1 00:00:00,800 --> 00:00:04,040 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,920 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring 3 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast 5 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and 6 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,320 Speaker 1: at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Well, we've been talking 7 00:00:22,320 --> 00:00:25,160 Speaker 1: about it for the last several years about what appears 8 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:29,640 Speaker 1: to be a growing regulatory oversight, a heavier hand on 9 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: the part of the U S regulators and US lawmakers 10 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:35,880 Speaker 1: against big tech here. Historically they've taken a very light touch, 11 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: but the scenes in recent years a little bit more 12 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: heavier Handless check in on that story, Jen Ry, senior 13 00:00:42,440 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: litigation annalyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, joins us here in the 14 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,559 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio. So, Jen, again, it seems like, 15 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: you know, there's definitely been a heavier hand here by 16 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: a lot of these regulators, and right now they're looking 17 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: at the apps. I'm thinking about the app store, the 18 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 1: Google App Store, the Apple App Store. Uh, that's a 19 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: big revenue source for those company. Is what's converse looking at? 20 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 1: You know, It's funny it we have been talking about 21 00:01:04,640 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 1: this for a couple of years, Paullen. It seemed like 22 00:01:06,200 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 1: it was really all about Google and Facebook in the beginning, 23 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:10,679 Speaker 1: and then suddenly, you know, there was a lot of 24 00:01:10,680 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 1: focus on Apple and Google and their app stores and 25 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,800 Speaker 1: their their walled gardens, so to speak, for their mobile phones. 26 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,120 Speaker 1: What this UM Open Apps Market Act is looking to 27 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: do is take away some of the prohibitions and restrictions 28 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,880 Speaker 1: that Apple and Google utilizes with app developers. So, in 29 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: other words, you can only a user can only download 30 00:01:28,440 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 1: an app from the official app store of that mobile system. 31 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,120 Speaker 1: You have to use the payment systems. If you buy 32 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: an app or you make an in app purchase, you 33 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: have to use the Google or Apple payment system. And 34 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,319 Speaker 1: also there may be some use of the data of 35 00:01:40,440 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: rivals to support or promote or develop their own products 36 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: that are also within their own app stores. So what 37 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: Congress is trying to do is break that down and 38 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: force competition that would lower the rates which are the 39 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: Google and Apple and Apple charge app developers, and seemingly 40 00:01:56,080 --> 00:01:58,680 Speaker 1: that would bring the price down for users of apps. 41 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: Do these kind of UM regulations also govern physical stores. 42 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,720 Speaker 1: For example, if I opened uh chain of drug stores 43 00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 1: across the US. Would I have to allow certain products 44 00:02:12,280 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: sold in my drug store and have um the margins 45 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 1: that I charge regulated, and need to allow certain people 46 00:02:20,760 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: access to my data, etcetera. This particular regulation would not 47 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: because it defines covered companies, and really it's defined so 48 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: specifically that it really only means Apple and Google within 49 00:02:31,800 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 1: this context. But you know, what you raise is a 50 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 1: really good point because you ask why these companies, particularly 51 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: when we don't regulate other industries in that in this manner, 52 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 1: And we haven't really regulated other industries in this manner 53 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 1: because government hasn't wanted to intrude on business models and 54 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: business strategies and the way companies operate in the free market. 55 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: And so I think for that reason, you know, I 56 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:56,079 Speaker 1: do think that there will be some pushback. Well, there's 57 00:02:56,080 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: a lot of momentum here right to reform antitrust laws 58 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 1: and regular gatekeeper platforms. I do think there will be 59 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:06,680 Speaker 1: some pushback, and if something gets enacted, I would see 60 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 1: it as a water down version of what we're looking 61 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:11,919 Speaker 1: at here. When I first read about this, it seemed 62 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,839 Speaker 1: like a solution in search of a problem. Is there 63 00:03:15,240 --> 00:03:21,000 Speaker 1: widespread pushback from consumers that apps are too expensive. You know, 64 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:25,119 Speaker 1: there really isn't but consumers just may not understand the framework, 65 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:29,160 Speaker 1: and that that's really what some of the competitors are arguing, 66 00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:32,240 Speaker 1: like Spotify or Match or Epic Games that really have 67 00:03:32,360 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: problems with these prohibitions of these companies. They're arguing that 68 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: consumers just don't really know that they're paying more because 69 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: Apple and Google charge the developers so much more and 70 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: that's passed down to consumers. But it really raised such 71 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: a good question because it's not really something of all 72 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:50,440 Speaker 1: the things that Congress could be doing and regulating and legislating, 73 00:03:50,800 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 1: it isn't really something that there's been a big consumer 74 00:03:53,640 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: uproar over UM. There are a lot of lawsuits and 75 00:03:57,400 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 1: there are other bills in the House and incentive that 76 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: would seek to do the same kind of thing. In particular, 77 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: a lot of litigation right now against both Google and Apple, 78 00:04:06,080 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 1: but it is mostly brought by companies and not by people. 79 00:04:09,480 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: There are some I should say that there is a 80 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:14,440 Speaker 1: class action by consumers, but I think the broader push 81 00:04:14,480 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 1: here in the litigation is by developers and also by 82 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,039 Speaker 1: by states. Yeah, those are three apps that I don't 83 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: use UM, but I can understand also that Congress does 84 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 1: want to try and just limit the powers of these 85 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: gigantic tech companies because they're so big and have such 86 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,760 Speaker 1: a wide reach. Right, That's right, And I think and 87 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 1: if you think about what the pushes, the bipartisan push here, 88 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:39,279 Speaker 1: it's why I tend to think these versions of the 89 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 1: bills we're seeing today aren't the ones that will get enacted. 90 00:04:42,040 --> 00:04:45,680 Speaker 1: If something gets enacted, because you have Democrats, particularly the 91 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:48,479 Speaker 1: progressive wing on one side, that are really about just 92 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:53,320 Speaker 1: curbing dominance and curbing monopoly power. A lot of the Republicans, 93 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: not all, but a lot of the Republicans are more 94 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: concerned about what they view as censorship, that the power 95 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 1: of these companies has led to censorship of conservative viewpoints, 96 00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: and they're more interested in regulating to prevent that kind 97 00:05:05,480 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: of conduct. And I think, because you have bipartisan interest, 98 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 1: but coming from two different perspectives, you may see some 99 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,440 Speaker 1: trouble when it comes to trying to get the sixty 100 00:05:14,480 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 1: votes you need in the Senate to enact any of this. 101 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 1: All right, jen great having you on, and I hope 102 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:22,400 Speaker 1: we can get you back because you're very good at 103 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 1: what you do. Jennifer E. Is a senior litigation analyst 104 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:30,160 Speaker 1: for US out of Bloomberg Intelligence, talking about the latest 105 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:34,039 Speaker 1: attempts to reduce the power of Apple and Google and 106 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,359 Speaker 1: really about the lawsuits they've been brought by a number 107 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:40,040 Speaker 1: of companies in one class action lawsuit UM by consumers 108 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: as well to try and regulate the app stores UM 109 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: and the businesses in general. Well, you know, speaking for myself, 110 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: one of the silver linings of this pandemic is just 111 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 1: to heighten my appreciation for the biotech industry, for the 112 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: pharmaceutical industry. I mean, coming up with multiple vaccines in 113 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: record time and getting them uh distributed as they have 114 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,279 Speaker 1: has just been extraordinary. So just amazing work being done 115 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 1: in the biotech UH industry, and a lot of those 116 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: investors know very well, uh kind of what's getting done. 117 00:06:15,920 --> 00:06:18,560 Speaker 1: Let's check in with one of those companies, Florian Brand, 118 00:06:18,760 --> 00:06:22,040 Speaker 1: CEO and co founder of biotech company at Thai based 119 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,920 Speaker 1: UH in Germany. The symbol NASTAC symbols A T A I. 120 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: If you've got a terminal in front of you there 121 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 1: about three percent today. They recently reported some uh some results. Floria, 122 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:34,799 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us here. Tell us about 123 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:38,800 Speaker 1: your company. What is a thaie focusing on right now. 124 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:43,839 Speaker 1: Sure and thanks for having us UM today. I'm sorry. 125 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:47,239 Speaker 1: Um SO it ties the clinical stage U bio pharma company, 126 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: so basically a drop development company developing novative novel trements 127 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: from mentality disorders. And you mentioned covid UM and experienced 128 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,640 Speaker 1: that during covid those numbers of people suffering from mental 129 00:06:59,680 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 1: health in cases have unfortunately really um skyrocketed. So we're 130 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:07,919 Speaker 1: in this for developing novel innovative treatments UM and also 131 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:12,120 Speaker 1: look at previously stigmatized compounds such as psychedelic compounds to 132 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 1: really um improve the current existing standard of care to 133 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 1: um ya make it make patients that suffer from mental 134 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 1: health disorders and globally that's roughly billion that make them, 135 00:07:23,840 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 1: make them more more more effective, develop more effective options 136 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 1: for them, UM so that they can can get better treatments. 137 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 1: So when you talk, I mean there has been for 138 00:07:34,240 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: decades talk about using psychedelics like psilocybin or LSD to 139 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: treat various issues UM from mental health issues to alcoholism. 140 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 1: What are you talking about specifically, um so, we're among 141 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 1: others are also looking at um A psilocybin um, but 142 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: more broadly also at d MT and other molecules that 143 00:07:57,240 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: are considered psychedelics also at a at an the answerer 144 00:08:00,600 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 1: of of ketamine UM. So indeed, to your point, they 145 00:08:03,840 --> 00:08:06,680 Speaker 1: have been well researched over the last decades, starting as 146 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: early as in the fifties and sixties UM where they 147 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 1: actually already showed interesting and very compelling promising UM signals 148 00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:20,360 Speaker 1: that they're very relevant UM drugs treating psychiatric diseases. But 149 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 1: then mainly due to political reasons that research slowed down 150 00:08:23,440 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 1: due to the declaration of mixings war and drug and 151 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: then most recently with very promising studies out of John 152 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:33,319 Speaker 1: Hopkins in Baltimore and Imperial College in London, there's more 153 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 1: and more kind of a spotlight in the academic world 154 00:08:35,640 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 1: showing really the promise of those compounds. And then around 155 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:43,200 Speaker 1: around that time seen that's also when we decided to 156 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,599 Speaker 1: to start a time to really put more money in 157 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,200 Speaker 1: vigorously researching those compounds UM to really demonstrate that their 158 00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: safe andificacious for mental disorders are to treat mentality disorders. Yeah, floor, 159 00:08:53,800 --> 00:08:56,360 Speaker 1: and it seems to me, you know, we haven't heard 160 00:08:56,440 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 1: much about psychedelics really since arguably the sixties and maybe 161 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 1: the seventies, So what's what has been the whole psychedelicy 162 00:09:04,960 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: for yourself? Exactly right, I will. I was in college 163 00:09:08,440 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 1: in the nineties and I heard a lot about them that. Yeah, 164 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 1: so what has been the use case for psychedelics historically 165 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:19,880 Speaker 1: and kind of how are you perhaps repurposing that? Um 166 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,200 Speaker 1: so indeed, I mean some countries that have been actually 167 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,680 Speaker 1: legal for medical use. UM. Again, I think that the 168 00:09:25,679 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 1: backup flash was really driven by political motives. I mean 169 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:32,439 Speaker 1: there's this anti hippie movement, uh kind of Timothy Leary 170 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: going a little bit too to uh, a little bit overboard. 171 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: It's kind of advocating that's kind of there and everyone 172 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:41,959 Speaker 1: should take it. We're taking a very scientific approach here 173 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:44,839 Speaker 1: and demonstrating that they're given in the right set and 174 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 1: settings and in patient treatment supervised by a therapist, they 175 00:09:48,440 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 1: can be truly helping people suffering from from these diseases. 176 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:54,880 Speaker 1: And I think that's important to emphasize that we really 177 00:09:55,320 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: rigorously researching those in with modern samners, and that's why 178 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:03,440 Speaker 1: we're running various polinical trials at different stages UM to 179 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:06,480 Speaker 1: basically generate the data for the FDA and also later 180 00:10:06,520 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 1: on payers to make those therapies of imbursable. Again, you're 181 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,640 Speaker 1: we're not in this for recreational use and overhyping this, 182 00:10:13,840 --> 00:10:18,200 Speaker 1: no really developing your medical compounds. It's funny that we 183 00:10:18,320 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 1: vilified UM psychedelics, but UM we have no problem prescribing 184 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 1: way too much oxyconton, right, and I wonder if UM 185 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 1: you can use these, especially to treat addiction. I think 186 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:31,400 Speaker 1: that was one of the bright spots that I remember 187 00:10:31,400 --> 00:10:36,960 Speaker 1: reading a lot about absolutely so UM the opio crisis, 188 00:10:37,559 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 1: especially especially relevant for for the US, and we see 189 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:43,120 Speaker 1: from from year to year also that the death toll 190 00:10:43,360 --> 00:10:48,200 Speaker 1: of use this order rising. Unfortunately, We're developing one very 191 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,679 Speaker 1: interesting compound called Eyebel Game that has historically be you 192 00:10:52,640 --> 00:10:55,280 Speaker 1: has been used to kind of ritualistic settings from kind 193 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: of indigenous people, but also have been administed in clinical 194 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:03,560 Speaker 1: settings um UH for for patients in Latin America, and 195 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: has shown then based on case studies, showing great potential. 196 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of anecdotal evidence and that this 197 00:11:10,440 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: can be really an interesting therapy for people really suffering 198 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 1: from addiction. All Right, Florian Brand, thank you so much 199 00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:20,880 Speaker 1: for joining us. Really appreciate you taking the time of 200 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: Florian Brand. He's the CEO and co founder of biopharmaceutical 201 00:11:25,800 --> 00:11:29,120 Speaker 1: company a Taie symbol a t AI based in Germany. 202 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 1: They're focusing on the psychedelic side of the market and 203 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 1: stocks up about three percent today. Uh they went public 204 00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 1: at fifteen is trading just a little bit above fourteen 205 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:40,960 Speaker 1: dollars to share of three percent. They reported some uh 206 00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:44,160 Speaker 1: our financial results just recently, so too good to get 207 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:49,240 Speaker 1: his thoughts on that market. Looking at the ten year 208 00:11:49,720 --> 00:11:53,840 Speaker 1: treasury one point to three eight percent, where does a 209 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:57,400 Speaker 1: good fixed income investor go to get return? Let's go 210 00:11:57,440 --> 00:11:59,160 Speaker 1: to r J. Gall and asked that question. He's a 211 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:01,599 Speaker 1: senior portfolio manager head of the Admiserable bond group it 212 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:05,320 Speaker 1: federated Hermes based in Pittsburgh. They had a couple of 213 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 1: shekels under management. Let's call it total assets on management 214 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 1: six billion. R J, thanks so much for joining us here. Um, 215 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:18,000 Speaker 1: you know, tax exempt or taxable? Where do I go 216 00:12:18,120 --> 00:12:22,079 Speaker 1: for yield today? How much ris should I be taking? Well? 217 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: The yield can be hard to come by, certainly in 218 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 1: a historic sense, yields are are basically a record lows 219 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:33,200 Speaker 1: and muni spreads of titan massively both taxable and taxing. 220 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:39,280 Speaker 1: That markets thematically have seen low quality credit massively outperformed UH, 221 00:12:39,400 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 1: and that UM is something that that I think a 222 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 1: number of active managers certainly we felt was apt to 223 00:12:46,040 --> 00:12:50,280 Speaker 1: happen as the UM at least the improvement in the 224 00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:53,559 Speaker 1: pandemic picture, which recently has been complicated by the delta variant, 225 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:58,160 Speaker 1: but nevertheless, the economic reopening a strong tail wind to 226 00:12:58,240 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 1: the returns to credit, whether it be intact sex after 227 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 1: taxable bond markets. Looking forward, given the yield moves, given 228 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,280 Speaker 1: the spreads have compressed, UH, there seems to be a 229 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 1: little pause in that. Over the last month or so, 230 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:13,720 Speaker 1: high yield corporates, for example, have started printing somewhat weaker returns. 231 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:17,560 Speaker 1: In the muni space, spread teams have stagnated. You still 232 00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:20,680 Speaker 1: get your incremental carry your income UM, which is better, 233 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,280 Speaker 1: but you're you're losing out UM. You're not getting the 234 00:13:23,360 --> 00:13:26,240 Speaker 1: price and appreciation that we have before. It's certainly gotten 235 00:13:26,240 --> 00:13:28,720 Speaker 1: a little murkier going forward, and the delta variant is 236 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,440 Speaker 1: probably the main reason at this point in time. Are 237 00:13:31,480 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 1: you getting paid for the risk? Howard marks Um told 238 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,280 Speaker 1: Eric Shatzker a couple of weeks ago, he thought, you know, 239 00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:41,360 Speaker 1: three basis points sounds very little, but he wasn't as 240 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:45,000 Speaker 1: concerned about default risks and felt he was being paid 241 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:50,439 Speaker 1: um in line with the risk he was taking. Are 242 00:13:50,520 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 1: high yield group is a very strong group in the company, 243 00:13:54,160 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: with a lot of success in various strategies, and our 244 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:00,840 Speaker 1: our multisector total on fund we started of a sleeve approach. 245 00:14:00,920 --> 00:14:02,959 Speaker 1: So when we allocate myndy to high yield, our high 246 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:06,560 Speaker 1: yield guys management and they tell me, UM, they still 247 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:10,480 Speaker 1: like the market. We still are overweight relative to our benchmarks. Uh. 248 00:14:10,640 --> 00:14:13,720 Speaker 1: The prospect of return is obviously lower than what we've 249 00:14:13,720 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 1: experienced in the last you know, six to twelve months, 250 00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,920 Speaker 1: for sure, but the incidents of default is expected to 251 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: be very very low. Corporate profits just printed a lot 252 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 1: of favorable news across a variety of sectors. Now everybody 253 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,920 Speaker 1: says that's backward looking. Yeah it is, but it's the 254 00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 1: most recent momentum that we have built up economically heading 255 00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 1: into what could be a dicey late summer and fall. 256 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 1: As the delta variant clearly a roding on sentiment. Look 257 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,119 Speaker 1: at the Michigan consumer sentiment numbers. UM. I think corporations 258 00:14:43,120 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 1: are now struggling with return to office in addition to 259 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:49,240 Speaker 1: supply chain challenges and various echoes of the of the 260 00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 1: first wave of the pandemic that we're all still going through. UM, 261 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: we're still optimistic that credit is an avenue towards our performance. 262 00:14:56,720 --> 00:15:00,080 Speaker 1: Uh not the least of which contributing factor the that 263 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 1: is still at zero, still buying bonds, suppressing returns on 264 00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 1: high quality fixed income, and that is helping to boost 265 00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,560 Speaker 1: returns to low quality. We don't think of recessions in 266 00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 1: the offing. We might have a hiccup, it might be 267 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 1: a little bit of headwind compared to what we expected 268 00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: because the delta variant, but we still like credit on 269 00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:19,440 Speaker 1: economic momentum and corporate corporate performance. I didn't I didn't 270 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 1: mean to get us off the Muni track. Paul is 271 00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 1: obsessed with Muni's absolutely. I I love the new Jersey Meunis. 272 00:15:26,400 --> 00:15:29,360 Speaker 1: We just can't get me yields r J. How about 273 00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 1: inflation here, r J? I mean that is a concern. 274 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:34,320 Speaker 1: It isn't even more more of a concern for this market, 275 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: say a month ago, and perhaps people getting more and 276 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:39,120 Speaker 1: more into that transitory camp. How do you guys think 277 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: about that? UM, We've been firmly in the camp that 278 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: it will be less, it won't be as transitory as 279 00:15:45,560 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: Chairman Powell expects UM. I think even those at the FED, 280 00:15:50,960 --> 00:15:53,120 Speaker 1: I mean, you can sense over the last eight weeks 281 00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 1: there was a softening of the transitory UM desk beating 282 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: for a while there it was going to be transitory, 283 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 1: and it was almost like they wanted to guarantee it. UM. 284 00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,080 Speaker 1: But if you look at the f OMC speeches, if 285 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 1: you look at the minutes or not the minute, excuse me, 286 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 1: the summary of eaconomic projections and the risk around their 287 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:15,000 Speaker 1: inflation outlook was skewed to the upside. I think that 288 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 1: it's pretty clear that the inflation story is still evolving 289 00:16:19,040 --> 00:16:21,240 Speaker 1: in such a way that we think that the Fed 290 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:25,640 Speaker 1: will prove to have overplayed the transitory card UH, and 291 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: that some of this inflation is gonna last and echo 292 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:30,520 Speaker 1: for a while. UH. It's one of the reasons why 293 00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 1: we are still short duration UM a little less so 294 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:36,960 Speaker 1: than we were, say, six day weeks ago, but we 295 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:38,920 Speaker 1: still believe that you'll should be heating someone higher to 296 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:43,520 Speaker 1: compensate for the inflation risk that is clearly higher today 297 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 1: than then it was expected to be. I think on 298 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 1: the part of the FED and on the part of 299 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: many of the markets. Right now, the market doesn't seem 300 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,400 Speaker 1: to care that much about that. Uh, you know, you've 301 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 1: had some deceleration in the month over month, Prince that 302 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 1: that's good. The second derivative went negative. That fits the 303 00:16:57,920 --> 00:17:01,880 Speaker 1: FEDS framework of transit story. But we don't believe we're 304 00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: gonna get reset back towards the fedced target rate of 305 00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:07,159 Speaker 1: two percent. We're going to probably overshoot it more than 306 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 1: they would like. And we think as a bond investor, 307 00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:12,200 Speaker 1: you know, owning treasuries for example, we we should ask 308 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:13,640 Speaker 1: for a little bit more, ye know, than we think 309 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: rates should be heading higher. The delta variant and its 310 00:17:16,040 --> 00:17:19,480 Speaker 1: impact on the gross trajectory the obvious key risk. I 311 00:17:19,520 --> 00:17:22,720 Speaker 1: do think the Afghanistan story is a very difficult story 312 00:17:22,760 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 1: on many fronts, but I don't think it's an economic 313 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:31,520 Speaker 1: or a market problem. When is you know, considering the 314 00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:36,600 Speaker 1: phenomenal history of the Michigan Wolverines that their performance over 315 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 1: the past few years, over the deck last decade really 316 00:17:39,320 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 1: has been dismal, When are they going to field a 317 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:45,280 Speaker 1: really winning team? R J. I just you know, I 318 00:17:45,320 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: have to warn you. Matthew is from the state of Ohio. Uh, yeah, 319 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,360 Speaker 1: that you came from. Are you a Hire State fan? 320 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: Is that what you're trying to tell me, sir? Yeah, Well, 321 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 1: I mean I like winning teams. You know. Well, you 322 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: know I I used to bristle at these kinds of comments. 323 00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:05,080 Speaker 1: I have to say that the it's been a little 324 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:09,600 Speaker 1: humbling the Michigan football performance of late um, I would 325 00:18:09,600 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 1: say this, I think that you basically when Harbaugh came in, 326 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:15,920 Speaker 1: there were expectations he was going to get us into 327 00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:18,919 Speaker 1: the college football Championship, get into the playoff, or whatever 328 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:22,680 Speaker 1: iteration of it that we're on. I'm gonna have to 329 00:18:22,680 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 1: cut you off. Well, here in the Bloomberg Radio studio 330 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:30,760 Speaker 1: here Bloomberg h Q in Europe, it got lots of 331 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 1: the cable network video streams up and running at all 332 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 1: times just to keep on top of the news and 333 00:18:36,000 --> 00:18:40,000 Speaker 1: lots of images and video of chaotic chaos going on 334 00:18:40,160 --> 00:18:43,399 Speaker 1: in Afghanistan, particularly at the airport in Cobble. Right now, 335 00:18:43,440 --> 00:18:45,919 Speaker 1: let's get the latest from Bill Ferries, he's a national 336 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 1: security team leader for Bloomberg News, joining us on the 337 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,879 Speaker 1: phone from Washington, d C. Bill, Again, this is not 338 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: the way I don't think anybody wanted it to go. 339 00:18:55,040 --> 00:18:58,639 Speaker 1: But perhaps this is should not be that surprising. What 340 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,120 Speaker 1: is the latest from your warding about what is going 341 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:06,440 Speaker 1: on in Afghanistan, particularly in Cobble Well, as you mentioned, 342 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,160 Speaker 1: there have been some scenes of real chaos and confusion 343 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:12,879 Speaker 1: at the airport. Is people storm the runway, some trying 344 00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:18,959 Speaker 1: to grab onto US military planes as they were taxing. Um. 345 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:20,960 Speaker 1: I mean up is now reporting that there have been 346 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:25,400 Speaker 1: seven people killed at the airport so far. I think 347 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 1: on the U s side, people were waiting to see 348 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 1: how the President Biden uh finds a way to address 349 00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 1: the situation. The administration is pushed back a lot um 350 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 1: in terms of saying that you know, they expected the 351 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 1: Afghan military to put up much more of a fight 352 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 1: against the Taliban, and even as a lot of analysts 353 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:46,520 Speaker 1: thought that the Taliban might eventually take control, I don't 354 00:19:46,520 --> 00:19:50,280 Speaker 1: think there was anyone even a week ago predicting that 355 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 1: something would happen this quickly. That said, the US has 356 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,479 Speaker 1: spent twenty years building up the Afghan military, So if 357 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,960 Speaker 1: anyone should have known how prepared they were to fight 358 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,000 Speaker 1: or not, you would think it would have been the 359 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,880 Speaker 1: US commanders in the field. Yeah, I mean, I would 360 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 1: say from reading through the Afghan paper, Afghanistan papers and 361 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:13,439 Speaker 1: reporting across the various news organizations. UM, it looks like 362 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 1: the Taliban started to negotiate with Afghan army and police 363 00:20:17,840 --> 00:20:21,080 Speaker 1: personnel at the beginning of the year or the end 364 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:25,560 Speaker 1: of last year. So the Taliban already knew that they 365 00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:28,719 Speaker 1: had these entry points. And UM, a lot of these 366 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,680 Speaker 1: Afghan officials weren't getting paid for the last six months 367 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 1: of the last nine months, so clearly, UM, you could 368 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 1: see how their loyalty would weaken. What happens now, UM 369 00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 1: in terms of getting people out, I know the president's 370 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:47,119 Speaker 1: UM team said they're gonna send what five thousand troops 371 00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:51,040 Speaker 1: to the US to to the Kabul airport. Um, is 372 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: that still the case? And how are they planning on 373 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,959 Speaker 1: who are they planning on taking out? Well, right, it's 374 00:20:57,000 --> 00:20:59,400 Speaker 1: actually up to six thousand now that they said, we'll 375 00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 1: be in play by by at some point tomorrow on Tuesday. UH. 376 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 1: And their job is to secure some sort of a 377 00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:10,680 Speaker 1: perimeter around the airport. And they still have diplomats, they 378 00:21:10,720 --> 00:21:13,880 Speaker 1: still have Afghan translators and other aids that they are 379 00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,680 Speaker 1: rushing out. It's not just in the US, the UK 380 00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,919 Speaker 1: is also running flights in and out of Kabbal the 381 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,840 Speaker 1: big the big question, and I think the problem that 382 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,920 Speaker 1: the US has here is that if you know you're 383 00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:28,359 Speaker 1: someone who's trying to get out, whether you might be 384 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 1: an Afghan translator who worked with NATO forces for years 385 00:21:32,080 --> 00:21:34,719 Speaker 1: but in a more remote province, you would have to 386 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:37,280 Speaker 1: get yourself to Kabbo. At this point, there are no 387 00:21:37,400 --> 00:21:42,200 Speaker 1: exit points um in Afghanistan except the airport. If you 388 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:44,720 Speaker 1: try to cross the land border, you're going through Taliban 389 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,000 Speaker 1: setpoint for that at that stage. So I think that's 390 00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,199 Speaker 1: going to be the question is how well can the 391 00:21:50,280 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: US and allies get their own people and their aids out, 392 00:21:54,280 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 1: and then of course what happens to for instance, women 393 00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 1: and uh and and children's rights and country We we 394 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,040 Speaker 1: all remember what that was like under the Taliban, and 395 00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:08,119 Speaker 1: there's already reports of human rights abuses in some of 396 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:12,320 Speaker 1: these Taliban controlled areas. UN Security Councils having an emergency 397 00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:15,480 Speaker 1: session on that issue right now, um and that's going 398 00:22:15,520 --> 00:22:17,639 Speaker 1: to be one of the bigger questions in the days ahead. 399 00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 1: It's so damaging to the US credibility right to have 400 00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:26,360 Speaker 1: um U S forces so publicly abandoned, these people who 401 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,639 Speaker 1: put their trust in the United States military, and I 402 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:34,040 Speaker 1: just really leave them hanging. How how does a president 403 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:38,320 Speaker 1: who wanted to telegraph the message America's back to work 404 00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:42,879 Speaker 1: with the world, how does he handle that? Without a doubt, 405 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: It's it's perhaps the biggest crisis that Joe Biden the 406 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: space that he took office. He ran as a candidate 407 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 1: in part on his you know, three decades of experience 408 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,640 Speaker 1: on the on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, his time 409 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 1: as a vice president UM, and you know, really as 410 00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:01,280 Speaker 1: a foreign policy expert. And again, I think there were 411 00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: a lot of people who would have said, yes, the 412 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:06,880 Speaker 1: Taliban will eventually win this, but nobody thought it would 413 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:10,119 Speaker 1: happen this uh, this quickly, and it makes the administration 414 00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,840 Speaker 1: look like it didn't really have a plan for how 415 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:18,200 Speaker 1: to secure the withdrawal, to get its allies out in time. 416 00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: We have six thousand troops going into the airport by tomorrow. 417 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 1: That's more troops than we've had for four or five 418 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:28,200 Speaker 1: years UH in Afghanistan. So, you know, a few weeks 419 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:30,679 Speaker 1: last months of the president, Biden was saying there was 420 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 1: no way we would see this kind of a situation. 421 00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,880 Speaker 1: We have it faster than anyone expected Bill. I guess 422 00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:38,919 Speaker 1: what's going through my Twitter feed at the moment as 423 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 1: it released to Afghanistan is the lack of communication from 424 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:44,679 Speaker 1: the White House, particularly from the President. What do we 425 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:49,600 Speaker 1: know about when he will address this issue publicly? We 426 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 1: are his national security advice in this morning that you 427 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: will address it soon. We know he's been up at 428 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:57,520 Speaker 1: Camp David. I think we're all looking to see whether 429 00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:00,520 Speaker 1: uh he tries to give a speech to the nation 430 00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 1: from there, whether he comes back to Washington. We have 431 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:06,560 Speaker 1: not seen a lot of his top advisors. It was 432 00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:10,320 Speaker 1: his national security advisor who was on TV this morning, 433 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,879 Speaker 1: But we haven't, you know, except for the Sunday shows, 434 00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:15,800 Speaker 1: we haven't seen a lot of Tony Lincoln, Secretary of State, 435 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,880 Speaker 1: or Lloyd Austin, Secretary of Defense. They've got a lot 436 00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:21,160 Speaker 1: to work on, of course, but I think you would 437 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 1: expect to see them putting their face forward a lot 438 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 1: more in the coming hours. And Tony B. Lincoln um 439 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:30,960 Speaker 1: said he considers the administration considered the mission in Afghanistan 440 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:35,639 Speaker 1: success going after those who harbored nine eleven terrorists. What 441 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: are the chances that the Taliban harbor's terrorists again, or 442 00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 1: that the vacuum is filled with you know, um, Chinese 443 00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:48,320 Speaker 1: or Iranian power. I think for sure you're going to 444 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:51,000 Speaker 1: see foreign powers thinking a stronger interest. I mean when 445 00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: you look at hoop orders Afghanistan, just starting with China 446 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,600 Speaker 1: and Russia, they first of all, they have their own 447 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:01,119 Speaker 1: security concerns. Um, there were four that China had fast 448 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 1: up its military presence a little bit on its shared border. Uh. 449 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 1: And for sure, Pakistan, of course, which is a close 450 00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 1: ally of China, is going to be even more involved 451 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,160 Speaker 1: than it than it already has been. The Taliban, their 452 00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 1: comments so far have been a little bit more moderate. Um. 453 00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 1: They've been saying that they want to have some sort 454 00:25:20,760 --> 00:25:24,120 Speaker 1: of a discussion about the political future of the country. 455 00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 1: But I think realistically people are not going to put 456 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: a lot of stock on that. Actions will speak much 457 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,480 Speaker 1: louder than words. And and and the Taliban have a 458 00:25:32,560 --> 00:25:36,760 Speaker 1: history of of of running you know what was internationally 459 00:25:36,800 --> 00:25:40,360 Speaker 1: condemned as a as A as a fairly brutal regime 460 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: when it will help power in the late ninety nineties, 461 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:49,479 Speaker 1: all right, It's just a horrible situation. And I'm sure 462 00:25:49,520 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 1: there will be plenty time for blame to go around 463 00:25:51,320 --> 00:25:56,800 Speaker 1: after but it would be uh, you hope that American, British, German, 464 00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 1: French forces can get in there and save the people 465 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,399 Speaker 1: that their trust into the Allied forces. Bill, thanks so 466 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:07,120 Speaker 1: much for joining us. Bill Ferries is National Security Team 467 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:10,480 Speaker 1: leader for US here at Bloomberg News, joining us out 468 00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,879 Speaker 1: of Washington, d C. Talking about the UM still developing, 469 00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:18,920 Speaker 1: but just tragic, tragic situation. The images of people jumping 470 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 1: onto air force planes and trying to run on the 471 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:25,680 Speaker 1: outside of the aircraft are really horrifying. Thanks for listening 472 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,200 Speaker 1: to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen 473 00:26:29,240 --> 00:26:33,520 Speaker 1: to interviews of Apple Podcasts or whatever podcast platform you prefer. 474 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter at Matt Miller three. 475 00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,119 Speaker 1: On Ball Sweeney, I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before 476 00:26:41,119 --> 00:26:44,280 Speaker 1: the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.