1
00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:14,400
Speaker 1: Welcome the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

2
00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,680
Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. As we have been doing for

3
00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:21,040
Speaker 1: the past few weeks, we are breaking down every single

4
00:00:21,160 --> 00:00:24,840
Speaker 1: team in every single division and how they've improved or

5
00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:30,560
Speaker 1: not improved according to Super Bowl odds, according to conference odds,

6
00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:35,760
Speaker 1: according to division odds since the end of last season.

7
00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:45,400
Speaker 1: Today's division maybe the worst division in all of football.

8
00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:49,720
Speaker 1: I call it the nondescript Division. I call it the

9
00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:54,360
Speaker 1: division with helmets. Nobody cares about team names that sound

10
00:00:54,400 --> 00:01:00,960
Speaker 1: like they belong in a Oliver Stone movie, with a uniforms,

11
00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:06,000
Speaker 1: fake players, fake decals. I have been against this division

12
00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:10,160
Speaker 1: for years. I think nobody cares about any of these

13
00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:14,760
Speaker 1: teams except for the people in the towns they live in.

14
00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:21,920
Speaker 1: I'm inviting the haters. It's the NFC South, my least

15
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:30,040
Speaker 1: favorite division in football. Simon Hunter, my best friend, my companion,

16
00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:37,840
Speaker 1: the person for whom I have unconditional love. Talk to me.

17
00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,600
Speaker 1: How are you? But I'm shocked to hear you say

18
00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:42,840
Speaker 1: this thing was division. I actually love this division every year.

19
00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:45,440
Speaker 1: I'm one of those weird people. I love it. Maybe

20
00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:47,640
Speaker 1: maybe that's the difference between you and me, and ultimately

21
00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:49,960
Speaker 1: why you are a wise guy, and I'm just a

22
00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:53,120
Speaker 1: guy pretending to be a wise guy. But it is

23
00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:58,520
Speaker 1: to me like the Panthers and their uniforms and their helmets,

24
00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:03,120
Speaker 1: the Box and their uniforms and their helmets changing every year.

25
00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,600
Speaker 1: The Falcons, to me, even though they've been around forever,

26
00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:11,679
Speaker 1: still feel like an expansion franchise that nobody would ever

27
00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,560
Speaker 1: be interested in. Uh. The Saints are the only team

28
00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,280
Speaker 1: in that division to me that feels like there is

29
00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:25,680
Speaker 1: any history, character, interesting narrative ever. Like they're either really

30
00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:31,240
Speaker 1: good or they're really they're comically bad. Um Like the

31
00:02:31,360 --> 00:02:34,400
Speaker 1: Bucks are irrelevant unless they've got the greatest quarterback in

32
00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:38,359
Speaker 1: the history of football. So I I go by narratives

33
00:02:38,440 --> 00:02:41,600
Speaker 1: and sort of connection, and I have no connection here. None.

34
00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:43,920
Speaker 1: It sounds like a bitter Bears fan. That's what you

35
00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:47,040
Speaker 1: sound like. That's what you sound like, Chad. So let's

36
00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,679
Speaker 1: go over the NFC North. You guys have what two

37
00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,680
Speaker 1: super Bowls in the last thirty years. It's both Green Bay,

38
00:02:52,800 --> 00:02:55,880
Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. And I think I think the South

39
00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,000
Speaker 1: here has three super Bowls in the last twenty years.

40
00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:02,080
Speaker 1: So think about the history of the NFC North versus

41
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:06,320
Speaker 1: the NFC now like versus the NFC South. Like the

42
00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:12,440
Speaker 1: Bears have six Hall of Famers in my lifetime, the

43
00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:15,320
Speaker 1: Packers have gone from one of the best quarterbacks of

44
00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:18,399
Speaker 1: all time to a guy who is better. The Vikings

45
00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,440
Speaker 1: have one of the most interesting narratives and stories in

46
00:03:22,480 --> 00:03:26,160
Speaker 1: football history, between losing all the Super Bowls, playing in

47
00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,239
Speaker 1: some of the most important games ever, playing outside now

48
00:03:29,280 --> 00:03:33,720
Speaker 1: playing inside, I always always choke and the Lions like,

49
00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:36,800
Speaker 1: you can't get more traditional than the team that anchors

50
00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:42,960
Speaker 1: Thanksgiving Day. I love it. No history, there's no tradition

51
00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,520
Speaker 1: with any of these teams in the NFC South every

52
00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:52,120
Speaker 1: year like they will anchor a corner TV game in

53
00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:56,160
Speaker 1: some sports book every single week. I do want to

54
00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:57,880
Speaker 1: talk about how I'm killing myself that me and you

55
00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,640
Speaker 1: didn't talk about Tebog getting released in h How do

56
00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:03,600
Speaker 1: we not bet that? How do we not bet his

57
00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,840
Speaker 1: under teeth? Like I remember looking at it and thinking

58
00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,000
Speaker 1: myself like there's no way he's going to make this team,

59
00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:11,280
Speaker 1: and not a lot of talk. Listen, Matt Mitchell has

60
00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:14,080
Speaker 1: made it clear we can't talk about the FC South today.

61
00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,159
Speaker 1: We're not allow to talk about the a f C South.

62
00:04:16,760 --> 00:04:18,920
Speaker 1: Next week we can talk about how much we don't

63
00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,040
Speaker 1: like the f C South as a division. Next week

64
00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,719
Speaker 1: we can only focus on the NFC South, and I

65
00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:29,680
Speaker 1: want to get into division odds, conference odds, super Bowl odds,

66
00:04:29,720 --> 00:04:32,920
Speaker 1: and totals for each of these teams, improvements for each

67
00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,400
Speaker 1: of these teams. Obviously, the Bucks are gonna be interesting,

68
00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:37,360
Speaker 1: But I do want you to give me your honest

69
00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:39,599
Speaker 1: take why you love this division. Is it because there's

70
00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:42,919
Speaker 1: always gambling opportunity And if you say yes, I have

71
00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,680
Speaker 1: a counter to that that proves my point or is

72
00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,440
Speaker 1: it something else? Um? I do love I mean that's

73
00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:51,760
Speaker 1: skewed a little bit. I love that there you have

74
00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:53,880
Speaker 1: two different teams here. We have Atlanta and the Saints

75
00:04:53,920 --> 00:04:57,400
Speaker 1: have both played into ours. So I mean, ever since

76
00:04:57,440 --> 00:05:00,000
Speaker 1: Drew Brees got New Orleans, that offense has been incredible.

77
00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:02,640
Speaker 1: And with Atlanta they had Mike Vick and then like

78
00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:05,919
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan. So They's just I feel like this division

79
00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:09,080
Speaker 1: has always had good teams in it. And again, the

80
00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,280
Speaker 1: Carolina Panthers, you can say what they want. They made

81
00:05:11,320 --> 00:05:13,000
Speaker 1: it the Super Bowl Jake alone, and they made the

82
00:05:13,040 --> 00:05:15,919
Speaker 1: Super Bowl of Camp. So it's just it feels like

83
00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:19,159
Speaker 1: it's a division that produces good teams. And again, like

84
00:05:19,200 --> 00:05:22,039
Speaker 1: you said, they're not, you know, the most glamorous teams.

85
00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,839
Speaker 1: They're newer, they don't really get that like diehard fan

86
00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,760
Speaker 1: based all across the country. But I just always find

87
00:05:27,760 --> 00:05:31,400
Speaker 1: that it's good offensive teams in the NFC South. Look,

88
00:05:31,839 --> 00:05:35,680
Speaker 1: I'm a fundamental guy. I'm not a glamorous guy. Right

89
00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:40,719
Speaker 1: I live in the middle of Connecticut. I might be

90
00:05:40,920 --> 00:05:45,279
Speaker 1: a media superstar. I might have written seven books, four

91
00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:49,200
Speaker 1: of them best sellers. Chad Milman wrote a book. I

92
00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:54,200
Speaker 1: might have had glamorous, high profile positions. At some point,

93
00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 1: you would expect Milman will show some signs of nerves.

94
00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:00,360
Speaker 1: Hasn't done any of that so far. Tonight. I might

95
00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:05,400
Speaker 1: be famous. I might have left a hugely powerful job

96
00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:08,760
Speaker 1: to help launch a company that's sold three years later

97
00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:12,719
Speaker 1: for a quarter of a billion dollars where it is

98
00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:17,000
Speaker 1: where I had to make a movie. But in my heart,

99
00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:20,560
Speaker 1: in my heart, I'm about the fundamentals. I have always

100
00:06:20,640 --> 00:06:26,640
Speaker 1: been someone who loves defense before offense. Now, I guess

101
00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:31,200
Speaker 1: since Captive run all night and to me, the fact

102
00:06:31,240 --> 00:06:33,920
Speaker 1: that this has always been a division built on offense

103
00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:38,720
Speaker 1: speaks to sort of the usfl nature of this division.

104
00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:41,320
Speaker 1: Versus what to me, the rest of the NFL is,

105
00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,839
Speaker 1: which is hit people in the fucking mouth, get great

106
00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:50,200
Speaker 1: middle linebackers, run it up their fucking throat, and play

107
00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,760
Speaker 1: great defense. That's it. That to me is the NFL

108
00:06:53,040 --> 00:06:55,920
Speaker 1: that I think is nailing. Why why I've never liked

109
00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,479
Speaker 1: they are indoor teams playing track meets like that's it.

110
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:02,120
Speaker 1: That's why I don't like the NFC. South. You really

111
00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,160
Speaker 1: are Mike Tomlin. When I think of Chad, I think

112
00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:08,080
Speaker 1: of Mike Tomlin today. You ain't know that that's no

113
00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:10,840
Speaker 1: more now, you know what I mean? Dominate this one,

114
00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:15,000
Speaker 1: regular guy. I was just done on a FaceTime with

115
00:07:15,040 --> 00:07:18,000
Speaker 1: Patrick Keane, who is, as everyone knows, the CEO of

116
00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:20,440
Speaker 1: the Action Network. I don't know what you the polos

117
00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:23,920
Speaker 1: amateur bolltrap? All right? Do you hear, babe? Do you understand? Night?

118
00:07:24,280 --> 00:07:26,080
Speaker 1: And I have to go in the city later today.

119
00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:28,480
Speaker 1: I gotta I'm gonna I gotta have dinner with somebody,

120
00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,600
Speaker 1: and then I got breakfast with somebody. And after that,

121
00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:33,600
Speaker 1: my older son is coming into the city. He's gonna

122
00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,640
Speaker 1: meet me. He's going to college in three weeks. We're

123
00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,920
Speaker 1: doing one last father son hurrah in the city. On

124
00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:40,560
Speaker 1: Friday night and then we're gonna do a bunch of

125
00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:44,360
Speaker 1: things on Saturday during the day. Um, and I'm wearing

126
00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:48,360
Speaker 1: a black shirt with a collar shortly it's like a

127
00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,440
Speaker 1: polo type of shirt. And Patrick says to me, he goes,

128
00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:53,400
Speaker 1: you're going to the city. I'm like yeah. He goes,

129
00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:55,440
Speaker 1: you look good. I'm like thanks. He goes, you got

130
00:07:55,480 --> 00:07:58,560
Speaker 1: a new shirt on? I go no, he goes, that's right,

131
00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:02,600
Speaker 1: you would never buy a new shirt. That's me, buddy,

132
00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,320
Speaker 1: jokes on him, chat every shirt some days a new shirt.

133
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,480
Speaker 1: Oh so true, my friend. All right, let's get to

134
00:08:09,520 --> 00:08:15,480
Speaker 1: the point. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They are six and

135
00:08:15,520 --> 00:08:17,840
Speaker 1: a half to want to win the super Bowl, second

136
00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:21,480
Speaker 1: after the Chiefs. They are one to two to win

137
00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,920
Speaker 1: their division. Their season win total is twelve. There are

138
00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:30,960
Speaker 1: three to one to win the NFC conference title. New

139
00:08:31,080 --> 00:08:37,240
Speaker 1: Orleans is thirty one to one to win the super Bowl.

140
00:08:37,880 --> 00:08:40,079
Speaker 1: Three to one to win a division nine is their

141
00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:42,200
Speaker 1: season win total, sixteen to one to win the conference,

142
00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:47,080
Speaker 1: Atlanta si to one, super Bowl eight to one, Division

143
00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:52,080
Speaker 1: seven and a half win total one Carolina on Conference

144
00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:55,640
Speaker 1: Carolina eight to one, ten to one on the Division

145
00:08:55,679 --> 00:08:57,599
Speaker 1: seven and a half win total forty to one to

146
00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:02,640
Speaker 1: win the conference. I don't know about you. Moms are

147
00:09:02,800 --> 00:09:05,760
Speaker 1: bursting at the moment. How are we not all in

148
00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:10,600
Speaker 1: on Carolina at every level? Uh? Sam Donald, That's an

149
00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,839
Speaker 1: easy answer to that question. We really do. We really

150
00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:18,440
Speaker 1: not believe in Sam Donald so much that uh, that

151
00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:20,400
Speaker 1: we don't think this is a team we're taking a

152
00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:25,840
Speaker 1: flyer on. They're not because I'd rather do it on Atlanta,

153
00:09:25,960 --> 00:09:28,360
Speaker 1: where I've seen Matt Ryan do it before. And I've

154
00:09:28,360 --> 00:09:30,840
Speaker 1: never seen Sam Donald put together back to back good

155
00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,400
Speaker 1: games and his entire career, like ever since he's been

156
00:09:33,440 --> 00:09:35,280
Speaker 1: on the Jets, I've never seen him have back to

157
00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:38,680
Speaker 1: back really good starts. He's kind of like a bipolar quarterback.

158
00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:40,719
Speaker 1: He's good, then he's bad. He's bad, he's bad, and

159
00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:43,360
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, he's good again. I have

160
00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:45,640
Speaker 1: high hopes from because he's so young. I feel like

161
00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:47,760
Speaker 1: maybe they can coach all his bad habits out of him.

162
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:51,679
Speaker 1: But like I told you, we were coming slowly becoming

163
00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:54,360
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcon podcast. I don't want it to happen. I

164
00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:57,840
Speaker 1: hate Atlanta, but it's just one of those on paper,

165
00:09:58,360 --> 00:10:01,960
Speaker 1: um like and my jobs to find you value that's

166
00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,719
Speaker 1: the best value for this division. And we talked a

167
00:10:05,760 --> 00:10:09,120
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago how I can't get over how

168
00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,360
Speaker 1: bad the public is at sports spending, the fact that

169
00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:14,400
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers are one of the highest bet teams this

170
00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,319
Speaker 1: year to repeat again. We haven't seen a repeat since

171
00:10:17,360 --> 00:10:19,640
Speaker 1: I think Brady didn't know for like a long time

172
00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:24,400
Speaker 1: ago a repeat happened, and the same time last year

173
00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:26,439
Speaker 1: that the Bucks are twelve the one to win Super Bowl.

174
00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:29,120
Speaker 1: They haven't changed at all from this year to last year.

175
00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:31,520
Speaker 1: They're literally the exact same team, but now the odds

176
00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,400
Speaker 1: are cut in half just because of public perception that,

177
00:10:34,559 --> 00:10:37,160
Speaker 1: you know, they just want a Super Bowl. People think

178
00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:39,560
Speaker 1: they're clearly the best team the NFC, where I don't.

179
00:10:39,800 --> 00:10:42,480
Speaker 1: And it's just one of these where if you're just

180
00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:45,880
Speaker 1: looking at value, the Buccaneers have zero value. They're they're

181
00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,880
Speaker 1: literally a Tom Brady injury away. I mean, you could

182
00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:50,920
Speaker 1: say for every team that they're injury away for the quarterback.

183
00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,160
Speaker 1: But no team has a quarterback that's forty four years

184
00:10:54,160 --> 00:10:58,160
Speaker 1: old entering this season except the Buccaneers. And I get it,

185
00:10:58,240 --> 00:11:01,000
Speaker 1: Tom Brady made amazing plays ast year. We talked all

186
00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:03,400
Speaker 1: the time, Chad all the little things have to go

187
00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:06,120
Speaker 1: right for the Buccaneers and win that Super Bowl last year.

188
00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:09,480
Speaker 1: And it's just so dumb that people are they're just

189
00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,080
Speaker 1: hurting themselves bett in this number, because again, if they

190
00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:15,199
Speaker 1: just wait a month into the season, I promise you're

191
00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,480
Speaker 1: gonna have better odds. There's just no way the Buccaneers

192
00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,559
Speaker 1: starting the year four. Now we've just seen it that

193
00:11:20,080 --> 00:11:21,959
Speaker 1: even last year they were't a great regular season team.

194
00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,199
Speaker 1: They lost to your Bears at home. Tom Brady forgot

195
00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:26,640
Speaker 1: what down it was. We saw them barely beat the

196
00:11:26,679 --> 00:11:28,960
Speaker 1: Giants late in the season. The Giants are an awful team.

197
00:11:29,080 --> 00:11:31,160
Speaker 1: So it's one of these where I think people are

198
00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:32,920
Speaker 1: just really hyped because of the off season what we

199
00:11:32,960 --> 00:11:36,280
Speaker 1: saw last year from the Buccaneers that any team you

200
00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:38,360
Speaker 1: bet in this division you're getting good value on simply

201
00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:40,920
Speaker 1: because the hype is so high right now in the Buccaneers.

202
00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,319
Speaker 1: And again, I just don't think that they're one of

203
00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,320
Speaker 1: these teams that deserve it. That I love Tom Brady,

204
00:11:46,360 --> 00:11:48,280
Speaker 1: but I just don't think they're a regular season team.

205
00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,040
Speaker 1: We saw last year. There are a playoffs. They made

206
00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,400
Speaker 1: good plays in the playoffs, but the regular season they

207
00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:55,000
Speaker 1: were lacking a lot of games. So for me, it's

208
00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,559
Speaker 1: it's definitely a value based bet here taking Atlanta win

209
00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,800
Speaker 1: this division of plus seven hundred. That's so interesting. I

210
00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:05,640
Speaker 1: do want to say, UH shout out to uh John

211
00:12:05,679 --> 00:12:11,320
Speaker 1: Fricky and Hugh Douglas morning radio hosts in Atlanta. For

212
00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:14,720
Speaker 1: the past two years. I've been going on Atlanta Radio

213
00:12:15,400 --> 00:12:19,440
Speaker 1: every morning at eight forty Eastern every week during the

214
00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:25,600
Speaker 1: pandemic all the time. Yesterday, UH I got fired from

215
00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:32,120
Speaker 1: Atlanta Radio and from my segment, and UH I got

216
00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:36,120
Speaker 1: a call they said they wanna start using somebody else.

217
00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:39,760
Speaker 1: Uh it's the company that owns the radio station. Is

218
00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:43,040
Speaker 1: Odyssey used to be known as Intercom. We had to

219
00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:47,120
Speaker 1: deal with Intercom for me. Stucky Colin Wilson a bunch

220
00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:51,319
Speaker 1: of people to do radio hits on enter Com stations

221
00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:55,120
Speaker 1: for the two thousand nineteen football season and it was

222
00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,240
Speaker 1: all over the country right there, like thirty stations. You know,

223
00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,600
Speaker 1: there are a bunch of us doing it. I was

224
00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:03,000
Speaker 1: doing a bunch of them. And when the season ended,

225
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:04,880
Speaker 1: the deal was up, Like at the end of two

226
00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:08,800
Speaker 1: thousand nineteen, early in two thousand twenty, the deal was up.

227
00:13:09,600 --> 00:13:12,360
Speaker 1: I expected them to stop calling me, but two stations

228
00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:15,920
Speaker 1: kept calling me and every week eight forty in Atlanta,

229
00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:21,240
Speaker 1: nine o'clock in Baltimore, every single week, and I'm like, okay,

230
00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,840
Speaker 1: I don't know, Like, if they want to keep calling me,

231
00:13:23,920 --> 00:13:26,080
Speaker 1: it's ten minutes. I'll keep talking. I like the guys,

232
00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:30,360
Speaker 1: this guy John Freaky in Atlanta knows everything about gambling.

233
00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:33,679
Speaker 1: Clearly from the first time we spoke, he was like more,

234
00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,840
Speaker 1: he understood more about sports betting than anyone I was

235
00:13:36,840 --> 00:13:39,000
Speaker 1: talking to. So I kept doing it. They kept calling

236
00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:41,480
Speaker 1: during the pandemic. They called every week last season, they

237
00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:43,840
Speaker 1: kept calling every week this season. I let them know

238
00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:45,960
Speaker 1: when I'm going on vacations so they didn't call me.

239
00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:48,400
Speaker 1: Like yesterday, on Monday, I get a call from a

240
00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:50,960
Speaker 1: buddy of mine there who's a high ranking executive. He's like, so,

241
00:13:51,120 --> 00:13:55,280
Speaker 1: it turns out at the at the national level, we

242
00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,720
Speaker 1: didn't realize you were still doing the shows, and they

243
00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,319
Speaker 1: bought a company that is focused on sports betting, and

244
00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:03,120
Speaker 1: they want to use those people, so we can't use

245
00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:06,800
Speaker 1: you anymore. I'm like, okay, But every single I'm like,

246
00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:09,000
Speaker 1: I'm surprised I was still doing it. I can't believe

247
00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,439
Speaker 1: you guys do this long to call me and tell

248
00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,800
Speaker 1: me to stop doing the show. And um, every single

249
00:14:14,800 --> 00:14:16,959
Speaker 1: week I went on Atlanta Radio, I would all I

250
00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:22,120
Speaker 1: would do was ripped the Atlanta Falcons. That's it. That's

251
00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,200
Speaker 1: been me ever since the Super Bowl. I just felt

252
00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:27,840
Speaker 1: like that team was broken and it's one of those

253
00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:29,440
Speaker 1: things where they did it. They've done a cleanse. Now

254
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,720
Speaker 1: they're putting up gen rid of all these guys from

255
00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:36,240
Speaker 1: that team. Um, again we talked about the off seas.

256
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,120
Speaker 1: I wouldn't let you bet on them because I just

257
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:40,320
Speaker 1: every year people have bet on Atlanta. I'm just like,

258
00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:44,120
Speaker 1: this is a loser franchise. But I just love the

259
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:46,120
Speaker 1: value that they're getting this year, just because it's one

260
00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:48,640
Speaker 1: of those where people have the same mentality we've had

261
00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:50,920
Speaker 1: for the last three or four years, like these guys suck.

262
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,240
Speaker 1: Why bet anything on Atlanta? Where I look at Arthur

263
00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:57,240
Speaker 1: Smith and I think myself, Okay, is this the year

264
00:14:57,240 --> 00:14:59,400
Speaker 1: I can get the advantage of betting this guy where

265
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,040
Speaker 1: it's his first you're in Atlanta, no one's seen it coming.

266
00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,800
Speaker 1: Everyone's still you know, we're not really sure about the

267
00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,560
Speaker 1: Saints because again, the Saints won this division last year.

268
00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,480
Speaker 1: They were two and oh against the Bucks in the

269
00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:13,520
Speaker 1: regular season. They dominated them in the regular season. UM.

270
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:15,840
Speaker 1: So it is interesting where the Saints are still what

271
00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,960
Speaker 1: let's see their plus three thirty to win this division

272
00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:22,960
Speaker 1: on vandal It's interesting to me that that that odds

273
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 1: are three thirty in Atlanta's plus seven hundred. I mean

274
00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,720
Speaker 1: to me, the Saints that I know where the quarterback

275
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:31,280
Speaker 1: is right now, and the fact that they have the

276
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,200
Speaker 1: second highest odds, it just feels like you're getting really

277
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:36,760
Speaker 1: good value here on the simple fact that people just

278
00:15:36,800 --> 00:15:39,000
Speaker 1: do not want to bet Atlanta and they're tired of Atlanta.

279
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:41,080
Speaker 1: And it's one of the things where we might be

280
00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:43,360
Speaker 1: able to get a year early before people catch up

281
00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:45,840
Speaker 1: to this team and get on this train. So plus

282
00:15:45,880 --> 00:15:49,120
Speaker 1: seven hundred chat, that's that's crazy good value that you're

283
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:53,920
Speaker 1: You're completely turning me around. Um And I do think

284
00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:59,600
Speaker 1: we have to have an Arthur Smith conversation because we

285
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:02,480
Speaker 1: we talk a lot about the Titans and and this

286
00:16:02,600 --> 00:16:08,720
Speaker 1: was before the Ryan Tannehill conversation. UM, I mean before

287
00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,360
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz had injured had injured his foot, and there

288
00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:14,800
Speaker 1: was uncertainty about when is he gonna play, and we

289
00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,320
Speaker 1: all thought Carson Wentz to be playing and we thought

290
00:16:17,320 --> 00:16:19,320
Speaker 1: there'd be a step up with the Colts with Carson

291
00:16:19,360 --> 00:16:22,560
Speaker 1: wentz Um, and we thought in Frank Right and as

292
00:16:22,600 --> 00:16:24,760
Speaker 1: the coach, we thought there'd be a step down for

293
00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:29,240
Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill because he lost Arthur Smith. And I feel

294
00:16:29,280 --> 00:16:31,400
Speaker 1: like if our logic is going to be Arthur Smith

295
00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:35,000
Speaker 1: was that important for Ryan Tannehill even as a head coach,

296
00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:38,840
Speaker 1: he can still have an impact on Matt Ryan and

297
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 1: the offense, then we need to give them a bump up, right,

298
00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:44,640
Speaker 1: Like we have to invest in the Arthur Smith if

299
00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:48,120
Speaker 1: we're going to divest from the Titans because he's not

300
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,160
Speaker 1: there anymore. And also the Titans, do you not that

301
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,800
Speaker 1: they're panicking, but they signed Julio That's a move where

302
00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:55,840
Speaker 1: they're just like, Okay, even though we're gonna have a

303
00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,120
Speaker 1: j Brown, we already bested a high draft pick and

304
00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,280
Speaker 1: Corey Davis. We need to go out there and get

305
00:17:00,360 --> 00:17:02,400
Speaker 1: Julio Jones because we just need to make sure that

306
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,600
Speaker 1: tan Hill is everything he needs to have the best year.

307
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,400
Speaker 1: Where they did the zac same thing on Lanta Elena.

308
00:17:08,359 --> 00:17:10,920
Speaker 1: I still not over the fact they passed on Justin Fields.

309
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,280
Speaker 1: I don't get it at all. Matt Ryan has just

310
00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,520
Speaker 1: been a corpse in this league ever since that Super

311
00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:19,160
Speaker 1: Bowl run. And like it's the fact that they did

312
00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:22,200
Speaker 1: that shows this front offense is in a win now mode. Okay,

313
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:24,760
Speaker 1: they passed on the quarterback of the future with the

314
00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 1: they have a veteran quarterback where they're paying I mean,

315
00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:28,399
Speaker 1: I don't even know. It might be forty million this

316
00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,240
Speaker 1: year to Matt Ryan. He I think he's the highest

317
00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:33,040
Speaker 1: paid quarterback in the league or maybe number two. And

318
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:37,000
Speaker 1: the fact they took Pitts, who, again, the hype is

319
00:17:37,119 --> 00:17:39,359
Speaker 1: so real in this kid. Like all the fantasy guys

320
00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:41,800
Speaker 1: they have him projected it to have the greatest rookie

321
00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:44,760
Speaker 1: season ever as a tight end, which again Chead, we

322
00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:47,480
Speaker 1: know that just doesn't happen. We we talked about it before.

323
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:51,600
Speaker 1: My whole reason of being down on pitch was just because, Okay,

324
00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,360
Speaker 1: the best three tight ends of football right now Kelsey

325
00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:58,120
Speaker 1: fifth round pick, Kittle, fifth round pick, Waller. I think

326
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,200
Speaker 1: he was drafted and got cut by the ball part.

327
00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,280
Speaker 1: Ravens got picked up by Oakland. That's the top Vegas.

328
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:08,240
Speaker 1: Vegas picked up by Vegas. Damn it um. But yeah,

329
00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,480
Speaker 1: it's it's just one of those. That's only reason I

330
00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,280
Speaker 1: was so down the pits thing, but now that he's

331
00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:14,640
Speaker 1: on the team, I can't deny the talent. This kid

332
00:18:14,720 --> 00:18:19,000
Speaker 1: is unreal. I mean just watching their practice footage, he

333
00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:21,680
Speaker 1: does not drop the ball. Anything that's in his radius,

334
00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:23,520
Speaker 1: he's gonna catch it. Okay. And now we have Calvin

335
00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:26,240
Speaker 1: Ridley as well, who is graded out as a top

336
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,720
Speaker 1: five pass catcher and football. Now that he's running that show,

337
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 1: like again, his eyes have been been up really high

338
00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:33,280
Speaker 1: to lead the league in yards. So if I'm just

339
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:35,639
Speaker 1: going on base offense of the talent they have and

340
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,440
Speaker 1: now bringing in Arthur Smith, who I think a really

341
00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:41,679
Speaker 1: smart offensive mine, I mean, chat, how can ween not

342
00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,520
Speaker 1: bet this team. It's just one of these things where

343
00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:45,600
Speaker 1: the arrow is just putting up in so many different

344
00:18:45,600 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 1: ways for this Atlanta Falcon team. Oh my god, you

345
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:53,920
Speaker 1: have totally convinced me. It's it's it's making me crazy.

346
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:58,680
Speaker 1: Let's keep focusing on Atlanta for one more second. We're

347
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:00,719
Speaker 1: not betting on Atlanta sixty for to one to win

348
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:05,160
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I mean I did, but like it's

349
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:07,840
Speaker 1: hard for me, Yeah, but it was. It was even

350
00:19:07,880 --> 00:19:09,440
Speaker 1: better odds than that. I think it was at seventy

351
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:11,760
Speaker 1: one at that point that I got it. But it's

352
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:13,640
Speaker 1: one of those where I haven't posted in the app

353
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,760
Speaker 1: because it's I don't want people to do it. It's

354
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,040
Speaker 1: it's honestly, like one of these bets I'm I'm making

355
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,280
Speaker 1: by I truly have zero confidence in because I I

356
00:19:22,400 --> 00:19:27,400
Speaker 1: just think that how can you come back from three?

357
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:29,840
Speaker 1: I just I I just can't see a team ever

358
00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:31,879
Speaker 1: coming back to that. So they might make the playoffs,

359
00:19:32,520 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 1: but it's gonna be in the fourth quarter, Matt Ryan's

360
00:19:35,119 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 1: gonna be up six points and he's gonna throw some

361
00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:39,679
Speaker 1: picks six or something terrible. Because like, it's just one

362
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:41,480
Speaker 1: of these things that that has to be haunting someone

363
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 1: for the rest of their life. So that's why I, like,

364
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,240
Speaker 1: I wouldn't recommend betting them for the Super Bowl for

365
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:49,120
Speaker 1: best odds and value. I think it's just divisional wise,

366
00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,320
Speaker 1: it's plus that plus seven hundreds by far the best

367
00:19:51,400 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 1: value for this team. I mean, someday somebody on that team,

368
00:19:54,560 --> 00:20:00,080
Speaker 1: they're gonna have to relieve themselves from the stench of

369
00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,760
Speaker 1: that Super Bowl. It can't be a legacy that hangs

370
00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:06,000
Speaker 1: on the team year after year, after the coach is gone,

371
00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:09,600
Speaker 1: after the quarterback is gone, Chad, what was that a

372
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:13,040
Speaker 1: hundred years? You're not wrong. I mean, you know how

373
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,720
Speaker 1: these things work. Man. It's like again, as an Eagles fan,

374
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 1: I still can't believe it took us with a backup

375
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,040
Speaker 1: quarterback to take down Tom Brady for us to win

376
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:23,719
Speaker 1: a super Bowl. It's like for you to get over

377
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 1: a curse. Teams need a miracle, and I don't know,

378
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,240
Speaker 1: I just can't see Atlanta having a miracle. They don't.

379
00:20:29,560 --> 00:20:31,680
Speaker 1: It feels like we're twenty years away from Atlanta getting

380
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 1: Super Bowl, that that's the next regime. But I do

381
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,080
Speaker 1: like what they're doing for this year alone. All right,

382
00:20:36,119 --> 00:20:39,720
Speaker 1: So eight to one, God, you've got me totally seven

383
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 1: seven to one, You've got me totally convinced that that

384
00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: is the team to bet in the NFC South Value

385
00:20:50,560 --> 00:20:54,120
Speaker 1: Best Value Tampa one to two, uh, New Orleans three

386
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,920
Speaker 1: to one, Atlanta seven to one. Caroline attended one. UH.

387
00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 1: The total on um UH Atlanta is seven and a

388
00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:07,280
Speaker 1: half to one. If you like him at seven to

389
00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,399
Speaker 1: one to win the division, should we also be betting

390
00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 1: them over seven and a half. Yeah? The wind sold

391
00:21:12,840 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 1: was interesting. They have seven a half and so does Carolina.

392
00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 1: It was kind of interesting. With the bookmakers say, Okay,

393
00:21:17,320 --> 00:21:20,720
Speaker 1: one of these teams isn't is you know, probably gonna

394
00:21:20,760 --> 00:21:22,960
Speaker 1: win four games. You guys have to figure out which

395
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: one that is. So for me, just look on paper

396
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,439
Speaker 1: and the coaching staffs. Again, nothing against Matt Rule. I

397
00:21:28,440 --> 00:21:30,200
Speaker 1: thought he did a great job there last year. They've

398
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 1: had have plenty of tough games, especially with Teddy Bridgewater

399
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: as a quarterback. But I cannot do it, cannot back

400
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 1: Sam Donald. I just I need to see it to

401
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 1: believe it. I'm one of those people where like I

402
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 1: might miss a year and I might be late on that,

403
00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:47,440
Speaker 1: but I feel safe for betting against it than betting Ford.

404
00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:51,520
Speaker 1: So for them, I'm on the Underworth Carolina. I was

405
00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 1: actually liked the over on the Saints, but now going

406
00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:59,360
Speaker 1: through the roster losing Michael Thomas, they've lost two d tackles. Um,

407
00:22:00,000 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 1: it doesn't sound like a big deal. That's a huge

408
00:22:01,600 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 1: deal for that team because they didn't really have great

409
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,560
Speaker 1: backups to start with for their for their D line.

410
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: So I know the Saints that when the best old

411
00:22:09,000 --> 00:22:11,680
Speaker 1: lines on football. I am a believer that they're gonna

412
00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 1: change everything. They're gonna make it. The offense towards Taysom

413
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,000
Speaker 1: Hill again, we saw him start the preseason Game one,

414
00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:21,920
Speaker 1: even though he's still the under, the underdog start Week one. UM,

415
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 1: I cannot take the Saints over nine anymore. It's one

416
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 1: of those where it feels like this will be a

417
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: rebuilding year where I was kind of high on the

418
00:22:29,840 --> 00:22:32,520
Speaker 1: Saints that, Okay, they have the pieces in place, it

419
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 1: seems like they're just gonna have a season from hell.

420
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:35,840
Speaker 1: They're gonna have a lot of injuries. They're gonna have,

421
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,639
Speaker 1: you know, just woes with Taysom Hill because like we

422
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: just watching that preseason game, he does not look like

423
00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,639
Speaker 1: a legit starter. And then when Winston came in again,

424
00:22:44,680 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 1: Winston looked terrible. But I cannot see Sean Payton starting

425
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,479
Speaker 1: a guy who throw thirty interceptions in the season for

426
00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: a whole year. He just does not fit that offense.

427
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,080
Speaker 1: So again I'm gonna fade that as well. And with

428
00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, I have to bet the under. I mean

429
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: it's rare. It's rare you have a team like Kansas

430
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 1: City Chiefs last year. I think they're fourteen and two. Um,

431
00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,879
Speaker 1: that was crazy, Like the fact that they won a

432
00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,679
Speaker 1: Super Bowl and in the following year they are fourteen

433
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 1: to two. I think that says more about again the

434
00:23:14,040 --> 00:23:15,920
Speaker 1: division they were in and the kind of stuff they're

435
00:23:15,920 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: playing against with the Chiefs where this year the Buccaneers,

436
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:22,480
Speaker 1: they're the young one, the youngest teams in all football. Again,

437
00:23:22,520 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 1: they have Tom Brady, Okay, he's a great leader. That

438
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,560
Speaker 1: defense is incredibly young. The offensive line is very young

439
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,080
Speaker 1: as well. So for me, if I need to fade

440
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:32,680
Speaker 1: a team coming off the Super Bowl, I want to

441
00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: fade a team that's very young. Again, we saw it

442
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,360
Speaker 1: happen in the forty nine years. They made it two

443
00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,480
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. They completely fell apart the next year because

444
00:23:39,480 --> 00:23:41,600
Speaker 1: they were a young team. We saw with the Rams

445
00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 1: and they were a young team they made always two

446
00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 1: Super Bowl they kind of fell apart the following season.

447
00:23:45,440 --> 00:23:47,680
Speaker 1: So that's what I'm betting on. I'm trying of betting

448
00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:49,760
Speaker 1: on the over, the overturn of the league and the

449
00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,679
Speaker 1: fact that everyone in their grandma as we've been on

450
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 1: the buck this year, they're they're just such a high

451
00:23:54,680 --> 00:23:58,600
Speaker 1: team because they brought back every single starter. So that's

452
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 1: what my job is. People, my job trying to find

453
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:02,679
Speaker 1: value on betting against these kind of things because it

454
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,240
Speaker 1: happens a lot these teams used. It just does not

455
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,240
Speaker 1: work out the way people think it's gonna work out. So,

456
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,120
Speaker 1: just on value alone, I have to bet the Buccaneers

457
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,040
Speaker 1: under it, just because that's such a high number for them.

458
00:24:12,080 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 1: I think it's what twelve now for their one. Yeah,

459
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,879
Speaker 1: it's too high, so I have to I have to

460
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 1: take that under again. I get it. People seventeen game schedule,

461
00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 1: I know, but it's one of those where eleven and

462
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,680
Speaker 1: seven sounds or eleven and six sounds more normal than

463
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 1: them going twelve and five or twelve, and you know,

464
00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:34,199
Speaker 1: it's just really hard for them to get above that

465
00:24:34,240 --> 00:24:36,240
Speaker 1: one tour. That's why Vegas sets it at that number

466
00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,720
Speaker 1: because they know people are gonna betting that over. Yeah,

467
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,919
Speaker 1: at this point with the bus, you're not fading the

468
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,240
Speaker 1: box is a team so much as you're fading the public.

469
00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 1: And what it's done to the number. I mean one

470
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 1: to two to win the division, that's ridiculous. I don't

471
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:56,479
Speaker 1: know that there's any other division where the odds that

472
00:24:56,480 --> 00:24:58,360
Speaker 1: we should look this up on the Action Network app.

473
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:01,080
Speaker 1: It's free, it's award winning. People should check it out.

474
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:04,400
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna look right now, at every other conference.

475
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:09,240
Speaker 1: A f C North Nope Ravens plus one fifteen to

476
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 1: win the division. A f C South UH Titans are

477
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 1: minus one fifty, all right, so they're a little bit

478
00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 1: they're not quite one to two. They're one to one fifty.

479
00:25:20,160 --> 00:25:25,959
Speaker 1: UM A f C East Bills minus one fifty. Okay, UH,

480
00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 1: NFC North Packers minus one six five. This will be

481
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:34,200
Speaker 1: a key test right here. A f C West Kansas

482
00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,439
Speaker 1: City minus to seventy. So there you go. It's that

483
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 1: that's the one team that UH is a bigger favorite

484
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:47,000
Speaker 1: to win their division than the Buccaneers Dallas plus one

485
00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,120
Speaker 1: thirty in the NFC East and in the NFC West

486
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: San Francisco plus Okay. It's a good little exercise right there. Uh.

487
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 1: That shows how dominant the Chiefs are, because I mean,

488
00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,600
Speaker 1: does any team getting more hyped in the Chargers and

489
00:25:58,600 --> 00:26:00,399
Speaker 1: they're in their own division, they're still big of a

490
00:26:00,440 --> 00:26:03,360
Speaker 1: favorite where we have nothing like that in this division.

491
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: There is no No one's hyping up Atlanta, no one's

492
00:26:06,119 --> 00:26:07,959
Speaker 1: hyping up Carolina. No it's hyping up the Saints. It's

493
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 1: kind of one of these divisions where people are looking

494
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,199
Speaker 1: to go it's the Bucks let's move on to the

495
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 1: next one. It's just that's that's what I'm looking for.

496
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,400
Speaker 1: I'm looking for these division When people look at that, yeah,

497
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: that's an easy once the Buccaneers and they just move

498
00:26:18,160 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 1: on to the next one where again, Oh my god,

499
00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:26,120
Speaker 1: I can't believe this has turned into an Atlanta Falcons podcast.

500
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:29,200
Speaker 1: You're not even kidding, because if we're looking at this division,

501
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 1: you've already taken the Falcons. You said it's seventy to

502
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,240
Speaker 1: one to win the super Bowl. You like them at

503
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,160
Speaker 1: seven to one to win the division. You like they're

504
00:26:38,280 --> 00:26:42,560
Speaker 1: over seven and a half win total, so you must

505
00:26:42,600 --> 00:26:48,200
Speaker 1: like one to win the conference? Like it. And I also,

506
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,000
Speaker 1: we got our good friend man. Don't you're here reaching

507
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 1: out to us? Do you want me to read these

508
00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:52,440
Speaker 1: betch chatter? Do you want to read them all? Because

509
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:55,119
Speaker 1: I know you love these Matt Ryan props. Dude, I

510
00:26:55,200 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 1: was gonna get there. I'm i'm, i'm, i'm I'm unpacking

511
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:01,800
Speaker 1: the entirety of the team, and then I want to

512
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,439
Speaker 1: get to the Matt Ryan props. So give me your

513
00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,880
Speaker 1: answer on the conference and then I want to get

514
00:27:05,880 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 1: to Matt Ryan. Of course I bet that if I

515
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:10,399
Speaker 1: if I bet SUPERO. I bet conference as well. But

516
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 1: again it's it's one of these where I don't feel

517
00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:14,719
Speaker 1: confident in giving it out. That's why I don't put

518
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: in the app. Like again, this is Atlanta Falcons podcast.

519
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 1: We're also on Miami Dolphins podcast. I'm gonna be hyping

520
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: out Miami all year that when I did give out,

521
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 1: I did give them out to when the Super Bowl

522
00:27:24,600 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 1: because I believe in their defense. And that's That's one

523
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 1: of these things where if I'm gonna be betting a

524
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:31,359
Speaker 1: Super Bowl future at this point of the year, I

525
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:35,000
Speaker 1: have to believe in a defense, and people, you can

526
00:27:35,000 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 1: do your own research. I don't have to tell you

527
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:40,400
Speaker 1: Atlanta's defense is horrible. This is an awful, awful defense.

528
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 1: So it's one of these where I'm betting on the

529
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 1: offense and the quarterback and I can't. I can't give

530
00:27:45,800 --> 00:27:49,119
Speaker 1: out Super Bowl futures to a team that, again, their defense,

531
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 1: I have them graded out on the bottom five. So

532
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:52,920
Speaker 1: it's hard for me to tell people to bet those

533
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:56,359
Speaker 1: those long shot futures just because of that. All right, Well,

534
00:27:56,400 --> 00:28:00,639
Speaker 1: then let's talk about Matt Ryan because you mentioned Kyle Pits,

535
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 1: you talked about Calvin Ridley, Calvin Ridley, in the sort

536
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 1: of earlier in the off season, had much longer odds

537
00:28:11,640 --> 00:28:15,119
Speaker 1: to lead the league in receiving yards. He's down to

538
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:18,199
Speaker 1: about six to one best odds, but I think he

539
00:28:18,240 --> 00:28:22,440
Speaker 1: was at eighteen or but now. But what's interesting is

540
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,040
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan's odds to lead the league in passing yards

541
00:28:26,520 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: have not improved greatly. He's a thirteen to one at FanDuel.

542
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 1: That feels like an auto bet to me. Uh. He's

543
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 1: at thirty eight to one to have the most passing

544
00:28:40,400 --> 00:28:43,920
Speaker 1: touchdowns and the over under on his total yards is

545
00:28:44,160 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 1: four thousand, five hundred and fifty point five. I don't

546
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:53,080
Speaker 1: know how I feel about the total yardage, but well,

547
00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 1: I guess I I guess I feel good about it

548
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:57,800
Speaker 1: because I think you're gonna need more than yards to

549
00:28:57,840 --> 00:29:00,040
Speaker 1: lead the league in passing and I feel good it

550
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 1: about betting him att one to leave the league in

551
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: passing yards. I like those um of a simple thing

552
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:10,200
Speaker 1: we talked about last year with Shaun Watson. He was

553
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:12,400
Speaker 1: on an awful team with an awful defense, he led

554
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 1: the league in passing yards. So this year, I mean,

555
00:29:15,720 --> 00:29:18,960
Speaker 1: guys are really staying out, are Matt Ryan, Dak Prescott,

556
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,960
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson, and then Trevor Lawrence, who also has a

557
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,840
Speaker 1: terrible defense. You're just looking for guys that they're gonna

558
00:29:24,840 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 1: be throwing the ball a lot, because again, last year,

559
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: before you got hold Joe Burrow, I think he was

560
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,480
Speaker 1: like third in passing yards before he got because the

561
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:33,760
Speaker 1: Bengals defense was horrible and he was throwing it like

562
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 1: fifty times a game. So that's what people need to

563
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:38,560
Speaker 1: look out these passing yards things. You're not looking for

564
00:29:38,560 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 1: the guy like Mahomes. We know mo Homes the best.

565
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:43,280
Speaker 1: We know him and Brady are the best. This is

566
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:44,840
Speaker 1: not something they're gonna win. There are two good of

567
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:46,800
Speaker 1: teams with too good a defense to win this kind

568
00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:50,640
Speaker 1: of thing. So I actually really liked that thirty eight

569
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: to one most passing TVs on Vanduel. That's that's pretty

570
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 1: tasty because again we saw a Tannhall last year. Tanna

571
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: had a lot of quick passes inside the red zone.

572
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 1: And I don't know that that uh that four to

573
00:30:05,280 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: one m v P, I don't know if I do

574
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:08,960
Speaker 1: that one because I don't know if they could enough

575
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:12,400
Speaker 1: win lost record to win that, and uh, I don't know.

576
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: I just don't feel like the value is good enough

577
00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 1: because I feel like Matt ran should be me lower

578
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 1: than that, like he should be fifty two one, just

579
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 1: because it's been so long since we've seen him play

580
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 1: at m VP level. It just feels like that's that's

581
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:24,560
Speaker 1: been bet up a little bit before you to one.

582
00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: But do you like Matt Ryan one for the most

583
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:33,120
Speaker 1: passing yards. I feel like that's some bed down as well.

584
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:36,600
Speaker 1: I would take it. I mean, like looking at the

585
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: list of the guys ahead of him, it's it's a

586
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:42,440
Speaker 1: fair value. Like Justin Herbert's right ahead of him. Um,

587
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 1: tom Brady's ahead of him. That's an awful bet. Tom

588
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:46,800
Speaker 1: Brady lead the league in passing yards. Again, the guy

589
00:30:46,880 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 1: is forty four years old. Okay, he ain't leading the

590
00:30:49,480 --> 00:30:51,080
Speaker 1: league in passing yards. That team is gonna be wrong.

591
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,520
Speaker 1: The ball a lot um Josh Allen to lead the

592
00:30:54,560 --> 00:30:58,480
Speaker 1: league in passing yards. Josh Allen plays outdoor in northern

593
00:30:58,480 --> 00:31:01,719
Speaker 1: New York. People don't be so dumb to make these

594
00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 1: kind of bets. Like, just take a steck back and

595
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,320
Speaker 1: think for a second. I really betting Josh Allen the

596
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: lead to leave in passing No, that that's not a

597
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:13,000
Speaker 1: thing built to happen. Matt Ryan plays half the games indoors.

598
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:14,680
Speaker 1: That's that's what you're looking for. You you're looking for

599
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:18,719
Speaker 1: people the best situations. Again last year to Shaun Watson,

600
00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:21,240
Speaker 1: he played indoor. We've seen and Drew Brees multiple years

601
00:31:21,280 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: leading the league in passing he played indoor. That's the

602
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: kind of things you're looking for. People just don't try

603
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:30,360
Speaker 1: to overthink these things. It's so simple, but people just go, oh, well,

604
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 1: it's Josh Allen. He was up for m v P

605
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:33,800
Speaker 1: last year. Of course, I'll bet him the lead to

606
00:31:33,840 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 1: lead in passing yards. You don't want to do that.

607
00:31:36,040 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: You're trying to look for the best long shot and

608
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 1: best odds. So I don't hate that Matt Ryan, but

609
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,160
Speaker 1: he's been beat down at one. I definitely saw him

610
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 1: at twenty to one earlier in the year. All right,

611
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 1: then I'm taking Matt Ryan to one to lead the

612
00:31:48,760 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: league in passing touchdowns. I love it. I love it unconditionally,

613
00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,160
Speaker 1: like I love Matt Mitchell. That's how I feel about

614
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,840
Speaker 1: that prop right now. Uh not is he playing half

615
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:04,680
Speaker 1: his games inside? Who play more than that? Because who

616
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:09,360
Speaker 1: have games against the Saints inside? Then? Uh two other

617
00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: games for other games will be in comfortable weather in

618
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:18,680
Speaker 1: Tampa and Carolina. And he's throwing to Calvin Ridley, He's

619
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 1: throwing to Kyle Pitts. I don't know how Matt Ryan

620
00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 1: isn't the odds un favorite for every passing total prop

621
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,000
Speaker 1: and again, people four, they came a fourth place in

622
00:32:31,040 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 1: their division, fourth place schedule. That's a big deal. Like

623
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 1: you just heard the team's Chad mentioned trash. That's what

624
00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 1: they're gonna be playing again. So I'm with you, Chad.

625
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: I'm told you, I'm way too hyped. I'm way too

626
00:32:41,120 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: hyped Ay Atlanta and Miami Dolphins. It's like one of

627
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 1: these things where I might have to bang us from

628
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 1: bettingham week one because I'm so blinded by the lighter

629
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:54,800
Speaker 1: right now. Boxing legend Mannipacia returns to the ring this

630
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:58,000
Speaker 1: Saturday for the first time in two years. In Vanduel

631
00:32:58,080 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 1: Sports book is giving new CUSS timers exclusive thirty to

632
00:33:02,960 --> 00:33:07,960
Speaker 1: one odds on either fighter to win when he takes

633
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 1: on your Danis Ugas. That's right now is the perfect

634
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,720
Speaker 1: time to give FanDuel a shot because you can win

635
00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars on a five dollar bet.

636
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 1: FanDuel is always hooking you up with exclusive odds boosts,

637
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:26,840
Speaker 1: great promotions, and so much more. That's why they're America's

638
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,920
Speaker 1: number one sports book. So don't miss out on your

639
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 1: chance to win one hundred and fifty bucks on a

640
00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 1: five dollar bet when Manny Pacia returned to the ring

641
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:41,240
Speaker 1: against your Donna's ugas. Just download the Vanduel sports Book

642
00:33:41,240 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 1: app and sign up with Promo Code Favorites. To get

643
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:49,480
Speaker 1: in on the action that's Promo Code Favorites, you must

644
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: be twenty one or older and present in Colorado, Indiana,

645
00:33:53,680 --> 00:33:57,440
Speaker 1: New Jersey, Virginia or West Virginia. Odds Boost available for

646
00:33:57,480 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 1: new users only. Must wager on designate aided Boost market.

647
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,280
Speaker 1: Ten dollar first deposit required, Max bonus A hundred and

648
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 1: fifty dollars risk free bet refund issued as non withdrawable

649
00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 1: site credit that expires in seven days. Max refund ten dollars.

650
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:15,080
Speaker 1: Restrictions applied. See full terms for both offers at vanduel

651
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:18,120
Speaker 1: dot com. Slash sports Book gambling problem called one eight

652
00:34:18,200 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: hundred zero zero in Colorado one eight hundred nine with

653
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 1: it in Indiana, one eight hundred Gambler in New Jersey

654
00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:29,439
Speaker 1: and Virginia, or visit www dot one eight zero zero

655
00:34:29,440 --> 00:34:32,799
Speaker 1: gambler dot net in West Virginia. All right, can we

656
00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:39,040
Speaker 1: talk about Sam Donald and Carolina one ten to one

657
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 1: in the Division seven and a half season win total

658
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 1: forty to one and win the conference. I know you

659
00:34:43,440 --> 00:34:45,480
Speaker 1: don't like any of these things. You've already said you

660
00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 1: liked the under you're against Sam Donald. This to me

661
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:55,839
Speaker 1: is where my innate fundamentals. I'm your average guy. I

662
00:34:55,920 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 1: love Matt Rule as a coach, and I'm willing to

663
00:35:00,719 --> 00:35:04,399
Speaker 1: bet on Matt Rule figuring something out to make this

664
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 1: team to will this team to eight wins. And that's

665
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:14,399
Speaker 1: all fair. But the biggest problem, like again I'm talking

666
00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:16,239
Speaker 1: about about Sam Donald, I bet him in a D

667
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:18,840
Speaker 1: one to win m v P. Do I believe in

668
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:20,440
Speaker 1: that at all? No, just like I don't believe in

669
00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:23,120
Speaker 1: Trey Lance win m VP. But I can't not bet it.

670
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,400
Speaker 1: It's one of these I only have to hit it

671
00:35:24,440 --> 00:35:27,440
Speaker 1: once every hundred years and I'm good, so I don't know.

672
00:35:27,760 --> 00:35:30,319
Speaker 1: It's one of these where I get what you're saying.

673
00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:33,239
Speaker 1: I love the head coach, but the defense has been

674
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:36,120
Speaker 1: totally rebuilt. They're very young on the defensive side and

675
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:40,319
Speaker 1: then all offensive side nothing against Christian McCaffrey, but he

676
00:35:40,360 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 1: went out that team really didn't miss a beat. They're

677
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:44,480
Speaker 1: kind of like good and bad, the same team they

678
00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:47,160
Speaker 1: were before Christian McCaffrey. So of course he's an upgrade

679
00:35:47,200 --> 00:35:50,080
Speaker 1: over last year's running back, but it's not that big

680
00:35:50,080 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 1: of an upgrade to that team in general. And for

681
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:55,680
Speaker 1: them to be really good, they're gonna need same Donald

682
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,200
Speaker 1: take a step that he's never taken. Okay, he's I

683
00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:00,319
Speaker 1: think this is your four, now your five. Being in

684
00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,200
Speaker 1: this league, I just have to bet against it. It's

685
00:36:03,239 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 1: one of these things where again, if he had just

686
00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 1: shown me a good season, like Carson Wentz showed me

687
00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 1: one good season. That's why they I'm finally believing that

688
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 1: corson Wentz and him working out for the Colts. Sam

689
00:36:14,480 --> 00:36:17,000
Speaker 1: Donald's they're even sniffed that he's never even I think

690
00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:20,120
Speaker 1: thrown over twenty touchdowns in the season Herbert through twenty

691
00:36:20,160 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 1: eight touchdowns last year. I guess what, we know Herbert's

692
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 1: got it. We don't think Sam Donald's got it. That's

693
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: the problem where it's like you can be surrounded by trash,

694
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 1: talent's gonna usually win out, and it's one of these

695
00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:34,439
Speaker 1: where I was way too high on him coming out

696
00:36:34,440 --> 00:36:36,480
Speaker 1: of college. I thought the brown has made a terrible

697
00:36:36,480 --> 00:36:38,720
Speaker 1: decision when the Browns passed on him they took Baker.

698
00:36:39,320 --> 00:36:41,680
Speaker 1: Who's to say still okay, neither of these guys like

699
00:36:41,680 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 1: Baker didn't even sign a new contract yet, so who

700
00:36:43,680 --> 00:36:46,640
Speaker 1: really knows if the Browns even believe in Baker. But

701
00:36:46,719 --> 00:36:49,200
Speaker 1: Baker has been better than Sam Donald. He's He's definitely

702
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:52,160
Speaker 1: looked better and been a better professional. So it's one

703
00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,200
Speaker 1: of these where Caroline, I think there's still a year

704
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,360
Speaker 1: away that this will be one of those years where

705
00:36:57,920 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 1: they're gonna try to have him figure out that offense,

706
00:37:00,160 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: kind of get rid of all his demons from the Jets.

707
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,240
Speaker 1: And this defense needs another year to improve because again

708
00:37:05,680 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 1: it's a brand new defense. They literally last year they

709
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 1: drafted nine different guys for this defense. So it's one

710
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 1: of these where I'm gonna I'm gonna take a year

711
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:14,839
Speaker 1: and wait on this Panthers team because I do think

712
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 1: their future is great, but this year they're just too

713
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 1: far behind the other teams in this division. Here's what

714
00:37:19,560 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say, I disagree with you. I don't think

715
00:37:22,680 --> 00:37:27,960
Speaker 1: Sam Donald is a year away. I think that he

716
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:33,520
Speaker 1: probably has more potential then we believe we have seen

717
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,560
Speaker 1: on the field, and he is being put in the

718
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:40,360
Speaker 1: right position to execute against that. And because he is

719
00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: playing against defenses that just aren't very good, he's going

720
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,760
Speaker 1: to get a chance to prove himself and probably sneak

721
00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:50,160
Speaker 1: a couple of wins in ways that we probably didn't

722
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:52,920
Speaker 1: expect from Sam Donald given what we've seen from him

723
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,399
Speaker 1: so far. So I am going to go against you

724
00:37:55,880 --> 00:38:04,360
Speaker 1: Simon respectfully, respect al g respect but I think the

725
00:38:04,400 --> 00:38:08,200
Speaker 1: Panthers go over seven and a half wins. Wow. I

726
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: mean again, it's it's just one of the things where

727
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,359
Speaker 1: you're going against history. The only quarterback we've seen leave

728
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:15,840
Speaker 1: a team to go another team and improved was Tannehill.

729
00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 1: It feels like over the last twenty years, that's it.

730
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:26,920
Speaker 1: Don you think of anyone else. I defy history. Uh,

731
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 1: current Warner went from the St. Louis Rams to the

732
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:34,320
Speaker 1: Giants to the Arizona Cardinals. You could argue he improved

733
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:39,000
Speaker 1: from the Giants to the Arizona Cardinals. That's fair, But

734
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:41,400
Speaker 1: it's also one of those where it's like, I know,

735
00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:43,160
Speaker 1: but Sam Donald didn't take a team to the Super

736
00:38:43,200 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 1: Bowl beforehand. You know, uh, what about I'm telling you

737
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:51,400
Speaker 1: have to go way back because that's the way the

738
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 1: NFL is now. It's like you're David Carr. You might

739
00:38:54,920 --> 00:38:57,399
Speaker 1: be all the world in college, you come to the league,

740
00:38:57,400 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 1: you get sacked five years straight and the rest of

741
00:38:59,719 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 1: your life. If you're seeing ghosts, it's just one of

742
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:03,080
Speaker 1: these things. They can't coach it out of the guys.

743
00:39:03,120 --> 00:39:05,320
Speaker 1: That's my fear of Sam Donald. I can't know what

744
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 1: you're saying. You're you're trying to bring in the seeing

745
00:39:07,960 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 1: ghosts comment into the podcast just to denigrate my choice

746
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,960
Speaker 1: of the Carolina Panthers going over seven and a half wins.

747
00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:19,879
Speaker 1: It's just mean, Simon, are you kidding me? The guy

748
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:24,920
Speaker 1: asked for something spooky, he said, give me something spooky. Um.

749
00:39:24,960 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 1: I think we've kind of said everything we need to

750
00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:30,279
Speaker 1: say about the NFC South because there's not that much

751
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:32,920
Speaker 1: to say about Tampa. You've said it fade everything. You're

752
00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:35,959
Speaker 1: just gonna fade the public on Tampa Bay New Orleans.

753
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:37,319
Speaker 1: We don't have a lot of faith in right now

754
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,279
Speaker 1: because we still don't know what they're gonna do. You

755
00:39:39,480 --> 00:39:45,400
Speaker 1: expect somewhat of a Taysom Hill oriented offense. You expect

756
00:39:45,560 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 1: it to be focused on him, but there's still a

757
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:51,040
Speaker 1: lot of question marks. So we are going to be

758
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,800
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons fans. We're gonna go in on Matt Ryan

759
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:57,040
Speaker 1: at thirty eight to one for the most passing touchdowns.

760
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 1: We're gonna go in on Atlanta eight to one the

761
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:02,360
Speaker 1: wind of vision, win of it to win the division.

762
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 1: We're going to go in on Atlanta over seven and

763
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:08,239
Speaker 1: a half wins. I love it, you bet. I think

764
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,040
Speaker 1: tonight for this preseason game, are you just like going

765
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:12,880
Speaker 1: to New York. I'm not been this preseason game to

766
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 1: New York. I'm not even thinking about it. Well, in

767
00:40:16,000 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 1: case people don't check the Action app, which again I've

768
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:21,080
Speaker 1: sold out big time people. Now I don't pust plays

769
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:23,160
Speaker 1: on Twitter. I put him in the Action app for

770
00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:27,520
Speaker 1: checking straight. Um, I have one player for this upcoming weekend.

771
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:31,760
Speaker 1: I did the Miami Dolphins parlayd with the Tennessee Titans.

772
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 1: So it's um, whatever, I bet too grand and win

773
00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:38,120
Speaker 1: four grand. Uh so you know, not bad to units

774
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:41,040
Speaker 1: for uh? Two units went four units people. So it's

775
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 1: one of these where I know the Buccketeers are sitting

776
00:40:43,640 --> 00:40:48,040
Speaker 1: their starters and I've seen Atlanta. Atlanta's backups are terrible

777
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:49,960
Speaker 1: and they're not playing starters either, So I do like

778
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:52,439
Speaker 1: Miami Tennessee in a parlay this weekend. By the way,

779
00:40:52,440 --> 00:40:56,000
Speaker 1: I remember what I wanted to say when you said it.

780
00:40:56,760 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 1: You said that you have a one and twenty one

781
00:41:00,560 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: bet on Sam Donald to win the m v P.

782
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: Don't give me your fucking units. How much did you

783
00:41:08,120 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: bet on Sam Donald? At a hundred? Always a grand

784
00:41:12,120 --> 00:41:14,640
Speaker 1: if I ever, if I ever post an NFL future,

785
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:16,759
Speaker 1: it's always just a straight grand because it's easier to

786
00:41:16,800 --> 00:41:18,719
Speaker 1: track where I bet a grand. I went a D

787
00:41:18,840 --> 00:41:22,160
Speaker 1: twenty kt. That's easy to track to me betting k

788
00:41:22,200 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 1: and winning whatever is seventy five thousand, so it's it's

789
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,800
Speaker 1: or yeah again. I came to the math out of

790
00:41:26,800 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 1: my head. It's one of these things where I like

791
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:30,960
Speaker 1: just doing a thousand because it's cleaner and it's easier

792
00:41:30,960 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 1: for me to hedge long term. Like we talked last year,

793
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:35,759
Speaker 1: when I did I bet the Buccaneers three different times,

794
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:37,560
Speaker 1: I just bet it each time for grand. Each it

795
00:41:37,600 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 1: was at fifty odds one odds, four to one odds,

796
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:42,120
Speaker 1: and thirty five to one odds, So it's one of

797
00:41:42,120 --> 00:41:45,680
Speaker 1: these where I just like doing the grand again Trey Lance.

798
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:47,759
Speaker 1: I'm never gonna see that grand I let that money

799
00:41:47,800 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 1: on fire. I get that people, But it's one of

800
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:51,440
Speaker 1: these things where I like to hit it once every

801
00:41:51,520 --> 00:41:53,359
Speaker 1: hundred years. That's why I make these kind of bets

802
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,920
Speaker 1: where it's like it doesn't make sense. But that year

803
00:41:55,920 --> 00:41:58,439
Speaker 1: already three made that crazy run. I had to heade

804
00:41:58,480 --> 00:42:00,439
Speaker 1: it out and I was able to make a nice

805
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,680
Speaker 1: penny on r G three's rookie year, almost whining the

806
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 1: m v P. So it's one of these things where

807
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,279
Speaker 1: I try to just take advantage of the situations I'm

808
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 1: in where crazy long shot odds they don't might not

809
00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,480
Speaker 1: make sense to people in August, but then all of

810
00:42:12,480 --> 00:42:15,560
Speaker 1: a sudden December, it's like, holy shit, you know, Trey

811
00:42:15,640 --> 00:42:17,880
Speaker 1: Lance is six to one now m v P. Like

812
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 1: it's one of these things that's when I'm betting on

813
00:42:19,680 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: I'm betting on the crazy upside of these different players.

814
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:24,480
Speaker 1: I explained to my wife last week, and by the way,

815
00:42:24,520 --> 00:42:27,560
Speaker 1: I do want people to follow Simon in the Action

816
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:29,680
Speaker 1: Network gap. He mentioned that he's not putting the picks

817
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 1: on Twitter because he's a total corporate sellout now go

818
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:36,200
Speaker 1: download the free award winning action network Gap used the

819
00:42:36,280 --> 00:42:40,680
Speaker 1: follow features search Simon underscore Hunter. You will find all

820
00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:44,520
Speaker 1: of his picks, uh, and you'll be better for it.

821
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:46,800
Speaker 1: I told my wife the other day, we were having dinner,

822
00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 1: and I was explaining to her that I can't. I

823
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:53,359
Speaker 1: think I might have said this right, like, I will

824
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 1: never be able to be the kind of investor that

825
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,800
Speaker 1: people are, the kind of better that you are, because

826
00:43:00,080 --> 00:43:01,960
Speaker 1: I'm not waking up in the morning and trying to

827
00:43:02,080 --> 00:43:06,360
Speaker 1: track everything that's happening in the markets overnight and seeing

828
00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:09,360
Speaker 1: the value we're thinking about. Will trade Lance end up

829
00:43:09,360 --> 00:43:11,719
Speaker 1: having a great year in six months? Can I fake?

830
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 1: Can I? Can I heage out of this? What can

831
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:17,359
Speaker 1: I do with it? Um? Kudos to you, Simon Hunter

832
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 1: and and just some people don't worry about it. We

833
00:43:19,760 --> 00:43:21,640
Speaker 1: are when we do our contest here, we are going

834
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 1: to put those picks on Twitter whatever, whatever picks we

835
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:27,160
Speaker 1: used for the contest upcoming season. I'm just saying, like,

836
00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:28,880
Speaker 1: if I make bets right now in the preseason or

837
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:30,919
Speaker 1: anything like that I'm putting in the app, I don't,

838
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:32,520
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna put it on Twitter. That's just what

839
00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:34,560
Speaker 1: I'm saying, Like, We will keep putting the contest on

840
00:43:34,600 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 1: Twitter because I know people are freaking out about that

841
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,560
Speaker 1: because we have people in England they can't get the app. Relax,

842
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:42,440
Speaker 1: we are gonna be putting our picks on Twitter. It's

843
00:43:42,480 --> 00:43:44,359
Speaker 1: just easier for people to track in the app. There

844
00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:46,719
Speaker 1: will be five picks that we put on Twitter every

845
00:43:46,760 --> 00:43:48,839
Speaker 1: single week. Uh. And as partly, you know, we're part

846
00:43:48,840 --> 00:43:52,520
Speaker 1: of the Volume podcast Network. UH, and we're gonna incorporate

847
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,719
Speaker 1: the five picks we talk about into a podcast I'm

848
00:43:54,719 --> 00:43:57,359
Speaker 1: doing with Colin during the football season where I'm gonna

849
00:43:57,440 --> 00:43:59,640
Speaker 1: let him know what we're thinking. He's gonna I'm gonna

850
00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:02,239
Speaker 1: judge what he's thinking. Uh. And the reason we're doing

851
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 1: this podcast two times a week is because what we're

852
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 1: thinking about on Tuesday and then what we're thinking about

853
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 1: on Thursday lines changed so much. Show. You got to

854
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:12,840
Speaker 1: listen to both podcasts if you want to be up

855
00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:16,319
Speaker 1: to date. This has been the favorite podcast from the

856
00:44:16,400 --> 00:44:20,480
Speaker 1: Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Milman. He is my compadre,

857
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:24,360
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Uh. Down on the podcast and Spotify upper

858
00:44:24,400 --> 00:44:27,640
Speaker 1: podcast rate Review, Subscribe, tell us you love us, We're needy.

859
00:44:28,280 --> 00:44:30,120
Speaker 1: Until next time, Love you