1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: The volume the Colin Cowherd Podcast brought to you by 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: Fan Duel. It's never been easier to play fantasy on 3 00:00:09,800 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Fan Duel. Whether you love basketball, golf, soccer, or any 4 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,840 Speaker 1: fantasy sport. There is a contest for every fan Fan 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: Duel more ways to win. This is Prime Cuts, the 6 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 1: best of the Colin Coward Podcast. We had a great week. 7 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 1: One of my favorites ever Cowboy writer Matt Moseley tremendous 8 00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 1: insight into what's going on behind the scenes with the Cowboys. 9 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 1: Nick Wright, my buddy talk Bellotchick letting go of Brady 10 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: as the worst sports mistake in the history like a 11 00:00:50,840 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 1: babe route to the Yankees mistake. I disagreed, Chad Millman. 12 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,240 Speaker 1: He tells me, if I'm a sharp, where I'm a square? 13 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: And all Week three? First my top takes of the week. 14 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: I want to start with the Steelers. And it's understood 15 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: that veteran quarterbacks over the course of a season get 16 00:01:12,640 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 1: arm fatigue. They get hit a few times. What you're 17 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: concerned about with an older Brady, you know Breeze in 18 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: his last couple of years, Philip Rivers is how are 19 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:26,319 Speaker 1: they post Thanksgiving? They're usually pretty fresh early. It is 20 00:01:26,360 --> 00:01:30,679 Speaker 1: Week two and Big Ben looks like something from the 21 00:01:30,760 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 1: Jurassic era. He has no mobility. He has never been 22 00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:38,839 Speaker 1: good pre snap. The Steelers offense with a rebuilding offensive 23 00:01:38,880 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: line is basically throw it deep to chase Claypool and 24 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: cross your fingers nause. Harris appears to be a really 25 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: nice player, but this offense, I mean Big Bend. Through 26 00:01:49,600 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 1: two games, I mean he folks, He's completed forty five 27 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: or seventy five passes, a couple of touchdowns, a pick. 28 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: This is not a team that can get to the playoffs. 29 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,400 Speaker 1: As good as that defensive front seven is, they were 30 00:02:04,440 --> 00:02:07,280 Speaker 1: taken apart by Derek Carr. If you watch that Steelers 31 00:02:07,360 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 1: Raiders game, Derek Carr was so far superior playing on 32 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 1: the road to Big Ben. Accuracy, deep ball, managing the 33 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:22,000 Speaker 1: line of scrimmage, and the Steeler operation has coddled Big Ben. 34 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: So they really haven't over the last two or three 35 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 1: years aggressively drafted an elite quarterback in the first or 36 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 1: second round. Green Bay did, and Aaron Rodgers showed a 37 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 1: slight decline even Tampa last year. Second round. They're going 38 00:02:38,400 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 1: to go get somebody and Brady want a super Bowl. 39 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: The Steelers right now are not close to a Super 40 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 1: Bowl team with this offense. And if you watch that game, 41 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:50,720 Speaker 1: Derek Carr was so much better than Big Ben it 42 00:02:50,800 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 1: was embarrassing if you're a Steeler fan. Aaron Rodgers has 43 00:02:54,919 --> 00:03:01,280 Speaker 1: gotten progressively needier. Now he's lashing out at Bill Cower, 44 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:07,400 Speaker 1: Nate Burlson, Jermichael Finley, trying to control all the reporting 45 00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: on him, which is ludicrous because those are certainly highly 46 00:03:11,000 --> 00:03:14,160 Speaker 1: qualified people. I always had a theory, and I've talked 47 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: about this for years on Aaron Rodgers. He's a weird fit. 48 00:03:17,560 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: He's a so cow guy and a weird fit in 49 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: you know, small town Wisconsin. Brett Farve wasn't a weird 50 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 1: fit in Wisconsin because he was a He was a southern, 51 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: small town guy in middle of nowhere. That's where he 52 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,960 Speaker 1: was born and that's where the Packers are. It's different 53 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: for Aaron Rodgers. And if he was the quarterback of 54 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: the LA Rams and he had a day off, because 55 00:03:40,360 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 1: you remember, if the team plays Sunday, they get Monday 56 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: off and Tuesdays a film day, a lot of time 57 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 1: off early in the week. Aaron Rodgers was the quarterback 58 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 1: of the LA Rams. We have thirty seven music venues. 59 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,480 Speaker 1: He loves music. In Southern California, eight pro teams, two 60 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: major colleges, the beach. You can go out in public 61 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,080 Speaker 1: in Los Angeles. Nobody cares. My wife ran into on 62 00:04:00,200 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: Cheetle at a restaurant two days ago. Nobody was bothering him. 63 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: I've run into Harrison Ford, Mark Harmon, Bob Saget, Matt Damon. 64 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: Nobody cares. In southern California, literally nobody cares, and that matters. 65 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:17,359 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, though in Green Bay, can't leave the house 66 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: by October. The weather's lousy, there's no beach. Most of 67 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 1: his friends live in Southern California. He's not married, he 68 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,840 Speaker 1: has no kids, and he doesn't have a tight relationship 69 00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:28,760 Speaker 1: with his family. That's well documented. So what is Aaron 70 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:34,440 Speaker 1: Rodgers do in his day's off consumes lots of media, 71 00:04:34,640 --> 00:04:38,039 Speaker 1: especially in media talking about Aaron Rodgers. This is something 72 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:39,919 Speaker 1: I've talked about all the time. In my family, we 73 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,520 Speaker 1: have what I call phone down Friday. We all put 74 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:44,919 Speaker 1: our phones down on Friday and I get away from sports. 75 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,200 Speaker 1: It's very easy. There's always something to do here. I'll 76 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: get in the car with my wife and We'll just 77 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 1: go for a two and a half hour drive through 78 00:04:51,600 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: Malibu and up in the canyons. There's a resort within 79 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:58,159 Speaker 1: forty five minutes in every direction from where we live. 80 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: There's the beach, there's great rest rants. Where does Aaron 81 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 1: Rodgers go. It's not married, no kids, fringer in La, 82 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 1: not close to his family, can't go out in public, 83 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,480 Speaker 1: weather's crappy indoors. He's trapped. And I think when I 84 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:16,160 Speaker 1: watch Aaron Rodgers react, the way is to criticism. Russell 85 00:05:16,160 --> 00:05:20,600 Speaker 1: Wilson married kids, close with his family, lots of business relationships. 86 00:05:20,720 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: He's too busy to worry about what I'm saying about him. 87 00:05:23,600 --> 00:05:26,839 Speaker 1: Tom Brady married a bunch of kids, multiple business partners. 88 00:05:27,240 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: He's too busy. You know, in Seattle, in Florida, you 89 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 1: know you can go out, although Brady probably gets mobbed 90 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 1: in Tampa too. But I've said this about Aaron Rodgers. 91 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:43,360 Speaker 1: He's got rabbit ears. And the worst thing you can 92 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:45,720 Speaker 1: ever try to do as an athlete is to control 93 00:05:45,960 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 1: the media. Bill Coward, Nate Burlson, Jermichael Finley are going 94 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: to say whatever they want to say. Stop being so 95 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 1: insecure and sensitive and needy. This Weekly grievance session is embarrassing. 96 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,520 Speaker 1: I mean, it's so blow a Tom Brady. Can you 97 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 1: imagine Tom Brady spend thirty seconds ripping the coverage of 98 00:06:03,160 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 1: Tom Brady. I mean's so below his standard. And this 99 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:13,679 Speaker 1: is something I've talked about all the time with young broadcasters. 100 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:17,200 Speaker 1: Have a life beyond sports. Get off your phone. If 101 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 1: you're spending five and a half hours on your phone, 102 00:06:19,720 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: it's going to lead to some soul searching and insecurity. 103 00:06:23,960 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: And I feel with Aaron Rodgers, green Bay is a very, 104 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: very odd, difficult fit for him. He's by himself a lot, 105 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 1: and you know, Aaron's the kind of guy that he's 106 00:06:36,760 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 1: pretty global, he's pretty worldly. I mean, he wants to 107 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,400 Speaker 1: do other things. Los Angeles should have thirty seven thirty 108 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: eight music venues. You could go walk outside your door. 109 00:06:45,920 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 1: You would literally not be bothered. I feel he's kind 110 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:51,200 Speaker 1: of trapped. It gets in his head and he's consuming 111 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: too much media, mostly about himself. I want to talk 112 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,160 Speaker 1: about the best young coach in football, and it's not 113 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 1: necessarily Sean mcvagh. It's clear that it's not only an 114 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 1: indictment on the New York Jets operation, but what you're 115 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:10,000 Speaker 1: seeing with Sam Darnald and the Carolina Panthers is pretty remarkable. 116 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: The knock on Donald out of college. They're two and 117 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: oh with two comfortable wins. But the knock on Darnald 118 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: out of college, and I watched every snap was his 119 00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: accuracy issues. What is he completing now? Seventy percent of 120 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 1: his throws? He doesn't make the mistakes, total composure. It 121 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 1: would be easy to just say this is an indictment 122 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: on the Jets, but instead of just the negative side, 123 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: let's look realistically at the positive side. Not only has 124 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 1: Matt Rule made Darnald more comfortable, this defense has twenty 125 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 1: one quarterback hits and ten sacks in two games. What 126 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: does that tell you the culture of the Carolina Panthers 127 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: is headed in the right direction. It also tells you 128 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,720 Speaker 1: this is a remarkable stat on Matt Rule, the coach 129 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,800 Speaker 1: at Carolina, going back to the beginning of last year. 130 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:05,960 Speaker 1: You will not believe this. Carolina leads the NFL with 131 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:09,480 Speaker 1: the fewest three and outs. That's with Teddy Bridgewater and 132 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 1: a start with Sam Arnold. Now think about that, not Mahomes, 133 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: not Lamar Jackson, not Don Brady, not Derek Carr, not 134 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:18,040 Speaker 1: Matt Ryan, not Russell Wilson, not Aaron Rodgers. No. The 135 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: fewest three and outs Matt Rule, Teddy Bridgewater and Sam Darnold. 136 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: But this is a offensive line that, outside of right 137 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: tackle graded poorly, left tackle all the way to right guard. 138 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:36,559 Speaker 1: What Matt Rule is doing with this suboptimal offensive line, 139 00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:42,560 Speaker 1: the scarce number of three and outs, the revamping, rebooting 140 00:08:42,559 --> 00:08:46,720 Speaker 1: of Sam Darnold is really mind blowing. You know, you 141 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,440 Speaker 1: hire these college coaches and you cross your fingers. You 142 00:08:49,480 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 1: don't really know, but he appears to be a I 143 00:08:52,720 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 1: know it's early, you know, I know, it's like eighteen games, 144 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:59,280 Speaker 1: but watching Sam Darnold play, the comfort in which he 145 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 1: plays the position now is stark. It is obvious biggest 146 00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: game of week three, Monday night matchup Eagles in Dallas. 147 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:10,720 Speaker 1: Fan Duel Sports book is about to make it even 148 00:09:10,720 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: bigger because FanDuel is going to give new customers thirty 149 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: to one odds thirty to one odds on either team 150 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,599 Speaker 1: to win. That means one hundred and fifty bucks on 151 00:09:18,640 --> 00:09:21,199 Speaker 1: a five dollars bet. 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Okay, yeah, yeah, particularly before 187 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,640 Speaker 1: we were married with kids, like when I was trying 188 00:11:14,679 --> 00:11:17,199 Speaker 1: to win her over. Yeah, yea, yeah, you don't think 189 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 1: there were some three am dry Where are we going? Okay, 190 00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 1: so she's the show stopper. The second thing is sports, 191 00:11:25,880 --> 00:11:29,920 Speaker 1: so you can be a good businessman like Jerry Jones 192 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 1: and make great decisions in every other business and then 193 00:11:34,720 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: make terrible decisions with your football team. So Ezekiel Elliott 194 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:41,880 Speaker 1: and his last like twelve games has two touchdowns. It 195 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:46,600 Speaker 1: is last seventeen games. He ever just like seventy yards 196 00:11:46,640 --> 00:11:49,679 Speaker 1: a game. Yeah, he is going to be an eighteen 197 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: million dollars cap hit next year and a sixteen point 198 00:11:52,040 --> 00:11:54,719 Speaker 1: seven after that, and I think thirteen after that. And 199 00:11:54,920 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 1: by the way, right before the season started they restructured 200 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,760 Speaker 1: his deal a bit, which made it's slightly harder to move. 201 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 1: That's right in the next few years. I would argue 202 00:12:05,840 --> 00:12:08,599 Speaker 1: in baseball there are lots every team's got one or 203 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: two bad contracts because the contracts are now extended to seven, eight, nine, 204 00:12:11,880 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 1: ten years for good players. No baseball contract, even Mookie 205 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:17,679 Speaker 1: Betts by year seven, it's not a good deal for 206 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:22,559 Speaker 1: the Dodgers. In basketball, Otto Porter because you have this 207 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 1: minimum that you have to spend. Otto Porter can get 208 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:28,199 Speaker 1: a like high end contract, good player, not special, but 209 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 1: paid like a special player. In football, you know almost 210 00:12:31,200 --> 00:12:34,240 Speaker 1: never get trapped. You almost never get trapped. You could 211 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: cut Tom Brady today, he's so small of a cap hit. 212 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:40,080 Speaker 1: I mean, you could cut almost every quarterback not named 213 00:12:40,120 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers today. So not only is 214 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 1: the Zeke contract awful in a league with few awful contracts, 215 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 1: the second worst contract could be Jaylen Smith, a wonderful 216 00:12:50,559 --> 00:12:53,440 Speaker 1: guy who is now a backup. Who's a backup who's 217 00:12:53,480 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: playing like twenty percent of the snaps. They tried to 218 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 1: move him, they could not move him, and they paid. 219 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: They paid these guys early when they didn't have to. 220 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: The Zeke thing, though, Colin is can if I can 221 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 1: jump in, is interesting because I want to ask you 222 00:13:06,880 --> 00:13:12,080 Speaker 1: about something. Have you ever You're not a big car guy, right, 223 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:17,000 Speaker 1: are you right? That's not your thing? But so the 224 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: car guys would be a better example on this, but 225 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 1: I'm sure. So I'll use cars as an example. But 226 00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: I'm sure you can find something in your life. You've got, say, 227 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 1: a very serviceable, good car, but you have a lot 228 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 1: of money, and you're like, you know what, I'm buying 229 00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: the top of the line fancy car. And you buy it, 230 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 1: and you drive it, and after a couple of weeks 231 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 1: you're like, I actually like everything about my other car 232 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: more I still have it. You feel an obligation internally 233 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: to drive the more expensive one because you spent the money. 234 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:58,559 Speaker 1: It's illogical, it goes against the sunk cost fallacy. But 235 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:01,559 Speaker 1: there is something in you, even if you enjoy driving 236 00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 1: the other car more, that pushes you drive the more 237 00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: expensive one because you spent the money. Here's why I 238 00:14:07,880 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 1: say that Zeke contracts obviously a bad contract, but that 239 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:15,040 Speaker 1: is a sunk cost. At this point, that's done. I 240 00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:18,000 Speaker 1: think it's going to be hard for the Cowboys to 241 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: give Tony Pollard running back one carries because they spent 242 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: all this money on Zeke, even they're both there. The 243 00:14:26,600 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: cap it's the same this year. Who whether Zeke gets 244 00:14:29,600 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 1: thirty carries or zero carries. And logically, what a robot 245 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 1: would do is what gives us the best fans. What 246 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 1: a human being will do is feel pressure to give 247 00:14:41,320 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: give the ball to the expensive guy because you spent 248 00:14:44,080 --> 00:14:46,480 Speaker 1: the money. Yeah, and I think that's a problem for Dallas. Yeah, 249 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,920 Speaker 1: I think it's a real problem. Well. And also it's 250 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 1: why I give great credit to Steve Kim, the Arizona 251 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:58,560 Speaker 1: general manager. GMS will stick with a quarterback like Mitched 252 00:14:58,600 --> 00:15:02,200 Speaker 1: Trubisky in Chicago Ryan past It because he drafted him. 253 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:07,240 Speaker 1: Steve Kim acknowledged, Yeah, I whiffed on that one, and 254 00:15:07,400 --> 00:15:11,880 Speaker 1: in one year fire the coach and went and essentially 255 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 1: fired the quarterback. That doesn't happen ever in the National 256 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: Football League ever. And another team that won a Super 257 00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 1: Bowl because of it, and they didn't even wait a 258 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,520 Speaker 1: year was your Seahawks as your Seahawks. But the Seahawks 259 00:15:26,600 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 1: famously they it was very difficult to spend that money 260 00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:35,920 Speaker 1: on Matt Flynn and then say you're not playing. But 261 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:39,560 Speaker 1: it is logical. The money is spent, that is gone. 262 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: Now you just got to play who's better. This is 263 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: what I've never understood. And this again, like I'm not 264 00:15:45,360 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: I'm not breaking psychological ground here, but people and I'm 265 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 1: sure you've known people like this that by theater tickets 266 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 1: a month in advance. Yeah, and the day of dread going, 267 00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 1: I don't want to go, are miserable about going, and 268 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: go anyway. And the answer is, well I paid for him. 269 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 1: Well you paid, that's gone. You already paid for him. 270 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 1: Now you should do what makes you happy. The money 271 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:13,840 Speaker 1: doesn't come back to you. And the sports teams have 272 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: a big problem with this. They have a huge problem 273 00:16:16,720 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: with recognizing that money is spent. That is a separate thing. 274 00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: Now we must do what is best for us moving forward. 275 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 1: And I think for the Cowboys it's going to be 276 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: a problem. I told you I was going to take 277 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 1: the car and steer another direction. I have a question 278 00:16:31,400 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: for you because you had a Babe Ruth take that 279 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 1: cut through, but I thought should have cut through even 280 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:41,040 Speaker 1: more because I thought it was brilliant. It was the Otani. 281 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,840 Speaker 1: It was better that the marketing thing should be better 282 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:47,800 Speaker 1: than Babe and Babe Ruth is known for a number 283 00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:50,160 Speaker 1: of things, but one of the things he's known for 284 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:54,680 Speaker 1: associated with is the worst transaction in sports history. Right 285 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 1: is the Red Sox? The dude that owned the Red 286 00:16:57,360 --> 00:17:00,880 Speaker 1: Sox it was about to go broke and wanted to 287 00:17:00,920 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: put on a Broadway play and sold him to the Yankees. 288 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 1: Is it possible, Colin, that a different Boston sports team 289 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: has finally trumped selling Babe Ruth to the Yankees? And 290 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:22,120 Speaker 1: that's what Belichick did. And here's the thing, by the way, 291 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 1: I thought Brady was cooked too, so I was as 292 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 1: wrong as anybody on this. However, when you go through 293 00:17:28,680 --> 00:17:32,320 Speaker 1: the timeline of and now it's not just Brady it's 294 00:17:32,359 --> 00:17:36,760 Speaker 1: also Gronk looks amazing, and you're like, okay. In twenty fourteen, 295 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,160 Speaker 1: Belichick drafted his replacement. Brady won the Super Bowl that year, 296 00:17:40,160 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 1: then won it again in sixteen. In twenty sixteen, going 297 00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:47,520 Speaker 1: into the summer, Brady wanted Groppolo gone. Belichick wouldn't do it. 298 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: They go into the twenty seventeen season, Brady kind of 299 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 1: forces the hand via the thing with Kraft kids Groppolo 300 00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: out of there. In twenty eighteen, Belichick tries to trade Gronk. 301 00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:00,359 Speaker 1: Gronk told us no, he traded me to Detroit, threatened 302 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 1: to retire that year. They don't win the Super Bowl 303 00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:06,159 Speaker 1: without Gronk against my Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game, 304 00:18:06,200 --> 00:18:08,640 Speaker 1: who makes the biggest plays? Gronk in the Super Bowl, 305 00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:13,439 Speaker 1: who makes them explosive play Gronk. Gronk then retires because 306 00:18:13,520 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: he's won't play in that setting anymore. Brady then leaves. Okay, 307 00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: he obviously wins the damn Super Bowl. And right now 308 00:18:22,600 --> 00:18:25,879 Speaker 1: Brady and Gronk lead the league in touchdown passes and 309 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:29,200 Speaker 1: touchdown catches while the Patriots are trying to recreate it 310 00:18:29,480 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 1: with Mac Jones and John Us Smith. How Is that 311 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:37,920 Speaker 1: not the worst sports decision that's been made in a 312 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:40,639 Speaker 1: hundred years? How is it not? I'll explain it to you. 313 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:50,919 Speaker 1: So I am less inclined to criticize politicians surgeon generals 314 00:18:52,440 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 1: over COVID than other medical matters. Why because it's so 315 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:02,359 Speaker 1: unique and red and was such a medical tsunami and 316 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 1: caught us totally off guard. So it is one thing. 317 00:19:07,000 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 1: If it was a common flu and four hundred thousand 318 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 1: Americans died, we should be prepared for that. We have 319 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:17,560 Speaker 1: a term for it, it's called the flu season. But 320 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:19,760 Speaker 1: when a pandemic hits and we're not sure if it 321 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,560 Speaker 1: comes from a lab, was human created, it came stra 322 00:19:23,480 --> 00:19:25,880 Speaker 1: and we're not even sure for the first three months 323 00:19:26,119 --> 00:19:29,359 Speaker 1: when it landed on our soil, I'm going to be 324 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:35,320 Speaker 1: much less inclined to clobber our medical experts. When you 325 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,240 Speaker 1: deal with Tom Brady. The fact that he may be 326 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,680 Speaker 1: better at forty three and forty four that he was 327 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:47,840 Speaker 1: at thirty nine is so uncommon. Serena at thirty nine 328 00:19:48,400 --> 00:19:52,800 Speaker 1: way past her prime, Messy at thirty four past his prime, 329 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,399 Speaker 1: Ronaldo at thirty six is cashing checks. Lebron at thirty 330 00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:00,959 Speaker 1: six now falls into a one more injury, and he's brittle. 331 00:20:02,119 --> 00:20:06,960 Speaker 1: Tom is forty four and looks better. His release and 332 00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,920 Speaker 1: his arm strength looked better then they did at thirty eight. Now, 333 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: some of it may just be the sounds silly, the humidity, 334 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 1: the flexibility, the pliability of playing in really really warm weather. 335 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:19,880 Speaker 1: There's a reason old people moved to Florida. You feel better, 336 00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 1: you feel better. Tom is so historically unique that if 337 00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 1: you looked at the time that Belichick drafted Garoppolo, I 338 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,240 Speaker 1: think Tommy was thirty seven or thirty eight, Well that 339 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:35,800 Speaker 1: is the time that you move off Peyton and breathe. 340 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 1: Oh and Alex Smith. So if you look at what 341 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: Belichick did, he was doing what history tells you to do. 342 00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 1: Thirty seven to thirty eight, you draft a player. He did. 343 00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,879 Speaker 1: He drafted Garoppolo. Kraft said, get out of here. So 344 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: now when Brady actually shocks him and leaves, they have 345 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:57,640 Speaker 1: no succession plan. So I will give Belichick the break 346 00:20:57,720 --> 00:21:01,920 Speaker 1: in that who in their right mind could have predicted. 347 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:08,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I'm a Brady devoted Brady supporter. I said 348 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: last year, there's no preseason. This is a wild card 349 00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:15,640 Speaker 1: team at best. I mean, through five weeks, I didn't 350 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 1: think they were a playoff team when there's historical exceptions, 351 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:24,000 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give people breaks. And it sounds crazy for me, 352 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:25,720 Speaker 1: of all people to be saying this, because I was 353 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,720 Speaker 1: the biggest skeptic of them all. But the counterpoint to 354 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:35,000 Speaker 1: your COVID comp is this, you're giving the surgeon general 355 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 1: a break, got it? But what if all of America 356 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 1: that in this case, that's the fans and the President 357 00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:46,720 Speaker 1: of the United States in this case that Robert Kraft, 358 00:21:46,760 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 1: We're like, do this, Like, no, I'm gonna do that. 359 00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:54,680 Speaker 1: And he was wrong because Belichick the reason and this 360 00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 1: is here's I'm big on. If you take a massive 361 00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:02,119 Speaker 1: swing and you're right, you get to do a victory 362 00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:05,640 Speaker 1: lab This is probably why I like celebrating in sports, like, yeah, 363 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 1: celebrate your successes, but also if you take a massive 364 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,200 Speaker 1: swing and you miss, there's got to be a penalty 365 00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 1: associate with it. Belichick went against what his fans wanted, 366 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 1: his players wanted, and the owner wanted because he knew better, 367 00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:24,680 Speaker 1: and he was wrong, and he was wrong with a 368 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:27,560 Speaker 1: guy he'd been around for twenty years to where if 369 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 1: anybody should have known maybe he's going to be different, 370 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:33,680 Speaker 1: you would think it would be Belichick, And so I 371 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 1: don't think it means because isn't about who gets more credit, 372 00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: Brady or Belichick. It's not about Belichick's place in history. 373 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:47,040 Speaker 1: It's about this individual decision. It's trending towards historically all. 374 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,800 Speaker 1: Let's get the Matt Mosley Dallas is a little better. 375 00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:55,600 Speaker 1: What I thought are they? How do you view them 376 00:22:56,280 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: from your perception before the first snap and now your 377 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:04,400 Speaker 1: perception after the second game. I do think they wish 378 00:23:04,480 --> 00:23:07,159 Speaker 1: they could play in that stadium more. I thought they 379 00:23:07,280 --> 00:23:13,720 Speaker 1: functioned better with those fans. They seem to go on 380 00:23:13,840 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 1: the road and play well. The one thing they have 381 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: to shore up. They have a problem with their special 382 00:23:21,880 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 1: teams coach. You guys on the West Coast are familiar 383 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 1: with John Fossil, Yeah, and he is an intriguing sort 384 00:23:29,119 --> 00:23:34,639 Speaker 1: of engaging character. He has become a problem with the Cowboys. 385 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:38,960 Speaker 1: He is so closely connected to McCarty that he has 386 00:23:39,160 --> 00:23:43,080 Speaker 1: full dominion over a lot of things. In fact, maybe 387 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,880 Speaker 1: Dan Quinn and then Fossil as far as like who 388 00:23:46,000 --> 00:23:49,119 Speaker 1: has the biggest say in things? And so they end 389 00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,879 Speaker 1: up doing very curious things like for no apparent reason 390 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: before the path the first half going in there trying 391 00:23:56,760 --> 00:24:00,760 Speaker 1: to block a punt and running into the kicker. There's 392 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:04,920 Speaker 1: always some head scratching silliness with special teams that goes 393 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:10,119 Speaker 1: back to last year. For whatever reason, McCartney is convinced 394 00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:13,879 Speaker 1: that this is the best special team's coach every he 395 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:16,439 Speaker 1: I mean, it's like they're just little buddies and they 396 00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: just spend a lot of time together, so they need 397 00:24:18,640 --> 00:24:21,520 Speaker 1: to sort of figure that out. But I would probably 398 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: right now, even though I'm the first to go after Jerry, 399 00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: when I think it's appropriate from what I've seen, and 400 00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: boy Hurts, who I really like. I watched with Oklahoma, 401 00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 1: watching Malabama that mess they threw out there today where 402 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 1: you just drive after drive and they can't get anything done, 403 00:24:40,840 --> 00:24:43,520 Speaker 1: and they have their wide receivers need to be guys 404 00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 1: that have time to do double moves, get open downfield. 405 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,880 Speaker 1: Ragerus not a guy who's going to break tackles. He's 406 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:55,000 Speaker 1: just an explosive receiver. I would say, unlike last year, 407 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: the Cowboys have a chance to win this thing by 408 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: two or three games. Chad Melman, chief content officer for 409 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,920 Speaker 1: the Action Network. Okay, so here's my next bet. I've 410 00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:11,159 Speaker 1: already made I got a better number. I got the 411 00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,120 Speaker 1: Eagles plus four at Dallas, so I already got four. 412 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:15,680 Speaker 1: It's down to three and a half. So I'm gonna 413 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 1: have a big week. And that's why I tell people 414 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 1: listen to this show because I'm making my bets now earlier. 415 00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:22,359 Speaker 1: So I got the Eagles plus four, it's now at 416 00:25:22,400 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 1: three and a half at Dallas. Here's my takeaway. That 417 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: was a good loss for them. Jalen Hurts is going 418 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,879 Speaker 1: to face very few defensive fronts that are that aggressive. 419 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: Philadelphia Jimmy Garoppolo struggled in the first half. This was 420 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: an ugly, ugly game. If you take what we perceived 421 00:25:40,080 --> 00:25:42,199 Speaker 1: Philadelphia to be before the first snap of the year 422 00:25:42,760 --> 00:25:45,680 Speaker 1: and what we perceived the Niners to be before the 423 00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:48,200 Speaker 1: first snap of the year, that game had blowout written 424 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:52,159 Speaker 1: all over it. No, San Francisco was better, but it 425 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:55,240 Speaker 1: was a good loss for Philadelphia. Remember, Jalen Hurts is 426 00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,720 Speaker 1: in the process. He didn't have very many starts. We're 427 00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:01,200 Speaker 1: really in a growth arc right now for him, and 428 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:03,879 Speaker 1: this ceiling, I think is lower, but we're not. We're 429 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:08,560 Speaker 1: getting when you haven't done, when you're when you're learning Spanish. 430 00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:13,919 Speaker 1: The first six months, you're taking giant steps and then 431 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: you get to a point it's baby steps. You've learned 432 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 1: basic communication. Jalen Hurts is still taking giant steps. He 433 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:24,919 Speaker 1: is getting four and five practices, film study. This guy 434 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,760 Speaker 1: got yanked last year as a starter, got yanked, got 435 00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 1: benched in a game he was winning. I like the 436 00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,840 Speaker 1: Eagles plus four. It's a division game. I think the 437 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 1: Eagles defensive line is pretty damn good and is going 438 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,240 Speaker 1: to keep them in some of these games. This is 439 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,560 Speaker 1: I don't know if they win, but possible upset. This 440 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:48,200 Speaker 1: is a game. I've already bet Eagles plus three and 441 00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 1: a half. Here, dude, you are one hundred percent attacking 442 00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:54,720 Speaker 1: it the right way. The Eagles are absolutely the sharp side. 443 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 1: The Eagles with the sharp side last week, and you 444 00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:58,639 Speaker 1: pointed it out with the Niners. I agree that was 445 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,000 Speaker 1: a good loss. You give me a game ten times 446 00:27:01,160 --> 00:27:04,119 Speaker 1: with that number. In that scenario, I am going to 447 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,920 Speaker 1: take the Eagles. They were a very public dog last week. 448 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:10,200 Speaker 1: What's really interesting to be is that we are getting 449 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:17,400 Speaker 1: to a place in football where analytics is meeting courage. 450 00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:23,000 Speaker 1: There is less and less cover your ass decision making happening, 451 00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,879 Speaker 1: and that can often play out advantageously for betters, and 452 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,200 Speaker 1: sometimes it can hurt you. We saw it with the 453 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,520 Speaker 1: Eagles last week, how often they went for it on 454 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:34,600 Speaker 1: fourth and goal. A couple of times did they decide 455 00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,240 Speaker 1: to settle for a field goal. We're having a different 456 00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,399 Speaker 1: conversation about the Eagles being off of a good loss. 457 00:27:39,600 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: We saw it with the Colts going forward consistently on 458 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 1: fourth and goal against the Rams. We saw it with Miami, 459 00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:48,479 Speaker 1: who they end up losing by, you know, thirty five points, 460 00:27:48,960 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: but there were so many times they went for it 461 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,480 Speaker 1: inside the goal line. Coaches are realizing a seven points 462 00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,439 Speaker 1: is better than three points. B If you lose by 463 00:27:58,520 --> 00:28:01,280 Speaker 1: three or you lose by third, it's still a loss. 464 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: You might as well go for the win. We saw 465 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 1: it with the Ravens over that win against Kansas City. 466 00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:09,440 Speaker 1: If you get it, then the game is over. You 467 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:11,920 Speaker 1: see John Harball on the sideline asking Lamar Jackson, you 468 00:28:11,960 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 1: want to go for it on fourth and one? Game 469 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,600 Speaker 1: over one hundred percent, this is the right side. The 470 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:21,679 Speaker 1: number has been moving in the Eagles direction. Candidly, our 471 00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:24,639 Speaker 1: models have this game projected at Eagles plus two, so 472 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:27,920 Speaker 1: for context, that is about a five percent edge. Between 473 00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,360 Speaker 1: what we projected at and what the number is actually at. 474 00:28:31,720 --> 00:28:34,440 Speaker 1: Anything that it's one one and a half percent or 475 00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:36,879 Speaker 1: higher for a professional better is usually a play. And 476 00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 1: this is also over a key number of three, where 477 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:41,680 Speaker 1: a lot of games land, a lot of divisional games 478 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:44,160 Speaker 1: like we just talked about with the Charters in the Chiefs, 479 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 1: with the Bengals and the Steelers, and then finally just 480 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 1: look at the market, like the Cowboys beat a team 481 00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: the public and the Sharps love in the Chargers, and 482 00:28:52,960 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: the Eagles loss is a public dog the week before. 483 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,880 Speaker 1: So that's why you're getting that edge. The market is 484 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:03,720 Speaker 1: overinflated on one side and unreinflated on together. Go follow 485 00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:07,480 Speaker 1: us at the Volume Sports, Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, rate Review, 486 00:29:07,560 --> 00:29:40,360 Speaker 1: Subscribe the Volume