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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Throwing and so spect I'm saying it's a cash touchdown.

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Speaker 4: That all we see most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 4: they go to wind.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible, big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money, all right.

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Speaker 1: That is the ultimate kabai if you.

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Speaker 5: Want to pull.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway. Welcome to the Action Network Podcast,

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Speaker 1: presented by bet MGM. I'm Jill Galan, joined by Evan Abrams.

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Speaker 1: Each and every week he's our research director here at

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Speaker 1: the Action Network. We're going to dive into all the

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Speaker 1: Sunday NFL action in the second year. Brandon Anderson will

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Speaker 1: join us shortly for the Hot Breed and we've got

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Speaker 1: Patrick Emerson. He's waiting in the bullpen. He's gonna suit up.

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Speaker 1: Give us an update on how sportsbooks did in Vegas

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Speaker 1: and how things went for this NFL Sunday. First, Evan,

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Speaker 1: let's talk about Monday Night Football. We've got a double

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Speaker 1: header right off the hop Saints Panthers will be the

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Speaker 1: first game. Saints right now are hovering around three point

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Speaker 1: favorites with an over under at thirty nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: and we've seen a ton of overs already. This week two,

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Speaker 1: we're going to talk about that a little bit more.

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Speaker 1: But looking into this matchup, I'm a little worried about

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Speaker 1: the Panthers side here. The offensive line issues were a

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Speaker 1: big problem in Week one facing Atlanta. There's injuries on

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Speaker 1: defense too now j C. Horn is out for a

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Speaker 1: while on injured reserve. On paper, EVN, this feels like

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Speaker 1: a Saints domination. Like I'm surprised the line is only

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Speaker 1: at three, but I think Panthers divisional dog. That's probably

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Speaker 1: why they're going to be lowering that line a little

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Speaker 1: bit as opposed to maybe four four and a half.

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Speaker 1: What are you seeing from this matchup? How do you

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Speaker 1: think this one plays out?

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Speaker 6: I mean from a divisional dog point of view, people

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Speaker 6: are agreeing with you. They like the favorite, so they're

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Speaker 6: going the other way. It's like seventy percent of tickets

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Speaker 6: right now on New Orleans, so I think people are

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Speaker 6: feeling what you're feeling. I think air yards. Derek Carr

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Speaker 6: was number one in Week one. He's throwing it all

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Speaker 6: over the place. He looked better than I thought he

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Speaker 6: would in that game. And I think Bryce kind of

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Speaker 6: was what we thought and believe I looked up this stat.

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Speaker 6: I don't even have it in front of me, but

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Speaker 6: first round first overall picks in their second start. We

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Speaker 6: talked about their first start, which was like, oh to fourteen.

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Speaker 6: Second starts not any better, So it's still very low percentage.

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Speaker 2: So I think Bryce might.

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Speaker 6: Get a little bit better in Week two, but I

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Speaker 6: think New Orleans is probably the better play.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think if I was to look at

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Speaker 1: touchdowns for this game, because that's usually what I like

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Speaker 1: the bet, although I will say if I had to

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Speaker 1: bet a side on this one, I'd be looking at

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Speaker 1: the New Orleans side if it's going to be staying

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Speaker 1: at minus three. But if I'm looking at a touchdown

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Speaker 1: bet for this game, I'm looking immediately at Michael Thomas.

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Speaker 1: He scored three touchdowns in three games last year, and

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Speaker 1: in Week one, I know you kind of just mentioned

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Speaker 1: like Derek Carr looked better. I thought there were some

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Speaker 1: throws that he completely missed, and I don't think it

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Speaker 1: was the Titans. I thought just some threat that he

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Speaker 1: was just inaccurate. I'm hoping that he cleans that up

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Speaker 1: for this game, because I mean he looked for Michael

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Speaker 1: Thomas three times in the end zone in Week one

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Speaker 1: just couldn't convert. And again I mentioned like casey J. C.

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Speaker 1: Horn rather is out as their number one corner. So

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of the pass catchers for the

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Speaker 1: Saints could have a lot of success in this matchup.

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Speaker 1: Is specifically Chrystal Lave as well and Juwan Johnson. Even

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Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed he scored a touchdown last week. The other

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Speaker 1: touchdown guy that I would be looking at in this game, though,

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Speaker 1: if I had to bet one for Carolina, it would

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Speaker 1: definitely be Hayden Hurst. He led the Panthers in all

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Speaker 1: receiving categories in Week one, targets, catches, yards, and he

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Speaker 1: did catch a touchdown obviously. And that's the thing is

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Speaker 1: that rookie quarterbacks, like just the trend is is that

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Speaker 1: they kind of are more predictable. Rookies are going to

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Speaker 1: rookie and they tend to look for their tight ends, right,

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Speaker 1: And you know that Saints defensive pressure, especially their defensive line,

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Speaker 1: which was able to really neutralize Derek Henry in Week one.

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Speaker 1: I think that's gonna make Bryce Young to have to

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Speaker 1: make some real quick throws and if just looking for

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Speaker 1: that safety blanket, I think that's the guy that you

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Speaker 1: want to look at. Did you have any picks there

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Speaker 1: that you wanted for Saints Carolina?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, So I've been doing the one eighty challenge with this.

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Speaker 2: I had Dawson Knox last week.

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Speaker 6: Of course, no touchdown, but he did score today, so

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Speaker 6: maybe that'll start to be a trend.

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Speaker 2: But it's actually funny.

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Speaker 6: I didn't even look at your script, and so I

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Speaker 6: went back to the well with my one eighty challenge,

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Speaker 6: which is you know about an eighteen to one or

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Speaker 6: one or longer touchdown score. I thought about Juwan Johnson,

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Speaker 6: but I went with Hayden Hurst. So eighteen to one,

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Speaker 6: two receptions, two targets in the red zone in week one. Obviously,

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Speaker 6: like you said, score the touchdown, I think he's going

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Speaker 6: to get the blanket targets from Bryce.

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Speaker 2: So I'm down.

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Speaker 1: I'm in yeah, And I have no play on the

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Speaker 1: total right now at thirty nine and a half. We

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Speaker 1: saw a lot of totals this week at just around

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Speaker 1: the forty range. Just get demolished. I don't even want

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Speaker 1: to touch a total right now until we look at

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Speaker 1: maybe games next week. But let's talk about one eighty.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Steelers and the Browns. One team

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Speaker 1: that definitely needs to make a one eighty is the

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Speaker 1: Steelers because Week one was just an obliteration by the

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Speaker 1: forty nine Ers on them. And if we don't see

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Speaker 1: preseason Kenny Pickett in this game, I think the Steelers

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Speaker 1: have no shot. And the sportsbooks right now we've got

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Speaker 1: it at minus two and a half at bet mgm

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Speaker 1: over under a thirty eight. In that game versus the

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Speaker 1: forty nine Ers man, he looked, he looked like last year.

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Speaker 1: He looked lost, and he looked tentative. There was misreads,

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Speaker 1: accuracy issues. Now some of that you can attribute to

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Speaker 1: the forty nine Ers defense being so strong, but there

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Speaker 1: were plays that he had and he just couldn't make

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Speaker 1: them right. And Evan, this is more of the funny

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Speaker 1: thing too, is so last week we were pretty critical

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Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson just as far as the way he was playing,

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Speaker 1: and we got told that maybe we're being a little

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Speaker 1: too harsh. Well, I'm sorry, but if he plays as

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Speaker 1: poorly as he did last week, the Brown's just start

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Speaker 1: going to be able to move the ball. And now

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Speaker 1: Amari Cooper isn't going to play as well. That's his

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Speaker 1: safety blanket on the outside, you're gonna see a lot

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Speaker 1: more of Donovan people's jones, And I mean, obviously Nick

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Speaker 1: Chubb is gonna get a lot of his carries as well.

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Speaker 1: Are you going to be doing anything for one eighty

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Speaker 1: challenge for this What kind of pick would you see

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Speaker 1: for this game?

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Speaker 2: Yeah?

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Speaker 6: So I think just overall the betters are looking at

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Speaker 6: the under. Here, seventy four percent of tickets on the under.

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Speaker 6: The under has dropped five points. It looks like forty

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Speaker 6: three to thirty eight from the look ahead in the opener.

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Speaker 6: I mean, if I was going to pick a one

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Speaker 6: to eighty for this one, I think the right one

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Speaker 6: would be Najoku. I was looking at Najoku, Elijah Moore,

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Speaker 6: and Jalen Warren who were around like that seventeen to

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Speaker 6: one to eighteen.

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Speaker 2: To one range.

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Speaker 6: Listen, I think Najoku's always been the red zone target

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Speaker 6: for Watson uh and even last year nineteen to eight

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Speaker 6: against Harrison Bryant in terms of red zone targets.

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Speaker 2: So I'll give it a shot.

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Speaker 6: I think it's probably a little undervalued at about the

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Speaker 6: eighteen to one nineteen to one range.

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Speaker 2: He likes Najoku, so let's do it.

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Speaker 1: Well also too. There's a ton of trends in data

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Speaker 1: that backup Mike Tomlin as a home dog, Mike tom

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Speaker 1: coming off a loss. There's a lot of momentums of

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Speaker 1: wanting to pick Pittsburgh in this spot. And the same

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Speaker 1: thing with the over under divisional matchup, you probably will

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Speaker 1: go under, especially with the way that it's trending. But

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Speaker 1: I'm with you on n Joke who touchdown, especially because

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Speaker 1: of how he fares in these divisional matchups. So he

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Speaker 1: has nineteen career touchdowns, eleven of them are against AFC

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Speaker 1: North teams. Like, he has a forty percent touchdown rate

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Speaker 1: when he plays against AFC North teams, and that drops

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Speaker 1: to fifteen percent when he's playing teams outside of the division.

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Speaker 1: So and the Browns, you know Harrison Bryant scored last week.

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Speaker 1: We did see Deshaun Watson look for the tight end

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Speaker 1: in that spot. And that's why I think you got

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Speaker 1: to do the tight end double on this game. I

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Speaker 1: think you got to look at a guy like Pat

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Speaker 1: Fryermouth as well for the for the Steelers, because no,

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Speaker 1: Deontae Johnson, I think George Pickens, as awesome as he is,

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Speaker 1: You're really going to have one or two shots, and

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Speaker 1: if he scores a touchdown, it'll be spectacular. But you're

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Speaker 1: not going to see kind of like this run and

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Speaker 1: catch type of thing from Pickens. It's probably going to

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Speaker 1: be more passes over the middle, and Pickett has really

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Speaker 1: trusted him, makes up over just over fifty percent of

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Speaker 1: red zone target share with Kenny pick A quarterback goes

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Speaker 1: to Pat Fryermove. So that's Monday Night Football. Now let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Sunday, which was an insane day man underdogs

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Speaker 1: eight and five against the spread, but only five and

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Speaker 1: eight to the money line. Still, some pretty big dogs

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Speaker 1: came through today road teams twelve and four against the

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Speaker 1: spread in Week one, but they dropped the six and

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Speaker 1: seven in Week two entering Sunday Night Football. But the

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Speaker 1: totals to me is the story Evan twelve and one

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Speaker 1: to the over entering Sunday Night Football. The offensive resurgence

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Speaker 1: that we've been begging for finally comes to it. What

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Speaker 1: else did you see on Sunday?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, not only twelve and one to the over for

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Speaker 6: full game, So even first halbs nine to three and

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Speaker 6: one to the over entering Sunday Night Football, and first

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Speaker 6: half unders were ten and six last week now, so

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Speaker 6: those twelve overs for full game is tied them for

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Speaker 6: the most in any week since two thousand and five.

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Speaker 6: So if we get one more over, it'll be one

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Speaker 6: of the craziest weeks we've seen in terms of points.

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Speaker 6: And I just think a fun little nugget to just

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Speaker 6: represent how crazy this, like the one pm and four

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Speaker 6: pm slate was, is the five biggest public sides, so

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Speaker 6: that was the Giants, Bills, forty nine, Ers, Bears, and

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Speaker 6: Bengals according to the Action Network, just Buffalo covered and

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Speaker 6: then a ticket kind of running around right now, which

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Speaker 6: is a special at a sportsbook, which was basically every

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Speaker 6: team in the one pm and four pm window to

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Speaker 6: kick a field goal, which was like one hundred and

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Speaker 6: eighty to one and two hundred to one those hit

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Speaker 6: as well, so there was a ton of points, a

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Speaker 6: ton of overs, so interesting, especially after what twelve and

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Speaker 6: four for unders in week one, So just a twist

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Speaker 6: of fortune so.

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Speaker 1: Far, well, that's a touchdown better. I definitely enjoy this,

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Speaker 1: this resurgence of offense, just to be able to have

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Speaker 1: some enjoyable games instead of watching in at football. Now,

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Speaker 1: one team that I thought looked completely inepped in one

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Speaker 1: half and then completely turned it on in the second

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Speaker 1: half the New York Giants. To me, this is the

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Speaker 1: most top game of the day just because of how

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Speaker 1: fun it was, how silly it was, all the little

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Speaker 1: ripple effects Giants Cardinals. Giants win thirty one to twenty eight.

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Speaker 1: Cards do cover, but the over hits at the over

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Speaker 1: under of again thirty nine and a half. But it

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Speaker 1: was just a huge comeback because the Giants are down

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Speaker 1: twenty to nothing and a half time they have odds

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Speaker 1: as highes nineteen to one on the money line to

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Speaker 1: come back. It's the first time since nineteen seventy eight

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Speaker 1: that a team has been skunked, just not been able

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Speaker 1: to score points in six quarters. And then Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: and Saquon Barkley just take over and combined.

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Speaker 2: For three touchdowns. I don't even know what to make

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Speaker 2: of this game.

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Speaker 6: When you talk about like moving forward, right, like if

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Speaker 6: you're gonna like try to take something from the game

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Speaker 6: to try to get something actionable after it. Like again,

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Speaker 6: Giants look so bad, you know, being down sixty nothing

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Speaker 6: through six quarters, and then all of a sudden, the Giants,

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Speaker 6: you know, all of a sudden spark. I think you

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Speaker 6: have to talk about the Saquon injury as well. You know,

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Speaker 6: right now Sunday night, I'm not sure exactly what that

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Speaker 6: looks like. And the Giants are quick, right, They've got

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Speaker 6: to go to San Francisco for Thursday night football. They're

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Speaker 6: staying west, so we'll see how that goes. Without Saquon.

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Speaker 6: They're just a completely different team. So and the one

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Speaker 6: note I got to make Arizona, So I was reporting

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Speaker 6: some of this for the Action Network, nineteen percent of

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Speaker 6: bets this week, twenty two percent of bets last week,

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Speaker 6: and Arizona covered both games. They're the first team since

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Speaker 6: twenty and five twenty two percent of tickets or less

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Speaker 6: to cover both games in week one and week two.

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Speaker 6: So nobody wanted to bet Arizona, and all of a sudden,

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Speaker 6: here we go Arizona two and oh against the spread

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Speaker 6: and had tipped to stucky. There is there is a

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Speaker 6: possibility Arizona goes oh and seventeen straight up and seventeen

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Speaker 6: and oh against the spread.

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Speaker 2: We've got to be here for it.

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Speaker 1: That would be an amazing ticket. But they're this type

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Speaker 1: of team. Two weeks in a row they come out

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Speaker 1: real strong, and they kind of surprise you because I

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Speaker 1: think these teams they come in there and they take

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Speaker 1: them light, like New York. They probably looked at their

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Speaker 1: schedule just thought that's an easy win, you know. And

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Speaker 1: there's so many ripple effects. I got Cardinals worst record.

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Speaker 1: I know, guys that have you know, last winless team,

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Speaker 1: you know, and they're just on their Cardinals because they

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Speaker 1: were probably close to being the favorite on that spot.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, a lot of ripple effects, a lot of

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Speaker 1: fun here. And another game that had a lot more

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Speaker 1: fun too was Chargers Titans. So one of the games

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Speaker 1: that went to overtime. Our colleague Nick Giffen had an

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Speaker 1: overtime parlay ticket with Chargers Titans and Seahawks Lions. So

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Speaker 1: again we'll talk about that more in a second. But

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Speaker 1: Chargers Titans Charge. Titans win twenty seven to twenty four

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Speaker 1: in overtime. Again, the overhits over under forty five. Chargers

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Speaker 1: again lose as favorites, and the Chargers man just just

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Speaker 1: charging themselves over and over again. Vrabel now moves to

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Speaker 1: twenty five and fifteen to one against the spread as

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Speaker 1: an underdog. Now this defense we were talking about the

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Speaker 1: Saints and whether or not, or at least I was wondering,

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Speaker 1: is this the Saints defense that's doing this to Ryan Tannehill,

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Speaker 1: or is Ryan Tannehill Ryan Tannehilly? And right now, even

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Speaker 1: the Chargers defense can make a quarterback like Ryan Tannehill

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Speaker 1: look good because he ran for a touchdown. He looked

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Speaker 1: like an above average quarterback, make him plays. And again,

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Speaker 1: just not sure if it's the Saints and Derek Carr

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Speaker 1: that are just incompetent, but you know the Chargers also

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Speaker 1: at these seven different players run the football today, like

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Speaker 1: if Austin Ekwer is out, like it's just a crapshoot

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Speaker 1: for picking a running back. Two for player props, Did

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Speaker 1: you take anything else away from the Chargers Titans?

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Speaker 6: I mean I had the Titans, So I love the situation,

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Speaker 6: I love the outcome, and again, I just it's crazy

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Speaker 6: to always look at the Chargers expectations. So they're zero

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Speaker 6: in two for the first time since twenty seventeen and

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Speaker 6: just the second time since two thousand and eight, and

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Speaker 6: I find that shocking because they just never start this

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Speaker 6: slow and we always talk about, you know, maybe they

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Speaker 6: fade late and all those types of things, but just

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Speaker 6: a different team in a different type of situation. We'll

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Speaker 6: talk about Kansas City again a little bit, but they're

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Speaker 6: two and zero, they look awful, and they're leading the division.

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Speaker 6: So who the heck knows with the AFC West. The

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Speaker 6: one note I think that is interesting, verybel twenty three

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Speaker 6: in twenty two straight up as a head coach. Minimum

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Speaker 6: twenty games as a head coach in our bet Lab

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Speaker 6: system last twenty years ninety eight head coaches. Rable's the

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Speaker 6: only one over five hundred, so he is the dog

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Speaker 6: whisperer and he then tends to do this all the time,

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Speaker 6: So good for that.

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Speaker 1: Seahawks Lions another overtime thriller. Seahawks win in overtime thirty

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Speaker 1: seven to thirty one. You're gonna hear this a lot.

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Speaker 1: The overhit the over under have forty seven. Lions were

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Speaker 1: four and a half point home favorites, and Lions games

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Speaker 1: six and two to the over. Now in September games

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Speaker 1: under Dan Campbell, and as we just alluded to, is

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Speaker 1: a score fest in Detroit. And one of the things

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Speaker 1: I always enjoy now watching Detroit Lions games is the

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Speaker 1: Campbell gamble. It's the fourth down like where you're like,

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Speaker 1: what are you doing. Oh, it worked, and twice it

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Speaker 1: did not work. They went for it on fourth down

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Speaker 1: three times, one of them was very costly. And then

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Speaker 1: also just Jared Goff throwing a pick. We haven't seen

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Speaker 1: that in a long time. He had three hundred and

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Speaker 1: eighty four pass attempts. That was the interception that he's

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Speaker 1: thrown in that it was forty four past the short

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Speaker 1: of the I record that Aaron Rodgers.

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Speaker 2: Wasn't a pick.

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Speaker 6: Not only was it an interception, it was a bad

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Speaker 6: time for an interception too, Like you could have thrown

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Speaker 6: it in the first quarter and it would have been fine,

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Speaker 6: but that wasn't wasn't the time, wasn't the place well,

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Speaker 6: and if.

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Speaker 1: You were an overbetter I don't think you were really

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Speaker 1: sweating the over. But at the same time, it was

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Speaker 1: very convincing and very relieving when you watch the pick

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Speaker 1: stix happen, because then it goes in and then immediately

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Speaker 1: cash is the over. You still have a ton of

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Speaker 1: game left to enjoy it. Yeah, I enjoyed this game.

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Speaker 1: What kind of trends did you take away from Detroit here?

339
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Speaker 1: Because Detroit, I'm sure was a popular pick maybe amongst

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Speaker 1: the public, but I know that amongst a lot of

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Speaker 1: sharp betters, a lot of people were on the Seahawks

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Speaker 1: to cover and win this outright.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I feel like from like an Action network point

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Speaker 6: of view, everyone was on Seattle. I had I got six,

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Speaker 6: everyone got four and a half. Five ended up working

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Speaker 6: out in overtime. It feels like every time Seattle and

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Speaker 6: Detroit meet it's a thousand points. I believe the last

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Speaker 6: few years or over the last five years, they've met

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Speaker 6: a few times and they've combined for fifty or sixty

350
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Speaker 6: points in each. So that's definitely something that was talked

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Speaker 6: about entering this one thing. I feel like that's interesting.

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Speaker 6: This is probably one of the biggest Lions games at

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Speaker 6: home in terms of, you know, in the situation, like

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Speaker 6: there was just coming off the Kansas City wins, so

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Speaker 6: this was just such a letdown in that spot. A

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Speaker 6: fun trend. So Seahawks tend to perform well under Pete

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Speaker 6: Carroll after a home loss now twenty one to eleven

358
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Speaker 6: and one against the spread, and Pete Carroll just in

359
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Speaker 6: general tends to overperform. His team is five hundred or

360
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Speaker 6: better against the spread as a dog eight straight years,

361
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Speaker 6: so they're usually about five hundred or he tends to

362
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Speaker 6: overperform a game or two above and the one note

363
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Speaker 6: looking ahead, Montgomery got hurt. I'mn RA was a bit

364
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Speaker 6: banged up, and now they get Atlanta, so I believe

365
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Speaker 6: they're laying like five points right now. Atlanta could be

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Speaker 6: an interesting spot coming off a close comeback.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about it a little bit, Evan.

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Speaker 1: More memories are made when you're there for live NFL

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00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:06,080
Speaker 1: action and when you need tickets, our friends at Ticketmaster

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374
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376
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,040
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00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,760
Speaker 1: game day a breeze, and you can even customize your

378
00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:32,520
Speaker 1: Ticketmaster app to rep your team's colors. Find tickets today

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Speaker 1: at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL. Now, time for the

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Speaker 1: hot read from our own Brandon Anderson. He went to

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Speaker 1: and oh this week, Brandon, what do you have us

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Speaker 1: looking for at early week three lines.

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Speaker 3: Hot wrap O sevent day on ice rights, ice cream,

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Speaker 3: pulls a arms nineteen salad nineteen hoil sold trade.

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Speaker 5: All right, thanks guys, let's get right to the Week

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Speaker 5: three hot Red. Last week we had a great star.

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Speaker 5: We're two and oh on the hot Reed. We took

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Speaker 5: Seahawks plus five and a half closed at four and

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Speaker 5: a half, so even with all the Seattle injuries, we

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Speaker 5: still got some clv. Seahawks won outright in overtime, and

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Speaker 5: then Chiefs minus two and a half on the hot

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Speaker 5: Reed closed at three and a half. We got past

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Speaker 5: that key number. We got the right side of it,

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Speaker 5: Chiefs one by eight. So we're two and h on

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Speaker 5: the hot red. We're getting that closing line of value.

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Speaker 5: That's the goal here, get the line before it moves.

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Speaker 5: So we'll start out with a little different choice than usual.

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Speaker 5: We're going to Thursday night and taking the forty nine

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Speaker 5: ers minus ten against the Giants. Normally I don't play

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Speaker 5: a lot of high lines, but I think this one's

401
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Speaker 5: going to higher. We got blowout Citie coming in San Francisco.

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Speaker 5: Last three times the Giants played a really good team

403
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Speaker 5: Cowboys last week forty to nothing Eagles in the playoffs.

404
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Speaker 5: They lost by thirty one Eagles in the regular season

405
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Speaker 5: twenty six So when the Giants play real teams, it's

406
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Speaker 5: not going well for them. When they played the Cardinals,

407
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Speaker 5: it's not going well for them. They need a miracle

408
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Speaker 5: half comeback later on the game just to barely squeak

409
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Speaker 5: by what we mostly think is the worst team in

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Speaker 5: the league. So I think this shapes up as a

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Speaker 5: huge Niners win.

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Speaker 1: Right now.

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Speaker 5: San Francisco has won twelve straight regular season games. Eight

414
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Speaker 5: of the twelve wins are by thirteen or more. I

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Speaker 5: think that's about where this line's gonna end up. We're

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Speaker 5: getting at ten, so I'm gonna grab it now. Giants

417
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Speaker 5: defense is terrible. They were dead last in DVA against

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Speaker 5: the run. This is the exact sort of team that

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Speaker 5: the Niners just run it up on. So why now?

420
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Speaker 5: Why minus ten? We got Saquon Barkley looks like I

421
00:19:38,200 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 5: don't think he's gonna play in this one. We got

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Speaker 5: an acle injury, maybe high ankle, We're not totally sure yet,

423
00:19:44,040 --> 00:19:47,480
Speaker 5: and that line is a mess. Andrew Thomas, the one

424
00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:50,879
Speaker 5: really good player, was out today with hamstring injury. The

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Speaker 5: guards are both getting benched in and out of the game.

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Speaker 1: It's just a really disaster.

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Speaker 5: So no line. Saquon Barkley, we don't know if he's

428
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Speaker 5: gonna play. I don't think it's going to be out there.

429
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Speaker 5: Take the Niners a couple. Thursday only trends for you

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Speaker 5: underdogs like the Giants who won by three or last

431
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Speaker 5: week before eleven and eighteen against the spread only thirty

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Speaker 5: eight percent Niners favorites of seven or more on Thursday

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Speaker 5: Night's sixty one percent, So I think this gets to

434
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:19,960
Speaker 5: maybe thirteen by the end of the week. That's a

435
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 5: little teaser protection, so you can't tease under a touchdown.

436
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,960
Speaker 5: Give me the Niners minus ten and then we'll go

437
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,400
Speaker 5: to Sunday and I'm going back to my Atlanta Falcons

438
00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:33,240
Speaker 5: plus five on the road in Detroit.

439
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:35,119
Speaker 1: This was going to sound a lot.

440
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 5: Like the one we did last week Seattle out of

441
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,480
Speaker 5: a similar number in Detroit, and I think it's a

442
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 5: pretty similar sort of read. Two teams that are pretty

443
00:20:43,000 --> 00:20:45,960
Speaker 5: close to each other. But the line is too high,

444
00:20:46,000 --> 00:20:48,120
Speaker 5: and I don't think Elanta is getting enough respect yet.

445
00:20:48,160 --> 00:20:51,919
Speaker 5: The Falcons are pretty good. They played the Packers today,

446
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 5: they ran thirty one more plays. They nearly doubled Green

447
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:59,680
Speaker 5: Bay and yards twelve more minutes with the ball. They

448
00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:02,399
Speaker 5: only one by one only at the end, but I

449
00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,439
Speaker 5: think that's mostly because they went to a five in

450
00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:06,440
Speaker 5: the red zone. They convert a little bit more comfortably

451
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:08,800
Speaker 5: all those field goals, and I think Atlanta's looking a

452
00:21:08,800 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 5: lot better. Jon Robinson is absolutely electric out there and

453
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,760
Speaker 5: Desert Ritter slow start, but they kind him running the

454
00:21:16,760 --> 00:21:18,560
Speaker 5: second half, and that reminded me a little bit of

455
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,200
Speaker 5: Daniel Jones. I know, not the highest praise in the world,

456
00:21:21,280 --> 00:21:23,760
Speaker 5: but I think they found something there, and that defense

457
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,959
Speaker 5: they found a little bit too. Lions, I don't know

458
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 5: that defense bottom five last year. I'm not sure they

459
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:32,480
Speaker 5: look so improved. We just saw them give up thirty

460
00:21:32,480 --> 00:21:36,879
Speaker 5: seven to the Seahawks and that opening night Chiefs performance

461
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,480
Speaker 5: doesn't look so great defensively now after the Chiefs only

462
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,240
Speaker 5: put seventeen on the Jaguars. So I like Atlanta here.

463
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:45,879
Speaker 5: I think they're just as good as Detroit. And again

464
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 5: look at the injury list. Lion's running back David Montgomery,

465
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,119
Speaker 5: he says himself he thinks he'll be out for a

466
00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 5: couple weeks with a quad injury. Jamiir gives the rookie

467
00:21:54,920 --> 00:21:57,800
Speaker 5: he had an ankle injury. Am and Ara, he was out.

468
00:21:57,880 --> 00:22:00,360
Speaker 5: He came back in possible turf to Oh, we don't

469
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 5: know if he'll go. That's all the weapons on offense.

470
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,840
Speaker 5: And then the offensive line has a couple injuries James Houston.

471
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,320
Speaker 5: Very likely the injury news is going to push this

472
00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 5: line towards Atlanta. So I like the Falcons here at

473
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,280
Speaker 5: the plus five if you follow me on the Action

474
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,120
Speaker 5: Network AAP, I put this in as a bonus look

475
00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 5: ahead on the money line two plus two oh five

476
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,399
Speaker 5: if you haven't played that yet plus one eighty. I

477
00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 5: like the money line too. I think the Falcons go

478
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,000
Speaker 5: it to Detroit get the win on the road. So

479
00:22:29,640 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 5: hot Reids for Week three the Atlanta Falcons plus five

480
00:22:33,680 --> 00:22:35,240
Speaker 5: forty nine ers minus ten.

481
00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 1: Back to you guys, all right, thank you, Brandon. Now

482
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:42,159
Speaker 1: let's talk about more games here. Ravens and Bengals. Ravens

483
00:22:42,200 --> 00:22:45,360
Speaker 1: win twenty seven to twenty four. The overhits again. You're

484
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:49,240
Speaker 1: gonna hear that a lot today. Bengals as three point favorites.

485
00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 1: I looked very disjointed here and now since the start

486
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,679
Speaker 1: of twenty twenty one, Lamar Jackson six and Zer one

487
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 1: gets spread as an underdog. We've seen this movie before.

488
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 1: The Bengals go zero and two to start the season.

489
00:23:01,359 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 1: They've kind of been starting slow. I don't really want

490
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 1: to panic yet, but I mean they play like they

491
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 1: lack urgency. Dude, like they like, I don't know what's

492
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,199
Speaker 1: going on with Joe Burrow and what they're going on

493
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 1: in third down because they were converting. But the Ravens

494
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 1: were just faster on defense. It looked like they were

495
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:19,520
Speaker 1: actually like trying to win the game. And it's not to

496
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:21,359
Speaker 1: say the Bengals weren't trying to win, but it just

497
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:25,359
Speaker 1: it's like they weren't. There was no battery pack, you know,

498
00:23:25,440 --> 00:23:28,239
Speaker 1: in their back kind of thing, right, So Ravens two,

499
00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 1: they ran the ball pretty efficiently five yards to carry.

500
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 1: I mean, they pretty much just bled the Bengals out.

501
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,640
Speaker 1: And really since the only way that they were even

502
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,760
Speaker 1: keeping this game close, they needed that big special teams

503
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: touchdown from their rookie aet Charlie Jones to keep it close.

504
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:43,160
Speaker 1: Uh So now the Bengals they got the Rams next week.

505
00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 1: I mean, they don't want to go into their bye

506
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:46,720
Speaker 1: week four at open three.

507
00:23:47,160 --> 00:23:48,879
Speaker 6: I mean the way I look at it, something's up

508
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 6: with Burrow. Yeah, thirty seven percent success right, thirtieth in

509
00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 6: the NFL, and that's going to be updated after Sunday

510
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 6: Night football.

511
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:56,880
Speaker 2: But not great.

512
00:23:57,040 --> 00:23:59,480
Speaker 6: You know, six quarters without a touchdown, and then I

513
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,399
Speaker 6: think you went two to Higgins basically to kind of

514
00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 6: get back in that game. But something's wrong. And again

515
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:07,919
Speaker 6: Cincinnati zero to two for the fourth time in five years.

516
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 6: Almost feels impossible. But no camp and you know, the

517
00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 6: calf injuries. Something feels off. And I think it's six

518
00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,479
Speaker 6: and a half points right now for the Rams. I

519
00:24:17,520 --> 00:24:21,359
Speaker 6: believe it's Monday Night football next week. I feel like

520
00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,399
Speaker 6: the Rams are an interesting spot. I kind of like

521
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,840
Speaker 6: those points. Anything over six six and a half I

522
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 6: think is intriguing. Aside from Matt, you talked about the

523
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,239
Speaker 6: Lamar stats seventeen and four against the spread. As an

524
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 6: underdog or a favorite of three or less usually comes through.

525
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:40,440
Speaker 6: So all the injuries on Baltimore's side didn't really tend

526
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 6: to matter. They stayed in the game. They figured out

527
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:47,159
Speaker 6: a way. Say Flowers also just looks great, It's awesome,

528
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:48,440
Speaker 6: just look so so good.

529
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, Chiefs, Jaguars Chiefs went seventeen to nine, biggest total

530
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,359
Speaker 1: on the board of the week. Public just took a

531
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,600
Speaker 1: bath on it. The underhits Chiefs cover as three and

532
00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 1: a half point favorites Mahome five to zero, straight up

533
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:03,800
Speaker 1: four and one against the spread. Now in his career

534
00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:06,600
Speaker 1: versus the Jaguars, and I got a bone to pick

535
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:10,120
Speaker 1: with the Jaguars. Man, they blew this game, like they

536
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,080
Speaker 1: just they had so many opportunities they could not convert

537
00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: off that muff punt and then they take that complete

538
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:18,320
Speaker 1: chicken shit field goal at the start of the fourth

539
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:21,800
Speaker 1: quarter and instead of being like they went to fourteen nine,

540
00:25:21,840 --> 00:25:24,080
Speaker 1: instead of trying to tie the game, and the Chiefs

541
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,320
Speaker 1: immediately come down and get a field goal, and it

542
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 1: was just like you knew it was inevitable. You can't

543
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,840
Speaker 1: give Mahomes chances. I mean, the first half was a slog.

544
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 1: Neither team could really get anything going. But I don't

545
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:36,200
Speaker 1: think this was a good day for Trevor Lawrence for

546
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 1: his MVP campaign.

547
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,200
Speaker 6: Wasn't good for either team. I just the offense looks

548
00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 6: wrong in both places. Eighty two percent of tickets was

549
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 6: on the over. Believe it was the most public over

550
00:25:46,520 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 6: of the day, and guess what the one game to

551
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,879
Speaker 6: go under? So much fun, such a great situation, Jacksonville

552
00:25:53,359 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 6: no touchdown, twenty to one, hits Mahomes twenty seven eighteen

553
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 6: and one road neutrals to spread, so tends to cover

554
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 6: better on the road than he does at home. And

555
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:05,960
Speaker 6: just a fun one. If you were watching the game

556
00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,239
Speaker 6: and had Mahomes over passing yards, it hit on the

557
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 6: final throw to sky Moore for fifty four yards. So

558
00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:17,359
Speaker 6: in a game where probably every underhit possible, Mahomes nails

559
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,760
Speaker 6: at three zero five on the final play.

560
00:26:19,800 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: Well, let's go back and talk about games that went over,

561
00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:25,440
Speaker 1: such as the Pairs Buccaneers. Another game with a very

562
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:29,560
Speaker 1: low total around forty one game finishes Bucks win twenty

563
00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,720
Speaker 1: seven to seventeen. Now that over. This is the one

564
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,679
Speaker 1: thing that's a little tricky here, because this was almost

565
00:26:35,720 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 1: hilarious to me. Now, I didn't bet the under. I

566
00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:39,000
Speaker 1: didn't bet the over, but I know if you had

567
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 1: the under, you were crushed by Justin Field's ineptability to

568
00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 1: know that you don't need to throw interceptions that or

569
00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,639
Speaker 1: try to make a play that close to your own territory,

570
00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 1: and not only that, throughout the game, like he was

571
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:56,920
Speaker 1: repeatedly just getting crushed in the pocket. You know, Fields

572
00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:59,399
Speaker 1: now eight and nineteen against the spread in his career,

573
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,560
Speaker 1: and again that pick six in the fourth quarter is

574
00:27:02,600 --> 00:27:06,119
Speaker 1: just a backbreaker. Also another thing that I have a

575
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,400
Speaker 1: bone to pick with Baker Mayfield was making a play

576
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 1: near the end of the first half. Again, another gripe

577
00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:15,040
Speaker 1: if you had the under quarterback is extending for first down.

578
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:18,360
Speaker 1: I think it's fair game to hit a quarterback out

579
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 1: of bounds, like when they're reaching the ball to try

580
00:27:20,840 --> 00:27:22,400
Speaker 1: to get it past the line. I think it's fair

581
00:27:22,480 --> 00:27:25,160
Speaker 1: game to knock him out like kind of thing. And anyway,

582
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:27,520
Speaker 1: the Bear's got a stupid penalty on that and put

583
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:30,120
Speaker 1: the Bucks at the seven. They score a touchdown immediately

584
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 1: from there. So again just a lot of disappointment, but

585
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:36,879
Speaker 1: you know, sometimes maybe just jubilational laughing at Justin Fields

586
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 1: continue to make mistakes.

587
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:40,679
Speaker 6: Yeah, Bears just lose again. It's just every week you

588
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 6: just continue to extend the streaks. It just bat Fields

589
00:27:45,359 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 6: three and twenty straight up as an underdog in his career.

590
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:51,399
Speaker 6: It's a worst of any quarterback in the last twenty years.

591
00:27:52,280 --> 00:27:53,879
Speaker 6: And you know, you just think you can talk about

592
00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 6: the funny stats when it comes to Fields preseason and

593
00:27:56,720 --> 00:28:00,280
Speaker 6: all the hype and again just looked off full in

594
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:02,640
Speaker 6: Week one against Green Bay, but he was second most

595
00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:03,360
Speaker 6: bet player.

596
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:03,879
Speaker 2: To win the MVP.

597
00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 6: When this season started, everyone was on the hype train.

598
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,200
Speaker 6: And then I think the biggest issue when you talk

599
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:12,719
Speaker 6: about it's not even just the offense, like trying to

600
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:14,760
Speaker 6: get you know, figured out Dj Moore and you know,

601
00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,240
Speaker 6: different situations there. The biggest issue is the defense. So

602
00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 6: causing no turnovers this year, Baker mayfield no interceptions and

603
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 6: it just you're not causing any turnovers and Fields is

604
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 6: turning over the ball just a bad recipe?

605
00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: All right, let's not talk about Packers Falcons. Falcons win

606
00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 1: twenty five to twenty four. The over does hit, but

607
00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 1: what a silly ending to the way this went. You know,

608
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 1: the Falcons were trailing twenty four to twelve entering the

609
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 1: fourth quarter. So I was kind of this is one

610
00:28:43,680 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: of the games, like you're watching, like, you know, eight

611
00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:47,400
Speaker 1: games at a time. I would probably say this was

612
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:49,320
Speaker 1: the one that I probably was watching the least during

613
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,880
Speaker 1: the one pm slate, and I tried to watch as

614
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 1: much as I could, but I was just like all right, Well,

615
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 1: the Falcons, they're probably done now at this point anyway,

616
00:28:57,160 --> 00:29:00,479
Speaker 1: but still Matt Lafleur fifteen to four against Spread as

617
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,840
Speaker 1: an underdog, for his coaching the Packers in his career.

618
00:29:02,840 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: Three and oh with Jordan Love. Now, I will say,

619
00:29:05,440 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 1: because you've been bringing up first half results in totals,

620
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:10,080
Speaker 1: I did see one of my buddies. He was on

621
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:14,360
Speaker 1: the first half over and young way Kou. This is

622
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 1: the extra point just before the end of the first

623
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: half to swing the total. I just felt so bad

624
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 1: for him.

625
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,360
Speaker 6: It's just such an odd situation when all right, so,

626
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:23,880
Speaker 6: I had a lot of money on Atlanta.

627
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 2: I liked Atlanta this week.

628
00:29:25,240 --> 00:29:27,400
Speaker 6: I had the money line, certain things like that they

629
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,719
Speaker 6: made the big comeback. But it's weird to say going forward.

630
00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,360
Speaker 6: I felt better about green Bay and their offense and

631
00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 6: the composure of Love than I did about Ritter Ridder

632
00:29:36,320 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 6: looked bad at certain times in the game and just

633
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 6: feels a little bit lost. I think we have to

634
00:29:42,240 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 6: continue to say the status because it's fun. He's thirty

635
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 6: and oh at home straight up college and pros, so,

636
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,200
Speaker 6: you know, just a fun trend to put out there.

637
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:54,200
Speaker 6: But I think overall played really bad and Atlanta again

638
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:57,640
Speaker 6: goes on the road next week in Detroit, Detroit, Toot

639
00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 6: Montgomery and you know, coming off, you know, a really

640
00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 6: hot fought game, overtime injuries Atlanta. You know, getting a

641
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,440
Speaker 6: few points might be good, but I like Atlanta this

642
00:30:07,480 --> 00:30:09,600
Speaker 6: year and Ritard just looks really, really bad.

643
00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast is presented by bet MGM used

644
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 1: bonus code Action when signing up to get fifteen hundred

645
00:30:16,120 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: dollars paid back in bonus bets if your first bet loses.

646
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:27,000
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647
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648
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649
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650
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 1: let's wrap this up. Forty nine Ers Rams, forty nine

651
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 1: Ers win thirty to twenty three. The Rams do cover,

652
00:30:44,120 --> 00:30:46,960
Speaker 1: but the overhits. And this is just a bad beat

653
00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:49,800
Speaker 1: if you took the Niners because the Rams come down.

654
00:30:50,240 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 1: Sean McVay had the Rams. He clearly bet the Rams.

655
00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:54,959
Speaker 1: Rams come down with a late field goal. Brent mah

656
00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,480
Speaker 1: of all people. You know, we saw what he was

657
00:30:57,520 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: doing with the Dallas Cowboys last year. He hits the

658
00:30:59,400 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 1: field goal in the closing seconds. But Evan, I think

659
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:04,080
Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, they just got too many weapons,

660
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 1: Like Deebo makes three guys miss, they score a l

661
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:11,520
Speaker 1: a touchdown and another special note. Puka Nakua no touchdowns,

662
00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,239
Speaker 1: but did break the record for most catches ever in

663
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 1: the first two games of his career with twenty. I

664
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:19,480
Speaker 1: want to talk about Commander's Broncos. We'll talk about this

665
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 1: one just a little bit more because the ending of

666
00:31:21,760 --> 00:31:26,440
Speaker 1: how this wins so again Commanders went out right as underdogs,

667
00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:30,440
Speaker 1: over goes way over. Brandon Johnson, who has two touchdowns,

668
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,560
Speaker 1: has that crazy hail Mary touchdown that puts the Broncos

669
00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: in position to be able to get that two point convert. Yeah,

670
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,120
Speaker 1: this game to me, Broncos were up twenty one to

671
00:31:40,160 --> 00:31:42,400
Speaker 1: three with six minutes to go in the first half,

672
00:31:43,440 --> 00:31:46,440
Speaker 1: Russell fumbles and they proceeded to get outscored twenty eight

673
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:48,320
Speaker 1: to three the rest of the game, or twenty eight

674
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:51,040
Speaker 1: to ten rather after that hail Mary touchdown, and then

675
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 1: Raiders Bills. Bills went thirty eight to ten. Not really

676
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 1: much to takeaway from this game other than the Bills

677
00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:58,040
Speaker 1: just did what the Bills were supposed to do. Because

678
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,080
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo, he's sixteen and seven straight up, eighteen and

679
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 1: five against the spread as an underdog in his NFL career,

680
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 1: and that don't matter because if Josh Allen and the

681
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 1: offense is just cooking, the Bills will just destroy them.

682
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:13,200
Speaker 1: And then also Damien Harris, he did score with five

683
00:32:13,240 --> 00:32:16,280
Speaker 1: minutes to go to steal the over of forty seven

684
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 1: with the final score of thirty eight to ten, So

685
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:22,480
Speaker 1: if you had the over that Dame is Airs touchdown

686
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:27,400
Speaker 1: with so clutch Colts Texans. Colts went thirty one to twenty.

687
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:32,000
Speaker 1: Texans were this game flipped throughout the week. Colts were

688
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 1: favorites at one point, then the Texans closed his favorites.

689
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 1: The over under a thirty nine and a half. Colts

690
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 1: offense is pretty much just Anthony Richardson now two quick

691
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,600
Speaker 1: scores in the first quarter and then got a concussion

692
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:45,480
Speaker 1: on the second score. So more Gardner minshew, I think,

693
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:49,040
Speaker 1: and honestly, I'll let you kind of comment on this.

694
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 1: This is kind of why I think dual threat quarterbacks

695
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:51,480
Speaker 1: don't last.

696
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:53,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, I think it's a tough spot as well. So

697
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 6: Minshew one and ten straight up in his last eleven starts,

698
00:32:56,560 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 6: He's eight and sixteen straight up as a starter, doesn't

699
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 6: tend to put up a t of points except for

700
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 6: a few starts here or there. I just think without Richardson,

701
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:06,880
Speaker 6: who had three rushing touchdowns in two games before the injury,

702
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,400
Speaker 6: and I believe Ryan Kelly got hurt as well, he

703
00:33:09,440 --> 00:33:11,960
Speaker 6: had a concussion out for Indy. So just a really

704
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:15,840
Speaker 6: really bad spot next week in Baltimore against a Baltimore

705
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 6: team coming off the win. Normally I'd say, Okay, let's

706
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:20,640
Speaker 6: look to, you know, try to go the other way

707
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:23,840
Speaker 6: next week, but I think Baltimore gets healthier, and God

708
00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:25,400
Speaker 6: forbid they have to face Minshew.

709
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 2: I'd probably lay a big number there.

710
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 1: Finally, this is probably the stinker of the day because

711
00:33:30,320 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: I think we all kind of anticipated what this was

712
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: going to be, but also at the same time, we

713
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,120
Speaker 1: just had hope for Zach Wilson and the New York Jets.

714
00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: But the Cowboys win thirty one to ten over the Jets.

715
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 1: The overhits because the total was at thirty eight and

716
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 1: a half and the Cowboys cover because they were minus

717
00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 1: nine and they didn't have any trouble covering that number

718
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 1: because the Cowboys pretty much just picked them apart early.

719
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:54,360
Speaker 1: The game wasn't really close. If you thought Zach Wilson

720
00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,200
Speaker 1: was bad or the Cowboys defense is good, this game

721
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,959
Speaker 1: just reaffirmed it really. So Yeah, that was pretty much Sunday.

722
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:03,640
Speaker 1: Now let's check in with Patrick Everson with Vegas Insider

723
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:05,880
Speaker 1: to talk about the latest rumblings in the sports betting

724
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 1: capital of the world in Las Vegas. Okay, Patrick, you

725
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 1: had boots on the ground today. You were at many

726
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:15,480
Speaker 1: different properties and casinos and sports books. What was the vibe?

727
00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:18,320
Speaker 1: How did the books do overall today for week two.

728
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:20,879
Speaker 4: On the Sunday, Well, it sounds like it was a

729
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,280
Speaker 4: good day behind the counter. Not so good for folks

730
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:26,640
Speaker 4: like us on this side of account of the betters

731
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:28,799
Speaker 4: did not have the best of days against the NFL.

732
00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 4: There was certainly a couple of decisions that fell in

733
00:34:31,640 --> 00:34:35,800
Speaker 4: favor of the betters, the Chiefs obviously being one of them. Everybody,

734
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,120
Speaker 4: a lot of people expected them anyway to have a

735
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,440
Speaker 4: bounce back week, although I did talk with one oddsmaker

736
00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:44,400
Speaker 4: Yield that said, actually the Chiefs was good at their operation,

737
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 4: which is fortuitous because generally speaking, the Chiefs was definitely

738
00:34:47,680 --> 00:34:50,319
Speaker 4: a loser for most sportsbook operators, as a lot of

739
00:34:50,360 --> 00:34:52,920
Speaker 4: the public was piling on the Chiefs and putting them

740
00:34:52,920 --> 00:34:56,840
Speaker 4: in their moneyline parlays and so forth. So it just

741
00:34:56,880 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 4: kind of depending on where you what book you frequent,

742
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 4: I guess, but generally even beyond that, though, it was

743
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 4: a pretty good day for the odds makers. A couple

744
00:35:05,360 --> 00:35:07,720
Speaker 4: of games that they pointed out that wrote really well.

745
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:13,759
Speaker 4: Three of them, in fact, termed them big winners Jill, Titans, Ravens,

746
00:35:13,800 --> 00:35:18,479
Speaker 4: Seahawks all big winner And with that the owsmaker noted

747
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 4: the loss on the Chiefs. You know, case said, you

748
00:35:21,000 --> 00:35:23,080
Speaker 4: can't win them all, but we did really well with

749
00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 4: those three, so it took a lot of the sting

750
00:35:25,440 --> 00:35:26,399
Speaker 4: out of that Chief's loss.

751
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 1: But yeah, Titans, raven Seahawks.

752
00:35:28,360 --> 00:35:31,879
Speaker 4: The Niners giving up the or the Rams getting I guess,

753
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 4: depending on how you look at it, that very inconsequential

754
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 4: field goal, except as we know in sports betting, it's

755
00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 4: never inconsequential, is it?

756
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:41,479
Speaker 1: Taking the Niners from a cover?

757
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:43,640
Speaker 4: And a whole lot of people had the Niners in

758
00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:45,960
Speaker 4: their parlays and so forth, and just needed to cover

759
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 4: there to maybe finish it off or even keep it

760
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:49,960
Speaker 4: alive if they were rolling it into the Dolphins on

761
00:35:49,960 --> 00:35:53,640
Speaker 4: Sunday night, which they probably were. That kick there certainly

762
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:57,120
Speaker 4: worked in favor of bookmakers generally speaking, a lot of

763
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,719
Speaker 4: people still had niners and teasers and moneyline parlays, and

764
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:01,800
Speaker 4: I'll be say it didn't hurt those at all, the

765
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,480
Speaker 4: rams getting the I guess back door cover if you

766
00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 4: will on that final second field goal to how do

767
00:36:07,520 --> 00:36:08,040
Speaker 4: you know why.

768
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 1: You're kicking it? Really?

769
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,880
Speaker 4: But whatever the betters have to have to settle with

770
00:36:11,960 --> 00:36:13,200
Speaker 4: at the points count well.

771
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,320
Speaker 1: I find it interesting that you said that the sports

772
00:36:15,320 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 1: books did well on the Titans, Ravens, and Seahawks, which

773
00:36:19,400 --> 00:36:21,799
Speaker 1: all came down to overtime games. The Ravens was a

774
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,799
Speaker 1: one possession game, but it all came down to some

775
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:28,200
Speaker 1: just a handful of plays where it could have went

776
00:36:28,280 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 1: the other way for the sports shorts very easily. Another game, though,

777
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:34,800
Speaker 1: that had kind of a swinging line and odds throughout

778
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:38,279
Speaker 1: the week was Atlanta and Green Bay. Talk to me

779
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,319
Speaker 1: about that situation and how betters may have fared, but

780
00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:44,839
Speaker 1: also sportsbooks where you're seeing a line open on one

781
00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:48,040
Speaker 1: side and then close on the other side with the favorite.

782
00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,120
Speaker 4: Right and that guy, I mean it jumped the fence,

783
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:54,400
Speaker 4: I believe midweek from Packers favored to Falcons favored, and

784
00:36:54,440 --> 00:36:56,680
Speaker 4: the Falcons were definitely a sharp play this week. And

785
00:36:56,719 --> 00:36:58,759
Speaker 4: then this morning I think you saw, Jill, this number

786
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:00,799
Speaker 4: went up like from one and a half to three

787
00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 4: this morning, and I think it closed three as well.

788
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:05,879
Speaker 1: So that surprised me a little bit.

789
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,759
Speaker 4: And I did have at least one odds maker tell

790
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,440
Speaker 4: me that that was on sharp play that got Atlanta

791
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:13,319
Speaker 4: up to three, or at least sharp play contributed to it.

792
00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,799
Speaker 1: Maybe the public was involved a little bit too, but you.

793
00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:17,759
Speaker 4: Know, Green Bay, even without Aaron Rodgers, I think, is

794
00:37:17,760 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 4: a more public team than the Atlanta Falcons. So that

795
00:37:21,040 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 4: was surprising to me. But another thing that surprised me

796
00:37:23,960 --> 00:37:25,400
Speaker 4: a little and I guess it was just a matter

797
00:37:25,440 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 4: of when the numbers were at what they were, Jill,

798
00:37:28,800 --> 00:37:31,279
Speaker 4: but one odds maker told me this evening that it

799
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,200
Speaker 4: did not help them at all to have that game

800
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:39,520
Speaker 4: fall at Atlanta one because you could have gotten obviously

801
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 4: Packers up to three if you bet at late, so

802
00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,600
Speaker 4: you're gonna packers. Betters are going to cash. You could

803
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 4: have got Atlanta at plus one plus one and a

804
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:51,799
Speaker 4: half early, that's all going to cash. Every bet that

805
00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:54,200
Speaker 4: was made when the line was at one is going

806
00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:56,840
Speaker 4: to get a refund. So he said, look, that landing

807
00:37:56,880 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 4: one was a really bad result. He said, falling right

808
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:02,880
Speaker 4: on the number, we got middled on that. Basically, it

809
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:04,440
Speaker 4: wasn't even a sided situation. It was more of a

810
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:07,720
Speaker 4: middle situation where they're just paying out lots and giving

811
00:38:07,760 --> 00:38:08,640
Speaker 4: refunds as well.

812
00:38:09,080 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 1: All right, well, Patrick, let's get you out of here

813
00:38:10,719 --> 00:38:12,840
Speaker 1: on this one. We're already looking into week thre Is

814
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,239
Speaker 1: there any game next week that has saw maybe some

815
00:38:16,320 --> 00:38:19,040
Speaker 1: early sharp action line movement that we need to start

816
00:38:19,040 --> 00:38:19,879
Speaker 1: paying attention to.

817
00:38:20,480 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 4: Absolutely, And this probably won't surprise anybody with the Giants

818
00:38:25,680 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 4: looking awful, dreadful for a half, really for six straight quarters.

819
00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 4: If you want to carry week one, dreadful for a

820
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,760
Speaker 4: half against Arizona. Okay, they come back and win that game,

821
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 4: but they lose Takuon Barklay late to an ankle injury.

822
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:39,480
Speaker 4: I don't think we know exactly the status ship, but

823
00:38:39,520 --> 00:38:41,560
Speaker 4: on a short week, you got to think he's not

824
00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:46,040
Speaker 4: playing and especially exactly not exactly where you want to

825
00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 4: go go to face that team in San Francisco. So

826
00:38:49,160 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 4: this open nine and a half Sunday night, as I'm

827
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,600
Speaker 4: speaking to you, and when Odds Baker told me, we

828
00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:55,640
Speaker 4: got sharp money right away and we went to ten

829
00:38:55,719 --> 00:38:58,320
Speaker 4: right away, So already a double digit favor for the

830
00:38:58,440 --> 00:39:01,440
Speaker 4: Niners off some sharp money laying the nine and a

831
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 4: half against the Giants who could be shorthanded in this

832
00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:05,200
Speaker 4: Thursday night game.

833
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 1: All right, Thank you, Patrick, Patrick Efverson with Vegas Insider.

834
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:10,360
Speaker 1: We'll talk to you next week. Thank you, have a

835
00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,960
Speaker 1: great week. Thanks for listening to the Action Network podcast

836
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:15,520
Speaker 1: presented by BETMGM and Joy the Double Hender for Monday

837
00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: Night Football, and keep an eye out for all of

838
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:27,720
Speaker 1: our NFL week free podcasts right here on the Action Network.

839
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 4: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

840
00:39:41,440 --> 00:39:44,400
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841
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,160
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842
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:48,040
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