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Speaker 1: Welcome to Big Fish, Small Pomp. I'm Andrew wardall In.

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Speaker 1: Today is May sixth, twenty two. Your Marlins are facing

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Speaker 1: the San Diego Padres again for the second game of

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Speaker 1: a four game series at Petco Park in San Diego,

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Speaker 1: and I your host Andrew Wrdahl, Coming off of the

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Speaker 1: five game skid of the Marlins, I really wanted to

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Speaker 1: take a look at a pitch at a hitter. As

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Speaker 1: always on this podcast, Jesus Sanchez, who's been like a

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Speaker 1: bit of an enigma. I feel like what we're seeing

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Speaker 1: with Jesus Sanchez is pretty straightforward. Even looking in his

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Speaker 1: like Baseball Savont page, there are a couple like like

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Speaker 1: obvious red flags. He has a very high like strikeout

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Speaker 1: rate at the moment, and like a low walk rate

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Speaker 1: obviously still high numbers with like your max at the

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Speaker 1: velocity and like a barrel rate, like he can get

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Speaker 1: there in like stinging the ball. He's like a great hitter.

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Speaker 1: It's just a matter of what exactly. So with the

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Speaker 1: like high strikeout rates like owing to like a high

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Speaker 1: whiff rate as well as a pretty high chase rate,

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Speaker 1: you get the picture of like someone who's maybe like

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Speaker 1: rather undisciplined at the plate, So like what exactly is

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Speaker 1: happening in that? What I found, like peeling it back,

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Speaker 1: another layer, still using like Savant numbers, is that he

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Speaker 1: was actually getting behind sixty seven percent of the time

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Speaker 1: with the first pitch of the at bat going for

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Speaker 1: a strike. And that is up for him, just like

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Speaker 1: compared to his career numbers, in part thanks to an

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Speaker 1: increased tendency of his to swing at the first pitch.

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Speaker 1: And he's not always swinging at the first pitch because

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Speaker 1: he's getting more strikes. He's maybe a bit over eager there.

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Speaker 1: He knows how dangerous his bat is, so he's trying

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Speaker 1: to put it on the ball and you know baseball

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Speaker 1: with it really So I think that that's kind of

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Speaker 1: the stem for one of the issues he's seen. Like

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Speaker 1: this tendency to want to like get his bat on

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Speaker 1: the ball comes along with like a forty percent with

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Speaker 1: rate on your breaking pitches, like thirty percent on your

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Speaker 1: like off speed you're like change ups, But like it's

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Speaker 1: the curveballs the sliders that are really costing him. Like

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Speaker 1: Baseball Savant gives him a like twenty twenty one Hobby

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Speaker 1: baias comp and I really don't think there's like a

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Speaker 1: reason that Jesus Sanchez needs to be close to like

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Speaker 1: strike out stardom, so to speak, all like respect for

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Speaker 1: Jabi Baias where do He's been a great player in

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Speaker 1: his own right, but he's never been known for his

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Speaker 1: ability to avoid the k. So what I'm saying with

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Speaker 1: Jesus Sanchez is that he is not really with the

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Speaker 1: pitches that are like in the shadow of the plate.

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Speaker 1: He does well, like as far as like getting runs

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Speaker 1: with like balls down the heart of the plate. He's

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Speaker 1: like able to like get his bat on it and

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Speaker 1: make an impact with that, just like savant values. That's

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Speaker 1: like he gets like five positive runs in like a

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Speaker 1: swing category four blake pitches in the heart of the plate.

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Speaker 1: He's like actually pretty proficient at getting his pitch and

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Speaker 1: making something with it. It's really when you get into

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Speaker 1: the shadow of the plate where he's like negative seven

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Speaker 1: runs and that is like on swinging. He's not cut

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Speaker 1: and dry as for like strike zone ball. On these

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Speaker 1: breaking pitches, it's like a practice. You can see it.

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Speaker 1: I saw it in the game this previous night or

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Speaker 1: like the last at bat. I believe he was against

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Speaker 1: a Rogers for the padres he was taking. The slider

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Speaker 1: was going like very heavily at him, and eventually like

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Speaker 1: he went after he was a chase pitch that got

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Speaker 1: him out after seeming like he was like trying to

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Speaker 1: stay on it, disciplined at the plate, taking like like

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Speaker 1: a tough sinker low and away for strike one, which

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Speaker 1: you don't want to do anything heat like had all

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Speaker 1: the body language of like ah bummer, like that was

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Speaker 1: I was really at the play, trying to stay ahead

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Speaker 1: of the count. Look at that strike one ninety five

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Speaker 1: well placed. It wasn't like out of character in the ninth,

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Speaker 1: It was just like totally what you'd expect to see.

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Speaker 1: He even stayed off a couple of balls, got another strike,

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Speaker 1: got another ball, but like it was that like sixth

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Speaker 1: pitch that would have been ball four that he swung

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Speaker 1: on a slider outside of the zone, and he wasn't

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Speaker 1: able to just stay through through the ninth with that

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Speaker 1: like approach. It was like a challenge for him. He's

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Speaker 1: not quite seen it, and it's going to have more

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Speaker 1: of those like frustrating moments until he can really dial

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Speaker 1: that in. Because the optics on this are that he

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Speaker 1: was like good at the plate for the first little

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Speaker 1: bit of the season. Then as other teams started to

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Speaker 1: have film on him, they started to see that he

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Speaker 1: wasn't great with the breaking pitches in the shadow of

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Speaker 1: the plate. He's even not even performing particularly well against

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Speaker 1: the four seen fastball, which is like an absolute must

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Speaker 1: this day and age. Almost every pitcher really likes their fastball,

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Speaker 1: so like they want to use that. I mean, everyone

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Speaker 1: is able to like crank like ninety four at least,

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Speaker 1: so that's just a satisfying way to put away a batter.

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Speaker 1: We saw that in his second to last at bat

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Speaker 1: against the starter from San Diego, where he was struck

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Speaker 1: out on just like a fastball up that he seemed

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Speaker 1: to have no ability to get to because he had

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Speaker 1: been on this like breaking stuff further down in the

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Speaker 1: zone further away, he wasn't able to kind of like

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Speaker 1: that depth back get up and to be prepared for

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Speaker 1: like the ninety four mile an hour heat. Not overwhelming stuff,

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Speaker 1: but he was still just manipulated by the off speed

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Speaker 1: and breaking pitches like Sanchez Hellawait sad strikes him out

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Speaker 1: the gas up top, So that's something to really keep

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Speaker 1: an eye on. Like the fix is to reset, be

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Speaker 1: on balls and strikes and go through like a process

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Speaker 1: that we've seen like Brian Anderson do this year. He

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Speaker 1: was looking a bit out of sorts like early on,

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Speaker 1: and then you could see him like waiting on like

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Speaker 1: like pins and needles as pitches came in, sharpening the

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Speaker 1: focus until it's like regularly there. And then on top

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Speaker 1: of that, of course, looking for the pitches you like

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Speaker 1: want to hit and trying to get that, not just

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Speaker 1: whatever you can get in whatever seems to be closest

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Speaker 1: to the plate. It's obviously the hardest thing to do

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Speaker 1: in sports hit at the major league level, but at

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Speaker 1: the moment it seems there's an adjustment that Jesus Sanchez

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Speaker 1: is just behind on the other pitchers around the league on,

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Speaker 1: so something to keep an eye on. There will be

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Speaker 1: a bit of a focused point of my own as

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Speaker 1: we watch this series in San Diego as the Marlins

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Speaker 1: look to right the ship and set sail through San

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Speaker 1: Diego and Phoenix before heading home again to Lone Depot

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Speaker 1: Park next weekend. So for the podcast, I've been Andrew Ridal.

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Speaker 1: This has been Big Fish Small Pod. We'll be back

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Speaker 1: with you next week to give you more of the

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Speaker 1: latest Miami once