1 00:00:01,080 --> 00:00:02,559 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. 2 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 2: It's time to place your bets to this met Joey 3 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 2: p joe Pisapia and this is BP NFL joining me 4 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 2: for the props for Week four in the NFL. The 5 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,159 Speaker 2: Welsh and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson. Strong week from the 6 00:00:15,200 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 2: boys last week. We're gonna try to capitalize on this 7 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:22,239 Speaker 2: and also another strong performance on the Thursday Night Football Show. 8 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,120 Speaker 2: In case you missed it, Ceedee Lamb over check, Ceede 9 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 2: Lamb touchdown check. You go home happy. I told you 10 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: avoid the spread. It's it's a tragedy. Nothing but field goals, baby, 11 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:35,839 Speaker 2: nothing but field goals. But that's why you're with us, 12 00:00:35,880 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 2: and that's why you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube 13 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 2: channel to hang out with us and talk some ball. 14 00:00:41,000 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 1: Gentlemen. 15 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: We have a big week ahead of us here, some 16 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: fun and exciting matchups. A lot of matchups too where 17 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:48,879 Speaker 2: teams are kind of up against it. We're gonna see 18 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 2: how they respond. Some teams that are not quite proven, 19 00:00:51,360 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 2: we're gonna see how they respond. And these are the 20 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 2: players that we have our eyes on and hopefully can 21 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 2: bring us some cash. Before we get to the names 22 00:00:58,680 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: on the list. Don't forget every to make sure that 23 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:03,800 Speaker 2: you download the Betting Pros app and use the tools 24 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 2: just like the prop bet cheat sheet. I assemble a 25 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:08,840 Speaker 2: weekly television show. I go through the prop bet cheat 26 00:01:08,880 --> 00:01:11,480 Speaker 2: sheet to find the best lines. The boys go through it. 27 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:12,319 Speaker 1: We all use it. 28 00:01:12,400 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 2: You should use it to because it's the best way 29 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: to compare all the different sportsbook lines with the expert 30 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,639 Speaker 2: projections and then find the value. That's what it's about. 31 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 2: So use the prop bet cheat sheet right now. You 32 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 2: can get it over at betting pros or go to 33 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 2: betting pros dot com slash props. That's the way to 34 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 2: find it, and you're gonna find the most profitable opportunities 35 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: and tailored recommendations. And then also you could track all 36 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 2: the winning trends as well. So Betting Pros is the 37 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,040 Speaker 2: app to help to get you into the black. All right, 38 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:42,040 Speaker 2: let's start here. Leaderboard overall you guys nine and six 39 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 2: for ericson eight and seven for Welsh, so both above 40 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 2: five hundred. That's where we want to be. Joey p 41 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 2: is nine and two over his last eleven. Follow me 42 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:53,400 Speaker 2: betting pros dot com slash Joe. All right, let's get 43 00:01:53,440 --> 00:01:56,120 Speaker 2: to your first pick of the week here, Welsh, and 44 00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:59,400 Speaker 2: we're going with somebody who was the one oh one 45 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 2: in many fans, League's Tyreek Hill. What are your feelings 46 00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,840 Speaker 2: about Tyreek the freak in week four. 47 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 3: I am doing this just to double down. I'm doing 48 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 3: this for the boys. I'm doing this for me and 49 00:02:11,520 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 3: Ericson here, even when there are things that are telling 50 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 3: us not too Like is week three data with Skyler Thompson. 51 00:02:20,800 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 3: I just want to repoint out, like Scott Thomas is 52 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:26,079 Speaker 3: not great, but it was also a week difference between 53 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 3: Tua and Skyler Thompson and what they were able to 54 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:30,400 Speaker 3: cater the playbook too. And then he gets hurt and 55 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,359 Speaker 3: Tim Boyle comes in. It was a disaster for Tyreek 56 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 3: last week. He had a fifteen percent target share. Not good, 57 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 3: six point eight a dot. 58 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:39,880 Speaker 4: Not good. 59 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 3: People freaking out Ericson and I this week talking about 60 00:02:43,160 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 3: the bye because if this team is going to win, 61 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:49,160 Speaker 3: it has to go through Tyreek Hill, and I believe 62 00:02:49,200 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: it will go back through Tyreek Hill. So some stuff 63 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 3: that you can still sit on for the season. Even 64 00:02:53,160 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 3: though that Week three was so bad, he still has 65 00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 3: an over eleven A dot. He still has a thirty 66 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 3: four percent target sh share, and he's still averaging fourteen 67 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:07,640 Speaker 3: point nine four yards per reception, so he's also fourth 68 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,959 Speaker 3: in yards after reception in the NFL at nine yards. 69 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 3: And obviously the last week two weeks have been kind 70 00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 3: of messy, so he's only hit this in one of 71 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:18,680 Speaker 3: his last three games. But if you look over his 72 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:21,800 Speaker 3: last ten using the betting pros betting pages, which are 73 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 3: awesome which you can go and do some analysis on 74 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:26,240 Speaker 3: all your picks when you're on the betting pro side, 75 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 3: he's hit eight of these last ten. So it has 76 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 3: just been these last two weeks. This is one of 77 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 3: the lowest numbers on Tyreek Hill receiving yards that we've 78 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,280 Speaker 3: seen in quite some time. I don't even know if 79 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 3: I actually said it. As we were coming in here, 80 00:03:38,880 --> 00:03:40,880 Speaker 3: I told you it was the receiving yards fifty two 81 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,520 Speaker 3: and a half. It's fifty two and a half yards. 82 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 3: Four catches based off of his yards per reception gets 83 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 3: us there. But again, my big thesis I wish could 84 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 3: be about, you know, this crazy, big underlying thing that's 85 00:03:54,960 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 3: gone on, but here's what it really sits around. It 86 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 3: sets around this player that has been established for years 87 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 3: and years and years, forty four touchdowns in the last 88 00:04:02,400 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 3: two years, hasn't had less than twelve hundred receiving yards 89 00:04:04,960 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 3: over the last four years, And we've had one week 90 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 3: of messy, weird quarterback play that kind of screwed up. 91 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:12,960 Speaker 3: You have Tyler Huntley likely coming back in there. You 92 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,400 Speaker 3: got to get Tyreek kill the ball. That's my thesis. 93 00:04:15,440 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 3: It's a super low receiving yard prop. I'm smashing it 94 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:21,680 Speaker 3: for the boys, and I'm taking it just to try 95 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 3: to hit home this by narrative of Tyreek Hill and 96 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 3: just a really great bet to cash. So fifty two 97 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 3: and a half receiving yards, when do you think that 98 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 3: low number was out there for Tyreek Hill over the 99 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 3: last three years? 100 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 2: You can get this on one play, I mean exactly. 101 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:39,040 Speaker 2: And Tyler Huntley apparently is picking up the Dolphins offense. 102 00:04:39,400 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 2: Quote like riding a bike, So there you go, end quote. 103 00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:44,919 Speaker 2: So it depends on how good of a bike rider 104 00:04:44,960 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 2: you are. 105 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:47,719 Speaker 4: Yeah, do we know finally knows how to ride a bike. 106 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,480 Speaker 2: That was not part of the article, but we can 107 00:04:50,520 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 2: only assume he does. 108 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:53,960 Speaker 4: Here's a big show Tyler Huntly riding a bike. It's 109 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 4: him on wheel. 110 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 3: It's like trading will do on this. Ericson, No, no, 111 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 3: We're not gonna be a. 112 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:02,480 Speaker 2: Bat you you want to, No, No, I love it. 113 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 2: Let's let's be Tyreek kill everywhere in fantasy leagues too. Ericson, 114 00:05:05,800 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 2: let's talk about the Jets. I've already bet Brayln Allen 115 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:11,200 Speaker 2: to score a touchdown a plus one ninety this week 116 00:05:11,279 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 2: because I think it's all hands on deck in the backfield. 117 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 2: But you've got feelings about another RB with Garrett Wilson 118 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 2: in a tough matchup. It seems like the running backs 119 00:05:19,640 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 2: are gona get used heavily. So let's talk about your 120 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 2: thoughts on. 121 00:05:21,600 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 1: Breece Hall in Week four. 122 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 4: Yeah, I love Breese Hall the over on his receiving 123 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:27,360 Speaker 4: yards twenty seven and a half. You look at the 124 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 4: Broncos on defense, what have they done this season? They've 125 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:32,560 Speaker 4: blitzed at the NFL's highest rate at forty five percent. 126 00:05:32,839 --> 00:05:35,359 Speaker 4: So what does that mean, Aaron Rodgers, I'm not gonna 127 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,280 Speaker 4: wait and get hit from these guys. I'm old. I 128 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:39,120 Speaker 4: don't want that, So I'm gonna get the ball quick. 129 00:05:39,320 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 4: And who's that going to be to the running backs 130 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 4: out of the backfield. So you look at Breese Hall. 131 00:05:43,279 --> 00:05:45,480 Speaker 4: What he's done through three games. He's already been over 132 00:05:45,560 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 4: this number three straight games. So even though Braylen Allen 133 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:51,720 Speaker 4: is getting more involved, they want to feature Breese Hall 134 00:05:51,800 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 4: still as the primary receiver out of the back. We 135 00:05:54,480 --> 00:05:56,839 Speaker 4: talked about Garrett Wilson gonna be matching up with Patrick 136 00:05:56,880 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 4: ten not a good matchup for him. So I think 137 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:01,160 Speaker 4: Breese Hall is going to be Aaron Rodgers go to 138 00:06:01,320 --> 00:06:03,880 Speaker 4: guy in this particular matchup. So that's why I love 139 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,039 Speaker 4: the over and're receiving again another player that he can 140 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 4: get this on one play. Breese Hall is that explosive 141 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 4: out of the backfield and he's already done it. So 142 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:13,040 Speaker 4: when you look at two how involved he is as 143 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:16,000 Speaker 4: a first red target per Fantasy Points data, Hall in's 144 00:06:16,040 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 4: the third highest first red target chair among running backs 145 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 4: at eighteen percent this season. 146 00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 2: All right, let's go to Welsh for your second pick 147 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 2: this week. Let's talk about DK Metcalf. Huge game here 148 00:06:24,480 --> 00:06:27,160 Speaker 2: for the Seahawks proving Now all right, here we go. 149 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 2: We've won three games. Defense has played really well, competition 150 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,839 Speaker 2: has been below average. Now you're getting the Detroit Lions 151 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:37,040 Speaker 2: on the road. I'm fascinated by this game. I do 152 00:06:37,200 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 2: think the Seahawks cover. But I was in yesterday's show 153 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 2: with trealand Ericson. I want to talk about DK Metcalf 154 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 2: with you. 155 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:46,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, this is actually like the Tyreek Hill one. It's 156 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 3: super fun. It's kind of my narrative play and I 157 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,280 Speaker 3: have it bet on the Betting Pros app right now. 158 00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 3: This is my favorite one. It's like my absolute favorite 159 00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 3: one is DK Metcalf. VP projections have him over this 160 00:06:57,920 --> 00:07:00,720 Speaker 3: number at sixty two and a half, which you can 161 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 3: find as the lowest number. Consensus number is sixty four 162 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:05,200 Speaker 3: and a half, so this is going to fly around, 163 00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 3: but sixty two and a half on the receiving yards 164 00:07:07,000 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 3: is what we're playing with with DK Metcalf. He is 165 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 3: projected over this. I cross referenced it to PFF seventy 166 00:07:13,000 --> 00:07:15,480 Speaker 3: two point five on his projections and then some of 167 00:07:15,520 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 3: the things to kind of sit with Lions giving up 168 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 3: the most passing yards in the NFL wide receivers. DK 169 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 3: is eleventh in air yards in the NFL sixteen in 170 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:28,600 Speaker 3: air yard share, and the Betting Pros prop page when 171 00:07:28,640 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 3: you go and check out DK Metcalf shows that he 172 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 3: has hit this obviously in two of his last three games. 173 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 3: But this is a really cool tool as well. They've 174 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:38,400 Speaker 3: got the comparable tool which is kind of at the 175 00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,760 Speaker 3: bottom if you're looking on the website, and it'll show 176 00:07:40,840 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 3: you comparable wide receivers versus the defense. And guess what, 177 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 3: all three wide receivers in the comparable front that have 178 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 3: gone up against the Lions have crossed this prop. DK 179 00:07:51,280 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 3: Metcalf has been a target monster, a big air guy. 180 00:07:54,600 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 3: They do get Ken Walker back, it's looking like so 181 00:07:56,880 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 3: they can establish some run. But with this Lions offense, 182 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,240 Speaker 3: this has the makings of one of those shootout type 183 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 3: of situations. And Gino has been passing the crap out 184 00:08:04,440 --> 00:08:07,320 Speaker 3: of the ball. So I love DK Metcalf in this 185 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:11,960 Speaker 3: situation with whatever comes with JSN. Tyler Lockett Like, I 186 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 3: don't want to say this on sixty two and a half, 187 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 3: but I'll do it for a third time. He could 188 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 3: do this in one play. This is what DK Metcalf 189 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 3: does as well. So this is a big air yards guy. 190 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,240 Speaker 3: This is kind of a low ish number. Projections like it, 191 00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 3: Betting pros likes it, and I like it all right. 192 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: I like it too. 193 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 2: Again, I love that you could see on the site too, 194 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 2: the comparisons with the fantasy averages and where the defenses 195 00:08:34,640 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 2: have given up to I think telling me, I think 196 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,640 Speaker 2: Seattle actually overperforms. I don't know they're gona win this game, 197 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:41,719 Speaker 2: but I think they're going to overperform in it to 198 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:45,760 Speaker 2: least people's expectations. Next up, Andrew Erickson. If you've been 199 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 2: fading the backfield of the Chicago Bears, well, you've been 200 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,000 Speaker 2: making money this year, so it's week four. What do 201 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 2: you want to do with the Bears backfield this week? 202 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:56,839 Speaker 4: Fade the backfield, specifically with DeAndre Swift. We're going to 203 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 4: go under on his rushing yards thirty five and a half. 204 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 4: This line has moves significantly since opening it to get 205 00:09:02,000 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 4: open a round forty three and a half. That's the 206 00:09:04,000 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 4: number I was able to get on early in the week. 207 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 4: But like we learned last week about the Dwan Jennings, 208 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 4: if you're right, it doesn't matter what the number is 209 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 4: going to be, because I'm going to be right about 210 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 4: DeAndre Swift. He's not getting anywhere near thirty five and 211 00:09:15,080 --> 00:09:17,160 Speaker 4: a half rushing yards because I don't even know if 212 00:09:17,200 --> 00:09:19,400 Speaker 4: he's the primary ball carrier anymore in the Bears back 213 00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:21,959 Speaker 4: But we've seen reports come out talking about how the 214 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 4: Bears want to feature Roshan Johnson more in these upcoming matchups, 215 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:28,320 Speaker 4: and why not because last week he got Swift thirteen 216 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 4: carries for twenty yards. Again, he's been under thirty five 217 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,400 Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards the first three weeks of 218 00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,360 Speaker 4: the season already, and that was when he was the 219 00:09:35,400 --> 00:09:38,640 Speaker 4: starting running back for the Chicago Bears. So I think 220 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:40,599 Speaker 4: that we could see him fall to third in the 221 00:09:40,679 --> 00:09:43,200 Speaker 4: pecking order. He's following in the footsteps of Miles Sanders 222 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 4: last year, where oh, I'm the highest paid running back 223 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 4: in free agency and then you lose your job to 224 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:50,280 Speaker 4: one of the backups on the team. So again, as 225 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,599 Speaker 4: a Roshawn Johnson truther all off season, this is a 226 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:55,640 Speaker 4: big moment for us. I don't know how effective he's 227 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:57,240 Speaker 4: going to be, but we're not betting his rushing props. 228 00:09:57,280 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 4: We're just betting against DeAndre Swift. So again, it doesn't 229 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 4: matter what the matchup is because the Bears just can't 230 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 4: run the ball, and I think the Rams strengths quote 231 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 4: unquote strengths on defense are actually probably on their defensive 232 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 4: line rather than their secondary, which is absolutely atrocious. So 233 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 4: I'm just going to fade Deander Swift into the sun. 234 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 3: Actually, you know one thing too. We were talking earlier 235 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,440 Speaker 3: in the week about the Ezekiel Elliott under rushing yard 236 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,920 Speaker 3: number and how low it was and how scary it is. 237 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:22,599 Speaker 1: But this is it. 238 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 4: But this you're not playing, you don't get any yards. 239 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:27,520 Speaker 3: That's kind of the thing. It's like this number has 240 00:10:27,600 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 3: been going down, has been going down for a reason. 241 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 3: It's kind of scary because Swift is one of those 242 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 3: breakaway players, but he. 243 00:10:33,920 --> 00:10:34,839 Speaker 4: Hasn't been breaking down. 244 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 1: He's one. 245 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 4: I don't think, hey, yeah, he hasn't been that guy anymore. Yeah, 246 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 4: so he can't. Unlike the three guys we talked about 247 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,319 Speaker 4: before they can get on one play, Swift cannot. I 248 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 4: don't think Swift can do it on Wane to play anymore. 249 00:10:46,640 --> 00:10:48,760 Speaker 2: By the way, last couple weeks for Zeke, and this 250 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 2: was the first of all good practice because we've been 251 00:10:50,880 --> 00:10:53,079 Speaker 2: talking about Rico Dawell in the Fantasy Pro channel for 252 00:10:53,120 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 2: a couple of weeks. Now people drop them, go pick 253 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:58,120 Speaker 2: him up. Hopefully listened. But Zeke, last couple weeks here 254 00:10:58,160 --> 00:11:00,599 Speaker 2: we go against the Saints six for sixteen, against the 255 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 2: Ravens three for six and then last night against the Giants, 256 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:05,480 Speaker 2: five for nineteen, so it's over, folks. 257 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,640 Speaker 4: So he actually did get more than a FREEK one. 258 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:09,600 Speaker 4: He did have one nice first down run. I was like, oh, 259 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 4: there he goes. 260 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: He had one against one everybody get it was against 261 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:15,080 Speaker 2: the Giants, by the way, and. 262 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:16,760 Speaker 3: Then he ran into the big pot and came out 263 00:11:16,800 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 3: and was like five yards. 264 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 1: There you go. 265 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:21,440 Speaker 2: All right, everybody, let's get to the third pick here 266 00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:24,600 Speaker 2: that we have. Let's talk about Josh Allen right now, 267 00:11:25,080 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 2: kind of co front runner for MVP. 268 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: It's a really good narrative. 269 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 2: I'd be putting some money on it right now, especially 270 00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:31,679 Speaker 2: if he wins this game. Now, if he loses it, 271 00:11:31,720 --> 00:11:33,840 Speaker 2: you're gonna see this kind of bounce back a little bit. 272 00:11:33,960 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 2: But even if that happens, I still think that narrative 273 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,079 Speaker 2: for Josh Allen is fascinating. It's Josh Allen and the 274 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:43,599 Speaker 2: Buffalo Pills. He's got this little supporting cast of characters. 275 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,000 Speaker 2: It's just an ensemble, no stars. He's the only star. 276 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 2: And that, my friends, leads to a really good narrative. 277 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:51,560 Speaker 2: But let's talk about the passing yards. The numbers two 278 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,040 Speaker 2: thirty and a half Welsh, what do you want to 279 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 2: do with it. 280 00:11:53,720 --> 00:11:55,559 Speaker 3: I want to play it over of course I do. 281 00:11:55,920 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 3: Betting pro shows that Josh Allen has hit this two 282 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 3: of the last three games so far this year. The 283 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 3: projections are over two thirty, kind of across the board. Again, 284 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:09,679 Speaker 3: I'll take VP projections and sometimes back them up. PFF 285 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,720 Speaker 3: projections are pushing this as well, over two forty five 286 00:12:13,280 --> 00:12:16,120 Speaker 3: and more importantly, you know, like I talked about, and 287 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:18,480 Speaker 3: this is like a fun narrative to play sometimes with 288 00:12:18,720 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 3: the DK Metcalf one. As far as receivers go, the 289 00:12:22,640 --> 00:12:26,360 Speaker 3: Lions giving up the most yards to wide receivers and 290 00:12:26,520 --> 00:12:29,040 Speaker 3: it's a great play for DK Metcalf. The Ravens have 291 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 3: given up the most overall passing yards in the NFL 292 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,360 Speaker 3: over nine hundred, so this is a great spot for 293 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 3: Josh Allen where you're not gonna really run the ball 294 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 3: a whole bunch. I mean, Cook has obviously been doing 295 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 3: his thing and Josh Allen can move, but the secondary 296 00:12:45,280 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 3: has been a disaster for them. So this is an 297 00:12:47,120 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 3: opportunity if Kean Colmenio shows up on time that maybe 298 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 3: he can have a few snaps that he can go 299 00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:56,360 Speaker 3: along Khalil Shakir. Just bang bang, bang, kinkaid it's a 300 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 3: pretty good spot. But either way, this is two thirty. 301 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:00,319 Speaker 3: This is a low number that he's hitting two last 302 00:13:00,400 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 3: three weeks. This has shootout potential, close game potential, and 303 00:13:03,880 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 3: Josh Allen's gonna slang the ball. So I really love 304 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 3: I'd love this one like one b to the DK 305 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:12,160 Speaker 3: metcalf side. I took a passing prop last week and 306 00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:15,559 Speaker 3: Brock pretty smashed Cana. Kind of keep paying attention. This 307 00:13:15,640 --> 00:13:18,480 Speaker 3: is usually not my market too on like targeting and 308 00:13:18,559 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 3: honing in on a lot of quarterback passing props, but 309 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 3: we're finding some really good ones early on, and I 310 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:25,320 Speaker 3: think this one is the best of the week as 311 00:13:25,360 --> 00:13:27,679 Speaker 3: far as like passing yards or touchdowns right now. 312 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:29,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, look, he's getting the job done. 313 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 2: I love the comment too after the game the other 314 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,200 Speaker 2: day where he's like, yeah, it's you know, nobody cares 315 00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 2: about their stats, wink wink talking to you, Steffon. I mean, 316 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 2: I mean, if that wasn't like loud and clear. 317 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: I don't know what was. 318 00:13:42,520 --> 00:13:44,000 Speaker 4: Maybe he was talking about Gave Davis. 319 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:46,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, it was must be. Gave Davis was the guy 320 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 1: who was just Steve. 321 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:51,280 Speaker 4: Gave Davis's team, So clearly gave Davis. 322 00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 1: Was Ercks definitely way off on that one. Old Ericson 323 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:55,440 Speaker 1: totally gave Davis all. 324 00:13:55,400 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 2: Right, undertaker, let's find an under for week four? 325 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 4: Where do you have another running back that's, you know, 326 00:14:02,400 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 4: we don't know how his job security is anymore, Rashad 327 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 4: White under thirty eight and a half rushing yards. Look, 328 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 4: last week, we saw Bucky Irving take a much larger 329 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,439 Speaker 4: role in this backfield, and the coach has noticed that 330 00:14:13,880 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 4: because we can't just keep putting Shod White out there 331 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:18,960 Speaker 4: to average two yards per carry and say that's an 332 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:22,440 Speaker 4: offensive success, right, So they're gonna lean on Bucky Irving 333 00:14:22,480 --> 00:14:24,320 Speaker 4: Moore as a rusher. Rashad White still has a role 334 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,680 Speaker 4: as a pass catcher in this Buccaneers offense. But I 335 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 4: just don't see scenario where Rashad White is ripping off 336 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 4: these massive runs against a really stout Philadelphia Eagles defense. Again, 337 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:37,560 Speaker 4: it doesn't even really matter. Again, it's not really about 338 00:14:37,600 --> 00:14:40,280 Speaker 4: the matchup, honestly, it's just about how ineffective Rashad White 339 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 4: has been and he's not going to see enough volume 340 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 4: to get tim to thirty eight and a half rushing yards. 341 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:45,960 Speaker 4: He's been the starting running back for the Timp Bay 342 00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 4: Buccaneers the last three weeks, and he's been under thirty 343 00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 4: eight and a half rushing yards the last three weeks. 344 00:14:51,200 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 4: So now if you're taking away more volume from him, 345 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:56,680 Speaker 4: I don't see a scenario where similar to Swift, I 346 00:14:56,720 --> 00:14:59,120 Speaker 4: don't think this guy's gonna beat me. So I'm gonna 347 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:00,760 Speaker 4: take the under on Rashod White under three eight and 348 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:02,480 Speaker 4: a half rushing yards. I feel good about betting on 349 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 4: these dusty, inefficient running backs so far after taking the 350 00:15:05,840 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 4: under on Zeke. So let's keep it rolling. 351 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:11,200 Speaker 3: I want to see an under parlay from you. Eric, 352 00:15:13,800 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 3: you give me, I'll Swift White and give me like 353 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:17,000 Speaker 3: one more. 354 00:15:17,040 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: Give me. 355 00:15:17,640 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 4: You know I got the guy, got Swift White, Javante. 356 00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,600 Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna play that. That's gonna be like I. 357 00:15:24,600 --> 00:15:25,000 Speaker 4: Will put it. 358 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,840 Speaker 2: Well, you're talking about the next one here, so is 359 00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:31,120 Speaker 2: it Swift? It's Taylor and Javonte Williams. That's where we're going. 360 00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 4: There, Smift, be Swift, White and Javonte Williams. 361 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, all under the totals will all like not even 362 00:15:38,760 --> 00:15:42,200 Speaker 3: combine one hundred yards between three running backs. That's amazing, 363 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:44,280 Speaker 3: all right, I'm gonna put that together. 364 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:47,480 Speaker 2: While I do that Welsh, why don't you talk about 365 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,720 Speaker 2: another prop four week four here in the NFL and 366 00:15:50,760 --> 00:15:53,320 Speaker 2: you're gonna go where the Patriots are? 367 00:15:53,560 --> 00:15:57,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, so they're not all sexy, Josh a sexy name. 368 00:15:57,320 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 3: DK Metcalf was a sexy name. I'm gonna get into 369 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 3: the mud a little bit because this one's gonna be gross. 370 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:07,600 Speaker 3: We're going with de Mario Douglass over receiving yards. And 371 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 3: it's even gross because this number moved a little bit. 372 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 3: I took it on Tuesday at thirty three and a 373 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 3: half and it moved down, So you know that could 374 00:16:16,080 --> 00:16:19,040 Speaker 3: maybe put in some of the fear. But I'll tell 375 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 3: you I love this from so many factors. One of 376 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 3: the things Ericson and I talked about last week. He 377 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 3: talked about it on the Fantasy Pro show we do 378 00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:29,280 Speaker 3: on the podcast side called Extra Point, where it was 379 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 3: like tomorrow, Douglas was complaining, wanted to get the ball. 380 00:16:32,560 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 3: They got him the ball in that second series and 381 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:36,920 Speaker 3: he ended up getting like whatever it was, six catches, 382 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 3: So the complaining has worked out. But he's also hit this. 383 00:16:42,120 --> 00:16:43,960 Speaker 3: I think it's six of his last ten games. I 384 00:16:44,040 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 3: left out my number here according to the betting pro 385 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 3: pages prop pages, but you guys will be able to 386 00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 3: see it. He's projected over thirty six. But more importantly, 387 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:55,000 Speaker 3: the Niners got exposed last week from two to two 388 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,560 Speaker 3: at well out of the slot. And that's what I 389 00:16:57,680 --> 00:16:59,520 Speaker 3: think is going to happen here. You saw two to 390 00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,960 Speaker 3: going in motion moving out of the slot, and the 391 00:17:03,080 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 3: forty nine ers were just giving that up in that 392 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:07,480 Speaker 3: middle of the field. Well, guess what they lost Hargrave, 393 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 3: who is on that interior line. That's gonna equate the 394 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,360 Speaker 3: forty nine ers to this matchup's a little bit weird, 395 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,159 Speaker 3: but like the Patriots are gonna try to smash the 396 00:17:16,200 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 3: ball in and that's gonna give someone to have to cheat, 397 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,040 Speaker 3: whether it's gonna be a linebacker or it's gonna be 398 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,600 Speaker 3: like a Houfunga at safety. And that opens up that 399 00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:25,720 Speaker 3: middle of the field a little bit. And what happens 400 00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 3: the slot receiver tomorrow? Douglas pop Douglas eighty three percent 401 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:32,159 Speaker 3: out of the slot right now, I think he is 402 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 3: going to pull off another two to two at Well. 403 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,240 Speaker 3: They're not gonna get beat on the outside. They're not 404 00:17:36,280 --> 00:17:38,000 Speaker 3: gonna get beat a whole bunch on the passing game. 405 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 3: But down the middle, Pop Douglas gets his targets. It 406 00:17:41,400 --> 00:17:43,359 Speaker 3: was six or seven targets last week. We have a 407 00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:47,400 Speaker 3: thirty two point five over receiving yard marker. Yes, because 408 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 3: that is the weakness of the forty nine ers. So 409 00:17:49,000 --> 00:17:52,320 Speaker 3: let's pick on them, ugly Pop Douglas thirty two point 410 00:17:52,359 --> 00:17:54,520 Speaker 3: five over receiving yards. Boy, I love it. 411 00:17:54,560 --> 00:17:56,639 Speaker 2: It was my first bet of the week, all right now, 412 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 2: right now, you can't get the individual stuff I see 413 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 2: for a lot of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers right now 414 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 2: because of all the stuff going on post weather issues 415 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 2: in Florida. But but I did put Javante and Swift 416 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,200 Speaker 2: unders together and that'll get you plus two fifty two. 417 00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: So I can only assume here's one. 418 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 3: Thing you could do. Just put someone else's under, like 419 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:19,960 Speaker 3: it's gonna be like minus one fifteen. Just add one 420 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 3: more minus fifteen to it real quick, and tell us 421 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,320 Speaker 3: what that number will be when it's ready, all right, 422 00:18:24,400 --> 00:18:26,520 Speaker 3: when it's just anybody, just it doesn't even matter. Just 423 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 3: it'll be like a minus one fifteen. 424 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:32,040 Speaker 2: The oven, baby in the oven, all right, rushing props here, 425 00:18:33,720 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 2: let's see, let's put an under here for Chase Brown. 426 00:18:36,400 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 1: How about that? 427 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:37,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, it doesn't matter. 428 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 4: Even Chase Brown, you. 429 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,240 Speaker 2: Would never been the under. Okay, five sixty one. 430 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,880 Speaker 3: So that's you're gonna get like five and a half 431 00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 3: to one to go under on all three of those. 432 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: I'm one exact person, same thing, five sixty one. 433 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,640 Speaker 3: There, it doesn't matter. That's why the number is gonna 434 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:56,240 Speaker 3: look the same. Bettingpros dot com slash what is it 435 00:18:56,440 --> 00:18:58,240 Speaker 3: Ericson or and it's last name. 436 00:18:58,160 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: Right, Ericson for him? Oh yeah for me, Welsh for you, 437 00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:02,919 Speaker 1: go follow all of. 438 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 3: Those and look at this underprop as we are going 439 00:19:05,119 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 3: to put it on there and tail with us and 440 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 3: gloriously live the punishment of under thirty yard rushers and 441 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 3: take the cash home and just be happy about it. 442 00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:17,119 Speaker 2: It's wild, all right. Let's get to your next one here. 443 00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:20,439 Speaker 2: It's an over, folks, so let's talk about it here. 444 00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:23,359 Speaker 2: Brian Thomas Junior. Look, I've taken a bunch of overs 445 00:19:23,359 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 2: on him this year already, and I've listened to you, Erickson, 446 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,240 Speaker 2: and I've made money on it because he is that 447 00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 2: big splash guy and he's been able to do that. 448 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 1: Kenny do it again in week four? 449 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:34,280 Speaker 4: Well, he's done it for the three street weeks in 450 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,119 Speaker 4: a row since he's been in the NFL. Over the 451 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 4: five and a half receiving yards. I like him to 452 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:42,160 Speaker 4: go over again because when you're looking at Jacksonville, they're 453 00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 4: trying to kind of find their identity on offense. They're 454 00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 4: owing three coming off obviously that the horrible game against 455 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:49,000 Speaker 4: the Buffalo Bills. But you look at how you beat 456 00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 4: the Houston Texans and how they've been attacked is actually 457 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 4: been downfield. They've given up a lot of big plays. 458 00:19:54,200 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 4: Back to that Vikings game, where was Sam Donald. It 459 00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:59,080 Speaker 4: wasn't dank and dunk, it was Sam Donald Aeriel assault 460 00:19:59,240 --> 00:20:01,800 Speaker 4: down the field against it's the Houston Texans. So Trevor 461 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:05,640 Speaker 4: Lawrence again, they are attacking aggressively downfield. It hasn't really 462 00:20:05,680 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 4: been working that great, but when their offense has been 463 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 4: actually functioning, basically the first half of that Miami game, 464 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 4: it was downfield strikes to guys like Brian Thomas Junior. 465 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,240 Speaker 4: So I think again, going back to our basically our 466 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 4: mantra of the show, he can get it on one play. 467 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 4: Brian Thomas Junior can get this on one play. And 468 00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:25,320 Speaker 4: also Gabe Davis is dealing with a shoulder injury as well. 469 00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:27,479 Speaker 4: So while they're putting together this game plan, I think 470 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:29,480 Speaker 4: it's going to be a lot of Brian Thomas Junior. 471 00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,639 Speaker 4: So I like him to go over in this spot 472 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:33,760 Speaker 4: in the Dome against the Texans, which could be I 473 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 4: think is going to be a sneaky shootout. 474 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,280 Speaker 1: I like this while you were talking. I just bet 475 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:40,120 Speaker 1: all three of those unders that we were talking about. 476 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 2: Follow us on betting pros, folks. All right, next one here. 477 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 1: And final one. 478 00:20:44,920 --> 00:20:47,040 Speaker 2: Before we get to the touchdown calls, let's get to 479 00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,800 Speaker 2: a little fun bet that Welsh's put together for everybody 480 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,040 Speaker 2: out there. So Welsh, let's talk about your last of 481 00:20:53,119 --> 00:20:55,240 Speaker 2: the props for week four. 482 00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's a receptions prop. I actually ran this last 483 00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,159 Speaker 3: week and we didn't hit it. Unfortunate. We destroyed the 484 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,840 Speaker 3: Deontay Johnson one. He was three and a half, but 485 00:21:03,920 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 3: it was majorly juiced up. I paired it with Kelsey, 486 00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 3: good logic. He had four receptions, didn't get the fifth one, 487 00:21:10,560 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 3: so we didn't. 488 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 1: Kelsey breakout this week. I'm calling it Welsh. 489 00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 3: Then you can maybe you can put him a rear one. 490 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:19,600 Speaker 2: Hundred receptions against the Chargers, eight touchdowns at his career. 491 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 2: This is it is now or never, and it might 492 00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 2: be never, but this is it, folks, This is it, 493 00:21:24,040 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 2: especially with Derwin James out, with them having injuries everywhere. 494 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 2: If this isn't the Kelsey breakout week and you're getting 495 00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,240 Speaker 2: great numbers on dfs, you get great numbers everywhere across 496 00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 2: the board on him, just just do it. 497 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,960 Speaker 1: If it fails, it fails, but then we know it's dover. 498 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 1: I think if it's not this week, it's over good. 499 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 3: I think it was like mineus, like one thirty five 500 00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 3: or something like that. Maybe you can put him together something. 501 00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:46,680 Speaker 3: So I found two reception props that I love that 502 00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:49,360 Speaker 3: are massively juiced again. So we're gonna try to see 503 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:51,400 Speaker 3: if we can play this out, and we are going 504 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,720 Speaker 3: to get plus one fifty five on Greg Dortch two 505 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 3: and a half receptions over, paired with brock Bowers three 506 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 3: and a half or seven over. I thought we were 507 00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 3: done with ever having brock Boers under four and a 508 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 3: half receptions. The books said no, no, no, after last week. 509 00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:10,880 Speaker 3: So we're going to tell both of these these guys 510 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,439 Speaker 3: have hit this reception prop each in two of their 511 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,600 Speaker 3: last three weeks. We know there's some question marks with 512 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 3: the Raiders right now as far as like even DeVante Adams. 513 00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,480 Speaker 3: But also this is the force of the offense and 514 00:22:21,560 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 3: Brock Bowers and George is going up against Washington, the 515 00:22:25,640 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 3: worst secondary in the NFL. This is a great touchdown 516 00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:32,679 Speaker 3: play as well. Craig Dorsch safety net sure, Marvin Harrison 517 00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:34,960 Speaker 3: props are super fun. But do you ever bet on 518 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 3: Greg Dortch and experienced a weekend two and a half 519 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 3: receptions for him, three and a half for Bowers, get 520 00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 3: plus one fifty five. That's my fun reception parlay. 521 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 1: Of the week. 522 00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:48,680 Speaker 2: There you go, ericson close us out strong. Let's go 523 00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:51,600 Speaker 2: back to the Ravens game against the Bills. 524 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:52,520 Speaker 1: What do you have? Yeah? 525 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:54,639 Speaker 4: I love this game for the game total over. So 526 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,040 Speaker 4: I expect points on both sides, and I expect the 527 00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 4: Ravens have to throw the ball more because they can't 528 00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,080 Speaker 4: throw the ball less because last week Lamar Jackson attempted 529 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:04,240 Speaker 4: the fewest amount of pass attempts ever in a game 530 00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:07,240 Speaker 4: that he started and finished. So what you're seeing is 531 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 4: the Ravens receivers, their tight ends and guys like Zay Flowers, 532 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 4: who I like the over four and a half receptions. 533 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,639 Speaker 4: Their numbers are are suppressed because of how little the 534 00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 4: Ravens threw the ball last week, So I'm trying to 535 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:21,560 Speaker 4: take advantage of it in this completely different matchup where 536 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:23,320 Speaker 4: I think the Bills are gonna be putting up points. 537 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:24,680 Speaker 4: I think the Ravens are going to have to be 538 00:23:24,760 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 4: forced to throw a lot more. In through three weeks, 539 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 4: Save Flowers has been the clear cut target chair leader 540 00:23:29,840 --> 00:23:32,640 Speaker 4: in this Ravens offense. So again we have question marks 541 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:35,120 Speaker 4: about which tight end will get involved. Who's gonna run routes? 542 00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:37,359 Speaker 4: We don't know, but I do know that Zay Flowers 543 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 4: is the number one target. They're going to force feed 544 00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,719 Speaker 4: him touches in this particular matchup. When you look at 545 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 4: the Bills, what are they best at limiting big plays? 546 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,679 Speaker 4: It's why Jacksonville was so undermanned against them, because that's 547 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 4: Jacksonville's trying to do, is generate big plays. Say Flowers 548 00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,840 Speaker 4: is the underneath guy. Zay Flowers is the bubble screen guy, 549 00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:54,240 Speaker 4: so I think that he's going to get peppered. I 550 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,280 Speaker 4: don't know what the yardage will look like, but I 551 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:58,360 Speaker 4: would be very surprised if he didn't catch at least 552 00:23:58,359 --> 00:23:59,840 Speaker 4: six or seven balls in a shootout? 553 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:00,880 Speaker 1: All right? 554 00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:01,280 Speaker 5: Uh? 555 00:24:01,480 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I agree. 556 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 2: I think Derrick Henry and Zay Flowers those are the 557 00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:07,560 Speaker 2: two things you can control. 558 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:09,280 Speaker 3: And I do want to be Mark Andrews. 559 00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:10,840 Speaker 4: No one wants to bet Mark Andrews here. 560 00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:12,760 Speaker 2: Well me, I mean, the numbers are probably so low 561 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:14,160 Speaker 2: right now, I don't even know if you can really 562 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:15,920 Speaker 2: is it an even tenable at this point? 563 00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 4: Is this the week just go back all on tight ends? 564 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 4: Is this week for the tight end week that they 565 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 4: come because there's. 566 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:21,240 Speaker 1: Too many injuries? 567 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,879 Speaker 2: Like, you know, you still got McBride out still playing 568 00:24:24,920 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 2: at least maybe. I mean, look, I think you go 569 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 2: back in on Kelsey this week. 570 00:24:29,400 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 1: I do. 571 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:31,239 Speaker 4: I mean I kind of like Andrews too. 572 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 3: I kind of like the under on Andrews. I think, 573 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,439 Speaker 3: what does matter all of it? Anything? 574 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,840 Speaker 1: Well, let me look on BP touchdowns and let's see 575 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 1: that Andrews number. 576 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,159 Speaker 4: First. Look, I'm pretty sure his receptions was like two 577 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 4: and a half. 578 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 3: He'll have more, you'll have more pancake blocks than receptions. 579 00:24:48,960 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 2: Uh thirty one and a half receiving yards under, Yeah, 580 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,440 Speaker 2: I tend to go to the under and anytime touchdowns 581 00:24:55,480 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 2: plus you know you should do you should bet the 582 00:24:57,119 --> 00:24:59,840 Speaker 2: anytime touchdown a plus two seventy and then just bet 583 00:24:59,880 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 2: the under on the arts like he has that one 584 00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,200 Speaker 2: catch for a touchdown and everybody doesn't know what to 585 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:04,760 Speaker 2: think that that sounds. 586 00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 1: Very right now. 587 00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:08,680 Speaker 3: Is like that family guy meme where the guy walks in, 588 00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 3: he's like, I would like to bet on a sport 589 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:12,200 Speaker 3: and he gives him the money and he's like, would 590 00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:13,600 Speaker 3: you like to bet on I'm good and he just 591 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 3: leaves and yes, to lose the money. That'sunds good to it. 592 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:18,800 Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the touchdown calls for week 593 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 2: four and don't forget everybody. The touchdown Score Report at 594 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com slash touchdown is available and if you're 595 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 2: looking for an edge in the touchdown bets, it's a 596 00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,479 Speaker 2: great tool to be using, so go ahead check that out. 597 00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 2: We like to use it as well. Here the three 598 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:33,639 Speaker 2: of us our Touchdown Score Report. It compares anytime touchdown 599 00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 2: stats to prop bets and odds and projections to help 600 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:38,680 Speaker 2: identify the best of the best when it comes to 601 00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,919 Speaker 2: any time touchdown bets. It Head over to bettingpros dot 602 00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,760 Speaker 2: com slash touchdown right now for the latest touchdown prop 603 00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,639 Speaker 2: analysis today Welsh start. 604 00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:47,960 Speaker 1: Us off here. 605 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,440 Speaker 2: I gotta say this one feels a little risky to me. 606 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:52,680 Speaker 2: I know where your head's at that I don't know, 607 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 2: man sell me on Keenan Allen. 608 00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 4: Let's yeah. 609 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,880 Speaker 3: Well, last week I also gave you guys a plus 610 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 3: two thirty receiving touch in Juwan Jennings, so I'm sure 611 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:02,920 Speaker 3: to get back to you. 612 00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,159 Speaker 2: Look, man, the Jew, I remember last week when you 613 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 2: were it felt like with Juwan Jennings you were like, 614 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 2: oh man, it went from thirty eight to forty. 615 00:26:10,119 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 1: I hope you guys both said that. 616 00:26:11,960 --> 00:26:13,720 Speaker 3: It's just you know what it is. All it is 617 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,359 Speaker 3: is like getting a sexy line and then it moving. 618 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,040 Speaker 3: I'll give you I'll give you an example. 619 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:19,920 Speaker 1: Real you've cleared it by one hundred and thirty. 620 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,920 Speaker 3: I know, I know Ericson knew this. I got the 621 00:26:23,000 --> 00:26:26,159 Speaker 3: most ridiculous prop earlier this week. I got Carson Steel 622 00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:29,719 Speaker 3: Rushing Yards at twenty two and a half. It opened up, 623 00:26:29,920 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 3: they immediately took it down, and then two days went 624 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:35,399 Speaker 3: by and they boosted it back up. What did it 625 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,440 Speaker 3: open at forty and a half. That's actually not a 626 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,720 Speaker 3: bad number either, But it's like that value line of 627 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:44,200 Speaker 3: difference makes you just a little bit queasy. I'd still 628 00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 3: probably take Carson Steel like Juwan Jennings numbers. 629 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:51,679 Speaker 4: This week yet because nobody knows a lot of these 630 00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 4: guys are questionable, I think, but. 631 00:26:53,040 --> 00:26:55,280 Speaker 3: They're not doing there's no reception prop on him. But 632 00:26:55,359 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 3: it was forty eight and a half or forty seven 633 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 3: and a half on the receiving. 634 00:26:58,040 --> 00:26:58,920 Speaker 4: For Juwan Jennings. 635 00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:01,840 Speaker 3: But anyway, let's get over I'm not going with Juwan Jennings. 636 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 3: I'm going with Keenan Allen. You're saying it's risky obviously, 637 00:27:04,800 --> 00:27:06,880 Speaker 3: just because he hasn't been out there one hundred percent, 638 00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:09,280 Speaker 3: but that one game that he did play, he was 639 00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:12,879 Speaker 3: targeted both times, two times in the red zone. Now, 640 00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,000 Speaker 3: Caleb's kind of a little bit of a disaster. DJ 641 00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 3: Moore is not their red zone guy. A Dunes that 642 00:27:17,600 --> 00:27:21,000 Speaker 3: could be, but guess what he's banged up. Caleb loved 643 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 3: Keenan Allen, and Keenan Allen got those red zone targets, 644 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,840 Speaker 3: so if they get into the red zone, you can 645 00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 3: get Keenan Allen at almost three to one this week 646 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:34,119 Speaker 3: two eighty five from a red zone to games played 647 00:27:34,200 --> 00:27:37,120 Speaker 3: perspective it's one of the highest in Keenan Allen because 648 00:27:37,119 --> 00:27:39,440 Speaker 3: he played one game and he got two red zone targets. 649 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 3: I think he will get it again. You'll get that touchdown. 650 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 3: It almost three to one. That Do you want me 651 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:44,879 Speaker 3: to do my other one too? 652 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's let's run them all out there. 653 00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 3: Let's go the other one that I'm doing. I'm going 654 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:52,040 Speaker 3: with the Dolphins. I'm not going with Tyreek Hill. Devon 655 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 3: h Chan. You don't see a ton of good plus 656 00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,639 Speaker 3: money Devon a Chian anytime. Touchdowns. It's plus one fifty 657 00:27:57,800 --> 00:28:00,000 Speaker 3: this week. And I actually like it from the recis 658 00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 3: side because the Titans currently have given up three receiving 659 00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:06,679 Speaker 3: touchdowns to running backs and that's the most in the NFL. 660 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:09,320 Speaker 3: No one has given up more receiving touchdowns to RVs. 661 00:28:09,680 --> 00:28:13,080 Speaker 3: So I like that for mister Devon a Chan, whether 662 00:28:13,160 --> 00:28:15,640 Speaker 3: it's rushing or on that receiving side, because that's where 663 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:18,479 Speaker 3: he's gonna play. Plus one fifty eight Chan plus two 664 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,399 Speaker 3: eighty five Keenan all And those are my two touchdown calls. 665 00:28:21,800 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 2: All right, Ericson, give me some tds for Week four. 666 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 4: Going with Naji Harris plus one twenty five because I'm 667 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,680 Speaker 4: a slave to regression. Najia Harris leads the NFL in 668 00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:33,919 Speaker 4: red zone carries, has not scored a touchdown. The Colts 669 00:28:34,760 --> 00:28:37,119 Speaker 4: leave the NFL and most rushing yards allowed. They have 670 00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:41,920 Speaker 4: allowed one rushing touchdown. The numbers are they're converging here, people, 671 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:45,040 Speaker 4: the regression is converging here. So Naja Harris, I think 672 00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,960 Speaker 4: he's gonnacore muliple touchdowns in this game. So give me 673 00:28:48,040 --> 00:28:49,840 Speaker 4: him plus one twenty five to these score once and 674 00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 4: then my other one, my long shot special of the 675 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 4: week touchdowns. I may have found my next Donald Parum 676 00:28:55,400 --> 00:29:00,320 Speaker 4: potentially with this guy. Oh Eric call Eric Cincinnati Bengals 677 00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 4: rookie tight end too like. He's been heavily involved the 678 00:29:03,040 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 4: last two weeks. He has eight targets, eight receptions, super efficient. 679 00:29:06,840 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 4: Joe Burrow likes this guy. Every broadcast I've listened to 680 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 4: for the Bengals last two weeks, they don't stop talking 681 00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:16,120 Speaker 4: about Eric all Like, the Bengals absolutely love this guy, 682 00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:18,959 Speaker 4: and he's played a lot the last two weeks. Mike 683 00:29:19,000 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 4: Coseki snaps are still they're they're not super high, So 684 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:24,280 Speaker 4: I think we could see Eric will have a bigger 685 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,760 Speaker 4: role to play in the Carolina Panthers. No team has 686 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,440 Speaker 4: allowed more touchdowns to tight ends this year than the 687 00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,680 Speaker 4: Carolina Panthers. That the only team's actually allowed more than 688 00:29:31,720 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 4: one touchdown to a tight end this season, because no 689 00:29:33,720 --> 00:29:36,760 Speaker 4: tight ends are scoring any touchdowns. So also, eric All 690 00:29:36,840 --> 00:29:38,680 Speaker 4: has a big role in the red zone. You look 691 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:40,440 Speaker 4: at the amount of red zone snaps that the Bengals 692 00:29:40,480 --> 00:29:42,840 Speaker 4: have had the last two weeks. He's played on fifty 693 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:44,960 Speaker 4: percent of those snaps inside the ten yard line and 694 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:47,480 Speaker 4: no team has thrown the ball more inside the twenty 695 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:50,360 Speaker 4: yard line than Joe Burrow in the Bengals. So I 696 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 4: think they're gonna score, They're gonna have opportunities to score, 697 00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 4: and I think eric All is going to find his 698 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:55,840 Speaker 4: way into the end zone this week. It'd be a 699 00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 4: top twelve tight end fantasy because, well, if you score 700 00:29:58,720 --> 00:30:00,800 Speaker 4: a touchdown, you're going to be a you. 701 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:03,840 Speaker 3: Know, if you're an all time sicko. I just did it. 702 00:30:04,200 --> 00:30:07,080 Speaker 3: You could take both Ericson and I's long shot Keenan 703 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,880 Speaker 3: Allen and eric All anytime touchdowns twenty five to one. 704 00:30:11,160 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 3: Right now. Wow, eric All's number wasn't as good on 705 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 3: the book that I just used, by the way, it 706 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,040 Speaker 3: was plus five point fifty, but twenty five to one. 707 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 1: You know my long shot. 708 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:20,200 Speaker 2: I didn't put it in this week because I think 709 00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 2: Addison might be back, and if so, it might muddy 710 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:25,280 Speaker 2: the waters. But but Jalen Naylor has been terrific. I mean, 711 00:30:25,280 --> 00:30:27,960 Speaker 2: he's been a touchdown machine for the Vikings, and considering 712 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 2: Alexander and Jeffers aren't going to match up, I would 713 00:30:30,360 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 2: imagine that Nail would be looked at again in the 714 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,840 Speaker 2: red zone. So he's plus four seventy. But if you're 715 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:37,600 Speaker 2: looking for something a little safer, let's talk about Justin Fields. 716 00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 2: I want to go back to the Pittsburgh Steelers here 717 00:30:39,120 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 2: where Andrew Erickson was. Now for me, Justin Fields just 718 00:30:42,200 --> 00:30:44,200 Speaker 2: continues to get more and more confident every week. That 719 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:48,120 Speaker 2: Indiapolis Colts defense is trash, it's terrible, it's no good. 720 00:30:48,760 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 2: Plus one sixty it's a great number. It's better than 721 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,160 Speaker 2: an Naji Harris number. So give me Justin Fields. That's 722 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 2: who I want to score this week. I've gotten a 723 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,640 Speaker 2: lot of DFS lineups two because if he scores a touchdown, 724 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,200 Speaker 2: throws a touchdown, it's gonna be a really productive Fantasy day. 725 00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 2: And he rushes for I think I have him the 726 00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,880 Speaker 2: over in the rushing yards as well. I think he's 727 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 2: guys gonna run a UK, especially because nause is not 728 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 2: one hundred percent, So it does worry me. Just to Ted, 729 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:12,240 Speaker 2: Terry mclaurin's my other one at plus one ninety. You 730 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 2: saw the breakout performance from Jaydon Daniels. We are now comfortable. 731 00:31:16,600 --> 00:31:19,840 Speaker 2: We are now confident. I predicted it would happen, just 732 00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,520 Speaker 2: in a different game script. It wouldn't necessarily the Washington 733 00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 2: Commanders from ahead throwing the football with reckless a band, 734 00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:27,760 Speaker 2: and I thought it would come after they were behind. No, no, no, 735 00:31:28,280 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 2: even better, even more of a reason to be confident 736 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,320 Speaker 2: as they travel to Arizona and play a game with 737 00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:35,440 Speaker 2: one of the highest totals of the week. So give 738 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,480 Speaker 2: me Terry McLaurin plus one ninety justin feels plus one sixty, 739 00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,480 Speaker 2: and of course drop your comments below. What's your favorite 740 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 2: touchdown call of the week? Call a TD for me 741 00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:46,560 Speaker 2: right here on the channel. Don't forget to subscribe to 742 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:48,680 Speaker 2: the Betting Pros YouTube channel, Ring the Belt that it 743 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:51,400 Speaker 2: goes ding, and again, give us your comments, call your touchdowns, 744 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 2: your favorite props? What do you like, what do you hate, 745 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:55,320 Speaker 2: Just make sure you don't hate. 746 00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:57,680 Speaker 1: Us because we're so sensitive. Please don't know. It's fine. 747 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: You can do whatever you want in the comments. But again, 748 00:32:00,560 --> 00:32:03,560 Speaker 2: we're just happy you're here and hanging out with us. 749 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Betting Pros too. Wherever 750 00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,680 Speaker 2: you get your podcasts as well. We appreciate you being 751 00:32:08,720 --> 00:32:10,960 Speaker 2: with us. We see the numbers grow every single week. 752 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 2: It's because of all you hanging out watching the shows, 753 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,640 Speaker 2: listen to the shows, and we love that. Go join 754 00:32:15,720 --> 00:32:18,720 Speaker 2: our discord too, fantasyroxchieving almost fancy Pros. This is what 755 00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 2: happens when you work too many places. Bettingpros dot Com, 756 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,480 Speaker 2: slash Chat. I mean it's the same, it'll take you 757 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 2: to the same spot, but still Bettingpros dot Com slast chat. 758 00:32:26,800 --> 00:32:28,960 Speaker 2: Hang out with us there to Matt Parralt doing an 759 00:32:28,960 --> 00:32:31,960 Speaker 2: amazing job there, our host of the Daily Juice, getting 760 00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:36,080 Speaker 2: and interacting with everybody for college football, for NFL, for everything. 761 00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,040 Speaker 2: So be part of our Betting Pros community because we 762 00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:39,720 Speaker 2: want to win with you. 763 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 1: That'll do it for us. 764 00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:42,320 Speaker 2: But the story of the game goes on for the 765 00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,880 Speaker 2: Welsh and the Undertaker. Andrew ericson I'm Joey P. We'll 766 00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,120 Speaker 2: see you next time. Kids, enjoy Week four. 767 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:52,040 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 768 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,480 Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 769 00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 770 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 5: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 771 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 5: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 772 00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:07,120 Speaker 5: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.