1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,960 Speaker 1: As we join you live from Washington with breaking news 2 00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:07,160 Speaker 1: indeed on both ends of Pennsylvania. Avenue another August day 3 00:00:07,160 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: for the books here as the House moves with deliberate 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:12,520 Speaker 1: speed this afternoon in passing the three and a half 5 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: trillion dollar budget resolution that will lead to reconciliation and 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,800 Speaker 1: President Biden now standing by to address the nation as 7 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,440 Speaker 1: he stands by the timeline for evacuations out of Afghanistan. 8 00:00:25,040 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: We find the headline on the terminal. Biden keeps to 9 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: cobble August thirty one deadline despite criticism that means we 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: are out a week from today. We're gonna talk about 11 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: it all ahead with Bloomberg's Washington Bureau chief Craig Gordon 12 00:00:37,920 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: and specific to the operation and Cobble will be joined 13 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 1: this hour by retired Army Lieutenant General Robert Ashley, former 14 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. The panel with us too, 15 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:50,879 Speaker 1: Genie she and Zano and Rick Davis with us for 16 00:00:50,920 --> 00:00:53,159 Speaker 1: the hour, and we will bring you the President's remarks. 17 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 1: Were told that they are gathering in the East Room 18 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: at the White House to hear from the President. Will 19 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:02,520 Speaker 1: bring you his remarks as they happen live. We already 20 00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:04,800 Speaker 1: heard from Jen Saki on this as we keep our 21 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: eyes on what is happening here in Afghanistan. The White 22 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: House Press Secretary briefed a short time ago on the 23 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: effort to get Americans to the airport in Kabble. We 24 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:18,720 Speaker 1: are reaching out via phone, via text, via email, anyway 25 00:01:18,760 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 1: we can, and we're giving them instructions on how to 26 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:23,399 Speaker 1: get to the airport, when to the come to the airport. 27 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 1: We have an entire apparatus and operations set up on 28 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:30,480 Speaker 1: the ground. We're advertising and this is operation of reaching 29 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:34,520 Speaker 1: out to these individuals operation with one week to go. 30 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 1: And as I mentioned, we bring in Craig Gordon, Bloomberg 31 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 1: News Washington bureau chief, who has covered the White House 32 00:01:40,640 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: for many years and in fact travel to Afghanistan as 33 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 1: a journalist. It's great to have you on this particular moment, Craig. 34 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:48,920 Speaker 1: What is it the President needs to say today? Is 35 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:53,160 Speaker 1: it about convincing Americans that we only have a week 36 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 1: to get this done, or is he speaking as well 37 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 1: to audiences in Europe following today's virtual g seven. Yeah, 38 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: I think really the American people probably would be fine 39 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: staying a little past August thirty one. They're really you know, 40 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 1: American voters don't really care about foreign policy until they do, 41 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:11,240 Speaker 1: and then they care about it quite a lot. Because 42 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: right now it does look a little bit like Joe 43 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: Biden's turn to tail and and uh and running out 44 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:18,280 Speaker 1: of Afghanistan. We heard the Taliban come out today and 45 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:20,200 Speaker 1: say you need to be gone by August thirty one. 46 00:02:20,440 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 1: So while I think his message is we will be 47 00:02:23,320 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: gone by August August thirty one, warning, get out every 48 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: person we can between now and then, I personally think 49 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:31,760 Speaker 1: if they stayed another week, Talban would probably be okay 50 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 1: with that. We'd get more Americans and some of our 51 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 1: Afghan partners out of there and and and probably leave 52 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:40,160 Speaker 1: the country behind for good. But he he, they really 53 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,520 Speaker 1: did not handle this well in terms of having a 54 00:02:42,560 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: plan for getting tens of thousands of Americans and again 55 00:02:46,680 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: Afghans who put their lives on the line to help 56 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:51,480 Speaker 1: the American cause in Afghanistan. And and he's kind of 57 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,079 Speaker 1: paying the price for that. Today, a direct address from 58 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: the President on the two breaking issues of the day, 59 00:02:56,280 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 1: in fact, opened with infrastructure and then, as you just heard, Love, 60 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:03,400 Speaker 1: I've moved on to Afghanistan. Joe Matthew, this is Bloomberg 61 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,000 Speaker 1: Sound on live from Washington and were joined still by 62 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:11,160 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News Washington Bureau chief Craig Gordon. Interesting the way 63 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: he handled that. They're clearly Craig speaking to a domestic audience. 64 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 1: We waited around the better part of four hours to 65 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 1: hear from the President on Afghanistan, and about the first 66 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: half of that speech was about what he sees as 67 00:03:21,800 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 1: a big win on infrastructure. Yeah, and it was a 68 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: big win on infrastructure that you know, this was the 69 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: heart of his economic agenda. This is what Joe Biden 70 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 1: ran on for two years to become the president United States. 71 00:03:31,880 --> 00:03:34,680 Speaker 1: Was a what he calls bill back better. This what 72 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 1: will end up being something like five trillion dollars in 73 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:42,440 Speaker 1: infrastructure spending and infrastructure using the term broadly childcare, healthcare, 74 00:03:42,480 --> 00:03:45,640 Speaker 1: elder care, fixing lead pipes, and homes of variety, you know, 75 00:03:45,680 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: pre k variety of different programs. That is what got 76 00:03:49,760 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: Joe Biden into the White House. That is what the 77 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: American people want him to do. Maybe not quite at 78 00:03:54,080 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: that level, um, some of the moderates in his own 79 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,000 Speaker 1: party would say, but that really is what he wants 80 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 1: to come out and tell everyone about, Like, hey, we 81 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: we we did the thing I promised we would do. 82 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: But funny thing when you're president, um wars tend to 83 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: get in away sometimes, well they do, and that can 84 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: be kind of an awkward transition when you're going from 85 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: you know, celebrating the passage of a bill that's not 86 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:15,640 Speaker 1: even there yet or hasn't been written yet, to dealing 87 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,080 Speaker 1: with matters of life and death. But he did make 88 00:04:18,120 --> 00:04:20,840 Speaker 1: news there, Craig we we the headlines we saw earlier 89 00:04:20,880 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 1: was that Joe Biden would stand by evacuation by the 90 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,120 Speaker 1: end of the month, one week from today. He says 91 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 1: he has asked for contingency plans to adjust the timetable 92 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,440 Speaker 1: should it become necessary, So clearly we've still got some 93 00:04:33,480 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: flexibility here. Yeah, And he put the Taliban unnoticed that 94 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:39,120 Speaker 1: if the United States has to stay past August thirty one, 95 00:04:39,279 --> 00:04:41,680 Speaker 1: he will blame them, not that they probably care that 96 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,000 Speaker 1: much about that, but that was very much the little 97 00:04:44,120 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: escape patch he built for himself there. He said, our 98 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: ability to meet the August thirty first deadline requires the 99 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: Taliban to continue, allowing you know, the United States to 100 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 1: get folks out of the airport if they get in 101 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:56,240 Speaker 1: the way, if they stop US. If they slow us down, 102 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:58,160 Speaker 1: well we might have to hang around a little bit. 103 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: And I've asked the generals for some some plans on that. 104 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:04,040 Speaker 1: He also introduced a new group to the American lexicon, 105 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: isis K, that I've never heard of visis K before, um, 106 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 1: describing them as a group that you know, hates the 107 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: Taliban and US almost equally. So um, you know, there 108 00:05:13,680 --> 00:05:16,360 Speaker 1: you go. He did want to put I think what 109 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,040 Speaker 1: Joe Biden is worried about is it every minute, literally 110 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:22,040 Speaker 1: every minute the United States stays in Afghanistan longer, you 111 00:05:22,080 --> 00:05:25,400 Speaker 1: could have some kind of a terror attack, a truck bomb, 112 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 1: a car bomb. Uh, the mowing down a bunch of soldiers, 113 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:31,919 Speaker 1: you know, American lives lost as they tried to, you know, 114 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,080 Speaker 1: carry out this essentially humanitarian mission of getting getting these 115 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: folks out of there. You know, so far, Biden's taking 116 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 1: hit in the polls for Afghanistan. There are some dead 117 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 1: Americans in Afghanistan. That gets a lot worse for him. 118 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: I'm sure he's counting the minutes until the U. S. 119 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: Troops and allies can get out of there. Great talk 120 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:51,560 Speaker 1: with Craig Gordon Bloomberg, Washington Bureau Chief, who we try 121 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:54,200 Speaker 1: to save for the big days, and this certainly is one. 122 00:05:54,240 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 1: Thank you, Craig. As we bring in now retired Army 123 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:02,239 Speaker 1: Lieutenant General Robert Ashley, another voice of credibility on this story, 124 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. General, It's great 125 00:06:06,240 --> 00:06:09,120 Speaker 1: to have you with us today on Bloomberg Radio. Welcome back. 126 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,320 Speaker 1: What did you make of the language we heard from 127 00:06:11,440 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: President Biden. They're telling the American people that essentially we 128 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:16,960 Speaker 1: want to get out in a week, but we may 129 00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 1: have to stay longer if we need to. No, I mean, 130 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:23,839 Speaker 1: I thought that was a message you needed to deliver clearly. Um, 131 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:25,720 Speaker 1: you know what the Defense Department was working at his 132 00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,280 Speaker 1: branches and sequels, and if they still have numbers that 133 00:06:29,320 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: they need to meet after the thirty first, there'll be 134 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:33,280 Speaker 1: a position to be able to do that. So that 135 00:06:33,400 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: parts incouraging gets incouraging that we're talking to our allies 136 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:40,160 Speaker 1: and partners, which is always always important. Interesting to hear 137 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 1: the President essentially put this on the Taliban. Uh. He says, Look, 138 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,159 Speaker 1: we all stand united in our approach to the Taliban, 139 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: and completion depends on the cooperation of the Taliban. I 140 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 1: can't imagine the conversation that was had according to the 141 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 1: Washington Post by the Director of the CIA, between the 142 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:00,520 Speaker 1: CIA director and the de fact to ahead of the 143 00:07:00,520 --> 00:07:04,120 Speaker 1: Taliban or are we already laying out the consequences if 144 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:08,080 Speaker 1: they get in the way of this evacuation. I can't 145 00:07:08,080 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: speak for the CI director, but I imagine that he 146 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 1: was not equivocating in laying down some certain turns with 147 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: regards to any um kind of lethal actions of the 148 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 1: Taliban might be taking. But you know clearly that conversation 149 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:28,720 Speaker 1: was I would imagine, relatively directed in nature, but also 150 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: listening to what the Taliban had to say. So it's 151 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: good that they're having that dialogue and they can work 152 00:07:33,840 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 1: out some of the details the one used to take place. 153 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: Should we be past the thirty one or should the 154 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: Taliban try to preclude the movement of Americans. Well, general, 155 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,440 Speaker 1: I'm trying to figure out what's worse, what what the 156 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: what the greater risk would be staying or leaving. The 157 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,240 Speaker 1: President says it is a tenuous situation around the airport 158 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 1: and quote, we run a serious risk of it breaking 159 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: down as time goes by, unquote, as opposed to staying 160 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: there longer and part actually getting into another hot war 161 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:07,920 Speaker 1: with the Taliban, which do you pick general, there's always 162 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: the opportunity for um an escalating event that would take place, 163 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 1: you know, pre encreased patrols and we were out in 164 00:08:16,720 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: the out of the populous area, so there's always the 165 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:22,680 Speaker 1: possibility something like that could escalate. And I don't think 166 00:08:23,000 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: either side, neither the US nor the Taban wants to 167 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: see that happened. So to the degree that they can 168 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,079 Speaker 1: come up with some system by which you know, they 169 00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 1: can get Americans identified. And remember the airport, uh that 170 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,280 Speaker 1: looks like it may becoming a little more problematic with 171 00:08:38,400 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 1: some of the arbitration. The Taliban is saying that they 172 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:42,199 Speaker 1: don't want the Afghans to leave, but can you saw 173 00:08:42,320 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: some of the discussion today that whether there's engineers or 174 00:08:45,640 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 1: other human capital, right the intellectual capital of Afghanistan, they 175 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: don't want to see lead. But part of the challenge 176 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,160 Speaker 1: with the the U. S citizens is not everybody has 177 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: to register, you know, we like them to register when 178 00:08:58,800 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: they come in and in the country in the induscy 179 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 1: and so some of those that are going to be 180 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:06,560 Speaker 1: in some very outline areas may not have the means 181 00:09:06,600 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 1: to communicate. So I imagine that even though the bulk 182 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 1: of the numbers that they may be aware of. I'm 183 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 1: not sure exactly health the State Department is tracking that 184 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 1: there's still gonna be small numbers. I would imagine trickling 185 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 1: in even if we hit what we know by thirty one. Artists, 186 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:25,280 Speaker 1: we're talking on Bloomberg Sound on with retired Army Lieutenant 187 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: General Robert Ashley, former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency. 188 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,840 Speaker 1: If you're just joining us, We just heard from President 189 00:09:31,880 --> 00:09:36,000 Speaker 1: Biden on the situation in Afghanistan, as he speaks here 190 00:09:36,000 --> 00:09:39,520 Speaker 1: in this case to the mission to evacuate the thousands 191 00:09:39,520 --> 00:09:42,920 Speaker 1: who are waiting to leave Kabbaled Airport. We are currently 192 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:46,959 Speaker 1: on the pace to finish by August thirty one. The 193 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: sooner we can finish, the better. Each day of operations 194 00:09:50,920 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 1: brings at risk to our troops, but the completion by 195 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: August thirty one depends upon the Taliban continuing to cooperate 196 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: access to the airport for those who are transport transporting now, 197 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 1: and no disruptions to our operations. General, we have largely 198 00:10:08,240 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 1: focused on those people, in many cases civilians who are 199 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,559 Speaker 1: trying to get out. But I wonder what your thoughts 200 00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 1: are right now about the five to six thousand American 201 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 1: troops who are there not only with the possibility of 202 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: a terror attack or something awful happening, but the miserable 203 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: conditions that they're serving in right now, the skirmishes that 204 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 1: are breaking out that a lot of us may never 205 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:34,319 Speaker 1: hear about. You know, that's what they signed up for. UM. 206 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:36,320 Speaker 1: You know you got the eighty second, You've got marines 207 00:10:36,679 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: on station and others. A matter of fact, where I'm 208 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 1: sitting right now, I'm ninety minutes from Corps Brag. That 209 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:43,960 Speaker 1: was my first duty assignment, and I can tell you 210 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,000 Speaker 1: that I've gone through in many of those square troopers 211 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:50,040 Speaker 1: or forwards conditions and what are taking place there poor 212 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: right now. So they're fine, and really that is what 213 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: they signed up for, UM, and they're extreme admission and 214 00:10:56,440 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 1: you're doing with great professionals. What does that mean for 215 00:11:00,920 --> 00:11:03,840 Speaker 1: the week ahead for these troops? Do you want to 216 00:11:03,880 --> 00:11:06,080 Speaker 1: see them out in a week or as you said, 217 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:07,800 Speaker 1: this is what they sign up for the day as 218 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:10,120 Speaker 1: long as they need to. I mean, I think they 219 00:11:10,200 --> 00:11:12,960 Speaker 1: need to know. Clearly that's a policy decision, so that 220 00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: will be for that was the National Command authority, UM. 221 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: But clearly I would imagine every church trooper that is 222 00:11:19,600 --> 00:11:21,120 Speaker 1: in Cobber right now. I would want to see the 223 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 1: mission come to fruition where we get all the Americans 224 00:11:23,760 --> 00:11:27,679 Speaker 1: that need to be evacuated out. We're talking with retired 225 00:11:27,920 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 1: Lieutenant General Robert Ashley about the situation on the ground 226 00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 1: in Afghanistan. If we can get back to the President's 227 00:11:34,760 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 1: address he was speaking from the White House, first took 228 00:11:37,920 --> 00:11:40,439 Speaker 1: a swing on infrastructure and then got into the situation 229 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 1: involving Afghanistan and in this case, the timeline. I've asked 230 00:11:46,520 --> 00:11:50,320 Speaker 1: the Pentagon and the State Department for contingency plans to 231 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: adjust the timetable should that become necessary. I'm determined to 232 00:11:55,280 --> 00:12:02,000 Speaker 1: ensure that we complete our mission. This mission General. That's 233 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: been the story today, the timeline, and we've been talking 234 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: about it here in this case. Is that going to 235 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 1: be up to Joe Biden, as we keep hearing from 236 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: the White House, or will that be up to the Taliban? 237 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:16,200 Speaker 1: Then well, I think that timeline for what happens with U. 238 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 1: S Forces is you know, the President's decision. Um, we 239 00:12:20,720 --> 00:12:23,720 Speaker 1: have clearly have the military capability to sustain an effort 240 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 1: on the ground, UH and to ramp that up again 241 00:12:26,920 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: in or that where the InCom commander's recommendations are contingency 242 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 1: plans he's working. I think that is up to the 243 00:12:33,080 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: President when he decides that it's time for us to leave. 244 00:12:38,360 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 1: In terms of the time to leave, do you have 245 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:42,959 Speaker 1: a sense general of how long it takes to get 246 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,400 Speaker 1: the troops out. We know that it will take at 247 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: least the next week to get civilians out, But if 248 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 1: you're in charge of this operation on the ground five 249 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 1: to six thousand people, they need to start packing up 250 00:12:52,880 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: pretty soon too. Yeah, I'm not sure the timeline to 251 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,280 Speaker 1: get them all out. I'm sure Sitcom's looking at that, 252 00:12:58,320 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: and they're working at air flows. You can see the 253 00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 1: capacity that has been added over the course of the 254 00:13:03,520 --> 00:13:05,200 Speaker 1: last couple of days. I think the numbers that we 255 00:13:05,360 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 1: heard going into the bridging was I think it was 256 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 1: twenty one thousand over the last twenty four hours, So 257 00:13:11,559 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: the capacity has significantly increased. And when it comes time 258 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:19,760 Speaker 1: for for those soldiers to collapse or prepare to leave, um, 259 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 1: I just think that probably do one of the easier 260 00:13:22,320 --> 00:13:24,400 Speaker 1: tasks because they have to accomplish. There was a lot 261 00:13:24,400 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: of talk, if if we can speak broadly for a 262 00:13:26,600 --> 00:13:30,280 Speaker 1: moment about this over the horizon approach that we are 263 00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: taking now that the US is taking towards fighting terrorism. 264 00:13:33,559 --> 00:13:36,200 Speaker 1: The idea is we don't need to be on the 265 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: ground in countries like Afghanistan and that we can respond 266 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 1: to them as needed. Is that a realistic view in 267 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 1: your opinion? General? And how exactly would we do that? 268 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: Would we have new staging areas throughout the Middle East? 269 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,040 Speaker 1: Or do we already have the platform we need for that? 270 00:13:52,120 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: And I think when you look at over the horizon, 271 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 1: I think that's a kind of a surge capability to 272 00:13:56,880 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 1: deal with a significant issue, But it's gotta it's got 273 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: to a layered approach. So when you think about collecting 274 00:14:03,960 --> 00:14:05,559 Speaker 1: intelligence and what we've been able to do over the 275 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: last twenty years, we've had networks on the ground, We've 276 00:14:08,280 --> 00:14:12,840 Speaker 1: had soldier, sailors, airmand marines, um civilians on the ground. 277 00:14:13,440 --> 00:14:16,880 Speaker 1: So if I were looking at kind of the intelligence 278 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 1: problem that's coming you know that we're facing right now, 279 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:23,000 Speaker 1: it's how do I rebuild those networks? How do I 280 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: rebuild the networks on the ground, How do I build 281 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: my situational awareness? And that's not just you know, a 282 00:14:28,640 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 1: US problem, that is a coalition and ally problem and 283 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: so that's really kind of where my facus would be 284 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 1: is not only you're going to have an ability and 285 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: it will take some time to come from over the horizon, 286 00:14:40,280 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 1: but you needed indications and warning capability that something is 287 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:46,280 Speaker 1: about to happen. And so part of that is building 288 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 1: that indigenous network back on the ground, which I imagine 289 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: I've been removed from it for some time, but is 290 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,960 Speaker 1: is relatively fractured at this point. How worried should we 291 00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:59,160 Speaker 1: be about this group? Isis K That has been mentioned 292 00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: a few times, so isis K is hardcore? Isis UM? 293 00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 1: They don't really you know, my understanding right now is 294 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 1: there's not really a capability to launch an external attack. 295 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:16,000 Speaker 1: The challenge with this, as with al Qaeda, is if 296 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: the pressure is no longer put upon these organizations, then 297 00:15:19,920 --> 00:15:23,040 Speaker 1: they have the opportunity over time to build back their networks, 298 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:25,400 Speaker 1: and so that would be my biggest concern. So when 299 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: I think about that indications, warning, that ground source network, 300 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 1: that's really what I want to be able to watch 301 00:15:31,400 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 1: is iis k's intentions, their capabilities, and how they're trying 302 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 1: to rebuild that network. Do you have opinions on the 303 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 1: Taliban's intentions and capabilities. Nobody seems to know what to 304 00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:44,480 Speaker 1: make of this group of people claiming to be some 305 00:15:44,560 --> 00:15:47,560 Speaker 1: sort of new Taliban, but they're running around Afghanistan with 306 00:15:47,640 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 1: trucks and armored vehicles and weapons that we left behind. 307 00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,440 Speaker 1: I think one of the challenges is, you know, we 308 00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 1: we've thought about what it meant to try to have 309 00:15:56,400 --> 00:16:01,400 Speaker 1: a centralized Afghan government when in fact an acting governments, 310 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: even under the Taliban, has not had that full um reach. 311 00:16:06,000 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 1: So you're gonna have the challenge of the half the 312 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:09,640 Speaker 1: Taliban to be able to reach out to all the 313 00:16:09,720 --> 00:16:13,760 Speaker 1: distant areas nursed on Hellman, Canada, Heart, to be able 314 00:16:13,760 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: to put whatever policies that they want to put in place. 315 00:16:17,000 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 1: So I think that in itself is going to be 316 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,960 Speaker 1: a challenge. But you know, the fabric of Afghanistan, with 317 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,920 Speaker 1: the numbers anywhere from fifteen to twenty different disparate kinds 318 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:28,480 Speaker 1: of terish organizations, clear are the ones that were most 319 00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 1: concerned about Al Qaeda and ices K, and in this 320 00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 1: case K being the cores On Province in eatern Oft 321 00:16:38,080 --> 00:16:42,600 Speaker 1: fascinating conversation with retired Lieutenant General Robert Ashley, former director 322 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:45,680 Speaker 1: of the Defense Intelligence Agency. We thank you General for 323 00:16:46,520 --> 00:16:49,840 Speaker 1: bringing some insights here today on Bloomberg Radio as we 324 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 1: digest what we heard live from President Biden. This has 325 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: turned into a special edition of Bloomberg Sound On. I'm 326 00:16:56,520 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew in Washington. Glad you're with us on bloom 327 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 1: Burg Sound On for Tuesday. I was almost gonna say 328 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,440 Speaker 1: Wednesday because we packed in that much so far. I'm 329 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 1: Joe Matthew and Washington. We want to bring in the 330 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 1: panel to talk about the events that we've heard and 331 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 1: seen in Afghanistan and also talk more about what happened 332 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:15,679 Speaker 1: today on Capitol Hill. Both would be lead stories on 333 00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 1: any other day of the week. And we're joined by 334 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:22,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Politics contributors Jeanie she and Zano and Rick Davis. 335 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 1: We heard this hour live from the President. We heard 336 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 1: from the General as well, and from Craig Gordon helping 337 00:17:27,520 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: us understand all of this. Rick, I'd like to start 338 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: with you on Afghanistan. As President Biden was reportedly holding 339 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,320 Speaker 1: to the August thirty first deadline, that was the big 340 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:40,879 Speaker 1: question mark all day today as he met with the 341 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 1: G seven virtually but then told the American people that 342 00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:47,399 Speaker 1: he's asked for contingency plans to adjust that timetable. Does 343 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,000 Speaker 1: it sound like we're getting out in a week. Well, 344 00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 1: I think there are two things. There's an external message 345 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 1: that he sent that you described, which is we're sticking 346 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,199 Speaker 1: to August thirty one, and and he was able to 347 00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:01,439 Speaker 1: get the G seven to to correspond to that. You know, 348 00:18:01,480 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 1: there's no seemingly outlier in that, so getting unity there 349 00:18:05,880 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: was no easy task. But look, it's easy then to 350 00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 1: say and internally, uh, we're gonna have contingency plans in 351 00:18:13,359 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 1: case something goes wrong. I thought the artful state craft 352 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: that he used today was to actually lay that deadline 353 00:18:19,560 --> 00:18:22,320 Speaker 1: onto the Taliban, right, and if the Taliban just lets 354 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,560 Speaker 1: us do our job. We're eminently very professional at what 355 00:18:25,600 --> 00:18:27,840 Speaker 1: we do, and we've ramped up our capacity to move 356 00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:30,600 Speaker 1: people out of that country. Uh, if they get in 357 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:33,160 Speaker 1: our way, well that's the only reason why we would 358 00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 1: stay past August thirty one. And I thought that was 359 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: actually a good device to use to rally global support 360 00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:42,159 Speaker 1: around trying to get everybody out of there by the 361 00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: August thirty one, Whether the Taliban cooperate with him, whether 362 00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:49,719 Speaker 1: the Taliban allow uh Afghan nationals to leave the country. 363 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:51,840 Speaker 1: I mean there are a lot of ifs, and to 364 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:56,240 Speaker 1: some degree, UH President Joe Biden is placing his presidency 365 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 1: between how in August thirty one in the hands of 366 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 1: the Taliban, and that's a risky position, geniue completion depends 367 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:05,600 Speaker 1: on the cooperation of the Taliban. As Rick is pointing 368 00:19:05,640 --> 00:19:07,919 Speaker 1: out the line from the President that got a lot 369 00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 1: of people's attention today, what was he trying to do there? 370 00:19:11,119 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 1: Is that? Is that an excuse in case things don't 371 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 1: work out by the thirty one? Yes, I mean, and 372 00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,120 Speaker 1: I think he is smart to say that he still 373 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 1: intends to stick to his deadline. Um, but if he 374 00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: needs to stay, if we need to stay, he we 375 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 1: will complete the task and and and we should and um, 376 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,960 Speaker 1: you know, if that happens, the fault lies with the Taliban. Um. 377 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: You know. I think that was important for him to say. 378 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: I think it was important that he talked to the allies. 379 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,119 Speaker 1: I also think it's critical what he's saying about the 380 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 1: amount of risk that is there. And you just were 381 00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 1: talking about is s K And while all of this 382 00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: was going on today, of course, the Taliban blocked the 383 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 1: road to the airport for for for afghanis saying that 384 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:58,439 Speaker 1: foreigners can still leave, but people from Afghanistan cannot, and 385 00:19:58,520 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: they are not being guaranteed safe passage, and that is 386 00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:06,040 Speaker 1: really really foreboding news for Afghan allies who worked with us, 387 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,280 Speaker 1: and their fate is critical that that we address it, 388 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,679 Speaker 1: and I wanted to hear more from the President on that, 389 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:15,000 Speaker 1: and I didn't feel like we heard enough on that. Yeah, 390 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:18,119 Speaker 1: it's a scary idea here, Rick, especially if it involves 391 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: Americans going back into Afghanistan to try to evacuate people. 392 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:26,399 Speaker 1: We've heard that repeatedly from the Pentagon, from John Kirby 393 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 1: as recently as today, that we're prepared and Jake Sullivan 394 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: yesterday to continue evacuating people after the military leaves. What 395 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:37,399 Speaker 1: does that look like. Well, I'm sure the contingency plans 396 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 1: at the Defense Department will put together will outline different 397 00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: ways to do it. We know that they're flying helicopters 398 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:48,480 Speaker 1: outside of the UH airport area to gather up Americans 399 00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 1: and other UH special visa holders to get them out 400 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,640 Speaker 1: of the country directly through helicopters. So I imagine there's 401 00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:58,320 Speaker 1: a lot of trade craft that will be employed to 402 00:20:58,359 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: try and find people who might not be able to 403 00:21:00,560 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 1: get to U Kabul to get out through the normal 404 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:07,560 Speaker 1: evacuation process. So I think we can rely on the 405 00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:11,159 Speaker 1: professionalism of our intelligence community, the State Department, and the 406 00:21:11,240 --> 00:21:14,520 Speaker 1: military to do the best they can and and whether 407 00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:18,200 Speaker 1: or not that continues on post August thirty one from 408 00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,320 Speaker 1: areas outside of the Kabbal Airport, we may or may 409 00:21:21,359 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 1: never know, but my guess is that will all be 410 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,600 Speaker 1: a part of the package of contingency plans at the 411 00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,880 Speaker 1: military will give to the President. President mentioned those settling 412 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 1: in the US will have undergone a background check, which 413 00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,040 Speaker 1: I thought was significant. Genie, having seen the statement from 414 00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:40,679 Speaker 1: Donald Trump today accusing of Joe Biden of allowing in 415 00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:45,720 Speaker 1: potential terrorists with no vetting. Uh, is that going to 416 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,200 Speaker 1: become the next controversy when we start hearing from local 417 00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,400 Speaker 1: communities where refugees are settling. This is the message we've 418 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 1: been hearing for the last week, particularly from the right 419 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,720 Speaker 1: and and the Trumpian wing of the Republican Party, and 420 00:21:57,800 --> 00:22:01,359 Speaker 1: it's an absolutely shameful message. We do need to have 421 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:05,480 Speaker 1: assurance that people are are vetted a properly. The government 422 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,760 Speaker 1: is engaged in that. But I think there is a 423 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:11,239 Speaker 1: promising sign the number of Americans who have tried to 424 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: figure out how they can help people who are coming 425 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:18,040 Speaker 1: to this country from Afghanistan, whether through donations, through goods, 426 00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,360 Speaker 1: through services in other ways. We've heard about that from 427 00:22:20,400 --> 00:22:23,080 Speaker 1: around the country, and right we should. But the argument 428 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:26,120 Speaker 1: that we are, you know, that this isn't the process 429 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,879 Speaker 1: is not secure, and we are letting in, um, you know, 430 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:31,960 Speaker 1: terrorists is something similar to what we heard Donald Trump 431 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:35,680 Speaker 1: say during his twenties sixteen walked down the elevator and 432 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 1: Trump Tower to announce his president presidential run as he 433 00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 1: spoke about people from the southern border. And it's a 434 00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:44,920 Speaker 1: shameful argument to be making at this point New Jersey 435 00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 1: and Texas wreck the basis at least that have so 436 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:50,800 Speaker 1: far been identified. John Kirby says there could be others. 437 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:53,000 Speaker 1: That likely will be others added as as we find 438 00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 1: new homes for people who were, in many cases are 439 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 1: allies in a time of war. Should should we have 440 00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:03,800 Speaker 1: veterans out talking about the contributions they made? Yeah, I 441 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:06,960 Speaker 1: think that. Unfortunately, leave it to Donald Trump to try 442 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:11,480 Speaker 1: and politicize a humanitarian rescue operation like this with our allies. 443 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:15,960 Speaker 1: But um, I'd kind of forgotten about those days. Uh, 444 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 1: But look, I mean, there are dozens of governors who 445 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:22,639 Speaker 1: have already announced that they are welcoming refugees from Afghanistan. 446 00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: I think you'll see an outpouring of popular support. Uh. 447 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,199 Speaker 1: These are people who uh families, gave their lives to 448 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,520 Speaker 1: promote the kind of world that we all want to 449 00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,840 Speaker 1: live in, and and we owe them our our gratitude, 450 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:40,159 Speaker 1: in our our loyalty. You're listening to Bloomberg You sound 451 00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:46,359 Speaker 1: on with Joe Matthew on Bloomberg Radio. The headline on 452 00:23:46,359 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 1: the terminal House adopts three and a half trillion dollar 453 00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 1: budget blueprint backed by Biden. So who blinked? I don't 454 00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,680 Speaker 1: think it was Nancy Pelosi after a group of ten 455 00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:00,960 Speaker 1: moderate Democrats we talked about tried to block passage until 456 00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:02,520 Speaker 1: there was a vote on the bi part as an 457 00:24:02,520 --> 00:24:06,360 Speaker 1: infrastructure plan will They're heading home tonight with a promise 458 00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:09,520 Speaker 1: that the hard infrastructure bill will get a vote by 459 00:24:09,560 --> 00:24:12,120 Speaker 1: the end of next month. That's when the current transportation 460 00:24:12,160 --> 00:24:14,320 Speaker 1: funding runs out. And we spend the rest of this 461 00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 1: hour with the classic panel Bloomberg Politics contributors Genie she 462 00:24:19,119 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 1: and Zano and Rick Davis, where this Genie, maybe no 463 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,359 Speaker 1: one blinked? Then did everyone get what they wanted. Uh, 464 00:24:25,400 --> 00:24:27,639 Speaker 1: you know, I think that it was like a really 465 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 1: small change in language that seemed to pull those moderates 466 00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: over to Nancy Pelosi side. And I have to say, 467 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,840 Speaker 1: this is an enormous victory, as the President said in 468 00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:42,240 Speaker 1: his remarks, for Nancy Pelosi, for the leadership on the 469 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,920 Speaker 1: Democratic side in the House to pull this through. Granted 470 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,800 Speaker 1: it's not the bill yet, but it is a you know, 471 00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:52,360 Speaker 1: as you just mentioned, it's a blueprint for an enormous 472 00:24:52,400 --> 00:24:56,720 Speaker 1: historic change potentially in the way our country does its business. 473 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 1: And Nancy Pelosi is almost single handedly with her team 474 00:24:59,480 --> 00:25:02,199 Speaker 1: responsible for that. But it is this small change in 475 00:25:02,280 --> 00:25:05,320 Speaker 1: language saying that they shall consider the bipartisan bill on 476 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: or before September that got the moderates on board. There's 477 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,960 Speaker 1: still a long way to go, as we always say, 478 00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:13,840 Speaker 1: it's going to be another month and a half or 479 00:25:13,840 --> 00:25:16,680 Speaker 1: so of infrastructure, if not more, but it does look 480 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,119 Speaker 1: like it's it's a major victory at this point for 481 00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:21,640 Speaker 1: the Democrats in the House. Rick, we were talking around 482 00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,359 Speaker 1: this time yesterday about the family meeting, if we can 483 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,760 Speaker 1: call it that, the Caucus meeting, the closed door meeting 484 00:25:26,760 --> 00:25:29,520 Speaker 1: in which leadership was going to face off with these 485 00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 1: moderates and get something done. Apparently things got pretty dramatic. 486 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:38,440 Speaker 1: Tempers flared, f bombs were thrown around Progressives angry at moderates. 487 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,000 Speaker 1: But this all came out in the wash today. Everybody 488 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 1: had a chance to sleep on it. Did the moderates blink? Well, 489 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:49,399 Speaker 1: I think everybody basically gave something to the greater cause 490 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,920 Speaker 1: of the future of the Democratic Party in the mid terms. 491 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,640 Speaker 1: And so I think that at the end of all 492 00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:57,119 Speaker 1: the squealing last night, and I'll try to keep it 493 00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:02,120 Speaker 1: as a family oriented audience. Um, is that Nancy Pelosi 494 00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:05,120 Speaker 1: came up with a way of doing nothing and getting everything, 495 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,240 Speaker 1: you know, by holding a roll call vote today. She 496 00:26:08,320 --> 00:26:12,040 Speaker 1: actually never took a direct vote on the on the 497 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:15,160 Speaker 1: budget resolution, but deemed it passed by virtue of other 498 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: things they were doing that morning. So I would say 499 00:26:18,520 --> 00:26:21,440 Speaker 1: this is what drives civics professors in every high school 500 00:26:21,480 --> 00:26:25,680 Speaker 1: in America crazy because they can't actually describe what happened 501 00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,200 Speaker 1: today in any way other than there's blue smoke and 502 00:26:29,320 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 1: mirrors in Washington, d C. This morning, and when it clears, 503 00:26:32,520 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 1: we're gonna find out what actually happened. But you're right, 504 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:37,440 Speaker 1: I mean, they did cut a deal with the moderates, 505 00:26:37,480 --> 00:26:39,879 Speaker 1: they did blink. Uh, they're going to get their vote, 506 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:44,119 Speaker 1: you know before but we've always already seen cracks in 507 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,840 Speaker 1: the armor AOC and some of her folks said, well, 508 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 1: that we're only going to agree to that if we've 509 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:53,320 Speaker 1: actually made progress in the Senate on our budget resolution 510 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,439 Speaker 1: and reconciliation. So uh, I think there's a lot of 511 00:26:57,480 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 1: pressure in the system to do something and get overlad 512 00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:03,720 Speaker 1: Night's bit session. But the reality is they got a 513 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,040 Speaker 1: long way to go before the end of this next month. 514 00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:11,199 Speaker 1: And that doesn't even count for the looming crisis with 515 00:27:11,280 --> 00:27:14,720 Speaker 1: the continuing resolution to fund the government and the debt 516 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:18,439 Speaker 1: ceiling and all these things combined. There's not gonna be 517 00:27:18,720 --> 00:27:21,600 Speaker 1: a good night's sleep for Nancy Pelosi for sometime. It 518 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,399 Speaker 1: sure doesn't sound like it. And and the irony genie 519 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,400 Speaker 1: was not lost on me to hear that Nancy Pelosi 520 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:31,639 Speaker 1: was proposing something called a self executing rule on the 521 00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 1: same evening that Stenny Hoyer was referring to mutually assured destruction. 522 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:39,439 Speaker 1: But we have we've come back from the precipice, I 523 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,720 Speaker 1: guess here. Uh. Then again, as as Rick is pointing, 524 00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:45,280 Speaker 1: out and you already suggested, Genie, the hard part begins. 525 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:47,600 Speaker 1: Now what is going to go into three and a 526 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 1: half trillion dollars? The House's ideas on that are going 527 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 1: to be different as well than the sentence that's right, 528 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:57,880 Speaker 1: and we are momentarily off the precipice. We could get 529 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 1: right back there, you know, just moments a way. Um, 530 00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,439 Speaker 1: you know that's the big question. You know, what is 531 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:05,640 Speaker 1: going to be in this Some of it is obvious, 532 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 1: some of it is not so obvious. And of course 533 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,800 Speaker 1: the big question, how do you pay for it? And 534 00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: then do we see this continuing fight? That fight that 535 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:17,400 Speaker 1: Rick was just alluding to. We've heard comments from il 536 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:20,600 Speaker 1: Han Omar and other progressives, we heard comments from moderates. 537 00:28:20,880 --> 00:28:23,840 Speaker 1: We've got the Senate Democrats, Christen Cinema saying she won't 538 00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,800 Speaker 1: support three point five. I mean, just imagine what happens 539 00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:29,720 Speaker 1: if this bill gets whittled down to you know, half 540 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,600 Speaker 1: of its current size. Do the progressives in the House 541 00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,520 Speaker 1: then walk away and kill both of these bills? You know, 542 00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,040 Speaker 1: there is a lot here. Nancy Pelosi is the person 543 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 1: to push this through if anybody can. But there's a 544 00:28:41,160 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: lot here. But another big thing looming over this, of course, 545 00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 1: is two that you know, the Democrats have a very 546 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:50,720 Speaker 1: very big chance of losing the House. And I think 547 00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,520 Speaker 1: a big question is if they push this through something 548 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 1: this big, do they lose those purple districts that they 549 00:28:56,800 --> 00:28:58,840 Speaker 1: need to win that those moderates are fighting for. I 550 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 1: think that's still a big challenge for Democrats. Well, if 551 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: we can get a little more specific about what might 552 00:29:04,600 --> 00:29:07,360 Speaker 1: go in this and white what might not. And we've 553 00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 1: got to keep not just this debate in the House 554 00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 1: in mind the balance of progressive and moderate priorities, but 555 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:16,720 Speaker 1: also what the Senate parliamentarian will end up allowing in 556 00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:21,040 Speaker 1: a reconciliation bill. We've talked We've talked about expanding childcare, 557 00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:24,719 Speaker 1: We've or money for childcare in many cases from scratch, 558 00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:30,040 Speaker 1: expanding Medicare benefits to include uh ear nose throat. We 559 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:35,680 Speaker 1: have talked about, even immigration reform. We've talked about pre kindergarten, 560 00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:39,640 Speaker 1: universal pre k and free community college. How about we 561 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 1: just stopped there for a moment, Rick, how many of 562 00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: those actually end up in the bill? Well, I think 563 00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:49,320 Speaker 1: it's going to depend upon the money game. And I 564 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,160 Speaker 1: think uh Jinnie was right and that they got to 565 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: figure out how much of this are they going to 566 00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:55,120 Speaker 1: be able to pay for, and it's going to go 567 00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:59,000 Speaker 1: through the wash in the Senate. But things like making 568 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:03,080 Speaker 1: the child tax c it permanent is hugely expensive, and 569 00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,160 Speaker 1: so Democrats are gonna have to make choices and and 570 00:30:06,160 --> 00:30:08,400 Speaker 1: and frankly, when you cost all these things out that 571 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:11,120 Speaker 1: they're talking about, you're probably blowing past the three point 572 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:15,000 Speaker 1: five trillion, And that doesn't even account for the infrastructure 573 00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:18,400 Speaker 1: bill at another almost you know trillion too. And and 574 00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:22,000 Speaker 1: so at some point the effort to be able to 575 00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: raise revenue for these things, taxes on corporations, taxes on 576 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 1: wealthy individuals aren't going to be able to deliver the 577 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: revenue that the Democrats need to even do this through 578 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 1: a reconciliation model. So so there are going to be 579 00:30:36,960 --> 00:30:39,640 Speaker 1: choices made. And I think that they're going to find 580 00:30:39,640 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: out real quick, even though they think these are really popular, 581 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: when they can't get them done because of the costs 582 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: are so extreme and they can't find the revenue form, 583 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,000 Speaker 1: how many voters are going to be disappointed that they 584 00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 1: couldn't deliver what they are now promising. It's easy to 585 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,360 Speaker 1: promise all these things today until you actually have to 586 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,720 Speaker 1: pay for them, and then all of a sudden things 587 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,600 Speaker 1: get on the cutting room floor. How about that laundry 588 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:06,440 Speaker 1: list I rolled out, Genie, Which of these are good politics? 589 00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: Which of these you could see ending up in the 590 00:31:10,040 --> 00:31:14,800 Speaker 1: bill having Democrats actually embrace from I won't say both 591 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,960 Speaker 1: sides of the aisle, but well, both sides of the 592 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 1: democratic spectrum. You know. I think things like universal pre K, 593 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 1: free community college as example, the green aspects of this thing, 594 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:30,480 Speaker 1: expansion of medicare those things are popular. I think other 595 00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,880 Speaker 1: things may get stripped, and you mentioned one of the 596 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,680 Speaker 1: big ones like immigration, that may be stripped by the 597 00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 1: parliamentary and it may not even be stripped by you know, 598 00:31:38,880 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 1: the more moderate wing. But you know, you look at 599 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,840 Speaker 1: what the blueprint that the Senate is working within these 600 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:50,040 Speaker 1: committees and the amount of money at their disposal. It's 601 00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:52,640 Speaker 1: as such a strange way when you try to explain 602 00:31:52,680 --> 00:31:55,760 Speaker 1: it to students to make a budget, that here's money, 603 00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:57,800 Speaker 1: and now you figure out how to spend it. Whereas 604 00:31:57,840 --> 00:32:00,360 Speaker 1: most of us say, oh, I need to do something, 605 00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 1: how much money does it cost? Do I have the money? 606 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:06,760 Speaker 1: It's completely backwards in Congress, and that's what frustrates a 607 00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,239 Speaker 1: lot of people. And I would also watch out for 608 00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 1: these deals. I mean, this is such a big amount 609 00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:14,920 Speaker 1: of money, We're gonna see deals made to keep people 610 00:32:14,960 --> 00:32:17,920 Speaker 1: on board. The press are going to be all over that, 611 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 1: and that can be a black mark for the Democratic 612 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,280 Speaker 1: Party as well. They've got to be very careful about 613 00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:26,400 Speaker 1: how that rolls out. We've already seen that the Salt example, 614 00:32:26,440 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 1: and there's many more where that comes from. Insights from 615 00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: Genie and Rick on a special edition of Bloomberg Sound On. 616 00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 1: We only have a couple of minutes left. Let's get 617 00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:38,040 Speaker 1: back to where we started here. For for both of you, 618 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,320 Speaker 1: with regard to Afghanistan, Rick, what are you going to 619 00:32:40,400 --> 00:32:43,760 Speaker 1: be watching in the next forty eight hours as we 620 00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 1: get closer to this deadline in Afghanistan? Is it the 621 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:48,680 Speaker 1: threat of violence or is it something I'm not thinking of? 622 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,880 Speaker 1: You know, I think that the threat of violence is 623 00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:56,360 Speaker 1: is always relevant there. But I'd watched the Taliban. I mean, 624 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,240 Speaker 1: they have an opportunity to try to redefine their image. 625 00:32:59,240 --> 00:33:02,920 Speaker 1: They obviously a good pr person to say, hey, we 626 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,920 Speaker 1: can't be like the barbarians that we were last time 627 00:33:05,920 --> 00:33:08,720 Speaker 1: around when we ruled this country and yet they have 628 00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: a big test ahead of them. We've been talking about 629 00:33:11,040 --> 00:33:14,240 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, but Boy, pressures on the Taliban. Uh, if 630 00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:18,680 Speaker 1: they look like they're adding to the chaos or mistreating people, 631 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:22,680 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a blemish that they may never get over. Genie, 632 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 1: there's Uh, there's a moment that I want to share 633 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,120 Speaker 1: with our listeners before we go. But what are you 634 00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,600 Speaker 1: watching in Afghanistan the next day or two? Among other things, 635 00:33:30,680 --> 00:33:33,920 Speaker 1: I'm watching how China continues to try to exploit are 636 00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:37,120 Speaker 1: pulling out and our our treatment of our Afghan allies. 637 00:33:37,160 --> 00:33:39,760 Speaker 1: They've already been saying this as it pertains to Taiwan. 638 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:41,840 Speaker 1: I think we're going to hear more of this, and 639 00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,680 Speaker 1: this can be incredibly dangerous for the United States going forward. Boy, 640 00:33:45,760 --> 00:33:48,000 Speaker 1: we've got a lot to talk about here. How about 641 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,920 Speaker 1: John Kirby, the Pentagon spokesman, listening to his briefings, watching 642 00:33:51,960 --> 00:33:56,480 Speaker 1: him every day since this began, former State House, State House, 643 00:33:56,680 --> 00:34:00,640 Speaker 1: State Department spokesman and former Pentagon spokesman in a different administration, 644 00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,800 Speaker 1: He's been the one interfacing with reporters on this for 645 00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 1: the most part, and he brought a story to the 646 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,399 Speaker 1: podium today that I thought everybody should hear. We talked 647 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:10,759 Speaker 1: about a lot, a lot of the awful things that 648 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,000 Speaker 1: have been happening around the airport and with regard to 649 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:17,120 Speaker 1: the evacuations. Have you heard though, that three new lives 650 00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:22,040 Speaker 1: have started. Three babies born. Here's John Kirby today at 651 00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:26,239 Speaker 1: the Pentagon. Just to clarify. One was born on the 652 00:34:26,239 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 1: C seventeen as the one I think you guys know about. 653 00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:33,080 Speaker 1: The other two were born shortly after arrival at Ramstein 654 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 1: in the launchtul hospital there on base. So two were 655 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,719 Speaker 1: born at the in the hospital shortly after arrival. I 656 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:44,839 Speaker 1: am told that moms and dads and babies are all 657 00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 1: fine and healthy and always looking good there. Welcome to 658 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 1: the world in heady times. We'll meet you back here tomorrow. 659 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg sound on. I'm Joe Matthew