Speaker 1>No, Actually, I think we're in a pretty We're heading

0:08:09.200 --> 0:08:12.000
<v Speaker 1>into a very good place. Obviously, we have a war

0:08:12.160 --> 0:08:14.440
<v Speaker 1>still underway, but I think we have by far the

0:08:14.480 --> 0:08:18.280
<v Speaker 1>upper hand. I think the Iran has been denuded of

0:08:18.360 --> 0:08:22.840
<v Speaker 1>military capability and I think it's only a matter of time. Administration,

0:08:22.920 --> 0:08:25.160
<v Speaker 1>I think is move of closing the straight I think

0:08:25.280 --> 0:08:28.960
<v Speaker 1>was a kind of a kung Fu grip ty'd move

0:08:29.040 --> 0:08:31.160
<v Speaker 1>on the part of the president, and I think it's

0:08:31.160 --> 0:08:34.440
<v Speaker 1>putting a huge pressure on Iran. So I think we're

0:08:34.440 --> 0:08:37.160
<v Speaker 1>going to get this resolved in the relative short term.

0:08:37.440 --> 0:08:40.240
<v Speaker 1>I think that's really the biggest overhang on the market, right,

0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:43.640
<v Speaker 1>you know, the you know we close the straight obviously

0:08:43.720 --> 0:08:46.680
<v Speaker 1>has an impact. You know, some whever four percentage points

0:08:46.720 --> 0:08:49.280
<v Speaker 1>or something of oil on a daily basis can can

0:08:49.320 --> 0:08:51.680
<v Speaker 1>move a market, and that has an impact causes inflation

0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:53.719
<v Speaker 1>in the short term. But I think it's a short

0:08:53.800 --> 0:08:56.160
<v Speaker 1>term phenomenon, and I think once we're through it, I

0:08:56.200 --> 0:08:57.920
<v Speaker 1>do see, you know, a federal reserve that should be

0:08:57.920 --> 0:09:02.080
<v Speaker 1>able to reduce interest rates. We have massive you know,

0:09:02.760 --> 0:09:05.880
<v Speaker 1>AI spending, we have massive energy spending. We have a

0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:09.520
<v Speaker 1>tax bill that's driving investment every day. There's how many

0:09:09.600 --> 0:09:13.160
<v Speaker 1>deals that are being announced if administration is very supportive

0:09:13.160 --> 0:09:15.599
<v Speaker 1>of transactions as opposed to an FTC.

0:09:15.400 --> 0:09:16.720
<v Speaker 4>Would which would stop everything.

0:09:16.800 --> 0:09:19.120
<v Speaker 1>So there's I think you're going to see lots of

0:09:19.160 --> 0:09:20.800
<v Speaker 1>reasons to be bullish on markets generally.

0:09:21.120 --> 0:09:24.720
<v Speaker 2>You're pretty early in this call posting on X that

0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:27.480
<v Speaker 2>any dips would be short lived, and they were.

0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:32.320
<v Speaker 1>I didn't say any. I basically called a recent bottom.

0:09:32.360 --> 0:09:32.880
<v Speaker 4>Let's put it the up.

0:09:32.880 --> 0:09:35.120
<v Speaker 1>I thought stocks are getting stupidly cheap. So if you

0:09:35.240 --> 0:09:36.000
<v Speaker 1>sort of called it out.

0:09:35.920 --> 0:09:37.920
<v Speaker 2>I didn't even sell off ten percent. I feel like

0:09:37.920 --> 0:09:40.120
<v Speaker 2>some people feel uncomfortable with that. I think oil today

0:09:40.160 --> 0:09:43.559
<v Speaker 2>is trading somewhere around one sixteen, and stocks feel unbothered.

0:09:44.160 --> 0:09:46.600
<v Speaker 1>See, you can't think about stocks. You're thinking about stocks

0:09:46.600 --> 0:09:49.840
<v Speaker 1>from an index perspective. Okay, the index is like looking

0:09:49.880 --> 0:09:52.800
<v Speaker 1>at the surface of the ocean. I mean sorry, the

0:09:52.840 --> 0:09:56.160
<v Speaker 1>index is like looking at inside the ocean. But the

0:09:56.200 --> 0:09:58.040
<v Speaker 1>surface is moving around a lot. And what I mean

0:09:58.080 --> 0:10:01.000
<v Speaker 1>by that is there are you know, a lot of stocks.

0:10:02.320 --> 0:10:06.360
<v Speaker 1>There's enormous disparity in terms, there's enormous volatility. We have

0:10:06.360 --> 0:10:08.080
<v Speaker 1>a lot of earning coming out in the next twenty

0:10:08.120 --> 0:10:09.920
<v Speaker 1>four to forty eight hours, and you can see you

0:10:09.920 --> 0:10:13.920
<v Speaker 1>could see massive moves in different directions. There's so much

0:10:14.000 --> 0:10:19.160
<v Speaker 1>capital leveraged, short term focus, tightly risk managed, which means

0:10:19.160 --> 0:10:21.760
<v Speaker 1>stop losses and things like this. And the result of

0:10:21.760 --> 0:10:23.679
<v Speaker 1>that is that our capital markets you can see massive

0:10:23.720 --> 0:10:25.839
<v Speaker 1>moves and share prices if you have the ability to

0:10:25.880 --> 0:10:28.920
<v Speaker 1>be long term. Every once in a while, you know

0:10:29.000 --> 0:10:31.120
<v Speaker 1>the price of a really high quality company gets stupidly

0:10:31.200 --> 0:10:34.920
<v Speaker 1>cheap because someone gets it's forced to sell because of

0:10:34.960 --> 0:10:38.480
<v Speaker 1>a bad print for the quarter or a guidance change.

0:10:38.840 --> 0:10:41.600
<v Speaker 1>Really something that doesn't necessarily have any material impact on

0:10:41.640 --> 0:10:43.480
<v Speaker 1>the long term business. And those are the kind of

0:10:43.480 --> 0:10:44.880
<v Speaker 1>dislocations we take advantage of.

0:10:45.160 --> 0:10:47.600
<v Speaker 2>But the dislocations, it sounds like, are over. The stupidly

0:10:47.679 --> 0:10:49.080
<v Speaker 2>cheap moment has come in past.

0:10:49.160 --> 0:10:49.600
<v Speaker 3>Is that fair?

0:10:49.640 --> 0:10:53.440
<v Speaker 1>I would say we're above stupidly cheap bottom, But I

0:10:53.440 --> 0:10:55.079
<v Speaker 1>still think there are a lot of very high quality

0:10:55.160 --> 0:10:57.720
<v Speaker 1>Like the way we sort of model each of our companies,

0:10:57.760 --> 0:11:00.520
<v Speaker 1>we build a model and we were are kind of

0:11:00.880 --> 0:11:03.600
<v Speaker 1>go forward. Next three year IRR was something north of

0:11:03.640 --> 0:11:06.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty percent at the bottom. You don't see that with

0:11:06.360 --> 0:11:09.160
<v Speaker 1>really high quality companies. It's probably now in the mid twenties.

0:11:09.760 --> 0:11:12.199
<v Speaker 1>It's still a very high rate of projective return for

0:11:12.280 --> 0:11:15.400
<v Speaker 1>some of the best businesses in the world. And that's

0:11:15.400 --> 0:11:18.720
<v Speaker 1>suggestive to me. The market's cheap, or at least cheap

0:11:19.400 --> 0:11:21.079
<v Speaker 1>some of the This is a case where the highest

0:11:21.120 --> 0:11:23.480
<v Speaker 1>quality companies are cheap. I'm not saying that energy companies

0:11:23.480 --> 0:11:24.200
<v Speaker 1>are cheap today.

0:11:24.520 --> 0:11:27.240
<v Speaker 2>Sure, so you have to avoid value traps essentially, and

0:11:27.280 --> 0:11:29.720
<v Speaker 2>this market as it stands, that's I think.

0:11:30.679 --> 0:11:32.040
<v Speaker 3>True of any market.

0:11:32.080 --> 0:11:34.960
<v Speaker 2>Fair enough, you know, in this sort of quest to

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:39.040
<v Speaker 2>build a Berkshire Hathaway type model so you've listed these two.

0:11:39.440 --> 0:11:41.520
<v Speaker 1>Let me clarify because I think it's a little confusion.

0:11:42.080 --> 0:11:45.320
<v Speaker 1>So we're building an asset management firm that has some

0:11:45.360 --> 0:11:48.760
<v Speaker 1>of the similar attributes to a Blackstone car, but it's

0:11:48.800 --> 0:11:53.359
<v Speaker 1>extremely investment centric. We're going to grow this business principally

0:11:53.360 --> 0:11:56.080
<v Speaker 1>by compounding as opposed to raising lots of funds. So

0:11:56.080 --> 0:11:58.920
<v Speaker 1>that's one Buffett was not in the asset management business.

0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:02.040
<v Speaker 1>Buffett was built a corporation over time. We have a

0:12:02.040 --> 0:12:05.480
<v Speaker 1>company called Howard Use Holdings. We bought an incremental stake

0:12:05.520 --> 0:12:08.920
<v Speaker 1>in about a year ago. I became executive chair, our CIO,

0:12:09.000 --> 0:12:11.600
<v Speaker 1>Ryan became CIO. The full persioning Scare team became available

0:12:11.640 --> 0:12:13.920
<v Speaker 1>to the company, and that's the company we talked about

0:12:13.920 --> 0:12:16.840
<v Speaker 1>about building a modern day Berkshire Pathway. And the first

0:12:16.840 --> 0:12:19.240
<v Speaker 1>step we took was we sign an agreement to buy

0:12:19.280 --> 0:12:21.560
<v Speaker 1>a company called Vantage Holdings. That deal is going to

0:12:21.600 --> 0:12:25.680
<v Speaker 1>close in the next you call it sixty days, something

0:12:25.720 --> 0:12:29.240
<v Speaker 1>like this, and we're going to manage the assets of

0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:33.040
<v Speaker 1>that insurer and we're going to work with management to

0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:37.440
<v Speaker 1>make sure they underwrite very high quality, profitable insurance business.

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:39.520
<v Speaker 1>If you look at Berkshire over the last sixty years,

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:43.880
<v Speaker 1>it's built most of its value running becoming effectively an

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:46.199
<v Speaker 1>insurance holding company. That's what Buffett is built over time,

0:12:46.480 --> 0:12:49.320
<v Speaker 1>and it was his successful management of the assets. So

0:12:49.320 --> 0:12:52.640
<v Speaker 1>when you hear Buffett buying Apple, it wasn't Buffet buying Apple.

0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:54.959
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't even Berkshire buying Apple. It was the Berkshire

0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:57.400
<v Speaker 1>insurance subsidiaries buying Apple. And we're going to do the

0:12:57.400 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 1>same thing. We're going to manage this. So the goal

0:12:59.600 --> 0:13:02.760
<v Speaker 1>of Howard is to build a long term divers fight

0:13:02.800 --> 0:13:06.200
<v Speaker 1>holding company akin to what Buffett is done over a

0:13:06.200 --> 0:13:06.760
<v Speaker 1>long period of.

0:13:06.679 --> 0:13:09.160
<v Speaker 2>Time, and in sort of defining what you know, your

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.720
<v Speaker 2>various holdings and your investments look like and what they're not.

0:13:11.840 --> 0:13:14.240
<v Speaker 2>I know, one distinction you've made very clear, because there

0:13:14.240 --> 0:13:17.120
<v Speaker 2>have been these nerves around retail funds, but it's been

0:13:17.120 --> 0:13:20.000
<v Speaker 2>really centered around BDC's in private credit. You've really drawn

0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:23.439
<v Speaker 2>a distinct line that these are not there's no exposure there.

0:13:23.640 --> 0:13:25.079
<v Speaker 3>I wonder if part of that, though.

0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:27.800
<v Speaker 2>Is skepticism of the asset class itself.

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:30.840
<v Speaker 3>Is there any skepticism of that asset class.

0:13:30.559 --> 0:13:31.200
<v Speaker 4>Of private credit?

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:35.200
<v Speaker 1>Generally yes, Look, anytime you have an asset class grow

0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:38.280
<v Speaker 1>very very quickly, with a lot of participants competing, you know,

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:41.760
<v Speaker 1>return you either have to accept lower returns or more risk.

0:13:41.960 --> 0:13:43.400
<v Speaker 1>That's the only way you can kind of grow in

0:13:43.400 --> 0:13:46.400
<v Speaker 1>that environment. And there's, like everything else, there's a continuum

0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:49.560
<v Speaker 1>of quality in terms of sponsorship. I don't think there's

0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.319
<v Speaker 1>inherently something wrong with private credit. I think the one

0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:57.319
<v Speaker 1>thing I would say is investing in ill liquid assets,

0:13:58.200 --> 0:14:01.960
<v Speaker 1>you really should have very long term capital or permanent capital.

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:04.640
<v Speaker 3>And here you are on your quest to obtaining more

0:14:04.720 --> 0:14:05.680
<v Speaker 3>more permanent capital.

0:14:05.840 --> 0:14:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Is so much capital is managed where the underlying asset

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.679
<v Speaker 1>is long term. A company, a stock is a long

0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:16.520
<v Speaker 1>term asset. The vast majority what's caused the stock market

0:14:16.520 --> 0:14:19.240
<v Speaker 1>to behave the way it does is the vast majority

0:14:19.280 --> 0:14:21.880
<v Speaker 1>of asset management firms have very short term money. They

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.360
<v Speaker 1>have money that can leave in a minute an etf

0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 1>they have money that can leave overnight in a mutual

0:14:26.800 --> 0:14:28.440
<v Speaker 1>fund or even a hedge fund.

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:31.600
<v Speaker 4>You know, when we local assets.

0:14:31.360 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>Or hedge funds, about half the money can leave every year.

0:14:34.520 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to be a long term investor if your

0:14:36.440 --> 0:14:37.360
<v Speaker 1>money can leave overnight.

0:14:37.640 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 2>So one of the arguments for that though, of being

0:14:41.320 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 2>able to redeem, is.

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:45.280
<v Speaker 3>Just your accountable to shareholders. How do you keep that?

0:14:45.320 --> 0:14:48.000
<v Speaker 2>How do you keep accountability to shareholders when they're not

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:49.840
<v Speaker 2>able to redeem assets out of the fund.

0:14:50.360 --> 0:14:52.720
<v Speaker 1>The shareholders have more liquid than they do in any

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:54.200
<v Speaker 1>fund because they have a stock that trades and they

0:14:54.240 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 1>can buy and sell over time.

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:57.400
<v Speaker 2>What needs to go right on the flywheel because if

0:14:57.400 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 2>you do have any sort of discount, nap, does that

0:14:59.280 --> 0:15:00.000
<v Speaker 2>make it more difficult?

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 3>Well to list other vehicles like this.

0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 1>We're going to focus on doing great job for the

0:15:05.240 --> 0:15:07.520
<v Speaker 1>PSUs shareholders, and if we do a great job, we

0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:09.720
<v Speaker 1>communicate to them, well we deliver the kind of performance

0:15:09.760 --> 0:15:12.000
<v Speaker 1>we have over time, we deserve to trade it a

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 1>premium as opposed to discount.

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:15.720
<v Speaker 4>Right again, the average.

0:15:15.320 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 1>Clothes and fund, the second the best performing closed then

0:15:17.960 --> 0:15:20.320
<v Speaker 1>fun over the last eight years, generated a fourteen and

0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 1>a half percent return. As time we generated a twenty

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:24.120
<v Speaker 1>four point nine percent return.

0:15:24.600 --> 0:15:25.920
<v Speaker 4>That's a huge disparity.

0:15:25.920 --> 0:15:27.400
<v Speaker 1>And by the way, that fund trades at a fifteen

0:15:27.400 --> 0:15:30.040
<v Speaker 1>percent discount, sorry, fifteen percent premium.

0:15:30.120 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 3>Do you think you could trade it at premium?

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 1>Here's my argument, right, business, that's that earn the kind

0:15:35.320 --> 0:15:38.000
<v Speaker 1>of return that we've generated over time, traded two to

0:15:38.040 --> 0:15:41.040
<v Speaker 1>three times book value. Should we trade it a discount

0:15:41.080 --> 0:15:42.960
<v Speaker 1>book value? It makes no sense. And we have a

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:46.120
<v Speaker 1>tax advantage, right, we have a favorable corporate structure, much

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.800
<v Speaker 1>more flexible, much more tax efficient liquid listen New York

0:15:49.800 --> 0:15:50.560
<v Speaker 1>stocks change.

0:15:50.640 --> 0:15:51.200
<v Speaker 4>I mean put.

0:15:51.080 --> 0:15:52.880
<v Speaker 1>Aside, I don't know what happens in the first couple

0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:56.520
<v Speaker 1>of days after an offering, you know, but with good

0:15:56.520 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 1>shareholder communication, keep people informed, good performance, this can become

0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:02.400
<v Speaker 1>a core holding. And by the way, the bulk of

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>this entity is sold to very long term holders, and

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:10.800
<v Speaker 1>so now with so much of the stock held by

0:16:10.800 --> 0:16:13.280
<v Speaker 1>long term holders, it's the marginal buyer and seller that

0:16:13.280 --> 0:16:14.240
<v Speaker 1>will move the price around.

0:16:15.800 --> 0:16:17.520
<v Speaker 2>By the way, are you as excited as everyone else

0:16:17.560 --> 0:16:19.160
<v Speaker 2>is about getting to hear from you quarterly now when

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:20.120
<v Speaker 2>you give quarterly updates?

0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.160
<v Speaker 3>Or do you wish it was semi annually?

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:23.400
<v Speaker 4>No?

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:27.280
<v Speaker 1>No, I'm very happy to enjoy communicating, and I certainly

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:31.680
<v Speaker 1>enjoy communicating with people who've entrusted their future to us.

0:16:32.920 --> 0:16:33.880
<v Speaker 4>We actually operate.

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>You're not as aware of this, but today we do

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.480
<v Speaker 1>quarterly conference calls for our existing vehicle. We're not going

0:16:39.480 --> 0:16:41.480
<v Speaker 1>to be able to do them on shore. We're able

0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:43.800
<v Speaker 1>to answer questions from shareholders the way that you would

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:45.000
<v Speaker 1>want those questions to be answered.

0:16:45.120 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 3>Very much so looking forward to that. Bill, Thank you

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:48.680
<v Speaker 3>so much for your time this morning. We appreciate it.

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:51.720
<v Speaker 2>Bill Ackman, CEO and founder of Pershing Square