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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: Better than Most, Better than most, Better than most.

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Speaker 3: Winna took your down?

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Speaker 2: Yeah you got real telling.

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Speaker 4: We gon concentrate on golf. What's up, everybody, and welcome

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Speaker 4: once again to the Action Network Podcast presented by Bett

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Speaker 4: MGM the Golf Edition. I'm Jason Sobel from Golf Bet.

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Speaker 4: He is Justin Ray from the twenty first group. That's right,

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Speaker 4: the twenty first group. Maybe a little rebranding there. We're

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Speaker 4: gonna get into this week's at and T Byron Nelson

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Speaker 4: at a new site TBC. Craig Ranch will tell you

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Speaker 4: everything we know about this place, which admittedly might not

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Speaker 4: be that much. We'll get into making a DFS lineup,

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Speaker 4: and we'll get into our five questions in five minutes.

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Speaker 4: And first we'll probably talk a little bit about stuff

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Speaker 4: that happened this past weekend, because I'll a whole lot

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Speaker 4: happened in the world of golf, including Rory mclory coming

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Speaker 4: back on Mother's Day to win for the first time

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Speaker 4: in over a year and a half.

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Speaker 5: Jay Ray, what's going on? How you doing doing great?

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Speaker 5: It was great to see Rory breakthrough and get that win,

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Speaker 5: you know, been a long time coming. Not sure I

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Speaker 5: can say I totally expected it. I know we talked

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Speaker 5: a lot last week about how these guys with high

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Speaker 5: ballflight and carry distance we're going to excel at Wells Fargo,

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Speaker 5: and I pinpointed Bryce and Shambeau, and I just picked

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Speaker 5: the wrong dude who had that kind of ball flight.

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Speaker 5: It was the guy whod already won there twice. So

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Speaker 5: absolutely deserving winner. My favorite number from that weekend ranked

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Speaker 5: in the top three in driving distance, Green's hit, scrambling,

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Speaker 5: and strokes game putting. Only three players out of about

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Speaker 5: seven hundred that have been ever tracked by shot link

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Speaker 5: have won a tournament ranking and an all four of

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Speaker 5: those statistics, so really balanced, excellent performance for Rory mclory.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, same, I just haven't picked the wrong dude. That's

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Speaker 4: That's what I'm sticking with as well.

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Speaker 5: I did like we have the characteristics, you know, we're yeah.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, he drives it well and puts it well is

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Speaker 4: basically what we said.

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Speaker 2: And Rory drives it really well when he's on.

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Speaker 4: He's maybe the best driver of the golf ball that

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Speaker 4: we've seen in this generation.

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Speaker 2: And when he puts really well, he puts really well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Best funny week statistically since he won at Bayhill.

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Speaker 4: So yes, you know, just like we say every Monday,

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Speaker 4: if so and so plays like that every week, he's

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Speaker 4: going to win a whole lot more. And you know,

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Speaker 4: that's the usual thing we say. By the way, spoke

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Speaker 4: with Jeff Sherman, of course, the VP of risk management

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Speaker 4: for super Book Sports and at Golf Odds on Twitter,

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Speaker 4: who really sets the market prices on a lot of

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Speaker 4: these things.

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Speaker 2: And he had Rory McElroy at twenty to.

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Speaker 4: One to win again at Kiwa next week for the

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Speaker 4: PGA Championship, of course, where he won nine years ago

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Speaker 4: by eight shots. Had him at twenty to one on

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Speaker 4: Wednesday and then on Thursday, had some sharp plays on

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Speaker 4: and moved it to eighteen.

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Speaker 2: On Friday a little more, moved.

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Speaker 4: To sixteen, and after the victory he is now chopped

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Speaker 4: in half from what he was four days earlier, ten

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Speaker 4: to one.

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Speaker 2: Tournament favorite Rory mclory.

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Speaker 3: That's aggressive.

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Speaker 5: He's got a crazy first round trend in Masters and

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Speaker 5: the number right in front of me, but over the

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Speaker 5: last since he why I think he won at Valhalla,

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Speaker 5: it's like a seventy shot difference in relation to part

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Speaker 5: really bad in the first round in Majors and then

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Speaker 5: pretty good the rest of the week. So if he

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Speaker 5: plays well Thursday in that opening around, I can only

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Speaker 5: imagine that it's that number is going to need to

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Speaker 5: win a le even more.

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Speaker 2: Doesn't it have?

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Speaker 4: Jordan speif vibes from last month where superstar player hadn't

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Speaker 4: won in a long time. For Jordan it was four years.

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Speaker 4: Rory was a year and a half wins in his

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Speaker 4: last start before a major championship where he's won in

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Speaker 4: the past, and all the dominating Everyone jumps yes, exactly,

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Speaker 4: and then everyone jumps on says, you know what, it's

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Speaker 4: gotta be him. And of course Jordan played really well

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Speaker 4: at the Masters, he finishing the sheriff a third place.

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Speaker 4: He could have won that golf tournament if he'd played

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Speaker 4: a little bit better to start. That said, I just

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Speaker 4: it feels like a similar situation for Rory. I'm sticking

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Speaker 4: with that. I'm going to spread it on the board,

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Speaker 4: and in fact, I've made a few plays for next

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Speaker 4: week already. But I think that that even bigger range

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Speaker 4: at fifty to sixty range has a lot of possibilities

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Speaker 4: out there we can get into it. I've already made

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Speaker 4: a couple of plays for next week, perhaps my favorite

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Speaker 4: play for the PGA, and I don't know if you've

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Speaker 4: started looking at it or not, Jay Rayan, and I

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Speaker 4: know putting you on the spot a little bit here,

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Speaker 4: So I'll give you mine and you can weigh in

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Speaker 4: and say if you like any of them or have

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Speaker 4: any of your own already. But I'm going beneath the favorites.

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Speaker 4: The shortest guy that I've bet so far as Victor Hobland,

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Speaker 4: who I think has some obvious, really good.

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Speaker 2: Momentum right now.

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Speaker 4: I wish I had hopped on a month ago before

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Speaker 4: a couple of third place finishes the last few weeks.

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Speaker 4: But really like Victor Hobland, obviously hard.

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Speaker 2: Not to like him.

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Speaker 4: And then dipping down to Abraham answer, who's going to

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Speaker 4: win very soon and that should be a good golf

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Speaker 4: course for him. Matthew Fitzpatrick I think could fit that

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Speaker 4: golf course really well.

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Speaker 2: And maybe my favorite play right now, Mark Leishman.

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Speaker 5: I thought you were gonna go with Leishman. That's a

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Speaker 5: guy who I really like too. I've had him circled

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Speaker 5: since you mentioned him a little while back. Matt Fitzpatrick

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Speaker 5: leads the PGA torn strokes game putting over.

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Speaker 3: The last ten weeks. That's somebody.

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Speaker 5: If he keeps that moment, I'm going on the greens.

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Speaker 5: He's driven it really well, drove it great at Harbortown

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Speaker 5: and kind of, you know, same part of the world.

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Speaker 5: You know, maybe maybe he kind of brings that performance

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Speaker 5: back to like too, So I like those I like.

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Speaker 3: Those numbers as well.

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Speaker 5: Colin more Kaw is somebody who's really interesting to me

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Speaker 5: because you know, he played well for a few days

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Speaker 5: at Harbortown before kind of fading on the weekend with

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Speaker 5: a short game. But I just feel like he's just

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Speaker 5: how this guy is still under the radar weekend week out.

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Speaker 5: It feels just feels like a place where he could

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Speaker 5: be successful. I mean, he won the PGA Championship last

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Speaker 5: year and he's won a WGC this year. So I

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Speaker 5: don't think it's too far off the board.

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Speaker 3: But I haven't got too deep into my research.

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Speaker 5: Yet, but I will say it in comparison to like

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Speaker 5: this week, where I think there's you know, it's kind

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Speaker 5: of a top heavy board where the elite of the

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Speaker 5: field is really strong, and then I think there's a

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Speaker 5: big gap between the top of the board and maybe

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Speaker 5: the rest Championship. There's value everywhere, Like Adam Scott is

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Speaker 5: sixty six to one, Mark Leishman is sixty six to one.

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Speaker 5: Gary Woodland nearly won of Quell Holla last week, is

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Speaker 5: eighty to one. Right now, I think there's you got

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Speaker 5: to do your research for for for KIOA believe.

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Speaker 2: That Woodland's another one that bett all My.

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Speaker 3: Mind's a little fried.

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Speaker 5: I apologize, but no, no, no, we got to dig

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Speaker 5: a little bit on.

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Speaker 3: Kio because I think there's there's value in a lot

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Speaker 3: of places.

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Speaker 4: Yes, I mean, I just figured out, by the way

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Speaker 4: that it's Kiwa, not Kiyawa. I've been calling it Kiowa

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Speaker 4: for nine years and I've been told by South Carolinians

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Speaker 4: that it is Kiwa, and so give.

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Speaker 2: A lot of radio from Kiowa, and I've got to

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Speaker 2: start calling it Kia.

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Speaker 4: And I'm going to say it as much as I

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Speaker 4: can over the next week so that when we get

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Speaker 4: to that week.

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Speaker 2: I'm not screwing it up.

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Speaker 4: By the way, I've also bet the guy that I'm

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Speaker 4: betting this week is my favorite outright. A slight little

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Speaker 4: tease there. We'll get to our picks for the Nelson

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Speaker 4: in a little bit one more thing about uh about

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Speaker 4: Rory moving forward.

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Speaker 2: It's just it looked like it all came together.

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Speaker 4: I mean, and we've seen it now with Speith, as

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Speaker 4: I mentioned, had Dicky Matsuyama had one in four years.

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Speaker 4: On the women's side, Lydia Coe, Aria jew Tanna Guard.

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Speaker 4: I mean, we've seen these superstar players just all of

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Speaker 4: a sudden kind of hey bang, snap my fingers and

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Speaker 4: all those struggles have just kind of washed away, and

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Speaker 4: I've figured out how to play golf and win golf

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Speaker 4: tournaments again. Do we think this is sustainable for Rory

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Speaker 4: mclory moving forward?

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Speaker 5: I think that the people who had won would debate

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Speaker 5: that it was a snap of the fingers.

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Speaker 3: I mean it was a pretty long snap of the fingers.

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Speaker 2: Speed okay, Olivia Coe okay.

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Speaker 5: And Rory's been working I know, we know, I mean

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Speaker 5: much publicized storry to work with Pete Cowen and the

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Speaker 5: benefits of that kind of coming to fruition last week

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Speaker 5: in Charlotte. Look, class is permanent, and Rory's too talented

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Speaker 5: to be down for too long. I mean we talked

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Speaker 5: about it being a big drought. It was just twenty

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Speaker 5: five starts. I think worldwide between wins. Like, you know,

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Speaker 5: it seemed like a long time. The pandemic probably played

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Speaker 5: into that, and it felt like, all right, he had

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Speaker 5: and most of us probably weren't watching live when he

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Speaker 5: won in China the last time he won the w

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Speaker 5: GGHSP champion, So it feels like it had been a

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Speaker 5: long time and he had drifted down the world ranking

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Speaker 5: a little bit. But not all droughts are created equal, right, Like,

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Speaker 5: this was a down period in terms of by Rory standards,

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Speaker 5: but it's no surprise that he got back into the

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Speaker 5: Winter circle.

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Speaker 3: It was really just a matter of time.

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Speaker 4: You mentioned Pete cow and Justin and I don't know

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Speaker 4: if his stable is full or whether he's soliciting more

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Speaker 4: players out there to come work with him. If it

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Speaker 4: is indeed the latter, Pete Cowen's gonna get some phone

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Speaker 4: calls this week from a lot of players. Ago, Dude,

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Speaker 4: that guy looked lost a few weeks ago, and now

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Speaker 4: he and a big boy golf tournament, big boy golf course.

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Speaker 5: Please, I think some awesome golf shots. Here's here's a

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Speaker 5: blank check. Here's a blank check. Pete, come work with

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Speaker 5: me and fix me. Uh, you know you think you

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Speaker 5: think a guy like Jason Day. You think, and I know,

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Speaker 5: I know he's working with a new coach anyway. You

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Speaker 5: think Ricky Fowler, like just so many of these players

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Speaker 5: who are world class players but not showing any sort

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Speaker 5: of form whatsoever.

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Speaker 4: Wouldn't just handpeak Count a blank check right now and say,

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Speaker 4: come work with me. I don't care what it takes.

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Speaker 2: Uh, I need you right now.

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Speaker 5: A beautiful unknowing allusion to our five questions later that

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Speaker 5: you just made. You had no idea, but right there,

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Speaker 5: a tie into something you'll see hear about later in

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Speaker 5: the podcast.

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Speaker 2: Well, let's do it right now.

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Speaker 4: Then let's get to those five questions, and then we'll

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Speaker 4: start talking about this at and T Byron Nelson, that

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Speaker 4: everyone's favorite course TVC Craig Ranch. I mean, we barely

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Speaker 4: have to even talk about it just because we say

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Speaker 4: those words. We say that name of the course and

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Speaker 4: just elicits so many memories from over.

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Speaker 2: The years, a legendary venue. Yes, yes, of course. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: let's get into the five.

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Speaker 1: Questions five minutes. Five questions you never asked.

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Speaker 2: I gotta be honest with you.

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Speaker 4: I get a little irritated when somebody called me away

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Speaker 4: from my golf.

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Speaker 1: This is five under.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: Number one.

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Speaker 5: Rory McElroy won his nineteenth PGA Tour title on Sunday.

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Speaker 5: There are now seven players with exactly nineteen PGA Tour wins.

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Speaker 5: It's a great class. Five of them are Hall of famers.

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Speaker 5: Can you name the five Hall of famers who have

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Speaker 5: exactly nineteen wins? Rory of course not included in that list.

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Speaker 4: I know one of them, so I can get one

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Speaker 4: off the bat, and the others are gonna have to

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Speaker 4: work for boy exactly nineteen.

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Speaker 3: I'll give you misuses the thing.

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Speaker 5: You know, it's an interesting number because one shy of

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Speaker 5: twenty twenty was always that magic number for a lifetime exemption.

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Speaker 5: I remember when DL three one is twenty.

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Speaker 2: I was just gonna say that.

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Speaker 5: You know, it's a big number, and in terms of

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Speaker 5: PG it's not just a round number of twenty. It's

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Speaker 5: it's a significant deal for a lifetime exemption on the

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Speaker 5: PGA Tour. But yeah, there's seven seven overall now including Rory,

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Speaker 5: five or hall of famers, some big names on this list.

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Speaker 3: Can you name the five?

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Speaker 2: Almost might be able to get the non Hall of

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Speaker 2: fame Okay, So Ernie El's is one of them.

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Speaker 3: Correct.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this is not gonna be easy.

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Speaker 4: I'll give you a d give you a minute before

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Speaker 4: I get to the hints. Give me a minute here.

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Speaker 3: All right, all right, Uh.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna start throwing names out because I'm really not sure.

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Speaker 4: You tell me if I'm in the right neighborhood. Do

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Speaker 4: you have like do you have the whole list like it?

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Speaker 4: Will you tell me if I'm like way off or

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Speaker 4: like close with some of these guys.

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Speaker 3: I will have the list in front of me.

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Speaker 2: Yes, Lannie Watkins, that is incorrect.

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Speaker 3: I'm pulling up the list right now.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to know if I'm like, at least

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Speaker 2: on the right path.

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Speaker 3: Lanny finished with twenty one, so very good.

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Speaker 2: Look, Okay, that's fair. Fuzzy Fuzzy Zeller, No, not even close.

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Speaker 5: Not on the list I gotta find on this list,

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Speaker 5: He's not He's not part of it. Okay, as I

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Speaker 5: had control F and try to type Zeller to try

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Speaker 5: to find it as quickly as possible in my computer,

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Speaker 5: I'll give you a hint, and if this won't be

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Speaker 5: too over the top, but two of the names tied

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Speaker 5: on this tiede on this list are always tied together

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Speaker 5: in history, and they both have something very in common

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Speaker 5: with where this tournament.

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Speaker 3: Is held this week, this PGA Tour event.

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Speaker 2: It's not Byron Nelson.

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Speaker 3: No, no, but just think state of Texas.

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Speaker 2: Think Tom Kite. Correct, all right.

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Speaker 5: You might be able to get another one after that.

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Speaker 2: Hint. Uh Tom clit tied with another. Uh.

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Speaker 3: These two are always linked together.

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Speaker 2: Someone linked with Tom Kite, Ben Crenshaw.

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Speaker 5: Correct, Ben Prenshaw Kit of course, teammates at the University

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Speaker 5: of Texas.

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Speaker 2: Yes, yes, maybe two.

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Speaker 5: So all right, so Crenshaw, Ernie L's Tom Kite. There's

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Speaker 5: two others. These are way harder. So if you plase

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Speaker 5: on those, I'm okay.

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Speaker 2: I might The non Hall of Fame is Craig Wood. No,

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Speaker 2: that's a good guess, Okay.

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Speaker 5: Craig Wood one of the only multiple major winner and

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Speaker 5: the only multiple major winners to not be in the

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Speaker 5: Hall of Fame.

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Speaker 4: Yes, So that's why I was thinking when you said

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Speaker 4: there was one that wasn't in the Hall of Fame,

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Speaker 4: I was going with him.

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Speaker 3: Correction, Craig Wood is in the World Golf Hall.

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Speaker 2: He might have just gotten in in the last year

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Speaker 2: or so, two thousand and eight. It's been a long

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Speaker 2: year pandemic. We're all thrown at you.

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Speaker 3: Hit it towards that. I have that in my head too,

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Speaker 3: that he wasn't in.

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Speaker 4: But the Actually Network podcast would like to cong gradually

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Speaker 4: Craig Wood on his induction.

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Speaker 2: Ceremony into the World Golf Hall of Fame. The other

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Speaker 2: two are one more guess one deep Claude Harmon.

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Speaker 3: Incorrect another Masters winner.

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Speaker 2: Though, Jimmy Demarrit, you know you're in the right ballpark.

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Speaker 3: Doug Ford is one of them. And I wasn't getting

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Speaker 3: at nineteen wins.

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Speaker 2: So who's the last one?

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Speaker 5: I'm sorry, Hubert Green, Hubert Green, the non Hall of famers,

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Speaker 5: Bill Melhorn.

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Speaker 3: So these are these are kind of more a lot

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Speaker 3: more obscure names.

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Speaker 5: Really just want to get the Ernie note in because

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Speaker 5: Rory Now nineteen PGA Tour wins four majors, Ernie Els

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Speaker 5: nineteen PGA Tour wins four majors. Kind of an interesting

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Speaker 5: synchronicity there, all right. Number two that was kind of

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Speaker 5: a long first one Byron Nelson, of course, the namesake

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Speaker 5: of this week's.

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Speaker 3: Tournament, which of iron Byron's records is more unbreakable wins.

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Speaker 5: In eleven straight PGA tour starts or eighteen wins.

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Speaker 3: In a single PGA Tour season, which is more unbreakable.

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Speaker 4: Yes, I mean, yeah, come on, yes is the right answer.

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Speaker 4: I guess it's eleven straight, don't you think? Like, all right,

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Speaker 4: let's say somebody.

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Speaker 3: Gets play eighteen times in a season.

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Speaker 4: Now, no one's playing that much exactly, like, well, okay,

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Speaker 4: the eleven straight does that have to be eleven straight

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Speaker 4: events or just eleven straight starts?

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Speaker 5: It starts, So Tiger's best straight PGA towards starts, which

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Speaker 5: is insane.

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Speaker 3: Yes, even in a row.

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Speaker 5: But Byron Nelson in his nineteen forty eight nineteen forty two,

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Speaker 5: I don't have it right in front of me. It

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Speaker 5: was a year in the forties eighteen times, and then

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Speaker 5: mad Mix was eleven in a row.

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Speaker 2: Yes, now, maybe deluded just a little bit.

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Speaker 4: A lot of guys were off to war at that point,

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Speaker 4: and so he was back home dominating.

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Speaker 2: Which significant caveat.

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Speaker 3: Yes, that's okay, you already given the correct answer to

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Speaker 3: this question.

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Speaker 4: Yes, Yes, the correct answer is yes, I eighteen in

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Speaker 4: a season or eleven straight.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that like.

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Speaker 4: Neither, Like they're not gonna get broken by the way,

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Speaker 4: I don't know if we're getting into this somewhere else.

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Speaker 4: But I spent two days with Peggy Nelson on what

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Speaker 4: would have been Byron's hundredth birthday nine.

356
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Speaker 2: Years ago about and she is the coolest woman in

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Speaker 2: the world.

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Speaker 4: And we went we were on the ranch, and we

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Speaker 4: went to his favorite breakfast spot, and we went to

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Speaker 4: the Byron Nelson High School and we just we kind

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Speaker 4: of did everything that Byron did on a regular basis.

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Speaker 2: I'm a huge Byron Nelson guy.

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Speaker 3: Awesome, I love it.

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Speaker 5: Love to hear that. Texas boy here loves to hear that. Okay,

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Speaker 5: we'll move on to number three. Now, less likely to

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Speaker 5: be broken either of those Byron Nelson records or Tiger

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Speaker 5: Wood's run of one hundred and forty two straight mad cuts,

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Speaker 5: which ironically was snapped at the two thousand and five Byron.

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Speaker 2: Nelson, Yes it was.

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Speaker 4: Someone will break the maid Cut streak way before they

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Speaker 4: break the Nelson one. Okay, I mean at some point,

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Speaker 4: like someone's I think.

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Speaker 5: There's a better chance of like the sun eating the

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Speaker 5: planet than any of these being fought.

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Speaker 2: Yes, no, I agree with that.

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Speaker 4: That is probably like minus one twenty odds in this

377
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Speaker 4: question right now, but uh, well, I mean I'm thinking

378
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Speaker 4: ahead to like the once guys. You know, once Dustin

379
00:17:20,040 --> 00:17:23,120
Speaker 4: Johnson leaves for the PGL and makes the cut every week,

380
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Speaker 4: then you know, one hundred and forty two straight.

381
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Speaker 2: This isn't really a big deal when there are no cuts.

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Speaker 5: So there, Okay, good, I mean, yeah, we're looking long term.

383
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Speaker 5: We've got to take everything into account, all right. Number

384
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Speaker 5: four we talked about earlier. We've seen so many victory

385
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Speaker 5: droughts into the golf world this year, Brook Anderson, Jordan Speith,

386
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Speaker 5: Lydia Coe, and Eki Matziyama at the Masters. Now Rory

387
00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:46,800
Speaker 5: snaps that relatively wrong long run for him without a win.

388
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Speaker 5: Who is more likely to break their victory drought next?

389
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Speaker 5: Jason Day or Ricky Fowler. Both men are in the

390
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Speaker 5: field this week.

391
00:17:56,840 --> 00:17:59,360
Speaker 2: I think Day has to be closer.

392
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Speaker 4: It felt like back in January February, like even bleeding

393
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Speaker 4: into February a little bit, it felt like Jason Day

394
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Speaker 4: was like kind of there, like he was playing pretty well,

395
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Speaker 4: not like a serious title contention here and there, but

396
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Speaker 4: it felt like it was kind of there. Ricky hasn't

397
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Speaker 4: been there in a long time now, and so I

398
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Speaker 4: think that Jason Day has the better chance just on

399
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Speaker 4: a random week where it's like, hey, I got hot

400
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:30,240
Speaker 4: and the feelings came back and everything clicked for me,

401
00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:33,520
Speaker 4: and I can go out there and rely on everything

402
00:18:33,560 --> 00:18:35,840
Speaker 4: I know as a player and a winner to go

403
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Speaker 4: out and triumph against a big field more so than Ricky.

404
00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:41,240
Speaker 4: Even when Ricky was playing his best golf, he wasn't

405
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Speaker 4: winning a whole lot.

406
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Speaker 2: So I will go with Jason Day in that one.

407
00:18:43,920 --> 00:18:45,200
Speaker 3: I probably agree with you there.

408
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:49,000
Speaker 5: Day also last summer had some really sneaky positive metrics.

409
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Speaker 3: He was kind of trending in the right Like if

410
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Speaker 3: his name was you know, Jim.

411
00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:54,960
Speaker 5: Day and we never heard of the guy before, he'd

412
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Speaker 5: be somebody you would pick like deep on the leaderboard,

413
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,640
Speaker 5: like yeah, I see some numbers here for player acts

414
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:00,600
Speaker 5: working out.

415
00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,480
Speaker 3: It's just that it was Befomer World number one, Jason Day.

416
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,520
Speaker 5: The only question I'd have is that, you know, health

417
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,280
Speaker 5: has never been really a problem for Ricky, whereas with Day,

418
00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 5: you know, it has been a little bit here and there.

419
00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 5: But Jason day ceiling is much higher than Ricky Fowlers

420
00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 5: throughout his career so far, So I probably have to

421
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:16,960
Speaker 5: agree with you that I'd go with Day as well.

422
00:19:17,240 --> 00:19:19,760
Speaker 2: I don't like getting into sort of the personal stuff

423
00:19:19,760 --> 00:19:20,200
Speaker 2: too much.

424
00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 4: If if there's something I know that's affecting a player

425
00:19:24,240 --> 00:19:26,600
Speaker 4: in his personal life, I might say, Hey, I'm going

426
00:19:26,680 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 4: to fade this guy. But you know, I don't like to,

427
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,080
Speaker 4: you know, say, because I will tell you that from

428
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:35,320
Speaker 4: what I've heard, Ellie Day is pregnant with their fourth

429
00:19:35,440 --> 00:19:40,040
Speaker 4: child right now, and from being around the Day family, like,

430
00:19:40,640 --> 00:19:41,880
Speaker 4: congratulations to them.

431
00:19:42,240 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 2: That's great.

432
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 4: I think that such an experience may impact Jason Day

433
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:51,679
Speaker 4: inside the ropes more so than it would impact another player.

434
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Speaker 2: I'll put it that way.

435
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:56,160
Speaker 3: Huh okay, all right, we'll keep an eye on that.

436
00:19:56,320 --> 00:20:00,399
Speaker 5: Interesting all right. Number five. This this one of the

437
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 5: more incredible facts in golf. I think that it always

438
00:20:02,840 --> 00:20:05,440
Speaker 5: comes up whenever this tournament comes around. This is Jordan

439
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:09,120
Speaker 5: Speed's tenth career start in this tournament. How time flies.

440
00:20:09,440 --> 00:20:13,560
Speaker 5: His best finish is still his tie for sixteenth place

441
00:20:13,920 --> 00:20:16,879
Speaker 5: as a high school junior in twenty ten. That is

442
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,880
Speaker 5: his best career finish at the AT and t buyer

443
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Speaker 5: at Nelson.

444
00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:22,919
Speaker 3: Is a backup hometown event. True or false, Jordan Spieth

445
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:23,640
Speaker 3: betters that.

446
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:26,199
Speaker 2: This week true. I think it's gonna be a good

447
00:20:26,200 --> 00:20:26,720
Speaker 2: week for him.

448
00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,480
Speaker 4: I don't know about him in any history at Craig Ranch,

449
00:20:29,520 --> 00:20:32,840
Speaker 4: but I've got to believe that it could suit him

450
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:34,720
Speaker 4: better than Las Colinas. That was always sort of the

451
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 4: dirty little secret in Camp Speed being around Jordan and

452
00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:40,920
Speaker 4: a lot of the people around him for a long

453
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,439
Speaker 4: time that the Nelson's the one that gave him his

454
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,800
Speaker 4: first start. The Nelson's the one that he used to

455
00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:48,200
Speaker 4: climb over the fence with his dad and they kind

456
00:20:48,200 --> 00:20:48,800
Speaker 4: of snuck in.

457
00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:51,320
Speaker 2: I mean, it sounds more romantic than it was.

458
00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:53,480
Speaker 4: Was like they knew somebody on the seventh hole or

459
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:55,760
Speaker 4: something and parked in their driveway and just kind of

460
00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:57,520
Speaker 4: went in through the backyard. It wasn't like the kind

461
00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,960
Speaker 4: of really snuck in like that, but sounded good at

462
00:21:01,040 --> 00:21:02,640
Speaker 4: least when you were writing it back in the day.

463
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:06,040
Speaker 2: And so it's the one that he's the most loyal to.

464
00:21:06,280 --> 00:21:10,320
Speaker 4: But around Camp Speed there was always talked that Colonial

465
00:21:10,480 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 4: the Crosstown event always suited him much better than any

466
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,200
Speaker 4: of these venues they've had the Byron Nelson.

467
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 5: On which one is he won at He's one Colonial before,

468
00:21:19,200 --> 00:21:21,720
Speaker 5: he hasn't won this one. So just incredible though to

469
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:23,920
Speaker 5: think that First of all, that was ten years ago.

470
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 5: I remember I was the researcher on the Scott Van

471
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,280
Speaker 5: Pelt Show radio show and we talked to Jordan Speeth

472
00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:31,119
Speaker 5: the monday after I.

473
00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,880
Speaker 3: Don't know he got out of like chemistry class.

474
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,840
Speaker 5: Or what on that Monday to come on the radio

475
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 5: show one in the afternoon. But he sounded like he

476
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 5: was about thirty three years old giving the interview, and

477
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:44,320
Speaker 5: I don't know, we like Kyle kind of. After the

478
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:46,639
Speaker 5: interview was over, everyone in the studio, everyone worked on

479
00:21:46,680 --> 00:21:47,880
Speaker 5: the show looked at each other like.

480
00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 2: WHOA sad that kid. There's no way that kid's sixteen.

481
00:21:52,720 --> 00:21:53,720
Speaker 3: It's unbelievable.

482
00:21:53,760 --> 00:21:57,640
Speaker 5: So great things pretended in his future and obviously it's

483
00:21:57,640 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 5: all come to fruition with the success.

484
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:00,960
Speaker 3: He said. So are the five questions?

485
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,200
Speaker 2: Great questions by you this week? Jay Ray.

486
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,160
Speaker 4: I will use the last of those questions to segue

487
00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,719
Speaker 4: into this week's AT and T Byron Nelson at TBC

488
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:10,720
Speaker 4: Craig Ranch.

489
00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:12,240
Speaker 2: As I mentioned, and.

490
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 4: I did a little research, and I'm the only guy

491
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 4: that can dig deep into the dark web on the

492
00:22:17,080 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 4: Internet and go find some cool stats.

493
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:20,760
Speaker 2: But it makes it sound.

494
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:24,359
Speaker 3: Way more nefarious than it is. Called the dark webs were.

495
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:26,640
Speaker 4: Like paying people off for stats and stuff like that,

496
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:32,080
Speaker 4: back channels and stuff. What I did find, and you know,

497
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 4: it's pretty easy to find this, but Scotti Scheffler, much

498
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 4: like Jordan Speith, has been playing this event since he

499
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 4: was in high school. He also, back in twenty fourteen

500
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 4: when he was seventeen years old, finished T twenty two.

501
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:45,119
Speaker 2: And how good was that? That week?

502
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 4: He beat Martin Kaimer, who was in between winning the

503
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,879
Speaker 4: players in the US Open, And so, I mean, like

504
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:53,440
Speaker 4: that was really good at the time. I did a

505
00:22:53,480 --> 00:22:56,120
Speaker 4: little research see if I wonder if Scotty Scheffler's ever

506
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:59,480
Speaker 4: played TBC Craig Ranch And what I found is that

507
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:03,840
Speaker 4: back when he was nine years old and listed as

508
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 4: Scott Alexander Scheffler, he played a nine hole co ed

509
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:12,320
Speaker 4: event at the Metro what was it called the Metro

510
00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:17,639
Speaker 4: Golf Championship, the seven to nine division. He had just

511
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,640
Speaker 4: turned nine years old, and he shot a one over

512
00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,520
Speaker 4: thirty seven on the back, made two birdies, which was

513
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,119
Speaker 4: one more than the rest of the entire field combined,

514
00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:28,840
Speaker 4: won by seven shots, beat the kid in the last place,

515
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,960
Speaker 4: poor kid who shot a sixty seven.

516
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 2: Beat him by thirty shots on the back nine there,

517
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:34,280
Speaker 2: we was just.

518
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 5: Throwing that kid under the bus. Part of an accountant

519
00:23:37,680 --> 00:23:38,800
Speaker 5: or something now.

520
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 4: Part of a stretch where Scotty or excuse me, Scott.

521
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 4: Alexander Scheffler won twelve out of thirteen that summer, but

522
00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,560
Speaker 4: it was pell in comparison to what he did as

523
00:23:51,560 --> 00:23:52,919
Speaker 4: an eight year old. As an eight year old, he

524
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:55,080
Speaker 4: had won fourteen times in a row. So if I

525
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 4: had been there as a reporter when he was nine

526
00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,919
Speaker 4: years old and winning that event, I'd say, hey, Scott,

527
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,679
Speaker 4: you know you're playing pretty well right now, but not

528
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 4: quite as good as you were when you were eight.

529
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,760
Speaker 2: What's gone wrong with your swing right now? And you know,

530
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,119
Speaker 2: i'd make the kid cry. And you know, I'm sure.

531
00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 4: And Scheffler looks like he's forty eight years old right now,

532
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 4: being a twenty four year old.

533
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 2: I'm sure back when he was nine.

534
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,400
Speaker 4: He looked like he was eighteen and he probably could

535
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:19,080
Speaker 4: have just like stomped on me at the time.

536
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 5: Sure, I'm sure there were some parents questioning whether or

537
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,200
Speaker 5: not this nine year old who just carted two birdies

538
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 5: was was really on the up and up. I'll give

539
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 5: you a quick my own Texas Junior Golf anecdote. When

540
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:31,879
Speaker 5: I quickly learned that I was not going to be

541
00:24:32,240 --> 00:24:35,560
Speaker 5: a professional golfer, so I would get my tailkicked in

542
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:38,879
Speaker 5: Houston Golf Association events all the time, finished like, you know,

543
00:24:39,040 --> 00:24:41,159
Speaker 5: middle of the pack at best. I went out one

544
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,320
Speaker 5: day broke eighty in a tournament for the first time

545
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:46,479
Speaker 5: in my life. I was like thirteen years old. I

546
00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:49,280
Speaker 5: was so fired up, thinking I played so well. I

547
00:24:49,359 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 5: came in and Bronson Bragoon, who's now in the PGA Tour,

548
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 5: who was his older brother, was on my Little League

549
00:24:56,320 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 5: All Star team. But Bronson two years younger than me,

550
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:01,120
Speaker 5: I chat like seven. I was on top of the world.

551
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 5: He showed like sixty two, like it was God.

552
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:05,400
Speaker 3: I came in and saw.

553
00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 5: That, and I was like, I don't want to play

554
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,960
Speaker 5: golf anymore. I'm going to go try to be like

555
00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 5: the right guard for the football team or something like.

556
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:12,359
Speaker 3: This is a waste of my time.

557
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 5: So anyway, that's he was the equivalent of Scott Alexander Scheffler.

558
00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 2: That's really good Bragoon in the field.

559
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 4: By the way, this week, if you'd like to pick

560
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,000
Speaker 4: on j Ray's nemesis, put him on your betting card there.

561
00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,159
Speaker 4: So I did a little research on not necessarily on

562
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:31,280
Speaker 4: TVC Craig Ranch. But what I found I wrote about

563
00:25:31,320 --> 00:25:33,639
Speaker 4: in my column this week, my preview piece on the

564
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:37,119
Speaker 4: Action Network Justin, is that nine times in the past

565
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 4: five seasons, there's been either a new PGA Tour event

566
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 4: or a PGA Tour event that's moved to a new location.

567
00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 2: And these are not one offs.

568
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:49,120
Speaker 4: These are not events that are part of a rotation

569
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 4: and go to a different course every once in a while.

570
00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:56,359
Speaker 4: These are ones that ostensibly, at least at the time,

571
00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 4: were locked into a specific course on a regular basis.

572
00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,879
Speaker 4: And the reason why I sort of backed it up

573
00:26:03,920 --> 00:26:06,840
Speaker 4: like that is because I think there's a major difference

574
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 4: between going to a course for some regularity in what's

575
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,760
Speaker 4: ostensibly annually, as opposed to just coming there for a

576
00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:16,200
Speaker 4: one off.

577
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:17,720
Speaker 2: Because what I found.

578
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:22,520
Speaker 4: In those nine events, the winning score four times was

579
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:26,639
Speaker 4: at least twenty one under par, and in fact was

580
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 4: an average of seventeen point eight strokes under par. The

581
00:26:30,119 --> 00:26:33,439
Speaker 4: field average in those nine events on four occasions was

582
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:37,480
Speaker 4: sub seventy for a field average, which is ridiculous, and

583
00:26:37,560 --> 00:26:42,359
Speaker 4: the field actually averaged seventy point six two in those

584
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:47,360
Speaker 4: nine events, meaning great scoring additions in these particular cases,

585
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 4: and that is not just a coincidence. I will give

586
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 4: you a few reasons for this. The PGA Tour, I believe,

587
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 4: and especially in a tournament that's a week before a

588
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 4: major championship, the best players don't want to get their

589
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:02,520
Speaker 4: butts kicked before a week that could indeed kick their butts.

590
00:27:03,080 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 4: And so this has nothing to do with coddled PGA

591
00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 4: Tour players and they need easier conditions. Just if you

592
00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 4: set it up a little too hard this week and

593
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 4: the wind starts blowing and you're really getting at these players,

594
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:17,560
Speaker 4: they don't want to come back the next year, especially

595
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,159
Speaker 4: the week before major, and so I think you almost

596
00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:21,400
Speaker 4: have to set it up easier.

597
00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 2: You have to.

598
00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 4: Make it so that the top players want to come back.

599
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 4: You'll get a good field the next year, so that

600
00:27:30,359 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 4: when the players talk, and they all talk, trust me,

601
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:35,359
Speaker 4: there's not a whole lot to do when you're walking

602
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,800
Speaker 4: down the fairways with a couple of playing partners on

603
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 4: a Thursday morning and so they say, hey, I was

604
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:42,120
Speaker 4: last week. You know, would you think of the course?

605
00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:43,280
Speaker 4: What do you think of the venue, And so these

606
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:46,200
Speaker 4: guys will all talk to each other. If they're glowing reports,

607
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 4: they will get players to come back. And so how

608
00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,639
Speaker 4: do we use all of this to our advantage this week?

609
00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:55,400
Speaker 4: Great question, what I think is about to ask for guys.

610
00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:58,000
Speaker 2: Yes, thank you. We're looking for guys who can make

611
00:27:58,000 --> 00:27:58,919
Speaker 2: a lot of birdies. Now.

612
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:01,720
Speaker 4: Granted, Bryson de Shambo was in the field this week,

613
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:04,720
Speaker 4: Bryson makes a lot of birdie's. Okay, we get that,

614
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 4: you know Jordan Spieth birdies and bunches. We get that

615
00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:10,639
Speaker 4: you can dig a little deeper and I'll get some

616
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,880
Speaker 4: of the names that I found. But I think birdie average, birdier,

617
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 4: better percentage rounds in the sixties this year. I think

618
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:19,080
Speaker 4: those are all stats that I have looked at in

619
00:28:19,119 --> 00:28:21,640
Speaker 4: my preview this week and I think could be relevant

620
00:28:21,640 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 4: for this week's festivities at Craig Ranch.

621
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,359
Speaker 5: What do you think if I could ask you quick

622
00:28:26,440 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 5: like I've put on your reporter hat. And maybe this

623
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:31,920
Speaker 5: is a little speculative, but the last two years when

624
00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:34,199
Speaker 5: this term was at Trinity Forest, but I believe it

625
00:28:34,200 --> 00:28:36,720
Speaker 5: was the name of the venue, yep, players went crazy

626
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:40,520
Speaker 5: low like it was. Scott Pearcy did not make a

627
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 5: bogie over seventy two holes and he finished runner up

628
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 5: the last time that tournament was held there. So my

629
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:49,920
Speaker 5: question is, is there a need to try to maybe

630
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 5: make this golf course a little bit tougher in that sense?

631
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,080
Speaker 5: Is that does that ever come into the setup or

632
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 5: do you think what you said maybe weighs a little

633
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,719
Speaker 5: bit heavier and that you want guys to be happy

634
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 5: and come in and you know, come back to this

635
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 5: new venue.

636
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:09,520
Speaker 4: It's really difficult for a committee or for a tournament

637
00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:13,040
Speaker 4: official or whoever it might be to look at a

638
00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 4: golf course on a Monday afternoon and say.

639
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 2: Hey, if we keep it the way it.

640
00:29:17,480 --> 00:29:20,560
Speaker 4: Is, fourteen under is gonna win this week. I mean,

641
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 4: we asked players all the time. I've been asking players

642
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 4: for years.

643
00:29:23,840 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 2: You know.

644
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:28,080
Speaker 4: I still remember Jerry Kelly, who was a Wisconsin native,

645
00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 4: asking him.

646
00:29:28,560 --> 00:29:31,560
Speaker 2: About whistling straight to the four PGA and he goes,

647
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,520
Speaker 2: fifteen over is going to win this thing. It's gonna

648
00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:37,080
Speaker 2: be nuts. And of course it wasn't anything close that

649
00:29:37,160 --> 00:29:37,719
Speaker 2: I was under par.

650
00:29:38,080 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 5: And I remember I've been at two different US Opens

651
00:29:40,840 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 5: where I was working at for TV, and both times

652
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:48,240
Speaker 5: a major champion said before Marion, he said, these guys

653
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,720
Speaker 5: are gonna rip this apart. Thirteen under is gonna win?

654
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 5: Of course, like Rows wanted like two over par, and

655
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,840
Speaker 5: then Aaron Hills when it was super long and the

656
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 5: rough looked like from a distance, it was like, man,

657
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 5: this is gonna be really a different major champion on

658
00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 5: a different television network was like.

659
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,160
Speaker 3: These guys are they're.

660
00:30:06,800 --> 00:30:09,200
Speaker 5: Gonna struggle here? They're not gonna struggle to make birdies.

661
00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:11,200
Speaker 5: And it was the lowest score in US Open in history.

662
00:30:11,280 --> 00:30:14,760
Speaker 5: So even those with just wealth of information can be

663
00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:15,680
Speaker 5: thrown off there give me.

664
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,520
Speaker 4: So the answer is nobody knows, and especially you throw

665
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 4: in like win conditions, like hey, it was supposed to

666
00:30:22,040 --> 00:30:25,120
Speaker 4: bowe fifteen miles an hour, It blew thirty five miles

667
00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,760
Speaker 4: an hour. We set up the course moderately hard, and

668
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:29,440
Speaker 4: all of a sudden it turned into a US Open

669
00:30:29,440 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 4: out there. And again, there are reasons why the tournament officials,

670
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,000
Speaker 4: why the PGA Tour would not want to make it

671
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:37,760
Speaker 4: so difficult on the players that they don't want to

672
00:30:37,760 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 4: come back, because quite frankly, they need to have an

673
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 4: event with some players next year, and you know, if

674
00:30:42,960 --> 00:30:45,240
Speaker 4: they alienate all of the best players and they don't

675
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,760
Speaker 4: come back, next year, they don't really have an event,

676
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:50,000
Speaker 4: and if they have an event, it's not one that

677
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:53,120
Speaker 4: anyone's watching. You're you're killing your own TV ratings, You're

678
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:58,800
Speaker 4: killing your own TV revenue, the ad revenue, tickets, sponsor value.

679
00:30:58,560 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 2: All that stuff.

680
00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 4: A whole lot of reasons, business reasons why they will

681
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 4: air on the side of caution this week.

682
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 2: You look back to what was the first.

683
00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,360
Speaker 4: Year of the Greenbrier when they'd never been there before.

684
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 4: Stuart Appleby won that golf tournament shooting a fifty nine

685
00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 4: in the final round.

686
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 2: It was just it was too easy.

687
00:31:18,680 --> 00:31:20,239
Speaker 4: But once you get into the week, you can't look

688
00:31:20,280 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 4: at it and say, you know what, we got to

689
00:31:22,080 --> 00:31:24,120
Speaker 4: make it tougher. It is what it is at that point,

690
00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 4: and so I don't expect anything different this week. It

691
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 4: might not be twenty eight under par winning this golf tournament,

692
00:31:32,360 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 4: but I don't think it's gonna be eight under par either.

693
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 5: Yeah, the win, and when you're in suburban Dallas or

694
00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:41,480
Speaker 5: North Texas in general, that win variance is a big deal,

695
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,400
Speaker 5: right because you know they're going to set it up

696
00:31:43,400 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 5: to where it's not unplayable. When you've got twenty five

697
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 5: thirty mile an hour wins, which can happen in Central and.

698
00:31:48,080 --> 00:31:48,960
Speaker 2: In North Texas.

699
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 5: But at the same time they get some rain showers

700
00:31:50,920 --> 00:31:53,240
Speaker 5: in the morning and there's some heavy air there and

701
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:55,360
Speaker 5: there's no wind, then you know guys are gonna go

702
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:57,480
Speaker 5: pen seeking. So just to give you an example of

703
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,680
Speaker 5: the winning scores at the Buyer Nelson Championship twenty eleven

704
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:03,720
Speaker 5: three under one and the last time it was held

705
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 5: twenty three under one.

706
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:06,960
Speaker 3: So that gives you an idea of the kind of

707
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 3: gap that you can kind of work with.

708
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 5: They did have a couple of different corn Ferry Tour

709
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:13,880
Speaker 5: championships here two.

710
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 3: Thousand and eight and twenty twelve.

711
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:17,560
Speaker 5: I don't glean a lot from it, but I thought

712
00:32:17,560 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 5: it was fun to look at the leaderboard and go

713
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 5: back and check out some of the names. I don't

714
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:23,560
Speaker 5: take Once again, I take no gambling.

715
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 3: Information from this.

716
00:32:24,080 --> 00:32:26,520
Speaker 5: But Mark Leishman in two thousand and eight finished seventh,

717
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 5: Web Stimson finished eleventh, and then in twenty twelve James

718
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 5: han was the runner up, Adam Hadwin finished third, Russell

719
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 5: Henley finished type for sixth. So just some interesting names

720
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 5: that are relevant in the game today that have been

721
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:40,239
Speaker 5: on that golf course before. Now of those guys are

722
00:32:40,240 --> 00:32:41,840
Speaker 5: in the field this week. But I thought that was

723
00:32:41,920 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 5: kind of interesting. Leishman is, but like, I don't think

724
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 5: Web is this week.

725
00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:48,240
Speaker 2: So now now Web's still nursing some injuries.

726
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 5: By the way, you didn't want to come out, Yeah,

727
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 5: we didn't need to come back and relive as typher

728
00:32:52,600 --> 00:32:54,920
Speaker 5: eleventh at the eight Corn Ferry Championship.

729
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,400
Speaker 4: And I will apologize to you and those who watched

730
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 4: the gimme last week. I made some subtle allusions to

731
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:05,760
Speaker 4: Web Simpson perhaps not going out there on Thursday and playing.

732
00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 4: I didn't necessarily know at the time, but I had

733
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 4: gotten some off the record information at the time saying, hey,

734
00:33:11,520 --> 00:33:12,640
Speaker 4: whim might be injured.

735
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:16,920
Speaker 2: Okay, what can I do with that? Well? Really nothing, okay, cool? Thanks.

736
00:33:17,200 --> 00:33:21,200
Speaker 4: So I knew that to some extent he wasn't feeling

737
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:23,080
Speaker 4: one hundred percent. I had no idea that he was

738
00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:25,760
Speaker 4: going to withdraw. I just knew that there's something. And

739
00:33:26,400 --> 00:33:28,240
Speaker 4: plenty of times over the years we've heard a player

740
00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:30,240
Speaker 4: is not one hundred percent, they go tee it up

741
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 4: and they go win the golf tournament by five and say, yeah,

742
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 4: you know, I was really banged up. And so I

743
00:33:35,040 --> 00:33:37,520
Speaker 4: just concentrate on swinging the way I could swing, and

744
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 4: then I won the golf tournament. You know, Patrick Padrick

745
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:43,400
Speaker 4: Harrington back in the I believe seven PGA is a

746
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:44,160
Speaker 4: prime example.

747
00:33:44,160 --> 00:33:45,920
Speaker 2: I always look at that as one where he almost

748
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:49,440
Speaker 2: withdrew and then won the golf tournament. So uh, I

749
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 2: mean that's and I tried to help you.

750
00:33:53,320 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 5: You definitely let your boy me say that Web Simpson

751
00:33:57,520 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 5: was the best bet of the week. You let me

752
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,200
Speaker 5: say that with a right face while you have that

753
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 5: information in your back back.

754
00:34:02,880 --> 00:34:05,040
Speaker 3: And I'm not ready to forgive you yet. I will

755
00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 3: in time.

756
00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 2: I will in time.

757
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:07,680
Speaker 3: I'm not ready yet.

758
00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 2: Here's the deal.

759
00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:11,520
Speaker 4: You did better with your Web Simpson bet that I

760
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:14,279
Speaker 4: did with by Harold Varner. Bet Harold Varner played and

761
00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,720
Speaker 4: missed the cut, and I made zero dollars on everything

762
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 4: I bet on Harold Varner. You got a pre tea

763
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 4: time withdrawal from web Simpson and got all your money back.

764
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:27,120
Speaker 4: I would trade you at an insight. Maybe it was

765
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 4: the best bet of the week.

766
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,719
Speaker 6: This is Action Network podcast producer Matt Mitchell here to

767
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:38,120
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784
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,960
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785
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786
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787
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788
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789
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790
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791
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792
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795
00:35:57,280 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 6: back to the show.

796
00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 4: Let's start looking down these odds for this week here

797
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,520
Speaker 4: at the AT and T Byron Nelson. Dustin Johnson, by

798
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:10,719
Speaker 4: the way, a late withdrawal. By the way, are you

799
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:16,200
Speaker 4: does this make you any more pessimistic about Dustin Johnson

800
00:36:16,239 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 4: going into next week's major championship, the fact that he

801
00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,280
Speaker 4: has withdrawn with an apparent knee injury. By the way

802
00:36:22,440 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 4: his statement started, it is with deepest regret that I

803
00:36:26,520 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 4: must withdraw. I can almost hear Dustin Johnson saying those

804
00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:32,400
Speaker 4: exact words almost almost.

805
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:33,360
Speaker 2: Yeah.

806
00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,480
Speaker 5: Maybe it gives me a little bit of caution, but

807
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 5: I mean, look, this fiance posted a video of him

808
00:36:39,080 --> 00:36:41,000
Speaker 5: doing a backflip off a yacht last.

809
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:45,359
Speaker 2: Week out of events in home state South Carolina week.

810
00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 4: Let's look at bet MGM's odds for this week as

811
00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:52,479
Speaker 4: of right now, we're speaking five forty three Eastern Time,

812
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:57,640
Speaker 4: Monday afternoon. John Rahm plus seven hundred and seven to one.

813
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:00,000
Speaker 4: He is your favorite, coming off a miss cut last week.

814
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:03,759
Speaker 4: Bryson Deshambo thought he missed the cut, and it's nice

815
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:04,200
Speaker 4: to have.

816
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:05,120
Speaker 2: A debt Jets account.

817
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 4: You just top on the plane, hop back on the

818
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,239
Speaker 4: plane and get there for your third round de time,

819
00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 4: finish in T nine and you're able to pay for

820
00:37:11,760 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 4: all that guess that you used up. He is eight

821
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:18,000
Speaker 4: to one. Jordan Speeds ten to one, Daniel Berger fourteen.

822
00:37:18,040 --> 00:37:22,160
Speaker 4: Brooks Keepka coming back off that lengthy absence, he is eighteen.

823
00:37:22,280 --> 00:37:25,439
Speaker 4: Along with Matt Fitzpatrick, a decie playing his first event

824
00:37:25,480 --> 00:37:28,920
Speaker 4: since winning that Masters thing, he is twenty to one.

825
00:37:28,880 --> 00:37:32,399
Speaker 2: As is Scottie Scheffler. Will's alatauris twenty five to one.

826
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:35,000
Speaker 2: Mark Leishman at thirty see with Kim thirty three.

827
00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:37,839
Speaker 4: Sam Burns in his first start after winning the vals

828
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:39,719
Speaker 4: Bar is thirty five to one. Then a whole bunch

829
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:43,400
Speaker 4: of guys after that. I do think that right around

830
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 4: that sixty five to seventy to one. There's a pretty

831
00:37:46,160 --> 00:37:49,480
Speaker 4: big cutoff, as you alluded to earlier, justin.

832
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:51,400
Speaker 2: What are you looking at at the top of this board?

833
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 2: Who do you like?

834
00:37:52,360 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 3: Well?

835
00:37:52,520 --> 00:37:54,920
Speaker 5: I had all these notes ready as of about an

836
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 5: hour ago on why I like Dustin Johnson this week,

837
00:37:57,640 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 5: but you know, apparently that's all out the windows, so

838
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,080
Speaker 5: you got to adjust. You had to call the audible

839
00:38:03,080 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 5: on the fly. Rom is the rightful favorite, I think.

840
00:38:06,320 --> 00:38:08,920
Speaker 5: I mean he missed the cut last week at Wells Fargo.

841
00:38:08,960 --> 00:38:11,840
Speaker 5: That doesn't worry me too much, in particular to the

842
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 5: last three times he missed a cut. He followed it

843
00:38:13,719 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 5: up with a win and a third place finish. His

844
00:38:16,200 --> 00:38:17,920
Speaker 5: talent is going to carry him every where he goes,

845
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:21,520
Speaker 5: and I wouldn't be too too discouraged by that miscut.

846
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:24,120
Speaker 5: It's really difficult to pick against Jordan Speif with the

847
00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:26,279
Speaker 5: way he's played over the last couple of months. My

848
00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:29,760
Speaker 5: favorite speak number going into the week. Since twenty fifteen,

849
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,279
Speaker 5: Jordan Speith is one hundred and sixty under par in

850
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 5: PGA Tour events in Texas, fifty six shots better than

851
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,200
Speaker 5: any other player in that spam. So I know he

852
00:38:40,239 --> 00:38:42,200
Speaker 5: plays more than pretty much anybody in Texas. I know

853
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,120
Speaker 5: he kind of feels the obligation to play a lot,

854
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,480
Speaker 5: but he's among the leaders in birdie average and scoring

855
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,920
Speaker 5: average in Texas events. The best number though about Jordan's

856
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:53,279
Speaker 5: form twenty six of his last twenty nine rounds on the.

857
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:56,439
Speaker 3: PGA Tour, he's gained strokes with his approach play.

858
00:38:56,719 --> 00:39:00,120
Speaker 5: I mean, that is a awesome number for him and

859
00:39:00,200 --> 00:39:03,839
Speaker 5: something that's gonna like He's really interesting, not just this week,

860
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,000
Speaker 5: but next week, and I know he's got It's really

861
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:08,960
Speaker 5: the first time in a couple of years where he

862
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:11,640
Speaker 5: goes into the PGA and you're really thinking about him

863
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 5: closing out the Grand Slam. It really hasn't been there

864
00:39:14,320 --> 00:39:18,839
Speaker 5: probably since what maybe twenty seventeen at Kuail Hollow was

865
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 5: probably the best last chance that he went into the

866
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:23,320
Speaker 5: PGA and we thought it was a realistic shot.

867
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 3: Matt Fitzpatrick's really interesting to me this week.

868
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,319
Speaker 5: It remains to be seen, like how big of a

869
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:32,239
Speaker 5: benefit distance is going to be, but he drove the

870
00:39:32,239 --> 00:39:35,120
Speaker 5: ball incredibly accurately and was very effective with his driver

871
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 5: at Harbordtown. Played well that week, and as I said earlier,

872
00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:40,760
Speaker 5: he's the leader in strokes game putting on the PGA

873
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:41,960
Speaker 5: Tour over the last two months.

874
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,280
Speaker 4: Going back to Jordan'speth, by the way, with the chance

875
00:39:45,360 --> 00:39:49,719
Speaker 4: to cash in the career Grand Slam ticket. Isn't it

876
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 4: funny that we hear all about Rory at the Masters

877
00:39:53,080 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 4: like all the time. I mean, I heard something about

878
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:59,040
Speaker 4: Rory at the Masters yesterday after he won at Quail Hollow,

879
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 4: looking ahead eleven months and yet, oh, by the way,

880
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:05,960
Speaker 4: Jordan Speith can win next week at Qiua and become

881
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:08,720
Speaker 4: the sixth never to claim the career Grand Slams.

882
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,360
Speaker 3: The romanticism of Augusta, right, it's romantic. We always go

883
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 3: back to the same place.

884
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 5: The PGA Championship is at a different spot every year,

885
00:40:16,440 --> 00:40:18,480
Speaker 5: so maybe that's part of it. But you're right, I

886
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 5: feel like we're gonna hear about its, like Phil with

887
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:20,560
Speaker 5: the US Open.

888
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:21,160
Speaker 3: We're gonna hear.

889
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:23,960
Speaker 5: About it until if it happens, and then if it

890
00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 5: doesn't or whatever.

891
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:26,400
Speaker 3: You know, it's going to be part of the narrative

892
00:40:26,440 --> 00:40:26,840
Speaker 3: no matter what.

893
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think scrambling is gonna be very big next week,

894
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:32,920
Speaker 4: which is a big reason why I like Speth.

895
00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:35,600
Speaker 2: That's what I mentioned Leishman earlier. Leishman can get up

896
00:40:35,640 --> 00:40:36,799
Speaker 2: and down from a garbage can.

897
00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 4: So I think the same thing, of course about speF

898
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,560
Speaker 4: and so like Speifth this week when I talk about

899
00:40:41,560 --> 00:40:45,319
Speaker 4: having birdies and bunches being available on this golf course.

900
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,200
Speaker 4: Speith is a guy that makes birdies and bunches, and

901
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:50,960
Speaker 4: so I like him. It's it's hard not to like

902
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:53,960
Speaker 4: Rahm or de Sham, but I just this feels like

903
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 4: one of those weeks where yes, one of the favorites

904
00:40:57,719 --> 00:40:58,839
Speaker 4: could win, but it could just.

905
00:40:58,800 --> 00:41:00,000
Speaker 2: Be at it something out of nowhere.

906
00:41:00,040 --> 00:41:01,760
Speaker 4: I mean, I get it was a different golf course,

907
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:04,279
Speaker 4: but some Kang a couple of years ago won this

908
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:05,000
Speaker 4: golf tournament.

909
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 2: Some kang Okay, fine, you know it just it could

910
00:41:09,560 --> 00:41:10,320
Speaker 2: be one of those.

911
00:41:10,400 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 4: My favorite outright playing I don't mind Matt Fitzpatrick, who

912
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:14,760
Speaker 4: you mentioned.

913
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 2: I don't dislike that at all.

914
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 4: My favorite outright play from the top tier is Scotti.

915
00:41:19,480 --> 00:41:23,400
Speaker 4: Scheffler mentioned him earlier as Scott Alexander Scheffler. He has

916
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,000
Speaker 4: matured into Scotti. He is a very good player. If

917
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 4: we're going to get a first time winner, the odds

918
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:31,800
Speaker 4: would show that it would be either well, Fitzpatrick hasn't

919
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 4: done it either it would be fits or himself or

920
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 4: will zlatoris a bunch of pretty good options there near

921
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:39,520
Speaker 4: the top of the board. But I do think Scotty

922
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:41,959
Speaker 4: back in his home state, and of course he knows

923
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:42,760
Speaker 4: so well because.

924
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 2: He's been playing events there since he was nine years old.

925
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 2: I kid about that.

926
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:49,480
Speaker 4: I'm not picking him because he won an event there

927
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:52,600
Speaker 4: for nine holes back when he was nine, but the

928
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:54,839
Speaker 4: fact that at least he's seen the place before, which

929
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:56,719
Speaker 4: is more than you can say about most players. I

930
00:41:56,760 --> 00:42:00,360
Speaker 4: do think that helps just familiarity and comfortability when you

931
00:42:00,360 --> 00:42:01,719
Speaker 4: get to a course this week.

932
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:04,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, especially I mean it's an event where what one

933
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:06,640
Speaker 5: hundred guys are going to be seeing it for the

934
00:42:06,640 --> 00:42:09,239
Speaker 5: first time, maybe more. I mean just any kind of

935
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:12,400
Speaker 5: incremental advantage you might have in terms of pre tournament

936
00:42:12,440 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 5: prep and just what to expect on the golf course.

937
00:42:14,719 --> 00:42:16,439
Speaker 5: I mean, it's gonna be you gotta think it's gonna

938
00:42:16,440 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 5: be a little bit beneficial. So you see some names

939
00:42:18,760 --> 00:42:21,960
Speaker 5: in the middle, like in the middle mid range, like

940
00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:24,440
Speaker 5: in the top twenty in terms of odds, Doug gimm

941
00:42:24,480 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 5: sixty six to one. Is that more like a course

942
00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 5: knowledge like university of Texas.

943
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:31,800
Speaker 2: He went to Texas. That's there.

944
00:42:32,560 --> 00:42:34,959
Speaker 3: He's sixty six to one, and Matt Coocher is eighty

945
00:42:35,000 --> 00:42:35,799
Speaker 3: to one. I don't know.

946
00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,080
Speaker 5: I mean, it's just kind of an odd number on

947
00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:41,200
Speaker 5: the board right there. But yeah, No, anytime there's any

948
00:42:41,239 --> 00:42:43,920
Speaker 5: kind of incremental value that you can grab from some

949
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:45,960
Speaker 5: course history, I think there's gonna be a little bit

950
00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:46,400
Speaker 5: of way to that.

951
00:42:46,480 --> 00:42:50,080
Speaker 2: This week, Keith Mitchell is eighty to one. I like

952
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:51,040
Speaker 2: Keith Mitchell a lot.

953
00:42:51,160 --> 00:42:54,000
Speaker 4: We'll start dipping down into some of these, uh, some

954
00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:56,759
Speaker 4: of these guys. I'll go back to guys that can

955
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 4: make birdies. And so I looked at and all this

956
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 4: stuff as my preview at Actionnetwork dot com and on

957
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:06,480
Speaker 4: the Action Network app. But I look at guys birdie average.

958
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,840
Speaker 4: Harry Higgs is not playing great golf. Twenty fourth on

959
00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:12,440
Speaker 4: the PGA Tour in birdie average this year. That surprised me.

960
00:43:12,760 --> 00:43:15,960
Speaker 4: Tom Hogy thirty third on the PGA Tours, also by

961
00:43:16,000 --> 00:43:19,480
Speaker 4: the way, fourteenth in first round scoring average. I like

962
00:43:19,600 --> 00:43:21,879
Speaker 4: him for a one hundred to one first round leader.

963
00:43:21,920 --> 00:43:24,040
Speaker 4: Bet Sebastian Muno's thirty seventh.

964
00:43:23,800 --> 00:43:24,600
Speaker 2: In birdie average.

965
00:43:24,800 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 4: Going to give you some other names Bernier better percentage.

966
00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:30,279
Speaker 4: This sort of mirrors Birdie average, as you would think.

967
00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 4: But some of the names that aren't too far off

968
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:37,239
Speaker 4: the base Anerbaan Lahiri, Dug Gim, Patton Kazaire, and then

969
00:43:37,239 --> 00:43:40,239
Speaker 4: I looked at the number of rounds in the sixties,

970
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 4: because look, you're gonna have to shoot probably four rounds

971
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:45,680
Speaker 4: in the sixties if you're gonna win. So I want

972
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 4: guys that aren't afraid to go low. This week again,

973
00:43:48,600 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 4: Patton Kazaire jumps out.

974
00:43:50,280 --> 00:43:51,600
Speaker 2: He's sixth on the PGA Tour.

975
00:43:51,680 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 4: Now, granted, this is not percentage of rounds that are

976
00:43:54,600 --> 00:43:57,239
Speaker 4: in the sixties, just total rounds. So the more you play,

977
00:43:57,280 --> 00:44:01,120
Speaker 4: the more chances you have. But Patton Kazaire has posted

978
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:03,400
Speaker 4: rounds in the sixties and more than forty percent of

979
00:44:03,400 --> 00:44:05,800
Speaker 4: his rounds this season, which is really impressive.

980
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 2: He's six on the BJ Tour.

981
00:44:07,760 --> 00:44:10,160
Speaker 4: Other guys playing this week that are up there that

982
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:14,520
Speaker 4: you might not think would be up there, Carlos Ortiz, Sepstraca,

983
00:44:14,560 --> 00:44:17,120
Speaker 4: I like him a little bit, Sam Burns, a decie,

984
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:19,440
Speaker 4: Nate Lashley, Andrew Putnam.

985
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:21,200
Speaker 2: So I'm giving you a lot of names.

986
00:44:20,920 --> 00:44:23,400
Speaker 4: There that are sort of down the board, guys that

987
00:44:23,760 --> 00:44:25,759
Speaker 4: can make birdies, guys that can go low.

988
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:28,000
Speaker 2: Where are you looking a little bit further down the board.

989
00:44:28,360 --> 00:44:30,880
Speaker 5: First of all, it wouldn't be an Action Network podcast

990
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:32,839
Speaker 5: without you mentioning the name Sepstraca.

991
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 2: It wouldn't.

992
00:44:33,719 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: I mean, that's that is your guy.

993
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:36,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, idea, but.

994
00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:39,920
Speaker 3: You mentioned one of the guys I'm really high of.

995
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 5: So over the last decade, one player has averaged more

996
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 5: birdies per round in the state of Texas than anybody,

997
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:50,840
Speaker 5: Sebastian Munos. He is the highest birdie average in the

998
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,239
Speaker 5: PGA Tour events in the state of Texas. Might say

999
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:55,839
Speaker 5: a little bit to something about, you know, course fit,

1000
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:57,200
Speaker 5: maybe playing in the wind.

1001
00:44:57,440 --> 00:44:58,759
Speaker 3: Maybe that's something he's good at.

1002
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 5: But he's got a He had a tie for ninth

1003
00:45:01,160 --> 00:45:03,360
Speaker 5: at San Antonio and the Star right before the Masters.

1004
00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:05,440
Speaker 5: He's coming off back to back miss cuts. But I'm

1005
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:07,120
Speaker 5: not too worried about that. I think that actually kind

1006
00:45:07,120 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 5: of helps his value him being under the radar.

1007
00:45:09,400 --> 00:45:10,879
Speaker 2: Now, I want to ask you something real quick.

1008
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 4: Yet, being a native Textan yourself and still living in

1009
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:15,960
Speaker 4: the state of Texas, I would have thought that you,

1010
00:45:16,160 --> 00:45:19,120
Speaker 4: of all people, would say, Look, Texas isn't like this

1011
00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:21,600
Speaker 4: little place that's got a bunch of golf courses within

1012
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:23,960
Speaker 4: like ten miles of each other, and so if you

1013
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 4: play well on one, you play well on the other.

1014
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:29,919
Speaker 4: Like Sebastian Munos has gone from Houston to San Antonio

1015
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 4: to Austin, to Dallas to Fort Worth in combining all

1016
00:45:33,120 --> 00:45:34,440
Speaker 4: those stats, all of which.

1017
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:37,360
Speaker 2: Are completely different golf courses. What are we supposed to

1018
00:45:37,360 --> 00:45:39,680
Speaker 2: think when we see a stat And you mentioned that of.

1019
00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,359
Speaker 4: Jordan's Feith earlier, he's got a really good record, much

1020
00:45:42,400 --> 00:45:44,920
Speaker 4: better than anybody else in the state of Texas over

1021
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:46,480
Speaker 4: the last handful of years.

1022
00:45:47,040 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 2: Can we put them all together?

1023
00:45:48,560 --> 00:45:52,759
Speaker 4: Are the Texas courses a correlation enough to each other

1024
00:45:53,120 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 4: that we can group them all together?

1025
00:45:54,880 --> 00:45:57,200
Speaker 2: Or should we not really look at that as much?

1026
00:45:57,400 --> 00:45:59,480
Speaker 5: I would take it with an enormous grain of salt.

1027
00:45:59,680 --> 00:46:02,920
Speaker 5: I will say is that there are probably some course similarities,

1028
00:46:03,400 --> 00:46:05,920
Speaker 5: especially when you look at history and the Dallas Fort

1029
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:08,839
Speaker 5: Worth area type golf courses. But like you said, like

1030
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,040
Speaker 5: Lubbock in Houston don't have a whole lot in common

1031
00:46:12,080 --> 00:46:16,239
Speaker 5: with each other from a topographical or weather standpoint, There's

1032
00:46:16,239 --> 00:46:19,240
Speaker 5: not a whole lot going on there. They're ten hours apart,

1033
00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 5: like it's you know, it's they're two very different places,

1034
00:46:22,440 --> 00:46:25,720
Speaker 5: but I can't. I will say though, that there probably

1035
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:29,840
Speaker 5: are enough rounds in similar type conditions, whether it's weather,

1036
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 5: time a year for a lot of these, like the

1037
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:37,480
Speaker 5: tournaments in May Colonial Byron Nelson. You know, San Antonio

1038
00:46:37,560 --> 00:46:39,239
Speaker 5: is a little bit earlier on the schedule, but there's

1039
00:46:39,280 --> 00:46:40,400
Speaker 5: some correlation there.

1040
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:41,279
Speaker 3: I can't.

1041
00:46:41,320 --> 00:46:42,880
Speaker 5: There's a little bit of a factor there, So I

1042
00:46:42,880 --> 00:46:45,399
Speaker 5: wouldn't go, oh, it's not like it's the number one

1043
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 5: thing I'm looking at, But on a golf course that

1044
00:46:47,520 --> 00:46:49,520
Speaker 5: we have no previous rounds at, you've got to try

1045
00:46:49,560 --> 00:46:52,360
Speaker 5: to find something to try to draw some trends in together.

1046
00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:55,120
Speaker 5: Another name who I think is really interesting a guy

1047
00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:58,760
Speaker 5: who got the less publicized special exemption into the PGA

1048
00:46:58,880 --> 00:46:59,960
Speaker 5: Championship when Ricky.

1049
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:00,560
Speaker 3: Found got it.

1050
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:03,560
Speaker 5: An American named John Catlan who's won three times on

1051
00:47:03,600 --> 00:47:07,400
Speaker 5: the European Tours since September. In his last three starts worldwide,

1052
00:47:07,440 --> 00:47:09,879
Speaker 5: he's got a win and a top five in both

1053
00:47:09,920 --> 00:47:12,160
Speaker 5: of those tournaments. On the European Tour, he ranked in

1054
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,680
Speaker 5: the top five in both strokes game tea degree and

1055
00:47:14,760 --> 00:47:16,560
Speaker 5: strokes gained approach. That was in his win at the

1056
00:47:16,560 --> 00:47:19,200
Speaker 5: Austrian Open and a top five finish in the Canary

1057
00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:20,759
Speaker 5: Islands College.

1058
00:47:20,400 --> 00:47:22,440
Speaker 3: Golf in New Mexico from California.

1059
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:24,920
Speaker 5: This environment's not going to be too weird to him,

1060
00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:27,120
Speaker 5: even though he's a global player and has been playing

1061
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:29,680
Speaker 5: a lot in Europe. He's kind of I'm not going

1062
00:47:29,760 --> 00:47:32,680
Speaker 5: to call him following the Koepka model because the talent

1063
00:47:32,719 --> 00:47:35,839
Speaker 5: probably isn't at that level, but he's following a kind

1064
00:47:35,840 --> 00:47:39,120
Speaker 5: of blueprint. Build yourself up in the world ranking, take

1065
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:40,919
Speaker 5: advantage of the opportunities.

1066
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:41,240
Speaker 3: When you get it.

1067
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:44,000
Speaker 5: It's kind of an interesting and interesting route to take.

1068
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 5: The brooks Keka is most famous for it. But John

1069
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 5: Catlin's a really interesting name. This week I'm going to

1070
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:50,880
Speaker 5: probably play him for a top twenty, and then my

1071
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 5: most interesting name on this board, coming off his appearance

1072
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:57,000
Speaker 5: at the Walker Cup last week, the number two amateur

1073
00:47:57,000 --> 00:47:58,440
Speaker 5: in the world, Pearson Cootie.

1074
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:00,640
Speaker 3: Now, I have no idea what to back from the kid.

1075
00:48:00,680 --> 00:48:03,040
Speaker 3: Amateur's performances are so volatile, but.

1076
00:48:04,520 --> 00:48:07,040
Speaker 5: The oddsmakers are pretty high on this kid. He's got

1077
00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 5: the same odds as Rotha Obrerabeo and JB.

1078
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:10,280
Speaker 2: Holmes.

1079
00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 5: So number two amateur in the world from the Dallas

1080
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:16,120
Speaker 5: Fort Worth area place from the University of Texas. I'm

1081
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:17,799
Speaker 5: sure he's played Craig rage Tiber two.

1082
00:48:18,320 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 2: He's three hundred to one. Poor Tyler Strafaci. All he's

1083
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 2: done is being the reigning US Amateur champion. Played the

1084
00:48:26,000 --> 00:48:29,279
Speaker 2: Masters this year. He's a thousand to one. I mean,

1085
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:31,640
Speaker 2: we're I get it. One of them's from Texas and

1086
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:34,479
Speaker 2: the other one isn't. Cole Hammer's from Texas. He's five

1087
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:37,160
Speaker 2: hundred to one, four hundred to one.

1088
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:38,000
Speaker 3: He's a long.

1089
00:48:38,960 --> 00:48:41,560
Speaker 2: I will take your hat. I will play Hammer over

1090
00:48:41,680 --> 00:48:45,400
Speaker 2: Coody this week. If you want a little side action, Okay,

1091
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:46,239
Speaker 2: I'll go with that.

1092
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 3: Why not, let's have a little fun.

1093
00:48:47,920 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 2: I just said he was interesting. I don't know.

1094
00:48:50,080 --> 00:48:52,440
Speaker 5: I have no idea how he's gonna play. Betting on

1095
00:48:52,520 --> 00:48:55,600
Speaker 5: amateurs is an incredibly volatile you know, you can probably

1096
00:48:55,640 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 5: fuck some weeks are gonna find a ton of value.

1097
00:48:57,719 --> 00:48:59,759
Speaker 5: I think eventually we're gonna have another amateur win on

1098
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:01,879
Speaker 5: the PCE Tour. It's probably not going to be this week,

1099
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:04,319
Speaker 5: but he's an interesting name to look at, and there's

1100
00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:07,680
Speaker 5: a reason why he's in that kind of middle of.

1101
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:08,600
Speaker 2: The road tour.

1102
00:49:08,719 --> 00:49:10,720
Speaker 3: Pro odds to win this tournament.

1103
00:49:10,960 --> 00:49:11,720
Speaker 2: Well, two things.

1104
00:49:11,719 --> 00:49:14,560
Speaker 4: First of all, Jordan Speed finished sixteenth when he was

1105
00:49:14,560 --> 00:49:17,440
Speaker 4: still in high school. Scottie Scheffler finished twenty second when

1106
00:49:17,440 --> 00:49:19,200
Speaker 4: he was still in high school both of this event.

1107
00:49:19,920 --> 00:49:22,120
Speaker 4: And the other thing is, by the way, betting on

1108
00:49:22,200 --> 00:49:24,680
Speaker 4: amateurs when you can win more money on them than

1109
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:25,240
Speaker 4: they can.

1110
00:49:25,120 --> 00:49:28,160
Speaker 2: Win, it's a really good feeling. I mean, even if

1111
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:28,520
Speaker 2: you're just.

1112
00:49:28,440 --> 00:49:30,560
Speaker 4: Like, hey, I want to kind of evil, but yeah,

1113
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:35,120
Speaker 4: some cootie this week, that's more than he got.

1114
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:38,719
Speaker 3: I can't I mean, I've won college basketball pools before.

1115
00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:39,839
Speaker 3: I can't criticize.

1116
00:49:39,880 --> 00:49:41,480
Speaker 2: I'll give you one more name because I mentioned them

1117
00:49:41,560 --> 00:49:42,040
Speaker 2: last week.

1118
00:49:42,760 --> 00:49:47,799
Speaker 4: Vince Whaley has taken over the unofficial most under the

1119
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:51,680
Speaker 4: radar player on the PGA Tour. He's got six straight

1120
00:49:51,719 --> 00:49:56,080
Speaker 4: starts now inside the top forty. He was where was

1121
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:56,680
Speaker 4: he last week?

1122
00:49:57,600 --> 00:50:01,359
Speaker 2: Fifteenth? Is that where he finished? He was up pretty good?

1123
00:50:01,360 --> 00:50:04,120
Speaker 5: Call you follow my formula, and he ended up with

1124
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:04,879
Speaker 5: a pretty good week.

1125
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:07,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I wish I had hammered him a little harder

1126
00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:08,720
Speaker 4: in a few different places.

1127
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:11,600
Speaker 2: But let's see, Vince, I got.

1128
00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:15,959
Speaker 5: Closer to Cameron Davis was my bet twenty six. Okay,

1129
00:50:16,080 --> 00:50:19,800
Speaker 5: still that's that's a pretty impressive performing over your baseline

1130
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:22,200
Speaker 5: type type situation there for Whaley.

1131
00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:22,840
Speaker 2: That's interesting.

1132
00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:27,160
Speaker 7: So look, if you want to pick a guy who's

1133
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:30,040
Speaker 7: hot and not getting any credit for being hot, Vince

1134
00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 7: Whaley is a guy that obviously has some value right now.

1135
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:37,480
Speaker 4: So let's get to our DFS lineup. We do it

1136
00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:39,880
Speaker 4: every week on the Gimme as well with Amanda Rose,

1137
00:50:40,400 --> 00:50:42,280
Speaker 4: and you and I do it right here on the pod.

1138
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,280
Speaker 4: Come on, mister Texas, I'll let you go first.

1139
00:50:46,760 --> 00:50:50,120
Speaker 1: We want to be a DFS millionaire. You're just one

1140
00:50:50,239 --> 00:50:51,200
Speaker 1: lineup away.

1141
00:50:51,440 --> 00:50:54,239
Speaker 6: We're gonna go with him, and you're gonna play better

1142
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:55,279
Speaker 6: than you ever dreamed of.

1143
00:50:55,680 --> 00:50:58,080
Speaker 3: God, that's what I have made of you.

1144
00:50:58,680 --> 00:51:00,000
Speaker 1: So let's get drafted.

1145
00:51:02,480 --> 00:51:05,640
Speaker 5: Okay, with DJ off the board, we're pulling this up

1146
00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:08,960
Speaker 5: and looking through. I will go with my first pick,

1147
00:51:09,280 --> 00:51:11,720
Speaker 5: a player you mentioned he nearly won the match.

1148
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:13,879
Speaker 3: Play in Texas. It's your favorite play on the board.

1149
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:16,759
Speaker 5: You said to win outright, give me Scotty Scheffler at

1150
00:51:16,840 --> 00:51:18,760
Speaker 5: ninety four hundred to start our team.

1151
00:51:18,560 --> 00:51:20,959
Speaker 4: Of Well, I'm certainly not going to complain if you're

1152
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:24,479
Speaker 4: stealing my pick, so I'm perfectly fine with that.

1153
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 2: I don't like chasing. Yeah, there're certain players.

1154
00:51:28,680 --> 00:51:31,600
Speaker 4: If you're not an absolute superstar, well you're probably only

1155
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:34,040
Speaker 4: contending on the PGA Tour a handful of weeks. So

1156
00:51:34,440 --> 00:51:36,880
Speaker 4: what are the odds that one of those weeks is

1157
00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:39,160
Speaker 4: going to be directly after one of those other weeks?

1158
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:42,520
Speaker 4: That said, I love the way Keith Mitchell is hitting

1159
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:45,880
Speaker 4: the golf ball right now. He mashes it. From what

1160
00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:48,800
Speaker 4: I hear, there should be generous landing areas at TBC

1161
00:51:48,920 --> 00:51:50,799
Speaker 4: Craig Branch where you could be.

1162
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:52,400
Speaker 2: Able to just bomb it all over the place.

1163
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:54,799
Speaker 4: Keith Mitchell's guy that makes a lot of bird He's

1164
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:58,160
Speaker 4: had twenty last week right second in the field, finished

1165
00:51:58,160 --> 00:51:58,840
Speaker 4: in third.

1166
00:51:58,600 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 2: Place, was in that final pairing. Of course, I'm putting

1167
00:52:02,239 --> 00:52:03,840
Speaker 2: Keith Mitchell on here. What do you think about that?

1168
00:52:04,400 --> 00:52:06,279
Speaker 3: I like that pick, especially the way he struck the

1169
00:52:06,280 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 3: ball last week in Charlotte. You gotta expect that to

1170
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:10,879
Speaker 3: carry on into next week.

1171
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:14,360
Speaker 5: I think that's a good value at eight thousand up next.

1172
00:52:14,120 --> 00:52:15,800
Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with the guy I mentioned already.

1173
00:52:16,560 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 5: You poke some holes in my Texas note, but this

1174
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,480
Speaker 5: guy's had a lot of success in the state of

1175
00:52:22,480 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 5: Texas in his career. I don't know if he just

1176
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:26,120
Speaker 5: dials it up on these type of golf courses, but

1177
00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:28,239
Speaker 5: he has the highest birdie average of any player on

1178
00:52:28,280 --> 00:52:31,120
Speaker 5: the PG Tour over the last decade with twenty or

1179
00:52:31,160 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 5: more rounds on courses in the state of Texas. Sebastian

1180
00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:37,719
Speaker 5: Munoz seventy six hundred, I think is a really good value.

1181
00:52:37,840 --> 00:52:41,960
Speaker 5: I'll put him on the team. Seventy six hundred.

1182
00:52:43,680 --> 00:52:46,879
Speaker 4: Looking at a player that I hadn't looked at previously.

1183
00:52:47,440 --> 00:52:50,280
Speaker 4: I was looking more kind of top tier and lower tier.

1184
00:52:50,320 --> 00:52:51,719
Speaker 2: In this mid tier.

1185
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:54,920
Speaker 4: Doesn't have a whole lot that I like, honestly, the

1186
00:52:55,160 --> 00:52:56,600
Speaker 4: you know, and when I talk to mid tier, I'm

1187
00:52:56,640 --> 00:53:00,520
Speaker 4: talking guys who are in the in.

1188
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:07,600
Speaker 2: The four hundred to eighty nine hundred range on DraftKings.

1189
00:53:08,320 --> 00:53:10,320
Speaker 4: So in that spot, there aren't a whole lot of

1190
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:13,440
Speaker 4: names that I really like. There's a guy who's a

1191
00:53:13,440 --> 00:53:15,520
Speaker 4: really good ball striker, and he's shown to be a

1192
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:19,440
Speaker 4: really good win player. He's played well with the handa

1193
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:22,120
Speaker 4: in the past, who's forty six this year, played really

1194
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:24,839
Speaker 4: well at the Players Championship. Taylor Gooch is a guy

1195
00:53:24,840 --> 00:53:27,880
Speaker 4: that I think just at some point, Taylor Gooch is

1196
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:31,160
Speaker 4: going to have another really solid title contention, might pick

1197
00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:35,600
Speaker 4: off a win somewhere. Played at Oklahoma State is college golf.

1198
00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:37,840
Speaker 4: He's played the wind a lot. I just feel like

1199
00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:40,359
Speaker 4: that could be a guy who could look at this

1200
00:53:40,400 --> 00:53:42,800
Speaker 4: event and say, hey, here's one that's right for the pick.

1201
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:44,279
Speaker 3: And for me, I like it.

1202
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:46,680
Speaker 5: I mean, good, spot good, just given me similar course

1203
00:53:46,719 --> 00:53:50,000
Speaker 5: conditions to what he played at Oklahoma State, still water

1204
00:53:50,080 --> 00:53:51,920
Speaker 5: for all the for his years in college.

1205
00:53:52,040 --> 00:53:52,560
Speaker 2: I like that.

1206
00:53:52,640 --> 00:53:57,759
Speaker 5: So now we've got Scheffler, Munno's Mitchell Gooch seventeen one

1207
00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:00,600
Speaker 5: hundred left to go a little bit of money play with.

1208
00:54:01,760 --> 00:54:04,040
Speaker 5: You know, Ryan Palmer is interesting to me, but ninety

1209
00:54:04,040 --> 00:54:06,280
Speaker 5: one hundred feels like a lot of money for Ryan Palmer.

1210
00:54:06,560 --> 00:54:09,200
Speaker 5: I'm gonna skip him. You know.

1211
00:54:09,840 --> 00:54:12,320
Speaker 3: I was so high on the metrics for Harris English

1212
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:14,319
Speaker 3: earlier in the year, but he really hasn't played as

1213
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:17,480
Speaker 3: well over the last couple of months.

1214
00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 4: So, Monny, you talked about Matthew Fitzpatrick earlier and how

1215
00:54:20,200 --> 00:54:22,680
Speaker 4: much you like him is putting recently. If that's a

1216
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,359
Speaker 4: guy that you like, I don't mind you spending money

1217
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:26,680
Speaker 4: because I can go deep on this and find some guys.

1218
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,320
Speaker 5: Let's go let's go with let's go with the hottest

1219
00:54:29,320 --> 00:54:31,680
Speaker 5: plutter on the PGA Tour than Mat Fitzpatrick. He leads

1220
00:54:31,680 --> 00:54:34,440
Speaker 5: the PGA Tour in strokes, game putting since the beginning

1221
00:54:34,480 --> 00:54:35,279
Speaker 5: of the Phoenix Open.

1222
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:38,440
Speaker 3: His he's playing the best golf.

1223
00:54:38,320 --> 00:54:41,040
Speaker 5: Of his professional career straight up over the last six'

1224
00:54:41,200 --> 00:54:43,719
Speaker 5: nine twelve months or. So give me Matth fitzpatrick kind

1225
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:45,640
Speaker 5: of hitting a new echelon in his career.

1226
00:54:45,640 --> 00:54:48,640
Speaker 4: Ninety, YEAH i like, that AND i. APOLOGIZE i called

1227
00:54:48,719 --> 00:54:50,960
Speaker 4: Him matthew a couple of times so. Far he is

1228
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:52,400
Speaker 4: put out.

1229
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:54,120
Speaker 2: A statement that he would like to be Called matt

1230
00:54:54,400 --> 00:54:56,279
Speaker 2: and so, yeah we'll get it right in.

1231
00:54:56,320 --> 00:54:59,080
Speaker 4: Time i'm just gonna call HIM fitzi like he like

1232
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 4: you know He, hey, look he won HIS Us amateur

1233
00:55:03,600 --> 00:55:06,920
Speaker 4: title In, brookline which is essentially part Of, Boston so

1234
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:09,319
Speaker 4: there are a lot Of fitzies In. Boston SO i

1235
00:55:09,320 --> 00:55:11,400
Speaker 4: think we can call HIM, fitzi AND i think that

1236
00:55:11,520 --> 00:55:14,919
Speaker 4: fits his. Persona so all, Right i've got seventy six

1237
00:55:15,000 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 4: hundred left to. SPEND i have a couple of names

1238
00:55:18,600 --> 00:55:21,399
Speaker 4: out at you here and see which ones you like the. Most,

1239
00:55:21,440 --> 00:55:25,279
Speaker 4: okay there's four names of guys that are just under, this,

1240
00:55:26,040 --> 00:55:32,400
Speaker 4: uh this, Pricing Scott, Stallings Eric Van, Royan Patton, kazaire

1241
00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:34,799
Speaker 4: And Septstraca.

1242
00:55:35,280 --> 00:55:37,400
Speaker 3: Cepstraca your, BOY i?

1243
00:55:37,480 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 2: Do CAN i Throw Tom hogy in there?

1244
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:43,600
Speaker 5: Too you can't remember is a guy who makes a

1245
00:55:43,640 --> 00:55:46,400
Speaker 5: lot of. Birdies Tom hogy makes a lot of. Birdies

1246
00:55:46,920 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 5: scott's songs played well for a while last. Week he's

1247
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,879
Speaker 5: just kind of a wildly inconsistent per. Former that's that's a.

1248
00:55:53,840 --> 00:55:56,040
Speaker 4: Tough, call by the, way before you go any, FURTHER

1249
00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:59,799
Speaker 4: i will say he's not in, yet BUT i love

1250
00:55:59,880 --> 00:56:02,759
Speaker 4: the long shot top ten play On Scott stallings if

1251
00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:06,040
Speaker 4: he somehow gets into THE Us. Open he won At

1252
00:56:06,040 --> 00:56:08,839
Speaker 4: Torrey pines back in. Fourteen he was second the next.

1253
00:56:08,920 --> 00:56:11,600
Speaker 4: Year we've talked about, big strong guys who were able

1254
00:56:11,600 --> 00:56:13,400
Speaker 4: to win at THE Us. Open he might be the

1255
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:15,760
Speaker 4: only guy you'd put Against brooks kept in an arm wrestling.

1256
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:19,759
Speaker 4: Contest i'm just, saying If Scott STALLING'S i assume he's

1257
00:56:19,760 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 4: gonna go play in a qualifier and try to get.

1258
00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:24,160
Speaker 4: In if he qualifies for THE Us, OPEN i like

1259
00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:26,360
Speaker 4: him a. Lot, okay, Continue, sorry that's a great.

1260
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:27,719
Speaker 3: Call that's an excellent.

1261
00:56:27,760 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 5: Call it's you, know six seven years removed now from

1262
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:33,360
Speaker 5: the peak of, what you, know what the top of

1263
00:56:33,440 --> 00:56:35,880
Speaker 5: HIS pga tour career, was but he was awesome in

1264
00:56:35,960 --> 00:56:44,239
Speaker 5: that tournament over the. Years, Yeah so going back to those, picks, man.

1265
00:56:43,920 --> 00:56:45,960
Speaker 3: You, Know Van royan isn't playing as well as he

1266
00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:49,320
Speaker 3: did a year. Ago this, Time i'm kind of fizzled

1267
00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 3: out on.

1268
00:56:49,719 --> 00:56:52,759
Speaker 5: Him Pat desires made a ton of, cuts made a

1269
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:55,960
Speaker 5: ton of money this. Year it's between him And straka

1270
00:56:56,040 --> 00:56:58,319
Speaker 5: probably for, me that's WHAT i would narrow it down.

1271
00:56:58,320 --> 00:56:58,400
Speaker 3: To.

1272
00:56:59,239 --> 00:57:02,160
Speaker 2: Kauz it's on a few of those different birdie metrics

1273
00:57:02,160 --> 00:57:05,840
Speaker 2: THAT i mentioned, earlier he just shows up WHERE i

1274
00:57:05,920 --> 00:57:08,399
Speaker 2: think he makes a lot of big. Numbers but if

1275
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:09,720
Speaker 2: this is indeed.

1276
00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,319
Speaker 4: Set up easier like we think it might, be or

1277
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:14,720
Speaker 4: LIKE i think it might be at, least then maybe

1278
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:17,440
Speaker 4: those big numbers aren't out there to be had and

1279
00:57:17,480 --> 00:57:19,880
Speaker 4: you can just basically fire at flagsticks and make a

1280
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:22,080
Speaker 4: whole lot of. Birdie so let's go With Patent desire

1281
00:57:22,160 --> 00:57:25,120
Speaker 4: in this last spot seventy three, hundred leaving three hundred

1282
00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:28,440
Speaker 4: on the. Board we Got Matt Fitzpatrick Taylor, Gooch Patton,

1283
00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 4: Desire Keith, Mitchell Sebastian, Munoz Scottie. SCHEFFLER i like that

1284
00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:34,800
Speaker 4: lineup a. LOT i think there's a lot of different

1285
00:57:34,840 --> 00:57:37,400
Speaker 4: ways you can go this, week but that should be

1286
00:57:37,440 --> 00:57:40,000
Speaker 4: a solid. LINEUP i can't wait to dig in a

1287
00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:42,960
Speaker 4: little more and make my one hundred and fifty lineups once.

1288
00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:44,920
Speaker 2: Again this week it was so. Cool it was so

1289
00:57:45,040 --> 00:57:47,360
Speaker 2: good for a while last. Week oh, man it was

1290
00:57:47,400 --> 00:57:48,240
Speaker 2: good and then it was.

1291
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:50,800
Speaker 4: Bad and like at the end of the week ON,

1292
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:53,600
Speaker 4: DFS i THINK i was down like twelve dollars or.

1293
00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:58,040
Speaker 4: Something it was the, ride, THOUGH i, mean the absolute

1294
00:57:58,120 --> 00:58:00,360
Speaker 4: roller coaster of emotions over the.

1295
00:58:00,400 --> 00:58:04,200
Speaker 2: Weekend was at one point.

1296
00:58:03,520 --> 00:58:06,760
Speaker 4: Seeing well into the five, figures and then another point

1297
00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:10,800
Speaker 4: seeing like under one hundred, dollars seeing the two, figures

1298
00:58:11,040 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 4: it's just like what.

1299
00:58:12,680 --> 00:58:16,320
Speaker 2: Like it's just boom boom, boom back and. Forth it's.

1300
00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:19,400
Speaker 5: Fun, hey when you can't cash, It i'm glad you

1301
00:58:19,440 --> 00:58:20,640
Speaker 5: could find value.

1302
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:21,720
Speaker 3: In the journey you had along the.

1303
00:58:21,720 --> 00:58:24,320
Speaker 2: Way thank you that. Is i'm gonna get that on

1304
00:58:24,360 --> 00:58:24,520
Speaker 2: A t.

1305
00:58:24,640 --> 00:58:27,280
Speaker 5: SHIRT i know invariably you'd rather have the end of

1306
00:58:27,360 --> 00:58:29,720
Speaker 5: payday and you, know, No i'd rather have the wisdom

1307
00:58:29,800 --> 00:58:31,880
Speaker 5: From Jay ray every single time over the.

1308
00:58:31,920 --> 00:58:35,320
Speaker 2: Payday so thanks everybody out there to.

1309
00:58:35,480 --> 00:58:38,200
Speaker 4: Listen it for listening once again to The Action network

1310
00:58:38,240 --> 00:58:42,080
Speaker 4: podcast presented by BET mgm For Justin ray of the

1311
00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:45,160
Speaker 4: twenty First. Group I'm Jason. Soble good luck with all

1312
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:47,320
Speaker 4: your bets for this week's eighteen t By Ray. Nelson

1313
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:48,800
Speaker 4: here's hoping you hit the.

1314
00:58:48,840 --> 00:58:59,840
Speaker 2: Green we're finished talk