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Speaker 1: Onsome guys, How are you welcome in to a Thursday

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrelta

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Speaker 1: at sports Dock. Matt to follow me on Twitter. This

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Speaker 1: podcast being brought to you by bet MGM. New users,

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Speaker 1: You guys can jump in with a one. That was

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Speaker 1: another first bet offer with the promo code Juice at

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Speaker 1: betmgm dot com. All right, at two and three night

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Speaker 1: last night, we split the props one in one Chris Middleton,

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Speaker 1: we bet over twenty nine and a half points and assists.

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Speaker 2: He wound up with twenty four.

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Speaker 1: And then we got it in the first half with

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Speaker 1: Jeff Green over seven and a half points and assists.

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Speaker 1: So one in one there basically mine one ten of

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Speaker 1: both those bets, so you know, no real blood there

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Speaker 1: with quarter unit bets and then a one and two

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Speaker 1: nights in the full unit plays. And boy, I said

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Speaker 1: it last night, I said, look at if this game

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Speaker 1: or the night goes with overs, I'm in trouble.

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Speaker 2: I was in trouble, kind of crazy.

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Speaker 1: So two nights ago I wound up on a night

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Speaker 1: where all dogs won all four and then all but

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Speaker 1: I mean the game that I thought that would go

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Speaker 1: over didn't go over, which is crazy Edmonton and the

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Speaker 1: Oilers stayed under a four too final there. But every

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Speaker 1: other game, I mean Boston was six three for Florida

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Speaker 1: nine goals in that game. I think we had ten

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Speaker 1: goals with how many I can't remember how many goals

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Speaker 1: were scoring the other game. So it was the Grand

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Speaker 1: Salami flew over twenty three and a half goals yesterday.

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Speaker 1: So I bet unders on a night where we didn't

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Speaker 1: have unders. So it's just look, if you guys want

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Speaker 1: to start fading my bets, I don't get mad, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't. This has been a cold streak here for

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Speaker 1: a couple of weeks now. It's been a back and forth,

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Speaker 1: back and forth, back and forth. It's strolled like a

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Speaker 1: paper cut type of deal. But you know, we were

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Speaker 1: down the three and a half four units last week,

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Speaker 1: and so you know, down a couple units this week.

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Speaker 2: Well, no, maybe one and a half units this week.

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Speaker 1: But you know, not great here as we go into

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Speaker 1: a Thursday and trying to kind of find our footing here.

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Speaker 1: So I've got two NBA plays. I'll have two NBA

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Speaker 1: player props again later on tonight in or today in

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Speaker 1: the discord channel, bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat, and I'm

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Speaker 1: only got a little bit hockey for one game. I

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Speaker 1: want to watch a little bit for a couple of

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Speaker 1: these series, like the Devils and the Rangers. I lean Devils,

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Speaker 1: but the Rangers might win that game. Rangers very easily

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Speaker 1: could win that game. Don't want to jump in on that.

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Speaker 1: Toronto and Tampa. I mean I lean towards Toronto, but

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Speaker 1: I don't want to bet that. I'm scared of there.

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Speaker 1: In Colorado in Seattle, I lean Colorado, but it's two

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Speaker 1: dollars to bet on Colorado.

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Speaker 2: You could do a moneyline parlay.

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Speaker 1: You could take the Avalanche in the Golden Knights and

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Speaker 1: bet that, or the Avalanche or the Avalanche and the

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Speaker 1: Maple Leafs and do that. Or you can do maple

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Speaker 1: Leafs Avalanche and Golden Knights. You can do that if

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Speaker 1: you want. But I don't want to be when I'm cold.

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Speaker 1: I'm not going to recommend Parlay's. I mean, obviously, the

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Speaker 1: auto alternative under six and a half, I thought that

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Speaker 1: was brilliant at plus one oh seven. Nope, that got

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Speaker 1: killed early by the four to three. Get those seven

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Speaker 1: goals in the Carolina game seven goals. I mean, what

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Speaker 1: the I mean, are you kidding me? Like, come on, bro,

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Speaker 1: what's going on? Crazy game? In Game two again, nine

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Speaker 1: goals in the Bruins game. I mean, we had the

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Speaker 1: under with the Bruins six and a half in that one.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers almost covered it themselves. They scored six. So

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Speaker 1: just a really poor performance by the Boston Bruins and

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Speaker 1: maybe a huge wake up call for them as they

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Speaker 1: head to Florida, because the Game three is a big game.

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Speaker 2: If you're wondering, am I nervous? No?

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Speaker 1: Not nervous. They lose Game three, I'll be nervous. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that's when I'll go uh oh. But if they go

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Speaker 1: down to the Florida win Game three and they're up

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Speaker 1: two games to one, it's all good. So let's see

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Speaker 1: how the team bounces back and see if Patrice berger

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Speaker 1: On travels to Florida to play in Game three. Hasn't

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Speaker 1: played in Game one or Game two. Would be nice

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Speaker 1: to have the captain out there on the ice just

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Speaker 1: as a citying force for the Boston Bruins, but he's

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Speaker 1: dealing with something we don't really know as of yet.

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Speaker 1: Concussion back injury. No longer an illness. That was the

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Speaker 1: first thought. Is an illness. Nope, not in illness for

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Speaker 1: Patrice Bergron. So let's see what happens going forward. Before

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Speaker 1: we get to the two NBA plays and the one

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Speaker 1: play in the NHL that I got going today, let's

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Speaker 1: talk about Betting pros Premium and you guys can win

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Speaker 1: a free year in upgrade to Betting Pros Premium when

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Speaker 1: you subscribe to this YouTube channel Betting Pros's YouTube channel,

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Speaker 1: like this podcast, like this video and comment underneath me,

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Speaker 1: because when you do, you could be the one who

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Speaker 1: you're looking for access to exclusive picks, top rated player props,

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Speaker 1: or customer analysis of your betting performance, Betting Pros Premium

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Speaker 1: has the tools to have to cash more bets, plain

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Speaker 1: and simple.

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Speaker 2: If you don't want to wait for the giveaway.

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Speaker 1: However, time today at bettingpros dot com slash upgrade and

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Speaker 1: start betting smarter, not harder. Okay, so let me handicap

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Speaker 1: the two NBA bets this way. Dougzering in from ESPN.

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Speaker 1: The ESPN staff. They have an army of guys going

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Speaker 1: through a bunch of different stats they pulled this yesterday,

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Speaker 1: everyone copied it yesterday, and we're now at a ridiculous

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Speaker 1: number that I'll jump in for fun because I'm cold,

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Speaker 1: So why not ride this trend? And if it dies

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Speaker 1: with me, then you know I'm the curse. Okay, but

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Speaker 1: this is kind of nuts. Did you know that there

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Speaker 1: have been forty four straight wins in the postseason when

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Speaker 1: the team is favored and one they've covered. It's either

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Speaker 1: a massive upset, meaning a money line upset, so the

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Speaker 1: dog wins the game outright, or the team that is

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Speaker 1: favored wins the game and covers. We haven't seen a

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Speaker 1: point spread come into play here for forty four NBA games.

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Speaker 1: The last time a point spread came into play was

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Speaker 1: on May ninth, twenty twenty two, so a long time ago.

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Speaker 1: Last night, Grizzlies favored one, covered, Bucks favored one covered,

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Speaker 1: Nuggets favored one covered. Three games tonight, the Philadelphia seventy

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Speaker 1: six ers have not lost this year to the Brooklyn Nets.

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Speaker 1: They are five point favorites on the road here. What

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Speaker 1: do you think we're doing. We're taking Philly to go

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Speaker 1: up three games to none. We're gonna lay the five

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Speaker 1: points here with Philadelphia pre game. I've been advocating this

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Speaker 1: for I don't know how long. Betting pregame is stupid,

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Speaker 1: don't bet pre game, blah blah blah blah blah. Right, Well,

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Speaker 1: these numbers in the playoffs, I mean that holds true

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Speaker 1: a lot for the regular season, but in the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: Brooklyn is a complete I mean it's a mismatch. They

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Speaker 1: can't stop the Sixers, and whether it be high scoring

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Speaker 1: or low scoring, it doesn't really matter. Sixers are bigger, stronger, faster,

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Speaker 1: more athletic, just a better basketball team.

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Speaker 2: And the Nets know it.

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Speaker 1: Yes they're going to Brooklyn, they're switching venues, but it

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Speaker 1: hasn't really mattered. And the number is only five one

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Speaker 1: point one units down. Philadelphia minus five on the road

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Speaker 1: at Brooklyn. Bet number two. Warriors at home against the

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Speaker 1: Sacramento Kings. No Draymond Green, he suspended, So the numbers

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Speaker 1: come down. Okay, it was seven, it was eight again.

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Speaker 1: Are the Warriors gonna win Game three? The answer is yes,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna win Game three. They're not gonna go down

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Speaker 1: three name three games to non Sacramento. Okay, the Warriors

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Speaker 1: at home, as we know, are a totally different team

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Speaker 1: than they are on the road.

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Speaker 2: So what do we do with the point spread? We

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Speaker 2: ignore it.

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Speaker 1: We just lay the points because it hasn't mattered. Draymond

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Speaker 1: Green in, Draymond Green out doesn't matter all that much.

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Speaker 1: Steph and Clay and Wiggins and the rest of the guys.

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Speaker 1: They play way better at home. The lines five and

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Speaker 1: a half Warriors minus five and a half. If both

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Speaker 1: these teams lose outright, the trend holds. If one of

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Speaker 1: these teams wins and doesn't cover, that's gonna break the streak. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I can be wrong here. The Nets could win

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Speaker 1: the game outright. That doesn't snap the streak. If the

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Speaker 1: Kings win the game outright, it doesn't snap the streak.

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Speaker 1: If the Warriors win the game by three, that would

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Speaker 1: snap the streak. Okay. And maybe I'm the curse, Maybe

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Speaker 1: I'm the Hecks. Maybe me jumping in on this is

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Speaker 1: gonna screw everybody, But for right now, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: join in on the party and hope that the party

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Speaker 1: doesn't end with when I came in late. Warriors mine

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Speaker 1: five and a half for one point one units. All right,

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Speaker 1: So two bets in the NBA, two favorites again, who

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Speaker 1: do you think wins the game, the points spread doesn't

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Speaker 1: really matter.

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Speaker 2: That's what this thing is.

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Speaker 1: So if you want to talk about the Clippers winning

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Speaker 1: Game three at home against the Suns, I'm not gonna

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Speaker 1: hate on you, all right, not gonna hate at all.

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Speaker 1: Sons could win the game. If the Sons win the game,

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Speaker 1: the Suns are going to cover lines two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Clippers are live to win the game at home. Don't

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Speaker 1: want to go near that game, petrified. They've been an

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Speaker 1: under team at home. But the last time I bet

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Speaker 1: the Clippers under at home, they put up the third

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Speaker 1: most or second most points in the history of the NBA.

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Speaker 1: So I'm not going to do that. Okay, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: just stay away from the game. I'm gonna bet Sons

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Speaker 1: and Clippers in game. I'll wait for the number to

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Speaker 1: fluctuate a little bit and see if I can get

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Speaker 1: the Suns at a plus price.

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Speaker 2: I think the Suns do win Game three, but not

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Speaker 2: gonna bet it.

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Speaker 1: Pre pre Warriors five and a half six ers minus

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Speaker 1: five for the two bets. Now one bet in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: The Vegas goal of the Knights. They've played four games

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Speaker 1: this year against the Winnipig Jets. Three of the four

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Speaker 1: have gone over, including the last game, which was a

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Speaker 1: five to one final. It was a really bad beat

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Speaker 1: five to one game, probably could have gone under if

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Speaker 1: I should have gone under, I expect a much different

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Speaker 1: game for the Golden Knights. I think the Golden Knights

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Speaker 1: win the game. They win Game two, that even up

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Speaker 1: their series at one game apiece. But I think you

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Speaker 1: can jump in here on the over. I think Vegas

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Speaker 1: is going to score three. The question I have is

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Speaker 1: can they get to four? And I think a four

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Speaker 1: to two final is very very likely. He could very

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Speaker 1: well be a five to one final.

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Speaker 2: It might be sweaty at the end.

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Speaker 1: We might need an over an open net goal to

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Speaker 1: get to the over. It could be four to one,

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Speaker 1: then we need that extra goal or four to two

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Speaker 1: to get there to get to six. But I feel

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Speaker 1: pretty good here that we're going to see what we've

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Speaker 1: seen most of the time between these two teams when

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Speaker 1: they've played in the regular season five to two, two,

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Speaker 1: one six five final two games at Timobile Arena. First

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Speaker 1: game was five to two, second game was two to one.

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Speaker 1: The one playoff game was a five to one win

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Speaker 1: for the Jets. I think when you're looking at the

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Speaker 1: Golden Knights in what they have done at home. Seven

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Speaker 1: of their last ten games at home in the regular

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Speaker 1: season went over and I think that's a fair idea

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Speaker 1: if you want to talk about overs at home in

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Speaker 1: the first period. Over one and a half goals for

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Speaker 1: the biggest gold Knights is on a bad play either,

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Speaker 1: if you want a little extra on this game. I

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Speaker 1: also think same thing for Seattle and Colorado. Over one

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Speaker 1: and a half goals in the first period for that game,

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Speaker 1: I think you could see a fast start between those

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Speaker 1: two teams. Potentially. It's going to be very interesting to

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Speaker 1: see how these games play out. The Golden Knights at

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Speaker 1: home in the first period, when they were such an

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Speaker 1: under team during the regular season, it was amazing for

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Speaker 1: a long time, but things did change as they get

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Speaker 1: closer to the playoffs. Six and four over the last

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Speaker 1: ten games in the regular season to over one and

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Speaker 1: a half goals in the first period, So I leaned

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Speaker 1: towards that. On the road for the Winnipeg Jets, yeah,

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Speaker 1: they were still I mean three or three and seven

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Speaker 1: in the first period. They were still very much and

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Speaker 1: under team on the road, so I think you'll see

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Speaker 1: quick goals in the game. Personally, I think the jump

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Speaker 1: is gonna be with Vegas. They're gonna come out flying.

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Speaker 1: I'm betting the over Vegas and Winnipeg over five and

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Speaker 1: a half at minus one twenty. You can jump in

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Speaker 1: there with that for one point two units. Okay, I

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Speaker 1: will have two NBA player props, so kind of a

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Speaker 1: basketball heavier day here on a Thursday. We'll jump in

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Speaker 1: with two NBA plays, two NBA player props, and the

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Speaker 1: over five and a half for Vegas and Winnipeg. Will

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Speaker 1: take a break a little bit on hockey, spend a

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Speaker 1: night watching, a little bit, licking the wounds, trying to

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Speaker 1: figure some things out. Hopefully move on to the weekend

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Speaker 1: and have a good weekend, betting the NHL as well,

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Speaker 1: and maybe sprinkling some baseball, you know, later on in

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Speaker 1: the week and weekend move jump in on baseball at

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Speaker 1: some point, So we'll do that a little bit later on,

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Speaker 1: most likely once again, Warriors minus five, five and a half,

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Speaker 1: six Ers minus five and the over five and a half.

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Speaker 1: Five's are wild one twenty two sorry, mins one twenty

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Speaker 1: on the Golden Knights and the Winnipeg Jets. Three bets

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Speaker 1: player props bill to come for us a little bit

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Speaker 1: later on today in the discrot channel, Betting pros dot Com,

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Speaker 1: slash Chat minus Matt Parral, follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it is the

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Speaker 1: Deal Juice Podcast, being brought to you by bedam GM