1 00:00:02,600 --> 00:00:06,960 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:10,480 Speaker 2: As we've been reporting, the Trump trade has been an 3 00:00:10,480 --> 00:00:13,039 Speaker 2: absolute boon for the stock market, the dollar, and bitcoin, 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 2: and these moves are reshaping the investment landscape. As Donald 5 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:18,799 Speaker 2: Trumper turns to the White House in January with a 6 00:00:18,800 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 2: pro growth agenda, certain industry is seen as beneficiaries, like banks, 7 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 2: which are up just over fourteen percent since election day. 8 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 2: I'm pleased to now welcome Doug Bronstein, vice chairman of 9 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,160 Speaker 2: Wells Fargo, former CFO of JP Morgan Chase. Doug joined 10 00:00:32,200 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: Wells Fargo in February with a mandate to expand the 11 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:36,559 Speaker 2: bank's corporate finance. 12 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,599 Speaker 3: And advisory business. Good to see you, great see you, Scarlett, 13 00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 3: and remain great to be here, thank you. 14 00:00:41,320 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 2: So, as remain mentioned earlier, today's merger Monday, thirty five 15 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,920 Speaker 2: billion dollars of deals announced across different sectors, including one 16 00:00:47,920 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: that Wells advised on quickly buying Summit materials for eleven 17 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:53,640 Speaker 2: and a half billion dollars. Last week, well was advised 18 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: on bury buying Amcore. 19 00:00:55,440 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 3: To what extent are these deals. 20 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,680 Speaker 2: Emblematic of what we might expect to see in the 21 00:00:59,720 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 2: months ahead. 22 00:01:00,960 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 4: So Scarlett It's a great question, and I think in 23 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 4: your opening you covered a number of the factors quite frankly, 24 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,360 Speaker 4: that I think are going to drive M and A 25 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:13,960 Speaker 4: activity both today and going forward into twenty twenty five. 26 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:19,200 Speaker 4: And it really amounts to the factors that create confidence 27 00:01:19,319 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 4: for CEOs. And there's really four key ones here. The 28 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 4: first is the underlying economic environment. It feels increasingly comfortable 29 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 4: to folks that we've had a soft landing. 30 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 3: There's an expectation that we will. 31 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,479 Speaker 4: Have a positive GDP. 32 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 3: For twenty twenty five and going forward. 33 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 4: The second is the robust support in the capital markets. 34 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 4: The debt markets, which we can talk about in a 35 00:01:45,319 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 4: little bit more detail, are wide open. We've actually had 36 00:01:49,360 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 4: a number of those capital markets with record issuance in 37 00:01:53,040 --> 00:01:57,720 Speaker 4: twenty twenty four, and credit spreads are at or near 38 00:01:57,920 --> 00:02:03,040 Speaker 4: for many of these categories multi year tights. The third 39 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:08,600 Speaker 4: piece is the stock market. You've got sellers in the 40 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 4: public markets where there are stock prices actually performed really well, 41 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 4: and in particular the small and MidCap names in the 42 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 4: Russell remain that you talked about. Those comprise a lot 43 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 4: of sellers in the market, and when you're selling adder 44 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,239 Speaker 4: near your fifty two week high. It's a much easier 45 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:29,040 Speaker 4: discussion in the boarder room. And then finally the buyers, 46 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:34,519 Speaker 4: with that their own stock prices at strong performance and 47 00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 4: this access to capital, that makes for a very potent 48 00:02:38,919 --> 00:02:39,799 Speaker 4: M and A combination. 49 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 3: Yeah, that's quite the cocktail. 50 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 2: So I mentioned that you joined Wells Fargo in February 51 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 2: with this mandate to focus on expanding the investment bank operations. 52 00:02:48,320 --> 00:02:50,080 Speaker 2: There's a lot of excitement about M and A and 53 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 2: IPOs picking up. How does this influence your plans when 54 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 2: it comes to hiring for this build out of the 55 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:57,720 Speaker 2: investment bank. 56 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, so, Scarlet, Actually you also meant you know, in 57 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 4: the last two weeks, Wells has announced to ten billion 58 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 4: dollar plus transactions, one advising on the cell side, which 59 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,799 Speaker 4: was Bury, one advising on the buyside. 60 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 3: Quick Creek today. 61 00:03:15,440 --> 00:03:19,919 Speaker 4: Those are I think representative of some of the investments 62 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,880 Speaker 4: that Wells has already made. So over the course of 63 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 4: the last twenty four months, we've already hired over sixty 64 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 4: managing directors across our M and A business, our equity 65 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,840 Speaker 4: and debt capital markets, and our coverage businesses. And as 66 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:39,920 Speaker 4: you know, when when bankers join, it takes them time 67 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 4: to understand the systems of our big institution and to 68 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 4: resement those relationships with their clients. We expect to continue 69 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 4: to invest over the course of twenty twenty five in 70 00:03:55,080 --> 00:04:00,560 Speaker 4: more coverage efforts, and you're just beginning, i think, in 71 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:04,600 Speaker 4: the last two weeks to see the benefits of those 72 00:04:04,640 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 4: investments we've made. And I think our expectation is we 73 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:12,880 Speaker 4: need to be ready as a firm to take advantage 74 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 4: of what our clients are going to need, which is 75 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 4: advice and capital to do deals in twenty twenty five. 76 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: So is the desire though, to do these bigger deals 77 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: like what we're saying with quick Break, the billion dollar 78 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:27,640 Speaker 1: deals or more into the middle market areas that has 79 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: really been kind of the sweet spot. 80 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 3: For Wells for a while. Yeah. So, I mean it's 81 00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:32,279 Speaker 3: actually it's a great question. 82 00:04:32,360 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 4: You want to do both in order to be a 83 00:04:34,839 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 4: leading franchise. And one of the things that's really attractive 84 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 4: that attracted me to Wells is Wells has a deep, 85 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 4: strong relationship base with companies across the middle market through 86 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:54,560 Speaker 4: the commercial bank and through the wholesale their corporate investment bank, 87 00:04:55,000 --> 00:04:58,720 Speaker 4: the larger companies and in order to have over time 88 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 4: a world class both. 89 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,919 Speaker 3: M and A and capital markets practice. You need to 90 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:04,360 Speaker 3: do both. 91 00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:06,839 Speaker 4: You need to have a strong presence in the middle market, 92 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 4: mostly to sell companies, and you need a strong presence 93 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 4: in the larger cap hopefully to advise. 94 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 3: On buying and on financing. Why don't think why don't 95 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:18,560 Speaker 3: you think we saw that before? 96 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 1: Because there has been criticism that Wells didn't have a 97 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 1: big presence at least in the top end of the market. 98 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:24,720 Speaker 1: But there was also criticism that with the middle market 99 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: companies that they weren't saying that as those companies grew 100 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,919 Speaker 1: into bigger companies that they would then leave for you know, 101 00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:31,920 Speaker 1: JP Morgan or one of the other bigger banks. 102 00:05:32,000 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 4: Yeah. Well, you know again, I'm eight months since the 103 00:05:34,960 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 4: job and couldn't be happier the company itself, right, Charlie 104 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,799 Speaker 4: Sharff came in five years ago, has built a whole 105 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:47,839 Speaker 4: new management team. We've, as I mentioned, added significant talent 106 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 4: across the bank, and I think really. 107 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 1: Having trouble getting that talent specifically for those roles. 108 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:54,239 Speaker 3: No, we're not. Actually. 109 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 4: I think it's in part because when people from the 110 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 4: outside look at the platform, we have this very long standing, 111 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 4: deep and wide relationship base with small, mid and large 112 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:13,520 Speaker 4: cap companies, and what we're adding is that capability and 113 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:17,159 Speaker 4: expertise to execute for them not only in their commercial 114 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 4: banking product needs, but across the entire spectrum of investment banking. 115 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 4: And so I think Romayne, you're just beginning to see 116 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:31,600 Speaker 4: what has been a relatively recent investment start to pay off. 117 00:06:31,640 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 3: And you know, but it will take. 118 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:39,440 Speaker 4: You know, relationship building, investment banking capabilities, those those products 119 00:06:39,520 --> 00:06:43,400 Speaker 4: take time, and we are absolutely committed to take the 120 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 4: time and make the investments necessary to be successful. 121 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on the overall hiring environment right 122 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:53,640 Speaker 2: now for those senior bankers. How does it look to you? 123 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:58,240 Speaker 4: You know, it is it's a good time to be 124 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,320 Speaker 4: a very high quality banker because I think there's a 125 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:03,559 Speaker 4: scarcity of those individuals. 126 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:03,760 Speaker 3: In the marketplace. 127 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 4: The good news is, we think are franchise and the 128 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:12,679 Speaker 4: platform and the opportunity set for people who are looking 129 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,360 Speaker 4: over the next five to ten to twenty years and 130 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 4: really want to have an impact on the business that 131 00:07:19,240 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 4: they help bring in. I think we're a great platform 132 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 4: and as I said, we've already attracted a very large 133 00:07:25,560 --> 00:07:27,840 Speaker 4: number of senior professionals. 134 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 2: So I'm glad that remain touched on the middle market relationships, 135 00:07:31,560 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 2: relationships you have with middle market clients. Other firms with 136 00:07:34,120 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 2: large commercial banks like Bank America or JP Morgan are 137 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 2: trying to tap those kinds of businesses for fees as well. 138 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,640 Speaker 2: It's very lucrative obviously, and Golden Sacks has also been 139 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 2: pretty aggressive. Is this because it's just a really big opportunity, 140 00:07:47,360 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 2: Doug or is this a reflection of how competitive it's 141 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:51,440 Speaker 2: become or even hyper competitive? 142 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 4: So, Scarlett, there are really only three banks in the 143 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 4: US that have a sort of a national commercial bank footprint. 144 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 3: You mentioned two of them, Wells is the third. 145 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:07,160 Speaker 4: Those relationships go back from many of these companies. They 146 00:08:07,200 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 4: were we provided them their first loan, so they are long. 147 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:11,520 Speaker 3: And they're deep. 148 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:17,119 Speaker 4: That part of the market is an incredibly important part 149 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 4: of the wallet share for all of the corporate finance products. 150 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 3: So if you want to be a leading. 151 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 4: Player, you have to compete in that segment of the market. 152 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 4: And for us, it's a place we've had long standing 153 00:08:31,520 --> 00:08:37,359 Speaker 4: relationships and we're now beginning to bring to those relationships 154 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 4: that world class execution capability. 155 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:41,839 Speaker 3: So every part of. 156 00:08:41,800 --> 00:08:44,760 Speaker 4: The market, large and smallest competitive, but we think we 157 00:08:44,920 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 4: have some unique relationship capabilities and advantages that hopefully will 158 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:55,319 Speaker 4: allow us to move quickly in that arena. 159 00:08:55,600 --> 00:08:57,200 Speaker 1: Doug, I have to ask you about what's going on 160 00:08:57,280 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: in Washington, particularly what the new administration coming in. He 161 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 1: I mean, what's your relationship like right now with folks 162 00:09:03,800 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 1: in Washington and b Do you think there's going to 163 00:09:06,040 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 1: be a material change in the approach that regulators have taken, 164 00:09:09,240 --> 00:09:10,480 Speaker 1: not just with the banking sector. 165 00:09:10,200 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 3: Are overall, but specifically with Wells Fargo. Yeah, so we. 166 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 4: As I talked about the M and A marketplace, I 167 00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 4: would say the underlying backdrop for fundamentals remain are really strong. 168 00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 4: You now add to that what the market believes to 169 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 4: be two things reflected in the new administration. One is 170 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 4: the fact that there's going to be a decrease in 171 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:38,800 Speaker 4: the regulatory burden, both for industries on the whole and 172 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:43,839 Speaker 4: as it relates to the FTC right, and so that removes, 173 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 4: quite frankly, a significant concern and impediment for a number 174 00:09:47,800 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 4: of CEOs that have deferred their action. The second thing 175 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 4: is that the market clearly believes that this will be 176 00:09:56,640 --> 00:10:02,240 Speaker 4: a pro growth agenda on balance, again giving confidence to 177 00:10:02,400 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 4: CEOs So when you look at both the market training 178 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 4: levels today as well as the underlying growth in M 179 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:14,600 Speaker 4: and A transactions and the growing backlog, I think that 180 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:19,359 Speaker 4: reflects a reasonably high degree of confidence that this administration 181 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,839 Speaker 4: is going to be supportive of that activity. 182 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:23,679 Speaker 1: So you have a high degree in confidence that Wells 183 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:25,480 Speaker 1: Fargo is going to be able to grow with that 184 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 1: I e. Is that asset cap goun to still be 185 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:29,800 Speaker 1: there because you're talking about a lot of opportunities, because 186 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 1: I'm sure you know there is a constraint to just 187 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:33,559 Speaker 1: how much you can take advantage of those. 188 00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:37,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, I would leave you know, we have a lot 189 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:39,280 Speaker 4: of public statements on that. I'm going to leave the 190 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:43,679 Speaker 4: specifics of those comments to Charlie and Mike. What I 191 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:47,800 Speaker 4: would say is that since I've been at the company, 192 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 4: in every decision that we make, we place the importance 193 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:58,320 Speaker 4: of prudence and responsible decision making at the very heart 194 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 4: of how we address the needs of our clients, and 195 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:04,960 Speaker 4: so I'm confident that we're going to be able to 196 00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,320 Speaker 4: prosper in the environment going forward. 197 00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,559 Speaker 2: So, Doug, we started with M and A, I kind 198 00:11:10,559 --> 00:11:12,199 Speaker 2: of want to go back to M and A come 199 00:11:12,240 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 2: full circle. Obviously, that feeds into other things like debt financing, 200 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 2: like equity financing as well. To what extent do you 201 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 2: plan to use M and A as an in to 202 00:11:20,920 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 2: those other feed generating businesses. 203 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, So, Scarlett, the M and A business in many 204 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:31,720 Speaker 4: ways drives some of the most important and quite frankly, 205 00:11:32,360 --> 00:11:37,800 Speaker 4: most profitable parts of the capital markets business. So today, 206 00:11:37,880 --> 00:11:42,840 Speaker 4: for example, we announced a buyside transaction where we are 207 00:11:42,880 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 4: helping that company to do the financing, as you've reported, 208 00:11:46,920 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 4: and that's a really important part of what we believe. 209 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 3: We brings capabilities, whether that's. 210 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 4: Debt or equity financing to our partners, and as one 211 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:04,319 Speaker 4: of the country's largest banks, we have a significant amount 212 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:09,839 Speaker 4: of capacity to help facilitate those transactions on the equity side, 213 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 4: both as a financing matter for our customers as well 214 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,320 Speaker 4: as an alternative exit for parties who are thinking about 215 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:24,440 Speaker 4: monetizing their investment. The opening up of the equity capital markets. 216 00:12:24,480 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 4: You know, there's been an increase in IPO volume this 217 00:12:27,600 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 4: year of almost fifty percent over last year. 218 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:31,319 Speaker 3: We're still below. 219 00:12:31,160 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 4: Ten year trends, but again we think the opportunity set 220 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 4: for our customers, particularly in the commercial bank, to tap 221 00:12:39,280 --> 00:12:42,680 Speaker 4: those markets is going to be a significant factor into 222 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:43,560 Speaker 4: twenty twenty five. 223 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 2: Doug, such a pleasure to have you on. Thank you 224 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,439 Speaker 2: so much. Doug Bronson as vice chairman at Lallas Fargo, 225 00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:50,080 Speaker 2: also a prodlum of Cornell