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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me across all socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt one and two night. Last night,

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Speaker 1: one and two down, one point one units. Unfortunately we

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Speaker 1: get the college basketball bet wrong. We've been going one

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Speaker 1: in one on these NBA unders, so we're gonna pause

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Speaker 1: that and only have one bet in the NBA unders

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Speaker 1: officially here for today. Give you that here in just

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Speaker 1: one second. But we got the one of the unders right,

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Speaker 1: one of the unders wrong for the NBA last night.

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Speaker 1: But Minnesota kind of blew the night, so that stinks.

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Speaker 1: So one and two and one, two and one, one

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Speaker 1: and two. So still winning week going, but we head

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Speaker 1: towards a Thursday with a lot to get into. Welcome

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Speaker 1: to Tournament Week, the first of two weekends of conference

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Speaker 1: tournaments around the country, including my favorite, the Missouri Valley Conference.

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Speaker 1: ARCH Madness, as they call it, it starts. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you two plays officially, but I'm gonna give you

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Speaker 1: bets on every game. I love this conference. I spent

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Speaker 1: a ton of time covering this conference going to Arch

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Speaker 1: madness being a part of this. I have a deep

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Speaker 1: love for the Missouri Valley Conference and I think it's

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Speaker 1: one of the best, most underrated, underappreciated events of the

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Speaker 1: year every year. So if you were an OG you

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Speaker 1: knew what this podcast was gonna be today. I know

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Speaker 1: people are asking me to bet golf. You're like, hey,

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Speaker 1: bet the bay Hill Invitational. Larnon Palmer like bet it.

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Speaker 1: Come on, eh, college basketball guys. Sorry, I'll bet golf

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Speaker 1: at some point, but not right now. We're gonna bet,

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Speaker 1: and I know golf betting has been pretty profitable. Maybe

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Speaker 1: I'll bet a head to head over the weekend Saturday

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Speaker 1: or Sunday, give us something to watch. But man, the

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Speaker 1: West Coast Conference tournament starts in Vegas tonight. I mean,

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Speaker 1: there's so many good conferences around the country, the Atlantic ten,

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's awesome. This is a ton of fun

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Speaker 1: right now. And the next week we get all the

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Speaker 1: big boys, including the Mountain West Conference tournament here in Vegas.

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Speaker 1: PAC twelve Conference tournament here in Vegas. It's incredible. One

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Speaker 1: of the greatest unknown little secrets is how good Vegas

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Speaker 1: is for the conference tournaments this week and next week.

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Speaker 1: You can come in on Saturday and you can see

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Speaker 1: the big Sky, you can see the Big West, you

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Speaker 1: can see the West Coast Conference, you can see so

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Speaker 1: many I mean it's look, there's great weeks to be

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Speaker 1: in Vegas, but that Saturday to Sunday, that eight day stretch.

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Speaker 1: If you're a college basketball junkie, forget the NAA tournaments.

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Speaker 1: The conference championship games are wild. These teams know each other,

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Speaker 1: different story. It's not really you know, an unknown conference

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Speaker 1: v conference. This is interconference brawls. Watch if you're not

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Speaker 1: you've never seen Grand Canyon play, watch what they bring

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Speaker 1: to Vegas last year. It was unbleeping believable. The atmosphere.

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Speaker 1: I cannot wait to go back to that conference tournament,

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Speaker 1: to go to the whack the Western thought of conference,

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Speaker 1: to watch that championship run for George, for Grand Canyon.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be unbelievable. I cannot wait to get

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Speaker 1: them back here to Vegas. Anyways, this podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: we're into conference tournament time. If you need a book,

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Speaker 1: three six five. Don't forget to deposit ten dollars of

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Speaker 1: real money in there. Make a bet, hit the bet

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Speaker 1: and then you will wind up winning one hundred and

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets from bet

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Speaker 1: three six five. Okay, let's get into the the NBA

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Speaker 1: play first, and then I'll break down arch madness for

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Speaker 1: you guys. Okay, the first play, the only play in

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Speaker 1: the NBA, the Brooklyn Nets. You guys know where we're

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Speaker 1: going with this. We're going to play the under. It's

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Speaker 1: two sixteen and a half. It's coming down. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: bet it overnight. Hopefully the number doesn't crater like it's

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Speaker 1: done before in the past. The interesting thing about the

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Speaker 1: numbers involving Detroit and even same thing with Brooklyn. The

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Speaker 1: books are starting to put the number so low that

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Speaker 1: the last game against Miami went over went over for Detroit,

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Speaker 1: which was stunning because that stopped a one, two, three, four, five, six, seven,

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Speaker 1: eight nine straight run to the under. What are we

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Speaker 1: doing under with Detroit? Why? Well, at home, they're sixteen

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Speaker 1: twelve and one to the under. Brooklyn on the road

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Speaker 1: is seventeen ten and one to the under. Yes, I know,

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Speaker 1: last two games have gone over for Brooklyn, but this

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Speaker 1: again is because the numbers are coming down so much,

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Speaker 1: and this is the first game of a road trip

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Speaker 1: after a four game homestand which three of the four

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Speaker 1: games for Brooklyn went over the closing number over not

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Speaker 1: the numbers we bet, but on the road Orlando under Memphis,

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Speaker 1: under Minnesota, under Toronto under Boston under every game on

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Speaker 1: that last road trip a five gamer all went under

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Speaker 1: for the Brooklyn Nets. The last time a game on

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Speaker 1: the road went over over was the third of February

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Speaker 1: two thirty one number went over by twenty six points

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Speaker 1: as they scored one hundred and thirty six points on

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Speaker 1: the Philadelphia seventy six ers. But before that, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: go back to the twenty first of January to find

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Speaker 1: an over on the road for the Brooklyn Nets under

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Speaker 1: two sixteen and a half for one point one units

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Speaker 1: with Detroit hosting Brooklyn. Okay to arch Madness. The first

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Speaker 1: two games are not officially played, Okay, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you bets on it in case you want it.

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Speaker 1: These the first bet I make every year. You know,

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Speaker 1: some people walk into Vegas and they walk up to

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Speaker 1: a blackjack table, or they come into Vegas and they

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Speaker 1: walk up to a roulette table and they go and

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Speaker 1: make a play like first hand fifty bucks. Let's go,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna set the tone for the whole weekend. Or

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Speaker 1: come in and bet one hundred dollars on black or

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Speaker 1: come in and play your lucky number. It's even hits, right,

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Speaker 1: everyone's got their Vegas tradition had to start off a

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Speaker 1: Vegas party weekend. For me, it's betting the under in

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Speaker 1: the first game of Arch Madness every year. Why look,

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Speaker 1: nobody wants to play on Thursday, and no one wants

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Speaker 1: to play at noon on Thursday. Why no one's there?

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Speaker 1: I mean, we're talking crickets. We're talking dead upon dead atmospheres.

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Speaker 1: This number between Missouri State and Murray State opened up

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Speaker 1: at one forty one and a half. It's currently one

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Speaker 1: forty at the super book. We are gonna bet the

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Speaker 1: under under in the first game Missouri State taking on

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Speaker 1: Murray State. The numbers don't matter, Okay, just it's the

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Speaker 1: first time these kids have stepped on the floor. These

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Speaker 1: rims are unknown, the sight lines are unknown. The atmosphere

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Speaker 1: feels like a practice. It's not really all that fun.

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Speaker 1: But one team has their season end end. It's like

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Speaker 1: you're barely awake. You walk up, You're like, what are

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Speaker 1: we doing playing here? This is awful noon Central time,

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Speaker 1: one pm Eastern time. Why are we playing basketball right now?

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Speaker 1: And no one cares? Number opened up at two from

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Speaker 1: Missouri State. It's been bet up at Caesars to two

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Speaker 1: and a half. So money's coming in on Murray State

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Speaker 1: all fourty all four of these games or at bad

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Speaker 1: basketball teams. Okay, I'm just saying right now it's bad

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Speaker 1: basketball teams. But I'm gonna go ahead and take the

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Speaker 1: under unofficially one for you want it, Okay, under one

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Speaker 1: forty Missouri State and Missouri State second game. There's two sessions,

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Speaker 1: by the way, first session two games, second session, two games.

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Speaker 1: The break matters at Arch Madness, This late session matters.

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Speaker 1: Valpo taking on Belmont. The number is fourteen at the

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Speaker 1: super book. Fourteen. Look, this is a tournament game. This

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Speaker 1: season's gonna end here. I know Valpol hasn't been good,

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Speaker 1: but ah, I can't help myself here. You're gonna give

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Speaker 1: me fourteen points in a tournament game. I got a

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Speaker 1: roll with it. I don't love it. I'm not in

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Speaker 1: love with the fact I'm taking a dog that has

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Speaker 1: been absolutely horrific. Valpo has lost and they've been killed

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Speaker 1: this year. I mean, Valpo has just completely fallen apart

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Speaker 1: over the last I don't know month of the season.

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Speaker 1: They have lost. Let's see Valpo has lost. They got

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Speaker 1: a win against Illinois State on Senior Day amazingly enough,

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Speaker 1: but they lost one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine,

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Speaker 1: ten eleven games before that win. Okay, they're three and seventeen.

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Speaker 1: Three and seventeen Valpos horrific. This, according to Kempom, though,

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Speaker 1: is an eleven point win for Belmont. Belmont ended the

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Speaker 1: year with three straight wins in winning seven of eight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Belmont should go ahead and house Valpo. They're gonna win,

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Speaker 1: but fourteen points again unofficially, but this is I've seen

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Speaker 1: this too many times. Yes, I've seen teams be one

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Speaker 1: out of the gym, okay, but I've also seen teams

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Speaker 1: fight hard. Maybe Valpo first half. If you don't want

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Speaker 1: Valpo for the game, Valpol in the first half to

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Speaker 1: keep the game somewhat close. Maybe you get like a

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Speaker 1: plus seven or a plus eight. Fourteen. I like the

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Speaker 1: dog there, Okay, give me fourteen points, just two darn

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Speaker 1: heavy everything screams, go ahead and take the favorite there.

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Speaker 1: But I'm not laying fourteen points. End of the game.

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Speaker 1: Because teams stretch out these games. It's the end of

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Speaker 1: the year. They fight, they play everybody, they foul all

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Speaker 1: the time. They try to keep the game close all

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Speaker 1: the time because their year is over. They're not going

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Speaker 1: to it, not going anywhere after this. This is their

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Speaker 1: last game of the year. Give me the dog. Valpel

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Speaker 1: was fourteen, Okay, So what am I betting? For real? Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's just the first two places. This is the second session.

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Speaker 1: Illinois State is laying three. DraftKings has this at three

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Speaker 1: against Evansville. So let's break this game down. Okay, Evansville,

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Speaker 1: Illinois State. You might get a two and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: this number might come down. You may get two and

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Speaker 1: a half. I got three. You might get two and

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Speaker 1: a half, which would be even better. Illinois State later

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Speaker 1: game than the other ones. Not a late game, per se,

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Speaker 1: but it's an afternoon game. Okay. This is a game

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Speaker 1: that we played at seven o'clock Eastern time, four o'clock Pacific,

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Speaker 1: so six pm time Central time in Saint Louis. Look,

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Speaker 1: Illinois State's not that far from Saint Louis. Okay, it's

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Speaker 1: not that far Peoria, right, Peoria, Illinois. You can drive

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Speaker 1: it pretty easily. Actually, you know what, let me look

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Speaker 1: this up. Let's let's see how fall, how fall Peori,

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Speaker 1: Illinois is from from Saint Louis. I'm gonna say it's

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Speaker 1: a two hour drive. It may not even be that.

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Speaker 1: It may be even less than that. It may it

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Speaker 1: may be way closer than that. Yeah, I mean that's

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Speaker 1: not even Let's see if scrolling down to get to

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis. It's close, Springfield is closer, but Peoria is

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Speaker 1: not far. Okay, a lot of people that are gonna

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Speaker 1: be able to drive down and be a part of this.

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Speaker 1: It's a day trip. It's time that far. It's a

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Speaker 1: day trip to just go ahead and into a little hop,

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Speaker 1: skip and a jump down from Peoria to Saint Louis.

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Speaker 1: And a lot of people do it every year. They

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Speaker 1: drive down because they know, look, our team might only

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Speaker 1: play one game, but they might play a bunch. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so yeah, two hours and thirty four minutes. How I drive,

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Speaker 1: it's one hundred and seventy miles, Okay, it's nothing to

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Speaker 1: get there. To get down there, that is not hard

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Speaker 1: at all to get down for Illinois state. And I

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Speaker 1: look the Redbirds have a very very proud, proud program.

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Speaker 1: There's a lot all actually, well as it's in normal. Okay,

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Speaker 1: sorry I was wrong. Peoria is who's in Peoria. That's

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Speaker 1: still in Illinois. Who's in Peoria? But it's still not far.

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Speaker 1: Hold on, I'll do I'll do it right now. I'll

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Speaker 1: say you're from normal, and we'll do normal Illinois. How

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Speaker 1: far is normal? When I say Louis, I'm gonna say

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Speaker 1: it's about the same distance. Let's see it's closer. It's

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Speaker 1: actually two hours. It's almost the same distance. Basically, it's

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Speaker 1: two hours. It's actually the same distance. It's one hundred

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Speaker 1: and six nine miles, so the same exact distance to

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Speaker 1: get to Saint Louis. Okay, so they're gonna have fans.

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Speaker 1: Long story short, they're gonna have fans. Their fans are

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Speaker 1: gonna be in the building. They're laying three. Now. This year,

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Speaker 1: when these two teams played, Okay against Evansville in the

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Speaker 1: first matchup on the road, they lost by four. They're

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Speaker 1: laying two points. They were favorites. They lost by four.

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Speaker 1: Then when Evansville went to Illinois State they won by seven,

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Speaker 1: laying three and a half. They won by seven. Here's

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Speaker 1: the problem. Evansville lost one, two, three, four, five, six

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Speaker 1: seven games to end the year. They lost by seventeen eighteen, twelve, nine, seven,

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Speaker 1: three and three. Their last win came on the seventh

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Speaker 1: of February. That's a basketball team that doesn't want to

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Speaker 1: play anymore. Okay, that's a basketball team that just is

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Speaker 1: playing out the string here. And you can say, maybe

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Speaker 1: they get to Saint Louis and they rally Evansville first half. Maybe,

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Speaker 1: but I think the Red Birds, who haven't been great

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Speaker 1: ten and ten ats in the Missouri Valley this year,

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Speaker 1: actually under five hundred overall fourteen and sixteen, didn't cover

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Speaker 1: the last two games against Valpo and Missouri State. They

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Speaker 1: lost by three against Devalpo on their senior day, and

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Speaker 1: they beat Missouri State by one, laying four and a half,

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Speaker 1: but they covered. At Bradley, there are big dogs and

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Speaker 1: they covered. They lost, but they covered. They beat Northern

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Speaker 1: Iowa straight up, and then they beat Evansville by seven,

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Speaker 1: laying three and a half points. I just think one

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Speaker 1: team is going in a maybe not an upward direction,

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Speaker 1: but Illinois State's got more to play for. They got

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Speaker 1: a dream to keep on rolling here. Better roster, better team.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the three Illinois State minus three for one

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Speaker 1: point one units. And the last game of the night

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Speaker 1: is Illinois Chicago up against Southern Illinois. The Sulukis always

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Speaker 1: bring people and when you put them in the late slot.

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Speaker 1: There are eleven nine straight up in the Missouri Valley Conference.

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Speaker 1: They're nineteen and twelve and Brian Mullins is the head

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Speaker 1: coach of the Sulukies. Okay, Brian Mullins was a basketball

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Speaker 1: player for the Sulukis when I was covering the Valley.

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Speaker 1: How do you know that you're getting old, Well, when

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Speaker 1: you start to see guys who becoming head coaches of teams, Uh,

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Speaker 1: when you covered them. Now he's young, but it's still

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Speaker 1: kind of striking to go, Wow, this is nuts to

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Speaker 1: see him as the head coach of Southern Illinois. But

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Speaker 1: nineteen and twelve, eleven and nine in the Missouri Valley Conference.

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Speaker 1: The Sulukis have won eleven NBC games in back to

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Speaker 1: back years for the first time since Brian Mullins was

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Speaker 1: a player. Since Brian Mellins played at Southern that's the

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Speaker 1: last time they've had back to back eleven win seasons.

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Speaker 1: So things are going in the right direction here. They

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Speaker 1: are really good at stopping the three. They're nineteenth in

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Speaker 1: the country, holding their opponent to about thirty percent shooting

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Speaker 1: from behind the ar. They take care of the basketball.

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Speaker 1: They're third in the valley and assistant turnam of a ratio,

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Speaker 1: and they're shooting seventy six point five percent from the

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Speaker 1: free throw line, which is second best in the valley

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Speaker 1: in thirtieth nationally. They hit their free throws, which is

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Speaker 1: big in tournament games when you're trying to cover numbers.

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Speaker 1: SIU is minus five in this one. Now, ten of

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Speaker 1: SIU's games have been decided by six points or less. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so we don't really love that, but will take six.

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Speaker 1: Don't want four or five? You know, three, four, two,

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Speaker 1: one we want or five is okay, we push, but

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Speaker 1: six is what we want. Okay. Southern Illinois is a

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Speaker 1: team that I think. I don't think they'll make a run,

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Speaker 1: but I definitely think they can be a problem in

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Speaker 1: this tournament. At least they can get out of the

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Speaker 1: opening night and to not make a deep run in

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Speaker 1: Arch Madness, but definitely have people's attention. Look, they've won

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Speaker 1: big games, they've beaten teams, big teams in the in

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Speaker 1: the in the valley that you might go, hmm, really

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Speaker 1: the number five, it really hasn't moved all that much.

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Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago is a team that, Look, they're five and

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Speaker 1: eleven straight up away from home, five and eleven, thirteen

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Speaker 1: and five at home. For Southern, they're not at home,

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Speaker 1: but there's gonna be a lot of fans there, not

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Speaker 1: their home gym, not their home rims. But the crowd

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Speaker 1: advantage will be for the Sulukis. They will have people

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Speaker 1: in the building one hundred percent, which will help. At home.

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Speaker 1: They were ten and seven ats, but Southern on the

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Speaker 1: road was eight four and one. They were good on

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Speaker 1: the road, not bad for UICE they were eight seven

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Speaker 1: and one, but they were two to two and one

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Speaker 1: down the stretch, six thirteen and one in the valley

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Speaker 1: for UIC, that's not good. Ten and ten for Southern,

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Speaker 1: not great, but good enough. Against Illinois Chicago on the

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Speaker 1: road they beat them two and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by three. At home against Illinois Chicago they laid five

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Speaker 1: and a half. They won by twelve. Is it hard

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Speaker 1: to beat a team three three times in one season? Sure?

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Speaker 1: But UIIC has lost three games in a row and

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Speaker 1: they've lost five of six going into Arch Madness. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna lay it with the Sulukis here. I like the dogs,

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Speaker 1: not in the game, OI in the game, not in

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Speaker 1: the number minus five. I like the favorite SIU minus

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Speaker 1: five for one point one units. Okay, So not to

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Speaker 1: confuse you, here are the three official plays under two

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half in Brooklyn, Illinois State minus three,

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Speaker 1: Southern Illinois minus five in Arch Madness, first game under

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Speaker 1: one forty with Murray State in Missouri State, and I'll

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Speaker 1: take Valpo plus fourteen in their game coming up here

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Speaker 1: today against Belmont. But the first two games are not official.

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Speaker 1: Those are just plays I'm making personally. You can fade

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Speaker 1: or follow those picks if you would like, but that's

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Speaker 1: just one of the things I always do. Under in

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Speaker 1: the first game at Arch Madness it's hit more often

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Speaker 1: then it's not, but it's not been like a consistent thing.

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Speaker 1: It's not like every year the under hits. But it's

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Speaker 1: a bet I've made for I don't know how many

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Speaker 1: years in a row I've made this bet now, probably ten.

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Speaker 1: I made the bet in a row for the under

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Speaker 1: in the first game of Arch madness. All right, let's go.

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Speaker 1: I'll bet a lot of games involving the Missouri Valley

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Speaker 1: this week. Button up and get ready for some arch madness.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be a ton of fun. Four games today.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if all four games are on TV.

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Speaker 1: By the way, back in the day, the first two

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Speaker 1: games were not on TV. Hopefully that changed. But yeah,

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Speaker 1: tomorrow we get going with Indiana State, and we get

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Speaker 1: going with Drake, and we get Joe. We're growing Northern Iowa.

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Speaker 1: We got a lot of games to bet, a lot

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Speaker 1: of teams to play coming up tomorrow. Here for arch Madness,

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Speaker 1: mine's Matt Parold. Follow me because all socials at Sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt every morning. Dale Juice podcast I was being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by olmastakes dot com.