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Speaker 1: Good morning, guys. How are you welcome into a new

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt, and if you were doing that,

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Speaker 1: you know where I am and you know where I

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Speaker 1: was last night. We were on Bourbon Street last night

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Speaker 1: here in New Orleans for our Betting Pro's annual trip.

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Speaker 1: It was a really good start to the night. Debro

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Speaker 1: and I and a bunch of guys Ericson and Pat

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Speaker 1: fitz Morris and everybody from Betting Pros, Fantasy Pros. We

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Speaker 1: all kind of hit the town, had a lot of

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Speaker 1: fun last night. So it is currently seven fifteen Central time,

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Speaker 1: eight fifteen Eastern time, and this is going to be

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Speaker 1: kind of the time that we're going to be taping

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice for here on Thursday, for Friday, and

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Speaker 1: most likely for Saturday as well as we'll fly back

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Speaker 1: to Vegas coming up on Saturday. So just a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a curveball. I was initially I didn't know

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Speaker 1: how I was going to do the Juice today, but

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Speaker 1: it's good when you have your bosses in the same

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Speaker 1: room as you, you can just walk over and be like, hey,

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Speaker 1: could I do the juice in the morning, and they're like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: go right ahead, that's fine. So this is how this

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Speaker 1: podcast will drop normally overnight. Instead it's going to drop

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Speaker 1: during the day here, So don't freak out, don't have

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Speaker 1: a conniption fit on the Discord channel, like where's the podcast.

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Speaker 1: It will be here. It just maybe a little bit

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Speaker 1: later than what you're used to, just because well, we're

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Speaker 1: having a good time, we're celebrating the end of the season,

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Speaker 1: and we're just trying to get ourselves kind of right,

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Speaker 1: get our brains around where we are here for today.

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Speaker 1: The good news is that we have had two of

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Speaker 1: three winning days. Unfortunately for us, Oh sorry, that's the

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Speaker 1: there we go. I flip those around. Sorry. Unfortunately for us,

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Speaker 1: we wind up going down on the hard rock bet

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Speaker 1: of the day, which falls to thirteen and ten. We

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Speaker 1: may have had a sweep. That game went to overtime

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Speaker 1: between Georgia and Tennessee. Unfortunately we lose there. But the

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Speaker 1: Texas game was a complete fluke w, like we should

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Speaker 1: have lost that bet. We were very fortunate to have

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Speaker 1: that six and a half to win on the hook

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Speaker 1: there with Texas against Auburn the Spurs and the Rockets

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Speaker 1: game went way under, so that was good. So we

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Speaker 1: wind up going two in one up point nine units,

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Speaker 1: so two in one Monday one and two Tuesday two

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Speaker 1: and one on Wednesday as we head here to a Thursday.

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Speaker 1: Now full disclosure, when I am traveling like I tend

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Speaker 1: to sort of look to lean on the prop bitcheat

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Speaker 1: sheet a little bit in terms of what the prop

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Speaker 1: bit cheat sheet likes to go and sift through some

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Speaker 1: plays that I like. For the NBA season. We're off

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Speaker 1: to a very good start with the NBA and then

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Speaker 1: and the prop bit cheat sheets. This has been the

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Speaker 1: NBA in the NFL have been really my two good

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Speaker 1: go tos, so it's been a good spot. It's been

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Speaker 1: a good use of the technology, a good use of

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Speaker 1: the algorithm for us here for the daily juice. So

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Speaker 1: I've got two NBA player props that I bet this morning.

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Speaker 1: It's great to be in New Orleans because they get

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Speaker 1: to use some different books and do some do some

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Speaker 1: fun things that I haven't really used before. So that's

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Speaker 1: fun to get a shop around for some lines and

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Speaker 1: some numbers here being in a different state. So that's

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Speaker 1: cool and I've got one play in hockey that I

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Speaker 1: want to get into here for us today. We haven't

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Speaker 1: bet much hockey, but it was freezing cold last night

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Speaker 1: maybe when I woke up. That's why I wanted to

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Speaker 1: bet hockey today. But big slate in the NHL, not

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Speaker 1: a great college basketball slates, and then two NBA player props,

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Speaker 1: So I want to get into a little bit on that.

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Speaker 1: So before we do that, let's go ahead and tell

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Speaker 1: you about hard Rock Bet. They're the title sponsor of

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's go directly to the prop bet cheat sheet

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Speaker 1: for NBA player props and then start with Trey Johnson,

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Speaker 1: where the prop bet cheat sheet is all over the

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Speaker 1: unders for Trey Johnson today, as the Wizards are at

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Speaker 1: home against the Bucks. We've talked about the Bucks a lot.

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Speaker 1: The Bucks have been an under team for and you

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Speaker 1: can bet the under this game if you want. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the Bucks have been profitable for us coming in here

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Speaker 1: and betting the under. Trey Johnson, the guard for the

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Speaker 1: Washington Wizards prop bet cheat sheet is taking a look

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Speaker 1: at the overall line of twenty and a half and

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Speaker 1: projecting thirteen and a half points and assists for Trey Johnson.

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Speaker 1: That is way under what the line is of twenty

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Speaker 1: and a half for points and assists. This is a

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Speaker 1: five star play, which what we always play here, a

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Speaker 1: plus twenty seven expected value play a sixty nine percent

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Speaker 1: cover probability. It is twenty one and fifteen to the

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Speaker 1: over this year for this prop. However, three of the

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Speaker 1: last five games have gone under here for Trey Johnson

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Speaker 1: for points and assists. Trey Johnson has pretty much been

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Speaker 1: right around this number. Twenty points and assists against Portland

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Speaker 1: last time out, thirty two against Charlotte that went over,

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Speaker 1: but twenty two against Denver and twenty against the Clippers.

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Speaker 1: So at twenty and a half he's two and two

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Speaker 1: on this. But really this is going to come down

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Speaker 1: to the assist number, because points wise, he's going to

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Speaker 1: score fifteen to twenty points. You're kind of just gotta

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Speaker 1: put that in there. Upper teens points wise, eighteen, twenty six, nineteen, fifteen, four,

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Speaker 1: eighteen ten, that's pretty much what he's done here over

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Speaker 1: the last seven games. So you can kind of put

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Speaker 1: that in there and go, okay, he's gonna get fifteen points.

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Speaker 1: What does the assist number look like? Two six, three, five?

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Speaker 1: If one four three, okay, If he scores eighteen points

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Speaker 1: in his two assists like he had in the last game,

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Speaker 1: it's twenty. It goes under. So I think this number

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Speaker 1: with the prop bet cheat sheet, I like it here.

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Speaker 1: This is sort of riding the trend with this number

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Speaker 1: as it's crept up here. And again the Bucks being

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Speaker 1: an under team, we're gonna come in here and we're

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Speaker 1: gonna ride this with a prop bet cheat sheet, and

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Speaker 1: we're going to take the under. Oh sorry, that's yesterday's place.

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Speaker 1: Let's get Thursday's place, not Tuesday's place. Hold on. See

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Speaker 1: you go on the road and you miss all the

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Speaker 1: fun stuff there it is, So we're gonna go ahead.

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Speaker 1: Trey Johnson points an assists under twenty and a half

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Speaker 1: at minus one ten for one point one units. Okay,

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Speaker 1: second bet. I was talking to one of our data

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Speaker 1: analysts last night over at dinner and he pointed out

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Speaker 1: he said, look rebounds for the prop bit cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: It's something you're not betting, and you probably should because

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Speaker 1: the rebounds has been a really profitable thing for us

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Speaker 1: with propit cheat sheet in there, and check it out

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Speaker 1: because maybe a play that you want to make. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I did some research, popped around and I found

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Speaker 1: one darn Sharp of the Brooklyn Nets tonight against the Nuggets,

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Speaker 1: his rebound prop is set at minus seven and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the juice is all different all over the country, but

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Speaker 1: for the most part, seven and a half is the number.

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Speaker 1: This is a really interesting trend because only one time

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Speaker 1: in the last six games has Drawn Sharp gone over

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Speaker 1: his rebound prop against Boston back on the twenty third

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Speaker 1: of January against Phoenix. Last time out he had seven.

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Speaker 1: Against the Clippers he had six, Boston he had eight,

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Speaker 1: Nix he had two, Chicago had five, and the Bulls

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Speaker 1: back to back games against the Bulls he had six.

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Speaker 1: So this has been a pretty a number that is

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Speaker 1: being set at seven and a half or six and

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Speaker 1: a half, and when it's going to six and a half,

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Speaker 1: it's been going under consistently. On the rebound side, things

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Speaker 1: sort of things for the center for the Brooklyn Nets.

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Speaker 1: I don't always love betting rebound props because of the

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Speaker 1: scoring decision, but five star play plus forty percent expected value,

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Speaker 1: a seventy four percent cover probability, the projection is for

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Speaker 1: six rebounds for Duran Sharp. This is just when the

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Speaker 1: prop at chiechiet's been very profitable. It's coming in here

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Speaker 1: and betting unders and rebound unders has been a very

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Speaker 1: good component, a very good category that we really haven't

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Speaker 1: jumped in with and bet all that consistently. So we're

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Speaker 1: gonna come in here and jump it. We're gonna we're

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Speaker 1: gonna do and get into it. Sorry, with drawn Sharp

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Speaker 1: under seven and a half rebounds at minus one seventeen,

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Speaker 1: you guys can find the best price. That was the

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Speaker 1: best price I found this morning, minus one seventeen for

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Speaker 1: Duran Sharp to go under seven and a half rebounds. Finally,

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Speaker 1: we go to the NHL with the Islanders and the Rangers.

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Speaker 1: The Rangers, my goodness, gracious, I mean, so I've got

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Speaker 1: I've told you guys before about the NHL data that

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Speaker 1: Chris auto on X creates at PSU auto. If you

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Speaker 1: are a trends person and numbers person, he puts out

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Speaker 1: this incredible everything three times a week. He crunches these

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Speaker 1: numbers and puts him out. He tags me, he tags

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Speaker 1: a bunch of people in the industry. He's a guy

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Speaker 1: who's been on my other show, The Bostonian Versus the

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Speaker 1: Book a lot. He's just a really great resource for

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Speaker 1: anybody looks to bet hockey. The Rangers are nine and

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Speaker 1: one to a first period over over their last ten games,

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Speaker 1: nine in one. Now, they're only fifty percent on the year,

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Speaker 1: but nine in one, and they're playing the Islanders, who

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Speaker 1: are equally a fifty percent team to the over. They've

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Speaker 1: only gone four of six for them, but in the

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Speaker 1: three games that we've seen these two teams play, this

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Speaker 1: is the fourth time they've played this season. Two of

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Speaker 1: the three games have gone over one and a half

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Speaker 1: goals in the first period. In fact, one of the

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Speaker 1: games had three goals in the first period. And you

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Speaker 1: look at the way that the Rangers have been playing

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Speaker 1: six to three, four three three one four three five two,

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Speaker 1: you want to bet over six and a half go

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Speaker 1: right ahead, probably a pretty good bet to get in there.

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Speaker 1: The Islanders have won three of four, four to three,

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Speaker 1: four to one, five nothing, four nothing, five to two,

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Speaker 1: and the last game was five to two the win

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Speaker 1: for the Islanders, and it was two to one in

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Speaker 1: the first period. I just think we just go ahead

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Speaker 1: and bet the streak here. They just played each other,

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Speaker 1: they know each other well. We're talking about a lot

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Speaker 1: of offense being scored. The Rangers are six thirteen and

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Speaker 1: one at home. The Islanders are fourteen ten and three

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Speaker 1: on the road. And it's just basically betting the streak.

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Speaker 1: The Rangers are giving up goals, the Rangers are scoring

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Speaker 1: goals in the first period. It's just been a consistent

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Speaker 1: number for the Rangers to give up goals in the

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Speaker 1: score goals here. So I think over one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals in the first period is highly likely. If

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Speaker 1: you want to talk about gifts goal in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes, the Islanders have the same number. They are

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Speaker 1: four and six over their last ten. The Rangers are

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Speaker 1: nine and one to a goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: If you just want to bet one goal, they're nine

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Speaker 1: and one, same number, even though they've been one of

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Speaker 1: the worst goals in the first ten minutes teams in

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Speaker 1: the NHL this year, nine of ten games have had

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Speaker 1: a goal in the first ten minutes. So just think

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Speaker 1: when you talk about rivalry, you talk about offense, talk

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Speaker 1: about lack of defense, and just the way the Rangers

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Speaker 1: are playing. We're going to come in here and we're

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Speaker 1: going to jump in on the first period over for

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Speaker 1: the Rangers and the Islanders at MISS one thirty for

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Speaker 1: one point three units. So I am in New Orleans clearly, Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I have a best of show running for the

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Speaker 1: Bostonian versus the book. But it's also a mixture of

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Speaker 1: new and old content. So there is some new content today.

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Speaker 1: If you haven't seen the full you know from other segments.

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Speaker 1: There is some content for the Super Bowl that's new

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Speaker 1: that you guys can go and check out today. It'll

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Speaker 1: drop at one pm Eastern time. It is not live,

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Speaker 1: but it's a video on demand that will go live

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Speaker 1: with a live chat coming up here at one pm

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Speaker 1: Eastern time. For the Bostonian Versus the Book. At Boston

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Speaker 1: Versus the Book, you guys can go and subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the YouTube channel so you can see whenever it drops

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Speaker 1: at one o'clock Eastern time today. Also audio podcasts wherever

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Speaker 1: you guys get your audio podcasts by going searching at

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Speaker 1: The Bostonian Versus the Book or at Boston Versus the

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Speaker 1: Book on Twitter x Our plays for today Trey Johnson

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Speaker 1: points and assists under twenty and a half, Deron Sharp

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Speaker 1: under seven and a half rebounds of the Brooklyn Nets

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Speaker 1: and the Rangers and the Islanders over one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals in the first period in the nhhow minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroli. You guys can follow mecaus all my socials

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Speaker 1: at sports Talk Map every morning. Wherever you guys get

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Speaker 1: your podcasts, it is the Daily.

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Speaker 3: Juice Psant Psant from the Sant the Center